Generational Cycles & the Upcoming Crisis
Episode Stats
Length
1 hour and 2 minutes
Words per Minute
119.361534
Summary
In this episode, I explain a theory that has been around for a very long time. It is based upon the theory of the four major cycles that societies go through in human history. These are: The High, The Middle, The Low, The High and The Low. These four stages of human history form a four-part cycle that we live through. The High is the point where society has fought its battles. The Low is the place where it has established itself. The Middle is where it is formed. And the Low is where we are formed.
Transcript
00:00:00.000
Now I make some pretty bold claims on this channel.
00:00:07.000
Saying that World War III is going to start in about five years, I think that qualifies as a pretty bold claim.
00:00:13.000
But I'm not making these off the top of my head.
00:00:19.000
Rather, this is based upon some very solid theory
00:00:23.000
and a number of obvious social trends that are happening right now.
00:00:28.000
So what I'd like to do with this video is explain to you where I'm coming from.
00:00:36.000
Because once you have the basic facts, the basic theory,
00:00:40.000
it's pretty obvious what's going on in the world right now.
00:00:45.000
So with that in mind, buckle in. You're in for a long trip.
00:00:57.000
See, a lot of people, historians included nowadays, don't know what history fundamentally is.
00:01:10.000
They mistake it for storytelling, as if stories are only about telling stories.
00:01:17.000
They mistake it for propaganda supporting the present regime.
00:01:23.000
But see, everything that one does in life ought to be about truth-seeking.
00:01:29.000
And the scientific method is often a very, very good method for seeking out the truth.
00:01:49.000
A valid theory of history should be predictive.
00:01:53.000
It should not only predict the future to a certain extent.
00:01:59.000
And in fact, with the theory I'm about to tell you.
00:02:05.000
If I told the guys that came up with it 15 years ago that one popular TV show in 2012, 2013, was based upon the War of the Roses.
00:02:21.000
That the CBC had a series based upon the Tudors.
00:02:25.000
And that another extremely popular series was The Walking Dead.
00:02:37.000
And to go back to the Doomsday Prophet, let me ask you something.
00:02:44.000
How well received would a Doomsday Prophet in 1935 be?
00:03:01.000
So just the fact that Doomsday profiting is such a popular thing to do nowadays is yet more evidence of where we are in history.
00:03:13.000
Now, the men in question are Strauss and Howe, in their book The Fourth Turning, that they identified four major parts.
00:03:26.000
The four major cycles that societies go through.
00:03:31.000
The seculum, they call it, from the old Roman word recognizing the exact same pattern.
00:03:41.000
What it boils down to is that there's four ages of man.
00:03:52.000
From 20 to 40, he has his young adulthood where he establishes himself.
00:03:57.000
40 to 60, he has the age where he becomes an expert in his field, a leading force in the world.
00:04:15.000
When you take out the medicine, people still live to 85.
00:04:29.000
And so because of this four-part life cycle, you wind up getting a four-part cycle in history.
00:04:42.000
The first part of the seculum, high summer, if you want, is the high.
00:04:51.000
Think, think about Romulus and Remus after winning their wives and establishing Rome.
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Think about Charlemagne after Roland died and they defeated the Saracen hordes, establishing
00:05:06.000
the French, the beginning of France, the beginning of Europe.
00:05:14.000
Coming home and establishing the great society.
00:05:19.000
This is the point where society has fought its battles.
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It's the recognition that the, the high wasn't enough.
00:05:56.000
But now, what are we supposed to do with ourselves?
00:06:10.000
Following the awakening, you get an unraveling,
00:06:17.000
A consequence of the, of the awakening, of the, this overthrowing of the old norms,
00:06:23.000
is that things start to fall apart from the very ground up.
00:06:29.000
The great unraveling when people are directionless in society.
00:06:34.000
And finally, finally, following the unraveling, you have the crisis.
00:06:39.000
And then following the crisis, you have the next high.
00:06:48.000
Strauss and Howe actually identified seven distinct periods since the 1500s that fit this pattern.
