Juno News - August 17, 2020


Blink Twice If You Need Help, Minister Morneau


Episode Stats


Length

40 minutes

Words per minute

178.95161

Word count

7,251

Sentence count

398

Harmful content

Misogyny

1

sentences flagged

Hate speech

7

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

A new report suggests Bill Morneau can't even get Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on the phone, and it's not because he doesn't have the Prime Minister's confidence, it's because he's out of the loop.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Welcome to Canada's Most Irreverent Talk Show.
00:00:06.460 This is the Andrew Lawton Show, brought to you by True North.
00:00:14.840 The Andrew Lawton Show starts right now.
00:00:21.120 Hello and welcome everyone to the Andrew Lawton Show, Canada's Most Irreverent Talk Show here on True North.
00:00:27.660 I'm going to suspend my conversation with you, the audience, right now and address an audience of one.
00:00:35.640 If you're out there, Minister Morneau, blink twice if you need help.
00:00:39.440 Blink three times if you're okay.
00:00:41.800 I don't know, you clearly have to be somewhere in captivity right now.
00:00:45.900 With all the stories we've been seeing about your relationship with Justin Trudeau,
00:00:51.080 this is actually quite exceptional.
00:00:53.420 Last week we talked about Bill Morneau apparently falling out of favour with Justin Trudeau
00:00:58.800 and reports, namely one in Bloomberg, that Morneau no longer had the confidence of the Prime Minister, of Justin Trudeau.
00:01:06.600 And the great story there was when the media had asked Justin Trudeau's office,
00:01:11.960 hey, do you still have confidence in Morneau?
00:01:14.440 And they said, we'll have to get back to you on that.
00:01:16.800 And then hours later sent out this statement saying, yes, of course we have confidence in him.
00:01:22.320 He's done this and this and this and this.
00:01:24.260 But the interesting thing is that this relationship has only gotten more strained in the last week,
00:01:30.220 in the last however many days since that moment.
00:01:33.680 And now we have another report from Bloomberg that is suggesting the rift with Finance Minister Bill Morneau
00:01:41.780 is so bad that Morneau can't even get Justin Trudeau on the phone.
00:01:48.800 This is quite embarrassing.
00:01:51.100 The quote says,
00:01:51.860 Now the Carney in question is Mark Carney, the former governor of the Bank of Canada
00:02:08.000 turned governor of the Bank of England, who's now an informal advisor,
00:02:13.540 whatever that means to Justin Trudeau on matters of finance.
00:02:16.280 So seemingly edging out, Bill Morneau, who's supposed to be the chief advisor,
00:02:21.860 on matters of finance to Justin Trudeau.
00:02:24.560 So now Carney has basically been brought in.
00:02:27.440 He is the Lou Gehrig and Bill Morneau is the Wally Pip.
00:02:31.460 And if you don't get that reference, it's okay.
00:02:33.380 It's the only sports reference I know.
00:02:35.460 So what I'm thinking here is that all of us are going to see Bill Morneau likely go down
00:02:43.080 the same road that Jane Philpott and Jody Wilson-Raybould went down.
00:02:47.820 Because he is only useful as long as he's towing the party line.
00:02:51.660 He's only useful to Justin Trudeau when he is going to be another one of those cabinet
00:02:56.220 sycophants, because this seems to be the attitude here.
00:02:59.400 If you're in the cabinet, you don't just have to have caucus unity and cabinet unity,
00:03:03.540 which is understandable.
00:03:04.920 But you can't have any disagreement at all, it sounds like,
00:03:08.900 because Justin Trudeau is the guy in charge.
00:03:12.040 Now, it's not leadership when you aren't even having conversations
00:03:16.160 with the people on your team, as this report suggests, if you have these disagreements.
00:03:21.720 And that's where we are now.
00:03:23.380 So I'm thinking Bill Morneau is either now a great hostage to Justin Trudeau's prime minister's office,
00:03:30.180 or he's just completely out to lunch, floating out on his own, no idea what's going on.
00:03:36.180 He's out of the loop.
00:03:36.980 He has no power, no control whatsoever.
00:03:39.420 It's, I mean, look, both things are possible here.
00:03:41.600 What we do know is that it doesn't look like, if these reports can be taken at face value,
00:03:48.600 like Morneau has a strong, robust future in the prime minister's inner circle.
00:03:55.000 One source told CBC that the two of them were going to be meeting on Monday to sort out their differences.
00:04:00.920 Another story here from the same one, Trudeau-Morneau clash over Green Plan's soaring deficit.
00:04:08.260 And this one I find to be great.
00:04:09.900 It, again, uses that term of a deepening rift between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and his finance minister
00:04:16.120 about coronavirus spending, but also disagreements, they say, about green initiatives.
00:04:21.560 And this was citing three sources.
00:04:24.300 But here's the part I find unique about this story.
00:04:27.120 Global News had its own version of it.
00:04:29.080 Everyone's leaking all over the place here.
00:04:30.780 And in that story, they say, a source says,
00:04:35.200 he was not very keen on a huge deficit.
00:04:38.440 That's not what he wanted as his legacy, unquote.
00:04:42.300 So Bill Morneau, after five years of continuously running up deficits and more deficits and more deficits,
00:04:49.160 has decided, you know, I don't think the deficit spending thing was exactly what we wanted.
00:04:54.420 Whereas I'm like, what on earth did you think your legacy was going to be at this point?
00:04:59.560 So I get the deficits may have been Justin Trudeau's bag, and that's what he wanted.
00:05:03.880 But I don't have a lot of sympathy for Morneau after five years of running up deficits saying,
00:05:10.900 well, okay, you know, I kind of would have wanted to balance at least one budget while I was here.
00:05:15.860 No, because none of the financial or fiscal decisions taken by the government under Morneau as finance minister
00:05:22.580 have been leading towards anything but deficits.
00:05:26.000 So again, we're talking about anonymous sources here.
