On this special four-year anniversary episode of The Crowder election stream, we re streaming the entire 2020 election! We re joined by the Hodge twins, Bill Richman, Jorge Masvidal, Ben Shapiro, and more!
00:04:28.000I'm mad I have to share a screen with him.
00:04:30.000We're going to be shooting, actually, Gerald Morgan later on tonight in this broadcast because we have a new sponsor, Spartan Armor, to test the bulletproof vest.
00:06:28.000We need to be praying for this country.
00:06:30.000Praying for the president, the former vice president, because oh my god, if Joe Biden for some reason wins, you better pray that you've been praying for that guy.
00:07:08.000We will be likely first in calling a lot of states, certainly as fast as anywhere else, because we do the job that the news will not do.
00:07:14.000Before we move into everything else we have tonight, I wanted to go through something here, because a lot of people thought, oh, This is bad.
00:07:53.000Okay, maybe we go to a long shot here.
00:07:55.000I pledge allegiance to the flag of the United States of America, and to the republic for which it stands, one nation, under God, indivisible, with liberty and justice for all.
00:08:14.000I want to tell you why I think that Donald Trump can win tonight, and why I think that you can put the lighting back to normal there, Corey Black Garrett.
00:08:37.000I do think Donald Trump wins, but I'm not one of these sort of right-winger Trump cheerleaders.
00:08:43.000Let me explain to you my case here, okay?
00:08:45.000It is amazing to me, and we'll go to CNN in a second, how they are all ignoring early voting that we already have.
00:08:51.000They're going by polls, which it's tough to gauge the accuracy, right?
00:08:55.000And based on, I told AudioWay this, I told Reg the Bandit this, who couldn't be bothered to even listen to me right now, and I told McBrodie this, and everyone who thought that Biden was going to win, after I made this case, they said, okay, I feel a little bit better about it.
00:09:21.000They finally gave Texas to Trump recently, but up until yesterday, this is the map that they actually have.
00:09:28.000Okay, so let me tell you why I think Donald Trump can win.
00:09:32.000And one other important thing, people act as though Donald Trump needs to run the whole board.
00:09:36.000They act as though Donald Trump needs to have this inside straight in the Midwest.
00:09:39.000I will tell you this, if Donald Trump just maintains in the states where he had strong leads last go-round, none of the states in the Midwest, but states like Georgia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, and Arizona, guess what?
00:10:15.000Alright, now I feel really confident in Florida and Ohio that these are not swing states at all.
00:10:21.000If you look at the polling, and of course Florida, many places are basically already calling it for, this was before, just now, but if you look at the numbers, the numbers used on CNN, the name, words used on CNN were ugly numbers from Miami-Dade.
00:10:34.000Because that's kind of what you got in Florida, Biden!
00:10:36.000So, Ohio and Florida, not really swing states.
00:10:39.000Now let me explain to you a couple of reasons why here.
00:10:41.000This is important in looking at the early voting.
00:10:43.000This shows you from Vox, so I'm not using a conservative source.
00:10:46.000This isn't coming from Alex Jones, so he'll be on the show later.
00:10:49.000I appreciate his input, but he's not my source on the Electoral College.
00:10:53.000Of the early voting, at this point, Vox had 63,000.
00:11:24.000Yeah, I just forgot who I was for a little bit, but I don't have any more tapeworms, so.
00:11:28.000This was 63 million, we're mailing 35 million in person for the early voting.
00:11:35.000Now, let me ask you this before we move on.
00:11:38.000It has been widely sort of touted by every expert from the left and the right that we can expect a massive surge today for Trump voters compared to early voting.
00:11:50.000Anyone know any Republicans out there or conservatives who mailed in their ballot short of people who were actually traveling for business?
00:14:05.000On average, Democrats were saying they needed anywhere from an 8 to 15 point lead in early voting to make sure that they make up for the actual... What is going on there, Carter Blackarrett?
00:15:42.000So when you have a lead of 6 points, which really could be a lead of 15 points, again because Donald Trump won Ohio when it was still a spread 4 Democrats, that's not even close.
00:15:59.000So where we're seeing this is what you're seeing from the granular data.
00:16:02.000Is that stuff where we're having a silent, you know, the silent or the shy Trump voter, as Trafalgar would put it?
00:16:08.000Or are we seeing just a lot of folks who said on the polls, hey, or they're out there protesting and saying, I'm definitely going to make a change.
00:16:44.000They have a very, they have a pretty solid groundwork, ground game, political foundation in Iowa.
00:16:50.000They called it, I think last year, Reg, you can tell me if I'm right or wrong, I think they called it Plus 7 for Trump, or plus 8, he won it by 9 points.
00:16:57.000Iowa, from Des Moines Register, the most recent, most accurate poll has Donald Trump plus 7.
00:17:01.000But they have a swing state, 270 to win!
00:17:06.000In something else, we've seen this, we saw it last go, and we see it this election.
00:17:10.000How do you have Biden 10, 12, 14 points ahead last week, and then going up to election day, statistical tie?
00:17:18.000Are we supposed to believe that in one week, 14% of Americans said, huh, I was wrong about that demented old circus monkey who sniffs kids all this time.
00:17:26.000Boy, would I have been red in the face!
00:17:28.000You've got to look at the qualitative analysis, though.
00:17:30.000If you've ever been to Iowa, you know they are some of the nicest people.
00:17:33.000They tend to be the most generous and donate large amounts to mental health services.
00:17:37.000It's no surprise that they wouldn't support the lead brand for mental health services that is Joe Biden.
00:17:45.000He's a commercial for more mental health services.
00:17:50.000It's really great how his family shoves their fist up his ass.
00:21:05.000So, if you actually look at this number from 2016, that would mean that at least 10%, unless all unaffiliated, but there aren't a lot of unaffiliated voters in Georgia, it still wouldn't be enough.
00:21:16.000You would have to estimate that in Georgia, anywhere from 10 to 20% of Democrats peeled off and voted Republican.
00:21:23.000Do we remember, did Donald Trump win North Carolina by 2%?
00:22:13.000So Arizona had me concerned until I realized, oh wait a second, for the same reason Miami-Dade, Hispanics aren't all a bunch of illegal monoliths.
00:22:22.000There are a lot of Hispanics who like Donald Trump, including people who watch Telemundo, including Cubans, including Venezuelans.
00:22:29.000So, Arizona, if anything, I think might be more Trump than the last go-round.
00:22:34.000Here's what's interesting about Arizona.
00:22:35.000It's one of the few states where we have both registered voters, where they give you the party actual registration, as opposed to just a modeled number, which is a pretty good estimate.
00:22:44.000It's not just based on polls, but let me show you in Arizona, just so you have a good idea.
00:23:10.000Well, hold on a second, because we have actually Donald Trump here to call these states, but let me get through this and then we're going to have to go.
00:23:15.000Alright, so this is registered voters in Arizona.
00:23:46.000Only here we have a one-point lead for Donald Trump in Arizona.
00:23:50.000So either way, you would somehow have to believe that in Arizona, outside of early voting, Democrats today are going to come out in a 2-to-1 ratio to beat Donald Trump, which we are not seeing.
00:24:01.000And again, with Arizona, that's 92% of the total vote coming in from 2016.
00:24:32.000If he doesn't win Michigan, then he can win a combination of Wisconsin-Minnesota, Wisconsin-Maine Second District, Wisconsin, and potentially New Hampshire.
00:24:42.000Then it becomes a little bit more tough, but this is why it's interesting.
00:25:42.000So before I fill this out, really quickly, we actually have now live Hunter Biden is having his very own viewing party and we have exclusive access.
00:25:49.000Let's go Hunter Biden's live election party.
00:26:23.000Donald Trump lost it with a four-point spread last time, and it has a significantly higher portion of the vote remaining than these other states that have been mentioned.
00:26:32.000So, here's what bothers me most, is they've been saying Donald Trump needs to run the ball, run the table, you know what I mean?
00:26:38.000Kind of like an Inside Straight where someone- is that an Inside Straight?
00:27:46.000And by the way, even if we were to take Arizona out of the equation, Biden still really only has one path.
00:27:51.000One other thing that we need to take note of tonight, if the main second congressional district does go to Donald Trump, it's unlikely that Surprisingly, has a huge effect on tonight because it reduces the likelihood of a tie.
00:28:04.000So, if we see that Maine's second congressional district is called for Donald Trump, that, even though it's one vote, drastically increases Donald Trump's chances because he doesn't need to win two states in a combination.
00:28:14.000He could win one of the Midwestern states.
00:28:16.000So this is me being nerdy, this is me giving you my analysis, but I'm just trying to tell you, I don't know why the media wasn't talking about this.
00:28:23.000I've been following early voting all along, and this is assuming that all of these are correct, that we're not seeing a significant amount of Democrats go Republican.
00:28:30.000When you look at the polls that we had, and they asked Democrats, how likely are you to support your candidate?
00:28:34.000It was in the 70-something percent with Joe Biden.
00:28:37.000It was in the 80 to 90-something percent with Donald Trump.
00:28:41.000Is it more likely that Trump wins either Michigan or Pennsylvania, or that Biden wins Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania?
00:28:49.000And then let me ask you, is it more likely that a Rust Belt Democrat, someone in any of the aforementioned states, votes for Trump, or is it more likely that a Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin Republican votes for Biden?
00:29:04.000That is the important question to ask yourself, especially when you look at states where they've seen direct results.
00:29:11.000Taxes that have been lowered for middle class farmers who are happy because of trade deals.
00:29:15.000I think, based on all statistics that we have available to us, it is far more likely for Democrats to become Trump voters, and we've seen this before, than any Republicans to become Biden voters.
00:29:26.000So they already did, I want to confirm.
00:31:38.000I think when you're looking at all of the data, you've got to look at where the mainstream media is and where even I think voters on the left and the right were going, you can't trust any of these national polls.
00:31:49.000And every time you look at a mainstream site, they just skip over the data that doesn't matter.
00:31:53.000I want to say it wasn't until the last couple of days that you're really starting to see some questions raised about how effective was the early voting.
00:32:01.000Like how effective did the mail-in ballots actually come if you've got a ton of people surging on And it does seem to me as though the entire reason for emphasizing that was to intentionally discourage people from coming out to vote on the conservative side, to vote for Trump.
00:32:18.000Because they wanted to say it's already done.
00:32:19.000And then they want their job security.
00:32:21.000Where they go, oh he's 14 points ahead in Wisconsin.
00:32:50.000Hey, Rowan, Regimented, did we hear about what happened with that crazy call for Virginia earlier, where it was 47% Biden, like, you know, 70,000% for Trump, and they were like, called it for Biden?
00:33:03.000Yeah, there's something funny going on there.
00:33:06.000AP called Virginia for Biden very early on.
00:33:31.000I'm just saying that if that happens, it completely obliterates Biden's chances.
00:33:35.000Because not only does he have to take all the swing states, he's got to take states that are not in play.
00:33:39.000And I'm with Stephen that I don't think that it moves, and I think the big question though is, who's out there with the itchy trigger finger who's just going, alright, I wish?
00:33:51.000You know what they tried to do with Virginia?
00:33:53.000They wanted Virginia to be that, is it bellwether the term?
00:33:57.000They wanted Virginia to be that bellwether the way Florida just was.
00:33:59.000Because I tell you what, Florida, dominating win for Donald Trump from what we know, and give me those numbers once we have them in, Reg, the total numbers, and if we see that with Ohio.
00:34:18.000You've also got a lot of colleges in Ohio, as well as farmers, rural areas, and some nice wealthy suburbs.
00:34:25.000Ohio is an area that actually is a pretty good intersect of the United States, and if Donald Trump wins that dominatingly, as he did Florida, that's a really bad sign.
00:34:33.000If he wins it by two or three points, fine.
00:34:34.000If he wins it by five, six, seven, eight points, It's a sign that he's going to win.
00:34:38.000What I think they wanted to do is what they did with the polls.
00:34:39.000They wanted to say, hey, don't worry everyone in Rocky Mountain and Western time zones.
00:34:44.000We're already calling Virginia for Trump.
00:34:47.000So we're calling Virginia, sorry, for Biden.
00:34:51.000And instead, Florida ended up being that way, which could energize people, I think, in Arizona.
00:34:56.000Particularly the Comodice folk in Arizona.
00:35:00.000Yeah, I mean, it is funny that Biden did, you know, kind of by insulting the black community, saying that the Hispanic community is very diverse, but while he was simply looking skin deep, right?
00:35:10.000The actual purpose of looking at these groups, and specifically the Hispanic vote, is there are a number of individuals who are very pro-Trump, who are very pro-conservative, who are out there saying, There's nothing in Biden that is going to be in favor of me because all they know that he sees them as is an immigrant vote.
00:35:40.000My mother was wildly offended at how Smooth Manny filled out his ballot, but you have to hear his reasoning, and he is Hispanic, and his family is Hispanic, but even I heard it and I thought, That's a little severe.
00:35:55.000But again, just look at soccer right now.
00:36:26.000When we looked earlier, they hadn't come in.
00:36:28.000I don't know, Reg, if you've seen whether they've come in or not, but they were still out a little while ago, which is So in other words, if there's a two-point lead right now in Florida for Donald Trump, that's the best shot that they had with Miami-Dade County, and they expected the Camodises cavalry coming over the hill, and instead they said, Donde esta mi balato for Trumpo?
00:36:54.000I can call ICE, I am going to vote, but I don't wear the shoes to my polling station because they make me fall down.
00:37:02.000So I think they were expecting, that's their best shot, so I wouldn't be expecting to see a three or four point lead for Donald Trump in Florida, if not more.
00:37:12.000What did he win it by, do we remember?
00:37:13.000Maybe Reg, you can bring it up, what he won Florida by last election.
00:40:49.000You remember earlier, you were like, I'm gonna nerd out, we're gonna dig into it.
00:40:52.000You know, look, we gotta look at this data.
00:40:54.000Let me just read you Nate Silver's tweet.
00:40:56.000The big split in mail versus election day votes just makes election night harder.
00:41:00.000Like, I think the Midwest sort of looks decent for Biden, but it's very hard to know much definitively unless you've really done a lot of needle-like analysis on exactly what type of votes are in.
00:41:11.000If only there was a stream that was doing If only there were a stream.
00:41:16.000Are you guys telling me that I need to bring them on right now?
00:42:00.000By the way, when Wisconsin is called, even Brendan is going to be attacked by an attack dog.
00:42:05.000Oh, and I should tell you, later in the stream, Betty, my lovely Betty, will be reunited for the first time.
00:42:10.000She's been at doggy training to become a physical therapy dog, and she will be coming in here with an entire pyramid of toilet paper, as she had before.
00:44:26.000So actually, before we continue, I do want to, uh, by the way, people who are watching, uh, at MugClubLido.com slash MugClubTheBlaze, uh, will be taking your chat throughout the evening.
00:44:36.000Of course, keep us updated, uh, RegTheBandit, as things unfold.
00:44:39.000But we actually have Our correspondent, Thomas Finnegan, who you know, he does our morning traffic updates, we actually sent him out to polling stations today to kind of get a feel.
00:44:52.000It's our own unofficial exit polling, so let's go to Thomas Finnegan out in the world.
00:44:57.000Well, Stephen, I was on my way up to Waco to ask some people who they're voting for,
00:45:12.000but my car broke down, so now I'm here in Travis County and I'm looking for some folks
00:47:12.000We have another good treat for our Tasty Wire viewers right now, and that is that we are joined by and also joining, because of the magic of the internet, it's a cross-stream.
00:47:21.000I don't know who gets to take credit for it, but you know, as long as it's me talking, I'm going to take credit for it.
00:47:25.000We're being joined currently by our good friend, Steven Crowder, who is also live all night, the way that we are.
00:47:48.000Well listen, I want to know what you guys expect tonight.
00:47:50.000I went through why I think it's far more likely for Trump to win than not and how Biden actually needs to The only person who needs to run the board tonight is Biden.
00:47:59.000Biden needs to win Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania.
00:48:02.000He needs to win all of them if Trump holds onto North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, which I think he will.
00:48:06.000And I sort of contrasted this with the modeled party votes that we saw in states, and it was accurate, would we say, guys, to the letter with Florida thus far.
00:49:21.000Right now, they're saying that North Carolina looks like it's trending Trump, Georgia's trending Trump, Texas is going to stick Trump, which means the next state that we're really going to find out about is Pennsylvania and Ohio.
00:49:53.000What are you saying that we're missing?
00:49:55.000Well, Ohio is not a swing state because if you look at the early voting, and I had this up before, actually Donald Trump won Ohio by I believe it was eight points last go-around, but actually Democrats outnumbered Republicans in 2016, which means it was a huge portion of Democrats who voted for Trump, registered Democrats.
00:50:11.000And even now with the early voting, without any of today's voting in, we're already seeing Republicans with a pretty wide margin in Ohio versus Biden.
00:50:21.000So, if you believe that Democrats will come out today and vote, outvote Republicans 3-1, then maybe.
00:50:25.000Otherwise, I don't even think it's close.
00:50:27.000Now, outside of that, Michigan, there's about a 4-point spread when you look at the modeled party model.
00:50:32.000But again, Donald Trump won that where he was down about 4 points.
00:50:36.000Again, so that would mean that if he's down 4 points, he could be up Seven really in Michigan because a lot of Democrats will vote for Donald Trump.
00:50:44.000I don't know that Donald Trump will be victorious in Michigan or Pennsylvania.
00:50:48.000I don't think we'll know Pennsylvania until we look in every single ditch and find a few extra million ballot boxes.
00:50:57.000Logically speaking, if Donald Trump hangs on to North Carolina and Georgia, which everyone was saying was a swing state, and I said, I'm very, very confident in Florida and Ohio long before Georgia and North Carolina.
00:51:07.000So if those go Trump, I am, I mean, I will eat this bag of coffee, Black Rifle, wonderful sponsor.
00:53:32.000But that being said, in the street, I've always avoided physical altercations, and I will say this to anyone who tells you this out there, if it does come down to a physical altercation, I'll take a gun, just like the whole Gracie family who created the UFC.
00:54:10.000Ben, correct that lie because you're an honest guy and I don't want the alt-right people to go out there with ammo and perpetuating a negative stereotype.
00:54:34.000This is, for those who don't remember, this is 100% a true story.
00:54:39.000And then I was outside of Ben Shapiro's apartment going, I think you live where they shot the original Karate Kid.
00:54:46.000Steven and I have the weirdest non-sexual S&M relationship.
