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- December 01, 2022
The Fight for Freedom in China (ft. Tiffany Meier)
Episode Stats
Length
27 minutes
Words per Minute
180.10143
Word Count
4,972
Sentence Count
3
Hate Speech Sentences
7
Summary
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.
Transcript
Transcript is generated with
Whisper
(
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).
Hate speech classification is done with
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.
00:00:00.000
hi everybody welcome back to the rupa subramanya show it's great to have you here once again and
00:00:22.880
i'll spend some of your valuable time with me this past week has seen an upsurge in protests
00:00:29.600
in china against the regime's zero um covet policy a very draconian um pandemic policy essentially
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ended up locking down millions and millions of people in china and which resulted in many regional
00:00:45.680
lockdowns when most of the rest of the world has opened up protests against the regime are unusual
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we all remember the images of unarmed protesters staring down tanks in Tiananmen square in beijing
00:01:00.880
in 1989 at the same time people in eastern europe were throwing off the shackles of communism the
00:01:08.080
chinese regime survived the biggest test of their existence and mercilessly crushed the peaceful
00:01:13.920
protests there has been no significant challenge to the communist regime since then today we have a
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great guest to discuss what's going on in china right now uh tiffany meyer is host of china and
00:01:27.760
focus for ntd epoch times thanks tiffany for joining me um so we're here to talk about china uh public
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protests um at least what is visible visible to us uh in the west is not very common in china
00:01:43.120
what do you make of the recent protest and do you think they have any serious chance of
00:01:47.520
toppling the communist regime well i think your first part about like what we can see is very
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important right because that is the question it's like how are we being able to see these videos
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and you see like the tick tock symbol on a lot of them on twitter and so it's like who's controlling
00:02:03.760
that so there's talks of the infighting right because chinese leader xi jinping recently secured his
00:02:09.360
third term he basically removed anyone who was associated with the previous one so either hu jintao or
00:02:15.600
jiang zeming who just died today and so there are those people supporters and they're not happy with
00:02:21.520
xi jinping doing that so some are saying that's how these videos are getting out here so that we're
00:02:26.240
seeing it and then inside china what's interesting this time is even on the like chinese social media
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so like wechat and like the weibo ones there's even talks about that there's like people sending the
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little white squares emojis in the chat so that's something different from normal because it's like you
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know often there are protests not at this level but around china but to the fact that you have that
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being passed around on chinese social media apps in china is something new we're not seeing yet
00:02:55.440
and if it's enough to really topple xi jinping i think it's too early to tell right now but it is
00:03:01.200
definitely something worth seeing that's like really big right it's like something we haven't really seen
00:03:06.640
in the last 30 years basically or since 1989 those protests um so that's definitely very interesting
00:03:14.400
yeah so i mean the protests are significant for sure i mean we haven't seen anything like this since 1989
00:03:21.760
since uh tiananmen square and uh um you know so if not toppling the regime will the protests lead to
00:03:29.440
any kind of change in chinese government policy um you know especially as it relates to the uh to
00:03:37.920
their draconian zero covet policy um and also it's very interesting that they've allowed these protests
00:03:43.680
uh so far does that reflect a softening of their position uh which which normally allows
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no protest whatsoever or were they just caught off guard here i think you're seeing kind of a
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combination it's like some of the maybe guards right maybe they're more sympathetic but at the
00:04:03.440
same time you are seeing more police showing up right but then there also seems to be a push and
00:04:08.800
pull between so the demonstrators or the protesters almost seem to know how far they can push so you'll
00:04:15.040
see like whole cities coming out and protesting with the white papers and the point of the white paper
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is like it doesn't have anything on it so you can't like the regime the chinese party can't go after
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them being like oh look you're inciting you know revolt or you know violence or treason they can't
