The collapse of the UK Conservative party - UK Election Preview Show
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Summary
Stephen Edgington joins us on The Faulkner Show to preview tomorrow's election in the UK between the Conservatives and the Reform Party, Keir Starmer and the Labour Party. We discuss the reasons why both parties are likely to lose the election and what the UK will look like under a Labour government.
Transcript
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Now, there is perhaps no greater example of political betrayal over at least the last 20
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years than what we have seen from the UK Conservative Party. For the last 14 years,
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the Conservatives have been in power in the UK, and every major Conservative promise has been
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broken. The UK border is wide open. Mass immigration is destroying the United Kingdom.
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Radical, far-left politics has been injected into the military and to the public service.
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Parts of Great Britain are completely unrecognizable, and all of that is why they
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are destined for major defeat tomorrow. However, Nigel Farage and his Reform Party are back in the
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mix, and they have had remarkable success at energizing disenfranchised British voters.
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The Reform Party may not win many seats. They may not win any seats at all. But one thing is for
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certain. They have shaken up the election in the UK, and Nigel Farage has put himself and his party
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well and truly into the middle of the ongoing debate as to what happens to the UK Conservative
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Party. Well, joining us now on The Faulkner Show to preview tomorrow's election in the UK is journalist,
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documentary filmmaker, and the US correspondent for GB News, Stephen Edgington. Stephen,
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So by the time most of our audience see this show, it'll be a day before the English head to
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the ballot box to vote in an election, which we basically already know the winner.
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We know that Keir Starmer is going to form a government at this point.
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But the question I have for you is this, what is the UK going to look like after five years,
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or maybe even more, of a Keir Starmer-led Labour government?
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I think people have to look no further than what the UK looks like after 14 years of the Conservative
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government. And after 13 years of Tony Blair before that, we have had, ever since 1997,
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a uniparty in the United Kingdom. The Conservatives and Labour essentially agree on all of the major
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issues in the UK, particularly when it comes to immigration. They both support open borders.
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The Conservatives claim they don't, but in reality, they've increased numbers to record highs.
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And Labour, as we know, are very soft on immigration as well. So on that issue, they agree.
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On the issue of taxes, the tax burden in the UK is the highest it's been in almost 80 years under
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a Conservative government. Again, we know Labour like high taxes, particularly they say on the wealthy.
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On spending, the Conservatives have spent record amounts of taxpayer money on things like COVID relief,
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the NHS, welfare payments, and so on. So the UK national debt has absolutely ballooned.
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And I think, and even on social issues like woke issues, again, the Conservatives say one thing,
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they say, oh, we don't like this stuff. But in reality, the entire UK government civil service has
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been taken over by woke ideologues. So we're going to see five years more of decline. We're going to see
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a continuation and probably acceleration of what the Conservatives have done over the last 14 years.
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It's going to get worse. But it won't be too much worse than what it already is like now.
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So some of the fear mongering that we've heard from the Tory party in the UK that, you know,
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we don't know what could possibly happen under a Labour government, you believe that ultimately
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things will things will just continue this sort of managed decline. And things won't get totally out
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of control. Because what we hear is that a vote for a vote for reform, for example, is going to be a
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vote for Labour. And any way to stop an extremely radical Labour government should be the approach
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that the English, the British people take. But you think that ultimately things will just sort of
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maintain its path because you see no difference between both the Conservatives and the Labour Party.
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Keir Starmer has already won this election. And the way that
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the system works in the UK is that if you have a majority of let's say 20 or 30 or 40 in Parliament,
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it makes no difference if your majority is 250. You can pass any law you like as long as your party
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isn't split and Labour on the main issues aren't particularly split other than let's say Israel or
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Palestine. But so I think literally it doesn't matter if you vote Conservative or Reform
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from that perspective, Keir Starmer has already won the election. If you look at the opinion polls,
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he's like 20 points ahead and has been consistently for the last year or so.
