In this week's episode, the boys discuss the recent election results in swing states, and whether or not fear is an irrational fear. Plus, they talk about the future of women in politics, and Geraldine Fitzgerald's new book.
00:04:14.000For example, if a spider is in the pool that can walk across water like it's Jesus spider at your face level, and you're like, oh, that kind of gives me the creeps.
00:04:24.000Is that a fear? I don't think I need to go through some type of therapy.
00:04:28.000That made me go, oh, maybe he's afraid of this.
00:05:07.000I got over my fear of roller coasters when I was a kid.
00:05:10.000And then I kept doing it and I just kept getting sick and realized that why am I paying someone $100 a day to make me feel like I'm going to die?
00:05:16.000It's true. So I don't do them anymore.
00:06:27.000You don't have control over all of population earth female.
00:06:32.000And by the way, this is, of course, has always happened.
00:06:34.000She's accomplished nothing yet, but the film rights have already been licensed with the soon-to-be-released semi-autobiographical raunch comedy Snatch Shot.
00:09:42.000It's a hard move. I'm sure she's great.
00:09:43.000It's three deeks. I'm sure she's great.
00:09:45.000Good for her. And you know what? I bet you it's not lost on her.
00:09:47.000But it's the women. It's the feminist writers out there who are like, well, why?
00:09:50.000What's the problem with it? Imagine someone coaching.
00:09:53.000Like football, because a lot of you may not follow hockey.
00:09:55.000Coaching football in the NFL, a woman who played a sport where there was, like she only played flag football.
00:10:00.000Yeah, exactly. Do you think that maybe she would have less to offer than someone who has three fractured vertebrae because they played against Warren Sapp?
00:12:30.000Is it? Utilizing elements like the Pan-African flag and queering classic silhouettes like workwear into something that feels unique to Frederick Colombo's story.
00:14:14.000If you go back 10 to 15 years, there's a lot of very graphic one-direction fan fiction where people were imagining Harry Styles and his bandmates choking each other and being super kinky together.
00:14:26.000I don't know how much fiction there is.
00:14:28.000Did the previous guy write this one, too?
00:14:32.000They're all just going in different directions, it sounds like.
00:14:35.000I don't know. It could be more of like a centrifuge.
00:14:37.000No, we have a picture of this author, too.
00:14:39.000We do? Yep. Here you go. Let's see a picture.
00:14:44.000Here's the thing. As gross as that woman is, on the inside, this is what a lot of women don't understand or appreciate as far as the dynamic between the sexes.
00:14:54.000She could walk out of her house, apartment, whatever she's subletting, sharing.
00:16:10.000Where does that happen, by the way? Here's the thing that I don't like.
00:16:12.000I don't like that these degenerates write about their gross subcultures that were once relegated, you know, to the locker rooms or to the bathhouses, lest they get their ass kicked, figuratively or physically.
00:16:23.000And now just assuming, like, we're out of the know, like we're not hip if we don't know about the newest grimy gay subculture, how about you just keep it off the front page?
00:17:33.000Another extra. A younger straight guy snatching the honorific over a gay co-star who is four years his senior is an indication of how murky and...
00:21:35.000Like I said, she's going to have a bump, but she is going to find herself in her own personal hell.
00:21:39.000Right now, I guarantee you, advisors are saying, hey, look, either we pull the Biden playbook, we go silent, try and whip up an October surprise and hope for the best, or she has to continue going through this blitz.
00:21:55.000And every time she appears, her numbers get worse.
00:21:59.000And the reason that's so important is because it's not about messaging.
00:22:03.000It's not about perhaps not having the strongest ground game.
00:22:07.000It means that Kamala Harris, her Achilles heel, is who she is.
00:22:13.000It's her soul that people are rejecting.
00:22:15.000You could not have a more personal rejection as a human being than what you are seeing with Kamala Harris.
00:22:22.000That's tough. It almost makes me feel bad for her.
00:22:25.000Almost. So, let me give you some of the highlights here, because yesterday we were doing the Howard Stern SimulStream, and the view was going on at that moment in time.
00:22:37.000Yeah, because we talked about it just a little bit.
00:22:38.000We talked about it. I didn't realize the question was asked twice.
00:22:41.000So if you go back, remember everyone was saying, including on the right and then those on the left, if you look at the debates, they're saying it right now on ESPN or CNN, not a thing I'd do differently than Biden.
00:22:53.000That's the quote. That's what they're saying here on CNN right now.