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say anything because there's literally nothing written on the paper but even so there have been
00:04:34.000
a few examples of students getting pulled away even just holding a white piece of paper so that's
00:04:39.440
pretty interesting but with the whole spread like you are seeing you know whole cities coming out and
00:04:44.560
demonstrating but then the next day them being empty so it's like almost that like they have an idea of
00:04:50.720
how far they can push but we are still in the early stages so it's like are we going to see continued
00:04:57.040
you know demonstrations and protests is it going to be a long-term thing that really rises up and i think
00:05:03.120
um the people just have really had enough right it's like they've been under so many lockdowns so
00:05:08.960
many extended lockdowns and then the fire in Arumqi the capital of Xinjiang that i think really set this
00:05:16.080
off where the fire started on the 15th floor of the building and then because of the building being
00:05:22.320
locked down many people couldn't get out the doors were sealed and then the fire trucks couldn't get
00:05:26.800
close enough to get the water so you see videos of the fire trucks with like really powerful streams of
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water going over basically another building but not being able to reach the main one and so with that
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it's like really sparked but what is interesting with the protest is like they're not just saying
00:05:42.160
end the coveted lockdowns right china's zero covet policy they're saying end the ccp and calling for
00:05:47.520
xi jinping to step down so they're really calling for freedom but then on that note too it's like a
00:05:52.800
lot of these are students right so they might have never heard of the tiananmen square massacre like
00:05:58.800
most of them probably never had even if they had parents who knew because in china it was like super
00:06:03.120
locked down right it's like no one knew about it even people in china at that time unless you were part of
00:06:08.240
it so it's like these students maybe think they're trailblazers it's like we don't know the extent of
00:06:14.080
how much they know like probably some have vpns and are able to get out but it's like it is a very
00:06:19.440
interesting thing to be watching and witnessing right now really incredible really yeah so you know
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xi jinping is by all you know everybody knows him as a strong man leader um so would you say that the
00:06:34.560
protests right now are much a critique of his authoritarian rule as they are of the communist
00:06:39.760
regime in general i think there's like both so you are seeing you know the people just having had
00:06:47.040
enough but i think it also goes back to the why we're seeing these videos right i think part of it is
00:06:52.000
the internal party fighting so the people who are in power but unhappy that xi jinping is like really
00:06:58.960
doing something no one else really was able to i think on unless you compare him to like uh mao zidong
00:07:04.320
the original communist leaders like no one other after that because they were like oh we're presidents
00:07:09.840
right it's like they're trying to use that term being like oh we're gonna have term limits but he
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just broke that and so the other you know supporters of say jian zeming who just died or like
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hu jintao and the other ones they're not happy with that and so there's a lot of talks of the in-party
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fighting so you kind of have two levels you have the political level the internal fighting and then
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you have the level on where the public is right where they've just really really had enough so it's
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like seeing how those two will interact could determine what happens going forward but i think
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we are seeing you know more of an awareness because with xi jinping coming in his latest speech after the
00:07:47.840
20th party congress he was really focusing um and increasing the intellectual and ideological rhetoric
00:07:55.680
and really closing off on the economic front and so he's basically making everyone be like you're gonna
00:08:01.280
live on less and be happy about it right but with this communist society has always been about giving
00:08:06.560
the people just enough so they don't revolt but not enough that they're you know able to think for
00:08:12.480
themselves or like live well so it's like a really precarious time because it's like asking them to
00:08:18.080
live on less but be happy about it and so i think we're starting to see people just being like no that's
00:08:23.200
not acceptable so you know here's a question speaking about the economy um why is it that um uh i mean data
00:08:31.120
from china often tends to be you know uh you know you have to take it with a grain of salt to some extent
00:08:38.000
but you know when you have a zero covet policy and entire regions are under lockdown how is economic
00:08:44.000
activity even happening right so with that it's been going way down but they did come up with one
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thing which is a like a closed loop so they force the people to be locked down in the factory so you can
00:09:00.400
still work you just can't leave it and so that's how they've been able to get certain sectors to keep
00:09:06.240
working but even with that it's like you're already seeing a lot of issues so with like the foxconn
00:09:12.080
protests recently right that's a massive apple assembly line so now you're seeing apple saying
00:09:17.680
there's going to be delays in the iphone 14 because of that and apple as a company saying they're going
00:09:22.640
to you know start moving production to india you know and other countries and so apple's not the only
00:09:28.400
one you're seeing other companies also struggling like tesla wasn't reaching quite the goals they
00:09:32.800
thought they were going to hit in china after opening their latest gigafactory there right so
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it's many companies like external western companies are looking at this situation with
00:09:42.960
the continued zero covet lockdowns even with the closed loops but everything they're like is this
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even sustainable because especially after the pandemic we saw so many supply chain issues right like
00:09:53.680
we felt it everywhere around the world with say either ppe the personal protective equipment or
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just in general right all the goods were being slow like last year's christmas holiday season was
00:10:04.240
like such a mess because you know all the all our all our everything was just stuck in ships and not
00:10:10.080
able to enter port so yeah i think in general you are seeing from every level from the consumer level
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and then the business and then like all the levels just reconsidering so and then china's um economic
00:10:22.240
situation in general was already kind of struggling you have the real estate crisis right the biggest most
00:10:28.080
infamous one i guess would be evergrande and so you have so many of that and the real estate
00:10:33.040
sector in china makes up about 30 of their gdp so it's a really big issue and so you see all these
00:10:39.600
different sectors so is it enough to really topple it and like really create fundamental change i think
00:10:45.920
it is still too early to tell but we are seeing changes like there are more and more people talking about
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decoupling uh there yeah there's been talk about reshoring uh for a very long time and i i i you know
00:11:00.320
countries like india and vietnam were supposed to benefit from that uh from from companies moving away
00:11:06.480
like apple moving away but uh i think it's happening it's it's but it's it's still very slow i think china
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is still my sense is that china is still attractive but uh but you know if it goes on like this i think i think
00:11:18.720
it's going to become less and less attractive um uh you know especially with this political
00:11:24.800
instability um you know just uh taking a step back from the current protest protest western observers
00:11:32.240
often point to this cognitive dissonance between increased economic freedom and uh the possibility to
00:11:38.720
get uh to amass great wealth in china um against the absence of any political freedoms uh and many western
00:11:46.240
observers have predicted for a very long time that this tension this inherent tension in the chinese
00:11:51.840
model would uh would would be its unraveling and cause the system to explode essentially but so far
00:11:57.600
that hasn't happened um and and more generally predictions of doom and gloom about china uh by western
00:12:06.160
experts just have ended up being wrong what is it about china that so many of us in the west just get
00:12:12.800
it wrong time and time again well i think a big part of that goes back to actually when jones and
00:12:19.200
ming took power right and then really opened up china by having you know china enter the world trade
00:12:25.120
organization so many you know the us and many free market countries were like oh this will help
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you know help with engagement and really help liberalize and democratize china that didn't happen
00:12:37.360
but instead what happened was like the free markets became less free they became dependent on the chinese
00:12:43.760
market so there's the cheap labor costs which now many are like oh you know we can move to perhaps
00:12:49.440
india or mexico even you know anywhere else but the other issue with that is the intellectual property so
00:12:56.400
throughout that we have lost like not just the us but like so many companies have lost all of their
00:13:01.600
intellectual property to china just in that process so just having to like produce in china you have
00:13:07.760
to make things there you have to often join joint ventures if you want to make more capital and then
00:13:13.040
what happens is they're like well you have to give us something so then you get you know you have to
00:13:17.600
hand over your patents or your trade secrets and then so now it's like even if you wanted to pull away
00:13:23.600
well you can't because now china owns your intellectual property rights and so there's that issue it's like
00:13:29.120
like it's not only just the labor costs right it's like okay many people are like oh just manufacture
00:13:34.240
in usa you know just like make it all here it'll be great but it's like there's so many different
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factors involved right there's the sheer amount of money you have to put in just to create the plant
00:13:46.320
here again right it's like that's a lot of billions just to do that and then train the people
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right it's like we don't really have that workforce and china's been sending people over for years
00:13:57.360
like in the universities and like all the levels and then often maybe not the people themselves
00:14:02.960
knowingly but they're used as spies to then take that so it's like there's so many different sectors
00:14:07.440
and so now many companies are facing that issue where they're like we really want to um offshore like
00:14:13.200
onshore bring it back but we can't because either just it's just it's not just the labor costs it's also
00:14:19.680
you know just the ip they don't have it anymore and so there's so many different issues but that being
00:14:24.880
said i feel like we are seeing you know movement towards it's like you have different countries
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really evaluating that reevaluating that and being like is this sustainable right because i think back
00:14:37.600
then when it first started there was a lot of short-term thinking it's like oh look at all this
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money like china it's like this magical land 1.4 billion people you know if you just get one dollar
00:14:47.120
from all of those people oh we'd all be rich i didn't really pan out for anyone and so now there's a lot
00:14:53.120
of um hard looks at everything being like okay what can we do now so you're starting to see different
00:15:00.080
things being implemented like maybe small steps in the right direction so who knows how much it'll take
00:15:07.360
before it starts snowballing into actual tangible action but there are little signs i think
00:15:13.920
uh why would uh xi jinping do this i mean it's like a self-inflicted wound right i mean surely he knows
00:15:20.080
what is happening in the rest of the world everybody else is moving on economic activity is uh picking
00:15:25.440
up um um and uh whereas in china people are being locked down in factories this uh this there are
00:15:33.200
protests now um what is what's he thinking what is the what is the strategy here i think ultimately for
00:15:41.680
him it's about political power and control so since the very beginning of the pandemic they've been
00:15:47.600
telling their people because everything in china is controlled by the party right so they've been
00:15:51.760
telling the people like oh this virus is like the most dangerous thing and there's almost a stigma
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around it so if you get the virus right you're moved to these quarantine camps that they build and
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anyone in close contact to you even though they don't have symptoms they don't have the virus they're
00:16:08.000
also put there so it's all about like this fear in the people right and then they've been told
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since the pandemic started like look at what the western countries or other countries are doing
00:16:18.480
they're really dumb they're getting it wrong we're doing it right and we have so few cases because
00:16:24.080
like from our own reporting they're not revealing the true number there's no way it's at 4 000 right
00:16:29.680
but they're telling their people that right and then they point to the numbers in like america for
00:16:34.480
instance they're like look you know over like half a million like all these a million you know
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all these cases what a disaster look at how great we're doing but two years later can they suddenly
00:16:45.280
tell their people oh sorry we were wrong right it's like they're not gonna admit that but within
00:16:51.440
it it's like are you gonna see maybe other sectors stepping forward when then without being silenced
00:16:57.600
right you did have the you know medical journalists or just independent journalists in the beginning of
00:17:03.120
the pandemic trying to sound the alarms and then they were you know accused of spreading rumors the
00:17:08.240
regime's favorite line like spreading rumors and get sentenced and then mysteriously die um and so
00:17:15.760
it's it's ultimately about power and control and that's like the whole thing with the communist party
00:17:21.360
they're like you know all communism it's for the people we care about the people but it really isn't
00:17:27.040
but the issue is there's kind of like two layers of everything so it's like you know on the front
00:17:32.560
end what they tell the outside world you know we so care about the people so then you have um
00:17:37.680
westerners like henry kissinger or like elon elon musk too or uh canadian's prime minister trudeau
00:17:43.440
being like wow you know these communist leaders they really do just care about the people but then if
00:17:48.480
you were actually to go to china and see what's happening not like the acts that they show the outside
00:17:54.800
people if you actually see how the people are living yeah they're being treated absolutely horribly so
00:18:01.040
there's that disconnect and then like two and then like hidden layers and the two levels of speech
00:18:07.440
and everything so but with the the pandemic and the zero covet it's ultimately about control and then
00:18:13.440
it's like he's he's you know dug his stake on this hill he he just can't suddenly go back like that was
00:18:20.160
one of his biggest things and then in the 20th party congress speech he reiterated like oh we're gonna
00:18:25.360
wipe out covet like you can't just suddenly be like oh sorry guys i was wrong we're gonna follow america
00:18:32.560
and so you know it's like he's put his all of his eggs in that basket yeah follow the zero covet so yeah
00:18:40.640
extraordinary um you know taking a geopolitical view now uh china has become increasingly uh assertive
00:18:47.840
and is directly going head to head with the us uh to try to become the world's next superpower uh russia is
00:18:54.960
preoccupied these days uh with the war in ukraine uh so china is really kind of the only really uh
00:19:02.080
only main threat now to us hegemony in the world uh how do you see this contest playing out in the
00:19:07.840
coming years i think the biggest issue with that is um from say the american or more western perspective
00:19:17.120
normally we think of war as on the kinetic level so america doesn't see themselves in a war with china
00:19:24.640
you know they're like oh there's maybe a cold war the furnace they see it but there's like oh there's
00:19:29.680
no bombs there's no military conflict but the real thing is like the chinese regime has been at war with
00:19:36.000
america for at least 30 years but it's through unrestricted warfare so that was based on a book by
00:19:42.320
two chinese military colonels in 1999 and it has like 24 different warfares and it's like through the
00:19:48.160
media through financial means to the law like the hong kong national security law that is no legal you
00:19:55.360
know anyone in the legal field will say that's legit but they just try all these different things and
00:19:59.920
then they even have police centers around the world right where they can use that to pressure dissidents
00:20:05.680
or human rights activists and everything outside of their own country and force them back to china so
00:20:11.200
you have all these different things and then the intellectual property or the influencing our
00:20:16.160
education system right with the confucius institutes and everything so they're already you know almost
00:20:22.480
like rewriting us and the whole point of unrestricted warfare is you divide a country internally and you
00:20:30.320
make it so unstable that you don't even have to come in with the tanks or like the bombs like they're
00:20:35.840
already destroying themselves and you don't have to do anything so we're already seeing that playing out
00:20:40.720
in certain aspects right you had like the black lives matter protests the peaceful protests last
00:20:46.880
year you have the antifa movement and the critical race theory in schools all these teachings being
00:20:52.320
like oh america is inherently racist it's a terrible place you know and it's like how dare you talk about
00:20:58.080
the what's happening in china right you have all these different things and then it's moving us
00:21:03.200
further and further away and it's like there are actual threats out there that will impact
00:21:08.720
generations to come but instead you know we're destroying ourselves essentially and so you know
00:21:14.880
that's kind of where it is right now but will our leaders wake up in time hopefully right that's uh
00:21:21.200
there's we're not done yet right there's still a chance um but right now it's a very precarious situation
00:21:28.800
yeah i mean speaking of leaders here in canada our leader um you know justin trudeau has expressed
00:21:34.720
some admiration for china's china's model many years ago um i don't know if he still believes in
00:21:41.600
that uh but he expressed great uh admiration for china's dictatorship uh but you know uh right now i
00:21:48.640
mean i uh many observers have pointed out that the government here doesn't seem to have a very clear
00:21:53.600
strategy when it comes to dealing with china as you're probably aware we had uh the relations uh got
00:21:59.680
complicated uh over uh just just before the pandemic when the two michaels were um uh were
00:22:06.640
essentially held were held prisoners uh in in china and they were accused of being spies um i that
00:22:13.760
relationship hasn't really recovered uh uh much the two michaels are now back in canada um canada
00:22:20.240
doesn't seem to have too many levers um there seems to be this tension between uh strong economic
00:22:26.800
ties with china china is still pretty uh attractive um uh on the one hand and then you have this desire
00:22:33.600
to contain china's expanded expansionist tendencies where does it leave countries like canada and
00:22:39.680
dealing with china well it's a tricky situation right it's like as you laid out there's the economic
