Louder with Crowder - October 19, 2020


Biden Laptop Linked to Child Porn Investigator?! | Good Morning #MugClub


Episode Stats


Length

49 minutes

Words per minute

202.22073

Word count

10,047

Sentence count

772

Harmful content

Misogyny

16

sentences flagged

Toxicity

85

sentences flagged

Hate speech

14

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

Jake Tapper tries to prove that Joe Biden has a stutter. Does he have a problem with words? Or is it a cognitive decline? And what does that have to do with pedophiles and child pornography?

Transcript

Transcripts from "Louder with Crowder" are sourced from the Knowledge Fight Interactive Search Tool. Explore them interactively here.
Misogyny classifications generated with MilaNLProc/bert-base-uncased-ear-misogyny .
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:02.000 Yes, Smoke Club!
00:00:04.000 On October the 22nd, Donald Trump and Joe Biden will take the stage once again!
00:00:09.000 Lara with Crowder will be livestreaming the event with costumes, big games, and of course, drinking game!
00:00:18.000 You better be there too, or Undercrowder and I will be coming knocking at your door! 1.00
00:00:27.000 Many men have come before.
00:00:30.000 Now only two remain, and when the dust settles, when the defeated rapee Jim Crow corpse is dragged off the battlefield, I will be there to look the victor in the eye. 0.97
00:00:41.000 And I will utter only three words.
00:00:44.000 Keep America Great.
00:00:48.000 I don't know if this is visual or audio.
00:01:17.000 I don't know if this is fishing or if this is what is this cranking somebody in but I'm bringing you back in
00:01:22.000 No slurp?
00:01:22.000 We've been out of a rhythm.
00:01:23.000 Oh, shoot! 1.00
00:01:26.000 Son of a! 0.97
00:01:28.000 Okay. 0.98
00:01:29.000 I can't.
00:01:29.000 That was pretty good for a last minute.
00:01:31.000 I can't! 0.76
00:01:32.000 What the hell are you doing?
00:01:33.000 Last week we were on the road doing Change My Minds, then we had a two and a half hour town hall, the dueling town halls, and so everything's been off, so I apologize, but I'm glad to be back with you.
00:01:43.000 Good morning, Mug Club, this morning, Tuesday, Wednesday, and then a final debate on Thursday.
00:01:48.000 That's going to be quite a bit of fun.
00:01:50.000 My half-Asian lawyer, Bill Richman, is here.
00:01:51.000 How are you, sir?
00:01:52.000 Hello, good to be here.
00:01:53.000 I'm glad to have you here.
00:01:54.000 Quarterback Garrett.
00:01:54.000 Hey, what's going on?
00:01:55.000 Audio Wade.
00:01:56.000 Howdy.
00:01:56.000 Gerald Moore, how are you?
00:01:57.000 I'm well.
00:01:58.000 Are you well?
00:01:59.000 I'm very well.
00:01:59.000 Still serving your community?
00:02:00.000 Well done, yes.
00:02:03.000 Little inside joke there.
00:02:05.000 So we're going to be talking about quite a bit.
00:02:06.000 The polls, the secret Trump voters today, Joe Biden, we just skimmed over from the media that he supports children, not only supports, he will change the law for children transitioning.
00:02:19.000 I don't know what!
00:02:23.000 And we will also be talking, of course, about Hunter Biden and the new laptop, and perhaps child pornography on there.
00:02:28.000 I don't know!
00:02:29.000 Listen, that's what people have said.
00:02:31.000 I would never say that's what people are talking about.
00:02:34.000 That's what they are talking about.
00:02:37.000 I heard the QAnon don't like pedophiles, so I don't know them, but I, too, do not support pedophiles.
00:02:46.000 Is that a conspiracy?
00:02:47.000 Why don't you tell me?
00:02:48.000 It is. 0.98
00:02:51.000 I guess I hate pedophiles and a conspiracy.
00:02:54.000 But first, before we get to all those stories and your questions, here's the... well, just watch. 0.93
00:03:01.000 Joe Biden, Jake Tapper claiming that he's a stutter.
00:03:04.000 Every time he comes on stage or they turn to him, I'm like, Joe, can you get it out?
00:03:08.000 Let's get the words out, Joe.
00:03:09.000 You kind of feel bad for him.
00:03:11.000 How do you think it makes little kids with stutters feel when they see you make a comment like that?
00:03:18.000 First and foremost, I had no idea that Joe Biden ever suffered from a stutter.
00:03:23.000 I think what we see on stage with Joe Biden, Jake, is very clearly a cognitive decline.
00:03:29.000 That's what I'm referring to.
00:03:30.000 It makes me uncomfortable to watch somebody on stage.
00:03:34.000 It's so amazing, it's so amazing to me that... A cognitive decline.
00:03:40.000 I think that you are mocking his stutter.
00:03:44.000 Yeah, I think you are mocking his stutter and I think you have absolutely no standing to diagnose somebody's cognitive decline.
00:03:50.000 I would think that somebody in the Trump family would be more sensitive to people who do not have medical licenses.
00:03:58.000 Diagnosing politicians from afar.
00:04:01.000 Let me be really clear about this.
00:04:03.000 Joe Biden doesn't have a stutter.
00:04:05.000 In fact, it wasn't even Googled until 2019.
00:04:06.000 I want to be clear.
00:04:08.000 The only mention of it was somewhere in 2013.
00:04:10.000 Hey, fun fact, he had it when he was a kid and now he's claiming it.
00:04:13.000 No, no, listen.
00:04:15.000 He doesn't have a stutter.
00:04:15.000 He didn't have a stutter.
00:04:16.000 It was never even Googled.
00:04:17.000 It was never even a defense until 2019.
00:04:20.000 And you want to know how you know?
00:04:22.000 Just go watch his statements at the Clarence Thomas hearings.
00:04:25.000 It's not the stutter. 0.92
00:04:26.000 It's the being a shitheel that you have a problem with.
00:04:29.000 But he does it very quickly, very articulately for illogical arguments, of course.
00:04:37.000 So here's the thing also.
00:04:38.000 Let's assume that he has a stutter.
00:04:40.000 When people say that Joe Biden has clearly some symptoms of cognitive decline, and there have been many medical professionals who have said this, including people we've spoken with who don't necessarily want to talk on air because they don't want to get an audit if Joe Biden happens to win, that is not our primary gripe with Joe Biden.
00:04:59.000 When you say that it's cognitive decline, you're not basing it on a stutter.
00:05:02.000 We're basing it on the fact that he makes no sense, and really our primary gripe is that he just makes stuff up.
00:05:09.000 That's not a stutter!
00:05:10.000 I don't know, I don't know, I mean I've watched the cable guy, I'm not entirely sure, and we've had John Stossel on the show who actually had speech therapy and has talked about it.
00:05:19.000 Stutters don't just, don't just, it doesn't, stutter is not a synonym for compulsive liar.
00:05:25.000 It's a form of duress as well.
00:05:26.000 So let's just go through some of the recent ones.
00:05:27.000 Just recently he came out in the town hall and said that he'd be endorsed by the Boilermakers, right?
00:05:31.000 I heard that.
00:05:32.000 They were furious!
00:05:33.000 They were furious!
00:05:34.000 They said it's news to me, and no, no, we absolutely did not, because they endorsed Trump, and they had angry calls from their members saying, you endorsed the guy who said he would ban fracking, and then said he wouldn't ban fracking, which he also made up, and then said he would ban fossil fuels.
00:05:47.000 They said, no, no, where'd you hear that?
00:05:49.000 From the Vice President himself!
00:05:53.000 Some would say a reliable source.
00:05:55.000 Then just recently he said he never... $400,000, I'm talking about taxes, is more than I've ever made.
00:05:59.000 Well, it won't be more than you make annually, but that's also not true.
00:06:02.000 He made $11 million in 2017, him and his wife.
00:06:04.000 That seems like a pretty good number.
00:06:05.000 And by the way, that's not including the fact, if you look at all the years where he made close to $400,000, but his son was effectively... his son was the way he avoided... Hunter Biden is a shell corporation.
00:06:16.000 Hunter Biden is a pass-through entity.
00:06:19.000 He's a shell son.
00:06:21.000 You have that, you have a guy who just made up, remember when he was running for election against Barack Obama, I go on down to Amy's Diner, there was no, Amy's Diner didn't exist!
00:06:30.000 It did not exist, he just makes things up.