00:05:28.920 You have to take things with a grain of salt.
00:05:31.120 But the fact that there's such a high volume of leaks in numerous media outlets from CBC to Global to Bloomberg,
00:05:38.400 all really saying the same thing about the so-called rift and about Morneau really cooling on the liberal government's financial track record.
00:05:49.640 All of this suggests that there is, in fact, fire here because we're certainly seeing the smoke.
00:05:54.940 So I don't have a lot of sympathy for Morneau, even though I think he is, on the surface, a capable and competent person.
00:06:02.520 Because of how he has done so far, you have to question, okay, why now?
00:06:08.940 I mean, the only thing I could think of, and this is, I admit, completely speculative,
00:06:13.460 is that he sees the ship as being one that is sinking now and realizes, okay, I've got to save myself.
00:06:19.280 So he's trying to clamber around for the life raft, and it doesn't matter if the ship is going down.
00:06:23.960 He wants to be off of it.
00:06:25.180 And I think in a lot of cases, that's what distinguishes this.
00:06:28.640 If he is on his way out from Jody Wilson, Ray Bold, and Jane Philpott,
00:06:33.420 who actually sacrificed something when there was still a chance, and clearly a likely chance,
00:06:39.500 that Justin Trudeau would win re-election.
00:06:41.480 They could have, if they just shut up and went along with it, still been in cabinet today.
00:06:46.620 So that is where there's a bit of a difference here.
00:06:49.340 And I have to be a fair bit more cynical about Morneau than I am at the two women from cabinet 0.99
00:06:56.780 in the last session of parliament.
00:06:58.920 But I do think that at the end of the day, the buck stops with Trudeau.
00:07:02.220 There's a lot from this that we can take and look at Trudeau's governance and government style
00:07:07.980 and leadership style and say, if you're, if this is what's happening to your most senior
00:07:13.440 cabinet ministers, remember, we're talking about the health minister, the attorney general,
00:07:20.220 the finance minister.
00:07:21.680 This is not like the deputy under, this is not like the deputy parliamentary secretary.
00:07:26.700 That's not a real rule.
00:07:27.660 The parliamentary secretary to the minister for democratic institutions or something.
00:07:32.580 We're talking about the most central pivotal figures in a prime minister's cabinet.
00:07:37.340 And Justin Trudeau can't keep them in the cabinet.
00:07:40.800 He can't keep them loyal.
00:07:42.440 And there's a reason for that because he clearly is not in their view in control of things.
00:07:48.280 He's clearly not in their view knowing what is going on and making the right decisions.
00:07:53.940 And that's a very dangerous development here.
00:07:56.980 So right now, when you look at what Morneau is doing, I think he is actually being thrown under
00:08:03.140 the bus right now for speaking up.
00:08:05.840 And we can see this because all of these leaks are coordinated.
00:08:09.800 When you've got, again, a broad array of leaks through multiple media outlets, it means someone
00:08:14.500 wants this story to be told.
00:08:17.680 And the fact that Trudeau, again, had to just say, ah, you know, we'll think about whether
00:08:22.440 we can say we have confidence in him last week, suggests there is no confidence there.
00:08:27.400 And at this point, it's just a matter of controlling the damage.
00:08:29.700 Because if you lose your finance minister in the middle of a public health crisis that is
00:08:34.560 now a financial and economic crisis, it shows that Canadians shouldn't have confidence in the
00:08:40.840 job you've been doing either.
00:08:43.460 So if you have your finance minister gone, it's saying to every Canadian, well, that steady
00:08:49.880 hand you told us that you were is no longer steady.
00:08:52.980 That fiscal management that you said was there clearly wasn't.
00:08:56.360 If your finance minister isn't happy with all the stuff you're doing, why should we as
00:09:00.260 taxpaying Canadians be?
00:09:01.820 And these are very legitimate questions, very legitimate questions.
00:09:05.680 And there still are no answers.
00:09:07.840 We'll be back in a moment with more of The Andrew Lawton Show.
00:09:10.440 Stay tuned.
00:09:12.940 You're tuned in to The Andrew Lawton Show.
00:09:15.780 Last week, I did a bit of a broad look at the conservative leadership race.
00:09:24.780 I took the 30,000-foot view from the sky of things, and I got a lot of really interesting
00:09:29.700 response from that, a lot of it very negative, because I kind of did it as though I was just
00:09:34.860 criticizing every single candidate by talking about what I see as the perceived weaknesses.
00:09:39.880 And some people who were fans of an individual candidate said they didn't like what I said
00:09:44.920 about theirs, but they liked what I said about all the others.
00:09:47.200 So that is the nature of leadership races, or any election, in that you get very hypersensitive
00:09:52.500 about your person.
00:09:54.360 And the fact is, I don't have a person.
00:09:56.120 I think that there, like I said, is a lot of good.
00:09:58.920 There are some drawbacks.
00:10:00.300 I think that ultimately the goal is that whoever is the leader of the party, after August 23rd,
00:10:06.460 has to be able to unite the party, yes, but also has to be able to be a solid conservative.
00:10:12.500 And I want to see someone who's prepared to really move the ball a little bit down the
00:10:17.220 line.
00:10:17.560 I don't even like sports, and I'm using sports analogies today.
00:10:20.520 I don't know what happened to me.
00:10:21.940 Maybe I got hit in the head with a football on the weekend, and I don't know about it,
00:10:25.540 and it's causing me to do sports stuff.
00:10:27.560 But I promise you I won't do it again.
00:10:29.500 But you need someone who's going to be able to do that.
00:10:32.360 Otherwise, you cease to have a conservative party.
00:10:35.120 And this is what I think the big problem with the so-called electability narrative is.
00:10:41.260 Electability is important, yes.
00:10:43.580 But if you are sacrificing integrity or sacrificing something else like ideological consistency