00:06:56.000
And they cite Roman scholars that talk about this pattern.
00:06:59.000
And they, they cite other economic analysts, other historians that never quite explored it as thoroughly as they did,
00:07:11.000
So, just to give you a quick, quick run through of the, of the other seven.
00:07:30.000
Next, the exploration of the new world in 1594.
00:07:53.000
And finally, the millennial era, starting in 1946 with the victory in World War II.
00:08:02.000
Predicted to end approximately some point between 2022 and 2026.
00:08:13.000
And they also point out that every single one of these seculums has ended with total war.
00:08:37.000
Let's, let's do the four generations that appear.
00:08:55.000
That became the leaders during the, the, the fifties.
00:09:07.000
They tend to be a little bit black-white in their thinking.
00:09:14.000
Uh, this, this is also the same group that formed the Hitler Youth, incidentally.
00:09:18.000
Following the hero generation, you have the artist generation.
00:09:27.000
These are the ones that, in the 1960s, were doing what they were supposed to.
00:09:36.000
And they just live life the way they're supposed to.
00:09:45.000
Between the extremely obedient hero generation and the prophet generation that comes next.
00:09:55.000
The prophet generation, who are raised, who are raised by the hero generation, remember.
00:10:02.000
So you have the, the hero parents and you have the, in the middle, in their twenties, thirties, you have the, the, um, artist generation establishing themselves as young adults.
00:10:15.000
The child, the, the children coming out are from the hero generation.
00:10:22.000
So as the hero generation gets older, after winning their wars, winning their battles, they're extremely stiff upper lip.
00:10:31.000
And so you get the prophet generation reacting against the heroes and demanding new spiritual realities.
00:10:47.000
And then what you get next, the nomad generation.
00:10:56.000
The generation, while the, the artists were overprotected as children, the nomads are underprotected.
00:11:15.000
These are the nomads, disaffected and considered uncultured by their elders.
00:11:21.000
They're thrown into a world with, without any real, any society to support them.
00:11:34.000
And then following the nomads, you get another hero generation, which is going to be a major focus later on in this video.
00:11:48.000
You've got the basic, you've got the basic principles right now.
00:11:54.000
You have the high, you have the, sorry, you have the high, you have the awakening, you have the unraveling, and then you have the crisis.
00:12:19.000
You've got the, the artist generation, gentle, don't have a huge impact on history.
00:12:36.000
They have to rediscover the, the spiritual world.
00:12:44.000
As things are falling apart, they become strong individualists.
00:12:53.000
So when you combine these two, let's look at history.
00:13:07.000
We have World War I, which is a completely pointless war that accomplishes nothing.
00:13:13.000
And then 40 years later, we fight World War II, which changed the world.
00:13:19.000
And 40 years before that, we'd had the American Civil War, which also changed the world.
00:13:29.000
And World War I, you have these young nomads going to die in the trenches, from the howitzers, for no reason whatsoever, for a war that accomplishes nothing.
00:13:43.000
And so following that, during the rest of the 20s, they party it up.
00:13:49.000
They're living during this unraveling time, where the feminists are going nuts, the prohibitionists are going nuts.
00:14:00.000
The old society that was created in 1865 is gone.
00:14:37.000
The young people just want to form into organizations.
00:14:42.000
This is the hero generation coming into their own at this age.
00:15:06.000
So they are very quick to form, to throw their allegiance into all the work programs of the United States.
00:15:14.000
To throw their allegiance with the Hitler Youth and create these fascist movements throughout Europe.
00:15:19.000
And then, when war finally comes, the war they've been craving this entire time, because at least it's better than the Dust Bowl, they do brilliant things.
00:15:33.000
Meanwhile, their commanders are those hard sons of bitches from World War I.
00:15:44.000
And while all this is going on, while World War I is going on, the silent generation is being born.
00:16:01.000
These parents, during the 1930s, the few that can actually afford to have kids, overprotect their kids.
00:16:11.000
And there's some very interesting things there about the stereotype of the Jewish lawyer actually comes from this period.
