Juno News - October 19, 2019
Are we going to see a Liberal-NDP Coalition?
Episode Stats
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176.20067
Summary
In the final stretch of the federal election campaign, there's a growing number of voices in the media and political circles saying that if Andrew Scheer wins a majority government, then Jagmeet Singh should try to form a coalition with Justin Trudeau to block him from becoming Prime Minister. Is that even possible?
Transcript
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We're at this interesting point in the last leg of the federal election campaign when it looks
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like pretty much any result could happen. Well, not quite. In fact, a lot of people are ruling
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out majorities. The numbers do not suggest that anybody will get a majority government,
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not Justin Trudeau, not Andrew Scheer. So it looks like we're in a situation where we'll
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have a liberal minority, in which Justin Trudeau remains prime minister, and a conservative
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minority, in which Justin Trudeau remains prime minister. No, I didn't misspeak. Yeah, that's
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actually what we're hearing right now from a whole lot of voices, particularly some of the people at
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the top. NDP leader Jagmeet Singh musing, although he's since walked back, the idea that if Andrew
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Scheer wins the most number of seats under the conservative banner, then Jagmeet Singh will form
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a coalition with Justin Trudeau to block that from happening, to thwart Andrew Scheer from
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becoming prime minister. Can you do that? Is that legal? Is that even a thing? Now, we have this
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sort of thing happen a lot. We have a lot of majority governments, but we do have parties like
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the NDP prop up minority governments. We saw it happen with Paul Martin recently. We saw it happen
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for a couple terms with Stephen Harper, where they don't have enough to have a majority, so they get
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support from another party, like the NDP, to pass their main confidence motions, their throne speech,
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their budget bills, and so forth. But what we don't have is a case where you go and you use a
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coalition to thwart the person who did get the most seats from forming power. Those examples I just gave,
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the Paul Martin case, the Stephen Harper case, they did win the most number of seats. They won a plurality.
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They just didn't get a majority. In fact, the situation that Jagmeet Singh is proposing,
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it's only been done once before, about 100 years ago. In most cases in the past century,
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well, every case except that one example, when there has been a situation where there's a prime
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minister in office, and then there's an election, and that prime minister finds that they no longer
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have the most seats, that somebody else has more seats than them, they resign. That's what Paul
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Martin did back when he lost to Stephen Harper. That's what Pierre Elliott Trudeau did when he
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lost to Joe Clark. Now, I'm already hearing a lot of chatter out there where people say, no, no,
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it's perfectly fine for Justin Trudeau to remain as prime minister, even if he only gets the second
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most number of seats, because the rules actually say that in that case, the prime minister has the
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ability to go to the governor general and say, oh, hold on, I still got this. I can still command
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the confidence of the House. I can still have a majority because, hey, I got my friend Jagmeet Singh
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with me, and he's going to vote for it. Now, that is true. Academics, experts, they'll say, yes, that is
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the way the system can work. But here's the thing. It's not the way the system has worked, and it's not
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the way most Canadians think the system works. So what does that mean? Does that just mean that people have
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been misinformed, that they haven't been spending enough time in civics class dusting off the rule
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books and learning about the nuances of it? No. It's a little thing called tradition. It's a little
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thing called, this is how we've agreed we're going to do things for the past century. So it's very
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troubling right now to hear Justin Trudeau, who back in 2015 told Peter Mansbridge, the party that gets
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the most amount of seats, gets to govern. Is your belief that whatever party has the most number
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of seats has the right to try to govern at that point? Yes, that's the way it's always been. Whoever
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commands the most seats gets the first shot at governing. That's not always the way it's been.
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It's troubling to hear that this same individual, I mean, we're hearing it from Jagmeet Singh,
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we're not hearing it from Justin Trudeau, but we're hearing it from that, from the circle,
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the media circle, various people in political circles saying, oh no, it's perfectly fine if this
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happens. Look, just because something can be done, just because you're allowed to do it,
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just because it's legal, doesn't mean you should. It doesn't mean it's right.