Louder with Crowder - ONE WEEK LEFT: Everything You Need to Know Ahead of Election 2024

00:00:03.000 To every citizen who's sick and tired of the parasitic political class in Washington that sucks our country of its blood and treasure. 0.86

00:00:12.000 Would you have done something differently than President Biden?

00:00:15.000 There is not a thing that comes to mind.

00:00:17.000 November 5th will be your liberation day.

00:00:21.000 November 5th, this year, will be the most important day in the history of our country.

00:00:28.000 Because we're not going to have a country anymore if we don't win.

00:00:31.000 Between now and election, it's a sprint.

00:00:33.000 It's a sprint for the spirit of this country and your ability to choose what you watch, who you support, and the mere ability to speak.

00:00:44.000 The left is constantly engaged in foul play, but their first choice would be to not have to cheat.

00:00:51.000 To do it with lies by omission, by using media bias, by throttling searches, by flat-out censoring searches, as we've seen from Google and YouTube, as we've seen with Facebook and Meta in the past.

00:01:02.000 It's lie, lie, lie, cheat.

00:01:05.000 We all know who Donald Trump is. 0.86

00:01:07.000 He will be a dictator on day one.

00:01:08.000 Dictatorship.

00:01:09.000 Nazi imagery.

00:01:10.000 Made off Hitler. 0.88

00:01:10.000 Hitler. Hitler. Hitler. Hitler. As I was saying... 0.88

00:01:20.000 And that's why we are gearing up for the election livestream of the century.

00:01:22.000 November 5th, we'll have the live electoral integrity map.

00:01:25.000 No one will have the data that we have on that night to call, dispute states, and let you know everything that is going on across this country.

00:01:31.000 If there is any foul play whatsoever, there's no reason to tune in anywhere else that night.

00:01:35.000 The election livestream of the century.

00:01:37.000 November 5th, this year, will be the most important day in the history of our country.

00:01:44.000 And we will make America great again.

00:01:51.000 The election livestream of the century, November 5th, 2024.

00:01:54.000 Be there with us.

00:01:55.000 Fight like hell.

00:01:56.000 Fight like hell. 0.90

00:02:26.000 Fight like hell.

00:02:54.000 Rise!

00:02:56.000 Your famous, well-deserved content creator.

00:03:00.000 I don't think there's been a creator to match you.

00:03:03.000 As for this young man, he insists you're Breitbart reborn.

00:03:07.000 Or was it Hercules?

00:03:09.000 What?

00:03:10.000 Why doesn't the hero reveal himself, tell us all your real name?

00:03:15.000 You do have a name.

00:03:18.000 My name is Host.

00:03:22.000 How dare you turn your back to me, big tackiness! 0.99

00:03:27.000 Slave! 0.99

00:03:29.000 You will remove your helmet and your headphones and tell me your name. 0.95

00:03:33.000 My name is Crowder.

00:03:44.000 Crowder.

00:03:46.000 Commander of the Mucklub Army.

00:03:49.000 Loyal servant.

00:03:51.000 To the middle class. 0.77

00:03:53.000 Young professionals.

00:03:55.000 With college degrees or some college education.

00:03:59.000 Father.

00:04:00.000 To a demonetized channel.

00:04:02.000 The voice of the deplatformed.

00:04:04.000 And I will have my vengeance.

00:04:06.000 On this platform or the next.

00:04:12.000 Moderators!

00:04:13.000 Yeah!

00:04:14.000 Oh, no. no.

00:04:44.000 Scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream. 0.95

00:05:10.000 Scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream, scream. 0.95

00:05:20.000 4.1!

00:05:42.000 5.1!

00:05:42.000 Are you not entertained?

00:05:44.000 If you are, then join the Legion of Mug Club for 89 denarius annually or 9 denarius monthly.

00:05:50.000 The latter comes mugless, but both come with honor.

00:05:53.000 The latter comes with the latter.

00:06:23.000 The latter comes with the latter.

00:06:37.000 *laughter* That's going to bother me the whole time.

00:06:41.000 Someone was working here.

00:06:42.000 You hear of a coaster?

00:06:44.000 I think it was you.

00:06:45.000 It's wood.

00:06:46.000 It's a soft pine.

00:06:48.000 Whatever.

00:06:48.000 It's easy to permeate.

00:06:49.000 All right, look, hey, really glad to be with you.

00:06:52.000 This is the last live stream before the election live stream of the century.

00:06:56.000 Tuesday, November 5th, we start at 6 p.m.

00:07:00.000 Eastern, 5 p.m.

00:07:01.000 God's time.

00:07:02.000 It's a huge undertaking.

00:07:04.000 We have something really special for you that night.

00:07:07.000 We'll get into it more a little bit later.

00:07:09.000 As we go through the polling and early voting super breakdown on today's show, We have some data analysts here and access to some data that not everyone else does, so we're going to be bringing you some exclusive insights, and you can expect more of that on election night.

00:07:23.000 Want to let you know, I will be on Alex Jones today, Dan Bongino tomorrow, and I believe Pierce Morgan.

00:07:31.000 I like Pierce.

00:07:32.000 It's just going to be awkward to appear on Alex today.

00:07:35.000 You're going to be on with my friend Pierce.

00:07:38.000 Is he your friend? 1.00

00:07:38.000 He's a pussy boy! 1.00

00:07:41.000 Redcoat limey! 1.00

00:07:42.000 Okay, I get it, I get it. 0.59

00:07:44.000 And Pierce, fair warning, you're not going to get me to badmouth my friend, no matter how crazy he may be sometimes.

00:07:50.000 And we do have something special for you tomorrow.

00:07:53.000 I know Thursday.

00:07:54.000 Tomorrow's Wednesday.

00:07:55.000 Tomorrow's Wednesday.

00:07:56.000 Tomorrow Thursday and Monday.

00:07:57.000 We have a documentary of the making of, behind the scenes.

00:08:01.000 We've never really let you in with this.

00:08:04.000 Because of the liability.

00:08:29.000 Whoopi Goldberg's hilarious meltdown on The View.

00:08:33.000 And then Kamala Harris, Kamala, whatever, was on Club Shay Shay. 1.00

00:08:38.000 Shay Shay! 0.99

00:08:39.000 Shay Shay.

00:08:40.000 And what I resent Mr.

00:08:43.000 Shay most for is forcing me to say that phrase out loud as a grown man.

00:08:48.000 It's true.

00:08:48.000 A man chose that name?

00:08:50.000 They call me Mr.

00:08:53.000 Shay Shay.

00:08:54.000 No one ever.

00:08:55.000 Well, his name is Shane and Shay.

00:08:57.000 There's no right, Sidney Shaytier.

00:09:00.000 Nobody ever called him that in real life. 0.93

00:09:02.000 Shasha, still not nearly as gay, but also gay. 0.83

00:09:06.000 Options are limited. 0.97

00:09:08.000 Noodles just jumped in there.

00:09:09.000 I was in a rhythm. 1.00

00:09:11.000 I'm a jerk. 0.99

00:09:15.000 If at some point, because we are on very thin ice. 0.99

00:09:19.000 Remember, we were suspended for the last election.

00:09:22.000 We're in that danger zone right now.

00:09:23.000 We were suspended, what was it, three days before the midterm election?

00:09:26.000 Turns out something from two years ago just got us suspended from YouTube, so I guess not.

00:09:30.000 So you can watch it on Rumble, of course.

00:09:32.000 But if today at any point you see this...

00:09:36.000 Head on over to Rumble because it's a live show.

00:09:37.000 Weekdays, 10 a.m.

00:09:38.000 Eastern.

00:09:38.000 Sorry it took me a while to...

00:09:39.000 That was a mouthful.

00:09:40.000 I had to get out.

00:09:41.000 Really excited about this.

00:09:43.000 And a lot of good news, but get out and vote.

00:09:45.000 Get out and do your part.

00:09:46.000 Let me ask you this, though.

00:09:47.000 Question of the day.

00:09:48.000 Are you actually, if you're on the fence, is your primary concern that Donald Trump wants to deport...

00:09:58.000 Wives of biracial marriages? 0.97

00:10:00.000 Because we're actually going to...

00:10:01.000 That's actually an argument that's made by Whoopi Goldberg.

00:10:03.000 Yeah, I know.

00:10:04.000 Spoiler alert. 0.97

00:10:05.000 She says that he will deport wives in biracial marriages and assign the white man to a new white chick. 0.99

00:10:13.000 Captain Morgan, number two CEO, how are you?

00:10:15.000 I'm fantastic.

00:10:15.000 I didn't realize that was a main concern.

00:10:18.000 Well, you're not paying attention.

00:10:19.000 Oh, apparently.

00:10:20.000 I'm not woke.

00:10:21.000 You're just asleep, child.

00:10:22.000 Okay, yeah.

00:10:23.000 We'll call you Mr.

00:10:24.000 Ambien.

00:10:25.000 Lunesta over here.

00:10:27.000 You done?

00:10:27.000 My comedy chops are rusty.

00:10:30.000 Nope.

00:10:33.000 And then October 20...

00:10:35.000 No, it's not October 20...

00:10:37.000 It's past October 26.

00:10:38.000 I have this written down here.

00:10:39.000 Hey, when you hear this, you know him, you love him, and he can put in...

00:10:42.000 Hey, there it is.

00:10:44.000 The right plug.

00:10:45.000 Come on! 0.61

00:10:46.000 November 15th, the 16th, J.P.'s Comedy Club.

00:10:48.000 Mr.

00:10:49.000 Feierstein, how are you?

00:10:50.000 I'm good.

00:10:51.000 Yeah?

00:10:51.000 Good.

00:10:52.000 Yeah, it's been a good Tuesday.

00:10:54.000 Tuesday?

00:10:55.000 Tuesday.

00:10:55.000 Wednesday?

00:10:56.000 Josh, you sure you're going to be able to go to that date?

00:10:58.000 Like, this show's probably still going to be going from the election night.

00:11:01.000 Could be.

00:11:02.000 Well, it's in Arizona, so I can be an on-the-ground correspondent to see what's going on with Maricopa County.

00:11:07.000 I'll just be there counting the votes.

00:11:09.000 I'll be there burning ballots.

00:11:10.000 He loves the country.

00:11:11.000 He loves it.

00:11:12.000 Hey, before we get to that, Mehdi Hassan, you know, guy who allegedly may be a terrorist sympathizer.

00:11:18.000 By that I mean Hamas and Hezbollah.

00:11:20.000 They got into an explosive argument on CNN. And then we'll replay this because there's a moment where Ryan, Ryan is named Girdusky?

00:11:30.000 Girdusky?

00:11:30.000 Yeah, something like that.

00:11:31.000 There's a moment where he realizes his career may be over.

00:11:34.000 But first, let's just watch the clip.

00:11:36.000 I don't think it's that bad.

00:11:37.000 I get it.

00:11:38.000 Nobody wants to be called Nazis.

00:11:39.000 It's very inflammatory.

00:11:40.000 But if you don't want to be called Nazis, stop doing it.

00:11:43.000 You've been called an enermite. 0.84

00:11:44.000 You've been called an enermite.

00:11:46.000 Stop saying things.

00:11:48.000 No, by me.

00:11:49.000 I never called you an assistant.

00:11:50.000 I mean, I'm not saying or saying...

00:11:52.000 I'm a supporter of the Palestinians.

00:11:53.000 I'm used to it.

00:11:53.000 Well, I hope your beeper doesn't go off.

00:11:55.000 The thing is, is that...

00:11:57.000 You should not.

00:11:58.000 No, I said... 1.00

00:11:59.000 You just said I should be killed. 0.96

00:11:59.000 No, I did not say that. 0.96

00:12:01.000 Hold on.

00:12:03.000 I said I hope you're...

00:12:05.000 Guys, let me just stop.

00:12:07.000 You said you hope my beeper doesn't go off.

00:12:09.000 Guys, you sound like this.

00:12:11.000 Guys, you're Palestinian. 1.00

00:12:13.000 Are you Palestinian?