00:10:51.200 in the pursuit of electability, you being elected doesn't actually mean anything.
00:10:57.480 It doesn't actually amount to a hill of beans.
00:10:59.900 And this is where you have to be very careful.
00:11:02.420 When everyone talks in the race about so-and-so is the one who can beat Trudeau, yes, that's
00:11:08.580 valid.
00:11:09.060 Yes, the next conservative leader has to defeat Trudeau.
00:11:11.660 But they have to be beating Trudeau as a means to an end.
00:11:16.960 That cannot be the end in and of itself.
00:11:20.360 And this is, I think, a distinction that gets lost, is that you have to be willing to offer
00:11:24.680 something to conservatives if it has to be of value at all that you are defeating Trudeau
00:11:32.020 and that you can defeat Trudeau.
00:11:34.940 And this is just a general observation.
00:11:37.440 This is bigger than just this particular leadership race and bigger than conservative internal politics
00:11:42.680 in general, is that you have to be prepared to advance the cultural beliefs and the ideological
00:11:49.520 beliefs and the philosophical outlook that you have.
00:11:52.600 And this is where, when you talk about politics being downstream of culture, conservatives have
00:11:57.420 oftentimes fallen short of this requirement.
00:12:01.160 So that's more of a general observation.
00:12:04.060 But when we are looking at these candidates, there is that idea that, yes, you have to be
00:12:08.860 able to go toe-to-toe with Trudeau or whoever his successor is.
00:12:12.500 Sure, but I want to see someone who's prepared to actually take on the fights that, for the
00:12:19.540 most part, conservatives have been too afraid to.
00:12:21.860 And it isn't just about social issues.
00:12:23.920 It isn't just about supply management.
00:12:25.980 It's not about these things.
00:12:27.360 Although a lot of these issues are litmus tests for the bigger issue.
00:12:31.700 If you're, I mean, supply management's a great one.
00:12:33.480 Not a single member of this leadership race I've heard speak out against supply management.
00:12:38.140 But for the most part, I bet that any one of them, if you were to talk to them one-on-one,
00:12:43.720 would privately tell you they have issues with it.
00:12:46.180 But politically, they can't.
00:12:47.800 And this is why Maxime Bernier, in 2017 and beyond, made such a big deal of supply management.
00:12:53.820 Not because it was the hill to die on because of dairy pricing being the top issue facing
00:12:59.560 Canadians, but because it was probably the greatest example of conservatives overlooking
00:13:05.760 what they know to be true based on their outlook because of what is politically advantageous
00:13:11.540 to believe.
00:13:12.180 And you can't piss off the dairy farmers.
00:13:14.800 That's the cardinal rule of conservative politics.
00:13:17.180 So they have to choose that axiom of political management over what they believe and what makes
00:13:25.220 sense and what is economically right, which, by the way, supply management isn't.
00:13:29.300 But this will be a topic for another episode.
00:13:32.220 So that's where we are.
00:13:33.260 And you may remember on Friday, I sat down, well, I sat down last Wednesday, but the episode
00:13:37.900 came out on Friday, an in-depth interview with Andrew Scheer, an outgoing leader of the
00:13:42.880 Conservative Party of Canada, who said in the interview, he's going to continue to serve
00:13:47.000 and seek re-election as a member of parliament.
00:13:49.160 So he's not going away.
00:13:51.020 And, you know, I had a lot of people email me.
00:13:53.980 So a lot of you, by the way, most of you were incredibly appreciative of the interview
00:13:57.500 and had very kind words to say.
00:13:59.060 And I'm grateful for that.
00:14:00.360 If you haven't been able to figure it out now, I really enjoy long form interviews.
00:14:04.720 But there were a lot of people who, because of their personal contempt for Andrew Scheer,
00:14:11.120 dislike for Andrew Scheer, didn't like that I was giving him a platform or they didn't
00:14:14.820 like that they just didn't want to hear from him.
00:14:17.040 And, you know, it takes a lot to step into politics.
00:14:20.000 And I'd say this as someone who was a failed candidate or, as I say, an attempted politician
00:14:24.880 a few years ago, a couple of years ago, it takes a lot.
00:14:28.920 And Andrew Scheer has a young family.
00:14:31.020 There's a tremendous sacrifice.
00:14:32.620 You get dragged through the ringer.
00:14:33.940 His family gets roped into it.
00:14:35.880 And it's not just Andrew Scheer.
00:14:38.520 I would say this about a Liberal leader, an NDP leader, even maybe not a Bloch-Quebec wall
00:14:43.020 leader.
00:14:43.300 But I'd say it about most politicians.
00:14:45.620 Anyone who's prepared to take on that sacrifice deserves to be commended.
00:14:50.640 And they deserve to be appreciated.
00:14:52.580 And I don't like this idea that because Andrew Scheer was not able to, I won't use a sports
00:14:58.440 analogy, was not able to win the election, that he is therefore a bad person.
00:15:02.780 I mean, you can be, I don't think he's necessarily a bad politician, but you can be a bad politician
00:15:07.320 and not be a bad person.
00:15:08.660 In fact, I think probably the best people don't necessarily make the best politicians and vice
00:15:15.000 versa.
00:15:15.320 So for Andrew Scheer, there was a lot that I think could have been done differently.
00:15:21.760 And it was really great to hear him admit that in many respects, because one of the
00:15:26.280 biggest criticisms that I've had is that Andrew Scheer was great in the 2017 leadership
00:15:31.040 race.
00:15:31.920 He was great in the lead up to the election.
00:15:34.160 And then in the election, he just became this safe, middle of the ground, middle of the
00:15:38.460 road, moderate, not even just in terms of the platform, although the platform was very
00:15:44.080 safe, but even just his own communication style.
00:15:47.720 He wasn't picking fights.
00:15:49.120 He wasn't scrapping.
00:15:50.760 And I was really disappointed to see it because I knew that he is on side on a lot of the things
00:15:56.360 that I care about.