00:22:46.480
side and i think the the main issue china has the chinese communist party has really figured out is the
00:22:52.800
elite capture so you have people who are just in it for their self-interest right so they're figured
00:22:58.320
out like oh if we pay them enough money and so you have that in every government like not just
00:23:04.080
canada but also in america and so that really impacts then the policies so there are people who
00:23:10.800
want to you know contain it and make sure we're not ending up in a war down the road or losing more
00:23:16.320
but then you have people in power who are bought out by the chinese regime um you have in every place
00:23:23.680
right so that's what's really tricky you have business leader or in america like people on wall
00:23:29.280
street people in the financial sector like even if congress wants to do something then you have the
00:23:34.160
banks come in like our pension funds for the military are invested in chinese companies so you know
00:23:40.240
it's like it's an insane situation where people who fought their whole lives for freedom or against
00:23:45.520
communism are actually helping that regime persecute people or you know do these atrocities do these
00:23:53.200
human rights abuses and until that's really looked at and until the cash flow is stopped to the
00:24:01.120
regime it's going to be really hard to make any changes no matter like how much people talk and be
00:24:06.240
like oh we're gonna put some more ships here or like oh we're gonna you know build some more navy
00:24:11.760
submarines it's like until that cash flow is ended it's going to be really hard to see any real
00:24:17.360
improvement yeah well one final question uh tiffany um you know back to um our favorite uh pandemic
00:24:26.080
measure zero covet policy uh with the exception of australia and new zealand no western country uh pursued
00:24:32.400
it although uh there was a lot of uh there were calls by uh some well-known medical uh public health
00:24:39.280
officials here for such a policy right here in canada we came very close to it actually um there's no
00:24:44.720
question the western response to covet including lockdowns and vaccine mandates um were driven by
00:24:51.040
the authoritarian chinese model um if you remember like i think it was italy that first initiated the
00:24:57.280
lockdowns and that was basically inspired by china and then everybody else followed suit do you think the
00:25:02.960
west made a mistake in following china's lead and how to deal with the pandemic um there's this paradox
00:25:08.880
here that the west is supposed to be democratic and liberal um but oftentimes is attracted to the
00:25:14.240
chinese approach um in this is happening in the context of a very uh illiberal and undemocratic
00:25:21.200
society what do you make of that i think the biggest issue there is we didn't realize you know that
00:25:28.320
the who had been influenced to that extent and you know the lack of transparency and in the west it's
00:25:34.720
like we believe like oh if you say something it's true right and so we believed what was as in the
00:25:40.640
u.s government all these countries we believed what was coming out of china it's like okay yeah and then
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the who and then we didn't realize that you know that was behind it all was the chinese communist party
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and just covering up their tracks and we still don't know right we still don't know exactly how it started
00:25:59.040
what happened and perhaps we will never know because of all the cover-ups and a lack of transparency
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and i think because of this process it's been a great example of how the chinese regime has been
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able to influence and put its own model in other places to the point that you have a country like
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america that says it stands for freedom with people just following rules and like hiding in their homes
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and even calling out neighbors and stuff and turning on each other and on like now we've wiped out
00:26:28.560
decades of improvement in the academic sector right it's like we're gonna feel these effects
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for years to come we don't even know the extent of the damage yet and that all came from i think a
00:26:39.680
bit being too naive and not realizing just how to deal like how insidious something like the chinese
00:26:47.440
communist regime can be and realizing that so many institutions around the world have actually been
00:26:53.760
influenced and infiltrated and hopefully going forward we'll learn from that um and not do that
00:26:59.920
mistake again uh but you know that's i guess what fingers crossed like hopefully we've learned from
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history i i hope so too well um on that note tiffany thank you so much for joining me and for sharing your
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wonderful insights with us uh it's been a real pleasure and i really hope to have you back on my show
00:27:21.200
sometime soon of course it's been my honor thank you
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