Juno News - November 06, 2025
Carney’s First Budget: Record Debt, Rising Costs
Episode Stats
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176.07593
Summary
Chris Simons explains why the Liberals have introduced the most costly and largest budget deficit in Canadian history, and why he thinks you should have recall legislation at the federal level. He also explains why you should be worried about the Liberal budget.
Transcript
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welcome to the fighter with chris sims i am chris sims i'm the alberta director for the canadian
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taxpayers federation at the taxpayers federation we are always fighting for lower taxes less waste
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and more accountable government and so yeah yesterday's budget those are big days for us
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and we have got a special show for you today it's extra long and it's happening on an extra day
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because this thing's costing you a lot extra and i'm really sorry what you're about to watch
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is going to be a little painful first i did have some housekeeping to go through here really quick
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as of the recording of this show there has been one member of parliament who has crossed the floor
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from the official opposition the conservatives over to the government officially so now this
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member of parliament who recently ran as a conservative in nova scotia is now joining
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the liberal government of mark carney just a few months after the election we have some brand new
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tape here of prime minister mark carney talking about this floor crossing let's listen i'd like to thank
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chris d'antremont uh the member for parliament for akadze annapolis i'm honored uh to welcome him
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as the newest member of our government caucus chris's decision to join the government caucus
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at this crucial moment for our country is exceptionally valuable and important
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so for folks who don't know where that region of nova scotia is that is over on what is the west
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side of nova scotia it's up and over in the annapolis valley that is where a major university is located
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in wolfville so there you have it now i gotta say i love alberta i love a million things about living in
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the province of alberta one of the best things about living in the province of alberta is its sense
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of direct democracy like every time you go out on a thursday night around here you're gonna trip over
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some activist group somebody who's involved okay in their local politics in provincial politics and
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one of the mechanisms we have here in alberta is for direct democracy and it is called recall
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legislation what is recall legislation you may ask well in the province of british columbia they have
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it at the provincial level in the province of alberta we have it at the provincial municipal
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and school board level meaning if any politician starts screwing up so badly that enough of his or her
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constituents the folks who voted for them in their riding or their ward sign a petition they will then
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trigger a by-election and then that mla or that city councilor that mayor or that school board trustee
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has a choice he or she can either rerun to keep their job or they can bow out of that by-election
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it can go both ways but it is a darn good mechanism it is a very good tool to have in that democracy
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toolbox and it's one of the reasons why the taxpayers federation we think you should have recall legislation
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at the federal level so stay tuned to juno news throughout the day we will have updates on what
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is happening with the soap opera that is up on parliament hill where politicians get together with
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bureaucrats and decide on how to best waste your money speaking of which the federal budget came down
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yesterday and i'm just gonna level with you uh it kind of took me off guard i knew it was going to be
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bad i knew it was going to be bad but when i was initially looking at the top line numbers
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i thought that it was about 10 billion dollars less bad than what the parliamentary budget officer was
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warning about but i was wrong it's 10 billion dollars worse than what the pbo was warning about
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remember when he was saying the government watchdog on the budget was saying that this is unsustainable
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and stupefying it's 10 billion dollars worse than that and i'm sorry to be the deliverer of this news
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i almost cried when i saw that number um conservative leader opposition leader pierre poliev did a great
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job holding the government to account and sticking to the numbers on this budget let's listen to the
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damage the liberals have introduced the most costly and largest budget deficit in history outside of
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covid the cost of this liberal budget will drive up the cost of food housing and everything else that
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canadians buy and the prime minister has broken every single promise he made just seven short months
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ago he promised a 62 billion dollar deficit he delivered nearly an 80 billion dollar deficit 16 billion
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bigger than he promised and twice the size that his predecessor left behind he promised to spend
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less he's spending 90 billion dollars more costing 5 400 dollars per family in canada and that 90
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billion dollars to the prime minister's heckles is above and beyond the promised 16 billion dollars
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that he says he will one day find and if he doesn't find them it will be over a hundred billion
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in brand new spending this costly budget forces canadians to spend more on debt interest than
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on health care transfers more than the government collects in gst that means every dollar the canadians
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pay in gst will go to bankers and bondholders instead of to doctors and nurses
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so those numbers that he was talking about there those are just those are in the budget that's the
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map okay uh sean if you want to pull up that board i think it's really important for us to look at the
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actual grim numbers here and i know this is not fun guys but we need to be the adults in the room here
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because the government isn't going to be so we need to go through this okay it's like an autopsy okay
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so the deficit this year meaning how much more they're spending than they are taking in
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more than 78 billion dollars the debt by the end of this fiscal year is going to be 1.3 trillion
