The first and only Alberta election debate featuring the two major party leaders, Rachel Notley and Danielle Smith, is taking place in Calgary on Wednesday evening. In this special edition of the True North podcast, hosts Andrew Lawton, Rachel Emanuel, and William MacBeth and Rachel's colleague, Rachel Eichenauer, discuss what to look out for in the premier's debate.
00:01:44.500It's been a busy week, so I'm sure we'll have lots to discuss.
00:01:48.960We have obviously had some coverage of the Alberta election on my show, on True North, on Rachel's show.
00:01:55.480So, William, you've been slacking. You haven't done any original coverage, but I know you're going to make up for it with your contributions to the discussion this evening.
00:02:02.760But let's just talk about the lay of the land here, because the debate is going to be in exactly one hour.
00:02:08.780And this will be, as I mentioned, the first and only time that the leaders of the major parties are squaring off.
00:02:14.640But the one thing I should say, and this is, I think, especially noteworthy if you have been familiarized with federal leaders debates,
00:02:21.860There are just going to be the two leaders here of Rachel Notley and Danielle Smith.
00:02:27.400There's not going to be an Alberta Liberal leader, an Alberta Green leader, an Alberta Party leader.
00:10:02.060She had a radio show where for the first, you know, six months, a year, everybody was piling on about how upset they were about what she did.
00:10:10.160And to then go on and win a leadership race, I think, is a testament to her tenacity and the fact that she was willing to suffer through all of those sins and that punishment in order to do something which she believed.
00:10:22.420And, you know, I think a lot of Conservatives really appreciate that, that she was willing to take the tough love or the anger and outrage and channel it into something else.
00:10:33.680But you, of course, do see, as Rachel said, some division on the Conservative side about whether or not they support Danielle Smith.
00:10:40.340You've got Kem Bozenkul and a few others writing op-eds saying that she's not a Conservative, she shouldn't be elected.
00:10:46.140You've got endorsements, though, from Stephen Harper and others who say, you know, the only path forward in Alberta is a conservative government.
00:10:53.420And I think that's the real ballot question people are facing this time, is what are they more afraid of?
00:10:58.960Are they more afraid of crazy Danielle Smith, or that's what her opponents and the mainstream media would have you believe?
00:11:06.000Are they more afraid of crazy Danielle Smith or, Rachel Notley's terrible economic policies?
00:11:11.720Which one of those two unpleasant choices are they least supportive of?
00:11:16.620I don't think anybody's voting, apart from vocal minorities on either side, out of love for these candidates.
00:11:23.320It's more about which do you dislike the most.
00:11:26.120We are, if you're just tuning in, about 49 minutes away from the start of the one and only leaders debate in this year's Alberta election.
00:11:34.300We're going to carry that live here at True North.
00:11:37.120But we will talk about the campaign, the race, the themes, the debate, and all of that between now and then.
00:11:43.280I'm Andrew Lawton, joined by Rachel Emanuel and William Macbeth from True North.
00:11:48.120Let's talk about the overarching campaign theme for a minute, Rachel,
00:11:51.720because I know that earlier on, months ago, there was this thought that I had and some others advanced
00:11:56.780that this might really be Danielle Smith versus Justin Trudeau in a way,
00:12:01.820more than Danielle Smith versus Rachel Notley.
00:12:04.000And I think we saw in the leadership race, the Sovereignty Act, which then became the first legislation of this government.
00:12:11.420And I think that there is something to that, that the UCP was really looking at Ottawa as being its main nemesis.
00:12:17.780But I mean, maybe I've been missing it. I haven't actually really seen that dynamic in the election.
00:12:22.420I haven't really seen federal issues become the ones that Danielle Smith has really tried to stake out a place on.
00:12:28.340Have I missed something or is that your read too?
00:12:30.460No, and one of the reasons you haven't seen that dichotomy play out is because Danielle Smith is campaigning to an entirely different group of voters than she was campaigning to during the UCP leadership race in which she was really appealing to those voters who felt left behind by Ottawa, who felt hurt by their federal government, who felt frustrated by government overreach during the COVID-19 pandemic.
00:12:50.900she came out the strongest against the pandemic policy that we saw you know she was really
00:12:55.780outspoken in that and she kind of stood alone in the field a lot of those other candidates
00:12:59.040couldn't run against the government's record because they had been a part of the government
00:13:03.560during the COVID-19 pandemic and they had sort of stood by while those policies were passed
00:13:07.980and then were forced to kind of come out and say well you know I didn't agree with it and I can't
00:13:12.420really acknowledge what I said because that would be breaching cabinet confidences but I can tell
00:13:16.840you that I wasn't in favor of it but it certainly wasn't a strong argument and I think they know
00:13:20.640they didn't have a leg to stand on so we didn't see that same pitch from them that was danielle
00:13:25.700smith's campaign during the leadership race it was effective we know she won it was close i think
00:13:30.140she won on the last ballot and i think that speaks to the fact that the conservative party still
00:13:34.760wasn't sure about her you know not 100 we didn't see her wasn't a peer poly a victory where he went
00:13:39.900on the first ballot with about 70 support from the base so we are still seeing a bit of that split
00:13:44.820within the party right now people not sure how to feel about her and as a result we've seen danielle
00:13:49.520now appealing to the moderates which everyone expected her to do now to her credit she hasn't
00:13:54.200turned on her base i think some people are really upset about the decision to remove jennifer johnson
00:13:58.900from the ucp caucus if she wins her election which she's 100 likely to do because that is a
00:14:03.800conservative safe seat you know some people are upset about that other people understand and say
00:14:07.640this is the right decision for people that haven't followed that just because that happened today can
00:14:11.440you just give some context on that sure so the other day it came out that jennifer johnson had
00:14:16.880made some comments basically referring to trans ideology as as crap and saying that by teaching
00:14:24.100trans ideology in schools you're you're mixing crap in with the baked goods and so these comments
00:14:29.660were widely condemned people were like this is extremely transphobic this is extremely homophobic
00:14:33.700you know maybe it was about two days ago it just blew up the news cycle it was dominating headlines
00:14:38.020for days people across the board were really really upset and saying danielle smith you need
00:14:42.160get rid of this candidate earlier this morning the decision came down that if jennifer johnson
00:14:46.880wins her election in lacombe pinocca she will not sit with the usb caucus at this point it is too
00:14:52.320late to remove jennifer johnson from the ballot she will be on the ballot this is something similar
00:14:57.280that happened with the liberal government when close to the election it came out a candidate had
00:15:01.200some done some untoward things and the liberals didn't really want to be associated with them so
00:15:05.360they said you know what he's still going to run but if he wins his election he will sit as an
00:15:09.360independent candidate so this is sometimes done as a practice when it's too late for a party to
