Gerald Butts is back in the Prime Minister's office, which is a bit of a surprise to many of us, especially after he resigned as a cabinet minister in 2015. Butts has been a long-time member of the Liberal leadership team, and was a key part of Justin Trudeau's team when he was first elected in 2015, but now he's back.
00:00:00.000Good afternoon, Canada. Welcome to another True North report. My name is Andrew Lawton, fellow with True North, here for another one of our weekly updates, broadcasting live on Facebook, or if you're seeing it after the fact, we are here from the live stream's digital grave, where you get to partake in all of the glory and splendor of the cast, just without being able to ask questions live.
00:00:21.860But you can still watch it, so whether you're tuning in live or tuning in after the fact, it's good to have you. Thanks very much for watching in the heat of the summer, which certainly I think has been worse depending on where you are. I think we had a minus, or not a minus, minus 40 degree is like what it is in probably Alberta right now, but we had a plus 40 degree day, I think a little over a week ago, but we're back to like a good, you know, nice chilly and breezy plus 34 today, so that's all good.
00:00:49.620Regardless, thanks very much everyone for tuning in. I want to expand today on a video that I did yesterday, a little two and a half minute video, which was really just an immediate reaction to the news that Gerald Butts was back.
00:01:06.020And I think that the first question that I asked, and I think that a lot of Canadians asked, when we saw the news that Gerald Butts was taking on a senior role with the Liberals, was did he even leave in the first place?
00:01:18.620Because no one really bought it, and I certainly talked about it, and I think a pre-recorded video, or even one of these live videos, that I didn't believe he was going anywhere, and I believe, and I don't want to claim that I was totally the oracle.
00:01:32.180But I'm pretty confident that I even said at one point, he'll be back in time for the campaign, and I recall thinking it, I think I said it, I hope I said it, because if not, I'll sound like really ridiculous, just pretending that I've predicted something with perfect accuracy.
00:01:49.160It doesn't happen often, but it does happen from time to time, because I was confident that he'd be back in time for the election, because Justin Trudeau does not even know how to tie his shoes without Gerald Butts, so I certainly don't think he knows how to win an election without Gerald Butts.
00:02:04.920I think the question was always going to be how visible was Butts going to be in what he was doing, not whether he'd be doing something in the first place.
00:02:14.620And this brings us to what's been happening in the Prime Minister's office going back to July.
00:02:21.480It was in May. Thank you very much. Maggie's my new favorite person today. Maggie says, you did say that, I heard it. Okay, good.
00:02:28.220So Maggie is proof that I said at some point four months ago or five months ago that Butts will be back in time for the election.
00:02:35.820So I'm not crazy. I appreciate it. Thank you very much, Maggie. I'm even going to give you a like as my show of gratitude, which took very little effort,
00:02:44.220but it's all I can do right now. So thank you. So there we go. It's Maggie Dick approved that I did predict this months ago.
00:02:52.140But again, it also wasn't that ridiculous or contrived a prediction, because as I mentioned, Trudeau does not know how to do anything without Gerald Butts there.
00:03:02.180So what I assumed would happen is that he'd become a little bit more of a behind the scenes guy, more than he was already.
00:03:11.000What he has done instead is decided to embrace with gusto his new role.
00:03:17.000And the Liberals, again, were very proud of his return. The Liberals were very proud of his return.
00:03:22.540It was a party official saying that he's going to play a role. And they weren't hiding it. They were not at all secretive of it.
00:03:32.240They were saying that he's going to be a great member of the team. And it shouldn't be a surprise.
00:03:37.840You know, Lauren Gunter had a great column in The Sun where he said, you know, he asked the same question I did.
00:03:44.260Number one, did you really think he was gone? And number two, are you really all that surprised he's back?
00:03:50.040And Gunter arrives at his conclusion through very similar means to my own, which is that Trudeau and Butts have been friends for years.
00:03:56.960He managed Trudeau's leadership campaign. He managed the Liberal campaign. He managed the election.
00:04:02.660And then he served in the Prime Minister's office.
00:04:05.100So the connections between the two are not at all surprising to people.
00:04:13.300Where I come in here with my frustration is the brazenness of the Liberals in bringing him back after he, quite honestly, resigned in disgrace.
00:07:08.480It is not surprising that Butts decided to return or announce the return during the summer months.
00:07:15.360No one's paying attention to news in the summer.
00:07:17.660And more importantly, the election is still just shy of three months away, which means Butts' return is literally a one-day news story right now that everyone's going to forget by the time Civic Holiday on Monday rolls around.
00:07:30.920And by the time the election rolls around, no one will even care.
00:07:34.040It'll be Jerry who? And that's the way he wants it.
00:07:37.960So what Butts has accomplished here is not difficult, but it is very shrewd.
00:07:42.940Because he's made it so that there's going to be a little blip of criticism and then everyone moves on.
00:07:47.460And the reason everyone moves on is because everyone has gotten over the SNC-Lavalin scandal.
00:07:54.220And this was the thesis of the video that I put out on this yesterday.