00:12:15.000 Palestinian. 1.00

00:12:17.000 You fucking... 1.00

00:12:19.000 Ryan, Ryan. 1.00

00:12:21.000 That is completely...

00:12:24.000 I apologize.

00:12:26.000 Oh my gosh.

00:12:27.000 Don't do that.

00:12:28.000 Don't do that with a Hamas sympathizer in front of you.

00:12:32.000 He goes so quickly from like, I said it to him.

00:12:34.000 Wait, wait, what?

00:12:35.000 No, I didn't say it that way.

00:12:36.000 He's looking to the ref to step in.

00:12:39.000 So here's the moment, the funniest moment to me.

00:12:42.000 We're going to go right up to the freeze frame where you see he realizes, oh no.

00:12:48.000 Wait for it.

00:12:51.000 No, by me.

00:12:53.000 I never called you an anti-Semite.

00:12:54.000 I mean, I'm not saying or saying...

00:12:56.000 I'm a supporter of the Palestinians.

00:12:57.000 I'm used to it.

00:12:58.000 Well, I hope your beeper doesn't go off.

00:12:59.000 The thing is, is that... 0.76

00:13:00.000 Did you just say I should die?

00:13:02.000 You should not. 1.00

00:13:02.000 Did you just say I should be killed? 1.00

00:13:04.000 And here it comes. 1.00

00:13:04.000 Here it comes. 1.00

00:13:06.000 By the way, perfect.

00:13:14.000 That was the perfect joke!

00:13:16.000 I make zero apologies.

00:13:18.000 Look, it's like, come on, if this guy is a Hamas supporter, he's not just a Palestinian supporter, we'll get into some of that.

00:13:24.000 This guy is that, and like, oh, no, it would only go off if you're a terrorist. 0.67

00:13:28.000 Are you a terrorist?

00:13:30.000 Right. 0.99

00:13:30.000 Then of course I don't want your, it's a joke because you're a terrorist supporter. 0.99

00:13:33.000 You turn to Abby Phillips, you say, look, are you saying he's a terrorist?

00:13:37.000 And she says, no.

00:13:38.000 Then we both agree, he doesn't have a pager.

00:13:41.000 Moot point.

00:13:42.000 Yeah, he just admitted to having a pager.

00:13:45.000 Yes, exactly. 0.85

00:13:45.000 Do you want me to die? 0.85

00:13:46.000 Not unless you're a terrorist. 1.00

00:13:47.000 Are you saying I want to die? 1.00

00:13:48.000 Yes, because the most effective way to kill you would be to ensure that your beeper doesn't go off. 1.00

00:13:53.000 Yes. 0.99

00:13:53.000 It's funny. 0.99

00:13:54.000 Are you going to say it's ill-advised?

00:13:56.000 Granted.

00:13:56.000 Ah, maybe.

00:13:57.000 But I wouldn't apologize for it.

00:13:59.000 I was like, yeah, I said what I said, right?

00:14:00.000 This guy, he supports a genocidal regime.

00:14:03.000 Those guys are just looking for a reason to be offended.

00:14:06.000 I don't even know if I'd go so far as saying it was ill-advised.

00:14:08.000 It's hilarious.

00:14:09.000 It is pointed.

00:14:10.000 It absolutely makes the point.

00:14:12.000 And the rest of that table, they're offended by anybody who doesn't toe the line.

00:14:15.000 Oh my god.

00:14:16.000 Everyone's offended by everything right now.

00:14:17.000 For crying out loud, the fact that Tony Hinchcliffe is the most searched man in the world for doing what he does pretty much every week on his podcast.

00:14:26.000 Anyway, CNN disagrees with you because they banned Ryan from appearing on the network ever again.

00:14:30.000 Come on our show, Ryan.

00:14:30.000 Come on.

00:14:30.000 We'll have you.

00:14:31.000 They said there is zero room for racism or bigotry at CNN or on our air.

00:14:36.000 I disagree.

00:14:37.000 There's some room for racism and bigotry.

00:14:41.000 They filled it already.

00:14:42.000 There's so many correspondents.

00:14:43.000 Our spot is filled.

00:14:46.000 We already have James Carville.

00:14:48.000 As long as it's directed towards white people or conservatives, racism and bigotry is totally fine.

00:14:54.000 The minute it goes outside of those bounds, it's a problem.

00:14:57.000 Yeah, even James Carville, we've asked him to be on the show, was even talking about that.

00:15:00.000 He said, I feel like the Democratic Party is ignoring us by everything.

00:15:03.000 Everything is 80% female. 0.98

00:15:05.000 Male, they feel like they've been left out in the cold.

00:15:08.000 I'm not saying we have to have all males.

00:15:10.000 I'm just saying everything from NPR down is all man bad and woman good. 0.84

00:15:14.000 Not all women are good. 1.00

00:15:15.000 I've seen some bad women. 1.00

00:15:18.000 He has in his life. 0.99

00:15:19.000 So he's right about some things, and he's also insane.

00:15:21.000 Here's the thing.

00:15:22.000 If we're talking about this standard, there's no room for racism or bigotry.

00:15:26.000 And bigotry extends to not just race.

00:15:29.000 Right.

00:15:29.000 It can be a form of prejudice across sex, orientation, religion.

00:15:34.000 Well, and those who follow the tenets of the Islamic religion are in trouble, namely the founder, Muhammad. 0.99

00:15:41.000 But here's Mehdi Hassan in a sermon saying that, and he's quoting scripture, saying that non-Muslims are animals and ignorant. 0.99

00:15:52.000 Here you go. 0.98

00:15:53.000 "No difference from the rest of the non-Muslims, from the rest of those human beings who live their lives as animals, bending any rule to fulfill any desire. 1.00

00:16:02.000 Once we do that, we are lost." "The kakas, the disbelievers, the atheists who remain deaf and stubborn to the teachings of Islam, the rational message of the Quran." We get the point. 1.00

00:16:15.000 Can we play that first one again?

00:16:17.000 Just real quick.

00:16:18.000 The first one is the one that's most interesting.

00:16:19.000 What does he say?

00:16:20.000 He says...

00:16:21.000 From the rest of the non-Muslims. 1.00

00:16:23.000 From the rest of those human beings.

00:16:25.000 Oh, no, he meant to say, he says bending any, sorry, he meant to say they live bending animals to fulfill their desires.

00:16:32.000 He was reading Iranian penthouse letters.

00:16:34.000 Oh, okay.

00:16:34.000 Ben Fallis?

00:16:35.000 Yes.

00:16:36.000 Ben Fallis.

00:16:39.000 Dear Penn Palace.

00:16:42.000 Save a camel, ride a Mujahideen. 1.00

00:16:46.000 Goat house.

00:16:47.000 You remember that big and rich song?

00:16:49.000 Yeah.

00:16:50.000 Yes, big and sultan.

00:16:56.000 Because I'm looking so pretty.

00:16:59.000 What are you talking about?

00:17:00.000 I don't understand.

00:17:01.000 I don't understand.

00:17:03.000 Alright, let's go to Whoopi's Meltdown.

00:17:04.000 I think we've let that goat dry.

00:17:07.000 By the way, I really do want that guy to come on the show.

00:17:09.000 I'm not kidding, Ryan.

00:17:09.000 Come on the show.

00:17:10.000 Please, come and express your viewpoints here.

00:17:13.000 No pagers will go off, I promise.

00:17:14.000 Well, they might go off.

00:17:15.000 They might go off.

00:17:17.000 I got fun friends.

00:17:19.000 They send me messages like 8008.

00:17:21.000 It's a fun time.

00:17:22.000 But shouldn't we all want terrorist pagers to explode? 0.92

00:17:24.000 Shouldn't that be kind of like, yeah, look, if you are a terrorist, I kind of do want your pager to explode? 0.79

00:17:28.000 Isn't that a reasonable position?

00:17:30.000 Okay, fine. 0.93

00:17:30.000 So look, if your pager goes off, then you're a terrorist. 0.93

00:17:32.000 Yep.

00:17:33.000 I have no problem with it.

00:17:34.000 I have a problem with Whoopi Goldberg.

00:17:36.000 Yes.

00:17:37.000 Oh, yeah.

00:17:37.000 The whole panel of the view, really.

00:17:39.000 She really, I mean, she outdid herself this time. 0.93

00:17:42.000 As far as cackling...

00:17:46.000 The problem is, everyone, now it's in my head that everything's sexist, everything's racist.

00:17:50.000 Okay.

00:17:50.000 The lady who goes in and asks for, when she gets her cuffs custom-made, asks for the magician, Whoopi Goldberg, she claimed that Trump would ban, and she really is just, she's just swinging for the fences, that Donald Trump would ban interracial marriages.

00:18:07.000 You won't believe me, so believe the stupid. 1.00

00:18:10.000 We're tired of that. 1.00

00:18:11.000 That's why people are saying, right, that you heard the women say, listen, what we heard at that rally should be enough to shake folks awake.

00:18:22.000 Because he's talking about you.

00:18:25.000 All of you.

00:18:26.000 He's talking about you.

00:18:28.000 He's not going to be, he's not going to, you know, say, oh, you're with a white guy.

00:18:33.000 I'm going to keep you from being deported. 0.76

00:18:35.000 No, he's going to deport you and put the white guy with someone else.

00:18:38.000 The man is out there.

00:18:41.000 No, hold on a second.

00:18:42.000 I think what you meant to say is what you're saying, that would be out there.

00:18:47.000 But here's the thing, Whoopi.

00:18:48.000 The only place that idea exists is with you.

00:18:55.000 Yeah, it seems like an episode of Hollywood Squares, where you go, uh, no, I'll take the square.

00:19:00.000 She's lying.

00:19:01.000 Yes.

00:19:01.000 You know what?

00:19:01.000 Can I go to Bruce Valanche?

00:19:03.000 Me?

00:19:04.000 He's gonna get rich. 0.98

00:19:06.000 You think he's not he's gonna say you're with a white what no She's gonna get rid of you and then put the white man with What? 1.00

00:19:13.000 I don't even think, they didn't even do that when they broke up interracial marriages. 0.79

00:19:17.000 They didn't assign you to a white person.

00:19:19.000 I mean, sure, it was wrong, there was a fire hose, you couldn't get a piece of pie at the diner where you wanted to be, there was a lot of societal pressure, but they didn't sit you down and force marry you to another white person. 0.61

00:19:30.000 You think you gotta go to the DMV, take a number?

00:19:32.000 Yes, exactly.

00:19:33.000 I mean, genuinely, genuinely, is anyone actually concerned, people who hate Donald Trump, that he's going to ban interracial marriage and assign you to a white person?

00:19:46.000 Comment below.

00:19:49.000 Line up for your white men! 0.99

00:19:51.000 White boys! 1.00

00:19:51.000 Right over here! 1.00

00:19:52.000 Tons of white boys! 0.99

00:19:53.000 Please find your corresponding white man!

00:19:55.000 And this is why they're so...

00:19:56.000 Look, you want to know why they're so out of touch?

00:19:58.000 Why people are not listening?

00:19:59.000 And by the way, even black males who watch Club Shay-Shay... 0.59

00:20:02.000 Yeah, they don't. 0.87

00:20:02.000 It's this kind of stuff. 0.87

00:20:04.000 People go, look, I don't like him, but I'm going to be honest.

00:20:06.000 I have zero percent concern that he's going to reassign me a wife. 1.00

00:20:14.000 That's so stupid. 1.00

00:20:15.000 What about albinos? 1.00

00:20:16.000 What happened?

00:20:17.000 Oh...

00:20:18.000 What happens with Hispanics who look white? 0.98

00:20:21.000 Yeah, I don't know.

00:20:22.000 Oh, you mean people who are here illegally might be deported?

00:20:26.000 Well, here's the thing.

00:20:27.000 We're not there yet.

00:20:28.000 So let's start with the 20%, whatever it is, 20-something percent of illegal aliens who are in our federal prisons.

