KINSELLACAST 358: It's Easter! Short show, with Kheiriddin, Belanger, Mulroney - plus hardcore!
Episode Stats
Words per Minute
166.4989
Summary
On this episode of The KinsellaCast, Warren talks about his Easter weekend, the election, and why he thinks either Tory or Lib Dem candidates are a good bet to win the election. Plus, he gives his thoughts on the debate, and gives his picks for who he thinks would make a good Prime Minister.
Transcript
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It's the KinsellaCast, starring Warren Kinsella.
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Hey, it's Warren, welcome to the KinsellaCast, and happy Easter.
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I was up early and did CFRA, which I'm going to play for you with Tasha Garibald, Carl Belogian.
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We bought books, I bought a book of poetry, got some used clothes, got some Easter candy.
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Unfortunately, I was in Toronto when the pandemic hit.
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My kids were all grown, and it was in that two-week period, I'm sure you remember, when it felt credible that the world was going to end.
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So I figured, well, if the world's going to end, I may as well do it at my old farmhouse in Prince Edward County.
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So I loaded up the dogs and a bit of stuff, headed to the county.
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And, like, you can pull it off if you have a good internet connection out here and if you're prepared to drive back and forth a lot.
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I love it out there, especially when there's nobody around.
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My therapist once asked me what I'd do if I fell and hurt myself, which I've done, but couldn't get up.
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And I'd die by looking up at the birds in the sky.
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I gave Brian and John and other people the week off because it is Easter after all.
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And that was the plan, but he was busy, you know, being premier and all that stuff.
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But I've got some drug, church, and military gun, and Frank Carter.
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Frank Carter, lately, he's fronting the Sex Pistols.
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I'm heading to Israel, I should mention, for a couple weeks on Tuesday, I leave.
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So the next couple shows are going to be from over there.
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And I guess I'll be watching the election returns from over there, too.
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And on that, I wanted to give you some observations from the past week.
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And like in my ongoing Pollyanna role during election 2025, honestly, I think Carney or Polyev acquitted themselves, not or, and Polyev acquitted themselves well in the debates.
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And either guy would make a suitable prime minister.
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And that's something, you know, that the Americans haven't been able to say for many years.
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We voted, because we're going to be away, in the first day of the advance polls, like about 2 million other people.
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And I'm in a rural area, as noted, so it always leans blue.
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But there was lots of gray hair, well, except for E, and MPs and staffers and pollsters have all told me that gray hair equals Carney supporter this cycle, like without exception, almost.
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But the debates are done, the candidates are finalized, the vote happens in just over a week.
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As before, as before, I sat down with pen and paper and listed what was good and bad about the two main party leaders, because both Polyev and Carney had pluses and minuses.
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So I even made it into a cartoon, which people liked.
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So here's what I came up with, and I'll do the negatives first.
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So Polyev, he can be Trumpy, like I'm sorry, Tory partisans, but it's true.
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Polyev's never really worked in the real world, like he's a professional politician.
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He's never had to meet a payroll, like those things matter.
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Which is base loves, but it is alienated, the gettable vote, women in particular.
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His footsie with the convoy crowd, the anti-WEF conspiracy theory bullshit, the hostility towards vaccines.
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And all those things are in their rear view now, I agree.
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Carney's negatives, he's really bad on Israel and China.
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Like, he's got a couple dozen candidates who openly hate the Jewish state.
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He's been really unfair to Israel, which, remember, didn't start the war.
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And Carney's unclear on what should be a crystal clear moral question.
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And on China, he too often sounds indifferent to the real threat,
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the manifest threat posed by that dictatorship.
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And he's tried to turn that into an asset, understandably.
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But when facing off against the likes of Trump, political experience matters.
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And finally, his negatives are, you know, he leads a party that's been in power for too long.
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Like, the Liberal Party desperately needs new blood and new ideas and new approaches.
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So here's what I came up with in my list making.
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Actually, he's great on Israel and foreign interference, much more than Carney.
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He lets you know where he stands on important moral questions.
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And he's on the right side for democracy and civilization and our national interests and all that's good.
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Paliyev doesn't want to leave our natural resources in the ground.
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Given the Trump threat to our economy, we need to get our commodities to new markets.
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Like, we in the media too often get sucked into horse race and strategy coverage bullshit.
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We don't pay close enough attention to what the party's platforms say.
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And for those who check, they'll see that Paliyev has a smart, balanced plan.
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Like, the party with the policies that are friendliest to workers and the little guy in this campaign, ironically, is Paliyev.
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And that's why so many trade unions have endorsed him.
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And to me, unsurprisingly, he is arguably the best candidate for PM since my former boss, Jean Chrétien.
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And given that we face a major economic existential threat from the U.S., that is a big, big asset.
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Also, until his platform came out, I thought he was a blue grit.
