Preston Manningļ¼ Mark Carney will be Canadaās LAST Prime Minister
Episode Stats
Harmful content
Misogyny
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Hate speech
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Summary
Former Reform Party Leader Preston Manning joins The Candice Malcolm Show to talk about his time as a politician, the recent election results, and what he thinks of the current Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau. He also shares his thoughts on the current state of the country, and why he thinks it's time for Canada to separate from the United States.
Transcript
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Hi, I'm Candice Malcolm and this is The Candice Malcolm Show. I hope everyone had a wonderful
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weekend and to all of the mothers out there, happy Mother's Day. I hope you were spoiled
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and I hope you had a wonderful time. Of course, I'm a mother of four small children and my
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kids absolutely love Mother's Day. They've been making Mother's Day cards for like a
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month and as soon as Mother's Day was over, as soon as they gave me the cards, they started
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immediately on making their Father's Day cards. So it was all very fun and very cute. I want
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to give a quick shout out though to my own mother because so much of the reason that
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my life is the way it is and the way that I am able to have four kids and also run a business
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and be a journalist and have a podcast is because my mom actually lives with us and she does
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so much. So having a basically a stay-at-home grandmother is like the best gift that we
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could give to our children and she's actually out on her own adventure right now. She's not
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here. She is in Spain. So her and her sister have decided to go off on sort of the adventure
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of a lifetime. They're doing the Way of St. James or as it's called in Spanish, the Camino
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de Santiago, where they're basically walking across Spain doing an 800-kilometer pilgrimage
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from Balboa. They flew into Madrid and then up Balboa and then they are walking across the
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country, a 30-day trek and they're really having the adventure of a lifetime. So I'm so proud
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of my mom for going and doing this with her sister, having this time for herself, for her health
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and her faith and everything like that. And we really miss you and we can't wait for you
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to come home, grandma. Okay. Now to get to the news today, I am very pleased as an interview
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I've been trying to set up for some time because this person is so relevant to the conversation
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that we are having in Canada. Right now I'm talking about Preston Manning. Preston is the
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founder and the leader of the Reform Party. He led that party from 1987 to 2000 and he was
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the leader of the official opposition from 1997 to 2000 and always just a voice of wisdom
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in these troublesome times, especially talking about the pathway towards independence or the
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question of independence for Western Canada and for Alberta. So Preston, welcome to the show.
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Thank you so much for joining us today. Okay. Well, thanks for having me. That was a good
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reference to Mother's Day too. That's a very important point to make.
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Well, thank you. Thank you. Okay. So I haven't spoken to you in a while. We had you on the show
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a few months ago when we were talking a little bit about this issue, but obviously it's really
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flared up. So first of all, why don't you just tell me what your reaction to the recent election
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was? Were you surprised to see the Liberals get reelected? And what do you make of Mark
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Kearney as the Prime Minister? Well, the election shifted from the expectation was that Mr. Trudeau
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was going to be the Prime Minister and the Liberal leader. And the official opposition was well
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tuned up to deal with all the inadequacies of the nine years of Trudeau reign. But of course,
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when that changed and President Trump intervening himself in our election and Mr. Carney becoming
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the quickly becoming the leader of the Liberals, the whole scene changed. And I'm disappointed with
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the election results because like a lot of Canadians, particularly in Western Canada, we wanted a change
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in administration, just a complete change. And the fact that that didn't happen has led to a lot of
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unrest and discouragement with the results of the election.
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Well, you had a really interesting op-ed in the Globe and Mail back on April 2nd. The headline that
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they gave it, I don't know if you wrote this or if that's just what the editor put, but Mark Kearney
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poses a threat to national unity. And so you write that politicians, the media, voters in Central
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Canada, whether they realize or not, the greatest threat to national unity is emerging not from Quebec,
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but on the Western Front. Again, revealed by a recent Polaris survey on account of mismanagement of
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national affairs by the Liberal government and its consistent failure to address those issues of
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greatest concern to Western Canadians. Large numbers of Westerners simply will not stand for
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another four years of Liberal government, no matter who leads it. So I'm wondering what compelled you
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to write this op-ed in the Globe and Mail? And what do you make of the sort of, I mean, it went, you
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know, it was really noticed by the elites in Central Canada. Many of them didn't like it at all.
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And what did you make of the backlash to this piece?