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But what is important is two things, I think, for people who are considering voting reform,
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which is the more populous Conservative Party in the UK. First of all, who do you think should be
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leading the opposition over the next five years? Should it be the Conservatives and the rump of the party
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who are left after the election, who are most likely going to be the socially liberal wing of
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the party? I mean, I think almost all of the party is socially liberal, but there are a few Tory MPs who
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are more Conservative. And they're likely to lose their seats anyway. Or do they think it should be
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people like Nigel Farage, who's far more charismatic and Conservative than 99, well,
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literally all of Conservative MPs. And the second thing they should be considering is,
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do we want to continue with the current Conservative Party? Should it exist? Should does it deserve our
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votes? After telling us one thing over the last 14 years and doing the exact opposite? Why should we
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reward failure? Why should we reward ministers and MPs who have totally betrayed us on issues like
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immigration? Should that Conservative Party simply die? And I think many people in the UK,
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there's a campaign called zero seats, which is zero seats for the Conservatives. And I think it's really
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important for voters to think about that. Why should the Conservative Party continue to exist if it's not
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Conservative in any way? I think that they have no right to exist. And Tory ministers, I mean,
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even the Conservative supposedly right wing, like part of the Conservative Party, they are just as
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woke as the lefties. Look at Kemi Badnock at the other day, she's meant to be a very like socially
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Conservative anti woke minister. She's, you know, and she's anti trans, blah, blah, blah. And then
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recently, she put out a tweet, using the phrase white man as a kind of insult. I mean, that's literally
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the language of the left. It's anti white racism is disgusting. And yet we're meant to think that
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these people are the conservative wing of the Conservative Party. They're crazy.
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It's unbelievable. And so what do you think would be the path to lead to the restructuring or
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a sort of a demolition of the Conservative Party and then a rebuilding of that party
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with some of the reform, with some reform members and some of the reform aspects because
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it looks as though Nigel Farage is going to win his seat in Clacton.
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It looks like reform may get some other seats as well. Once the election is over and the Conservatives
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have been, you know, thoroughly defeated. How do you think that process actually starts?
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I think it means that some Conservative MPs will probably try and talk with Nigel Farage,
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those more on the right of the party. And I think it's a really difficult decision for Nigel because
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should he get into bed with these people who have simply emitted failure for the last 14 years?
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And I think then again, there are many voters in the UK who are loyal to the Conservative Party,
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despite everything that I've said. So maybe I think there should be a reconciliation just to
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unite those people. I think the problem with that is when you still have those MPs,
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MPs, those Conservative MPs, and that Conservative brand, who are completely
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ideologically opposed to literally anything that's Conservative in principle of value.
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And I still think, you know, you've basically got the same problem. So I think those people have
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to leave, they have to go, they have to be taken away, and they should be put in other political
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parties where they belong, like the Liberal Democrats and the Labour Party. Those MPs have
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controlled the Conservative Party ever since 2005, when David Cameron was elected. And I think it's time
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for them to leave. And I don't think Nigel should accept anything else.
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We've seen this situation happen in our country, when the Conservatives were so thoroughly defeated.
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It was one of the worst election defeats in our country's history. And there was a reform party
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that came up and formed an alliance with the Conservatives, and they put the reform leader in
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charge, and he won and he governed for about nine years. Then that same party, the new Conservative Party
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of Canada has drifted to the centre and drifted quite far left. We've seen incredibly woke policies
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that have been either voted, that the Conservatives have voted with the Liberal government on,
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they talk about all of the trans issues, they talk about diversity being Canada's strength.
