Making Sense - Sam Harris - October 25, 2022


#301 — The Politics of Unreality: Ukraine and Nuclear Risk


Episode Stats

Length

1 hour

Words per Minute

169.65431

Word Count

10,316

Sentence Count

13

Misogynist Sentences

4

Hate Speech Sentences

27


Summary

Kanye West's recent eruptions of anti-semitism have shocked the Jewish community and shocked the world at large with his comments on the Kanye West & Yoko Ono interview. What does it mean that a famous, influential artist such as Kanye West has become so obsessed with anti-Semitism that he is willing to speak publicly about it? Is this a symptom of growing antisemitism, or is it part of a larger anti-Jew smear campaign by the far-left and far-right, and what does it say about him that he has been so enraged by it? In this episode of the Making Sense Podcast by Sam Harris, I discuss the controversy surrounding Kanye West s recent comments on anti-Sebastian Jewry, and whether or not it is even a thing at all. I also discuss the role of Jews on the far left and far right in the anti-jewish agenda, and offer my own thoughts on the matter, as well as offer my thoughts on why it is so dangerous and dangerous, and why we should all be worried about it, especially when it comes from a man who is one of the most famous and influential people in the world. . The Making Sense podcast is a podcast by a well-known writer and podcaster, Sam Harris. His work is widely known and appreciated throughout the culture, and is a must-listen to all things related to the culture and politics of the modernity of the 21st century. His writing is widely respected and appreciated by many, including many of his fans and critics. His music is also widely appreciated by the general public. His lyrics are widely appreciated, and appreciated worldwide, and his music is widely appreciated in the mainstream media, especially by many of the Jewish press, including the mainstream, and he is widely praised by the mainstream press, and so on and so much so that you can find him on the internet and social media is widely circulated in the community and his artistry is widely spread across the internet in his music, including by the internet, even is a powerful, and widely appreciated on among other things of which we can be found online , as well by -- and so much that we can all agree that he s a wonderful human being should be respected and celebrated he s got it all to be