00:15:13.440get rid of a candidate that they no longer want to associate with their party so that was a decision
00:15:18.160that came down this morning you know some conservatives that really supported danielle
00:15:22.480during the leadership race were really upset by this decision i think other people understood
00:15:26.880but again this is danielle winning to the general alberta population she's winning to appeal to a
00:15:32.160broader group of people she knows that she is to keep some of those mlas in calgary happy some of
00:15:36.560of them feel like they can't win under her we've been hearing reports that they haven't really been
00:15:41.040campaigning under daniel smith they've more been campaigning as their own independent mla
00:15:44.800that's not similar to what we saw in jace under jason kenney so she is running a different campaign
00:15:49.660and i think she's really trying to position herself against rachel notley's record as premier
00:15:53.440because a lot of people in alberta are really unhappy during that time period they saw jobs
00:15:57.600and investment leave the province and so the ucb has been you know trying really hard to remind
00:16:02.820people of Rachel Notley's record as premier. Let's do a little bit of 2012-2023 comparison
00:16:09.040again, which I know is your favorite pastime, William. Lake of fire, political history, everyone
00:16:14.640knows the incident in 2012 that, I mean, largely people argued cost Danielle Smith the election.
00:16:19.820Do you see shades of that in the Jennifer Johnson debacle? Oh, I mean, absolutely. I mean,
00:16:26.420I cannot overstate the impact that had on our 2012 Wild Rose election. And I'll tell you something
00:16:34.380that I found interesting was we did some polling or some focus grouping after that election to try
00:16:40.960and determine like where Wild Rose stood in the minds of typical voters when it came to issues
00:16:48.100like, do you think we're extreme? Do you think we're intolerant? And when we talked to people
00:16:52.660afterwards they said look no we don't think your party by and large is a party that is extreme we
00:16:58.800don't think Daniel Smith is an extremist or is intolerant but what this made us think was she
00:17:05.240wasn't up to making the tough choices you have to make when you're a premier they said her decision
00:17:10.620to not fire Alan Hunsberger who was the candidate who had made those comments showed a failure of
00:17:17.220leadership and therefore they didn't think she was ready for the job of being premier now I would say
00:17:22.640I think if she had fired him or had said that he would not sit in a Walrose caucus,
00:17:27.900she would have become premier at the end of that election. And to her credit, I think she learned
00:17:34.480that very painful lesson and wasn't about to let it happen again in this time. There is simply no
00:17:39.460way you can message around the fact that the very unpleasant analogy used by that candidate was,
00:17:46.140you know it's like mixing pooping with the cookie dough and uh i don't think uh there was no amount
00:17:52.440of explanation that was going to make that particular analogy come across as anything
00:17:56.140other than unreasonable or extreme and so i i think she decided not to make the same mistake twice
00:18:01.860let's shift gears here a little bit and talk about the format that we can expect tonight
00:18:08.080and i i know that uh we did talk about how it's going to be one-on-one which will certainly be
00:18:13.040interesting here but let's also talk about why not that we don't love having you here rachel but
00:18:17.500let's talk about why you're here with us and not at the debate yeah absolutely so the parties you
00:18:25.480know they plan this debate they gave the rights over to organize the debate to the debate consortium
00:18:29.520who handed it over to ctv to organize so we know that the debate is going to be happening at a
00:18:34.540location maybe ctv's edmonton office it was sort of an undisclosed location they kept bringing up
00:18:39.640the fact that there was major privacy concerns so when i emailed ctv the other day to get
00:18:44.760accreditation to attend to attend the event they said to me oh you know sorry this is for alberta
00:18:50.440press gallery members only my application with the press gallery has been ongoing for months
00:18:56.680the alberta press gallery has no jurisdiction over anything other than journalists in the alberta
00:19:02.360legislature yeah absolutely so this is just a very hand-picked small group of people that are now
00:19:08.760being invited to attend the debate they said the reason for that was that it was safety and security
00:19:13.560issues and I said well you know I've been a member of the press gallery in the past I can assure you
00:19:17.480I'm no security threat and they said oh no no we don't think that you're a security threat but
00:19:21.560we only have a limited number of security and it's a small space so we're gonna have to limit it and
00:19:25.720I sort of explained to them that this would result in most of independent media being barred from the
00:19:30.040debate which is probably of course what they were sort of hoping for and they said yes a lot of
00:19:34.200people won't be able to attend but this was just a decision to make so I was not able to attend the
00:19:38.520debate in person which is less of an issue except that there will be a scrum with both of the leaders
00:19:43.560afterwards that i will not be able to participate in which is frustrating it'll be largely mainstream
00:19:48.440media reporters at that scrum the western standard might be able to send someone so they might have
00:19:52.680a presence there but very frustrating and the one thing that i'm kind of caught up on as well
00:19:57.560you know the ucp often champions independent media danielle smith especially has been a big
00:20:02.520champion of independent media she talks about how great it is that all these new outlets are now
00:20:07.080working and growing in this space and i think it was an oversight on their part not to ensure that
00:20:12.520we wouldn't be given fair access and fair treatment to attend this debate i think that's
00:20:17.080something that needed they need to look at in the future and say we'll go to this debate but
00:20:20.680this debate but we're going to have some terms of our own that you have to meet
00:20:24.760yeah and obviously i mean my my personal desire might be for the ucp to take this principled stand
00:20:30.840but i realize in all the issues that they are contending with this isn't necessarily the one
00:20:35.720they want to die on, but there are ways around it. Like Danielle Smith could say, you know what,
00:20:40.100we're going to have a scrum outside the debate hall and we're going to take questions from all
00:20:43.900journalists who show up. And generally the UCP, as you mentioned, has been very good about allowing
00:20:48.540all journalists to go there. The NDP has not, and this has actually become independent media,
00:20:53.620a bit of a running theme in this election campaign. Now you've just like been elbows up
00:20:58.220and you've been getting in there and Rachel Notley has been taking your questions because you
00:21:01.300shout them loud enough that she can hear them even without you getting the microphone, but
00:21:05.220she's not been as conducive to answering other independent journalist questions this has been
00:21:11.600one of the strangest parts of the campaign it has been really weird to see how the NDP have responded
00:21:17.120to independent media I have to say that I don't think their tactics have been very successful
00:21:21.980and have definitely not been a good look for them so yeah basically they've made a decision to
00:21:26.360largely ban independent media reporters from their events altogether the first event I showed up
00:21:32.240They just decided they were going to take questions from legacy media journalists in the room.