00:16:17.000
Because there were so few children born during the 1930s, that as those children grew up, particularly in the 50s, when there was more money and they could be properly educated,
00:16:30.000
there was a glut of teachers towards the students.
00:16:34.000
There was way more funding for education than was needed.
00:16:37.000
And so, all of these Jewish families that started off as dry cleaners, for the most part, back in the 20s,
00:16:43.000
wound up giving birth to a generation of lawyers.
00:16:46.000
Thus, the stereotype of the Jewish lawyer that you get in the 1980s.
00:16:57.000
So, the hero generation, the GI generation that were born during the, you know, 1910 to 1930,
00:17:08.000
and they're just the right amount of parenthood, end up winning World War II, and we've got the Great Society.
00:17:21.000
And the silence, the silence, the artist generation, the ones that were overprotected in the 30s, just do what they're supposed to.
00:17:38.000
They're the, that, that stereotypical picture of the 1950s, the one you see in the old Folgers commercials.
00:17:51.000
The silence, when they start out, the gender differences between the silence are huge.
00:17:58.000
They start off with very strong male roles, very strong female roles.
00:18:02.000
But then, as they age, they tend to throw those away and become more ubiquitous.
00:18:13.000
So, the nomads, when they're young, think about grunge, think about punk.
00:18:18.000
When they're young, they tend to all dress the same.
00:18:25.000
But then, as the nomads get older, they start to really embrace gender norms.
00:18:39.000
The people in their 20s and 30s are just happy with the way life is.
00:18:51.000
At the top, you have the stiff-nosed heroes that fought this war and tend to kind of be dickhead parents.
00:19:01.000
And so, growing up now, you've got the profit generation.
00:19:29.000
There's the cultural revolution all over the bloody world.
00:19:35.000
All of a sudden, we're experimenting with different drugs, different forms of religion.
00:19:39.000
And, again, this has happened throughout history.
00:19:43.000
You've got the stiff-nosed, the squares running things that are slowly being pushed out of power.
00:19:51.000
And behind them come the silence, who don't really fight against the hippies.
00:20:04.000
Whatever the hippies want to do, okay, we'll allow them, gradually.
00:20:11.000
And then the hippies are giving birth to Generation X.
00:20:21.000
And so, now Generation X is growing up in a world with no culture, no support structure.
00:20:36.000
We're actually mostly the children of the silence.
00:20:42.000
It's the silent generation in their 30s and 40s that are raising the Gen X generation.
00:20:50.000
But we're being raised in a world created by the Boomers.
00:20:55.000
And when the Boomers finally do have kids, they have the Millennials,
00:21:01.000
who are another hero generation, who we'll get back to in a little bit.
00:21:13.000
They're the four cycles, the four generations, and they've got a lot of evidence supporting it.
00:21:50.000
But when talking about history, the thing is that there's always unprecedented events that happen.
00:22:01.000
The psycho history of Harry Seldon in the Foundation novels by Azek Asimov,
00:22:08.000
it's supposedly this mathematical formula that predicts exactly where history will go.
00:22:15.000
There are too many wild cards, too many unexpected things that happen.
00:22:21.000
In fact, there's even been a few events that disrupted the four-stage cycle.
00:22:32.000
But the four-stage cycle keeps happening despite events.
00:22:36.000
It doesn't mean that we're locked into history.
00:22:42.000
And see, right now, there are four major game changers that we need to consider when analyzing history.
00:22:51.000
Four things that have fundamentally changed the landscape that we're dealing with, with the very nature of society.
00:22:59.000
It's easy to talk about how society is degenerating, how we're all becoming savages nowadays.
00:23:10.000
We just finished the unraveling, and we've just gotten into the crisis.
00:23:14.000
And so it's, yeah, talking about degeneration is cool and fun, and it's the vogue right now.
00:23:23.000
There are technological effects that are fundamentally changing the nature of society.
00:23:34.000
Don't blame feminists for the current sexual marketplace.
