Juno News - October 23, 2020


The anti-Trump narrative is starting to backfire


Episode Stats


Length

4 minutes

Words per minute

183.51239

Word count

837

Sentence count

71

Harmful content

Hate speech

1

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Donald Trump's support among African-American and LGBT voters is actually on the rise. Why is this happening? And why does it matter so much to the media? Is it because Trump is a racist? Or is it because he's a misogynist?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 You may recall that back in 2012, the Republicans, they were really stressed out,
00:00:10.520 wringing their hands over the fact that they believed their 2012 loss, Mitt Romney's loss,
00:00:15.400 to Barack Obama seeking his second term was partially because they were out of touch with
00:00:20.320 all these demographics. They had fared so poorly with African American voters, other minorities,
00:00:26.060 LGBT vote. They were just getting single digits from those constituencies. And they wrote this 0.56
00:00:31.120 whole looking forward post-election analysis thing about how we got to expand the base and we got to
00:00:37.060 reach out to these various groups. Now, fast forward eight years later, and based on what you hear on
00:00:42.460 CNN and so forth, you would have the impression that support in those groups is lower than ever.
00:00:48.140 Why? Because Donald Trump hates these people and hates that group. And he's a this and a that and
00:00:53.600 whatever labels you can affix on him to make him look like the most intolerant person who has ever
00:00:58.560 lived. And yet, and yet, if he is re-elected in November, and I think there's a pretty good chance
00:01:05.840 of that, if he is, it could very well be because of the rising support that he has seen in some of
00:01:13.540 those non-traditional Republican demographics. What do I mean by that? African American support,
00:01:19.720 you wouldn't really know it from the way a lot of media talks about it. It has really surged
00:01:24.360 for Donald Trump, hitting close to something like 30%, which is, well, it's not 50%, it's certainly not
00:01:30.120 a majority, but it's a lot for Republicans under Mitt Romney. Yes, single digits. LGBT voters,
00:01:35.980 depending on the polls, some of them put it up at 40% among gay men supporting Donald Trump.
00:01:41.960 Previously, I saw that in 2016, it was something like 15% of the LGBT vote he got. Now,
00:01:47.920 it seems like it's closer to 25% all in all. So Donald Trump actually faring better the past four
00:01:55.500 years with these demographics that he supposedly hates and has done horrible things for. How could
00:02:01.140 this be? Well, my guess on all of this, and of course, media don't want to look into this too much
00:02:06.840 because they're very uncomfortable by all of this. You know, they spent a summer saying Donald Trump is
00:02:10.720 a this and a that and so forth, only to find the numbers actually go the opposite. More black voters
00:02:16.100 gravitate towards Trump and they don't want to report that and they don't look into why they'd
00:02:19.280 rather just ignore it and pretend it's not happening. I think probably what's happening
00:02:22.860 is people are being told some very severe things about Donald Trump, about how dreadful of a human
00:02:27.900 being he is. Now, some of them just hear the headlines and go, okay, well, I guess he is. So
00:02:31.780 I hate him too. And let's leave it at that. But some of them being, you know, naturally curious human
00:02:36.420 beings say, oh, okay, Donald Trump, you know, hates me because I'm gay or what have you. Let's look into
00:02:42.160 that a little bit. Let's find out exactly why it is that he hates me because I'm gay. And then they
00:02:47.360 study the issue and they see people like Ambassador Rick Grinnell, who is in the Trump administration,
00:02:51.640 a proud Trump supporter and a proud gay gentleman who talks about all the great things he believes
00:02:56.080 Trump has done for the LGBT community. And they look at this and they go, oh, wow. Okay. I guess all
00:03:02.900 this crazy stuff they were telling me about Donald Trump is not actually true after all. And when these
00:03:08.300 people go and actually inform themselves and try and fact check the narrative that's been presented
00:03:12.780 about him, they find it's not entirely accurate. Look, maybe that's not going to sway everyone's
00:03:17.680 vote. And, you know, there's still reasons if you want to say, well, I support Trump. I don't. I
00:03:21.660 support Biden. I don't. You know, go ahead. It's a democracy. But I just think a lot of the left
00:03:26.600 and a lot of the media narrative, it just overshot itself. They were too ridiculous. If they maybe just
00:03:31.640 said, yeah, we don't think Donald Trump's a good guy to vote for. You know, he's not ideal.
00:03:35.280 Here's why I don't vote for him. Here's my column on why I'm pro Biden. People would go,
00:03:39.560 okay, whatever. And maybe that wouldn't have pushed people to Trump. But because they said
00:03:43.700 such outrageous things about how dreadful he is, and because those things weren't actually
00:03:49.780 as true as they torqued him to be. Well, there you go. A lot of people said, oh, there's actually
00:03:54.080 not as much for me to be afraid of, as you first said. And the whole thing, the whole anti-Trump
00:03:59.220 narrative, in little bits and bytes, is starting to backfire.
00:04:05.280 Yeah.
00:04:06.540 Yeah.
00:04:08.840 Yeah.
00:04:09.060 Yeah.
00:04:09.100 Yeah.
00:04:09.660 Yeah.
00:04:10.320 Yeah.
00:04:11.460 Yeah.
00:04:12.120 Yeah.
00:04:13.700 Yeah.
00:04:15.240 Yeah.
00:04:16.640 Yeah.
00:04:18.400 Yeah.
00:04:20.980 Yeah.
00:04:21.440 Yeah.
00:04:23.420 Yeah.
00:04:23.580 Yeah.
00:04:27.740 Yeah.
00:04:28.880 Yeah.
00:04:30.240 Yeah.
00:04:32.000 Yeah.
00:04:33.220 Yeah.