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Well, I'm glad that the Globe managed to print it. It's not in line really with the Globe's own
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editorial policy, but I think it's a message that voters and elites in Central Canada need to hear,
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that there's enormous unrest in the West and dissatisfaction with the way the federations
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manage, particularly the intrusion of the federal government in the natural resources sector, which are
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so fundamental, not just to the Western economy, but to the entire economy. There's no pipelines, bills,
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there's bans on making it difficult for energy to get to seaboard, that that unrest is just building
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and building. And there's an indifference to it in Central Canada. They think this is just
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some kind of regional whining. And I think it's a lot more serious than that. The Central Canadian
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media often always seem to think this is just an Alberta phenomena. And the polling shows this is much
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broader than Alberta. It's just as strong. This feeling of unrest is just as strong in Saskatchewan,
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in rural parts of Manitoba and in Eastern Central and Northern British Columbia. So I wrote that to try
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to get the voters in Central Canada and Atlantic Canada to realize that if you reelect the Liberal
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government and you have the population to do it, you're going to see an increase in this Western
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unrest rather than a decrease in it. It'll be interesting to see the polls, the polling is being
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done as to post-election to see if that Western sentiment increased or stayed the same or decreased
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as a result of the election. I expect it will have increased.
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Well, there has been some polling. I'll get to that in a minute. But I just wanted to highlight a few
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more pieces from your op-ed and just get you to reply. I mean, first of all, that line there that
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no matter who leads the Liberal Party, a large number of Westerners will simply not stand for
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another four years. You also write to voters, particularly in Central Atlantic Canada, need to
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recognize that a vote for the Kearney Liberals is a vote for Western secession, a vote to break up
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Canada as we know it. And then you finish a piece by saying the next Prime Minister of Canada,
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if it remains Mark Kearney, would be identified in the history books, tragically and needlessly,
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as the last Prime Minister of a united Canada. And so I'm just wondering if you could elaborate
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on that. Do you really think that Western Canada is at the point where it won't last another four
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years, it won't stand for it, and that that is perhaps how Mark Kearney will go down?
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I think it's the combination. The Quebec secession sentiment is there as well. It looks like the
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party Quebecois is destined to form the next government in Quebec, the first plank in their platform.
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is to hold another referendum on the secession issue. So you're going to have that continued
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problem probably increased on the Eastern Front. And then you combine that with this
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unrest in Western Canada, dissatisfaction with the way the Federation is working.
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Those are two forces that, if they start operating at the same time, have the potential to blow the
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country apart. And what's most worrisome in Western Canada is the utter indifference of the central
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Canadian elites and media to this phenomenon. And even the misreporting on it, they keep thinking
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it's just an Alberta phenomenon. Polling shows it's broader than Alberta. They also think that the only
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thing that's being talked about is secessions, the separation. That's not the only thing that's been
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talked about. The other thing that's being talked about is how could the Federation, the federal
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government react in such a way as to diminish that unrest. That's just as much on the table. It's been
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advocated by Premier Smith and Premier Mo of Saskatchewan. So there's other options besides separation, but it's
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not all Alberta. There's other options other than secession, but central Canada and elites better pay
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attention to it. It's got the potential to wreck the Federation.
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Well, you say that central elites might be indifferent to it. In some ways, it seems like they're
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deliberately hostile. I'll point to this Toronto Star article op-ed. It wasn't even an op-ed, Preston, because
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it was written by someone who writes for the paper, a business columnist. And the title is, Is it time for
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Alberta to go alone and break from Canada? And the sort of way that the Toronto Star was promoting this was let
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them go. Yes, it's time for Alberta to go let them go, as in there's some kind of a burden to the rest of
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Canada. Reading that as an Albertan, what goes through your head when you see that kind of thing?
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Well, that's typical of the Toronto Star. In fact, if you wanted to fan the flames of secession in
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Western Canada, the best way to do it would be to give every Westerner a subscription to the Toronto Star.