00:54:51.000The first time we got together in a room, he put me in a headlock, and then I watched him be waterboarded.
00:54:56.000And frankly, we just need to stay out of the same stage.
00:55:00.000You know what was worse than waterboarding?
00:55:01.000I was at Ben Shapiro's that, and I thought we would never talk again, because Ben Shapiro put me up for, I won't name it specifically, but he put me up, he recommended me, he was very nice, for a morning radio drive show, where it was like a news show, and he said, here, he had his whole, I think his show was in Orlando, he had his whole radio set up, and then, like the day before I did it, I was going, I'm gonna do what this show is, and they said, we don't want any opinion, it's straight news, I went, oh, and I bombed in Ben Shapiro's Ben, so badly that I remember sitting there for five minutes before I opened the door just because I didn't want to look Ben in the face.
00:55:34.000I was like, you looked me in the eyes, and then they told me to do straight news, and I made a joke about it.
00:56:34.000And he has a beautiful wife and they he told me he met the president this was basically the entirety of the dialogue because they posed for a picture and He said to the president is the president.
00:56:46.000My daughter is currently interning which she is at the White House.
00:56:49.000Yes make four great daughters this guy and Trump looks at the guy with total seriousness and says I hope she got her looks from your wife.
00:58:34.000Three years ago I would have sniffed her.
00:58:36.000I would have been like nibbling her ear lobes.
00:58:42.000Thanks for hanging out with us tonight and thanks for your prediction.
00:58:46.000I'm hopeful that you know more about the Rust Belt than we do.
00:58:50.000I'm hopeful that your way of looking at this is the right way because I think the one thing we all know is that that hair sniffer cannot be the President of the United States.
01:00:22.000I actually thought you were saying Florida on the CNN because I think it's a done deal at this point.
01:00:28.000We had a few calls, not necessarily surprising, Biden takes New York And New Mexico, and Trump, as they've called Nebraska, Louisiana, Wyoming, South Dakota, and North Dakota.
01:00:41.000Wait, President Trump outperforming 2016 by 5% in Georgia.
01:00:44.000In those specific counties, yeah, in Georgia.
01:00:47.000Let me ask you this, is Atlanta, are they counting Atlanta right now?
01:00:51.000Is Atlanta, are those counties being counted by a significant amount, or are they not in by a bunch?
01:00:55.000Because if those counties are already in by a significant amount, and Trump is ahead, that's a really bad sign.
01:01:01.000Because he wins the rural and the suburban Georgia vote pretty handily.
01:01:05.000It just comes down to about Atlanta and one or two other major counties.
01:01:09.000Yeah, it looks like there's still a lot more to go in Atlanta there with the numbers that they're showing.
01:01:12.000But the fact that he's doing so well in Georgia, and you know, you made fun of me a minute ago.
01:01:40.000Yeah, that's still a little bit of a mystery to me.
01:01:42.000I'm assuming that they must not be reporting some major Democrat districts, otherwise that call would not make sense.
01:01:49.000I know there's some similar stuff going on in Georgia that the New York Times is, because of the districts that are being the New York Times is favoring Trump to win Georgia pretty
01:02:47.000If it was a walk-off win for Donald Trump in some of these places, that could mean that we'll have the results tonight.
01:02:53.000But again, if you look at this map, sure, I think, what do we have?
01:02:56.000We have 101 versus 133 electoral votes.
01:02:58.000But again, if you just look at the total number of states, because really it's Illinois and New York, we have a good amount of moderate states.
01:03:04.000And by the way, Pretty, some of them are pretty diverse states when you look at them.
01:03:11.000We should have a good idea as to what is coming in from Tennessee.
01:03:14.000Trying to see there, obviously Indiana, we know Oklahoma, Arkansas, okay, Louisiana.
01:03:20.000Missouri, what's funny to me is they had Missouri as a toss-up.
01:03:24.000Only about two, and remember I was talking, we were just talking about Missouri, I'm like, what are they, out of their mind?
01:03:28.000Yeah, it's absolutely insane to think about where these, I mean, but again, if you're kind of following, you can get very far out on a limb if you start listening to this echo chamber about the number of early voters, and how many people are out there, and how many broken windows there are, and how many, you know, protesters there are, and thinking that that's going to translate into votes, especially when you then add on the veneer of national polling, or poor, you know, structures and processes for local voting.
01:03:53.000you're gonna get yourself on your way out on a limb and that's what we're saying.
01:03:56.000Right. We're seeing it close a lot right now in Ohio and Texas. They've been showing these
01:04:00.000numbers that they've... Texas obviously I think is going to go Trump, but they've been showing
01:04:03.000Biden's lead early, right? And they're showing reporting from Houston and Dallas and some
01:04:06.000counties that are... I'm not going to be going for it. No, no, no, I know.
01:04:08.000I'm just saying what you're seeing is these things are closing very quickly.
01:04:11.000The only thing that's not closing quickly, because they're slow at everything, is Pennsylvania.
01:04:14.000These guys are notoriously slow at counting.
01:04:16.000Can we bring up that quote from the AG in Pennsylvania here, Reg the Bandit?
01:04:44.000Well, they think there are just going to be too many votes left to count.
01:04:46.000Pennsylvania is saying he's not going to win no matter what.
01:04:48.000Is that not saying it's a rigged election?
01:04:50.000What if Donald Trump wins because of people getting their shit burned down in Philadelphia and your guy promising that he's going to end a significant portion, like a quarter of your economy?
01:04:59.000What if Donald, no no no, he's not going to win?
01:05:33.000Hey, by the way, people who are watching right now, please do hit the notification bell, because subscriptions don't mean a whole lot if you're subscribed to this channel.
01:05:40.000Notifications let you know when we will be streaming.
01:05:43.000It actually gets pushed to your phone.
01:05:44.000And of course, we do Good Morning Mug Club here weekday mornings at 10 a.m.
01:05:49.000Eastern, and we will be back here for sure on Monday, maybe even on Friday if some stuff breaks loose, you know, some stuff dislodges like John Wayne's colon I thought the livestream was just going to run straight until Friday.
01:08:10.000Florida was called the moment the show started.
01:08:12.000They only needed that much of the same-day voting.
01:08:15.000And they thought it was going to be a complete and total blowout.
01:08:18.000And now I don't see how North Carolina goes to Biden.
01:08:21.000Again, unless, for some reason, I don't know, Acorn throws a few sandwiches at some There's just a lack of attention, I think, along the lines of qualitatively listening to what the real voters on the ground are talking about.
01:08:41.000And so many folks who are, you know, they just don't know who to talk to about what their vote is going to be.
01:08:48.000something fun and great to do to talk about supporting Biden and only really
01:08:52.000at the very last minute do you see any kind of celebrities coming out
01:08:56.000predominantly minorities coming out in support of Trump which is just you know
01:09:00.000throwing you know certain groups into a tizzy and what I would say is I had a
01:09:06.000good friend of mine today mentioned he said and he's a progressive Democrat
01:09:09.000voted for Biden already early one of the early votes and he said look what's
01:09:14.000gonna happen at the end of this if Trump ends up winning is that Democrats have
01:09:17.000to take a very deep look about their tactics of persuasion and where they are
01:09:22.000in the ivory tower And look, I want to say it's going to make the country better.
01:11:04.000Yeah, have you ever been in the aisle and then, you know, your wife's like, get the pads, and then, you know, there's like the small, the medium, the large, the heavy?
01:11:24.000Yeah, guys, we want to make sure, so I know we have CNN, but we want to make sure that folks can see what it is that Reg the Bandit is communicating as well, because we have coverage that nobody else has, and I don't want people to just take my word for it.
01:14:52.000But that's because, not because we thought Trump was a dick.
01:14:55.000It's because up until 2016, Donald Trump gave more to Democrats.
01:14:58.000Up until 2016, people thought that Donald Trump was going to be a wolf in sheep's clothing.
01:15:03.000And now we see that Donald Trump has done more for the conservative cause than any president in modern American history.
01:15:10.000And that's why this is important, too.
01:15:12.000It's important because America right now, if they vote for Donald Trump, or if it's even close, they are voting for Staunchly conservative stances and principles on economic policy, on immigration, on personal liberties, on Second Amendment, on freedom of speech.
01:15:53.000We know where he lines up with reopening businesses.
01:15:55.000With Joe Biden, he's tried to be moderate.
01:15:57.000You can vote for him because, well, You're for him banning fracking, or you can vote for Biden because you think he won't really ban fracking.
01:16:04.000You can vote for Biden because you think maybe he'll still let you kind of have your Second Amendment rights, or you can vote for Biden because he promised he's going to make Francis O'Rourke his gun czar and have a mandatory gun buyback.
01:16:19.000So this is what's really interesting here.
01:16:21.000There's a vote for clear-cut conservative ideas, policies, and You know what?
01:16:41.000Because obviously, it's not just about Joe Biden.
01:16:43.000It's about how people are soured on this kind of authoritarian reign that she has there.
01:16:48.000And then, like you said, with fracking in Pennsylvania, it's very, very difficult with somebody who doesn't have a great set of policies that he's putting forward, is not very energizing to a base.
01:16:56.000And he has two Big, key issues in those states going against him.
01:17:00.000And those states are adding more and more Republican voters every single year ahead of Democrats.
01:17:56.000I haven't gone through the... I wouldn't be surprised either.
01:17:58.000...that Steven went through earlier on about the early voting.
01:18:00.000But I would say when you looked at where, again, using some of these third-party sources or using even Vox, which we know is not a source that would normally be going in an even... It's the sources trying to get us removed
01:18:10.000from YouTube. Exactly. So when you added all those sources up it's much less of a very sure
01:18:16.000thing when it comes to these particular states and what the early voting looked like and whether we're
01:18:20.000going to have that big gap. And I think there's a big enough gap there that there's a
01:18:24.000significant chance that Trump does not take Michigan. He's already ahead right now.
01:18:28.000By the way, have any states been called?
01:20:27.000There are people who are working, even for Republicans, are working very, very hard.
01:20:32.000So there's a lot of different votes, there's a lot of people who are motivated, people who are moving here in droves.
01:20:36.000I mean, you can't just take the California out of the, what, 100,000 companies that have moved their headquarters here in California in the last three years.
01:20:43.000So look, they're going to turn a little bit and they're going to make their votes.
01:21:42.000I'm not saying that Austin is by any means red.
01:21:46.000But again, you have to take into account that Texas is a very, very big state, and there are a lot of people who live in suburbs.
01:21:52.000For example, if you just take Dallas, right outside of Dallas, you have suburbs like Plano and Frisco, which are some of the fastest-growing cities in the world, and they're bigger than a lot of the mid-to-large-sized cities in the Midwest.
01:22:03.000And then those counties are overwhelmingly conservative.
01:22:06.000So I wouldn't be surprised for it to be close in Texas.
01:22:09.000Yeah, we've got the, basically it's what you're saying here, we've got the overlay there, and you can see that those blue centers at Austin, San Antonio, Houston, El Paso, Dallas are being reported on.
01:22:22.000And then some red, but we've still got to fill in those other areas.
01:22:29.000Last time you said Biden was up by a little bit, right?
01:22:33.000This is actually, Politico is actually a little bit behind, but yeah, this is roughly the same place.
01:22:41.000Most of all of the rest of those counties were red when CNN brought those up from 2016.
01:22:44.000And Ohio always seems more blue early on because, again, you have those big cities in Ohio, and those typically tend to be the places that count the most.
01:22:54.000And in Ohio you have Columbus, you have Cleveland, you have Dayton, you have Cincinnati, but then you have a lot of other areas in Ohio.
01:23:01.000A lot of farmers, you have a lot of suburban people, and those tend to be counted afterward.
01:23:05.000Yeah, and even then Donald Trump is leading.
01:23:08.000It's tough to know how much of the vote being counted is early vote versus today's vote because some states are doing them in different order.
01:23:14.000And that was one of the graphics that just came up was North Carolina was showing 75% of the vote was early vote.
01:23:20.000So it's almost like a tortoise and the hare type thing.
01:23:23.000You've got a fast sprint from those early votes that are getting in there counted and certainly they're probably going more one way than the other, but now we're getting a catch-up.
01:23:31.000And what is not really quantified again is how many people are actually showing up in
01:23:35.000all of these different polling stations, how many new voters are, and how many voters that
01:23:39.000just simply are untouched by any kind of qualitative polling.
01:23:43.000You just really, I think if there's anything that's going to be very clear is that this
01:23:47.000is the last we've seen of any reasonable sane person looking at national polling when calling
01:24:09.000They actually, they got 2016 right, they got a lot of 2018 right as well, and it's not saying that they're always going to be right, but they basically said, look, we've got to poll differently.
01:24:16.000Donald Trump is doing something to the electorate that we've never seen before, and we can't ask the same questions.
01:25:27.000God only knows, there could be someone in Ohio who's... I don't know how... What, do we have 300-something thousand people watching right now?
01:26:56.000I don't know if you guys can see this, but I actually still have a scar from where I, a burn from where I dropped the cigar in my mouth.
01:27:04.000I fell asleep when I was outside in a zero gravity chair and I had a cigar in my mouth and I fell asleep and went, and I went, and woke up and Joe Louis actually leapt.
01:27:14.000Is that going to be worse than the scar or whatever I'll have from being shot?
01:27:22.000Spartan Armor is a fantastic product, which actually, we should probably, right, we should probably at this point go to our first, actually, Thomas Finnegan.
01:27:29.000Do we have the stinger and then he comes back to me, or does it go straight to him?
01:30:04.000Georgia, okay, you have Trump at plus one now, but that's only because of the last, literally from the 29th to today.
01:30:12.000Before that, you had Biden plus two, plus four.
01:30:15.000The only one that had Trump ahead was Emerson and WSCB landmark.
01:30:18.000You had Biden plus two, plus seven from Quinnipiac.
01:30:21.000Remember when Quinnipiac Quinnipiac was thought of as the gold standard of the polls.
01:30:24.000It was always Quinnipiac, it was Reuters, it was Monmouth.
01:30:29.000So for some reason, WSBTV Landmark, I assume that's a local poll.
01:30:34.000Atlanta Journal, again, just like we see now, you have Quinnipiac up plus three.
01:30:39.000You have Biden, you have him all the way up plus eight for a while.
01:30:43.000And by the way, they are definitely massaging these numbers because we did not see these kinds of numbers favoring Trump when we were looking at them for a long time.
01:32:21.000I do want to take a quick opportunity.
01:32:22.000My understanding is that I think Ilhan Omar has won re-election and if anything that very much solidifies that Gerald's map was made by someone with zero brain cells because he chose Minnesota to go Trump, I think he's wrong.
01:33:13.000Yeah, I think the whole like marrying your brother and then another dude and then cheating on that dude with a married guy, I think that only the men are allowed to do that in Islam, right?
01:33:25.000Yeah, I think that only works for the guys.
01:33:28.000So she may be, that may be some weird feminist rant.
01:33:31.000Which I think that they thought saying t'lek t'lek t'lek three times was more of a tongue twister than it was.
01:33:35.000They thought it would be more of a burden.
01:34:50.000I think they're actually just sleeping.
01:34:52.000They were really excited to lock us in this room and be like, alright guys, watch CNN for six hours!
01:34:58.000Folks, you can tweet me at S. Crowder and again the hashtag is CrowderElectionStream.
01:35:04.000If there are any particular meltdowns that you think we need to tune into, let Let us know, or in the Blaze chat, if it's NBC, ABC, CNN, MSNBC, Young Turks, Vox, I don't know, New York Times, Nate Silver, because I always find it, I always particularly like my meltdowns to involve what looks like an Uncle Fester bald cap.
01:35:23.000Please just let us know, and then we can tune into that.
01:35:27.000But you were saying something, Half-Asian.
01:35:30.000What we were looking at was Ohio still, again, a little bit behind.
01:35:33.000But when you look at Ohio and where they're at on the number of votes, it's slowly creeping up in terms of evening out on that number.
01:35:40.000So that means you, again, have that big influx of early voting, which only accounted for, I think, 40 to 50 percent of the vote in Ohio.
01:35:47.000Much lower than you saw in North Carolina, which was 75 percent, and in other states, which were north of 50.
01:35:52.000So you didn't even have that much more you needed to catch up in Ohio, so it's starting to trend again more in that direction that you were pointing to.
01:35:59.000You had a bunch, but you didn't have enough early voting to counteract the number of people that are coming in from the votes today.
01:36:06.000So let me ask you this, Reg, because you're looking at the New York Times needle.
01:36:10.000Florida, and from what they're saying, North Carolina and Georgia, That seems to all track with what I told people today with the early voting, right?
01:37:46.000I don't know who's gonna win, but I've been right about those things.
01:37:48.000Yeah, first of all, I think simp, if you're using it as an abbreviation for like simpleton or whatever, that would be non-standard usage, I can tell you.
01:37:59.000A simp is someone who kind of makes a big deal of girls on the internet and idolizes them.
01:38:28.000I'm saying in modern vernacular that the sort of Zoomer class uses, a simp means someone who is very desperate for women and gives them a lot of attention.
01:38:37.000Obviously, yes, there is the more antiquated usage of simp.
01:38:54.000The point that I was trying to make was that you are correct on what's important, which is there are a whole bunch of different New York Times little needles, but what interests me is the probability one here.
01:39:04.000If we can bring that up, we have Florida with 93% reported.
01:41:16.000GameBreadFighter on YouTube and on Instagram and on the Twitter.
01:41:20.000And he is an American who has ties, roots, in Cuba with his family, but I don't want to call him a Cuban-American because he might hurt me.
01:41:28.000And he's been on the show, and he has played a pivotal role in, of course, Florida, which we've already called for Donald Trump.
01:41:59.000I was talking a lot to the people that run the internal polls in Miami, and they were ready to lose Miami by a lot more than what they ended up losing by.
01:42:07.000I think with Hillary, they lost by like 300 and something thousand.
01:42:10.000Hey Jorge, we love your beard, but can you angle the camera up a little bit?
01:42:14.000Because you look like a reverse Wilson.
01:42:53.000Oh yeah, no, I think Arizona for sure, especially because if you look at how the Latino vote went in Florida and we've seen in Texas, Arizona is actually, I mean, people thought that, oh, Arizona is going to be further out of reach for Donald Trump.
01:43:05.000I think, if anything, it might even be better because, again, people see Latinos as one demographic, as a monolith.