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dollars a trillion folks is a one with 12 zeros after it one trillion is such a big number if you
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started counting right now it would take you 30 000 years to count to one trillion
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the debt interest this year like this year alone the same way that you would add up the interest
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you're paying on say your line of credit or a credit card the debt interest this year is costing
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canadian taxpayers more than 55 billion dollars i'll put it this way if you take a look at debt
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interest okay this is not just some weird term that's like buried somehow in the budget and you don't
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really pay it and it's fungible marginal blah blah blah blah okay no this is not some economics nerd trick
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okay the debt interest is actually paid every year by you by me by all of us taxpayers and what we are
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spending on debt interest is more than a billion dollars a week a week i'll put it this way another
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way it costs about a billion dollars to build a brand new hospital okay all the paint and
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the lights and the chrome and the fancy doors okay about a billion bucks what we are spending on debt
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interest is like burning down a new hospital every week so unfortunately remember how earlier we were
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wondering which will be the real mark carney will he please stand up right well i really wish that this
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budget were more slim than it is shady but it's super shady and the real mark carney is unfortunately
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this guy who wrote this book values while he was a un special envoy to blah blah blah it's not the guy
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who ran in an election on being the smart guy with money on being fiscally responsible this government is
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blowing the budget it's spending money worse than trudeau i can't believe i'm saying this out loud okay
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so it's up to all of us to now hold our members of parliament to account now at the taxpayers
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federation we don't just cover budgets okay we don't just calculate how much the debt interest is
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going to cost you per week all that stuff that's all really important we're going to get to that in
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a second but remember one of our big fights was the carbon tax and it's because of tax fighters like
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you that we're not paying the consumer carbon tax anymore thank goodness so that's gone but
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this is the big one carney is still pushing through his big hidden industrial carbon tax
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i combed through that budget as fast as i could it could still be in there
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the number for the industrial carbon tax and how much it's going to cost you
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i can't find it but it's in there he mentions it repeatedly that this is going to be a structural
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element of our economy going forward for decades and decades yay it's all through this book where
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he talks about his love for carbon taxes carney goes on and on about it interesting peer polyev he
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also noticed that this budget rattles on and on about how awesome an industrial carbon tax is listen to
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this he raises the industrial carbon tax on farm equipment and fertilizer and therefore food on steel
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concrete and other industrial projects needing needed to build homes a big tax increases on homes
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and food so polyev's right there we just don't know how much it's going to cost okay so it's mentioned
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there all through there that they've got you know benchmarks and backstops and all that stuff remember
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all that talk during the regular carbon tax it's back and it's in hidden industrial carbon tax form
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so this is going to cost you big time we're still trying to calculate how much i also wanted to do
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a quick flag here for the alberta government to watch out for because in this budget for some reason
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they're rattling on about their so-called emissions cap okay what it actually is is an oil and gas
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production cap okay it is the boot on the throat okay of alberta's oil and gas sector okay along with bill
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c69 the no more pipelines act along with the west coast tanker ban okay the production cap on alberta's
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oil and gas is a huge strangulation of the canadian economy and of alberta in particular it mentions
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it in the budget but doesn't say it's getting rid of it it's like oh because of technology in the
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future and maybe someday we'll hit our metrics and have a meeting and we won't need it anymore blah blah
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there's a reason why this budget isn't the five pages that we actually need and instead is 498
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pages long and it is brutally overspending your money how much are they spending what are they
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spending the money on and how on earth do we dig ourselves out of this ocean of red ink and debt
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let's find out joining me now is my good friend of this program franco terrazzano he is our federal
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director for the canadian taxpayers federation and franco was in the middle of what we call the budget
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lock-up yesterday looking at all of the gory details franco i gotta admit when you and i were
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talking about this yesterday um the actual deficit kind of took me off guard i thought it was a little
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bit less bad than what the pbo had said but it's worse how can it be worse well it's a debt disaster
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and debt is spiraling out of control because spending is spiraling out of control i mean look
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welcome to canada folks where every dollar you pay in federal sales tax is going to pay interest on the
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debt let that sink in the next time you're waiting in the checkout line hey folks or think about it this
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way the federal government is now wasting more money paying interest on the debt than what it
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sends to the provinces in health care transfers and like i just want to make a statement right now
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we need a sense of urgency okay the smoke is up okay we can't wait until the fire engulfs the whole
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kitchen we got to put the smoke out now so this is a call both to the liberal government prime minister
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mark carney but also the opposition parties look the conservatives have been pretty good calling for lower
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spending but it the urgency needs to be cranked up this is a serious problem it is um but i don't know
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if they're getting it man uh we just got a brand new clip from prime minister mark carney where he's