00:15:57.700 And then after the election, we're getting clip after clip after clip of Andrew Scheer.
00:16:03.520 This one in particular, I have to share again.
00:16:05.740 Do you remember when he was busted, if I can use such a silly term, for not wearing a mask
00:16:10.840 in Pearson Airport when he was talking to a couple of his colleagues?
00:16:15.140 And this was what happened when CBC asked about it.
00:16:17.940 Hi, it's Annie Bergeron-Oliver with CTV National News.
00:16:22.040 Masks became mandatory yesterday in many cities across Canada.
00:16:25.420 Yet yesterday, you were photographed at the airport not wearing a mask.
00:16:29.100 Elizabeth May earlier today said she does not believe that you take this pandemic seriously.
00:16:33.600 So one, I'm wondering why you didn't wear a mask.
00:16:35.840 And two, what do you say to people like Elizabeth May who say you're not taking the pandemic seriously?
00:16:41.660 So I don't have anything to add based on the story yesterday.
00:16:45.740 Nothing?
00:16:47.240 I think it was pretty self-explanatory yesterday.
00:16:49.640 I know that in part of the statement, you said you took off the mask to make a call.
00:16:54.020 Pallister has since come out saying he apologized that, yes, he took it off for a call, but he
00:16:58.920 wanted to chat with some of his colleagues.
00:17:01.180 Should you not be setting an example for Canadians?
00:17:04.340 There are many people who do not believe that masks should be mandatory.
00:17:07.860 Should you not be setting an example for Canadians and nothing else to add?
00:17:11.780 As I said yesterday, I was wearing a mask while I was traveling.
00:17:14.400 So I don't have anything else to add to that story.
00:17:17.720 It's hard to believe that this is actually your question and your follow-up.
00:17:21.000 When we're dealing with a prime minister that is under an investigation for ethics violation
00:17:24.960 for the third time, we're dealing with $300 billion worth of deficit with no recovery
00:17:30.000 plan, with no budget this year.
00:17:31.980 And you want to know how long I had my mask off yesterday after making a phone call?
00:17:36.120 Come on, that's ridiculous.
00:17:37.060 I think the picture is pretty self-explanatory.
00:17:45.240 I think my answer yesterday was pretty self-explanatory as well.
00:17:49.260 And if you want to go analyze social media pictures, if you're looking for some kind of
00:17:55.520 Zapruder film to break down frame by frame, I think that's pretty ridiculous and kind of
00:17:59.800 a wasted opportunity today when we're talking about an economic snapshot today that's going
00:18:04.220 to tell Canadians how the next few months and years are going to roll out when we have the
00:18:10.140 highest unemployment rate in the G7.
00:18:12.060 We're the only G7 country to have experienced a credit downgrade.
00:18:15.420 And I remember saying, where on earth was that Andrew Scheer during the election?
00:18:20.420 Where on earth was that Andrew Scheer when we were trying to get, you know, Justin Trudeau
00:18:25.620 out of office?
00:18:26.660 I don't mean we as, you know, me at Trunor.
00:18:28.660 I mean, we as, you know, most taxpaying Canadians.
00:18:31.200 And that was that.
00:18:32.440 And I was so like, it kind of proved the point, which is that, yes, he has it in him.
00:18:38.080 So I asked him about that aspect of his personality and whether he felt that he was able to truly
00:18:44.380 be himself on the campaign trail.
00:18:47.060 And I thought he actually had a really good answer about it.
00:18:49.380 Here's that clip.
00:18:50.620 Did you feel like you were able to be the Andrew Scheer you wanted to be during the election?
00:18:56.180 Because it seems to me and to a lot of people that I've heard from that there was a marked 0.98
00:19:00.180 shift in pre-election Andrew Scheer to election Scheer and then also post-election Scheer.
00:19:06.460 And it seems like you were a lot more restrained.
00:19:08.880 And I don't mean that in a way that you're bombastic or radical or anything outside of
00:19:13.420 the election.
00:19:13.740 But you were a lot more restrained.
00:19:15.240 And a lot of people didn't feel like your personality, Sean.
00:19:17.940 Is that something that you would view as a fair assessment?
00:19:20.000 I think there's definitely something to that.
00:19:23.100 It's a normal human beings don't communicate the way politicians do.
00:19:28.180 Like, you know, normally you want to say something, pick up the phone, you help on your friend.
00:19:31.740 We have to communicate through different filters.
00:19:33.900 You know, we have to speak to journalists.
00:19:35.940 We have to do interviews.
00:19:37.080 We have to put content on social media.
00:19:38.860 And so I think over time, you know, you are trying to refine a message.
00:19:45.920 You are trying to simplify a message, stay focused on a message.
00:19:49.600 And sometimes over time, it suddenly becomes, well, this isn't really how you would put it
00:19:54.120 or this isn't what your actual take on something is.
00:19:57.760 And I do think, you know, in retrospect, if I look back, I think of some of the things
00:20:03.760 that I've said or done after I announced I was stepping down when the pressure's off a
00:20:08.120 little bit, you know, let Andrew be Andrew, you know, and sometimes I kind of feel,
00:20:13.440 yeah, geez, I wonder if we could have done more of that.
00:20:16.140 You know, you do want to, you know, polish a message and make sure that there's a
00:20:22.440 clear contrast between your party and the other guys.
00:20:25.060 So there's a need for that.
00:20:26.420 But sometimes I did think that, looking back, that maybe I wasn't always able to
00:20:31.200 connect in an authentic way and let my own personality come through.
00:20:36.040 Because I think that's what Canadians, I think all voters are looking for that.
00:20:39.480 And that's one of the things, you know, I've challenged myself and did I always, was I
00:20:43.180 always able to do that?
00:20:44.260 And, you know, I think there's something to be said for sometimes just throwing away
00:20:48.540 the notes and, and, and just, you know, saying, saying what comes to your head.
00:20:53.360 Yeah.