Transcript

00:00:00.000 welcome to the making sense podcast this is sam harris just a note to say that if you're hearing
00:00:12.480 this you are not currently on our subscriber feed and will only be hearing the first part
00:00:16.880 of this conversation in order to access full episodes of the making sense podcast you'll need
00:00:21.920 to subscribe at sam harris.org there you'll find our private rss feed to add to your favorite
00:00:27.000 podcatcher along with other subscriber only content we don't run ads on the podcast and
00:00:32.480 therefore it's made possible entirely through the support of our subscribers so if you enjoy
00:00:36.500 what we're doing here please consider becoming one
00:00:38.900 okay well um i should say something about my last podcast with meg smaker as you might recall
00:00:55.220 meg is a documentarian who had her first feature length documentary accepted more or less everywhere
00:01:03.160 including sundance and south by southwest and then she got attacked by identitarian grievance
00:01:13.540 entrepreneurs and promptly defenestrated by sundance and the other festivals and this really
00:01:22.260 was a case of picking absolutely the wrong target you just have to listen to meg for about 10 minutes
00:01:29.140 and you realize she's pretty much the last person who should have been canceled for making the film
00:01:35.200 she made anyway she has a gofundme page to support her ongoing efforts to get the film jihad rehab now known
00:01:43.100 as the unredacted distributed and um when we recorded that episode her gofundme had raised
00:01:50.760 three thousand dollars but at the end of that episode i asked you all to contribute if you could
00:01:57.700 and now meg has raised over six hundred thousand dollars in one week so needless to say her situation
00:02:05.560 has completely changed and it will be fascinating to see what happens next so thank you all for
00:02:12.460 supporting her beyond changing the material prospects for the film your notes of encouragement
00:02:19.420 i know have made a tremendous difference over there i mean the outpouring of love and support
00:02:27.020 was tremendous and it was really really gratifying to see i love seeing a podcast guest supported in
00:02:35.060 that way so thanks again for showing up and on the topic of love and support i can't say i received
00:02:43.540 much for uh tweeting into the kanye west i guess now known as the artist known as yay formerly known as
00:02:52.880 kanye controversy with respect to his recent eruptions of anti-semitism i haven't focused much on anti-semitism
00:03:01.900 in the past i think i've devoted exactly one podcast to it out of 300 i've noticed it on the extreme
00:03:10.740 right and the extreme left obviously briefly the way this breaks down is that on the extreme right
00:03:17.560 jews are not considered white and therefore they fall within the scope of white nationalist racism
00:03:25.740 with the added spin of various conspiracy theories but on the extreme left jews are considered extra white
00:03:34.140 they get something like double the white privilege points so they fall within the scope of
00:03:39.940 anti-white bigotry and activism so you move far enough left or right as a jew
00:03:47.120 and you meet fairly stark expressions of hatred so i've been aware of that but it's not something
00:03:55.920 that has been a big deal in my life certainly and has not been my focus kanye's statement on this one podcast
00:04:04.420 i believe it was the drink champs podcast i believe they pulled down their version of the interview
00:04:11.420 but i think it's up on other channels his remarks went on at such length and they so assiduously
00:04:18.680 connected all the traditional dots for the anti-semitic worldview that it was fairly breathtaking
00:04:26.480 i mean it was really a protocols of the elders of zion level confabulation about the jewish control of everything
00:04:35.100 unfortunately there's enough truth in what he said which is to say there are prominent jews who have made a lot of money in the recording business
00:04:44.740 and in hollywood and the other sectors of the economy that he was whinging about
00:04:51.060 it will seem all too plausible in many quarters to say that he is just calling balls and strikes as he sees them
00:04:59.620 right this wasn't hatred this is just the facts
00:05:04.040 you have an extremely famous popular and influential artist truly exploding with anti-semitism
00:05:15.280 many people thought i was reacting to something he had tweeted that got him kicked off twitter
00:05:20.260 uh no that's not what i was reacting to i was reacting to the interview which was truly awful
00:05:26.940 awful as much for the fact that he received basically no pushback from the hosts and uh at least in the original
00:05:37.460 comment thread on youtube he received nothing but adulation from his fans and when i tweeted about this
00:05:45.120 pointing out how despicable it was what i got back was pretty amazing
00:05:51.480 you know i have a fairly thick skin at this point i don't expect a lot from twitter comments but
00:05:57.720 the torrents of hatred and cynicism i received out of trumpistan were fairly amazing
00:06:07.200 some of it was overtly anti-semitic
00:06:10.280 some of it was just expressions of hatred for what i had said about hunter biden's laptop
00:06:15.340 i got some pain from the left as well
00:06:18.220 people claiming that after all that i've said about islam
00:06:22.360 i'm in no position to criticize someone for their bigotry
00:06:26.500 obviously this just voices frank confusion about the meaning of what i've said about islam
00:06:33.640 perhaps i should spell this out once again so it's fresh in everybody's mind because
00:06:38.520 the degree of dangerous idiocy that swings on this fulcrum is is hard to exaggerate i have said some
00:06:46.880 extremely critical things about islam as a system of ideas i've said extremely critical things about
00:06:53.800 judaism as a system of ideas in fact i even made judaism to some degree culpable for the holocaust
00:07:01.960 that sounds like a neo-nazi position if you don't understand what i'm saying
00:07:06.340 so i've said a lot about ideas that i think are terrible and divisive and producing unnecessary harm
00:07:13.580 this is quite different from talking about people as people
00:07:17.960 especially for characteristics they can't change
00:07:23.660 if you listen to kanye's statements about jews
00:07:27.400 it's absolutely clear he is not talking about the religious ideas of jews
00:07:33.760 he's not talking about judaism he's not talking about ideas at all
00:07:37.760 he's talking about jews much more as a race
00:07:41.680 and it's jews as a race that are the targets
00:07:45.700 of virtually all anti-semitism
00:07:48.520 when i talk about islam i'm talking about
00:07:51.660 the beliefs of people to the degree to which
00:07:54.260 they believe them
00:07:55.200 yes occasionally i will
00:07:57.580 talk about muslims
00:07:59.220 because i can't keep saying
00:08:01.120 people who believe in islam
00:08:03.400 to whatever degree
00:08:04.520 but it's always clear in context
00:08:07.700 what i'm actually talking about
00:08:09.580 there is zero xenophobia
00:08:11.720 implied by my criticism
00:08:14.120 of islam
00:08:14.920 and what's more
00:08:17.480 i have said that
00:08:19.040 with respect to immigration
00:08:20.420 there are no people i would rather have
00:08:22.980 given green cards
00:08:24.420 than moderate muslims
00:08:26.980 i said that in response to
00:08:28.880 trump's idiotic muslim ban
00:08:31.140 so you just have to follow me long enough to know
00:08:34.620 what my attitude actually is
00:08:37.320 toward muslims as people
00:08:39.620 and i've regularly pointed out
00:08:41.480 that there's nobody who suffers the consequences
00:08:43.460 of the idiotic ideas
00:08:45.020 contained within traditional islam
00:08:47.020 more than muslims
00:08:48.760 more than muslim women
00:08:50.320 and apostates
00:08:51.620 and aspiring intellectuals
00:08:53.960 once again if this is at all confusing
00:08:56.900 please recognize that criticizing islam
00:08:59.900 is like criticizing marxism
00:09:02.980 or scientology
00:09:04.360 we're not talking about skin color
00:09:06.780 or country of origin
00:09:08.760 or anything else
00:09:11.500 than the consequences
00:09:14.080 of a specific set of ideas
00:09:16.540 and what i've criticized in islam
00:09:19.100 again and again and again
00:09:20.880 really i will admit ad nauseum
00:09:22.900 are the consequences of specific beliefs
00:09:26.180 about jihadism
00:09:28.060 and martyrdom
00:09:29.700 and apostasy
00:09:31.640 and blasphemy
00:09:32.760 and none of that
00:09:35.000 entails bigotry
00:09:36.440 against people
00:09:37.780 and yet i was inundated
00:09:39.920 with moronic allegations
00:09:41.240 of bigotry
00:09:42.060 even by some
00:09:43.540 well-known people
00:09:44.740 in response to my
00:09:46.620 criticism of
00:09:47.920 kanye's
00:09:49.000 absolutely
00:09:50.400 crystal clear
00:09:51.500 anti-semitism
00:09:52.680 yes kanye's bipolar
00:09:54.720 i'm sure he suffers from that
00:09:56.780 being bipolar
00:09:58.140 doesn't make you anti-semitic
00:09:59.980 that particular problem
00:10:01.460 doesn't come with
00:10:02.460 ideological content
00:10:04.040 so this struck me
00:10:05.680 as genuinely new
00:10:06.940 having a star
00:10:08.560 of kanye's size
00:10:09.940 express that degree
00:10:11.640 of anti-semitism
00:10:12.720 and to have it be celebrated
00:10:14.400 at the level that it was
00:10:16.240 seems genuinely new
00:10:18.140 to me
00:10:18.840 this is not
00:10:19.540 mel gibson
00:10:21.000 on the side of the highway
00:10:22.840 raving at the cops
00:10:24.740 while getting arrested
00:10:25.940 for drunk driving
00:10:27.080 so it seemed like a cultural moment
00:10:29.380 worth addressing
00:10:30.680 and clearly condemning
00:10:33.160 and i'm pretty surprised
00:10:35.520 at the people who
00:10:36.820 couldn't quite manage that
00:10:38.460 anyway for my troubles there
00:10:40.900 i got an extraordinary
00:10:42.460 amount of hatred
00:10:43.320 directed at me
00:10:44.480 mostly from trumpistan
00:10:46.440 which provides
00:10:47.960 further indication
00:10:48.920 as if one were needed
00:10:50.640 that there's a fair amount
00:10:52.200 of anti-semitism
00:10:53.320 to be found there
00:10:54.580 i suspect this problem
00:10:56.860 isn't going away
00:10:57.580 anytime soon
00:10:58.260 we'll see what happens
00:11:00.020 if the orange menace
00:11:01.680 runs for president again