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talking about fiscal responsibility listen to this we've put forward uh to the house a plan that meets the
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moment uh that manages the federal finances in a prudent responsible pragmatic way gets spending down
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and creates this prospect of investment on a scale that we haven't seen for generations
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so franco i don't know what you're going on about man because he just said prudent responsible and that
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he has spending down what's going on yeah spending down what is going has he read the budget okay the
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government is going to spend 581 billion dollars this year 581 billion dollars this year that's a 38
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billion dollar spending increase in one year okay remember trudeau i know you don't want to think
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about him but we all know trudeau was spending wasting money like crazy reckless out of control spending
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the government under carney is spending 38 billion dollars more than what trudeau spent last year
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right carney was supposed to be the uh the economic guru right the man with the plan to clean up economics
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canada's economic mess i mean he's throwing fuel on the fire here yeah 38 billion dollars spending
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increase uh in one year and guess what folks mr carney in this budget plans to spend billions of dollars
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more every single year what blows my mind franco is that one of my radio hosts that i'm on with every
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week refers to the former prime minister now as katy perry's boyfriend um so carney the guy with the
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phd from oxford and economics is managing money worse than katy perry's boyfriend like are we in the
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twilight zone here like seriously you're in ottawa okay you walk around those streets you go to those
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coffee shops you kind of hear the buzz why are they not getting this like why is the math not
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mathing like what is it about this message that these liberals this current liberal government because
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this is not paul martin's liberal government by a long shot um what is with this current liberal
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government not getting budgeting yeah the party's supposed to be over but the party is raging on yeah
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right and like look like it's just absolutely pure spin i mean look like the government is trying to
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claim it's saving around 60 billion dollars well a couple things there number one when you're
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increasing spending billions of dollars every single year you're saving money wrong like that's
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not how saving money works when you're spending billions of dollars more every year but number two
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guess what if you go through the budget documents folks you'll notice one thing sticks out to you okay
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and that's this that all of the savings all happen in future years right when have we heard that
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before oh don't worry folks just a couple small deficits and we'll balance the budget in four years
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oh don't worry folks we'll find 15 billion dollars of savings in a few years yeah all of that happened
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under trudeau and it looks like carney is doing the exact same plan look here is the big problem
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okay the government always promises to go on a diet monday and then monday never comes there is no real
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savings in this budget just billions of dollars more spending more borrowing and carney is continuing
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trudeau's debt-fueled spending spree we've got some hard numbers here in black white and red and uh
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red is the suitable color here sean if you want to pull up that board please that you made for us
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and you can look here at what we're dealing with so we're dealing with a deficit of more than 78
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billion dollars for folks who are following along with home at home a billion is a thousand million
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a billion is a number with at least you know not with nine zeros after it or nine digits after it our
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debt so am i correct here at the end of this fiscal year our debt's gonna hit more than 1.3 trillion franco
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yeah that's correct that's correct yeah 100 and like the interest charges there are 56 billion
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that's this year uh by 2029 debt interest charges are going to blow a 76 billion hole in the budget
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this is bad okay like folks this is really bad and like look this is like the government has to
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be urgent about this okay i mean just ask the saskatchewan ndp what happens when debt interest
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charges balloon out of control remember back in the 90s you even had the ndp in saskatchewan that
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was forced to close down dozens of hospitals across that prairie province like the government
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has to be urgent and you know like things are too far gone now so we got to call it the government
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and i'm also going to shift gears and talk about the official opposition now please uh to the
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conservative party's credit yeah um they have started talking about lowering the deficit cutting some
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spending they've they've even said that we got to find uh big savings in the bureaucracy but we need all mps
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including opposition parties to be like no no no no the time for spending restraint is gone yeah we
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need big time spending cuts now look the carny government should have fired at least 40 000
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bureaucrats yesterday right this is at the point that we are now where the federal government over
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the last decade added a hundred thousand extra federal paper pushers we can't talk about attrition
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anymore we can't talk about just you know uh tinkering on the margins no we have to fire bureaucrats in
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ottawa can you make this real for taxpayers because i think sometimes when people hear okay 50 billion
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to plus 50 billion dollars a year in interest payments out the door i think sometimes that
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number is so big and the budget is like flipping 498 pages long it can get so dense that they're like
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oh okay maybe that's some sort of marginal thing or i don't know but this is taxpayers money being
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spent on interest payments right like this is money out of your wallet every year on interest correct
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debt interest charges are costing each canadian about 1300 bucks this year okay that's not that's
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not 1300 bucks this year taken from your your wallet to pay for services or to even pay down the debt no
