In the wake of the sacking of Jody Wilson-Raybould, Jane Philpott, and Selena Cesar Chavin, a number of Liberal MPs have been accused of disloyalty to the Prime Minister. What does this mean for the rest of the party and the country? And what does it say about the direction of the country as a whole?
00:00:00.800Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to another edition of True North Report, broadcasting live on Facebook, after the fact on YouTube, and anywhere that this signal is received, we will take you.
00:00:12.680Thanks very much for tuning in. My name is Andrew Lawton, a fellow with True North, and one of these people who I think I'm, as at this point, the only person left in Canada who hasn't been ejected from the Liberal caucus.
00:00:26.100It's actually a mounting number right now. I had to check. The Prime Minister hadn't called me this morning, so I think as of this point, I haven't yet been kicked out for the grave crime of disloyalty to the body politic that Justin Trudeau is basically putting out as a standard for Jody Wilson-Raybould, and Jane Philpott, and Selena Cesar Chavin, and basically anyone else who wants to be a Liberal at this point, or ever in the subsequent years that follow,
00:00:53.340must pledge their undying and unrelenting loyalty to Justin Trudeau.
00:00:58.940This is where I think we've gotten to a point in Canada, and I think we passed this point a little while ago, but it bears restating now, where we need to view this as not a partisan matter anymore.
00:01:13.080And to be fair, I don't think it ever was a partisan matter. I think, like anything, the Liberals were more likely to protect the Liberal record, and Conservatives and NDPers were more likely to jump up and down on the Liberals' throats.
00:01:25.080But this is not a partisan matter when you talk about the serious issues that are at stake here, regarding the rule of law, regarding political interference and prosecutions, regarding the treatment of cabinet members, regarding the treatment of the Attorney General, who is supposed to be an independent agent of the law in this country.
00:01:46.680And when you take all of these things and put them together, this is not just a left and right issue, this is something that has grave implications for all members of Parliament, and indeed for all Canadians.
00:01:58.440Which is why I think it was such a chilling move, even if it is an unsurprising move, that Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott were summarily turfed from their party as part of the disloyalty purge that Justin Trudeau set himself up to execute, no pun intended, less than 24 hours ago.
00:02:20.300So I'm going to be talking about this in a few different contexts here.
00:02:22.800Number one is the implication over the fake feminism that Justin Trudeau espouses.
00:02:29.100One of the elements I want to explore is that of what it means for the SNC-Lavalin scandal.
00:02:36.000And I also want to tackle the media side of this.
00:02:39.380And I don't know how long I'm going to spend on each thing, and as isn't truly the case here, I usually get like 12 minutes in and then I get sidetracked on something else and we go down that road.
00:02:48.220And at the end of it, I realize that I forgot to mention, you know, seven of the eight points that I wanted to.
00:03:01.540Louise has said, I have not seen one comment favoring Trudeau or the Liberals, except, of course, praying for Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott.
00:03:09.940Well, see, I'm actually envious of you, Louise, because I have seen a lot of shilling for the Liberals.
00:03:15.800And ultimately, the Liberal Party has put out its members and supporters as surrogates right now to basically tell Canadians that Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott were the problem.
00:03:27.240Not that, you know, these people were just misunderstood and there was a misunderstanding and all of that stuff, but that they, in fact, are the problem.
00:03:37.880So let me start on that point, because I think Louise brings up an element of this discussion that's important, which is the public support for the Liberals right now, or lack thereof.
00:03:49.680And I think in one sense, there's always going to be some of that.
00:03:56.300There was a funny Toronto Star piece that wasn't meant to be funny by Susan Delacorte, who, by the way, I like a great deal.
00:04:02.260I get along with Susan, even if we don't see eye to eye politically.
00:04:05.600But she had written this piece, and I can't remember the exact headline, but to paraphrase, it was Jody Wilson-Raybould rewrites the book on how to lose your job.
00:04:14.340So even that premise is based on the fact that Jody Wilson-Raybould is the one whose behavior we need to look at here and not Justin Trudeau's.
00:04:22.640And there have been some other commentators, like Amanda Alvaro, who you often see on Power in Politics, who was calling this a non-scandal.