00:11:03.360 and perhaps i'll say
00:11:04.920 something more
00:11:05.440 on this topic
00:11:06.220 at some point
00:11:07.580 one thing to notice
00:11:09.360 over waking up
00:11:10.200 we built a live audio feature
00:11:12.300 which allowed me
00:11:13.500 to do a q a live
00:11:14.860 earlier this week
00:11:16.160 i think something like
00:11:17.400 14 15 000 of you
00:11:19.080 showed up for that
00:11:20.420 that was great
00:11:21.480 and i think we'll be
00:11:23.180 building out that feature
00:11:24.200 and using it more
00:11:25.120 going forward
00:11:26.160 so if you follow me
00:11:27.520 on twitter
00:11:27.880 you might occasionally
00:11:28.960 see me say
00:11:29.740 i'm on the app
00:11:31.260 for the next hour
00:11:32.000 ask me anything
00:11:33.440 and hopefully
00:11:34.540 we'll all find that useful
00:11:35.700 okay
00:11:37.820 today i'm speaking
00:11:39.720 with timothy snyder
00:11:41.000 tim is a professor
00:11:42.500 of history
00:11:42.940 at yale university
00:11:43.860 and the author
00:11:45.620 of many books
00:11:46.620 among them
00:11:48.060 on tyranny
00:11:48.860 black earth
00:11:50.380 bloodlands
00:11:51.900 and the road
00:11:53.040 to unfreedom
00:11:53.780 his work has received
00:11:55.560 many prizes
00:11:56.340 and tim has
00:11:57.980 distinguished himself
00:11:59.000 as a remarkably
00:12:00.860 clear
00:12:01.540 and urgent voice
00:12:03.300 on the topic of
00:12:04.980 fascist
00:12:06.260 and quasi-fascist
00:12:07.600 propaganda
00:12:08.280 the way in which
00:12:09.460 it seeks to erode
00:12:10.520 democratic freedom
00:12:11.880 globally
00:12:12.520 and he is especially
00:12:14.100 an expert on
00:12:15.060 ukraine
00:12:15.780 and so i wanted to get
00:12:17.160 his point of view
00:12:18.880 on what's happening
00:12:20.320 there
00:12:20.640 in its ongoing war
00:12:21.880 with russia
00:12:22.440 and its implications
00:12:24.220 for
00:12:24.980 nuclear risk
00:12:26.700 and in particular
00:12:27.940 i wanted him to address
00:12:29.180 much of the commentary
00:12:30.660 i've been seeing online
00:12:32.060 from
00:12:33.400 non-subject matter
00:12:35.420 experts
00:12:35.900 people like
00:12:37.100 elon musk
00:12:37.900 and the venture
00:12:39.440 capitalist david sacks
00:12:40.840 the physicist
00:12:42.200 max tegmark
00:12:43.260 the economist
00:12:44.920 jeffrey sacks
00:12:46.360 there are many people
00:12:48.000 who've been calling
00:12:49.240 with increasing
00:12:49.940 urgency
00:12:50.800 for a reset
00:12:52.860 of our
00:12:54.020 approach to
00:12:55.400 supporting ukraine
00:12:56.620 they've been calling
00:12:57.900 for de-escalation
00:12:59.000 they have been
00:13:00.480 to the eyes of many
00:13:02.000 dignifying
00:13:02.960 putin's claims
00:13:04.120 about the provocations
00:13:06.080 of nato
00:13:06.740 and nato expansion
00:13:08.200 so i wanted to get
00:13:09.400 a clear statement
00:13:10.240 from
00:13:10.720 timothy
00:13:11.480 about all this
00:13:12.700 i have no illusions
00:13:14.180 that this is the
00:13:14.860 final word
00:13:15.640 on the matter
00:13:16.480 but it is as you'll
00:13:17.780 hear a deeply
00:13:18.600 informed
00:13:19.340 word
00:13:20.100 and it's one
00:13:21.180 that echoes
00:13:21.720 many of my
00:13:22.820 far less informed
00:13:24.260 misgivings
00:13:25.260 about what i've been
00:13:26.620 hearing
00:13:26.960 largely on social media
00:13:28.760 from again
00:13:29.740 very prominent
00:13:31.020 people
00:13:31.540 who are speaking
00:13:33.160 very much in the
00:13:34.420 vein of what i've
00:13:35.060 called the new
00:13:35.820 contrarianism
00:13:36.780 you know
00:13:37.620 everybody with
00:13:38.500 and without a
00:13:39.000 platform
00:13:39.460 is now doing
00:13:40.680 their own research
00:13:41.480 and promulgating
00:13:42.820 their resulting
00:13:43.440 opinions
00:13:44.020 however they can
00:13:45.460 and the results
00:13:46.960 on many topics
00:13:48.740 is a cacophony
00:13:50.880 of unqualified
00:13:52.440 voices
00:13:53.120 whether we're
00:13:54.200 talking about
00:13:54.600 covid
00:13:55.000 or
00:13:56.220 climate change
00:13:58.100 or the war
00:13:59.280 in ukraine
00:13:59.820 this is just now
00:14:00.980 the new norm
00:14:01.720 to have
00:14:02.700 anti-establishment
00:14:04.120 voices
00:14:04.940 create more
00:14:06.460 and more noise
00:14:07.220 and sometimes
00:14:08.340 this is to the good
00:14:09.320 i'm not saying
00:14:10.580 it never makes
00:14:11.600 sense to do
00:14:12.220 your own research
00:14:12.900 but there is
00:14:14.200 something to be
00:14:14.740 said for
00:14:15.600 expertise
00:14:16.440 now and again
00:14:17.880 so i wanted to get
00:14:19.200 an expert on ukraine
00:14:20.280 to come on the show
00:14:21.460 to give us the lay
00:14:22.700 of the land
00:14:23.220 as he sees it
00:14:24.160 and that's what i've
00:14:25.360 done
00:14:25.580 so now i bring you
00:14:27.300 timothy snyder
00:14:28.600 i am here with
00:14:35.100 timothy snyder
00:14:35.880 tim thanks for
00:14:36.940 joining me again
00:14:37.540 really glad to
00:14:39.000 be with you again
00:14:39.860 so i've really been
00:14:41.640 eager to talk to you
00:14:42.780 first i should say
00:14:44.140 that you say you
00:14:44.680 were you've been
00:14:45.160 on the podcast
00:14:45.860 at least once
00:14:46.880 before i know
00:14:47.880 we spoke about
00:14:48.380 your book
00:14:48.840 on tyranny
00:14:49.820 which you've
00:14:51.140 recently updated
00:14:52.020 in audio format
00:14:53.580 to cover the war
00:14:54.380 in ukraine
00:14:54.980 and i've listened
00:14:56.020 to that audio
00:14:56.600 and it's really
00:14:57.140 fantastic
00:14:57.900 so i recommend
00:14:59.220 that people
00:14:59.920 download that
00:15:01.180 now yes
00:15:02.000 you are a
00:15:02.880 genuine
00:15:03.880 subject matter
00:15:04.900 expert
00:15:05.280 on ukraine
00:15:06.320 and russia
00:15:06.940 unlike many people
00:15:08.580 who are spending
00:15:09.080 a lot of time
00:15:09.620 online at the
00:15:10.440 moment
00:15:10.760 telling the world
00:15:11.760 what we should
00:15:12.240 all think
00:15:12.680 about
00:15:13.000 the war
00:15:13.480 in ukraine
00:15:14.020 before we jump
00:15:15.160 in can you
00:15:15.700 summarize your
00:15:16.720 engagement
00:15:17.600 with this topic
00:15:18.460 how have you
00:15:19.100 come to know
00:15:19.840 about ukraine
00:15:21.120 and russia
00:15:21.600 well first of all
00:15:22.600 i just want to
00:15:23.240 i want to thank you
00:15:24.020 for for remembering
00:15:25.440 that i mean
00:15:26.200 the things that
00:15:27.060 i maybe understand
00:15:28.820 about america
00:15:29.580 i probably had my
00:15:30.980 you know i got my
00:15:31.800 intuitions from
00:15:32.760 from other places
00:15:33.740 i i've been working
00:15:35.400 on east european
00:15:36.580 history my entire
00:15:37.740 adult life
00:15:38.520 my beginning
00:15:39.800 more than
00:15:40.480 30 years ago
00:15:41.520 i went to
00:15:42.520 kiev for the
00:15:43.180 first time
00:15:43.860 almost 30
00:15:44.880 years ago
00:15:45.480 i've been
00:15:46.500 speaking ukrainian
00:15:47.860 in kiev
00:15:48.680 and ukraine
00:15:49.300 for more than
00:15:50.860 more than half
00:15:51.480 my life
00:15:51.980 working in
00:15:52.580 russian and ukrainian
00:15:53.580 sources for
00:15:54.480 more than half
00:15:55.060 my life
00:15:55.580 and i've
00:15:56.420 i've been to
00:15:56.920 the country
00:15:57.340 regularly
00:15:57.900 for the past
00:15:59.420 quarter century
00:16:00.240 i've written
00:16:01.320 six books
00:16:02.060 that are
00:16:03.120 of that are
00:16:04.340 ukrainian history
00:16:05.240 or that bear
00:16:06.260 on ukrainian
00:16:07.460 history
00:16:07.840 the the most
00:16:09.200 well-known of
00:16:10.160 which is probably
00:16:10.960 bloodlands
00:16:12.120 europe
00:16:12.760 between hitler
00:16:13.280 and karen
00:16:13.760 yeah and
00:16:14.580 would i be
00:16:15.660 right to assume
00:16:17.020 that you
00:16:17.900 currently know
00:16:19.080 people who are
00:16:20.080 fighting in
00:16:21.860 this war or
00:16:22.740 certainly experiencing
00:16:24.100 its results
00:16:24.980 firsthand in
00:16:25.940 ukraine
00:16:26.280 yeah i mean i
00:16:27.660 know i know
00:16:28.780 hundreds of
00:16:29.380 people in
00:16:30.460 ukraine and
00:16:31.720 i mean just to
00:16:32.720 give one little
00:16:33.580 tiny example on
00:16:34.540 the monday before
00:16:35.220 the war started
00:16:35.940 i was doing
00:16:36.520 a doctoral exam
00:16:37.660 and the the
00:16:39.280 student passed
00:16:40.400 he has a
00:16:40.740 wonderful wonderful
00:16:41.600 dissertation
00:16:41.940 and the next day
00:16:43.580 he signed up
00:16:44.980 for the
00:16:45.460 territorial defense
00:16:46.340 everybody i know
00:16:47.760 in ukraine
00:16:48.360 is involved in
00:16:50.020 the war somehow
00:16:50.620 a large number
00:16:51.960 of of men and
00:16:53.040 women whom i
00:16:53.820 know are in
00:16:54.960 the army or in
00:16:55.680 the territorial
00:16:56.040 defense and
00:16:57.480 those who aren't
00:16:58.640 are are generally
00:16:59.660 all doing
00:17:00.500 something which
00:17:01.640 is of course
00:17:02.020 part of the
00:17:02.440 reason part of
00:17:03.700 resolves part of
00:17:04.320 the mystery as
00:17:05.320 to why the
00:17:05.660 ukrainians are
00:17:06.120 winning this
00:17:06.520 war is um
00:17:07.680 that that people
00:17:08.400 are so active in
00:17:09.200 civil society
00:17:09.900 looking to fill
00:17:10.660 the gaps that
00:17:11.820 the state can't
00:17:12.540 fill that's a
00:17:13.520 story which is
00:17:14.000 kind of hard to
00:17:14.520 write but it's
00:17:15.300 it's it's a
00:17:16.000 fundamental feature
00:17:16.740 of ukrainian
00:17:17.720 society i
00:17:18.920 really want to
00:17:19.420 target a
00:17:20.640 specific audience
00:17:21.560 in our
00:17:22.020 conversation i
00:17:22.900 think we'll
00:17:23.280 take a few
00:17:23.840 passes on over
00:17:25.720 the terrain to
00:17:26.380 actually get
00:17:27.400 down to bedrock
00:17:28.680 but here's what i
00:17:29.920 most want to
00:17:30.540 address and i
00:17:31.340 think we i i
00:17:32.340 know you're
00:17:32.780 going to have to
00:17:33.120 cover a fair
00:17:33.580 amount of
00:17:34.040 history before
00:17:34.880 we get there
00:17:35.440 but what i
00:17:36.580 most want to
00:17:37.360 cover are the
00:17:39.160 doubts and
00:17:39.800 fears of very
00:17:41.300 bright rational
00:17:42.880 people who at
00:17:45.020 this point think
