Juno News - July 28, 2020


Trudeau's approval rating is still at 44%


Episode Stats


Length

28 minutes

Words per minute

197.78319

Word count

5,603

Sentence count

313

Harmful content

Misogyny

2

sentences flagged

Hate speech

7

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

A new poll released by Angus Reid shows that despite the recent scandals involving the Prime Minister, Justin Trudeau's approval rating is actually higher than it was in October 2019. Why does this happen? And what does it mean for the future of Canadian politics?

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 While it's not surprising that the Prime Minister's approval rating would have taken a hit during the
00:00:10.520 WE scandal, what may surprise you is that 44% of Canadians still approve of the job the Prime
00:00:15.540 Minister is doing. That's according to a new poll released by Angus Reid which shows that more than
00:00:20.320 half of Canadians saying that their opinion of the Prime Minister has decreased because of the
00:00:24.620 latest scandals. Now, there have been a number of scandals involving the Prime Minister directly,
00:00:29.040 and they have definitely hurt his brand and by extension the Liberal Party brand. But what I
00:00:33.560 want to do is take a bit of a deeper dive into the data by Angus Reid and see what we can't figure out
00:00:38.480 and what we might be able to learn about Canadians and about their opinion on Canadian politics because
00:00:43.800 there are some really interesting gems according to what I saw from even just a quick review.
00:00:48.460 So here we have the data. This is the Angus Reid website and this is the full data that they made
00:00:53.000 public about the recent poll. So you can see here this is the first chart, the approval or disapproval
00:00:58.500 rating of Justin Trudeau and it starts from 2019. Now he's been hovering at about 60% for much of
00:01:04.300 that time. Around here, February, March, April, you've got COVID and so his disapproval rating really
00:01:11.960 went down to 44%, approval up to 54%. This may be what's called a rally around the flag effect. So that
00:01:18.200 is basically when there is some national crisis or some tragedy or incident. The people may support
00:01:24.940 their leader in a much stronger way because of some patriotic effect. That could really be seen,
00:01:30.100 I think, with George Bush following the September 11 attacks where his approval rating skyrocketed in
00:01:35.200 the immediate aftermath of the attacks. But as you may know, his approval rating was always quite low.
00:01:40.220 Again, we can talk about that being skewed and we'll get into some of that as we look at the data
00:01:43.920 here about what, you know, skewed polling might look like. I know that these days people seem to be
00:01:48.480 hesitant to say that they support conservatives. That's really happening a lot in the states and I'm really
00:01:52.860 curious actually if that's happening here. But this is the approval rating. The interesting thing
00:01:57.240 to note on this one is that his disapproval rating, so the red, his disapproval rating is
00:02:02.800 actually lower than when we started on this graph in October 2019. So as much as the Wii scandal has
00:02:10.640 hurt him and hurt the government, according to this data, it's actually better for him. His approval
00:02:16.220 rating has actually gone up and his disapproval rating is lower than when we started. Again,
00:02:20.120 let's compare 54 disapprove, 44 approve compared to 60% disapprove and 35% approve. So oddly enough,
00:02:27.780 it seems to be an increase and that's kind of, you know, interesting. And so let's, let's take a look.
00:02:34.040 Let's see if they break down who's supporting by party, by age, by, you know, a couple of other things
00:02:38.860 that surveys tend to, tend to ask. So you have the engagement rates. Here is the percentage of
00:02:44.140 Canadians that selected ethics or corruption as a top issue. This one is kind of interesting to me
00:02:48.880 because the scandals really were going on for quite a long time. I don't know if, if blackface 1.00
00:02:55.760 would have been counted under the, under this. Maybe people don't really see blackface or the
00:03:00.560 alleged groping incident as an ethics slash corruption incident issue. Um, I mean, I would
00:03:05.460 think it's, it's ethics doing, doing blackface or allegedly groping someone is, is definitely an,