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Because A, the indifference, B, the hostility, and C, the ignorance of the role that the Western
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provinces, particularly Alberta, play in the Federation. The revenue that is generated for the
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national government, the proportion of GDP that is generated particularly by the petroleum industry,
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that op-ed just indicates a complete ignorance of the relevance of that fact and its relevance to
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even to central Canada. Well, it is something that I think a lot of Albertans know is how much
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Alberta contributes to the rest of the country above and beyond what it gets back in services. I don't
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know that that's common knowledge to folks in Ontario and Quebec, although it should be. I'm curious to hear
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your thoughts, Preston, on how Premier Danielle Smith has sort of responded. So the day after the election,
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April 30th, she came out and announced changes to the Citizens Initiative Act, which basically lowers
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the threshold by which a referendum can be prompted through a sort of democratic process where
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signatures requirement went from 20% of all voters down to 10% of all voters, and the threshold timeline
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was increased. And then last week, Premier Smith came out and announced what she calls the Alberta
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Accord, which is a plan to basically guarantee more pipelines for the future. She made four
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major demands, including a corridor to get Alberta energy and oil to tidewater in the Pacific,
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Arctic and Atlantic. She said that they wanted the feds to stop interfering with the development
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of natural resources, including getting rid of the No New Pipelines Law Bill C-69, as well as the
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oil tanker ban. They also demanded that the government refrain from imposing export tax or
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any restrictions on Alberta's natural resources. And finally, basically an end to equalization,
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that they wanted to create a new formula whereby big wealthy provinces like Quebec, Ontario and British
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Columbia no longer get the transfers from Alberta. So what do you make of Premier Smith's actions and
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sort of what she's laying out on the table here? Well, I think it's a responsible approach. I think
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it's supported by a large number of Albertans. And what the approach she is basically taking,
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say that there's a list of conditions that have to be met by the federal government and the federal
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parliament for the West to remain content within the Federation. And she spells them out. Premier Moe's
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done the same thing. And I think her list is correct. It's very much based on this fundamental
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fact that apparently large numbers of Canadians don't get, that the biggest economic strength of
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this country is its natural resources. Canada is the largest country, second largest country in the
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world by landmass, which means you have the second largest or maybe the largest stock of natural
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resources, agriculture, energy, mining, forestry, and the fishery. And the fact that under the Trudeau
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administration, those sectors were treated as relics from the past and environmental liabilities.
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Those are the building blocks to the Canadian economy. And what she's doing is asserting there's
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certain things that have to be done to remove the obstructions to the development of those sectors
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by the federal government. And that's not just in Alberta's interest, that's in the national
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interest. And the ball is now in the federal government's court and people are going to watch
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the throne speech. And not just the speech, there's been talk, talk, talk about all this for a long
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time. They're going to watch whether there's any action on the part of the federal government to
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address those things on her list. And in terms of the referendum, of course, Alberta, again,
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Western Canada tends to favor more democratic mechanisms, referendums, citizens' initiatives,
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freer votes in the legislatures than the parliament. And this is quite in accordance with that tradition.
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And basically, the referendum gives people a chance who want a particular position to be
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adopted by the governments to have a referendum to see how much support there is for it.
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Well, you mentioned earlier about having popular support and you'd be curious to see what the
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polling numbers show. Well, last week we did get some polls. So according to a new poll released by
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City News, 36 percent of Albertans and a majority of UCP voters want to leave Canada. An Angus Reid poll
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also found that roughly half the people in both, to your point, Alberta and Saskatchewan would be
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interested in independence. And so I'm wondering, though, like, I mean, Canada's constitution does
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allow for provinces to separate. If there's a popular will, there's a formula. Do you think that
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there really is that type of sentiment enough to push this over?
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I think the sentiment is out there. What those polls don't mention, there are other options besides
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separation, like what the premier's offering. There's several others. And I'm involved with a group that
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wants to put on what we're calling a Canada West Assembly, where you would get a bunch of
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representative people from the four provinces, almost like a legislature, and then have these
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major propositions for what should the West do, put in front of that, and subject to cross-examination
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and debate and everything else. And one of the options certainly would be the secession option.
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But again, secession to do what? To form an independent country? Maybe that's one option.
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Secession to form an independent country that would end up in some kind of union with the United States?
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That's another option. All of those should be put on the table. Too much of this is done in the back
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rooms and small groups working on it. Don't get it out in front of a democratic forum and have those
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options looked at. And then take some votes as to which ones would be best to recommend to the provincial
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governments. One of those is the secession one. It's not nearly as simple as people think it is.