00:21:37.260And the way that that worked was the communication staffer that was running the event would hold the microphone.
00:21:42.500He would pass it to a journalist and he would take it back in between.
00:21:46.080That's a pretty standard practice, but it also means that reporters can't just sort of casually pass the mic to each other.
00:21:51.520It also is a very formal way of doing an event, whereas typically on Parliament Hill, there'll be like a scrum and reporters will just kind of yell their question.
00:21:58.900The person who yells aloud gets their question answered.
00:22:02.240And so at this specific event, the first one I went to from the Alberta NDP, they just decided
00:22:07.320not to hand me the mic. And as soon as they were done taking questions from all the legacy media
00:22:11.540journalists, they went to the phones. I knew that was a tactic because they didn't want to take my
00:22:16.000question. And so I just decided to yell my question out. It was a pretty small room. They were still
00:22:20.620live streaming the event. It would have been impossible to ignore me. Of course, Rachel
00:22:24.380Notley could have made the decision just not to answer me. But to her credit, she did answer me.
00:22:28.720we have seen other cases where, for example, Calgary Mayor Jody Gondik just decided not to
00:22:33.540answer a question from the countersignal editor-in-chief, Kian Bextie, and actually walked
00:22:37.600away from the podium when he asked her a question. So to her credit, Rachel Notley did answer my
00:22:42.400question and I got a follow-up in. And then at future press conferences, they've simply just
00:22:46.120decided to give me the mic. So I've been able to get my questions in on those rare occasions when
00:22:51.740I actually am able to find out where the NDP press conferences are happening. They've made it very
00:22:56.180difficult and they've kept their location very secret from independent media so we often don't
00:22:59.920know what's going on or where to find them but I've been the only independent media reporter
00:23:04.600that's had success at getting my questions in. Western Standard is barred from asking questions
00:23:09.300until they apologize for a column that they published which they're not going to do let's be
00:23:13.780honest. The NDP said that the the column in question was homophobic and hateful and all that
00:23:20.420types of things so they're waiting for an apology. Rebel News hasn't been able to get their questions
00:23:24.320And on the chance that Keenan Bextie shows up to something like happened on Monday, the NDP actually tried to get him to leave.
00:23:31.340And when he wouldn't leave, they called the police on him and had him sort of escorted from the premises.
00:23:35.920So it's been sort of all over the place on how they're dealing with independent media.
00:23:39.580But it's kind of just created more drama than is necessary.
00:23:43.000We actually on the Bextie issue, we actually have a clip, I believe, that we can show.
00:24:24.320to that. He was not actually handcuffed. I'll take it up with Kian about why his hands happen
00:24:29.420to be in the position they would be if he were handcuffed. But a mainstream media reporter,
00:24:33.580to their credit, did actually ask Rachel Notley about this incident, which had ended up delaying
00:24:38.960the start of the press conference by a considerable amount. And she wouldn't take
00:24:42.620Kian's question, but she took this question about Kian.
00:24:54.320Well, you know, it really depends. So I'm happy to present myself to everybody in the media, even those that have a very conservative background and have a very pointed perspective in terms of the questions that they ask.
00:25:12.320There is one media outlet that fits that description that I am very clear.
00:25:18.320We will not take questions from until they retract the hate speech that they published with respect to one of our caucus members.
00:25:27.320The protester today does not fit that description.
00:25:30.320The protester today is a protester, has a record of acting like a protester,
00:25:35.320regardless of what they may have called themselves, and has a clear association with white supremacist groups.
00:26:27.680It's a very clubby environment within the legacy media,
00:26:31.160and they really don't like it when outsiders try and rock the boat.
00:26:35.840And, you know, but the need for independent media has never been more clear if you simply look at their coverage of politics this week.
00:26:44.840They have written endlessly about the fact that this one UCP candidate made an inappropriate and unpleasant analogy about transgenderism policy in schools.
00:26:56.980They've talked incessantly about an ethics report that came out today that partly cleared Danielle Smith in the issue related to judicial interference.
00:27:06.820But what they've barely talked about at all is the NDP's platform, which is calling for a nearly 40% increase in business taxes.
00:27:13.560And that is an issue that actually will impact the lives of thousands of Albertans, not least of which the nearly 35,000 Albertans who, according to economist Jack Mintz, will likely lose their jobs.
00:27:26.040if the NDP tax policy is adopted after the election.
00:27:30.540So I think the legacy media tend to focus on their little pet issues.
00:27:35.560They like to play the inside politics game.
00:27:38.040They like to be in the little bubble of analyzing poll results
00:27:41.220or talking about, you know, oh, this little pet issue that happened here or there.
00:27:45.600And they've really failed at talking about the issues which matter to Albertans,
00:27:50.340and that's jobs, taxes, cost of living, housing, all of those issues.
00:27:55.160And it's during an election, of course, which is when we should be having important conversations about things like that, not which candidate for which party once said something crazy on their social media, either a week ago, a year ago, a decade ago.