00:03:10.380 you know, it's, it's not ethical behavior. Um, but it's interesting that this, you know, it may translate
00:03:14.800 in this way, according to polling, but it's still, it's still not that high about 16% say that it's
00:03:20.640 their, their top issue. And that's obviously understandable. So here we have the, the top
00:03:25.880 issues. This is according to all of the respondents, 1,519 respondents going to this Angus Reed poll.
00:03:31.000 And again, we're all taking, I'm taking this for the analysis for an analytical purposes here
00:03:35.400 to, I'm just taking this factually. I'm not going to go into their methodology or anything unless
00:03:39.660 there's something really glaring, but let's just take it as is and we can discuss. So 40% feel that
00:03:45.860 coronavirus and the COVID-19 response is the top issue. Totally understandable. That is also tied
00:03:50.740 into the economy and healthcare. I would really say that these are pretty much all the same thing.
00:03:56.240 And that is almost 100% of people, if you really broke it down, because you can't really talk about
00:04:02.120 the coronavirus without also talking about the economy, without also talking about our healthcare
00:04:05.840 system. Surprising is that 27%, 27%, according to the, you know, people selected up to three,
00:04:15.760 27% still had environmental climate change is one of the top issues. I would have thought it would be
00:04:19.880 a bit more drowned out. Government spending, again, that's sort of a COVID issue. Income inequality,
00:04:26.680 again, maybe that's tied to the economy or COVID, but you know, it's, it's an issue, definitely an issue
00:04:32.460 worth discussing, but interesting that it's, it's still, you know, mid, mid range here.
00:04:37.200 Jobs, unemployment, ethics, corruption, we scandal here down at the bottom, housing affordability,
00:04:41.660 that one, to be honest, I didn't, didn't expect that one. I know that that's a serious issue in a
00:04:45.720 lot of metropolitan areas. I myself am in the GTA. That's a serious issue in the GTA, but still kind
00:04:49.920 of surprising that it's up there. And then taxes, 11. A lot of these can be categorized though. So
00:04:54.740 this is sort of what Canadians are thinking about. And the we scandal ranks pretty low on,
00:05:00.540 on this, according to the survey. But here is one of the more interesting ones. So this is broken
00:05:06.920 down. Thinking about this situation, which view is closest to your own? This is the question that
00:05:10.480 was asked. So according to, this is the total all 1,500 Canadians. Now this is Canadians that identify
00:05:16.760 as Conservative Party supporters. This is Canadians that identified in the survey as Liberal Party
00:05:21.480 supporters and Canadians that identified as NDP supporters. So here we go. According to the survey,
00:05:29.000 thinking about the situation, which view is closest to your own? So the red means this is a serious
00:05:34.080 issue and is significant. Blue means this issue has been overblown by the media and opposition
00:05:38.300 parties. And gray is not sure. Conservative Party members very, very strongly, almost unanimous. I don't
00:05:45.160 know what the margin of error in the survey here, but almost, you know, unanimous on the fact that this
00:05:49.660 is a serious and significant issue. And I think this speaks to sort of the Conservative base, a lot of
00:05:54.640 the Conservative mindset, very interested in fairness, very interested in ethics, ethics, very interested
00:06:00.120 in, you know, the rule of law, legal rights, these kind of things. This is a big focus. And rightfully
00:06:06.020 so. It's not, you know, not something to belittle here. I'm not belittling that. But rightfully so,
00:06:10.680 this is a serious issue. And I think that the majority of Conservative Party supporters that are
00:06:16.060 taking issue with this are not simply doing it because it is the opposite guy. I think that there
00:06:22.380 would be a lot of anger. And, you know, historically, this is sort of one of Reagan's 11 commandments,
00:06:27.740 do not criticize other Conservatives. And he said that because there's, there's often a lot of
00:06:31.340 criticism of other Conservatives by Conservatives. And so it is not really surprising that 91% think