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So I think you touched on something important, which is, if this can actually happen, if the Tory
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Party in the UK can collapse, and something new can be created, unless you get people out, not even just
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the politicians, but I think one of the problems we have in Canada is that there are backroom staff
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that have stuck around for all this time, that really pull the strings of the Conservative leader,
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that just continue to push them to the left, continue to push them to the centre. We have one
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party now in Canada called the People's Party of Canada, and they're not nearly as successful as the
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Reform Party at getting people to vote for them, getting youth on their side. So I want to ask you
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about this, because one of the things we've seen from the Nigel Farage campaign, the Reform Party
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campaign, is not just incredible social media campaigning, but genuinely getting young voters
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on their side. There was a video, I think it came out of Cheshire, if I'm not mistaken, I might have
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that name wrong, but it was a video from a left-wing journalist asking young people in Britain who they
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would vote for, and they all said reform. It was an incredible clip to see, but why do you think
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reform has been so successful at getting young people energized and excited to vote for a completely
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new party that is actually addressing their concerns? Well, it was actually in Chichester,
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which is a very weird town to call. I actually grew up partly there. And yeah, as you say,
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these reform, like young voters, teenagers even, were saying they're going to vote for reform. I think,
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and I've interviewed Maxime Bernier, by the way, and I think that, I don't know if he's a very
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alluring politician for those, for young people in Canada, I don't know. But Nigel, you know, he's,
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he's got such charisma. And, you know, there's a real kind of aura around him, he seems very authentic.
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And he really is the most powerful weapon that the populist right in the UK has. He's got huge name
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recognition. He's one of the most well-known politicians in the country. I think there's an
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opinion poll that said he was even more well-known than Keir Starmer, who's the Labour Party leader,
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who's going to be prime minister next week. So, look, I think you need,
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you need the right people on your campaign, campaign team. I think you're right to talk
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about the backroom staffers. And let's compare those who work for the Reform Party to those who
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work for the Conservatives. The Reform Party has a good dynamic young team who are great at social media.
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They've been putting out some really fun and entertaining stuff. And they've had a huge reach.
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The Conservatives, they are essentially staffed by young careerists. I know many of these people,
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some of them are nice, some of them were and have been friends. But unfortunately, I think 90% of the
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people who work behind the scenes in the Conservative Party are either ideologically sort of vacant,
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they have no views whatsoever beyond wanting to further their own political careers. If you look at
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what's called a, so we have SPADs in the UK, special advisors, these are kind of like advisors to
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ministers and so on. If you look at how many of them become Conservative Party candidates and become
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Conservative Party MPs, it's extraordinary. You get these people who come out of university,
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go straight to work for the Conservative Party HQ, become a SPAD and then become an MP. They have no life
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experience, they're total careers, total opportunists, and they're not Conservative anyway. So the party,
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I think you're right, like the people who run the Conservative Party need to go, the people who are
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Conservative MPs need to go, if there's going to be any resemblance of anything ideologically Conservative
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in that party. And in terms of reaching younger voters, look, look across Western Europe, look across
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Eastern Europe. Young people are voting for populist nationalist parties. Look at Poland, the Confederacy
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Party, which is the populist party in Poland. It's the most popular party amongst young people. Look at France,
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the National Rally. They're attracting young people in droves. Even Germany, the AFD is attracting young
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people. In the UK, to an extent we've seen opinion polls where reform are doing well amongst young
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voters, like 20% of young voters, 18 to 24, one opinion poll said they were voting for reform UK.
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The Conservative Party were fifth amongst young voters. So I think young people are just as angry
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as anyone else in terms of not being able to buy a house. I know Canada has a huge issue with that, so does
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the UK. And that's particularly because of mass migration. If you increase demand, of course prices
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are going to go up and you don't increase supply. So they see all sorts of issues where they'd be
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completely let down by their political class. And I don't think all young people have to be
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necessarily socially liberal or woke. I know that TikTok and all this, there's so many videos on there
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which are more conservative leaning. Even Trump in the US seems to have a big kind of cult following
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amongst young men in particular. So look, I think you have to like sell the message, right? You've got
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to have the right spokesperson. Maybe Maxime Bernier isn't that. I think Pierre Polyev, again, like he's
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been very woke on some issues. I know that. Like I did some reporting in Canada. I think unanimously,
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the Conservative Party in Canada voted with the Liberals on the trans sort of banning trans conversion
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therapy, which is just like, why are you even Conservatives? In the UK, Rishi Sunak, and this
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is a huge issue where, you know, we're looking at Canada and we're like, we don't want to do this.