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You could hold one of those references. Quebec is further along this road than the West is. But
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suppose you have to have, according to the Clarity Act, you have to have a clear question and a clear
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majority on it. So let's suppose, let's take Quebec, but it could be the West. You have a question,
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should Quebec secede from the Canadian Federation and form a new country? Clear question. And then you've
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got to get a clear majority. And there's a big argument, what's a clear majority, but it's probably
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60% plus. But suppose you get it. Suppose you get that. What's going to happen then? Is that entity
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going to secede automatically, get out of the Federation? No. No. What that'll trigger is a big
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federal, provincial, constitutional conference triggered by a crisis and focused on that particular
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problem. But that's all that that triggers. And then you're basically going to have a debate about
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whether you can reconfederation. And that would happen whether Quebec does it or whether Alberta
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does it. It's not simple. And a lot of these people that are advocating that just think it's
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that simple. That idea should get in front of some people that know what it's all about.
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And not antagonistic to it, but just say, here, you should understand constitutional law. And
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it's not as simple as you make it. Right. And so, I mean, just to go back to your op-ed
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in the Globe and Mail, you predicted that Carney, if he's reelected, might be identified, you said
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would then be identified in the history books as the last prime minister of United Canada. So
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presumably you do foresee something like this happening in the next four years.
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Well, no. If the federal government responded to some of this, then some of this could be
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averted. But there's a real skepticism in the West. I mean, Mr. Carney's done a 180-degree
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turn on. He used to be a total champion of climate change. Now that's been put in the
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background. The Liberal Party was opposed to hydrocarbon energy development, opposed to pipelines,
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et cetera. Now he professes to be in favor of these things. Standing behind him at present,
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he's going to maybe change this tomorrow, was a cabinet of 23 people who just three months before
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were saying exactly the opposite of what he's been saying. So you can forgive Westerners for being
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pretty skeptical. And they'll be skeptical about the throne speech, too. More words, more words,
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probably words that try to address it. Where's the action? And that's what the premiers are watching.
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Well, one of the themes that relates to this is, or if I was in the federal government's shoes and
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wanted to send a signal to the provinces to try to reduce this federal provincial conflict, which
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virtually exists with every provincial government, I would introduce an act respecting provincial
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jurisdiction. And what that act would do is amend the major statutes, the federal statutes that
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authorize intervention in areas of provincial jurisdiction, like the Canada Health Act. Health is
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a provincial responsibility, but the federal government intervenes under the Canada Health Act. Natural
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resources development, the constitution is perfectly clear that this is in provincial jurisdiction,
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but the federal government passes legislation that directly interferes with it. The Impact Assessment
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Act, the No Pipelines Act, there's half a dozen of them. And then municipal government, the constitution
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is perfectly clear, municipal government and municipalities is a provincial responsibility. The
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federal government intervenes through the Canada Housing Act and through the Canada Mortgage Bank
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Act, where the mortgage bank makes big loans to municipalities without even talking to the
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provincial government. And then the constitution also says property and civil rights is a provincial
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responsibility. The federal government intervened in that area through the Emergency Act and the courts
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even mentioned that some of that intervention was unconstitutional. So if the federal government passes
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a statutes like that pulling back out of those areas by amending the statutes and give it the power
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to do that, that would be a pretty clear signal to the provinces that the federal government understands the
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basis of unrest. But more speeches, more press conferences saying we're going to do something, etc., etc., etc.,
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I don't think that it's going to take some action to remove the skepticism on those points.
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Well, I think it's granted. I mean, just the recent election that we just fought, I mean, this issue
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was basically never raised. I don't think I heard anyone put the question to Mark Carney. The focus
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of the campaign was almost entirely on our relationship with the United States, on President Donald Trump,
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potential tariffs. If anything, you know, we had two federal debates. One of them was in French,
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where the entire debate was basically focused on Quebec and how to appease them and how to give them more.
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And I don't think that Alberta was even mentioned. So, you know, what kind of hope do you have that
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Mark Carney cares about this? I mean, he doubled down on Bill 69. He said he's not getting rid of it.
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So is there any expectation that he will meet any of Daniel Smith's?