00:06:36.440 this is a serious and significant issue. And again, this isn't the first scandal of the Prime
00:06:39.760 Minister. And this really is a serious issue on many levels. So, you know, this is not at all
00:06:44.820 surprising. Liberal Party supporters. This is kind of surprising. And I would like to ask a number of
00:06:50.180 follow-up questions, but let's just tackle this first. This issue is serious and significant,
00:06:54.300 30%. This issue has been overblown by the media and opposition parties, 60%. Not sure, can't say
00:06:59.700 why. 10%. So 60% of Liberal Party supporters really think that this issue has been overblown by the
00:07:07.240 media and opposition parties. So I've got to ask these people a question. If this were the first
00:07:12.140 scandal or the only scandal, I, you know, I could hear it. I could hear you think it's overblown.
00:07:16.540 There's, you know, a number of different things. But my question is, the story has evolved a lot of
00:07:21.700 times. There have been a number of people, you know, first it was cabinet. So first it was the
00:07:25.920 bureaucracy. Then it was cabinet. Then it was finance minister. Then it was Baris Chaggar. Then
00:07:30.260 it was all these people. And so the story really is just evolving. And now it turns out, according to
00:07:35.080 a more recent report, which I don't have up here, according to a more recent report, about 30 million was
00:07:40.240 supposed to go to administrative costs early on in the program. So for we to administer the program,
00:07:44.560 they were going to get about 30 something million. And this is sort of upfront. So this is before you
00:07:48.420 even accomplished anything. It's not like a work bonus where, you know, the job, you, you get,
00:07:52.700 you know, some, some kind of bonus per employee. This is upfront. So the story really keeps on
00:07:57.140 evolving. And again, it's a question for people who identify as liberals. Why do you think this
00:08:02.920 issue has been overblown? In what ways do you think this issue has been overblown? And why do you
00:08:08.020 think the media and opposition parties are, you know, usually together in this? I know a conservative
00:08:12.200 criticism, which has a lot of merit is often that the media is supportive of the prime minister,
00:08:18.060 supportive of the Trudeau government, and just looking to hammer, um, I guess, mostly the
00:08:21.820 conservatives according to the complaints. But, um, why, why do you liberal party supporters think
00:08:26.620 that this is the case? That is a serious question. Again, also in the context of the numerous scandals
00:08:31.500 of this government. NDP supporters, that one is kind of interesting. They're, you know, almost,
00:08:36.260 uh, not neck and neck, but 46% think it's significant and 33% think that it's been overblown
00:08:41.740 by the media. So they're about halfway between, uh, between liberal and conservative, uh, party
00:08:47.560 members. But that was kind of interesting because you could say that they're sort of an, you know,
00:08:52.600 a third party. They're not, they're not connected. They have no horse in the game. If you want to look
00:08:56.040 at it from that way by the polling, but at the same time, again, if there's going to be an election
00:09:00.800 coming up, they, I'm sure are looking to get more seats. Uh, you know, they form the opposition.
00:09:05.960 So it's kind of interesting that according to the results, it, it looks like it's with so many,
00:09:10.820 uh, not sure, can't say 21%. It just looks like a bit of confusion, maybe about the Wii scandal.
00:09:15.540 So really wondering what that is. And I'd be interested to hear from any NDP supporters,
00:09:19.820 what you think or why you think the results might be this way. What, what's the perspective there?
00:09:24.720 This one here, this is by province. Uh, interestingly enough, Saskatchewan is the toughest
00:09:29.920 province on this one. Saskatchewan is 77%. I think this is a serious and significant issue.
00:09:35.540 The rest across the board, pretty even, to be honest, pretty, pretty even. Um, you know, I mean,
00:09:41.360 the lowest being Atlantic Canada, 52%, but that's, it's not even that low compared to the,
00:09:45.220 the average, which seems to be about, uh, you know, high fifties or so. So, um, not, not too much
00:09:51.920 disagreement across the country. The, maybe the blue is a bit more, you can see Ontario, a lot of support,