00:04:31.180And up until this morning, was calling it on Twitter a non-scandal.
00:04:34.800Now, let me ask you, has a non-scandal ever resulted in the resignation of two cabinet ministers, one Privy Council Clerk, and one Principal Secretary to the Prime Minister?
00:04:48.960It's like we're doing the 12 days of Christmas.
00:04:50.540On the fourth day of Christmas, my true love gave to me the resignations of two cabinet ministers.
00:04:55.440This is the insane part of this, is that for something that the liberals are saying is a non-scandal and a non-issue, or as Van Jones on CNN would say, a nothing burger, we've lost four very important people,
00:05:09.560plus Selena Cesar Chavez, who's resigned now from the Liberal caucus, which not directly tied to SNC-Lavalin, but I think all part of the same saga,
00:05:19.920because she was very much supporting Jody Wilson-Raybould. So we've lost five people right now over something that liberals are still trying to say is no big deal.
00:05:32.660And I did a radio interview in Mississauga earlier today, and if you were listening, some of these points will not be original,
00:05:39.180but I do think they're important to restate for the rest of you who didn't necessarily hear that.
00:05:44.000And the two points that I would stress are that Justin Trudeau has changed his story every single time he's spoken up about this.
00:05:54.620You may remember, we have to go way back two months to that initial Globe and Mail story saying that Jody Wilson-Raybould was pressured,
00:06:01.120and that was why she was demoted to Veterans Affairs. She was still in cabinet then, that was like three chapters of this thing ago.
00:06:07.440And what happened was Justin Trudeau said, no, no, no, there was no pressure, neither the current nor former, I've almost memorized it now,
00:06:16.500neither the current nor the former Attorney General was directed by me or anyone in my office to take a decision in this,
00:06:25.160I think it was to take a decision in this way. There was a weird wording. So he said, no, no, no, no one was directed.
00:06:30.160And he repeated that and repeated it and repeated it and repeated it. He repeated it to media. He repeated it to the question period askers.
00:06:40.280He repeated it to all of these different people. And then the story changed. And I've forgotten the order of everything.
00:06:47.260So bear with me. But my personal favorite was that, no, no, no, she would still be in cabinet if Scott Bryson hadn't resigned.
00:06:53.640And that was the one that triggered the hashtag, hashtag because Scott Bryson resigned. And then it became, oh, no, no, no, if she had an issue,
00:07:02.120she should have spoken to me. And then it was that, well, if she had an issue, she wouldn't be in cabinet.
00:07:09.360And then she resigns from cabinet. And then it's, oh, well, you know, I'm still not clear on what this is.
00:07:14.280And the story kept changing. It kept changing to such a point that even after the committee meeting,
00:07:21.040after the justice committee meeting, during which Jody Wilson-Raybould spoke her truth, Trudeau was saying,
00:17:25.340But one thing that I do find to be fascinating about it is that Trump's success was because he didn't have any of these ties that we all ultimately find so objectionable in other people.
00:17:37.040I mean, with Trump, yes, there was this whole Russia collusion boogeyman thing that ended up being a genuine nothing burger, as we learned from the Mueller report.
00:17:46.440But Trump didn't have the SNC-Lavalin.
00:18:00.140And that was one of the things that average, ordinary middle Americans tended to like about him.
00:18:04.500And Trudeau is more Clinton-esque in that way, whereas Trudeau's got the family money, Trudeau's got the foundation, Trudeau's got the corporate ties, Trudeau's got the family ties.
00:18:15.420And Trudeau has all of these things that become so central to a government and scandal, which is what we have now.
00:18:21.960And again, I go back to the point that I raised at the beginning, which is how can something simultaneously be a non-issue, yet cause so many political careers to be mounting in the corner?
00:18:33.760When you've got Jane Philpott, you've got Jody Wilson-Raybould, you've got Michael Wernick, you've got Gerald Butts, you've got Trudeau hanging on by a thread here.
00:18:42.120And this is not what happens when a non-story goes on for so long.
00:18:48.700And I've got to bring up legitimately a point here that I feel has been underexplored this week.
