Juno News - Nobody voted for this...

00:00:00.000 If you were Mr. Polyev, would you quit today?

00:00:04.160 I don't. That's an unfair question.

00:00:14.400 Well, the Liberal-majority government that Canadians did not vote for is here,

00:00:19.660 thanks to four Conservative floor-crossers and one NDP floor-crosser.

00:00:25.120 Yes, it was made official by the results of three by-elections on Monday,

00:00:30.000 but let's be honest here all three of those writings were held by liberal mps before the

00:00:35.360 by-elections were called so this majority government for the first time in canadian history

00:00:40.480 was formed entirely through floor crossing this is politically unprecedented territory that we are

00:00:46.400 now in and let's be honest about this as well it does undermine canadian democracy it doesn't mean

00:00:53.280 canadian democracy is over it doesn't mean that mark carney is some evil villain it just does

00:01:00.160 undermine democracy definitionally it does canadians did not give this government a majority mandate

00:01:06.800 and yet they manufactured one but let's not pretend as if the blame on this doesn't largely

00:01:12.880 fall with the conservative party in the last federal election the liberal party won 169 seats

00:01:19.520 four conservative floor crossers alone gave the liberal party 173 seats a majority plus one

00:01:27.120 which covers them with the speaker add lori idlow to that mix from the ndp and you get to where we

00:01:32.720 are now 174 so whatever exactly happened in the minds of those four conservative mps that decided

00:01:39.920 they would have a better home in the liberal caucus to turn their back on their voters is

00:01:46.480 still to be fully understood you could maybe make a case for some of these mps but for maryland 0.95

00:01:52.640 gladu the social conservative that's a hard case to make she essentially has sacrificed herself

00:02:00.000 and her political career just to undermine pierre polyeth maybe there's a patronage position down 0.98

00:02:06.240 the road maybe there's an ambassadorship to fiji somewhere in her agreement with mark carney but

00:02:10.880 But otherwise, this makes very little sense, if not to personally undermine Pierre Paglia.

00:02:16.860 So where do we go from here as conservatives in this country?

00:02:19.840 Just months before the 2025 federal election, many in this country felt as though the conservatives

00:02:27.400 were going to lead this country with the majority of their own.

00:02:30.860 Today, leading Canada feels further away than it has in years.

00:02:37.860 Today, Conservatives won't get another shot at a federal election until potentially 2029.

00:02:45.340 That will take us to about 15 years of liberal rule in Canada.

00:02:50.580 On this episode of Ratioed, I just want to talk about two options I see for the Conservative Party over this period of time.

00:02:59.540 We're going to talk about Pierre Polyev's survival as leader,

00:03:02.640 and I'm also going to talk about what I think the viewer can do to get involved and to make a

00:03:07.880 difference. Juno News is delivering Canadians with hard-hitting, reliable, and most importantly,

00:03:13.600 with truly independent journalism. Unlike other media outlets, Juno News doesn't take government

00:03:19.500 handouts. So you can use my code junonews.com slash HarrisonReturn to get a discount on a

00:03:26.920 Juno News subscription. I get my news on Juno and you should too. As always, before we get into it,

00:03:33.180 be sure to drop a like on this video, subscribe to the Juno News YouTube channel, and the common

00:03:37.660 question for the episode is this. If Pierre Polyev leaves as leader, who should lead the

00:03:44.420 Conservative Party next? Let me know your answer in the comments below and let's get into it.

00:03:49.280 Whether it was the Joe Rogan podcast appearance or the Canada-US relations speech delivered in

00:03:54.780 Toronto, both of which were great, by the way, for Polyev, neither moment has managed to stop

00:04:01.720 the bleeding. Neither moment has managed to lead to a turning point for the leader of the party.

00:04:09.000 Let's just be completely blunt about this. Despite those two great moments, the Canada-US speech,

00:04:15.400 the Joe Rogan appearance, floor crossings persisted. The polls haven't budged. And right

00:04:21.780 Right now, it feels as if the Conservative Party has reached one of its lowest moments.