00:09:57.700 a lot of support for prime minister in Ontario. Uh, the lowest support, again, in Saskatchewan,
00:10:02.200 not surprising. So quite interesting on the, um, on the region. Now, if you look at where the prime
00:10:09.460 minister has a lot of seats, it's going to be in Ontario, Quebec, um, Atlantic Canada, even there's
00:10:15.580 not that many seats in general, but, but Atlantic Canada. So these are really a lot of, this is a lot
00:10:19.640 of the, the, the support base for the prime minister, where they get a lot of seats. So it's
00:10:23.920 interesting to see the, the difference and the sort of alignment on the numbers. Uh, if we go
00:10:27.880 down here, thinking about your feelings and views on the issue, how would you assess what has come
00:10:31.340 to light? This one again is more interesting. A simple mistake or error in judgment, 12% is about
00:10:36.880 the Wii scandal. Um, an unethical decision, but not a criminal act, 43%, a possible criminal act that
00:10:43.160 should be investigated by police. This is quite interesting. Not even half of people think that
00:10:48.060 it should be investigated by the police. 43% think it is an unethical decision, but not a criminal act.
00:10:54.960 So this begs a number of questions about our perception of government. Is it possible for the
00:11:01.500 government to do things that are very unethical and yet not criminal? Should they be allowed to do
00:11:07.580 things that are not ethical and are not criminal? Should we amend certain things in the criminal code
00:11:14.040 to ensure that the government, or to try and minimize the amount of unethical behavior by the
00:11:18.560 government? Does this number of 43% say that we have a low opinion of politicians and their ability
00:11:25.460 to behave ethically? These are interesting questions that I think we should debate because
00:11:29.620 43% of people thinking it is an unethical decision, but not a criminal act is pretty high. That's almost
00:11:35.480 half of the respondents. 8% again said that they can't say. If you can't say, um, you know,
00:11:41.300 you may not have been paying attention. You may not know everything about it. This is a poll.
00:11:46.340 Not everyone is fully informed. So 8% saying they can't say, you know, I don't know.
00:11:51.480 Thinking about views and feelings on the issue, how would you assess what has come to light so far?
00:11:55.580 So again, this is broken down by party supporters. So the same question as above here, but broken down
00:12:00.740 by party supporters. This again, CPC, 77% think it is a possible criminal act that should be
00:12:06.500 investigated by the police. Liberals, 61% say it is an unethical decision, but not a criminal act.
00:12:12.280 NDP, stronger, interestingly enough, um, although the sample size is smaller, stronger,
00:12:16.660 interestingly enough, 65% say that it is an unethical decision, but not a criminal act. So
00:12:22.760 now I want to compare these two numbers. Let's look here. 61% think it is an unethical decision,
00:12:28.080 but not a criminal act. Let's go back up here. 60% say that this issue has been overblown by the
00:12:34.000 media and opposition parties. So we have almost alignment in the two surveys, and it would be
00:12:39.740 interesting to know which respondents, which of the 61% here were also members of the 60% here.
00:12:46.300 Were they 100% identical? Were they different? Could you say that this is a serious and significant
00:12:53.300 issue, but then also think that it is an unethical decision, but not a criminal act? So a number of
00:12:59.040 interesting things, and we don't seem to have that data right now. So there's no way to really figure
00:13:03.220 that out. But 61% of liberal supporters say it is an unethical decision, but not a criminal act.
00:13:09.800 That also bleeds into the 44% of people who say that they still approve of the job that prime
00:13:16.720 minister is doing. And I don't know if that was broken down by party. I don't think that was broken
00:13:22.620 down by party just yet, but 44% of Canadians think the prime minister is doing a good job.
00:13:27.600 Which percent of the Canadians think he's doing a good job? Think that it is a criminal act that
00:13:32.680 should be investigated by the police? Are there any? Which percent of Canadians think
00:13:36.340 it is an unethical decision, but not a criminal act? I really would like to see that data. Because