00:06:33.000 It's not because he goes, I went down to Amy's Diner, no no, it's not that, it's that Amy's Diner is not a thing!
00:06:39.000 Oh, creepy Joe.
00:06:40.000 Well it all goes back to his fitness to be able to do the job as President of the United
00:06:44.000 States and it's obvious.
00:06:45.000 I can't believe Jake Tapper responded like that.
00:06:47.000 He can be like, hey, just be nice.
00:06:49.000 He is having some cognitive decline, but just act like he's your uncle and be nice to him.
00:06:54.000 Exactly!
00:06:55.000 He could do that, and then it would lay me up, if I run Jake Tapper, to not be nice. 1.00
00:06:58.000 I would say, oh, b-b-b-be nice, you idiot? 1.00
00:07:01.000 No, Jake Tapper's a pretty good president. 1.00
00:07:03.000 Since when do we have to be nice with everybody?
00:07:05.000 No, I'm not saying you have to, but I'm saying he could at least have said that, because she wasn't saying anything about stuttering.
00:07:10.000 He was just saying you can't put a sentence together.
00:07:11.000 No, and it's a lot.
00:07:12.000 And I'll tell you what, this is something, I don't even want to spend much time on this, but I was in my car and I have all of it, like I said, I always have conservative and liberal, conservative and liberal, so I have a Fox News news update and my radio sort of podcast set up, then I have NPR, then I have something, you know, I have conservative, then I have ABC News.
00:07:27.000 And ABC News, it was a radio update.
00:07:30.000 Anyone out there who listens to the ABC News radio updates, let me know if you've heard this.
00:07:33.000 There's a puff beast about this.
00:07:37.000 There was a rough piece about this kid.
00:07:38.000 I'm in the car.
00:07:39.000 I swear to you, this happened yesterday.
00:07:41.000 I'm in the car listening to my news groupings.
00:07:44.000 Nice grouping.
00:07:45.000 And I hear ABC News covering this famous stutterer on TikTok.
00:07:52.000 And the kid's like, your stutter doesn't have to define you, and it's not something that needs to be fixed.
00:07:58.000 And it's this whole, like, two-minute segment on a TikTok stutterer.
00:08:02.000 And I thought, well, that was weird.
00:08:04.000 Yeah.
00:08:05.000 And I didn't think anything of it.
00:08:06.000 And now I know exactly why.
00:08:08.000 Wait a minute.
00:08:08.000 It coordinates exactly.
00:08:09.000 That's the new defense.
00:08:10.000 So now the victim du jour is stutterers.
00:08:14.000 And by the way, of course I have sympathy for people.
00:08:17.000 I had a little bit of a stutter.
00:08:18.000 Yeah.
00:08:19.000 But I knew one of my best friends had a severe stutter.
00:08:21.000 Got over it.
00:08:22.000 John Stossel.
00:08:22.000 Got over it.
00:08:23.000 Now we're telling people it's not something to fix.
00:08:25.000 Well, it is if you want to communicate with people who don't want to be exhausted by a stutter.
00:08:29.000 And by the way, Joe Biden never stuttered publicly until recently.
00:08:33.000 It was never defense used until recently.
00:08:35.000 I don't buy it.
00:08:36.000 And keep in mind that these are the recent lies.
00:08:38.000 But this is a guy who's been running for president since Tales of the Crypt was in syndication.
00:08:43.000 In 1988, he had to drop out after getting busted for blatant plagiarism and lying completely, again fabricating an academic record that, again, did not exist.
00:08:53.000 Here you go.
00:08:54.000 There is one less candidate in the race for the presidency tonight.
00:08:57.000 Delaware Senator Joseph Biden dropped out of the hunt today, saying the disclosures about his plagiarism in law school and his exaggerations about his academic record made it impossible for him to continue.
00:09:09.000 Impossible, huh?
00:09:10.000 I do it with incredible reluctance.
00:09:13.000 And it makes me angry.
00:09:16.000 I'm angry with myself.
00:09:17.000 I'm always angry.
00:09:18.000 For having been put in the position, put myself in the position, of having to make this choice.
00:09:25.000 Put yourself in that position?
00:09:26.000 I'm sorry, it's just such boldness!
00:09:29.000 And you know, it's a huge disservice to the stuttering community, which I can't even believe I have to say that now.
00:09:34.000 Exactly.
00:09:34.000 That's actually the point I was going to make.
00:09:35.000 If you're a professional who works in this space, if you're working with children who actually have stuttering, or adults that have a stuttering issue, you are going apoplectic at someone who has not...
00:09:45.000 Let's not say he didn't have it as a kid.
00:09:46.000 Maybe he did have it as a kid.
00:09:48.000 But not since he's been a senator for 90 years.
00:09:51.000 But for him to now, 75,000 years after his childhood, to be saying, well now I have a stutter and that's what causes me to yell at people and to scream and threaten people and call them dog-faced pony soldiers. 0.57
00:10:04.000 Joe's not saying this.
00:10:06.000 This didn't come from Joe Biden's camp, right?
00:10:08.000 This came from the media saying, well, Joe Biden has had a stutter and that's what you're making fun of.
00:10:17.000 Yes! 1.00
00:10:19.000 That's why you say stupid stuff, right? 1.00
00:10:21.000 Right? 1.00
00:10:22.000 Yeah!
00:10:22.000 And why I sniff kids!
00:10:24.000 Joe, that doesn't go that far.
00:10:27.000 I don't know.
00:10:27.000 You can't help it.
00:10:28.000 I don't know.
00:10:29.000 Is that cognitive decline or is that just... I think so.
00:10:32.000 Either way, someone's gotta notify their neighbors.
00:10:36.000 It's the law.
00:10:37.000 Hey, by the way, we're going to be moving my question to you today.
00:10:39.000 We're going to be going through, I want to showcase for you today, we'll get to this
00:10:42.000 in a second after we hit some breaking news on Hunter Biden, the electoral map, people
00:10:46.000 saying, do you think that Donald Trump can win?
00:10:48.000 Do you think that anyone who tells you that this is not, that this is anything but anyone's
00:10:53.000 game at this point, I want to be as clear, I wasn't very clear.
00:10:56.000 Anyone can win.
00:10:57.000 Anyone can win at this point and anyone who tells you differently should be immediately
00:11:02.000 For the same reasons that anyone who tells you Donald Trump has a deadlock or Joe Biden, call it, it's over, should be discounted.
00:11:08.000 This is an election that can go either way, and I will say the prospects actually look pretty good, and I'm going to go through.
00:11:14.000 I'm not a political wonk.
00:11:15.000 I figure if Charles Krauthammer got it wrong half the time, probably one of the most brilliant political minds of our modern era, I am just, this is just a swing and could be a miss.
00:11:24.000 Take a crack at it.
00:11:25.000 So my question to you, though, is do you still think that there is a secret Trump voter, and how much of an impact do you think that will have?
00:11:32.000 I would argue more this election than the previous election, and I'll get to that in a little bit.
00:11:37.000 But first, of course, please do follow me on the Instagram, because that's where we do, like, weird lifestyle stuff.
00:11:43.000 It's mostly pictures of my dog.
00:11:44.000 Weird lifestyle stuff?
00:11:45.000 Yeah, and me doing—I'm training for my Mr. Olympia.
00:11:49.000 Oh, good.
00:11:50.000 I don't want to see that.
00:11:51.000 I'm training for Mr. Natural Olympia.
00:11:53.000 Oh, so the lesser Olympians.
00:11:55.000 Yeah, but I cheat with drugs.
00:11:58.000 And then I sell you supplements that I never use.
00:12:01.000 And we'll be taking your live chat, of course, if you do consider joining Mug Club.
00:12:05.000 LoudwithGretta.com slash Mug Club.
00:12:07.000 We do an extra full 45 minutes of the show behind the paywall.
00:12:11.000 Today we have Manny the art critic.
00:12:12.000 We'll be talking about Joe Biden and transgender kids.
00:12:15.000 $69 annually for students, veterans, active military.
00:12:17.000 And we'll be taking your chat.
00:12:18.000 Really quickly before we move on, let's see what this guy on CNN has to say.
00:12:22.000 It's like Roger Stone after a sauna.
00:12:26.000 Well, I hope so.
00:12:28.000 Obviously, it will depend upon whether we can come to an agreement, and that will depend upon whether or not we give the assistance that we need.