00:04:26.680 Mark Carney now leads a majority government that he can ride out until 2029.

00:04:31.680 I don't know about you guys, but I receive so many weird spam messages and spam phone

00:04:37.560 calls.

00:04:38.560 But luckily, there is actually something you can do about it.

00:04:41.820 Here at Juno, we value personal privacy.

00:04:45.380 If you also believe that your personal information should stay personal, this will be worth your

00:04:50.780 time.

00:04:51.780 most people don't realize is that your personal information is being bought and sold right now

00:04:57.060 as we speak without your consent. What really surprised me was how this worked. There's a whole

00:05:02.440 industry of companies called data brokers, and most of us have never even heard of them, but

00:05:07.620 they're constantly buying, collecting, and selling our data and our personal information. And the

00:05:13.460 crazy part is you never signed up for this. These data brokers pull your information from apps,

00:05:19.660 websites, and public records, then turn around and sell it to whoever wants it.

00:05:24.780 This could include your phone number, your address, even your email, which contributes

00:05:29.240 to all of those endless spam calls and texts and sketchy emails that you've been receiving.

00:05:34.500 This is where Incogni comes in.

00:05:36.480 Incogni is a service that automatically removes your personal data from the internet.

00:05:41.160 They go out and contact hundreds of data brokers on your behalf and request that your information

00:05:46.660 be removed.

00:05:47.760 And the best part about this, you don't have to do anything at all.

00:05:51.940 No chasing websites, no filling out endless forms.

00:05:55.340 They handle it all for you and continue the process so your data doesn't pop back up again.

00:06:00.720 So if you're tired of spam or you're worried about new scams, or just don't like the idea

00:06:05.260 of your data being bought and sold without your consent, we recommend checking out Incogni.

00:06:12.220 You can scan the QR code on screen or click the link in the description below.

00:06:16.200 It takes just a couple of minutes to sign up and you can instantly start reducing your

00:06:20.620 online footprint.

00:06:22.000 We always talk about freedom here at Juno, but that also includes your digital life too.

00:06:26.620 If you care about privacy, this is one of the easiest and fastest ways to take back

00:06:31.220 control of your personal information.

00:06:34.200 The power that a prime minister of Canada has in relation to other Western democracies

00:06:40.420 is far greater.

00:06:42.200 For example, far more than the UK prime minister and even the president of the United States.

00:06:47.200 That's why many consider Canada to be what is described as an imperial democracy.

00:06:53.280 He has complete control over judicial appointments.

00:06:55.440 He has complete control over Senate appointments.

00:06:58.260 He can appoint the leaders of Canadian crown corporations.

00:07:01.600 Pretty much every major position at the top of the Canadian government and the Canadian

00:07:05.360 political system is in Mark Carney's hands.

00:07:08.520 now with the majority government, Mark Carney has complete control over the House of Commons.

00:07:13.300 Canadian parliamentarians are some of the most disciplined in the world, meaning that they

00:07:18.000 pretty much always vote with their party leader. Carney can expect to wield this enormous power

00:07:23.820 for many years. It's bleak. There's simply no other way around it. But let's step back for a

00:07:29.940 moment and look elsewhere. In 2024, Keir Starmer won a landslide majority government, completely

00:07:36.060 decimating the uk tory party after a prolonged period of conservative rule today the labor party

00:07:43.020 is polling in fourth place behind the green party leading in the polls is nigel farage's reform party

00:07:51.260 trailed in a distant second place by the conservatives if this poll was to hold reform

00:07:56.940 and the tory party would hold a considerable share of the vote and could control the balance of power

00:08:03.180 in westminster political fortunes can change very quickly in australia the situation is even more

00:08:10.540 interesting the anti-mass migration right-wing alternative party one nation led by pauline

00:08:16.620 hansen is now pulling ahead of the liberal national coalition which is essentially the

00:08:22.700 center-right party of australia traditionally the liberal national coalition is the most dominant

00:08:29.660 party in Australia. But if this were to hold in the next election, there's a possibility that

00:08:35.480 right-wing parties in Australia could hold the balance of power, One Nation, and the Liberal