01:43:13.000For example, Jorge Masvidal, let people know here, how different is a Cuban American's outlook, for lack of a better word, but a Cuban American outlook, how different would it be from a Mexican American outlook?
01:43:25.000Or let's say a South American, let's say like a Chilean American outlook, or else, like a Cuban American versus a Mexican American outlook.
01:45:13.000So when I did this video yesterday, or was uploaded yesterday, where I asked people about Donald Trump being a racist, there was a Mexican lady who said, well, he hates Mexicans.
01:45:58.000They see Mexico as a corrupt, crappy country.
01:46:01.000But the government tries to claim that it's not socialist, whereas I think with Cuban-Americans, it's been very clear, hey, why are things so bad?
01:46:09.000Your government keeps saying socialism.
01:46:11.000So you guys were fleeing, meaning Cuban-Americans, your father there, fleeing an actual government that persecuted you for speaking out against socialism.
01:46:19.000Current Mexicans are just fleeing a crappy economy.
01:46:22.000And so I don't think there's as much of a resistance to socialism because they don't connect those dots.
01:46:27.000Do you think that may be a part of it?
01:46:31.000It's actually, a lot of Mexicans will say their government is corrupt, they don't have faith in the system, the politicians are all bought out, but they're not against socialism as hard as we go, you know what I mean?
01:46:44.000You ask any Cuban and it's like the worst thing you could call them, you know, is a communist.
01:46:49.000Well, I'm going to do that when I get my concealed carry permit, and I just feel like I want to go down.
01:46:58.000It'll be not suicide by cop fire, it'll be suicide by Cubans, and I'll just go, Socialistas!
01:47:17.000YouTube, Instagram, Twitter, I got, we're always putting up content, fighting relating content, anything man, on all the websites, so on Twitter, Instagram.
01:48:17.000I'm willing to bet it'll probably go to about 75 Trump.
01:48:21.000By the way, the odds, if you saw the stock market today, do you think the stock market's going to go up if they think Joe Biden's going to come in and change tax policy and close down the economy?
01:48:56.000We have a couple of sponsors, Black Rifle Coffee and Spartan Armor, but we give the rest to you.
01:49:02.000And of course, every day you get like 45 minutes to an hour of extra So much.
01:49:07.000And the kind of content that you can never see on YouTube, and if not, just please hit the notification bell, because subscriptions don't mean a whole lot on YouTube.
01:49:13.000We're gonna be bringing Betty out soon after a commercial break where I pee, but think about this for a second!
01:50:26.000Now, I know people will say that, well, emissions were going down faster from Barack Obama, and that is true.
01:50:31.000They were going down faster, but with the side effect of crippling the economy, right?
01:50:37.000With Donald Trump, they've still gone down mostly, but we literally are entirely energy independent, and we have under $2 gas, which the moron Newt Gingrich, and I say that because I don't like him.
01:50:52.000Newt Gingrich is the perfect example of the swamp.
01:50:54.000Went in worth $30,000, left government office worth $35 million.
01:51:01.000He wanted to run a campaign on $2 gas.
01:52:10.000They used to have a law, I don't know if they still do in California, where you could only have a certain allotment of SUVs on the lot because more Americans wanted SUVs at that point before they had skyrocketing gas prices.
01:52:20.000And still Tesla leaves California to Texas.
01:52:25.000What do you think is better for the environment long term?
01:52:28.000Also, what do you think is better for the environment long term?
01:52:30.000Because Saudi Arabia, they're irrelevant!
01:52:39.000We have more energy jobs, we are energy independent, and our carbon emissions are, I believe, the second lowest of any year.
01:52:46.000They went up slightly, I think, one of the years, but they're still damn low.
01:52:50.000No one talks What no one talks about is, where's the world leader in clean technology?
01:52:57.000So again, not just vehicles, but think about even in oil and gas or energy itself.
01:53:02.000There are so many different companies in the United States, even the ones that are kind of the brand names.
01:53:08.000You know, your shells, your whatever, and even though some of those are European companies as well, but when you look at the West, including the United States, the number of scientists, laboratories, government-funded, or just capitalism-fueled innovation to try and make this work.
01:53:21.000Look, some of the biggest people supporting the environment are our hunters, our conservationists, our people who are in the gun industry, and folks who want to preserve these outdoor areas.
01:53:32.000But how are you going to come up with it?
01:53:34.000Is it the Postal Service that's going to come up with this technology?
01:54:23.000Hey, so I think we're hearing, it was just tweeted by Jeff Mitchell saying that Fox and CNN, Walking Back, Virginia, now they're coming back again.
01:54:33.000There's some flipping and flopping here in the last few minutes.
01:54:36.000I don't know if Rez, you can look into that.
01:55:03.000So the results that you have early on are the in-person day of.
01:55:07.000And so I think that's why they tried to call it so early.
01:55:10.000They thought, well, you know, uh, we can call this, but let's look at the lead here because Trump It could be that he's getting enough of a leave.
01:55:19.000You know, if you go over to CNN, they have not called Virginia.
01:55:39.000Hold on a second, but 80% in and a 10 point spread, an 11 point spread?
01:55:45.000Something tells me that they haven't counted some serious counties there.
01:55:48.000Yeah, they're saying if it's too early to call it that spread.
01:55:50.00080%, that must mean, do we know which counties have not been, people in Arizona let us know, because that's one of those things that seems weird.
01:55:56.000Kind of like the last go around with Florida, where Florida, I remember, looked really bad when we were doing the live broadcast, and then the panhandle came through.
01:56:05.000I think we were on the line with Anthony Comea when that happened and we said, oh wow, that's changing.
01:56:08.000So I know they just counted Maricopa County, which is where they expected Biden to do the best.
01:56:14.000And I don't know if this is 80% of all Arizona votes.
02:00:12.000No, no, no, I know, but I'm just saying, you've got to- As soon as he hears it, he starts to go, okay, where is it, where is it, where is it?
02:01:53.000And I'm going to drink his sick water.
02:01:55.000No, but listen, seriously, when you think about Black Rifle Coffee, they're folks who are out there sponsoring a show that so many others in the world would not be willing to.
02:02:01.000that they're going to tune out because I'm in the chair.
02:02:03.000Come on. No, but listen, seriously, when you think about Black Rifle Coffee, they're folks who
02:02:08.000are out there sponsoring a show that so many others in the world would not be willing to.
02:02:12.000So many other brands would not touch with a hundred foot pole.
02:02:17.000These are people who would, you know, I don't know, you don't even want to know those people, but literally go to BlackRifleCoffee.com slash Crowder 20% off and you'll be able to get these delivered by Christmas morning by having the holiday roast going to service members.
02:02:32.000BlackRifleCoffee.com slash Crowder and 20% off.
02:02:37.000I don't know if we're seeing anything particularly exciting.
02:02:39.000One of the things I was going to say is, from a technological standpoint, MSNBC Live has the crappiest touchscreen television.
02:03:26.000No, just so people know, just so you know, I am very sick.
02:03:30.000Don't have the COVID though, an actual sickness, not that COVID isn't real, I would just rather be asymptomatic.
02:03:37.000I would rather be asymptomatic, and I don't know about you guys, but I would take lung stuff, I would take, basically the worst for me is throat stuff, and the runs.
02:03:59.000The numbers are pretty decent, yeah, but just make sure, I mean, tell people your favorite coffee from Black Rifle and give us that promo code one more time.
02:04:12.000Just don't lose it, because I need it so I can breathe.
02:04:14.000My favorite is the Vintage Roast, by the way.
02:04:16.000The Vintage Roast from Black Rifle Coffee.
02:04:17.000This is the one that's not a black bag, but it is... They were out a little bit with COVID, because it's pretty tough to source these beans.
02:04:37.000Uh, and it works really well for drip coffee, so I do recommend that, and I like their sounds, they're smooth a whole lot.
02:04:41.000Listen, we have limited ads on this show, and a big reason is because of people who join up and support Mug Club, and another reason is, um, just because I'm not gonna run ads for something that I don't use or don't like, right?
02:04:52.000I love coffee, and for you to pick them, that's... Remember when Keeps came to me?
02:07:15.000Do you know what a big, gaping crap hole our country is facing right now?
02:07:22.000Listen, there have been no new calls with states, so this is one thing a lot of you folks may know that I love dogs, and I love dogs because they're kind of different from elections in that they're honest.
02:07:31.000And Betty has been gone for a very long time.
02:07:32.000And you may have remembered, we received more backlash from this.
02:07:35.000You can bring up this B-roll, quarter black carrot, where during Mug Club quarantine, one of our shows was nothing.
02:07:41.000That was in the peak of toilet paper pandemic.
02:07:45.000And that was the peak of toilet paper pandemic when there was a shortage.
02:08:01.000And she would whip around and grab the toilet paper from my hand while I was spanking her little butt with toilet paper before I could finish.
02:08:09.000It would be like, and I'm not saying that it's comparable, but I do think it's comparable to the plight of Jews who had a baby in an attic who started crying.
02:08:16.000And so then they had to, you know, like put a pill.
02:09:03.000We are going to test right now Betty's obedience with toilet paper and see just how good of a job this trainer who is amazing, Carolyn, has done.
02:11:05.000And you can keep the scene in there in the lower third so people know it's still an election stream.
02:11:09.000It's still the president being elected.
02:11:10.000How long did it take you to get her to this point where she's, I mean, she's not even, she's kind of sniffing it, but she's not that interested.
02:11:15.000Um, you know, it probably took a couple, three weeks of consistent work on obedience and to develop a relationship with her and all of that before we started the bigger, the big ticket items that were a bigger draw for her previously.
02:11:26.000Um, but I'd say by the end of the first, you know, four to six weeks, she was with me.
02:12:38.000She works for food now, so we were working on different tricks, so working on wave, working on spinning in different directions, sitting pretty, those kind of things.
02:12:45.000She has been up since four this morning, and we flew in from Kentucky, so she may be a little too tired for the tricks, but... Hey, what happens if you, like, throw the toilet paper in front of her?
02:14:12.000So Ice is actually the Elton Gallant dog who trains under Carolyn, who is going to be ravaging even Brendan later on when the state of Wisconsin is called.
02:20:42.000But we saw a lot of weird stuff going on in Pennsylvania today.
02:20:47.000Was that confirmed, by the way, that there was a letter sent out to Pennsylvania that if you had recently been to a Trump rally, I saw this and I assumed it was fake news from the right, that if you had been to a Trump rally, a potential super-spreading event, that you were not allowed to go vote in person?
02:21:00.000If someone can confirm, I assume it was fake.
02:21:03.000I mean, I did definitely see, uh, you know, maybe he was just trolling, but it was one of these poll workers, uh, saying that they had thrown a whole bunch of Trump ballots in the trash in Pennsylvania.
02:21:13.000And then I also saw some poll watchers who had a valid certificate being forced out.
02:21:18.000And you also had a lot of, now voting machines, you know, go down.
02:21:22.000That's, that's, uh, that, that happens.
02:21:24.000Uh, but just a lot of stuff that made me feel weird.
02:21:28.000Whoever has their phone notifications on loud, you better stop or I'm gonna stab a fuckin' pencil through your heart.
02:22:11.000No, they are actually, their first big election was 2016 and they're now playing a pretty central role and they seem pretty reliable in my opinion.
02:22:21.000It looks like the New York Times has basically called it too.
02:22:24.000So if you look at the map... The New York Times has called it with...
02:22:29.000No, not only that, but North Carolina.
02:22:31.000So when you scroll down to the battleground states to watch on their meter, they have pegged Florida and North Carolina both at 95% chance Trump.
02:22:40.000But when you go up to the map, they're still not willing to concede those because then it would shift the actual meter.
02:22:46.000Where are you looking at these meters?
02:27:13.000You have to be past that 90-something percent threshold, and it has to be a pretty even spread across the board.
02:27:18.000Unless it's Florida, then even past 95%, you don't call it because you just can't give up.
02:27:22.000But again, we're looking at the kind of quality votes the Tortoise and the Hare type race.
02:27:27.000What are the quality of votes that came in early?
02:27:29.000The type of votes that we're counting?
02:27:31.000The type of precincts that are reporting?
02:27:32.000Are you getting these rural votes versus the urban votes?
02:27:35.000You're tending to have the better technology, the more staffing, the more votes coming in from the urban areas, and they're trickling in in the rural areas.
02:27:43.000So it's no surprise that you're seeing a qualitative difference in the type of votes that are coming in, which impact the ultimate results.
02:27:48.000Because you know what the lesson was from Tortoise and the Hare?
02:28:29.000You're finding all these subtle, not-so-subtle lessons that are buried in there.
02:28:33.000There's no fiber optic, there's no internet in the shoe, it's terrible.
02:28:37.000I will say, I did get a text message from one of my partners who said, I'm looking very full Asian today, and he said that I'm a sad sack, a bad, bad co-host for you today.
02:28:47.000He said, Gerald's doing better than me.
02:29:06.000Did I tell you about the one time when I was working in the gun industry at this company and I was wearing a green sweater, a dark green sweater?
02:29:15.000No, I gave one of the co-employees who was a Vietnam vet, some other guy had brought in an AK and I stood up holding it and the guy goes, ugh.
02:29:23.000That's exactly what he just asked you.
02:29:25.000You should have run at him and jumped over the counter.
02:29:27.000I just started yelling at the top of my lungs.
02:29:30.000And then I stripped off all my clothes just to reenact that napalm photo.
02:30:05.000If you're big enough, obviously not in physical stature, if you're big enough in cultural stature that you just say the Megyn Kelly Show, people say, well what's the elevator pitch?
02:30:36.000And it occurred to me last week when I was sitting with my girlfriends in New York, having dinner, and they were all like, Biden, Biden, Biden, yay, yay, yay, register everything, everything.
02:30:44.000And, you know, I was like, what do you think?
02:31:39.000So I live in a building that's mostly orthodox, and they lean more conservative.
02:31:44.000And so it's almost like finding a little oasis in the midst of this sort of crazy liberal stew out there, because these are not normal progressives for the most part.
02:32:40.000Listen, I'm just trying to bring us all together and find some common ground.
02:32:44.000Uh, Megan, Kelly, this is interesting though, because you mentioned, listen, people obviously know that you and Donald Trump have had your differences, but I saw you two go back and forth on Twitter where you kind of gave him some props and he said, thank you, Megan.
02:32:56.000Have you two talked at all beyond that one meeting that took place years ago?
02:34:20.000The problem with what he did to me was it was sustained and it was like it was hundreds of tweets and I was the first so it was unusual and I was kind of alone so it wasn't like he was attacking everybody and that's what I think led to the increase in security threats in my life and so on.
02:36:10.000I think you're using the term rally very generously.
02:36:14.000When I saw him walking down the stairs and there were like nine people there and there was like a smattering of flies, I was like, you know what?
02:36:28.000Let me ask you, who do you think wins tonight?
02:36:31.000So I kind of went through my whole strategy this evening, which seems to have been borne out thus far with Georgia, North Carolina, with Florida, with the early voting.
02:36:51.000But, I don't know, because he's got to hold everything.
02:36:56.000He doesn't look great in Michigan and Wisconsin, at least going into tonight, and so far the vote's very early.
02:37:02.000But if he loses one of those two states, if he loses both of those states, he has to hold on to every single state that went for him last time around.
02:37:29.000And then I said, I'm pretty confident that we have Georgia, North Carolina, likely Arizona.
02:37:34.000That's the one thing I could be wrong about, but If he has North Carolina, Georgia, Florida, and New York Times is saying that he'll get North Carolina, Georgia, and of course, Florida, and Iowa.
02:38:13.000No, but if he... No, he only needs Michigan or Pennsylvania.
02:38:16.000So in other words, if he just keeps North Carolina and Georgia, whereas if this same scenario, Donald Trump has Georgia, North Carolina, Florida, right?
02:38:39.000Trump just needs either Michigan or Pennsylvania or a combination of Wisconsin and Minnesota, which is far less likely.
02:38:46.000So I think when people say Donald Trump needs an inside straight, I go, actually, Joe Biden's the one who really needs the inside straight because he needs to carry all of them unless he steals another state.
02:38:56.000And even if he steals Arizona, he's still going to have to pull three of those states.
02:39:19.000You have the least amount of outs, basically.
02:39:22.000So it's the hardest thing to do to get a straight, right?
02:39:24.000What I was saying is this when I learned everything I learned about poker I learned from like 90 sitcoms so like Fresh Prince or Family Matters and they would say let's play and then someone will put down all this is all I know all I know is full house and then usually when someone puts it down they do this they go ha ha full house and they go like this with the pile and then someone goes Straight flush, and then they do this.
02:40:36.000And he's sort of recreating the look of the Republican Party in a really interesting way, and already you're seeing some of these Democrats online melt down about how, well, Cubans aren't really Hispanic, they're really, they're white, you know, they're white, so it's not, and like, the racial attacks are already ratcheting up as the Republican Party seems to be embracing more of these minority groups, in particular the Hispanics.
02:40:56.000Yeah, and I think they've looked at Hispanics as a monolith.
02:40:59.000We had Jorge Masvidal, who's, you know, the bad mother F-er belt winner in the UFC.
02:41:04.000And they don't like just being lumped in.
02:41:06.000Not only that, Mexican immigrants don't like being lumped in with illegal Mexican residents.
02:41:11.000That's also something people need to understand.
02:41:12.000Cuban Americans, very different from Venezuelan Americans, very different from Argentinian Americans, very different from Honduran, but really there's a difference between, and this is one thing I was talking about with Jorge Masvidal, Cubans are so anti-socialist, they're so pro-America because they were arrested, right?
02:41:27.000People ask, why don't we have asylum for people from Mexico?
02:41:30.000As opposed to Cuba because in Cuba you were arrested you were effectively Clinton, right?
02:41:35.000You were ghosted if you spoke out against the government.
02:41:38.000That's not really the case in Mexico They just have a crappy economy. It's not the same as being
02:41:42.000persecuted by a government and so they come here for more economic opportunity but not necessarily to contrast the
02:41:48.000kind of culture of oppressive government that you see in Cuba and
02:41:52.000I tell you what the Cubans are sick of it and their women are fertile
02:41:56.000Let me ask you this. We do have to get going you uh, I'll be on your show from what I understand this coming
02:42:17.000It was like, Can't Stop Conservative Creator, and it was a picture of me with a cigar saluting in front of the flag, and it was a hit piece.
