00:01:27.420Long ago, long, long time ago, as they say in Star Wars, in the prehistoric times, before the internet, I was a reporter at a fine post-media paper, the Calgary Herald.
00:01:47.800And I'd work there on weekends, during law school, keep myself and craft dinner.
00:01:53.280And one of my jobs was listening to the police scanner.
00:01:56.620Whenever there was a big car crash on some local roadway, I'd head out, occasionally with a photographer in tow.
00:02:03.560And when merited, I'd write a few paragraphs about the crash, and the photographer would take some pictures.
00:02:08.100And then later on, people would inevitably call in and say, we are ghouls and grave robbers, and that they were sick of our negativity, and they were canceling their subscription.
00:02:57.940And watching the bromance of Donald Trump and Elon Musk implode on social media this week,
00:03:03.340I was reminded of this collective fondness for nastiness.
00:03:06.960The entire world, pretty much, was glued to their devices, watching for the next installment in the Donald and Elon show.
00:03:13.920For many of us, it was better than the playoffs.
00:03:17.200Trump threatened to cancel Musk's government contracts.
00:03:20.440Musk agreed that Trump should be impeached.
00:03:22.780Trump suggested that Musk was mentally ill.
00:03:25.180Musk said that Trump was in the Epstein files, and so on and so on.
00:03:28.340But like Trump's White House staffers were frantically convening meetings to figure out ways to get the boys to step away from the downward cycle of mutually assured social media destruction,
00:03:39.140They knew that billions of people, leaders of nations included, ominously, were observing the spectacle.
00:03:46.760It was bad for business, they told the media, anonymously.
00:12:04.860The relationship with India has been completely destroyed after the government came out with an entire Indo-Pacific strategy a couple of years ago, which basically Trudeau destroyed.
00:12:14.100So, you know, all that work went for nothing.
00:13:46.040At some point, you have to stand on some principles, and this is not it.
00:13:50.400So, frankly, it's disappointing to your desk.
00:13:53.620Donald Trump is a different ballgame altogether.
00:13:56.780But when it comes to India, you know, it's more than political interference when we're talking about a plot to assassinate Canadian citizens, on Canadian soil, no less.
00:14:31.820We saw the tariffs this week, steel and aluminum, going from 25% to 50%.
00:14:35.460We've been kind of slow playing our response, it seems, to the not so much a great reaction from the steel industry at this point.
00:14:43.780We're also hearing about possible ongoing U.S. trade talks.
00:14:47.320Tasha, I guess, what's your read on this whole situation between us and the U.S. right now?
00:14:51.220There's whispers out there that there's possibly a deal getting done, but Pete Hoxtra is also talking out of his behind, I think, a little bit here.
00:14:58.320So, what's your read of what's going on here?
00:15:01.320My read is that I can't read it because it's happening behind the scenes.
00:15:05.520You know, it's, again, this is Carney's style is very different than Trudeau.
00:15:09.920So, this is the sort of thing that's done, and it reflects his experience, I think, as a central banker as opposed to a politician.
00:15:17.260It's like, okay, let's get people in the room and figure it out, right?
00:15:20.640Politics is much more complicated, much messier.
00:15:23.240As my colleagues' comments point out, people have different views.
00:15:26.220They can be very strong and based on issues that are not, I should say, that are not economic, for one thing, but that also engage communities.
00:15:36.780Carney's not that interested in engaging communities as much as getting stuff done.
00:15:42.320And so, in this case, yeah, I think he is talking to Trump.
00:15:45.560I don't know if they get a deal in a week.
00:15:47.280That would be pretty impressive, quite honestly.
00:15:50.540I think, though, that the reflection of the fact that they've tabled these two bills, I know we want to talk about those, on border security in particular, go to the issues that are, you know, a problem for the U.S.
00:16:03.040So, I think that reflects those bills.
00:16:26.260The U.S. ambassador to Canada, Pete Huckstra, this week speaking about how, you know, these talks are going so great they haven't even leaked out as I could, as I'd leak them out right now and speak about how they're happening right now.
00:16:36.840To me, that screams to me that the Trump administration might be in a hurry to get a deal done here.
00:17:46.060I could actually see Trudeau picking up the phone and saying,
00:17:49.220Donald, you know, we're concerned about you coming.
00:17:52.160You know, you've got lots of other things to do.
00:17:54.540Perhaps you should, you know, reconsider attending the G7.
00:17:58.700I think what Carney is doing is bringing in despots and others who violate the rule of law to the G7 to give Trump cover.
00:18:07.500Like, I think that's actually what's taking place here.
00:18:10.000And, you know, it is all kind of extraordinary.
00:18:12.800I just wonder if liberal voters think that this is what they were going to get when they voted for Mark Carney.