00:07:58.060And I had a little bit of negative pushback from people on Twitter that were accusing me of saying that...
00:08:06.000Well, they were basically accusing me of making it so that the SNC-Lavalin thing should be old news.
00:08:11.760And I'm saying, no, no, no, I don't want it to be old news. I'm saying that it is.
00:08:15.820I'm taking an analytical stand and saying that this is, in fact, old.
00:08:21.640Canadians have moved on. Canadians don't care.
00:08:25.160And what was so interesting about this case is that it was the biggest scandal in Canadian politics in quite some time.
00:08:31.920Certainly the biggest scandal of Justin Trudeau's premiership.
00:08:35.560And I'd say it eclipses and outpaces the Bahamas' vacations, any broken policy promises.
00:08:42.340This was the big scandal that Justin Trudeau had to weather.
00:08:46.140Bigger than any scandal that Stephen Harper did.
00:08:48.180I'd say bigger than ad scam, going back to Jacques Chetien.
00:08:52.320So this story should have been enough to disrupt the political discussion, maybe even disrupt an election, had it happened during the election.
00:09:12.960And I said in a column that I'm writing on the subject here, which will be out pretty soon, that three months away for the election might as well be three years away for a lot of voters because people fundamentally aren't paying attention.
00:09:40.820The Liberals know that people have moved on from it, which is how they can justify bringing back Gerald Butts, who resigned in the midst of the SNC-Lavalin scandal the first time around.
00:09:50.440I want to read a snippet here, if I may, of a National Post piece written by Brian Platt.
00:09:57.240And the headline, Liberals Gamble, that bringing Gerald Butts back for election campaign is worth reviving SNC-Lavalin scandal.
00:10:06.020And he says that, you know, Gerald Butts is back, the lab scamsters are reunited and nothing has changed.
00:10:12.900That's a quote from Pierre Poilievre, who added,
00:10:16.020If Trudeau and Butts are returned to power, we will see more SNC-Lavalin scams.
00:10:20.800The modus operandi that we saw in this scandal will continue, and it will worsen.
00:10:26.300For the Liberals, bringing back Butts, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's longtime friend, confidant, and indispensable advisor for the election campaign,
00:10:34.400is a gamble that his political skills are worth the cost of giving the opposition parties the gift of resurrecting the scandal.
00:10:42.300But I think the devil is in the details here, in that this article quotes Pierre Poilievre doing a press conference about this.
00:10:49.980How many Canadians do you think know or care that Pierre Poilievre has condemned this?
00:10:55.960Jagmeet Singh has condemned it, Andrew Scheer has condemned it, Pierre Poilievre have.
00:11:00.300I mean, the condemnations are irrelevant to most Canadians,
00:11:04.040and they are footnotes to a story that itself seems to be a bit of a footnote in Canadian politics right now.
00:11:12.300And when you want to understand how Lab Scam, which is a great name for it, quite frankly,
00:11:18.680but how the SNC-Lavalin scandal became a footnote,
00:11:23.320you'd have to understand a bit about how people in Canada that are outside of the bubble,
00:11:29.020that are outside of, you know, the group of us, which is a small but dedicated group,
00:11:33.520that just live for this stuff and immerse ourselves in this.
00:11:36.240But you have to, I guess, ask the question of how on earth something so big could go by the wayside.
00:11:44.880And the answer to that is simply that people don't live and breathe politics.
00:15:55.320I mean, Trudeau let her speak her truth about a few key issues.
00:15:59.760But she said there's a lot more that she wanted to say and couldn't because of things that happen outside of the pertinent window.
00:16:05.860And there were people that were saying, well, you know, she could probably say more anyway.
00:16:11.780Whether that's true or not, she was under the perception or at least relaying the perception to Canadians that she had more to say.
00:16:18.160Trudeau could have, with a stroke of a pen, let that happen and didn't,
00:16:21.200which suggests that Trudeau may be afraid of what was going to be said.
00:16:27.500Rhonda writes, did S&C not just get awarded a contract to fix water problems in northern Ontario?
00:16:32.880I don't know about a specific contract, but I do know that it is business as usual for them.
00:16:38.020And this is why I argue that they long ago should have been banned from bidding on federal contracts,
00:16:44.340given how many issues they've had with corruption, criminal charges, allegations of criminality.
00:16:52.860You know, the idea that they are still operating as a private company, fine.
00:16:59.780The idea that they're operating as a private company that's getting millions of dollars or at the very least hundreds of thousands of dollars on certain government contracts is unconscionable.
00:17:09.200And no one, except for Charlie Angus of the NDP, was prepared to raise that discussion.
00:17:14.860So I thank you for bringing that up, Rhonda.
00:17:37.560I mean, it sounds like I'm being mean, but, you know, it's the reality that any mentality that is based in groupthink,
00:17:44.400and I'm talking about the major progressivism, any mentality based in groupthink will thrive when you can't have any individual thought or knowledge.
00:17:53.360And this is why free speech is such an important issue.
00:17:57.200But the SNC-Lavalin case is relevant and pertinent to that dialogue because no one wants to be the one that risks standing alone to say,