00:12:34.000 That will depend upon whether we can get mass mail-in voting at a post office bailout.
00:12:41.000 $1.8 trillion.
00:12:42.000 That's all you get, Nancy.
00:12:43.000 All right.
00:12:45.000 Open the economy.
00:12:46.000 We'll go to the debate thing in a little bit.
00:12:47.000 First, let's go to Hunter Biden.
00:12:49.000 This is breaking right now.
00:12:51.000 I don't want to say necessarily—it broke yesterday, if I'm not mistaken?
00:12:54.000 I think so, yeah.
00:12:54.000 And that happened over the course of the weekend.
00:12:56.000 So Hunter Biden, of course, we've talked about his laptop, and this is something the media has tried to bury.
00:13:00.000 And by media, it's also important to note that media and big tech are one and the same right now.
00:13:04.000 Oh, yeah.
00:13:05.000 We thought that we were going to be at a point in time where the advantage of the internet
00:13:11.000 was also the same sort of – the same drawback in that it's the bathroom wall of society. 0.92
00:13:11.000 was also the same sort of, the same drawback in that it's the bathroom wall of society. 0.92
00:13:15.000 Anyone can speak.
00:13:16.000 Anyone can speak. But we thought the plus in that sort of scenario was that anyone can
00:13:17.000 But we thought the plus in that sort of scenario was that anyone can speak.
00:13:21.000 speak and so people can bypass the sort of gatekeepers. And that was the case for a long
00:13:26.000 time. That's where we grew at record speed here with this channel. And you see shows
00:13:29.000 like Joe Rogan and independent content.
00:13:31.000 How many independent content creators have you seen rise up to the ranks in the last
00:13:35.000 two years? Very few because now big tech is trying to favor and trying to of course get
00:13:42.000 themselves some of those dollar-dollar bills from the big legacy media companies. And that's
00:13:47.000 we're running into now. We used to have ABC, NBC, CBS. Then you had it sort of fractured
00:13:51.000 because you had cable and satellite and then viewership was really low. And now you have
00:13:54.000 Twitter, Facebook, YouTube, Google.
00:13:57.000 That's basically the new three networks, only far more powerful.
00:14:00.000 And they want the dollars that come from the legacy media companies.
00:14:02.000 And so it's very hard for people like us to compete.
00:14:04.000 And so they can just say, you know what?
00:14:05.000 We're going to make sure that you don't read the Hunter Biden New York Post story.
00:14:08.000 Well, why?
00:14:09.000 Well, because it wasn't verified. 0.99
00:14:10.000 What about the Trump calling military losers and suckers? 0.99
00:14:13.000 Eh, run it. 0.99
00:14:15.000 What about the good people on both sides?
00:14:25.000 Did you watch 30 seconds on the other side of that clip where Donald Trump condemned white supremacy totally?
00:14:30.000 We don't think it's misleading, says our fact-checking group.
00:14:33.000 Well, who are they?
00:14:33.000 They're independent, but can we know who they are?
00:14:36.000 They have shaped heads.
00:14:38.000 Have you heard about Russia's four dollars in misinformation campaigns?
00:14:41.000 Oh yeah, yeah, that should be the top of my list.
00:14:44.000 So here's something now, a new development, is that Hunter Biden's laptop And I'll also provide some information here that confirms that this is a real story.
00:14:53.000 This is the most confirmed corroborated story that we have really heard in recent memory.
00:14:58.000 This is important to note.
00:14:59.000 Certainly more than peeing prostitutes and anything in Russiagate. 1.00
00:15:02.000 Certainly more than the recent Donald... I mean, oh my god, the recent Suckers and Losers was the worst one to me. 1.00
00:15:09.000 There are so many false allegations. 0.99
00:15:11.000 More than the Kavanaugh rape allegations.
00:15:12.000 Absolutely more than the Kavanaugh rape allegations.
00:15:15.000 Even more than the Joe Biden rape allegations.
00:15:17.000 And there's a lot there!
00:15:19.000 Give me that! 0.99
00:15:22.000 The Hunter V laptop was subpoenaed.
00:15:24.000 This broke here by this lady at Fox News.
00:15:27.000 She kind of has like an attractive lizard look, but in an attractive way. 1.00
00:15:32.000 You are attracted to lizards?
00:15:34.000 No, I'm just saying like if there were like a Disney bearded dragon that were like the pretty girl in love interest, she would look like this lady.
00:15:40.000 This is like an extra character in Kung Fu Panda is what you're saying.
00:15:43.000 Oh wow.
00:15:44.000 So the Biden laptop was subpoenaed, apparently, now this I have not fully confirmed, but it does seem to be accurate, by an FBI agent who generally works, whose main area of specificity is child pornography.
00:15:58.000 That's the person who's handling the content of the laptops, here you go, is where it broke.
00:16:02.000 Was the FBI agent who served the subpoena investigating child pornography, Senator?
00:16:08.000 Well, you just read the news report.
00:16:10.000 I can't comment any further.
00:16:11.000 I don't want to speculate other than to say that what I said publicly before, our report uncovered so many troubling connections, so many things that need to be investigated that I really think we're just scratching the surface.
00:16:23.000 And yes, I've heard all kinds of things that I think will probably be revealed over the next few days.
00:16:29.000 Apple doesn't fall too far from the sniffing tree.
00:16:31.000 You know, it's always like you want your kid to stand on your shoulders and go further than you did.
00:16:38.000 Not with children!
00:16:41.000 Misinterpreted that one, Biden family. 0.99
00:16:45.000 Stick with fat biker chicks. 1.00
00:16:48.000 This is also something that is not surprising to me, because if you had watched, and we'll have a link in the description below, you know, Mayor Giuliani was on the show when we did the stream on Thursday, and just happened to drop an exclusive into our lap that we didn't necessarily expect, where he had not talked about this anywhere before our show, where he talked about how the lawyer had actually reached out to the computer repair shop asking for it to be returned.
00:17:11.000 I said, how do you know that?
00:17:12.000 Do you have any proof of that? 1.00
00:17:13.000 He said, yeah, yeah, this is the dumbest guy in law school. 0.71
00:17:15.000 And he also said there's some things on this hard drive at that point, 0.93
00:17:18.000 some things that are funny and some things that are not so funny.
00:17:20.000 And I was sitting there going, well, we're already talking about him doing crack and sex tapes.
00:17:23.000 I'm like, so what could be worse?
00:17:25.000 I will say that behind the scenes, I have heard some, there's been alluding to this.
00:17:31.000 I cannot confirm that.
00:17:32.000 But for those who missed the interview, here's the bombshell that Rudy Giuliani
00:17:35.000 dropped on our show, the comedy.
00:17:37.000 I was like, what do I do with this?
00:17:38.000 Hot potato, get it to the news.
00:17:39.000 In fact, I'll give you something that really verifies it.
00:17:43.000 The very morning this came out, within about 20 minutes, Hunter Biden's lawyer called the merchant
00:17:50.000 and asked him if he could have the hard drive back.
00:17:53.000 Really?
00:17:54.000 Yeah, well that also reminds me I need to call Geek Squad.
00:17:57.000 And we have the email evidence of that.
00:18:01.000 The lawyer is asking for the hard drive back.
00:18:03.000 That's almost as though it makes it worse on them. 0.99
00:18:06.000 It's the dumbest thing a lawyer can do. 0.97
00:18:09.000 Would you advise your clients? 0.99
00:18:10.000 I was introduced to him by his law school classmate. 0.99
00:18:12.000 He's the dumbest kid in our law school class. 0.99
00:18:14.000 But he's a nice guy. 1.00
00:18:15.000 I was introduced to him by his law school classmate, the dumbest kid in our law school 0.95
00:18:23.000 class, but he's a nice guy. 0.98
00:18:25.000 He cheated his way through.
00:18:29.000 He's a nice guy.
00:18:30.000 By the way, I don't buy that at all.
00:18:31.000 Joe Biden is not a nice guy. 0.87
00:18:32.000 When you look at what he did with Clarence Thomas, when you look at what he did with the character assassination, the fact that he called a man fat, which I've never actually heard as a name, like a noun, like a pejorative noun, like, hey, listen here, fat!
00:18:43.000 If I were the fat guy, I'd be like... What?
00:18:48.000 I assume there's someone with a last name, like Asian? 0.83
00:18:50.000 Did you mean Fatty?
00:18:51.000 Fatso?
00:18:52.000 Fatass? 0.99
00:18:53.000 Fatdumbass? 1.00
00:18:54.000 Are you just gonna call me fat? 1.00
00:18:56.000 That doesn't even sting! 1.00
00:18:57.000 You, sir, are the embodiment of fat! 0.99
00:19:00.000 What? 0.99
00:19:02.000 It doesn't make any sense!
00:19:04.000 Here's the problem, he just doesn't understand how to split the difference, Joe Biden.
00:19:08.000 It's like either fat, Or Dog-Faced Pony Soldier, where he's trying... You don't know where he's gonna go. 1.00
00:19:13.000 How about just, you fat-faced dumbass? 0.99
00:19:15.000 I'd be like, oh, I do have a little bit of a Liv Schreiber puffy face. 1.00
00:19:18.000 That hurts.
00:19:18.000 But when you just say fat, it doesn't apply to me.
00:19:21.000 And then Dog-Faced Pony Show, it's nonsensical. 1.00
00:19:24.000 So just say like, ah, hey, you coward. 0.99
00:19:28.000 Okay, fine. 1.00
00:19:29.000 Like, ah, you, you know, you fat-faced cowardly soldier. 1.00
00:19:33.000 Okay, fine. 1.00
00:19:34.000 You, you deserter.
00:19:35.000 Be like, oh, them's fighting words. 1.00
00:19:36.000 But just, hey, fat Or dog face pony shoulder.
00:19:41.000 Let's split the difference!
00:19:42.000 Somewhere in the middle, Joseph.
00:19:43.000 And by the way, if you really want to make it sting, if you're going to insult someone as fat, you don't pick the fattest guy in the room, because he already knows he's fat.
00:19:51.000 You pick someone who's like, dad bod, maybe put on 30 pounds, you know what I mean?
00:19:55.000 Because that will eat away.
00:19:56.000 I'm right here, Stephen.
00:19:58.000 Diabolical.
00:20:00.000 Or rather, Gerald's right here, Steven.
00:20:02.000 No, I'm the same weight.
00:20:04.000 I'm good to go.
00:20:04.000 No, you know what I did love that time when he was in the factory and he had all the workers around him?
00:20:08.000 There's like 90 union guys all around him and he tells the one guy, he starts insulting him.
00:20:12.000 I think it was a question about maybe AR-15s or something like that.
00:20:16.000 And the guy, he just starts insulting him and you're like, oh man, okay, this is the candidate for president for the Democratic Party. 0.99
00:20:21.000 A guy who's so stupid as to his surroundings that he starts insulting a union guy. 1.00
00:20:25.000 It was basically a mosh pit. 1.00
00:20:26.000 And then he goes, ah, don't worry, they endorsed me.
00:20:28.000 The guy's like, no.
00:20:33.000 He referred to me as fat, not an adjective, just a noun.
00:20:36.000 He thinks my name is fat. 0.77
00:20:37.000 He thinks he's Dogface Pony Soldier. 0.97
00:20:39.000 Hey you, lipid.
00:20:43.000 Hey you, oxidized LDL.
00:20:46.000 Oh wow.
00:20:47.000 Deep cut.
00:20:49.000 Hey you, bad HDL to triglyceride ratio.
00:20:55.000 It's hard to get that one out fast enough. 1.00
00:20:57.000 Couldn't get it to two-to-one, you son of a bitch. 1.00
00:20:59.000 That's devastating. 1.00
00:21:00.000 And every time he uses that one, I'm like, and this is the articulation of a stutterer?
00:21:04.000 Nine-syllable insults here.
00:21:07.000 I just wish there could be a schoolyard brawl between him and Donald Trump as far as insults without it being broadcast.
00:21:12.000 Because that would just devastate Joe Biden.
00:21:15.000 You know what I mean?
00:21:15.000 They'd be like, hey, you, uh, you, uh, orange?
00:21:18.000 Oh, really? 1.00
00:21:19.000 Is that the best you got stuttering Joe that we're going to blame your stupid insults on? 1.00
00:21:24.000 Also, you're a filthy, ugly wife. 1.00
00:21:27.000 Oh, what? 1.00
00:21:28.000 That's a low blow.
00:21:30.000 That's a low blow.
00:21:32.000 Hey, don't be jealous.
00:21:33.000 Everyone wishes they could have a wife who made $16 million from one year to the next year. 0.51
00:21:37.000 Oh, no.
00:21:38.000 That's a big pay raise.
00:21:38.000 I thought he never made more than that.
00:21:39.000 What happened?
00:21:40.000 That is a big pay raise.
00:21:42.000 Did you break your chair as well?
00:21:45.000 Oh my gosh.
00:21:45.000 I love it.
00:21:46.000 Can nothing be sacred?
00:21:47.000 Nothing at all?
00:21:48.000 We don't need anything sacred.
00:21:51.000 Did it affect you?
00:21:52.000 Oh there we go!
00:21:53.000 I was reaching on the wrong side.
00:21:54.000 Oh my gosh.
00:21:55.000 I forgot right from left. 1.00
00:21:57.000 We were just making fun of you for being stupid. 1.00
00:22:01.000 So, uh, what Giuliani said there on the show, where he said, yeah, the lawyer reached out. 1.00
00:22:05.000 He said, the lawyer reached out, the dumbest guy in law school. 0.96
00:22:08.000 Right. 0.99
00:22:09.000 Yeah. 1.00
00:22:09.000 Uh, so he probably has a great, like, he's a dog face, ass face, is what it's called. 1.00
00:22:14.000 He's got, what do you mean by that, Rudy Giuliani? 1.00
00:22:16.000 Well, he's got a face that resembles an ass. 1.00
00:22:19.000 So I call him Ass Face, Steven. 1.00
00:22:21.000 It's easy to remember.
00:22:22.000 Thank you.
00:22:24.000 This has been confirmed after that was breaking on our show with an email made public from the lawyer I think is known as George Maziers.
00:22:33.000 The point is, it's been confirmed that the lawyer reached out to the computer repair shop and was like, hey, can we have that back?
00:22:40.000 Can I have my computer back?
00:22:47.000 I've heard through the grapevine that the computer that may or may not include child pornography has now been handed over to the FBI agent whom I know very well specializes in child pornography.
00:23:00.000 Is there any way you could give that child pornography hard drive Is that maybe in the cards?
00:23:10.000 No?
00:23:10.000 No.
00:23:10.000 No, it's probably not.
00:23:12.000 Should have expected more from a dog-faced pony computer repairman. 0.99
00:23:15.000 What are you even talking about?
00:23:17.000 I don't know.
00:23:17.000 You have to talk to the president's lawyer.
00:23:19.000 He has some cards.
00:23:20.000 Then there was a Ukrainian lawmaker, Andriy Derkak, I could be pronouncing it Derkatch, I don't know, I could be pronouncing it wrong, I don't care, claimed a second Biden laptop was seized in the Ukraine and is containing evidence of corruption.
00:23:33.000 And Steve Bannon, who of course works at Breitbart.com, said that this is just going to be a slow drip, that they have more to release.
00:23:40.000 And that was the old Andrew Breitbart playbook, was release something to allow the media to claim that it's a false story.
00:23:47.000 That's exactly what happened with Anthony Weiner.
00:23:48.000 A lot of people forget this about Anthony Weiner.
00:23:50.000 Andrew Breitbart had the pictures.
00:23:51.000 He told the media that he had the pictures.
00:23:53.000 He made sure that the media was able to verify that the pictures were accurate, but because he didn't want to release the pictures of Anthony Weiner, because he didn't want to destroy his family's life, In the life of Anthony Wiener's children, it gave the media an out where they claimed Andrew Breitbart is making this up and lying.
00:24:07.000 Only when Andrew Breitbart actually took over the podium at Anthony Wiener's press conference, where he was going to blame Andrew for a false story, when Andrew went out and said, I have these pictures, I didn't release them because I don't want to destroy the family, Anthony Wiener went out and apologized.
00:24:21.000 So that is the Andrew Breitbart playbook that a lot of people don't know.
00:24:25.000 The media has been either ignoring it, they've had big tech who've been ignoring it, and If there's something else that comes out and confirms it, and more importantly, that the media knew it was confirmed, that opens up a whole bunch of legal liability, I've got to imagine, for all companies involved, if it can be proven that they knew which was the case with Anthony Weiner.
00:24:43.000 Well, and the only thing that they're saying right now is that this is all Russian propaganda, that this isn't something that is even worth being printed anywhere, that there's no facts behind it.
00:24:50.000 behind like everything that I see the media saying is getting parroted by people on Twitter. Oh,