00:17:45.840 that u.s and
00:17:46.780 eu support of
00:17:48.220 ukraine has gone
00:17:49.840 too far right
00:17:50.900 and that we're
00:17:51.400 running the risk
00:17:52.060 of plunging into
00:17:53.540 something like
00:17:54.360 world war three
00:17:55.240 quite unnecessarily
00:17:56.800 and that we in
00:17:58.860 some sense provoked
00:18:00.120 putin right or
00:18:01.580 at least we're
00:18:01.980 culpable for our
00:18:03.020 own failures of
00:18:03.920 diplomacy and
00:18:05.380 that you know
00:18:06.020 that nato
00:18:06.720 essentially and
00:18:07.700 and the united
00:18:08.840 states has backed
00:18:10.140 him into a
00:18:10.740 corner and put
00:18:12.300 him in a position
00:18:12.880 where his
00:18:13.840 behavior is now
00:18:15.340 pretty rational
00:18:16.760 and even
00:18:17.400 defensible from
00:18:18.740 some non
00:18:20.080 sinister angle
00:18:21.080 and again you
00:18:23.240 you'll be
00:18:23.580 familiar with
00:18:24.040 many of the
00:18:24.420 with much of
00:18:24.900 this but you
00:18:25.960 know if i look
00:18:26.880 at my twitter
00:18:27.740 experience i'm
00:18:28.600 seeing many
00:18:29.260 smart well
00:18:30.200 connected people
00:18:31.020 some of whom
00:18:31.580 have very large
00:18:32.620 platforms you
00:18:33.920 know none as
00:18:34.460 i've said none
00:18:34.940 of whom are
00:18:35.380 subject matter
00:18:36.180 experts but
00:18:36.960 they're not
00:18:37.940 dummies and
00:18:39.580 yet they're
00:18:40.300 speaking as
00:18:41.060 though putin
00:18:42.420 has some kind
00:18:43.660 of reasonable
00:18:45.080 you know as
00:18:46.580 i said non
00:18:47.200 sinister claim
00:18:48.240 upon the
00:18:48.840 patients of
00:18:49.800 the world at
00:18:50.980 this point and
00:18:52.120 that we should
00:18:53.160 step back and
00:18:55.220 get ukrainians to
00:18:56.460 step back and
00:18:57.700 that there has
00:18:58.200 to be some
00:18:58.620 kind of path
00:18:59.300 to de-escalation
00:19:00.420 here that
00:19:01.420 isn't an
00:19:02.020 abject capitulation
00:19:03.360 to the threats
00:19:04.060 of a tyrant and
00:19:05.400 you know just to
00:19:06.160 kind of round
00:19:06.520 this out i mean
00:19:07.140 the cynical take
00:19:08.360 here is that most
00:19:09.800 americans can't
00:19:10.640 find ukraine on a
00:19:11.680 map right and
00:19:12.360 still can't and
00:19:13.760 yet many are
00:19:14.320 speaking about
00:19:15.300 the donbass as
00:19:16.320 though the
00:19:17.040 blood of
00:19:17.460 ukrainian mothers
00:19:18.340 runs in their
00:19:19.200 veins and that
00:19:21.500 we've been
00:19:21.940 propagandized to
00:19:23.400 by a a weird
00:19:25.740 union of a
00:19:27.120 neoliberal
00:19:27.840 neoconservative
00:19:29.160 order and
00:19:31.160 and all
00:19:31.780 doubts about
00:19:32.960 the wisdom of
00:19:33.660 this project and
00:19:34.460 the wisdom of
00:19:34.980 going all in on
00:19:35.780 ukraine is um
00:19:37.580 they're being
00:19:38.600 silenced and
00:19:40.000 you know this is
00:19:41.400 all kind of a
00:19:42.200 escalatory ratchet
00:19:43.280 towards something
00:19:44.120 awful you know
00:19:44.960 the true awfulness
00:19:45.920 being a proper
00:19:47.320 exchange of
00:19:47.960 nuclear weapons
00:19:48.700 between the us
00:19:49.680 and russia so
00:19:50.900 that that's where
00:19:51.600 i want us to
00:19:52.380 defuse all of
00:19:53.420 that and i
00:19:54.640 know you have
00:19:55.260 to get into
00:19:56.420 some relevant
00:19:56.840 history before we
00:19:57.660 get there but
00:19:58.100 that's where i
00:19:58.500 want to put that
00:19:59.140 flag on the
00:19:59.740 horizon and i
00:20:00.320 want us to
00:20:00.800 aim at it
00:20:01.740 yeah i mean
00:20:02.680 that's that's
00:20:03.500 that's fine with
00:20:04.300 me i think
00:20:04.980 you'll probably
00:20:05.540 have to have
00:20:07.460 to break it
00:20:08.080 up into into
00:20:09.280 little pieces
00:20:09.960 i will
00:20:10.260 what you're
00:20:11.220 talking about
00:20:11.920 is kind of
00:20:12.920 you know you're
00:20:13.900 you're giving a
00:20:14.480 take on a bunch
00:20:15.220 of takes which
00:20:16.040 are pretty far
00:20:17.100 away from any
00:20:17.980 you know recognizable
00:20:19.160 empirical reality
00:20:20.180 having to do
00:20:20.760 with russia or
00:20:21.480 ukraine
00:20:21.980 or for that one
00:20:23.420 where the u.s
00:20:24.640 or if i could
00:20:25.760 i'll just say a
00:20:26.560 little bit of the
00:20:27.140 of the u.s i mean
00:20:28.100 the before we get
00:20:29.200 into the other
00:20:29.960 parts the idea
00:20:31.180 that the u.s was
00:20:32.720 expecting this
00:20:33.480 scenario and is
00:20:35.100 somehow behind it
00:20:36.260 is not only wrong
00:20:38.800 but deeply
00:20:39.860 colonial the u.s
00:20:41.520 expected that this
00:20:42.300 war was going to
00:20:42.820 be over in three
00:20:43.580 days that was the
00:20:44.960 official american
00:20:45.700 position and that
00:20:47.220 was the basis for
00:20:48.260 our actions at the
00:20:49.140 beginning of the
00:20:50.180 war very important
00:20:51.840 to understand that
00:20:53.420 the ukrainians are
00:20:54.720 people who have
00:20:56.540 agency and who
00:20:57.780 have taken risks
00:20:58.680 and decisions and
00:21:00.580 the risks and
00:21:01.200 decisions that they
00:21:01.920 have taken have
00:21:02.880 in turn affected
00:21:03.760 russia and america
00:21:06.220 i think a lot a lot
00:21:08.060 of the thinking or
00:21:08.880 some of the problems
00:21:09.820 and the thinking
00:21:10.320 that you're
00:21:10.640 describing starts
00:21:12.020 from the starts
00:21:12.660 from the unspoken
00:21:13.460 assumption that
00:21:14.240 places like america
00:21:15.280 and russia are a
00:21:16.560 real country and
00:21:18.200 ukraine is not and
00:21:19.500 once you start from
00:21:20.400 there you then have
00:21:21.280 to twist yourself
00:21:22.120 around an awful
00:21:23.160 lot to try to
00:21:24.100 understand what's
00:21:26.220 happening so i think
00:21:27.380 i mean that's that's
00:21:28.340 a base i would start
00:21:29.380 out with i think the
00:21:30.220 idea that somehow
00:21:31.200 america is behind
00:21:32.960 all of this is is
00:21:34.740 it is you know it
00:21:35.620 might be left-wing
00:21:36.340 imperialism but it's
00:21:37.340 imperialism because
00:21:38.700 it's overlooking the
00:21:39.820 agency that small
00:21:41.420 and medium-sized
00:21:42.020 countries can have
00:21:42.980 and it's overlooking
00:21:43.820 the decision you know
00:21:45.240 the ethically based
00:21:46.060 decision that
00:21:46.980 ukrainians took when
00:21:48.580 they decided they
00:21:49.180 would defend their
00:21:49.720 country from this
00:21:51.080 atrocious war
00:21:52.720 yeah yeah okay so
00:21:55.220 let's go back in
00:21:56.300 time however far
00:21:57.620 back you think we
00:21:58.480 need to go to get
00:21:59.500 to the present i mean
00:22:00.740 i think the question
00:22:02.040 i would give you to
00:22:03.020 frame this part of
00:22:04.300 the conversation is
00:22:05.140 to describe the
00:22:06.980 reality of ukraine and
00:22:10.160 crimea and their
00:22:12.060 relationship to
00:22:12.920 russia because
00:22:14.060 you know obviously
00:22:14.940 what is being said
00:22:16.580 by russia and
00:22:17.820 being taken at face
00:22:19.500 value by many
00:22:20.380 critics of our
00:22:21.260 support of ukraine
00:22:22.120 is that ukraine was
00:22:24.620 always part of russia
00:22:25.900 or has been part of
00:22:27.280 russia for so long
00:22:28.140 that it is some
00:22:29.780 kind of a
00:22:30.880 historical obscenity
00:22:32.440 to consider it its
00:22:34.220 own real country as
00:22:35.440 you just described it
00:22:36.980 to be so what is
00:22:38.860 how should we think
00:22:39.920 about ukraine and
00:22:41.580 crimea and i guess it
00:22:43.180 should be separated
00:22:44.160 there and russia
00:22:46.340 well i guess the
00:22:47.300 first point which is
00:22:48.120 really important is
00:22:49.460 that i mean i might
00:22:50.920 know more history than
00:22:51.760 other people and i i
00:22:53.200 might have interesting
00:22:53.740 things to say in
00:22:54.640 response to your
00:22:55.200 question and i'll try
00:22:56.120 to say them but it
00:22:58.140 is actually irrelevant
00:22:59.440 the the border between
00:23:01.740 the russian federation
00:23:02.880 and ukraine was
00:23:04.440 agreed upon by both
00:23:05.680 parties in december of
00:23:07.180 1991 both parties are
00:23:09.700 are signatories of the
00:23:11.880 basic conventions about
00:23:13.460 involving involving
00:23:15.480 borders and it may
00:23:16.780 seem like a really
00:23:17.340 banal point but
00:23:18.500 history doesn't
00:23:19.460 actually give you a
00:23:20.300 reason for invading
00:23:21.360 someone else's
00:23:22.480 territory if it did
00:23:24.620 there essentially is
00:23:25.660 no border in the
00:23:26.440 world including the
00:23:27.460 american canadian
00:23:28.220 border or the
00:23:28.900 american mexican
00:23:29.820 border which you
00:23:31.440 could say is somehow
00:23:32.380 perfectly legitimated
00:23:34.380 or justified by
00:23:35.460 history that's just
00:23:36.140 not the way that
00:23:36.940 history works history
00:23:38.700 and law are two
00:23:39.380 different things and
00:23:40.380 so the if the
00:23:41.620 unspoken assumption
00:23:42.580 here is that if
00:23:44.060 russia had some kind
00:23:45.420 of historical claim
00:23:46.360 then it would be
00:23:47.020 okay to invade but i
00:23:48.520 just i would start by
00:23:49.680 by putting out that
00:23:50.700 that assumption is a
00:23:52.000 hundred percent wrong
00:23:53.120 and the people who
00:23:54.360 want to make if you
00:23:55.340 want to make that
00:23:55.880 assumption about russia
00:23:56.940 you should be saying
00:23:57.660 in general well we
00:23:58.540 would like for there
00:23:59.140 to be warfare on
00:24:00.840 every continent except
00:24:01.720 antarctica because
00:24:02.880 everywhere in the
00:24:03.900 world there are
00:24:04.940 disagreements about
00:24:05.900 about history which
00:24:07.160 would then justify
00:24:07.880 war so i mean the
00:24:10.660 history is the history
00:24:11.700 history is interesting
00:24:12.580 it's a lot it's a
00:24:13.600 lot more interesting
00:24:14.320 than listening to
00:24:15.440 mr putin would would
00:24:16.960 get you to think i
00:24:17.780 mean the the you use
00:24:18.960 an interesting word
00:24:19.760 which is always and
00:24:21.720 always is um whenever
00:24:23.040 everyone says always in
00:24:24.360 the in these things what
00:24:25.960 what is happening is it
00:24:27.620 an imperial claim is
00:24:28.620 being made it's it's
00:24:30.060 imperial powers who say
00:24:31.580 things like always and
00:24:33.560 never and what they're
00:24:35.180 doing is they're
00:24:35.940 asserting their right to
00:24:37.520 control the forms of
00:24:38.560 knowledge which get the
00:24:40.220 rest of us to thinking
00:24:41.140 that wow there isn't
00:24:42.180 really something there
00:24:43.060 so in the case of
00:24:44.620 crimea there was a
00:24:46.400 state in crimea which
00:24:47.540 lasted for six
00:24:48.720 centuries which is much
00:24:49.700 longer than the united
00:24:51.040 states or russia um in
00:24:53.220 any recognizable form
00:24:54.440 and that that state
00:24:56.420 against it for two
00:24:57.260 years as part of the
00:24:58.060 golden horse two sorry
00:24:59.000 two centuries as part of
00:24:59.880 the golden horde four
00:25:00.740 centuries as part of the
00:25:01.880 crimean hana which was
00:25:03.800 defeated and eliminated
00:25:05.440 as a political unit by the
00:25:06.860 russian empire in the late
00:25:08.080 18th century so that's
00:25:10.360 not always first of all
00:25:12.280 that's an awful lot of
00:25:13.840 centuries before anything
00:25:14.980 russian power gets there
00:25:16.140 it's defeated by a bunch
00:25:18.580 of ukrainian cossacks in
00:25:20.020 the russian service by an
00:25:21.520 empress katherine the
00:25:22.660 great who's german and by
00:25:24.520 a state the russian
00:25:25.360 empire which is which is
00:25:27.080 um nationally speaking or
00:25:28.480 linguistically speaking
00:25:29.280 majority not russian that
00:25:31.720 state ceases to exist in
00:25:33.700 1918 or 1917 sorry and is
00:25:37.360 not the same state as
00:25:38.360 today's russian federation
00:25:40.260 the native people of
00:25:41.620 crimea who were almost a
00:25:42.880 hundred percent of the
00:25:43.560 population not so very
00:25:44.840 long ago were dispersed
00:25:46.480 by first the russian
00:25:47.560 empire and then stalin in
00:25:49.740 1944 in 1944 the
00:25:52.380 inkvedere the stalinist
00:25:53.560 secret police forcibly
00:25:55.220 deported every single man
00:25:56.600 woman and child who was a
00:25:58.220 crimean tatar thereby leaving
00:26:00.540 open an awful lot of space
00:26:02.060 for russians and other
00:26:03.520 people from the soviet union
00:26:04.780 to move in that's 1944 that's
00:26:07.900 not always in 1956 the
00:26:11.440 crimean peninsula still
00:26:12.680 inside the soviet union was
00:26:14.520 given from the russian part
00:26:15.940 of the soviet union to the
00:26:16.980 ukrainian part of the soviet
00:26:17.980 union because there were no
00:26:19.660 longer any crimean tatars
00:26:21.040 there there was no longer a
00:26:22.660 special status for the place
00:26:24.140 it was no longer an
00:26:24.920 autonomous region as it had
00:26:26.340 been it was given to ukraine
00:26:28.180 for the very banal reason that
00:26:29.960 from the point of view of
00:26:31.220 ukraine crimea is a
00:26:33.000 peninsula there's a land
00:26:34.200 connection so you can supply
00:26:35.520 it with water and you can
00:26:36.820 use electricity grid from the
00:26:38.600 point of view of russia crimea
00:26:40.280 is an island there's no land
00:26:42.360 connection but khrushchev in
00:26:44.380 1954 when he made this change
00:26:47.040 dressed it up because of course
00:26:49.140 there's always difficulty with
00:26:50.500 ukraine and the soviet union so
00:26:51.880 he dressed it up as some kind of
00:26:53.240 great gift from the soviet union
00:26:55.380 to ukraine and they had lots of
00:26:56.860 celebrations and they they
00:26:58.540 printed cigarette you know packs
00:27:00.260 and they printed nightgowns
00:27:01.740 celebrating all this stuff and
00:27:03.340 so then some people now in the
00:27:04.540 soviet union remember this
00:27:05.500 there's this great gift
00:27:06.400 especially russian nationalists
00:27:07.960 but at the time it was a
00:27:08.800 purely pragmatic decision so
00:27:11.180 that's that's crimea the idea
00:27:13.000 that crimea is always russian is
00:27:15.060 a imperial b wrong and c silences
00:27:18.740 the history of the genocide of
00:27:21.280 its native population
00:27:22.200 you know i really i mean the
00:27:24.760 history is um very interesting
00:27:28.220 and again you go into it
00:27:29.540 it's considerable length in
00:27:31.440 both your your reissue of the
00:27:33.380 audio of on tyranny and also in
00:27:35.340 a i believe a 10-part lecture
00:27:37.220 series on youtube on ukraine that
00:27:39.500 people can watch from your yale
00:27:41.620 class but i really love the point
00:27:43.920 you made about the disjunction
00:27:46.800 between the stories we tell about
00:27:48.840 history and the legal and
00:27:51.280 political reality of uh that
00:27:54.120 enforces any national border at
00:27:57.480 this moment in time and it's always
00:27:59.440 hard to know where to start the
00:28:00.440 clock except when you have a
00:28:02.400 treaty or when you have a a border
00:28:04.340 that has been ratified by both
00:28:06.120 sides of that border that is a
00:28:09.280 very reasonable place to stop your
00:28:12.340 your way back machine so perhaps
00:28:14.480 let's start with the fall of the
00:28:15.940 soviet union in 1991 what's the
00:28:18.800 significance of that for the present
00:28:21.100 moment and i get if you want to
00:28:22.500 bring the character of putin into the
00:28:24.660 conversation at this point that
00:28:26.420 might be appropriate because but you
00:28:27.720 know putin is uh very much
00:28:30.380 driving the show here and it's his
00:28:34.240 decisions that we're living with the
00:28:36.140 consequences of and trying to figure
00:28:37.400 out how to respond to and he has
00:28:39.600 evolved as a person and as a leader
00:28:41.740 over these last decades tell us about
00:28:45.320 the fall of the soviet union and how
00:28:47.280 that is setting the stage for where we
00:28:49.220 are now yeah i appreciate sam you're
00:28:51.900 you're reinforcing the point about law
00:28:54.000 because it really is a very important
00:28:56.080 point i mean we can choose to
00:28:58.360 sympathize with anyone we want who is
00:29:00.420 who is you know violating law but you
00:29:03.300 know as a result of the second world
00:29:04.900 war as a result in part of hitler making
00:29:07.960 exactly the kinds of arguments that
00:29:09.740 putin is making now the the principle
00:29:12.140 was was accepted that we're going to
00:29:15.220 have sovereign borders no sovereign
00:29:16.700 borders are not going to change and
00:29:19.140 that's a principle which is generally
00:29:20.580 been of great benefit especially
00:29:22.400 especially inside europe i'm going to
00:29:25.140 start this answer by making a similar
00:29:26.560 distinction between putin and the end
00:29:29.140 of the soviet union putin says a lot
00:29:32.200 of things about the end of the soviet
00:29:33.460 union now which he wouldn't have said
00:29:35.880 then and he says a lot of things now
00:29:37.900 which people find plausible because he
00:29:40.820 says them over and over again but which
00:29:42.220 are simply not true one of them is that
00:29:44.700 the end of the soviet union was somehow
00:29:46.200 an american plot i was there at the time
00:29:49.020 i mean i wasn't of any significance but
00:29:50.660 i was in washington dc working on
00:29:52.140 foreign policy stuff at the time i was
00:29:54.240 helping to run conferences at the time
00:29:55.920 you know i was i was in u.s soviet
00:29:57.600 relations was what i did at the time i
00:29:59.560 was going to moscow at the time it was
00:30:01.740 um it was american policy to preserve the
00:30:04.360 soviet union and that's that's clear from
00:30:06.540 the american archival material it's it's
00:30:08.460 clear from the open source material of
00:30:10.580 about bush's visit to kiev in september of
00:30:13.300 1991 which is remembered as the chicken
00:30:15.500 kiev visit we were actually trying to hold
00:30:17.640 the thing together it was the russian
00:30:19.660 federation the country that
00:30:21.240 putin now rules which which brought the
00:30:24.040 soviet union to an end and uh that's
00:30:26.660 that's a kind of fundamental fact which
00:30:28.640 tends to get overlooked in all of this
00:30:30.300 because putin starts his story from such
00:30:33.340 completely outrageous places knowing that
00:30:36.620 there will be people out there who will
00:30:37.960 somehow meet him halfway but the
00:30:39.800 historical you know that's not really how
00:30:41.580 one can you know should treat the
00:30:42.820 historical record so the end of the
00:30:44.760 soviet union i mean one thing which is
00:30:46.920 interesting about the soviet union is
00:30:48.520 that its very existence as a recognition
00:30:51.480 of the existence of ukrainian nation
00:30:53.560 the reason why the soviet union was
00:30:56.020 founded as the soviet union in december
00:30:58.460 of 1922 was that the people who founded
00:31:00.640 the soviet union bolsheviks and
00:31:02.820 cosmopolitans though they were were
00:31:05.020 familiar from several years of civil war
00:31:07.680 inside ukraine that ukraine the ukrainian
00:31:10.400 nation was a real thing as a result of
00:31:13.280 that when they won and they established
00:31:15.620 their larger unit they made it a they
00:31:17.420 made it a unit of of of nominal federal
00:31:20.380 republics so ukraine actually decides the
00:31:23.700 form of the soviet union because of the
00:31:26.000 obvious even to people like stalin and
00:31:28.460 lenin existence of the ukrainian nation
00:31:31.660 and even though ukraine inside the soviet
00:31:34.580 union suffers more than any other republic
00:31:38.140 from from soviet policies in particular the
00:31:41.220 famine of 1932 and 1933 there's never
00:31:44.100 actually a moment in the soviet union
00:31:46.440 where the existence of ukrainian nation
00:31:48.440 is denied and i i stress this because the
00:31:52.900 phenomenon that we see now with russian
00:31:54.520 nationalism and mr putin at this point
00:31:56.700 is actually quite radical and barely new
00:32:00.060 and insofar as it has a precedent its
00:32:02.320 precedent is with right wing is not really
00:32:04.960 the soviet union it's rather with right wing
00:32:06.740 and fascist russian intellectuals of an earlier