00:08:41.080 National Coalition. Now let's just point out the obvious fact here. In both examples I just cited,

00:08:47.900 the party that is the most interesting to watch, in the UK the party that is leading, and in

00:08:52.620 Australia the party that is making a surge, are alternative anti-conservative establishment

00:08:59.180 political parties a populist protest movement against establishment conservative parties

00:09:05.900 that have failed to actually govern conservatively the uk tories of course are the worst offenders

00:09:12.540 of this with the only conservative aspect of the party being its name but the liberals in australia

00:09:18.060 aren't too far behind either which is what has led to this sudden collapse in the establishment

00:09:24.300 conservative vote and the rise in these protest alternative movements. We just don't have that

00:09:31.000 in Canada. The PPC was never viable and it has now been relegated to being a joke. So with all

00:09:37.600 that being said, I believe there are two options here in front of the conservative party. Crucially,

00:09:42.680 none of which are guaranteed to succeed and neither of which will I be personally endorsing.

00:09:48.540 I'm just giving you two options for the direction I think the party could take at this obvious low

00:09:53.500 point in the party's history the first option become a regional coalition split between the

00:09:59.980 west and the east here's why i say this federal conservatives do not seem able to make considerable

00:10:07.980 electoral inroads in eastern ridings the same way that provincial conservatives can

00:10:13.820 tug ford is able to consistently win liberal gta ridings in provincial elections where you have a

00:10:21.660 considerable number of voters that are voting liberal federally and conservative provincially

00:10:27.740 in newfoundland a conservative tony wakem has just won now he's not a western conservative

00:10:34.620 he is firmly what you would describe as a progressive conservative tim houston is the

00:10:40.060 same way this same approach can be said for prince edward island and although new brunswick

00:10:45.740 is now led by a liberal blaine higgs was able to win new brunswick so why is it that we just

00:10:51.340 can't seem to see the same federal gains that we're seeing at a provincial level it's pretty

00:10:57.340 obvious that the ideological base of the modern conservative party is in the west it is in alberta

00:11:04.140 i think that's pretty uncontroversial to say at this point and i will also say that it's really

00:11:09.340 important that a major federal party is that connected with the west in canada i think it's

00:11:15.260 good for canada but is it good electorally is it working if for example you had a progressive

00:11:22.060 conservative party that was focused on winning over seats in the east in ontario all the way

00:11:28.140 out to newfoundland that operated in the same style as doug ford tony wakem or tim houston

00:11:34.620 and then you had a western conservative party call it the conservative party of canada that

00:11:40.700 operated in the style of danielle smith or scott moe then potentially you could actually form a

00:11:46.940 legitimate coalition and ensure that conservatives hold on to power now this is not guaranteed to

00:11:54.060 work i want to stress that and i also want to stress that i'm not proposing anything totally

00:11:58.540 original here this has been brought up before i'm just offering it as a potential idea to try and

00:12:03.980 overcome this eastern issue the other option of course is to go full-throated conservatism to try

00:12:11.580 a reform style campaign shift now this may require a new leader to signal a genuine turning point for

00:12:19.020 the party but it might not have to what i mean by this is that the conservative party could try at

00:12:24.860 this point to go all in on conservatism no holds barred i'm talking about running on immigration

00:12:33.340 restrictionism, an elimination of ethnic politics from government, mass deportations, bringing back

00:12:40.440 the death penalty, and a willingness to adopt social conservative policies. Look, this is not

00:12:46.940 a complete list of ideas and it's by no means extensive here. I think you know what I'm getting

00:12:51.220 at here. Going full-throated conservatism all the way and just seeing what happens.

