kinsellacast - June 30, 2024


KINSELLACAST 317: A bad week for Joe and Justin, with Adler, Lilley, Kheiriddin, Brady, Belanger - plus Wilderado, Graduating Life, Hot Water Music, Michael Cera Palin, Joey Cape & Tony Sly


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour and 33 minutes

Words per Minute

158.77939

Word Count

14,897

Sentence Count

27


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 it's the Kinsella cast starring Warren Kinsella
00:00:08.460 hey it's Warren welcome to the Kinsella cast I'm up in the woods up at the cabin with dogs
00:00:19.020 he's on the way with Sinead the cat and we spent a couple days up here writing and doing other
00:00:28.500 things taking it easy and it rained like hell last night and said like this place has got a metal
00:00:36.780 roof so it's like sleeping under a snare drum it was pretty loud but I can't complain not true
00:00:45.000 of Justin Trudeau and Joe Biden however they can complain about their lot and so I've got them on
00:00:50.340 the little graphic for this week's podcast both of them had big big losses this week
00:00:57.240 and with all kinds of ramifications for both men and so the week concluded with both men being
00:01:05.640 urged to depart by members of their own party for different reasons so we'll talk about that
00:01:11.880 with Brian Lilly and Charles Adler Charles is back very happy about that Tasha Carradine Carl Belanger
00:01:20.340 today Greg Brady and I talking before the by-election and I wanted to play that for you
00:01:26.880 you can see Warren gets things wrong Warren often gets things wrong so you know humiliate me come at
00:01:35.040 me and some great music um Will Dorado it's great great song called Bad Luck just love this tune
00:01:44.160 then a bit more punky with graduation life uh graduating life not graduation life a band that
00:01:52.840 was unknown to me and was stinky man hot water music who I've seen a million times it's got Canadian
00:01:58.400 content there's a proud boy from Whitby in the hot water music trusty chords from an EP that I've got
00:02:07.060 probably the first thing I bought about hot water music 20 years ago I think band with a great name
00:02:15.600 Michael Sarah Palin
00:02:17.360 and uh covering a song I'm not going to tell you the song I want you to figure out who um it's the cover
00:02:26.620 of but it it's really well done and um and then uh two guys uh Joey Cape is the front man
00:02:37.040 of this band called Lag Wagon I'm not wild about and Tony Sly was um the front man of another band
00:02:47.160 called no you uh no use for a name he's gone now I mean the two of them did this song and this can
00:02:53.380 show you we punk rockers were capable of getting in an acoustic guitar as well as the next guy
00:02:58.580 or gal and um so their song violins so good show I think I think you're gonna like um maybe it'll make
00:03:08.560 you happy but again Justin and Joe not happy and you know full disclosure you guys know I supported
00:03:15.420 Obama worked for Hillary different states worked at our headquarters worked the phones for Joe during
00:03:23.440 the pandemic so I'm kind of I've always been a Democrat definitely not involved in a Canadian
00:03:29.460 political parties anymore I don't think I I should be and be a newspaper columnist
00:03:34.920 um so I'm a Democrat and um you know I I like Joe Biden I have great affection for him
00:03:44.680 I wanted to get rid of Donald Trump the whole world did and Joe was the reason for that but also
00:03:50.900 because he is a good and decent man and he you know he reminded me a lot of Jean Chrétien
00:03:58.600 Chrétien older than his opponents mangled grammar and syntax underestimated all the time
00:04:08.500 well Chrétien did okay and Biden reminded me of that you know and you know both guys won when
00:04:16.160 everybody said they wouldn't so um like Joe Biden anyway Thursday night
00:04:22.520 like the rest of the world I was said I wasn't expecting Biden to do a home run
00:04:30.160 um you know it's hard to get a word in edgewise when you're surrounded by
00:04:35.640 what you're you've got beside you're debating in quotation marks this maniac on meth this monkey
00:04:43.680 with a machine gun um but it was terrible and I was depressed and no I was shocked then I was
00:04:52.520 depressed now I'm angry I'll tell you why in a minute like it was the worst fucking political
00:04:57.140 debate in the history of political debates Trump looked insane and was insane but Biden looked like
00:05:03.960 something was really wrong and you know so you know people are saying oh well you know Trump has
00:05:10.260 been in decline too but and my point is yeah but so what right everybody knows he's a maniac that's
00:05:17.420 why a lot of people vote for him because they're maniacs too they want somebody who's going to break
00:05:21.840 government and like he he was himself but Joe was not himself and you know I suspect like a lot of
00:05:32.680 people I started googling afterwards because I couldn't sleep what I saw this shadow of a man
00:05:41.940 shadow of his former self pale halting stiff not finishing sentences losing his train of thought
00:05:52.840 um just a couple times he even had his mouth hanging open I was yelling at the tv close your mouth close
00:06:00.900 your mouth look down use the pad of paper use the pen that they gave you and you know somebody said to
00:06:07.160 me it was it was like Parkinson's and it and it kind of looks like that but who knows anyway um
00:06:14.840 Trudeau I think was happy with it and I talk about that on CFRE and with Brian and Adler because
00:06:22.800 I really do think now a lot of people in Canada hoped and believed that Biden was going to win I don't
00:06:29.280 think Biden can win now it was that bad and that helps Trudeau because you don't a lot you don't a lot
00:06:36.620 of people don't want Pierre Polyev as prime minister if Donald Trump's in the White House
00:06:42.740 wasn't just a disaster for us citizens however like NATO it's gone if Trump comes back
00:06:52.440 um Ukraine it's gone Baltic states gone Taiwan gone European Union retreats into itself
00:07:02.340 and it's becoming crazy there I mean the Tories are going to lose in Britain this week but Macron is
00:07:08.560 going to lose I think a lot of space to the national front anyway so it worries lots of people
00:07:15.720 Trump coming back you know and this notion that Gavin Newsom or whoever can step in and take over
00:07:23.280 you can't like you know in the 25th amendment the presidency goes to Kamala Harris that's just the way
00:07:30.320 it works and she's even less popular than Joe at the moment so the only way they can pull this off
00:07:36.360 in the next five weeks or so is a contested convention and I don't know if they can do that
00:07:40.140 because they seem to be in denial and I'm mad at those people White House staff Democratic
00:07:45.480 establishment some of Biden's family they clearly lied to us about Joe Biden's fitness for another term
00:07:52.300 they lied like the FDR deception nothing compared to this but anyway on this Canada Day weekend
00:08:02.400 thank God I'm a Canadian thank God you're a Canadian and thank God we live here
00:08:10.100 happiness seems to happen less when you go where the seasons best winter snows and summer sets
00:08:30.420 sad love boy I don't be shy I had a roll in the lonely night of alcohol and cigarettes
00:08:40.420 but if it goes well you find another find a hotel you try another try you can sell they run in the corners of their own hair
00:08:58.420 there I'll be waiting to pass
00:09:04.420 father son and the Holy Ghost who's the one that we need the most as easy come easy go
00:09:22.420 Come, easy go
00:09:24.240 I'll get older and then I'll die
00:09:29.400 I should know when to say goodbye
00:09:31.760 And shake the hand, meet the eye
00:09:35.280 But if it goes well
00:09:39.320 You find a line and find a hotel
00:09:43.800 You try another, try and care
00:09:49.100 Sailing around in the corners of your own
00:09:54.360 Have you had a way in your mind?
00:10:19.100 But if it goes well
00:10:23.140 You find a line and find a hotel
00:10:27.440 You try another, try and care
00:10:32.840 Later on in the corners of your own
00:10:38.040 Have you had a way in your mind?
00:10:43.240 Anything goes well
00:10:48.500 I'm a way in your mind
00:10:54.340 Anything goes well
00:10:58.500 I'm a way in your mind
00:11:05.240 Anything goes well
00:11:09.240 Have you had a way in your mind?
00:11:15.500 I'm a way in your mind
00:11:16.500 I'm a way in your mind
00:11:17.500 I'm a way in your mind
00:11:18.500 I'm a way in your mind
00:11:20.500 Have you had a way in your mind?
00:11:25.500 And we're back
00:11:28.560 And I'm so happy
00:11:29.940 I'm overjoyed
00:11:31.580 I'm delighted
00:11:32.380 Fill in the blank
00:11:33.940 To be back with my great friend
00:11:36.100 My old friend
00:11:36.940 Charles Adler
00:11:38.460 And Charles
00:11:39.860 So just so happy you're here
00:11:42.980 But also wanted to suggest
00:11:45.180 Kind of a different approach
00:11:47.740 To our segment here
00:11:49.560 And like you are a professional
00:11:51.880 You're one of the best there is
00:11:53.520 At asking questions
00:11:54.540 I'm so-so at asking questions
00:11:57.040 So I thought
00:11:57.840 Just for this
00:11:59.660 And in the future
00:12:01.040 We just do two old friends
00:12:03.040 Having a conversation
00:12:04.040 What do you think?
00:12:05.520 Great name for a podcast
00:12:06.460 Two old friends
00:12:07.680 Having a conversation
00:12:09.260 And I too am ebullient
00:12:10.780 And enthusiastic
00:12:11.940 And ecstatic
00:12:12.700 About our
00:12:14.120 How often
00:12:15.840 Has this marriage
00:12:17.440 That's been dissolved
00:12:18.440 From time to time
00:12:18.940 How often have we reunited?
00:12:20.760 Is this the
00:12:21.320 Six or seven times?
00:12:23.400 Yeah
00:12:23.600 And we
00:12:25.300 I think
00:12:26.540 You know
00:12:26.840 I've been on your show
00:12:27.820 In Winnipeg
00:12:29.060 In Vancouver
00:12:29.840 And everywhere
00:12:31.840 It's got to be
00:12:33.780 Close to 25 years
00:12:35.240 That we've been talking
00:12:36.220 25 years
00:12:37.220 Maybe longer
00:12:37.720 We were also doing
00:12:38.440 The SiriusXM
00:12:39.440 Thing for a little while
00:12:41.480 That's right
00:12:41.980 That's right
00:12:42.580 I forgot about that
00:12:43.140 And also
00:12:43.640 Sun News Network
00:12:45.940 RIP
00:12:46.680 And so we've been
00:12:48.800 Doing it in lots
00:12:49.380 Of different places
00:12:50.160 So delighted
00:12:51.380 You're here
00:12:52.160 We've played
00:12:52.720 More gold diamonds
00:12:54.520 Than the blue jays
00:12:55.360 But we're gonna
00:12:56.100 I think
00:12:56.960 I think we ought to
00:12:57.680 I think we ought to
00:12:58.580 Jump right into
00:12:59.240 The biggest controversy
00:13:00.320 In the world right now
00:13:01.900 And that is
00:13:02.940 Whether or not
00:13:03.760 Joe Biden
00:13:04.600 Will do what
00:13:05.720 The New York Times
00:13:06.540 Editorial
00:13:08.160 And others are
00:13:09.040 Telling him to do
00:13:09.720 And I've got my hand up
00:13:11.500 Because I wrote my column
00:13:12.660 I guess
00:13:13.020 Everybody should read
00:13:15.020 Your column
00:13:15.460 Everybody should read
00:13:16.380 Charles' column
00:13:17.040 In the Winnipeg Free Press
00:13:18.240 And if you have to
00:13:19.060 Pay for it
00:13:19.580 Pay for it
00:13:20.060 It's worth it
00:13:20.640 Well the thing is
00:13:22.100 That the only reason
00:13:23.880 Joe Biden
00:13:24.540 Became the president
00:13:26.300 Was not because
00:13:27.300 Joe Biden was
00:13:28.020 Incredibly popular
00:13:28.960 And the greatest orator
00:13:30.680 Since Winston Churchill
00:13:31.720 And all that stuff
00:13:32.780 He was perceived
00:13:34.080 As the one who was
00:13:35.200 Best able
00:13:36.160 To get
00:13:37.580 Donald Trump
00:13:38.520 As far away
00:13:39.460 From the White House
00:13:40.120 As possible
00:13:40.780 And it's time
00:13:42.120 For Joe
00:13:42.740 To leave
00:13:44.220 For exactly
00:13:45.240 The same reason
00:13:46.080 I mean
00:13:46.380 Nobody
00:13:47.100 No pollster
00:13:48.220 No hustler
00:13:49.660 No whistler
00:13:50.260 No juggler
00:13:50.980 No carny
00:13:51.980 Thinks
00:13:52.500 That Joe Biden
00:13:53.800 Is better equipped
00:13:54.540 Than several
00:13:55.420 Other Democrats
00:13:56.460 To make sure
00:13:57.640 That Donald Trump
00:13:59.800 Goes to prison
00:14:01.100 As opposed to
00:14:02.040 The Oval Office
00:14:02.700 Yeah
00:14:03.340 No I'm with you man
00:14:04.380 Like on
00:14:04.900 I mean as you know
00:14:06.140 We've talked about it
00:14:07.280 Many times over the years
00:14:08.220 I worked for the guy
00:14:09.180 As a volunteer
00:14:09.900 And
00:14:11.280 Like on Thursday
00:14:12.740 I was shocked
00:14:13.660 Friday
00:14:14.840 I was sad
00:14:16.020 And here
00:14:17.760 On Saturday
00:14:18.680 When we're recording this
00:14:19.760 I'm angry
00:14:20.360 And I'm angry
00:14:21.220 Not at him
00:14:23.580 I'm angry
00:14:24.820 At his family
00:14:25.620 And his
00:14:26.640 Closest friends
00:14:27.580 And senior
00:14:28.480 Democratic Party
00:14:29.300 Staff
00:14:29.800 Who I believe
00:14:30.880 Now
00:14:31.360 Concealed this
00:14:32.920 From us
00:14:33.620 His decline
00:14:34.280 Because there has been
00:14:35.160 As you have written
00:14:36.160 So eloquently
00:14:36.900 In the free press
00:14:37.900 There has been
00:14:38.460 A decline
00:14:39.040 And they hid it
00:14:40.560 From us
00:14:41.080 And it's mean
00:14:42.460 To him
00:14:42.860 It's cruel
00:14:43.300 To him
00:14:43.720 And it's bad
00:14:44.500 For democracy
00:14:45.300 There are
00:14:47.300 There are
00:14:47.760 Three people
00:14:48.440 Who I believe
00:14:49.960 Could intervene
00:14:50.800 Outside of his wife
00:14:51.780 Because I do believe
00:14:52.900 If Jill Biden
00:14:53.560 Said
00:14:54.020 Honey it's over
00:14:55.100 I think it'd be over
00:14:55.900 But outside of that
00:14:57.240 Three people
00:14:58.720 Who aren't
00:14:59.060 Family
00:14:59.600 Who I think
00:15:01.200 Could make him
00:15:01.980 Make the decision
00:15:03.000 Immediately
00:15:03.940 One is Barack Obama
00:15:05.920 The other is
00:15:07.340 Michelle Obama
00:15:08.160 And the third
00:15:09.560 Is Hillary Clinton
00:15:10.440 I believe
00:15:11.380 If Hillary
00:15:11.860 Michelle
00:15:12.420 And Barack
00:15:13.140 Say Joe
00:15:14.220 Thanks for
00:15:15.880 Everything man
00:15:17.060 Thanks for everything
00:15:18.580 And thank you
00:15:19.760 In advance
00:15:20.360 For doing the right thing
00:15:21.780 And allowing
00:15:22.700 Someone else
00:15:23.680 To finish the job
00:15:24.800 Totally agree
00:15:26.020 Totally agree
00:15:26.920 Like Jill Biden
00:15:27.900 I don't think
00:15:28.480 Jill Biden
00:15:29.140 Is a
00:15:30.020 Physician
00:15:31.480 I don't think
00:15:31.860 She's a medical doctor
00:15:33.100 Per se
00:15:33.640 Yeah
00:15:34.720 But she's like
00:15:35.500 You know
00:15:36.420 She loves him
00:15:37.040 Well I love him
00:15:38.240 And it's just like
00:15:39.420 Honey it's time
00:15:40.160 To go home
00:15:40.660 You know
00:15:41.220 And it's
00:15:42.420 It's good
00:15:43.300 It's best for you
00:15:44.700 And it's good
00:15:45.520 For the country
00:15:46.120 Because we can't
00:15:46.740 Let this son of a bitch
00:15:47.780 Win
00:15:48.020 But like
00:15:48.760 So let's talk about
00:15:49.640 How you engineer this
00:15:50.560 You've lived in the states
00:15:51.540 I've lived in the states
00:15:52.340 I've had a lot
00:15:53.660 Of upset readers
00:15:54.620 And I know you have
00:15:55.840 Who said
00:15:56.620 You know
00:15:56.820 He just quits
00:15:58.560 You know
00:15:59.080 And we'll put in
00:15:59.920 Somebody else
00:16:00.440 Gavin Newsom
00:16:01.180 But the 25th amendment
00:16:02.800 To the U.S. Constitution
00:16:04.360 Doesn't allow for that
00:16:05.100 Immediately becomes
00:16:05.980 The vice president
00:16:08.060 Vice president
00:16:08.600 Becomes president
00:16:09.320 So the only way
00:16:11.040 To really
00:16:11.580 And you know
00:16:12.620 She's unfortunately
00:16:13.640 Kamala is less
00:16:15.220 Popular than him
00:16:16.160 The only way to do this
00:16:17.660 We've got about
00:16:18.180 Five weeks
00:16:18.980 To engineer
00:16:19.740 A contested convention
00:16:21.860 Apparently
00:16:22.520 What do you think
00:16:23.620 What do you think
00:16:23.640 About that
00:16:24.040 Like how would
00:16:24.560 That work
00:16:25.020 It'd be exciting
00:16:25.680 TV
00:16:26.120 In Chicago
00:16:27.240 Would it work
00:16:28.360 I think so
00:16:30.180 For one reason
00:16:31.640 Here it is
00:16:32.880 They're called
00:16:33.560 The Democratic Party
00:16:34.660 What could possibly
00:16:36.280 Be more democratic
00:16:37.200 Than allowing
00:16:37.880 Any
00:16:38.820 Democrat
00:16:39.880 To enter
00:16:41.180 The contest
00:16:42.060 And actually
00:16:42.860 The Democrats
00:16:43.420 Are really lucky
00:16:45.060 Right now
00:16:45.480 Unlike the Republicans
00:16:46.680 Who basically
00:16:47.960 Have been
00:16:48.520 You know
00:16:49.380 Goofball anonymous
00:16:50.420 For the last number
00:16:51.280 Of years
00:16:51.660 Scaring away anyone
00:16:53.000 With an IQ
00:16:54.040 The Democrats
00:16:55.060 Have a lot of
00:16:56.120 Solid people
00:16:56.780 They've got
00:16:57.960 You mentioned
00:16:58.540 Newsom in California
00:16:59.520 They've got
00:16:59.860 Whitmer in Michigan
00:17:00.640 They've got
00:17:01.600 Shapiro in Pennsylvania
00:17:02.860 They've got some others
00:17:04.380 But I mean
00:17:04.980 Just off the
00:17:05.780 Top of my head
00:17:06.840 If I just think
00:17:08.020 About Shapiro
00:17:08.660 Newsom and Whitmer
00:17:09.840 Any of them
00:17:11.140 Can take Donald Trump
00:17:12.700 To the cleaners
00:17:13.380 And I'll remind you
00:17:14.440 That Shapiro is
00:17:15.260 Is Pennsylvania
00:17:16.280 Whitmer Michigan
00:17:17.080 I mean
00:17:17.580 If Biden can actually
00:17:19.420 Do a
00:17:20.300 Not Biden
00:17:21.820 If the Democrats
00:17:22.440 Can do a
00:17:23.380 Pennsylvania
00:17:24.240 Michigan ticket
00:17:25.280 If they can actually
00:17:26.180 Get those
00:17:26.900 Two states
00:17:27.980 Win those
00:17:28.560 In the electoral college
00:17:29.820 They can win this thing
00:17:31.220 Oh absolutely
00:17:32.100 That is the ticket
00:17:33.400 Because the concern now
00:17:35.100 You know
00:17:35.580 Those of us
00:17:36.460 Who have great affection
00:17:38.020 For Joe Biden
00:17:38.740 We're concerned
00:17:39.380 About him
00:17:40.040 We're concerned
00:17:40.500 About the presidency
00:17:41.380 And that
00:17:41.900 Son of a bitch
00:17:43.060 Becoming president
00:17:44.040 Because you know
00:17:44.560 If any
00:17:44.860 Everybody's been saying
00:17:46.300 To me
00:17:46.460 Oh you know
00:17:47.160 I was with the old guys
00:17:48.200 For coffee this morning
00:17:49.180 And they're like
00:17:49.580 Warren your guy
00:17:50.560 Is in decline
00:17:51.660 I say yeah
00:17:52.260 But what about
00:17:52.980 Donald Trump
00:17:53.700 He's in decline too
00:17:55.280 Like he was even
00:17:56.780 He was crazier
00:17:58.180 Than a shithouse rat
00:17:59.520 On Thursday night
00:18:00.720 But
00:18:01.440 Like I mean
00:18:03.220 To do that
00:18:03.860 He was
00:18:05.100 You know
00:18:05.660 But to do this
00:18:06.540 Engineered convention
00:18:07.720 This contested convention
00:18:08.920 Which the Democrats
00:18:09.700 Haven't had
00:18:10.400 Since the years
00:18:11.400 Of the Democratic Party
00:18:12.560 Bosses
00:18:13.320 Joe has to go
00:18:15.180 Along with it
00:18:15.780 Like
00:18:16.660 Yeah
00:18:16.980 He does
00:18:18.280 I didn't
00:18:18.800 I didn't sense
00:18:19.820 On Friday
00:18:20.400 When he was
00:18:20.980 In North Carolina
00:18:21.940 Any willingness
00:18:23.320 To go along
00:18:24.120 With it
00:18:24.500 Well yeah
00:18:25.160 But he hasn't
00:18:26.040 He hasn't had
00:18:26.860 What I would call
00:18:27.720 The intervention
00:18:28.380 Or the come
00:18:29.660 To Jesus moment
00:18:30.480 I really have
00:18:31.760 A hard time
00:18:32.320 Believing
00:18:32.700 That if Barack Obama
00:18:34.420 Michelle Obama
00:18:35.300 Hillary Clinton
00:18:36.400 If you want to
00:18:36.880 Throw in another one
00:18:37.700 Throw in
00:18:38.560 Throw in that guy
00:18:39.980 What was his
00:18:40.600 What was his name again
00:18:41.300 He was the president
00:18:41.840 Oh yeah Bill Clinton
00:18:42.900 Hillary's husband
00:18:43.680 Okay
00:18:44.000 I mean
00:18:44.580 You can't tell me
00:18:46.060 That if those
00:18:46.700 Three or four people
00:18:47.580 Get Joe Biden
00:18:48.380 In a room
00:18:48.860 They can't close
00:18:50.620 The sale
00:18:51.880 He knows
00:18:53.100 That none of them
00:18:54.020 None of them
00:18:55.040 Would be doing it
00:18:55.900 Out of malice
00:18:56.920 All of them
00:18:57.940 Would be doing it
00:18:58.620 Out of patriotism
00:18:59.900 Number one
00:19:00.480 Number two
00:19:01.720 The survival of democracy
00:19:03.060 And number three
00:19:03.760 Frankly
00:19:04.120 The survival
00:19:05.180 Of the Democratic Party
00:19:06.380 Whether you lived
00:19:07.340 In the states or not
00:19:08.180 You know the top
00:19:08.900 Of the ticket
00:19:09.320 Is everything
00:19:09.860 Sometimes people
00:19:10.860 Just pull a lever
00:19:11.600 When they go
00:19:12.060 Into the voting place
00:19:12.880 And they vote
00:19:14.380 For the top
00:19:14.880 Of the ticket
00:19:15.320 And they just
00:19:15.900 Pull that lever
00:19:16.520 Down
00:19:16.880 And everybody
00:19:18.080 Every Democrat
00:19:19.200 Whether it's
00:19:19.800 You know if you're
00:19:21.000 Pulling the top
00:19:22.040 Of the ticket
00:19:22.360 You're pulling it
00:19:22.880 For Democrat
00:19:23.400 Every Democrat
00:19:24.720 Running in a state
00:19:26.340 Running for attorney general
00:19:27.960 Running for dog catcher
00:19:29.080 It doesn't matter
00:19:29.680 All of them
00:19:30.640 Get your vote
00:19:31.320 And vice versa
00:19:32.240 If people want
00:19:33.580 To get rid of Joe Biden
00:19:34.640 And vote for Republican
00:19:35.540 A whole lot of Democrats
00:19:37.000 End up
00:19:37.580 End up suffering
00:19:38.720 So I think
00:19:39.900 That they could
00:19:40.440 Make the sale
00:19:41.180 And I
00:19:41.640 Just imagine
00:19:42.900 This if you will
00:19:43.660 We know that
00:19:44.620 Politics is television
00:19:46.200 Television is politics
00:19:47.760 What would the ratings
00:19:49.100 Be for a Democratic
00:19:50.840 Convention
00:19:51.180 In Chicago
00:19:52.280 That is picking
00:19:53.380 The next president
00:19:54.260 Of the United States
00:19:55.140 Well it would just
00:19:56.060 Be out of the ballpark
00:19:57.120 Of me rolling
00:19:57.720 Through the parking lot
00:19:58.740 The problem is
00:19:59.920 I don't know
00:20:00.200 If you saw it
00:20:01.160 As I was heading
00:20:02.640 Back to the county
00:20:03.600 Dejected and depressed
00:20:05.700 Barack Obama tweet
00:20:08.800 Flashed up on my screen
00:20:10.300 And a few hours later
00:20:11.860 Bill Clinton won
00:20:12.640 And Obama said
00:20:13.760 You know I
00:20:14.260 I know what it's like
00:20:15.200 To lose a debate
00:20:15.980 So he acknowledged
00:20:17.040 He lost the debate
00:20:17.940 But you know
00:20:18.580 You can come back for it
00:20:19.480 And it's true
00:20:20.140 You know at that
00:20:20.940 First Romney
00:20:21.880 Obama debate
00:20:23.360 In 2012
00:20:25.240 Obama got his ass kicked
00:20:27.120 Because he came out
00:20:27.840 And recited statistics
00:20:29.080 And factoids
00:20:30.060 But
00:20:30.640 That's right
00:20:31.500 But the problem here
00:20:32.500 Is not that
00:20:33.340 Like it's
00:20:33.980 You know I
00:20:34.660 I had a respected
00:20:36.380 Documentary producer
00:20:37.820 Come see me last week
00:20:39.080 And I haven't told you
00:20:39.760 About this yet
00:20:40.380 And you know
00:20:41.740 He saw the Biden
00:20:42.640 Poster on my wall
00:20:44.300 And he said
00:20:45.580 You know
00:20:45.940 My doc
00:20:47.060 My wife is a doc
00:20:48.460 And she thinks
00:20:50.160 That he's got Parkinson's
00:20:51.560 And I'm like
00:20:52.400 Oh no no no
00:20:53.200 You know
00:20:53.520 This is before the debate
00:20:54.400 No no way
00:20:55.220 And then
00:20:56.220 You know
00:20:56.720 I started googling
00:20:58.080 Symptoms of Parkinson's
00:21:00.120 Which I don't know
00:21:00.740 A lot about
00:21:01.380 And I was like
00:21:02.500 Wow
00:21:03.440 That's what I saw
00:21:05.880 On Thursday night
00:21:06.720 Like whatever it is
00:21:07.740 It looks
00:21:09.020 He
00:21:09.500 He's just
00:21:10.260 I encourage everybody
00:21:11.540 To take a look
00:21:12.280 At the video
00:21:12.900 You know
00:21:13.920 From four years ago
00:21:15.240 Of Joe
00:21:15.920 And the
00:21:16.720 The video
00:21:17.560 Of Joe
00:21:18.500 On Thursday night
00:21:19.460 It's like a different person
00:21:21.240 Well he's got
00:21:23.060 He's got this
00:21:23.780 And you know
00:21:24.620 When they split the screen
00:21:25.600 The so-called debate
00:21:26.940 Trump and Biden
00:21:28.040 You know
00:21:28.520 You see
00:21:28.920 Trump reacting
00:21:30.080 To media questions
00:21:31.020 Trump
00:21:31.320 Rather
00:21:31.960 Biden reacting
00:21:32.620 To media questions
00:21:33.320 Biden reacting
00:21:34.100 To Trump
00:21:34.380 So when you have
00:21:35.440 That split screen
00:21:36.180 And you see
00:21:36.940 Trump
00:21:37.400 Whatever you may think
00:21:38.160 Of him
00:21:38.360 Looking rather
00:21:38.920 Vital and animated
00:21:40.560 And strong
00:21:41.180 And all of that
00:21:41.880 And then you see
00:21:42.960 Biden with this
00:21:44.040 This death stare
00:21:45.300 This
00:21:45.600 This frozen face
00:21:47.180 This face
00:21:48.340 That appears
00:21:49.060 To be
00:21:50.060 I hate to put it this way
00:21:51.240 And I'm not a doctor
00:21:52.180 But a face
00:21:53.220 That appears to be
00:21:54.540 Neurologically impaired
00:21:55.840 I don't know
00:21:56.920 That it's Parkinson's
00:21:58.040 I'm not smart enough
00:21:58.760 To figure that out
00:21:59.460 But I do know
00:22:00.600 That it's
00:22:01.380 About neurology
00:22:02.860 And when you've got
00:22:04.120 A neurological issue
00:22:05.420 You've got a
00:22:07.120 It's time to go
00:22:08.620 Issue
00:22:09.260 I don't care
00:22:10.300 Whether you're being
00:22:10.900 Hired for president
00:22:11.860 Or for a dog catcher
00:22:13.480 Or for a talk show host
00:22:14.800 Or whatever
00:22:15.360 His best days
00:22:16.660 Are behind him
00:22:17.460 And the party
00:22:18.580 And the country
00:22:19.360 Deserves
00:22:19.960 The best Joe Biden
00:22:21.620 Not the worst
00:22:22.740 Absolutely
00:22:23.460 And it wasn't
00:22:24.340 Just his face
00:22:24.960 It wasn't just
00:22:25.520 The image
00:22:25.960 And TV is pictures
00:22:27.060 As we both know
00:22:28.020 But it's also
00:22:29.020 What you're using
00:22:30.000 Like I encourage
00:22:30.700 Everybody
00:22:31.140 Listen to Charles Adler's
00:22:32.940 Voice right now
00:22:34.200 Right
00:22:34.420 He's got this
00:22:35.100 Rich
00:22:35.860 Deep tone
00:22:36.800 It's
00:22:37.560 You know
00:22:37.880 It's got inflection
00:22:38.800 In it
00:22:39.280 It's got
00:22:40.080 Authority
00:22:40.840 And that's
00:22:42.140 What Joe
00:22:42.460 Had four years
00:22:43.240 Ago
00:22:43.520 On Thursday
00:22:44.620 Night
00:22:45.040 Like I was
00:22:46.180 Listening to
00:22:46.800 His voice
00:22:47.440 And it was
00:22:48.320 I thought
00:22:48.940 Somebody had
00:22:49.400 Actually turned
00:22:50.040 Down his
00:22:50.520 Microphone
00:22:51.180 You know
00:22:51.880 Some Republican
00:22:52.780 In the back
00:22:53.440 Room
00:22:53.780 Turned down
00:22:54.540 Like it was
00:22:55.220 Horse
00:22:55.860 And raspy
00:22:57.740 And raspy
00:22:57.760 And faint
00:22:58.660 And it's
00:23:00.040 Just
00:23:00.260 You know
00:23:00.720 It's not
00:23:01.100 Like the voice
00:23:01.860 That Adler's
00:23:02.600 Got right now
00:23:03.440 All right
00:23:04.280 So we've
00:23:04.860 Talked about that
00:23:06.120 The other thing
00:23:06.920 It was a
00:23:07.380 Bad week
00:23:07.980 For another
00:23:08.420 Guy
00:23:08.740 I think
00:23:10.140 I think
00:23:10.200 I was shocked
00:23:12.400 Also
00:23:13.240 By the result
00:23:14.640 In St.
00:23:15.280 Paul's
00:23:15.840 In Toronto
00:23:16.500 This midtown
00:23:17.220 Riding
00:23:17.640 That's been
00:23:18.060 Liberal
00:23:18.340 It has been
00:23:19.260 Liberal
00:23:19.600 Forever
00:23:20.040 Everybody needs
00:23:20.880 To remember
00:23:21.660 That
00:23:22.020 It's not
00:23:22.440 Like Mount
00:23:22.900 Royal
00:23:23.220 In Montreal
00:23:24.220 But it's
00:23:25.620 Been a
00:23:26.180 Bellwether
00:23:27.040 Riding
00:23:27.720 It's been
00:23:28.000 Pretty safe
00:23:28.680 For a long
00:23:29.140 Time
00:23:29.460 Since
00:23:29.720 Barbara
00:23:30.040 I think
00:23:30.300 Barbara
00:23:30.600 McDougal
00:23:31.100 Was the
00:23:31.420 Last Tory
00:23:31.920 To win
00:23:32.280 It
00:23:32.580 Barbara
00:23:33.480 McDougal
00:23:33.900 Was a
00:23:35.520 Tory
00:23:35.780 Let's just
00:23:36.160 Be clear
00:23:36.520 She was
00:23:36.800 A progressive
00:23:37.720 Conservative
00:23:38.220 Yeah
00:23:38.540 She wasn't
00:23:39.000 One of
00:23:39.300 Today's
00:23:39.640 Tories
00:23:39.980 No
00:23:40.580 So it
00:23:41.240 You know
00:23:42.020 The Liberals
00:23:43.280 Lost
00:23:43.600 Leslie Church
00:23:44.280 Candidate
00:23:44.880 Lost
00:23:45.280 You can
00:23:46.040 You know
00:23:46.640 And it's all
00:23:47.160 Things in
00:23:47.600 Politics
00:23:47.940 There's all
00:23:48.300 Kinds of
00:23:48.540 Reason for
00:23:49.040 It
00:23:49.140 Leslie Church
00:23:49.820 Maybe she
00:23:50.380 Was a
00:23:50.640 Dud of a
00:23:51.060 candidate
00:23:51.460 The Jewish
00:23:52.460 Vote came
00:23:53.060 Together
00:23:53.420 Because they
00:23:53.960 Were angry
00:23:54.400 At Trudeau
00:23:55.160 But the
00:23:56.760 Turnout
00:23:57.300 Like it
00:23:58.860 Was close
00:23:59.540 To 50%
00:24:00.380 And you
00:24:01.640 Know by
00:24:01.940 Elections
00:24:02.360 You know
00:24:02.760 These days
00:24:03.280 Are like
00:24:04.080 Pretty crummy
00:24:04.820 Like half
00:24:05.680 That sometimes
00:24:06.560 What do you
00:24:07.420 Think happened
00:24:07.980 In St.
00:24:08.520 Paul's
00:24:08.940 Well I don't
00:24:09.680 Think this
00:24:10.020 Was a
00:24:10.280 By election
00:24:10.720 I think
00:24:11.100 This was
00:24:11.640 A referendum
00:24:12.940 And it was
00:24:13.400 A referendum
00:24:13.820 On the
00:24:14.160 Government
00:24:14.440 And there
00:24:15.960 Are a couple
00:24:16.300 Of issues
00:24:16.820 Which aren't
00:24:17.540 Going to
00:24:17.760 Play well
00:24:18.200 In Forest
00:24:18.720 Hill
00:24:19.000 All of
00:24:20.000 Forest
00:24:20.280 Hill
00:24:20.440 Is in
00:24:20.700 That
00:24:20.980 In that
00:24:21.920 Particular
00:24:22.600 Riding
00:24:22.940 I've
00:24:23.220 I've
00:24:23.620 Lived
00:24:23.740 There
00:24:23.920 I've
00:24:24.080 Worked
00:24:24.260 There
00:24:24.440 Because when
00:24:24.800 I worked
00:24:25.040 At the
00:24:25.280 Legendary
00:24:25.780 Station
00:24:26.400 At Young
00:24:26.740 In St.
00:24:27.100 Clair
00:24:27.300 That's
00:24:27.660 That's
00:24:27.940 Where it
00:24:28.240 Was
00:24:28.460 So I
00:24:29.300 Know every
00:24:29.980 Inch
00:24:30.280 Of that
00:24:30.840 Riding
00:24:31.220 Like the
00:24:31.700 Back of
00:24:32.420 My hand
00:24:32.780 And there
00:24:33.000 Are two
00:24:33.220 Issues
00:24:33.520 That aren't
00:24:33.840 Going to
00:24:34.020 Play well
00:24:34.420 There
00:24:34.660 It's
00:24:35.520 The
00:24:36.340 Liberal
00:24:37.240 Handling
00:24:37.740 Of
00:24:38.000 Not
00:24:38.500 Israel
00:24:39.080 Not
00:24:39.580 Gaza
00:24:40.120 Not
00:24:40.400 October
00:24:40.800 7th
00:24:41.680 But the
00:24:42.140 Liberal
00:24:42.480 Handling
00:24:43.120 Or
00:24:43.400 Mishandling
00:24:44.360 Or
00:24:45.080 Confused
00:24:45.760 Handling
00:24:46.280 Of
00:24:46.900 Anti
00:24:47.560 Semitism
00:24:48.880 Okay
00:24:49.280 So about
00:24:50.960 15-16%
00:24:52.040 Of the
00:24:52.280 Riding
00:24:52.540 Is
00:24:52.780 Jewish
00:24:53.140 And I
00:24:54.060 Think if
00:24:54.320 You parse
00:24:54.680 That even
00:24:55.060 Further
00:24:55.360 In terms
00:24:55.820 Of what
00:24:56.960 Percentage
00:24:57.520 Of people
00:24:57.920 Turn out
00:24:58.420 My
00:24:58.840 Educated
00:25:01.600 Hunch is
00:25:02.080 That a lot
00:25:02.740 More than
00:25:03.060 15%
00:25:03.740 Of the
00:25:04.000 Turnout
00:25:04.360 Happened to
00:25:04.920 Be
00:25:05.100 The
00:25:05.920 Jewish
00:25:06.200 Vote
00:25:06.460 So
00:25:06.660 Not
00:25:07.520 Being
00:25:08.260 Not
00:25:09.400 Having
00:25:09.740 What I
00:25:10.520 Would
00:25:10.640 Call
00:25:10.960 Great
00:25:11.780 Communications
00:25:12.400 On
00:25:12.700 Anti
00:25:13.020 Semitism
00:25:13.740 And
00:25:14.620 Add to
00:25:15.620 That
00:25:15.840 The
00:25:16.020 Capital
00:25:16.440 Gains
00:25:17.100 Tax
00:25:17.800 And I
00:25:20.980 Think
00:25:21.180 Those
00:25:21.460 Are
00:25:21.660 Two
00:25:22.020 Issues
00:25:22.340 I
00:25:22.500 Don't
00:25:23.080 Care
00:25:23.280 Who
00:25:23.440 You
00:25:23.600 Are
00:25:23.880 Whether
00:25:24.580 You're
00:25:24.920 That
00:25:25.800 Particular
00:25:26.140 Candidate
00:25:26.680 Or
00:25:26.820 The
00:25:26.960 Prime
00:25:27.160 Minister
00:25:27.440 Or
00:25:27.720 Anybody
00:25:28.040 Else
00:25:28.440 If
00:25:29.520 You're
00:25:29.760 Asking
00:25:30.240 Me
00:25:30.620 To
00:25:31.520 Be
00:25:31.740 Your
00:25:32.020 Advisor
00:25:32.480 On
00:25:33.360 Which
00:25:33.640 Issues
00:25:34.080 Not
00:25:34.520 To
00:25:34.720 Have
00:25:35.080 On
00:25:35.320 Your
00:25:35.500 Plate
00:25:35.840 Going
00:25:36.440 Into
00:25:36.680 By
00:25:37.040 Election
00:25:37.360 In
00:25:37.540 Toronto
00:25:37.740 St.
00:25:38.080 Paul's
00:25:38.400 It
00:25:38.720 Would
00:25:38.840 Be
00:25:39.060 Anti
00:25:39.960 Semitism
00:25:40.680 And
00:25:41.520 Capital
00:25:41.800 Gains
00:25:42.160 100%
00:25:43.540 I
00:25:43.740 Think
00:25:43.920 You're
00:25:44.080 Bang
00:25:44.420 On
00:25:44.740 Like
00:25:45.400 There
00:25:45.540 Were
00:25:45.680 Some
00:25:45.900 Real
00:25:46.120 Issues
00:25:46.580 In
00:25:46.820 Play
00:25:47.180 There
00:25:47.520 You
00:25:49.160 Know
00:25:49.300 And
00:25:50.800 Of
00:25:50.940 Course
00:25:51.100 All
00:25:51.260 The
00:25:51.360 Trudeau
00:25:51.700 Haters
00:25:52.080 Came
00:25:52.380 Out
00:25:52.700 And
00:25:53.000 You
00:25:53.560 Know
00:25:53.640 They
00:25:53.780 Were
00:25:53.900 Saying
00:25:54.120 To
00:25:54.220 Me
00:25:54.400 See
00:25:55.520 Warren
00:25:55.980 You
00:25:56.780 Know
00:25:56.980 Everybody
00:25:57.460 Hates
00:25:57.920 Him
00:25:58.120 And
00:25:58.600 I
00:25:58.720 Still
00:25:58.980 Have
00:25:59.120 The
00:25:59.280 Same
00:25:59.520 View
00:25:59.860 And
00:26:00.540 You
00:26:01.260 Know
00:26:05.080 That
00:26:05.280 I
00:26:05.560 Think
00:26:05.740 It's
00:26:05.940 Just
00:26:06.160 People
00:26:06.740 In
00:26:07.140 Politics
00:26:07.620 You
00:26:07.960 Get
00:26:08.120 A
00:26:08.300 You
00:26:08.580 Know
00:26:08.920 You're
00:26:09.100 Like
00:26:09.280 A
00:26:09.500 Jug
00:26:09.760 Of
00:26:09.880 Milk
00:26:10.100 You
00:26:10.280 Got
00:26:10.420 A
00:26:10.560 Shelf
00:26:10.840 Life
00:26:11.120 You
00:26:11.260 Got
00:26:11.380 A
00:26:11.480 Best
00:26:11.680 Before
00:26:12.060 Date
00:26:12.420 And
00:26:13.480 So
00:26:14.060 I
00:26:14.160 Think
00:26:14.280 He's
00:26:14.460 Reached
00:26:14.720 That
00:26:15.060 As
00:26:15.980 You
00:26:16.080 Say
00:26:16.280 It
00:26:16.420 Was
00:26:16.600 A
00:26:16.740 Referendum
00:26:17.100 On
00:26:17.240 The
00:26:17.360 Government
00:26:17.620 But
00:26:18.360 You
00:26:18.640 Know
00:26:18.760 But
00:26:18.940 The
00:26:19.080 Other
00:26:19.260 Thing
00:26:19.580 Is
00:26:19.940 I
00:26:21.200 Think
00:26:21.720 That
00:26:22.040 People
00:26:23.320 Are
00:26:23.560 Also
00:26:23.840 Being
00:26:24.100 Unfair
00:26:24.520 To
00:26:24.720 Trudeau
00:26:25.160 In
00:26:25.420 This
00:26:25.680 Way
00:26:25.980 He's
00:26:26.800 Not
00:26:26.980 Stupid
00:26:27.440 Like
00:26:28.200 You
00:26:28.300 Don't
00:26:28.460 Get
00:26:28.640 To
00:26:28.780 Be
00:26:28.920 Prime
00:26:29.280 Minister
00:26:29.640 By
00:26:29.940 Being
00:26:30.240 An
00:26:30.460 Idiot
00:26:31.100 Right
00:26:31.740 But
00:26:32.500 He
00:26:33.440 Can
00:26:33.660 Read
00:26:33.880 A
00:26:34.040 Poll
00:26:34.260 Like
00:26:34.520 The
00:26:34.660 Next
00:26:34.940 Guy
00:26:35.340 He
00:26:35.980 Knows
00:26:36.320 If
00:26:36.520 He's
00:26:36.680 Been
00:26:36.820 15
00:26:37.200 To
00:26:37.340 20
00:26:37.560 Points
00:26:37.920 Behind
00:26:38.280 For
00:26:38.480 More
00:26:38.680 Than
00:26:38.840 A
00:26:38.980 Year
00:26:39.200 That's
00:26:39.960 It's
00:26:40.180 Kind
00:26:40.360 Of
00:26:40.440 All
00:26:40.620 She
00:26:40.840 Wrote
00:26:41.260 What
00:26:41.900 Do
00:26:42.000 You
00:26:42.080 Think
00:26:42.300 Do
00:26:42.440 You
00:26:42.560 Think
00:26:42.780 He
00:26:43.060 I
00:26:43.400 Think
00:26:43.620 He
00:26:43.720 Got
00:26:43.880 A
00:26:44.020 Lift
00:26:44.240 From
00:26:44.440 The
00:26:44.600 Debate
00:26:44.920 On
00:26:45.060 Thursday
00:26:45.320 Night
00:26:45.580 I
00:26:45.920 Don't
00:26:46.060 Think
00:26:46.220 People
00:26:46.520 Want
00:26:56.980 To
00:26:57.120 Say
00:26:57.280 This
00:26:57.480 Warren
00:26:57.780 You
00:26:58.080 Included
00:26:58.560 Have
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00:26:58.880 Talking
00:26:59.160 About
00:26:59.440 Trudeau
00:26:59.900 Having
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00:27:01.140 In
00:27:01.280 The
00:27:01.400 Snow
00:27:01.660 I
00:27:01.900 Don't
00:27:02.000 Know
00:27:02.120 Walk
00:27:02.420 In
00:27:02.540 The
00:27:02.640 Pacific
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00:27:03.440 In
00:27:03.580 The
00:27:03.680 Atlantic
00:27:04.020 Walk
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00:27:04.820 The
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00:27:07.280 Pride
00:27:07.720 Is
00:27:07.920 Not
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00:27:09.060 To
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00:27:14.700 October
00:27:15.340 Of
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00:27:15.960 Year
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00:27:17.980 A
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00:27:18.320 Against
00:27:18.620 Paul
00:27:18.860 It
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00:27:19.460 A
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00:27:19.760 Against
00:27:20.040 Paul
00:27:20.280 In
00:27:20.620 St.
00:27:26.980 And
00:27:27.700 I
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00:27:28.220 Justin
00:27:28.800 Trudeau
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00:27:29.880 Determined
00:27:30.520 To
00:27:30.680 Run
00:27:30.920 And
00:27:31.580 In
00:27:31.720 That
00:27:31.940 Campaign
00:27:32.520 That
00:27:34.400 Is
00:27:34.700 Exactly
00:27:35.180 What
00:27:35.800 The
00:27:35.940 Campaign
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00:27:36.640 About
00:27:36.880 It
00:27:37.100 Will
00:27:37.180 Be
00:27:37.340 Trudeau
00:27:37.840 Versus
00:27:38.660 Paul
00:27:38.880 And
00:27:39.460 I'm
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00:27:39.840 Suggesting
00:27:40.360 That
00:27:40.500 Some
00:27:40.660 Of
00:27:40.720 The
00:27:40.800 Issues
00:27:41.100 That
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00:27:42.780 Be
00:27:42.980 Issues
00:27:43.660 I'm
00:27:44.180 Suggesting
00:27:44.660 That
00:27:44.800 If
00:27:44.920 People
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00:27:45.280 To
00:27:45.360 Talk
00:27:45.520 About
00:27:45.700 The
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00:27:46.940 And
00:27:47.120 Some
00:27:47.280 Of
00:27:47.360 The
00:27:47.460 Things
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00:27:48.840 It
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00:27:49.820 A
00:27:50.160 Two
00:27:50.400 Person
00:27:50.800 Contest
00:27:51.520 Paulie
00:27:52.380 Versus
00:27:53.400 Trudeau
00:27:53.920 Who
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00:27:54.680 You
00:27:54.820 Want
00:27:55.100 As
00:27:55.360 The
00:27:55.480 Next
00:27:55.680 Prime
00:27:55.940 Minister
00:27:56.180 At
00:27:56.380 The
00:27:56.480 Moment
00:27:56.740 The
00:27:57.240 Polls
00:27:57.600 Obviously
00:27:58.100 Favor
00:27:58.540 Paulie
00:27:59.400 But
00:27:59.920 I
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00:28:03.680 This
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00:28:04.260 To
00:28:04.760 Ever
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00:28:05.360 Justin
00:28:05.800 Trudeau
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00:28:09.560 A
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00:28:10.080 Contest
00:28:10.640 For
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00:28:14.380 You
00:28:14.520 Remember
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00:28:15.300 The
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00:28:29.640 Saying
00:28:30.060 We
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00:28:30.620 Change
00:28:30.920 In
00:28:31.080 Leadership
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00:28:32.020 Of
00:28:32.100 In
00:28:32.240 Both
00:28:32.500 Places
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00:28:33.240 Know
00:28:33.400 On
00:28:33.980 Washington
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00:28:35.900 And
00:28:36.920 There
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00:28:38.440 This
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00:28:39.240 McKenna
00:28:39.680 Who
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00:28:43.420 Manly
00:28:43.900 Percy
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00:28:44.700 I
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00:28:45.260 Who
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00:28:59.360 Look
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00:29:07.880 Brother
00:29:08.180 Maybe
00:29:08.560 The
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00:29:10.660 And
00:29:11.920 I'm
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00:29:12.840 This
00:29:13.080 In
00:29:13.420 With
00:29:13.920 Any
00:29:14.100 Kind
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00:29:15.140 I'm
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00:29:19.980 Justin
00:29:20.320 Trudeau
00:29:20.620 To
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00:29:21.180 Mind
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00:29:22.280 Exit
00:29:22.640 Early
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00:29:52.240 And
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00:29:56.800 French
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00:29:58.980 As
00:29:59.860 Smarter
00:30:00.280 More
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00:30:01.840 More
00:30:02.340 Self
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00:30:03.540 Than
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00:30:04.760 Trudeau
00:30:05.180 In
00:30:06.140 English
00:30:06.440 He's
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00:30:09.400 Quebec
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00:30:10.380 He
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00:30:11.520 French
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00:30:13.220 Like
00:30:14.100 Two
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00:30:14.620 This
00:30:14.760 Country
00:30:15.100 Are
00:30:15.300 In
00:30:15.420 Politics
00:30:15.880 I've
00:30:16.160 Ever
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00:30:16.560 Are
00:30:16.700 Perfectly
00:30:17.220 Bilingual
00:30:17.740 Jean
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00:30:19.140 One
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00:30:19.940 Justin
00:30:20.260 Trudeau
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00:30:20.700 The
00:30:20.800 Other
00:30:20.940 And
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00:30:23.360 Get
00:30:23.520 Knocked
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00:30:25.060 Anglophone
00:30:25.520 In
00:30:25.720 Disguise
00:30:26.440 But
00:30:27.160 Trudeau
00:30:27.560 Still
00:30:28.000 You
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00:30:28.620 He's
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00:30:29.540 To
00:30:29.800 Your
00:30:29.960 Point
00:30:30.340 In
00:30:30.520 The
00:30:30.620 Province
00:30:30.960 Of
00:30:31.140 Quebec
00:30:31.580 Still
00:30:32.580 Because
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00:30:35.220 People
00:30:35.880 In
00:30:36.020 Quebec
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00:30:36.740 He's
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00:30:37.500 And
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00:30:38.680 Trudeau
00:30:39.120 Debates
00:30:39.620 His
00:30:39.820 First
00:30:40.060 Debate
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00:30:41.920 Pierre
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00:30:43.100 In
00:30:43.360 French
00:30:43.760 It'll
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00:30:44.420 Quebec
00:30:44.820 And
00:30:45.780 Justin
00:30:46.080 Trudeau
00:30:46.580 Will
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00:30:47.760 Two
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00:30:50.020 Polyev
00:30:50.500 Yeah
00:30:51.760 It's
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00:30:52.660 Polyev's
00:30:53.640 Forte
00:30:54.020 The
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00:30:54.560 Thing
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00:31:09.060 The
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00:31:10.060 Love
00:31:10.180 The
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00:31:10.680 Live
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00:31:15.160 And
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00:31:16.700 We
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00:31:25.900 Do
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00:31:26.940 Several
00:31:27.220 Parts
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00:31:28.540 Of
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00:31:39.860 All
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00:32:06.400 Great
00:32:06.720 To
00:32:06.900 Hear
00:32:07.060 Your
00:32:07.260 Voice
00:32:07.660 So
00:32:08.080 Great
00:32:08.360 To
00:32:08.540 Hear
00:32:08.760 Your
00:32:08.940 Wisdom
00:32:09.360 And
00:32:10.040 What
00:32:10.280 Do
00:32:10.360 You
00:32:10.400 Say
00:32:10.540 I
00:32:11.080 Think
00:32:11.220 We
00:32:11.320 Should
00:32:11.420 Do
00:32:11.520 This
00:32:11.700 Next
00:32:11.920 Week
00:32:12.140 Well
00:32:13.200 I
00:32:13.560 Tell
00:32:13.760 You
00:32:13.860 I
00:32:13.980 Love
00:32:14.160 Canada
00:32:14.540 And
00:32:14.720 I
00:32:14.820 Love
00:32:14.940 The
00:32:15.080 Fact
00:32:15.320 That
00:32:15.440 We're
00:32:15.560 Reuniting
00:32:16.080 On
00:32:16.240 Canada
00:32:16.540 Weekend
00:32:17.060 Canada
00:32:17.700 Day
00:32:17.940 Weekend
00:32:18.320 You
00:32:18.420 Have
00:32:18.520 A
00:32:18.680 Great
00:32:18.960 Canada
00:32:19.260 Day
00:32:19.600 And
00:32:20.120 I'd
00:32:20.340 Love
00:32:20.500 To
00:32:20.640 Do
00:32:20.780 This
00:32:21.000 With
00:32:21.180 You
00:32:21.260 Next
00:32:21.540 Week
00:32:21.820 And
00:32:22.260 The
00:32:22.360 Week
00:32:22.520 After
00:32:22.860 And
00:32:23.040 The
00:32:23.120 Week
00:32:23.260 After
00:32:23.500 That
00:32:23.760 You
00:32:24.400 Got
00:32:24.640 It
00:32:24.800 Thank
00:32:25.800 You
00:32:25.920 My
00:32:26.060 Friend
00:32:26.320 I've
00:32:26.700 Been
00:32:26.840 Talking
00:32:27.200 So
00:32:27.640 Much
00:32:28.740 Shit
00:32:29.540 On
00:32:30.440 Myself
00:32:30.940 In
00:32:31.200 My
00:32:31.500 Own
00:32:32.560 Head
00:32:33.400 I
00:32:33.900 Know
00:32:34.240 It
00:32:34.460 Does
00:32:34.820 No
00:32:35.220 Good
00:32:35.820 But
00:32:36.560 I
00:32:36.980 Still
00:32:38.100 Do
00:32:38.820 And
00:32:41.980 If
00:32:42.260 I
00:32:42.500 Get
00:32:42.780 One
00:32:43.800 Chance
00:32:44.820 To
00:32:45.260 In
00:32:45.560 My
00:32:45.760 For
00:32:46.280 Real
00:32:46.560 I
00:32:46.980 Won't
00:32:47.640 Wince
00:32:48.580 Cause
00:32:48.980 Maybe
00:32:49.360 If
00:32:49.780 I
00:32:49.960 Died
00:32:50.400 Right
00:32:50.820 Now
00:32:51.360 I
00:32:51.640 Would
00:32:51.940 Be
00:32:52.400 A
00:32:52.880 Great
00:32:53.420 Man
00:32:54.080 I've
00:32:56.380 Been
00:32:56.520 Thinking
00:32:56.960 A
00:32:57.360 Lot
00:32:57.680 I've
00:33:00.260 Been
00:33:00.400 Thinking
00:33:00.760 A
00:33:01.140 Lot
00:33:01.540 I've
00:33:04.020 Been
00:33:04.160 Thinking
00:33:04.520 A
00:33:04.940 Lot
00:33:05.360 I've
00:33:07.800 Been
00:33:07.940 Thinking
00:33:08.340 A
00:33:08.720 Lot
00:33:09.240 I've
00:33:11.560 Been
00:33:11.720 Thinking
00:33:12.140 A
00:33:12.500 Lie
00:33:13.420 About
00:33:15.100 How
00:33:15.360 My
00:33:15.760 Friends
00:33:16.120 Are
00:33:16.300 Kind
00:33:17.320 And
00:33:19.120 It's
00:33:19.360 Not
00:33:19.700 That
00:33:20.160 I'm
00:33:21.200 Never
00:33:21.580 Around
00:33:22.280 Cause
00:33:22.860 I'm
00:33:23.060 Things
00:33:23.400 In
00:33:23.600 A
00:33:23.840 Wine
00:33:24.660 I'm
00:33:26.880 All
00:33:27.140 Out
00:33:27.400 Of
00:33:27.560 Time
00:33:28.360 Right
00:33:30.160 Now
00:33:30.500 I'm
00:33:30.700 All
00:33:30.940 Out
00:33:31.240 Time
00:33:32.220 You
00:33:34.380 Think
00:33:34.800 From
00:33:35.140 The
00:33:35.360 Past
00:33:35.840 That
00:33:36.140 I've
00:33:36.380 Learned
00:33:36.880 Your
00:33:37.240 Life
00:33:37.680 But
00:33:38.000 I'm
00:33:38.160 So
00:33:38.540 Damn
00:33:38.960 Wise
00:33:39.720 And
00:33:42.660 The
00:33:42.880 Way
00:33:43.300 That
00:33:43.680 I
00:33:43.880 Work
00:33:44.140 Is
00:33:44.320 Just
00:33:44.580 Like
00:33:44.840 Everyone
00:33:45.380 Else
00:33:45.840 But
00:33:46.200 I
00:33:46.400 Don't
00:33:46.640 Want
00:33:47.020 To
00:33:47.300 Think
00:33:47.400 That
00:33:47.760 So
00:33:48.100 I
00:33:48.300 Destroy
00:33:48.780 My
00:33:49.200 Health
00:33:49.560 I
00:33:50.060 Am
00:33:50.260 Invincible
00:33:51.000 I
00:33:51.860 Am
00:33:52.160 Invincible
00:33:52.960 I'm
00:33:56.920 Sad
00:33:57.460 I'm
00:33:58.920 Sad
00:34:01.240 Little
00:34:01.620 Man
00:34:02.120 I'm
00:34:04.420 Sad
00:34:05.040 Little
00:34:05.240 Man
00:34:05.880 I'm
00:34:08.160 Sad
00:34:08.700 Fucking
00:34:09.080 Man
00:34:10.160 I
00:34:11.680 Should
00:34:11.980 Just
00:34:12.200 Split
00:34:12.540 My
00:34:12.880 Man
00:34:13.940 So
00:34:16.420 I
00:34:16.740 Can
00:34:16.900 Die
00:34:17.280 Alone
00:34:17.660 With
00:34:17.880 Think
00:34:18.220 I
00:34:18.540 Love
00:34:18.980 I
00:34:19.520 Can
00:34:19.740 Turn
00:34:20.120 My
00:34:20.460 Am
00:34:21.240 That
00:34:23.020 Why
00:34:23.360 I
00:34:23.540 Play
00:34:23.860 This
00:34:24.320 On
00:34:25.100 In
00:34:26.860 Hope
00:34:27.100 Someone
00:34:27.600 Think
00:34:27.860 Alone
00:34:28.860 So
00:34:31.520 You
00:34:31.780 Can
00:34:31.960 Share
00:34:32.460 My
00:34:32.900 Pain
00:34:33.460 Less
00:34:33.760 Connect
00:34:34.360 Your
00:34:34.820 Grains
00:34:35.620 And
00:34:36.320 Picture
00:34:36.660 Broken
00:34:37.260 Hands
00:34:38.240 Left
00:34:39.120 Me
00:34:39.340 Broken
00:34:39.840 I'm
00:34:57.120 Just
00:34:57.360 A
00:34:57.620 Sad
00:34:57.960 Little
00:34:58.200 Man
00:34:58.800 I'm
00:35:00.880 Just
00:35:01.140 A
00:35:01.380 Sad
00:35:01.720 Little
00:35:01.980 Man
00:35:02.600 I'm
00:35:04.680 Just
00:35:04.920 A
00:35:05.180 Sad
00:35:05.520 Little
00:35:05.680 Man
00:35:06.440 We're
00:35:09.620 back
00:35:10.080 and
00:35:10.780 Brian
00:35:11.520 Lillie
00:35:12.800 I want
00:35:13.820 you to
00:35:14.020 be my
00:35:14.340 psychiatrist
00:35:14.860 because I'm
00:35:15.600 in a state
00:35:16.100 of depression
00:35:16.760 not over
00:35:18.640 the St.
00:35:19.420 Paul's
00:35:19.740 by-election
00:35:20.280 because I was
00:35:20.820 happy to see
00:35:21.380 Trudeau lose
00:35:22.040 but my
00:35:23.300 guy Joe
00:35:23.940 Biden
00:35:24.300 who as
00:35:24.860 you know
00:35:25.140 I've
00:35:25.420 worked for
00:35:26.120 and I have
00:35:26.380 great affection
00:35:26.940 for
00:35:27.300 it was a
00:35:28.800 disaster
00:35:29.280 on Thursday
00:35:29.720 night
00:35:30.000 and I
00:35:30.420 don't give
00:35:30.740 a damn
00:35:31.100 what
00:35:31.360 Democratic
00:35:32.200 spinners
00:35:32.720 are saying
00:35:33.220 it was a
00:35:33.660 total
00:35:33.900 disaster
00:35:34.500 so
00:35:35.440 what
00:35:36.260 how do
00:35:37.020 I feel
00:35:37.420 better
00:35:37.760 is there
00:35:38.140 any way
00:35:38.500 for me
00:35:38.800 to feel
00:35:39.100 better
00:35:39.440 as a
00:35:40.000 guy
00:35:40.420 who likes
00:35:40.780 the
00:35:40.960 Democrats
00:35:41.460 just pray
00:35:43.620 that they
00:35:44.000 do the
00:35:44.300 right thing
00:35:44.680 and that
00:35:44.960 Biden
00:35:45.240 steps
00:35:45.600 down
00:35:45.960 because
00:35:46.440 if
00:35:46.900 if
00:35:47.580 Biden
00:35:49.280 and Trump
00:35:49.980 are the
00:35:50.380 ticket
00:35:50.720 and that's
00:35:51.540 the binary
00:35:51.940 choice
00:35:52.340 that Americans
00:35:52.840 have to
00:35:53.220 make
00:35:53.460 come
00:35:53.920 November
00:35:55.000 barring
00:35:56.380 some
00:35:56.680 unforeseen
00:35:57.280 circumstance
00:35:57.780 that we
00:35:58.440 have no
00:35:58.980 clue about
00:35:59.440 right now
00:35:59.940 Trump
00:36:01.380 will win
00:36:01.780 in a
00:36:02.000 landslide
00:36:02.560 because
00:36:03.140 you know
00:36:04.240 I know
00:36:05.200 Democrats
00:36:05.760 keep saying
00:36:06.480 oh but
00:36:06.760 he lied
00:36:07.280 all night
00:36:07.720 okay well
00:36:09.040 look all
00:36:09.900 politicians
00:36:10.400 lie to
00:36:10.840 some degree
00:36:11.280 in events
00:36:11.940 like that
00:36:12.340 and they
00:36:12.560 stretch the
00:36:13.000 truth
00:36:13.240 but Trump
00:36:14.040 could have
00:36:14.560 lied with
00:36:15.020 everything
00:36:15.400 single thing
00:36:16.180 he said
00:36:16.660 and his
00:36:17.620 voters are
00:36:18.140 still going
00:36:18.480 to back
00:36:18.860 him
00:36:19.060 we know
00:36:20.600 that
00:36:20.880 but
00:36:21.580 will
00:36:22.760 Americans
00:36:23.280 the swing
00:36:23.840 voters
00:36:24.160 that decide
00:36:24.680 these
00:36:24.940 elections
00:36:25.380 what are
00:36:26.160 they going
00:36:26.380 to do
00:36:26.620 when they
00:36:26.920 look and
00:36:27.180 they say
00:36:27.360 well that
00:36:27.620 guy's
00:36:27.980 he's a
00:36:28.420 little
00:36:28.500 crazy
00:36:28.960 but this
00:36:30.580 guy's not
00:36:31.100 there anymore
00:36:31.900 yeah
00:36:32.760 I was worried
00:36:33.920 about Biden's
00:36:34.900 mental acuity
00:36:36.280 cognitive abilities
00:36:37.380 whatever euphemism
00:36:38.480 you want to
00:36:38.960 use
00:36:39.340 a while back
00:36:40.840 and that's I
00:36:41.340 think I told you
00:36:42.000 last summer
00:36:42.780 you've been
00:36:44.480 saying it for a
00:36:45.100 long time
00:36:45.520 like get
00:36:46.740 get him out
00:36:47.360 of there
00:36:47.680 he's not
00:36:48.660 looking great
00:36:49.360 uh
00:36:50.060 putting Gavin
00:36:50.760 Newsom
00:36:51.160 but
00:36:52.260 you know
00:36:53.300 you know
00:36:54.180 I've seen
00:36:54.560 people saying
00:36:55.080 oh we've
00:36:55.580 known how bad
00:36:56.320 he was
00:36:56.760 since 2020
00:36:57.800 and everyone's
00:36:58.880 known this
00:36:59.360 and the media
00:36:59.760 is hidden
00:37:00.060 I actually
00:37:00.820 think he has
00:37:01.360 deteriorated
00:37:02.040 greatly
00:37:02.540 in the last
00:37:03.280 six months
00:37:03.860 and
00:37:04.920 and so
00:37:05.860 just
00:37:06.180 put politics
00:37:07.560 aside for a
00:37:08.320 minute
00:37:08.480 is this
00:37:09.880 humane
00:37:10.840 a humane
00:37:11.700 and charitable
00:37:12.360 and compassionate
00:37:13.200 way to treat
00:37:13.840 this man
00:37:14.300 and my answer
00:37:15.620 is is no
00:37:16.580 and and so
00:37:18.280 why is he still
00:37:19.500 being run
00:37:20.060 as the candidate
00:37:21.000 um
00:37:22.020 you know
00:37:22.780 you put him
00:37:23.740 uh give him
00:37:24.720 a shot of
00:37:25.200 something the
00:37:25.700 next day
00:37:26.140 apparently
00:37:26.600 give him a
00:37:27.380 teleprompter
00:37:28.020 and put him
00:37:28.420 out for 15
00:37:29.140 minutes and
00:37:29.700 it sounds
00:37:29.980 great
00:37:30.340 but being
00:37:32.000 president is
00:37:32.760 not just
00:37:33.380 doing those
00:37:34.180 things
00:37:34.540 you've got
00:37:35.360 to have
00:37:35.620 the stamina
00:37:36.220 chloe and
00:37:38.160 joey could
00:37:39.200 do well with
00:37:39.860 a teleprompter
00:37:40.780 and make
00:37:41.760 like it was
00:37:43.100 just I
00:37:44.100 the the thing
00:37:44.980 that I've been
00:37:45.480 experiencing you
00:37:46.520 know I sit
00:37:46.820 on cfra this
00:37:47.680 morning it's like
00:37:48.320 I was shocked
00:37:49.100 thursday night
00:37:50.160 I was shocked
00:37:51.000 because you were
00:37:52.180 so right
00:37:52.960 uh and I
00:37:54.120 you weren't
00:37:54.480 being mean
00:37:55.000 you know there's
00:37:55.460 a lot of
00:37:55.880 republicans and
00:37:56.780 conservatives
00:37:57.240 following me
00:37:57.820 and they're
00:37:58.020 being mean
00:37:58.540 and I don't
00:37:58.880 think it's
00:37:59.240 nice I
00:38:00.020 wasn't brought
00:38:00.540 up to make
00:38:00.980 fun of people
00:38:01.580 who are
00:38:01.960 got you know
00:38:03.420 sickness
00:38:04.060 you're not
00:38:04.740 supposed to do
00:38:05.240 that
00:38:05.360 onset or not
00:38:06.720 not early
00:38:07.280 he's well
00:38:08.060 aged but I
00:38:09.340 think he's in
00:38:09.920 the early stages
00:38:10.520 of dementia
00:38:11.020 or alzheimer's
00:38:11.880 or you know
00:38:13.560 what I've been
00:38:13.960 told by a few
00:38:15.000 physicians not
00:38:15.900 just one
00:38:16.480 they think he's
00:38:17.400 got parkinson's
00:38:18.800 because all of
00:38:19.300 the symptoms of
00:38:19.980 parkinson's I
00:38:20.660 looked it up on
00:38:21.400 google I
00:38:21.940 think lots of
00:38:22.400 other people
00:38:22.780 did too it's
00:38:23.500 like wow I
00:38:25.040 think they're
00:38:25.400 right but like
00:38:27.140 you know I was
00:38:27.880 shocked then I
00:38:28.700 was depressed
00:38:29.340 and then and
00:38:30.520 now I'm just
00:38:30.960 mad because
00:38:31.680 getting back to
00:38:32.340 your point you
00:38:33.920 know if he's
00:38:35.540 declined over six
00:38:36.380 months as you
00:38:36.880 said dramatically
00:38:37.800 or it's been over
00:38:38.860 the past four
00:38:39.540 years you know
00:38:40.160 people should go
00:38:40.680 look at the clips
00:38:41.280 of him four years
00:38:42.000 ago it's shocking
00:38:42.800 difference oh
00:38:44.000 huge it's been
00:38:45.420 hidden from us
00:38:46.600 you know his
00:38:47.960 family uh his
00:38:50.400 his staff you
00:38:52.300 know senior
00:38:52.640 people the
00:38:53.080 democratic party
00:38:53.800 they hid this
00:38:55.320 like it's just
00:38:56.580 you know it's
00:38:57.920 like FDR you
00:38:59.720 know they used
00:39:00.240 to hide him
00:39:00.860 being in his
00:39:01.460 wheelchair but
00:39:02.140 he had his
00:39:02.500 cane and it
00:39:03.440 was different
00:39:03.900 era now you
00:39:05.920 know like we
00:39:06.460 were entitled to
00:39:07.280 know this
00:39:07.840 americans were
00:39:08.540 entitled to know
00:39:09.200 this well the
00:39:10.060 whole world
00:39:10.920 look it may
00:39:12.240 seem like an
00:39:12.820 antiquated phrase
00:39:13.640 but whoever is
00:39:15.640 the american
00:39:16.020 president is also
00:39:17.120 leader of the
00:39:17.840 free world
00:39:18.440 and and for
00:39:19.900 people to think
00:39:20.500 oh that's from
00:39:21.320 the uh the
00:39:22.920 the cold war era
00:39:23.940 it doesn't apply
00:39:24.580 anymore all right
00:39:25.480 china russia iran
00:39:27.140 north korea they're
00:39:28.000 all looking at this
00:39:28.640 and going all right
00:39:29.640 this is awesome all
00:39:31.320 the countries within
00:39:32.140 the orbits of
00:39:33.200 those those guys
00:39:34.360 think this is our
00:39:35.420 opportunity to do
00:39:36.620 what we want to
00:39:37.400 fuck around and
00:39:38.100 find out i don't
00:39:39.900 want them to be
00:39:41.000 able to fuck
00:39:41.460 around and find
00:39:42.120 out because the
00:39:42.700 president of the
00:39:43.560 united states is
00:39:45.320 incapacitated in
00:39:46.540 some way and this
00:39:47.880 does not make me a
00:39:48.780 trumper you've known
00:39:49.780 my view on trump
00:39:50.560 for a long time i
00:39:51.420 would have preferred
00:39:52.140 two different
00:39:52.740 candidates for both
00:39:53.700 parties you know
00:39:54.520 and switch trump
00:39:55.580 out for nikki
00:39:56.280 haley or somebody
00:39:57.220 uh but to
00:40:00.240 continue to run
00:40:01.260 him and deny it
00:40:02.220 it is remarkable
00:40:04.120 you've had senator
00:40:05.280 claire mccaskill
00:40:06.180 coming out saying
00:40:07.560 something's got to
00:40:08.580 give you've had
00:40:09.140 van jones
00:40:09.820 on cnn
00:40:11.420 joy reed on
00:40:12.540 msnbc these are
00:40:13.760 people that would
00:40:14.520 defend the
00:40:15.780 president if
00:40:16.940 they're the leader
00:40:18.080 of their party
00:40:18.700 taking a dump in
00:40:19.720 the middle of the
00:40:20.220 stage during a
00:40:20.960 debate and and
00:40:22.860 they can't defend
00:40:23.720 this so you know
00:40:26.160 that tells you that
00:40:27.080 it's it's not just
00:40:28.040 republicans it's not
00:40:29.120 just its critics
00:40:30.060 it's holy shit
00:40:31.500 but you know the
00:40:33.780 fact is he's still
00:40:34.660 president and that
00:40:35.620 scares the hell out
00:40:36.380 of me
00:40:36.620 exactly and the
00:40:38.380 thing is you know
00:40:38.900 getting back to
00:40:39.440 another important
00:40:40.340 point you made
00:40:41.080 like um you
00:40:43.340 know people
00:40:43.900 democratic spinners
00:40:45.120 were out there not
00:40:45.880 ben jones but some
00:40:46.840 others saying well
00:40:47.880 you know trump's
00:40:48.620 declined too you
00:40:49.660 know he he was
00:40:50.860 unhinged he was
00:40:51.820 crazy and stuff but
00:40:52.860 you know the point
00:40:53.440 i always make is
00:40:54.200 well he always is
00:40:56.320 you know people are
00:40:57.140 used to that voters
00:40:58.020 are used to that in
00:40:58.820 the united states
00:40:59.340 they're not used to
00:41:00.220 this with
00:41:00.720 exactly exactly it
00:41:02.640 was a shock
00:41:03.180 if i can say one
00:41:04.360 positive thing about
00:41:05.180 the debate on
00:41:05.740 thursday uh i think
00:41:07.540 that we should have
00:41:08.700 a section in every
00:41:10.100 presidential prime
00:41:10.960 ministerial debate
00:41:11.840 going forward where
00:41:13.540 people shit talk each
00:41:14.600 other about their
00:41:15.240 golf game or fishing
00:41:17.480 the one that got
00:41:18.300 away it's like oh
00:41:19.120 no you never caught
00:41:19.840 one that big i mean
00:41:20.520 they sounded at one
00:41:21.480 point like two bros
00:41:22.520 arguing in a bar i
00:41:24.480 think that should be a
00:41:25.300 segment in every
00:41:26.000 debate
00:41:26.300 carl belange and
00:41:28.100 cfra this where he
00:41:29.040 said remind him the
00:41:29.900 two guys on the
00:41:31.040 muppets you know the
00:41:32.240 two old guys yelling
00:41:33.200 at each other but
00:41:34.380 unfortunately in the
00:41:37.180 middle of the debate
00:41:37.780 i was posting clips of
00:41:38.860 waldorf and statler and
00:41:40.380 then of um jack
00:41:41.900 lemon and uh walter
00:41:43.840 matthew from grumpy
00:41:45.320 old men what
00:41:46.040 what just yelling at
00:41:49.060 each other
00:41:49.520 so um what about my
00:41:53.480 thesis uh which i've
00:41:55.380 advanced i'm not sure
00:41:56.260 where i advanced it
00:41:57.080 um i was thinking you
00:41:59.380 know i think i feel
00:42:01.320 someone's happy in
00:42:02.300 canada i can feel
00:42:03.220 happiness somewhere
00:42:04.300 and i was like it's
00:42:06.060 justin trudeau
00:42:06.860 he now has a real a
00:42:09.480 much more realistic
00:42:10.420 argument to make about
00:42:11.740 trump becoming president
00:42:13.040 and you can't have
00:42:14.120 pier poliev uh as
00:42:16.280 prime minister when
00:42:17.300 justin true when uh
00:42:18.760 donald trump is
00:42:19.440 president like i my
00:42:22.240 sense is there's some
00:42:23.300 people much more
00:42:24.840 susceptible to that
00:42:26.240 final argument that
00:42:28.120 justin trudeau's got
00:42:29.040 what do you think
00:42:29.700 well i mean they've
00:42:31.720 been trying to brand
00:42:32.560 him as donald trump
00:42:34.240 for doesn't work
00:42:35.720 six months hasn't
00:42:36.940 worked yet
00:42:37.620 doesn't work the
00:42:38.820 numbers haven't
00:42:39.640 changed i could see
00:42:41.520 movement of a few
00:42:42.900 points if trump is
00:42:44.660 elected and you know
00:42:45.860 the circus starts up
00:42:46.940 again um but oh so
00:42:51.020 far i mean the
00:42:51.920 liberals have finally
00:42:52.580 come out with an
00:42:53.100 attack ad against
00:42:53.980 pier poliev not much
00:42:55.140 of an ad because they
00:42:56.020 have no money to run
00:42:56.900 it so they're posting
00:42:58.000 it on social media
00:42:59.040 to their true and
00:42:59.900 on followers who
00:43:00.740 already hate pierre i'm
00:43:02.400 not sure that's going
00:43:03.420 to be effective um it's
00:43:05.700 it could be worth a few
00:43:07.880 points uh but not
00:43:09.480 enough to close the 19
00:43:11.140 to 20 point gap and uh
00:43:14.320 daryl bricker one of
00:43:15.920 the the deans of canadian
00:43:17.360 polling did uh a poll for
00:43:21.720 canada day for global
00:43:22.820 news came out this week
00:43:24.200 and 70 percent agree
00:43:27.140 with pier poliev's
00:43:28.460 central thesis that
00:43:30.040 canada is broken that
00:43:31.380 our institutions don't
00:43:32.560 work and that something
00:43:33.620 has to change and i was
00:43:36.040 chatting with daryl the
00:43:37.760 other day and he said
00:43:39.580 you know people keep
00:43:40.380 telling me don't
00:43:41.280 underestimate trudeau he
00:43:43.380 said i'm not and they
00:43:44.620 point to um the boxing
00:43:46.680 match with patrick
00:43:48.020 brasso and they say you
00:43:48.980 know people are
00:43:49.560 underestimated trudeau
00:43:50.800 then and look at what
00:43:52.580 happened and daryl's
00:43:53.960 response is he's not
00:43:55.980 boxing patrick brazzo
00:43:58.240 anymore he's fighting
00:43:59.920 against a desire for
00:44:01.560 change and that's like
00:44:02.640 boxing mike tyson yeah a
00:44:05.580 21 point lead so um you
00:44:08.920 know it's gonna be i agree
00:44:09.960 with you it's gonna possibly
00:44:11.760 narrow the gap possibly but
00:44:13.420 it's not enough so this
00:44:16.160 week we saw people who
00:44:17.760 don't surprise me no names
00:44:19.760 from the atlantic in the
00:44:22.040 liberal caucus percy down
00:44:24.220 john manley these are all
00:44:26.100 people who have griped
00:44:27.300 about trudeau in the past i
00:44:29.740 was surprised by catherine
00:44:30.820 mckenna you know she was
00:44:32.400 right there uh in the cult and
00:44:35.780 drinking the kool-aid for
00:44:37.020 many years she was a trudeau
00:44:38.300 cabinet minister
00:44:39.180 she's openly calling for him
00:44:41.980 to go it reminded me of the
00:44:44.540 what i went through with
00:44:45.720 kretzian what we went
00:44:46.800 through you know with the
00:44:48.440 sniping at you from the
00:44:50.440 sidelines within and without
00:44:51.760 caucus and it's it's a big
00:44:53.760 distraction it's hard to get
00:44:54.920 any kind of popularity when
00:44:56.160 your own party's against you
00:44:57.240 what do you think
00:44:57.860 well i think you're gonna hear
00:45:01.040 more calls over the next
00:45:02.580 while and you know i wasn't
00:45:04.520 surprised it was wayne
00:45:05.560 along from ubrunswick who did
00:45:06.940 that uh wayne is kind of an
00:45:10.700 old-style liberal what would
00:45:13.020 now be considered an old-style
00:45:14.260 liberal he's not part of the
00:45:15.780 the trudeau movement he
00:45:17.660 believes in the liberal
00:45:18.480 party he has a business
00:45:20.240 background he was doing
00:45:22.100 pretty well when they were
00:45:23.740 first elected in 2015 and
00:45:25.360 then he said too many things
00:45:26.420 that were kind of the
00:45:27.540 business community kind of
00:45:28.700 got sidelined um and so he's
00:45:32.320 not running again he doesn't
00:45:34.120 need this job uh there's a lot
00:45:36.200 of them that need this job
00:45:37.580 this is the best job they're
00:45:38.480 ever going to have that's not
00:45:39.540 the case for wayne long so he
00:45:40.760 writes the letter
00:45:41.460 uh there are a lot more mps who
00:45:46.400 would sign on to it if they
00:45:48.260 didn't feel that that they you
00:45:51.980 know i don't feel they can uh
00:45:54.040 afford it because what are they
00:45:56.760 going to do if they lose this
00:45:57.760 there's some folks that are going
00:45:59.080 to retire um but over the course
00:46:02.080 of the summer i think trudeau's
00:46:03.680 going to face more of this and
00:46:04.840 he's also going to have a lot of
00:46:05.960 mps saying
00:46:06.680 you know i'm moving on to other
00:46:09.420 opportunities or i've decided
00:46:11.860 that now is the right time to
00:46:13.440 spend more time with my family
00:46:14.940 and think about life
00:46:16.140 uh yeah and in some cases it will
00:46:18.800 be true like there's some of
00:46:20.320 these guys who had good careers
00:46:22.020 before they got into politics
00:46:23.480 and they're at or near retirement
00:46:27.140 age generally speaking and they'll
00:46:29.220 be looking at this and going you
00:46:31.220 know i will go spend more time with
00:46:32.520 my family but others uh i think
00:46:34.480 they're looking for an exit they're
00:46:36.420 looking for a different job
00:46:37.660 and because they're if you can
00:46:40.920 lose toronto st paul's where is
00:46:43.820 there a safe liberal seat well i
00:46:45.160 would argue arwa vanier the west
00:46:47.400 island of montreal although
00:46:49.080 apparently apparently um lasalle
00:46:52.600 mart in montreal which was paul
00:46:55.440 martin's riding the liberals are
00:46:58.020 worried about losing it to a
00:46:59.160 popular counselor who's running in
00:47:01.280 the by-election to replace david
00:47:02.720 lametti under the ndp banner
00:47:05.160 yeah losing lasalle lamard yeah
00:47:08.900 right yeah no carl belage on cfra
00:47:12.640 this morning you know who was an
00:47:13.960 advisor to to jack layton said the
00:47:17.200 same thing yeah he said uh they think
00:47:20.040 they can win it the ndp thinks they
00:47:21.700 can win that would be huge but the
00:47:23.760 ndp needs to get its act together
00:47:25.380 because uh you know they normally
00:47:28.320 underperform the national numbers in
00:47:30.280 toronto st paul's but they barely
00:47:32.080 made double digits um in that by
00:47:35.720 election and that's the that's the
00:47:37.640 only reason that church was as close
00:47:40.140 as she was i mean look i'm i was
00:47:41.700 surprised by the result i had been
00:47:43.020 saying that the conservatives
00:47:44.160 wouldn't win it but i think the ndp
00:47:47.080 got 10.9 percent but there's you know
00:47:50.000 we're all talking about how the
00:47:51.540 conservatives can start stealing seats
00:47:54.920 from the liberals uh eto anything with
00:47:57.620 the name etobicoke win it etobicoke
00:47:59.320 lakeshore center north they can win a
00:48:02.560 couple of the don mills writings they
00:48:04.100 can win few of the scarborough ones
00:48:05.680 york center willowdale they can win
00:48:08.320 all these but then there's writings
00:48:10.080 like parkdale high park
00:48:11.480 davenport um maybe even toronto center
00:48:15.220 where i'm sitting right now uh where
00:48:17.900 the ndp could come in and win they did
00:48:19.760 in 2011 but they got to get their act
00:48:22.180 together and i don't see the same kind
00:48:24.220 of discipline and organization that i saw
00:48:28.080 in 2011 from from jack layton and tom
00:48:32.960 mulcair was his organizational second
00:48:35.060 in command um tom mulcair had a big role
00:48:38.620 especially in quebec and winning that
00:48:40.120 if they get organized they can start
00:48:42.420 stealing these toronto seats from the
00:48:44.160 liberals but you know they've got to
00:48:47.100 get their act together and if that
00:48:48.800 happens that the liberals are are toast
00:48:51.780 for uh 10 years like they were
00:48:54.400 uh yeah back you know
00:48:56.380 yeah final one um you know uh goldie
00:49:03.740 so the tory mpp who was kicked out of
00:49:07.760 the pc caucus in queens park you know
00:49:11.300 i know her i like her and you know she's
00:49:15.540 a passionate person she um very involved
00:49:19.500 in you know the iranian issue pretty pro
00:49:22.220 israel i've had a lot of jewish canadians
00:49:24.280 getting in touch with me this week i'm
00:49:25.620 sure you have too saying they're mad at
00:49:27.800 doug ford for kicking her out and i've
00:49:29.960 said to them well here stay tuned i'm
00:49:32.160 going to google in 30 seconds um some of
00:49:35.620 the reasons why doug ford had no choice
00:49:37.800 which is her meeting with this notorious
00:49:39.740 british neo-nazi tommy robinson um because
00:49:43.240 he is one and um you know he's he's not a
00:49:46.640 good guy and the point i made is you know
00:49:48.960 they could have she could have just
00:49:50.480 googled his name and seen the same stuff
00:49:53.280 um but she met with him anyway what did
00:49:56.300 you think about that one maybe conclude
00:49:57.860 with like it's to me it's not so much
00:50:00.060 her it's the issue you know politicians
00:50:02.340 being smart about people they meet with
00:50:04.320 you've got to have a practice good
00:50:06.960 political hygiene i found it a bit rich
00:50:08.920 that merit styles was complaining about
00:50:10.920 who goldie gamari was meeting with
00:50:12.940 because uh i remember writing up about
00:50:15.180 merit styles standing under a flag of a
00:50:17.520 terrorist group from iran uh to denounce
00:50:20.720 donald trump it's utterly bizarre that
00:50:23.000 photo is still out there but you know
00:50:25.720 what surprised me about this is that
00:50:28.040 gamari has been at battling with rebel an
00:50:33.540 organization that i rarely even utter the
00:50:35.560 words in public uh since i left in 2017
00:50:38.680 she's been battling them since 2016
00:50:41.600 uh they published an article that is
00:50:45.260 recently as november she had been
00:50:46.720 threatening to sue them over claiming that
00:50:48.460 she was a social justice warrior and
00:50:50.840 trying to bring sharia law to canada and
00:50:52.580 things like that that's you know what
00:50:54.320 her argument is and you can google that
00:50:56.800 you'll find the the the twitter posts now
00:50:59.720 x post between her and and ezra levant
00:51:02.060 uh she's been fighting them and
00:51:04.460 robinson came to canada with rebel um
00:51:08.220 and you know she said well i didn't know
00:51:12.100 who he was as you say 30 second google
00:51:14.240 search you should be doing those um for
00:51:17.680 anyone you want to meet with i do it and
00:51:19.960 and i'm not an elected official but
00:51:21.440 somebody wants to meet me i'm like okay
00:51:23.060 well who are you and why exactly and you
00:51:26.320 just look them up and you you say yay or
00:51:29.920 nay but this was um this was not the
00:51:33.940 first incident and if it had been she'd
00:51:36.620 still be in caucus but um you know as you
00:51:41.220 say i know goldie uh still talk to her but
00:51:44.400 this was i think from the ford guys view
00:51:48.640 just part of a pattern and she knew that
00:51:51.300 it was making the center unhappy and she
00:51:55.860 was going forward with it anyway and it
00:51:57.960 look this is part of why i've i have never
00:52:00.780 run despite being asked several times you
00:52:03.640 you've got to be a team player and if you
00:52:07.340 can't be a team player you can't be part of
00:52:08.920 the team and that's what it comes down to
00:52:10.700 so you know she's going to stay on as an
00:52:13.080 mpp will she run again next time i don't
00:52:16.400 know could she get elected in carlton
00:52:18.080 she's pretty popular there uh that's a
00:52:20.720 riding that i used to live in while back
00:52:22.860 when i was in ottawa know it well um so
00:52:26.380 she could win again but if the pcs mount a
00:52:29.020 strong candidate against her that is a
00:52:31.560 solidly blue riding so it would be a
00:52:34.160 tussle the liberals are now chomping at the
00:52:37.060 bit that she does run as an independent
00:52:39.020 and uh in that way they can win the
00:52:41.980 riding which i'm really not too sure
00:52:44.180 about no me neither well i've had uh i
00:52:47.680 haven't anybody recently asked me to run
00:52:49.420 for them because i've got jurassic park in
00:52:51.600 my sketch in my closet right so it would
00:52:54.740 just it wouldn't work out well for
00:52:56.600 anybody well listen man thank you so
00:52:58.800 much for your wisdom today i think you're
00:53:01.060 up looking at the toronto skyline i am
00:53:03.780 it's beautiful morning and off to a jays
00:53:05.700 game you have a great time at the game
00:53:08.160 and have a great week thank you my
00:53:09.620 friend thank you
00:53:11.240 you can't write some cutting wood
00:53:22.080 i tell myself that every day you don't
00:53:25.720 need a lesson
00:53:27.040 do anything just end up back here and
00:53:30.400 you know the people say
00:53:31.760 it's repetitious and exhausting i'm a
00:53:35.460 little happy
00:53:36.360 and you think you'll keep me in check
00:53:39.980 through the day
00:53:41.020 hey yeah
00:53:42.200 hey yeah
00:53:43.400 don't think about your love
00:53:45.800 i'm ready steady shake it i'm gonna need a
00:53:50.360 second
00:53:50.660 but i hate the taste of medicine you just
00:53:54.920 need to let her go
00:53:56.160 these pills shaking in my head just make me feel
00:54:00.000 a fever
00:54:00.580 like i'm not able to just let her go
00:54:05.420 anyway
00:54:06.420 hey yeah
00:54:07.420 hey yeah
00:54:08.420 i hate this part but i love this cause
00:54:14.120 and the empty fire just means i need to
00:54:17.980 score
00:54:18.660 and the fire this morning
00:54:21.260 they fed my head
00:54:23.860 this day was so happy because i'm not dead
00:54:28.420 i just can't seem to get away
00:54:40.220 there's no such thing as you scare people with the
00:54:44.000 sad hands
00:54:45.220 you're always in the sense that thoughts into a
00:54:48.880 normal sense
00:54:50.120 i never take down anything you just have to
00:54:53.720 shaken
00:54:54.400 and it's constantly repeated
00:54:57.780 through the dust
00:54:59.060 hey yeah
00:55:00.220 hey yeah
00:55:01.320 through the dust
00:55:03.920 hey yeah
00:55:05.040 hey yeah
00:55:06.040 hey yeah
00:55:06.480 I hate this place
00:55:10.220 But I love these calls
00:55:12.820 And I'm defying
00:55:14.780 The time isn't scored
00:55:17.260 And the party is falling
00:55:19.600 And filled my head
00:55:22.460 It's jealous of
00:55:24.460 And we're tired of not dead
00:55:26.940 I hate this place
00:55:29.360 But I love these calls
00:55:32.260 And I'm defying
00:55:34.300 The time isn't scored
00:55:36.720 And the party is falling
00:55:39.080 And filled my head
00:55:41.920 It's jealous of
00:55:43.920 And we're tired of not dead
00:55:46.420 This is CFRA Live
00:55:59.460 Sunday Political Panel
00:56:04.300 And welcome to it
00:56:05.700 Lots to get to this morning
00:56:07.120 On our Political Panel
00:56:08.120 Joining us on the phone
00:56:09.000 Is Tasha Carradine
00:56:09.780 Political columnist
00:56:10.600 For the National Post
00:56:11.460 Author and writer
00:56:12.220 For GZERO Media
00:56:13.240 Tasha, thanks so much
00:56:14.480 For joining us
00:56:15.000 Happy Sunday
00:56:15.600 Happy Sunday
00:56:17.280 Warren Kinsella
00:56:18.160 Strategist and Postmedia columnist
00:56:19.600 You can read his latest
00:56:20.480 In the Toronto Sun
00:56:21.520 Warren, thanks for joining us
00:56:22.880 Morning guys
00:56:23.940 And Carl Belanger
00:56:24.900 Is the president
00:56:25.400 At Traction Strategies
00:56:26.580 Happy Canada Day
00:56:27.440 Early a bit, Carl
00:56:28.500 And same to you guys
00:56:30.040 On this holiday long weekend
00:56:32.860 I know the Prime Minister
00:56:33.740 Probably has a lot
00:56:34.520 On his mind
00:56:35.280 Let's just start
00:56:36.900 I guess
00:56:37.200 With the by-election victory
00:56:38.420 Because when we were
00:56:39.100 Chatting last week
00:56:39.740 I think
00:56:40.420 Tasha
00:56:41.140 I think even the
00:56:42.060 Conservatives
00:56:42.560 Probably would have
00:56:43.580 Taken a close result
00:56:44.920 As a win
00:56:45.700 In many senses
00:56:46.440 But this
00:56:47.000 Was very surprising
00:56:48.480 It was surprising
00:56:51.080 And it was a squeaker
00:56:53.000 And I actually
00:56:54.240 Spoke to the candidate
00:56:55.000 After he won
00:56:56.560 And the squeaker
00:56:59.040 Came because there
00:56:59.720 Was one poll
00:57:00.400 At the end
00:57:00.980 There were two polls
00:57:01.720 Where the Conservatives
00:57:02.480 Knew they would lead
00:57:04.140 And they were the ones
00:57:05.060 That were the last ones
00:57:05.820 Counted
00:57:06.400 So he said that
00:57:08.000 You know
00:57:08.260 We were keeping
00:57:08.760 Our hopes up
00:57:09.540 Even though it was
00:57:10.720 Obviously touch and go
00:57:11.940 But that this would be
00:57:13.320 Actually a victory
00:57:14.320 At the end of the day
00:57:15.040 And it was
00:57:15.620 By 590 votes
00:57:17.160 So it's
00:57:19.580 It was something
00:57:21.160 That nobody
00:57:22.280 In the punditry
00:57:23.460 Saw coming
00:57:24.100 Because everyone
00:57:24.820 I think
00:57:25.220 Just assumed
00:57:25.880 The Liberal seat
00:57:26.800 It's been a Liberal seat
00:57:27.540 Since 1993
00:57:28.200 That it would stay
00:57:29.600 That way
00:57:30.020 But be close
00:57:30.700 And even a close
00:57:31.600 Result
00:57:32.600 Would have been seen
00:57:33.660 As very damaging
00:57:34.720 To the Prime Minister
00:57:35.620 But this is
00:57:37.340 It's catastrophic
00:57:39.300 Quite frankly
00:57:40.200 And there are
00:57:41.660 Former by-elections
00:57:42.420 To go
00:57:42.900 In the next year
00:57:44.020 A couple of which
00:57:45.080 Also are
00:57:46.020 Really I think
00:57:47.120 A toss up
00:57:47.580 For the Liberals
00:57:48.160 So he's got
00:57:49.600 A lot of thinking
00:57:50.040 To do
00:57:50.420 Like you said
00:57:51.040 Warren I guess
00:57:52.720 I don't think
00:57:54.340 Entirely surprised
00:57:55.320 You said
00:57:55.700 You know
00:57:55.940 This would be
00:57:56.800 The alarm bells
00:57:57.520 You know
00:57:57.760 If they did
00:57:58.220 Lose this seat
00:57:58.860 Is it time
00:57:59.800 For the Liberals
00:58:00.520 To start panicking
00:58:01.360 About who their leader is
00:58:02.420 Well it's never
00:58:03.880 A good idea
00:58:04.360 To panic
00:58:04.980 But yeah
00:58:06.680 All of us
00:58:07.860 Were surprised
00:58:08.760 I predicted
00:58:10.240 On last week's show
00:58:11.200 That the Liberals
00:58:12.700 Would eke it out
00:58:14.100 Not because
00:58:14.860 It's a fortress
00:58:15.660 Necessarily
00:58:16.860 But you know
00:58:18.400 It's been a pretty
00:58:19.520 Safe spot
00:58:20.400 For them
00:58:21.120 As Tash has
00:58:22.020 Pointed out
00:58:22.500 For three decades
00:58:23.840 But you know
00:58:26.240 Polyev hadn't
00:58:27.160 Been campaigning
00:58:28.140 There I think
00:58:28.700 Since May
00:58:29.360 Jenny Byrne
00:58:30.960 Who runs
00:58:31.720 His campaign
00:58:32.620 Was
00:58:33.840 All of an
00:58:34.900 Angrily
00:58:35.840 Saying to reporters
00:58:37.000 Those of us
00:58:37.580 Who were calling
00:58:38.220 Saying we're not
00:58:39.300 Going to win
00:58:39.720 We're not going
00:58:40.500 To win
00:58:40.840 And then they
00:58:41.980 Won
00:58:42.280 And I think
00:58:43.700 People are
00:58:44.060 Surprised
00:58:44.340 It's a testament
00:58:45.180 To the hard work
00:58:45.940 Of the candidate
00:58:46.560 It was always
00:58:47.640 Going to be tough
00:58:48.340 But there were
00:58:49.760 Signs at the end
00:58:50.800 You know
00:58:51.100 Shipping down
00:58:51.800 Staff from Ottawa
00:58:52.760 Because they
00:58:53.240 Couldn't find
00:58:53.660 Enough people
00:58:54.220 To work on
00:58:54.800 Leslie Church's
00:58:55.600 Campaign
00:58:56.000 Who was the
00:58:57.000 Liberal candidate
00:58:57.740 Half of the
00:58:59.080 Liberal cabinet
00:58:59.900 Showing up
00:59:00.720 You know
00:59:01.620 The Prime
00:59:02.000 Minister
00:59:02.380 Saying and
00:59:03.480 Doing things
00:59:03.960 You could tell
00:59:05.580 At the end
00:59:06.120 That they were
00:59:06.720 Panicked
00:59:07.320 And
00:59:08.040 Themselves
00:59:09.320 But
00:59:10.100 You know
00:59:11.140 Has panic
00:59:12.000 Set in
00:59:12.520 Since then
00:59:13.140 It just
00:59:13.780 Reminds me
00:59:14.440 Of the
00:59:14.780 Biden thing
00:59:15.520 You get
00:59:15.940 These people
00:59:16.400 Just gotten
00:59:17.140 A kick
00:59:17.660 In the head
00:59:18.260 You know
00:59:19.140 And they're
00:59:19.520 Walking around
00:59:20.180 Saying oh
00:59:20.760 It's just
00:59:21.160 A flesh wound
00:59:21.900 You know
00:59:22.260 Like in a
00:59:22.640 Monty Python
00:59:23.280 Sketch
00:59:23.820 Like it
00:59:25.140 Was big
00:59:25.700 Like Tasha
00:59:26.520 Says
00:59:26.840 It was
00:59:27.400 Really big
00:59:28.240 And the
00:59:29.280 Government's
00:59:29.640 Not going
00:59:29.880 To fall
00:59:30.200 Because of
00:59:30.740 It
00:59:30.940 But it's
00:59:32.200 A clear
00:59:32.540 Indicator
00:59:33.100 That the
00:59:33.520 Liberal
00:59:33.720 Party
00:59:34.160 Is
00:59:35.280 Heading
00:59:35.740 To a
00:59:36.260 Disastrous
00:59:36.960 Loss
00:59:37.380 And they
00:59:37.760 Need to
00:59:38.000 Take it
00:59:38.260 Seriously
00:59:38.620 And I
00:59:39.100 Don't
00:59:39.220 Think they
00:59:39.560 Are
00:59:39.800 Carl
00:59:40.980 Were you
00:59:41.740 You were
00:59:42.500 All shocked
00:59:42.960 By the
00:59:43.300 Result
00:59:43.940 Here
00:59:44.160 As
00:59:44.600 Warren
00:59:44.920 Kind of
00:59:45.180 Alluded
00:59:45.540 To a
00:59:45.820 Little bit
00:59:46.040 Of a
00:59:46.240 Squeaker
00:59:46.520 Here
00:59:46.740 About
00:59:46.940 500
00:59:47.280 Votes
00:59:47.680 Not
00:59:48.860 Not as
00:59:49.100 Shocked
00:59:49.360 As
00:59:49.500 Liberal
00:59:49.780 MPs
00:59:50.280 Were
00:59:50.520 By the
00:59:52.700 Reaction
00:59:53.120 We've
00:59:53.400 Seen
00:59:53.560 This
00:59:53.820 Week
00:59:54.120 They
00:59:54.520 All
00:59:55.320 Know
00:59:55.660 Now
00:59:56.120 That
00:59:56.860 If they
00:59:57.140 Thought
00:59:57.340 They
00:59:57.500 Were
00:59:57.640 Safe
00:59:58.020 They
00:59:58.580 Realize
00:59:59.080 They're
00:59:59.320 Not
00:59:59.700 They
01:00:00.060 Realize
01:00:00.460 That
01:00:00.680 No
01:00:01.020 Safe
01:00:01.680 Seat
01:00:02.400 Exists
01:00:02.880 In
01:00:03.400 The
01:00:03.500 Liberal
01:00:03.740 Ream
01:00:04.180 And
01:01:04.620 That
01:01:04.820 That
01:01:04.840 Would
01:01:04.940 In
01:01:05.080 The
01:01:05.560 Fundraising
01:01:06.020 Everything
01:01:06.380 That
01:01:06.580 Would
01:01:06.680 Be
01:01:06.800 Involved
01:01:07.080 In
01:01:07.220 A
01:01:07.300 New
01:01:07.420 Leadership
01:01:07.780 Race
01:01:08.080 To
01:01:08.200 Get
01:01:08.340 That
01:01:08.520 Done
01:01:08.740 Do
01:01:09.260 You
01:01:09.360 Think
01:01:09.580 That's
01:01:09.920 Reasonable
01:01:10.480 Carl
01:01:10.860 To get
01:01:11.160 Done
01:01:11.340 Before
01:01:11.580 The
01:01:11.720 Next
01:01:11.880 Election
01:01:12.260 I
01:01:13.060 Guess
01:01:13.260 At least
01:01:13.600 The
01:01:13.740 Liberals
01:01:13.940 Are
01:01:14.080 Thinking
01:01:14.240 About it
01:01:14.500 Right
01:01:14.640 Now
01:01:14.820 But
01:01:14.960 Is it
01:01:15.200 Reasonable
01:01:15.680 well it's going to be difficult effectively because i mean there's a new the new trend in
01:01:23.180 in canada is to have long leadership race now it doesn't need to be long like it could it could
01:01:28.240 happen in two months it could happen three months trudeau could resign now and could have a new
01:01:31.840 leader by the fall uh is it going to happen i don't know i don't think so because i think trudeau
01:01:37.200 still wants to fight well yeah i think trudeau still believe that he's got it in him to defeat
01:01:43.280 pierre poiliev and he wants to have that fight and to be fair um right now if you look at the polling
01:01:49.740 a lot of voters say they'd like trudeau to go but when you poll different candidates to replace
01:01:56.260 trudeau nobody does better than him so why would you change leader in the laws in losing cause
01:02:01.940 for somebody that could lose even even worse than trudeau that could be the the best of a bad
01:02:07.480 situation in some senses but i guess warren from what we've seen with from all the the well current
01:02:13.100 liberal mp and one in caucus that's been speaking out but a couple of other past mps that have been
01:02:17.760 speaking out as well saying that that trudeau needs to go here do you think we're going to
01:02:21.160 continue to see that that pressure on the prime minister to to make a decision yes probably um
01:02:27.440 you know they're going to be looking at the polls to see if there's any change again but for you know
01:02:31.560 more than a year there hasn't been they've been behind by 15 or 20 points and what started to
01:02:37.600 happen this week it's not panic you know to use the word you used andrew but you know i've been
01:02:42.940 through this before i went through this with mr kretchen when i was working for him you know it's
01:02:47.540 like one member of caucus a member of the senate you know a couple former candidates a couple people
01:02:53.140 nobody's ever heard of these things it's like being nibbled to death by a thousand ducks it's slow
01:02:58.860 right they do a build and they do it that way to see how you're going to react or if it's going to work
01:03:03.920 because you don't they were working on putting together that matter on friday members of caucus
01:03:08.940 they did have many people who were willing to sign it and then they got cold feet at the end so that's
01:03:14.500 why you just saw one liberal mp do it but they you know i was being told i was getting messages from
01:03:20.340 from people saying watch at lunchtime on friday watch at lunchtime something big's coming and then it
01:03:27.340 was this one mp nobody had ever heard of and it was like oh well you know that's kind of fizzled but
01:03:33.340 again you know they have to take it seriously because this is how these things start they start
01:03:37.120 slow and tasha just from the the liberals perspective as i mentioned it might be a little
01:03:41.920 bit tough to get a leadership campaign up uh in going right now still does fairly well in polling
01:03:47.100 when it comes head-to-head to to peer polyam but you know just this seriously question i guess that
01:03:51.460 true to his viability as far as um the the candidate here to lead the party in the next election
01:03:55.680 yeah i think it's it's he's got he's got some serious choices to make here because it is the
01:04:02.700 death by a thousand cuts or death by a thousand ducks that's maybe more interesting that warren raised
01:04:07.440 there um that he's facing otherwise it's going to be very hard to manage a caucus that is actively
01:04:14.140 you know looking for the exit because you've got to get candidates for the next election and if you've
01:04:18.900 got people thinking they're going to lose well they may start thinking about not running again
01:04:23.300 um looking for other options in the private sector before they go down to defeat uh all sorts of
01:04:29.080 things so your party's going to become unmanageable that's a big risk um so trudeau has to to weigh all
01:04:35.940 that and yes other candidates aren't polling higher right now um but you know he he's facing almost
01:04:42.960 the same the same choice that macron faced in france and we're france is having elections today
01:04:49.380 because macron said okay my party got a shellacking in the european parliament elections we're going to
01:04:54.260 go for an election right now let's do it like let's gloves are off and people are shocked and he's
01:04:58.660 probably going to lose but the but you don't know and the point is that trudeau could do that trudeau
01:05:04.160 could pull the plug and call an election and say you know what you've all lost faith in me let's go
01:05:07.780 and see what happens and i think what's happening in the u.s is actually we're going to talk about that
01:05:13.920 too but i think it's actually going to help trudeau in a way because now the fear is
01:05:17.820 we're going to be facing donald trump in the u.s and that's changing the game for the entire world
01:05:22.920 including canada so um you know anything could happen but that is i think something he might even
