Making Sense - Sam Harris - September 18, 2023


#334 — The Low-Trust Society


Episode Stats

Length

49 minutes

Words per Minute

170.60182

Word Count

8,425

Sentence Count

7

Misogynist Sentences

3

Hate Speech Sentences

8


Summary

David Brooks is a contributing writer at The Atlantic and a columnist for the New York Times. He is the author of several books, including The Second Mountain and the Road to Character, and the forthcoming book How to Know a Person: The Art of Seeing Others, deeply, and Being deeply seen. David has been awarded more than 30 honorary degrees, he is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and he teaches at Yale University. David and I spoke about the state of American democracy and the liberal world order, and we discussed the weaknesses of moral individualism, the loss of social trust, the dangers of identity politics, the hatred of elites, and other topics, including the limits of American power and the enduring problems with meritocracy. And I bring you the first part of a conversation I had with David Brooks about his career as a writer and a journalist, and how he got his start in the conservative world. We discuss his early career in journalism, his first TV appearance on national TV, and his early life as a student in Chicago, and what it was like growing up in the late 60s and early 70s in the post-World War II era. He also talks about his love of conspiracy theories and conspiracy theories, the lure of conspiracy thinking, and why he's always wanted to be a writer, even though he's not interested in being a regular academic, at least not in the kind of journalism that he considers himself a "big guy" like J.D. Rothbard or J.J. Roth, or a guy who writes about things like that sort of thing. He also discusses why he doesn't have a big enough to call himself a yet he doesn t have a big cup or is not he s not a big guy at all but he does have a lot of friends who do and that has a big like so he does in says a little who doesn t have what isn t of writes why he s makes not , the his thinks how s is . gives knows explains why he is a writer shares joins talks an (not describes speaks