00:23:41.000
Feminists in particular are these aging baby boomer Egyptian mummies.
00:23:49.000
And they've been locked up in safe little cages.
00:23:51.000
They don't really leave the ivory tower bubble.
00:23:55.000
And, okay, they reach out occasionally and touch a young woman taking a women's studies class.
00:24:10.000
Unless you're just sparring for fun, it's pretty pointless.
00:24:14.000
See, what really led to the modern sexual marketplace is antibiotics.
00:24:26.000
The worst thing you're going to have to do if you get an STD is have an uncomfortable diagnostic process.
00:24:37.000
So, this is what allowed the culture of free sex to arise.
00:24:48.000
Like, feminism could not have created a free sex environment without antibiotics.
00:24:54.000
So, if you're going to blame it on something, blame it on the antibiotics.
00:24:58.000
Related to that, very much related to the antibiotics, is how thoroughly our medical technology extends life nowadays.
00:25:24.000
That 200 years ago, most people didn't live to the age of 80.
00:25:34.000
These sarcastic comments you hear about voters down in Florida.
00:25:42.000
To have another three months of life at the expense of their children.
00:25:46.000
And the fact that 100, 200, 300 years ago, a lot of children died after childbirth.
00:25:57.000
Whereas nowadays, we can keep people with the most depressing and sad genetic mutations alive for their entire lives.
00:26:17.000
It used to be that if you were an idiot, you usually died before you got to old age.
00:26:24.000
That the seniors were actually pretty tough sons of bitches.
00:26:41.000
This, again, is having some sort of major effect on society.
00:26:47.000
But it's pretty obvious that there's an effect from it.
00:27:00.000
Let's talk about exactly how it's influencing things.
00:27:19.000
Right now, we're going through a phase where the millennials are coming into their own.
00:27:25.000
And they're reacting extremely hard against the porn.
00:27:34.000
But you can't blame porn on the modern society.
00:27:46.000
It's just that, a hundred years ago, you used to be able to separate it.
00:27:51.000
You know, this is the adult section of the bookstore.
00:27:58.000
Now we're living in an era where these kids are growing up.
00:28:01.000
And every 12-year-old has seen a gangbang video.
00:28:09.000
And that people might actually enjoy their sex lives more.
00:28:17.000
And makes them start treating it like a bowel movement.
00:28:25.000
But the universe doesn't care how reactionary you are.
00:28:42.000
The next thing, the next big effect from the internet is freedom of speech.
00:28:48.000
And I don't mean freedom of speech as in the fundamental French revolutionary human right.
00:28:58.000
You see, there's a lot of things being figured out nowadays on the internet.
00:29:05.000
People talking to each other across vast distances.
00:29:12.000
Getting together and putting together these pieces.
00:29:17.000
During the fall of Rome, there were plenty of people that had pieces.
00:29:23.000
They didn't even have the printing press back then.
00:29:33.000
And this is having some very, very interesting effects.
00:29:37.000
And some of these effects, I do have my hypotheses about what these are going to do.
00:29:45.000
The people that can be educated are being educated in the things that actually matter nowadays.
00:30:00.000
And again, just to go back to that generational thing again.
00:30:04.000
See, this opinion that I'm advocating about the internet is very much a baby boomer.
00:30:15.000
Because, of course, the guys that invented the internet were from the profit generation.
00:30:19.000
Now, how are the millennials starting to look at the hero generation?
00:30:25.000
A lot of them are beginning to see future tyranny in the internet.
00:30:40.000
Because it would give the elites the ability to drive all over the country.
00:30:47.000
40 years later, cars are viewed as a wonderful social thing because everybody has them.
00:30:55.000
And then again, 40 years later, cars start to be viewed as an elite gas guzzler thing again.
00:31:07.000
So we're seeing the other half of the internet that, yes, it can be used to enforce the police state.
00:31:12.000
And one more effect of the internet is the globalization of certain industries.
00:31:20.000
The computer programmers saw this happen to them.
00:31:23.000
That their industry just got destroyed by the internet because you can go anywhere to computer program.