00:22:56.000But before we arrived at this juncture, You saw Donald Trump, I believe we had Donald Trump Jr.
00:23:02.000on the show, and people were saying, yeah, you know what, you just got to make sure that you flip that ticket.
00:23:06.000Biden-Harris is basically Harris-Biden.
00:23:08.000Everything that Biden has done, you make sure that you burden Kamala Harris with that, right?
00:23:13.000you connect her to Joe Biden, so these last three and a half years are absolutely laid
00:24:00.000What nobody expected from the left while they were trying to remove her from being associated
00:24:07.000with Biden was her bringing him right back in.
00:24:10.000Here you go. What do you think would be the biggest specific difference between your presidency and a Biden presidency?
00:24:20.000Well, we're obviously two different people, and we have a lot of shared life experiences.
00:24:26.000For example, the way we feel about our family and our parents and so on.
00:24:31.000But we're also different people, and I will bring those sensibilities to how I lead.
00:24:37.000You know, for example, I know we're going to talk today, but one of the things that we're very focused on is what we're doing around home health care.
00:24:42.000I have done a lot of work as it relates to, sadly, violence against women and children.
00:24:45.000I care a lot about that. It is unreal.
00:27:01.000Here, watch her say the same thing with Colbert.
00:27:03.000You are a member of the president of the administration.
00:27:06.000Under a Harris administration, what would the major changes be, and what would stay the same?
00:27:13.000Sure. Well, I mean, I'm obviously not Joe Biden.
00:27:16.000And so that would be one change in terms of...
00:27:20.000But also, I think it's important to say with 28 days to go, I'm not Donald Trump.
00:27:26.000And so when we think about the significance of what this next generation of leadership looks like, were I to be elected president, it is about, frankly, I love the American people.
00:28:16.000Anything to offer? Here's all I'll say.
00:28:21.000Nobody cleaned her up between interviews.
00:28:23.000Nobody said, you know, like, hey, hey, hey, can you do me a favor and maybe say, you know what, I love a lot of the stuff that we accomplished, but I'm a different person and I'll do some things maybe a little bit differently than Joe Biden because of blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
00:28:35.000Nobody got to her to tell her that this is a really bad answer to go...
00:29:07.000If she was somebody that worked for me, and I had asked her questions, and she answered me consistently like that, I would end up throwing things at the wall.
00:29:14.000I would be so frustrated. She's the person, like you were saying, you would avoid at a party.
00:32:20.000Good timing there. The good news is that she finds herself in great company because the left really, for some reason, thinks that they relate to you through beer.
00:32:34.000How often do you get to sneak out for a beer?
00:32:37.000Very rarely. Everyone else around him is just scared to do their normal day.
00:32:42.000But once in a while, I'll take Michelle out on a date night.
00:34:37.000I think if there's anything that could switch, and anything can happen, the momentum can switch, it will have to come from some kind of outside force, meaning it won't actually be from Kamala or Walls.
00:34:48.000There'll have to be some kind of crazy October surprise.
00:34:51.000Don't really... Could happen, but I would expect this gap that's now at seven points, which is pretty substantial, by the way, to either widen a little bit or stay pretty close to that.
00:35:23.000So the reason people don't like her and the numbers are shifting against her is because of who she is.
00:35:31.000It's her soul that people can't stand.
00:35:33.000And by the way, black men don't like Kamala.
00:35:35.000This is a big reason why. You would think the first black female potential president, half black, whatever it is that you want to go with today, you'd think he would...
00:35:43.000Nope. Over 25% of black men under the age of 50 actively support Trump.
00:35:49.000Guarantee you there's a higher number of secret Trump supporters there.
00:35:56.000Spending time, especially in comedy, but around black men in particular.
00:36:01.000I mean, it's rare that I spend time with black women just because I don't know why.
00:36:04.000But I've never met one who actually thought that Trump was racist.
00:36:09.000And I've certainly never met one black man, meaning someone who's not in media, of course, when I was on Fox News and up here on CNN. Very, very different.
00:36:16.000The Van Joneses of the world are very different from the people who you will meet in the area of town that's largely black.
00:36:22.000I've never met one who thinks that the Trump voter is a racist or is afraid of them.
00:36:27.000I really haven't. Even the ones who don't like Trump, I don't think that they hate you the way the left hates you.
00:36:35.000You guys can comment if you're experienced.
00:36:36.000That's what we do, black and white and the gray issues.
00:36:38.000I actually feel more comfortable discussing politics with black men who we've been told are 100% Democrat, right, a monolith, than frankly, Often suburban white women.