00:24:54.000 this is just Russian disinformation. It's like, well, you just can't whitewash every piece of
00:24:58.000 information you don't like as Russian. But let's also say that a Russian happened to
00:25:02.000 give Giuliani the actual hard drive as opposed to the local geeks. Right? Yeah.
00:25:07.000 So?
00:25:07.000 Does it make it any less relevant if the fact is that Hunter Biden and Joe Biden have been engaged in corruption after corruption scandal?
00:25:16.000 Listen, if someone with the last name that ends in vich sent this and it happens to include child pornography, aren't you glad that there's accountability and maybe one more pedophile behind bars?
00:25:27.000 This is one of those things, and there is no evidence that that is the case.
00:25:30.000 No, of course not.
00:25:30.000 Because they've tried to make it seem as though anyone who may even have at some point been Russian, if they've provided any information, that this is somehow a Russian disinformation campaign.
00:25:39.000 The disinformation campaign is Twitter, Facebook, throttling this story.
00:25:44.000 Completely.
00:25:45.000 Yeah, but they've also conditioned people to, every time something comes out that could be damning, they've conditioned them to hear Russian and election meddling and think, oh, this isn't true.
00:25:54.000 I don't even need to take a look at this, even though the fourth largest publication newspaper in the United States ran with us.
00:26:00.000 This is not some right-wing lunatic There's no doubt.
00:26:02.000 on the fringes in his mom's basement tweeting this story out. This is a newspaper. Then it was the
00:26:06.000 judicial oversight committee that got blocked. Then it was the press secretary that got blocked
00:26:10.000 by big media. How is there any doubt anymore that they are absolutely in the bag for Joe Biden?
00:26:16.000 There's no doubt. There's no doubt. There can't be any doubt.
00:26:18.000 One of the largest questions here is if you have an entire summer, an entire presidency
00:26:24.000 that has been marred by having news outlets claim their partisanship, not just talk about
00:26:29.000 bipartisan facts, not just talk about facts, which really shouldn't be partisan.
00:26:33.000 Again, you're infusing opinion onto the facts and twisting them and spinning them in a certain way, which has now become really the only... Joe Biden has a stutter.
00:26:41.000 Or just making them up entirely, right?
00:26:42.000 But even, you know, the New York Times, I mean, other places that should have, and a lot of their folks are trying to tell the truth, are not able to tell the truth.
00:26:50.000 They're getting this spin.
00:26:51.000 And now you come out and you're like, you're the ones that are saying, oh, this is just Russian disinformation.
00:26:55.000 But it's so untrue that we're not even going to let anyone see it, not let anyone investigate it.
00:27:02.000 We're just going to go ahead, rely on our immunity, and just strip it from the public record.
00:27:07.000 Yeah, it's really concerning.
00:27:08.000 Yeah, and it's not like Facebook and Twitter and Google all of a sudden grew a conscience and decided to start censoring information that was false with all of the things we've seen with Russiagate, just with Trump, and then with Kavanaugh.
00:27:20.000 You cannot be on the other side right now and say, well, they're just making sure that bad information doesn't get out.
00:27:24.000 They want to make sure that the stories are true.
00:27:25.000 I was like, really?
00:27:27.000 A lady who couldn't remember where, when, how, anything, but she thinks it might have happened and you ran with that as facts? 0.97
00:27:32.000 I believe Zuckerberg grows a conscience when he can grow a mustache.
00:27:36.000 You mean when his cells regenerate like a real human being?
00:27:42.000 I'm sorry, when he blinks during seven hours of congressional testimony?
00:27:45.000 That is the wimpiest supercomputer ever!
00:27:48.000 Send him back to the future! 0.99
00:27:49.000 We don't need him here!
00:27:51.000 Hey, the devil's biggest trick wasn't, you remember, being around.
00:27:55.000 It's convincing us that he wasn't Mark Zuckerberg.
00:28:00.000 That's a good trick.
00:28:01.000 I should have known.
00:28:02.000 Anyway, let us know what you think.
00:28:03.000 We'll be following the story as it develops.
00:28:04.000 I'm curious to see what more develops from this story.
00:28:09.000 Which, by the way, speaking of tech, we have a new sponsor here on this show.
00:28:12.000 Even Brendan, you should come in.
00:28:13.000 So, a lot of people don't know this.
00:28:15.000 Many of you have had car insurance or homeowner's insurance, and probably for a very long time.
00:28:19.000 It's one of those things, you probably checked for your price, right?
00:28:21.000 Your homeowner's insurance, car insurance, checked for the best price a while back, and then said, okay, I'm all set.
00:28:26.000 But your prices can creep up on you.
00:28:28.000 And I even realized after the sponsor came in, Gabby, that I probably should have checked them.
00:28:33.000 So I actually did check mine, because I got a ticket recently, because I speed sometimes.
00:28:38.000 Wait, before, in the past.
00:28:39.000 Outside stage of limitations.
00:28:43.000 But I literally checked it after that, and it was a great experience, and also the other best part is they stick it to big tech all day long.
00:28:51.000 And they also don't release any of your private information.
00:28:54.000 Sorry, I should tell you exactly what it is.
00:28:56.000 Even Brendan is showing, that's the logo there, and you can go to Gabby.com slash Crowder.
00:29:02.000 You can just go and check, actually, what your current insurance rate is that you're paying.
00:29:05.000 And Gabby is a site that lets you see what other prices you might have available to you based on what you're actually paying right now, what your current driving level and record is like.
00:29:16.000 I'm distracted.
00:29:17.000 Brendan, when was the last... You look like the Liberty Bell.
00:29:21.000 When was the last time you got a haircut?
00:29:24.000 One year ago.
00:29:25.000 Wow.
00:29:25.000 How do you know one year ago?
00:29:26.000 Was there something in your mind that dates it?
00:29:28.000 No. 0.52
00:29:29.000 No, it's just gross.
00:29:29.000 He gets it cut every year on the same day.
00:29:31.000 He looks like an unshorn alpaca.
00:29:34.000 Like, just the hair down in his eyes.
00:29:36.000 He's got a llama look about you.
00:29:37.000 He looks like a hipster little Lord Fauntleroy.
00:29:41.000 I'm pretty confident you should not answer the question.
00:29:43.000 I'm partially blind due to my bangs when filling up Like a coffee shop long shank.
00:29:49.000 When this war starts, this is going to be my out.
00:29:54.000 Anyway, you know what else can get disgusting like Brendan's hair?
00:29:57.000 It's your insurance rates.
00:29:58.000 That's true.
00:29:59.000 Your car insurance rates or your home insurance rates.
00:30:01.000 So Gabby, you can go and get your free check right now to find out what your rates are.
00:30:05.000 That's Gabby.com slash Crowder.
00:30:07.000 It saves customers like $800 on average.
00:30:10.000 Nice.
00:30:10.000 $800 on average.
00:30:11.000 Gabby.com slash Crowder.
00:30:12.000 And none of our info is sold.
00:30:14.000 It's free to try.
00:30:15.000 Elsewhere.
00:30:15.000 Free to try.
00:30:16.000 Get out of here.
00:30:17.000 I want to see what's sticking in your hair.
00:30:18.000 Okay.
00:30:18.000 I think when Bill goes on there, he puts Asian and the prices go up like three times, but if he takes it off, he just leaves that part out.
00:30:25.000 Hot.
00:30:25.000 I put multiracial and they just say, no, we're not even.
00:30:28.000 We don't accept that.
00:30:28.000 I don't trust you.
00:30:29.000 Which multiracial?
00:30:29.000 We know what that means.
00:30:30.000 Well, I have a family member who lives in Glendale and that's the highest car insurance in the country, apparently.
00:30:36.000 Really?
00:30:37.000 Because of all the Armenians, which I never, it's not even a stereotype.
00:30:39.000 Armenians are bad drivers? 1.00
00:30:41.000 Apparently.
00:30:42.000 I have no idea why.
00:30:44.000 I thought it was because it was in close proximity to Koreatown.