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So most people, I think would think this, but on the euthanasia, Rishi Sunak said the other day,
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he has no issue with passing the euthanasia law. Currently, it's banned in the UK. But this is meant
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to be the Conservative Prime Minister saying that, saying that he would allow the state
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to kill individuals, it's just extraordinary. And what we've seen in Canada has been one of
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the most disgusting, morally vacuous situations I've ever reported on. The case of Christine
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Gautier, the Paralympian who was offered euthanasia instead of a disabled ramp when she called the
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government. I think, look, it just seems there's so many comparisons between our countries. And I'm
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interested to see what happens with Pierre Polyev, because I know he looks like he may win next year.
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Yeah, it's certainly looking that way. There was just a by-election in downtown Toronto that
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is a Liberal stronghold seat, and it flipped to Conservatives. And that sort of
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basically spells the end of the Liberal government. But I want to bring it back to immigration, because
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just as it is a topic of, a major topic of debate in your country, and it is leading the election
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dialogue, in Canada, we have a major problem, not with illegal immigration, but an open borders,
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legal immigration scam that's really going on in our country. Is it just sheer quantity
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of people that have entered the UK illegally and legally that has driven this issue to the top of
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people's minds when they vote in the next election? Because in Canada, it is a major issue, but our
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politicians don't want to touch it at all. They're afraid to be called racists. They're afraid to be
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attacked as xenophobic, anti-immigration. What exactly has triggered this becoming the biggest
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issue in the UK right now? It's the numbers and it's where the people are coming from.
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We've seen millions of people arrive from Africa and Asia, from third world countries into Britain
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over the last 20 years. We've seen more immigration in the last 20 years than Britain has seen in the
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previous thousand years. We saw more immigration in 2022 in one year than the entirety of net migration
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to the UK between 1964 and 2000. That's 46 years. In one year, how is our health system meant to cope
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with that? How is the housing system or housing supply meant to cope with that? How are you meant to book
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a dentist appointment or a GP surgery when you have so many people entering the country? And putting
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the economics to one side, the cultural change that that brings to a nation when you're importing
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millions of people from Africa and Asia, from countries which have entirely different backgrounds,
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societies, religions, culture to yours. And you don't think that's going to change your own country,
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your own country's culture. I don't think Britain is the same country it was 20 years ago. Britain used
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to be 99.9% white British, the demographics in the 1950s. It's now 74%. We've gone down from I think in
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the last 20 years, something like 83% white British or maybe 85% to 74%, 73%. This is an unprecedented
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demographic shift in the entirety of British history. We've never seen such a huge change in the ethnic
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makeup of our country. And I don't think many of these people share the same roots, the same culture
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as native born British people do. Now look, maybe diversity is great. Maybe diversity is a strength.
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Maybe multiculturalism is one of the most successful policies possible. I think that most British people
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think it's been a disaster for Britain. I don't think they recognize the country they're in anymore.
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They see people speaking foreign languages constantly in big cities like London.
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They see crime go up. They see social cohesion evaporate. We used to have a high trust society.
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The president of Singapore, Lee Kanyu, he came to the UK, I think in the 1940s,
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and he was just absolutely stunned by how trusting people were. He wrote this famous passage in his
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book about seeing a kind of honesty box. I think he was maybe some newspapers people were selling or
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something, and people would just put the money in the box and people were just trusted to do that.
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And he said, basically, wow, how can a society, how can a culture create such a high trusting environment?
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And he wanted to replicate that in Singapore. If he came to the UK today, he wouldn't see any of that.
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That has totally evaporated. And that's because of mass migration. So yeah, you can call us racist.
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And that's what's going on in the UK media right now. Channel 4, a left wing news company.
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They went undercover in a reform party campaign in Clacton where Nigel Farage is standing.
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And they secretly recorded a random volunteer saying racist things about the prime minister.
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And it's like, that's currently dominating all of the UK news coverage of the election right now.
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One old man said some nasty racist things about Rishi Sunak, secretly recorded by a left wing journalist.