00:20:35.000 Hey, can we all agree on this?

00:20:37.000 There should not be 1%.

00:20:39.000 There should not be 1% of our prisons housing, paying for, feeding, clothing, illegal aliens who've committed violent crimes. 0.93

00:20:47.000 So here's the question, right?

00:20:49.000 We can all agree on that.

00:20:51.000 Why can't we deport them immediately?

00:20:54.000 The conversation isn't about interracial marriage.

00:20:56.000 It's not even about anchor babies.

00:20:58.000 It's not even about people who've overstayed visas.

00:21:00.000 We can't deport violent felons in our prison.

00:21:04.000 Why?

00:21:04.000 If anyone has a good answer, we will have you on the air.

00:21:09.000 Trick question.

00:21:10.000 There isn't one.

00:21:11.000 But, here's the thing.

00:21:13.000 You can't break up the conjugal visits.

00:21:15.000 No, you cannot.

00:21:16.000 I do those sometimes.

00:21:17.000 I don't even know the people.

00:21:18.000 I just go there and put a smile on their faces.

00:21:22.000 It's apparently okay, though, as far as being against interracial relationships. 0.95

00:21:26.000 That is a problem. 0.80

00:21:28.000 That's not Donald Trump's policy, but it is a problem if black people want to date whites. 0.98

00:21:33.000 If you want to save the black family, if you want to save the black family, you have to protect it. 1.00

00:21:38.000 And in order to protect it, you have to be against interracial marriage. 0.98

00:21:41.000 Black men, you gotta stop it. 1.00

00:21:43.000 You gotta stop dating the white women. 1.00

00:21:45.000 You gotta stop marrying the white women. 1.00

00:21:47.000 Oops. 1.00

00:21:48.000 But not white women. 1.00

00:21:49.000 If you go back far enough, your family probably owns slaves. 0.66

00:21:53.000 That's...

00:21:53.000 No.

00:21:54.000 You should be lonely at FarmersOnly.com City folks just don't get it.

00:22:01.000 It's like the childhood conditioning of that all attractive men are white. 0.61

00:22:06.000 I'ma make sure they understand you will not perpetuate the snow bunny crisis. 0.91

00:22:10.000 You really have to go out of your way to find a non-black today, so it's just kind of like, you weird, like something wrong with you. 1.00

00:22:16.000 No, hold on a second.

00:22:17.000 And by the way, this is someone whose mind can be changed.

00:22:19.000 She obviously has a fundamental misunderstanding.

00:22:22.000 You don't have to go out of your way.

00:22:24.000 You just have to face the vast majority of people in this country to find a white person.

00:22:29.000 It's not like a needle in a haystack situation.

00:22:31.000 It's most of them.

00:22:32.000 You can find them at work.

00:22:34.000 Yes.

00:22:35.000 Well, or on the bus.

00:22:37.000 Or serial killing.

00:22:38.000 That's on us.

00:22:39.000 I mean, that's our bad.

00:22:40.000 It's not a good thing.

00:22:41.000 - No. - We're good at it, you gotta give us that credit.

00:22:43.000 But it's not a good thing.

00:22:45.000 Yeah.

00:22:46.000 I mean, I've never seen more.

00:22:49.000 You know who else was against it who believed that black men should be executed who went with a white woman?

00:22:53.000 Muhammad Ali. 0.62

00:22:53.000 What? 0.62

00:22:54.000 Till he changed.

00:22:54.000 When he changed and he supported Ronald Reagan and campaigned for Orrin Hatch, we did an entire documentary on it.

00:23:00.000 Then he said he realized he was wrong.

00:23:02.000 When he was with Malcolm X, when he was a part of the Nation of Islam, he believed that you should face execution for interracial violence.

00:23:10.000 Marriage.

00:23:11.000 He said, hey, nothing wrong, want to be with your own kind. 0.99

00:23:13.000 You stay with your kind, I'll stay with my kind.

00:23:15.000 And people act like he's a civil rights hero.

00:23:17.000 Well, I just don't, this is when people talk about the double standard. 0.81

00:23:20.000 Not, oh, black people can be racist too.

00:23:22.000 No, no. 1.00

00:23:23.000 Black people, as a whole, are more racist when it comes to interracial dating. 1.00

00:23:29.000 Particularly black women, I will say. 1.00

00:23:31.000 I haven't seen the same come from black men.

00:23:34.000 Because they're looking to do it a little bit more, maybe.

00:23:36.000 Well, look at the women there! 1.00

00:23:38.000 In that one, I'm not saying it's indicative of all black women, but I'm saying if I were a black guy, I'm going to take my chances with the nice white picket fence. 0.98

00:23:45.000 The proportion of interracial dating does... 0.92

00:23:47.000 Men typically, I think, will do it more in that case, from black men going to other races. 0.99

00:23:51.000 No, I'm agreeing with you off, and I can take a guess as to why.

00:23:54.000 Well, I wasn't going down the why trail.

00:23:58.000 I mean, what do you think it works like? 1.00

00:23:59.000 You better not be with a white bitch! 1.00

00:24:01.000 Okay. 1.00

00:24:04.000 You're not the boss of me.

00:24:05.000 Reason number 500, I'm not with you!

00:24:08.000 Could you please get your seven inch nails out of my eye? 1.00

00:24:11.000 How do you even type or live with those things?

00:24:14.000 I don't know.

00:24:15.000 It's a great love story when they meet on Spirit.

00:24:18.000 So during this commercial break...

00:24:21.000 He was fighting, I was fighting.

00:24:23.000 It seemed distasteful.

00:24:24.000 But you know advertisers are going to advertise capitalism.

00:24:26.000 They aired this commercial between the Whoopi segment.

00:24:29.000 Losing a loved one to deportation can be hard.

00:24:33.000 So hard.

00:24:34.000 The hardest part is finding someone to replace them with.

00:24:38.000 You feel like you're falling from a tall building, a beautiful building, Trump Tower, and you're falling, and you need some cushions to break your fall.

00:24:49.000 Look no further than Whoopi's cushions.

00:24:52.000 That's right. 0.99

00:24:53.000 We'll distract your heartache with a headache and marry you to Whoopi because she's very lonely and quite frankly gross. 1.00

00:25:01.000 So gross. 0.99

00:25:03.000 But she asked me to do this and I said of course, Whoopi, anything for magician predator. 0.98

00:25:10.000 Just kidding.

00:25:11.000 Nobody would ever agree to marry you.

00:25:13.000 Actually, three guys did marry you, they all said. 1.00

00:25:15.000 You were a disgusting pig with a gross vagina. 1.00

00:25:18.000 A dry, plump, majora, they say. 1.00

00:25:21.000 A lot of people say that. 1.00

00:25:23.000 I would never say that about your vagina. 1.00

00:25:28.000 Available to citizens only. 1.00

00:25:33.000 Well, the comic sans softens the blow.

00:25:37.000 It doesn't. 0.96

00:25:38.000 It's ridiculous because it deserves ridiculous. 0.98

00:25:40.000 That statement deserves ridiculous. 0.98

00:25:42.000 Like the idea, first of all, did it any international marriage? 0.96

00:25:44.000 Okay, God.

00:25:45.000 Oh, what?

00:25:45.000 Maybe we misheard her.

00:25:46.000 She meant, oh, immigrants. 0.98

00:25:48.000 Immigrant.

00:25:48.000 Well, doesn't a married immigrant have, like, protection?

00:25:52.000 It's all ridiculous. 0.94

00:25:53.000 You know, it's the one where they... 0.65

00:25:54.000 It's kind of surprising to me that the left now, all of a sudden, they're pro-free trade, you know, and they're anti-tariff, and they believe in a global economy, and they're like...

00:26:02.000 What happened to you?

00:26:02.000 You were capitalist.

00:26:04.000 Competition, right?

00:26:04.000 You shouldn't put it down.

00:26:05.000 So they want international trade.

00:26:07.000 For some reason, though, American women want to lock out the entire rest of the world as dating prospects for American men. 1.00

00:26:15.000 Namely because American men are looking elsewhere to a higher degree than ever before, case in point, because of people like Whoopi and the entire cavalcade of witches that is The View.

00:26:27.000 That's exactly why.

00:26:29.000 Hold on a second.

00:26:30.000 What happened to competition?

00:26:31.000 What's the problem with that?

00:26:34.000 Now they're trying to fear-monger and say, oh, you'll have your woman deported, but they're also against passport bros, right?

00:26:40.000 Everything is about them.

00:26:43.000 And speaking of somebody who thinks everything is about them, Kamala Harris was on set with...

00:26:50.000 Do I have to say Club Shay Shay?

00:26:52.000 Do I have to say Club Shay Shay?

00:26:54.000 You've already said it a lot.

00:26:56.000 I think it's actually kind of cool now.

00:26:58.000 Club Shay Shay.

00:26:59.000 Not. 0.99

00:26:59.000 Because I want this show to sound really dumb. 0.99

00:27:04.000 Shannon Sharp sat down with Kamala Harris, and she was trying to gain some blackmail votes. 1.00

00:27:12.000 Of course, if you look at the comments section, it did not go well.

00:27:15.000 But she predictably lied about Donald Trump, and only did an hour.

00:27:20.000 Should he have the ability to sit behind the seal of the President of the United States when he says he wants to terminate the Constitution of the United States?

00:27:31.000 You know what that would mean?

00:27:32.000 In the Constitution of the United States, is your Fourth Amendment right against unreasonable search and seizure?

00:27:38.000 Your Fifth Amendment right.

00:27:39.000 Your Sixth Amendment right to an attorney.

00:27:41.000 Here we go.

00:27:42.000 Well, a lot of rights are going to be gone.

00:27:43.000 The First Amendment is going to be gone.

00:27:44.000 But the First Amendment.

00:27:45.000 The Second Amendment.

00:27:46.000 Look, I'm in favor of the Second Amendment.

00:27:48.000 I don't believe we should be taking anybody's guns away.

00:27:51.000 Okay.

00:27:52.000 We'll get to a rapid fire fact check.

00:27:54.000 But of course, you know, that's not true.

00:27:56.000 She literally said she was going to take people's guns away. 1.00

00:27:57.000 Let me ask you this.

00:27:59.000 Shay Shay says, the First Amendment right.

00:28:01.000 A lot of people are going to go away.

00:28:02.000 Let me...

00:28:02.000 Genuine question.

00:28:03.000 Please comment below.

00:28:04.000 What do you think the likelihood is...

00:28:08.000 When Donald Trump becomes president, he silences or deplatforms Shea Shea.

00:28:14.000 Sharp?

00:28:15.000 Shannon Sharp?

00:28:16.000 Shannon Sharp.

00:28:16.000 What do you think the likelihood is of Donald Trump becoming president and silencing and deplatforming Shannon Sharp?

00:28:22.000 What do you think the likelihood is of a Harris administration?

00:28:26.000 Punitively silencing or punishing Joe Rogan.

00:28:29.000 Oh wait, that's right!

00:28:30.000 They did it!

00:28:31.000 They created an entire department to do it!

00:28:35.000 And they have the gall to sit there and talk about the First Amendment.

00:28:38.000 And by the way, trick question, no one is concerned about Donald Trump doing that.

00:28:41.000 No, no, of course not.

00:28:42.000 And by the way, I didn't notice this until just now.

00:28:44.000 He said, you know, the First Amendment, a lot of rights will be gone.

00:28:47.000 Second Amendment.

00:28:48.000 She goes, I'm not going to take away the second.

00:28:49.000 She skipped right over the first.

00:28:51.000 She skipped right over the things she knows she has already started doing, that she cannot come out and say, I won't make adjustments to this, and went straight to the lie on the second.

00:28:58.000 I'm like, can we stay with the first, please?

00:29:01.000 Can I get an answer on the first?

00:29:02.000 It's kind of an important one.

00:29:03.000 It's just so...

00:29:04.000 First order of business, silencing the Shea! 1.00

00:29:08.000 The left literally complains about Twitter being free speech.

00:29:11.000 Yes, exactly.

