kinsellacast - April 14, 2024


KINSELLACAST 307: The end of multiculturalism? With Lilley, Kheiriddin, Adler plus Israel Vibration, Wailers and more!


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 25 minutes

Words per Minute

157.4427

Word Count

13,492

Sentence Count

423

Misogynist Sentences

14

Hate Speech Sentences

55


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 It's the Kinsella Cast, starring Warren Kinsella.
00:00:18.920 Hey, it's Warren. Welcome to the Kinsella Cast.
00:00:23.360 And we're back. We're back from Jamaica.
00:00:26.640 We've had a great week.
00:00:27.700 Well, except for the sand fleas.
00:00:30.480 I've bitten my sand fleas and Jamaican mosquitoes,
00:00:33.980 which are tougher mosquitoes than we've got, believe me.
00:00:36.680 So I'm going to have dengue fever and die.
00:00:38.600 So it's been nice knowing you.
00:00:40.600 No, just kidding. We had a good shrimp.
00:00:42.900 And it was 31 degrees exactly every single day.
00:00:47.320 But we're back and ready to get back into the fight.
00:00:52.020 Didn't anticipate the fight that opened up last night.
00:00:55.440 We won't talk about that in just a minute.
00:00:58.560 But came back to great news.
00:01:00.480 Won a legal victory against someone who accused us of genocide.
00:01:08.340 And so that story may or may not get told sometime soon.
00:01:16.240 Still deciding.
00:01:17.720 And got some other great, great, great news, which I can't reveal just yet.
00:01:23.620 And, but it's good to be back.
00:01:26.020 And I've got a great show for you.
00:01:28.780 You've got Brian Lilly and I talking about the events of the past few days.
00:01:32.700 Charles Adler and I did not because we spoke when I was in Jamaica.
00:01:37.040 I was in the waiting area at the Kingston Airport in Jamaica.
00:01:41.460 And the attack by Iran on Israel hadn't happened yet.
00:01:48.240 But it was just hours away.
00:01:53.000 Tasha Carradine and I are on with Andrew Pinson talking about it.
00:01:56.680 And, you know, that is the big news.
00:01:59.960 But I've got some leftover Jamaican tunes.
00:02:04.780 I've got the Wailers.
00:02:06.440 I've got Hozba Lawrence, Gold Spoon.
00:02:09.420 But I've also got Israel Vibration, which seems appropriate, given the events of this weekend.
00:02:16.340 And then I've got one song.
00:02:17.420 I actually own this single going back to the Reagan years.
00:02:23.720 And I bought it as kind of a novelty and kept it by the Scudseys, this joke song called Bomberan.
00:02:33.900 And it was funny at the time.
00:02:38.900 Now I think it's prescient because I think that's what's going to happen.
00:02:43.340 So anyway, welcome to KinsellaCast.
00:02:45.720 And the question I had when I was sitting on the plane, I've been talking to a smart friend.
00:02:51.420 Like, is this the end finally, at long last, of multiculturalism?
00:02:56.900 Like, as Iran launched hundreds of missiles and drones at Israel, our ally, what was happening in Canada?
00:03:06.460 In Toronto, the pro-Hamas assholes were firing off smoke grenades downtown around the Union Station.
00:03:15.500 And they celebrated Iran's act of war.
00:03:20.220 Some asshole shouted over a loudspeaker, Iran has just launched drones towards Israel.
00:03:25.520 And the crowd cheered loudly.
00:03:29.320 They applauded.
00:03:30.360 They looked deliriously happy.
00:03:32.900 Like, is this what multiculturalism has brought us to?
00:03:36.380 Like, for a long time, believing in multiculturalism did not render you a libtard or a cultural Marxist
00:03:44.300 or any of the other stupid things that often get said about those who believe in multiculturalism.
00:03:49.480 Like, in my case, you know, my political home for years was the Liberal Party of Canada.
00:03:54.240 And I was a supporter of multiculturalism.
00:03:56.860 And I believed in it.
00:03:58.020 I wasn't alone.
00:03:59.440 Many of us thought multiculturalism was a good thing.
00:04:02.080 For card-carrying liberals in particular, multiculturalism was part of our catechism.
00:04:07.900 Like, we even put it in the Charter of Rights and Freedoms, Section 27.
00:04:11.660 The word defines itself.
00:04:13.480 Multiculturalism is a policy that encourages people to preserve and promote the cultures from where they come.
00:04:20.180 It's the opposite of the American melting pot, which encourages completely embracing the culture and values that define America.
00:04:28.100 No other values.
00:04:29.380 And Canadians have always had a tendency to like multiculturalism even more, I think, because it wasn't American.
00:04:36.920 Anyway, newcomers to Canada, whether they be immigrants or refugees, or the Canadian-born children of immigrants or refugees,
00:04:44.860 were encouraged to preserve their unique cultural traditions here, whether, you know, it's waving around a Palestinian flag or whatever.
00:04:53.500 We were such believers in multiculturalism.
00:04:55.720 In fact, we supported using government money to fund it.
00:04:59.380 And for years we've done that, under liberal, NDP, conservative governments, all levels.
00:05:04.800 And some of the multi-cult projects that governments have funded caused scandals.
00:05:09.500 Like, for example, the formerly governing B.C. liberals were caught spending millions on multicultural events that leaked documents showed.
00:05:17.460 We're actually designed to be quick wins for the party, paid for by taxpayers.
00:05:22.880 And that became the suspicion that I think a lot of people had about multiculturalism that was designed to help out political parties, not people.
00:05:31.340 In exchange for supporting multiculturalism, however, in exchange for funding it, the likes of me asked for just one thing.
00:05:40.640 In exchange.
00:05:42.460 Obey our laws.
00:05:44.100 Be civil.
00:05:45.480 Embrace that most Canadian of principles.
00:05:48.260 Peace, order, and good government.
00:05:50.260 And the vast majority did.
00:05:52.180 Newcomers did.
00:05:52.900 And the bargain was fair.
00:05:55.660 In exchange for Canadian citizenship, you'd leave behind those beliefs and behaviors that disturbed the peace.
00:06:01.560 Which were probably the things you wanted to escape by coming to Canada in the first place.
00:06:05.160 Anyway, all good, fine, and then something terrible happened.
00:06:08.460 Something beyond words.
00:06:10.100 June 1985.
00:06:12.420 Air India Flight 182 was blown out of the sky above the Atlantic Ocean.
00:06:17.860 The plane had started its journey in Montreal.
00:06:22.180 And everybody aboard, 329 innocent men, women, and children were slaughtered.
00:06:29.900 They were murdered.
00:06:30.980 They were murdered, a bunch of investigations concluded, by some madmen who had come to Canada and brought black hate in their hearts.
00:06:42.380 They were Sikhs, but it wouldn't have actually mattered if they were Catholics, Hindus, Seventh-day Adventists.
00:06:48.060 All that mattered is they came to the multicultural paradise that is Canada, and they commenced the process of destroying multiculturalism.
00:06:58.880 And others have followed in their foul wake.
00:07:02.000 Others from other places have hacked away at the multicultural dream.
00:07:06.540 And by 2023, there wasn't much left of it.
00:07:08.860 And then on October 7th, multiculturalism breathed its last, I think, sadly.
00:07:15.560 As word spread, as we learned that Hamas terrorists had invaded progressive farm communities in Israel and raped and tortured and killed hundreds of innocent people and kidnapped scores more, something else happened here in Canada.
00:07:29.980 In Mississauga, Ontario, people, who are newcomers to Canada, it looked like, but definitely people who don't deserve to call themselves Canadian, celebrated.
00:07:42.680 At the intersection of Ridgeway Drive and Eglinton in Mississauga, a large crowd of all ages gathered to celebrate the barbarity of October 7th.
00:07:52.980 They honked horns and cheered for Hamas' mass murder, they waved Palestinian flags, they handed out sweets.
00:08:00.120 It wasn't a one-off.
00:08:02.740 It wasn't an outlier.
00:08:04.420 In the days since, there have been many, many other such displays of inhumanity and cruelty, almost entirely aimed at Canada's puny Jewish community.
00:08:15.000 There have been crimes, like firebombing of synagogues and shooting at schools and attacks on Jews, but there have been other things, too, which don't amount to crimes, possibly, but are specifically designed to make Jews feel just as unwelcome and isolated and scared.
00:08:33.060 Marches through their neighborhoods.
00:08:35.640 Epithets screamed at the elderly Jews who lived there.
00:08:38.540 blocking access to hospitals that Jews support, chanting calls for genocide and violent revolution, demanding that references to Jewish traditions be erased in universities and elsewhere and replaced by that of others.
00:08:54.540 And now, hundreds cheering on Iran's attack on Israel, right out in the open, proudly.
00:09:03.120 Have these terrible things been done in the name of multiculturalism?
00:09:07.780 No, I don't think so.
00:09:10.280 But multiculturalism was naive, I now believe.
00:09:14.140 It let its guard down.
00:09:16.160 It persuaded us that every single newcomer would come here and treat every other culture with dignity and respect.
00:09:23.680 They didn't.
00:09:25.340 They haven't.
00:09:27.180 A minority, hearts of hate beating in their chests, came here to hate some more.
00:09:34.500 Well, multiculturalism was an experiment, and it was an experiment that hasn't worked out.
00:09:41.820 We are, as the saying goes, a country of immigrants, yes.
00:09:45.980 That should not change.
00:09:47.920 But the ones who come here to spread hate, it's time to kick them out.
00:09:52.840 Bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum, bum.
00:10:10.040 We can't give a damn, we found Japan, we bought a Vietnam number of gold and red,
00:10:15.240 bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop.
00:10:19.640 We will never scream, and now we're gonna buy a banner, bop, bop, bop, bop, bop.
00:10:24.140 We'll be right back.
00:10:54.140 We'll be right back.
00:11:24.140 We'll be right back.