00:12:57.300 at this point i imagine there's quite a few conservative voters that just want to see it

00:13:03.520 they just want to see what happens who feel like there really isn't much to lose at this point

00:13:08.560 the risk with this one is high for sure you could walk into the worst electoral defeat in decades or

00:13:15.340 generations with this strategy it could result in another 15 years of liberal rule but for many

00:13:22.580 many years now conservatives have not actually tried this approach they have tried to dance

00:13:29.320 around this approach they've tried to be conservative sometimes and more centrist most

00:13:36.140 of the time they've taken almost the posture of being slightly ashamed of how they actually feel

00:13:41.060 on most issues but i'm talking about an approach that is bordering near reckless abandon full

00:13:48.520 conservatism this would certainly differentiate the conservative party from the liberal party

00:13:54.040 it would give canadian voters the greatest contrast yet at the ballot box when you read

00:13:59.800 comments on social media from conservative supporters you'll often hear people urging

00:14:05.800 the party to adopt a gloves off approach to be more conservative to not be afraid of receiving

00:14:12.520 negative media backlash this is what i think they're getting at here and it is obviously an

00:14:18.360 option we've seen it work and if you look at the way the political winds are changing in the west

00:14:25.400 those that are adopting these positions are in some cases reaping the rewards in others not so

00:14:32.120 much but there is something happening here look you may feel quite depressed about all of this

00:14:37.400 if you're a conservative in canada which almost all of you are if you happen to be a liberal

00:14:43.240 watching this video to embrace the conservative cope well i hope you've enjoyed it but i came

00:14:49.240 across a tweet from national post columnist tristan hopper earlier this week that i wanted

00:14:53.960 to share because i think it's really important at this point in time he wrote this one thing i

00:14:59.960 advise young canadians particularly men is to join something a church a service organization any

00:15:06.680 anything strengthen your community and that community becomes less easy to divide and exploit

00:15:12.120 now you don't need to get involved politically but i also urge all of you watching to get involved

00:15:17.560 in your federal and provincial electoral district associations your local conservative boards you

00:15:24.840 can actually urge the party to adopt policy changes you can actually make a difference

00:15:32.120 if you bring in numbers if you are serious the country is obviously in a bad way right now

00:15:40.040 morale is low especially if you're a conservative now is the time to get involved not to wait around

00:15:46.440 for politicians not to wait around for mps to speak up for you this is an all hands on deck

00:15:53.320 moment for canada and for people who are genuinely serious let's briefly just touch on the leadership

00:15:59.800 of pierre pauliev here already the toronto sun for example is making the case that if pierre

00:16:05.800 pauliev continues to lose conservative mps he can no longer hold on to the leadership of the

00:16:11.080 conservative party i think it's a fair point to make and it's especially poignant coming from

00:16:16.600 the toronto sun loyal to the conservative cause no doubt pierre pauliev has more charisma more energy

00:16:24.280 than erin o'toole and andrew sheer there was really no debate about that people believed

00:16:29.720 that pierre paulia was going to become prime minister i'm sure that hundreds of thousands

00:16:34.200 of canadians if not a million conservative canadians believe that he still can become

00:16:38.760 prime minister but the problem is that he cannot get a grip on the polling the prime minister is

00:16:44.680 wildly popular and there are many reasons for that not everyone who supports mark carney is a raging

00:16:51.560 liberal, woke, social justice warrior. We need to be honest about this as conservatives.

00:16:58.160 Mark Carney is wildly popular. Pierre Polyev is not nearly as popular as Mark Carney. So we are

00:17:04.940 in the early stages of a serious reckoning. We are back in that cycle as conservatives.

00:17:11.320 And we're going to have to see if the party can hold on to what it has, wait for a liberal

00:17:18.660 scandal. Wait for something that might finally change the channel on this message that Mark

00:17:26.960 Carney is running away with power in this country and that he's going to hold on to it until 2029.

00:17:34.360 All right, everyone, that's going to do it for us today on the show. A reminder that you can use

00:17:38.520 my link, junonews.com slash Harrison return to get a discount on a Juno news subscription. And

00:17:45.280 further reminder to engage in the comment question of this video if pierre pauliev is to leave as

00:17:51.120 conservative leader who would you like to lead the conservative party next let me know in the

00:17:57.360 in the comments below. My name is Harrison Faulkner, and this is

00:18:01.680 ratio.

Juno News - April 16, 2026

Nobody voted for this...

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript