Juno News - January 16, 2025


Prime Minister Mark Carney?


Episode Stats


Length

33 minutes

Words per minute

183.22583

Word count

6,098

Sentence count

335

Harmful content

Misogyny

5

sentences flagged

Hate speech

7

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Mark Carney enters the race to become the next Prime Minister of Canada. Chrystia Freeland continues to gain ground in the race for the Tory nomination, but is it too late for her to win the nomination? And the Supreme Court of Canada rules in favor of the UK in the prorogation case.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Welcome back everyone to another episode of the Northern Dispatch.
00:00:12.280 We're starting to get a better look at who will be Canada's next Prime Minister and it's
00:00:17.440 not going to be Pierre Polyev just yet.
00:00:20.240 It's looking as if it's going to be Mark Carney or Chrystia Freeland, a two horse race
00:00:24.960 after we got a very clear indication from Mark Carney that he will be entering the race
00:00:30.720 on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart, an American television show, not a Canadian show.
00:00:36.240 An interesting place to really kickstart your leadership campaign there, Ryan.
00:00:41.600 Yeah, I was a little surprised to see it and felt I had to watch it.
00:00:47.920 But as I started to watch it, I started to understand what his strategy actually was.
00:00:54.960 He was looking to kind of announce this but not announce it in a bit of a bang.
00:01:00.080 He went on a left-friendly, popular comedy show.
00:01:05.520 A lot of people watched Jon Stewart.
00:01:07.440 He wanted the American media to pick this up as well as the Canadian media.
00:01:11.280 So I think he was trying to make as much of a splash as possible while having Jon Stewart
00:01:16.320 tell all of the left-leaning voters in Canada and the United States why they should think
00:01:22.400 the world of Mark Carney and they shouldn't like Pierre Polyev.
00:01:26.480 And Tanya, I guess it makes it easier when you are being interviewed by someone who has demonstrated
00:01:32.240 in that interview that he really has no idea of what's actually happening in this country.
00:01:36.960 Yeah, I think so.
00:01:38.160 And I just find it interesting that we have this individual who has aspirations of being the next
00:01:44.880 prime minister of the country. But instead of sitting down with Canadian journalists or Canadian
00:01:50.880 media or even Canadian alternate media, he wants to go on a talk show down in the States as if he's
00:01:58.240 some sort of celebrity.
00:01:59.360 Yeah, it's looking like it could be a coronation if the Christie of Freeland campaign doesn't get up
00:02:05.280 and running and quickly. As we promised on every show, we read the top comments from you, the viewer.
00:02:11.600 And we're going to do that right now. The first one we have comes from Lord Chancellor E5S.
00:02:17.680 Hidden corruption is scary, but open corruption ignored by the public is terrifying.
00:02:23.360 Well, that's why you have the independent media to go and uncover this stuff, because as we've seen time
00:02:29.120 and time again, the legacy media in this country are all too willing to let corruption go by without
00:02:35.760 any any coverage whatsoever. So this is from Juvie 9596. In the 35 years I've been in the workforce,
00:02:43.840 I've paid hundreds of thousands in tax dollars. Every Canadian has. I expect a functioning government
00:02:51.040 24 seven. We tax paying Canadians have earned a better situation than this. Let us vote for an election
00:02:58.800 now. Enough BS already. Yeah, I think that's a common sentiment among many Canadians. We don't
00:03:05.360 like it when our government goes on prorogation. I think the the belief is that they're not working
00:03:11.600 while they are working. They're just not legislating. So they're not creating new laws. They're not fixing
00:03:17.600 old laws. They're not changing things in the legislature for Canadians. However, your MP is still working.
00:03:25.040 Many of them are working in their constituencies. So if you need something from your MP, if you need
00:03:30.400 to make an appointment with them now would be a great time because they are available. And Gail
00:03:35.360 Littleton 2504 says, as a Canadian citizen, I can only hope the court will do justice and not support
00:03:42.640 prorogation. If they do uphold prorogation, they will have set a serious precedence for future prime
00:03:50.480 ministers. And as we have learned from the reign of Justin Trudeau, anything can and will happen.
00:03:57.520 Yeah, this is going to be an interesting one. I think constitutional scholars and parliamentary