00:28:10.800Yeah. No, you're very right. And by the way, are you a bit thirsty, William? You look thirsty.
00:28:15.140Oh, well, that's a really interesting thing you say. I am kind of thirsty. I'm just going to take a little sip here from my True North mug.
00:28:49.300They took me off while I was doing the pitch.
00:28:51.500Darn it, Sean, I was trying to sell mugs here.
00:28:53.320No, we aren't actually selling them, but we do have a few of them in stock, and the first five people to donate $150 will get their very own True North mug, and if you donate $500, you get the one that William is sipping from right now, but he won't even wash it.
00:29:11.040No, first five to donate $150, get a True North mug.
00:29:17.060These are very, very limited inventory, and they are, I mean, they're very hefty.
00:29:22.220Like, you could fit, like, two whole cups of coffee in here, which is how I am getting through the show.
00:29:26.520And by the way, we did actually give Rachel a mug.
00:46:57.520Who wouldn't want to vote for the Alberta party?
00:46:59.100You know, right next door, there's a Saskatchewan party that is very popular, but they seem to really have had identity crises.
00:47:06.160Couldn't figure out who they are, what they stand for.
00:47:08.360And if you ask me now, I couldn't tell you what they believe in.
00:47:11.020Yeah, I couldn't even tell you the leader.
00:47:12.800I remember one of my old radio colleagues in Alberta stepped down and ended up running for the Alberta party, Angela Cocot.
00:47:20.000And at the time, I was like, well, now I'm even more confused about what you believe, because I couldn't quite figure out what the Alberta party believed at that particular moment.
00:47:27.480But I think there's an interesting dynamic in Alberta politics, and I've often looked at Alberta through the COVID era, and I know that we've moved beyond that largely.
00:47:39.120But one of the interesting things is that when Alberta, under Jason Kenney, went down the road of COVID restrictions, lockdowns, vaccine passports, there was a really significant wave of concern, I think, in the conservative libertarian movement in Canada.
00:47:57.120that if Alberta can't be the holdout, there's really no hope.
00:48:13.080But to be honest, I don't know if that lands with people.
00:48:16.720I think there are a lot of people when they see her and talk to her
00:48:19.620that seemed, even if they don't like what she argues with,
00:48:22.960don't actually see the evil caricature.
00:48:25.420And I'm wondering, Rachel, you've seen Danielle Smith in action on the campaign trail.
00:48:30.720What's been the reception she gets when you move beyond the attack ads and the headlines?
00:48:36.760I have to say that I think the Alberta NDP's bid to paint Danielle Smith as someone you can't trust,
00:48:42.580to be unsure about, has been pretty effective, especially with those moderates and swing ridings.
00:48:48.200I think people are really deciding how they feel about her.
00:48:50.260I think that is really going to be the ballot box question.
00:48:52.340however when it comes to what we were talking about a little bit of the digging up old comments
00:48:57.280from candidates and trying to just throw everything out there that you can and see what sticks
00:49:01.240i don't think that has been super effective i think the ndp has spent far too much time on
00:49:06.580negative campaigning and just sort of these attack ads not really focused on their own plans on
00:49:11.640their vision that they're going to put forward for alberta so i would say that some of that hasn't
00:49:16.180really landed and i think we've seen the ucp has been able to still get their message out about
00:49:20.040jobs and the economy about health care and especially about public safety so i do think
00:49:25.040that is something danielle smith is going to have to face going to the election people still think
00:49:28.320of her back in the wild rose days as being fairly crazy they really were unhappy about the floor
00:49:32.960crossing most albertans have forgiven her for that but it's still something kind of there in
00:49:36.860the back of your mind so i think that campaigning on the part of the ndp has been fairly effective
00:49:41.400i just don't know if it's enough to outweigh what really should be a positive vision they have for
00:49:46.680province that's how people should campaign is showing a vision for how they're going to make
00:49:50.440things better and what the province would look like under their government so we are just about
00:49:55.72010 minutes away from the scheduled start time of the debate let's turn a little bit to uh debate
00:50:01.160predictions debate strategy uh well first off do we know much about this specific format
00:50:08.360uh well i i no i don't think we do we we do know of course there'll be a leader-to-leader matchup
00:50:14.840and therefore you won't have what you have in a lot of other elections which is going to leaders
00:50:19.240who who either will elect very few or no people in an election i'm assuming that means almost
00:50:25.880every question will be answered by both leaders and possibly with an opportunity to respond
00:50:31.480there are some things i do think though that you can look for which is which leader is doing the
00:50:35.720better job of connecting with people through the medium of television and there's a few tactics
00:50:42.440to this? Are they looking right into the camera? When they answer their question, are they looking
00:50:46.340into the camera and making sure they're talking to people? Are they distracted by their opponent
00:50:50.780and addressing their comments to them? And I think the winner is whoever comes across
00:50:57.280as the most reasonable, calm, measured, sensible, ready to govern person. I think if anybody
00:51:07.360flies off the handle, they're the ones who are going to lose. And my money is that Rachel
00:51:12.980Notley is more likely to become upset and animated over the course of the debate than Danielle Smith.
00:51:19.360Do you, well, I'll put this to either view. I mean, do either of you anticipate either one
00:51:25.240really going for the jugular and going to engage with the opponent? Or do you think they're going
00:51:31.640to mostly talk to the audience and talk to the moderators instead of talking to the other?
00:51:37.360Yeah, that's a really good question, Andrew. I'm not super sure what to anticipate there. I don't really see Danielle Smith going for the jugular. She's just not really that type of person. And I think during the leadership race, we saw that even when people made very personal attacks against her, as did happen with a couple of candidates, interestingly, some of who were cabinet ministers in her government, she kept it pretty professional. She kept it pretty straight down the line and she was really able to maintain her calm.
00:52:00.400You know, while Rachel Nolley and Danielle Smith have both been public figures for such a long time,
00:52:05.140Danielle Smith had years of practice on the radio.
00:52:07.160That is really good, concrete experience to be going into politics with, to be facing crowds.