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And that is the headline in the UK news. That's what they think is the most important issue of
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this election. One random volunteer saying something racist when the when, as I say,
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the conservatives have just flooded the country with millions of people from all around the world.
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And we're meant to care about one man saying something racist. I don't care. There are so many
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more important issues to focus on than some undercover journalist filming an old boomer saying something racist.
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Absolutely. We have the exact same issues happening in our major cities. We have cities
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that are becoming complete ethnic enclaves that are basically unrecognizable from just 10 years ago.
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Toronto itself is basically unrecognizable from just three years ago. And I'm just slept with this question
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about why a government would do this to such a great country and the United Kingdom.
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Who came up with this idea that this would be something that needed to happen? Is it for cheap
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foreign labor? Is it to try to expand your economy through GDP? Because we don't have the answers to
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that. But right now it looks as though both parties in our country, just like they are in the UK,
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both major parties are pushing this and they're pretending that they're not to in the case of the
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Tories, but they've been the ones who have seen the largest amount of mass migration into your country.
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Why do you think this is actually happening to the UK? They don't care about Britain's identity.
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They don't care about Britain's culture. They just see it all as an economics game and a GDP game,
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Rishi Sunak tweeted, I think today, celebrating the fact that the UK economy had grown by 0.7%,
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the GDP. Oh, we beat all of our allies in the G7. How wonderful is that? What about the GDP per
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capita, Rishi Sunak? That's been declining massively over the last 10 years. People's real-term wages have
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been stagnating. If you look at the GDP per population, the economic story has basically been
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decline and stagnation for the last 20 years. And they claim that immigration is vital, is
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important for the economy to function, and it makes us richer. Well, it hasn't made anyone richer
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according to the GDP per capita figures. In fact, it's probably made us poorer because we're simply
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importing cheap labor, which means that companies aren't investing in capital and in research and
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development. So for example, on farms, you know, or just robotic technology, instead of having to rely
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on people picking fruits and so on, which is basically just cheap labor, you know, farmers should
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be investing in better technology, which would improve productivity. So yeah, I think in the UK,
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I think it's very much an economics game. They see it all as a sort of balance sheet. They don't care
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about the social consequences of immigration. It simply doesn't impact them in their kind of
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cushy lifestyles, or maybe they're used to growing up in so-called diverse places like London. So they
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just don't care about that. I think they just have a complete absence of ideology. When the UK was
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governed by Tony Blair and sort of the mass migration experiment was really accelerated by him.
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Labour, a Labour minister was heard saying one time, we want to rub the rights noses in diversity.
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So I think there was a political angle from the Labour perspective, from the left wing perspective,
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of actually, we want to completely transform the demographics in Britain. There's also a political
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angle there, you know, they think these people are far more likely to vote for them. The Conservatives,
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on the other hand, you could, as I say, they're just obsessed with economics, they have no care about the
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culture, they have no care about the history of this nation. And they're just utterly naive to
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the consequences. I think there's also some, some of, you know, the political kind of, we love
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diversity. You know, Rishi Sunak, he once held up a coin saying, there's a famous picture of him,
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diversity built Britain. And, you know, this is the myth and the lie they have to tell themselves.
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I mean, diversity did nothing to build Britain. There's these posters they put up in London,
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Sadiq Khan, you've got this basically black lesbian woman, and it says something like,
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I built London. No, you didn't. I mean, like, my ancestors built London, you had nothing to do
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with it. You know, you've been here, kind of ethnic minorities have been in the UK earliest,
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probably around the 1950s in large numbers. So yeah, this is, it's ideological and it's economic.
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That's why it's happening in the UK. I don't know about Canada, probably the same thing.
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Oh, absolutely. And we have conservative premiers, the people that, you know, run our provinces,
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they say the exact same thing. They even, they even say, for example, that
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one specific ethnic minority who hadn't come to this country until about 1910 or so, literally,
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the words were literally built Alberta. My audience will know exactly who I'm talking about. When
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Daniel Smith tweeted about how, you know, Sikhs built Alberta, which is just not true. It's just
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a lie. And it is what we have been being fed by our leaders, by people who are running our media.
