00:00:00.000Welcome to Canada's most irreverent talk show. This is the Andrew Lawton Show, brought to you by True North.
00:00:12.780Coming up, an in-depth look at social conservatism in Canadian politics. Does it have a place? And if so, what place is that?
00:00:22.680The Andrew Lawton Show starts right now.
00:00:26.180Welcome back to the Andrew Lawton Show. It is election fever if you talk to the people that are, quite frankly, the least interesting to talk to, which are those who have no other lives but politics.
00:00:39.760And I count myself in that group. But there is going to be a lot more discussion about it.
00:00:44.600All the rumours are in full force about whether we are going to the polls in July, in August, in September.
00:00:50.500And elections are important. We'll certainly be covering it on this show and at True North.
00:00:54.560But I want to take a look at one of the bigger picture issues in Canadian politics right now, that if you talk to some people, shouldn't even belong in Canadian politics, should not be spoken about in the same vein as those seeking elected office.
00:01:09.420And that is social conservatism, widely heralded by the media as the reason Andrew Scheer lost the 2019 election for the Conservatives.
00:01:18.760And we'll talk about that a little bit. And also a key part of the narrative that is dogging Aaron O'Toole even still, despite him being very vocally not a social conservative.
00:01:29.520He is still getting all the questions from the mainstream media that he would have if he were one.
00:01:34.400So I want to talk about this big question of what is the place, if any, that social conservatism has in Canadian politics.
00:01:41.200And there is going to be a little bit of a prescriptive element of this too.
00:01:45.200How should and how can politicians tackle this issue?
00:01:48.620I have a great panel of people that have been involved in this issue from all sides joining me.
00:01:53.300The co-founders of Right Now, which seeks to nominate and elect social or pro-life candidates specifically to Canadian politics, Alyssa Golob and Scott Hayward.
00:02:04.240And also the communications director for the Canadian Centre for Bioethical Reform, Jonathan Van Maron.
00:02:10.940Jonathan, Alyssa, Scott, thanks so much for being with me today.
00:02:16.840I want to start with you on this, Jonathan, because you had a fantastic piece over at the Bridgehead,
00:02:22.200where you host a show and write and have some great content there.
00:02:26.040You spoke of the moral bankruptcy of Aaron O'Toole's Conservative Party.
00:02:31.040And this seems to be, although it's still early days, he's only been the leader for just under a year.
00:02:37.160You're making a point here that he's not the guy that's going to give social conservatives what they want at this point, it sounds like.
00:02:44.220Well, Aaron O'Toole seems to be the answer to the question, who could be worse than Andrew Scheer?
00:02:48.300Because he doesn't actually seem to have any convictions that he actually wants to operate under.
00:02:53.580I have no idea what his moral vision would be.
00:02:57.100And unless you think that politicians should have no moral vision or moral compass whatsoever, I would wager that that's a bad thing.
00:03:04.220The point of my column mainly was that most of O'Toole's war room, a lot of people quoted in a fairly recent McLean's essay on the growing cleavage in the Conservative Party,
00:03:13.260is that social conservatism, once again, is sort of the boogeyman and that any quarter given to social conservatives on any issue will turn into an automatic loss for Aaron O'Toole.
00:03:23.700And this is a really frustrating narrative because it's not backed by polling.
00:03:28.380It's not backed by the facts on the ground.
00:03:30.320It's not supported by the fact that 80% of the Conservative Caucus just voted for a piece of pro-life legislation.
00:03:37.280It's just sort of one of these political truisms that's become dogma because it's been repeated so many times and because the media happens to prefer it.
00:03:44.960So in my column, I just asked the question, what would be considered a reasonable social conservative policy?
00:03:51.160Would it be something that a supermajority of Canadians support, like a ban on gender selection abortion?
00:03:57.460Would this be something that the majority of Canadians are concerned about, even such as sex changes for children with the growing prominence of the transgender issue?
00:04:05.660What would be the line in the sand that Aaron O'Toole and his Conservatives are not willing to cross?
00:04:10.580Because from where I'm sitting, it just looks like if you can put the name social conservative on it, it's therefore scary and must be backed away from at all costs.
00:04:19.500In short, Justin Trudeau and his Liberals and those on the left get to define all moral issues and Conservatives can only ever say anything about climate change and maybe having a better accountant than Trudeau does.
00:04:32.460Yeah, I think you raise a lot of important points there that we'll delve into over the next little while.
00:04:37.920And it actually lends to a question I had for you, Scott, because Jonathan lays out the point, I think, very clearly that there is this fear in Conservatives that you're just not allowed to touch these issues.
00:04:47.800You're not allowed to tackle them. And you get some people that say Conservatives need to be bold, that winning if you don't do anything doesn't really matter.
00:04:55.760But you actually have looked at the numbers and think that these are, in fact, winnable issues, contrary to the prevailing narrative you get among the political class and a lot of the media.
00:05:05.960Yeah, absolutely. And I'll talk specifically about some of the pro-life issues, because that's what our organization is focused solely on.
00:05:13.360And those are the numbers that I know. So, for example, like Jonathan mentioned the other week, as of recording the segment here, we have Bill C-233, a private member's bill from Kathy Wagenthal, who is a member of Parliament from rural Saskatchewan, seeking to more or less illegally restrict sex-selective abortion.
00:05:33.140Of course, most of your viewers will know, Andrew, that in Canada, we're only one of two countries in the world where there is no law whatsoever regulating abortion, either federally or provincially.
00:05:42.100So, you know, this would be a fairly good piece of legislation from our perspective to begin to bring Canada kind of into that average around the world.