02:42:52.000I'm kind of seen as a recluse, and I was like, well, I need to promote this rally in Michigan because I want to actually save seniors' lives, so I said yes, but then he didn't even ask me about that, so screw that guy.
02:43:05.000It's like, I always laugh because even now, they'll introduce me because, you know, of the way I left NBC, and it's like, well, you know, Let's talk about these Halloween costumes, and are they really offensive, and when did that happen?
02:43:16.000I just assumed it was because Jane Fonda's a bitch.
02:45:04.000So this is what we're hearing in kind of the meltdown.
02:45:07.000Scott got sprayed painting over the principal's car.
02:45:09.000The polls just opened in California and Joe Biden won.
02:45:14.000We're hearing from a lot of folks, there's definitely meltdowns going on on the left about what states are happening and kind of looking down like what are the very few paths and kind of narrowing it down to if Biden were to somehow come back, take Michigan, take Wisconsin, he can lose Pennsylvania, get Nebraska 2, Maine 2, and Arizona and hit 270 on the nose.
02:45:37.000That seems to be kind of the prevailing hope, if you will.
02:45:40.000for a path for Biden at this point because things have been shaken up so much starting with Florida.
02:45:45.000Can you give me the update on Michigan there Reg the Bandit?
02:46:04.000The only other information, New Hampshire... Do we know how much of that is coming in from Wayne County?
02:46:09.000Because that's Detroit, Flint area, or which, I don't know if Flint is Wayne or if it's Macomb, but people in Michigan, you can let me know.
02:46:17.000In other words, if this is coming in where there's a significant amount of the urban vote, and I would imagine that of all the states, Where you're going to get more urban vote for Donald Trump tonight.
02:47:37.000That's stout, but if they haven't brought in the vote from Detroit... And look, by the way, it's all red up in the north except for Leelanau County just around Traverse because it's a little San Francisco with...
02:47:48.000It's just nothing but hipsters and sodomites.
02:48:36.000The places that tend to be blue are big cities like New York and San Francisco, where people are entirely dependent on the government for everything.
02:48:42.000If there's a natural disaster at all in New York or in California, you are 100% dependent on the government for transit, for food, and there are shortages all the time.
02:48:51.000So it's not just Farmer Brown and Mr. Urban Elite.
02:48:56.000Now, we're seeing reports that there was a record turnout in Detroit, right?
02:48:59.000So you're seeing a lot of votes that are coming there.
02:49:01.000But I think the point you made earlier is very important to remember, which is the number
02:49:05.000of folks that were just kind of counted as votes in the bag in the black community by
02:51:36.000I tell you what, I should be employed as some kind of an oracle, because this is what I called going down based on the early voting that no one was paying attention to.
02:51:45.000You guys are really feeling like you're going to win this?
02:51:48.000Listen, you know, I'm cautiously optimistic.
02:51:50.000I don't ever count my chickens before they're hatched, you know, but, uh, you know, a lot of the trends that we're seeing look pretty good.
02:51:55.000So, uh, you know, we just want to keep it going.
02:51:58.000Uh, you see the Vegas oddsmakers, you know, they flipped to like, you know, 68% to us.
02:52:04.000Uh, you know, that tends to be a pretty good sign.
02:52:06.000So, you know, again, we're just here hanging out at the White House.
02:52:09.000You know, with my father, the vice president, some of the family.
02:54:11.000You know, and his speech is really good.
02:54:12.000I don't know if he sort of gave you the stuff with it, but you know, whether it's the story of his family, or really when he's like, listen, right now we got a Super Bowl winning coach.
02:54:21.000You don't replace a Super Bowl winning coach because you don't like the attitude, and you certainly don't replace him for someone who hasn't won a f***ing game in 47 years.
02:54:36.000I think down in Florida you saw, they still haven't called it yet.
02:54:40.000We won it by a margin about three times the size of what we did last time, but they haven't called it yet because I guess they're trying to build the ratings.
02:54:49.000I think they haven't emotionally prepared themselves yet to accept it.
02:55:17.000Some of the rural numbers I'm seeing in Pennsylvania look pretty good, but who knows what they're going to do when they start cheating in Philadelphia.
02:55:22.000There's a lot still out there that I'm not sure of yet, but like I said, I'm cautiously optimistic.
02:55:30.000You're starting to see the looks and the frowns on the MSDNC-type networks.
02:55:36.000These people are not exactly thrilled, I don't think, right now, but again, there's still a lot of race left.
02:55:58.000I will tell you, I was totally wrong in 2016.
02:55:59.000I said, like, there's no way he wins Michigan, and that's been me tonight with Minnesota, but that's more so because Minnesota voted in Jesse Ventura, so I just feel like, you know, you can't quantify that.
02:56:11.000I will tell you this, I think you guys... Okay, if I had to bet, and I was saying this, without voter fraud, Pennsylvania would be the closest thing to a surefire thing in that belt.
02:56:28.000I said this a long time ago, and people may remember this, I said, listen, when people, we have these sort of racist identitarians on the right, right, who hate people like you and me and Ben Shapiro more than anybody else.
02:56:39.000And I always said, you don't need to win, for example, the black vote.
02:56:41.000You just need to mitigate your losses, where let's say you get to the point of 30%, 35%, or even 20%.
02:56:49.000And when you look in Detroit, when you look in Michigan, you look at Wayne County, you look at a lot of black Americans in Michigan.
02:56:55.000Not only are more black Americans going for Trump than any other Republican in modern history, Hispanics aren't as many in Michigan because, you know, it's cold.
02:57:01.000But with black Americans, you also have black Americans who are on the assembly lines.
02:57:06.000Who've benefited directly from the trade agreements that Donald Trump.
02:57:10.000So there's even more reason for black Americans to support Donald Trump.
02:57:13.000So I think it comes down to this question.
02:57:15.000Do people think it is more likely that a Democrat, a registered Democrat, votes for Donald Trump or that a registered Republican in Michigan votes for Joe Biden?
02:57:24.000And I think if you look at the margin, as thin as it may be, that you won last go in Michigan.
02:57:29.000There had to have been at least, like, 10% of registered Democrats voting for Donald Trump, and that gap with the early voting is within four points.
02:57:38.000So, if I had to bet right now, I would probably bet on you guys winning Michigan, but I certainly think that either Michigan or Pennsylvania, barring some kind of voter fraud, and then that's the whole game.
02:57:56.000If you just hang on to North Carolina and Georgia, Biden needs to win Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania.
02:58:02.000If you guys hold on to your states, you just need Michigan or Pennsylvania, and it's curtains.
02:58:07.000So I actually think that you have far more paths to victory, barring a huge upset from Biden in one of your states.
02:58:13.000Arizona might be one to watch because it's a little unpredictable, but even then that doesn't give Biden enough.
02:58:17.000He still needs to win three of the four.
02:58:18.000So I think you're looking pretty good.
02:58:20.000I would bet right now you guys win Michigan.
02:58:24.000I would have bet before the election Pennsylvania, but I think it looks good for you.
02:58:28.000Yeah, listen, and like I said, I've been on the ground more than probably any human being alive, and, you know, that energy has always been there, so if those rural guys turn up the way it looks like they will, I mean, again, it feels pretty good.
02:58:38.000It's a question of, you're right, Pennsylvania, how badly will they be able to cheat?
03:00:18.000I think Reg has got some as well, but I think Dan Crenshaw is being reported as the victor in his race.
03:00:24.000Tighter than one would have expected, given the kind of the changes in the demographic there.
03:00:29.000Some of the other races in Texas, as we talked about earlier, are Kind of those down ballot races are tending to go more Democrat than folks had expected.
03:00:37.000Historically, still getting some wins.
03:00:39.000Morgan Meyer, you know, kind of local in the Dallas area and some other races that are kind of going the other way, going blue.
03:00:48.000Reg, what's the details on the Texas vote right now?
03:00:51.000So, in Texas, well, I'll just say that we've got Washington and Oregon and New Mexico for Biden, which are not really surprises, but it's interesting to me that, you know, the networks are calling these with 0% of the vote, 1% of the vote, I think just to give some people some hope.
03:01:09.000Obviously, it's a safe bet, it's a safe bet, but that's a little humorous to me when they're not calling Florida yet.
03:03:11.000You get access to the entire Blaze TV catalog, okay?
03:03:15.000And every day when you see us broadcasting in the morning, Good Morning Mug Club, we go on for like another full hour.
03:03:20.000There's all kinds of content that you get exclusively.
03:03:22.000And if you don't want that content, You still won't get this content if you don't join up at Red Bull, because we're not making enough off YouTube for Crying Out Loud.
03:03:30.000They just considered my criticism of Bill Nye's gender Netflix episode, Political Election Medley!
03:04:21.000I mean, the running memes of the last couple of weeks were they're going to have some kind of thing about the voting on every single post about voting.
03:04:27.000And they're going to have something about COVID on every single post regarding COVID.
03:04:35.000He's got that little family of sparrows in his nest of a beard.
03:04:39.000But all we can do and be protected is to have the blaze, to have the people who supported the show, So that when they not only yank the chain of monetization like we saw in Vox Apocalypse, but they do even worse.
03:04:50.000They continue and they up the shadow banning.
03:04:53.000They up the times where they are creating defamatory posts themselves by labeling true news as fake news with their unchecked third-party fact-checkers.
03:05:03.000I mean, it's become incredibly brazen.
03:05:06.000And really, we could not do it without the fans who support the show.
03:05:09.000I know and I said we wouldn't do this tonight, but if someone can let me know, someone out there in the control room, If the Young Turks are melting down, you do have to let me
03:06:10.000And I think they brought some other people forward.
03:06:11.000So it's one of those things where these people have attacked the Young Turks.
03:06:14.000And I get it, they're small, but they do also have like 30 something million dollars from foreign entities, foreign caliphates and Al Jazeera.
03:06:21.000So I don't want to be a bully and punch down but this is a guy who called the election for Biden like a month ago and he said no doubt and even his co-host Anna Kasparian was like I don't know yet.
03:11:45.000You're looking at plus 4 for black men, plus 4 for black women, plus 3 for Latino men, plus 3 for Latino women, and plus 5 for any other race other than black, Latino, or white.
03:12:00.000Because what happened is, they, I was watching John King.
03:12:04.000I was watching him on CNN the other day going, keep in mind, you know, Donald Trump, he's behind in Pennsylvania, he's behind in Michigan right now by four points, and that's a state he only won by seven percent, so we can give that to Joe Biden.
03:12:25.000But how did Donald Trump perform with Hispanics and blacks?
03:12:29.000Probably better than the exit polling.
03:12:31.000So that thing, are they comparing exit polling with performance?
03:12:34.000That's what they'll often do, is they'll perform Donald Trump's performance in 2016 with the polling going into 2020.
03:12:39.000So I'm saying that I think they can massage that and tweak it to make, and I don't have the thing in front of me to see it, but right away when they would often say, Oh, well, he only won this by a thin margin, but now look at these polls.
03:12:50.000The polls had Donald Trump way behind.
03:12:52.000They had him further behind in Pennsylvania.
03:12:54.000And if I'm not mistaken, they had him further behind in Michigan.
03:14:58.000We're trying to figure out if all of this vote is coming in from the rural areas or if the cities have put a lot of those votes in as well.
03:15:05.000So based on what we have right now, Donald Trump needs to win any two Michigan or Pennsylvania.
03:15:10.000He needs to win one of those, and then any of the other two states in the Midwest.
03:15:13.000That could be Wisconsin, that could be Minnesota, that could be Michigan, that could be Pennsylvania.
03:15:16.000So it'll be interesting to see what the vetting odds are in Vegas now that Biden won Arizona.
03:15:21.000But it seems like that's been pretty close, though.
03:15:26.000With 25% remaining, too, so it just depends on, again, where that's coming from.
03:15:30.000That seems like it might be a premature call, but right now we do have Dave Landau and Anthony Cumia, of course, from Compound Media on with us.
03:15:39.000Dave and Anthony, how are you, gentlemen?
03:16:33.000And it's looking pretty good for Georgia and North Carolina, so really it comes down to, can Donald Trump win either Michigan or Pennsylvania, and then one other state in the Midwest?
03:18:00.000It's the first time that it's ever even been pushing red like this, so I really do think that there's a very strong chance that Michigan's gonna go red.
03:18:09.000And I think, how do you think that people there feel about your fascist, frigid bitch governor, Whitmer?
03:18:15.000Because they always claim she has an 80% approval rating, and I'm like, really?
03:18:19.000How does she have an 80% approval rating?
03:18:22.000Did they compare her to the Bride of Chucky?
03:18:25.000Did they bring them up on the stage at the same time?
03:18:28.000That's one of those numbers that I feel is hyperly inflated, and it usually comes from a local press in Michigan, which I don't trust, because they claimed we had 200 people in Lansing, whereas our headcount was 3,500.
03:18:38.000So, you think that Donald Trump will win Michigan, Dave?
03:18:42.000I really do, and I think it is because of Whitmer.
03:18:45.000I think entirely the reason why they're going red is because of the lovely job that she's been doing here.
03:18:51.000As we all know, she's completely taken way too much control, abused her power.
03:21:07.000Hey, I hate to cut this short, Kamea and Landa, but you know we're having a little bit of feedback going on and we do have to get going and Alex Jones has been waiting and if I keep Alex Jones waiting, I might end up in a river.
03:25:29.000I thought it was important for people to know, because some people gave me flack, they were like in Lansing, like, are you wearing a tactical vest?
03:25:33.000I'm like, no, I'm just wearing a bulletproof vest because people want to kill me.
03:27:37.000So if you actually look for a home in Phoenix, right, you're talking about many, many, many, many millions of dollars for even a decent home.
03:27:43.000Recently when I was in Phoenix, you were talking about $800,000 for a bungalow, right?
03:27:46.000So it's priced at a lot of the working class Americans in Arizona and then you have a lot of...
03:27:52.000Either illegal immigrants, or you have people who've come there who don't speak English very well.
03:27:56.000So, even though Donald Trump is winning more of the Latino vote, there was such a drastic shift in demographics in Arizona, we don't really have that in Pennsylvania and Michigan.
03:28:05.000So the fact that, according to, was it AP or New York Times, or where was it?
03:28:09.000AP, that Donald Trump is performing better with black men, with black women, with Hispanic voters, with both men and women.
03:28:17.000That really matters in places like Wayne County, in a state like Ohio, where you have Dayton, where you have Cincinnati, where you have Cleveland, where you have Columbus, right?
03:28:25.000Or in Michigan, where you have Detroit, where you have Flint, because there hasn't been a huge shift in Michigan where all of a sudden there are a huge number of Latino voters.
03:28:32.000So even if Donald Trump is doing better by 4%, well you're losing a lot of that working class, non-college educated white voter, which by the way, non-college educated typically right now means educated because they're not getting a degree in underwater basket weaving.
03:28:47.000So, there was a shift in Arizona that definitely hasn't taken place in Pennsylvania and Michigan.
03:28:52.000So, if I were just to use those numbers that you gave me from the AP and say, Donald Trump's doing better with black, male, female, Latino, male, female, and you haven't seen, let's say, a 20% drop of white working class Americans and a 20% increase in Latinos, that's a net positive.
03:29:06.000Arizona was a little bit of an outlier because we didn't know what those demographics were.
03:29:11.000Now, some people are, you know, we have some Trump campaign officials and other people saying that it's a lot, it's too early to call Arizona.
03:29:19.000Fox News has been really eager to call states for Biden very early on, and their coverage has frankly been pretty terrible, I think.
03:29:29.000It's uncharacteristic of them to call early, they tend to be the later one, right?
03:29:33.000Yeah, so they're saying, you know, two-thirds of the hour- They call really late, like Karl Rove.
03:29:46.000So I don't want to give anybody false hope, but I think that feels like a little bit of an early call in Arizona, so we'll keep an eye on it.
03:29:54.000Well, Arizona was the one I was least confident about compared to Georgia and North Carolina.
03:30:00.000So one other thing you were asking about Wisconsin, which currently is 51-46 Trump, though my understanding is that is at 59% reported, but without counting the absentee vote.
03:30:12.000So I don't know if, Rez, you can double-check that.
03:30:14.000But there's certainly some question there about that pattern we talked about earlier.
03:30:18.000Well, you know what though, that's interesting with Wisconsin because if I bring this back up...
03:30:23.000You guys can keep talking really quickly.
03:32:30.000If 60% of 2 million comes in, Trump wins Pennsylvania.
03:32:36.000Right, and looking at those numbers, it's not clear.
03:32:39.000I think the person reporting them is just simply stating the facts, which is still outstanding.
03:32:44.000There's no way to call Pennsylvania, but it's becoming increasingly clear.
03:32:48.000If there is a split between Wisconsin and Michigan, Pennsylvania becomes the place that we're waiting, I don't know, a week, two, five.
03:33:00.000That's so good for Trump, even if that many votes are outstanding.
03:33:03.000If it stays what it historically has been, and that many votes are outstanding, with the lead he's building up right now on votes... You guys are boring me.
03:33:58.000Okay, so they're called, if they're called Arizona, it has a, what is it, Election HQ or Desktop HQ, what's the name of the place you're using Reg the Bandit?
03:34:36.000It does seem like the surprises have been more in Trump's favor, at least in the... Well, it does seem like Nate Silver should be shot at dawn before breakfast, figuratively speaking.
03:34:56.000So you're looking at Decision Desk is saying that in Arizona, you do have Biden leading, but they have not called the state finally or, you know, kind of given the final nod.
03:35:07.000Interestingly, they are already saying a lead, not a final call, but a lead for Trump in Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
03:35:15.000So again, some of that stuff is very early.
03:38:40.000If I were to have to bet, I'd probably give it a 60-40 chance for Donald Trump.
03:38:46.000Yeah, I think we're looking at, with Arizona kind of being the opposite side of where Florida was, kind of quelling the heat, if you will, on where those votes are.
03:38:56.000I mean, that's a pretty important 11 votes that are now putting in some big contention.
03:39:01.000I mean, I don't think that we can realistically say Minnesota's still on the table, so it really is coming down to some of these smaller districts, Nebraska and Maine, as well as Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
03:39:12.000I think it really comes down to Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania.
03:39:17.000I have no idea what the word is on Nevada yet, but I would assume that Nevada is of course going to Joe Biden because people are commie pricks.
03:39:26.000So we're at CNN saying 47% in for Michigan, Trump 54, uh, 54, 46.
03:39:28.000What, 50% in for Pennsylvania and Trump's up 12?