01:05:28.240 consider is saying let's let's just do it rip the band-aid off it's a very interesting boy i do want
01:05:32.720 to come back to that kind of u.s point as well carl i wanted to ask you just in terms of if you're the
01:05:36.720 ndp here was looking at the results you know 11 of the vote here sorry yeah 11 of the vote here about
01:05:42.680 4 000 votes uh are you concerned if you're a member of the ndp watching the the shellacking
01:05:47.700 that uh the ndp also kind of received on the end of this as well because they have been propping up
01:05:52.660 the liberal government do you think any of these results that we're seeing in toronto st paul have
01:05:56.860 have any indication or um impact on on how the ndp is thinking uh i don't think so uh the ndp never
01:06:04.280 does well in by-election where they don't have a fighting chance and nobody thought the ndp could pull
01:06:09.400 this off now if they have invested um you know more resorters maybe they could have done something
01:06:15.600 there but they didn't think they they would have a chance to win so they did not uh what's interesting
01:06:21.600 is the by-election that's coming up in in la salle mar in montreal where they're running a popular
01:06:27.740 city councilor craig sauve and you are hearing noises about even the liberals saying we're going to lose
01:06:33.560 to these guys now if if jagmeet sings ndp wins that seat in quebec that is even bigger uh than
01:06:41.280 than the liberals losing toronto st paul uh because i mean la salle mar is paul martin's old seat
01:06:47.100 um they should not lose that but they are now talking openly so that national post about about
01:06:54.260 the fact that they could lose that seat to the ndp who finished third last time and so if that happens
01:07:00.280 um if you thought liberals were panicking this week just watch out yeah another interesting one
01:07:06.820 i'll be watching as well as the the halifax by-election as well because uh kind of kind of
01:07:10.800 goes back and forth between liberal and ndp a lot as well there has a a history there too just i wanted
01:07:16.000 to squeeze in a couple of more topics one of them on the opposition leader of course uh pierre
01:07:19.700 pauliev uh you know a lot of sunny ways for pierre pauliev right now when you're looking at the
01:07:23.960 the poll numbers but uh was reading a piece in the hill times this week talking about he has
01:07:27.980 the most potential here but there also is some concerns if if he were to fall into some some
01:07:33.060 pitfalls here uh tasha i think you kind of alluded to the to the u.s trump aspect here but what would
01:07:38.440 you tell pierre pauliev to avoid here over the next you know 12 months if you were advising him tasha
01:07:43.100 um i would say it's it's a state of course make sure you have no bimbo eruptions as they used to be
01:07:50.160 called uh or uh himbo eruptions of you know crazy stuff coming out of the party and um keep to
01:07:57.880 message discipline so you know i think that that's the economy it's crime those are the two big
01:08:03.740 issues that have resonated so far um i think that uh you know his his challenge will be exactly that
01:08:09.800 avoiding the deus ex machina and that could be from within the party or it could be things like
01:08:14.720 the donald trump they need a strategy to deal with that um and that's something i'm sure they
01:08:18.860 already contemplated but they they i think have to really stay on top of that one because that is one
01:08:23.600 of the only cards i think the liberals can actually play um and uh the liberals being desperate they
01:08:28.960 will probably play it hard in some way shape or form yeah yeah i think we've already seen them
01:08:33.120 kind of kind of play it hard thus far i guess uh warren kind of the same question but maybe phrased a
01:08:37.160 little bit differently i guess what's the biggest kind of risk or pitfall that pierre pauliev could
01:08:40.660 fall into with you know 20 points up in the polls well before i answer that question i just want to
01:08:46.060 applaud tasha for using latin on talk radio radio we're educating here i've been doing this stuff for a long
01:08:53.380 time but i don't think i've ever heard that before so i'm delighted to hear latin um i think it's what
01:08:58.920 she said earlier in english um like there's one canadian on thursday night you know i was you know
01:09:05.080 full disclosure i worked for biden as a volunteer in um the campaign that made him president and so
01:09:12.260 i'm biased but i was sitting there i couldn't sleep you know you're you get all jazzed up you get all
01:09:17.440 kind of messed up you know when you're waiting for election results hard to fall asleep and i was
01:09:23.320 like who's happy about this obviously the republicans i thought you know what justin trudeau's happy
01:09:28.600 tonight because now it is real and you know all next day and actually in all subsequent days i've
01:09:35.720 been hearing from canadians you know not americans who are really concerned now like this is real like
01:09:43.120 right now donald trump's gonna win he was winning going into the debate when those polls come out
01:09:48.320 showing the debate reaction like the big serious polls i think a lot of canadians are going to be
01:09:54.560 very very worried and the question they're going to ask themselves and trudeau's going to help them
01:09:59.100 along do you want pierre polyevre as prime minister when you have donald trump as president
01:10:06.080 and i'm already hearing from a lot of people saying no i don't want that i was happy to vote for
01:10:12.600 polyevre stay home if it was biden coming back i thought biden was going to come back
01:10:17.440 well now everything's changed i think trudeau's happy about that hey no question it definitely
01:10:23.800 helps uh well with their strategy that they've been maintaining so far i want to come back to
01:10:27.760 the u.s uh in a second but uh carl pierre polyev up in the polls huge as we mentioned you know
01:10:32.500 it almost seems like a coronation in some quarters but the idea what do you think is still out there at
01:10:38.220 risk for pierre polyevre when it comes to canadians heading to the polls and voting for him
01:10:41.560 when a ship is sinking you have to get out of the way and the danger is that probably everyone
01:10:46.500 that ship to think so bad that people try to help it think and and sometimes when you do that you
01:10:52.060 you're offering a boy to to the to the sinking ship and so so tasha's right like they have to stay
01:10:58.300 the course and keep saying what they're saying but temptation will be hard to say more things and
01:11:03.460 to push their own agenda and this is where you know we've seen it in the past the bozo eruption
01:11:09.220 happen where people are so confident they're so cocky that they they say things that gives a
01:11:15.380 lifeline to the sinking ship's captain and this is what could happen the danger is right there
01:11:20.400 so avoid to say those things be very disciplined stay focused on your message that has been working
01:11:27.220 uh because if you get out of that track uh you will maybe give a fighting chance to the liberals
01:11:34.640 and uh as i said we've seen that happen in the past sounds easy on paper it's uh it's a little
01:11:40.560 tougher in real life we'll see how it kind of scores out and i guess just well i've got you guys for a
01:11:44.380 few more minutes the the the um uh presidential debates out of the border we've alluded to it several
01:11:49.040 times just to kind of talk about that a little bit i warn you alluded to how kind of um uh your bias
01:11:53.940 towards joe biden which is kind of why i kind of wanted to ask you in a sense is this a you know
01:11:58.720 panic overblown right now or is there serious concerns here for the electorate and for the
01:12:03.580 democratic party about uh joe biden's uh ability to be president well i earlier said liberals shouldn't
01:12:10.220 panic um after saint paul's democrats should panic about this and so should nato and the european union
01:12:17.600 and ukraine and the baltic states and possibly israel those people should panic we should panic
01:12:23.400 because of what trump's been saying about trade and nato like it it is a disaster you know and i
01:12:30.280 love joe biden i have great affection for him i work for him i believe in him you know i've worked
01:12:35.900 for an old guy who mangled grammar and people you know uh underestimated all the time and that guy did
01:12:43.600 okay you can't come back from the 90 minutes of disaster we saw uh somebody who a lot of people
01:12:50.260 of affection for as well who's clearly ailing and so you know i kind of went from like it was like
01:12:57.060 kubler ross's you know five stages after death like i was depressed and then no i was shocked then i was
01:13:03.800 depressed now i'm angry because what i believe is biden's family his senior aides and senior democratic
01:13:12.400 people hid from the rest of us the full extent of this man's decline they participated in a fraud
01:13:19.260 and that fraud was was exposed on thursday night but they're not gonna be able to put that genie
01:13:24.440 back in the bottle like it's it's real and he it's cruel to him to put him up as the candidate again
01:13:30.840 but it looks like they're determined to do it there's five weeks left to have a contested convention
01:13:35.200 and i know it's a hail mary pass but that's the only way out i think at this point otherwise
01:13:39.920 you're gonna have trump as president just a quick follow is it kamala harris that's the natural you
01:13:44.720 know candidate here war what's your thoughts on that no her numbers are worse than his under the
01:13:49.120 25th amendment like if he if joe god help him drops dead or you know just quits under the 25th
01:13:56.040 amendment it she automatically becomes president but that's you know more of the same problem
01:14:00.640 um you know because i think a lot of american motors quite frankly are sexist
01:14:05.040 so uh because i work for hillary and i experienced that close hand so no i think you've got five
01:14:11.480 weeks here where biden says i'm gonna leave i'm gonna remain president until the swearing in and
01:14:17.380 we're gonna have an open contested convention like we used to and i'm gonna free up my delegates go
01:14:22.980 where they want and then newsome goes and shapiro and you know whitmer and whoever they all run and
01:14:29.200 it's an open convention will be the biggest televised event since the moon landing
01:14:32.480 and um it'll really help it'll really help these guys out but that's the only way out at this point
01:14:38.100 you could throw mayor pete into that mix as well i'm sure it would be fascinating to watch a final
01:14:43.020 kind of uh a showdown there uh carl just your your thoughts on just see i guess just your initial
01:14:48.680 reaction watching the debate i think everybody was kind of taking it back a little bit on thursday
01:14:51.900 night it was like watching the two old guys from the muppet show it was incredible like i keep
01:14:58.240 calling it cringe fest 2024 at the beginning it was bad enough when when when uh biden like said
01:15:04.420 proclaimed that he beat medicare somehow and and and trump you know jumped on that say yeah you beat
01:15:11.020 it to death and and and then at the end of the show they're arguing about their golf swing and their
01:15:15.540 handicap what was that it was embarrassing and you know you know the one who was laughing was
01:15:22.040 Vladimir Putin he must have been watching that was like laughing hard and slapping his his knees and
01:15:28.720 and and and just think like these guys are the leaders of the free world really and and this is
01:15:34.820 where it's so disheartening for people who are outside of this process looking at this because uh you
01:15:41.420 know the presidential debate back in the days used to be a very important moment where you saw guys with
01:15:49.560 different vision for sure but but guys that were credible and what the american voters saw in the
01:15:55.200 world saw is two guys that were not credible one because he's a pathological liar and a criminal to
01:16:03.220 boot and the other guy it was so much out of it i'm not sure if what was worse when he was talking or
01:16:09.480 when he was not yeah definitely i think you hit all the points there i tasha when it comes to i guess
01:16:17.000 yeah i guess your your initial reaction they say it's it's just something we we don't see in
01:16:20.800 politics so i think it was that more shot that much more shocking well i pitied biden and people
01:16:26.800 don't vote out of pity right you can't have someone who's pitiful running the free world to that point
01:16:31.820 um so i echo what my colleague said i think to add to that is the fact that um it's not just putin
01:16:38.760 who's rubbing his hands together i'm more worried about xi jinping if i were in taiwan right now i'd be
01:16:43.440 super nervous because um there's weakness in the white house and that you know that that weakness
01:16:51.140 is i i mean exploit it right while it's still there um so i think that this is setting setting
01:16:58.880 the dominoes up to fall in a really bad way unless the democrats change horses and unless they
01:17:03.400 succeed in winning the white house with someone who is a strong leader who can tackle the issues and
01:17:10.360 who can survive the next term i mean i think biden honestly in the last term basically killed him in
01:17:15.760 the sense of like physically it's draining look at obama looked even you know gray-haired and tired
01:17:19.880 when he left office and he was a young man um it is cruel to keep that man as the candidate is
01:17:26.040 absolutely cruel and it's it's it's putting everyone and democracy in peril quite frankly
01:17:31.600 as warren mentioned five weeks till uh uh that convention happening so we'll see if anything
01:17:36.520 happens between now and then but we'll leave it there for this morning uh carl belanger warren
01:17:40.240 kinsella tasha keratin thank you so much for your time i really appreciate it have a happy canada
01:17:44.260 day long weekend thanks guys bye as you heard president attraction strategies carl belanger
01:17:50.720 strategist post media columnist you can read his latest see the toronto set he is warren kinsella
01:17:54.700 and political columnist for the national post writer for g0 media and author tasha keratin
01:17:59.300 i belong
01:18:09.560 long way from
01:18:18.860 wease
01:18:21.140 Drank till I was thirsty again
01:18:23.860 We were searching
01:18:26.860 Through thrift store jungles
01:18:31.580 Found Geronimo's rifle
01:18:36.940 Marilyn's shampoo
01:18:39.220 Benny Goodman's corset and pen
01:18:42.220 Oh okay, I made that up
01:18:46.880 I promise you I'd never give up
01:18:51.580 If it makes you happy
01:18:54.280 It can't be that bad
01:18:59.780 If it makes you happy
01:19:03.760 Then why the hell are you so sad?
01:19:08.360 You get down
01:19:17.360 Real low down
01:19:21.660 You listen to cold rain
01:19:27.980 Derail your own train
01:19:30.180 Who hasn't been there before?
01:19:33.060 Go round
01:19:35.640 Round the hard way
01:19:40.720 Bring you comics in bed
01:19:45.720 Scrape the mold off the bread
01:19:48.060 Serve you bread's toast again
01:19:51.560 Oh okay
01:19:53.720 I still get stoned
01:19:56.120 I'm not the kind of girl you bring home
01:20:00.820 If it makes you happy
01:20:03.520 It can't be that bad
01:20:08.980 If it makes you happy
01:20:12.820 Then why the hell are you so sad?
01:20:17.900 If it makes you happy
01:20:19.900 If it makes you happy
01:20:20.900 If it makes you happy
01:20:21.900 It can't be that bad
01:20:24.900 If it makes you happy
01:20:26.900 If it makes you happy
01:20:28.900 If it makes you happy
01:20:30.900 Then why the hell are you so sad?