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the government is taking 1300 bucks from you this year alone just to make interest payments on the debt
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folks it's more than a billion dollars a week okay and i want you to visualize this building a brand
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new hospital with all the paint and the chrome and the windows and stuff costs about a billion bucks
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so if we're blowing through a billion dollars a week on debt interest payments i want you to picture
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every saturday night we all gather around the television set and we burn down a new hospital
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every week that's what we're wasting just on debt interest that is why franco and i got our blood
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pressure up a little bit here because this is critical franco you did the math on this a while
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ago and it still blows my mind can you walk us through what if back in 2015 when the guy with the
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fancy socks who is fiscally illiterate and i don't even feel like picking on him anymore because carny's
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spending money worse than he was so amazing but back when he took over in 2015 when trudeau was prime
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minister starting then if we had simply kept pace with population growth for our bureaucracy if we
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had grown the bureaucracy at the same rate as population how much money would we be saving
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more than seven billion dollars a year like and and folks like think about that right like everyone
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knows that canada's population boomed yep the bureaucracy increased by like more than double
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like what is going on here folks and like yeah like sorry we're getting kind of upset but this is
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some real serious stuff like we are at the point like i said it's not just about restraint anymore
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no the time for the scalpel is over we need a chainsaw yeah right uh abolish the cbc sell the
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failing crown corporations like um canada pose via rail via rail hemorrhaging hundreds of millions of
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dollars every single year i'm talking about firing tens of thousands of bureaucrats that is what has
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to happen and not tomorrow not three days three years from now not four years from now asap like
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this has to happen now okay we need major major cuts uh look at all the money being spent uh through
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foreign aid right the last year i looked the federal government was spending about 11 billion dollars
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on foreign aid okay so that means that the federal government spent almost twice as much
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on foreign aid as what it spent through the entire department of veterans affairs i want to underline
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that because for those of us of a certain vintage when we hear foreign aid we might remember terrible
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images from the 80s of you know kids who are hungry and they need food etc etc no no no that is not what
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we're talking about under the auspices of foreign aid aren't we handing out a ridiculous amount of
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money for the stupidest things possible like is this where we're also handing out money for whatever
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that was like gender neutral rice in vietnam or something is that under the umbrella of foreign aid or is
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that under some other umbrella i mean who cares what umbrella is under i mean it's it's wasted money
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overseas right it's taking money from canadian taxpayers and wasting it overseas you mentioned that
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gender just rice whatever that i don't even know i think i'm not sure uh okay uh 8 800 bucks on a
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sex toy show in germany chris what's the name of that show can't remember okay uh 12 grand for seniors
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in other countries that talk about their sex lives in front of live audiences so the government is
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essentially outsourcing old people sex stories now welcome to canada's economy um or how about this one
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right where and this one hits close to home where you have um countless canadian canadians waiting in
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pain sometimes for years to get a hip replacement meanwhile the government is dishing seven million
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dollars uh to the philippines for like gender responsive universal health care over there
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like what are you kidding me i know like look look outside the street people are struggling i know and
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the government is absolutely broken speaking about the government being broke like in this budget
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right kari is borrowing about 80 billion dollars this year and yet he has 150 million bucks extra for
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cbc yeah your eurovision like isn't that like a will smith movie like what what is like no or not will
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smith i'm thinking about the catcher from the dodgers uh will farrell wasn't didn't he do like a
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eurovision bad movie like a couple years ago any who's i digress uh what about this a hundred million
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dollars for fifa yeah for a soccer tournament yeah so uh fifa is apparently about you know soccer
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and we're wasting money on that uh we are handing 150 million dollars more out to the cbc i will point
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out that was announced earlier this year that the state broadcaster is going to be getting 150 million
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bucks more when oh i don't know around the federal election weird how that happens eh like okay
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journalists should never be paid by the government i don't care if it's dawn cherry or rosemary barton
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okay journalists should never be paid by the government because we need a free press this is
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free from government and to that point on eurovision i couldn't believe what i was reading and this is i'm
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going to land on this point franco i was scrolling through that budget as fast and hard as i could because
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i was looking for some numbers attached to the industrial carbon tax it's listed in there i
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couldn't find any numbers yet but i'm gonna keep looking that stupid bloated budget is more than 400
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pages long and i'm just gonna say it pull up that board one more time sean please if you can okay this
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is what needs to be in a budget maybe a little bit more but not much more than that okay it does not
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have to be 400 pages long and the government has no business imagining their debut at eurovision which
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i think that's like star search in europe i got a pretty good grade in geography but you don't have
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to be a math whiz to know canada's not in europe like last i checked i think there's a big pond between