00:20:53.740 I appreciated his candor on that because I was worried that it would just be sort of this
00:20:58.700 general reflection retrospective of, you know, not really saying or committing to anything,
00:21:03.620 but, but he was very frank in that and I was very grateful for it.
00:21:07.280 And there was another point in the interview as well.
00:21:09.600 I would encourage you to go back and watch the whole thing.
00:21:11.720 It's about 30 minutes long.
00:21:13.100 And there was another point that I really appreciated where he was talking about what I mentioned
00:21:17.800 earlier on in the show, the importance of really moving conservatism and advancing conservatism.
00:21:23.460 And that's a huge, huge issue of concern.
00:21:26.420 And I hope that he's not done with that now that he is going to continue in public service,
00:21:31.260 albeit not as conservative leaders.
00:21:33.220 So we didn't, because we were doing the interview, we didn't get a chance to break it down or
00:21:36.920 analyze it in the post interview show.
00:21:40.100 So that's what we're doing now.
00:21:41.600 And I just want to say thank you to all of you who wrote out and had some really kind
00:21:45.220 things to say about that interview.
00:21:46.440 I like doing it and I got to do it in the fireside chat a couple of weeks ago with Derek
00:21:51.040 Sloan and Aaron O'Toole.
00:21:52.220 And I, someone else had said, you should do more interviews.
00:21:54.880 And I said, yeah, I'll do them.
00:21:55.980 I just want to make sure that there are people worth talking to.
00:21:58.060 So if you have ideas of people I should sit down with, let me know.
00:22:01.500 And we'll, as we plan the show in the weeks and months ahead, we'll try to incorporate
00:22:05.620 some of those.
00:22:06.580 Now that like we're allowed to sit in the same rooms as people, because I don't like Skype
00:22:10.320 interviews as much.
00:22:11.500 They have a role, but I digress.
00:22:14.140 So all of this, I think sets the stage for where we are right now in the conservative leadership
00:22:20.060 race.
00:22:20.580 As I mentioned, August 23rd, so less than a week until the ballots are counted and the winner
00:22:27.020 is announced.
00:22:28.300 And then from there, the next leader has to hit the ground running, potentially heading
00:22:32.440 in to an election.
00:22:33.900 If Yves-Francois Blanchet and the bloc continue to put the pressure on the government and say
00:22:39.940 they want to defeat the government.
00:22:41.860 And, you know, if the NDP finally wake up from their slumber and decide they want to
00:22:46.980 as well.
00:22:47.720 So I find it interesting though, in the homestretch, you have leadership candidates going all over
00:22:52.460 the country doing these ballot drop-off sites where they'll go to a house in a community
00:22:57.500 and they'll just tell people, listen, for an hour, come and drop your ballots off.
00:23:01.580 And if you see on Twitter, the campaigns all have like pictures of like boxes and boxes
00:23:06.660 and boxes of envelopes, which normally would look a bit sketchy, but in a leadership race
00:23:10.820 is par for the course.
00:23:12.240 And what they're doing is trying to get every last member vote in before the deadline for
00:23:20.480 ballots to be received, which is on Friday, the 21st.
00:23:23.540 So when you're going after Conservative members, Conservative Party of Canada members, those are
00:23:30.540 the only people that can vote in the race.
00:23:32.240 There are certain places that I don't think you're likely to find them.
00:23:35.520 Like, for example, the Toronto Star.
00:23:37.980 Remember how last week I was talking about Peter McKay seeming to fear or just simply
00:23:44.200 dislike independent media?
00:23:46.220 Well, after months of McKay turning down requests for independent media and many other interview
00:23:52.020 requests, by the way, from what I've heard, he does a full interview with the Toronto Star
00:23:56.620 in which he not only...
00:24:00.500 This is great.
00:24:02.260 He basically threatens to fire a lot of the people on his team in this interview.
00:24:08.560 Let me read the exact quote on this because it's just too great.
00:24:12.980 The article says,
00:24:14.340 McKay is still widely seen as the frontrunner, but he recognizes that he needs to change and
00:24:19.260 the people around him need to change should he assume the party leadership.
00:24:23.620 Quote,
00:24:23.900 Now, what he's saying, by the way, is not necessarily untrue.
00:24:41.480 Yes, your team is going to change.
00:24:43.160 You're going to expand it, potentially bring people in from other teams.
00:24:46.420 But when you want people to drive hard in the final few days, basically saying, oh, yeah,
00:24:51.980 some of them aren't going to make the cut and some of our team's got to change, probably
00:24:55.880 not the best way to motivate the people on your team to, you know, give it everything
00:25:00.880 they've got in the home stretch if they think that there's not going to be a job on the other
00:25:05.300 end of it for them or something like that.
00:25:07.740 And the reason this is so important is because Peter McKay has always been throughout this race,
00:25:13.080 it seems, in conflict with his team where he'll say something, then they'll say something else
00:25:19.180 or they'll send out a tweet and then he'll apologize for it or he'll sit down for an interview
00:25:23.820 and then they'll end it and then he'll apologize for ending it.
00:25:26.840 And I mean, there's been this conflict there.
00:25:28.980 And one of the big problems from everything I've heard is that there are way too many cooks in that
00:25:34.200 kitchen where just so many people, it becomes impossible to have a clear, concise message
00:25:39.760 when you've got so many different voices and advisors and people.
00:25:43.400 So it ends up being where you have what is a pretty disproportionately large team of paid staff
00:25:50.060 for a leadership race.
00:25:51.860 And at the end of it, you just have like too many people that are contributing
00:25:55.680 to what's supposed to be a unified and singular message strategy and approach.
00:26:00.940 But when McKay is basically saying, oh yeah, some of my team's got to go,