00:18:18.680I wanted to just quickly ask you about that as well, Warren, because I've been kind of referencing that, you know, there's a lot of contrast things going on here.
00:18:26.380One, I do find a lot of similarities between Mark Carney and Stephen Harper at this moment.
00:18:31.380But does this put Pierre Paulyev in a weird spot?
00:19:24.480Like, he can't do the convoy and anti-vax and all the other crazy stuff that he did, you know, four years ago, three years ago, because that just pushes him further to the margins.
00:19:36.800He knows he needs to move to the center, but Mark Carney is already there.
00:19:41.000He's already there on the center and the center right.
00:19:44.020That's where I find it kind of fascinating is the positioning right now where it is.
00:19:48.240Carl, back to Prime Minister Carney in a sense of talking about how we're responding to the U.S. right now.
00:19:53.580Now, we've been kind of slow playing our response to U.S. tariffs, the doubling of tariffs.
00:20:51.960So, what are we willing to compromise to get into a situation where, you know, three years down the road, it might be the same ballgame all over again?
00:21:15.680There's a reason why Mark Carney was considered as a potential successor to Jim Flaherty as a minister of finance by Stephen Harper.
00:21:23.020This guy, you know, ran on a platform that was clearly a progressive conservative platform.
00:21:29.980He's moved to the right, and he banked on New Democrats being so scared of Pierre Poirier that they would vote for him even if he was moving to the right.
00:21:49.520That's the kind of stuff that, you know, the NDP will look at and say, hey, there is some hope because Mark Carney is opening up his left flank.
00:21:56.500So, the question is, how long will Pierre Poirier have scared Canadians?
00:22:01.720Will he keep going in the same direction he's been going, or will he shift right now?
00:22:09.760But it will be interesting to see how the conservatives react in the next few weeks and months, especially after Pierre Poirier comes back in the House of Commons.
00:22:18.480And you mentioned the border bill, one of them.
00:22:20.460Two big, beautiful bills this week, we can call them.
00:22:22.980So, the border bill and the one Canadian economy bill, just you mentioned the overreach there on the border bill, the criticism that it's getting across.
00:22:30.060We'll start there because, you know, some of this stuff, I remember Vic Taves back in like 2012, right, is some of the same stuff, some of these same powers that law enforcement were looking for.
00:22:38.600And it did not go well for him and for the conservative government.
00:22:41.420But now they're also in this bill as well.
00:22:43.680I guess, is this kind of further proof of what you're saying of this progressive conservative kind of aspect of this prime minister and this new government?
00:22:52.640Because, you know, when you look at the bill and the powers that it's giving different authorities, it has nothing to do with the border.
00:22:58.380There's a lot of stuff in there that is clearly an invasion of Canadian privacy for no good reason other than the state wants to have that power, you know, to snoop in and what Canadians are doing.
00:23:10.060So it would appear similar to what Vic Taves was doing back then.
00:23:16.500And it's also one of those famous, you know, omnibus bill that encompass so many things that it will be hard for Canadians to understand the full extent of it until it is put into force.
00:23:28.780And then that's where we will see core challenges probably arise from situation and could take a long time for some of the provisions of that to be striking down.
00:23:38.780But Warren, as a lawyer, would know better than me on this.
00:23:41.500But I feel that this bill, you know, is the first step into not only shifting Mark Carney into a progressive conservative, but shifting the entire government.
00:23:51.740And you can see all these, you know, formerly woke liberals lining up behind him because he brought them back to paradise.
00:24:00.000And Warren, two big bills, that one of them, the border bill as well, the one Canadian economy bill, also part of this as well, kind of fulfilling a big election promise here.
00:24:08.300Do you take anything from these two bills you kind of already alluded to, kind of heading more towards more conservative overtones here?
00:24:13.500Well, they're both consistent with my growing theory about Carney and about this government is they are becoming, they're orbiting towards the right.
00:24:25.200You got civil liberties groups losing their minds over the border security bill.
00:24:30.040You know, under Trudeau, we had a massive increase in migrants into this country for good or for ill.
00:24:35.700And this guy's talking about increasing police powers at the same time that Trump's sending in the Marines into Los Angeles, by the way, to prevent migrants from reaching Canada.
00:24:48.820And then you've got on the economic front, you know, what he's talking about there, essentially, the focus of that legislation is boosting pipelines and critical minerals and mines and nuclear facilities.
00:25:04.040And again, as Carl's pointed out, the left is going to lose their mind over that as well.
00:25:11.420He wants to get all of that passed before the House rises on June the 20th and saying, you know, the House should sit longer if it has to, to get these things through.