00:13:41.340 again, if a lot of the people who think it was an unethical decision, but not a criminal act
00:13:46.180 are still in approval of the prime minister, what does that really say about your opinion
00:13:51.200 of our political leaders or our political system? That's not really a possibility that I like. And so
00:13:56.660 I really would be curious about the data. I think I'm going to, I think I'm going to reach out to
00:13:59.580 Angus Reif to see if there's anything more that they would be able to shed. Perhaps even
00:14:03.340 in confidence and maybe I can just give you sort of an overview, but let's, you know, let's figure
00:14:06.520 that out. This is age and gender. You know, this may be, may be relevant. Let's, let's see here.
00:14:12.320 So a simple mistake error in judgment. This is the top row. An unethical decision, but not a criminal
00:14:16.580 act. This row, a possible criminal act that should be investigated by the police and not sure.
00:14:21.380 I can't say why. So the color coding seems to be the highest. Now it looks like, it looks like
00:14:29.500 according to these two squares, older men between 35, uh, let's just say from 35 to 55, uh, more than
00:14:35.840 half of older men think it is a possible criminal act that should be investigated police by the
00:14:40.180 police. Um, on the female side, more than on the female side, the majority of them, it's not more than 0.75
00:14:46.820 half on this one, but the majority of them think it is an unethical decision, but not a criminal act.
00:14:51.220 So again, do you think that the government should be allowed to make so many unethical acts? Should
00:14:56.040 we not push for some reforms to try and minimize the unethical acts? How would you even define
00:15:01.760 unethical acts is, is unethical dumping raw sewage into the St. Lawrence river river is unethical
00:15:08.000 making a program that you know is useless, but it's simply like a make work project for government
00:15:14.300 employees is unethical. Something about, you know, appointing your buddies to seats, even
00:15:19.060 though they may be qualified. So what are the definitions? What do you really mean to each
00:15:23.260 person? This is a lot of these are loaded terms, which really might mean different things to
00:15:28.440 different people, but still the, you know, the, the difference in the ages, the difference
00:15:32.240 in the, the genders might, might be interesting. Do you approve or disapprove of Justin Trudeau?
00:15:37.080 Again, we have the, uh, we have the ratings here, um, following the election, high, you know,
00:15:42.760 high approval rating and then pretty down, down, down. He's got low approval ratings. Here was the,
00:15:47.880 uh, sort of COVID response. This may be again, a rally around the flag effect going up. And then
00:15:52.840 his approval is still 44%. A lot of interesting stuff on this data approval by federal votes,
00:15:59.520 uh, liberals, 82%. Oh, here we go. They did have, um, 82% of liberals still approve of Justin Trudeau.
00:16:06.540 Again, 82% of people approve of the prime minister following blackface, the Aga Khan, 1.00
00:16:13.600 alleged groping, the numerous ethics violations that he has been accused of. 82% is pretty high.
00:16:20.600 And this is actually the main point that I wanted to bring up. And the main thing that I thought
00:16:25.220 about while, uh, getting idea to, to make this video. And that is why would someone approve so
00:16:32.140 highly of a prime minister who's been accused of a number of different things. Now, if I'm going to
00:16:38.580 start off with comparing to the United States, because that may shed things, uh, may shed some
00:16:42.940 light on what's going on here, even though, uh, you know, I don't want to always bring American, 0.99
00:16:46.220 uh, American politics and the American perspective into things, but in the United States, because it's
00:16:51.900 a two party system, you may feel that regardless of what Trump does, or regardless of what Biden does,
00:16:57.920 voting for the other guy is voting for the end of the country, voting, voting for,
00:17:02.140 voting for racism, voting for hatred, voting for any number of horrible things. And so it's kind
00:17:07.920 of a, I'm going to hold my nose and I'm going to vote for this guy because if I vote for the other