Transcript

00:00:00.000 welcome to the making sense podcast this is sam harris just a note to say that if you're hearing
00:00:12.480 this you are not currently on our subscriber feed and will only be hearing the first part
00:00:16.880 of this conversation in order to access full episodes of the making sense podcast you'll need
00:00:21.920 to subscribe at sam harris.org there you'll find our private rss feed to add to your favorite
00:00:27.000 podcatcher along with other subscriber only content we don't run ads on the podcast and
00:00:32.480 therefore it's made possible entirely through the support of our subscribers so if you enjoy
00:00:36.500 what we're doing here please consider becoming one well i have a significant housekeeping to do but
00:00:48.820 i think that will be a standalone podcast so look for that next today i'm speaking with david brooks
00:00:56.660 david is a contributing writer at the atlantic and also a columnist for the new york times
00:01:02.940 and a commentator on pbs's news hour he's the author of several books including the second mountain
00:01:11.360 and the road to character as well as the forthcoming book how to know a person the art of seeing others
00:01:18.820 deeply and being deeply seen david has been awarded more than 30 honorary degrees he is a member of the
00:01:26.220 american academy of arts and sciences and he teaches at yale university david and i spoke about the
00:01:32.620 state of american democracy and the liberal world order we discussed the weaknesses of moral
00:01:38.560 individualism the loss of social trust the dangers of identity politics what happened to the republican
00:01:45.900 party the hatred of elites the 2024 presidential election the trump indictments the war in ukraine
00:01:54.000 moral force the roots of liberalism the various flavors of trump support at this point the biden
00:02:02.280 presidency hunter biden's laptop biden's prospects in 2024 nikki haley economic inequality the enduring
00:02:11.980 problems with meritocracy the state of media and social media the lure of conspiracy thinking the
00:02:19.480 politics of politics of recognition our handling of the covet pandemic our difficulty is acknowledging
00:02:25.380 uncertainty our withdrawal from afghanistan the limits of american power and other topics and i bring
00:02:33.740 you david brooks
00:02:35.100 i am here with david brooks david thanks for joining me oh great to be back with you so you've been on the
00:02:47.120 podcast before and um i am certainly a fan of yours and and read your work as it appears in the new york
00:02:54.200 times and the atlantic um that's i perhaps you appear somewhere else and i'm not aware of it but
00:02:59.120 maybe you can just uh summarize how you view your career as a writer and a journalist at this point what
00:03:07.440 kinds of things have you focused on and what are you doing of late well uh to start at the beginning
00:03:12.860 and when i was seven i read a book called paddings and the bear and i decided i want to become a writer
00:03:17.580 and i've been writing pretty much every day except maybe 200 in the intervening 50 years
00:03:22.720 wow my joke is in high school i wanted to date this woman named bernice and she didn't want to date me
00:03:28.000 she dated some other guy and i remember thinking what is she thinking i write way better than that
00:03:32.520 guy uh so those were my values that you should date the better writer but those were not her values
00:03:37.540 apparently um so you know i i worked for the college newspaper the university of chicago and
00:03:43.360 then i was a police reporter on the south side of chicago and i got a lucky break we can talk about
00:03:47.260 when william f buckley spotted me and gave a speech to the student body of chicago and it said david
00:03:53.980 brooks if you're in the audience i want to give you a job and i sadly wasn't in the audience i was
00:03:58.860 actually debating milton friedman on national tv and if your listeners want to watch my first tv
00:04:04.880 appearance it's yeah a 21 year old me getting slaughtered by friedman so is that on youtube
00:04:10.420 that that's yeah if you youtube david brooks milton friedman you will see uh me in a big afro
00:04:17.100 and these 90s glasses that look like they're on loan from mount polymer lunar observatory
00:04:22.140 and then i i toured through the sort of conservative world the wall street journal editorial page the
00:04:27.960 weekly standard washington times eventually landing in 2003 and my joke is i was hired as the conservative
00:04:35.400 columnist at the new york times a job i likened to being the chief rabbi at mecca and the one constant
00:04:41.640 i would say just to get us up to the present is that i was always been a fan of a period of non-fiction
00:04:46.940 between 1955 and 1965 when you had a series of writers who were a little above journalism but not
00:04:54.080 quite as specialized as academics and so they would be people like jane jacobs and irving crystal or
00:05:01.560 daniel bell or irving howe richard john newhouse abraham joshua heschel and hannah rent uh and so they
00:05:10.720 they took on big subjects reinhold niebuhr took on he wrote a book called the age and destiny of man
00:05:17.160 which covers a lot of ground um so i i always wanted to be in that lane like slightly off the news
00:05:23.980 from a regular journalist but not quite specialized like an academic and i've i've done these big
00:05:29.760 pieces where i attempt to just figure out what's the temper of our times and how would you describe
00:05:36.040 your politics at this point my politics are weirdly unchanged i i have two heroes uh one is edmund burke
00:05:43.020 and burke is a believer in epistemological modesty the world is complicated so we should be really
00:05:48.400 complicated and what we can know and change and when we do it should be constant but incremental
00:05:52.860 and then my other hero is alexander hamilton who was a puerto rican hip-hop star from the heights
00:05:59.000 and he was uh he was a he for me is you know my i was raised by my grandfather really an immigrant
00:06:05.380 and so i have that immigrant mentality that government should be energetic on behalf of people so they can
00:06:12.740 rise and succeed in america and so hamilton's really starts the tradition the whigs in the 19th
00:06:19.020 century henry clay daniel webster continue at abraham lincoln uh with the the land grant college act and
00:06:25.580 the homestead legislation and i think the whig tradition really intellectually goes up to teddy
00:06:30.500 roosevelt and maybe john mccain but it's a tradition that dies out but it's there are six of us left