00:29:12.000 He would go on Shannon's show just to have fun and roast him if he thought it was worth it.

00:29:17.000 He wouldn't silence him.

00:29:18.000 Right.

00:29:19.000 And, you know, the Department of Misinformation.

00:29:21.000 You had Nina Jankiewicz, remember that?

00:29:23.000 And then Jen Psaki saying, of course, Spotify needs to be more responsible.

00:29:26.000 They removed, was it, 80-something episodes of the Joe Rogan experience on Spotify, including episodes with friends of this show, both Nick DiPaolo and Brian Callen?

00:29:35.000 Yeah.

00:29:36.000 So, we already have the example.

00:29:38.000 Here's the thing.

00:29:39.000 When they keep saying, it's going to be World War III. It's going to be a dictatorship.

00:29:43.000 It doesn't work.

00:29:44.000 Why?

00:29:44.000 Because we've lived it.

00:29:46.000 You've been saying it for eight years.

00:29:48.000 Even, look, guys, we're going to If you were to accept the premise,

00:30:12.000 okay, the lies of the economy is better under Biden, unemployment is better Inflation is better.

00:30:21.000 Our foreign policy is better.

00:30:22.000 Just accept all of their talking points.

00:30:23.000 Let's assume that.

00:30:24.000 Let's assume that it's all true.

00:30:26.000 You still aren't going to get Americans to believe that Donald Trump is Hitler because even looking back, if they accepted all those premises, they would go, yeah, no, it really wasn't.

00:30:35.000 He wasn't rounding people up and arresting them.

00:30:39.000 I distinctly remember the opposite happening and cities being burned down, spurred on by Democrats, Kamala Harris, word for word.

00:30:44.000 You're not going to convince people because they've lived it.

00:30:48.000 And so you shoot yourselves in the foot.

00:30:50.000 So by all means, please keep doing it.

00:30:52.000 And we've lived yours.

00:30:53.000 And we've seen the silencing.

00:30:55.000 And it's not just you doing it.

00:30:57.000 We've seen Mark Zuckerberg apologize for capitulating.

00:31:00.000 We've seen the Twitter files from Elon Musk.

00:31:01.000 He felt so compelled to do it.

00:31:03.000 Because of the bias that he saw in the media malpractice, and now you vilify him and sue him with your weaponizing of the justice system.

00:31:11.000 Let's look at this really quickly, by the way.

00:31:13.000 Here's why the left has a greater vested interest in silencing voices of dissent.

00:31:18.000 Once upon a time, ABC, NBC, CBS, CNN. Okay?

00:31:21.000 They had control over everything.

00:31:23.000 You can add MSNBC, CNBC, Fox News, slightly more conservative.

00:31:26.000 Okay.

00:31:26.000 They had a stranglehold on it.

00:31:29.000 Now, it's the opposite.

00:31:31.000 When it's a playing field of ideas, and you're not dealing with an algorithm, you're not dealing with one of the five multimedia conglomerates who dump their advertising into YouTube and Google so they can silence voices of dissent, when it was an open platform, guess what?

00:31:44.000 Right-leaning people win.

00:31:47.000 Freedom-oriented people win.

00:31:49.000 Let's compare.

00:31:51.000 Trump on Rogan, 37 million views.

00:31:54.000 And by the way, that's while it was throttled.

00:31:56.000 If you search Joe Rogan, Donald Trump, it doesn't come up.

00:31:59.000 They uploaded it to X this morning because it was so bad.

00:32:03.000 1.8 million likes to 40,000 dislikes.

00:32:06.000 Kamala Harris, 880,000 views.

00:32:09.000 Likes, 38,000.

00:32:10.000 To dislikes, 110,000.

00:32:14.000 Of course, of course she would want to silence voices of dissent.

00:32:18.000 Because it's embarrassing.

00:32:20.000 When the people speak, you are embarrassed.

00:32:24.000 And rightfully so.

00:32:25.000 They used to control everything.

00:32:28.000 They used to control every single media hit.

00:32:30.000 Whether you got the Hunter Biden laptop story, that's just what you saw.

00:32:33.000 People didn't even realize it with Walter Cronkite, Brian Williams.

00:32:36.000 You thought that Larry King was my god, an actual journalist.

00:32:39.000 Kamala Harris tried to control it with Rogan. 0.75

00:32:41.000 She tried to say, I'll do your show, but only if you come out to me.

00:32:46.000 And we'll only do one hour.

00:32:48.000 Look, you've had all this time to do Joe Rogan.

00:32:50.000 You know what his show is?

00:32:51.000 I did his show one time.

00:32:52.000 It was five hours.

00:32:53.000 I've never had to pee.

00:32:54.000 I had to pee so badly.

00:32:56.000 When I went to the bathroom afterwards, I couldn't start peeing because I think it pinched my valve.

00:33:00.000 She tried to censor a Rogan interview before she even got the opportunity to do it?

00:33:04.000 Yes!

00:33:04.000 Also, Joe Rogan can't be high everywhere you are, Kamala Harris.

00:33:07.000 That's not legal.

00:33:08.000 Exactly.

00:33:11.000 He doesn't want to get thrown in jail by you.

00:33:13.000 It's just an elaborate sting operation.

00:33:15.000 Yes, it's what it is.

00:33:17.000 And so, of course, we know that they silence voices.

00:33:20.000 They try to do it.

00:33:21.000 She's tried to do it now.

00:33:22.000 And they have a vested interest.

00:33:23.000 Because independent voices do better than the voices that can be controlled.

00:33:27.000 And of course, Kamala kept lying about Donald Trump on everything from racism to Project 2025 and Mr.

00:33:33.000 Shay Shay allowed it to go.

00:33:35.000 I don't believe we should be taking anybody's guns away.

00:33:38.000 Yes, you do.

00:33:38.000 He wants to terminate the Constitution of the United States.

00:33:40.000 He does not. 0.97

00:33:41.000 Denied rent to black families who took out that full-page ad in the New York Times calling for the execution of those children. 0.98

00:33:49.000 Wrong. 0.98

00:33:50.000 Who...

00:33:50.000 Birtherism accusations against the first black president.

00:33:54.000 Not to mention his...

00:33:56.000 Please, ask folks to Google Project 2025.

00:34:00.000 Yeah.

00:34:00.000 He would get rid of the $35 a month cap on insulin.

00:34:04.000 We know how many of our seniors had it.

00:34:07.000 Oh, okay. 1.00

00:34:08.000 I get why you only want to do an hour because it would take far longer just to fact check your bullshit. 1.00

00:34:13.000 But look, let me show you. 0.99

00:34:14.000 It can actually be done really quickly.

00:34:16.000 It's time for a rapid fire fact check.

00:34:19.000 Fact check.

00:34:21.000 Okay, everything you just heard right there.

00:34:24.000 Kamala Harris has a very long...

00:34:26.000 We're just gonna gloss over the final gunshot.

00:34:29.000 Yes, I got a rapid fire.

00:34:30.000 Sorry, sorry, sorry.

00:34:31.000 Okay.

00:34:33.000 Billy the Kid.

00:34:33.000 All right.

00:34:34.000 Number one.

00:34:35.000 Okay.

00:34:36.000 Connell has a very long record of being against the Second Amendment, and she actually did say that, yes, your guns would be taken away.

00:34:40.000 We've shown you that video clip multiple times.

00:34:42.000 I'm not doing it right now because it's a record fact check.

00:34:43.000 Number two.

00:34:44.000 Records show that the Trump Organization never discriminated on race, never forbid black people from renting.

00:34:49.000 Okay.

00:34:49.000 Number three.

00:34:50.000 Donald Trump's ad never called for the death penalty of the Central Park Five.

00:34:52.000 That is well known.

00:34:53.000 It's not in dispute.

00:34:54.000 Number four.

00:34:55.000 Birthism was originally picked up by Hillary supporters, and then, yes, Donald Trump echoed it, but it came from Hillary first.

00:35:00.000 Number five.

00:35:00.000 Donald Trump disavowed any relationship.

00:35:02.000 The Project 2025 repeatedly has condemned it, said that it's kind of wacky, that the people associated with it are wacky, and he has nothing to do with creating it.

00:35:08.000 And number six, Donald Trump is the originator of the $35 cap on insulin that you are trying to take credit for.

00:35:18.000 This has been the rapid-fire fact check.

00:35:22.000 Fact check.

00:35:24.000 And now... 0.99

00:35:25.000 Find a bullet. 0.98

00:35:27.000 Ha ha ha ha!

00:35:31.000 I'm a real boy.

00:35:32.000 Not anymore.

00:35:36.000 Welcome to public schools.

00:35:39.000 I got no strings to hold me.

00:35:44.000 Why the black trench coat?

00:35:47.000 Mr.

00:35:51.000 Marbles plays Doom.

00:35:54.000 Alright.

00:35:55.000 And now...

00:35:57.000 Remember Doom was going to make you a school shooter back in the day?

00:35:59.000 Yeah.

00:36:00.000 Tipper Gore.

00:36:01.000 And now Cobble is doing an interview sponsored by Call of Duty. 0.83

00:36:06.000 I love Call of Duty Special Ops when I'm not making sex tapes.

00:36:09.000 Nope, it's Black Ops.

00:36:10.000 And by the way, he has nothing to be ashamed of with that.

00:36:12.000 It was just audio. 0.97

00:36:14.000 My point is I'm not going to give him crap for that. 0.99

00:36:15.000 I'm going to give him crap for that crappy interview. 1.00

00:36:16.000 No, give him crap for the cardio. 1.00

00:36:17.000 He was winded. 0.99

00:36:20.000 He could have been embellishing.

00:36:22.000 To hit the treadmill.

00:36:24.000 No, no, no, no, no, no.

00:36:26.000 That's what he said.

00:36:26.000 If it's the right lady, it's a stress test.

00:36:28.000 So let's get to...

00:36:31.000 I just have them incline that treadmill and I keep going.

00:36:34.000 So they have them...

00:36:35.000 How do I get out of this?

00:36:36.000 Let's just...

00:36:37.000 This is fun.

00:36:37.000 You don't.

00:36:38.000 This is fun.

00:36:39.000 There are, of course, many, many accents from...

00:36:40.000 Kamala Harris is a hack in the sense that she doesn't realize she has to sort of smooth it over. 1.00

00:36:45.000 She just goes right into a voice that isn't hers and doesn't realize that everyone's going, what?

00:36:51.000 What happened?

00:36:52.000 What are you doing?

00:36:53.000 That's not how you talk.

00:36:54.000 Here.

00:36:55.000 Part of what we have to help people understand is don't think you're in Donald Trump's club.

00:37:00.000 You're not.

00:37:01.000 Hello to all my divine nine brothers and sisters and my sorority.

00:37:09.000 You better thank a union member for sick leave.

00:37:12.000 You better thank a union member for paid leave.

00:37:15.000 You better thank a union member for vacation time.

00:37:18.000 You may not be a union member, but you better thank unions for that five-day work week.

00:37:24.000 One minute.

00:37:25.000 Thank unions for sick leave. 0.97

00:37:28.000 Thank unions for pay family leave.

00:37:32.000 Thank unions for your vacation time.

00:37:35.000 Have you no empathy, man?

00:37:38.000 You know, for the suffering of other people.

00:37:43.000 Have you no sense of purpose?

00:37:46.000 Oh, it's good to see so many friends.

00:37:49.000 I love you back.

00:37:52.000 With us in government?

00:37:54.000 We campaign with the plan.

00:37:58.000 Uppercase T, uppercase P, the plan.

00:38:01.000 And then the environment is such that we're expected to defend the plan.

00:38:05.000 Weeping may endure for a night, but joy cometh in the morning.

00:38:14.000 The path may seem hard, the work may seem heavy, but joy cometh in the morning.

00:38:22.000 And church morning is on its way.

00:38:27.000 Look, she's obviously struggling with her campaign, and we're watching her self-destruct before eyes. 1.00

00:38:33.000 Look, we've all had a meltdown.