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It's as if we've been sold out. Our futures have been sold out. They don't care about our future
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generations, our children, even our grandkids, because it doesn't matter to them. They just want
00:26:07.560
to either win elections or get rich if they run corporations and they can have endless supplies of
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cheap foreign labor. Stephen, I want to ask you what you think the seat count is going to look
00:26:18.440
like, what you, what you see the conservatives walking away with at the end of this election.
00:26:23.160
And of course, what you think reform is going to get out of this election.
00:26:27.800
I think reform will really struggle to win seats. They have been under relentless attack over the last
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two weeks in the media with smears of racism allegations against volunteers, as I said,
00:26:40.680
and the headlines have really been dominated by that. Nigel also made a bit of an error in one
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of his interviews with the BBC, where he started talking about Putin and Ukraine. He said that the
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West was to blame for Putin's invasion for Ukraine. There may be a bit more nuance to that, but
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him just talking about that issue is such a difficult topic. He may be right. He may be wrong. I don't
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know, but, um, in the UK people are incredibly pro Ukraine, anti Putin, especially his kind of boomer
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voter base. So I think that was a bit of an error. So do I think reform will do well? I think reform will
00:27:16.680
get a lot of votes. I think they'll get 15%. They'll get 16% of the votes and that will be an amazing
00:27:22.040
outcome for them. I think they will win. They will struggle to win very many MPs. That's just the way the
00:27:27.000
system works. Hopefully not. I think Nigel will win. And I think that's really important getting him in
00:27:31.880
parliament, getting him a voice there, um, is vital and he'll cause a lot of trouble.
00:27:37.240
I think they might win a few other seats, but probably beyond that, it's very difficult unless
00:27:41.160
they really surprised us on election day and they get 20, 19% of the vote they could win. You know,
00:27:46.840
we're looking at more like a dozen, 20 seats, maybe the conservatives, I think they'll win around a
00:27:53.400
hundred, maybe pro hopefully fewer. Um, but, but I think they'll win around a hundred. I think this message of
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basically, if you don't vote for us, labor are going to get in that, that is quite strong for
00:28:05.320
many conservative voters who are just terrified of labor rightly because labor will do terrible
00:28:10.040
things. I mean, they're going to lower the voting age to 16. They're going to import many more people
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into the UK. They're going to allow, probably going to allow people, uh, non, uh, UK citizens to vote in
00:28:19.720
the election. They're going to tear up the constitution. They're going to do terrible things, but as I said,
00:28:24.840
only a little bit worse than, uh, what the conservatives have done. So, and I think labor will win a big majority.
00:28:30.920
But it, as I said, it doesn't matter. Once you get, once you get beyond 50, 60 seats,
00:28:37.320
it doesn't, it really doesn't make an impact. It really doesn't. You can pass whatever law you
00:28:41.800
kind of want with that, with that kind of majority, unless you're the conservative
00:28:45.640
party, you win 80 seat majority in 2019. And then you decide basically to self implode,
00:28:52.760
um, and decide to govern like just Justin Trudeau. So if Keir Starmer decides to govern
00:28:59.800
like Donald Trump, maybe he'll lose his majority next time around. But I think that's highly unlikely.
00:29:05.160
Yeah. Unfortunately, I don't see that happening, but I hope that, I hope that reform can make a dent.
00:29:09.640
I hope that, I hope that something seriously, uh, seriously positive can happen. And from everyone
00:29:14.520
that I've spoken to, who is, uh, who is British, who is voting in this, they all say the same thing.
00:29:20.280
They want to see the conservative party decimated after this, because as you rightly point out,
00:29:25.240
they have sold the British people out. They have completely lied to them. Well,
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we're going to see what happens. That'll be tomorrow. Pay attention, uh, to the Canadian
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00:29:35.400
audience, pay attention to what happens because we may be seeing something major happen in the UK,
00:29:40.200
and maybe that can trickle down into Canada. All right, Stephen Edgington,