00:18:56.680And that is about the Justice Committee where, and this is fascinating here, the Justice Committee, which had Jody Wilson-Raybould testify, then Jerry Butts, then Michael Wernick,
00:19:07.440refused to allow Jody Wilson-Raybould to come back, wouldn't allow it.
00:19:12.520And they ultimately forced her hand, which is why she produced all of these documents and all of this evidence, including the phone call this week,
00:19:19.680because they wouldn't let her testify in person again.
00:19:52.400They basically said, we've bled this stone dry.
00:19:56.080So they thought that to allow this to continue would be to keep beating a dead horse.
00:20:02.060Well, that horse just got up and galloped away.
00:20:05.800And the Justice Committee members are probably hoping to gosh that no one looks at them and says, well, wait, how do we have this phone call if you said that everything was done?
00:20:17.380Jody Wilson-Raybould said she had more, and you said, no, she didn't.
00:20:21.660So, again, we have the liberals trying to impose their will on other people.
00:20:28.160You've got the liberals trying to say to Jody Wilson-Raybould, no, no, no, you've got nothing to say.
00:20:33.960You've got Justin Trudeau saying to her, you are disloyal.
00:20:37.340You've got the one today that came up, what's her name, Melanie Jolie, who goes to, says basically that, I don't have the exact transcript,
00:20:45.400but her comments were basically that feminism requires loyalty.
00:20:50.960And Trudeau was speaking to the Daughters of the Vote group this morning, and he made this absolutely asinine comment.
00:20:56.660We'll have the video up on the True North Facebook shortly, where he basically said diversity without, you can't have diversity without trust.
00:21:04.840So, even in the midst of scandal, when he's kicked two women from caucus, and he's gotten rid of an aboriginal cabinet member,
00:21:13.240he's still saying, no, no, no, diversity, yes, but you need trust for diversity, and there's no trust.
00:21:18.940So, the lack of trust trumps the lack of diversity.
00:21:21.320Like, I don't even think he knows what he's saying now.
00:21:23.920But his point is that the lack of trust that they fostered, not him, that they fostered, is responsible for the lack of diversity.
00:21:32.620Therefore, cabinet and caucus don't need to be as diverse, because it's their fault.
00:21:47.940Has refused to accept one iota of responsibility for anything that has happened, for anything that has unfolded in the course of this scandal.
00:21:58.640And I find this to be tremendously hypocritical.
00:22:02.040To go back to the question that I was tackling earlier in the stream here,
00:22:05.800it's not a guarantee that this will resonate with voters directly.
00:22:09.900And if I were to switch into a political advisory role here, which I'm not, I keep trying.
00:22:15.840I keep trying to get the politicians to listen, but unfortunately, they have other ideas sometimes.
00:22:21.220But if I'm Andrew Scheer, yeah, jumping up and down, S&C, S&C, S&C, is a significant thing to do.
00:22:27.560But it's not going to be the silver bullet.
00:22:29.920It's not going to be the trump card that's going to make Canadians forget about everything else.
00:22:34.640I think carbon tax, to bring an example into perspective here, the national carbon tax went into effect this week.
00:22:41.440Ontarians saw an increase in fuel costs, people in Saskatchewan did as well, and I think New Brunswick.
00:22:47.900And I've seen photos of people that people have put about what their gas prices went up to and all that across the country.
00:22:55.720But Justin Trudeau's carbon tax is something that people can quantify more than they can quantify the S&C-Lavalin, Jody Wilson-Raybould, Michael Warnick issues.
00:23:07.180I would venture a guess to say that most Canadians had never even heard of Michael Warnick before a month ago.
00:23:13.100And I think just as easily, people who maybe saw his name or heard his name on TV have probably forgotten who Michael Warnick is already or soon will.
00:23:21.800And this is, again, a point that I've raised in the past in different contexts.
00:23:26.980We always have to be aware of how average Canadians interact with news and interact with politics.
00:23:34.300And it's not the same way that the diehards, people like me, and I venture to say people like most of you do.
