00:00:00.000Alberta Premier Jason Kenney has resigned as leader of the United Conservative Party and has announced his intention to resign as Premier.
00:00:07.000We're going to break down all the reasons why. I'm Candace Malcolm and this is The Candace Malcolm Show.
00:00:23.440Hi everyone, thank you so much for tuning in. So we had quite the eventful night last night in Alberta.
00:00:28.260We learned the fate of the Premier Jason Kenney and as I said, he lost the leadership review.
00:00:33.220We'll break down all of the facts, go through all of the news, but they held a leadership review to determine whether or not he would go forward as leader of the party.
00:00:40.460So this was an internal vote among Conservative Party members in Alberta, United Conservative Party members in Alberta.
00:00:46.560And the vote was so close that Premier Kenney decided on his own that he didn't want to stay on and lead this party, that he was going to resign and make way for a leadership review.
00:00:55.520So we're going to go through the news of what happened. We're going to go through my personal analysis of why I think Jason Kenney lost.
00:01:01.300I think it can be boiled down to four specific distinct reasons why he lost.
00:01:05.620And then we're going to talk about how this is very bad for Canada and for the Conservative movement in Canada specifically.
00:01:12.020Before I get into all of that, though, I want to do a personal disclosure here.
00:01:15.460So I think that listeners and viewers of this podcast should know that Jason Kenney is a personal friend of mine.
00:01:21.340I once worked for Jason Kenney back when he was the Minister of Immigration in the Harper government.
00:01:26.500It was sort of early in my career. I got a great opportunity to become his press secretary.
00:01:30.520I got to work closely with Jason and I learned a tremendous amount about politics and the media from working with him.
00:01:37.100I think he is an incredible human being.
00:01:39.540I think he is incredibly intelligent, incredibly hardworking, very insightful, very thoughtful, very well read.
00:05:49.420And remember that going into this race, he said, look, if I get 51 percent of the vote, I will consider that a victory and a mandate big enough to stay on.
00:06:00.020So given how close it was, given how split this party is, Jason Kenney came into the room and he made the following speech, essentially just saying that he's going to respect the vote.
00:06:10.840And you can see the audience starts cheering at that because they interpret that as saying, I'm going to respect the vote.
00:06:17.980And then he changes tune and he says that he's going to resign.
00:06:20.380And you can feel the sort of disappointment and angst in the room because they obviously don't want Kenny to step down.
00:06:25.820So here is what that clip looked like.
00:06:27.880I've been clear from day one that I will respect the decision of the members in this leadership review.
00:06:32.920And I expect all members of our party to do just that.
00:06:47.900Friends, while while 51 percent of the vote passes the constitutional threshold of a majority, it clearly is not adequate support to continue on as leader.
00:07:00.200And that is why tonight I have informed the president of the party of my intention to step down as leader of the United Conservative Party.
00:07:10.820I'm sorry, but friends, I truly believe that we need to move forward united.
00:07:54.840He united the Progressive Conservative Party, which is more the establishment Edmonton political party versus the upsert, the Wild Rose Party, which is the sort of more grassroots populist libertarian party.
00:08:06.720So we still have these two factions, right?
00:08:08.840These two different types of conservative in Alberta.
00:08:11.900I mean, there's many, many different types of conservatives, but they sort of fit nicely into these two camps.
00:08:15.940The camps merged together because they saw that the ultimate goal really was to beat the NDP in an election and to govern the province.
00:08:24.400However, in practice, you could see how they didn't really want to govern.
00:08:27.600They wanted, they still had that split.
00:08:30.120They still have that divide where the populist libertarian party wants a certain set of policies.
00:08:35.880And the establishment conservative party has a different standard and a different, different expectations of what may happen with a government.
00:08:43.980So I want to get into the reasons why I think Jason Kenny lost because, because he did lose.
00:08:49.380He, he lost control of the party that he himself created.
00:08:52.200He didn't have his, his finger on the pulse in the province.
00:08:55.120He allowed an uprising and an insurgency and a resistance movement that ultimately took him down.
00:09:00.940And, you know, as a premier of the province and as the head of the political party, that's ultimately on Jason Kenny.
00:09:07.620And I, I've been thinking about it, you know, this, this news just came out last night, but I've been thinking about the reasons why I think that Jason Kenny lost.