00:04:01.760 scholars are going to be paying close attention to this as the JCCF has brought this court challenge
00:04:08.400 using the UK ruling from 2019 as precedence to support their argument. The question is going to be,
00:04:15.440 is the court going to agree with the Supreme Court of the United Kingdom? Or are they going to break
00:04:22.160 from that ruling and try to make their their own ruling and their own precedent, distinguishing us
00:04:28.240 from the mother parliament, as it were? All right, well, moving right along, guys, we have succeeded in
00:04:34.320 presenting a poll question to the audience that actually gives us some variety for once, it feels like. And
00:04:40.480 the last question was, as that comment indicated, will the court uphold the legal challenge on
00:04:47.360 prorogation? And 65% of the respondents agreed that the court will uphold prorogation in the comment
00:04:55.680 in the coming court challenge. And 34% said no. So that's some variety there. It's new for us on the show.
00:05:03.200 And that's why we're going to try this one more time with another poll question, which we hope you can
00:05:08.080 answer as if you were a Liberal Party supporter. We want to know to put yourself in that position,
00:05:15.360 because the question is this, who would be a better leader for the Liberal Party to challenge Pierre
00:05:21.680 Pauliev? We hope that we can get some interesting comments there and then give us some interesting
00:05:26.320 insights to talk about on the next show. So you can answer that poll question in the pinned comment on
00:05:32.560 this video. As we've hinted at, the show today is going to be focused on Mark Carney versus Christia
00:05:39.280 Freeland, essentially the race to the bottom for Liberal leader, who can become the Liberal leader
00:05:46.000 and next Prime Minister for what may be just a few weeks. And Mark Carney's announcement on the Daily
00:05:53.920 Show with Jon Stewart, and I'm going to call it an announcement because he didn't say it was his
00:05:57.520 official announcement, but it's about as official as you're going to get, was filled with basically
00:06:03.680 a gushing Jon Stewart, heaping praise on Mark Carney as the hero who led Canada through the financial
00:06:10.560 crisis. He really did figure out the best place to go for an easy interview. I mean,
00:06:15.360 that might be easier than you might get on CBC. I think you're right. I think you're right. And how
00:06:22.880 how amazing is it that the one person in Canada that did all the work to get us out of the 2008
00:06:29.600 financial crisis, you know, got the credit he deserved in front of all of the United States
00:06:36.480 and all of Canada. Nobody else helped. It was all Mark Carney. Thank goodness that he was alive
00:06:42.240 at that point in time. Like, come on. You know, there was so many moving parts to that recovery.
00:06:49.840 A lot of it needs to be attributed to the Conservative government and their fiscal prudence
00:06:54.320 under Harper. Were they perfect? Absolutely not. But I would have much rather Stephen Harper
00:07:00.080 navigate us through that than, let's say, oh, Justin Trudeau or Chrystia Freeland. That's for darn sure.
00:07:06.320 And Mark Carney, yeah, he was the governor of the Bank of Canada at that point. They make recommendations,
00:07:14.000 but all of the legislating and all of the strategy has to be executed by the government. And that's
00:07:21.600 what's happened. So would I attribute it all to Harper? No, but I would attribute a significant
00:07:27.120 portion to Harper and I wouldn't let it all rest on Carney. Well, and I think this appearance shows
00:07:32.400 that Carney is exactly like Trudeau. He's not interested in being a statesman. He's interested in pandering to
00:07:38.000 a crowd. And in this case, it was the crowd of The Daily Show. Yeah, those late night comedy shows,
00:07:44.480 and I guess you could put The Daily Show in that as well, with the live studio audience is like
00:07:48.960 almost a relic at this point where you have the clapping seals in the background just, you know,
00:07:53.520 fawning over the guest. Well, we got kind of an insight into what Mark Carney's, maybe not his campaign
00:08:00.400 slogan, but the message he's going to try to project to liberal voters and to Canadians. And that is
00:08:06.080 that Mark Carney is an outsider. Is he an outsider? No, I don't think he's an outsider at all. I think
00:08:11.760 he's been at least whispering in Justin Trudeau's ear since as early as 2020. And you can also see, you
00:08:20.000 know, in some of the previous work he's done, and even in his book, it kind of has like a century
