Juno News - April 17, 2025


Are Conservatives on track to overtake Liberals？

Mentioned
Mark Carney Pierre Poilievre
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Episode Stats


Length

2 minutes

Words per minute

177.08

Word count

377

Sentence count

25


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In this episode, we discuss the tightening of the race between the Liberals and Tories, and how that could impact the outcome of the election. We also discuss the impact of the recent polls on the 905 and other crucial ridings in the province of Ontario and Quebec.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 OK, so tell us about the recent poll. Pierre Polyev is closing that gap and narrowing in.
00:00:05.020 This is going to be an incredibly tight race. Tell us about the top line.
00:00:08.460 Sure. So the top line, we have the Liberal Party of Canada led by Mark Carney at 39 percent, the Conservatives at 37, the NDP at 11, the Greens at two, the Bloc Québécois at eight and then other parties is three percent.
00:00:20.900 this week. Wow. Okay. So this really shows a incredibly tight race, right? Previously in the
00:00:29.000 campaign, we had seen a pretty substantial lead for the Liberals and for Mark Carney, even with
00:00:33.920 our own polls out in the field. I know a lot of viewers are quite skeptical of the polls. They
00:00:38.780 don't think that they have a good way of reaching Canadians and that many Conservatives might be
00:00:44.600 disinterested in polls. They might not answer, they might not reply, or they might just not tell
00:00:50.040 the pollster what they're thinking. And so even with this formula, we still see the Conservatives
00:00:57.460 really closing that gap, narrowing that gap. So tell us, can you describe how this has changed
00:01:02.500 over like the past two, three weeks here? The biggest, most notable changes in Ontario. So
00:01:08.860 in Ontario, two weeks ago, we had a 14 point gap where the Liberals were 14 points above the
00:01:14.900 Conservatives. Last week, we had Ontario at a seven-point gap, where the Liberals were seven
00:01:20.360 points ahead of the Conservatives. This week, it's four points. So if this trend continues,
00:01:26.300 if this kind of momentum is able to be sustained, that's going to be quite significant in terms of
00:01:31.760 what that means, especially for the 905 and other very vital regions within the province of Ontario.
00:01:38.580 In Quebec, we're seeing a tightening of the race. Previously, we had the Bloc Québécois
00:01:43.000 leading the Liberals. Now they're both tied at 35%. That's going to make some very interesting
00:01:48.980 ridings across, especially in the eastern townships and over into the south side of Montreal.
00:01:56.220 That area, that's going to be, I think, a very pivotal region of the country,
00:02:01.660 especially for determining if it's a minority or a majority government. Those are areas that
00:02:05.920 the Liberals must win.