00:11:45.520 and we're back and i'm back in north america and brian lilly has not left north america at least
00:12:05.000 to my knowledge um but brian if you had if you were flying a reconnaissance plane and i wouldn't
00:12:12.200 put that past you because you know how to do so many things if you'd been watching iran's attack
00:12:18.500 on israel last night as a war correspondent what would you say how would you analyze what took place
00:12:25.760 in the past 24 hours uh well the uh the iranian attack was foolish and they will end up regretting
00:12:36.080 it but they are declaring it a success in tehran and uh they will do that by saying they have struck
00:12:42.600 the zionist entity they have struck the the little satan that um they're showing them who's boss
00:12:49.760 iran's you know their vision of themselves is much grander than it is but the regime in tehran wants
00:12:57.660 to be a regional power excuse me in many ways they want to be a world power and that
00:13:04.860 it's how they project themselves now they're not they are a cancer in the region they are a
00:13:12.220 destabilizing force but they're declaring victory and you know israel can't let that stand i remember
00:13:18.860 speaking with a retired idf officer describing what it was like when um in one of the previous wars in
00:13:27.540 gaza where they uh israel went in and did the what do they call it uh the reasonable or restrained
00:13:36.480 response to something hamas had done and and so didn't destroy hamas and then at the end um despite
00:13:44.840 crippling them despite a a very robust response the hamas leadership come out on the rooftop uh above a
00:13:52.900 public square uh make the victory sign and the people of gaza treat them as if they have won and
00:14:01.160 that is i don't know that the people of iran who are fed up with their own regime will feel that way
00:14:08.960 but iran is using this strike to try and uh bolster their image and their standing but how can they do
00:14:16.860 that like you know i've got written books about outlaw arab nations like iran going back to 1992
00:14:22.020 and there is a tendency um well iran is not an outlaw arab nation it's outlaw persian nation
00:14:29.040 but you know regionally it is like it's always this excessive language you know just over the top
00:14:35.680 adjectives and you know the zionist entity and we've destroyed them and so on like just by objectively
00:14:41.440 like not 99 of the the cruise missiles and the drones were taken out by the israelis by the brits
00:14:50.520 by the french and and the jordanians and the saudis actively assisted israel in what took place last
00:14:59.880 night like by any standard how can iran call this a victory all they've done now is set the table
00:15:06.480 for israel to massively lash out at them strike back and nobody's going to say boo like i just
00:15:13.160 don't understand how they can call this a victory well there are already countries calling for a
00:15:17.980 restrained response from israel which is always the case you know israel gets hit and everyone says oh
00:15:23.860 that's bad but don't hit back don't hit back not not too hard um so you know we saw that in
00:15:32.760 justin trudeau's response you know not not that he's relevant and we'll talk about that in a minute
00:15:37.600 but here's the sands of toronto behind me um the uh they're going to claim victory because to some
00:15:47.660 people facts don't matter and we see these people marching through the streets of toronto facts don't
00:15:53.040 matter to them uh you know still claiming that that there's a genocide in the population that has
00:15:59.100 grown exponentially over the years including while israel has been so-called occupying gaza which
00:16:05.840 they have not been occupying gaza and yet they claim genocide and those lives get perpetuated around
00:16:13.300 the world by um useful idiots now but let's talk about the crowds marching because there was a crowd
00:16:22.360 a pretty big crowd in front of union station last night in downtown toronto the epicenter of canada's
00:16:29.080 largest city hundreds of them including children and they're setting off grenades so-called smoke
00:16:34.940 grenades right you know which you wouldn't be allowed to carry through the airport there they were and
00:16:40.560 soon as word came through that iran was attacking israel directly militarily this massive cheer went up
00:16:49.200 in the crowd they were deliriously happy i've written about it you've written about it in today's
00:16:54.600 toronto son like to me i think last night it was just too much like it was the final straw for guys
00:17:02.140 like me it's like look if you think iran and gas and and hamas and has were so great well why don't
00:17:09.320 you go to the fuck back there just go right if that's what you think is is appropriate why are you
00:17:14.840 living here why don't you go live there that's yeah that's one thought that i had um and uh you know
00:17:24.200 they were doing this from uh mid-afternoon until early evening maybe even later and down at union
00:17:34.300 station for people that don't know toronto uh the leafs were playing last night and the the leafs game
00:17:41.820 was starting at about seven i believe the blue jays game was an earlier afternoon game so you've got
00:17:46.960 um probably about 70 000 people a lot of them transferring through that station just walking
00:17:55.120 around there trying to get to and from their games just trying to enjoy themselves and they're being
00:18:00.320 greeted by fellow canadians cheering on iran attacking israel um and there's video evidence of this
00:18:07.660 you know you know we know that there were some people that cheered on uh osama bin laden on 9 11
00:18:13.720 and people said that's not true well now we've got video evidence of that just like we have video
00:18:19.800 evidence of october 7th people cheered on hamas's barbaric terrorist attack on israel even though they
00:18:25.460 knew the details uh i think you wrote it up very well in the sun saying that this is a final straw that
00:18:33.200 breaks the camel's back for um multiculturalism this is the failure of multiculturalism the idea that you
00:18:41.620 could bring your culture here when you came that's another one and again sons of the streets of toronto
00:18:49.520 um that that's a noble one but you have to also buy in and for generations many many successive waves
00:18:59.200 immigrants did they bought into the canadian dream the canadian story to canadian values and so they
00:19:06.980 would be proud of whatever their heritage was but they were canadian first and they believed in
00:19:11.900 liberal democracy and governments also promoted that we got away from that for a while the last person
00:19:19.020 that did that was jason kenny when he was immigration minister and perhaps whoever followed kenny
00:19:23.840 you know i'd forget who held which cabinet position when but he was very good at promoting canada's
00:19:30.700 story as part of multiculturalism and now you've got people like trudeau in charge who believe that we
00:19:36.460 are a post-national state that there is no core identity these are statements he've made i know there's
00:19:42.400 false statements he's made out there but him claiming that there's no core identity in canada he believes
00:19:48.140 that except for francophone canada that we're a post-national state these are things he said and
00:19:54.140 believes and and it affects how we bring in and we're bringing in a lot of people who will believe
00:20:02.880 these things but we're also growing them here people who are born here people have no attachment to the
00:20:08.220 middle east but believe what they're taught in schools uh schools infiltrated with the dei oppressed
00:20:15.300 oppressor thing and so it doesn't matter that israel is a liberal democracy they're oppressors so
00:20:21.020 you know if a dictatorial theocratic regime where they beat the shit out of women until they're dead
00:20:27.200 for not wearing a headscarf properly wants to attack israel that's good because those people are
00:20:32.400 oppressed i don't know how you live with that mindset well said well i guess we'll see what the
00:20:40.560 ceasefire now people have to say today when hundreds of missiles were fired at israel last
00:20:46.560 night they've been kind of quiet this morning haven't they so i guess we'll we'll find out one
00:20:51.420 thing that wasn't quiet this week um and you and i and adrian batra talked about it was just some
00:20:58.040 extraordinary events at madame hoag's madame justin's hoag's uh foreign interference inquiry uh in
00:21:05.620 ottawa and we had previously katie tells her testifying under oath saying the prime minister
00:21:11.820 reads all of his national security briefs every single word of them and then he gets up there and
00:21:17.120 testifies that he doesn't read anything and then he just likes oral briefings you did a brilliant column
00:21:22.260 about this which was on our front page can you kind of recap for people what happened this week
00:21:28.380 and why they should be paying attention to it well trudeau was under oath he was asked do you want to
00:21:36.540 be sworn in he said yes so he was sworn in and while he's going through uh you know the way the
00:21:44.940 commission works you go through with commission council and the job of commission council is just
00:21:48.920 to establish agreed upon facts and then various groups will cross and examine he was asked about
00:21:56.040 certain reports i didn't read that um i didn't read that i may or may not have time to read documents
00:22:03.240 that you know hold on let me pull up my latest because i you know on friday after saying on wednesday
00:22:09.740 he didn't read things uh he turned around on friday when he was questioned about this and said
00:22:15.320 oh no i read everything so i went back and i i got his quotes here it is the best way to convey
00:22:22.160 information to me is to receive a direct briefing from my national security and intelligence
00:22:26.260 advisor trudeau said the only way to guarantee to make sure that i receive the necessary information
00:22:32.040 is to give me an in-person briefing over or over a secure line if necessary um so laura stone from the
00:22:39.940 globe said much has been made of your admission i suppose during the testimony that you rarely read
00:22:44.960 all of your intelligence briefings or that you don't read them all are you going to do that now trudeau said
00:22:50.860 i read everything put in front of me well at another point on wednesday he had said that it's best to
00:22:57.580 give him information verbally quote not to give me a note which i may or may not read or may not have
00:23:04.560 time to read end quote um you know he's going around saying that he doesn't read these things and
00:23:12.500 that's his excuse when he's quizzed about them at the commission well i didn't know about that i i didn't
00:23:18.440 read that i received an oral briefing but they didn't tell me that part um so it's a get out of
00:23:24.600 jail free card his whole um his whole plan going before was to give himself plausible deniability
00:23:34.560 that he had seen any of these things and therefore he didn't have to act because he didn't see them
00:23:40.100 and nobody told them and to undermine thesis which he also did he and his team went up there
00:23:48.060 in public and undermined thesis saying that they were unreliable that they were incredible
00:23:53.940 that you you have to you know take what they say with a grain of salt and yeah to a degree that's
00:24:01.480 true you've got to analyze the information that a security and intelligence agency brings to you
00:24:05.980 but they spent two days katie telford jeremy broadhurst brian clow and then the cabinet
00:24:12.280 ministers karina gold dominic leblanc bill blair and true to himself undermining thesis and then
00:24:18.460 when he's asked about see do you still have confidence in them on friday hey i have full trust and
00:24:23.440 confidence in thesis he the man can't be trusted to tell you the time of day and i guess we know now
00:24:31.780 why they did not want to have a foreign interference inquiry and how they fought it like hell every step
00:24:38.720 of the way because they knew what the consequence would be they knew what the story would be which is
00:24:44.080 that you know they're lying they're not telling the truth but let's bring this back to what was
00:24:50.200 happening yesterday and what's going to happen today with joe biden convening international leaders
00:24:55.760 canada may be at the table this time you'll remember after october 7th they weren't because
00:25:00.900 we don't matter but now if we go into this what do we offer you know we weren't offering air support
00:25:07.720 uh for israel last night the way others were once upon a time we would have been able to
00:25:12.960 we can't now you know we we couldn't promise to deliver an amazon package to them effectively at
00:25:18.880 this point um and and what what do we offer intelligence wise there's an awful lot of funding
00:25:26.680 for terrorism being money laundered through canada i had a great interview with harris for feet on the
00:25:33.520 full comment podcast uh last monday about this there's a lot of this going on can we even offer
00:25:39.380 up that information and if we do well the leader of the country is just shit all over our intelligence
00:25:45.740 service in public saying they're unreliable what's it worth now exactly final topic um the prime minister
00:25:55.040 on friday on bond announced uh that he was going to oversee the building of four million homes for
00:26:01.280 canadians uh by in the next seven years so i got my calculator out that works out to be 1565 new homes
00:26:09.660 every single day i don't think he's going to meet that target do you i think he's going to build them
00:26:15.580 in the middle of the two billion trees that he's planting
00:26:18.720 oh wait he's not planting two billion trees we've got this bizarre thing going on
00:26:27.660 where everybody is finally seized with the housing issue um and they're all trying to outdo each other
00:26:35.660 now as you know i cover all levels of government toronto has actually been not too bad on this
00:26:40.620 under both john tory and olivia chow they've done well and they've been focused on this for a while
00:26:45.740 but a lot of the other municipalities in ontario elsewhere in canada they've been fighting attempts
00:26:50.740 to get more housing built because of nimbyism you've had premiers like doug ford pushing this
00:26:56.640 we're going on five years of doug ford pushing that we need to build more housing
00:27:00.300 and he'd be fought at every turn including by the now leader of the ontario liberal party who's like
00:27:06.300 you're not going to make me build more homes my people don't want them we're full um and
00:27:12.760 and he had plans like building on the green belt agree or disagree with it it was a plan to build
00:27:17.540 homes and the federal government fought him on it and and now they're all trying to outdo each other
00:27:23.140 with no i'll build more homes it's like the six minute five minute abs uh scene and something about
00:27:29.020 mary uh no you know i'll i'll be faster and then it comes down to are you going to force
00:27:35.380 municipalities to allow four plexus apparently four plexus it's the only thing that will solve
00:27:41.160 the housing crisis half of ontario where the population is anyway already allows four plexus
00:27:46.680 and it's not solving the housing crisis um the entire province allows triplexes it's not solving
00:27:53.160 the housing crisis you need service land you need money to build guess what the budget on tuesday is
00:27:59.160 going to do it's going to squeeze out private uh builders because they're borrowing so much money
00:28:05.080 at the federal level again it's going to keep interest rates higher well the one thing that
00:28:10.540 is high as peer polly have to conclude abacus came out this week and it's two to zero 20 points
00:28:17.220 separate the tories and liberals it's looking pretty dire for team trudeau can you see any way out for
00:28:23.660 these guys well i hope you had some good jokes at the parliamentary press gallery last night to get his
00:28:29.040 his diehards uh back supporting again and uh and spreading the gospel of trudeau uh that might be
00:28:36.480 the only thing that'll help yeah i think that's all that would help listen uh you're on fire this
00:28:41.980 morning my friend thank you so much for your analysis look forward to your writing about israel
00:28:46.880 and canada and the world in coming days have a great day you too
00:28:51.380 and you know what i said
00:29:18.880 want to say
00:29:28.880 thank you
00:29:35.360 Oh, come through your temper
00:29:38.380 Oh, the party will be a part of
00:29:42.200 May you hear what I said
00:29:46.240 Oh, that I'm leaving you today
00:29:50.360 Oh, that I'm leaving you today
00:30:20.980 Say my girl
00:30:22.460 Eh, that I'm leaving you today
00:30:24.980 Say my girl
00:30:26.120 Yeah, you hear what I said
00:30:28.900 Say my girl
00:30:30.280 Save my friend and marry
00:30:34.420 Oh, the new
00:30:36.200 And when the new
00:30:38.100 You must be away
00:30:40.240 Oh, coming through your temper
00:30:44.140 Say my girl
00:30:45.660 Oh, come back, you will be a part of
00:30:48.320 Say my girl
00:30:49.540 And if you won't get to suffer, you'll say my God.