00:17:12.220 guy, the option is so unpalatable that I simply cannot fathom it. And therefore I'm going to vote
00:17:19.380 for Trump or Biden, whoever I'm going to vote for them, no matter what they do, because unless they
00:17:25.240 turn into the other guy, they're still going to be better than the other guy in Canada, though,
00:17:30.120 it's not a two party system. And I know that there's, you know, there's left and right, and you
00:17:34.840 might say, okay, well, the NDP is on the left, but how many people are switching between, how many
00:17:40.520 diehard people are switching between the liberal party and the NDP? There's a lot of talk about a
00:17:46.180 mushy middle, but I'm not sure where that mushy middle is anymore. How many people are really sort
00:17:51.940 of, you know, on the line, they'll go either way. Politics is definitely becoming more, more
00:17:57.940 polarized. And so how many people are really, you know, really floating this way? But what is
00:18:02.000 interesting, again, is the prime minister's approval rating on NDP, speaking of, you know,
00:18:06.880 not being a two party system. So again, following COVID here, this again, may be a rally around the
00:18:11.920 flag effect. You can see even 20% of conservatives think that, you know, he's doing a good job as of
00:18:16.720 April, according to Angus Reid. But the numbers have stayed pretty high. And so 61% of NDP, you
00:18:25.640 know, the self-declared NDP supporters, 61% of them support the prime minister. That's interesting
00:18:32.340 news for the NDP. If 61% of your party members think he's doing mostly a good job, more than half
00:18:37.940 think that he's doing a good job. I would really ask, well, okay, how are you differentiating yourself
00:18:43.060 as the NDP party from the liberal party? What policies do you have that are going to set you
00:18:47.680 aside? Now, with conservatives, again, 9%. So this is still higher than the original 3% on the 19th.
00:18:55.420 And again, does this mean that the majority of conservative supporters think that there's
00:19:00.080 nothing the prime minister can do right? That's an opinion that a lot of people take. I try and
00:19:05.680 judge it on an incident or on a situation by situation basis. So I might applaud him for certain
00:19:10.280 things and I might smack him down for certain things. Then, you know, maybe I'll make a video
00:19:14.100 about some of the things that I have liked that the prime minister has done. But regardless,
00:19:18.880 here we're talking about the data and about the disapproval of Canadians.
00:19:24.380 Again, this is approval, disapproval. This is just sort of a differentiation almost of the chart,
00:19:30.000 the previous chart up here. This was about the criminal act and this is about the approval,
00:19:34.000 disapproval. So interestingly, strongly disapprove, more males disapprove than females. Now, my question
00:19:42.680 for the women here is, I've criticized very strongly and a number of women have criticized 0.90
00:19:48.340 very strongly the prime minister's behavior towards women. He has proclaimed himself as a staunch
00:19:54.240 feminist and it looks like that message is really, really sticking. But in my opinion, 0.99
00:19:59.640 his actions do not show that. His actions with Jody Olsen-Raybould, James Philpott,
00:20:05.940 with the alleged groping, with a number of different things that he has done with now
00:20:11.260 Bardis Chaggar and Selena. I keep on butchering her last name, but there have been a number of people,
00:20:18.000 a number of women who, specifically women, who have come out against the prime minister,
00:20:22.880 Leona Elsev, who switched parties. A number of women have come out against the prime minister,
00:20:28.780 calling him out for his fake feminism. I really wonder, the message is really hitting home because
00:20:34.880 it still seems that more than 50% in all three categories, more than 50% of women still approve
00:20:40.180 of Justin Trudeau. But does that mean that they're separating what may be his personal, you know,
00:20:46.000 his personal feminism or his personal situation? Is that separating from the politics? Do they like
00:20:51.480 his politics? Do they like the guy? These are questions you don't, the questions you don't have
00:20:56.020 answers to from this data. But this is a question that you should ask. If you are a female Trudeau