00:57:23.620only winning in one province and the liberals and the conservatives and the NDPs, which are
00:57:29.020politically relevant, but, but only in a marginal third party sense. And then you get the green
00:57:34.440party. And in 2019, you had the PPC, which didn't win a seat. Like it's, everyone is scrambling to
00:57:40.080just get screen time and to be known. And you get these like weird pairings where, you know,
00:57:45.240Elizabeth May is, you know, getting to go one-on-one with Justin Trudeau when, you know,
00:57:50.200whatever you think of either, they're really not equivalent and relevant. So the idea of two people
00:57:55.060that are of equal stature in politics, both of them have a conceivable shot at victory here,
00:58:01.380there is really no excuse to not challenge each other on the records and on the policies and to
00:58:08.420really force, if the format allows, some accountability for positions and records.
00:58:14.440Yeah, and I mean, I'd be interested to know Rachel's thoughts on this too, but I would say
00:58:18.800in the case of Danielle Smith, she really has to try and put forward the most optimistic
00:58:25.420vision of Alberta she can. I think if it becomes all gloom and doom, that's worse for Danielle than
00:58:33.860it is for Rachel. And I think because, you know, Danielle's in government and Rachel's in
00:58:38.100opposition. Opposition always has to paint a more dire gloom and doom scenario than government.
00:58:44.480And, you know, I once told Danielle that if there was a premier I thought she should emulate in temperament and in behaviour, I said Christy Clark, who, while what you would think of her policies notwithstanding, she was a formidable campaigner.
00:59:00.420She bounded off her campaign bus, smiling, waving, shaking hands, looking like this was the happiest she's ever been in her whole life that day.
00:59:09.260So I would say, look, you know, you want to see a happy, happy warrior, Danielle, who's excited about the future of Alberta.
00:59:17.960And I think if she does that, it's going to paint a great contrast to Rachel Notley, who's going to try and say everything's terrible, when the reality on the ground is everything isn't terrible.
00:59:26.460Alberta is doing quite well right now.
00:59:28.380Ontarians, my good, you know, people like you, Andrew, are moving here in unprecedented numbers for our cheap housing and job opportunities.
00:59:35.860So anybody who thinks that times are bad in Alberta hasn't walked out their front door lately.
00:59:40.980I will say last time, so people in Ontario have seen by now the advertisements for Alberta is Calling,
00:59:48.200where they are basically running ads on the Toronto subways and radio stations in London, Ontario, and Hamilton,
00:59:54.420trying to get people to move to Alberta.
00:59:56.200And the last time I saw Danielle Smith was actually at a fundraising dinner in Toronto,
01:00:01.220and she gave me the Alberta is Calling pitch personally.
01:00:04.460And I was with my wife, and I said, she's the one you've got to convince.
01:00:08.300But it's actually been quite brilliant.
01:00:10.460And Alberta is seeing a resurgence that really looked like it was lost for many years.
01:00:15.920Like, I remember when we produced our documentary years ago with Calgary in crisis, and we looked
01:00:22.160at the drug and homelessness issue, downtown vacancy, and it hasn't entirely rebounded
01:01:03.300Now, we have three main topics to cover tonight, affordability, health care and the economy, which, according to our polling, are the top issues for Albertans.
01:01:11.980We also have a fourth wildcard round. In addition, both CTV and Global News have been solicited questions from you, the voters.
01:01:18.820We've gotten hundreds of submissions and pared them down to two. Aaron and I will put those questions to the leaders.
01:01:25.880And there are some rules tonight, and here they are. Both parties have agreed to all of these rules for tonight's debate.
01:01:32.140Each leader will have one minute to make their opening remarks.
01:01:36.100Over the course of the hour, 10 questions are expected.
01:01:39.600Each will be directed at a specific leader who then has 45 seconds to respond.
01:01:45.220The other leader will have time for a rebuttal followed by free debate.
01:01:49.680And there will be an all-important countdown clock that the leaders can see here in studio
01:01:53.840with 30 seconds left in their answer so they know when it is time to wrap up.
01:01:58.140And as we near the end of the debate, each leader will have time to make their closing remarks to Albertans.
01:02:04.520Well, the speaking order tonight was determined by a random draw and a reminder to Ms. Smith and Ms.
01:11:48.320Well, let me just say, first of all, that the numbers that Ms. Smith are throwing around are numbers that have been fully discredited.
01:11:54.620And they've actually been discredited by the people that the UCP hired to come up with the numbers.
01:12:00.920Almost the day after they came up with those numbers, the firm came out and said, nope, those weren't right.
01:12:05.720And in fact, the other report that they were relying on were also deeply flawed.
01:12:11.320What we know is that there is roughly $16 trillion of international investment floating around out there looking to invest in renewable energy.
01:12:21.020And if we are going to be forward-looking, if we are going to create jobs, if we are going to position our economy for the future, we need to go out there and get that investment.
01:16:32.560No, no surprises, except that I think earlier I said whoever becomes the most agitated,
01:16:38.760whoever really loses their cool is going to lose.
01:16:41.540And so far, Rachel Notley coming across far more agitated than Danielle Smith.
01:16:46.700I think if you look at that last segment in particular, she almost got choked up on her unhappiness about the facts that Danielle was putting forward.
01:16:55.040To her credit, I think Danielle's debate performance so far has been very solid.
01:16:59.560And I think in particular, something she hasn't done, but I think she should have, and I'm glad she's now doing if you are on the conservative side, is linking Rachel Notley to Justin Trudeau and making that connection clear.
01:17:13.940She did it during the leadership race.
01:17:15.420She's avoided it in the first part of the campaign.
01:17:20.520But this debate, she's decided to really make that linkage very clear.
01:17:24.140So first few minutes of this debate, I think so far, advantage, Danielle Smith.
01:19:34.940we can take the pressure off of our emergency rooms,
01:19:38.140off of our surgical wait times, off of our ambulances.
01:19:40.880And we can also make sure that nobody ever, ever, ever has to pay to see a family doctor.
01:19:48.040All right. Thank you very much, Ms. Notley.