00:08:24.480 initiative type feel to it. And then you have what was it maybe about six or eight months ago, where Carney
00:08:31.440 joined as an official advisor to the Prime Minister, he was hired by the party, meaning that he didn't
00:08:37.360 have to quit any of his other jobs, he didn't have to disclose any of his financial information the way
00:08:41.680 you would if you were an MP. Yet he still had a hand in guiding the financial directive of this country.
00:08:48.320 I don't think that's right. Well, and notice that in Christopher Freeland's resignation letter,
00:08:53.440 she didn't mention Mark Carney at all. She didn't criticize him. She was criticizing Justin Trudeau. So
00:08:59.840 I find it interesting how Carney was advising Trudeau, but he didn't get any of the criticism from
00:09:06.880 from Christopher Freeland. Now, is that because, you know, he's he's godfather to
00:09:13.040 to one of her kids? I don't know. But it's a little fishy how this, how this has shaken out.
00:09:20.480 Is that right? I didn't know that Mark Carney's a godfather to Christopher Freeland?
00:09:23.840 Want to at least one? Yeah, that'll make for a really interesting liberal leadership race.
00:09:29.520 And I did not know that interest. Yeah, it's. And that's why I've been very interested to see
00:09:35.360 them launch their campaigns, because how much mud are they going to sling at each other, if at all?
00:09:40.560 But even going further than that, which one is going to resign first to support the other one
00:09:45.840 in the liberal leadership race? Is it going to be Christopher Freeland, who has rode backbench to
00:09:50.880 a man in the feminist party for the last 10 years? Or is she going to suck it up again, 1.00
00:09:56.960 swallow her pride and humiliate herself by coming in behind Mark Carney again? Maybe she's hoping to
00:10:04.240 be finance minister again? I don't know. Finance minister for a couple more days. I mean, just check
00:10:09.600 it on to the to the Wikipedia page. That's really interesting. I didn't actually know that. And it'll
00:10:15.280 make for some really, really fun, really fun coverage. You know, to to play devil's advocate,
00:10:20.320 you can kind of anticipate how Mark Carney has decided to come about on this outsider lane,
00:10:26.400 right? Because we know Mark Carney is not an he's he's about as establishment as you can get without
00:10:32.560 being in government, a part of the WEF, basically a ranking member of the WEF, a part of some of these,
00:10:39.680 some of the biggest consulting firms, Bank of Canada, Bank of England governor and liberal advisor.
00:10:45.440 But he kind of hinted at that deal in that daily show interview that he's an outsider and Pierre
00:10:50.480 Polyev is the ultimate insider, a career politician, Mark Carney being, you know, never being a politician.
00:10:57.280 Do you how do you think the Canadians are going to see that? Do you think that the
00:11:01.520 the career politician line on Polyev might actually stick to some degree and Mark Carney might
00:11:06.880 actually be able to present himself as someone who's as he will eventually try to say, and we
00:11:11.840 know the liberals have said this, who has had a real job? I think, for example, if I need surgery,
00:11:19.360 I want a surgeon who's been a surgeon for 20 years. I don't want a surgeon who's been a banker for the
00:11:24.240 last 20 years. So I personally don't see a career in politics as necessarily a bad thing. I mean, Pierre
00:11:32.880 started off as a backbencher and he worked his way up to cabinet and then he worked his way up to
00:11:37.280 leader of the official opposition. Hopefully he's able to work his way up to prime minister,
00:11:41.280 because that's the natural progression of things. When you have a man who's been working in finance
00:11:47.200 his entire life. Yes, he's been a party member, but has never been a politician. Does he really know
00:11:51.760 the ins and outs of politics? Is he able to just jump in and be prime minister? I would argue no.
00:11:57.520 Well, and here's another couple of points that I would raise. Pierre Polyev has been a career
00:12:02.800 politician all this time because he's good at it. If he wasn't good at it and if his constituents
00:12:08.080 didn't believe in what he was doing, didn't like what he was doing, he wouldn't be there anymore.
00:12:12.880 The other thing is that he has been spending the last two years traveling the country, visiting every
00:12:20.320 single community, it seems, that is actually in Canada. It doesn't matter how small or how large,
00:12:27.360 he's been there. So he understands what is going on in Canada. What has Carney been doing?