00:38:35.000 Everyone has.

00:38:36.000 Everyone here has a meltdown.

00:38:37.000 I've had a meltdown at some point in time, I believe.

00:38:42.000 I've had a meltdown.

00:38:44.000 I didn't see you there.

00:38:45.000 I was wondering about the smell.

00:38:49.000 I had a house.

00:38:52.000 And I had a wife.

00:38:54.000 I had the respect of my community.

00:38:58.000 Suddenly, it was all taken away.

00:39:01.000 My spending caught up with my mortgage rates.

00:39:05.000 I couldn't afford basic supplies.

00:39:09.000 I'm a stress eater, and I knew I hit rock bottom when I found myself blowing another homeless guy for half a box of sugar cubes.

00:39:17.000 You know, you could have gone with them.

00:39:21.000 American financing that could have helped you out with the mortgage.

00:39:26.000 Get out.

00:39:27.000 Can I take this?

00:39:28.000 Take what?

00:39:29.000 The gun?

00:39:31.000 No.

00:39:32.000 No, what are you going to use it for?

00:39:35.000 Scrap?

00:39:37.000 Okay, that's fine.

00:39:38.000 You can take it.

00:39:40.000 Sad.

00:39:42.000 They took the stand, too?

00:39:44.000 Well, I guess it's all metal.

00:39:46.000 Look.

00:39:50.000 Americanfinancing.net.

00:39:51.000 It's a great company, American Financing.

00:39:53.000 There are no upfront fees.

00:39:54.000 You can close in 10 days.

00:39:55.000 You can save $800 a month on average.

00:39:58.000 Call today.

00:39:58.000 And I needed that.

00:40:02.000 800-974-6500.

00:40:06.000 And you can go to AmericanFinancing.net.

00:40:08.000 You know more about the financial stuff than I do.

00:40:09.000 Yeah, so you have to say this weird number.

00:40:11.000 NMLS 182334.

00:40:13.000 Was it National Moran Logos?

00:40:15.000 We have to say that?

00:40:16.000 NMLS 182334.

00:40:17.000 Why do we have to say that?

00:40:19.000 NMLS 182334.

00:40:21.000 But what about it?

00:40:21.000 Why are we saying that?

00:40:22.000 Because it's a number.

00:40:23.000 And the government says so.

00:40:25.000 Oh, we have to say that number?

00:40:27.000 I already did.

00:40:27.000 Several times.

00:40:29.000 NMLS 182334.

00:40:31.000 1-82334. 1.00

00:40:32.000 Go f*** yourself, government. 1.00

00:40:33.000 Okay. 1.00

00:40:34.000 And he's gone.

00:40:35.000 Can we talk about how bad he smelled?

00:40:37.000 Yes.

00:40:37.000 Oh my god.

00:40:37.000 It was really bad.

00:40:38.000 It was so bad.

00:40:39.000 I gotta up security here.

00:40:41.000 Yes, we do.

00:40:42.000 By the way, you saved significantly more than that.

00:40:43.000 I said that earlier, but like, legit.

00:40:45.000 I walked through the process significantly more.

00:40:47.000 Yeah, I know.

00:40:47.000 These guys are very good.

00:40:48.000 I know.

00:40:49.000 I really could have used them, Gerald.

00:40:51.000 No, I'm saying...

00:40:52.000 I got Mike Tyson'd.

00:40:53.000 You didn't.

00:40:54.000 Yet.

00:40:55.000 Do you think...

00:40:56.000 Gotta sell the tigers.

00:40:59.000 LAUGHTER At first I didn't know which tiger, because I had several tigers.

00:41:03.000 I thought, do I sell one whole tiger, or do I sell two half tigers?

00:41:08.000 He would ask a question like that.

00:41:10.000 But then I realized, they die.

00:41:14.000 It's time for our polymarket check-in.

00:41:18.000 Sorry.

00:41:19.000 Sorry, I know there's some news.

00:41:20.000 It's fine, it's fine.

00:41:25.000 All right.

00:41:26.000 So one week until the election. 1.00

00:41:28.000 Crap. 1.00

00:41:28.000 And it's a third. 1.00

00:41:32.000 Am I seeing that right?

00:41:33.000 A third.

00:41:34.000 A third.

00:41:35.000 33%?

00:41:36.000 Yeah.

00:41:37.000 33.1.

00:41:38.000 Now, again, this is a lot of crypto people betting, but you can look at all the other betting markets out there, too, and you can see it tracks pretty damn well.

00:41:45.000 Yeah, a lot of people are betting on this election, and we're about to get into a segment here with some new data, some new early voting numbers that would...

00:41:52.000 Leave that up.

00:41:52.000 Here's the problem.

00:41:53.000 That's...

00:41:54.000 They're going to be saying Trump is Satan now, and this is signs of it.

00:41:58.000 666. 0.77

00:41:58.000 Oh, jeez. 0.77

00:41:59.000 We're screwed. 0.99

00:42:00.000 Oh, jeez. 0.98

00:42:01.000 Somebody bet him up or down really quickly.

00:42:03.000 Get him off that six. 0.93

00:42:04.000 Well, you know what?

00:42:05.000 Bet him up or down.

00:42:07.000 I'm hoping people are reasonable and understand that the Antichrist wouldn't want us to kill less babies.

00:42:13.000 Yeah.

00:42:13.000 You know what, that's true.

00:42:14.000 He's a bad Antichrist.

00:42:15.000 Yeah, yeah, yeah.

00:42:16.000 He would be very bad at his job as the Antichrist. 0.81

00:42:19.000 He's also a bad dictator.

00:42:20.000 Yeah, he's not a very good dictator.

00:42:21.000 He's failed at a lot of things.

00:42:22.000 Yeah, well, no.

00:42:23.000 He wants to let people keep their guns.

00:42:24.000 I know.

00:42:25.000 It's like rule number one.

00:42:26.000 Don't let the people keep their guns, dude.

00:42:27.000 I know, I know.

00:42:28.000 He doesn't follow rule number one for a dictator or rule number one for Antichrist. 1.00

00:42:32.000 Kill babies. 0.98

00:42:32.000 That's like number one rule for Antichrist. 0.98

00:42:34.000 It's got to be top three.

00:42:36.000 Top five.

00:42:36.000 Top five?

00:42:36.000 This has been the Polymarket Check-In.

00:42:42.000 That was Noodle's personal chat he's got going on.

00:42:45.000 So really, hold on.

00:42:46.000 So what I almost went to on accident was J.D. Vance potentially will sit with Joe Rogan for an interview tomorrow on his podcast.

00:42:53.000 Expected to drop later this week.

00:42:55.000 Be taped at, surprise, his studio in Austin.

00:42:58.000 Oh, wow.

00:42:59.000 Where he can get high.

00:43:01.000 Also where it's his studio and it's his show.

00:43:04.000 And he wants to record it at his...

00:43:06.000 Has he ever done it remote lately?

00:43:08.000 I don't know, maybe.

00:43:09.000 He's never done remote as far as I know.

00:43:11.000 It's just ridiculous to demand something of a show that didn't even want you in the first place.

00:43:15.000 Like, he doesn't need it.

00:43:16.000 Right.

00:43:17.000 By the way, he tweeted out, he's been very...

00:43:19.000 Or posted on X. He's been very kind about it, saying she didn't refuse.

00:43:22.000 I'm not going to travel.

00:43:23.000 I think the best way to do it is in the studio.

00:43:25.000 I understand why she's doing that.

00:43:27.000 I understand her handlers want to control the environment.

00:43:30.000 Sure.

00:43:30.000 She sat down with Shay Shay.

00:43:31.000 Where do you think he is?

00:43:33.000 Yeah, but she sat down with him for one hour.

00:43:34.000 Yeah, it doesn't matter, but she went to him.

00:43:36.000 Right.

00:43:36.000 That's my point.

00:43:37.000 She's gone to other places.

00:43:39.000 Why aren't you willing to get on a plane, come to Texas?

00:43:41.000 Well, look. 0.99

00:43:42.000 The white man is the biggest danger to it. 0.99

00:43:43.000 Who among us can resist the gravitational pull that is the charm of Mr. 0.97

00:43:48.000 Shay?

00:43:49.000 Of Western Wisconsin trying to rally votes?

00:43:52.000 Like...

00:43:52.000 You don't think going on Joe Rogan would have a bigger impact?

00:43:55.000 The only reason you don't cancel your entire day is that you know it would be a train wreck.

00:44:00.000 And don't you love how people are saying, oh, she's scared of Donald Trump. 0.59

00:44:02.000 He's not doing press.

00:44:03.000 I was like, hold on a second.

00:44:04.000 He did the North American Black Journalists Conference.

00:44:08.000 You didn't show up.

00:44:09.000 He did that months ago.

00:44:10.000 He did two debates on unfriendly networks.

00:44:13.000 And he did three hours on Joe Rogan at his studio.

00:44:16.000 You did one hour.

00:44:17.000 Very likely edited with Shay.

00:44:19.000 I don't believe it was live.

00:44:20.000 Did she go on Fox News for a town hall? 0.65

00:44:22.000 No, he did go on CNN with Caitlin Collins for a town hall, though.

00:44:25.000 He has gone into the lion's den over and over.

00:44:27.000 She did an interview with Brett Baer, though, but she showed up 15 minutes late and only gave him 25 minutes.

00:44:32.000 Filibustered every answer. 1.00

00:44:33.000 Yeah, and cried about it afterwards.

00:44:35.000 So that might be the reason that we're seeing what we are seeing here as far as the early voting, as far as some numbers, the polling averages.

00:44:43.000 So look, this is going to be my last pitch to you before election night.

00:44:48.000 We have a documentary making of series for the next three days.

00:44:51.000 Between now and then, I'll be on Alex Jones, Dan Bongino, Pierce Morgan, I believe other shows to follow, so you can follow me on X. We have a lot of pressure testing to do here.

00:44:59.000 It is going to be, I mean, my guess is at least, even if it's an early night, 12 hours, I would imagine.

00:45:05.000 So, none of this happens without you.

00:45:08.000 The election livestream of the century is entirely supported by you.

00:45:12.000 Mug Club.

00:45:13.000 $89 annually.

00:45:13.000 You can go mugless for $9 a month.

00:45:15.000 We are going to have the election integrity map.

00:45:18.000 I believe it's electionintegritymap.com that we have for you where you can actually go and see the states, just like any other electoral map, but see the updates, see us call states, dispute states, as well as see the work of our investigative journalists on the ground, an army of thousands of volunteers.

00:45:33.000 If anything happens, Out of the ordinary.

00:45:36.000 If anything that is suspicious, like, I don't know, a pipe bursting, or I don't know, Bristol boards over a voting precinct, or I don't know, not being able to process votes for hours at a time in distinctly red areas like you saw in Arizona.

00:45:47.000 If any of that happens, we will have boots on the ground right there at that moment in time, and you do not need to tune in to CNN or Fox News anymore to rely on them.

00:45:55.000 You don't have to pick between entertaining and having the data.

00:45:58.000 We have everything they have and more.

00:46:01.000 And we're not going to call Arizona with 0.00045 of the vote in.

00:46:06.000 We're not going to do that.

00:46:07.000 We are going to have cross streams, the biggest streams out there, guests, some surprise guests, by the way, drinking game rules.

00:46:13.000 I mean, it's going to be the place to be, and it's been a multi-million dollar undertaking.

00:46:17.000 Only happens.

00:46:18.000 And you know what?

00:46:19.000 if you haven't joined, hey, tune in election night.

00:46:22.000 You can line us up with everyone else, including the networks that are spending many, many tens of millions of dollars just in the host salaries for that evening, and then pick the place you want to watch.

00:46:33.000 Tune in here, Rumble, or YouTube, the election live stream of the century, Rumble on Rumble.

00:46:37.000 It's like nothing we've ever done.

00:46:39.000 So now let's get into where we are with this election.

00:46:43.000 It is exactly one week, one week away.

00:46:47.000 And the polls are as tight as they can be, but don't believe me.