00:21:00.960 supporter, what is it about the prime minister that you support? What is it that you like?
00:21:06.820 And what is it you don't like about the Conservative Party? Right now they have no leader.
00:21:10.980 There is going to be a leadership debate hosted by the Independent Press Gallery, which I'm going to
00:21:15.280 be very excited to watch coming up. But what is it about the Conservatives or the NDP or the Greens
00:21:21.760 or the PBC or the Bloc, if you live in Quebec? What is it about those parties that you don't like
00:21:26.700 that would still make you approve of the prime minister? Or do you still approve of the prime
00:21:31.860 minister even though you vote for the other party? So a number of interesting questions.
00:21:36.000 Here we go. And over the past month or so, would you say your opinion of the prime minister
00:21:40.720 and Liberal Party leader Justin Trudeau has improved, worsened, or stayed the same?
00:21:44.420 So the serious and people who said it was a serious and significant issue, 74% think it
00:21:52.040 has worsened. So that's pretty obvious. If you think it's serious and he's done a lot
00:21:55.520 of things, then obviously it won't worsen. My opinion of them has worsened. If you think
00:21:59.780 it's overblown, probably stayed the same. A lot of overlap here with Liberal and some
00:22:04.380 NDP party supporters here. Not sure I can't say, 51%. That's interesting because the not sure I can't
00:22:11.200 say was a small group, 185, compared to almost 900 said that it was significant and 436 said
00:22:16.820 that it was overblown. But 50% of these people said that they, you know, they're not sure
00:22:21.600 if it changed their opinion. They don't think so. This one is by gender. Sort of the same 0.91
00:22:26.360 stuff up there. Not really much to pull out on this one. This one here. What impact, if
00:22:31.320 any of you, think this will have on the current minority Liberal government? So 56% said a minor
00:22:37.680 impact. That it will embarrass the Liberal government, but ultimately it will survive.
00:22:42.620 32% said a major impact. This could be the issue that ultimately brings down the government.
00:22:46.920 12% said no impact at all. And this will be forgotten in a matter of weeks.
00:22:50.640 Now, if you lump in 12% plus the 56%, that gives you 68%. That is a super majority, to use 0.99
00:22:57.620 an American term again. That is a super majority here, practically. And so you've really got to
00:23:04.300 wonder, is this going to bring down the government? It looks like, according to this Angus Reid poll,
00:23:08.260 almost 70% of Canadians say no. It's going to embarrass them, but no, they'll survive. We will
00:23:12.320 probably just, you know, re-elect Justin Trudeau, according to this data. That is a real possibility
00:23:17.520 here. So this is quite interesting because it doesn't jive so much with the people who said
00:23:24.420 their opinion worsened and that it was a serious and significant violation. So again, my question,
00:23:30.100 if almost 68% of people think that it has no impact or minor impact and the government will
00:23:36.000 survive, but a similar amount think it was a serious and significant issue, what does that
00:23:40.700 say about our politics? What does that say about Canadians and their opinion of their government's
00:23:46.980 ability to deal with scandals, their government's ethics? What does that say about our political
00:23:50.800 system? Do we, have we lost trust in our political system? I know a lot of you in the comments,
00:23:55.320 and I read actually the comments a lot of times. A lot of you in the comments have no faith in the
00:24:00.320 political system, have no faith in the prime minister, and that's fine. There's been a lot
00:24:04.260 of disappointment here, but what does that say for the majority of Canadians? Is everyone just jaded?
00:24:08.400 Do we just really have no hope that this will have any effect? What if it turns out there are criminal
00:24:14.760 charges laid? Will that change? Who knows? Because right now, you know, not even, where was the one
00:24:20.380 people calling for a criminal investigation? Only 37% said that should be even investigated by the
00:24:26.020 police. So, you know, really, really got a wonder on a lot of these questions. Here again by province,
00:24:33.080 interestingly enough, the, it's not Saskatchewan who thinks that has a minor impact. The largest group