00:12:33.280 He has, he's most recently been, you know, on these boards for these global national
00:12:39.760 organizations. Before that, Harrison, you mentioned he was the governor for the Bank of UK, where
00:12:45.120 he had a home that was paid for by taxpayer money that was $26,000 Canadian per month.
00:12:52.160 It was a mansion. And this is the type of lifestyle this guy's, this guy's used to. And what he thinks
00:12:58.240 he's just going to stroll in, like he's a CEO on a golf course and just take over the the prime minister
00:13:05.040 position in Canada. And is he going out meeting with Canadians in his leadership bid? No, he goes down
00:13:12.880 to The Daily Show to get on with Jon Stewart. It's about as out of touch as you can get. But the problem is,
00:13:18.800 is that a lot of liberal voters don't know who Mark Carney is, because they haven't really paid attention
00:13:24.000 to it. And who are they going to get the story of who he is, they're going to get it from mainstream
00:13:28.640 media, which is just gushing over him. And I don't know if you noticed, Harrison, but the last few days
00:13:33.440 we've noticed on social media, especially on X, that there's a lot of people that are really cheering
00:13:39.920 Carney on. It feels inorganic to me. But of course, I have no proof of that.
00:13:46.240 Yeah, it's interesting. You know, there's always these weird moments on X where you see just as a
00:13:53.040 surge in comments on one person or another. And who knows if that's, you know, another country trying
00:13:59.840 to do this if they see Carney as someone who can be manipulated. Now we're really now we're really
00:14:04.960 jumping there. But but it's it's worth mentioning that, you know, you do see these odd surges in
00:14:10.560 popularity on X for certain candidates. And we already know our political system is compromised.
00:14:15.600 You know, I see this being, you know, one of those examples you talk about out of touch, Ryan.
00:14:20.960 Right now we're seeing what I think is a realignment where this idea of globalism is dying.
00:14:26.160 Nationalism is making a comeback. And Mark Carney truly is, in my opinion, the ultimate globalist.
00:14:31.760 Not only does he go on to an American talk show to talk about his candidacy, he is at the WEF every
00:14:38.320 year at the WEF. I believe it was his last appearance. He said that, well, he was talking
00:14:44.160 about his Irish citizenship and answered a question, albeit jokingly. But still, it is an odd joke to
00:14:49.760 make. He says, you know, speaking as a European, speaking as a European, take a look at this.
00:14:56.240 Mark, you look like you were about to. Yeah, I was a tell as a European, you know, as a
00:15:00.480 European actually. Oh, you are. Yeah. Yeah. So there you go. Well, speaking as a European,
00:15:08.640 I'd like to say falling. So there we go. The next the next prime minister of Canada, potentially,
00:15:14.000 what seems to be likely at this point, considers himself sometimes to be European. Sometimes he
00:15:19.440 considers himself to be a Canadian. I don't think we have time for that. And it's quite clear now 1.00
00:15:24.560 that this era of globalism and people who who are prancing around the global stage are not listening
00:15:32.080 to the Canadian public and are not just tuned into the moment at all right now. Well, and he is the
00:15:39.760 the establishment chameleon, it seems. He changes his spots for whatever is most advantageous to him.
00:15:47.680 You know, he wrote a whole book about how, you know, there should almost be a, you know, technocracy
00:15:53.280 and we should be limiting what people are purchasing in terms of their purchasing freedom
00:16:00.240 or making it so expensive that it's almost impossible to do that in order to fit ourselves
00:16:06.720 into this environmental climate change fanaticism. So he talks about the carbon tax, how it's so
00:16:14.000 invaluable. And even on I believe the The Daily Show, he said, Well, yeah, we need a carbon tax,
00:16:19.040 but maybe just not now. Okay. So when when are we getting that carbon tax and Carney because
00:16:24.960 you know that Canadians are really not in favor of it right now. So you're going to change your
00:16:31.760 spots on your policy just temporarily what until you get in and then then it's too late. And all these
00:16:37.920 policies come back to bite Canada. Canada needs to have a long memory as to what has happened in
00:16:43.200 Canada over the last 10 years. It wasn't a conservative government in power. It was a
00:16:47.040 liberal government with far left policies. So Canadians have to be very, very careful with who
00:16:54.000 they choose as the next Prime Minister in the next general election, but also who they're choosing to
