Juno News - January 02, 2026
Doug Ford's Failures
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Summary
In this episode of Not Sorry, host Alex Brown sits down with Matt Spoke from Project Ontario to discuss the year-end criticisms from conservative groups that made a lot of noise heading into the holidays, and what's next for the organization.
Transcript
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Hi, Juneau News. Welcome back for another episode of Not Sorry. I'm host Alexander
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Brown, director of the National Citizens Coalition. While you are here, take advantage
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of our promo code. That's JuneauNews.com slash Not Sorry for 20% off. And first, a word from
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They're Albertans against no-fault insurance. So did you know that the Alberta government
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is overhauling its auto insurance system? Under a new model called Care First coming
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into effect in 2027, most Albertans injured in car accidents will no longer be able to
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sue the at-fault driver. Instead, decisions about your care and compensation will be made
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by the insurance company, not your doctor, not the courts. Critics say this system puts
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insurance companies first and removes key rights from victims and their families.
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Matt Spoke joins us from Project Ontario. Matt, thanks for being here.
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Matt, Project Ontario. What are the main criticisms from this assembly of conservatives, conservative
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groups that made a lot of noise this year, heading into the holidays? What's next for
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the organization? Where are you seeing growth? And how can we all better hold the Ontario government
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Well, I'll tell you, the timing of this, as coincidental as it is, this is us looking
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back over almost eight years of progressive conservative governments at Queen's Park in
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Ontario under Doug Ford's leadership, where we've had missed opportunities on a whole bunch
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of files to reform things like healthcare and education, to sort of put a best foot forward
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on the economy. But a lot of that also feels like the last seven and a half years, we've
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been fortunate to live in an economic situation that was not dire. What worries me now is
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looking forward over the next five to 10 years, it really does feel like we're entering a
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really different outlook for the future of Ontario's economy. And the ripple effects that
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that's going to have, you know, a lot of this has been catalyzed by the trade disputes with
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the US and Donald Trump and these tariff policies. But it's also just exposing a lot of the vulnerabilities
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that we've left bear in the way that we've designed the system in Ontario, both our economic
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system, but also the social services that we all rely on, like education and healthcare and other
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things. And so, you know, now this is not just a pet peeve where we say, hey, we'd really like
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to see a government push forward our pet project agenda. I'm now increasingly concerned that we are
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going to start feeling in a quantifiable way, a significant decline in our standard of living over
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the next five years. And that's going to show up in our incomes, it's going to show up in our housing
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costs, it's going to show up in the quality of our education system, accessibility of healthcare
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services, etc. So we're trying to bang a drum on this. We've been at this for just over six months.
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I mean, moving into next year, there's a couple of specific policies that we think need a lot of
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attention. Obviously, the economy is getting hit incredibly hard. We've seen the beginnings of,
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I think, a huge number of layoffs coming in manufacturing across the province, as recently as
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Algoma Steel's announcement a week or two ago, because of the tariff, the steel tariffs, but also the
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automotive manufacturing sector. And if we don't take a look at how we are managing our economy,
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what our tax policies and regulatory policies look like from scratch and almost like redesign this
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system from first principles, we're going to continue bleeding jobs and economic prosperity
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very, very quickly. I'd say more top of mind today because of the changes happening in Ontario's
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education system. Paul Calandra, our Minister of Education, is now opening discussions on certain
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reforms within the public education system in Ontario. We don't think they're going to go far
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enough. We think they've already taken some meaningful options off the table, including
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school choice, competition, pluralism, as well as meaningful curriculum reform. It seems like a lot
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of Paul Calandra's focus right now is really on governance and expense management, like our
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school board trustees spending too much money, which obviously they shouldn't. But the fundamental
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problem is we're not educating kids properly. They're leaving our schools. We had EQAO test
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results, which are our standardized test results in Ontario, got published a couple of weeks ago.
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We have 42% of grade six kids failing math in the province, 50% of grade three kids failing math in
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the province. Across all metrics, we are not doing well. We are not producing kids that are ready for
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the world. And I think that's like really, really concerning.