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Well, the skepticism is that he won't. Now, that puts the ball in his court to prove that that's
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that that's not the case. But the other thing that, again, rankles Westerners,
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no part of North America has had more experience with populism, not just populist movements,
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populist governments, populist movements that became governments, than Western Canada. If anybody ought to
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be able to figure out a strategy, how to deal with Donald Trump, because he's on top of a populist
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movement. In fact, the whole axis for looking at the political landscape, I think, has changed. The
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old landscape, it's all left, right or center. If we're the left, right and center. No, that's not the
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axis anymore. The axis is this way, bottom-up democratic populist movements versus political
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parts dominated by aristocratic elites. That's the new axis. And if you want to interpret the
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American landscape, that that's what's happened there. You've got this bottom-up populist movement
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that put a leader at the top. Whether he's a populist or not, time's going to tell. But he's on
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top of a populist movement. Well, by Western Canada's experience, how do you get to the leader of a
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populist movement? Not necessarily, but going to Washington. I mean, maybe there's a place for that.
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You get to him through his own followers. That's how you get to him. Trump has to pay attention to
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the people that got him there. And one of the promises he made to the people that got him there
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was he'd lower their cost of living. Now, what tariffs and counter tariffs do is increase. It's a
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consumer that ends up paying in those non-productive tariff wars. So I think there's a way to get to
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Trump, if you want to, say, reduce his policy on tariffs. It's not to counter tariffs, although
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you can maybe make a short-term argument for them. It's by getting to his followers. And when
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Premier Smith went down and got on one of these big American talk shows that's got 30, 40 million
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followers, that's what she's doing. She's getting to Trump's constituency. And there's going to be
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senatorial elections in the third of the states in 2026. Canadians ought to be involved in those
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and get anti-tariff Republicans to get into the Senate. And Western Canada has some wisdom on how
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you deal with populist movements and populist governments. Central Canada doesn't have the foggiest
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notion about. And most of those commentators, I say to political science students, particularly if
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your prof is still talking about politics, left, right, center, left, right, center, left, right,
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center, ask him, does he also think the earth is flat? Operating in a framework that I think doesn't exist.
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I'm curious to hear your thoughts on the Oval Office bilateral meeting that we saw last week between
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President Trump and Mark Carney, because it seems to me that if you're watching online and you saw
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the commentary from Axe and YouTube, it was very critical of Mark Carney. And it basically said that
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this guy was out of his league and Trump basically just had him for breakfast. Whereas if you're watching
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the traditional media, the CBC and others, they were very complimentary of Mark Carney saying that it was
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sort of masterful, playing a game of chess and whatever. My own perspective is that I think
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Trump kind of humiliated him. Like he gets that Mark Carney is there because of Donald Trump. And
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like they're sort of denying that. Like Donald Trump came in, he created this huge political
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problem in Canada, and Mark Carney was seen as the one who could solve it. Mark Carney got elected
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basically off of bashing Donald Trump. And Trump almost kind of appreciates that. He was having fun with
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Carney, sort of saying like, you know, this is one of the greatest political comebacks of all time,
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even better than mine, right? And almost kind of taking credit for the fact that he was there,
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laughing at the fact that Carney had been bashing him, maybe open to some kind of a discussion or
00:25:06.800
debate. But in my perspective, it seems that Carney was unwilling to make the concessions, right? Like,
00:25:13.920
Trump is concerned about the trade imbalance. Carney has no interest in reducing many of our own
00:25:19.680
barriers and our own subsidies and our own sort of supply management issues. And he was more interested in
00:25:24.640
just hitting back like dollar for dollar tariffs and all that kind of stuff. So I'm curious to hear
00:25:29.760
your thoughts on that exchange. Well, for one thing, I find it embarrassing from a democratic
00:25:35.840
standpoint that an American president can dominate and almost dictate a Canadian election. The fact that
00:25:46.480
there was a fair increase or holding the line on the voter turnout, you know, what does that say about
00:25:53.920
Canadian democracy that only a threat and statements by an American president can get people to wave the
00:26:01.760
flag and be patriotic? Like, what does that, is there not enough in this country regardless of who the
00:26:09.200
American president is to be proud of? Is not our economic strength through the resource sector
00:26:16.000
something that should make you proud? Is not our history, although it gets trashed by the professors
00:26:21.680
at a lot of the universities and teachers? Haven't we got enough to be proud of regardless of what the
00:26:28.480
president of the United States does? And I find that embarrassing and worrisome that that's what it takes
00:26:37.040
to get Canadians to feel patriotic, act patriotic and wave the flag? I think we've got enough to be proud
00:26:44.400
of regardless of who the president is. One hundred percent. Okay. Well, I did, I have one question just
00:26:50.320
sort of imagining a future independent Western Canada or Alberta. One thing that often gets raised is say
00:26:56.720
Alberta and Saskatchewan did decide to leave Canada and go it alone, they would be landlocked. And so they
00:27:03.200
potentially would be met by the same kinds of issues where they can't get their product to
00:27:08.400
Tidewater because they would still have to deal with Canada. That's an assumption that this worry is
00:27:13.920
just confined to Alberta and Saskatchewan. It isn't. It's broader. It does go into Manitoba so that you
00:27:20.720
could get access to the Atlantic through a port at Churchill. It's very strong in British Columbia,
00:27:31.440
including in the area that has the deepest deep water port in the country. Like it's,
00:27:38.080
if you just confine it to those two provinces, yes, you've got this landlock problem. But if you
00:27:42.800
broaden it out to the entire West, then that goes away. Well, it doesn't go away, but there's ways of
00:27:50.080
meeting it. Well, one of the other challenges, and this is one that a lot of the people that talk about
00:27:54.480
secession haven't addressed is what will be the status of indigenous groups that have treaty
00:28:00.640
arrangements with the Crown and with the federal government under those circumstances.