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If you listen to him carefully, you'll agree that he is the most fiscally conservative liberal leader since Chrétien.
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He wants to move his party closer to the ideological center, I thought, which is desperately needed.
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And I thought he was an economic centrist until his platform came out.
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It's going to result in our credit rating being lowered.
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Like, Trudeau was obviously despised by Trump with the 51st state stuff and the governor's stuff and all that.
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But Carney somehow has calmed Trump down since assuming the title of prime minister.
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And like at any other time, being a boring, bland banker would be a political negative.
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But now that Canada is the political equivalent of your grandma's apartment atop a meth lab, bland and boring is welcome.
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When I watched Carney interviewed by my friend Nardwar, the human serviette,
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and Carney knew the name of the first-class drummer off the top of his head,
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well, that's reason enough to vote for him right there.
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Anyway, I don't vote for Pierre Polyevre or Mark Carney.
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Like most of you, I vote directly for the local candidates in my locality.
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And while you're at it, do up a list of your own and vote.
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I was taken on water, trying to get back to land.
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Well, now I saw you through the window of another burning house
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I just thought you'd live there so I went and shut my mouth
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You keep giving signals that I don't understand
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Tasha Carradine, political columnist for the National Post
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Warren Kinsella is here, strategist and post-media columnist
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And Carl Belanger, president at Traction Strategies
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It's also the final day of Passover for those who celebrate
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I kind of want to work back to the debates this week
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But a few points of news from the campaign trail this weekend
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Won 2 million Canadians voting in advance polls on Friday
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Now, normally this would be evidence of kind of a change election, guys
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But as we know, it's not really a typical election
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Is there anything that we should be taking from seeing the long lineups of the polls
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I also don't know if it's a harbinger for one party or another
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We saw a surge during COVID for obvious reasons
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So that is, I think, a sign that, first of all, advance polls are here to stay
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Yeah, no, definitely great for democracy in general
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In terms of trying to kind of grab a read on this, Warren
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We kind of would typically see something like this as kind of a change election
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It seems we're kind of getting normalized to advance voting as well
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Is there anything you've taken from the long lines that we're seeing in many cities across the country
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You know, on the very first day of the advance polling
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So that tells me that Elections Canada, at least in my area
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Did not foresee that 2 million people were going to vote
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So usually that signals bad, bad tidings for a government
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But like every single head in the lineup ahead of me
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And what I've been told by conservative MPs in this election campaign
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Is when they knock on doors and there's grey hair
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And young people who traditionally, you know, vote progressive
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But Main Street's saying, at least this morning
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I mentioned that earlier on the Main Street poll
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What do you kind of make of the huge record numbers
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Very happy to be joined by a good friend of the show, a good friend of mine, Warren Kinsella,
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former special advisor to Jean Chrétien and CEO of the Daisy Group.
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Warren knows as much about running an election campaign as anybody,
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so to have him with us so we can lean on his knowledge and his insights during this election campaign,
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invaluable to me and invaluable to the listeners of the Ben Mulroney Show.
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So yesterday, after some quiet time from Donald Trump, he reared his head again,
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the threat of a 51st state and annexation and all that stuff,
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It was the CBC goading his press secretary into saying something.
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I'm not so cynical as to assume that Katie Simpson of the CBC did it deliberately,
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But Katie Simpson is an excellent reporter, as you and I both know.
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And then we also didn't know what was going to come out of the White House press secretary's mouth.
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If she could have, they could have reversed course, but they haven't, clearly.
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And that accrues mainly to Mark Carney's benefit.
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However, like if he tries to use it tonight, Ben, it'll be a reach, right?
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Like, it's like, OK, we got the prime minister of Canada quoting a press secretary.
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And what does Polyev do with it, Blanchet do with it?
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they're still thinking about us as the 51st state.
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And meanwhile, there's a poll that I really I want to highlight on the show.
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We've talked about a couple of times in the National Post.
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It says three quarters of Canadians who plan to vote conservative say that the emotion that's
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going to get them off the couch and it's going to get them to check a box in favor of their
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conservative candidate is hope for a better future.
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And in contrast, six out of 10 liberal voters say they're motivated by fear of what the future
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Yeah, there are two buttons available to you in a campaign, which is hope and fear.
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And, you know, when you're in opposition, you tend to hammer away at the fear button.
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And, you know, they're going to wreck things even worse and et cetera, et cetera.
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So like Ronald Reagan, you know, it's morning in America again.
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But like this is fascinating that the liberals are now in the position, at least according
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Now, would you recommend if you if you had the ear of the of the conservative campaign,
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would you recommend that they lean into this and maybe put together a quick online
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promotional ad campaign, pushing that message of hope, that feeling of hope?
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But, you know, I mean, like, you know, I just I've been waiting for two years for Pierre
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Pogliev since he became leader to say, you know, not the country is broken.