00:09:15.300And I think it can really be boiled down to four reasons.
00:09:17.840So I'm going to go through the four reasons right now.
00:09:20.020Number one, I think the most obvious reason that the pundits and the media are going to is COVID.
00:09:28.240But there was one particular part of the COVID pandemic management that really stuck out.
00:09:32.900And I think that this really was a turning point and something that was a sticking point for many conservatives.
00:09:37.480And that was his flip-flop when it came to vaccine passports.
00:09:40.560I think Kenny could have been forgiven by the conservative base, by many conservatives in Alberta for the initial lockdowns, for closing down schools, for doing all the things that everyone else was doing.
00:09:49.580But when it came to the vaccine passports, this is like a red line for many conservatives, especially those of us with libertarian leanings.
00:09:57.080The idea that the state is going to track our health status and determine whether or not we can get into certain places and have access to certain parts of society based on our personal health status, that that's a bridge too far for most of us.
00:10:08.940And the fact that it happened all over Canada is a total disgrace.
00:10:12.760The thing about Jason Kenney, though, and the way he rolled it out, is that his initial response to the idea of a COVID vaccine mandate was completely correct.
00:10:33.420This is a clip of Jason Kenney on July 12th, giving the correct response and saying exactly why he vows to not cooperate with the federal government.
00:10:42.660And he vows to not bring in a vaccine passport.
00:10:51.220And we've been very clear from the beginning that we will not facilitate or accept vaccine passports.
00:10:55.780And that, in fact, we regard, I believe that they would, in principle, contravene the Health Information Act and also possibly the Freedom of Information and Protection of Privacy Act.
00:11:07.240We also amended the Public Health Act to remove the 110-year-old power, allowing Alberta to force people to be inoculated.
00:11:15.080So these folks who are concerned about mandatory vaccines have nothing to be concerned about.
00:11:19.360And there will be no vaccine passports in Alberta.
00:11:21.120Will the provincial government act on behalf of Alberta's citizens if the federal government seeks to impose such restrictions?
00:11:28.040Jason Kenney was unequivocal in his opposition to vaccine passports.
00:11:32.700However, a mere two months later, on September 15th, Jason Kenney announced a new set of lockdowns, a new set of restrictions, and, yes, a vaccine passport.
00:11:41.640So dealing with another surge in COVID that came after his, you know, open for the summer marketing campaign that kind of fell flat because it caused a huge spread in COVID, or at least facilitated and allowed a huge spread in COVID in Alberta.
00:11:55.560He sort of reluctantly came out and announced, he didn't even announce it as a vaccine passport, though he called it a restrictions exemption program, which sounded very Orwellian.
00:12:04.940And so here is a sort of defeated looking Jason Kenney announcing the exact opposite position of the principled stance that he had taken just two months earlier.
00:12:14.680But it has now become clear that to save lives and prevent business closures, we must go further in encouraging vaccination and reducing the chance of infection for those who are unprotected.
00:12:26.720That is why the government has reluctantly decided to adopt the restriction exemption program, a proof of vaccination program for participation in certain discretionary activities that have a higher risk of viral transmission.
00:12:43.660No one will be compelled to get vaccinated against their wishes, and a negative test option will be offered as an alternative.
00:12:52.580But with unvaccinated patients overwhelming our hospitals, this is now the only responsible choice that we have.
00:13:01.480So there was Jason Kenney even admitting that he had obviously done a flip-flop on this issue.
00:13:06.760And again, I think that this was just so damaging for the premier, so upsetting to principled conservatives who, first of all, don't want to see a vaccine passport in their province.
00:13:16.120And second of all, just don't like the idea of a politician reneging and flipping.
00:13:20.120And so I think that was, to many people, the final straw and the reason why they could just no longer support Jason Kenney.
00:13:27.300Okay, so the first reason, COVID, and specifically the COVID vaccines.
00:13:30.800Second reason I think Jason Kenney lost last night was just bad timing.
00:13:33.440This is the first opportunity that many people have had the opportunity to go to the ballot box and express their frustration with the establishment, with the elites, with the experts since the trekker convoy and since the COVID pandemic, really.
00:13:45.560I know we had a federal election in 2021, and I think a lot of Albertans were just disgusted because there were not a lot of differentiation between the federal leaders.
00:13:54.500And, you know, regardless of how Alberta votes, we all know that really the people who determine a federal election are people in and around Toronto and Ontario.