00:32:10.520 of an earlier period but the the thing then
00:32:13.840 which is worth stressing kind of bringing two
00:32:15.740 points together now is that when the soviet union
00:32:17.480 falls apart it's also taken for granted that the
00:32:21.220 borders of the republics will be the borders of
00:32:23.040 independent states in december of 1991
00:32:25.680 the leaders of the russian yellow russian ukrainian republics
00:32:29.380 meet and agree to dissolve the soviet union the reason why it's those
00:32:32.700 three is that those are the three republics which existed in 1922 when the
00:32:37.080 soviet union was founded and which still existed in 1991
00:32:39.420 and so they agreed that the borders as they were would be their borders at which
00:32:44.160 point these states become sovereign states governed by
00:32:46.580 but governed by the the the same conventions that govern everyone else's
00:32:50.980 borders and those things aren't contested and uh ukraine actually has a
00:32:56.280 referendum on its territory before all of this and just also in december
00:32:59.980 in which not only do 90 percent of ukrainians and this is 31 years ago
00:33:05.000 not only do 91 90 percent of ukrainians vote for independence a majority in
00:33:10.380 every single region of ukraine also votes for independence
00:33:14.740 and in those intervening 30 years the the drift has been and i say this with
00:33:19.900 great understatement the drift has only been in one direction and that
00:33:22.900 direction has been in favor of the notion that there is a
00:33:26.040 separate ukraine that deserves to have a ukrainian state
00:33:28.760 okay so let's bring putin into this how has his
00:33:32.720 thinking evolved here because he was i guess he came back in
00:33:36.600 2012 correct me if i'm wrong and i mean there's a kind of crazy making
00:33:41.980 degree of unreality to his politics right i mean this is a
00:33:49.000 quasi-fascist regime maybe it's just appropriate to just call it a fascist
00:33:54.440 regime it's definitely a single party state that on your account you know which
00:34:00.340 i agree with is engaged in an imperialistic war against a democracy
00:34:05.300 and yet is framed rather often from putin's side as a
00:34:10.860 as a war of denazification of ukraine right like so he's the good guy going
00:34:15.900 against the nazis uh it's probably it's inconvenient for that
00:34:19.260 thesis that the president of ukraine is jewish but you know that's really not an
00:34:24.480 obstacle to the claim and while i haven't noticed many high
00:34:27.960 profile people on our side dignify the nazi part of it actually there is a
00:34:32.800 least one exception to that there's something happening
00:34:35.620 in america in fairly high profile right of center or even centrist circles where
00:34:43.380 the perversity of putin's framing is not only not noticed it is denied at least
00:34:50.880 implicitly i mean it's just well i'll bring in one specific claim here just so
00:34:54.520 you have something to react to but for instance i noticed the economist at
00:34:58.540 columbia jeffrey sacks on some podcast talking about this and
00:35:03.860 it's hard to imagine the kremlin not liking anything he said right he was
00:35:11.520 essentially said that the u.s and nato have been provocative all along and that
00:35:16.060 the the off-ramp for russia was always obvious we just have to declare the
00:35:20.280 neutrality of ukraine and given assurance that they'll never join
00:35:24.220 nato because that obviously impinges on russia's core security concerns
00:35:28.520 how would we feel if you know we had a russian client state
00:35:32.400 in mexico or canada and there are many people saying things
00:35:36.460 like this and i mean one thing that's perverse about that
00:35:39.920 which i'll just point out before you give me the rest but i mean immediately
00:35:44.140 what strikes me as perverse is that it conceives that we are the moral
00:35:48.580 equivalent of russian despotism right and that the
00:35:52.140 spread of democracy is no better than the spread of
00:35:55.200 fascism if you try to flip things around in that way
00:35:58.480 it's just you know who's to say anything is better than anything else
00:36:02.500 in terms of spreading a political orientation
00:36:05.580 on the over the surface of the earth and that's just so
00:36:09.340 dishonest you know and and ethically upside down that it's just amazing to see
00:36:15.520 academics in in america talking that way you know this is something you speak
00:36:20.380 about in your book i mean this i think you call it you know schizo fascism
00:36:24.320 that the the condition in which fascists themselves are claiming to be at war
00:36:28.620 with fascists and nazis and it's pretty much pure fiction
00:36:32.940 so thanks thanks for mentioning that the the book the book in question is now
00:36:37.520 road to unfreedom where i do a very careful and slow
00:36:42.300 dissection of all of this on the basis of the russian primary sources on the
00:36:47.420 basis of everything that putin said that i could
00:36:51.120 track down over the period of his two presidencies
00:36:54.280 and in you know starting thinking of your question it's clear that there was a
00:36:58.020 kind of evolution with putin putin number one his first
00:37:01.800 couple terms in office was was perhaps sincerely trying to carry
00:37:05.880 out what he called a dictatorship of the law
00:37:08.140 and and centralized power but it turned out that in centralizing
00:37:12.600 power in doing away with the other oligarchs
00:37:15.380 he and his the people around him just became
00:37:18.040 the chief oligarchs so what what putin ends up with
00:37:21.640 is a dysfunctional state the most interesting feature of which is the
00:37:26.100 extreme economic inequality and and that is a point which is really worth
00:37:30.280 dwelling on for a minute because it's only when you have the kind of power
00:37:34.520 that he has and the kind of money that he has that you're allowed to get away
00:37:38.840 with the sort of lunatic ideas that he expresses if i mean it may seem like a
00:37:43.460 simple thing but the fact that he's been in power for 20 years
00:37:46.500 and controls the five television networks and has lots of money to spread
00:37:50.380 around among influential people around the world
00:37:52.380 without those things i mean he's just a guy on a street corner
00:37:56.760 you know probably with a pretty tattered looking soapbox
00:37:59.720 because his his ideas in themselves are are not are neither original
00:38:04.400 nor nor particularly convincing but anyway my point was that in putin stage
00:38:09.160 two when he comes back with the he's recognized that he can't make the
00:38:13.620 the russian state function or at least making it function is inconsistent with him
00:38:17.760 being the chief oligarch and being able to give his friends billions of dollars if
00:38:20.940 he wants to and so he moves to a politics of spectacle where of course russia is
00:38:26.100 always right whether it's intervening in ukraine in 2014 or intervening in
00:38:30.620 syria in 2015 where everything becomes a kind of show where russia is always
00:38:36.020 innocent and the other side is is is always to blame and he develops as from
00:38:42.020 about 2011 forward ideas about how russia doesn't have to follow the rules because
00:38:47.700 russia has a special destiny and russia has a special mission and russia has a special
00:38:52.320 civilization and no one else can force to understand this but russia has the right to
00:38:56.880 do whatever it likes and you know this is this fundamental challenge to international order
00:39:02.620 you know western non-western any kind of order he's been espousing for about a decade he made
00:39:07.600 it very clear on september 30th talking about the annexations when he said what are the rules who
00:39:12.360 made up the rules russia has a millennial mission right and and uh these ideas are already more than
00:39:19.880 tinged with fascism a person that he cites regularly and who probably by no coincidence he also cited on
00:39:25.300 september 30th this year ivan ilin is the chief russian fascist thinker and he became essentially the
00:39:31.620 house philosopher krutin was studying him all the time but not only him contemporary russian fascists
00:39:37.260 began to get airtime on television and became part of the mainstream russian discussion and which
00:39:44.500 which leads me to i mean the thing about the schizo fascism actually tim can you just define
00:39:50.280 fascism yeah fascism is the idea that it's not rationality that's the basis on which we build
00:39:57.920 politics it is will and imagination that rules are not the basis upon which we interact we interact on
00:40:06.100 the basis of strength strength is always proven as a matter of practice therefore endless conflict is
00:40:14.340 entirely normal and given all of that politics begins not with any kind of mutual recognition
00:40:21.120 but with the choice of an enemy when i choose my enemy then i know who i am and the moment that i've
00:40:27.200 chosen an enemy that's when politics can actually begin and that that takes you pretty far actually
00:40:32.120 towards understanding the russian attitude towards ukraine because one of the problems with with
00:40:37.340 putin's rule is that he has no definition of russia at all he has no notion of what the future of russia
00:40:43.280 will be nor can he from the state of oligarchy therefore russia is defined as the anti-ukraine
00:40:49.680 and it takes it takes this arbitrary choice of an enemy in order to give meaning which is also related
00:40:55.940 to nato now i mean i'm just going to be very straightforward about this they're not russia is
00:41:00.440 not afraid of nato at all had they been afraid of nato they certainly wouldn't have undertaken an invasion
00:41:06.100 like this right and had they been afraid of nato they wouldn't be moving the the the bulk of their troops
00:41:13.420 from the actual nato borders in order to fight in ukraine which is what they have done they're not afraid
00:41:20.020 of a nato invasion they've never been afraid of a nato invasion this is a giant guilt-making factory
00:41:26.320 they're not afraid that nato is going to invade them he putin himself until very late in the day
00:41:32.020 did not say anything to the effect that he was afraid of nato this is something he came up rather
00:41:36.780 late so that we could so that we could have a guilt trap for for ourselves i mean your your point