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us isn't there franco this gets to my point of how do we drill home this message of severity and
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seriousness to a government who clearly isn't taking their budget seriously if they're spitballing ideas
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about being a contestant in eurovision like how do we push them well look the parliamentary budget
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officer is the government's own independent and non-partisan budget watchdog right just by the
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numbers just shooting it straight well about a month ago the pbo released this report that
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projected the deficit this year to be about 68 billion right so about 10 billion dollars less than
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what the actual deficit is and then the pbo goes on committee and i thought that pbo did excellent
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excellent he did and uh he used words like stupefying shocking unsustainable something is going to break
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that was from the government's own independent budget watchdog that wasn't the canadian taxpayers
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federation act committee this was the parliamentary budget officer and his deficit projections were
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lower than the actual deficit and he's using words like unsustainable something is going to break
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so this is very bad this is very urgent and chris let me just go look for canadians out there
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listening or watching this show here's what you have to know this is important for you because you
00:27:07.480
got to cut through the spin because carny's talking about spending less he's not spending less
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he's spending 38 billion dollars more this year billions of dollars more years into the future
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we are not on a good fiscal track are you kidding me borrowing 80 billion dollars no plan to balance
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the budget ever borrowing tens of billions of dollars as long as the eye can see no like it's up to
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canadians up to you chris up to people who are watching or listening in the show to cut through the
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spin and demand not fiscal restraint not a scalpel to demand the chainsaw yeah yeah we need it um
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i gotta ask you because uh franco isn't just a great communicator he also has his degree in economics
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so i lean on him for some of these terms um does it matter legit does it matter if the government is
00:27:57.640
splitting between operating budget and capital budget this is all debt that has to pay back that
00:28:04.920
it has to be paid back okay none of this is okay so a couple things um none of this is happening in
00:28:09.720
a vacuum either folks right it's not like the government have been running balanced budgets for the
00:28:13.720
last 10 years no the government just doubled the debt okay in 10 years and now you're adding another
00:28:19.720
80 billion dollars to the debt in one year like are you kidding me interest charges more than what
00:28:25.560
the government is sending to health care like no at this point if carney has these new priorities
00:28:29.720
priorities then he has to cut massively elsewhere you can't just keep spending more money on
00:28:34.440
everything forever right um but the second thing chris this ties home okay look what carney is doing
00:28:43.480
is essentially the same as what trudeau did for the last 10 years right trudeau talked about investment
00:28:49.000
what were the tens of billions of dollars in corporate welfare to multinational corporations
00:28:52.760
to build battery factories right trudeau used the terms investment look we already tried this failed
00:28:59.640
experiment right the government already tried to borrow its way to prosperity and what happened the
00:29:06.120
experiment failed we got 40 year high inflation where canadians can't afford the necessities of life
00:29:11.880
we have a stagnating economy been there done that does it matter lastly if carney is calling this
00:29:21.800
investing or spending like when it comes to like the international smart people okay with their
00:29:27.240
calculators who are figuring stuff out like what they're going to have our credit rating at as a
00:29:32.920
country does it matter if carney is calling what he's doing investing or spending because you're helping
00:29:39.560
people cut through the spin here when they're sitting there listening to these people talk
00:29:43.160
okay especially on mainstream media will point out we can't let them skate so is there a difference
00:29:50.040
between investment and spending it's a better word that politicians like to use that's it like i don't
00:29:56.120
know what the bond fund managers are going to do or the sorry the credit rating agencies are going to
00:30:00.200
do i have no idea okay but i do know that this is massively worrying for three reasons chris let me just
00:30:05.560
say them real quick uh number one as interest charges spiral out of control the government's
00:30:11.720
taking more tax dollars from you for awful services because more and more of your money has to go to pay
00:30:17.640
the interest on the federal government's debt number two guess what business and investors look at these
00:30:23.000
massive deficits and what does that signal to them tax hikes in the future right that makes them less
00:30:29.080
likely to actually set up shop in canada create jobs and create investment for our canadian economy okay
00:30:35.080
that's number two number three massive deficits especially when they're financed by the money
00:30:41.000
printer like they were during the pandemic leads to massive inflation okay so the three scenarios that
00:30:47.320
can come out of this is worse services as more money goes to pay interest on the debt okay a worse
00:30:54.680
economic opportunity as more businesses uh decide not to shut up set up shop here in canada because
00:31:00.520
there's going to be future tax hikes down the road and number three higher inflation a worse economy
00:31:07.160
higher inflation worse federal government services if that's even possible okay it's a five alarm fire
00:31:13.320
folks uh i wish we had better news for you but uh if i'm going to get bad news i want franco to
00:31:18.120
deliver it franco thank you so much for your time today man i appreciate it yeah sorry for being the
00:31:23.080
rain cloud no it's all right man all right that's once again franco terrazzano he is the federal
00:31:27.480
director for the canadian taxpayers federation he of course is stationed in ottawa and he was right
00:31:34.120
in there during the lockup reading the budget and we've been talking leading up to this budget a lot
00:31:41.800
and speaking personally i was wondering which prime minister mark carney was going to emerge from this
00:31:49.320
because so far we've been told a tale of two men we've been told one tale that he's got a phd in
00:31:57.080
economics from oxford super smart dude knows how to handle money he understands all of the mathing
00:32:04.600
that needs to happen here okay he was the head of the bank of canada was the head of the bank of
00:32:09.800
england things are going to change it's not going to be you know fancy socks and you know silly trips
00:32:15.560
anymore and then there's the other guy who wrote this book and if you have not listened to this book or
00:32:24.840
read it yet it's called values it is by mark carney it's endorsed by bono and carney references greta
00:32:34.040
thunberg throughout this book many times i strongly recommend you read this thing because he wrote this
00:32:41.560
when he was the un special envoy on blah blah blah and i went through the budget as fast as i could
00:32:48.920
and i'm going to be reading about it a lot later today i was looking for a number for the industrial carbon
00:32:54.120
tax and i was trying to find the numbers that he was anticipating for carbon tax tariffs which he
00:33:01.400
campaigned on okay and this is the guy it's not the economics guy that people were hoping was going
00:33:09.960
to actually drastically reduce the size and cost of our bureaucracy it's not actually the guy that
00:33:16.040
looks at the bottom line of the balance sheet and says holy smokes this is awful we're going to work
00:33:21.320
as hard and fast as we can to balance this budget for realsies and we're going to slay the deficit