00:06:37.080 and i'm happy to be a whig and uh there was a phrase i ran across from isaiah berlin the philosopher
00:06:42.380 who said i'm happy to be at the leftward edge or the rightward edge of the leftward tendency
00:06:46.960 and these days i'm so repulsed by the republican party i guess i'm supporting and rooting for the
00:06:52.480 democrats but i'm on the rightward edge of the democrats right right well i've often i've always
00:06:57.920 considered you right of me i mean i certainly have never been tempted to be a republican um i don't
00:07:04.560 think i've ever voted for a republican but um you know i have for many years now made common cause
00:07:11.680 with republicans who see the recent events on the right uh and on the left uh more or less as i do so
00:07:20.200 you know yourself and david french and brett stevens and jonah goldberg and others who saw in trump
00:07:28.000 precisely what i saw in trump and and we have never gone quiet on that topic so i want to i want
00:07:35.080 to have a conversation with you that is perhaps a little more narrowly focused than the age and
00:07:39.820 destiny of man but not by too much because i want to talk about the state of american democracy
00:07:46.800 and the liberal world order really uh and i want i want to start with an essay you wrote back in 2020
00:07:54.980 which was you published it right before the presidential election in the atlantic uh the
00:08:01.200 title is america is having a moral convulsion and uh it's really it's a wonderful and quite depressing
00:08:08.480 piece and i just want to revisit it because i i stumbled upon it i don't know a few months ago and
00:08:14.020 and was wondering how you're thinking about our situation may have evolved since uh whether this is
00:08:22.200 the intervening three years have just confirmed all of your worst fears or magnified them or if
00:08:27.840 anything has changed but in that piece you focus on the breakdown of social trust mainly in america and
00:08:35.020 you argue that our trust in our institutions and in one another was in something like a death spiral
00:08:42.580 and really just a catastrophic decline and um you paint this very vivid picture of lost
00:08:50.560 promise where you just what would seem to be the the high watermarks of capitalism and democracy and
00:08:58.280 pluralism and diversity and globalization at the end of the 20th century were followed by this more or
00:09:06.120 less unraveling of all of that you know and and the apparent promise of all of that and it just to
00:09:12.360 get you started to remind you where your your head was three years ago i just want to read a short
00:09:17.900 paragraph which um conserve as a nice starting point here it's uh this is you it all looks naive now we
00:09:26.580 were naive about what the globalized economy would do to the working class naive to think the internet
00:09:31.740 would bring us together naive to think the global mixing of people would breed harmony naive to think
00:09:37.780 the privileged wouldn't pull up the ladders of opportunity behind them we didn't predict that
00:09:42.720 oligarchs would steal entire nations or the demagogues from turkey to the u.s would ignite
00:09:47.800 ethnic hatreds we didn't see that a hyper-competitive global meritocracy would effectively turn all of
00:09:54.240 childhood into elite travel sports where a few privileged performers get to play and everyone else gets left
00:10:00.360 behind and so that touches on so much that concerns me about our current moment both domestically and
00:10:09.680 and for its implications for maintaining what many of us uh perhaps naively have thought about as the
00:10:17.820 rules-based international order so just uh i give you that as a starting point tell me how do how do things
00:10:24.820 look to you three years on yeah let me go suck on the gas pipe there i know that is depressing
00:10:29.700 uh you know i one of the things i was trying to do in that piece is just investigate the psychology of distrust
00:10:36.040 distrust we had entered and still are in a world with high distrust and so what does that do to
00:10:40.580 people in it one of the things that distrustful people try to make themselves invulnerable they try
00:10:45.240 to armor up they want to feel safe they see threats that aren't there in a period of distrust you get
00:10:52.560 surges of populism people who feel betrayed and so i think that's all true but but i think if i could
00:10:59.120 step back that piece poured out of a moment i think a lot of us live through i live through it very
00:11:04.240 materially i was with the wall street journal and i was covering i was a foreign correspondent in the
00:11:08.700 90s and so i covered the end of the soviet union the reunification of germany the end of apartheid in
00:11:15.020 south africa the maslow peace process the maastricht process of the european unification and this was all
00:11:21.500 good news and so it was a period of convergence when people seemed to be coming together when barriers
00:11:26.940 seemed to be falling and at the end of my time in europe i covered an event of the yugoslav civil war
00:11:34.340 and in the it turns out that that little events with authoritarian strongmanism and ethnic conflict
00:11:40.920 turned out to be the more important than all the other stuff i covered in predicting what would happen
00:11:46.920 over the next 25 years and so the end of convergence ended and we entered it 25 years of really
00:11:53.040 ethnic conflict authoritarian rising and really a closing up a disassociation across all sorts of
00:12:00.160 societies and the thing that troubled me the most and still troubles me the most is the freakish
00:12:06.760 breakdown in social and relational fabric of american society the the rise of depression and suicide is
00:12:14.000 well known but the number of people who say they have no close personal friends has gone up by
00:12:18.460 four times the number of people who say that they have broken with a member of their immediate
00:12:24.380 family has risen there's been a third increase in the number of people living without a romantic
00:12:29.220 partner and if you ask the number of people who get who rate themselves the lowest happiness category
00:12:35.080 is up substantially if you ask high school kids do you feel persistently hopeless and depressed
00:12:41.160 well that's risen from like 20 to 45 so we are still in the middle of some sort of societal emotional and
00:12:49.020 relational crisis now there are two things to be said to cheer us all up one is and this has been a surprise
00:12:55.100 to me it is a pillar of the literature on trust that low trust societies are poor societies that if you can't
00:13:02.400 trust the people around you you can't do business deals and yet i would have to say american capitalism has sailed on