00:30:53.240 And you know you're bound to suffer, you'll say my God.
00:30:57.380 Try, say my, say my right now.
00:31:00.360 You'll say my God.
00:31:01.440 Like you never did before.
00:31:04.420 You'll say my God.
00:31:04.900 Oh, oh, oh.
00:31:07.800 You'll say my God.
00:31:09.280 And you hear what I say.
00:31:11.920 You'll say my God.
00:31:13.620 You look into the pot of gold.
00:31:15.840 You'll say my God.
00:31:16.680 And you know soon you'll get to trust.
00:31:19.540 This is CFRA Live Sunday Political Panel.
00:31:33.100 And welcome to it.
00:31:34.660 Time for our CFRA Live Sunday Political Panel here on a sunny Sunday.
00:31:38.900 It is Warren Kinsella.
00:31:40.080 He is a strategist and post-media columnist.
00:31:41.940 He is here to join us as usual on this Sunday morning.
00:31:44.120 Warren, thanks for joining us.
00:31:45.600 Good morning, sir.
00:31:46.280 And Tasha Carradine is a political columnist for the National Post.
00:31:49.540 An author and a writer for GZero Media.
00:31:51.460 Tasha, thanks so much for joining us.
00:31:53.620 Good morning.
00:31:54.540 I am pinch-hitting for our leftist friend Carl Belanger this week.
00:31:58.460 But obviously we were chatting a little bit about a lot of domestic politics this week.
00:32:03.820 But obviously something comes into the forefront like yesterday happening.
00:32:06.680 We've had an attack on Israel in retaliation for something that happened a couple of weeks ago here.
00:32:12.280 300 drone attacks.
00:32:13.820 It looks like Israel has successfully defended this off.
00:32:17.700 Warren, we saw the Prime Minister come out at the forefront of this condemning Iran from the outset on this.
00:32:23.040 Just from an international perspective, if you're the Canadian government, I think we're very concerned here about a regional conflict.
00:32:29.780 Yeah, no, everybody is.
00:32:32.220 But, you know, there is good news out of the terrible events of last night.
00:32:38.220 There were no fatalities that we're aware of.
00:32:41.460 99% of the missiles, whether they were drones or cruise missiles, did not hit a target in Israel.
00:32:52.040 And to me, one of the most encouraging things is that Jordan and Saudi Arabia actively were involved in defending Israel.
00:33:04.220 And that, you know, for everybody, should be an indication that Iran has already lost this war,
00:33:11.780 either directly or through its proxies like Hamas and Hezbollah.
00:33:15.640 That is, you know, the powers in the region, not just Israel, saying, we will not let you prevail.
00:33:23.780 You have done these terrible things to Israel on October 7th and afterwards, but we will not let you win.
00:33:32.760 And so that was a good thing, you know, when the United States and the French and the British were involved in shooting down those missiles.
00:33:40.800 Canada, you know, it kind of made me sad.
00:33:43.740 But Pierre Polyev had a statement out that was excellent before Trudeau.
00:33:47.700 Trudeau's statement was good, but he should have been out first.
00:33:52.760 And I guess what was brought home to me, you know, when I looked at his statement, is, geez, have we ever become irrelevant?
00:34:00.320 You know, really, nobody inside the country or outside the country, I think, cares what we have to say about this or any other international matter.
00:34:08.040 So I was sad about that.
00:34:10.240 But all of those other things I enumerated, those are good things.
00:34:13.760 Those are things to be happy about.
00:34:15.860 I want to I want to re I want to re up that concept of kind of a Canada on the international front in just a second.
00:34:21.520 But Tasha, as Warren mentioned, I think as optimistic as you can be in a sense of there was no fatalities here.
00:34:28.400 There's nobody seriously hurt, but obviously a very big concern about possible regional instability.
00:34:33.040 A huge concern.
00:34:35.600 I maybe I'm not as optimistic as Warren.
00:34:37.920 I think that there are other actors at play here behind the scenes and sort of axis of Iran, China, Russia, that this is not going to be the last attack.
00:34:49.620 The fact that, yes, Jordan and Saudi were in in the fold, so to speak, Jordan saying it would it would defend its airspace.
00:34:57.980 But I think that is also self-interest.
00:35:02.860 Nobody there, those countries, they want a larger war in the Middle East.
00:35:07.320 But does Iran want more trouble?
00:35:10.060 I would say so.
00:35:11.440 And do the actors, the other two actors I mentioned, who are essentially behind the scenes and it's been found, the Washington Post reported Chinese weapons have been found in Gaza.
00:35:21.800 Do they want more trouble?
00:35:23.420 Yes, they do.
00:35:24.260 So I don't think we've seen the last of it.
00:35:25.880 And it's sort of like that tinderbox feeling, an excellent piece I read by a sub-stacker, Noah Smith, about how World War II, in the lead up to World War II, not to be alarmist, but there were many regional and smaller conflagrations before the big one between the big powers hit.
00:35:42.640 And we feel sort of that sort of same tension.
00:35:44.640 So, yeah, we have to diffuse it at all costs.
00:35:47.240 Trudeau's statement, it's interesting, Warren said that, you know, we've lost our place in the international stage.
00:35:51.580 When I was reading news reports about the aftermath of the strikes, none of them that I saw quoted Canada as standing up.
00:35:59.900 They quoted, obviously, the countries that were engaged in repelling the drone and the rocket attacks.
00:36:05.560 But they also quoted other leaders around the world who made statements.
00:36:09.160 Canada wasn't included.
00:36:10.460 So that was kind of sad.
00:36:11.400 I've seen that, actually, just to your point, I've seen that happen a couple of times recently, where someone like Australia, who's a very close partner to ours, will be named in something where Canada is involved, but we're just kind of put to the wayside.
00:36:21.860 So I guess kind of similar to what Warren's saying, just from your perspective, Tasha, do you think Canada is losing some kind of, I guess, standing in the international realm?
00:36:29.700 And if so, do you have any particular guesses as to why?
00:36:33.440 Well, yes, I think we have.
00:36:36.200 I mean, our prime minister, apart from having some disastrous foreign trips that, you know, go back years, think of India and others, has also shown himself really to not be adept at foreign relations.
00:36:48.040 Mentioning India again, his, you know, his calling out of Modi over the alleged murder of a Kalistani terrorist in British Columbia by the Indian government was done in such a clumsy way.
00:37:01.080 It, you know, it torpedoed the entire Indo-Pacific strategy that we had built up as a country to get closer to India as a bulwark against China.
00:37:09.500 So that was one, you know, more recent incident.
00:37:11.940 The handling of the two Michaels with China, we, I mean, now the Canadian government's essentially paying the Michaels because they allege that, you know, this should not have been, this should not have happened, it should not have dragged on the way it did.
00:37:25.020 That's an embarrassment.
00:37:25.940 And I think the foreign interference inquiry happening right now shows also how our country doesn't take foreign interference seriously.
00:37:33.120 So why should other countries take us seriously if we're not going to protect our borders and if we're not going to meet our NATO commitments?
00:37:38.680 We have shown a complete disregard for the interests of our country, which are the interests of our allies by association.
00:37:46.380 If we're not going to be able to defend ourselves, then how can they defend, you know, rely on us to defend them?
00:37:51.160 And the other interesting point on that, Warren, is similar to the point that you brought up, is I find, you know, in international polling, Trudeau still remains a pretty highly, I guess, popular international figure.
00:38:01.080 But it's almost like they don't care what he has to say.
00:38:03.200 So I kind of find that interesting.
00:38:05.020 Is he just the, I don't know, the consummate Canadian nice guy?
00:38:08.180 Is that what the international reputation is?
00:38:09.880 I don't think he's as popular as he used to be with the greatest respect.
00:38:15.660 He's not gracing the cover of Rolling Stone anymore.
00:38:19.340 And, you know, first ladies are not shooting covetous looks at him.
00:38:23.400 He's not.
00:38:24.560 Like, he's a diminished figure on the world stage.
00:38:29.060 And that would be fine if he was just a private citizen.
00:38:33.160 But, you know, this is us.
00:38:35.160 This is our country.
00:38:36.100 And going back to the Pearson days, you know, we were respected around the world for our peacekeeping ability, which, you know, the world certainly needs at the moment.
00:38:47.100 And, you know, every successive prime minister has presided over, you know, for a country that is not even really a middle power, militarily or diplomatically.
00:38:57.620 They've provided, presided over a country that was respected, at least, as a respected voice internationally.
00:39:05.820 You know, when I worked for Cretchen, he would get calls from, you know, from Clinton and from the leaders of Britain, Tony Blair and so on.
00:39:16.820 They would consult with him and ask for Canada's opinion.
00:39:20.020 Like, I don't even have to check.
00:39:22.660 That's not happening anymore.
00:39:24.940 And so that's a sad thing.
00:39:28.900 You know, I think Paliyev is going to win the election whenever it comes against, you know, whoever the liberal leader happens to be.
00:39:35.660 And I'm hopeful that he repairs that situation because we really need it repaired.
00:39:41.420 And we'll see if he gets any of those covetous looks during the next election campaign.
00:39:45.820 The issue, though, I find it interesting because you do have mentioned the election.
00:39:49.120 Obviously, the federal budget coming up is going to be a big part of that.
00:39:51.760 But the Trudeau liberals have seemingly tried to get out in front of their own federal budget over the course of the past couple of weeks.
00:39:57.440 We talked about this a little bit last week.
00:39:58.940 But, you know, surprisingly, even more money coming out this week for housing.
00:40:03.120 That has been the big kind of issue here.
00:40:05.860 So, you know, aside from the announcements, we can kind of parse those apart a little bit here.
00:40:09.860 But in terms of this announcement and this issue on affordability and housing, Tasha, do you think that the liberals have found their election issue here?
00:40:17.900 Do you think this is what they are going to ride or die on?
00:40:21.620 Well, no, I think what happened was Paliyev found the election issue, which was housing.
00:40:25.680 And the liberals were forced to respond.
00:40:27.060 I'm not sure how much water this will carry, considering the election will be at the most a year and a half from now.
00:40:34.840 And building houses takes time.
00:40:36.540 It won't be done overnight.
00:40:38.420 You know, who can dream of the biggest housing project since World War II?
00:40:41.240 But the reality is things will not get done that fast.
00:40:45.660 It'll get done as fast today for a number of reasons.
00:40:48.820 And partly also because you can't just put houses anywhere.
00:40:51.980 You have to have infrastructure for them.
00:40:53.960 Municipalities have to put that in.
00:40:55.600 There is red tape.
00:40:57.080 He's not going to be able to untangle.
00:40:58.740 And now we're hearing the government might raise taxes to pay for all this.
00:41:04.260 So, you know, good luck to them if that's their strategy, because then everyone's going to say, oh, you create a mess.
00:41:09.360 Then you spend money on the mess.
00:41:10.920 And then you tax me to fix the mess.
00:41:13.160 I don't think I'll vote for you.
00:41:16.160 It does fall attached to it, too, because the goal, 3.9 million homes by 2031.
00:41:20.560 One, you know, it's an ambitious plan.
00:41:22.200 But is that also – I say ambitious in the most diplomatic way.
00:41:26.020 Is that a realistic goal in any way, shape, or form, do you think?
00:41:29.080 No, I don't think so.
00:41:30.100 You're seeing already developers are, you know, pulling back because they can't deal with interest rates.
00:41:36.200 Interest rates will come down.
00:41:37.520 Some people say June.
00:41:38.760 Others, I've heard, the fall.
00:41:40.460 But until they do, houses will not be affordable to build.
00:41:45.720 That is part of the problem.
00:41:47.520 And you're also, you know, rental housing is not being built.
00:41:52.720 Why?