00:26:05.140 it would make anyone on that team, I think, a little bit wary of whether they have a future.
00:26:12.020 And if the question was, hey, are you happy with the team you have now or something like that?
00:26:17.240 And by the way, I don't know what the question was.
00:26:19.360 But if that was what the reporter asked, it's kind of a trap because you don't want to say yes
00:26:24.280 because then that says you think your campaign's been perfect when it clearly hasn't.
00:26:28.220 You don't want to say no, which McKay did, because then you're throwing your team under the bus,
00:26:31.960 which is not what leadership is about at all.
00:26:34.640 What you say is, listen, that's a discussion for after the leadership.
00:26:38.560 What we're focused on right now is getting to that home stretch.
00:26:41.800 We've got a great team of people that are working around the clock, yada, yada, yada.
00:26:45.700 That's the answer.
00:26:47.040 And the fact that I'm not one of these official, you know, high paid conservative consultant types,
00:26:51.460 and I know the right answer to that question,
00:26:53.720 is I think indicative of why this has been such a rocky, rocky campaign.
00:26:59.000 And so needlessly so.
00:27:00.460 So all of the McKay defenders on Twitter were saying, you know, they're defending this,
00:27:07.340 saying one of them pointed out, oh, that's not what he said at all when I shared the quote,
00:27:11.560 and that was exactly what he said.
00:27:13.360 Someone else was saying that, no, no, no, what he's doing is he's trying to motivate them to work harder
00:27:18.260 so that they, so he's basically like using the carrot and a stick is what one of the defenses was,
00:27:23.320 which again, I would argue is not at all leadership.
00:27:26.260 And, you know, this is kind of an inside fight, I realize,
00:27:31.280 but the bigger issue is that a conservative doing an interview with the Toronto Star
00:27:36.580 after shirking independent media requests and most conservative-friendly outlets
00:27:43.160 for the better part of the campaign,
00:27:45.720 then throwing their team under the bus to the Toronto Star
00:27:48.960 is not moving small-c conservatism and advancing it.
00:27:54.340 It's not that at all.
00:27:55.180 It's doing the opposite.
00:27:56.700 And Aaron O'Toole also did the Toronto Star interview.
00:27:59.500 Leslyn Lewis did as well.
00:28:00.780 I don't think Derek Sloan did.
00:28:02.380 I have less of an issue with that
00:28:04.340 because they have made themselves available to True North,
00:28:07.700 to other conservative-leaning media outlets.
00:28:10.240 So it's not like they're doing one or the other like McKay did,
00:28:14.140 who's saying, you know, no to Post-Millennial,
00:28:16.520 no to True North, no to Rabble,
00:28:18.140 no to, I think, the Toronto Sun even, if memory serves,
00:28:20.940 and saying yes, yes to the Toronto Star.
00:28:23.500 And, you know, I'll give you a little bit of a goodie.
00:28:24.800 I'm going to throw my team under the bus in this interview.
00:28:28.100 And I made a swipe at this on Twitter the other day,
00:28:31.540 and I pointed out this fact.
00:28:33.520 And what was interesting is the author of the article,
00:28:37.120 the author of the series, Alex Boutillier from the Toronto Star,
00:28:40.600 had kind of responded and said he agreed with me
00:28:44.160 that this series was not going to move leadership votes.
00:28:47.900 It's not going to get anyone any votes in the leadership race.
00:28:50.720 So even the author of the series is admitting
00:28:53.140 that this isn't going to get anyone any votes,
00:28:54.980 to which I say, okay, why are you doing it
00:28:57.120 when the ballots are not even counted yet?
00:28:59.760 And there are still conservative members out there
00:29:02.800 who you should be reaching
00:29:04.220 if you're serious about actually getting conservative support.
00:29:08.280 And this is a dynamic in the leadership race
00:29:10.600 that is very important.
00:29:12.160 If they're not prepared to give anything to the base
00:29:15.900 in a leadership race,
00:29:17.140 when the base is the only group that matters,
00:29:19.960 they're certainly not going to give you anything
00:29:22.420 in a general election.
00:29:25.120 And if you take nothing else from this episode,
00:29:28.320 make it that,
00:29:29.740 that typically the song and dance
00:29:31.560 is that in a leadership race,
00:29:33.540 leadership candidates will be
00:29:34.820 the most conservative versions of themselves.
00:29:38.580 You're never going to get more conservative
00:29:40.480 than how you are in a leadership race.
00:29:42.240 If you're really lucky,
00:29:43.260 someone might be as conservative in a general
00:29:45.620 as they are in a leadership.
00:29:46.920 But for the most part,
00:29:47.940 they all become more moderate in the general.
00:29:50.800 It happened with Andrew Scheer.
00:29:52.260 It happened with Stephen Harper.
00:29:53.980 It's happened with leadership races
00:29:56.160 across the country in provinces like Ontario.
00:29:58.720 It happened with Doug Ford.
00:29:59.740 This is what you do
00:30:00.980 because you need to get your base on board,
00:30:03.520 your members on board,
00:30:04.620 and then you have to pivot
00:30:06.020 to a more palatable vision for the electorate.
00:30:09.740 And I can say that I'm frustrated with this.
00:30:12.080 And I can say that I don't think
00:30:13.180 the moderation is necessary in all of that.
00:30:15.700 But the fact remains
00:30:16.800 that you're never going to find more conservatism
00:30:20.640 than you will in someone's leadership platform from them.
00:30:24.620 So if McKay is uninterested in talking right now
00:30:28.720 to conservatives
00:30:30.280 and uninterested in actually putting forward
00:30:32.660 a red meat conservative platform,
00:30:35.080 then he sure as heck isn't going to do anything
00:30:38.120 for conservatives
00:30:39.240 when he's going after the votes of all Canadians.
00:30:44.400 Now, you may look at this and say
00:30:46.120 that he's a what-you-see-is-what-you-get kind of candidate,
00:30:48.840 which is fine.
00:30:49.620 If that's what you want,
00:30:50.700 that is absolutely fine.
00:30:52.180 But the problem with that