00:41:41.660 your point about it not there being a difference between spreading democracy and not spreading
00:41:45.860 democracy is well taken but i think perhaps an even more fundamental point is that nato it's not
00:41:51.740 that nato or the european union in large nato and the european union take on new members when sovereign
00:41:58.880 states backed by their populations would press themselves in democratic elections choose to join
00:42:05.320 those institutions the the reasons why poland is in the european union works or or or or nato do not
00:42:12.520 have to do with brussels or washington they fundamentally have to do with the poles and the
00:42:16.840 reasons why ukraine would like to join institutions doesn't have to do with brussels or washington has
00:42:22.500 to do with the lived experience of of the ukrainians themselves and it seems to me that if anything that's
00:42:28.120 an even more fundamental difference that what russia is trying to do is expand an order illegally by force
00:42:36.020 whereas the european union and nato take on new members when independent states choose to join them
00:42:42.800 yeah well let's cycle on that point one more time because it's i think it's crucial so you're saying
00:42:50.040 that putin and russia have no fear of invasion from the west right i mean it seems completely crazy to me that
00:43:01.320 that that any western power would want to invade russia but a person could be forgiven for believing
00:43:08.100 that putin might believe such a thing would be possible and that he therefore would want ukraine
00:43:15.060 as a buffer between him and an antagonistic europe but you're saying that's just not the case
00:43:22.620 well that that option was available to putin and he chose not to take it the um ukraine had agreed to
00:43:30.520 russian base russian bases on the black sea for for decades when russia invaded in 2014 when russia
00:43:38.200 invaded ukraine in 2014 it was it was giving up as a result of its own decision the possibility of a
00:43:44.940 friendly ukrainian buffer to the west when you invade a country you no longer have the option of
00:43:50.460 treating it as a friendly buffer when you invade a country you're making an enemy of it that was a
00:43:55.100 choice that moscow made on its own um one can decide that it was a mistake or not a mistake but
00:44:00.520 that option was available they have pushed ukraine to the west again and again with their own
00:44:04.960 decisions before 2014 a majority of ukrainians were against joining nato after russia invaded in 2014
00:44:12.560 a majority of ukrainians unsurprisingly decided that they were in favor of joining nato that's a result
00:44:18.280 of russia's choices so that option was there but that's not what they want what they want to be able
00:44:24.540 to i mean and this is what they say openly day in day out on television from the foreign ministry from
00:44:31.920 the president's office from the security council day in and day out what they say the commander in
00:44:37.320 chief of the operation just said it yesterday what they say is they want to ukraine where they are in
00:44:43.140 control and that's something completely different that means invading the country occupying it replacing
00:44:48.660 its leadership with someone else um that's not a friendly buffer that's you know that's a genocidal
00:44:53.400 aspiration and that's what they care about again to repeat the point if they cared about security from
00:44:59.500 nato um which they don't but if they cared about security from nato they would be dispersing their
00:45:04.640 armed forces around the finnish border um around the polish border they'd be concerned about places like
00:45:09.340 that that's not what they're doing what they're doing is they're throwing absurd an obscene amount
00:45:14.780 of their available firepower into the project of destroying ukraine as a country which i'm just
00:45:20.560 gonna take a big step back here makes zero geopolitical sense it is weakening russia extraordinarily
00:45:26.960 and the reason i'm taking a big step back is that one of the assumptions that we're making in this
00:45:31.360 conversation or at least one of the assumptions that's made in the views that you're presenting
00:45:35.600 is that putin actually cares about the interests of russia i think that's a that's an assumption which
00:45:41.600 should be made explicit and questioned because i see i see very little reason to think that putin is
00:45:46.780 a geopolitician who cares at all about the interests of russia if he were he would be much more concerned
00:45:53.620 about the fact that there is a great power on russia's border which in fact does have designs
00:45:59.380 unlike the united states on russian resources which unlike the united states invests more in the asian
00:46:05.620 part of russia than russia does itself and that is china but rather than being concerned about china
00:46:11.260 what putin has done with his entire anti-western turn is to create a situation in which future rulers
00:46:17.600 of russia will have little choice but to be vassals of china and the invasion of ukraine has only
00:46:23.160 accelerated this process troops that might have been defending the border with russia have been brought
00:46:27.580 west to fight a losing and pointless war in ukraine while beijing just watches as the power relationship
00:46:33.640 with russia which was already very much in its favor accelerates to the point where it's just hard to
00:46:39.220 imagine that russia is going to be able to get out from under it a lead a russian leader who cared
00:46:43.480 about geopolitics who cared about russian interests would be balancing between the west and russia it
00:46:49.280 is geopolitically absolutely idiotic to go so far in one direction that you can't come back but that's
00:46:55.120 what putin has done i don't think he's an idiot i think he simply doesn't care about russian interests
00:46:59.940 so what does he care about he cares about dying in bed he cares about you know legacy i mean when we
00:47:07.040 i appreciate your earlier questions about putin which you know lead in profound directions which
00:47:11.360 i haven't always been able to follow in my answers we have to think of this person as someone who's
00:47:15.720 been in power for the lifetimes of many people who live in russia many people in russia can't remember
00:47:21.640 anyone else this is someone who's been in power for you know the the entirety for you know the entirety
00:47:27.300 of this of this century this is someone who is on a classical you know as described by plato as
00:47:33.860 described by shakespeare tyrannical trajectory where at a certain point he's no longer able to
00:47:39.420 hear the advice of others at a certain point his own fantasies start to become realer than the reality
00:47:45.760 around him i think there's no question that his obsession with ukraine is real i think he really
00:47:51.320 thinks something along the lines of his historically weird fantasies that he that he projects i think he
00:47:57.920 really thinks that somehow somewhere there really are ukrainians down there who who believe that they
00:48:03.880 want to be invaded by him but i i think that that is a classical tyrannical mistake and he is doing that
00:48:10.720 thing that tyrants do when they're in power for too long which is they commit state resources to their
00:48:16.200 own fantasies that's the tragedy of tyranny and that's that's where putin is right now so right now he's
00:48:22.780 in the grip he's in the grip of a fantasy which doesn't have anything to do with interests or with
00:48:27.560 geopolitics i think we take a deep breath and look coldly at russia's geopolitical position we can
00:48:33.560 generally agree that this has been an asinine move he is in the grip of something which can't be reduced
00:48:38.440 to interests or it doesn't have much to do with the state what he thought he was doing in invading
00:48:43.180 ukraine was leaving a legacy what he thought he was doing in invading ukraine was leaving leaving
00:48:48.020 leaving an indelible mark his own mark on history where he would be remembered as the person who
00:48:54.980 united what he thinks of as the russian lands as peter the great did as katherine the great did i think
00:49:00.860 that's what he thinks he was doing he's not going to be able to do that um because the world is just
00:49:05.600 not the way that he thinks the world is but i think that's what that's what has him in its grip
00:49:10.120 well he's also been doing a bit more than that in that he's been launching a a larger war mostly a
00:49:20.060 cyber war against western freedom really i mean there's just just there's been this i believe you
00:49:27.780 call it a hybrid warfare uh at various points where you know the goal seems to be to destabilize
00:49:34.900 democracies generally perhaps now is a good moment to say something about that and how that what we've
00:49:41.220 what we've seen of that since i guess you know 2014 and in the first war in ukraine i i appreciate that
00:49:49.440 question and i appreciate your earlier remark about there being a difference between democracy and other
00:49:54.340 systems and i guess i rather wish that in these conversations which are which you know which seem to
00:49:59.640 be about putin i don't mean nearer than mine i mean the kinds of discussions that you are
00:50:03.060 refereeing here people would admit like which of three positions they take because i think there
00:50:08.000 are a lot of people out there who just like fascism and i think they should just up and own it that
00:50:13.220 they like fascism and that's why they like putin and i think that would clarify matters i think a
00:50:18.300 second position is i really don't believe in anything i'm a complete nihilist i have no preference
00:50:22.960 between democracy and other things in that position you can also say well putin is fine because there is
00:50:28.420 no truth there are no values yada yada right and then there's a third position i'm sure there are others
00:50:32.860 there's a third position which says actually people seem to like to vote whether they're in iran or
00:50:37.840 whether they're in russia or whether they're in portland oregon they seem to like to vote and uh
00:50:42.600 and in countries where people are able to vote and are represented seem to be peaceful and prosperous and
00:50:47.480 freer and people seem to live lives where they're more satisfied and so on right i mean i think it would