00:41:53.540 Because of tenants' rights laws.
00:41:55.700 I've heard this from a number of landlords.
00:41:57.720 I've heard this from real estate agents in the province that I've talked to who say that, you know what,
00:42:01.720 there are so-called professional tenants who kind of ruin things for the rest of the people by scamming landlords.
00:42:08.780 And there are alternatives, such as short-term rentals, that people are saying, well, you know what, it's less risk.
00:42:13.400 I'm going to do that instead.
00:42:14.900 And having those options means that rental housing is less attractive.
00:42:19.240 So I think the government has to look, government, and this is provincial mostly, have to look at how do you incentivize the building of these units
00:42:25.440 and make sure that landlords are protected from the kinds of issues that they're dealing with with tenants who are, you know,
00:42:32.040 essentially some of them taking them to the cleaners.
00:42:34.440 And, Warren, I was kind of thinking that the Trudeau government was almost getting out in front of this issue
00:42:39.080 and trying to change the message on some of the other issues like foreign interference in the carbon pricing with this housing announcement.
00:42:44.620 But to Tash's point, are they really just trying to keep up with the conservatives on this affordability messaging?
00:42:49.240 It was a joke.
00:42:50.820 You know, they have been dominating the housing issue, at least the headlines, for the past few days.
00:42:57.280 And then there's the prime minister in Vaughan on Friday saying, and let's just analyze this.
00:43:02.840 He said he's talking about 3.9 million homes, 4 million homes built by 2031.
00:43:09.580 I did the math, okay?
00:43:11.480 That means, guys, we need to have built every single day between then and now,
00:43:18.840 1,565 homes.
00:43:23.240 Like, they're a joke.
00:43:25.000 Wow.
00:43:25.820 Did anybody get a calculator out and figure out what he meant?
00:43:29.480 We're going to build 1,500 homes a day?
00:43:32.800 Like, they've ceased to be credible on so many economic files.
00:43:38.800 And on Friday, he blew himself to bits.
00:43:42.100 Like, it is absurd.
00:43:43.220 It is impossible what he is talking about.
00:43:46.900 And I think, you know, this is why the polls – well, actually, I'm sorry.
00:43:50.160 I was about to say the polls haven't changed.
00:43:52.500 They did change.
00:43:53.700 After, you know, he made all these pronouncements of the housing, Abacus registered that the Tories now lead by 20 points.
00:44:02.580 2-0.
00:44:03.300 So whatever they're doing, the Trudeau guys, on housing and pretty much any other economic file, is not working.
00:44:11.640 But, you know, they're going to build 1,565 houses a day.
00:44:16.000 Get ready.
00:44:17.020 As I was saying, you know, I can appreciate an ambitious, you know, goal, but this seems unrealistic in many senses.
00:44:23.280 But as I was saying, it does – you know, we've changed the headlines for a couple days with some of these announcements, the foreign interference inquiry and the carbon tax, no less.
00:44:30.480 I wanted to get into that a little bit here so we don't skip over it here.
00:44:33.600 But I was reading a column in The Star, the headline this week.
00:44:36.460 It says, it's no wonder a national security official felt compelled to leak information to the media.
00:44:41.540 So it just seems like from what we've learned so far that, you know, the prime minister was, you know, somewhat in the know here.
00:44:47.160 But that – I don't know, this is almost Trump-like as much as, you know, Trudeau supporters might not like to hear it, but he doesn't like to read his briefings.
00:44:54.020 He likes to get them orally.
00:44:55.600 It seems like politics perhaps was at play in getting some of these warnings out here.
00:44:59.420 Warren, I'll let you take this one for – to start.
00:45:01.860 Well, somebody's not telling the truth.
00:45:04.180 You know, Katie Telford is previously – his chief of staff has previously testified under oath that he reads everything, quote-unquote, with respect to national security.
00:45:14.220 Then Trudeau appears and testifies that, no, he doesn't read anything.
00:45:19.920 He prefers it getting read to him.
00:45:22.380 Well, which is it?
00:45:23.960 Both of those statements can't be true.
00:45:26.920 Someone's not telling the truth.
00:45:28.660 And then we have the other rock stars, you know, the C-team from PMO appearing and saying that, you know, they don't really take these serial briefings that they got from CSIS over a period of years seriously, presumably because they know more about national security than CSIS does.
00:45:47.700 The boys and girls in short pants and PMO saying, well, yeah, we didn't really take it seriously because we know national security.
00:45:54.260 Well, if that's the case, then just get rid of CSIS, you know, if you're smarter than them and you know more of what's going on, get rid of them.
00:46:01.780 Like, now I think I understand why they moved heaven and earth to prevent this inquiry from taking place, including, you know, appointing Trudeau's ski buddy, David Johnson, to, you know, do whatever he did.
00:46:13.580 They knew how bad it was going to look.
00:46:16.780 And already, just in the very earliest phase of this inquiry, they look terrible.
00:46:22.540 And as I say, it looks like somebody is lying.
00:46:25.980 And Tasha, I guess further to, I guess what we've seen so far as well, we do have some sense of oversight, some sense of oversight.
00:46:33.680 But is it time that we, you know, bring back the CSIS inspector general or is it clear that we need some kind of another independent set of eyes dealing with this and that there should be no politics involved in some of these decisions?
00:46:45.640 Well, the problem is politics is involved in decisions.
00:46:49.060 Politics is involved in the sense that that is one of the key areas that China is interfering in.
00:46:54.560 And this is where, you know, I took from the inquiry three things.
00:46:59.380 One, like Warren said, Trudeau tossed people around him under the bus.
00:47:03.120 He's done that before.
00:47:05.220 Second, that he knew as early as 2019 about Liberal MP Handong's nomination and the busing of Chinese students.
00:47:14.140 And he had the gall to say that was the same thing as busing Greek and Italian students or people to my nomination in Papineau in 2007.
00:47:22.020 Well, I don't think you can equate China to Greece and Italy.
00:47:25.300 They're not exactly hostile powers to Canada.
00:47:27.540 They're our allies.
00:47:28.780 And China, as we know well, is not.
00:47:32.000 Third, he said he didn't think China had an interest in a particular party winning the 2021 election.
00:47:37.820 And that's the big one because, no, it's not about necessarily who won this election.
00:47:43.320 It's about putting people in place for the long game.
00:47:45.960 People who down the road could maybe be cabinet ministers or, you know, in either party, not just the Liberals.
00:47:52.480 This is what the Chinese do.
00:47:54.160 And guess what, folks?
00:47:55.120 If we end up in a war, like everyone is saying potentially the world will be in a few years or even less,
00:48:02.600 if these people are sitting at the cabinet table, what does that do to Canada?
00:48:06.180 How do we defend our interests?
00:48:07.640 You can't have politicians who are beholden to another country for either donations, support, anything.
00:48:14.800 That endangers your security in the worst way today, but it would be far worse if we were in conflict.
00:48:19.620 So I think they didn't want any of this to come out because people would start noticing that they're putting our country at risk in very fundamental ways.
00:48:28.000 Just switching gears to a couple of other stories that I did want to get to this week, specifically the issue with the carbon price.
00:48:34.960 Now, as I was mentioning, I think the Liberals have kind of shrugged this a little bit with some of their housing announcements in terms of getting a little pressure off their back on this.
00:48:43.160 But the NDP is what I'm kind of confused about.
00:48:45.040 So they kind of came out earlier this week saying they might be opposed to a consumer carbon price.
00:48:49.560 And then they had to backtrack.
00:48:50.740 It seemed like, I don't know if Jagmeet Singh was getting polling from inside the party or just members were very upset, but they had to pull that back.
00:48:56.840 So just wondering from a strategy point of view, maybe Tash, I'll start with you.
00:48:59.820 Do you have any sense of what the NDP was trying to do here?
00:49:02.860 Did it miss an opportunity?
00:49:04.120 I'm just trying to still figure out what's going on.
00:49:07.000 I think the NDP is caught between a rock and a hard place on this because a lot of its constituency, working class people, are in the sights of the conservatives.
00:49:16.060 And those are the same people who are paying those high heating bills and are saying, wait a second, I don't like paying a carbon tax.
00:49:23.300 So the NDP is saying, how do we make sure those voters don't run away?
00:49:27.820 I don't think they really thought this through, though, because, of course, then they upset the progressives on the other side in the party who are hellbent on fighting climate change at all costs.
00:49:38.020 So they really – this is the issue for the NDP.
00:49:41.100 It's a bigger existential issue.
00:49:42.600 How do you balance those two sides of their base?
00:49:45.420 And I don't think they did a very good job this week.
00:49:48.580 And I guess, Warren, it's seemingly like they are trying to differentiate themselves from the liberals, but perhaps they picked the wrong issue.
00:49:54.220 It was a strange kind of move from the NDP this week.
00:49:57.360 Yeah, it was, I guess, another indication for me that just the whole notion of taxing carbon is dead.
00:50:07.420 And it wasn't just the NDP.
00:50:09.960 Actually, a bigger story to me was Jane Goodall coming out.
00:50:13.420 She objected to what Trudeau's doing.
00:50:16.260 Like, if you don't have Jane Goodall on this one, like, you're done like dinner.
00:50:19.980 Like, it's over.
00:50:20.920 Forget it.
00:50:21.720 It's done.
00:50:22.240 That's it.
00:50:22.740 He's got every premier against him.
00:50:24.340 He's got public opinion against him.
00:50:27.220 You know, now he's got all the opposition parties against him pretty much.
00:50:30.520 Well, I don't know if the block is, but who cares?
00:50:32.860 Like, it's just – it's over.
00:50:35.080 It's done.
00:50:35.680 And, you know, I presume that's why he's not investing much time in defending the principle,
00:50:42.760 and he's talking more about housing, because he knows it's over.
00:50:45.880 The carbon tax is dead.
00:50:47.500 And we've talked about that in terms of, you know, could it be the, you know, final stride that broke the camel's back
00:50:53.760 when he started to put some different concessions on that.
00:50:58.920 I just wanted to get to one last story here quickly, guys.
00:51:01.720 Pierre Paulyev obviously leading in the polls pretty comfortably right now.
00:51:04.400 But also, Labour leaders are meeting this week in Ottawa, talk about a whole number of things, the Canadian Labour Congress.
00:51:10.540 But they're calling out Pierre Paulyev.
00:51:12.140 They're not saying his name specifically this time, but they're saying that they're – you know, don't trust –
00:51:16.380 they're telling their members, essentially, don't trust people that say they're working for the working class unless they actually show you, in a sense.
00:51:22.600 So, I'm wondering, I don't think Pierre Paulyev has a lot of support in this space, but Warren, heading into election,
00:51:28.260 does he even need this kind of section of the electorate, or is he kind of politically safe enough to kind of ignore something like this?
00:51:35.740 He does.
00:51:36.620 And I thought the Starr story was really unfair and inaccurate.
00:51:41.660 You know, full disclosure, I've represented the Labourers International Union of North America for years.
00:51:46.720 And I've done all kinds of stuff for them.
00:51:50.600 I know them very well.
00:51:52.420 Pierre Paulyev was meeting with their leadership on Friday, and it was kind of a love-in.
00:51:58.700 He was very well-received.
00:52:01.480 So, yes, he is engaged in a fight with the NDP for the support of trade unions.
00:52:07.420 But just based upon the evidence on Friday, like, he's doing exceptionally well.
00:52:12.820 Like, QP and public sector unions, to draw a distinction, are not ever going to support a Conservative option.
00:52:19.800 I don't care who the leader is.
00:52:21.240 Like, they're just not going to do it.
00:52:23.300 But what the private sector unions are doing is quite interesting.
00:52:27.600 You know, about a dozen of them supported Doug Ford in the last provincial election campaign because there had been, you know, Labour ministers like Puccini and McNaughton, who they really felt comfortable with.
00:52:41.100 I think Paulyev is trying to do the same thing.
00:52:43.940 And based upon the evidence on Friday, it's working.
00:52:46.840 And, yeah, specifically mentioning, yeah, it's a good point of distinction there is public sector unions.