00:28:07.440
It's one of the challenges. One of the proposals will be that they be treated as, be given municipal
00:28:14.560
status. But will some of them settle for that? Back in 1995, when people forget that there was a
00:28:22.880
referendum in Quebec that came within 34,000. If 34,000 people out of four and a half million had
00:28:28.800
changed their minds, you would have had a yes vote for secession from Quebec. And I was a member of
00:28:34.400
Parliament at that time. We had representatives from the Northern Cree come to our office and say,
00:28:41.440
we don't care what Quebec does. We are under federal jurisdiction. We expect the federal
00:28:45.680
government to continue to deal with us and look after us. And so what would have happened? And some
00:28:52.240
of these people were quite threatening. We can do some real damage to Quebec hydros towers in our area.
00:28:58.800
Maybe blink the lights in New York was one of the phrases that were used. Maybe that would get some
00:29:03.280
attention to our concerns. There's issues like that that would have to be resolved and not easy.
00:29:09.680
Interesting. And yeah, we are still sort of dealing with those concerns. Whereas some of the
00:29:16.880
First Nations in Alberta say, you can't do this. Juno News talked to constitutional lawyers that said
00:29:22.080
that there isn't standing for them to block a citizen's initiative like this. So that's definitely
00:29:27.360
an interesting, outstanding issue. Well, Preston, we always really appreciate your time. Sorry,
00:29:32.160
did you have any final thoughts on that? Well, just on just what you said there.
00:29:37.520
This business is trying to shut up the people that want something different, secession or whatever
00:29:42.880
the options are. I don't think that's a democratic way either. I think the democratic way is let them
00:29:48.960
put that position together. There's about 10 groups working on this in the behind and they're not
00:29:55.440
unified. Let them get their position together and let them get it out in front of the public.
00:30:00.320
And let the public have a kick at it. I think by suppressing the talk about these things,
00:30:06.160
you do more damage than getting them out and having a genuine political discourse.
00:30:10.480
And if this assembly we're talking about comes about, one of the things we're hoping is to
00:30:16.560
demonstrate maybe for a week or 10 days, what genuine democratic discourse is about. It doesn't occur in
00:30:24.640
the legislatures now that are just partisan divided. It certainly doesn't occur in the Parliament of
00:30:30.480
Canada and I know about that. But can we not for 10 days have people present positions clearly and
00:30:38.480
they're listened to? Can we not have them cross-examined by asking questions and getting answers?
00:30:46.480
Can those people not be obliged to listen to other people? We're going to listen to you,
00:30:50.640
but you got to listen to something else. And can you not take some votes at the end that indicate how
00:30:55.680
much support there is for a particular proposition? Where today is there genuine democratic discourse?
00:31:03.280
Hopefully, maybe this assembly can demonstrate it and demonstrate it on an issue of the future
00:31:11.480
Well, it's so interesting. Preston Manning, thank you so much for your time and your insights.
00:31:15.880
We're really looking forward to, I hope that comes to fruition and maybe we will have some real
00:31:20.760
debate and real democratic discussions in this country. Thank you so much for everything.
00:31:27.160
All right, folks. That's all the time we have for today. Thank you so much for tuning in.
00:31:30.600
I'm Candace Malcolm. This is the Candace Malcolm Show. Thank you and God bless.
00:31:33.320
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