03:40:15.000I mean, folks on the left and the right will say that Texas politics on the left and Texas politics on the right are still different from national politics. So even trying
03:40:22.000to coalesce a Latino vote in Texas is just, you know, insulting to every,
03:40:27.000the whole spectrum of people who are voting out there in the Latino community.
03:40:31.000But I think you're right, the bigger change is... Latinx.
03:40:46.000But you've got to look at what these votes are.
03:40:48.000What are the people who are out there saying, hey, I'm a fourth generation Mexican immigrant who's been in the United States and I'm looking at someone who's going to support the economy, that's going to try and keep my taxes low, who's going to support innovation and business.
03:41:07.000The number of Latino men and women who are going for Trump is something that defies everything that we've heard from the Democrats and the entire progressive left of saying, hey, if your skin is this color or you identify as Latinx, then you must vote in a certain way.
03:41:22.000I want to do that as a video, by the way.
03:41:25.000I want to go to a seriously Mexican area and refer to them as Latinx and just see the question marks in their face like they're a Pokemon who's been captured.
03:41:35.000I can see my father-in-law, who, as I've mentioned, his name is Beto.
03:42:20.000Who would have thought when Stacey Abrams made the trip to take a shit-down-the-Liberty-Bell crack, that for some reason, people might understand that there's a president who supports law and order.
03:42:40.000You have these crazy lockdowns in Michigan.
03:42:42.000Pennsylvania, you have no more... That's why I said I think Biden lost Pennsylvania.
03:42:47.000I just, going in tonight, I felt as though I could not put that on the board for Trump because Pennsylvania, look into their history, they have rampant voter fraud.
03:42:56.000They've had rampant voter fraud for a very long time.
03:42:59.000And like Reg talked about, the AG saying, there's no way, if we count all the votes, there's no way that Trump wins.
03:43:06.000But that is interesting because what matters more than even the mail-in, and I was just having to go by the numbers that we had with the mail-in numbers which surprised me with Pennsylvania versus the same-day numbers.
03:43:15.000We didn't have the numbers on Philadelphia.
03:43:17.000If he's outperforming in Philadelphia what he did last year, I...
03:44:00.000All of a sudden, Detroit's not so cute anymore.
03:44:02.000And so she still wanted to be pro-Detroit, but she left to go live in a suburb so she could annoy all her friends at the local Starbucks.
03:44:10.000Telling them about how there's this great local coffee shop in Detroit that isn't Starbucks, but she doesn't live there anymore because she values her reproductive organs.
03:44:17.000The point is, that's why Donald Trump was doing poorly with suburban women.
03:44:22.000Not because of the people you think of like Pleasantville, the mom, the wife, Amy Coney Barrett.
03:44:27.000It's because of single women who realize that living in a city, a cesspool of filth and sadness, is absolutely terrible.
03:44:35.000And so then they move out to the suburbs, but they're still single, they don't have a family, they don't have a job, they don't have responsibilities.
03:44:40.000That's where Donald Trump lost ground.
03:46:42.000We're going to take a three-minute break right now because we have to get Alex Jones on the phone and make sure that he, too, is more sober than my half-Asian lawyer, Bill.
03:46:49.000And then we will be right back after this.
03:51:27.000Yeah, so that seems sort of premeditated to me to string things out.
03:51:32.000I mean, this is a state with, you know, a Democratic governor in control, and so I'm kind of leery about leaving that to their, you know...
03:51:44.000Remember, we've talked about this already, but you've got an AG who has said, when you get all of the votes in, he knows what the contents of the vote is going to be, what he's thinking about the end is.
03:51:53.000We're not trying to talk about conspiracy theories, it's just what kind of reasonable assumption would one make from a public statement from the AG talking about these kind of votes, when the vote should just be whatever the votes are going to be.
03:53:05.000You've got to absolutely get most of those votes if you're Trump trying to eke out a victory.
03:53:09.000I understand that the thoughts are, OK, maybe it's too early to call, but this is not even going to be, what was it in 2016, a 0.7% lead that was had by Trump in 2016.
03:53:20.000So, I mean, I think you're going to look at something even closer than that.
03:53:22.000So you're going to add in, maybe Arizona's going to come down to some very last minute, maybe that's tomorrow or the day after.
03:53:29.000You've got Pennsylvania that's going to be tomorrow or the day after that, if not even longer.
03:54:03.000I just want to make sure you guys... I want to make sure... First of all, if you're one of the over 500,000 people that are here watching this stream, and you're sticking around to watch me, thank you.
03:54:14.000If you're here to stick around to watch Steven...
03:57:19.000I'm not on your show, you're on my show, you son of a... Can I say... I don't know, yours is broadcast on radio too, so I can't... No, say you piece of filth.
03:57:30.000I was just saying, sorry, I had to brush my teeth because, you know, we don't have these commercial breaks here, and I hate the doggy pile that happens with people like you.
03:57:37.000I usually send to people, hey, promote this on social media, and I realize, sorry, you can't.
03:57:44.000Even though I disagree with you more than a lot of people who used to host you, I just can't get on board with people who don't support you afterwards.
03:57:53.000So I'm glad to have you on here tonight.
03:57:55.000And what is the best site, Alex, for people who are tuning into my stream here?
03:58:00.000That would be InfoWars.com or NewsWars.com or ElectionNight.News.
03:58:15.000Yeah, so I did a whole kind of breakdown early on in the show with early voting and with the percentage of the early vote and what kind of a gap there needed to be.
03:58:22.000Thus far, I've been right about all of it except for Arizona, which seems to me like there was a little bit of an early call.
03:58:29.000Arizona's a little bit tough because there have been some serious demographic changes.
03:58:33.000But right now, I think one thing Alex Jones and everybody else sort of gets wrong is, what's going on there, Court of Black Carrot?
03:58:40.000What's going on here is Joe Biden needs to run the board.
03:58:44.000Donald Trump, he just needs to win Michigan or Pennsylvania and then he can win Wisconsin and Michigan.
03:58:50.000He can win Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.
03:58:52.000Joe Biden, even at this point, let's assume he does win Arizona, he needs to win Michigan and Pennsylvania, the big, or he needs to win Minnesota, Wisconsin, and then Michigan or Pennsylvania.
03:59:03.000So there are still fewer options for Joe Biden at this point.
03:59:13.000What I do, my problem is with the media, right?
03:59:15.000No one's going to be making a highlight reel out of me because I'm going to light up a nice cigar either way.
03:59:19.000But I am surprised to see Donald Trump outperforming, out-punting his coverage from 2016 in Philadelphia and seeing how he's doing better with black men, black women, Latinos, and we haven't had the same kind of demographic shifts in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin that we saw in Arizona.
04:01:03.000And that's obviously not because of Trump supporters, right?
04:01:06.000What is so shocking to me, I shouldn't say shocking, but what is very difficult for me to comprehend is that these places, right, they oppose Donald Trump and they're boarding up their stores like Austin.
04:01:17.000When has anyone ever boarded up a store because they're afraid of, quote-unquote, the Proud Boys?
04:01:21.000No, no, they know who's rioting and looting and they know that if Donald Trump wins this in a fair election that they can expect their own stuff to be burned down, you know?
04:03:21.000Is there anything that's new that's developed there?
04:03:22.000Hold on, Reg the Bandit is here with me.
04:03:24.000I don't think that anything has been called right now in this period of time, but Reg the Bandit, is there something new that I should know about?
04:05:22.000And so they want fascism, so they're going to do it.
04:05:25.000The only question is, how bad is it going to be?
04:05:28.000Yeah, I don't know how bad it's going to be, but I wouldn't be surprised at all if this, if it dwarfed the kind of riots that we've seen over the year of, you know, 2020, or I guess I should say earlier in the year in 2020, over the course of the next couple of weeks.
04:06:35.000Yeah, I thought we had some, but unfortunately my wife used them for some kind of a project she found on Etsy, so, you know, I beat her without mercy.
04:07:24.000Okay, because I was worried that you might, because there was this Bloomberg article came out that was a hit piece where they asked me about you and I said like, oh yeah, I said I had him on.
04:07:32.000I said I disagree with Alex Jones on a whole lot but obviously he's an interesting character and I don't like the doggy pile and so I feel compelled to have him on.
04:07:38.000And then in the article he just said Steven Crowder said he was an interesting character.
04:07:42.000So if it comes down to it, I've got the full phone call recorded.
04:09:41.000Alex, we do have to get going, but I appreciate you being on, brother, and maybe you're right, I do want to stay tuned here for this next statement.
04:13:26.000I thought it was going to be razor thin, down to the wire.
04:13:29.000With him, 200 and something thousand votes right now, that's a little more than I thought.
04:13:32.000Unless, like you said, they haven't counted all the in-person votes, they're saying it's too early, and we'll see kind of how it shakes out.
04:13:37.000Do we know if they've not counted the in-person votes with Arizona versus the mail-in votes?
04:19:13.000But as for my gut feeling, I looked at the electoral map and there are several scenarios where Trump gets in the 270s, 280s that are all very workable.
04:19:51.000I really thought he, I think he wins Pennsylvania if not for voter fraud.
04:19:54.000And I don't want to be that person who says, oh Donald Trump wins if not for voter fraud period.
04:19:58.000No, I'm not talking about a national level.
04:19:59.000Pennsylvania specifically is rife with voter fraud.
04:20:02.000I don't know if we have that segment or if you can bring it up, the voter fraud segment, but a lot of those ballots discarded and a lot of double registration and a lot of extending the deadline always happens in Pennsylvania.
04:20:12.000It's well known that Pennsylvania is a hotbed for voter fraud.
04:20:14.000Yeah, look what CNN's reporting right now.
04:20:16.000They're saying they just showed a 15% lead by Donald Trump, with 61% of the estimated vote having come in.
04:20:22.000Though, of course, you've got a huge number of absentee ballots that have not been tallied and will be, according to what Gerald and Reg are saying, will be counted by maybe Thursday or Friday.
04:20:33.000So I think there's going to be a lot of nail-biting that happens.
04:20:36.000And I really am confident that, yes, there are a lot of paths, but I think it all ends in Pennsylvania.
04:20:45.000Trump wins both Wisconsin and Michigan, then it doesn't matter.
04:21:10.000Do we count all the way into December?
04:21:13.000No, there's no system under the law, the current structure of how votes are counted in Pennsylvania that should allow us to be going weeks and weeks out.
04:21:21.000Even the officials there are saying we'll be able to count them by Friday.
04:21:24.000And for us to have some kind of question about a couple of days of counting, or even to early next week, terrible, not ideal, not great, a lot of consternation, a lot of up in the air that's not ideal.
04:21:35.000But we have to, you know, be the group that believes in democracy.
04:21:40.000Even if we are going to call out problems with these votes.
04:21:43.000And trust me, I don't think there's going to be anything good that's going to come out of looking at these votes in terms of how they're actually being counted and the concern that we have about how these mail-in ballots actually got there and how they're being counted.
04:21:56.000Or more importantly, which ones get through.
04:21:58.000My worry is that when you count after Election Day that the postmarking can be funged a little bit.
04:22:43.000And by the way, I don't know if there's any other stream out there, Reg the Bandit, if they're telling us if there's a stream out there like ABC, NBC, CBS, where it's either more accurate or they're more on meltdown.
04:22:52.000But listen, I think they're nervous, and I think we're nervous, and I think that that's fair.
04:22:55.000Listen, I never told you that Donald Trump was going to win, but I think that people are going to be surprised.
04:23:00.000And they wanted you to think that Donald Trump was going to, that Georgia was a toss-up, that North Carolina was a toss-up, that Florida, Ohio.
04:23:14.000So now we're seeing on the New York Times that they are, with their little meter or whatever that is, that the margin is plus 7 for Trump, 81% reporting, but their forecast is 67% Biden.
04:24:09.000How much of that is early voting versus how much of that is same-day voting?
04:24:13.000Yeah, they're breaking it down by county, but not by earlier, you know... I mean, Trump still has a seven-point lead with 81% of the vote in Georgia on CNN right now.
04:26:11.000Oh, I was just saying, you're asking about, you know, what's ethical with, you know, waiting to count all the votes coming in, specifically in regard to, like, Pennsylvania.
04:26:18.000And I think it's one thing if it just takes a long time to count the votes.
04:26:22.000It's another thing if Pennsylvania says, we're stopping counting.
04:26:26.000The night of the election, and it's not even that far in, and then you have the Attorney General saying, like, even if Trump wins, we're going to litigate this, we've gone zero to six.
04:26:35.000That, if you're doing it on purpose just to sort of string things out and buy time, that seems sort of dishonest.
04:29:20.000So anything you guys can do, whether it's Instagram, whether it's a Facebook post, and of course everyone, we don't know exactly what happened yet, but this is why it is very important that you join at lyderwithcrowder.com slash Mug Club.
04:29:34.000It's what allows us to keep doing this.
04:29:36.000It's what allows my half-Asian lawyer to go out there and kick some asses.
04:29:41.000This is one of those things where you don't get it back, right?
04:29:45.000But we don't even know what's going on with Facebook.
04:29:47.000We can't necessarily reach somebody at Facebook.
04:29:49.000If we didn't have you guys supporting us, and this has always been streaming for people who miss a portion, a few minutes on YouTube or on Facebook, where I guess we may not ever actually be back up tonight, you would have watched everything over there on Mug Club over there at the Blaze.
04:30:03.000Please do consider joining, and um... This didn't happen with the Young Turks.
04:30:08.000Yeah, I don't think Facebook ever takes that down.
04:30:10.000It doesn't happen with these other shows going on, and we take extra precautions to make sure that we are within fair use, that we are not violating copyright.
04:31:14.000You wish that it wouldn't happen anymore because you're playing fairly, you're playing by the rules, and this stream tonight has been smoking.
04:31:38.000Of lawyers, we have to build in costs of being able to take down streams, mobilize them really quickly, get them back up.
04:31:45.000It takes a while to get this going and so I really appreciate you guys being with me and I hope that you understand that your support over there at MugClub, ladderwithcredit.com, ladderwithcredit.com slash MugClub.
04:32:03.000I'm not demoralized at all by the election, because whatever happens, it doesn't change what we do.
04:32:08.000But, it always takes a little bit of wind out of your sails when you do everything right, and you get taken down, and we know, we know that tomorrow, or the next day, this issue will be resolved with YouTube or Facebook, because it always has been, but you don't get it back.
04:32:23.000So imagine that, let's say you're having a commission coming in on a big sale, and it's gone.
04:32:27.000They go, but you know what, we're going to make sure that you get your commission on your next sale.
04:32:43.000Do you know, for people who don't know this story, and I don't know if you want to, with Facebook, Facebook took revenue from me for months, for years.
04:32:52.000I used to run ads on Facebook, not Russian election interference, just me running ads like, hey, like this page.
04:32:57.000And they took money for years, a few bucks a day, maybe 50 bucks a day here or there, depending if we had a big video.
04:33:03.000Then for a period of two weeks, they didn't take any payment.
04:33:06.000And then for a year afterwards, they continued to take payment.
04:33:09.000And Facebook came to me and said, hey, you're delinquent on your bills.
04:33:32.000You send them a check to accounts payable at Facebook.
04:33:36.000You send them a physical check, and if someone is stupid enough to deposit it at Facebook for that amount of money for two weeks, I think it was like $1,200.
04:33:50.000They deposit the check, and then they still say, we're going to remove your page because you're not making your payments, and we're going to send it to creditors.
04:33:57.000That's when half-Asian lawyer Bill Richman got on the phone.
04:34:00.000That's when he started fucking up some people on Facebook, and that's when things got settled out of court.
04:34:05.000We might be finding ourselves there again.
04:34:07.000Everyone else who pitches about censorship, they don't have what we have, which is Facebook took money, deposited it, said, we don't know where the money is, and threatened to ban the page.
04:34:19.000That's something that folks out there maybe don't know about.
04:34:27.000I don't like to talk about the finances.
04:34:28.000But it is absolutely an uphill battle, the likes of which I can't fully describe to you because we don't have money from Al Jazeera in Qatar, 25, 35 million like Young Turks.
04:34:39.000But we did have the world's most powerful social media company take our money, deposit it, and then tell us they were going to remove this page anyway.
04:34:47.000And that same company decided to take our stream down tonight.
04:35:18.000Private companies can do whatever they want, but could you buy a boat, find yourself out in the middle of the ocean, and then realize it doesn't float?
04:35:27.000Companies can do whatever they want, but I paid for a boat that floats.
04:35:31.000I have a page that I've created and managed and we've been on the phone with you that you've said is not in violation.
04:36:05.000I hope I'm never required to release information that I have that nobody else has on YouTube and Facebook.
04:36:10.000But all of a sudden, because it involves them actually not providing the service they sponsored in relation to speech, It's not a First Amendment issue?
04:36:26.000If you pay to be on a platform where you obey the rules and you're supposed to have the same voice as everyone else, that's how it should be.
04:38:38.000I think they're tired of the black bloc people.
04:38:40.000It's kind of like, if you have a 90-year-old grandma, when you buy her a gift, you don't really need to buy her a gift that she wants, you need to buy her a gift that you want, but you can go another two years without.
04:38:51.000Like, look, grandma, I have a 75-inch LED screen!
04:39:05.000Hey, Instagram, just so you know, Facebook removed us and we lost 100,000 people, so please do swipe up and go tune in right now to the live stream.
04:40:25.000By the way, hey, actually I've realized right now a lot of people don't know that Hunter Biden has his own party actually right now in progress.
04:41:00.000Let's see what they're saying here on CNN and then I actually want to bring in Smooth Manny where he can fill us in on his election strategy.
04:41:38.000If you had a full advantage of doing the early votes, and the early votes go in one side versus the other, if it's not enough to overcome the prior advantage, you've got nothing now.
04:41:47.000Yeah, I feel like he's going to win Michigan.
04:41:50.000I do feel like he's going to win Michigan, and if not for rampant voter fraud, I would say Pennsylvania.
04:41:57.000Right now, Pennsylvania is 64% of the vote in, and he is ahead by 670,000 votes.
04:42:03.000Hey, listen, is there any way someone out there can find me the numbers, or maybe someone in the chat, in Pennsylvania, what counties have come in?
04:43:31.000We've got several, you know, we've got Philadelphia is 46% reporting and Biden is way up there so he probably will continue to be way up there.
04:45:12.000So does that mean we can expect Bucks to be about even as opposed to a 15-point lead?