00:30:46.000 Turns out it's Armenian.
00:30:49.000 The Koreans, they don't drive. 1.00
00:30:51.000 I think it's just someone getting him back for System of a Down.
00:30:56.000 You should have them do a Gabby commercial.
00:30:58.000 I'm not signing this joke.
00:31:01.000 I'm not co-signing this joke.
00:31:05.000 It's just a super long play.
00:31:08.000 No!
00:31:09.000 More pain high premiums!
00:31:10.000 No premiums!
00:31:11.000 Somewhere between progressive and gyno insurance!
00:31:12.000 And I'm not co-signing this joke.
00:31:13.000 I'm not co-signing this joke.
00:31:19.000 Insurance!
00:31:21.000 You're probably going to pass the service to System of a Down.
00:31:24.000 Their lyrics do sound like libraries.
00:31:26.000 They're just credit cards in there.
00:31:30.000 Gabby.com!
00:31:31.000 Slash Crowder! 0.98
00:31:32.000 Slash Crowder! 0.98
00:31:36.000 It's a great band.
00:31:37.000 Garrett is just fuming over here right now.
00:31:41.000 Hey, just to spite you, I listen to them every morning on the way in.
00:31:44.000 It's a routine.
00:31:47.000 Okay.
00:31:48.000 All right, let's move on here to the electoral map.
00:31:51.000 A lot of people have been asking, I want to know, again the question is, what do you think about the secret Trump voter?
00:31:56.000 You guys all bet on Thursday, you said if you have to bet, you still bet Donald Trump wins.
00:32:00.000 Slightly, yeah.
00:32:01.000 But I agree with you.
00:32:02.000 Really, anyone who says that they're for sure now, whether you're Nate Silver or you're that homeless guy over at the Racetrack, nobody really knows the answer.
00:32:09.000 Wait, do you mean Racetrack, the gas station? 0.97
00:32:11.000 Because it sucks. 0.97
00:32:12.000 We only talk about QT, right? 0.99
00:32:13.000 That's why I mentioned how bad it was.
00:32:15.000 There are a lot of homeless guys.
00:32:17.000 And they pee in your cup, and then Racetrack puts it back like it's a new cup.
00:32:20.000 Oh, wow.
00:32:21.000 Unverified.
00:32:21.000 Whoa!
00:32:24.000 And 7-Eleven just takes the cup and goes, floor.
00:32:29.000 I don't know what 7-Eleven is thinking.
00:32:33.000 Every 7-Eleven I've gone to, I go, have you been to Quick Trip?
00:32:38.000 Your bathroom looks like an episode of Lock Up.
00:32:42.000 7-Eleven, oh my god.
00:32:43.000 I almost think that 7-Eleven, it's an aesthetic because I'm fairly certain every 7-Eleven bathroom has the exact same stains.
00:32:49.000 On the wall, on the ceilings.
00:32:51.000 It comes pre-stained so you don't see new stains.
00:32:55.000 I gotta make sure we have the DNA spots.
00:32:57.000 Every single one it's like, call Gerald A. for a good time.
00:33:00.000 It's the same number every time.
00:33:02.000 I mean, maybe I put that there.
00:33:03.000 And I call and I never have a good time.
00:33:05.000 Never.
00:33:06.000 Good times, not happy.
00:33:07.000 You think Donald Trump wins?
00:33:09.000 I do think he wins.
00:33:10.000 Sorry, that was a trend.
00:33:11.000 Okay, nice job!
00:33:14.000 He wins because of Quick Trip.
00:33:16.000 Okay, so let me give you my reasoning here as to why I think it's very possible that Donald Trump could lose by a landslide, and he could win by a significant margin.
00:33:27.000 All scenarios are possible.
00:33:29.000 However, the polls want to give you one side of the story right now, where only one scenario is possible, and that's Joe Biden winning by a significant margin, though that margin is shrinking as we go into election time.
00:33:39.000 Also, I should note I haven't been able to do all the fact-checking on this yet, but there are some polls that were included in 2016 as part of the RCP rolling average that are not included this go-around, and I have no idea why.
00:33:50.000 Keep that up.
00:33:51.000 So that is important to keep in mind, that Biden's lead is more significant than Hillary Clinton's, okay?
00:33:59.000 But the margins in many swing states are actually lower.
00:34:04.000 Again, all of those margins are generally shrinking.
00:34:07.000 This was, I think, taken from this weekend.
00:34:10.000 By the time you're watching this, this was taken from October 17th, I believe.
00:34:13.000 So if someone goes, just go to RCP and click Time Machine.
00:34:17.000 There's a date stamp on the ship.
00:34:18.000 Okay, so looking at those margins that you see all those toss-up states, right, with the RCP averages, this is how they have the map looking effectively, the Electoral College map.
00:34:28.000 Those are the states that are not filled in.
00:34:30.000 They have Biden with 216 and Donald Trump with 125, which at first glance you're like, oh my gosh, okay, that looks pretty bad.
00:34:35.000 And again, I could be wrong about this.
00:34:38.000 I'm no Nate Silver.
00:34:40.000 I'm not even Nate Bronze.
00:34:44.000 But neither is Nate Silver.
00:34:45.000 You're better than that.
00:34:48.000 He's more of a Nate Pewter.
00:34:52.000 He doubled down on the joke. He did.
00:34:54.000 I want to fill out the map.
00:34:56.000 I want to fill out the map using a simple formula.
00:35:02.000 I love how half-Asian Bill's showing. 1.00
00:35:04.000 He just had to cough into a sink.
00:35:05.000 No one cares.
00:35:05.000 We all assumed that you had COVID.
00:35:07.000 You started it.
00:35:08.000 Exactly.
00:35:09.000 I mean, guys, I brought it to this country as a gift.
00:35:12.000 Oh yes!
00:35:13.000 The gift that keeps on giving.
00:35:14.000 And now you all have it because this morning, that was my trick.
00:35:17.000 I had you all taste the Marshmallow Rockstar just to see how disgusting it was.
00:35:20.000 I didn't.
00:35:21.000 I licked the rim.
00:35:22.000 I submitted my paint slip immediately after I had to drink that.
00:35:26.000 That was so bad.
00:35:27.000 A marshmallow energy drink.
00:35:29.000 It's like putting drain cleaner in your stomach.
00:35:33.000 That tastes worse than drain cleaner.
00:35:36.000 All right.
00:35:37.000 So I want to fill out the map here using a pretty simple formula because a lot of people say, well, how do we take into account the secret Trump voter?
00:35:44.000 Okay.
00:35:44.000 Again, taking into consideration that the swing state margins are significantly lower than Hillary Clinton.
00:35:50.000 Okay.
00:35:51.000 I'll only give President Trump, when filling out this map, I'll only give him the states that either A, in which he outperformed his poll significantly, or B, won by a very wide margin, meaning either double digits or close to double digits.
00:36:04.000 Okay.
00:36:07.000 For example, let me kind of go through this.
00:36:08.000 Michigan.
00:36:09.000 This is a story, and this is a perfect example of how the media can kind of take facts and present them selectively, which they do less and less because they just make up facts.
00:36:17.000 Like Joe Biden.
00:36:17.000 It's well known that Joe Biden has a stutter.
00:36:19.000 It's not even known that he has a stutter, and it certainly isn't even known that it was widely known because you wouldn't have had to say it.
00:36:28.000 So, Michigan.
00:36:29.000 Everyone talks about how popular Biden is and how Trump only won Michigan by 0.5%, like by a half a percentage point.
00:36:36.000 And that is true.
00:36:37.000 Donald Trump only won Michigan by a half a percentage point.
00:36:39.000 You remember on election night, I was as shocked as anybody.
00:36:42.000 You didn't think it was going to happen in Michigan.
00:36:43.000 I didn't think he was going to win Michigan.
00:36:44.000 But here's the thing that's important that the media isn't telling you.
00:36:47.000 The final polls had Hillary Clinton up over 11%, 11.6%, and Trump won by between 0.3 and 0.5.
00:36:55.000 So that's a big deal when you look at Biden.
00:36:57.000 He's only up by 6 point something in Michigan.
00:37:00.000 6.7.
00:37:01.000 He's up by 6.7 in Michigan.
00:37:02.000 They had Hillary Clinton up by 11%.
00:37:05.000 So if you actually look at that, he outperformed the polling, the polling average, not one individual poll, the polling average in all of Michigan by a full 12%!
00:37:13.000 Wow.
00:37:15.000 12 points!
00:37:16.000 When they talk about margin of error, it's usually 2 or 3 percent.
00:37:19.000 Donald Trump outperformed in Michigan when compared to Hillary Clinton by 12 percentage points to get that half.