00:17:00.160 lead this Liberal Party allegedly back to the radical center as Jean Chrétien has said, but
00:17:05.440 carbon tax Carney is anything but centered.
00:17:08.160 So I want to bring up a clip that will absolutely be seen by I think almost every Canadian if Mark
00:17:15.920 Carney does become the next Liberal leader in the next federal election. And it was really the first
00:17:20.720 time that we saw Pierre Polyev and Mark Carney go head to head back during the pandemic. And this was a
00:17:25.840 time when Mark Carney was working at a global consulting firm, one of the big one of the big ones. I'm not
00:17:32.400 exactly sure what I don't want to say the wrong name, but he was working at a global consulting firm.
00:17:37.360 And one of the one of the initiatives he was championing was was advancing Saudi Arabian oil,
00:17:43.360 right? He was he was trying to advance Saudi Arabian Middle Eastern oil at the same time testifying
00:17:50.800 to parliamentarians about limiting and shutting down Canadian energy. And there was a great interaction
00:17:57.120 between Polyev and Mark Carney back then. You'll see it again in the future, but we're going to play it for
00:18:01.600 you now on this show to give you a refresher. Take a look at this. Do you support the Prime
00:18:06.080 Minister's decision to veto the Northern Gateway pipeline, Mr. Carney?
00:18:13.520 I understand the veto of the Northern Gateway pipeline, given both environmental and commercial
00:18:21.680 reasons. Do you support it? I think it is sensible. I wasn't involved in the decision,
00:18:26.960 but I think it was the right decision. And yet your company has invested billions of dollars in oil
00:18:32.560 companies in both Brazil and the UAE to buy pipelines. You've you bought billions of dollars
00:18:39.680 of pipelines as a company in the last five years. Do you support those investments?
00:18:45.520 Mr. Polyev, there is a global energy system. And one of the issues I'm trying to explain a bit of how the
00:18:52.320 economy works. Thank you so much. Well, it may help. One of the issues for this committee in thinking
00:19:00.400 about a sustainable transition is where is Canada's role in those as energy transitions from fossil fuels
00:19:09.040 to renewables. And in different jurisdictions into different geography, it matters. It matters. And this
00:19:15.680 is a fundamental point. No, I'm sorry. This is a fundamental point. You're finally getting to a
00:19:21.520 point that is relevant to this committee's inquiry. What you're saying is you oppose pipelines in Canada,
00:19:28.560 but you support them in the UAE and in Brazil. That's what you've actually said. They're a specific
00:19:33.520 pipeline. That's your double standard. It is not a double standard. It is a double standard. No,
00:19:37.280 it's not. You make billions of dollars off foreign pipelines and you shut them down here at home,
00:19:41.920 putting our people out of work. I would remind you that you are a representative of the Canadian 1.00
00:19:45.840 people. And one of your responsibilities, including at this committee, is to fight for
00:19:50.320 Canadian jobs and not foreign jobs like you. Exactly. To fight for Canadian jobs and the types
00:19:55.840 of Canadian jobs that are durable and are going to move forward. I grew up in Alberta. I know the
00:20:01.440 innovative nature of that. Well, go try to give that answer back in Alberta because I grew up there
00:20:06.400 too. And I can tell you the people, yeah, I can tell you the people of Alberta to be ashamed with
00:20:11.360 the answer you just gave. So I guess, Tonya, that was round one in the fight between Paulyev and Mark
00:20:17.760 Carney, which is only going to continue heating up. But honestly, when I saw that for the, when it
00:20:23.920 happened live, I just couldn't believe the goal of someone like Mark Carney to genuinely be taking the
00:20:30.160 position that Canada needed to limit our natural resources, uh, extraction needed to like shrink
00:20:38.080 our natural resources market while also championing the cause of Saudi Arabian and Middle Eastern oil.
00:20:45.280 I just couldn't believe someone, a Canadian who claims to be a proud Canadian could actually do 1.00
00:20:49.760 something like that. Yeah. And this is the thing about these climate fanatics. I don't understand
00:20:55.680 anything they do. And I think the reason for that is because it's completely illogical. If you have
00:21:00.800 the resources here in Canada, it'll create jobs to extract them. It'll create jobs to sell them. 0.85
00:21:07.040 Why are we not doing this? Why are we not trying to expand the Canadian economy? Why do we have