00:46:53.000 Believe Max Holloway.

00:46:54.000 We'll make it make sense.

00:46:55.000 Look, how many ways can you say close, tight, even?

00:46:59.000 Essentially even.

00:47:00.000 And that is where this is.

00:47:03.000 It's really as simple as that.

00:47:05.000 Look, the national number here, plus one Harris, that's effectively even.

00:47:10.000 That is, as you said, as tight as it's been.

00:47:12.000 Thanks for breaking it down.

00:47:13.000 Yes.

00:47:14.000 This is everyone's vote counts and everyone's opinion counts in the nation, but there are seven battleground states that will swing the electoral college.

00:47:23.000 That decides the presidency.

00:47:25.000 So you look across them as a composite.

00:47:26.000 He did it.

00:47:27.000 Point to the numbers.

00:47:28.000 That is even.

00:47:29.000 In fact, if you look at each one of those states, our CBS estimates has each of them effectively even.

00:47:35.000 I don't necessarily even know where he's getting those numbers, so let me give you a snapshot here.

00:47:41.000 The RCP national average right now has Trump up by about 0.2%.

00:47:46.000 That's awesome.

00:47:48.000 That means the national popular vote.

00:47:51.000 That is why if you are in New York, if you are in California, if you are in Florida, if you are in Texas, if you are in Oklahoma, if you are in a state where you say, well, my vote doesn't matter, guess what?

00:47:58.000 That popular vote does because the left loses that moral high ground of the mandate of the masses.

00:48:04.000 We have an electoral college for a reason, but they always try and usurp that. 0.96

00:48:07.000 Yes, the only poll, by the way, that had Harris plus one in the last eight or nine polls on there was his network that he was on.

00:48:14.000 That's where he got the number, plus one.

00:48:16.000 That was it.

00:48:17.000 Every other poll has Trump up.

00:48:18.000 Yes.

00:48:19.000 Wait, which one?

00:48:19.000 Which one did you decide?

00:48:20.000 The CBS poll is the only poll that had Harris up plus one, and that's what he was quoting.

00:48:23.000 It's like, Harris is plus one.

00:48:25.000 Oh, okay.

00:48:25.000 Every other poll.

00:48:26.000 Pull the RCP average.

00:48:28.000 Look at that.

00:48:29.000 Oh, what's that Harris one up there?

00:48:31.000 I didn't see the TPP. Come on.

00:48:33.000 It's a small screen.

00:48:34.000 All right.

00:48:34.000 Okay, that still just came out.

00:48:36.000 Boot point.

00:48:36.000 I was trying to save you, Gerald.

00:48:38.000 Gerald's having an argument with himself out there.

00:48:39.000 All right, guys.

00:48:40.000 Everyone.

00:48:40.000 Focus.

00:48:41.000 Damn it. 1.00

00:48:41.000 The fight's out there. 1.00

00:48:43.000 So.

00:48:44.000 Nate Silver's aggregate has Kamala up by 0.9%.

00:48:48.000 That is not good.

00:48:49.000 The polls in general are extremely close, but the swing states and where we've seen early voting and where we here have some exclusive data to present to you is where things get interesting.

00:49:00.000 Let's get to poll watching.

00:49:01.000 I forgot about that.

00:49:01.000 Every time.

00:49:02.000 I know Gerald is right there.

00:49:03.000 I know Gerald is right there.

00:49:17.000 Where do I sign up?

00:49:19.000 I'm a stripper. 0.99

00:49:21.000 What I want you to see, too, is because numbers don't exist in a vacuum.

00:49:25.000 Before we get to the states, let's look at the RCP polling from the last three election cycles.

00:49:29.000 Bring that up.

00:49:30.000 Do you see this?

00:49:32.000 Can you guys zoom in a little bit?

00:49:33.000 No one can see that.

00:49:34.000 What is this?

00:49:35.000 Can someone give me the Trump?

00:49:36.000 Trump is up in pretty much every single RCP average as far as swing states.

00:49:42.000 Does that have the swing states in there?

00:49:44.000 I can barely see it.

00:49:46.000 Guys, send us another one so we can do it while we do this show.

00:49:48.000 What do you want?

00:49:52.000 What's this?

00:49:53.000 It's state and national polling averages and how they've changed over time.

00:49:57.000 What?

00:49:58.000 Change from last week up top.

00:50:00.000 No, no, no.

00:50:00.000 Give me 2016, 2020.

00:50:03.000 And now, as far as the numbers with the RCP averages of swing states, period, guys.

00:50:08.000 What happened?

00:50:09.000 It was one thing we didn't review and run through because we were pouring through the data that we have to get to the state, but that one's on us.

00:50:15.000 All right.

00:50:16.000 The point is, Donald Trump was down in all those swing states with the RCP averages in 2016 and in 2020, both Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, and he's up in all of them.

00:50:25.000 So even if he's only up...

00:50:26.000 By 0.2%, by 1.5%, depending on the state.

00:50:29.000 Everywhere from North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona.

00:50:31.000 The margin is he's up by, right now, 0.2% to under 2%.

00:50:37.000 Well on the margin of error.

00:50:38.000 But he was outside of the margin of error in both of the last national elections.

00:50:44.000 In all of these swing states, and he outperformed those polls.

00:50:49.000 People are saying this election is not like other elections.

00:50:51.000 That's true.

00:50:51.000 But that does matter.

00:50:53.000 You do have to understand that at the worst, he performs right on track with his polls.

00:50:58.000 He usually outperforms it by anywhere from two to four points.

00:51:01.000 Okay, so let's look at this.

00:51:04.000 Over the last month, every single swing state has trended Republican, too.

00:51:09.000 So not only did it switch, it's been consistently trending.

00:51:13.000 And the momentum is so heavily in Donald Trump's favor that Kamala's campaign is begging women to, this is a real thing, lie to their husbands and vote for her. 1.00

00:51:27.000 Your turn, honey.

00:51:28.000 In the one place in America where women still have a right to choose. 1.00

00:51:34.000 Wait, pause, pause, pause, pause. 0.99

00:51:36.000 Are we supposed to believe that if she walks in and says, how'd you vote, she's Kamala Harris, he's going to beat the shit out of her? 0.99

00:51:42.000 I think so. 0.99

00:51:43.000 Is that the implication?

00:51:44.000 How'd you vote, sweetie?

00:51:46.000 You like the freezer in the basement? 0.90

00:51:48.000 By the way, that guy's, that's supposed to be the crazy guy that has an American flag and an eagle on his head.

00:51:53.000 It's like, that's, yes, pro-American, yes. 0.77

00:51:55.000 Oh, you mean the kind of neighbor I do want?

00:51:57.000 Yes, exactly.

00:51:59.000 No, I need a BLM hat.

00:52:00.000 It almost looks like a veteran hat, you know?

00:52:02.000 Yes!

00:52:02.000 It's the one place where the woman has the right to choose.

00:52:06.000 Really?

00:52:07.000 Let me ask you.

00:52:09.000 What kind of car did they drive to their voting location in?

00:52:13.000 Were they driving a classic Corvette or a Camaro?

00:52:17.000 Or were they driving a minivan or an SUV that was a reasonable compromise?

00:52:20.000 What are you guys eating for dinner?

00:52:22.000 Are you eating something that might be bad for his cholesterol because he looks like he likes cheese?

00:52:26.000 Or are you going to be eating a nice salad spread or a charcuterie?

00:52:29.000 Really?

00:52:30.000 Hey, I noticed you're wearing jewelry.

00:52:32.000 Like, it's the only place a woman gets to choose. 1.00

00:52:35.000 The left actually believes this.

00:52:37.000 Yeah, you remember that old Burger King slogan, have it your way or your husband's way only?

00:52:41.000 Yes, exactly.

00:52:42.000 I think he picked her wardrobe.

00:52:44.000 Yes.

00:52:45.000 Hold the pickles, hold the lettuce, swollen eyes don't upset us when you have it your way.

00:52:49.000 Let's watch the ad.

00:52:50.000 In the one place in America where women still have a right to choose. 1.00

00:52:55.000 He's not looking.

00:52:57.000 You can vote any way you want.

00:53:00.000 And no one will ever know.

00:53:04.000 Hey, mind your business.

00:53:07.000 Did you make the right choice?

00:53:09.000 Sure did, honey.

00:53:10.000 Remember, what happens in the booth stays in the booth.

00:53:13.000 Vote Harris-Waltz.

00:53:15.000 Vote Common Good is responsible for the contents of this ad.

00:53:18.000 What happens in the booth stays in the booth.

00:53:20.000 The title of Diddy's latest album, actually.

00:53:23.000 Oh, what?

00:53:25.000 It's the boy Diddy.

00:53:27.000 He'd still be going to jail.

00:53:29.000 He did it everywhere. 1.00

00:53:30.000 Vote because the opponent has a vagina. 1.00

00:53:32.000 Everything is divisive from the left. 1.00

00:53:34.000 Everything is.

00:53:35.000 They want to divide husband from wife. 0.90

00:53:37.000 They want to divide male from female. 0.99

00:53:39.000 They want to divide Hispanic from white, white from black, white, poor from rich.

00:53:43.000 It's all identity politics.

00:53:46.000 They're hoping that that woman goes home with her husband and they have an argument.

00:53:49.000 That's what this ad is for.

00:53:51.000 It is designed to create an argument in the household. 0.96

00:53:54.000 Screw you.

00:53:57.000 Domestic violence is on the rise. 0.99

00:53:59.000 It's on the rise, yes.

00:54:01.000 And I'm sure many of them take place in the car outside the voting booth.

00:54:06.000 Can't believe you didn't vote like I told you! 0.84

00:54:09.000 Insane, dude.

00:54:10.000 Never happens.

00:54:14.000 Okay.

00:54:15.000 I don't know if you know, the good thing is women can vote in this country. 1.00

00:54:18.000 Not the same in a lot of Muslim countries there where they actually do beat the shit out of you. 1.00

00:54:23.000 That's if you learn to drive stick. 0.99

00:54:23.000 Wow, that's why. 0.99

00:54:25.000 Now, Donald Trump, to be clear, has many paths to victory in this election.

00:54:31.000 We'll go through it on election night.

00:54:32.000 But most likely is, you know, if he wins Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, he can win any Rust Belt state.

00:54:39.000 Any Rust Belt State.

00:54:40.000 That includes Wisconsin, Michigan, or Pennsylvania.

00:54:43.000 And I believe, depending on how you massage some of those numbers, if he wins Pennsylvania, it's enough.

00:54:48.000 Now...

00:54:49.000 Another potential path is if people say Nevada is inconsequential.

00:54:55.000 If he wins Nevada, for example, Arizona, Nevada, and there's an upset state, something like a Virginia or a Minnesota, New Hampshire wouldn't quite be enough, but it could make the path much more difficult for Kamala because she would actually have to get all of the Rust Belt states. 1.00

00:55:12.000 Really, it comes down to this.

00:55:13.000 He needs one.

00:55:15.000 She needs all of the Rust Belt states to win. 1.00

00:55:17.000 Assuming there isn't some other major upset which very well could happen.

00:55:21.000 He has far more paths than she does, but if that blue wall is a thing, as the left has tried to discuss, in other words, if these are not swing states, but 2016 was an anomaly, well, that would be tough.

00:55:21.000 Okay?

00:55:32.000 Doesn't mean it's impossible, but it would be tough.

00:55:35.000 Let's look at where all of these states currently sit.

00:55:37.000 Okay, so I'll give you what you have publicly available, and then some bellwethers that we want to look for.

00:55:42.000 Okay, so Arizona.

00:55:43.000 The RCP average has Trump up 1.5 points.

00:55:47.000 Now, in 2020, it was a tie, even though Biden was up four points in the final polling.

00:55:53.000 Right, at this time in 2020, a week out.

00:55:55.000 Yes, at this time in 2020.

00:55:57.000 Same thing at this time in 2016.

00:56:00.000 They had, I believe Arizona had Trump up 4.1, if I'm not mistaken, right?