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Yeah. Literacy, the literacy numbers look bad. The math scores are terrible. I mean,
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I had terrible math scores, so I can't judge. And there is the woke factor. I know that it's
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like maybe a pass day to bring up, but Melanie Bennett and Juno for Juno News through True North
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has some reporting on how even embedded in some of this curriculum is maybe jihad is a spiritual
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struggle. It's like kids should not be learning that or thinking that or believing that. There is this
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sort of decolonial deconstructionist agenda that's in these schools as well. I think of housing
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because Ontario is starting to see net migration, particularly from folks you'd want to stay there,
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productive types who are feeling the shove. How would Project Ontario or you yourself sort of frame
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the Ford government's accountability here for failing to address Ontario's housing shortage through
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through any policies, principled conservative policies? What's lacking here and what can be
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done quickly to help change that if these next few years are going to look so dire?
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Well, I will say there's there's sort of, you know, there's two major factors impacting our housing
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market. And one is the policies that we put in place to significantly restrict our ability to build
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in the province. And so some might call these like the supply side issues. And the other is the
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the recent history we've had of like significantly overblown immigration numbers that put, you know,
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an unnatural amount of pressure and demand in our housing system. I think the Ford government's had
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fault on both of those, you know, on the supply side, this is almost universally provincial jurisdiction
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in terms of land use policy, tax policy, the types of things that decide how much will a developer pay
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when they build a house and what are they allowed to build and where we have some of the most restrictive
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land use policies in North America, in Ontario. And that is at the stroke of a pen, you know, in the
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hands of the premier to make changes if you wanted to, I will concede to him and to other political
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leaders that this is a really difficult policy file to get right to strike the right balance. This is
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not a policy file that really finds its way cleanly on like the conservative or liberal divide,
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because often this is a factor of more of older homeowners wanting things not to change, wanting
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their neighborhoods to stay static versus younger would be homeowners saying, but we just need to
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build more units of housing somewhere. They need to show up near somebody's backyard. You know,
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if everybody says don't build near me, the reality is we won't build anywhere. Right. So,
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and I think there's a, there's a tough dance to find the right balance, but you have to do something.
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You're going to have, you know, this, this issue gets worse the longer we, we procrastinate on it.
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And on the immigration side, I mean, this, this is the province that begged for higher levels of
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immigration. This is the province that printed accreditations for these fraudulent career
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colleges that were bringing in international students. Right. So it's easy to pass the blame
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to Ottawa, but I think 80 to 90% of the fault lies with us in Ontario. And we're seeing the consequences
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of that years later. So. It sure does. And then on the immigration front, what, how could the province
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achieve a more sustainable growth? How could it, you, you write about and tweet about these sort
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of pro natalist ideals and, and sometimes draw the ire of, of, of the left, but I think it's a great
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idea. It's it, I think that surely there are incentives that, that we can provide to our people
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to, instead of having to create all these fake schools or, or just hand out access to Canada,
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like it's some buy one, get one free deal or a stocking stuffer that we could turn around to
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families and incentivize, you know, the, Hey, you know, here's a tax break per kid or something.
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Like, what do you, what would you want to see? Is it as a, as a young dad who, who, you know,
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wants conservatives to, to sort of model that behavior of being family first and how could we
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sustainably grow our population? You know, it's funny. I think, I think both on the immigration issue,
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as well as on, on like domestic birth rates, I think the, the underlying cause and the underlying
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solution are the same. You need to create a country. And in this case, a province that people
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feel optimistic about. If people feel like the future will be better than the present and the
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past, they are more likely to want to have children. They are more likely to think that,
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Hey, even though it might be difficult to afford this today, I have enough confidence and optimism
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about the future that I'll take that risk today. I'll take that short-term financial risk,
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knowing that my economic prospects look better as I get older, as I, you know,
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advance in my career or whatever the case might be. If you created a system where people are
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inherently pessimistic because the economy is not doing well, because we don't have a strong
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sense of culture or cohesion in our communities, then people start to feel the opposite. They say,
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how could I possibly bring a child into this system when I don't think I'll be able to afford my
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mortgage next month? Right? So these trade-offs become a lot more acute. I think the same could be said
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on immigration. I mean, I think that the core underlying issue in our immigration system is we
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need to make ourselves the most attractive destination in the world for the best people
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in the world, how we define them. The highest producers, the people most likely to adhere and
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find cohesion in our social norms and our common culture. You want these people to say, Hey, Canada
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is the land of optimism. It's the land of opportunity. I want to go there. I think right now you have the
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complete opposite. You've created a system where some of the lowest performers in the world want
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to be here and our own people don't want to have children. Right? So we, we, we effectively compound
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the problem. Uh, and it's, it's, you know, we're seeing the results of that. Yeah. And how are we
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prepared to welcome the world's best if we don't have it together on housing, healthcare, education,
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reform? Yeah. I'll say like, I've seen, I've heard this issue being discussed a lot. And I, I do
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generally agree with the framing of like, Hey, we shouldn't be bringing in more people than we have the
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services and infrastructure and houses to support. But I think I come, I shake out in a different
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conclusion in the sense that like, I think that's the right framing. Don't bring more people than
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you can house and ha and hospitalized and, and educate, for example. Uh, but one way to look at
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that is just like dramatically slow down. The other way to look at that is why are we not building
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faster? Why can't, why can we not get out of our own way so that we actually are not, you know,
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self-imposing these limitations on our healthcare system and our housing system. Uh, so I think it's a
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little bit on both sides of the equation where you need to look for solutions. Um, but we do need to
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get back to some sort of like common sense immigration approach that actually prioritizes
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who are the right people that add value as opposed to extract value from our system. So yeah. Right.