00:52:51.280 Tasha, is that something that Pierre Paulyev needs to worry himself with right now?
00:52:54.920 Or does he need to, or can he, you know, ignore this right now and perhaps, as Warren's mentioning, focus on trades unions and other unions?
00:53:02.960 Well, he'll do what Doug Ford was, which was exactly that.
00:53:05.880 Doug Ford in Ontario had the support of Leuna in the last election, private sector trades union.
00:53:12.140 And that's where the bread and butter for the Conservatives will be federally.
00:53:16.260 They would love a fight, I think, with public sector unions in some way because, again, it's about the growth of government, bloated government, right, under Trudeau's watch.
00:53:24.380 But the average person, you know, they're paying through their taxes for this.
00:53:28.040 Joe Lunchbucket with his hammer and the welder and, you know, Pierre Paulyev always talks about these folks.
00:53:33.760 And they're looking for a champion, as they are around the world.
00:53:37.020 This is not unique to Canada's populist movement.
00:53:39.480 This is happening everywhere.
00:53:41.440 To Tasha's point, if I can jump in really quickly, you know, there were studies published this week showing the fastest growing, growing labor sector in Canada is the public service under Trudeau.
00:53:53.700 We've got 100,000 more jobs and, you know, which is great for people in Ottawa, maybe not so much for the taxpayer.
00:54:01.580 So, you know, it makes sense to me that, you know, CUPE is not going to be aligned with Paulyev, but they were never going to be aligned with Paulyev.
00:54:08.700 Yeah, you can hear the Paulyev political ads now.
00:54:13.340 But we'll wait until next week to hear more about what the budget brings this week as well, see if that changes anybody's calculus.
00:54:20.560 But Tasha Carradine and Warren Kinsella, thanks so much for your time this morning.
00:54:23.280 I really appreciate it.
00:54:24.600 Thanks, guys.
00:54:25.240 Thank you. Bye.
00:54:26.480 Warren Kinsella is a strategist and post-media columnist.
00:54:28.760 Tasha Carradine is a political columnist for the National Post and writer for GZERO Media and an author that is their thoughts, your thoughts.
00:54:34.740 Welcome at 580-580.
00:54:36.020 Tweet us at CFRA Ottawa.
00:54:37.600 I should say normally we do have Carl Belanger.
00:54:39.480 He is off this week.
00:54:40.320 He is out of the country.
00:54:42.020 So, yes, take your shots.
00:54:44.280 I was supposed to be our plant stand-in for the NDP.
00:54:47.520 Let me know how I did.
00:54:48.200 I was supposed to be our plant stand-in for the NDP.
00:55:18.200 I was supposed to be our plant stand-in for the NDP.
00:55:48.200 Go away, go away from the NDP.
00:55:52.120 Girl, you want to walk and you can't stand out
00:56:10.320 Girl, you want to run and you can't sit down
00:56:13.880 Girl, you must think that some parts get him down
00:56:17.520 Girl, you must think that some parts get him down
00:56:21.040 It might be work for me
00:56:24.040 It might be work for me
00:56:27.560 So, girl, you come show down your burden and me
00:56:31.700 Girl, you come put your distress to me
00:56:35.140 Girl, me never born with gold spoon in my mouth
00:56:38.760 No, me never born come see legacy
00:56:42.080 No, I have to work for my honest friend
00:56:45.860 So, no, come take it in a convenient
00:56:49.000 Hail, you come now
00:56:52.000 Hail, you come now
00:56:53.340 Hail, you come now
00:56:54.920 Hail, you come now
00:56:55.820 Hail, you come now
00:56:58.800 Hail, you come now
00:56:59.740 Hail, you come now
00:57:00.900 Hail, you come now
00:57:02.000 Hail, you come now
00:57:02.400 Hail, you come now
00:57:03.660 Hail, you come now
00:57:05.000 Hail, you come now
00:57:06.000 Is irinaIL N的時候
00:57:06.560 Hail, you can't stand out
00:57:07.760 Elisade, you come now
00:57:08.560 Ilisade, you come now
00:57:09.760 Sign is no changeiest
00:57:11.000 Neget know, n Orthodoxy, you can't do it
00:57:12.320 Milita know, you can't do it
00:57:13.460 May Senior netTO scale
00:57:14.000 Or lilyn 97X
00:57:14.860 A低 note number
00:57:15.340 As only power is on the through
00:57:16.480 I saw the cow, I saw the calf, squllo
00:57:20.180 I saw the mother, saw the child, squllo
00:57:23.940 Me said the chief never fly, far from the black
00:57:28.280 The chief never fly, far from the black
00:57:31.760 I saw the cow, I saw the calf, squllo
00:57:34.280 I saw the mother, saw the child, squllo
00:57:37.800 amentos, yeah
00:57:38.540 The Messiah was what the Lord had in sight
00:57:40.940 Meนham ภรรものона
00:57:43.360 With the Holy Ghost
00:57:45.340 Project
00:57:54.280 Project
00:57:56.280 Project
00:58:02.460 Project
00:58:09.140 Project
00:58:09.400 Project
00:58:10.500 Project
00:58:12.120 Project
00:58:12.520 Project
00:58:13.620 Project
00:58:14.380 Project
00:58:14.580 Project
00:58:14.620 I won't raise, kiddo
00:58:16.900 Play no nonothing with the night about college
00:58:20.500 I'll take you how to mother, how to child, how to
00:58:24.100 Ice ice makes in my capates
00:58:28.540 I don't feel at all
00:58:31.120 Blind lets' dust make a heart
00:58:34.060 I don't give a smoke
00:58:36.360 That is no presents in my pajamas
00:58:38.460 Your knees can't last
00:58:41.620 Oh, me never was in the corner of the world
00:58:44.880 I saw the cow, I saw the cow, I saw the
00:58:48.620 I saw the mother, I saw the child, I saw the love
00:58:52.120 Me say the chips never fly, far from the black
00:58:56.340 The chips never fly, far from the black
00:58:59.940 Every day you sit on the corner and sit down and help
00:59:03.140 That chef make a self-help out, say
00:59:05.740 Yeah, you got to go there and hustle
00:59:08.120 Cause just a place is what you got to have
00:59:10.740 Yeah, you can't think of me alone now and say
00:59:14.080 Love it like this, go, go
00:59:16.580 You tune in your rock, say the music, go
00:59:20.020 And tell you this and I tell you, listen to me
00:59:23.580 Say, girl, you really rock and me talk me like that
00:59:28.000 Say, girl, you really chat and then you really say
00:59:30.920 Your act and then me run the wheel as you take a start
00:59:34.120 Love you like this, play really
00:59:37.260 Me say you can't wash, girl, you can't cook
00:59:44.940 Yeah, you say you hungry, no, please do a revoke
00:59:48.640 And you walk one like you a crook
00:59:50.880 You run the sack but let worries in your heart
00:59:53.780 Yeah
00:59:54.600 Yeah, you say she love it in the night, go, go
00:59:58.940 I sing and say she like it in the night, go, go, go
01:00:02.280 And that day time she gone in the night, go, go
01:00:05.780 My friend them a mokin' seventy all a night tall
01:00:08.440 But right now me have to fall up like a fall
01:00:10.940 Yeah
01:00:11.940 And we're back with war room veteran and post-media columnist Warren Kinsella at an airport somewhere in the southern hemisphere
01:00:40.560 This is the Kingston Jamaica airport and I'm over in a corner so I don't disturb any of the nice people waiting for their plane
01:00:49.840 So my partner and I are waiting for an Air Canada plane, Charles, so we should be here for several days
01:00:57.420 By the time people see and hear this, hopefully you'll be back on terra firma in Canada
01:01:06.700 Which in my opinion is not broken, but we can talk about that some other time
01:01:11.360 One of the pieces of breaking commentary this week everybody was talking about was your piece
01:01:18.080 And this had to do with your prediction that Justin Trudeau would leave
01:01:23.500 Now you've made that prediction before
01:01:24.840 It was a different kind of prediction, it was a little more textured this time
01:01:28.480 And it also warned conservatives not to be thrilled with the idea of Justin Trudeau leaving before the next election
01:01:36.680 What's your take Warren?
01:01:38.540 What I did, I mean my gut has always served me better in politics, Charles, than polling
01:01:45.640 You know, polls, they're a snapshot and then they're gone
01:01:48.540 My gut had been telling me for a long time, for sure, the conservatives are way ahead
01:01:53.980 Abacus yesterday for the first time said that they're ahead by 20 points
01:01:58.140 That's a lot
01:01:59.260 Daryl Bricker said yesterday they may be, it's about 15% is what he figures the difference is
01:02:06.360 That's a lot
01:02:07.320 But I just did not detect a huge amount of enthusiasm for Pierre Polly
01:02:13.400 It seemed to me to be an anti-Trudeau thing
01:02:16.920 So I did something completely unscientific
01:02:19.260 No weighted sample, no random sampling, none of that stuff
01:02:24.500 I just put it up on X
01:02:26.700 And I gave, I said to the conservatives who follow me
01:02:30.440 I said, okay boys and girls, you have an option
01:02:33.560 Is your vote anti-Trudeau, number one
01:02:37.480 Is it pro-Pierre, number two
01:02:40.660 Is it number three, kind of both, but more anti-Justin
01:02:47.180 Or number four, is it both, but more pro-Pierre
01:02:51.860 So anti-Justin, pro-Pierre
01:02:54.820 Both, but more anti-Justin, both pro-Pierre
01:03:00.900 Well guess what I found, and it's like 4,000 votes so far
01:03:05.020 And again, it's not scientific
01:03:06.540 It was just for a bit of fun to confirm my gut
01:03:09.180 And my gut was confirmed
01:03:10.600 Overwhelmingly, Charles
01:03:12.700 The conservative vote is an anti-Trudeau vote
01:03:16.280 Overwhelmingly
01:03:18.020 Like if they're asked if they are voting conservative
01:03:22.860 Because of Pierre Paulyet
01:03:23.980 The answer is for the vast majority of them
01:03:26.760 No, they're not
01:03:28.320 Now, in fairness to the guy
01:03:30.660 When you're an opposition leader
01:03:32.380 You know, you're just not as well known
01:03:34.520 As the Prime Minister
01:03:35.660 The Prime Minister, you know, is on TV all the time
01:03:39.600 And in the papers
01:03:40.320 So people feel they know him or her
01:03:42.700 But in this case
01:03:43.960 There's a real lack of enthusiasm
01:03:46.640 Even among conservatives
01:03:48.560 For Pierre Paulyet
01:03:49.940 And that's a big problem for him
01:03:52.060 If something happens
01:03:53.240 Which is if Justin Trudeau leaves
01:03:55.720 So Pierre Paulyet has had a lot of exposure
01:03:58.400 On social media, certainly
01:04:00.180 And isn't it fair to say
01:04:02.560 I'm just trying to bend over backwards
01:04:04.080 To be fair
01:04:04.540 Nobody thinks that I'm a fan of Pierre Paulyet
01:04:06.820 But isn't it fair to say