00:37:43.000I'm not going to make the economy better. But she's not even doing that so much because she doesn't really even talk about the free stuff, aside from some credits.
00:37:50.000That's free stuff, right? So tax credits, free stuff.
00:37:52.000The latest thing that she came out with was home health care is going to be provided by Medicaid now.
00:37:56.000Free stuff. Again, more taxpayer spending.
00:37:58.000I think what the black guys are going is like, how about you do something about the economy and jobs?
00:38:04.000I don't need your free stuff because you guys have been telling us free stuff for 50 years and it hasn't worked.
00:38:08.000I think they're kind of fed up and they don't like her personality on top of it.
00:38:11.000And it's just pushing them away in droves.
00:38:14.000Yeah, well, I think you're partially right.
00:38:17.000I don't think people think of Kamala Harris as the free stuff president because, frankly, she's not even good with the messaging.
00:38:22.000Not yet. Yeah, I agree. But if you look at all of her policies, you see it's just nothing but tax cuts and giving away money.
00:38:28.000And here's something else to think of.
00:38:29.000When Taylor Swift, obviously, like the most popular celebrity online, or I guess probably in the world, endorses you, and then she has a song that she's using, and Beyonce has given her a stamp of approval, and she's on Stephen Colbert, and she's still not winning.
00:38:44.000What do you think would happen if we just had some kind of balance in the media or the entertainment industry?
00:38:49.000In other words, all of this celebrity power, it is influential.
00:38:55.000That tells you how bad this person is.
00:38:58.000I mean, like, people on, you know, Donald Trump has, like, you know, Jon Voight and Scott Baio, nice people, but it's not Beyonce and Taylor Swift.
00:39:05.000It's not. Yeah, it's not. It's not even, it wouldn't even be close.
00:39:09.000If media was balanced, if the entertainment media industrial complex represented just sort of, was a mirror of the rest of the United States of America, meaning close to 50-50, the Democrats would never win another election again.
00:39:23.000It's 100% all hands on deck, all firepower to make it seem like Kamala Harris is likable.
00:39:33.000And it can't work. And this is what gets me concerned.
00:39:36.000Look, I don't want to be one of those people who's a doomsday because I've seen it where then people don't go out, they don't vote, they just want to demoralize everyone else.
00:39:44.000Oh, the game is rigged. Look, yes, the left is constantly engaged in foul play, but...
00:40:34.000And come election night, if it doesn't work, and I don't think it's going to work leading up to election, that's when you can expect some kind of cheating.
00:40:42.000And that's why we are gearing up for the election livestream of the century, November 5th.
00:40:46.000This year, 2024, we will have the live electoral integrity map.
00:40:49.000We will have boots on the ground, investigative journalists, every major city of every major swing state across this country.
00:42:00.000That's what I think, too, because I'm completely against this hero worship that you see from some people where Trump can do no wrong.
00:42:06.000But it's sort of because they've tried to make you afraid simply for voting Trump.
00:42:11.000It's sort of become like drawing half that Christian fish.
00:42:13.000Whereas you used to be able to say, you know, in other words, Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger can say, I'm a Republican, but it doesn't mean anything.
00:42:20.000But if you put something out there that is even remotely pro-Trump, that means you're taking a risk and other people see it.
00:42:26.000That's how Donald Trump acts as a symbol for a lot of people.
00:42:29.000And by the way, it probably would be the same thing if it happened to be Ron DeSantis.
00:42:41.000Let's go to the swing states here and some updates.
00:42:44.000It's pretty interesting. To not just look at the recent polls, but to look contextually at where these polls were this time in the last election cycle and what the end result was.
00:42:56.000Because if you look at that, the news gets even better.
00:42:59.000But for those of you who don't know, if you've been living...
00:43:40.000If you look this year, there have been zero days, count them, zero days, where either Kamala Harris or Donald Trump has been ahead by at least five points in the poll.
00:43:50.000Why is he dressed like a rotten banana? Also...
00:43:53.000Rewind that. First, it was like, 1964?
00:46:21.000That's a lot. Jeez. Now, it's even more when you understand that in 2020, that 18 to 34, call them young Hispanic men, Biden won them by 21%.
00:46:30.000Wow. Biden won them by 21, and now Trump is up by 12.
00:46:35.000Then you go to the number overall, it gets worse.
00:46:38.000All Hispanic or Latino men, or sorry, the next demographic, 35 to 49.
00:46:44.000Biden was up by 21 in 2020 with Hispanic men over age 35.