00:14:04.440So I think that this was the first opportunity that many conservatives and many Canadians had to just express their dismay and their anger and their frustration over government lockdowns, government overreach.
00:14:15.660This sort of expert class is completely out of touch with the Canadian public.
00:14:20.620And then we also have, you know, all kinds of sort of scary economic situations on the horizon.
00:14:25.360It looks like we're going into a recession.
00:15:27.760Just to put that into context, when Jason Kenney became leader of the party back in 2017, again, it was a party that he founded and he created.
00:15:35.020He had 35,000 people vote just in favor of him, right?
00:15:39.460Compare 35,000 to last night where he got 17,000.
00:15:47.040He wasn't able to mobilize his people, to energize his people, to get them.
00:15:50.580All they had to do was just fill out a little ballot and put it in the mail.
00:15:53.880It wasn't like they even had to go and leave their house and go show up somewhere.
00:15:57.020All they had to do was fill out a ballot, but the sort of groundwork and the organization work just wasn't there.
00:16:03.000And, again, I mentioned I think Jason Kenney is one of the hardest-working people I've ever met and one of the hardest-working, if not the most hard-working person in Canadian politics.
00:16:12.040And yet, for some reason, they couldn't find an extra 3,000 people out there in the entire province of Alberta to lend them support and to vote in this race.
00:16:20.480So, I mean, just going back to when Jason Kenney was a member of Parliament, in the 2015 federal election, he managed to get 42,000 votes.
00:16:29.620And this is just in his Calgary-Minnaipore riding in Calgary Southeast.
00:16:33.540He got 42,000 people to vote for him in an election when everyone knew that the conservatives were going to win in Calgary regardless because there wasn't really any opposition.
00:16:44.380Jason Kenney won with 66% of the vote, and he still managed to get 42,000 people out just in Calgary.
00:16:52.480Go back to the 2011 election campaign, again, when Jason's riding was Calgary Southeast, 48,000 people to vote for him in one riding, in one federal riding, in one part of Calgary.
00:17:05.300So, if you can get 48,000 people to come out to vote for you in a general election, you can't find an extra 3,000 votes across the entire province of Alberta.
00:17:14.120I think this goes to show that I don't think the Premier took this vote very seriously.
00:17:18.800I don't think that he was organized in the right way.
00:17:20.720I don't think that he was working with the people at the grassroots level in Alberta to mobilize the vote, activate the vote, energize the vote,
00:17:29.320and just wasn't communicated, wasn't organized in a way that he needed, obviously, because otherwise he would have been in a much better position to continue to lead this party.
00:17:40.920So, I really think the lack of organization there was a problem.
00:17:44.720And finally, the fourth reason why I think Jason Kenney lost, and this one hits a little closer to home,
00:17:50.420this was that the Premier ignored the influence of independent media.
00:17:54.100There is no doubt that the independent media in Alberta had a significant impact on this vote,
00:18:00.640and it is a major part of the reason why we are in this situation, why Jason Kenney will no longer be Premier of Alberta.
00:18:44.000And I think that most of those people, more of those people than anywhere and any other sample group in society gets their news from the independent media.
00:18:51.860And I'm not just talking about True North.
00:18:53.140I'm talking about The Rebel, The Western Standard, and many other independent journalists, people like Kian Bexte, and of course, us here at True North.
00:19:00.860But I think as far as the Premier goes, it wasn't part of his strategy.
00:19:25.580They didn't give him the benefit of the doubt.
00:19:26.940They pushed hard against the UCP and against Premier Kenney, trying to embarrass him at any opportunity, trying to expose the things that were happening.
00:19:37.780I mean, the high-profile arrests of Christian pastors, I'm talking about Tim Stevens, the Fairview Baptist Church in Calgary, Archer and David Polunsky in Calgary, and James Coates of Grace Life Church in Edmonton.
00:19:51.140So The Rebel's relentless coverage of the attacks on churches, the attacks on Christian pastors, the way that they were treated.
00:19:58.500And sure, you could say, look, they were breaking the law.
00:20:00.300They weren't supposed to be having their church service and their church gatherings.
00:20:05.200Any time that you have a government telling a church, telling religious people that their right to pray and their right to go to church has been upended,
00:20:14.320meanwhile, you know, grocery stores and Walmart are still open, it is absolutely unconscionable.
