Juno News - April 25, 2019


Justin Trudeau vs the Provinces


Episode Stats


Length

2 minutes

Words per minute

173.93991

Word count

469

Sentence count

1


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Andrew Lawton explains why Justin Trudeau is quickly finding himself without friends in Canada, and why the federal election is going to be a referendum on the Prime Minister's carbon tax and carbon pricing scheme. He also explains why there's no guarantee that Canadian voters will vote for him again in 2019.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
00:00:00.000 Well when you look at the map of Canada there's arguably a blue wave unfolding
00:00:14.400 across the country with last week's election of Jason Kenney and the United
00:00:18.240 Conservative Party to being the majority government in Alberta and it's quite a
00:00:22.760 far cry from what was the case in Canada a few years ago you had Liberal
00:00:26.880 and New Democrat governments almost across the country with just one lone holdout
00:00:31.320 and that was Saskatchewan and now we've got blue blue blue blue blue even in
00:00:35.700 Quebec which is arguably the least likely province to have Conservative
00:00:39.420 representation now the problem with this is that it's easy for Conservatives with
00:00:43.800 a small C across the country to get fairly complacent or overly cocky anyway
00:00:48.720 heading into the federal election scheduled to take place in just six
00:00:52.440 months time now I'm not saying there shouldn't be some cautious optimism we
00:00:56.820 know that Conservatism as a message is certainly unfolding and has a lot of
00:01:00.900 champions from Doug Ford in Ontario to now Jason Kenney in Alberta Scott Moe in
00:01:05.760 Saskatchewan Blaine Higgs Francois Legault the list goes on but in Canada it's not a
00:01:11.400 guarantee that provincial outcomes translate to federal outcomes and vice
00:01:15.360 versa in fact when you look at the history of Confederation a lot of the
00:01:18.720 times there is specifically an opposing political party at the federal level than
00:01:24.280 at the provincial levels in many cases in Canada nothing is guaranteed and a lot
00:01:28.780 can change within the next six months but it is interesting how much the federal
00:01:33.100 government has really pitted itself against the provinces I covered this last
00:01:37.360 week at Osgoode Hall where I still am today for the carbon tax court reference
00:01:41.920 case in which the federal government was fighting tooth and nail for its right to
00:01:46.420 impose a carbon tax and carbon pricing scheme on provinces that didn't and still do
00:01:52.280 not want one and I made the prediction months ago that if Justin Trudeau makes
00:01:56.780 the 2019 election about the carbon tax he's going to find that he has no allies
00:02:01.880 in the average Canadian who frankly doesn't want to pay for such a carbon tax
00:02:06.380 that's the proposition here if Trudeau makes the election about fighting for a
00:02:10.500 tax he's going to lose but the other dimension to that is that if Trudeau finds
00:02:15.020 himself with no allies in provincial governments even if he does win another
00:02:18.980 term in 2019 he's not really going to have any allies to advance his enormous
00:02:23.600 policies there are some key issues to watch for in 2019 from carbon tax to
00:02:28.280 provincial rights and autonomy to firearms to general cost of living but
00:02:32.980 suffice it to say Justin Trudeau is very quickly finding himself without friends
00:02:37.280 in Canada for Trudeau North I'm Andrew Lawton