00:21:12.400 zero pride in things that are produced in Canada? It is just unfathomable to me. Well, and even 0.98
00:21:18.800 listening to Carney's answer, um, the other way that the other reason it could be is this
00:21:23.360 just incessant elitism of these people that are on the far left. He seems to have this point of view,
00:21:30.560 if you believe him that, well, Canada is too enlightened to be pursuing natural gas. We're
00:21:36.880 too enlightened and we're, we're too elite to be, you know, messing with the dirty oil. We should be,
00:21:43.360 we should be focusing on only renewable energy. Let the Saudis, let the South Americans, 1.00
00:21:48.720 they, they're, they're all unsophisticated. So they're still messing around with dirty oil and
00:21:53.360 gas and it's understandable. Like, so either way you look at it, it's not a good look for the guy.
00:21:59.600 Yeah. And just don't, you know, as they say that don't look at, don't look at our, our, our wallets
00:22:04.240 increasing in size as well. I mean, to take money on that is just shocking. And, and I think that,
00:22:09.680 you know, the conservatives would be wise to make sure that almost every Canadian that has access to
00:22:14.880 the internet can see that clip because it really does give you an insight into, uh, into the
00:22:19.680 ideology of someone like Mark Carney. And of course he'll try to run away from it and he'll try to paint
00:22:24.080 himself as something different. But let me ask you both this, who is going to run more? Who's going
00:22:29.440 to run to the right? Uh, is it, is it going to be Freeland or is it going to be Carney to try to be the
00:22:34.640 more centrist candidate, to be the person who goes, let's bring the liberal party back to a normalcy
00:22:40.240 away from the array from the far left? Do you see what I'm trying to ask here? It's tough to phrase.
00:22:44.640 I do. Yeah. And I honestly don't know because they're both far left candidates. I mean, if either
00:22:51.760 of them are elected, we're just getting Justin Trudeau 2.0. So I really don't know how to answer your
00:22:58.160 question. Um, it's going to be interesting. I think, I think Freeland as much as she seems like she's
00:23:08.720 disconnected, uh, and unintelligent in front of the cameras. I think she is keenly aware
00:23:15.120 of the unpopularity of Justin Trudeau. That's why she made the move that she did. I think she's keenly
00:23:20.720 aware of all of the call it hate mail that she no doubt gets from Canadians all over the country,
00:23:27.680 not just her writing. And I, I would not be surprised if she takes the more Jean Chrétien's,
00:23:35.360 uh, Paul Martin stance on, on the liberal party versus, versus Mark Carney. And why is that?
00:23:41.040 Because she already, she's taken the first step in distancing herself from Justin Trudeau.
00:23:48.480 Mark Carney is on record, uh, through his book in all of his glory, in terms of what his policy
00:23:55.040 stances are. Chrystia Freeland, I think is going to try to make the attempt, albeit unsuccessfully, 0.99
00:24:00.320 to say, um, I've seen the error of the liberal ways. I've seen the error of Justin Trudeau.
00:24:07.040 And that's why I made that decision to stand up for Canadians. And I'm determined to lead us back
00:24:11.600 to a, a center left center ish type of party. So I think that's probably how it's going to go. Um,
00:24:19.120 but either way, Canadians should not be trusting either of these people. One voted for these policies
00:24:24.640 for 10 years. And the other has been writing a book that he endorses these policies for 10 years.
00:24:29.120 Right. And my, my thinking is that, you know, it's going to have to be Freeland because she has no
00:24:33.280 other choice. She is so inextricably linked to the government that if she tries to position herself to 0.99
00:24:39.520 the left of Carney, that, that she has no hope, right? The only chance she actually might have at,
00:24:45.200 at becoming prime minister for a few days, becoming the next Kim Campbell would be to try to be, you know,
00:24:50.160 to the center and run to the right of Carney. It's good that we, but we have you guys on this show
00:24:55.520 because we have a major procedure question that I have to just, I have to do it. Just ask to learn
00:25:01.040 about how this might all play out. So let's say Mark Carney wins. He becomes the next liberal leader,
00:25:07.920 the next prime minister. He doesn't have a seat in the house of commons. I did some research.
00:25:12.160 It appears as though this has happened twice in more recent times, most recently with John Turner
00:25:18.080 and, and, and before that, William Lyon, Mackenzie King, actually. In fact, I found out that Mackenzie