00:05:51.620It's a piece of legislation when you look at polling and supported by one of those supermajorities that Jonathan talks about.
00:05:58.000You know, you're talking about 82% of Canadians across the country, 83% of Quebecers, you know, 80% plus of women specifically on this issue support legally restricting sex-selective abortion.
00:06:08.420For the organization that Alyssa and I work with right now, back in September of 2020, we did a poll that not only asked, you know, if Canadians support something like this, but would it actually change their vote?
00:06:20.620And there were some really cool things that we found in there.
00:06:23.120So, for example, 47% of females from the ages of 18 to 34 would be more likely to vote for a political party that promised to legally restrict sex-selective abortion, as opposed to 6% who would be less likely to do so.
00:06:39.820When you go into Quebec, you know, 61% of those who voted for the Bloc Québécois in 2019 would be more likely to vote for a political party that promised to legally restrict sex-selective abortion.
00:06:50.680So, these are all constituencies, voter blocks, that the Conservative Party of Canada desperately needs to actually win a majority government.
00:07:02.240You know, you can look at late-term abortion.
00:07:03.900You have some similar numbers there, pain-capability abortion.
00:07:06.740So, these are reasonable pro-life policies that are in many other different countries, both in kind of the Western world and otherwise, and that are supported by a good swath of Canadians.
00:07:18.260There are votes that, for whatever reason, are being left, and seats for that matter, that are being left on the table by the Conservative Party of Canada.
00:07:27.960The woman factor, I think, is interesting there.
00:07:31.960Now, Alyssa, I know you get this all the time, because I see you fielding all of these troll attacks on Twitter.
00:07:38.060But that myth that's peddled that women don't care about these issues, that women are the ones that are the most put off by it, doesn't sound like that's actually the case.
00:07:48.400And I mean, polling members show that, and politicians show that.
00:07:52.140I mean, Leslyn Lewis in the last Conservative leadership race surprised everyone and won many more votes, many more provinces, even became first place in some ridings because of her common sense policies and her pro-life stance.
00:08:07.860She said she had no hidden agenda, and she had multiple pro-life policies like sex-selective abortion and helping women in crisis pregnancies that resonated with people who are not only pro-life, but who identified as pro-choice as well.
00:08:20.620So I think that these types of talking points resonate among all Canadians, most especially women.
00:08:26.560Like Scott mentioned, the sex-selective abortion bill was supported by, you know, half of women in between the ages of 18 and 34, which is really important as well.
00:08:40.360It's a human rights issue, but women are definitely on board with these policies.
00:08:43.640Let's take a step back even further if we can here and define social conservative, because this is something where to right now, and you mentioned this, Scott, there's a focus on abortion specifically and the pro-life issue and pro-life politicians.
00:08:58.840But when a lot of people hear social conservative, I don't know if they think of it in narrow terms about specific issues or if they go even more broadly and think about, oh, you know, people that are trying to ban gay marriage or people that are trying to roll back the clock on gay rights.
00:09:14.900And I think you mentioned in your opening remarks, Jonathan, there are a lot of issues that are social issues that are relevant in Canadian politics, whether it is on transgender issues, whether it is on sex-selective abortion.
00:09:27.140But do we have a working definition of what a social conservative is in a contemporary Canadian political context?
00:09:35.680No, right now, I think social conservative is understood generally as reporters use it as sort of the pelvic issues, right?
00:09:43.180And the same-sex marriage debate is over and has been over in Canada for a very long time.
00:09:48.080There's nobody that I know, even those who disagree with same-sex marriage, who think that, you know, that's going to be rolled back.
00:09:53.960Although Trudeau and the liberals understandably like to use that as sort of a fear tactic, right?
00:09:58.900The conservatives as people who want to take away your rights.
00:10:01.540But again, if you look at social conservative just as conserving social norms that had some value, that's when we do get into things like the transgender issue.
00:10:10.820And one of the reasons that's such a particularly interesting debate is just like with abortion, you have in almost every other Western democracy,
00:10:16.940robust debates on these issues based on scientific facts, based on data, based on polling that just don't seem to happen here.
00:10:24.780So in the United Kingdom, for example, which is probably the most similar to us in regards to their political system,
00:10:31.800there's a robust debate going on around, for example, transgender treatments for minors, right?
00:10:37.060You have left-wing newspapers like The Guardian that this month published an article that would never have made it into a Canadian newspaper
00:10:44.320talking about biological males playing on female sports teams.
00:10:48.120You have the National Health Service being excoriated by the public broadcaster over there, the BBC, for rushing people into transition.
00:10:55.340And there's sort of this robust debate even that's not restricted ideologically.
00:10:59.760You've got both left-wingers and right-wingers, conservatives and liberals kind of looking at the facts and debating the issue.
00:11:05.900Whereas here, if you raise any question whatsoever about any of these issues, whether you point to baby girls being aborted just because they're baby girls,
00:11:13.640when you talk about the fact that, you know, there's a huge spike in girls identifying as boys to the tune of thousands of percent of a spike,
00:11:22.380those are things you're just not allowed to talk about or you're labeled a social conservative, a bigot, and all of these things.
00:11:27.700And so the discussion just gets cut off.
00:11:29.880Now, in terms of defining social conservative, there are many different ways of addressing social conservative issues.
00:11:36.700And if somebody like Erin O'Toole came forward and said, look, I don't think this law or that law is politically viable right now,
00:11:43.360but I understand that the pro-life movement wants there to be fewer abortions.