00:33:26.920
the way previous liberal governments did back in the mid 1990s nope nope that guy's nowhere to be found
00:33:33.880
if he ever existed okay this guy's prime minister okay because there's language all through that budget
00:33:42.040
which is 498 pages long um that has no business being in a budget like the budget is supposed to
00:33:49.800
be some simple numbers okay it's supposed to show you how much extra money you're putting on the debt
00:33:56.280
or what your balance is okay are you in deficit are you in surplus that should be a number the total debt
00:34:03.160
should be that number on there too and what you're spending on debt servicing costs also known as interest
00:34:09.400
payments on the debt that should be the number okay so revenue money coming in expenditures money going
00:34:16.920
out deficit or surplus check and cost of the debt those are basically the four graphs that need to be
00:34:26.200
in a major federal budget give or take a few paragraphs in there but no it's like 498 pages long
00:34:33.960
um i will point out that he mentions industrial carbon taxes a lot in the budget the problem and
00:34:43.880
the catch is is he doesn't say as far as i can see how much it's going to cost you yet they're going to
00:34:49.240
be there they're going to be bigger they're going to be stronger they're going to be around for decades
00:34:54.840
he is baking it into our economy he also mentioned the so-called emissions cap i'm going to flag this for
00:35:02.200
alberta because it's not just alberta alberta is the engine of the canadian economy and they are
00:35:09.560
dumping ashes in it they are choking it off as hard and fast as they can because they mentioned
00:35:14.920
the so-called emissions cap which is really just a production cap on oil and gas the problem is is
00:35:22.120
they use that weird squishy futuristic language of maybe someday in the future there will be technology
00:35:28.520
blah blah blah blah and we can have a meeting and then maybe we won't even need the cap
00:35:33.400
they didn't come out and say the cap is gone bill c69 is gone no more pipelines um the ban on west
00:35:39.720
coast tankers that that's gone too we're going to get serious we're going to start getting our natural
00:35:44.600
resources to boom none of that language is in the budget okay it's a bunch of big government expensive
00:35:51.160
squishy nonsense so we need to figure out what got us here okay what mistakes have we made in the past
00:36:02.200
in our thinking okay that has led us up to this point and how on earth do we climb our way out
00:36:09.800
of this ocean of red ink of debt let's find out joining me now is dr john robson he is the executive
00:36:19.400
director of the climate discussion nexus and one of my very long time friends i know this term gets
00:36:25.800
thrown around a lot lately but he is indeed my favorite historian uh dr robson thank you so much
00:36:32.040
for joining us on the show today it's a pleasure it was not a pleasure yesterday looking at this budget
00:36:39.320
um and you and i have had many long conversations about thoughtful things and i gotta tell you i left
00:36:47.160
reading some of this budget wondering john do these folks think that money isn't real like it's a
00:36:55.320
social construct and that it doesn't matter what's your take on this budget it soon will be i i i
00:37:02.120
actually hate federal budgets when i my editor said can you go into the lockup i was thinking what
00:37:07.400
have i done to you now because it starts with the title is canada strong and then there's a picture of
00:37:13.560
a ship it's like what what is this ship what's this got to do with anything and what it should
00:37:18.840
say is canada's budget and then you should open it and should say here's how much we think we're going
00:37:23.880
to spend next year here's the amount we hope to take in and here's the already troubling gap between
00:37:30.520
the two instead you get a whole bunch of self-inflating gooblahoy about transformative this and
00:37:37.320
catalyze that and optimize the other a bunch of abstract verbiage that plays well at davos but that
00:37:45.320
doesn't have much of anything to do with the real world and this of course has worked for a long time
00:37:51.720
for these people they talk that way like they play this glass bead game and they they succeed mark
00:37:57.160
garney became fabulously wealthy saying nothing in this manner but at some point we need a budget and
00:38:03.080
and again you know we insiders know that you search summary statement of transactions i noted in my
00:38:09.960
national post column that the finance minister gabbles this is a budget that talks to everyday
00:38:14.920
canadians really you think they talk like that but we know search summary statement of transactions are on
00:38:21.880
page 248 they finally get to here's what we're going to spend here's what we hope to take in here's
00:38:29.240
what we think we're going to borrow and what we think we're going to borrow is 78.3 billion dollars
00:38:37.160
that's the big picture and then another reason i hate all this stuff is because then i get all these
00:38:41.880
press releases from groups saying oh this was a great budget we got money or this was an okay budget
00:38:47.560
we got some money but we want more money or this is an awful budget we didn't get money whereas the key
00:38:54.040
question ought to be what are they doing to our country what are they doing to all of us because
00:38:59.320
uh i found one of these just illustrative um the royal canadian geographic society applauds prime
00:39:05.560
minister carney's first budget saying this is proof our elbows are up no it's proof that spending is up
00:39:11.880
but they say they applaud it the government of canada's commitment to strengthening national identity and
00:39:17.240
unity through geographic education and storytelling so it doesn't matter that they're bankrupting the
00:39:22.360
country we're getting plunder in the short run i mean the cicero's warning about democracy only lasting
00:39:27.800
until they discover they vote's the key to the treasury so my look at this is the debt is going up
00:39:34.920
up up up up up spending is going up up up up up and then you get that stick where that yeah the deficit
00:39:40.680
goes down two years from now yeah sure it does i remember when brian mulroney said that would happen
00:39:45.800
and then it's so mendacious the language in which it's couched is so removed from a world in which
00:39:53.080
you can't get the cra on the phone but why would you want to because what they tell you is always wrong
00:39:58.120
or when they spread out this vaunted dental benefit then they paid a bunch of money to people who
00:40:02.200
weren't eligible i mean this is the organization that has stats can and our tax records how do they not
00:40:08.760
know who's eligible they can't do anything they can't buy military equipment we have a crisis of
00:40:14.360
competence in this country and the government is on the verge of insolvency but when you read this
00:40:18.680
budget there is no hint that this is going on and if you look at most of the commentary on it i i've
00:40:25.960
sit in the lock up looking at my fellow journalists and wondering uh what planet they came from and
00:40:30.840
which one they're going back to when it's all over because they'll talk about oh so they've removed
00:40:35.400
the luxury tax on yachts and of course you know it's important what's in the tax code but a budget
00:40:40.920
isn't about little fiddles and who has a tiny win and who has a bitter loss it's about what is
00:40:47.400
happening to our long-term prospects because growth in productivity investment all that stuff depends
00:40:53.880
upon low and simple taxes clear effective appropriate regulations and the government
00:40:59.640
getting the heck out of the way and unleashing the energy of private citizens and this budget has
00:41:05.400
nothing to do with any of that but when you look at the talk shows and and the learned commentary
00:41:13.240
you just get the feeling that nobody understands the process inside or even outside the government
00:41:19.320
i agree um just to rewind the tape a little did that news release actually say our elbows are up
00:41:27.080
that's what that one said i was i was quoting when i when i want to really give somebody the knuckle
00:41:31.000
bone shampoo i don't paraphrase that's not fair i i give their words over the climate discussion nexus
00:41:37.400
people chide because i'm always saying and they said quote and then i read it and they say unquote
00:41:41.320
but the point is if you're going to go after somebody for what they said you should go after
00:41:45.560
them for what they really said speaking of which i want to point out a couple of things in the budget
00:41:51.320
that are just absolutely to me astronomically deceitful and i wonder if anybody else is paying attention