01:20:34.900 It's so sad
01:20:35.900 It's so sad
01:20:36.320 Been a long
01:20:44.900 One way from here
01:20:48.900 Put on a poncho plate for mosquitoes
01:20:56.900 Been everywhere in between
01:20:59.900 Okay, we get along
01:21:05.520 But what if everything was all wrong
01:21:10.260 If it makes you happy
01:21:12.740 It can't be that bad
01:21:18.000 If it makes you happy
01:21:22.240 Then why are you so sad
01:21:26.900 If it makes you happy
01:21:31.220 It can't be that bad
01:21:36.380 If it makes you happy
01:21:40.640 Then why the hell are you so sad
01:21:45.680 Why the hell are you so sad
01:21:56.900 Okay, it's voting day in Toronto St. Paul's
01:22:01.620 Carolyn Bennett has been the MP in that riding since 1997
01:22:05.520 She won nine elections
01:22:07.400 How long ago was 1997?
01:22:09.700 I know you're wondering over your cornflakes this morning
01:22:11.900 The five main leaders in that election
01:22:15.580 Jean Chrétien for the Liberals
01:22:17.580 Preston Manning for the Reform Party
01:22:20.020 That was a while ago
01:22:20.920 Gilles Duceppe for the Bloc
01:22:22.180 Alexa McDonough for the New Democrats
01:22:24.420 And Jean Chrétien raised the Progressive Conservatives
01:22:27.920 Back from two seats to 20 seats
01:22:30.320 Big bounce back from 1993
01:22:32.180 But what has changed is
01:22:34.580 This is now a very open riding
01:22:36.560 It is not going to be a Liberal blowout tonight
01:22:38.780 No matter what
01:22:39.520 Our next guest wrote an op-ed in the Toronto Sun
01:22:41.880 About said by-election
01:22:44.400 And the five reasons
01:22:47.120 Why it's time for Justin Trudeau to go
01:22:49.320 Perhaps regardless of tonight's result
01:22:51.360 He is Warren Kinsella
01:22:52.380 And he joins us now on Toronto Today
01:22:54.380 How about that 97 election, huh?
01:22:56.360 We all were a bit younger then
01:22:57.440 Yeah, I was a little active in that one
01:23:01.300 I confess
01:23:02.280 I bet, I bet
01:23:04.020 And for Carolyn Bennett
01:23:05.000 What a run
01:23:05.540 I mean, we've got to be honest
01:23:06.820 Nine straight elections
01:23:08.480 She, you know, kind of held that seat
01:23:11.020 Just to want to do it
01:23:12.340 And not, you know
01:23:13.940 I'm sure that she was tempted to do other things in life
01:23:16.200 Political or otherwise
01:23:17.200 But the whole same riding for 27 years
01:23:20.540 Most people have had enough after seven years, Warren
01:23:23.300 Yeah, but the
01:23:25.060 You know, that riding has always been what
01:23:27.740 People call a yellow dog riding
01:23:30.500 You could
01:23:31.140 The Liberals could run a yellow dog in it
01:23:33.200 And they would win
01:23:34.120 So it didn't really matter who your candidate was
01:23:36.800 Until today
01:23:38.100 Today's by-election
01:23:40.080 Is the first time
01:23:41.360 I've seen Liberals be nervous
01:23:43.360 About St. Paul's
01:23:44.760 Like if it's the end of the world, Greg
01:23:46.320 And God says, you know, to the Liberals
01:23:49.240 You're going to keep two seats
01:23:50.740 And they're going to wipe you out everywhere else
01:23:52.120 One is in Montreal, Mount Royal
01:23:53.940 And the other is St. Paul's
01:23:55.060 It is incredible that St. Paul's
01:23:57.600 Is actually in play today
01:23:59.220 Yeah, because even some ridings in the city
01:24:01.520 As you document
01:24:02.380 There's at times an NDP threat
01:24:04.800 And maybe the coin that it flips between
01:24:06.940 Is Liberal seat, NDP seat
01:24:08.900 Was never going to be a Conservative seat
01:24:10.720 But the NDP have really never been in play here
01:24:13.220 The Conservatives have never been in play
01:24:14.920 Their candidate is Don Stewart
01:24:16.800 The CPC
01:24:18.240 The Liberals is Leslie Church
01:24:20.460 And she's most recently been Chief of Staff
01:24:22.580 To Chrystia Freeland
01:24:23.960 Does this look like a coin flip to you?
01:24:26.740 Does this look like a very soft Liberal hold?
01:24:30.100 Yeah, I think the Liberals
01:24:31.460 At the end of the day
01:24:32.180 Are going to hold on to it
01:24:33.240 Because, you know, most people
01:24:34.220 At the end of the day
01:24:35.160 Don't vote for the candidate
01:24:37.040 You know, they don't
01:24:37.900 I've known Leslie Church for many years
01:24:39.880 I think her attachment to the riding is
01:24:42.700 You know, she would drive through it
01:24:44.320 On the way to Pearson
01:24:45.160 She's not from the riding
01:24:47.620 She doesn't know the riding
01:24:49.060 So, but it really doesn't matter
01:24:51.700 I think that, you know
01:24:53.240 People vote according to the party brand
01:24:55.200 And the brand, as I've indicated
01:24:57.220 Is pretty strong
01:24:58.400 The Liberal brand's pretty strong
01:24:59.840 In St. Paul's
01:25:00.680 But the Tory candidate is
01:25:02.480 You know, he's put on a good show
01:25:03.860 He's worked really hard
01:25:05.160 They've done some innovative campaigning things
01:25:07.400 And Greg, at the end of the day
01:25:08.560 I don't think the Tories
01:25:09.860 See it as a big loss
01:25:11.500 Is if they lose
01:25:12.480 Like, if they lose
01:25:13.960 Narrowly
01:25:15.100 That's a win for them
01:25:16.180 Because they've come close
01:25:17.160 To the Liberal stronghold
01:25:18.340 But also, they get to keep
01:25:19.880 A hold on their main asset
01:25:21.980 Their main asset
01:25:22.800 Is Justin Trudeau
01:25:24.000 Their whole campaign
01:25:25.140 At this point
01:25:25.780 Is just opposing Justin Trudeau
01:25:27.220 They don't want him to go
01:25:28.340 It's an interesting one
01:25:29.740 Warren
01:25:29.960 If you ran
01:25:30.660 Where you lived
01:25:31.660 As a, you know
01:25:32.860 Bright-eyed and bushy-tailed
01:25:34.300 Liberal MP
01:25:34.920 Or if I ran
01:25:35.740 Where I live
01:25:36.900 In Ajax
01:25:38.080 And someone said
01:25:38.740 Would you like
01:25:39.700 Christopher Freeland
01:25:40.940 To come door-knocking with you?
01:25:42.620 You know where I'm going with this
01:25:43.940 I don't necessarily
01:25:44.940 View it as a positive
01:25:47.340 At this particular point
01:25:48.600 Right now
01:25:49.100 But Church probably had no choice
01:25:50.520 Given the closeness of the two
01:25:51.740 Yeah
01:25:52.800 And Trudeau showing up as well
01:25:54.540 Yeah
01:25:54.780 They're all too close
01:25:55.640 To the blast radius
01:25:56.660 You know
01:25:57.100 And this is why
01:25:57.720 In the column I wrote
01:25:58.740 For the Sun
01:26:00.340 Is that Trudeau has to go
01:26:02.260 And he's smart enough
01:26:03.220 To know that he has to go
01:26:04.660 Because he's pulling
01:26:05.720 Everybody down
01:26:06.700 Everybody's being pulled down
01:26:08.460 With him
01:26:09.080 Including Leslie Church
01:26:10.640 Like we would not be
01:26:11.660 Having this conversation
01:26:12.860 Were it not for the fact
01:26:14.560 That Justin Trudeau
01:26:15.460 Still leads
01:26:16.320 The Liberal Party of Canada
01:26:17.840 After more than 10 years
01:26:19.400 But he just can't take a hint
01:26:21.220 You know
01:26:21.520 He can't leave
01:26:22.400 And so the Liberals
01:26:24.200 Are tanking everywhere
01:26:25.240 And he's hurting
01:26:25.820 Provincial Liberal Parties too
01:26:27.420 He sure is
01:26:28.280 Provincial Liberals
01:26:28.860 Are in considerable difficulty
01:26:31.540 Because people think
01:26:32.680 That Justin Trudeau
01:26:33.460 Somehow connected to them
01:26:34.680 So what's a timeline
01:26:35.980 Even if it's a soft
01:26:37.360 Liberal win
01:26:38.100 Do you see an announcement
01:26:39.340 Before
01:26:40.220 We all agree
01:26:41.360 There just isn't
01:26:42.140 Going to be an election
01:26:42.840 No matter how much
01:26:44.060 Our friend Alex Pearson
01:26:44.940 Wants one
01:26:45.400 There isn't going to be one
01:26:46.960 In the next 16 months
01:26:48.020 I've been telling her
01:26:48.680 That for years
01:26:49.200 It's not coming this year
01:26:50.120 It's not coming this year
01:26:50.980 But what's a timeline
01:26:53.040 For Justin Trudeau
01:26:54.560 To walk away
01:26:55.760 And how much
01:26:56.620 Does that set up
01:26:57.440 The next potential leader
01:26:58.640 A Mark Carney
01:26:59.340 A Sean Fraser
01:26:59.980 Whomever
01:27:00.480 For they're in the
01:27:01.820 Blast radius in October
01:27:03.040 No matter what
01:27:03.660 Anyway
01:27:03.980 Next year
01:27:04.460 Aren't they
01:27:04.800 Yeah they are
01:27:06.360 And I
01:27:06.820 You know
01:27:07.300 It's going to be
01:27:08.340 A change election
01:27:09.300 People are not
01:27:10.660 The governments
01:27:11.200 Defeat themselves
01:27:12.120 People are not
01:27:13.060 Voting for Pierre
01:27:13.980 Polyev
01:27:14.760 They're voting
01:27:15.660 Against Justin Trudeau
01:27:17.500 So
01:27:18.320 But even if he leaves
01:27:19.880 And I predicted
01:27:20.600 He would leave by now
01:27:21.880 But I still believe
01:27:22.960 That he's going to leave
01:27:23.820 Because you know
01:27:24.460 You don't get to be
01:27:25.180 Prime Minister
01:27:25.720 By being a dummy
01:27:26.760 He can read a poll
01:27:28.040 Like the next guy
01:27:29.500 And see that
01:27:30.380 The Liberal Party
01:27:31.020 Of Canada
01:27:31.620 Has been
01:27:32.560 As much as
01:27:33.440 21 points
01:27:34.580 Behind the Tories
01:27:35.500 For more than a year
01:27:36.580 Like that's
01:27:37.580 Just a death sentence
01:27:38.620 So he knows that
01:27:40.040 And he doesn't want
01:27:40.760 To wear that
01:27:41.420 And so I think
01:27:42.340 He is going to leave
01:27:43.060 It's just a question of when
01:27:44.140 The problem is
01:27:45.360 He needs to give
01:27:46.240 His successor
01:27:46.940 If he cares at all
01:27:48.080 About the Liberal Party
01:27:49.040 Of Canada
01:27:49.620 Which is an open question
01:27:51.100 He needs to give
01:27:52.200 His successor time
01:27:53.480 To get known
01:27:54.720 And rehabilitate the brand
01:27:56.300 He can't do
01:27:57.500 What Mulroney did
01:27:58.380 To Kim Campbell
01:27:59.260 Or what Pierre Trudeau
01:28:00.960 Did to John Turner
01:28:01.960 Right
01:28:02.480 You know
01:28:02.840 They were both
01:28:03.640 Prime Minister
01:28:04.140 For about 10 minutes
01:28:05.320 So in this case
01:28:06.840 You know
01:28:07.060 You need to give
01:28:07.700 Your successor time
01:28:08.720 To get accustomed
01:28:10.340 And get known
01:28:11.220 But you know
01:28:12.380 I just
01:28:12.620 So hang
01:28:12.940 Hanging in there
01:28:13.620 Until next March
01:28:14.320 Or April
01:28:14.740 It's like Lucy
01:28:15.480 Pulling the football
01:28:16.160 Out of the way
01:28:16.740 Of Charlie Brown
01:28:17.560 You've really set
01:28:19.200 Your successor up
01:28:20.880 For a pounding
01:28:22.180 In the fall of 25
01:28:24.000 Yeah
01:28:24.960 It's like sitting
01:28:25.700 On the deck
01:28:26.140 Of the Titanic
01:28:26.880 And saying
01:28:27.380 Oh I think
01:28:27.960 It's just a
01:28:28.640 You know
01:28:29.060 A small weather system
01:28:30.780 We're going to be okay
01:28:31.660 Everybody
01:28:32.100 You just can't do that
01:28:33.480 And you know
01:28:34.860 He's not giving
01:28:35.500 Any indication
01:28:36.380 He'll go
01:28:36.760 However
01:28:37.280 In fairness to him
01:28:38.140 He can't say
01:28:39.120 Hey I'm thinking
01:28:39.640 About leaving
01:28:40.280 Because at that point
01:28:41.440 His authority leaves
01:28:42.500 He's no longer
01:28:43.200 Prime Minister
01:28:43.780 So we'll all find out
01:28:45.260 At the last minute
01:28:46.100 You know
01:28:46.520 He'll tell his staff
01:28:47.760 That morning
01:28:48.700 And then he'll walk
01:28:49.400 Over to the press theater
01:28:50.280 And that'll be it
01:28:51.320 Well that's
01:28:51.680 Kathleen Wynne's move
01:28:53.340 In 2018
01:28:54.040 A week and a half
01:28:54.780 Before we vote
01:28:55.300 Hey everybody
01:28:55.820 We're not going to win
01:28:56.680 And the candidates
01:28:57.480 Are like
01:28:57.880 Thanks for that
01:28:58.880 We really appreciate
01:29:00.520 Really appreciate you
01:29:02.240 Pulling the drain
01:29:03.680 Out of the tub
01:29:04.280 Thanks very much
01:29:05.200 That was one of
01:29:06.700 One of the worst
01:29:07.620 Campaign moves
01:29:08.400 I've ever seen
01:29:09.180 Yeah
01:29:10.080 Warren I got a blast
01:29:11.340 And leave it there
01:29:12.100 I know we wanted
01:29:12.580 To get to some other stuff
01:29:13.320 But maybe later in the week
01:29:14.160 We can find time
01:29:15.340 I appreciate it
01:29:16.060 Thanks my friend
01:29:17.220 I am just
01:29:19.760 Another fool
01:29:22.240 And I have to
01:29:25.740 Keep telling
01:29:28.600 Myself that
01:29:31.560 I am just
01:29:33.380 A hypocrite
01:29:36.020 And I have to
01:29:39.460 Keep calling
01:29:42.420 You one
01:29:44.860 Cause I forgot
01:29:48.380 To bat my tongue
01:29:50.600 And my assumption
01:29:53.040 It is the mother
01:29:56.080 Of all mistakes
01:29:59.200 But I assume
01:30:02.360 The role
01:30:03.460 Opened my mouth
01:30:07.020 And clumsy words
01:30:11.440 Escape
01:30:12.780 So I
01:30:14.900 Wanna be there
01:30:19.080 When you could be here
01:30:22.520 You are slipping away
01:30:26.400 I awake
01:30:28.220 To your replacement
01:30:30.860 A bottle in my mouth
01:30:34.320 In an unfamiliar place
01:30:40.180 Cause you put me out
01:30:42.760 The butt of a sick joke
01:30:46.320 Into this ashtray life
01:30:49.880 As you come and go
01:30:53.260 Cause I forgot
01:30:56.900 To service you
01:30:59.260 And we broke down
01:31:02.000 And you can't live
01:31:04.540 With my mistakes
01:31:07.700 But I assumed
01:31:10.860 But I assumed false grace
01:31:12.120 Opened my arms
01:31:15.640 And grasped for something true
01:31:21.360 How are you?
01:31:24.140 How have you been?
01:31:28.140 Girl I miss you
01:31:31.140 When I see you again
01:31:35.100 Oh wire
01:31:37.300 Wanna be there
01:31:41.360 When you could be here
01:31:44.860 You are slipping away
01:31:48.860 You are going to be there
01:31:53.540 You are going to be there
01:31:53.680 Come and go
01:31:54.540 Please
01:31:54.980 misunderstand me
01:31:56.160 Come and press
01:31:56.840 Let me
01:31:57.880 I wanna
01:31:58.740 Be there
01:31:59.100 You are going to be there
01:32:00.600 You are going to be there
01:32:01.780 For what you mean
01:32:02.940 You are going to be there
01:32:04.700 So I
01:32:05.360 Love you
01:32:06.120 I love you
01:32:07.240 You am
01:32:08.240 It
01:32:08.700 You are going to be there
01:32:10.100 You are going touem
01:32:10.700 You are going to be there
01:32:12.240 Heaven
01:32:12.640 May
01:32:13.300 May
01:32:14.380 You are going to be
01:32:14.960 And hear
01:32:17.720 I bring out the worst in you, and you try to let me know.
01:32:33.920 You bring out the worst in me, anxiety, anxiety.
01:32:47.520 I'm trying hard to let you go, but you say I'm giving you the creeps, but I assume the role, open my claws, and grasp for your heart.
01:33:14.320 How are you? How have you been? Will I miss you? Won't I kill you again? Into you.
01:33:30.320 Like a moral stake, so vindictive. You're not slipping away.
01:33:42.320 Let me know.
01:33:47.320 You