01:04:08.080 That what we're looking at here is
01:04:10.600 While many people who have had exposure
01:04:13.260 Of Pierre Paulyet
01:04:14.120 Aren't impressed with him
01:04:15.980 But they feel change
01:04:17.680 Is much more important
01:04:19.080 And they'd rather vote for change
01:04:21.020 Than for Pierre Paulyet
01:04:22.420 Yeah, no, I think you're absolutely right
01:04:25.320 I mean, as you and I have talked about
01:04:27.220 Many times over the years
01:04:28.600 Not just about this Prime Minister
01:04:30.120 But previous ones
01:04:31.320 You know, in this business
01:04:33.040 In the politics business
01:04:34.420 You get about eight years
01:04:36.080 That's it
01:04:36.980 And you're tapped out
01:04:38.080 And, you know, it's nothing personal
01:04:40.700 It's just the people
01:04:41.420 Kind of get sick of your face
01:04:42.760 That's why the Americans
01:04:43.700 I think have, you know
01:04:45.000 That two-term limit for presidents
01:04:47.160 It actually probably has spared
01:04:49.560 The political life of a lot of presidents
01:04:51.440 After about eight years
01:04:53.040 You're done like dinner
01:04:54.520 You know, the last guy
01:04:56.100 Who was able to pull it into three terms
01:04:58.640 Was my guy, Jean Chrétien
01:05:00.480 Before that, Mackenzie King
01:05:02.500 Before that, Wilford Laurier
01:05:04.060 It's really hard to do
01:05:06.120 So, you know, I don't think Trudeau
01:05:08.920 Or his supporters should feel badly
01:05:11.040 That he's unpopular
01:05:13.000 You know, he's been there for eight years
01:05:15.980 But what's fascinating is
01:05:18.120 They're not rushing to the Tory option
01:05:20.940 Because of who their leader is
01:05:22.600 They're rushing to the Tory option
01:05:24.500 Because they would like to see Justin go
01:05:26.800 Did it help your guy, Jean Chrétien
01:05:29.420 That the Conservatives were broken up
01:05:31.820 Into several pieces
01:05:32.860 When he got that third majority
01:05:34.860 It didn't hurt
01:05:37.880 But, you know
01:05:38.880 The point I always make to people
01:05:40.620 Is, well, you know
01:05:41.300 Those of us on the progressive side
01:05:43.060 Our vote was broken up too
01:05:44.720 With an established
01:05:45.940 Very respectable party
01:05:47.600 In the form of the NDP
01:05:48.740 We always had to compete with them
01:05:51.180 For votes on the center and the left
01:05:53.600 So, you know
01:05:55.540 Everybody has this challenge
01:05:57.260 But yeah, you know
01:05:58.880 When the Conservative Party
01:06:00.480 Blew to bits in 93
01:06:01.760 You know, with some of it going off
01:06:04.020 To be Lucien Bouchard's
01:06:05.660 Bloc Québécois
01:06:06.780 And some of it going off
01:06:08.300 To be Preston Manning's
01:06:09.640 Reform Party
01:06:10.900 Yeah, we benefited from that
01:06:12.680 But we still had to contend
01:06:13.940 With the Green Party
01:06:14.780 And the NDP
01:06:15.560 All right
01:06:16.920 I don't want to argue too much
01:06:18.480 About history
01:06:19.260 Everyone has different circumstances
01:06:20.720 My guess is
01:06:21.960 My guess is
01:06:21.980 If the Conservative Party
01:06:23.520 Was split into two
01:06:24.520 Right now
01:06:25.200 Let's say it was
01:06:25.740 The Progressive Conservatives
01:06:26.820 And the Alliance
01:06:28.120 Like the days before
01:06:29.380 Harper and McKay
01:06:30.740 Cut the cake
01:06:31.400 My guess is
01:06:32.400 The polls would still say
01:06:33.520 That Trudeau is behind
01:06:34.660 But I doubt that he'd be behind
01:06:36.160 By 15 or 20 points
01:06:37.380 Yeah, no
01:06:37.940 You're absolutely right
01:06:39.360 I mean, look what happened
01:06:40.120 In Alberta
01:06:40.620 Danielle Smith is a disaster
01:06:42.760 In my opinion
01:06:43.580 She's the worst Premier
01:06:45.100 In Alberta's history
01:06:46.580 But she won a majority
01:06:48.220 Because, you know
01:06:49.740 The two warring factions
01:06:52.100 Of the Conservative movement
01:06:53.660 In Alberta came together
01:06:54.860 Same thing in British Columbia
01:06:56.640 You know, you got the Conservatives
01:06:58.720 And the United folks
01:07:00.860 Warring it out
01:07:02.060 For that side
01:07:03.220 Of the vote proposition
01:07:05.380 And the NDP's way ahead
01:07:07.100 As a result
01:07:07.600 So yes, for sure
01:07:08.720 It is a factor
01:07:10.040 But I would say
01:07:11.900 You know, here
01:07:13.460 There is a holdback
01:07:15.000 About Pierre Polyev
01:07:16.260 And, you know
01:07:18.060 I don't know
01:07:18.460 If it's the angry stuff
01:07:19.900 I don't know
01:07:20.480 If it's because
01:07:20.900 They don't know him yet
01:07:21.980 But there's a holdback
01:07:23.160 Well, I can
01:07:24.440 You know, I mean
01:07:25.140 For what it's worth
01:07:26.260 I'll give you my gut
01:07:27.260 I mean, he's just
01:07:28.200 Not a very
01:07:28.760 Likeable character
01:07:30.360 He just does
01:07:31.020 A whole lot of things
01:07:31.840 That aren't very
01:07:32.500 Prime ministerial
01:07:33.540 I mean, recently
01:07:34.060 He just
01:07:34.480 For instance
01:07:35.900 You know
01:07:36.700 You had an NDP guy
01:07:38.100 Retiring after 20 years
01:07:39.400 Charlie Angus
01:07:40.080 I mean, I get that
01:07:41.100 He's been a thorn
01:07:41.740 In the Tory side forever
01:07:42.920 But instead of
01:07:43.760 Pierre Polyev
01:07:44.360 Just wishing him
01:07:45.020 Good luck
01:07:45.460 Or saying nothing
01:07:46.560 At all
01:07:47.000 You know
01:07:47.660 Came out with
01:07:48.220 The talking points
01:07:49.460 About how
01:07:49.960 Charlie Angus
01:07:51.060 Who is a hunter
01:07:51.820 He wants to take
01:07:52.780 Rifles away from hunters
01:07:54.020 In northern Ontario
01:07:56.460 And there's something
01:07:57.080 Anyway
01:07:57.380 It was just one of these
01:07:58.140 Talking point things
01:07:59.680 That a nine-year-old
01:08:00.700 Could write
01:08:01.120 And for some reason
01:08:02.280 Polyev decided to do that
01:08:03.720 It's just one of many things
01:08:04.940 That he does
01:08:05.380 That just doesn't appear
01:08:06.600 To be prime ministerial
01:08:07.580 When he's munching the apple
01:08:09.400 Talking to a no-name
01:08:11.880 Lightweight journalist
01:08:13.440 Somewhere in a Kelowna orchard
01:08:14.920 And the Conservatives
01:08:16.060 Absolutely ate that up
01:08:17.380 Ate up the apple
01:08:18.280 Ate up the act
01:08:19.080 But for a lot of people
01:08:20.220 That too is not
01:08:21.100 Not prime ministerial
01:08:22.400 Nothing your guy
01:08:24.100 Nothing your guy
01:08:25.400 Jean-Claude Jean would have done
01:08:26.360 No
01:08:27.380 And Shannon Proudfoot
01:08:28.740 Who's to me
01:08:29.700 Is one of the best
01:08:30.520 Political columnists
01:08:31.480 In the country
01:08:32.080 Wrote about
01:08:32.900 What you just described
01:08:34.260 In the Globe and Mail
01:08:35.420 I encourage everybody
01:08:36.380 To go take a look at it
01:08:37.320 You know
01:08:37.860 I was pretty mad
01:08:38.660 And Angus has got
01:08:39.540 A punk rock past
01:08:40.440 Like me
01:08:40.960 So I've always liked
01:08:42.380 That about him
01:08:43.040 I haven't liked
01:08:45.580 His position
01:08:46.320 On Israel lately
01:08:47.540 But you know
01:08:49.000 He's leaving
01:08:49.600 Like he's gone
01:08:50.500 So you know
01:08:51.740 What's wrong
01:08:52.300 With saying something nice
01:08:53.480 That is the tradition
01:08:54.720 In politics
01:08:55.640 You duke it out
01:08:56.980 But when the game's over
01:08:58.300 Everybody takes
01:08:59.040 Their jerseys off
01:09:00.040 And they all have
01:09:00.560 A beer together
01:09:01.260 That's what I grew up with
01:09:02.900 In you know
01:09:03.960 In Kretzian's knee
01:09:05.020 And like
01:09:05.940 Polly Ev does have
01:09:07.280 This different
01:09:08.060 Angry approach
01:09:09.340 You see it with Trump
01:09:10.660 You see it with the MAGA people
01:09:12.020 Where they're just
01:09:13.000 Pissed off all the time
01:09:14.380 And like for sure
01:09:15.700 It's working right now
01:09:17.520 Because a lot of people
01:09:18.640 Are pissed off right now
01:09:19.760 For all kinds of
01:09:20.420 Different reasons
01:09:21.160 But when they stop
01:09:22.440 Being pissed off
01:09:24.020 Because you can't
01:09:24.680 Sustain anger
01:09:25.700 As a political commodity
01:09:27.280 For a long period of time
01:09:28.480 I just
01:09:29.140 I guarantee it
01:09:30.300 It is not something
01:09:31.300 You can turn into
01:09:32.180 A lifestyle
01:09:32.980 And
01:09:34.020 These guys
01:09:35.680 Sooner or later
01:09:36.900 They're going to
01:09:37.340 Find voters going
01:09:38.420 Saying
01:09:40.740 Well Pierre
01:09:41.660 Can't you say
01:09:42.180 Something positive
01:09:42.860 Can't you come up
01:09:44.180 With an idea
01:09:44.740 Of your own
01:09:45.300 Why are you against
01:09:46.500 Everything all the time
01:09:47.280 You and I
01:09:47.740 Have heard that said
01:09:48.720 About past
01:09:49.860 Angry opposition leaders
01:09:51.480 And I can see it
01:09:52.840 Coming for this guy
01:09:53.840 And it
01:09:54.420 And it'll be
01:09:55.180 Particularly a problem
01:09:56.060 Getting back to
01:09:56.660 What we were talking
01:09:57.220 About a minute ago
01:09:58.080 If Justin leaves
01:09:59.720 Like it's a whole
01:10:00.660 New ball game
01:10:01.400 I went through
01:10:01.940 The history of it
01:10:02.900 You know
01:10:03.620 With Turner
01:10:04.440 When Turner
01:10:05.140 Became liberal leader
01:10:06.320 He was way ahead
01:10:07.420 Of Mulroney for months
01:10:08.520 When
01:10:09.280 Chrétien became
01:10:10.800 Liberal leader
01:10:11.420 He was way ahead
01:10:12.780 Of Mulroney for months
01:10:14.900 Like
01:10:15.220 Harper etc
01:10:17.100 Whenever you get
01:10:18.020 A new leader
01:10:18.820 They get a honeymoon
01:10:19.960 In some cases
01:10:20.920 Studies have shown
01:10:21.960 The honeymoons
01:10:22.880 Can last
01:10:23.540 Years
01:10:24.460 Well in Gretchen's case
01:10:25.540 It lasted
01:10:25.960 For 10 years
01:10:27.220 But like
01:10:28.200 It can last
01:10:29.100 For a year
01:10:29.640 It can last
01:10:30.160 For 6 months
01:10:30.980 So this is
01:10:31.900 The great danger
01:10:32.780 I've said
01:10:33.320 To my conservative
01:10:34.060 Friends
01:10:34.560 Like you guys
01:10:35.600 Are putting
01:10:35.900 All your eggs
01:10:36.780 In the Justin Trudeau
01:10:37.780 Basket
01:10:38.260 What if he plays
01:10:39.400 Rope-a-dope