00:25:21.200Like, this is a fundamental reordering of the priorities of the government of Canada.
00:25:25.720And it could not be more different than what we had under Justin.
00:25:40.160Yeah, I just think about the last six or seven months, right?
00:25:42.680Like, how much things have changed politically, domestically, internationally.
00:25:45.960It's incredible to kind of think about the shift that's happened here.
00:25:49.640Tasha, just on these two big bills this week, I suppose, right, if you're a conservative government, is this exactly what you're waiting for here?
00:25:55.160Or, I guess, what do you kind of take from these two big bills here?
00:25:58.700You know, when I look at the two big bills, and one of the parts of it that is extremely important is the disrupting of illicit financing, which is a huge issue for Canadians that no one has addressed.
00:26:10.040They're allowing FinTrack now to share information with the Elections Canada.
00:26:15.260So, dealing with the involvement of foreign money in our elections, which we don't want to have.
00:26:21.480They're also strengthening anti-money laundering supervision.
00:26:24.480Foreign money and fentanyl proceeds and all the bad stuff that the U.S. has complained about have distorted our housing markets in places like Vancouver.
00:26:33.160They have allowed organized crime to establish itself here.
00:26:39.060Some of the other pieces, actually, are designed to improve the asylum system, make it easier for people to get through, not harder.
00:26:46.800People who don't get asylum, yeah, they will be removed faster, but the people who legitimately are seeking it will get a faster track.
00:26:53.800So, I don't see what people are screaming about on this.
00:26:56.220The one positive of Trump, and I say the one positive, is that he has forced us to clean up our act on certain things that we should have dealt with, including money laundering of money around fentanyl and from China.
00:27:36.300That is something he had talked about from the beginning.
00:27:38.580Yeah, the border stuff, it does make me think that there's more kind of going on in the background, as you were kind of alluding to earlier with U.S. trade talks as well.
00:27:48.120I mean, I talked about kind of Pierre Polio's leadership position last week, so I wanted to squeeze in one about the NDP this week.
00:27:53.620Carl, I'll start with you on this one.
00:27:54.900You know, it looked like, you know, it was never really in doubt that the throne speech was going to pass.
00:27:59.160There was no actual official vote held on this.
00:28:01.460But how important do you think it was?
00:28:02.740Do you think the NDP did a good job here of standing their ground and not caving in a sense of trying to get as far away from the liberals as possible?
00:28:10.140It did not help them in the last sitting of parliament, and especially electorally.
00:28:13.840Do you think this was a smart move by them to not in any way, shape, or form look like they are supporting the liberals?
00:28:30.000And if they're the ones standing alone, that's fine, right?
00:28:33.580If they become the opposition to Mark Carney, that's fine.
00:28:36.720So, of course, it won't be always like that, but it's a clear signal to Mark Carney that you can't take the NDP for granted.
00:28:45.380And if the liberals want to govern us, if they have a majority, well, they could find some trouble ahead.
00:28:52.140And we saw that when the conservatives were able to adopt their amendment against the will of the government, an amendment that called for a budget this spring.
00:28:59.520And, frankly, that was embarrassing for the liberals to lose that vote.
00:29:04.620It's the kind of accident that can happen on a confidence matter and bring down the government and have unintended consequences.
00:29:13.120He also faced that kind of situation where he wanted to govern with a minority as if he had a majority.
00:29:20.560He could rely on a bunch of social credit MPs, but he didn't want to give them anything.
00:29:25.940So, in the end, they didn't support his government.
00:29:27.980He fell, and Pierre Trudeau came back to power.
00:29:32.520Now, there's also a warning in that scenario for the NDP because the social credit MPs all lost, and the social credit disappeared, never came back into the also comments.
00:29:41.820So, there's some interesting tidbits for both parties here.
00:29:46.260Warren, just in a sense of trying to kind of find that new identity, whatever that is for the NDP, if it's going back to be, you know, more as a party of conscience or what have you.
00:29:55.540Do you think it was smart of them to just distance themselves and not give in here, even if it meant going back to the polls?
00:30:01.720It's what they should have done two or three years ago, obviously, you know, because they've lost party status and they've lost their leader in their entire situation.
00:30:10.020They need to be, again, what they were, you know, social Democrats who believe in this country.
00:30:16.240That's what people expect of them, and I think that's what they're going to do as a consequence of what we've been talking about, which is Carney moving ever closer to the right, you know, occupying Pierre Polyev's positions.
00:30:28.180That creates a huge opportunity for new Democrats, and I think a lot of them realize that the question is, is putting Avi Lewis in place as your leader, who has, you know, he's a friend of mine, but he's got positions that I think are going to alienate a lot of Canadians.
00:30:44.640Is that something that they should be doing?