00:41:57.480
and this is on page seven so they didn't hide this one there's a chart growing our economy by spending
00:42:02.920
less to invest more and spending is when the government takes money and spends it and investment
00:42:07.800
is when the government takes money and spends it but here apparently the theory is spending is on dumb
00:42:13.000
stuff and investments on wise stuff and we're meant to believe they know the difference they just never
00:42:17.400
told us or did anything about it till now but then the legend is percent of deficit and they have this
00:42:24.680
lovely teal line showing that capital investments will go from 58 of the deficit to 100 within five
00:42:31.320
years and day-to-day operating spending will drop to zero percent of the deficit so they're not running
00:42:37.080
a deficit on day-to-day operating spending well isn't that thoughtful of them no there's no social
00:42:42.200
programs aren't even on the chart which of course is where most of the money goes so that's already a
00:42:46.360
lie but here's the big thing these various expenditures are not tied to specific revenue sources so there
00:42:54.280
is no way of knowing how much of the deficit came from this or from that if operating spending is
00:43:00.680
60 and capital investments 40 then 60 of the deficit comes from the former and 40 from the latter just
00:43:08.600
as 60 of the money you actually got to spend on the former and 40 of the latter this is absolutely
00:43:14.760
it's just lying with mathiness and there are two possibilities one is they're lying to you on purpose and
00:43:19.720
they're rogues the other one is they don't even know that what they're saying is gibberish and they're
00:43:24.040
fools and of course the two are not mutually exclusive but this is such a deceitful budget and
00:43:30.280
reading it doesn't tell you anything you need to know about the national finances or this chart 42 of
00:43:35.960
budget 2025 is to strengthen canadian sovereignty and 36 is to bring down costs for canadians now does that
00:43:43.080
mean 42 of spending is to strengthen canadian sovereignty no it's 42 of some weird assessment
00:43:50.680
of changes and then it's again it's done in teal teal's a good color nice work cobs but here what's
00:43:56.360
in bringing down costs for canadians 36 10 billion is middle class so this is the light blue middle class
00:44:03.560
tax cut canceling the consumer carbon price build canada homes protecting our sovereignty 42 12 billion is
00:44:11.800
investing in defense tariff response and building a strong economy which is like insects numbness and
00:44:17.800
counting things in base 12 right these are three things that bear no relationship to one another
00:44:21.640
whatsoever and they're lumped together because you get a pie chart in three contemporary colors
00:44:27.480
this is not an attempt to level with us about the state of the national finances this is an attempt to
00:44:33.640
soothe us in so that we fall completely asleep while they mismanage the economy until the crash comes
00:44:38.840
and we wake up and go what happened and they'll be blithering on or else they'll leave the country
00:44:43.640
for some lucrative post abroad uh it's terrible and yet we we tolerate this we don't say i want
00:44:49.480
something called budget 2025 that has that summary statement of transactions on the first page
00:44:55.560
followed by an apology for having lied to us during the campaign about the deficits they were
00:45:00.120
going to run and then an admission that the reason that we're spending so much and we keep spending
00:45:04.600
more and we keep borrowing is we have no idea how to control this thing we spent years in many cases
00:45:09.720
pursuing a career in politics but we never studied governance and we don't understand how it works
00:45:14.440
we don't know why brian marooney tried to control the deficit and failed we don't know why stephen harper
00:45:19.080
who was a libertarian when he came in ran deficits that were so big that we thought they were shocking
00:45:23.400
until justin trudeau did worse after telling us three small deficits then balanced budget we don't
00:45:29.640
understand why people are failing in other countries to balance the budget because we know nothing about
00:45:34.200
budgets and we therefore are unfit for our jobs and we resign what else can they say when what they
00:45:39.720
promise and what they deliver are so absolutely radically different and they get up there and like
00:45:44.760
oh well this is a transformational budget and we're building canada what's what's building canada
00:45:49.560
canada's already here see i'm in canada i'm standing on it how could i be if it weren't built
00:45:54.760
it's just it's this weird trendy gibberish and they look so pleased with themselves
00:46:03.000
while they mismanage our affairs and deceive us about it yeah so as i said i i hate budgets hate them
00:46:09.320
you understandably so um i saw the frana finance minister uh francois champagne people call him frankie
00:46:15.800
bubbles saying oh everybody can just sleep well at night tonight yeah this this is the guy who gave
00:46:21.800
billions to evs saying this is about what happens in the next 100 years and then in the next 100
00:46:28.760
days the thing folded up right how does this guy get the idea that he's good at what he does how does
00:46:35.560
he get the idea that he understands this stuff why does nobody say oh here's another one this is from
00:46:40.520
his forward to the budget the world is changing profoundly and in real time we are no longer living
00:46:46.680
in an era of calm but a significant change and so i'm looking like when is this era of calm the 1930s
00:46:52.280
yeah they were calm the 70s the early 80s uh you know after 9 11 and and changing in real time
00:47:01.800
when did the world change in false time you see this doesn't even resemble thought he's up there
00:47:07.960
blah blah blah and he has no idea that's the sad part it's like i talk about them deceiving us and
00:47:16.040
they are they do lie a lot but on the big picture they're not kidding us they're as confused as they
00:47:21.720
see uh it goes on mainstreaming advanced methods what you you don't know what that means you couldn't
00:47:28.440
possibly explain that this is like bluffing us in an undergrad essay or government itself must become
00:47:33.880
much more productive by right sizing cutting red tape and wasteful spending yeah they've been saying
00:47:39.480
that for 60 years and they've never gotten anywhere near the mark and you don't know why you don't even
00:47:44.200
know that you think you're the first person who ever cared it's preposterous we're going to make
00:47:48.840
generational investments that will build our country we will protect and transform our strategic
00:47:53.480
industries build a stronger economy and invest in ourselves you know this sounds speaking of almost 60
00:48:01.320
years not quite but this sounds a lot like the first trudeau of let's build let's have governments
00:48:07.480
do everything let's have us involved in absolutely everything with taxpayers money to boot and we wound
00:48:13.640
up in a debt spiral and then his kid came along and in 10 years doubled the national debt it was astonishing
00:48:22.360
truly astonishing but yeah and i i had dr robson call me naive i was naive i had this little tiny
00:48:30.120
sliver a sliver of hope that the guy carny with his phd in economics was going to be better than the
00:48:37.240
dude with the silly socks with money with money but he's not how is he not why are we back at the first
00:48:45.320
trudeau it feels like we're going to be digging out of this hole for decades the same way we were kind
00:48:51.720
of trying to do in the late 80s and 90s like are we just repeating history again here well yeah because
00:48:59.000
we we don't pay any attention to it i mean i i don't think he was particularly naive but of course
00:49:04.120
everybody hoped that carney would be the adult in the room and he ran as the adult in the room he did
00:49:08.760
but then again if you looked at his record right he was a bad central banker who thought he was a good
00:49:13.080
central banker you know in england they nicknamed him the unreliable boyfriend because he kept changing
00:49:18.200
his mind when it came to the one practical thing he was meant to do set the interest rate he was frivolous
00:49:24.840
mistaken and unreliable and other than that you know if mark carney's got this gigantic brain
00:49:32.600
why didn't he say to us you know in the last 40 years we have learned that there are certain things
00:49:37.400
government does not appear able to do well yeah that's been tried over and over in lots
00:49:42.040
of countries i've been flying around i've been in those countries talking to their important people
00:49:46.280