00:24:38.560 seems to be Atlantic Canada, I think that has a minor impact. Oh, sorry, no, BC thinks that would be a
00:24:42.900 minor impact. Um, what ability do you think this will have in the current minority liberal government?
00:24:48.240 CPC, 36%, minor impact. Again, is that apathy? You, you just think that nothing bad will happen to
00:24:54.380 them. They're just Teflon. They, you know, no scandal will stick. 74% of liberals, again, minor impact.
00:25:00.120 Is that because you think it will have a minor impact? Because you think it is a minor thing? Or
00:25:04.080 because you just don't care? Interesting question for liberals. Same thing for NEP supporters, 74, 70%
00:25:09.320 say it's a minor impact. You know, really, you should get in touch with your party leaders and
00:25:14.120 see what's up. Um, if I were an NDP, uh, operative or, or some kind of, you know, political person,
00:25:20.360 I would really be wondering, okay, where are we? Where do we want to position ourselves? Because
00:25:24.820 where you are right now, that, that, that's not, there's not really strong differentiation and not
00:25:30.260 really a lot of motivation there. I could be wrong. Please, please prove me wrong. Um, I'd be
00:25:34.040 interested to find out, but this, this is what this data at least might say. So a lot of interesting
00:25:38.680 questions, uh, this is about their methodology. This is, you know, a lot of, a lot of stuff here.
00:25:43.240 Um, obviously this poll, this is one poll. So we don't, we don't know the true feelings of Canadians.
00:25:49.580 There's been a lot of discussion. Are Canadians even willing to give their true opinion on some
00:25:54.880 of these polls? Uh, again, the problem seems to be much worse in the United States. I think it was
00:25:58.500 67 or 68% of, uh, people said that they're afraid of expressing their political opinions.
00:26:03.320 The number was much, much higher for conservatives. So, you know, what does this really say? Overall,
00:26:09.120 to be honest, my big takeaways are that people just don't have faith in our political system and
00:26:13.660 our political system's ability to deal with corruption and unethical behavior. It's really,
00:26:19.200 really disappointing. That would be something that I would be interested in hearing from some
00:26:23.100 of the conservative party leadership candidates about what they would do, not just about the scandal,
00:26:27.320 what would you do to ensure, to, um, uh, reinforce in Canadians the idea that their political system
00:26:33.840 can be trusted, that the system itself is not simply built to let these things slide. Um, again,
00:26:39.260 you know, we have a parliamentary democracy. I've talked about our political system quite a lot in
00:26:43.080 a couple of these videos. We have a parliamentary system, a Westminster style parliamentary system.
00:26:47.540 And so if you have a majority government, then technically you have more power internally.
00:26:53.220 So you would have more power, Prime Minister Trudeau would have more power in Canada than Donald
00:26:57.600 Trump does in the United States. And so again, what are we doing? How are we, you know, that's a
00:27:03.320 question maybe for the Minister of Democratic Reform or the Shadow Minister of Democratic Reform.
00:27:06.960 Maybe I'll ask them, what are we going to do to make sure that these things don't happen?
00:27:11.180 And what are we going to do to minimize some of these ethical violations? So hope you enjoyed
00:27:15.240 watching this video. I know this was a bit longer, but again, this is what we try to do. This is what I
00:27:19.760 have been asked to do and what I would like to do here at True North is really going deeper into
00:27:24.240 the story, trying to find out some of the other side, really pull out some of the data. In fact,
00:27:28.280 because the mainstream media is not really going to go through this data for you. They're not really
00:27:32.100 going to talk about what these things might mean. And they're not going to give you that in-depth,
00:27:36.160 you might get some, you know, new story that you can do the gist of it, but nothing too in-depth.
00:27:39.960 And that's really what we're trying to do here. So again, for True North, I am Sam Ashkenazi.
00:27:44.320 I hope you enjoyed this video. Thank you so much for watching and have yourselves a great day.
00:27:49.760 Thank you.