00:31:40.000
If you've tried to do any freelance writing, you've felt it.
00:31:50.000
The Hunter S. Thompson movie that came out a year ago.
00:31:53.000
To have a writer for a newspaper, you had to pay enough for him to live in that city.
00:32:00.000
Nowadays, the bottoms dropped out because a writer can live anywhere.
00:32:10.000
We haven't figured out a good culture how to run it just yet.
00:32:12.000
This is why Yahoo canceled their program to let people work at home.
00:32:17.000
Because the people working at home were slacking off and killing the morale of the people at the office actually working.
00:32:26.000
So that's the three big effects from the internet that I notice.
00:32:33.000
And one more factor that we need to consider nowadays.
00:32:44.000
That modern weapons, the invention of the gun, has fundamentally changed society.
00:32:52.000
As the saying goes, you know, God made all men equal, but...
00:33:13.000
And we're certainly seeing that in the wars that we're fighting.
00:33:16.000
Against, uh, 14 year olds with no training are taking on a first world army.
00:33:21.000
I suppose you could also toss nuclear weapons from this, but I actually don't think nuclear weapons are going to be much of an issue over the next 40 years.
00:33:40.000
Again, um, antibiotics affecting both sex life and affecting the survival rates of people that we might be better off if they died, quite frankly.
00:33:55.000
We've got the internet with its, its free porn, with its, uh, free speech, and with its freedom of movement, its location independence.
00:34:11.000
That make it much, much harder to be a totalitarian.
00:34:20.000
So that said, so we, supposedly, according to this theory, we are in the crisis right now.
00:34:28.000
The unraveling started early 80s, more or less.
00:34:39.000
Uh, same as the, the last unraveling ended in 1929.
00:34:50.000
What evidence is there that we're in the crisis period?
00:35:00.000
So, I'm just gonna break it down to like five big reasons why we can't keep going on the way we're going on.
00:35:10.000
Alright, now, number one, we've got the economic situation.
00:35:21.000
Uh, probably an effect of European colonialization, but everywhere in the world is dealing with these issues.
00:35:27.000
Not just the US, not just Europe, but Singapore, China, Middle East are all running into very, very similar problems.
00:35:42.000
Sometimes the dropping birth rate is not because of feminism.
00:35:55.000
Right now, we are borrowing from Peter to pay Paul.
00:36:08.000
Next, okay, we've got the, the corporate work environment and consumerism.
00:36:13.000
Our entire work lives are completely messed up.
00:36:17.000
I've talked before about how women, the modern workplace is designed for women.
00:36:22.000
It artificially feeds all of her short-term needs.
00:36:29.000
But in the long term, the modern corporate workplace leads to incredible amounts of female misery.
00:36:37.000
And the young kids growing up are going to see that.
00:36:40.000
Auntie Jane that spent 15 years of her life working for the company and is now embittered
00:36:56.000
The, the whole sexual market is completely messed up.
00:37:01.000
It's completely degraded into this, the studs and sluts culture where you, you work at the, the, your stupid office job for five days a week.
00:37:11.000
And then Friday, Saturday, you go unload your, your genitals like they're your bowels.
00:37:16.000
And it's this, this ugly, hate-filled environment.
00:37:21.000
This, this, I think this is actually why a lot of guys want to reject game.
00:37:27.000
Not because game doesn't work, but because they don't want to gauge in the, the slut culture.
00:37:35.000
Missing the point that game is more than just picking up girls at, at clubs.
00:37:41.000
But yeah, the, the whole relationship between men and women is broken.
00:37:53.000
So that this artificial hateful relationship can't last.
00:38:10.000
We've had multiculturalism absolutely shoved down our throats.
00:38:14.000
And we are all living in these mixed societies with no, no proper nationalism, no proper identity.
00:38:22.000
And the simple fact of the matter is that multiculturalism leads to more hatred and more aggression between people.
00:38:37.000
Fact of the matter, people like to hang out with people like them.
00:38:41.000
They like to know what the social norms are in their environment.
00:38:45.000
And although the occasional cat and dog can get along really well,
00:38:50.000
if you shove 20 cats and 20 dogs into the same room, it's not going to last.
00:38:56.000
And the fifth one, the fifth thing that can't keep going, it's a celebration of the aberrant.
00:39:09.000
On the one hand, far be it for me to judge somebody with an alternative lifestyle.
00:39:22.000
Except back when they were introducing all these alternative lifestyles.
00:39:26.000
Homosexuality, transsexuality, BDSM community, et cetera, et cetera.
00:39:36.000
See, when they were introducing these, back in the 70s, when these people were coming out of the closet
00:39:41.000
and arguing, you know, that no, I'm not mentally ill, that I was born in the wrong body.
00:39:47.000
Back then, there was a lot of abuse, there was a lot of prejudice, et cetera.
00:39:56.000
So if these people had problems in their lives, you could write it off as an effect of bullying,
00:40:03.000
Except people with, you know, alternative lifestyles are no longer prejudiced against at all.
00:40:19.000
Now, certainly, there's some people in the BDSM community.
00:40:23.000
There's some homosexuals, some lesbians, some transsexuals that, you know, they seem okay.
00:40:29.000
But there is a huge, huge majority of these people that suffer major life problems.
00:40:38.000
Drug addiction, suicide, constantly in and out of therapy.
00:40:44.000
That it's becoming indefensible to say that you should promote these lifestyles
00:40:50.000
because most of the people in them are extremely unhealthy.
00:41:09.000
The consumer-corporatist workplace is making us miserable.
00:41:14.000
Gender relations, the sex relationship, is completely broken.
00:41:24.000
And celebration of non-traditional lifestyles is indefensible.
00:41:37.000
But the path we're on right now, something is going to break.
00:41:51.000
On my last video, I commented that the left has won.
00:42:03.000
And Joseph Shipman very insightfully pointed out
00:42:10.000
that as soon as you admit that the left has won,
00:42:34.000
like, this is why politics is so pointless and cynical.
00:42:38.000
Because the Republicans are just the other half of the Liberal Party.
00:42:50.000
This isn't to say the Liberals couldn't keep going.
00:42:58.000
They've won all their victories, all of their battles.
00:44:20.000
the characters largely have attitudes that are 1950s.
00:44:33.000
although we could go into complete police state,
00:44:43.000
Without these 1950s households to get the taxes out of,
00:44:56.000
And now here's where we come to the next conversation,
00:45:05.000
which is, again, very interesting, something I've been noticing.
00:45:09.000
That the political parties in the United States
00:45:24.000
you probably remember the Liberals being the party of freedom.
00:45:31.000
The non-judgmental, do-whatever-you-want party.
00:45:36.000
Except, as all those idiots that voted for Obamacare are noticing,
00:45:40.000
the Liberals are fast becoming the dictatorial party.
00:45:50.000
Meanwhile, the Conservatives, the Republican Party,
00:45:59.000
That we know what you should be doing with your life,
00:46:03.000
And yet, they're fast becoming the freedom party, aren't they?
00:46:10.000
Standing up for people's not to be taxed by stupid things.
00:46:15.000
They're not quite ready yet, but they're moving in the right direction.
00:46:24.000
If you look at the 1930s, all of these idiotic,
00:46:39.000
the Internet's been exploding with Libertarians,
00:46:57.000
which is basically a pamphlet for the social credit method of economics.
00:47:00.000
And then go look up the social credit governments in Alberta.
00:47:09.000
Which is why we're now getting the reaction against the Libertarian Party.
00:47:15.000
Libertarians are just these people very angry and upset,
00:47:34.000
You get all of these weird movements at the beginning of the crisis.
00:47:42.000
But, eventually, they evaporate, for the most part, hopefully.
00:47:51.000
So, one of my predictions is that we are going to eventually see the Republicans become the new Freedom Party.
00:48:09.000
For a better example of how this moral majority prick can be actually on the side of freedom,
00:48:18.000
look at the Canadian Prime Minister, Stephen Harper.
00:48:24.000
So, Stephen Harper is your typical party leader sociopath
00:48:28.000
that comes from this conservative Christian background
00:48:32.000
that he knows that God wants him to ban marijuana.
00:48:44.000
The thing is, he hasn't pushed any Christian laws onto the country.
00:48:54.000
He's basically maintained the status quo and left Canadians alone.
00:49:00.000
And, the diplomats in Canada are becoming known for telling the UN to go fly a kite.
00:49:07.000
It's going to be very sudden and dramatic when it happens.
00:49:14.000
But, we'll actually see somebody leading the Republican Party
00:49:18.000
who is not a bought and sold interest of the banking cartels and the corporations and all of this.
00:49:46.000
Mind you, let's not talk too highly about the Millennials.
00:49:48.000
See, part of the hero generation is that the heroes are really seeking agreement.
00:50:03.000
And, so, right now you see FEMA has the FEMA Youth Corps,
00:50:11.000
which is exactly the same as Hitler Youth, except they're in blue t-shirts,
00:50:22.000
Except, FEMA Youth just doesn't have the energy.
00:50:25.000
As the Democrats keep pushing their policies, as things like Obamacare start bankrupting the small individual,
00:50:39.000
And, eventually you're going to have a Republican Party reaffirming freedom.
00:50:46.000
In a lot of ways, this is going to be the end of the leftist experiment.
00:50:53.000
We've gone basically as far as we can go with leftism.
00:50:57.000
We have a new Pope now, who seems like a pretty solid right-wing guy,
00:51:10.000
that can actually get its shit together and stop being in the back pockets of the bankers.
00:51:13.000
We've got something interesting going on all of a sudden.
00:51:36.000
There are some reasons to think there won't be total war this time.
00:51:44.000
Not a giant fight with China over world domination.
00:51:50.000
We can't really afford world domination anymore.
00:51:56.000
Remember, everybody else in the world is suffering the exact same demographic problems,
00:52:08.000
First of all, we are too interdependent with them.
00:52:12.000
Their global trade is a very, very important thing.
00:52:33.000
Which are reasons that these countries won't want to go to war with each other.
00:52:37.000
There's really, like, you go to war, you lose this fundamental resource you need,
00:52:43.000
The next thing is that the conflicts going on nowadays are mostly, the conflicts that are coming to are going to be internal.
00:52:54.000
We don't really have external conflicts anymore.
00:52:59.000
Afghanistan, Iraq, those are primarily internal conflicts with American troops as soldiers fighting them.
00:53:16.000
It's between different factions within those countries that the wars are being fought,
00:53:22.000
and the Americans are just on one side of that.
00:53:32.000
And the other reason that we're not going to go into this total World War III Mad Max scenario is institutions persist.
00:53:41.000
There's a lot of very, very established institutions that have lasted longer than you or I, longer than the last seculum.
00:53:55.000
Now that said, there is going to be a major, major conflict.
00:54:00.000
The social cloth holding us all together is fraying.
00:54:10.000
Now I think if you do a little bit of math, you can figure out for yourself what the conflict in the United States is going to be.
00:54:16.000
I'd rather not get banned for hate speech comments on this channel.
00:54:19.000
I do like making videos and getting a little bit of advertising revenue off of them.
00:54:35.000
And despite the rhetoric, there are a lot of Arab countries that are on the side of Israel,
00:54:42.000
so long as the United States is on the side of Israel.
00:54:57.000
Either Israel is going to dominate the region, or they'll be wiped out.
00:55:02.000
That really is up to Israel to see how it happens.
00:55:06.000
Europe, you might have some wars there as well, but I don't think they're going to go nuclear.
00:55:13.000
And in China, the Southeast Asia theater is going to be its own local conflict.
00:55:23.000
Again, I think it's pretty obvious what sort of conflict is coming there.
00:55:29.000
And it's going to be extremely bloody and unpleasant and painful.
00:55:46.000
And we came together so hard, the ripping apart is going to be pretty painful.