01:19:49.700Once again, let's dive back into the free debate portion where you're free to challenge each other's policies, beginning with Ms. Smith.
01:19:55.760You know, I heard of all of the things that Ms. Notley mentioned when I was in politics last time in 2012, and she had four years to fix it, and she didn't.
01:23:16.760Now, that's not entirely surprising because most often,
01:23:19.640when you engage in experimentation with privatization, that's what happens.
01:23:23.440It's the same thing that's going on with the lab situation in Calgary right now.
01:23:28.200With the UCP's intention to increase private lab services,
01:23:32.280we now see Calgarians waiting up to a month to get a simple blood test.
01:23:36.380It doesn't work. We need to focus on public health care.
01:23:40.300All right, Ms. Notley, that is your 45 seconds. Ms. Smith, over to you.
01:23:43.680We need to have publicly funded health care for both doctors and doctor-run surgical centres.
01:23:49.460We have 300,000 surgeries being done per year.
01:23:53.02060,000 of them are in doctor-run surgical centres that Ms. Notley apparently wants to shut down.
01:23:58.580She hasn't answered the question about how we would be able to replace those surgeries.
01:24:02.320And I can tell you what is actually happening because a lot has changed since November when we started making these changes in health care.
01:24:08.880What has happened, in fact, is that we identified that there were 39,000 people waiting longer than medically recommended.
01:24:15.520We've been cutting that list down by 3,000 surgeries per month.
01:24:18.960We're now down to 30,000 people waiting.
01:24:21.060And as I said, if we continue at this pace,
01:24:23.360those waits will be completely over by this time next year.
01:24:25.740And I think that's something to celebrate and continue.
01:24:27.860Okay, let's open up the floor now to some free debate.
01:29:00.300The difference is that Ms. Smith and her caucus have spent much of their career pitting emissions reduction efforts against economic growth.
01:58:03.880welcome back everyone this is true north's live election night well not election i know that's
01:58:17.220in 11 days they just said it but our live debate night show for the alberta election the one and
01:58:22.440only chance for us to see the leaders in action william i'm gonna need you to take another sip
01:58:27.660and turn that around. You did it all wrong. There you go. There you go. That is our True North mug.
01:58:34.740And by the way, we just have one left. So anyone who donate the first, well, actually the next
01:58:39.840person who donates $150 gets one of those True North mugs, a very limited run. We only had five
01:58:46.460and there is just one remaining. And I mean, we thank all of you for your generous support of
01:58:51.680independent media. In this case, we're bribing you with a mug, but it's actually a very good mug. I
01:58:56.120was drinking my evening coffee out of mine and there was enough room in it for enough coffee to
01:59:00.800get through what were at some point a bit of a slog. But let's just talk about format here for
01:59:06.040a moment. I'm Andrew Lawton, joined by Rachel Emanuel and William Macbeth. This was the one
01:59:10.980chance for these two leaders to go head to head. And it was one hour with commercial breaks. I mean,
01:59:17.320did we even scratch the surface, Rachel? Yeah, I definitely felt like it could have been a little
01:59:22.920bit longer it didn't feel like we heard from them too much and it was kind of over before i knew it
01:59:27.760often by the time we get to the end of these things i'm like oh thank goodness it's over but
01:59:31.880in this case i was like oh it's over already so definitely could have gone on for a bit longer
01:59:35.620they could have been given a little bit more time for debate i would have been a little bit more
01:59:39.120interested to really dig into some of the public safety stuff the ucp is announcing really novel
01:59:45.720ideas on how to deal with a mental health and addictions crisis and i know that danielle smith
01:59:50.340did get an opportunity to bring up some of those policies but we hardly heard about that we
01:59:55.220certainly didn't hear what not least plan on mental health and addictions was and the two
01:59:58.900didn't really have an opportunity to go toe to toe on that specific topic which is a very big
02:00:03.780topic in the province right now and as i mentioned the ucp is doing really novel things on it and
02:00:08.180they have announced some pretty big policies on that so i definitely could have heard from them
02:00:11.940a bit more also on format just a personal pet peeve of mine i hate when they have multiple
02:00:16.660moderators I hate when they include a million different journalists to ask questions I know
02:00:20.660it's because they just can't agree the debate consortium of the journalists who are actually
02:00:24.760organizing it they just simply can't agree who's going to be put in charge of it because all of
02:00:28.840the outlets want their reporters having face time and to get sort of that credibility but I think
02:00:34.040it's better when they just pick one moderator one person's asking the questions and keeping the
02:00:38.200debate running smoothly just a personal preference of mine I think it's silly especially when you
02:00:41.820know the reasons behind the scenes as to why they felt the need to include everyone but I did feel
02:00:46.640like the moderators did a fairly good job of keeping them moving things along and you know
02:00:50.860both of the leaders were pretty respectful and didn't interrupt each other too much which
02:00:53.860sometimes can be a huge headache when you're watching debates so that part of it i thought
02:00:57.420was pretty effective yeah the the questions i i thought were generally fair i thought they could
02:01:02.360have been more of them i thought there could have been a little bit more opportunity for i don't
02:01:06.980want to say confrontation but certainly for exchange uh between the two candidates i also
02:01:12.100realize that I said the next donor to True North who donated more than $150 would get the mug,
02:01:17.300but I didn't give you the link again. So that is donate.tnc.news. And even if you're not
02:01:21.560chipping in because you want the last mug, you might want to chip in because you value the work
02:01:25.680we're doing. And I'll go back to what I said earlier, which is that Rachel Emanuel, who's
02:01:29.620been doing a great job covering the campaign, was banned from going to the debate to talk to the
02:01:35.260leaders in the post-debate scrum because the mainstream media want to keep their little
02:01:40.740protectionist bubble, or I don't even know if you can call it a racket going, which is what the
02:01:45.640Alberta Legislative Gallery has basically done to exclude independent media. So we're still
02:01:51.000covering it. We're still going to ask questions to Rachel Notley and Danielle Smith on the campaign
02:01:56.080trail. But let's focus on the debate in particular here, because healthcare obviously came up. And
02:02:02.140I mean, we weren't even like two minutes in before Rachel Notley once again starts talking about
02:02:08.300Danielle Smith wanting to privatize health care. And I fear Rachel Notley might have been watching
02:02:12.820the pre-show because she made the exact same criticism of Danielle Smith that I made just a
02:02:18.860few moments before the program started. Let's talk about this clip here for a moment of Rachel
02:02:24.380Notley attacking Danielle Smith on past support for changing the health care system.