00:20:19.900And for Jason Kenney, who has been a heroic advocate for religious freedom throughout his entire career,
00:20:26.560to see that happen in his province under his watch was just a level of hypocrisy that I think that many conservatives in Alberta just couldn't get over.
00:20:36.700And again, I credit The Rebel News for that.
00:20:39.460I think that had Jason Kenney taken a more collegial approach to The Rebel and been more willing to talk to them and more willing to engage with them,
00:20:47.200The Rebel wouldn't have been so dead set on exposing this kind of stuff.
00:20:51.540And of course, Jason Kenney should have never allowed for the arrests of Christian pastors under his watch in his province.
00:20:57.960So I think that regardless of which way you look at it, it was a failure on behalf of the Premier and his comms team.
00:21:05.340So those are the four reasons why I think Jason Kenney lost.
00:21:07.840And I think that there is a lot of room for valid criticism against the Premier and the way that he governed and the mistakes that he made.
00:23:19.520There is something admirable about the libertarian spirit of Albertans, or if not always admirable, then reassuring.
00:23:25.920It's a pretty effective check against bad government.
00:23:28.280Unfortunately, she writes, it's also a check against good and effective government.
00:23:32.480Insofar as this leadership review reflects an unwillingness to just forget the damage caused by COVID measures, especially school closures, mask children, and internal passports.
00:23:46.680But of all the elected leaders who should face some kind of reckoning over zealous, irrational, and inhumane COVID measures, it's ironic that this is the only leader who's likely to go down for it.
00:23:57.620And that sort of speaks to my point about bad timing for the Kenney government, because had this review happened a year from now, I think a lot of men's would have been healed and we would have moved on.
00:24:08.560And the focus would have more been on economic management of the province as opposed to people just casting their vote out of anger and frustration about COVID and putting it towards any political elite they could find.
00:24:19.000And Jason Kenney was sort of the target at the time.
00:24:21.740I'm going to share one more piece that I thought was insightful this morning, and this came from Sean Speer, writing over in The Hub.
00:24:27.880Sean Speer is a policy advisor, and he is a founder of The Hub.
00:24:46.720Alberta's Kenney-led government wasn't perfect, no government ever is, but it was the country's most ambitious, centre-right provincial government since the Harris government's common-sense revolution in Ontario more than a quarter century ago.
00:24:57.860There are virtually no areas of provincial policy, from taxes and spending to education and healthcare and virtually everything in between, that wasn't the subject of energetic reform.
00:25:07.000The totality of the government's reformist impulses shifted the Alberta government decidedly in a more conservative direction, and in doing so, set out a policy playbook for other provincial conservatives to draw from.
00:25:18.540One would think that such a successful agenda would have widespread support among conservatives and conservatives.
00:25:23.700Yet nearly half of UCP members who cast their ballots in the party's leadership review disapproved of Kenney's leadership.
00:25:32.220Even accounting for the naked ambitions of some of the anti-Kenney forces, such as the self-evidently unserious Brian Jean or serially foolish Danielle Smith, doesn't quite explain it.
00:25:44.620There's a small yet spirited minority of grassroots conservatives who's come to define their politics in solely oppositional terms.
00:25:50.980It derives from a position of perceived weakness in modern society.
00:25:54.800They see mainstream institutions, including corporations, universities, and the media, succumbing to an assertive form of progressivism, and feel increasingly embattled in a culture war that at times can be quite hostile to their ideas and values.
00:26:08.200These feelings of powerlessness, marginalization, and condescension are reinforced by online sources of American conservative media.
00:26:16.340The result is a siege mentality that's more reactionary than it is conservative.
00:26:20.340These people aren't interested in incremental policy reform.
00:26:52.500But again, rather than blaming the masses or blaming the conservative base, as I think Sean is sort of getting at here, and I think many sort of Kenney insiders and establishment conservatives will do, I think that there needs to be some internal soul-searching as well.
00:27:05.260And I think that there are real and significant missteps that the premier has taken that have led to this situation.
00:27:13.180Sadly, unfortunately, I'm not happy about it.
00:27:14.900I do think it is a sad day for conservatism, an unfortunate day in our country.
00:27:21.160But, you know, there are consequences to political actions, and I think that that is what is playing out in Alberta right now.