00:55:50.000
But how is all this going to look when the conflict is done?
00:56:02.000
Like I said, I think this is the end of the left.
00:56:08.000
I think they've done everything, and they've messed up the world.
00:56:18.000
It's really going to put the nail into their coffin.
00:56:21.000
They'll still be around in a few ways, but they're going to be defanged at this point.
00:56:26.000
What I think it's going to look like is the collapse of Rome minus the 400-year Dark Age.
00:56:45.000
You can draw up like when, you know, the barbarians sacked it.
00:56:49.000
You can put that as a line, but Rome didn't disappear when the barbarians sacked it.
00:56:59.000
It's an arbitrary line of the sand for when it ended.
00:57:03.000
And so I think this is going to be an arbitrary line of the sand for when Pax Americana,
00:57:15.000
Except we're not going to go into this massive, massive decline
00:57:26.000
What we're going to see, first of all, is people retreating to ethnic enclaves.
00:57:32.000
You see, people, again, we have so much multiculturalism that the reaction is going to be very strongly against it.
00:57:45.000
People are going to retreat to nationalist or ethnic enclaves, or sometimes a little bit of both.
00:57:51.000
People that are in communities where they are not part of the ethnicity are going to be very, very eager to prove that they're part of the ethnicity.
00:58:11.000
As the hero generation, after fighting this conflict, they establish society.
00:58:17.000
It's going to be very moralistic, very strong, and there's a very distinct possibility it could be right-wing.
00:58:23.000
So, each area is going to have kind of its own thing going on, but it's all going to be, it's going to be retreating back to the city-states that happened after Rome.
00:58:38.000
In some cases, countries, in some cases, regions.
00:58:42.000
But people are going to retreat to a very, very strong sense of self-identity.
00:58:47.000
The United States, the federal government will probably survive, but it's actually going to become the United States once more.
00:58:57.000
With probably five or seven major regions that it's broken into.
00:59:02.000
But while people retreat to their ethnic enclaves,
00:59:09.000
we're not going to go into a dark age because, again, the ubiquity of trade.
00:59:17.000
Alberta is making a lot of money selling oil from the oil sands.
00:59:31.000
So, while socially we're going to be constricting again, and there's going to be some protectionism.
00:59:36.000
There's not going to be a huge amount of free trade.
00:59:38.000
I think that we are going to see some basic trade networks still exist.
00:59:44.000
And these trade networks all by themselves are going to help maintain the level of civilization that we have.
00:59:53.000
And on top of that, the Internet ain't going anywhere.
01:00:01.000
Unless you've launched EMPs all over the planet destroying every electronic device, the Internet's not going anywhere.
01:00:08.000
We don't need the Internet service providers to create it anymore.
01:00:13.000
You can create a local network off your cell phone.
01:00:16.000
So, while in the physical world we're going to crawl back into our little huts to a certain extent,
01:00:26.000
you're actually going to see meta-communities forming online.
01:00:31.000
We're already seeing the early versions of this, with forums and message boards where people all show up for something.
01:00:38.000
But there's no strong nationalism with any of them.
01:00:43.000
This time around, you're going to have all these little enclaves, but certain people in the enclaves will belong to a meta-enclave.
01:00:55.000
Something with an extremely strong ideological purpose to it.
01:01:00.000
And the kids being raised nowadays, the sleeper generation, they're going to be fine.
01:01:12.000
They're going to have a very easy lifestyle when they grow up.
01:01:17.000
So, all of you that bore with me for this hour-long history lecture, thank you, I appreciate it.
01:01:35.000
The conflict, which again, I think you can do the math on that.
01:01:39.000
It's going to be extremely bloody. It's going to be very violent.
01:01:45.000
It's also going to be the event that forges the leaders that create the new Pax Catholic, the universal peace.
01:02:04.000
Because the left, the Puritans, they've got some fight in them still.
01:02:12.000
And they'd be more than happy to create 1984 on Earth.
01:02:22.000
Can't change that. Can't change where you live.