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It's like this country's got lots of problems, but I love this country.
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And I think he is, in fairness to him, during that two year period when he was talking about
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the country being broken, a lot of people agreed with that.
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But the problem now is arisen in the month of January is Donald Trump comes in and also
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So, you know, making that pivot at this point after week three in the campaign, it's pretty
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However, you know, like, you know, your dad did it in 88 with John Turner.
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Turner was surging over, you know, a hope, fear type exchange during the debates.
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And then it was the, you know, the bomb, the bridges.
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So it was just kind of leveling any kind of advance that Turner had made.
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It is possible, but you've got to be ready to get your creative, your spots dropping tonight.
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You know, that's what the NDP did with Michael Ignatiev, right?
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You know, part of being leader of the opposition is showing up for the job.
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And then they had to add the drop right after the debate and it just killed Ignatiev.
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And listen, I'm a big believer in the debates being consequential.
00:43:07.480
How consequential depends on what is said and how consequential depends on who gets the
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There's a lot of debate news that we've got to talk about.
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We've got to talk and I'll just list them off and we'll talk about them organically.
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You've got the fact that they changed the French language debate time to suit a hockey
00:43:24.060
You've got the fact that a last minute change of who can come to the debates with the
00:43:33.240
What does it say about, I mean, I don't think we have to talk about the debate commission
00:43:37.900
itself, but it doesn't seem like they're being run very well.
00:43:41.480
Well, you know, but what's more Canadian than that?
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The change, a consequential leaders debate for a hockey game.
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But the Greens not being there, that actually accrues to Polyev's favor.
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When I prepped Kretchen in 2000, he said to me, oh, you know, there's going to be all
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I said, if I could get more people on stage yelling at you, I'd do it.
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Because all you have to do is sit there and, you know, cross your arms and look like a
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And they all look like, you know, snapping little dogs at your ankles.
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So it works to Carney's favor if the more people on stage, because then he looks like
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So the fewer the antagonists he's got, you know, it can work for them.
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My prediction is Polyev is going to cool it a bit tonight.
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He'll have a couple of killer lines and they're going to be looking for the clips.
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The clips is what matters, because increasingly, sadly, a lot of people don't watch debates.
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I was hearing that Blanchet was really didn't want Pedno there from the Green Party because
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he acquits himself very well in French and he didn't have to compete on that level.
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And then, you know, Blanchet and Singh have got the same problem is they're being just
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their momentum is being killed by the Liberal Party.
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So those two guys, you know, somebody one of my readers said to me this morning,
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oh, you know, Blanchet's going to go after Polyev.
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You know, his the threat to his existence is the Liberal Party and their Mark Carney.
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So I expect the NDP and the bloc are going to go hard after Carney because they have to.
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Talk to me about this piece that you've written recently in The Sun about Elections Canada
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You know, I'm full disclosure, I'm a church going Catholic, but I'm not a fanatic about it.
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And when I looked at the dates, I was like, holy smokes, no pun intended.
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Like they're having the advanced polls, you know, on Good Friday, Easter Sunday, Passover.
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Um, and, and like those Holy Week, it's the most Holy Week of the year for Jews and Catholics.
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And I checked the legislation, I checked the Elections Act and the Elections Commissioner,
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Maybe they think they could, they could get away with it.
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Maybe they're locked in because of the election date.
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But it, I was quite surprised because it, I thought that some people would get upset about that.
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I watched, as I'm sure you did, I watched the leaders on Tout le monde en parle.
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And I was struck by, if I'm being completely objective and fair, how much better Carney's
00:46:38.040
French was in that moment than I've seen at all in the, in this campaign.
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He was even in English extemporaneously, he ums and ahs his way through answers.
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And I was quite taken as my goodness, if he's able to do that in just a matter of days,
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what's he going to be like on the debate stage?
00:46:55.040
Well, we, you know, we've both seen it when you're an Anglophone, with the exception of
00:46:58.500
your dad and maybe Joshua Ray, you know, there's very few Anglophones.
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Who can slip into both cultures instantaneously where you can't really tell the difference.
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And the, you know, what you've got to do with your candidate, if he's an Anglophone like
00:47:12.340
Carney is you're going to make sure he's sat around and by Francophones the entire week
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So there's no slipping back of their brain into speaking English because you can see that
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So my suspicion is the liberals have surrounded Carney.
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Cause if you look at Carney's schedule, he's kind of disappeared in the past week.
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He's done a couple of media avails, but not a lot.
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And I think that's a recognition of the fact that Carney's French wasn't where it needed
00:47:41.200
So they basically put them back into French immersion, showing some results.
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I don't know what I'm going to watch on tape delay.
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I don't know what I'm going to watch on social media.
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There's going to be a lot to consume tonight for a person like myself.
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Money for a chase, it hurts, four-wheeler rides
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And in time, we can confirm that there's no plan