01:10:39.980 With you
01:10:40.460 And he disappears
01:10:41.680 Sometime in the next
01:10:42.520 Few months
01:10:43.120 Like you're gonna
01:10:43.880 Have to go back
01:10:44.380 To the drawing board
01:10:45.220 Warren Kinsella
01:10:46.740 Expectations are
01:10:47.620 Everything in politics
01:10:48.540 The first debate
01:10:49.760 And I'm making
01:10:51.040 The assumption
01:10:51.500 That Justin Trudeau
01:10:52.180 Is staying
01:10:52.460 So just humor me
01:10:53.580 For a while
01:10:54.300 I mean he is
01:10:54.860 He is there right now
01:10:56.020 He says he's staying
01:10:56.780 So I'm just gonna go
01:10:57.880 With the idea
01:10:58.400 That he's staying
01:10:58.940 To introduce this proposition
01:11:00.840 And that is
01:11:01.520 Expectations
01:11:02.620 If expectations
01:11:03.760 Are high
01:11:04.500 Before the campaign
01:11:05.920 Begins
01:11:06.380 That Pierre Paulyeb
01:11:07.900 Will not only win
01:11:08.700 But he'll win a landslide
01:11:09.880 What happens
01:11:11.000 In that all
01:11:11.720 Important first debate
01:11:13.100 That happens to be
01:11:13.940 In French
01:11:14.380 Despite the fact
01:11:15.500 That it's in French
01:11:16.180 It does get coverage
01:11:17.560 And people
01:11:18.420 Do make judgments
01:11:19.660 Columnists
01:11:20.260 Pundits
01:11:20.660 Others make
01:11:21.200 Judgments on how
01:11:22.260 Paulyeb
01:11:22.800 Did against Justin Trudeau
01:11:24.460 And that can alter
01:11:25.120 Expectations
01:11:25.860 Do you think
01:11:26.760 There's a lick
01:11:27.780 Of a chance
01:11:28.500 That Pierre Paulyeb
01:11:30.400 In French
01:11:31.060 And I realize
01:11:32.180 He speaks French
01:11:32.880 But do you think
01:11:33.560 There's any chance
01:11:34.460 At all
01:11:34.860 That Pierre Paulyeb
01:11:36.200 Will best
01:11:37.060 Justin Trudeau
01:11:38.720 On the debate stage
01:11:39.880 In Quebec
01:11:40.440 No
01:11:41.340 And if Champagne
01:11:44.080 If Frankie Bubbles
01:11:45.160 Who's my favorite
01:11:46.380 Liberal candidate
01:11:47.360 With the leadership
01:11:48.480 He'll kick
01:11:49.440 Paulyeb's ass too
01:11:50.780 Right
01:11:51.100 Because you know
01:11:51.840 French
01:11:52.620 And fairness
01:11:53.140 To the guy
01:11:53.620 Is not his first language
01:11:55.060 And it's a problem
01:11:56.180 For Paulyeb
01:11:56.900 Because right now
01:11:57.740 The one province
01:11:58.720 Where he's behind
01:11:59.900 If you look at
01:12:00.760 All these pollsters
01:12:01.620 Is in the province
01:12:02.720 Of Quebec
01:12:03.180 Liberal party
01:12:03.960 Is still competitive
01:12:04.920 In the province
01:12:05.640 Of Quebec
01:12:06.040 And is going to
01:12:07.080 Maintain a presence
01:12:07.980 There after the next election
01:12:09.380 So yeah
01:12:10.840 But it's not just
01:12:13.060 A language thing
01:12:13.900 Quebecers
01:12:14.940 You and I
01:12:15.840 Have both lived in Quebec
01:12:16.800 I was born in Quebec
01:12:17.860 Quebecers have pretty good
01:12:19.300 Political antenna
01:12:20.160 And you know
01:12:22.660 They tend to favor
01:12:24.420 Those who are on
01:12:25.680 The progressive side
01:12:26.440 Of the spectrum
01:12:26.940 And I know
01:12:27.660 Conservatives
01:12:28.220 This woman are saying
01:12:29.160 But they voted
01:12:30.300 Overwhelmingly
01:12:31.180 For Moroni
01:12:31.860 And it's like
01:12:32.320 Well yeah
01:12:32.620 Moroni was a
01:12:33.480 Progressive conservative
01:12:34.540 Like he could have
01:12:35.580 Run as a Liberal
01:12:36.340 Easily
01:12:37.480 So you know
01:12:39.680 The style
01:12:41.220 Of Paulyeb's politics
01:12:43.320 As well as
01:12:44.300 The ideology
01:12:45.020 Of his politics
01:12:46.100 Is a problem
01:12:47.020 For him
01:12:47.380 In the province
01:12:47.720 Quebec
01:12:47.940 And you know
01:12:48.980 The Liberals
01:12:49.460 Are still going to win
01:12:50.300 Lots of seats
01:12:51.040 In Metro Toronto
01:12:52.480 As well
01:12:53.060 So you know
01:12:54.500 This thing
01:12:54.980 Ain't over
01:12:56.020 Until it's over
01:12:56.780 So what happens
01:12:57.780 To the expectations game
01:12:58.960 When Trudeau
01:12:59.480 Kicks Paulyeb's ass
01:13:01.160 In French
01:13:01.900 And it's not just
01:13:02.540 About the French
01:13:03.280 There will be
01:13:04.020 Several points
01:13:04.700 That Trudeau
01:13:05.160 Will make
01:13:05.600 That will make
01:13:06.500 The sloganeering
01:13:07.420 Paulyeb
01:13:08.520 Look a little bit
01:13:09.280 On the petite
01:13:10.260 On the small side
01:13:11.740 Don't you think
01:13:12.500 That affects
01:13:12.980 Expectations
01:13:13.700 In the course
01:13:14.140 Of the campaign
01:13:14.620 And affects
01:13:15.400 Campaign dynamics
01:13:16.580 Well for sure
01:13:17.940 And you know
01:13:18.540 Guys like you
01:13:19.360 And me
01:13:19.620 What do we do
01:13:20.260 We come down
01:13:21.220 From the hills
01:13:21.780 And we shoot
01:13:22.340 The wounded
01:13:22.840 And that's exactly
01:13:26.980 What we're going to do
01:13:27.960 As soon as
01:13:29.140 He stumbles
01:13:30.200 In a debate
01:13:31.120 Because they've
01:13:32.100 Raised expectations
01:13:33.100 So freaking high
01:13:34.500 For this guy
01:13:35.320 Right
01:13:35.980 It's like the sun
01:13:37.060 Shines out of his ass
01:13:38.280 For most of them
01:13:39.200 And it's like
01:13:40.340 Guys
01:13:41.100 Like he's not
01:13:42.240 He's not Jesus
01:13:43.220 Like he's
01:13:43.860 He's just a man
01:13:44.900 And like
01:13:45.780 When he stumbles
01:13:46.500 As we all do
01:13:47.720 And he
01:13:48.680 You know
01:13:49.080 Stumbles in a debate
01:13:50.120 You know
01:13:50.740 Guys like you
01:13:51.420 And me
01:13:51.660 Are going to be on him
01:13:52.340 Like a pack of dogs
01:13:53.620 So yeah
01:13:54.680 It's going to be
01:13:55.620 But that's what
01:13:56.940 Makes it so much fun
01:13:57.920 That's why it's so much fun
01:13:58.960 Writing about politics
01:13:59.920 And talking about it
01:14:01.020 But you know
01:14:01.900 Just when they talk
01:14:03.140 These days about how
01:14:04.240 He's got a majority
01:14:05.180 It's a shoe in
01:14:06.300 You know
01:14:07.120 Sometimes I say
01:14:07.840 I'm either too old
01:14:08.620 Or I'm just too experienced
01:14:09.460 I've seen this
01:14:10.220 I've seen this game before
01:14:11.440 And peaking early
01:14:12.400 Peaking early
01:14:13.300 Is bad news
01:14:13.880 Go ahead
01:14:14.320 One word
01:14:15.480 Juggernaut
01:14:16.680 Yes
01:14:17.180 Remember Susan Delacorte's book
01:14:19.360 Juggernaut
01:14:20.540 How Paul Martin
01:14:21.700 Was going to win
01:14:22.560 Almost exactly
01:14:23.460 The same number of seats
01:14:24.680 225 seats
01:14:26.600 Well guess what
01:14:27.880 He didn't
01:14:28.660 Sorry Susan
01:14:29.520 You're wrong
01:14:30.660 And you'll be wrong forever
01:14:32.560 It's really
01:14:33.780 You know
01:14:34.520 As my colleague
01:14:35.480 Brian Lilly
01:14:36.140 Says all the time
01:14:37.560 You know Brian well
01:14:38.560 He says
01:14:39.580 He just refuses
01:14:41.380 To accept
01:14:42.080 That it's going to be like this
01:14:43.120 He said
01:14:43.420 Voters are fickle
01:14:44.540 Campaigns matter
01:14:46.040 Voters change their minds
01:14:47.920 And so we're
01:14:49.700 That is almost certainly
01:14:52.040 What's going to happen
01:14:52.960 And I still believe
01:14:54.680 That Justin
01:14:55.280 Is not a dummy
01:14:56.500 He's seen the polls
01:14:57.860 Like the rest of us
01:14:58.700 And he's like
01:14:59.200 It's time for me
01:15:00.380 Move on
01:15:01.040 I've had my eight years
01:15:02.200 As prime minister
01:15:03.360 Ten years as liberal leader
01:15:04.620 It's time for me
01:15:06.600 To go and do some other stuff
01:15:07.660 But one of the reasons
01:15:08.640 I've got a problem
01:15:09.520 With this whole
01:15:10.160 Polyev gets an
01:15:11.920 Overwhelming majority
01:15:12.800 I have literally
01:15:14.820 Walked
01:15:16.000 Or driven
01:15:16.740 Every single
01:15:18.160 Kilometer
01:15:19.140 In 905
01:15:20.700 Area code
01:15:22.180 In the suburbs
01:15:22.720 Of Toronto
01:15:23.620 I know those folks
01:15:25.320 Like the back of my hand
01:15:26.260 The idea that
01:15:27.300 All of them
01:15:27.940 Will go from red
01:15:29.640 To blue
01:15:30.140 In one election cycle
01:15:31.760 And that the blue
01:15:32.480 Will be
01:15:32.800 Pierre Polyev
01:15:33.780 I'm sorry
01:15:34.680 I'd have to lose
01:15:36.580 Everything that I know
01:15:37.660 About life
01:15:38.240 The human condition
01:15:39.420 And my friends
01:15:40.440 And neighbors
01:15:40.940 In that part of the world
01:15:41.880 To think that'll happen
01:15:42.980 Yeah
01:15:43.940 No
01:15:44.320 It
01:15:44.600 The
01:15:45.740 You know
01:15:46.480 The category
01:15:47.080 He needs
01:15:48.140 Is the most powerful
01:15:49.420 Force
01:15:50.020 In modern politics
01:15:51.740 Which is
01:15:52.680 The suburban moms
01:15:53.840 Right
01:15:54.320 Suburban women
01:15:55.300 And they have eluded
01:15:57.200 The conservative party's
01:15:58.460 Grasp since
01:15:59.700 Well
01:16:00.700 Since Mulroney
01:16:01.540 Really
01:16:02.040 Harper
01:16:03.240 You know
01:16:04.100 Benefited from
01:16:05.160 The split
01:16:05.880 On the left
01:16:06.560 By the NDP
01:16:07.300 Doing very well
01:16:08.420 But
01:16:09.300 You know
01:16:09.780 You're absolutely right
01:16:10.840 Right now
01:16:11.680 The polls say that
01:16:12.980 Polyev is doing
01:16:14.140 Better with women
01:16:15.160 Than he previously did
01:16:17.480 But previously
01:16:18.320 Like he was in big trouble
01:16:19.780 With suburban women
01:16:21.020 So that's
01:16:21.800 That's what I'm watching for
01:16:23.020 To see what they do
01:16:23.940 Well
01:16:24.920 As you know
01:16:25.640 Social programs
01:16:27.400 Matter
01:16:27.840 And
01:16:28.860 When
01:16:29.520 Trudeau
01:16:30.440 And anybody else
01:16:31.420 In liberal party messaging
01:16:32.940 Really
01:16:33.980 Puts in front of
01:16:35.060 The suburban women
01:16:36.000 The idea
01:16:36.560 That
01:16:37.360 Polyev would slash
01:16:39.200 You know
01:16:40.320 Child care
01:16:40.800 Dental care
01:16:41.380 All of the other
01:16:42.300 Social programs
01:16:43.220 And of course
01:16:44.080 He's not going to say
01:16:44.780 That he will
01:16:45.300 He's not going to say
01:16:46.060 That he won't
01:16:46.620 But in a debate
01:16:47.740 Body language
01:16:48.600 I think I want you
01:16:49.620 To talk about this
