Juno News - If Trudeau loses this key demographic, it’s over for the Liberals

00:00:00.000 Justin Trudeau and the Liberals are losing the selection. I'm going to tell you how.

00:00:03.960 I'm Candice Malcolm and this is the Candice Malcolm Show.

00:00:10.700 Hi everyone, welcome to the Candice Malcolm Show. Thank you so much for tuning in. As you can see,

00:00:14.660 I am live on location in beautiful Vancouver, British Columbia. Look at that. That is the

00:00:20.320 North Shore behind me. You can see Stanley Park there and English Bay. Absolutely beautiful,

00:00:26.200 beautiful city. And let me tell you, this is a Liberal stronghold. The Liberals typically win

00:00:32.060 every single seat in Vancouver proper. And I want to tell you a little bit about some of the

00:00:36.460 conversations that I have been having here in Vancouver with friends, with family. If you've

00:00:40.800 been tuning into our coverage on the Candice Malcolm Show and here at True North, you'll know

00:00:44.080 that we hired an in-house pollster for this election campaign to help us make sense of the numbers,

00:00:48.780 to break down all those polls. It can sometimes be confusing and to help us understand what

00:00:53.080 demographics the various parties need to go after and need to capture in order to win.

00:00:58.120 So yesterday, Hamish and I had this conversation. One of the key demographics that he did talk about

00:01:02.860 that the Conservatives managed to win in 2011, that was part of their coalition, that they haven't been

00:01:08.240 able to win in the subsequent elections, 2015-2019, is the demographic of women. Basically my demographic. 0.86

00:01:16.420 So I've got kids at home, women in their 30s, their 40s, and even in their 50s, with kids at home,

00:01:22.060 sort of stay-at-home moms or working moms. But that mom demographic is so important.

00:01:27.680 Harper was able to capture that. And like I said, Conservatives have, and that is sort of

00:01:31.920 Trudeau's stronghold. Well, I want to tell you a little bit about some of the conversations that I

00:01:36.640 have been having with people that I know here in Vancouver. So first of all, I'll tell you about one

00:01:41.120 woman that was once a reliably and consistent liberal voter. She is, again, in my demographic,

00:01:47.400 she's college educated. She has two kids. She's a stay-at-home mom. She voted for Trudeau in 2015,

00:01:53.140 voted for Trudeau in 2019. She typically votes green in the provincial election. But having

00:01:58.400 conversations with her during this trip, during this visit, I am floored by how anti-Trudeau

00:02:04.140 she has been over the issue of the lockdowns. The lockdowns have caused absolutely devastating

00:02:10.820 impacts on businesses, on families. The whole idea that the government can order people to stay at home

00:02:16.620 and now order people to get vaccines regardless of whatever their personal views on it. Watching

00:02:22.240 Trudeau play this divisive game, create these wedge issues has really opened my friend's eyes to how

00:02:28.320 divisive the liberals truly are, how basically just unhappy she is with the fact that she's voted for

00:02:33.880 this government and how much she wants to change. To the point where she was talking to me the other 0.76

00:02:38.020 day about a strategic vote. She likes Maxime Bernier. She likes the People's Party. She likes what she hears

00:02:43.460 from them. But she's so committed to voting Justin Trudeau out of office. She was asking me if she

00:02:49.600 should strategically vote for the Conservatives in order to do that. Usually, folks, usually when we

00:02:54.500 hear about the strategic vote, we're talking about parties on the left. So people that would typically

00:02:59.420 be NDP or Green voters wanting to vote Liberal in order to keep the Conservatives out. But it's

00:03:04.680 interesting to hear that coin flip and someone who's so dead set on getting Trudeau out of office

00:03:10.040 that she would be willing to vote for a Conservative. Now, again, I want to emphasize

00:03:13.080 how much this person would have never struck me as a Conservative voter in the past. I would say

00:03:18.960 her values are definitely on the left when it comes to the environment, when it comes to

00:03:23.820 just the basic issues that make up a voter. She's always been a voter on the left. But during this

00:03:29.920 pandemic and the way that the Liberals have acted has brought her over to the right. She told me that

00:03:35.080 the Liberals are not Liberal, that they don't act like Liberals. They don't promote the values of

00:03:39.780 freedom and rights, the whole idea of the Charter. They're not really the party that represent that

00:03:44.160 anymore. And it's interesting because for me, I've been saying that for years and years. And it's just

00:03:48.960 so interesting to hear a person who was a longtime Liberal voter say that. Again, anecdotally, again,

00:03:55.060 I have another person who is in the older demographic. This woman is retired. And she was also a

00:04:01.080 longtime Liberal voter. I know for a fact that she voted for Trudeau in 2015. And again, in 2019,

00:04:07.060 I was talking to this woman yesterday, and she told me that she has had enough. And this is a quote

00:04:11.860 of Justin Trudeau and his swarmy ways. She knows that there needs to be a change. She said that she

00:04:17.120 likes her local Liberal candidate, but she can't bring herself to vote Liberal again. So if Liberals and

00:04:23.320 Justin Trudeau are losing these demographics, women, college educated, both stay at home moms and retirees, 0.99

00:04:29.100 these are the demographics that Trudeau really, really, really needs to win. And these are the

00:04:33.400 demographics that he is losing. And we are seeing this in the polls. We are seeing this reflected.