00:47:58.000That's not true. So she's up the average right now by 1.1%, well within the margin of error.
00:48:03.000At this point in that election, 2020, Biden was up by 6%, but he only won it by about 2.4%.
00:48:10.000So we're well within the margin of error.
00:48:12.000Biden was well beyond the margin of error, and he barely won it.
00:48:18.000If there's at all, put it this way, if these polls have not corrected, as they've said that they have, for the secret Trump voter, it could be a giant red wave of a map.
00:48:30.000Not saying it will be, but I'm saying this is going to be a referendum on what we've known to be polling.
00:48:38.000If they have not actually accounted for the secret Trump voter, this could be the most embarrassing moment for pollsters in modern American history.
00:48:46.000Another key trend, while we're talking about Nevada, let's look at Latino men again.
00:51:57.000It's young voters, meaning Gen Z voters, older Gen Z voters who can vote.
00:52:02.000Young millennials, right? I've been telling you guys this for a while.
00:52:06.000You may be surprised to find that there's a segment of Gen Z that is the most conservative at this point in time, meaning at this point in their lifespan, than any generation.
00:52:21.000Millennials were far more liberal because they've been steeped in it.
00:52:25.000I know you see everything on TikTok and you see those trends, but young Or old enough to vote Gen Z males are far more conservative than their parents were at that point in time.
00:52:35.000So again, don't just believe the pessimism that's out there.
00:52:57.000They're trying to unburden themselves from the leftism that's all around them.
00:53:02.000Everywhere they go, dude. Their adult life started with, especially dudes, their adult life started with, you suck, you're the problem, why won't you marry me?
00:53:45.000Yes! My life has been irreparably damaged.
00:54:10.000It's one thing if you're 35, from 35 to 37, it's a whole different ballgame when you're 16 to 18, or 18 to 20 entering the workforce, and these, where you are so malleable, these formative years for you in the workplace or in higher education, cannot, it couldn't be possible, they cannot equip you for
00:54:32.000the real world because it was a fantasy world, effectively. It was a
00:54:36.000nightmare world because of COVID and because of the policy and young people
00:54:40.000are smart enough, they're smart enough to understand the reason for that. I
00:54:44.000think that's a huge why you're seeing that older Gen Z, kind of old enough to
00:54:51.000Hey, it sucks because it was the worst time in our country's history that I can remember.
00:54:58.000But sometimes, you know, that's unfortunately what's required for people to wake up.
00:55:01.000Well, they also kind of broke the stranglehold of media, right?
00:55:04.000So young people now have a lot more options to go and find out what's really going on.
00:55:08.000They can do their own homework. They don't have to just buy what's being...
00:55:10.000They don't have cable. They're not watching ABC. They're not watching NBC, Fox, CNN. That's a good point.
00:55:15.000For example, when CNN completely doctored Joe Rogan, right, and made him look yellow on ivermectin, CNN knows that to 50 and up, They actually get to define Joe Rogan.
00:55:28.000In other words, people will believe of Joe Rogan what CNN tells them.
00:55:32.000People below the age of 30, below the age of 25...
00:55:36.000CNN doesn't get to define Joe Rogan. They go straight to Joe Rogan and go, oh, okay, you're lying, right?
00:55:40.000You're lying. That's why they want to be played in airports doctors offices hotel lobbies
00:55:45.000They're not actually being played in homes and certainly not live on people's smart devices
00:55:49.000Yeah, and there's a lot of bad that comes with that too because people have a short attention span, but they don't
00:57:14.000So again, Donald Trump significantly overperformed the polling in 2020, and now he's well within the margin of error, but he's up, and the most recent polls have him up.
00:57:23.000Let's look at a key trend, too, in North Carolina, and this is something important because it's something that you can help with, okay?
00:57:30.000Maybe we're looking at the legalities of it when you get to it.
00:57:32.000Well, I'm saying if you're part of a group in North Carolina, something that you can help with.
00:57:36.000And we may actually be able to partner up with some groups and help with this.
00:57:40.000Like, in Avery County, 14 of the 19 polling stations are completely unusable, of course, because of the natural disaster.
00:57:45.000I'm not saying that it's Democrat space lasers.
00:59:40.000And I think that Michigan is the worst example.
00:59:43.000And I think that there was so much nefarious activity going on in Michigan with that 100,000 plus vote dump almost entirely for Biden in the middle of the night.
00:59:52.000They made that margin so wide that They were hoping no one would question.