00:30:54.640 is that if you want someone to put forward
00:30:57.320 a solid, cohesive, and coherent conservative vision,
00:31:01.180 if you're not getting that in a leadership,
00:31:03.620 you never will.
00:31:05.280 You absolutely never will.
00:31:07.460 And this is where the idea of defeating Trudeau
00:31:10.480 as the goal
00:31:11.480 negates that the whole point of defeating Trudeau,
00:31:15.780 the whole reason why people want Trudeau gone,
00:31:18.060 is because they don't like what he's doing.
00:31:20.860 They don't like the liberal, big government,
00:31:22.980 capital P, progressive vision
00:31:24.480 that he's putting forward.
00:31:25.720 Someone has to be prepared
00:31:27.360 to replace that with something.
00:31:29.800 Otherwise, it doesn't matter.
00:31:32.100 And I'm not getting into this whole Trudeau-lite,
00:31:34.240 liberal-lite sort of thing.
00:31:35.520 It's not about name-calling.
00:31:37.240 It's just about how politics works.
00:31:40.020 If you are trying to get rid of someone,
00:31:42.440 you have to be able to put something forward
00:31:44.200 that is better than what they were doing.
00:31:46.620 And if you're not prepared to do that,
00:31:49.480 you're not offering any contrast
00:31:51.340 or any difference at all.
00:31:53.020 So my caution to conservatives,
00:31:55.580 I'm not going to tell you how to vote.
00:31:57.400 I trust people to be able to do that themselves.
00:31:59.620 It is not my place as a broadcaster.
00:32:01.620 It's certainly not True North's place
00:32:02.980 to tell you how to vote.
00:32:04.520 My advice is this.
00:32:06.860 Look at what someone is offering.
00:32:09.100 Look beyond the name.
00:32:10.180 Look beyond the logo.
00:32:11.180 Look beyond all of that.
00:32:12.460 Look at what someone is offering
00:32:13.860 and understand that you're never going to get
00:32:16.000 100% of what they're offering now.
00:32:18.320 So think of if someone is offering you
00:32:20.260 X, Y, and Z now,
00:32:21.940 can you live with just X and Y?
00:32:24.500 Can you live with just X?
00:32:25.640 Because that might be all you get.
00:32:28.040 And if they're offering you X, Y, Z,
00:32:30.420 and even that isn't enough for you,
00:32:32.600 vote for someone else. 0.93
00:32:34.300 We've got to take a break.
00:32:35.480 When we come back,
00:32:36.360 more of The Andrew Lawton Show
00:32:37.680 here on True North.
00:32:39.780 You're tuned in to The Andrew Lawton Show.
00:32:43.860 One of the things I hope you know about me by now
00:32:51.600 is that I really value and cherish consistency.
00:32:55.400 And this is something that's very difficult to find
00:32:57.580 from a lot of politicians
00:32:59.060 and certainly a lot of commentators.
00:33:01.360 So I have to point out the absurdity of right now,
00:33:04.900 everyone going after Donald Trump
00:33:06.720 for musing about whether the election
00:33:09.440 needs to be postponed
00:33:10.420 and, you know, all of the politicking
00:33:12.660 about mail-in ballots and stuff like that.
00:33:14.880 And I'm not going to get into that in full this show
00:33:17.220 because I think I'm going to look at that
00:33:18.400 in a bit more depth later on.
00:33:21.080 But then you have right now
00:33:23.060 Jacinda Ardern from New Zealand
00:33:26.920 who's being heralded as like this great brave woman
00:33:30.220 for delaying the New Zealand election by four weeks.
00:33:34.100 So Prime Minister Ardern has pushed the election back
00:33:37.880 to October 17th for now.
00:33:40.340 Now, obviously, as a Commonwealth country,
00:33:43.000 as a Westminster parliamentary system,
00:33:45.240 there's a bit more flexibility than there is
00:33:47.760 in the rigid American electoral system.
00:33:50.160 But New Zealand, which for the most part
00:33:52.400 has a minimal, minimal caseload right now
00:33:55.740 and had actually eradicated the virus
00:33:57.580 and is only now just looking at tiny, tiny numbers,
00:34:01.280 is saying, you know what, we had a cluster,
00:34:03.980 so we're going to, just to be safe,
00:34:05.460 postpone the election.
00:34:06.940 Whereas, and I don't think that
00:34:08.680 this is necessarily the wrong call
00:34:10.800 and it doesn't sound like
00:34:11.620 there's a huge amount of pushback.
00:34:14.280 But when Prime Minister Ardern does this
00:34:16.860 and it's heralded as being, you know,
00:34:19.240 putting your people first, 0.96
00:34:20.980 would be dictatorial in the United States.
00:34:24.180 It shows that there is perhaps
00:34:25.460 a bit of inconsistency
00:34:26.940 among most political onlookers,
00:34:29.340 which is always important to expose.
00:34:31.280 In stories that I never would have predicted
00:34:34.340 for 2020, if you had asked me in,
00:34:36.840 you know, the year 2000,
00:34:38.700 Ed the Sock, which, as the name suggests,
00:34:42.280 is a sock, a crusty,
00:34:45.060 in a most literal and figurative sense
00:34:46.960 as possible, commentator,
00:34:49.100 has become, you know, at one point,
00:34:51.260 a much music personality, beloved in Canada,
00:34:53.840 and now this pathetic, groveling, liberal shill.
00:34:58.620 But now Ed the Sock,
00:34:59.820 who has been pretty much a jerk 0.55
00:35:01.700 to anyone and everyone
00:35:02.880 who dares criticize the dear leader,
00:35:04.580 Justin Trudeau,
00:35:05.540 is now facing his own cancellation
00:35:07.620 as liberals are denouncing Ed the Sock
00:35:09.740 for calling Jagmeet Singh Jughead.
00:35:13.620 Now, this is probably not meant to be racist.
00:35:17.500 I think it was meant to make fun of his name,
00:35:19.520 which, at the very least,
00:35:21.000 is immature and bad comedy,
00:35:22.580 and, at the very worst,
00:35:24.160 is tone-deaf and insensitive. 0.52
00:35:26.700 But now Press Progress,
00:35:28.200 the full-on NDP front organization,
00:35:31.640 has done the denunciation of Ed the Sock,
00:35:34.800 talking about how several liberal MPs,
00:35:36.760 which are supposed to be
00:35:37.640 Ed the Sock's bread and butter,
00:35:38.820 given that I don't think the Sock
00:35:40.780 is actually working beyond being
00:35:43.040 just an armchair liberal strategist,
00:35:45.660 are distancing themselves from him,
00:35:48.460 if you look on Twitter.