00:04:38.600 So, you know, these are anecdotal stories, but there are polls and there is data to back this up.

00:04:43.120 And I think that is why you see a very, very desperate Justin Trudeau out on the campaign trail.

00:04:48.200 We've seen him making very vicious statements about anti-vaxxers, really pitting Canadians against each

00:04:53.480 other, going with the whole we versus them attitude. I'm going to play you a clip right now of Trudeau

00:04:58.400 looking incredibly desperate and playing the kind of divisive politics that he used to rally

00:05:03.500 against. He used to cry against. He used to talk about how it was the Conservatives that pitted

00:05:07.720 Canadians against each other, the Conservatives that dehumanized people that they disagreed with.

00:05:12.420 Well, watch the way that he is talking about Canadians who feel uncomfortable getting vaccinated.

00:05:17.020 So, the folks out there tonight shouting, the anti-vaxxers, they're wrong. They are wrong

00:05:26.300 about how we get through this pandemic. And more than just being wrong, because everyone's entitled

00:05:33.940 to their opinions, they are putting at risk their own kids. And they're putting at risk our kids as well.

00:05:42.480 That's why we've been unequivocal. If you want to get on a plane or a train in the coming months,

00:05:49.580 you're going to have to be fully vaccinated. So, families with their kids don't have to worry

00:05:54.440 that someone is going to put them in danger in the seat next to them or across the aisle.

00:06:00.300 And we know that the way to get through this as well is to make sure that people can go into

00:06:08.540 non-essential businesses and feel safe that they're not going to catch COVID from someone

00:06:14.500 next to them. And that means we're going to work with provinces and territories who want to move

00:06:20.240 forward on vaccination certifications, on vaccination passports, so that everyone can be safe. And what's

00:06:27.840 more, the federal government has announced we're going to pay for the development of those privileges

00:06:33.540 that you get once you get vaccinated? Because everyone needs to get vaccinated. And those people

00:06:40.040 are putting us all at risk. And Aaron O'Toole is siding with them instead of with Canadians who did 0.98

00:06:47.960 their part and stepped up. He's talking about personal choice. What about my choice to keep my kids safe?

00:06:56.000 What about our choices to make sure we're getting through this pandemic as quickly as we can?

00:07:00.960 That's the choice we've all made. Canadians have shown it in being there for each other.

00:07:07.480 And I am not going to back down no matter how many of them show up to try and shout us down

00:07:13.600 from what I know to be true, what science tells us, what Canadians have told me, which is people are

00:07:21.440 willing to do their part to get through this pandemic. And that's what we will do together.

00:07:26.740 So shame on you, Aaron O'Toole.

00:07:29.660 Sunny ways. I mean, seriously, this is a prime minister who used to campaign on having a positive

00:07:34.720 vision for Canada, being happy-go-lucky, and again, uniting Canadians. And just look at that.

00:07:39.080 That doesn't look like a leader who is winning a campaign. That doesn't look like a prime minister

00:07:43.320 who is uniting a country. That looks like a desperate man who knows that he is losing.

00:07:47.640 And that's why we saw the Liberals push out their policy platform today to try to distract

00:07:51.440 from the news cycle, distract from the fact that they allowed a candidate to run even though they

00:07:55.560 have known sexual assault abuses. The fact that the whole wedge issue around the unvaccinated 0.82

00:08:00.980 doesn't really hold up. Or the fact that Aaron O'Toole is actually kind of popular among Canadians.

00:08:05.500 Canadians didn't really know very much about Aaron O'Toole. The assumption was that he wasn't

00:08:08.880 going to be able to appeal to them. But the polls are really reflecting that people like what they

00:08:13.640 see in Aaron O'Toole. He seems like a moderate guy. He seems like a bit of a policy wonk, a bit of a nerd,

00:08:18.080 a family-oriented man, a man that served in the military, that really loves his country.

00:08:23.340 And that's providing quite a contrast from Justin Trudeau. So it is really interesting

00:08:27.200 to see this all play out. Again, if Trudeau loses places like Vancouver,

00:08:32.060 loses voters like the people that I was talking about today, he is in very, very big trouble.

00:08:37.240 And I think that we could see a very surprising outcome on the September 20th election.

00:08:41.920 Thank you so much for tuning in. I'm Candace Malcolm and this is The Candace Malcolm Show.

00:08:48.080 Thank you.

Juno News - September 01, 2021

If Trudeau loses this key demographic, it’s over for the Liberals

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