04:45:16.000Because if that means that it's going to be even and then You know, you have Philadelphia going to Joe Biden heavily, then that could mean that.
04:45:23.000But he's cutting into Philadelphia, which is great.
04:45:25.000So he's cutting into these areas that Democrats have done really well, and he's got a 670,000 vote lead.
04:45:31.000I think at some point, the number of outstanding votes and the percentage that should go Democrat, you start to go, well, there's no way.
04:45:37.000If it's 60% of 2 million, that's 1.2 million votes.
04:45:40.000It's a 400,000 vote spread, and he's got 670,000 vote lead.
04:46:14.000If Bucks continues, With Trump at a plus 15, he could still win that state.
04:46:20.000But again, look at where these margins, again, where Donald Trump is ahead, more of the vote is coming in in Lancaster, Chester, and in Westmoreland.
04:46:28.000So we're expecting more of the vote to come in in plus Biden territory, but the biggest one is Bucks, and that's still a significant Trump.
04:46:36.000So what I'm saying is if Trump keeps that plus 15 in Bucks, he wins Pennsylvania.
04:46:40.000Seems like there was an even split last time.
04:46:42.000And, based on what we know, something that was an even split between Hillary and... You know what?
04:48:03.000The political victory, I think, is still possible because you still have Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Nebraska, too.
04:48:30.000I think it could go either way, I really do.
04:48:33.000I think if Biden wins Georgia, that's a real problem.
04:48:37.000But like I said, listen, everybody out there who's watching this, I think Donald Trump is going to win, but if he doesn't, you guys need to go forward with a joyous heart and a joyous spirit, because Joe Biden's gonna die!
04:48:50.000I'm not saying take joy in him dying, what I'm saying is he's not going to be around for very long and there aren't enough people for Kamala Harris to blow!
04:49:01.000Our next guest, Hodgetwinstour.com is where you can follow them, though I don't know if they're necessarily touring anymore because of the COVID.
04:49:09.000You know them, you love them, I love them, I brought them out of the closet as conservatives and then they berated me for it.
04:49:15.000Keith and Kevin Hodge, how are you sirs?
04:52:04.000It's like, everybody's in their cars blowing their horns, and then everybody gets out and they're like, within six feet.
04:52:10.000I'm like, why the hell did you even go in cars?
04:52:12.000Well, no one was actually blowing the horn.
04:52:13.000It was just like in Halloween 2 when that guy was supposed to save Jamie Lee Curtis and he had so much blood loss he went... That's what I think happened.
04:52:37.000Yeah we went voting and it was like a lot of people knew we was taking a lot of pictures so that gave us like a good sound like it was a lot of Trump voters turning out today.
04:52:45.000Hopefully it takes Nevada but it's too many people moving from California over here.
04:55:17.000Let me ask you, because we never talked about this, poor white people, were most of them, would you say most of them are racist, or were most of them just kind of in the same boat as you guys?
04:55:25.000They always had these nigger jokes, man.
04:58:39.000It's gonna be slowing down right now, so we can shoot the bull a little bit.
04:58:42.000Don't you miss that, like, you talked about growing up around poor white people, okay, and some of them told N-word jokes, obviously, and that's something that they shouldn't be doing, but don't you find it far more endearing?
04:58:51.000You guys, let's be honest, you guys make white people jokes all the time when you're here.
04:58:56.000Don't you think that, don't you feel more comfortable, I know I feel more comfortable around black people who make jokes about white people, and I would imagine that black people feel more comfortable around people who are fine joking around about racial differences, rather than either acting like they don't exist, or asking what kind of an unaired grievance you have.
04:59:14.000We used to be at that point in the country where we could bust balls, because you know what?
04:59:18.000You know how I know someone is not my friend, especially working in the circles that I run with as a comedian?
04:59:22.000If someone is not breaking balls, I know we're not buddies.
04:59:26.000Because they don't feel comfortable enough.
05:00:30.000But he was in the military with black people, and oh my god, if you were to pick someone who was more racist against any individual group of people, it was Italians.
05:00:38.000My grandfather on my dad's side, every single racist comment was about Italians, about eating too much, about never winning a war, all this stuff, and his best friend was an Italian.
05:01:00.000In other words, if you were to show up as a black man and you were like, uh, Wilson, I really appreciate what you've done for your culture as an ambassador.
05:01:06.000You're like, oh, that's a racist because when I leave, he's calling me a coon.
05:01:34.000I love it when you come out to Dallas, really.
05:01:36.000For people who don't know, the Hodge Twins, they're rough around the edges on air, but they are good family guys, and I don't think we ever have more fun than when the Hodge Twins are here.
05:02:26.000But, specifically, taking into account race.
05:02:29.000And so we said we're going to do a prank where we're going to send Tocanawan out there, we dressed him as a cop, to go out there and knock on the door because they had been there for 45 minutes.
05:02:38.000Well, Tocanawan goes out and he knocks on the door.
05:02:41.000One of you is out there pissing in a cup.
05:02:45.000When you were 40 feet from the studio and there are two bathrooms right in here and they're gender neutral.
05:02:51.000Why were you peeing in a cup in the car?
05:02:55.000I didn't feel like getting out of the car.
05:03:18.000He waited, waited, and he said, you know what, I can't make it to the bathroom, I'm gonna piss on myself, give me that cup.
05:03:22.000Then I looked up and there's some guy dressed up like a cop, and I'm like, what are you doing here?
05:03:33.000Alright, listen, we're going to have to get going soon, but you tell me, what do you want to leave our audience with tonight?
05:03:40.000Because it seems like they might not call the election here tonight, but what are your final words and where is the best place for people to find you?
05:03:47.000The best place to find us is Instagram, because Facebook is going to get deleted any day now.
05:03:55.000Yeah, you can find us on YouTube at Conservative Twins, Hodge Twins.
05:05:31.000But I just say this because, listen, I say this because people who are watching right now, and I know it's going to be fewer and fewer as we go later into the night and Facebook bans us, listen.
05:05:53.000Go back to 2009, where I was on YouTube doing this, and I put myself on the ISIS kill list when there was no reason to.
05:06:00.000You know that I'm saying what I believe.
05:06:02.000There are a lot of people who've come up through the ranks now where they've realized that there's a market share.
05:06:07.000Now you guys, I followed you, Reg followed you, I know a lot of people here followed you just from your fitness channels and from some of the funny stuff you did and your comedy and then you risked something coming out being conservative.
05:06:21.000You didn't come up as the black conservative voice and so I want people to recognize that difference.
05:06:25.000You guys have a lot more to say than just I'm black, and I like Trump.
05:06:30.000You had a lot more to risk, and that's something that I really do not only respect, I admire, but I really hope that it pays dividends for you guys.
05:06:39.000And I want to see you guys around for a long time.
05:06:41.000So, I'd like it if you were in my vicinity more often, but I know you guys like being in the hellhole that is Nevada.
05:07:36.000I told my dad who books the show, I said, Marines, small business owners, family men, they're probably more conservative than they realize.
05:07:44.000And then you guys said that you voted for Mitt Romney.
05:07:47.000And that was, then it started hopefully a great new beginning for you guys.
05:07:51.000We do have to get going because even Brendan is going to be attacked by an attack dog here.
05:07:57.000But the Hodge Twins, what is it, Hodge Twins Tour, your Facebook, your Instagram, thank you guys and keep everyone posted as the election continues to unfold.
05:10:34.000But the Supreme Court is a hedge against that a little bit.
05:10:36.000It is a hedge, only to the extent that if the Senate ends up going blue as well, then you have a legitimate shot at packing the court.
05:10:46.000How many weeks and days have we heard Biden and Kamala dance around the question of packing the court?
05:10:53.000Now, I think it would be political suicide to do that in the long run, but that doesn't mean they won't do something stupid in the short term in terms of packing the court, which would neutralize the ability to have any kind of determination about Section 230 and Big Tech.
05:11:58.000I'm not sure why there's that discrepancy, if New York Times has some sources that AP doesn't, but it seems like it's about the same percentage of reporting.
05:12:10.000If you look at the New York Times actual hard numbers, it's about a 250,000 vote lead for Donald Trump with about 85% reporting in Georgia.
05:12:18.000I'm not sure where they're doing that.
05:12:19.000And if you zoom in on the counties, I did that just a minute ago, you've seen the big counties for Democrats are reporting heavily.
05:12:26.000It's not like they're just waiting on Atlanta to come in.
05:12:46.000I really don't see it going for Joe Biden.
05:12:47.000And the fact that all of a sudden they gave it a 67% chance of going to Joe Biden, and now it's down to, let me see, even on New York Times, 59% Biden.
05:12:56.000That doesn't really make a whole lot of sense.
05:12:57.000I'm not sure where they're getting that, but again, maybe they're pulling some county information we don't have.
05:13:01.000You asked a question about Bucks County in Georgia.
05:13:03.000I think Donald Trump got around 120,000 votes there in 2016.
05:13:06.000He's on pace to get about 200,000 to 240,000 votes this time, so that's a big, big shift.
05:13:12.000I mean, unless just a million new people come out of Bucks County, which, who knows?
05:13:15.000They have votes coming from everywhere.
05:13:16.000I expect the gap to close in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
05:13:20.000I don't know if it's going to eclipse Donald Trump's lead.
05:13:23.000If you build up that gigantic lead, that's hard to overcome. If we want to look at these
05:13:27.000Georgia counties, I'm assuming that what the New York Times is looking at is that Dekalb County
05:13:32.000there, that's only 39 percent, but it's plus 67 Biden. Right. They may be thinking that when that
05:13:45.000Now, Katie Pavlik over at The Hill said, this is about 30 minutes ago, tweeted that she'd spoken to Arizona Governor Doug Ducey's office, that there is about 900,000 votes outstanding that haven't been counted, half from Maricopa County, which is heavily breaking towards Biden.
05:14:01.000However, they're saying with every update they say it's breaking significantly towards Trump 2-1.
05:14:07.000She does, of course, give the caveat that doesn't mean he'll close the gap, but it's certainly different than where it is.
05:15:16.000Indian Americans go significantly higher Democrat.
05:15:19.000And I'm saying in Frisco, particularly in the new developments, there are a lot of Indian Americans.
05:15:21.000But what I am saying is in Collin County or Dallas County, okay, take Dallas where you have downtown Dallas versus Highland Village, right?
05:15:28.000There are areas that are significantly more Republican and there are areas Absolutely.
05:15:32.000And it depends on what's coming in from Maricopa County.
05:15:34.000I'm not super familiar with the county, but again, you could have the majority of the portion of that county which is heavily Democrat already be counted, and there could be an area that is heavily, because put it this way, you're no worse off at this point if it just continues along the trend of Maricopa County, but maybe there's a Highland Village like you have in Dallas, or maybe there's like a Red Rock like you have in Austin, Round Rock?
05:15:56.000In Austin, which ends up being a lot more conservative.
05:16:00.000So that could be the discrepancy, because this is one of those things that gets to be granular in why politics is local.
05:16:06.000You don't really know if you're not super familiar with the county, like I was saying with Lansing.
05:16:11.000I don't know exactly what it encompasses, that county.
05:16:15.000But I know once you get out of that capital, when we were there and we were giving our speech, it was overwhelmingly Trump science.
05:16:20.000Well that's when you do have to get to the very granular level because other than just guessing about what precincts have come in, you do have pockets.
05:16:28.000There's no question that you're going to have pockets of neighborhoods that end up voting in different ways and end up reporting in different ways.
05:16:34.000So maybe you did happen to skew towards Trump or Biden one way with the first 15 of 30 precincts and then the next set of precincts comes in and it swings back the entire way and then just happens to eclipse.
05:16:46.000So I think that's the entire point, is that there's still a number of votes that need to come in.
05:16:50.000No one's giving a down to the district or precinct level of what has come in.
05:16:55.000And then compare that to what those actually are, compare that to historical trends.
05:19:30.000I was just saying, it seems like to me, one of the things in the coverage that stands out tonight is I think Fox News especially has really torched its sort of reputation with that early Arizona call.
05:19:42.000Especially since we know a lot of their viewers are, you know, going to trend toward being Trump fans.
05:19:49.000And now Fox News is saying, oh, we're probably not going to get results for Nevada or Georgia or Michigan or Pennsylvania or Wisconsin or North Carolina tonight.
05:19:58.000I think that sort of unsteady back and forth is going to turn a lot of people off of them.
05:20:04.000I think that's why people are turning to alternative media sources because on both the left and right there's things not to be happy about.
05:20:13.000Well, I will tell you this, we will be here for a while tonight, and everyone who can be here, you guys stay here, and people who have to leave, you can leave, but we'll have a better idea for you than Fox News by the end of the night.
05:20:23.000I guarantee you we'll have a pretty good idea of Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, sorry, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin.
05:20:31.000We will give you a better idea before you go to bed than Fox News.
05:20:35.000Doesn't necessarily mean that we will call the states, but I think they're all being a little bit lazy here.
05:20:41.000North Carolina, depending on what we see with the mail-in voting.
05:20:43.000Of all the states that we're talking about, North Carolina seems to me like the one that we could most likely comfortably call or at least have a suggestion before the end of the night.
05:20:53.000Now, before we come back, I actually want to let everybody know, of course, this is the four year anniversary for Mug Club.
05:21:08.000And, of course, it was a campaign, Never Daily, because I said, I don't think that we can do a show to the quality that I want to do every single day.
05:21:16.000once we realized that we could do it four times a week and Increase the staff and it ended up being about an hour more
05:21:23.000per week than what we were doing Once a week three hours on radio
05:21:26.000we felt confident that we could create a show not only that you guys would like but that a
05:21:30.000show that we could grow into and a show that would really sort of break some new ground and
05:21:34.000Win, lose or draw not only tonight, but win, lose or draw with this channel
05:21:39.000We saw our channel get throttled here, our stream get taken down by Facebook.
05:21:43.000I gotta say, I really am very grateful.
05:22:55.000We certainly weren't anywhere near a billion plays, and we certainly hadn't spoken with the president, the president's son, people like Ted Cruz.
05:23:07.000All the things that you've come to know and love with this channel, these were things, they were sort of steps out in faith, where I know I was afraid because we were doing this show and it was kind of growing.
05:23:15.000It was a three-hour Once a week radio show.
05:23:18.000It was something that everybody else was kind of doing.
05:23:19.000We were doing it a little bit in more of a comedy way, but stepping out and trying something like Change My Mind, stepping out and doing an actual late-night comedy show, stepping out and then doing a late-night comedy show in the morning and doing sketches and interviews and bits, something that we were told wouldn't work in the right.
05:23:35.000I remember actually pitching my book and I remember actually pitching the show and them saying, well, conservatives don't actually like comedy.
05:23:59.000You get $30 off to make sure that there's another four years, and I will be back after IP, and you guys enjoy this little trip down memory road, because I don't want to be redundant by saying lane twice.
05:24:14.000So we are officially announcing the Louder With Crowder Mug Club for our daily program.
05:24:19.000People are aware of how corrupt the media is, and there's a void, and we are going to take it back.
05:24:26.000You're listening to Talk Radio's Strangest Animal.
05:24:34.000This is the waterboarding Christmas telethon.
05:26:58.000You know, look, it's been a long stream.
05:27:00.000I mean, the guy has been up all day getting ready.
05:27:03.000He's been force-feeding himself all of this different news in order to be prepared.
05:27:07.000For those of you who may have not tuned in to the very beginning, there was some really interesting analysis about just really getting to that granular level of what the districts are doing, the precincts are doing, how they're really working, and a lot of it has bore fruit.
05:27:22.000From the very beginning, when we were there, looking at Florida, getting all the way to kind of a shock of where we were in Arizona, the Fox News false call.
05:27:31.000Yeah, it's been kind of all over the place.
05:27:32.000I mean, you guys were calling it, looking at how Fox News is being treated on Twitter right now.
05:27:37.000It's no shock that we were over a half million folks who were there even right before and still up I think over back over 400,000 since Facebook cut the stream.
05:27:48.000We've got Brodigan gonna fill in for me because lawyers don't work this late and so now he has to put up with Gerald and you know I feel terrible for you.
05:28:06.000I think it's around 120,000 vote difference now, which I think was a little closer to 200,000 just a little while ago.
05:28:14.000So we're seeing a lot more and I think the two counties right around Atlanta that are coming in I think 70-something percent reported, but they're obviously huge, Biden leading counting.
05:28:23.000So I think that's going to narrow some more, and that's probably what they were waiting on.
05:28:28.000I'm crossing my fingers on Georgia, because that's a big one.
05:28:32.000So if he wins Michigan, that cancels out Michigan.
05:28:34.000Right, it's going to end up really, it'll be the same kind of major effect, upset shift that you saw with Arizona, if Georgia were to go the wrong way, right?
05:28:43.000Or if it holds, though, it's going to be that continual part where we're focusing now on what I would consider the eastern part of the blue wall.
05:28:51.000We're looking at Pennsylvania, we're looking at Michigan, we're looking at Wisconsin, clearly Minnesota no longer on the table.
05:30:11.000If anyone who's watching on The Blaze, we have a lot of folks there are our top supporters.
05:30:17.000People who are making sure that this show is here all the time.
05:30:21.000When we, literally at every moment, I'm sitting here waiting for Steven, whether I'm at home, or I am here, or I'm sitting in that chair, or I'm outside trying to eat a sandwich on a break, that someone's gonna hit the fucking bat button and go, YouTube's fucking with us!
05:32:16.000So with this election, a lot of people have a bunch of different motives for why they chose one candidate over another, and a lot of people aren't thinking about, like, you know, down ticket items.
05:32:27.000You know, somebody who we were going to hear from, at least at some point tonight, was Smooth Manny.
05:33:29.000You know how like the crab, like the crabs that have like the weird bright colors that's showing danger where you're like, oh don't bite it.
05:33:35.000It's Betty's equivalent where it's the cuteness, right?
05:33:37.000You want to kill Betty and then until she goes...
05:34:06.000She has been remarkably effective with Betty.
05:34:09.000She has not been thrown off by the cuteness.
05:34:12.000And actually, I believe right now we are going to... We didn't call Wisconsin, but even Brendan still deserves to be bitten by an attack dog.
05:36:58.000The funny thing is, I only had a 24-hour pass, but literally an hour after Johnny Boy booked my flight, Cuomo canceled the quarantine, so I don't know what the rules are.
05:37:30.000And people who don't realize, McBrodigan is the one who helped create the website for us, Ladder with Crowder, and has been writing for us for a long time.