00:25:24.480 King managed to lead the liberals and win two elections while losing his seat in both of those
00:25:30.640 elections. So that's bizarre in and of itself, but so it is possible, right? Mark Carney could become
00:25:38.080 prime minister without a seat in the house of commons. How does that even work? Well, it comes down to how
00:25:44.640 the party system works in Canada. If you think about it this way, um, just in terms of math.
00:25:50.800 So the party that wins the most seats in the house of commons, they form government. Everybody,
00:25:56.240 everybody knows that that's just a basic democracy. So, but the party leadership is determined independent
00:26:04.000 of the house of commons and independent of a general election. Look at the Canada's future party,
00:26:08.800 look at the people's party of Canada. They have elected or in some cases appointed, but they've
00:26:14.160 elected their leaders, nothing to do with the general election. It's only within the party.
00:26:19.120 So if that party ends up winning the most seats in the house of commons, but the leader doesn't
00:26:23.840 by default, they still become the, uh, the governing party. And because our system says the party leader
00:26:31.280 is the one that actually takes the title, then that party leader would be the de facto prime minister
00:26:37.440 of Canada. It's very strange, but that's, that's how our system is set up. Now it doesn't happen very
00:26:44.880 often. And the precedent has been that it's expected that that prime minister or, or, or leader gain a
00:26:55.120 seat as soon as possible, either through a by-election or, or what have you, because otherwise
00:27:00.160 you're going to hear nothing in the media and nothing in the house of commons, but the fact that
00:27:05.360 the prime minister has no seat, can't govern properly, can't stand up and represent his constituents
00:27:09.760 in the house of commons. And they would just see drastic, drastic falls in the polls and public
00:27:16.080 opinion as a result of that. But it's a strange little hiccup that exists in our system.
00:27:21.520 So in that, in that, in that case, Mark Carney could just sit in the gallery of the house of
00:27:28.480 commons. If I'm correct in this instance, if he wanted to, he might be able to, you know, murmur
00:27:33.120 some heckling under his breath, but not very loudly. You know, he might get reprimanded by the speaker
00:27:38.320 or he could just go all out and just start laying in a heckle from the, from the gallery
00:27:42.720 and then be kicked out. But at least he got his points across. Like it would be so bizarre.
00:27:47.440 Do you think CPAC would like pan out of question period and like show Carney in the gallery?
00:27:52.720 Well, it would actually get even more bizarre than that Harrison, because if he did actually
00:27:56.960 start heckling from the gallery, what would end up happening is the parliamentary police would come
00:28:01.360 over to him because they are stationed throughout the gallery. They would ask him to be quiet,
00:28:05.440 Mr. Carney. And then if he did it again, they would, they could actually escort him out and
00:28:09.280 have him banned from the house of commons. I mean, that's a pretty extreme case,
00:28:14.560 but it definitely can happen. It would at least make it, you know, not that we really need more
00:28:19.680 entertainment in Canadian politics these days. I think we've got plenty of it. Um, and perhaps we
00:28:24.080 need a little less entertainment and more seriousness, but that would be something. It really, it really
00:28:29.840 would be quite interesting. Uh, just for history's sake, I feel obligated to also say this has happened
00:28:35.200 four times. Um, it happened with John Abbott, uh, after he became prime minister, following the death of
00:28:42.240 John A. McDonald and Mackenzie Bowel, uh, following, uh, following John Thompson's death in office. We don't
00:28:49.360 want to see any of that happen. Uh, but Abbott and Mackenzie Bowel were senators. Um, and Ryan, you,
00:28:55.760 you couldn't just be appointed to the Senate, right? That's still, it still wouldn't work.
00:29:00.240 Correct. And even if you were a sitting Senator and you inherited the position of prime minister,
00:29:04.560 you would have to resign from the Senate and that's to ensure that there is independence
00:29:09.520 between the different branches of government. If you're the prime minister, you are by default
00:29:14.480 part of the executive branch and you cannot have two branches essentially coexisting in the same space.
00:29:20.880 Would, would Mark Carney have any time to like hold any of those big meetings and invite a world leader