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People who will stay, who will integrate, who will have a sense of buy-in and can we offer a sense of
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buy-in to our own people? I mean, why do some conservatives argue like yourself that Doug Ford has strayed from
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core principles and, and, and how is Project Ontario working to, to steer the party back on course, Matt?
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Well, I mean, straight from core principles assumes that there was ever a clear understanding of what
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those principles were. I think what, what happened in 2018 when Doug Ford was first elected as leader
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is that there was a very strong group of people around, very strong principled conservatives that, that
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formed his initial policy platform that got involved as advisors, campaign managers, et cetera, that helped put
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him in the seat of premier. I think very quickly, once they started seeing his instincts bearing out
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in policy, many of those early folks left other than the few that maybe saw opportunity to enrich
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themselves by sticking around. A lot of the early Ford people, um, I would consider very strong
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principled conservatives. And when they started seeing that the policy agenda was drifting away
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from the things that they thought he would represent, they all sort of packed up and left. And so,
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you know, I think Doug Ford is, is showing his true colors. I don't know that he's ever been able to
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articulate why he's a conservative. I mean, I, I won't speak for him, but I heard this anecdotally
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that, you know, this is the same guy that when he lived in the U S voted both for Barack Obama and
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Donald Trump, or at least when Donald Trump was running the first time said he was, he was a fan of
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Donald Trump. Anybody who can make that sort of like leap from being an Obama supporter to a Trump
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supporter in a 10 year period probably doesn't understand what their core ideological principles
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are. Uh, they're just populists, right? So they, they follow what are, what's popular and what do people
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say they want. And, and they sort of morph themselves into what the polls are telling
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them to become. So, um, you know, our, our mission at project Ontario, I think at minimum
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is to frame conversations about the things that are not being done at Queens park that are conservative
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in nature. I don't have strong hopes that that's going to influence this government or this leader to
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course correct. But I do think we can play a strong role in framing what, what should the next
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chapter in the parties, um, the parties evolution look like one day, Doug Ford's not going to be
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leader of this party anymore. When that day comes, there's going to be an opportunity to reinvent.
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What does this party stand for? What are the principles we care about and what policy should
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we be championing? Uh, you know, I hope that that day comes sooner rather than later, but that I think
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is probably our stated mission. And I hear that all the time from conservatives behind the scenes,
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campaigners, uh, politicians themselves that he's not going to be premier forever. And that there are those
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lining up and having these conversations now because they want to be able to fill that void
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when it goes, cause it's going to be one heck of a void. Cause we are seeing levels of abdication.
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We are seeing, uh, some dubious, uh, uh, processes, the skills development fund, for example, and I'm not
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going to get you in trouble, but it's before Ontario's anti-racketeering division right now. I mean,
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without casting judgment, um, at the very least, is this indicative of, of, of these principles that
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have been left behind or is, does Ontario have a model of lobbying that isn't serving the province
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well? I think the lobbying rules in Ontario dramatically need to be reformed. I, you know,
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I, when this, this has always been, I think most conservatives in this country would use this as a
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very standard criticism of liberal parties across the country where liberal parties historically have
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been known to not necessarily have an identifiable set of principles, but really are just malleable to
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the current times and the current population sort of like hot topics of the day. It's the reason that
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the same liberal party that elected Justin Trudeau to be, you know, captain environment and captain
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feminism is now the liberal party supporting Mark Carney, who's seemingly unwinding a lot of these
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Trudeau era policies. But this is what we're seeing at the provincial level. And I think in an absence,
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you know, this idea of corruption or soft corruption, or just unethical behavior, however you want to
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frame it to me in a vacuum of defined principles, you people will, will, will drift towards opportunism.