00:30:46.340And Tasha, just last word to you on this, just from a strategy point of view, was this smart?
00:30:51.560As we've got to mention, and Carney has been opening the left flank here, so it does seem like the NDP is poised.
00:30:56.980We'll see what happens, but he's poised to find that new identity here.
00:31:03.900The more he occupies the political center-right, the more he marginalizes or pushes to the fringes both parties.
00:31:10.540Because, yeah, Avi Lewis is a friend of mine, too, from way back, and he's got, you know, if the Leap Manifesto becomes the NDP's calling card, it's going to be seen as a radical left party, just as the convoy would make the conservatives a radical right party if it's the dominant element.
00:31:27.620So by essentially, like I said, removing this larger, centrist, progressive conservative, as you put tone on the government,
00:31:36.340Carney's solidifying the basis of that progressive conservative vote, right, which leads what?
00:31:41.540In the party itself, I mean, that vote has left the party in large measure in the last election.
00:31:46.620You're going to have a harder right conservative party.
00:31:49.160And so that's a way to consolidate power.
00:31:51.480You get the majority of the center, right?
01:06:54.220So I presume that Mr. Carney indicated to them a loosening of the federal purse strings for whatever reason, you know, a more liberalized interprovincial trade, a more unanimous front on tariffs and Trump.
01:07:16.980But that's some of the most positive stuff I've heard coming out of a provincial premier's mouth about a prime minister in a long, long time.
01:07:25.920And there's usually a price tag attached to it.
01:07:27.820Demis Rissoudis, these premiers represent all political stripes with different agendas and different priorities and different asks.
01:07:36.340So for Doug Ford to come out and make that statement, what does it say to you?
01:07:41.460Well, tens of billions of dollars are about to flow.
01:08:10.960Because every time they ask for more money.
01:08:12.940And what Mark Carney is trying to do, though, what he's trying to do is to get buy in from the premiers on the legislation that he's going to be tabling in the next few days or as late as next week, which would basically change the rules to be able to fast track and to be able to get some big projects going, whether it's natural resources, energy, mining and so on.
01:08:33.700But when when a premier calls the prime minister, Santa Claus, you have to worry because premiers are seldom and rarely ever content with what the federal government's going to give them.
01:08:48.280Tom Parkin, are you going to make this unanimous?
01:08:51.360Yeah, but let's add one more dimension on here is that we really don't know what's being talked about.
01:08:59.500And for those of us in the, you know, just observing from the outside, and I suspect even from those in the room, there are maybe hopes about what is being talked about, but there's really nothing being talked about.
01:09:11.900There are national interest projects being talked about, and every premier has forwarded a list of them.
01:09:18.220Doug Ford thinks that tunneling under the 401 is a national interest project.
01:10:43.400Yeah, he did later, under questioning from a reporter, talk about, because the report was very blunt,
01:10:48.640what are you talking about here in terms of the infrastructure as it relates to pipelines?
01:10:52.660And he did give the answer of, well, yes, I'm talking about pipelines.
01:10:56.440I'm talking about decarbonized bitumen pipelines.
01:10:59.920I'm like, what's a decarbonized bitumen?
01:11:04.580So, you know, it's like the more mysterious it gets as you fall into it a little bit more.
01:11:09.920So, you know, we also heard Daniel Smith the other day say that if the timelines are shortened,
01:11:21.820the approval processes are shortened, are attenuated, then a proponent of pipelines will come forward,
01:11:29.180which is a bit of a mystery in this whole darn thing.
01:11:31.640Yeah, and Tom, who's paying for this stuff?
01:11:35.240Is it going to be private sector partners or is it going to be the taxpayers?
01:11:38.260And that's what I don't understand, Warren, is, you know, when he references SMRs, he just references SMRs.
01:11:44.120But for some reason, when it comes to pipelines, there is all these, he wordsmiths his way into, I don't know, creating loopholes.
01:11:51.420I struggle to understand the exceptionalism of pipelines, given how they've dominated our public consciousness and conversations for so long.
01:12:02.100Well, the political reality, and all of us know it, is pipelines are unpopular in the province of Quebec.
01:12:08.260The province of Quebec derives its energy from hydro.
01:12:13.420And so the preoccupation with pipeline energy, energy that comes via a pipeline, is just not there.
01:12:22.140And so that's a political reality every prime minister needs to deal with.
01:12:26.280But I'm guessing, like, I don't know for sure what it is, because you're, you know, you guys are right.
01:12:35.000And I find it bizarre, because the one thing that was clear coming out of this election was, you know, everybody has moderated their position on pipelines,
01:12:45.280including the NDP and the Liberals, and are much more willing to entertain the discussion.