00:23:48.080They've got to be aware that what they know from inside the Ottawa bubble is not necessarily the same as what Dougie the mechanic or Zoe the grad student is experiencing in Watford, Ontario or in Calgary, Alberta or on Vancouver Island in British Columbia.
00:24:08.220I mean, that's just not the way that people are engaging on this issue.
00:24:12.480So I do think that Justin Trudeau has a path to victory despite the magnitude of all of this.
00:24:19.440And one of the big things is that by delegitimizing Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott, by delegitimizing them, Justin Trudeau is trying to give himself immunity from anything they say in the future.
00:24:32.220Because this is going to – I think he knows there's more, not necessarily more facts, but perhaps there is more in the way of stuff that they have to say about him.
00:24:44.080And by delegitimizing them, by saying, oh, you know, she acts unconscionably, and no, no, no, they weren't team players, and they lacked confidence, and they fostered a breakdown of trust and all of that.
00:24:54.320By saying all of that, Trudeau is effectively trying to – it doesn't mean he'll succeed – but he's trying to handicap any future criticisms they level towards him, of which I think there will be several.
00:25:08.680So a lot of people have asked, and I want to read a couple of more questions here.
00:25:15.500Yes, Tony points out, don't forget Liberal MP Judy Scrooge said put up or shut up.
00:25:20.820Yeah, and I think one big issue that we're going to see, if you want some fun, look at Sheila Copps' Twitter, which is not normally something I would prescribe for anyone.
00:25:30.600But it's kind of amusing, because Sheila Copps is basically the – her mentality is telling women to shut up, even called JWR a B-word.
00:25:40.560I don't know if we're allowed to say the B-word, but there's only one B-word that really she would think applies in this case.
00:25:46.480But, you know, it is going to be fascinating, because Jody Wilson-Raybould has not yet said what her political future will hold.
00:25:54.540Jane Philpott has not yet said what her political future will hold.
00:25:58.100Remember, these are both one-term MPs so far.
00:26:01.820Now, it's entirely possible that Wilson-Raybould will lead a campaign to become chief of the Assembly of First Nations.
00:26:09.960Or maybe she'll try to enter BC politics.
00:26:13.680Maybe Jane Philpott will try to seek the leadership of the Ontario Liberal Party.
00:26:17.340I mean, they have options, but they are not going to be Liberal candidates come 2015 – or 2019.
00:26:24.720If Justin Trudeau is unsuccessful in the election, which is not a guarantee, and I don't like when people say it's a guarantee,
00:26:32.620but if he's not a successful person in this election, then what's going to happen is the knives will be out for him.
00:26:43.160But we've also seen how much the caucus has united behind him right now in a way that makes it very difficult to think that they would roll out the red carpet
00:26:52.460for Jody Wilson-Raybould or Jane Philpott if either one of them wanted to take the reins of the Liberal Party in a few months.
00:27:31.240It does need to remain a significant challenge and a significant discussion.
00:27:35.340But Trudeau has tried to turn the page on this yet again.
00:27:38.620So ultimately, what it is incumbent on Canadians to do and on the Conservatives to do is to not let him move on from something that is so significant.
00:27:46.640And the voices of Jody Wilson-Raybould and Jane Philpott are significant ones.
00:27:52.480They are not Conservatives, and we shouldn't be lauding them or exalting them as Conservatives or prospective Conservatives, but we can still laud their integrity so long as we're consistent across the board with it.
00:28:05.920I do want to thank you very much for tuning in.
00:28:08.740Just as a bit of a programming note, we will be in court on April 15th to the 18th.
00:28:16.280And this is for the carbon tax trial in Ontario.
00:28:19.360We did a crowdfunding campaign, and within less than a week, we were able to meet and exceed our goal.
00:28:24.040So I'm going to be covering that from Toronto in just about a week and a half.
00:28:27.920So thank you to all who chipped in there.
00:28:29.640If you do want to help us out by helping us keep the lights on, we're not getting a piece of that $600 million bailout, head on over to True North Canada.
00:28:39.560You can get there by going to truenorthinitiative.com or tnc.news and join the Andrew Lawton Heritage Club or Patriot Club.
00:28:47.540Small monthly contribution goes a long way to helping us do the work that you've come to support.