01:16:50.440 A little bit
01:16:50.840 Because debates do matter
01:16:52.220 In a situation like this
01:16:53.520 Body language matters
01:16:55.020 Much more than
01:16:55.860 Rhetorical language
01:16:56.840 What will the body language
01:16:58.680 Be on Pierre
01:16:59.480 Polyev
01:17:00.340 When Pierre Trudeau's
01:17:01.900 Son
01:17:02.120 Justin
01:17:02.700 Puts it to the public
01:17:04.500 And puts it to
01:17:05.420 Polyev's face
01:17:06.400 That we know
01:17:07.660 Everyone knows
01:17:08.800 That you will slash
01:17:10.060 Daycare
01:17:10.680 You will slash
01:17:11.720 Those social programs
01:17:12.780 What will
01:17:13.480 Polyev's body language
01:17:14.800 Say
01:17:15.100 Well the body language
01:17:17.380 Is super important
01:17:18.200 In debates
01:17:18.720 I've gotten
01:17:19.180 Prime ministers
01:17:19.900 And premiers
01:17:20.720 Ready for debates
01:17:21.840 That they've done
01:17:22.540 Well in
01:17:23.160 Like the thing
01:17:24.300 I learned
01:17:24.800 This is not a
01:17:25.840 Political thing
01:17:26.300 It's a journalism
01:17:26.900 Thing
01:17:27.420 I learned from
01:17:28.120 The great
01:17:28.460 George Freycor
01:17:29.560 At Carlton University
01:17:30.740 TV is pictures
01:17:32.720 That's what he'd say
01:17:33.400 To us over and over again
01:17:34.400 TV is pictures
01:17:35.840 TV is pictures
01:17:36.900 It's an emotional medium
01:17:38.780 It's not a rational medium
01:17:40.480 And you know
01:17:42.120 How you look
01:17:43.060 You know
01:17:43.560 Gordon Campbell
01:17:44.240 In DC
01:17:44.720 Once said to me
01:17:45.760 You know
01:17:46.880 I said he'd done well
01:17:48.020 In the debate
01:17:48.580 He said
01:17:49.000 No I didn't
01:17:50.040 And I said
01:17:50.500 Well why not
01:17:51.240 And he said
01:17:51.920 Warren
01:17:52.240 It's 70%
01:17:53.460 How you look
01:17:54.100 It's 20%
01:17:55.180 How you sound
01:17:55.900 And it's 10%
01:17:57.180 What you say
01:17:57.940 And of course
01:17:58.940 He's right
01:17:59.500 You know
01:18:00.140 Is
01:18:00.680 If you're too hot
01:18:02.200 For TV
01:18:02.920 You're too hot
01:18:03.900 For the medium
01:18:04.500 As the great
01:18:05.400 Canadian
01:18:05.800 Marshall McLuhan
01:18:06.700 Said
01:18:07.120 You turn people off
01:18:08.600 And that is a challenge
01:18:10.100 That Polyev has got
01:18:11.320 Is unlike Justin
01:18:12.620 You know
01:18:12.920 Justin's a drama teacher
01:18:14.240 Big deal
01:18:14.980 So is Zelensky
01:18:16.220 Zelensky's the most
01:18:17.080 Popular politician
01:18:18.000 In the world
01:18:18.560 Because he knows
01:18:19.360 How to work a camera
01:18:20.380 Justin knows
01:18:21.620 How to work a camera
01:18:22.620 As well
01:18:23.080 He's quite good at it
01:18:24.200 And Polyev
01:18:25.580 I'll give him some credit
01:18:26.720 He's trying
01:18:27.600 He's smiling more
01:18:28.820 He's ditched the glasses
01:18:30.380 You know
01:18:30.940 He's trying to look
01:18:31.600 More like the everyman
01:18:32.800 But the TV
01:18:34.040 You know
01:18:34.460 The TV camera
01:18:35.660 Like I'm looking at you
01:18:36.940 And you're looking at me
01:18:37.760 It's the truth teller
01:18:39.180 People feel
01:18:40.340 They have an ability
01:18:41.260 To look
01:18:41.920 At the images
01:18:42.940 That are on their screen
01:18:44.100 And see if that person
01:18:45.760 Is telling the truth
01:18:46.860 Right
01:18:47.380 That's the political reality
01:18:49.140 Of leaders' debates
01:18:50.320 And
01:18:51.240 You know
01:18:52.520 The optics of Pierre
01:18:53.880 Are better than they used to be
01:18:56.100 But his optics
01:18:57.040 Are not as good as Trudeau's
01:18:58.400 So when Justin Trudeau says
01:19:00.100 Mr. Polyev
01:19:00.900 You keep talking about
01:19:01.620 Axing the tax
01:19:02.560 But you don't care about the tax
01:19:04.140 You care about
01:19:05.080 Childcare
01:19:06.020 You want to axe
01:19:07.200 Childcare
01:19:07.840 Don't you
01:19:08.460 Now
01:19:09.100 Pierre Polyev
01:19:10.420 When he hears that
01:19:11.360 Will either look angry
01:19:13.080 Because that's his default position
01:19:14.800 Or he'll look cold
01:19:16.440 Which is his other position
01:19:17.640 Angry and cold
01:19:18.780 Which one of those positions
01:19:20.240 Appeals to suburban moms
01:19:21.360 On that question
01:19:22.400 No
01:19:23.400 You gotta look
01:19:24.020 You know
01:19:24.500 This is why liberals
01:19:25.340 And progressives
01:19:26.340 And democrats
01:19:26.920 Are better on social programs
01:19:29.320 Conservatives are better
01:19:30.920 On economics
01:19:31.920 For sure
01:19:32.520 And taxes
01:19:33.180 And law and order
01:19:34.080 But you know
01:19:35.600 The one thing I've learned
01:19:36.500 In getting people ready
01:19:37.400 For debates
01:19:38.100 Is I would
01:19:39.120 You know
01:19:39.760 I'd have answers
01:19:40.580 For my guys
01:19:41.540 On taxes
01:19:42.340 And law and order
01:19:43.340 And so on
01:19:44.000 But they're never
01:19:45.220 Going to be as convincing
01:19:46.540 As the conservative is
01:19:47.980 By the same token
01:19:49.280 A conservative
01:19:50.420 Who spends all his time
01:19:51.540 Talking about social programs
01:19:53.420 Is just not going to be
01:19:54.800 As convincing as us
01:19:55.880 Because people don't believe
01:19:57.100 They want to preserve
01:19:58.580 Social programs
01:19:59.360 Like you remember
01:20:00.240 Stockwell Day
01:20:01.260 In 2000
01:20:03.160 I put together
01:20:05.220 A commercial
01:20:05.840 Of the Calgary General Hospital
01:20:08.700 Being blown up
01:20:09.700 When he was treasurer
01:20:11.080 In the province of Alberta
01:20:12.100 And it was dramatic TV
01:20:14.700 It's a dramatic commercial
01:20:16.300 Why did I do that?
01:20:17.980 Well firstly
01:20:18.620 My dad used to work there
01:20:20.000 That was where
01:20:20.500 His laboratory was
01:20:21.720 So it was kind of personal
01:20:23.180 But you know
01:20:24.800 It showed that
01:20:26.820 Under these guys
01:20:27.840 They're going to blow up
01:20:28.880 You know
01:20:29.500 Healthcare
01:20:29.940 Like quite literally
01:20:31.200 And we ran that
01:20:33.380 Day took the bait
01:20:34.520 He stood up in the debate
01:20:35.820 Held up a sign
01:20:36.760 Saying no two-tier
01:20:38.240 Healthcare
01:20:38.720 Remember when he did that?
01:20:40.060 Yeah
01:20:40.200 And he could not
01:20:41.820 Be convincing
01:20:42.920 Because it's our issue
01:20:44.560 Charles
01:20:45.400 I'm sorry
01:20:46.200 They're boarding my plane
01:20:47.760 I just got noticed
01:20:49.260 That's alright
01:20:49.940 Get your
01:20:51.080 Get your
01:20:51.620 Carcass
01:20:54.180 Back to Canada
01:20:55.120 My friend
01:20:55.500 Thank you so much
01:20:56.180 We travel the land
01:21:16.180 We travel the sea
01:21:18.060 We travel the hair
01:21:19.860 But since we've been
01:21:20.780 On the streets here
01:21:21.620 We've been
01:21:22.300 An free
01:21:22.360 On the streets here
01:21:23.040 And the Jared
01:21:23.700 We'reади
01:21:24.100 Evil
01:21:24.780 Des Canvas
01:21:25.320 Been
01:21:25.560 One
01:21:26.240 Tonight
01:21:26.500 Bside
01:21:26.820 Back to Canada
01:21:28.320 Foreldrum of the sand
01:21:28.620 We shine away now, gone one way now
01:21:35.620 Unseen bullet, from the tree there's someone pulling
01:21:42.620 No one saw it coming, though it was aim for a target
01:21:49.620 With the river that was warning, though it was lead for a hit
01:21:56.620 It was a split decision, between the trigger and the gunman
01:22:04.620 Soon after, there was a loud音, the crowd scattered, someone fell
01:22:12.620 Later that day, the news was then it was an unseen bullet
01:22:18.620 Unseen bullet, discharged from the table of a gun
01:22:24.620 Unseen bullet, a daily brother on the ground
01:22:30.620 Unseen bullet, from the tree there's someone pulling
01:22:38.620 Unseen bullet, a daily sister down
01:22:46.620 It is so frivolous, among the nature of mankind
01:22:54.620 To see and know that these things do take place
01:22:58.620 What a waste with this staircase
01:23:01.620 Don't sit down and think, say they care for you
01:23:05.620 What's already in their mind to do the things they do
01:23:09.620 And although they do, we should still rise on through
01:23:13.620 Although I know they've talked it through
01:23:15.620 Determination I say, perseverance we know
01:23:20.620 We take us one day to the place we once knew
01:23:24.620 There's no place down there for the truth back to flow
01:23:27.620 So the end of it is old
01:23:30.620 Unseen bullet, from the tree there's someone pulling
01:23:36.620 Unseen bullet, standing on the tree there's someone pulling
01:23:38.620 Unseen bullet, standing on the tree there's someone pulling
01:23:42.620 Quoi for the two and one
01:23:44.620 Unseen bullet, from the tree there it takes
01:23:48.620 Let us see and learn
01:23:49.620 Unseen bullet, at the tree there's someone pulling
01:23:50.620 Unseen bullet,ekseling design
01:23:53.120 Determination I say first is better at me low
01:24:04.760 Determination I say first is better at me low
01:24:04.960 Determination I say first is better at me low
01:24:06.780 Determination I say first is better at me low
01:24:08.780 There's no place down there for the true life to flow
01:24:12.560 So the end of it is low
01:24:15.180 And sing you late
01:24:17.740 From the triggers of one bullet
01:24:21.000 And sing you late
01:24:25.600 The little brother on the ground, whoa
01:24:29.060 So much innocent lives have been blown away
01:24:34.640 Cause for a bullet that will save it the stream
01:24:38.620 They go by, these thoughts are so high
01:24:42.320 Why is it so, it's the evil they know
01:24:46.060 Yeah
01:24:47.640 And sing you late
01:24:51.240 From the triggers of one bullet
01:24:54.880 And sing you late
01:24:58.920 You start from the table of a gun
01:25:02.180 And sing you late
01:25:06.240 From the triggers of one bullet
01:25:09.380 And sing you late
01:25:12.980 And sing you late
01:25:13.980 You start from the table of a gun
01:25:16.620 And sing you late
01:25:22.420 And sing you late
01:25:24.040 To sing you late
01:25:25.740 And sing you late
01:25:26.120 And sing you late
01:25:27.220 And sing you late
01:25:28.040 And sing you late
01:25:28.660 I'm not Y encompass my child
01:25:29.600 Oh
01:25:31.160 And sing you late
01:25:33.700 And sing you late
01:25:35.240 I'm not No
01:25:37.220 I find the time
01:25:39.300 You
01:25:39.800 Let your laughter