Juno News - April 24, 2025


The Liberal campaign is spiralling into anger and negativity as they lose momentum

Topics
response bias
Mentioned
David Coletto Gordon Campbell Pierre Poilievre Mark Carney Simner
China accused of targeting Conservatives ahead of election Carney called out for  misleading Canadians about call with Trump

Episode Stats


Length

2 minutes

Words per minute

184.12

Word count

524

Sentence count

15


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

In the final stretch of the election campaign, the Liberals are in a pick-me-up position in the polls, but there is still a long way to go in the campaign. Canadians are on the edge of casting their ballots, and there are a lot of reasons to be optimistic about the possibility of a change in the outcome.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Topics generated with Qwen2.5-3B-Instruct.
Hosts, guests, and mentioned names generated with spaCy (en_core_web_sm), reconciled against Wikidata.
00:00:00.000 the liberal attitude around the campaign shows that they're losing you know the fact that terry
00:00:05.120 guillant assaulted your reporter outside the debates commission last week i mean this is a
00:00:09.920 campaign that is like flailing out of control spiraling in negativity the viral image of the
00:00:15.920 bramford boomer i think is an actual liberal campaign worker with the you know double middle
00:00:22.080 finger at an independent journalist um for daring to just be at a mark carney event
00:00:27.120 and she's not the only one with uh having that experience you know there were multiple images
00:00:34.200 of older angry liberal supporters or staffers you know they're they're really kind of angry
00:00:40.560 and deranged um and then you contrast that with Pierre Polyev who you know he's been getting big
00:00:46.880 union endorsements the former liberal premier of British Columbia Gordon Campbell just came out
00:00:52.040 and endorsed him. Moses Simner, the Canadian Association of Retired Persons. He's building
00:00:57.720 this sort of optimistic coalition. I think that they have the momentum going into the final
00:01:03.380 stretch. They've closed the gap. At one point earlier in the campaign, the Liberals and Mark
00:01:07.600 Kearney were up by 10, 12 points. Now, by most accurate, honest pollsters, it's neck and neck,
00:01:14.000 like a tie maybe. I think that Kearney has lost this election. It's just a matter of who's going
00:01:19.760 get the minority is it going to be the liberals is it going to be conservative mostly how is that
00:01:23.440 vote going to be distributed final thing is uh early voting my husband and i went out and uh
00:01:29.920 took part in the advanced poll voting and record elections canada say a record uh 7.3 million
00:01:38.400 canadians voted in the advanced polling which means that we might get the most uh we might set
00:01:44.240 a new record ezra for the highest voter turnout ever so i think canadians agree this is an incredibly
00:01:49.200 important election and really it's like which path we're going down fear and anger and and you know
00:01:55.280 the double middle finger towards others or um this op this campaign of optimism and hope for
00:02:01.440 the future and sort of restoring the canadian promise what do you think yeah david coletto is
00:02:06.320 one of my favorite pollsters he's with a polling company called abacus and he had a tweet the other
00:02:11.040 day that i thought was fascinating he said um is it true that the liberals have lost a 15 point
00:02:17.360 a 12- or 15-point lead in a month.
00:02:19.540 To believe that, you have to believe that they ran a horrible campaign
00:02:22.280 or that the conservatives ran a terrific campaign,
00:02:24.860 or, he posited, is this response bias to pollsters.
00:02:28.700 Let me translate into plain English.
00:02:30.420 David Coletto, a pollster, is saying that people were not telling the truth to pollsters.
00:02:35.620 And I had to Google response bias because I didn't really know what it meant.
00:02:38.720 It means things like you want to tell the pollster what you think is socially acceptable
00:02:43.620 or there's a peer pressure going on, so you'll say one thing,
00:02:47.360 on the phone, but you'll mark it at X on a ballot differently.