05:43:15.000The woman, her profile picture on Facebook is like a rainbow, and on Instagram she says, yes, I do believe that all black lives matter, and then the Hispanic gentleman just had nothing, like no presence, and the white guy was very conservative and a big fan of first responders.
05:43:33.000So, if you could do it all over again, would you?
05:43:37.000Now, let's say you voted for the white guy, and it turned out that it was like, Francis O'Rourke, and you voted for the white guy and it turned out that he was the most liberal, how bad would you feel?
05:43:46.000So, I thought about this too, well, holy place.
05:44:01.000Basically, I thought about that and I said, well, you know, if he is the white guy in the age of identity politics, he's probably the easiest one to bully and kick out of office.
05:45:44.000Is there anything else, since you've been mostly behind the scenes, is there anything else that you would like to say on air here tonight on election night, this historic moment?
05:47:37.000Hey, Johnny Boy, I am going to ask you, if he is out there, to bring me one of those San Latino Maduros that's in my humidor, and if you could clip that for me.
05:47:46.000Yeah, this thing is just... You can take this one if you want, but I can't handle it right now.
05:48:20.000I don't think that's just a you thing.
05:48:22.000I think that's everybody who doesn't have a child, which obviously was me until a few months ago, you're like, ah, how do I hold and not break this?
05:48:30.000So I understand where you're coming from.
05:51:10.000Now is that 99% of today votes or is that 99% including mail-in votes?
05:51:13.000Are we sure the decision desk is using the same methodology?
05:51:16.000Because, again, at this point, If what you are saying is correct, then it just means that the media is being afraid of calling states for Trump.
05:51:25.000You know, it could be that they don't know exactly how many votes are going to come in.
05:51:30.000So Decision Desk is saying, it looks like the numbers are similar.
05:51:34.000Decision Desk is saying a little less than 99.
05:51:38.000New York Times is saying 91 for Georgia.
05:51:42.000And I'll see what they're saying for North Carolina.
05:51:45.000Here's the thing that I want to make sure.
05:51:46.000Do we know is that 99% of the total vote from 2016?
05:51:50.000Or is that 99% of the total vote available this year?
05:51:55.000Well, there's no way that at that point, if it's 99% of the vote, there's no way that Joe Biden makes up that ground in a place like Georgia.
05:52:01.000Georgia's 99%, and you said North Carolina is 92%?
05:55:43.000If you go to their actual numbers for North Carolina, what we're seeing is they are reporting essentially the same thing as Decision Desk and other outlets, but the deal there is that they are anticipating some of those later reporting counties to break for Biden.
05:56:01.000And so that's why you have that tilt on the election needle, right?
05:56:14.000But Georgia, they have 63% leading Biden, whereas Decision Desk everywhere else has 99% of the vote, and Donald Trump leading by two points.
05:58:24.000You're seeing the gain with Latinos really happen only in the last four months, four, five, six months.
05:58:30.000And you're seeing that demographic shift having already occurred before the last election.
05:58:34.000So you're talking about a demographic shift occurring with more Latinos in Arizona.
05:58:38.000Also, by the way, anyone who lives in Arizona knows that there are a lot of A lot of people who are not there necessarily legally and it's not necessarily hard to vote sometimes if you're not there necessarily legally.
05:58:49.000So they've had several years for that demographic to change and we've really only had a few months of changing with Donald Trump and Latino voters.
05:58:56.000So that could change before the next election.
06:00:28.000That's like an American Idol round two song.
06:00:30.000Well, another thing, and this, you know, to your point, Wade, this isn't something that just happened overnight, but I think they've seen that with Joe Biden saying, hey, I'm going to undo the tax credits, a lot of working class people are saying, that means I have a lot less money in my paycheck.
06:00:44.000And so you may say that people under $400,000 aren't going to get a tax increase, but when you say you're getting rid of the tax credit that I'm getting right now, or the lower taxes I'm paying, then that's a big deal.
06:00:54.000And I think that starts to impact people.
06:00:56.000But anecdotally, in Hispanics that I know, They appreciate somebody that has the balls, I guess, to stand up to what they consider kind of a corrupt, you know, during-the-swamp kind of mentality that he had, and they appreciate that.
06:01:09.000And they're like, yes, we agree with that, right?
06:01:12.000This party has told us forever that they're going to take care of us, and they're not doing it.
06:08:02.000So when you take those three states in particular, and you take all of the others, I mean, we have so many, we had such a big night.
06:08:12.000You just take a look at all of these states that we've won tonight, and then you take a look at the kind of margins that we've won them by, and all of a sudden, it's not like we're up 12 votes and we have 60% left.
06:08:25.000We won states, and all of a sudden, I said, what happened to the election?
06:08:32.000Someone in the control room, keep an eye on Young Turks to see what they're doing watching this, because I bet you they're going to have a meltdown.
06:11:16.000I want to join you in thanking more than 60 million Americans.
06:11:20.000Who have already cast their vote for four more years for President Donald Trump.
06:11:25.000Put a beard on that son of a bitch, he'd be one hell of a Santa.
06:11:30.000And while the votes continue to be counted, we're going to remain vigilant, as the President said.
06:11:36.000The right to vote has been at the center of our democracy since the founding of this nation, and we're going to protect the integrity of the vote.
06:11:43.000But I really believe with all of my heart, with the extraordinary margins, Mr. President, that you've inspired.
06:11:49.000In the states that you just described, and the way that you launched this movement across the country to make America great again, I truly do believe, as you do, that we are on the road to victory, and we will make America great again.
06:12:33.000This has been the play from the get-go.
06:12:36.000The fact that CNN, ABC, NBC, CBS, they've been talking with big tech that Donald Trump cannot declare victory.
06:12:42.000Listen, what we would need, and I don't know, Reg, if you can bring this up, or if anyone out there in the control room, and Reg, I know you're tired, if anyone can bring up comparable elections in the last 20 years where states have been called that were close to these margins.
06:12:56.000In other words, if there's any way that someone or if you guys can let me know in the chats, people who are there at lottowithcarter.com slash MugClub on the Blaze, let me know.
06:13:03.000I don't have time, I don't have the ability to do this right now while broadcasting the show, but look up 2000, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016.
06:13:07.0002000, 2004, 2008, 2012, 2016. Look up, really, let's go back all the way to Reagan and I want
06:13:17.000you to tell me if there have been any other elections where with 93% of the vote and a 2%
06:13:22.000or 3% spread, if they didn't call it at that point.
06:13:27.000Because this, to me, seems pretty unprecedented.
06:13:30.000If it is that, then the media is holding the country hostage.
06:13:50.000Well, I think the thing tonight, though, that's different is that we've got...
06:13:55.000It's not close enough to call the election either way because Pennsylvania and other states are still outstanding.
06:14:00.000So I think that's the big difference and I think that I think you were actually correct that Trump was saying that We needed to take that to the Supreme Court because of some of the ridiculous things in Pennsylvania.
06:14:13.000I mean, do you guys know that Pennsylvania can accept ballots in drop-off boxes without postmarks for two more, no, three more days.
06:14:50.000But think about this while you're pulling that up.
06:14:52.000You know, the entire kind of pitch has been that it's too dangerous to go vote in person.
06:14:57.000We have to have these extraordinary things like drop boxes for three days later to make sure everybody can vote and, you know, sending out ballots to everybody.
06:15:04.000And it's all been this pitch that you have to let people do this in order to vote.
06:15:09.000And really what it does, just like in Harris County, they cut it down to one drop box because they're like, we think this might be illegal.
06:15:15.000these votes may be kicked out. So we're gonna drop it down to one that way if it
06:15:18.000happens it's not going to affect as many people. We're gonna force you to go and
06:15:21.000vote another way and it gets pitched by the media that you're trying to suppress
06:15:24.000the vote. No, we're trying to make sure that people's votes are actually counted.
06:15:27.000So just for people who aren't aware, in Pennsylvania the state legislature passed
06:15:33.000a law allowing no excuse mail-in voting, right?
06:15:38.000And they've also had a lawsuit filed that ruled that ballots can arrive three days after the election and still be counted, even without a postmark.
06:15:48.000By the way, just for people who don't realize, 2.7 million compromised ballots.
06:15:52.000Now that doesn't mean 2.7 million ballots that are fraudulent.
06:15:55.000That means 2.7 million ballots that are potentially compromised because they've either been double-registered, because they can't be matched to signatures, because they've been found in a ditch, or because they've been actually attributed to dead people's names.
06:16:06.000So we have this on a breakdown by state.
06:16:07.000I believe we have it at loudestcredit.com, but 2.7 million ballots Could have been compromised in elections as recent as 2020.
06:16:14.000Not saying that all of those are fraudulent.
06:16:16.000A lot of them are simply due to ineptitude.
06:16:59.000For people who don't know, again, the start of Mug Club, lottowithcotter.com slash Mug Club, for those who want to join, we did this in 2016.
06:17:06.000And by the way, Thank you so much, Gerald.
06:17:09.000And thank you so much, Courtney, who is not here right now.
06:17:11.000I don't know if Courtney can maybe come in and take a bow or a curtsy.
06:17:14.000Courtney can come in and sit right there if she wants to.
06:17:16.000I just don't want her to because I don't know if she has her makeup on and stuff and she's a lady and she's very fetching.
06:17:37.000Courtney, and back then you didn't even drink.
06:17:40.000Courtney and Gerald saved my ass, because we did not have... And by the way, tonight, every one of you has been making my life a whole lot easier, so I appreciate it.
06:17:49.000Quarterback Garrett, Audio Wade, Tokunawan, Reg, even Brendan, sorry about the dog, Smooth Matty, Bryce, Cute Matty, Angela, Francine, Darren, is there anyone that I'm forgetting right now?
06:21:44.000Sometimes, you know, there are a lot of people go out there and talk about their numbers
06:21:47.000and talk about how successful they are.
06:21:49.000And I try not to base the success based on the numbers.
06:21:53.000And I know everyone here gets more excited about the numbers than I do.
06:21:55.000For example, that first debate stream was the most watched conservative stream ever with 170,000.
06:22:01.000But you know I wasn't really happy about it.
06:22:02.000I left out there and I kind of read some of you guys the riot act where I was like, this cue wasn't right, this wasn't right, and I think you guys know when I do that that you know that I love you and I just want to make it better.
06:22:10.000The second one was smaller, but I was happier about how we pulled it off.
06:22:14.000So this isn't based on how many people are watching, but I also am aware of that means that there are 500 something thousand, over half a million people at that second hearts and minds who are watching, who are choosing.
06:22:27.000You know, you always hear, we know that you have many choices.
06:23:13.000Before we went out for any live show, What have I always told you before we go out and there's a crowd roaring, I say, it doesn't matter because what?
06:23:33.000That means a lot that you know that, that you hear that from me, because I've always tried to tell everyone here, don't rest on your laurels, don't expect people to let you coast.
06:23:41.000We always try and earn your viewership every single time.
06:23:45.000Even when I say Charlottesville, North Carolina, like a fuck up.
06:25:05.000Reg was a professor of research, and Courtney knows this.
06:25:09.000We always said, thank God he's on our side.
06:25:12.000Reg, I was like, this guy's 6'35 squat, and he found the salon pedophile, and he would find so much information, to the point where we would hire interns to help Reg with research.
06:25:43.000I wanted to hire him so badly, but I also knew that he was working at a school, and with schools, you know, there are pensions, and there was something, the kind of security that I couldn't provide for him at that time.
06:25:53.000And then one time he said, I need to talk with you.
06:25:55.000And I thought, oh my god, we're going to lose Rich.
06:27:49.000If I'm not mistaken, it was, it was, take that and add a few zeros more.
06:27:52.000Where I was like, no, no, Reg, no, no, before this, you don't understand, before this call, I spoke with my wife and this is what we were prepared to offer you.
06:27:58.000Cause like, this is what we can afford.
06:28:37.000Sponsors from people like Black Rifle Coffee and Spartan Armor and some other sponsors.
06:28:41.000And then way down the list it goes YouTube revenue.
06:28:43.000But I also understood that when YouTube demonetized us, that was their first step toward banning us.
06:28:48.000Before I walked in and had a meeting with this team, I got on a call with YouTube and they read a prefab letter.
06:28:53.000I wish Bill were here because he could He could testify to this.
06:28:58.000They read a prefab letter with no answers, like, you have been found to be skirting on borderline content, and as they were reading it, the room started spinning.
06:29:06.000I was upstairs in our guest room, and the room started spinning, and I thought I was having a heart attack.
06:29:13.000I thought I was having a heart attack.
06:29:14.000I couldn't breathe, and I remember my knees got weak, and I couldn't stand, and I laid on the back of the bed while they finished their prefab statement that they were gurgitated, and they hung up.
06:29:25.000And then I got on the phone with Bill.
06:29:26.000I said, wait, did they just... What just happened?
06:29:35.000We came in and remember I had that meeting with you guys.
06:29:38.000And that's when we wrote up the 16-minute apology for everything that I've done wrong, which for people who don't remember was an insult to every single leftist on YouTube and some people who were just collateral damage.
06:31:46.000I think it's up to 82 or 83 percent and it's moved closer.
06:31:50.000We've seen Pennsylvania move further away.
06:31:52.000The gap is getting a little bit bigger.
06:31:54.000Keep in mind that night we sat down, we fully at that point, there was no Donald Trump upset.
06:32:00.000We thought Hillary was going to win and we thought, hey you know what, we're just going to make this something that helps it go down smooth.
06:32:08.000Because we've never believed that the country is done.
06:33:16.000If Donald Trump had not dealt with COVID, and I will say this, people don't like Donald Trump's rhetoric on COVID.
06:33:23.000His actions on COVID are fantastic, just fine.
06:33:26.000If we had not had COVID, this would not be a close race at all.
06:33:30.000The economy was booming in ways that we didn't think were possible under Obama and Biden.
06:33:35.000And so this is one of those kind of fate deals you a hand kind of conversations where you're like, well, this happened.
06:33:40.000And I was wrong, too, in the sense that when we talked about the trade wars with China, I think the tariffs are basically a VAT tax on the consumer, but he definitely opened a lot of people's eyes to the dishonesty that was taking place from China.
06:33:51.000I was just watching an episode of The Office.
06:33:53.000And my dad was one person who always said, I don't believe this, when they were always saying China's the next great economic superpower of the world.
06:34:07.000That helps human rights across the globe.
06:34:10.000If China were to become the next great global superpower, which is what all the Democrats were saying, which is what the entire media, entertainment, industrial complex was saying, think those kids in the Apple factory would be any better off?
06:34:34.000I will say that Donald Trump has moved me from being more libertarian to I am a constitutional conservative, but also taking a hard line on trade and I hate to use the word, but global policy, globalist policy.
06:34:58.000I want to be clear about that and I think Donald Trump has made it okay to say that and I think there's been there's been a lot of progress there and there's been a lot that I've had to check myself on and I think it's emboldened a lot of people but that election night Man, that was something I will always remember, and it would not have taken place if not for the two of you, and the two of you paved the way for everyone here.
06:35:25.000Oh, no, I was just saying, you know, it seems like the buzz in the media and on Twitter and everywhere here is that, oh, Trump has declared himself the winner of the election.
06:35:34.000You know, he did do his little bumping back and forth.
06:35:45.000He's saying, we're going to fight this to the Supreme Court, which is what the Democrats were saying already.
06:35:52.000That's what the Attorney General of Pennsylvania was saying already.
06:35:56.000And he's just saying, we're not going to let people stuff ballot boxes for three more days in Pennsylvania just to pull out a win, is basically what he's saying.
06:36:05.000And so I think it's one of those things where, do you wish he might not have phrased it that way?
06:36:12.000But, you know, would it have played better if he'd phrased it differently?
06:36:15.000You know, yes, but I think the heart of it is, yeah, we want to make sure this is a fair election.
06:36:22.000If Biden's allowed to say, you know, we were winning and, you know, we will win this or whatever.
06:36:27.000If he's allowed to say that, I think Trump is allowed to give a statement and say that they'll, you know, Of course he's allowed.
06:36:37.000I think Donald Trump, he's a president.
06:36:38.000He can squash your nuts to oblivion and you have nothing to say about it.
06:36:41.000This is what I'm saying, though, is that people in the media are saying this is, you know, egregious and how dare he, and no, no, no, he hasn't won or whatever, when clearly we know what he's... Was that really Temple in the media?
06:36:59.000Well, and so you brought up a really good point.
06:37:02.000Every single time that, and you know, we've said this a million times, but every single time something like this happens, Donald Trump, the headline goes, Trump says he'll go to Supreme Court.
06:37:19.000And of course, all that Trump is saying... By the way, people out there, I do want you to do the research on elections that are comparable to see if they called states.
06:37:25.000Well, and all that Trump was saying is, I think we've won this election.
06:37:29.000And all of a sudden, the votes stopped coming in.
06:37:32.000And I feel like there's a... I feel like, God forbid, Pennsylvania might have some voter fraud like they've always had.
06:38:36.000Joe Biden is not even willing to fight the night of the election and that's why I want to be up for a little while and I don't care if you guys leave the camera on me if I have to go to my webcam just in principle because I want people to see listen if this is your job if this is your calling and you pick Yeah.
06:38:52.000this job, to be president. You want to be in that position.
06:38:56.000Donald Trump has certainly outperformed.
06:38:58.000He has done more than any of us have asked of him. And Joe Biden has not done the bare minimum.
06:39:04.000They both said we feel pretty good. Joe Biden said, I think we're winning in Georgia. I think
06:39:09.000you're not. He said, I feel good about North Carolina.
06:40:14.000The five different medias that don't have the same number.
06:40:17.000Can you let me know, people out there, people in the control room, I want you watching all the streams and also including the Young Turks, and if there's one that is particularly entertaining that we should tune into, let us know.
06:40:53.000I have seen, I've been watching the numbers very closely, and you have seen Arizona move up, you've seen Pennsylvania move up, you've seen, I think, Michigan's back up above 300,000 difference between Biden and Trump.
06:41:52.000They're acting like, did I just not watch a press conference where Joe Biden said, we feel good about these numbers and we think we're going to win?
06:42:00.000Donald Trump just said it in a different way where he said, look, we're winning.
06:43:30.000Because if you don't vote, you lose your right to bitch.
06:43:32.000If you don't vote, you can't complain.