00:29:28.240 in, uh, to do some sort of, you know, presentation and really act, play the role of prime minister.
00:29:33.760 Do you guys see a, a, a situation happening in which Mark Carney gets just enough time to
00:29:38.800 really embrace the life of being a prime minister?
00:29:41.280 Honestly, no, the, uh, the election is supposed to be, or I should say the, um,
00:29:47.360 the leadership race election within the liberal party is supposed to be on March 9th and that
00:29:52.640 will choose the next prime minister, um, because again, the liberals are the party in power. So
00:29:56.800 the new leader of the liberals becomes the prime minister and, um, the, uh, the propagation is set
00:30:03.200 to end on March 24th, but they have a definite confidence vote for supply on March the 26th. So
00:30:10.160 that's only about three weeks between, well, it's not even three weeks between when the leader is
00:30:15.040 selected and when this confidence vote is. So I don't think that there's going to be enough time
00:30:21.200 to be whining and dining foreign dignitaries. I think they're going to have to try to get ready 0.66
00:30:25.360 for this confidence vote. They're going to have to get ready for this speech from the throne
00:30:29.280 because I think the liberals are going to use this, uh, as their, their party platform to run on
00:30:35.440 in the next election. So they're going to go in on March 24th. The governor general is going to
00:30:39.360 give the speech from the throne about all these wonderful things that the liberal party is going to do.
00:30:44.240 And then the other parties, uh, may or may not have the opportunity to vote on that in a confidence
00:30:49.360 vote. If they don't on March 24th, there's definitely going to be a confidence vote on
00:30:53.680 March 26th regarding the supply for the next session of government. And we think that's
00:30:58.720 when it's going to fall and that's when we'll go to election. Well, and here's the other thing. Um,
00:31:03.360 Justin Trudeau is a lame duck prime minister right now. Everybody knows it because he's only going
00:31:07.280 to be leader until March 9th, but I think world leaders would understand that Mark Carney is most
00:31:13.680 likely a lame duck prime minister after he gets elected. And he's not going to be able to speak
00:31:17.680 with any authority because a parliament's prorogued and B the polling shows that he's not going to be
00:31:22.880 prime minister past the next general election. So why would you even waste your time in coming to see
00:31:27.280 Mark Carney when he's most likely not going to be the leader of the country within a matter of weeks?
00:31:33.920 So, um, I think I, I wouldn't surprise, it wouldn't surprise me if he asked leaders to come,
00:31:40.160 but it would make more sense for those leaders to kind of hold back, say, Oh, I'm busy right now.
00:31:44.880 Talk to me, you know, at the end of the summer. Um, so they can actually see how the political
00:31:49.200 situation shakes out in Canada. I'm going to say, I think the only leader that it might make sense
00:31:54.240 for the newly elected leader of the liberal party to meet with would be Donald Trump, especially with
00:31:59.840 the threat of these tariffs. Right? Absolutely. And, and I assume that it would be, it would be, uh,
00:32:06.560 customary for the liberal leader to have maybe a virtual meeting with the king. I think that's usually
00:32:13.120 what they try to do as well. The prime minister wants to meet with the monarch. I I've been,
00:32:17.680 you know, for the past couple of weeks, I've been calling the, the, the, the winner of the next
00:32:21.760 liberal, uh, liberal leadership contest, the, the next Kim Campbell, but that's just not, not accurate
00:32:26.960 because, uh, she is not the, the shortest, uh, reigning prime minister. That would be Sir Charles
00:32:33.360 Tupper 68 days. And I don't get the impression that the next liberal leader is going to last 68 days.
00:32:38.800 So I I've had it wrong this whole time, but this has been an episode packed with Canadian 1.00
00:32:42.800 history, uh, some predictions about the future, um, and just general discussions about what we
00:32:47.680 may have in store for us. But, um, we're going to turn it over to you, the audience, reminding
00:32:52.480 you about the poll in this video, the poll question, which we ask you to put yourself in
00:32:57.440 the position of a liberal supporter. The question is this, who would be a better leader for the liberal
00:33:03.360 party to challenge Pierre Polyev? You can find that once again, in the pinned comment on this video,
00:33:09.200 that's all the time we have for this week. We'll see you all next week.