02:02:32.300Let's talk about something else. So let's talk about health care costs as they impact
02:02:36.600affordability you claim that you won't raise costs but danielle you know you've i've known you
02:02:42.120for at least a decade perhaps more and i've watched your career and you have argued passionately in
02:02:47.960multiple multiple settings for your belief that you care about passionately those were your words
02:02:53.700making people pay more for their health care so my question to you is why are you not running on
02:03:00.380the thing that you believe why are you not being honest with albertans why aren't you making the
02:03:06.320argument that you think having them pay more is what you want because you've said it in video in
02:03:12.080papers in speaking tours in the legislature for over a decade miss smith we're gonna let you jump
02:03:17.900in here i know miss notley likes to show grainy videos of things i said while i was on radio and
02:03:22.840the reason she does that is she doesn't want to run on her record and the reason she doesn't want
02:03:26.820to run on her record is it was an absolute disaster she racked up 70 billion dollars in
02:03:31.560debt more debt than any premier or actually all premiers combined in
02:03:35.480Alberta's provincial history she talked about deception did you remember her
02:03:39.420running on a carbon tax in the last election I sure didn't not increase the
02:03:42.900cross the cost of everything we eliminated it but Justin Trudeau
02:03:45.800wouldn't let us keep it off and now Miss Notley has not stood up to her boss
02:03:50.400Jagmeet Singh in Ottawa and worked with us to say don't increase that that carbon
02:03:56.020tax any further and in fact certainly don't increase it 300% no one has any
02:03:59.940credibility talking about affordability as long as they support a carbon tax which is going to
02:04:04.240increase the cost of everything. I've got to say William I think Danielle Smith might have been
02:04:14.040taking your advice because you mentioned earlier that you know the one thing you didn't like was
02:04:17.660that she wanted to answer the questions and there she's asked you know how do you account for 10
02:04:21.640years of pushing for privatizing or in some way privatizing health care and she says that the NDP
02:04:27.460doesn't want to talk about their record. So I thought she answered the question well, but it
02:04:31.520was interesting that really the premise that Rachel Notley went to is, listen, we know you
02:04:36.640believe this. Why aren't you talking about it now? Yeah, I mean, I think if you are a fair and
02:04:43.720objective observer, which we all are in our own mind, there is no doubt that Danielle Smith
02:04:48.360came out ahead in tonight's debate. I think she did a better job of landing on the points she
02:04:54.640wanted to talk about, including the progress that she's made on health care, hiring more nurses,
02:05:00.540reducing wait times for ambulances, key metrics that she could point to. The trouble Rachel
02:05:07.340Notley had, I think, was trying to be critical of Danielle Smith while also not wanting to talk
02:05:13.040about her own time in office. And I don't think she was well enough prepared by her team in order
02:05:20.040to take the hit from Danielle talking about, well, when you were premier, because that is,
02:05:26.140by the way, something she's never had to face in a debate before. Of course, you know, the last
02:05:29.780debate she had was in 2015. She'd been an opposition politician. It's the first debate
02:05:33.580where she's ever had a record, and she seemed unable to effectively pivot. So when it comes
02:05:38.660to health care, I'm sure Danielle Smith would prefer not to talk about it to the degree possible.
02:05:42.940It's what we in politics called a shield issue. The more you talk about it, the more you might
02:05:48.240lose votes. But she did what she had to do. And I think ultimately, people are going to look at
02:05:53.920that debate and think it was Danielle Smith who came out on top. Yeah, one thing that is
02:05:58.460interesting, normally in Canadian politics, if you lose an election after you've been in power,
02:06:03.760you're kind of done. You just take that as your cue to retire. Stephen Harper in 2015,
02:06:09.060Kathleen Wynne in 2018 in Ontario, and so on. So the idea of running again, of trying to do the
02:06:15.640grover cleveland thing it's not without precedent in canadian politics certainly a lot of uh previous
02:06:21.320prime ministers were in and out and in and out and whatnot but but it is rare that you get two
02:06:26.920people that have both been premier that are that are running and two people that both have a record
02:06:31.720and i was wondering what you uh kind of thought of of that dynamic because we didn't hear all that
02:06:36.360much of rachel notley wanting to defend rachel notley's record in fact even in her closing
02:06:41.160statement she tried to do a bit of cleanup by saying yeah i didn't always get it right
02:06:45.640No, you're absolutely right. And I mean, the fact is, the reason Rachel Notley led this party into the election is because she is by far the biggest asset that the Alberta New Democrats have.
02:06:59.000And I mean, even if you're not on her side, you only have to look at who the other senior MLAs are in that New Democrat caucus to know that Rachel Notley is as good as it gets.
02:07:09.520And anybody else was going to come across as being incredibly left wing and out of touch with with everyday Albertans. That being said, Daniel only had to defend the last nine months, give or take. It was a period of economic recovery. She came in after the last premier was suffering a pretty low ebb in his popularity. And a lot of things went well over the last nine months.
02:07:33.620Rachel Notley had to govern during a time of economic distress, low energy prices, and higher unemployment.
02:07:39.460That was always going to be a more difficult period of time to govern.
02:07:44.020That being said, she did a lot of things that made the situation worse.
02:07:47.060And I think Danielle did highlight some of those in the debate tonight and remind people when she was in premier, when Rachel Notley was premier, things were really not good here in Alberta.
02:07:57.380And if you think about the fact that this election is primarily targeting Calgary, that's about oil and gas.
02:08:03.080That's about jobs and private sector business.
02:08:06.580And this is the part of the province that's going to be most impacted by that large tax increase that Rachel Notley and the Democrats are proposing for Alberta businesses.
02:08:15.840What stood out tonight for you, Rachel?