00:50:52.400 be kind of like in some way this discussion about putin is a proxy for all of that where the people who
00:50:58.720 are slightly afraid to say yeah i'm a fascist or yeah i'm a nihilist um are willing to say well i
00:51:04.000 think maybe putin's okay or i think maybe what's happening here is is fine and now sam i've forgotten
00:51:09.080 where you well yeah well actually let me let me add one more cohort there because it's i guess it's
00:51:14.780 nihilist adjacent but it would uh they certainly wouldn't think of themselves as nihilists and these
00:51:20.320 are all the people you know most of whom are in trumpistan and so i think i'm talking about you
00:51:27.100 know maybe 40 percent of american society i think that more or less everything said about russia
00:51:34.160 attempting to destabilize democracy in particular our own and especially their attempt to hack
00:51:42.620 the 2016 presidential election amounted to a a lie you know just just a pure confection of the
00:51:50.920 democratic party wherever it is true you know even if some are going to concede that some aspects of
00:51:56.300 those allegations are true it's unimportant because we do the same thing to other countries
00:52:01.780 right i mean this is this you know this came out explicitly when trump himself said well you think
00:52:06.300 our hands are so clean you know we've been pretty bad too right and so it so we had the the
00:52:11.240 spectacle of a sitting u.s president who said he trusted putin and his intelligence services
00:52:16.660 over his own intelligence services and something like half the country was happy to go with that
00:52:23.360 and and they think that basically i mean this all gets summarized under the rubric of the the russia
00:52:30.620 collusion hoax right if you like anywhere right of center now the all you need say is the russia
00:52:37.040 collusion hoax to discredit any concern about russia's misinformation campaign that's happened on
00:52:46.000 dozens of fronts for years which has created a a politics of unreality within our own society
00:52:54.620 in large part so anyway i get you know that we might call that nihilistic but i think most of these
00:53:00.500 people think that they're not nihilists they they want to put american interests first they want us to
00:53:07.340 be essentially they want us to pull back from our engagement with a a fairly crazy world and close our
00:53:14.040 borders and they want to get back to the good things of making america great again you know so that's not
00:53:18.800 nihilism it's it's a kind of delusion and it's a complete loss of contact with certain moral imperatives
00:53:27.200 of the moment i would say but it's um i think it is a different cohort and it and there's a fair
00:53:34.000 amount of evidence at this point that russia has had more than a little bit to do with creating these
00:53:41.340 perceptions yeah no there's a there's a deep philosophical consistency here because what happens
00:53:48.520 in in russian domestic politics is that putin finds himself in a place where he can't meaningfully
00:53:55.400 promise russians a a better future and one of the moves he makes at that point very effectively
00:54:01.660 um helped by a very intelligent propagandist called ladislav surkov is to argue that well actually
00:54:08.140 things may seem lousy in russia and maybe we close down your small business for no reason
00:54:12.980 and maybe there's very little social mobility and maybe you know wealth is horribly badly distributed
00:54:19.620 and maybe your vote doesn't really count but if you look around the world the the putin line
00:54:25.200 it's actually all the same everywhere it's the same in britain it's the same in the united states
00:54:29.880 and so the the way the the the move that their propaganda makes is very different from the soviet
00:54:35.140 union the soviet union actually still said there are good things and we're moving towards those good
00:54:40.240 things that might have been a lie but it was a lie in a world where there was still truth
00:54:45.300 what what the putin propaganda does is that it says look nothing's really any good russia's rotten
00:54:52.020 we admit it but britain is just as bad and america's just as bad and then they just hit on the
00:54:56.940 things which are bad about us and they put them right in the center and they make them the absolute
00:55:01.020 essence of our countries so that is a kind of programmatic nihilism it's it's a way to stay in
00:55:07.440 power when you can no longer actually operate a state in the way that it's normally thought of as being
00:55:13.040 beneficial to to people and i so that that connects with where we are in our politics where
00:55:18.600 you know we begin to doubt that the state can do things for us or that the state represents us and
00:55:24.300 then we are captured and i'm not saying that the russians are the only ones responsible for this
00:55:28.520 i'm saying what the russians are doing is they're they're pushing forward like they're the avant-garde
00:55:33.020 in this general tendency to say well who knows whether our system is better than their system right
00:55:38.260 who knows whether it was better you know whether russia does this and we do all this and so when trump
00:55:42.900 says you know i i trust their services more than our services he has a good he has good reason to
00:55:47.980 trust their services because his services did much more for him than our services ever could do but
00:55:53.120 when americans follow that and they say well it's kind of all the same then that's not just you know
00:55:58.300 adjacent to nihilism that actually is nihilism because what you're doing and you're reason that
00:56:03.520 way is you're saying well no matter how bad something is it's probably just as bad somewhere else and
00:56:09.280 you can't really build up a democracy on that basis i mean to build up a democracy you have to have
00:56:14.480 some notion that you have that you can improve things that some values are real you know that
00:56:20.660 law that law does matter that we can organize ourselves in ways that are that are better than
00:56:25.700 other ways and um you know at the practical level you're speaking of the right here but at the
00:56:30.420 practical level this kind of posture also turns up on the left where you know the existence of russia
00:56:35.720 just becomes um an occasion to point out that america did things which are which was bad and of course
00:56:41.780 we did right but that doesn't actually answer the question i mean if you know if people if if russia
00:56:47.840 is committing a genocide in ukraine and we say well yes we did terrible things in iraq okay that's
00:56:52.580 fine that means that you know countries shouldn't carry out illegal wars so there's a there's a
00:56:57.640 principle there um and i'm happy to defend that principle but the way it goes illogically and i think
00:57:03.500 politically destructively is for people to say well you know on the one hand on the other hand as
00:57:08.280 though that were dispositive and then that just brings us to this nihilism and with the nihilism
00:57:13.340 russia wins because they're not aiming for anything else they don't really need for us to believe that
00:57:17.720 the ukrainians are are nazis right they obviously don't believe that themselves they don't really
00:57:21.900 need for us to believe that ukraine doesn't exist they just need for us to be somewhere in no they just
00:57:26.300 need for us to be in nowhere land where we shrug our shoulders and we say well who knows you know
00:57:30.440 maybe maybe we did something like that at some point that's all they're aiming for that's really all
00:57:34.860 they're aiming for and unfortunately they're getting a lot of it okay well i want to i know
00:57:39.320 you have a hard stop in about 40 minutes now so i don't want us to be short on time to address the
00:57:46.740 nuclear elephant in the room right so so many people think that we are running an intolerable risk
00:57:53.960 by not doing everything we could possibly do to de-escalate the situation i want to give you some
00:58:01.140 examples of this from what i've seen on social media and i want i want us to analyze them because
00:58:05.980 if you're not someone who's been as you have been really in the weeds of of ukrainian and russian
00:58:12.500 history and politics it's easy to think well there's got to be a reason why ukraine is not a nato state
00:58:20.860 right and then we're not treaty bound to defend it like it is one it's not therefore a core american
00:58:28.820 national interest so how is it that we are not doing everything we can do to mollify
00:58:38.180 putin at this point right i mean because this is a situation of nuclear blackmail it even gets worse
00:58:44.820 somehow if we exceed to the idea that you know he doesn't even have russia's interest at heart he's
00:58:51.600 just a tyrant who's psychologically unraveling and he's given some speeches of late which
00:58:57.920 suggest a kind of unraveling of a quasi-religious sort he gave one speech about a month ago where he
00:59:05.280 sounded practically like a jihadist in terms of his you know the the other the other worldliness that
00:59:10.880 was creeping into his claims so why are we just not doing everything we can to get off this ride and
00:59:17.660 so i'll give you just a few examples of this the venture capitalist david sacks has been making a
00:59:23.800 lot of noise about this and he wrote a an op-ed in newsweek recently and this is a quote the online
00:59:29.820 mob has decided that any support for a negotiated settlement even proposals that zelinski himself
00:59:35.600 appeared to support at the beginning of the war is tantamount to taking russia's side denouncing
00:59:40.980 voices of compromise and restraint as putin apologists this removes them from acceptable discourse and
00:59:47.120 shrinks the overton window to those advocating the total defeat of russia and an end to putin's
00:59:52.200 regime even if it risks world war three anyone who suggests that nato expansion could have been a
00:59:58.000 contributing factor to the current ukraine crisis or that the sanctions imposed on russia are not
01:00:03.420 working and have backfired on a soon-to-be-shivering europe or even that the u.s must prioritize avoiding
01:00:09.580 a world war with a nuclear-armed russia is denounced as a putin stooge so let's let's take that what is
01:00:16.180 how would you respond to that if you'd like to continue listening to this conversation you'll
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