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They'll drift towards, Hey, we don't know what the right answer is because we don't actually have a
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guiding set of principles that tell us what the right answer is. So I'm going to do what's in my
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best interest in that vacuum of principles. And so I think this is normal human behavior, but it's
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typically what we expect to see out of our liberal friends and cousins as opposed to out of our own
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conservatives. And I think it's a big problem. And it probably starts with revisiting the lobbying
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rules in Ontario. Cause as I understand it, I won't profess to be an expert, but the way lobbyists
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operate at Queens park would be unheard of on parliament hill. The rules are so different
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federally than they are in the province. And I think it's probably time to revisit them.
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No, I think we've all heard. I don't even want to put this on tape about how some of those things
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go on and how you're kind of, you've given your donation and then like, well, come on and join us.
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Let's start, let's, let's start a conversation. And it, that strikes me as, as just brazenly
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wrong and abuse of the system. One, one area that I think Ontario has skated on when it comes to
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responsibility, broader responsibility, we talk a lot about like, say the diploma mills or housing
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or healthcare education reform, but, but the safer supply drug program, like they, they, there are so
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many levers the province could be pulling on right now. And in some ways they're now falling behind
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British Columbia in, in cleaning up the streets and, and, you know, pulling these programs down
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that didn't work. I mean, how is project Ontario helping or facilitating that issue?
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Yeah, this is one that's like relatively new to me in terms of my education on the issue,
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but the deeper I dive into this with folks like Adam Zivo, who's been a contributor of ours. And,
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and I recently watched a great documentary by Harrison Faulkner, um, on this issue in London,
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Ontario. I mean, Ontario now is, is developing the reputation of being the worst province in Canada
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issue of safer supply. I mean, we're even seeing the NDP premier of Manitoba starting to take a lot
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stronger positions on this issue. David Eby has started to reverse some of the policies that made
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BC, um, you know, such an acute problem, not to say that the problem is gone in British Columbia,
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but there's at least a recognition that we need to unwind some of these damaging policies. Ontario has
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been doubling down. I mean, I got, I got this message from somebody in, in Ford's inner circle
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recently that, oh, you're blaming the wrong level of government. This is a federal problem,
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which is a complete misunderstanding of the issue. The federal government has defunded this program
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as of a couple of years ago. Anything remaining in our streets from a safer supply, uh, perspective
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is being funded by OHIP, a provincially funded, you know, health insurance program where literally
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people are lining the streets outside of pharmacies to pick up their free drugs from the government and
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turn around and sell it, uh, and lining their pockets to then go buy fentanyl or go buy heroin or go
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buy whatever the case might be. So, um, you know, it's, we, we definitely need to be talking more
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about this. I think Adam Zevo has been an incredible champion on this issue. And I, I do think he's going
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to start making a difference because it's hard to ignore this when you see it in homeless encampments
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and, you know, drugged up people outside of elementary schools and things that we're seeing in too many
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communities across the province. Yeah. Matt, what's next for project Ontario, uh, in the event space and,
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and where can folks learn more about the project? Yeah. Our next big event that we're hosting,
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um, sometime in the new year, it'll likely be in February. We're still starting to, to, to line up,
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uh, logistics is going to be on education reform. Um, likely in Toronto, we were trying to host the
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event at OISE, the Ontario teachers college, uh, but we're having some pushback that they don't want
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to give us their event space for some odd reason. Um, but, uh, we are, we are, we are bringing together
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both the, the conversation is really going to be framed around both. What does pluralism and competition
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look like in our education system, as well as what does meaningful and common sense reform of our
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public education system need to include? Uh, so stay tuned for that. You can find out more at
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projectontario.ca. Uh, would love to have people show up. We'll probably record the event, make it
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available online as well. Um, so more to come on that topic. Terrific, Matt, thanks for your leadership
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on that and, uh, happy holidays. Merry Christmas. Thanks a lot, Alex. You too.