02:08:18.620I'm just still caught on the fact that Rachel Notley wore the conservative blue to the debate.
02:08:23.880Don't leaders generally wear the color of their party?
02:08:26.700i mean i understand like orange is a super ugly color i wouldn't want to wear it either but i
02:08:31.180just thought that was very notable especially as we're talking about how rachel notley doesn't
02:08:35.240really want to run on her record as premier and she's not really bringing it up and she's not
02:08:39.360really advocating for her advertising it and then she fact that we've talked so much about how she's
02:08:44.240been appealing to moderates and then she shows up tonight in a conservative blue i just thought that
02:08:49.080was a little bit funny but it was again a very strong performance from danielle tonight i just
02:08:53.580don't think I've ever seen her. So enthusiastic, so lighthearted, really positive to be there
02:08:58.540looking forward. I think she did exactly what she needed to do during tonight's debate to appeal to
02:09:03.920people who, you know, aren't sure how they feel, aren't sure how they're going to vote for her.
02:09:07.600We reported on a poll that showed about half of Albertans said they were going to watch tonight's
02:09:12.080debate and decide how to cast their ballot based on what they heard. I sort of doubt the number is
02:09:16.380that high. Usually not that many people watch a political debate. I think maybe it helped that it
02:09:20.360only an hour in that case but i think i think daniel smith did exactly what she needed to do
02:09:25.560if she's looking to appeal to those people and you know rachel not only just seemed a little bit
02:09:29.240rattled her opening statement wasn't very strong she seemed a bit caught off guard public public
02:09:33.160speaking can absolutely be tricky i just don't feel like she ever really caught up to where she
02:09:37.400was at and she's had a little bit of a break from doing these types of speeches so maybe she was
02:09:41.720just caught off guard but daniel smith was really on her game tonight you know maybe the fact that
02:09:45.960that she took time away from the campaign to do those two debates in her local riding which a lot
02:09:50.940of people said is a terrible idea maybe that actually benefited her tonight because she just
02:09:54.700had experience doing two back-to-back debates along with all the debate prep that we know goes
02:09:59.160into an event like tonight. Yeah I mean although I hope for Rachel Notley's sake that she's you know
02:10:04.480doing better than an NDP candidate in rural Alberta who's never going to win I hope that
02:10:10.140but you never know sometimes the local candidates do surprisingly well in in debates I had kind of
02:10:15.600But when I ran for office years ago, I had a bit of a home field advantage in the radio debate.
02:10:19.460So I kind of went in just completely fine with anything that was going to happen there.
02:10:24.300Let's talk about, I mean, when you bring up Rachel Notley trying to kind of be everything to everyone right now,
02:15:41.840But at the same measure, I don't think a lot of people really understood what the whole Daniel Smith interfered in something problem was either.
02:15:50.320I mean, look, how many months did we spend and did media spend talking about Justin Trudeau and SNC-Lavalin?
02:15:56.500I mean, it went on forever, and I don't think in the next election anybody's going to have any recollection of what it went about, or if they do, they really don't care.
02:16:05.700What do people care about, in my opinion, things like cost of living, how much it costs people to fill up their gas tank, how much it costs people to pay their electricity bill, how much they pay in taxes, and they care about are we safe in our communities.
02:16:17.300You know, I'm sick of trying to get on to an LRT or a bus and being hassled by someone who's high as a kite, or I feel unsafe when I take my kids to the park.
02:16:29.060And where Daniel, I think, benefited from this debate in particular is the very first question was on cost of living.
02:16:35.580And the very last question was on law and order and safe communities.
02:16:39.380And that was a perfect lineup, in my opinion, for her because she got to start and end on her very best points.
02:16:45.400But you're right. I mean, so much trivia on this MLA did this and that MLA did that. You know what I care about? Who's going to cut my taxes? Who's going to make my electricity bill cheaper? Who's going to make sure I don't get stabbed on the way to work in the morning? That's what everyday people care about.
02:19:49.500You do not get to, even as a socialist in Alberta, say the quiet part out loud, which is that you don't like the oil and gas sector.
02:19:57.200I mean, Rachel Notley has come out against, in a very, very tacit way, the just transition, which I've covered on my show.
02:20:05.640I know you've covered, Rachel, which is basically the federal government's desire to transition employment from people in the oil and gas sector to green energy.
02:20:14.520Rachel Notley kind of issued like one sort of comment on this.
02:20:59.140You commented on the fact that I made submissions to the Senate.
02:21:02.420You know that that's what I did on both of those issues.
02:21:05.080It was too late. And I must tell you, where do you think Justin Trudeau got the idea for just transition and for an emissions cap and for a carbon tax?
02:21:11.860He got it from Ms. Notley when she was premier.
02:21:14.200And she's going to continue to implement these same kind of policies.
02:21:16.740And she's going to walk in lockstep with Justin Trudeau on making sure that they get implemented.
02:21:21.280And that's only going to harm our economy.
02:21:22.680and basically that is danielle smith trying to link the ndp to people and ideas and parties that
02:21:38.380are not at all popular in alberta right now and i think something like that is probably
02:21:43.920not only valid as far as a critique but i think it's genuinely true
02:21:49.000well yeah i mean in politics we always say fight your least popular opponent you know you you have
02:21:56.080the choice of fighting your local candidate your your opposing political party or your political
02:22:01.860party leader but in alberta of course we have a ready-made opponent who is deeply unpopular in
02:22:06.540this province that's justin trudeau and his liberal government and so i think you saw it
02:22:12.080tonight danielspeth very consciously making that effort to link justin trudeau to rachel notley
02:22:17.560saying how much they agree, how often they cooperated, how much she supported him.
02:22:23.680And to be honest, I think they probably would have been better off starting that initiative well before the election.
02:22:29.260I think they should have been doing it from the moment that Danielle had become premier.
02:22:33.100But as we say, better late than never.
02:22:34.640And I think it was an effective strategy in this debate to try and say, look,
02:22:39.000Rachel Notley and Justin Trudeau, her best friend in Ottawa, don't like Alberta.