06:43:34.000If you don't vote—in other words, if we have a conversation and we're talking about issues regarding tax policy, regarding foreign policy, regarding American military interventionism, regarding what we should do as far as protection of goods and services, what we should do as far as immigration, if we're having that conversation and somewhere down the line I hear you say, well, I didn't vote, it's done.
06:43:54.000I don't want to talk with you anymore.
06:43:57.000We're not sacrificing goats and rams at an altar like the Old Testament.
06:44:02.000There are only really two ways that you can physically manifest your values, your faith, your belief today, okay?
06:44:12.000One of them is you can tithe because you're giving away 10% of what you make with nothing more than a promise that you read in a book that you believe is the written word of God, right?
06:44:32.000Now, for people out there who are business owners, or for people who are out there who are in the military, you obviously have more areas where you're putting your money where your mouth is.
06:44:39.000But for the average American who wants to go about their day, and I don't begrudge you at all, you want to collect a paycheck, you want to come home to your family, maybe watch some TV, take vacations a couple times a year, there's nothing wrong with that.
06:44:50.000That's a great life to have, a great dream to have.
06:44:53.000But there are certain times where the rubber meets the road and you need to manifest your values in a tangible way.
06:45:32.000It's not out of the possibility that... There was a time where Vermont was a deadlock for red.
06:45:37.000Right, so things can change, and if you just are complacent and think, well, I can do nothing because everything's determined for me, well, you've just given up.
06:46:21.000Regardless of what your state's going to do, you should always go and vote.
06:46:25.000Sorry, my cigar's a little plugged, so I have to keep relighting it.
06:46:27.000Yeah, we were talking before the stream about how many of the... I mean, many things that affect you in your day-to-day lives are on the state level, right?
06:47:34.000It's the same in a lot of these states.
06:47:36.000If you look at the county breakdown, Illinois is worse because it's like one county and then the rest of the state, the rest of it is red and no one is moving to Illinois because Chicago sucks.
06:47:49.000So if you are voting overwhelmingly red, guess what?
06:47:53.000That does keep those local politicians in check where they go, well, you know what?
06:47:57.000Maybe we should support the Infants Born Alive Act.
06:48:00.000I know we had this junior senator who said throw them in a waste paper basket with some weird terrorist sounding name, Hussein Obama, but we have enough Republican voters here where that may not go over well.
06:48:58.000And let me finish what I'm about to say here, because people are like, ooh, white person talking about this.
06:49:02.000Compared to white people, we've talked about this, the black culture right here in the United States, and you know this, Gary, you've talked about it with some of your relatives.
06:49:09.000As much as we hate when the Democrats treat a certain voting group like a monolith, that is much more the case culturally with black America.
06:49:19.000For example, if Chris Evans comes out and says, vote for Biden, well, you're into comic books, and so quarter black Garrett might say, oh, OK, OK, well, Chris Evans, and I know that's not going to influence you, but it's someone you would know.
06:49:29.000But you may not know, you may not care or know what Michael Buble says, whereas my parents might.
06:49:33.000Whereas someone like maybe, I don't know, Jack Johnson with AudioAid, I don't know, I'm trying to think.
06:49:41.000But I'm saying, in other words, Robert Downey Jr.
06:49:43.000But the point is, white people can have entirely different cultures.
06:50:27.000on black Americans than a couple of like Taylor Swift and maybe Billy Joel and I don't know, James Taylor would have in the white community because we're more fractured.
06:50:36.000So what I do hope happens in the black community is with these few really prominent figureheads in the black community, it allows the political discourse, hopefully, to be in the black community like we had in the white community 20 years ago where it's just, oh, you're voting Republican?
06:50:54.000It's not a fight at the Thanksgiving table.
06:50:57.000And that is something that I do believe has changed and is valuable.
06:51:02.000So that's something that I think cannot be overlooked.
06:51:05.000Win, lose, or draw on all this, and I really do, looking at this, I feel more confident than I did two, three hours ago that Donald Trump's going to win this thing.
06:51:13.000It's just that right now they're trying to tell us, go to bed.
06:52:10.000I don't know what their plan was to begin with, but I understand that you have to count votes that have been mailed in, and there's a whole process for that.
06:52:18.000But we're looking at the states that we knew were going to be the states we were watching all night anyway.
06:52:26.000Like, are they not a swing state every single year?
06:52:28.000Did they not know that they would need extra people to count ballots for six or seven months planning for an election that could be affected by a pandemic?
06:52:35.000What was the thinking behind, oh, we've got 71% in Michigan, that's probably good.
06:52:40.000Especially considering that Democrats were the ones saying, hey, vote by mail!
06:52:44.000Republicans were the ones saying, vote in person!
06:52:46.000Shouldn't the Democrats have had a plan in place to count the mail-in votes?
06:54:50.000But if Donald Trump is the party of the rich, the party of small businesses, the party of the upper middle class, which I think is true, then it's an arms race.
06:55:14.000It used to be a lottery, and now there's a change where Donald Trump, this is a win-win-win across the board, where it's just, hey, instead of being a random lottery, we're going to base it on companies that pay the highest wages on average.
06:55:29.000That, it doesn't cut down on the number of immigrants, it makes it more competitive.
06:55:33.000You're pulling from a global pool, right, a global talent pool, but you're also not driving American wages down.
06:55:39.000You're bringing in immigrants who you will pay more and ultimately it drives up the market wage of American workers rather than some lottery where you bring someone in from Bangladesh, you bring someone in from India who's happy to take $17,000 a year or $25,000 or $35,000 a year than an American would do for $85,000 a year.
06:55:55.000And often what happens is these foreign workers come in on these H-1B visas, it's a lottery, and then they go back to their country where they can make a comfortable living.
06:56:03.000That's something that no one should be against unless you simply want people to come in here and be low wage laborers so that you can promise them more free stuff.
06:56:15.000Basing it on merit and not only we're not just basing it on merit, we're basing it we're essentially holding companies accountable.
06:56:21.000It's reverse of what the left does with COVID.
06:56:25.000If a business is found with someone not wearing a mask, we're going to fine them $2,000, which in Austin I just wanted to not wear a mask and go into a bunch of businesses that I hated.
06:57:03.000Real quick on Wisconsin, we've talked about counties in some of these other states.
06:57:06.000They just did Milwaukee County, and Donald Trump is up by three points with 82% of the vote in Wisconsin, and he's outperforming in Milwaukee County.
06:59:56.000We've done that when building a new website or we've been migrating to a new server.
07:00:00.000We're like, well listen, we're just gonna have to stagger it so the site doesn't go down.
07:00:04.000This just shows you how ineffective the United States government is and our process that they cannot have people working around the clock for crying out loud.
07:00:17.000Let's be specific, it's the state governments that are the problem.
07:00:22.000They're probably choosing to be ineffective on this.
07:00:24.000Yeah, they're both the problem and if you look at a place like Florida, Other states need to model the way they count votes off the way that Florida did it this time around, because we were seeing the tally by party registration all day today.
07:00:45.000I remember I couldn't stop checking, and I was like, I know this doesn't mean anything yet, but Florida is giving us the numbers, so I have to be looking at all this.
07:00:52.000And so I think Florida did a pretty amazing job with getting an account, and then you just see it with a contrast of some place like Pennsylvania, where they're setting themselves up for failure.
07:01:02.000They're setting themselves up for a Supreme Court case.
07:01:05.000Well, when you add it up with Pennsylvania, where they've had all these fights that go to either their Circuit Court or the Supreme Court, Then you have an AG saying, when all the votes are counted, there's no way Donald Trump wins.
07:01:15.000And then they're actually just retiring for the evening.
07:02:54.000Well, let's go to this clip, and then we'll see how we feel, because we may have to reconvene, God, I hope not, tomorrow after they start counting.
07:04:02.000Like Joe Biden, who's focused on bringing this deeply divided country together again, he will become the first Democratic nominee since 1976 to claim the 38 electoral college votes in this state.
07:04:16.000I'm less biased than everyone else in news.
07:07:09.000So we'll make sure, choking on it, let's make sure we call everyone at the Blaze and make sure they keep that promo code available until the election is actually called.
07:07:39.000They said if Donald Trump claimed victory, they were going to stop it.
07:07:41.000So, okay, if at this point you guys then claim, oh look, we found a bunch of mail-in ballots, I'm not going to call the election until it goes to the courts.
07:11:14.000So here's one, and I want to go back to Hunter Biden and why I think the media has done him a disservice, but Ashley Biden, um, so hold on a second here.
07:11:42.000I'm not condemning people for their sins.
07:11:44.000I'm just saying this is a pattern of behavior.
07:11:46.000So we have one son who may or may not be a pedophile who definitely struggles with ongoing drug addiction and seemingly no intervention, no accountability.
07:11:55.000Then we have another daughter who was a drug addict and also has sexual, compulsive sexual issues.
07:12:03.000And then we have a father who sniffs nine-year-olds.
07:12:06.000If you were social services, you'd investigate that household.
07:12:10.000You'd go, wait a second, is she a sex addict because he was sniffing her?! !
07:12:16.000Is he doing crack and interested in children because his dad was SNIFFING HER?
07:12:22.000The point is, this is one of those issues, if you were looking into it, you'd go, hold on a second, both children drug addicts, both children have sexual perversions according to their own admission, and the father says it's harmless, but he's been accused of rape and at the very least he's made many people uncomfortable and is on camera documented sniffing children and groping them.
07:12:41.000That is beyond just something weird happened here and there.
07:12:45.000So that's something that I will say when you take into account the totality.
07:13:01.000The only time you really change when you are a compulsive addict, right, whether you're a sex addict, whether you're a drug addict, is if you get caught and there needs to be... I don't know that he's had any kind of an intervention from his family, but he certainly hasn't had any kind of an intervention from the media, considering that this is the media who tried to say Donald Trump Jr.
07:14:11.000I pray the guy gets his life straightened up and he flies right.
07:14:17.000But you know it's not coming from his dad.
07:14:20.000You know it's not coming from the people around his dad, and you know it's not coming from the people who have the information available to them regarding his drug addiction and sexual proclivity.
07:14:30.000So I think that's actually sad with Hunter Biden.
07:14:33.000And I don't think that that'll improve.
07:14:42.000He says, question, if Biden does win, will the rioting continue?
07:14:46.000And if Trump wins, will the Dems finally work and stop the division and accept that their impeachment scams are not working?
07:14:55.000No, and I tell you what, if Biden wins, I've always been a principled conservative, but the shoe is on the other foot.
07:15:01.000Once you've accused someone of being a gang rapist, once you've started a knowingly false witch hunt with Russia, once you've tried to impeach the president for political gain, and once you've tried to rig the election, and I mean that.
07:15:18.000Now we're going to make your life difficult at every single turn.
07:15:20.000And if they start packing the courts, I will support any trick in the book to stop that because at a certain point the actual fabric of our constitutional republic matters more than my principles and I think that our principles say we need to fight that because it'll be interesting to see if Joe Biden were to win and I really don't think he's going to win if Joe Biden were to win it's really a Kamala Harris presidency and this is someone who again she used the word equity not equality she believes in
07:16:47.000When we do these streams that go on for a long time where I have to be sitting in a chair and a couch, I'm just like, I just don't want to be entirely shirtless for the whole stream.
07:16:56.000Because who wants to be for three hours sitting there?
07:16:59.000Yeah, no, for sketches and stuff like that.
07:17:02.000I'm like, I just don't want to do it because I know that people are going to be photoshopping it, and I'll move in a weird way, and you know, titties, stuff like that.
07:17:12.000So, outside of that, no, I really don't get embarrassed as long as there's some kind of a purpose to it.
07:17:16.000Now, I'll tell you what, everyone here is really pretty much a gamer.
07:17:20.000Quarterback Garrett, Audio, Wade, Tokunawan, I mean, Gerald, we don't really ask you to do anything very embarrassing.
07:17:38.000I don't really get embarrassed because I see it.
07:17:40.000This is one of those things where I think conservatives are a little bit behind the eight ball where when you look at SNL and you look at a lot of the late night hosts, it's not embarrassing if it's funny and it's not embarrassing, especially if the comedy is making a point.
07:17:52.000So no, I don't really get all that embarrassed.
07:17:54.000I get embarrassed when I make a mistake.
07:17:56.000For example, like when I say Charlottesville, North Carolina.
07:18:01.000Obviously you can watch hours and hours of coverage here.
07:18:04.000I just accidentally said North Carolina probably because that morning I was looking at polls in North Carolina.
07:18:09.000So that's when I get embarrassed is when I make mistakes where I know better or I misspeak because I know that I'm held to a little bit of a higher standard than someone like, I don't know, Potential President Joe Biden.
07:18:22.000Okay, let's have someone there in the control room here.
07:18:24.000What I want to do is fill out this map as to what I think is most likely.
07:18:28.000So okay, Nevada, Arizona, right there on that map.
07:18:33.000And we can bring this up here on the on the screen.
07:18:36.000I think is Tim from HR out there filling out the map?
07:20:39.000Or if Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania go, because those are significantly higher margins than even Georgia or North Carolina, then they don't matter.
07:20:47.000So there are multiple paths for Donald Trump to win.
07:20:49.000That is the path that I think is, I don't want to say most likely, but I feel pretty comfortable in calling that now.
07:21:05.000And I certainly don't think more than half of them going the other way, based on what we've seen come out here tonight.
07:21:09.000Especially when you look at double the winning margin in Florida, and the same margin as last time in Ohio, which people were saying this time was going to be a swing state.
07:21:19.000It's the same number as last time, if I'm not mistaken.
07:21:21.000I think Ohio was close to nine points, and it was eight-point-something points tonight.
07:21:25.000So again, Ohio should be pretty damn similar to Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, whereas it's a little bit disconnected from Georgia and North Carolina, but those states seem to be pretty comfortably in the Trump column.
07:21:37.000That's the map that I think we will most likely end up with or something similar to that tomorrow.
07:21:43.000I really do think that Donald Trump wins this election.
07:21:50.000It just depends on the margin and we'll know better tomorrow.
07:21:53.000Although truth be told, if they couldn't get it done tonight, I don't think I'm getting the count done tomorrow and they're going to try and drag this all the way into Christmas so that they can make sure that you don't get to have Christmas with your family because of a slight cough.
07:22:29.000Oh boy, if that's the COVID, you guys got all my aerosol particles.
07:22:33.000Any closing thoughts from anyone else before we leave?
07:22:36.000I would say that if those states that you just said should go to Trump were leading Biden with the same numbers, that media would have called it for Biden.
07:22:45.000I think that's a reasonable statement.
07:23:16.000Also, looking at the motive here, I try to not attribute motive, but the good thing is I don't have to because Chris Cuomo is on my television.
07:23:24.000They were calling some states for Biden when he had 50% and they were going to say, oh, it's Biden.
07:23:31.000But Trump is leading and has been leading in those states all night long.
07:24:51.000Yeah, I really do think he's won this election, and to be clear, Reg, the brilliant one, you didn't think that Donald Trump was going to win this election.
07:24:58.000No, no, I said I'm always pessimistic.
07:25:00.000I'm always skeptical and pessimistic because I feel like that aids me in decision-making, so I don't get overconfident, but no, I thought it was going to be close.
07:25:10.000It is close, but I do think Trump is a favorite, and the fact that Democrats seem to be constructing a sort of defensive narrative of, you know, there's gonna be some more ballots that we just find somewhere that's gonna sound worse and worse the longer they drag it out.
07:25:25.000Wait, where'd you find those 200,000 ballots?
07:25:26.000Where'd you find those 200,000 ballots?
07:25:38.000So, yeah, listen, let me leave you with these closing thoughts, and then we're going to close with this, because I do want you to go to bed happy.
07:25:48.000Don't ever let anyone turn you into a meltdown highlight reel, because unlike the left who believe that there's some transcendent political figure coming here to save you, imagine how sad—you want to talk about sad?
07:26:17.000We believe that you are the master of your own destiny.
07:26:22.000That's really what this comes down to.
07:26:23.000And sure, you might have to navigate some tax codes.
07:26:25.000And if you're a small business owner, listen, of everyone tonight, the people who have most at risk are small business owners and middle class families.
07:26:34.000So this is not at all to belittle your concern.
07:26:40.000And by the way, this isn't just if you're making over $400,000, which is a very interesting cutoff considering that the White House salary is That's 400,000.
07:26:46.000By the way, I don't want to bet that Joe Biden doesn't donate that shit.
07:26:49.000So anyone here who's a small business owner or anyone who is a family really making a middle class family period, you're probably looking at paying about $15,000 to $2,000 more in taxes.
07:27:01.000And if you're a small business, you're probably looking at a tax increase of the equivalent to one or two salaries.
07:27:08.000And listen, if you work for a small business and you voted for Joe Biden, I think you should be fired first.
07:27:15.000I know that's illegal, but if I could go out and count Biden bumper stickers because I hired assholes, I would do so, but I can't because I hire good people.
07:27:26.000And I would go, all right, listen, if we have to lay anybody off with these, listen, this is for the greater good because the left believes in the greater good.
07:27:32.000They believe that we are all in this together globally, as well as nationally as a country.
07:27:38.000And they believe the only person who can come down from the heavens to save them somehow is Joe Biden.
07:27:47.000So, your own destiny is controlled by yourself and by God.
07:27:51.000There's a higher power that all of us have to answer to, so I do recommend that you go to bed with a joyous heart, with gratitude, contentment.
07:28:30.000I mean the people who want the best economy that we've ever seen, the people who want more opportunity for Latin American, I guess Latino American, Latinx Americans, you know what I'm talking about, Spanish, the donde esta folks, and Black Americans.
07:28:44.000All of us are in this together and the numbers favor us.
07:28:48.000And we'll be here to talk with you tomorrow, maybe, what are we, we're technically Tuesday?
07:28:55.000Maybe Thursday, maybe Friday, but we'll be back with you to go over these results, possibly with the Trump family themselves, possibly with some senators.
07:29:03.000I don't know what the game plan is exactly, but we're not going to leave you hanging.
07:29:08.000I thank you so much for taking the time to tune in.
07:29:11.000Even though Facebook cut us off, you guys brought the numbers, you rallied with us, you brought it back.
07:29:17.000And I would be staying here until the sun comes up, if not for people just abandoning their post.
07:29:22.000So, we're going to make sure that we are there at our post before anyone else shows up.
07:29:48.000We'll be back doing super videos regardless.
07:29:50.000But that discount is something significant.
07:29:52.000I know that many of you could use it during these times right now, especially with COVID and a lot of businesses being shut down, which hopefully will reopen.