00:56:04.000 So in 2016, Clinton was up 1.5.

00:56:07.000 The final ended up being Trump plus 4.

00:56:10.000 So they were way off.

00:56:10.000 Right.

00:56:11.000 Right.

00:56:12.000 I'm sorry.

00:56:12.000 I'm getting confused.

00:56:13.000 Okay, let me make this really, really clear for you.

00:56:15.000 All right.

00:56:16.000 The RCP average right now, today, this moment in time, Trump is up 1.5.

00:56:19.000 Okay?

00:56:20.000 Okay.

00:56:20.000 2020 ended up being a statistical tie.

00:56:22.000 Biden won by 10-something thousand votes, but the final polling had him up four points.

00:56:26.000 In 2016, the final polling had Hillary up 1.5, and Trump won by four points. 0.95

00:56:26.000 Okay. 0.95

00:56:31.000 Now, keep in mind, he has outperformed polling from this time by about 2.6% average in this state of Arizona, meaning Donald Trump has consistently outperformed the polling, and for the first time, he's ahead.

00:56:46.000 In the pre-election polling.

00:56:47.000 Okay?

00:56:48.000 Does that make sense?

00:56:48.000 Donald Trump wins Arizona, his chances of winning the election go up to 73%.

00:56:52.000 Alright.

00:56:53.000 Now here's the trend that we're looking at.

00:56:56.000 One third of Arizona voters here have already cast their votes.

00:57:01.000 In Arizona, this includes mail-in, which favors Democrats, and in-person early voting, which favors Republicans not to the degree that mail-in voting has typically favored Democrats, but a little bit on Election Day historically has favored Republicans.

00:57:16.000 What people are seeing...

00:57:17.000 This year is they think that Republicans won't have a disadvantage or probably have a slight advantage on Election Day voting.

00:57:24.000 And they're actually coming out a little bit more for in-person early voting, not mail-in voting.

00:57:29.000 So right now we have one third of Arizona votes that are in mail-in and early in-person voting and Democrats are worried.

00:57:38.000 Right now, nearly 1.5 million votes have been cast, and according to the numbers, 589,000 of them are Republican, and 485,000 are Democratic.

00:57:50.000 Still, percentage-wise, the Democratic turnout is a bit higher, but the Democrats in Arizona start at a big disadvantage.

00:57:58.000 At a big disadvantage.

00:58:00.000 That guy just had a stroke because he went to air.

00:58:03.000 Dear God, I hope not.

00:58:04.000 Yeah.

00:58:05.000 That's a 100,000 vote lead right now for Republicans, which is great.

00:58:11.000 Early voting, look, it doesn't mean all that much because we don't know everything at this point.

00:58:16.000 In a lot of states, for example, we're not going through Michigan because they don't have the same party affiliation.

00:58:20.000 Also, independent votes, just so you know, they can lean left or right depending on the state.

00:58:25.000 So, for example, in Arizona, independent votes tend to lean right, historically.

00:58:29.000 Most other states, they've tended to lean left, but the pre-election polling that we've seen, the pre-voting polling that we've seen, shows that independents this time are leaning significantly more right than they have historically.

00:58:38.000 So we don't want to speculate on that.

00:58:39.000 Let's go to Georgia.

00:58:40.000 All right.

00:58:41.000 So the RCP average with Georgia has Trump up by 2.3 points.

00:58:45.000 Okay?

00:58:47.000 In 2020, at this moment in time, Biden was up by 0.4.

00:58:51.000 Final vote, he ended up winning by 0.3%.

00:58:53.000 That was actually the closest one.

00:58:55.000 It was the closest one where Donald Trump underperformed by 0.1%.

00:58:58.000 That's the worst that we have seen in recent elections.

00:59:01.000 Let's look at 2016.

00:59:02.000 Trump was up by 2.5%, and he actually ended up winning by 5.7%.

00:59:07.000 Okay.

00:59:08.000 So, let's keep in mind that he's right on track with polling in Georgia.

00:59:13.000 He's outperformed it if you take one year and average it out by like 1.6%, but let's just call it he's performing about on par with the polls.

00:59:20.000 He's ahead by a significant number right now.

00:59:23.000 Okay, within the margin of error.

00:59:24.000 If he wins Georgia, his chance of winning the election goes to 76.2%.

00:59:28.000 All right.

00:59:31.000 Here's a trend that we want you to look for, and this comes from us here exclusively.

00:59:34.000 We have access to a lot of voting data that other people don't, and we'll be providing this to you live, again, on election night, Tuesday, 6 p.m.

00:59:42.000 Early voting.

00:59:42.000 Eastern.

00:59:43.000 You're seeing that white voters are outvoting black voters by 36%.

00:59:47.000 Wow.

00:59:48.000 That's up from a 32% gap in 2020.

00:59:52.000 That's pretty significant.

00:59:53.000 That's also exclusive data, I believe, for us.

00:59:53.000 That's pretty significant.

00:59:56.000 Yes, it is exclusive data that we are presenting.

00:59:58.000 You can bring up that overlay really quickly.

01:00:00.000 They just sent it.

01:00:01.000 Yeah, we're looking at this and we're going through some data right now, voter rolls, seeing what information is out there.

01:00:06.000 So that's a 4% increase as far as that gap.

01:00:09.000 Yeah.

01:00:10.000 Now, it does matter.

01:00:11.000 It may matter less than people think.

01:00:13.000 Because, obviously, Georgia has a lot of black voters. 0.97

01:00:16.000 And, historically, they have been Democrat.

01:00:17.000 Obviously, when you're talking about Barack Obama.

01:00:20.000 But then, even with Joe Biden, Joe Biden performed better with black Americans than you're seeing, ironically, Kamala perform with black Americans.

01:00:29.000 Certainly black males.

01:00:31.000 So, if you shave off some of that black vote to Donald Trump, or they don't show up to vote because they don't like Kamala Harris, which is We're good to go. 0.89

01:00:55.000 Let's go to North Carolina.

01:00:56.000 This is the one that I know I have been most worried about.

01:00:58.000 I don't know why it's something that has just rubbed me the wrong way for the last few years.

01:01:02.000 I know a lot of people moving from New York to North Carolina.

01:01:06.000 I feel like the Democrats have made a very aggressive push.

01:01:09.000 Still, if you think I'm crazy, all right, fine.

01:01:12.000 I'm more concerned about North Carolina than Arizona, to be clear.

01:01:16.000 The RCP average has Trump up by 0.8%.

01:01:19.000 One thing you notice, too, with North Carolina is those polls do not oscillate a whole lot.

01:01:23.000 They're very, very, very consistent this election time, which makes me think they're probably relatively close.

01:01:28.000 Let's look at 2020.

01:01:30.000 Biden, at this point, was up by 0.6%.

01:01:32.000 The final vote was Donald Trump by 1.3%.

01:01:35.000 Yeah, good outcome there.

01:01:37.000 2016, Clinton polling up by 3 points.

01:01:41.000 Final vote, Trump won by 3.6 points.

01:01:43.000 Which means that in North Carolina, Trump has outperformed a polling by 4.2% on average.

01:01:49.000 4.2% in the last elections.

01:01:51.000 What I want you to do is take the outperformance of his polls, Donald Trump, cut them in half.

01:01:57.000 Cut them in half.

01:01:58.000 You're still outside of the margin of error for a Trump win in most of these swing states.

01:02:01.000 Especially because he's leading in all of these polls.

01:02:04.000 Right.

01:02:05.000 So if he outperforms statistically, he's going to go even higher.

01:02:08.000 But again, only if people show up and vote.

01:02:10.000 Yes.

01:02:10.000 So if he wins North Carolina, his chances of winning the election, then boom, they go to 80%.

01:02:13.000 If we look at Michigan, we don't have any real early voting data right now in Michigan because they don't have the same kind of metrics as far as party affiliation.

01:02:23.000 But let's look at the RCP average.

01:02:25.000 Donald Trump right now is up 0.2%.

01:02:27.000 Okay.

01:02:28.000 In 2020, Biden was up 8.2%.

01:02:30.000 Jeez.

01:02:31.000 The final vote was Biden by 2.8%.

01:02:34.000 That's so off.

01:02:34.000 How can they be so wrong in Michigan?

01:02:36.000 Well, and in 2016, you remember, you were there.

01:02:38.000 I know, we were.

01:02:38.000 In my den in Michigan.

01:02:39.000 I had to eat my words.

01:02:41.000 I said, Donald Trump will not win Michigan because the unions here and the state legislature will not allow for it to happen.

01:02:47.000 It's a very, very corrupt state.

01:02:48.000 I was wrong.

01:02:49.000 I've never been so happy to be wrong, but I said he will absolutely not.

01:02:53.000 I thought he would win Pennsylvania and Wisconsin perhaps before Michigan.

01:02:56.000 Yeah.

01:02:57.000 So, 2016 Clinton was up by 7 points in the polling.

01:03:01.000 Final vote?

01:03:02.000 That's a walk-off.

01:03:04.000 Final vote in 2016, Trump won by 0.3%.

01:03:06.000 So in Michigan, keep in mind, Trump has outperformed his polling by 6.3% on average, if you're going to compare apples to apples.

01:03:16.000 If he wins Michigan, his chances of winning the election go up 92%.

01:03:20.000 Here is an interesting trend, though.

01:03:22.000 Even though we don't have a lot of early voting data from Michigan, on Saturday, Donald Trump actually received the endorsement of Muslim leaders in Michigan.

01:03:30.000 And considering how close it is, this might be enough to tip it.

01:03:33.000 We as Muslims stand with President Trump because he promises peace.

01:03:39.000 He promises peace, not war.

01:03:41.000 We are supporting Donald Trump.

01:03:45.000 I hope their pagers don't go off.

01:03:46.000 Because he promised to end war in the Middle East and Ukraine.

01:03:50.000 I believe personally that God has saved his life for a reason, which is to save the lives of others.

01:03:59.000 And they don't even care that his son-in-law is a Jew.

01:04:02.000 So, he's received endorsements as well from Muslim mayors, Dearborn Heights, Hamtramck.

01:04:07.000 Isn't that the one where you said you could hear the call to prayer?

01:04:10.000 I believe at one point it was the only city in the United States where you could hear the call to prayer across the city.

01:04:14.000 Minneapolis has now joined them.

01:04:16.000 This would have been unheard of, by the way, to think of Muslim Americans supporting the Republican Party. 0.98

01:04:22.000 I can't believe they're supporting a racist, misogynist, xenophobic. 0.95

01:04:25.000 I mean, just name all the things. 0.70

01:04:27.000 That's incredible.

01:04:27.000 And by the way, really quickly, just as a disclaimer, when we say exclusive, we're not saying that this data is only available to us.

01:04:33.000 The analysis is available only to us because we're breaking these numbers down and putting it into a form you can understand.

01:04:39.000 Yes.

01:04:39.000 And we will have this all of election night because I know that it's really hard to kind of parse through early voting data.

01:04:44.000 For example, in Nevada, everyone's trying to get your clicks so they use different numbers.

01:04:48.000 Some people use the numbers of the percentage point slide.

01:04:51.000 Some people use the numbers of comparing it to the last election cycle.

01:04:54.000 Some people use the numbers of the gap.

01:04:56.000 And you're like, well, hold on a second.

01:04:56.000 Who's winning the early voting and how does it compare to last time?

01:04:59.000 I think that's what you most want, right?

01:05:01.000 Please let me know because that'll determine how we best equip you on election night.

01:05:05.000 I believe the most important metrics is...

01:05:08.000 Okay, the two most important metrics.

01:05:09.000 Who's winning, and how does it compare to last time?

01:05:13.000 That's what you need.

01:05:14.000 That's what we're trying to give you.

01:05:15.000 How many votes did Russia bring in?

01:05:17.000 Yeah, they spent a few dollars on Facebook ads.

01:05:20.000 There you go.

01:05:21.000 Wisconsin, the land of drunks and cheese.