and i can tell you what governments don't do well and why they don't do it well but have you ever
00:49:53.000
heard him say one word of that i mean i agree it's not just that they think government can do
00:49:57.080
everything better than the private sector that any dollar that finds its way from your wretched pocket
00:50:02.200
into the glorious purse of the state will be far better used you know remember christia freeland we
00:50:07.320
can't afford not to that was her mantra on everything because she thought every dollar of government
00:50:11.640
spending even the stupid stuff gave us back at least you know dollar ten whereas when you go out
00:50:16.680
and spend money on beer and popcorn it's just gone and carney it's not that he thought about
00:50:22.120
this and got it wrong he's never thought about it that's the terrifying thing these people are not
00:50:27.960
secretly having deep thoughts even malicious ones you know the conspiracy theorists about davos no
00:50:33.240
davos is a place for self-satisfied people to babble platitudes and mistake them for wisdom
00:50:37.800
that's what happens there and they come home to the same thing i mean what's carney done since he
00:50:41.880
became prime minister he's flown around babbling platitudes to the prime minister of iceland and
00:50:46.680
other such luminaries he hasn't sat at his desk looking at spending proposals and going no that
00:50:52.920
one isn't a good idea or even it's a good idea but not today he has not he doesn't sit at his desk and
00:50:59.800
make decisions he flies around exchanging verbiage with people and we because we let them right again
00:51:06.840
don't forget this happened because we vote for these people and i agree i agree that the uh alternatives are
00:51:12.840
often worse i was just commenting about the united states right obama's so bad people elected trump
00:51:17.720
trump was so bad they elected biden biden and harris were so bad they re-elected trump trump was so bad
00:51:23.000
again they've just elected mondani nobody should be proud of this at any party pierre polliver has
00:51:29.240
serious shortcomings as a leader he doesn't seem to have grown up his his response to the budget was
00:51:34.200
well they say talk is cheap but not when a liberal finance minister does it which was a half funny gag in a
00:51:39.640
model parliament in 1980 what uh where is anything i mean i you know i would quote this my favorite
00:51:47.320
incident incident of all time in politics is benjamin disraeli saying of his rival lord john russell
00:51:53.320
that if a traveler were informed that this man was leader of the house of commons he might begin to
00:51:57.720
comprehend how the egyptians worshipped an insect you know and and these people had real serious
00:52:03.320
discussions about real serious issues they didn't always get them right sure but it was a bunch of
00:52:07.160
grown-ups trying to think things through and sharing with the electorate what they thought
00:52:12.040
we have nothing like that and we don't get it again i'm sorry but the fault isn't in our stars
00:52:16.920
we don't ask for it we let our school system not give children in english class one single book from
00:52:24.120
the canon of english literature over four years and then we say oh there's an education crisis i guess the
00:52:29.720
government should spend more money no the government should spend less money we should privatize the
00:52:34.360
universities right we need to start thinking differently about what we do and the politicians
00:52:39.720
will follow us but they're look at this budget they are not going to lead us there is nothing in
00:52:44.280
that budget like right sizing and you know cutting wasteful spending this is the old paper clips
00:52:48.920
arguments uh there are no programs there are no significant programs that they think are just a bad
00:52:55.560
idea that government shouldn't do it can't do it or both and they should get rid of them and i've been
00:53:00.520
asking that question of conservative politicians for 25 years and none of them can think of anything
00:53:04.360
it's preposterous who's saying repeal the canada health act not even the conservatives maybe max
00:53:10.920
bernier would say it um but but he'd be the only one it's and yet we and then we complain and we grumble
00:53:18.040
we say oh those politicians they're no good well don't put your faith in politicians and as i've said
00:53:23.080
before one of the things people need to do especially this floor crossing reminds us put your money your
00:53:28.680
effort and your hopes into building the conservative infrastructure like oh i don't know juno news or
00:53:34.360
the climate discussion nexus politics is downstream of culture and people in this country give millions
00:53:39.800
to conservative parties who then produce doug ford or aaron o'toole or i don't know bob stanfield or
00:53:47.000
this floor crosser don't give them your money give us your money because we really believe in the
00:53:52.840
principles and we will change the climate of opinion in such a way that you actually get better
00:53:58.040
government don't wait for us to hit the wall do something today dr robson i want to leave uh on
00:54:04.920
this note and you mentioned earlier about history and europe and all that fun stuff did i wake up in
00:54:12.920
the 19th century where europe was the manufacturing superpower and we should be cozying up to them
00:54:19.720
why am i reading through this budget and seeing all sorts of squishy language about aligning ourselves
00:54:26.520
more and more and more economically with europe like you can love it for its history and our
00:54:31.160
culture and all that other wonderful stuff but like did they suddenly become an economic and
00:54:36.280
manufacturing powerhouse that we need to be dealing with more closely like can you explain
00:54:41.240
why we're trying to economically align ourselves more there well you mentioned trudeau senior and of
00:54:46.760
course this was one of his signature plans we will diversify our trade away from the united states
00:54:52.280
you know 40 years later his kid's trying to do it 50 years later mark carney's trying to do it and
00:54:57.640
none of them have given any thought at all to why it didn't work last time they do not read economics
00:55:03.160
i mean well i guess carney must have read something maybe it was john kenneth galberth i don't know
00:55:09.240
hayek um and and they don't read history not even the history of canada they have no idea why things
00:55:15.240
work or don't work they have no set of examined principles and their tacit principles are basically a
00:55:21.080
load of cliched rubbish and then again and you can't get the conservatives to stand on principle
00:55:26.280
either you don't go no we're not going near the social issues you know we're not going to cut
00:55:32.040
spending we're conservative vote for us oh shut up you're not you're not conservative and you're not
00:55:39.400
dependable because you do not stand on the solid rock of ideas and it doesn't even work the
00:55:46.760
conservatives you know lunging for the brass ring decade after decade and being outsmarted by the
00:55:51.160
liberals which is not something i would boast about and they're the liberal because they're the
00:55:55.640
liberals sit with with bad ideas terrible policies and these charts that are just lying through their
00:56:03.880
stained yellow x and y axis dr john robson uh historian columnist and executive director of the climate
00:56:12.760
discussion nexus go check out all of his videos on youtube and can you tell this is why he's my
00:56:18.680
favorite historian and a friend dr robson thank you so much for joining us on the show always a
00:56:23.640
pleasure once again go check out dr john robson's work uh he's got great analysis and he has a mind like
00:56:31.400
a steel trap he remembers stuff from decades ago which matters today which is why reading history is
00:56:38.840
important because if you don't know where you've been you can't know where you've gone or where you're
00:56:43.960
headed towards that was actually prime minister at winston churchill so i can't take credit for that
00:56:49.000
quote folks this has been a longer show than usual because we had to do a deep dive for you on this
00:56:55.080
budget we had to tell you the truth and cut through the spin and actually deliver the numbers from this
00:57:02.200
budget which would actually take up around five pages instead of 498 of them the important thing
00:57:10.360
here is that you are able to tell your friends and family no we are not saving money we are spending
00:57:17.480
more money no they're not investing they're spending more of your money it's going to cost you more in
00:57:24.840
debt interest charges and this is a five alarm fire it shows like this that are delivered by juno news so
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00:57:42.200
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