00:37:27.000 If he were to outperform Biden by 12 percentage points, he would win it by 7 percent!
00:37:31.000 Yeah, it would be a landslide.
00:37:33.000 So, this is why I say the key does come... if this secret Trump voter is still a thing, he could very easily overtake Biden in Michigan, especially since, again, the trend is recent polling has Biden by significantly less.
00:37:44.000 Let's look at Wisconsin.
00:37:45.000 That's another example.
00:37:46.000 I was very surprised with Wisconsin.
00:37:47.000 Trump only won by 0.7%.
00:37:48.000 Okay?
00:37:50.000 Understand.
00:37:51.000 I understand that's not a lot.
00:37:52.000 But, they had Clinton up, going into the election, by 7%.
00:37:57.000 In 2016.
00:37:58.000 By 7%.
00:37:59.000 That means that Donald Trump outperformed those polls by 8%!
00:38:03.000 So this is one thing when people say, actually the polls had it relatively right because Hillary Clinton did win the popular vote.
00:38:07.000 They didn't even have it close to right in the swing states!
00:38:10.000 So wrong that states that didn't even consider swing states all of a sudden became Trump states.
00:38:14.000 Michigan wasn't considered a swing state.
00:38:15.000 Wisconsin wasn't considered a swing state.
00:38:16.000 Then they became Trump states.
00:38:17.000 Because no one thought, well, how could he?
00:38:20.000 Listen, there's no margin of error. 0.99
00:38:21.000 If a poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 12 to 15, then there's almost no value in a fucking poll! 0.99
00:38:30.000 That is what happened! 1.00
00:38:32.000 You sons of bitches! 1.00
00:38:34.000 And just plain bitches! 1.00
00:38:35.000 I'm sorry, this is important. 0.99
00:38:37.000 The polls have become a means to manipulate public opinion.
00:38:40.000 And it is true the polls were generally right, and this is what frustrates me when you see conservatives say this.
00:38:46.000 Who I agree with on a whole lot.
00:38:47.000 Well actually the polls were pretty right.
00:38:49.000 No, they were not even close in the swing states.
00:38:51.000 And we covered, we were one of the few shows that covered that election live stream all night and we were very surprised.
00:38:57.000 Then we look at, again, so Wisconsin, Biden's only up by 6.3%.
00:39:02.000 So it's not a sure win.
00:39:04.000 That's not what I'm saying.
00:39:05.000 No.
00:39:05.000 But I'm saying, based on the polling accuracy that you've seen in the states, it's certainly within the margin of error.
00:39:12.000 And then I'm going to apply another formula here, a couple of different possibilities.
00:39:16.000 But first, please do hit the notification bell if you're subscribed on YouTube, because subscriptions don't mean a whole lot.
00:39:21.000 Notification bell lets you know on your mobile phone and also if you don't want to hit it because it burns hitting the click button or maybe have an iPad.
00:39:29.000 I just wiped the screen!
00:39:30.000 Well then maybe you shouldn't have eaten fresh doughnuts.
00:39:36.000 Or shouldn't have gotten a touchscreen.
00:39:39.000 You poll taker.
00:39:41.000 So can I say I think that the secret... Or just tune in mornings at 10 a.m.
00:39:45.000 Eastern.
00:39:45.000 Go ahead.
00:39:48.000 I was going to say, definitely tune in at 10 a.m.
00:39:51.000 Eastern.
00:39:52.000 I think that the secret Trump voter is a real thing.
00:39:55.000 I think there are definitely folks out there who will never put a sticker up, a sign up, they won't even talk about it, and they are the type of person that is still going to go out and vote because they are interested in the country and moving it forward in a good way.
00:40:08.000 But I think perhaps a bigger factor is going to be the lack of people who were excited about Joe Biden.
00:40:12.000 There's nothing exciting about Joe Biden.
00:40:14.000 You haven't heard a cogent, cohesive plan from him.
00:40:18.000 You definitely haven't heard it from Kamala.
00:40:19.000 And so ultimately, you've got to get excitement.
00:40:21.000 People have to be excited to come out.
00:40:23.000 People were not excited about Hillary.
00:40:25.000 But I think people are excited about anti-Trump.
00:40:27.000 So I don't know if that's... They are.
00:40:29.000 I think they're going to have a lot of people turn out.
00:40:31.000 And I think they will have a lot more turnout, but a lot of the folks who are so variantly anti-Trump are the people who aren't even going to show up.
00:40:39.000 They're the people who are out there holding their signs, posting on Facebook, posting on Instagram, and then they just don't vote.
00:40:45.000 Well, it's Antifa in the Bernie rooms.
00:40:47.000 They're not going to vote for Joe Biden.
00:40:48.000 And on election day, you do have to fill out a bubble next to somebody's name.
00:40:51.000 You can't just vote against somebody.
00:40:53.000 That's not an option.
00:40:54.000 Yeah, no, I think you're right, but I do think the secret Trump voter thing... I mean, like you said, they're not putting up signs, because who can afford that many signs?
00:41:00.000 Unless you have a clown car of Trump signs, it's gone the next morning.
00:41:05.000 I know, because every single person I've known or relative who put up a Trump sign, it's up and it's gone.
00:41:10.000 Yeah, exactly.
00:41:11.000 They put another one and it's gone.
00:41:13.000 What is there?
00:41:13.000 Is there the flash?
00:41:14.000 I'm not even seeing anybody and the sign is disappearing before my eyes.
00:41:18.000 They have some sort of anti-Trump magnet.
00:41:21.000 It's like an Acme magnet that just sucks all the Trump signs into one portion of the earth.
00:41:25.000 They're gone immediately.
00:41:26.000 People can't afford the Trump signs.
00:41:28.000 And people say, well actually the polls have recalibrated.
00:41:30.000 No!
00:41:31.000 No!
00:41:31.000 Well, I look at the polls.
00:41:32.000 Not only do they, if they don't outright oversample Democrats, they are vastly oversampling Independents.
00:41:37.000 Like 26, 30-something percent Independents.
00:41:39.000 And guess what?
00:41:40.000 That's where your polling methodology can lie.
00:41:43.000 Because you can easily have some screening questions to make sure that the Independents lean more left.
00:41:47.000 And something that's really important to keep in mind with the secret Trump voters, when people are asked, hey, who do you think your neighbor is voting for?
00:41:52.000 180.
00:41:53.000 Everyone thinks they're voting for Trump.
00:41:54.000 And the majority of Americans think that Trump will win.
00:41:58.000 That's a little crazy.
00:41:59.000 That's the first time this has happened when they go, Joe Biden's ahead by double digits in the polls, which is factually inaccurate, but that's what they're claiming because CNN is only citing their own poll.
00:42:09.000 I like the fact that they're saying that.
00:42:11.000 It gives Trump voters and people out there that are whipping votes in these states an opportunity, hey, get out.
00:42:16.000 It motivates them even more.
00:42:17.000 So keep saying he's ahead.
00:42:18.000 I love it.
00:42:19.000 Keep doing it.
00:42:20.000 Okay, so let me give you a couple of different scenarios.
00:42:21.000 So using that methodology where I'm only giving some of those toss-up states to Trump, if he won them by a wide margin or outperformed his polls by a huge margin, this is what that map looks like.
00:42:32.000 Okay?
00:42:32.000 Now, I want to be clear, I'm not saying that's what the election will look like.
00:42:36.000 It's like a massacre.
00:42:37.000 And see, notice Arizona isn't even in there, which is still a potential toss-up.
00:42:41.000 So I'm actually playing that somewhat conservatively using that methodology.
00:42:44.000 But let me give you a more conservative version, okay?
00:42:46.000 Here's a more conservative version.
00:42:49.000 Because the polls were so inaccurate, and I want to highlight the point here, when anyone
00:42:53.000 tells you the polls were actually right in the popular vote, that's not the issue.
00:42:55.000 The polls were way off on the state vote.
00:42:58.000 So, I am now going to fill in the map, only moving the toss-ups to Donald Trump if he outperformed the polls by a minimum of 7 percentage points.
00:43:11.000 Here's what that map looks like.
00:43:13.000 So that's only seven points.