00:35:50.040 So this is what's happening right now.
00:35:51.780 So, and again,
00:35:53.120 I don't like anyone going through
00:35:55.000 the cancel mill.
00:35:56.420 I don't know if Socks can be canceled
00:35:59.560 or if they just get, like, you know,
00:36:00.840 thrown in the wash
00:36:01.520 and he can go through the Sock vortex.
00:36:03.160 But most people's Socks go through
00:36:05.120 when they get washed.
00:36:06.540 My whole thing is that I didn't know
00:36:08.860 Ed the Sock was still around
00:36:10.560 until he just started, like,
00:36:11.940 tweeting nasty things on Twitter.
00:36:13.580 Sometimes to me,
00:36:14.800 especially during the election,
00:36:16.060 he wasn't a fan of us trying to
00:36:18.340 get allowed to cover
00:36:20.200 liberal campaign events.
00:36:21.780 because I guess he thought
00:36:22.720 we were taking up a spot on the bus
00:36:24.200 that his royal Sockness 0.70
00:36:26.460 could be taking up.
00:36:28.240 And in any case,
00:36:29.160 this one I'm going to end on here
00:36:30.860 because I find this to be
00:36:32.000 just completely devastating.
00:36:33.960 A study called
00:36:34.980 Human Trafficking Public Awareness Research
00:36:37.220 that was done by
00:36:39.320 Environic's research group
00:36:40.740 for the government
00:36:41.560 has pulled a number of youth
00:36:43.700 across the country
00:36:45.100 on what they fear.
00:36:47.300 And what they found in this study
00:36:49.800 was that climate change
00:36:51.120 is feared by youth
00:36:52.840 more than drugs, guns, gangs,
00:36:55.140 or traffic accidents.
00:36:56.420 This is, again,
00:36:57.680 the Department of Public Safety's findings.
00:36:59.980 And they asked people
00:37:01.300 how they thought these issues,
00:37:03.560 and they listed them,
00:37:04.940 fared in terms of seriousness.
00:37:06.980 57% said climate change
00:37:09.240 is an extremely serious threat,
00:37:11.420 ranking greenhouse gas emissions
00:37:13.100 at a higher level of peril
00:37:16.300 than guns, gangs, hate crimes,
00:37:18.140 cyberbullying, and illegal drugs.
00:37:20.800 A quarter of them said
00:37:21.960 it's the most serious issue
00:37:23.440 facing children,
00:37:24.660 and only 13% said so
00:37:26.680 about other issues.
00:37:27.920 And this is a story
00:37:29.000 that comes courtesy
00:37:29.720 of Blacklock's reporter,
00:37:31.860 which does some tremendously
00:37:33.000 great work on
00:37:33.980 finding all of these
00:37:35.180 different reports and studies.
00:37:37.020 This is the product
00:37:38.280 of when you completely
00:37:39.720 and abjectly fear-monger
00:37:41.800 to kids about global warming
00:37:44.500 when something that poses
00:37:46.240 no existential threat to them,
00:37:47.820 that poses no threat
00:37:48.720 to them at all,
00:37:49.620 is feared more than issues
00:37:51.740 that we know are actually
00:37:53.500 causing lives to be lost.
00:37:55.740 The opioid crisis
00:37:56.920 is one of the greatest
00:37:58.080 public health crises
00:37:59.160 the country has ever faced,
00:38:00.880 killing people at a rate
00:38:02.240 that is completely preventable
00:38:04.520 and avoidable,
00:38:06.060 and all of a sudden
00:38:07.240 kids are more concerned
00:38:08.740 because, you know,
00:38:09.760 AOC is warning about cow farts,
00:38:11.800 than they are about something
00:38:13.140 that exists in their schools.
00:38:14.800 You look at human trafficking,
00:38:16.180 a growing issue,
00:38:17.100 something we absolutely
00:38:18.080 need to deal with,
00:38:19.200 and they're more concerned
00:38:20.220 about what David Suzuki
00:38:21.420 is saying than what
00:38:22.660 the traffickers in the next
00:38:23.800 classroom over are
00:38:24.940 talking about and doing.
00:38:26.780 So, this is not to say
00:38:28.300 that it's a zero-sum game.
00:38:29.580 Yes, if multiple things
00:38:30.640 are causing a risk,
00:38:31.800 it's great to be aware of them.
00:38:33.400 I don't like the idea
00:38:34.340 of kids living in fear anyway,
00:38:36.340 when by and large,
00:38:37.320 it's safer to be a kid
00:38:38.420 in 2020
00:38:39.140 than it was in 1960,
00:38:40.920 1970, 1980.
00:38:42.580 It's safer now,
00:38:43.880 and we should be happy
00:38:44.800 about that.
00:38:45.660 But my goodness,
00:38:46.560 the fact that we have people
00:38:48.020 fear-mongering to children,
00:38:50.260 telling them that
00:38:50.920 they're going to die,
00:38:51.620 that the world is going to end.
00:38:53.060 When I was at,
00:38:54.040 in the election campaign,
00:38:55.380 the climate march
00:38:56.200 in Montreal,
00:38:57.420 not marching in it,
00:38:58.660 I was covering Justin Trudeau,
00:39:00.040 who was there.
00:39:00.720 This is when Greta Thunberg
00:39:01.900 was there.
00:39:02.900 And I was actually astonished
00:39:04.980 at how many kids
00:39:06.380 were brought out there
00:39:07.460 whose only frame of reference
00:39:09.640 for these issues
00:39:10.480 is what their parents tell them.
00:39:13.320 And kids,
00:39:14.100 some of them,
00:39:14.740 didn't want to be there.
00:39:15.780 There was one in particular,
00:39:16.760 I remember,
00:39:17.080 that was crying,
00:39:17.700 saying,
00:39:17.920 I want to leave,
00:39:18.340 and the parents were saying,
00:39:19.060 no, we have to stay.
00:39:20.700 And kids that,
00:39:21.780 again,
00:39:22.180 were carrying around signs
00:39:23.680 about how their world is dying,
00:39:25.400 their world is ending,
00:39:26.180 and they're going to die. 0.76
00:39:27.240 And I'm seeing this,
00:39:28.420 thinking,
00:39:28.880 this is absolutely child abuse
00:39:31.260 for parents to be imposing
00:39:33.080 this much made-up fear
00:39:35.220 on their children.
00:39:36.960 And now the government's own study
00:39:38.580 is proving that this fear-mongering
00:39:40.120 is working.
00:39:41.800 We've got to wrap things up.
00:39:43.160 My thanks to all of you
00:39:44.160 for tuning into the show today.
00:39:45.620 We'll be back in a couple of days
00:39:46.920 with more of Canada's
00:39:48.420 most irreverent talk show.
00:39:50.140 Thank you.
00:39:50.640 God bless.
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00:40:01.260 The Andrew Lawton Show.
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