00:59:57.000Like, well, come on. You think you're going to cheat to the tune of 160,000 votes?
01:00:00.000Yes, absolutely. In Michigan, I know the state.
01:01:22.000But at this point, it actually seems well within the realm of possibility.
01:01:26.000Again, the trend that you are seeing is that the numbers are significantly better now than they were in 2020, and the Democrats have consistently underperformed on a national scale.
01:01:37.000Local elections are different than their polling in the final result.
01:01:41.000And a key trend, in Michigan, this is interesting to me, and I don't know if it's just because of population loss or because of the high murder rate, but The Democrat percentage, or self-identified Democrats in Michigan, it's been going down consistently.
01:01:57.000So in 2008 with Obama, 16.4 is the lead that they had.
01:02:03.000Then in 2012 with Obama, Democrats had a lead of 9.5.
01:02:07.000Then Clinton had a lead of 7.3, and Clinton didn't win the state.
01:02:12.000Now, I don't know why that's the case.
01:02:30.000Also, and we'll get to Wisconsin, here's the Teamsters president kind of talking about Democrats screwing unions, which have a very strong stranglehold on Michigan.
01:02:39.000This is not to say that I now trust the Teamsters union, because you can hear him be a selfish prick, but at least he's, you know, the enemy of my enemy, however it goes.
01:02:48.000They have f***ed us over for the last 40 years and for once, and not all of them.
01:02:52.000But for once, we're standing up as a union, probably the only one right now, saying, what the f*** have you done for us?
01:02:59.000And I'm getting attacked from the left.
01:03:02.000Since I've been in office two and a half years, we've given the Democratic machine $15.7 million.
01:03:10.000We've given Republicans about $340,000, truth be told.
01:03:14.000So it's like people say the Democratic Party is a party of the working people.
01:03:18.000They're bought and paid for by big tech.
01:03:30.000And OK, you've got a great opportunity right now to do that.
01:03:34.000And the Democrats, if 60 percent of our members aren't supporting you, the f***ing system's
01:03:40.000Now, I mean, I'm glad to see them crapping on the Democrat Party, but what he really means is you have an opportunity to do that, right?
01:03:46.000Okay, so if a Republican says, yeah, but people shouldn't have to join a union if they want to work in your state and they haven't agreed upon, all right, done.
01:03:52.000You're going to find yourself in a river with concrete shoes.
01:03:54.000So it is entirely selfishly motivated.
01:03:59.000Yeah, we want you to force people to buy our crap that nobody wants to buy.
01:04:02.000Well, no, that's not how it works either.
01:04:04.000But the left certainly does make a point.
01:04:07.000You know, the left has been largely supported by big unions.
01:05:49.000If you look at the most recent polling for Biden when he was getting closer to Election Day in 2020, he didn't trail in any of those polls on the RCP average.
01:05:57.000If you look at the polling right now, go to the one with 2024 right now, Donald Trump's basically splitting those.
01:10:12.000The deal breaker in this election, to potentially be the game changer in this election, Scott Pressler.
01:10:18.000And good for him. Honestly, good for him.
01:10:19.000This is a guy, for those of you who haven't followed him, he's been on the show, kind of started off as a social media influencer, and he said, you know what, I'm going to pivot and do something meaningful, impactful, and he really has, man, he's made a difference, because Democrats, if you look at the new registrations in the last five months, about 54,000, Republicans 124,000.
01:10:36.000Wow. Just to give you context, yeah, that 80,000 margin of victory.
01:10:40.000Yeah, Biden's margin of victory was 80,000 total votes in that 1.3% or 1.2% by which he won.
01:10:46.000And this is just the last five months.
01:10:48.000If you look at some of the data from Pennsylvania, he's actually flipping counties to where Republicans are now dominant in specific counties that used to be completely controlled by Democrats by his registration efforts.
01:10:58.000Huge, huge results in Pennsylvania right now for him.
01:11:00.000Well, let's bring this up really quickly so you can visualize this.
01:11:03.000Let's bring up the 270 to win map so people can see it.
01:11:08.000And then we're going to continue on Mug Club, of course, our election livestream coverage, November 5th, 2024.
01:11:12.000Click that button. If you want to be here with us and ensure that no shenanigans take place in the dead of night, let's bring up 270 to win.
01:12:04.000That's pretty small. Okay. North Carolina, again, if you look at the betting odds, these are the first two that you would put up for Donald Trump, especially now after Hurricane Helene.
01:12:13.000So put North Carolina on the board for Trump.