00:43:15.000 That's a lot.
00:43:16.000 That's way outside the margin of error.
00:43:17.000 Margin of error is usually two and a half to three percent.
00:43:20.000 Okay, so here's another version.
00:43:24.000 If we go down the list and say, all right, seven percent, that's an extreme version to make a point that those are actually probably leaning Trump.
00:43:31.000 I feel pretty confident about that map where a lot of those may be leaning Trump.
00:43:36.000 Now let's go down the list and say, okay, let's just take the states where Donald Trump in 2016 outperformed the polls by a minimum, a minimum of five percentage points, and this is exactly what that electoral map looks like.
00:43:49.000 And you get 277.
00:43:51.000 And that's again, Arizona's not filled in, nor Georgia.
00:43:55.000 Now I'm not saying he's going to win Wisconsin, he's going to win Michigan, I'm not saying he's going to win Pennsylvania.
00:43:59.000 I'm just saying that there are a lot of possibilities here, and if someone tells you the polls were right last time, they are wrong.
00:44:06.000 And the polls were not only wrong, they were historically wrong.
00:44:11.000 They were biblically wrong.
00:44:14.000 Do you think that they got better between the last four years?
00:44:17.000 I don't know if they've gotten better, and I also don't know why certain polls are being excluded with the RCP average.
00:44:24.000 There's bias in polls.
00:44:26.000 You have to understand how this polling is done to see what kind of bias there is.
00:44:29.000 There are companies out there that are polling and trying to remove that bias, but I think the landscape changed in 2016.
00:44:34.000 Yeah.
00:44:35.000 You can't go back to polling the old way.
00:44:36.000 They're like, well, Joe Biden is actually less ahead nationally than Hillary Clinton was almost to the day this last week.
00:44:43.000 CNN was reporting this over the weekend.
00:44:45.000 Shocker.
00:44:45.000 But they're like, but don't worry, he's actually up in all of these other key metrics.
00:44:48.000 And like, everybody's just trying to figure out how do you judge accurately what people will do on election day.
00:44:52.000 What metric is that?
00:44:53.000 The stuttering community.
00:44:53.000 Yeah.
00:44:54.000 They come out in full force.
00:44:56.000 Unfortunately, their campaign stumping is, it's not on schedule and it's very long.
00:45:01.000 Well, there's two great things in our favor with this, and I hate to say it, but one is that most of those voters that are fired up to go out and vote for Joe Biden are doing it by mail.
00:45:10.000 That is a really bad way to go and vote, because historically, mail has been a horrible way to make sure your vote is counted.
00:45:17.000 It ends up getting lost, it's not filled out correctly, so if you guys have done—your entire campaign is vote by mail, you've basically— And by the way, we have a running tally from our last segment.
00:45:25.000 It's over 2 million votes that are potentially compromised by mail.
00:45:27.000 Yeah.
00:45:27.000 Two million votes that have been legally verified are potentially compromised.
00:45:30.000 And I'm not saying voter fraud, but it includes all of the above fraud and compromise.
00:45:34.000 So when people say there's no evidence of mass scale voter fraud, well, actually, there
00:45:38.000 is evidence of voter fraud to the tune of tens of thousands.
00:45:41.000 Absolutely.
00:45:42.000 If you think that's significant, OK, fine.
00:45:43.000 Then I get the hell out.
00:45:45.000 I don't say that.
00:45:46.000 Like, if you don't like if you don't like Donald Trump, leave America.
00:45:49.000 I'm saying if you don't think that tens of thousands of votes that have been verified
00:45:52.000 fraudulent, if you don't think that matters, then you don't really care about free and
00:45:57.000 And then there are millions of votes that are potentially compromised just because, okay, DMV.
00:46:04.000 Yeah, do you trust them? Medicare, Medicaid, do you really think that they need to go on?
00:46:09.000 Yeah, and handle elections. Yeah, and if Joe Biden loses, then it's going to be the Democrats
00:46:13.000 talking about how unsafe mail-in voting is. Massive mail-in voting is just the DMV with
00:46:21.000 representatives. Oh, it's a nightmare.
00:46:24.000 It's just remote DMV.
00:46:25.000 I actually was going to say, nothing has made me more frustrated over the last couple of weeks of hearing folks lay at Donald Trump and the GOP's feet this idea of no peaceful transition or calling into question the election itself, when I feel like the vast majority of that I've actually heard from the left.
00:46:43.000 And you know, we've made jokes, and I guess they're not even jokes, they're true, about questioning this.
00:46:48.000 You made this point last week about questioning it during the entirety of the four years, right?
00:46:52.000 The legitimacy of the president's term.
00:46:56.000 And I really do think that you're going to see even more strenuous complaints, arguments, screaming from the left.
00:47:04.000 In the event that Trump wins, even on the 4th itself, we're going to see that by the end of the day, because I think you're going to see all these votes come in, and they're going to go, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, That's what they're going to do.
00:47:25.000 That's a gift for sure.
00:47:26.000 Look, I mean, I know that this is going to be close in some places, but the polling is a great point that you brought up.
00:47:31.000 The mail-in ballot thing is going to be a huge issue.
00:47:33.000 But there's one other thing in some of these swing states that's really big.
00:47:36.000 Since March in Florida, states that let you register to vote by party and let you declare which party you're for, there's been over 100,000 more Republicans since March register in Florida than Democrats.
00:47:47.000 New people registering.
00:47:48.000 Pennsylvania, since June, over 77,000 more.
00:47:51.000 And North Carolina we've been talking about.
00:47:52.000 That's central to their strategy to win, by the way, is North Carolina.
00:47:55.000 Over 25,000 more Republicans registering to vote for the first time than Democrats.
00:47:59.000 Just this year.
00:48:01.000 So that's a huge thing that we haven't even factored.
00:48:07.000 Yeah, but we haven't factored in the stuttering camp yet.
00:48:09.000 I think there is definitely a secret Trump voter, but I think there are also people who are lying to the pollsters and then hanging out like Bart Simpson and just laughing.
00:48:17.000 Every time.
00:48:17.000 All of my old neighbors brag about how they lie to the pollsters.
00:48:22.000 You know my one neighbor who's in his 90s?
00:48:25.000 I said, I've never actually had one of these poll takers call me, have you?
00:48:31.000 He goes, oh yeah.
00:48:33.000 So they must be polling people like you.
00:48:34.000 He goes, yeah, I just lie.
00:48:39.000 He goes back to trimming his hedges, and I go, wait, you lie?
00:48:41.000 Yeah!
00:48:42.000 So what do you mean?
00:48:43.000 I tell him I'm voting Biden!
00:48:45.000 Well, nobody lies the other way.
00:48:47.000 Why would you lie the other way? 0.85
00:48:49.000 It's like, please, can someone shoot me in the chest at point-blank range because I live in Portland? 0.90
00:48:55.000 I mean, think about this for a second. 0.77
00:48:57.000 People were voting Trump, kind of a roll of the dice, right?
00:48:59.000 A lot of people here held their nose, okay?
00:49:02.000 We don't know at that point.
00:49:04.000 You weren't being shot in the streets for voting for Donald Trump.
00:49:07.000 That is actually what is happening right now, and you wonder why people may be more secretive in their voting for Trump?
00:49:13.000 It doesn't make any sense.
00:49:15.000 I'm not saying he's going to win, but I am saying that it could go either way, and you certainly shouldn't lose all hope, and you shouldn't trust all of the polls because that... What is that right now?
00:49:25.000 It looks like a minion with those goggles on. 0.56
00:49:29.000 You're racist against people with glasses, aren't you?
00:49:34.000 We have to get going. 0.99
00:49:34.000 We have Manny the Art Critic and we're going to be talking about Joe Biden's position on transitioning, hormone replacement therapy, cutting off penises for children. 0.99