01:05:24.000 So the RCP average, 49 of the 50 drunkest counties, it's not even close.

01:05:29.000 It's a walk-off.

01:05:30.000 It's not an insult.

01:05:31.000 They're proud of it.

01:05:32.000 They don't have a problem with it.

01:05:33.000 They're very cool.

01:05:34.000 They just walk in and they just ignore their doctors.

01:05:37.000 I think they ignore their doctors.

01:05:41.000 He said that over 14 drinks there is a heavy drinker.

01:05:45.000 Those are more guidelines!

01:05:47.000 Yeah, don't worry.

01:05:48.000 Nobody follows that!

01:05:50.000 Don't worry about it.

01:05:51.000 I got a box of friends here in the fridge.

01:05:54.000 How dare you?

01:05:57.000 The RCP average right now has Donald Trump up by 0.3%.

01:06:01.000 Well within the margin of error.

01:06:03.000 But what happened the last elections?

01:06:05.000 Biden, 2020, at this point was up by 6.7%.

01:06:09.000 The final vote?

01:06:10.000 Biden won by 0.6%.

01:06:13.000 Okay.

01:06:14.000 2016, Clinton was up by 3% when he looked at the polling before the vote.

01:06:18.000 The final vote, Trump won by 1%, which means that Donald Trump has outperformed in the last two election cycles an average of 5%.

01:06:27.000 And it matters because you're seeing it two election cycles with most of these states.

01:06:31.000 Maybe one is six, seven points, and maybe one is three, four points, but it's still two election cycles, and for the first time in some of these swing states, he's actually up In the pre-vote polling.

01:06:41.000 This is good news.

01:06:43.000 This is definitely good news.

01:06:44.000 I just wonder how they get it so wrong in Michigan and Wisconsin.

01:06:48.000 That's six and five point different.

01:06:49.000 Those are giant swings from what the polling says.

01:06:52.000 Huge swings.

01:06:53.000 I think they poll, you know, who they want to poll.

01:06:55.000 They poll who they want the results from.

01:06:57.000 Yeah.

01:06:58.000 Maybe, Josh, you might have a point there.

01:07:00.000 I mean, it's just these swing states, the states that matter the most.

01:07:03.000 Wouldn't you want polling, like, for example, if you wanted Kamala Harris to win, wouldn't you want to actually skew it the other way to scare Democrats?

01:07:10.000 So I've noticed this.

01:07:11.000 I've noticed this.

01:07:12.000 And this is just my personal experience.

01:07:13.000 I've noticed that conservatives, Republicans, Trump voters are more concerned about people becoming complacent. 0.99

01:07:19.000 So they're probably more likely to lie to a pollster and say, yeah, I'm voting for Kamala Harris because they want the neighbor to get off their ass. 1.00

01:07:25.000 Whereas it seems like the Democrats are real frontrunners. 0.99

01:07:29.000 They're really momentum-based.

01:07:30.000 They're really enthusiasm-based as far as we're winning this thing.

01:07:34.000 They think that's an advantage, whereas I think that a lot of the Trump voters like that role of underdog.

01:07:39.000 I've known a few people who've lied to pollsters.

01:07:42.000 It's not a federal crime.

01:07:42.000 These are private companies calling to poll them, just to be clear.

01:07:45.000 But they're like, yeah, I told them I was voting...

01:07:48.000 You know what I told the pollster?

01:07:49.000 I told him I was voting Harris.

01:07:51.000 It was you, wasn't it?

01:07:52.000 No, it wasn't.

01:07:53.000 I know a guy.

01:07:53.000 But don't tell my wife.

01:07:55.000 That's right.

01:07:55.000 Don't tell my wife.

01:07:56.000 Because I'm not allowed to do what she doesn't tell me.

01:07:58.000 That's right.

01:07:59.000 Otherwise, I'm going to give her a fresh one. 0.77

01:08:00.000 So, Pennsylvania.

01:08:02.000 This is it.

01:08:03.000 Pennsylvania.

01:08:04.000 The RCP average has Donald Trump up by 0.5%.

01:08:07.000 2020 at this point in 2020.

01:08:09.000 Biden was up by 4.3%.

01:08:11.000 Final vote in 2020, Biden won by 1.2.

01:08:14.000 Okay?

01:08:15.000 Again, this is assuming that you believe all of us.

01:08:17.000 Right.

01:08:18.000 2016, the pre-vote polling had Clinton up by 5 points, but Trump won by 1.2 points, which means that Donald Trump in the last two election cycles has outperformed the polling in Pennsylvania by 4.6% on average.

01:08:32.000 If he wins Pennsylvania, his chances go up to 89%, assuming that we don't fill any other swing states.

01:08:37.000 And this brings us to some exclusive analysis of data that you have not seen anywhere else.

01:08:43.000 And we feel quite confident in these being significant bellwethers to watch for on election night.

01:08:51.000 And as we head into it, let's get into the exclusive MoClib data.

01:08:54.000 Oh, that just felt like something went in my ear.

01:09:02.000 It did, yeah.

01:09:03.000 It's the Transformers thing.

01:09:04.000 Yes, it did.

01:09:05.000 Like the Minority Report spider.

01:09:07.000 It's like the Matrix, the thing that goes in his belly.

01:09:09.000 Yes, that's it.

01:09:11.000 So, I'm not saying that Donald Trump is going to win these states.

01:09:15.000 What I'm saying is that some numbers here are actually really surprising metrics that can be applied.

01:09:21.000 Okay, so let's look at Minnesota.

01:09:22.000 Minnesota is very interesting because the RCP average has Kamala up by 4.3%.

01:09:27.000 Okay, 4.3%.

01:09:28.000 That seems very significant.

01:09:29.000 Now, the last time that Minnesota was this close, you know, Bush won the election, Electoral College, I believe it was 286 to 251.

01:09:38.000 He won the popular vote by 3 million.

01:09:41.000 So we're not saying that Donald Trump is going to win Minnesota.

01:09:43.000 We're saying that Minnesota is a pretty strong indicator if it's that close.

01:09:48.000 Because it's a pretty good spread of demographics that are representative of the country.

01:09:52.000 So that's the last time we saw anything this close.

01:09:55.000 I would love to win Minnesota just to stick it to walls even more.

01:09:58.000 I'm not saying it's out of reach.

01:10:00.000 It's unlikely.

01:10:01.000 It's unlikely, but look at the last two elections.

01:10:03.000 Look at the 16 election cycle specifically.

01:10:05.000 Across all of the other three, the Rust Belts that we talked about, it was roughly a five-point difference in what the polling was versus what happened.

01:10:12.000 Right.

01:10:13.000 That's within that margin.

01:10:14.000 It is within that margin.

01:10:15.000 But still, it being even this close, again, takes us back.

01:10:18.000 You're talking quite a few elections, and Bush won the popular vote.

01:10:22.000 New York.

01:10:22.000 Now, I am not amongst the people.

01:10:24.000 I would love for it to be.

01:10:25.000 I don't believe that New York is a swing state, okay?

01:10:29.000 But Kamala is up by 16.5 points in New York. 0.99

01:10:33.000 Hey, that seems really bad.

01:10:34.000 But this is something I want you to look for as a bellwether, and we've run through these numbers.

01:10:38.000 The last time polling was this close in New York, it was 1988.

01:10:41.000 Yeah.

01:10:44.000 And George H.W. Bush won by the Electoral College vote was 426 to 111, and he won the popular vote by 7 million, which back then is absolutely a landslide.

01:10:54.000 That's the last time it was this close.

01:10:56.000 So you think 16.5%, oh my gosh, that's huge.

01:10:59.000 My point is since H.W. Bush, it hasn't been this close.

01:11:04.000 That's the last.

01:11:05.000 Doesn't mean that he's going to win New York.

01:11:07.000 means that it's a very good indicator as to what the sentiment is across the country.

01:11:13.000 You guys understand?

01:11:14.000 Virginia.

01:11:15.000 Let's look at this.

01:11:16.000 This is one that a lot of people think is in play.

01:11:17.000 It could be You know, if I were a betting man, I wouldn't bet on it.

01:11:23.000 Josh already did.

01:11:24.000 But it's absolutely possible.

01:11:26.000 Kamala is up by two points in the latest poll.

01:11:29.000 That's close, man.

01:11:30.000 It is very close, but let's look at the trend.

01:11:32.000 This is the best Republican polling in Virginia since 2004.

01:11:37.000 Since 2004.

01:11:40.000 Meaning, she's up, but...

01:11:43.000 This is the closest number we've seen.

01:11:45.000 The last time a Republican won Virginia, but lost the election was 1996.

01:11:50.000 So we want you to look at these.

01:11:51.000 We want you to look at these numbers that you see in New York.

01:11:53.000 Now these numbers can change.

01:11:54.000 Maybe when we see some of the voting data, maybe Kamala Harris wins by 29 points in New York.

01:12:00.000 Or maybe she doesn't.

01:12:02.000 My point is this.

01:12:03.000 In New York, it shouldn't even be close.

01:12:05.000 Historically, if it's even getting remotely close, if you're not talking 20 points or more, guess what?

01:12:10.000 That means nationally you have a problem, certainly with the popular vote.

01:12:13.000 Talking about Minnesota, it being within really just a handful of points, anytime it's that close, it does not typically go well for Democrats.

01:12:20.000 Same thing with Virginia.

01:12:22.000 So you can look at other states, and this is also why I say, hey, listen, when people say I'm in a state that doesn't matter, yes, it does.

01:12:28.000 In this election, it absolutely does.

01:12:30.000 And the more we look through the data, the more I think, you know what?

01:12:34.000 People didn't see it.

01:12:35.000 Brilliant move by Donald Trump to campaign in places like New York and California because he understands how important it is to put that argument to rest regarding the popular vote and the electoral college.

01:12:46.000 For God's sake, how long do we have to hear Al Gore bitch about winning the popular vote?

01:12:51.000 Oh, yeah, and Hillary Clinton as well. 0.99

01:12:53.000 And it gives the Democrats an excuse to tear the country apart and to demand that we tear apart our institutions like the Electoral College while demanding that we also keep other ones like public education and whatever it is that they want to keep.

01:13:04.000 So...

01:13:06.000 If you have any other questions or tell us what you would like to see most on election night, which numbers matter most to you?

01:13:13.000 What we are doing on election night, again, one more time, we have the election integrity map, electionintegritymap.com.

01:13:17.000 You can go there and see everything that's going on as far as us analyzing calling the states as well as investigative journalism.

01:13:22.000 We do have all of the data from Edison Research, the national election pool via Reuters.

01:13:29.000 Reuters, as well as third-party analysts who can analyze this data better than a lot of people in the legacy networks of on-the-ground reporters.

01:13:37.000 We have real-time data analysis we'll be providing to you.

01:13:40.000 We have cross-streams.

01:13:41.000 We have major guests.

01:13:42.000 We will have drinking game rules, and we will not stop this stream.

01:13:46.000 Well, we can't do it, at least not early on.

01:13:47.000 We will not stop this stream, the election livestream of the century, the Rumble on Rumble, until...

01:13:54.000 You know who the next president of the United States is going to be, and we may have some exciting major announcements to make on election night.

01:14:01.000 It wasn't planned.

01:14:02.000 Seems like it could just be providential.

01:14:04.000 this has been exclusive Mug Club Data moving on yesterday oh this is a fun story too Walls, I guess, broke out another terrible football analogy? 1.00

01:14:21.000 It's idiotic. 1.00

01:14:22.000 Okay, let's see. 1.00

01:14:23.000 This was just sent from Mission Control.

01:14:25.000 Let's see if you can spot the mistake.

01:14:27.000 Eight days to go.

01:14:29.000 This election's already started.

01:14:31.000 People are voting across the country, and so you know what it means.

01:14:34.000 This is where I've got to do it, huddling up a little bit here.

01:14:45.000 What?

Louder with Crowder - October 29, 2024

ONE WEEK LEFT: Everything You Need to Know Ahead of Election 2024

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