00:13:08.160 in pretty nice fashion and picking up steam uh europe and america were roughly even in gdp per capita
00:13:15.100 back when i was over in europe and now the u.s is just crushing europe we are our economy is just way
00:13:21.360 stronger we're number one in investment we're number one in innovation one or two along with switzerland
00:13:26.740 and so the american economy has gone from strength to strength as we speak we're seeing a big turnaround in
00:13:34.460 the fate of nations if you want to put it that way china which seemed to be expanding and rising and
00:13:40.080 seem to be the rising power has hit hard times and seems to be struggling to say the least
00:13:46.200 economically meanwhile if you go to ohio you've got gigantic multi-billion dollar investments from amazon
00:13:53.000 from google from intel and so we're seeing a renaissance especially the american heartland the
00:13:58.500 american midwest and so i'm a little surprised the american economy has really surged at a time
00:14:03.840 even despite the low social trust and so that's one thing that's making me feel a little better maybe
00:14:08.500 it's not ruin all around well i want to talk about politics and um there are many threads here there's
00:14:16.720 this you know what we might call meritocracy and its discontents the problem of trust and something you
00:14:23.980 make clear in several of your of your essays is linked to the problem of or being unable to have
00:14:31.080 a fact-based discussion about more or less anything of substance now so when you look at what happened
00:14:37.220 during the pandemic what we witnessed was a a more or less total failure to come together as a society
00:14:45.720 because we simply couldn't have a convergence of belief about what was actually happening and much less
00:14:53.340 what what to do about it uh so there was a total lack of cultural cohesion and i think we're still living with
00:14:59.440 the aftermath of that and the attendant cynicism and political populism that just it just seems to be
00:15:07.740 further fracturing our society so the the trust in institutions piece is enormous and perhaps uh mirrored by a
00:15:17.740 failure of interpersonal trust um and obviously there's a piece of around diversity and identity
00:15:25.780 politics that seems to argue that trust can further break down here i guess i mean just speaking
00:15:33.980 personally i i noticed that this is i feel very late to some of these topics because i i mean when i look
00:15:40.920 back on my professional output it really has been almost entirely an argument for what i think of as
00:15:48.540 enlightened individualism and much of your work i think suggests the obvious limits of individualism and
00:15:59.280 when i say enlightened individualism i i mean enlightened really in both senses of that term i'm thinking of
00:16:06.100 the western birth of of science and secular rationality i'm also thinking of the more esoteric
00:16:12.840 eastern spiritual sense of enlightened i mean in the sense that suggests contemplation and self-transcendence
00:16:19.860 so i've been arguing for you know science and scientific skepticism in the culture wars against
00:16:26.720 organized religion for many years and simultaneously i've been championing the virtues of meditation and
00:16:33.120 philosophical reflection and personal ethics and i do think that all of these things are indispensable for
00:16:40.080 living a good life but i'm actually humbled by the degree to which all of our independent efforts
00:16:47.680 to live well and to think clearly just can still totally fail to cohere at the level of society at large
00:16:56.940 right so it's just so it's really it wasn't until trump and the pandemic that i i believe i fully
00:17:03.960 recognized how much we need institutions and political norms and economic incentives that make us better
00:17:11.980 collectively right that make it much easier for selfish people to behave well rather than requiring you
00:17:19.500 know sainthood for someone to act you know halfway decently and and so much of the time i see that we're
00:17:24.800 we've built systems that are incentivizing all the wrong things and you really do have to be
00:17:32.100 basically you know a saint to behave well in certain contexts and you know what what you see most of the
00:17:40.480 time is is quite normal people psychologically behaving in ways that make them indistinguishable from
00:17:46.500 sociopaths and i you know i think social media is the primary example of this and so you know i deleted
00:17:52.000 my twitter account because it just seemed that you know staring you know hour by hour into that fun
00:17:58.760 house mirror was not only giving me a false sense of how grotesque my neighbors were but it was actually
00:18:05.300 making me a kind of grotesque and so i you know i just had to pull the plug on it so anyway i just this
00:18:11.480 is just to lob a softball to you but i mean i really i i see your wheelhouse as perhaps among several
00:18:18.880 others as being one where you have recognized that we not only need lives of personal integrity
00:18:27.600 we need cultural contexts and institutions and norms and systems that support those lives
00:18:36.340 and enable them yeah i mean i i'm a liberal too um but i guess i would say you know i grew up in new
00:18:42.880 york and greenwich village in the 60s and i was surrounded by what you might call moral individualism
00:18:48.000 or or social individualism you should do what you want and i imbibed that and i celebrate a lot of
00:18:53.320 the changes that came out but i think in the ensuing 80 years we've overshot the mark and we became
00:18:59.620 too individualistic and there were some weaknesses there one the illusion that if we all do our own
00:19:05.260 selfish thing everything will work out for society and to me that didn't work out i mean we we can all
00:19:10.860 do our selfish thing and no invisible hand will create a healthy society the second thing and
00:19:15.860 here's the the conservative in me coming out and that would be that reason and individualism and
00:19:23.520 individual choice are built on institutions that precede choice so the liberal order we treasure is
00:19:30.340 built on an order that is not liberal and so there are certain attachments we have to our family
00:19:36.140 to our town to our nation to our creeds which are not really chosen they're just we absorb them in
00:19:43.540 the culture around us and our commitments to those things like family nation community are total and so
00:19:50.160 those things are not something we choose those things are institutions that form us and so we you know we
00:19:57.240 want to live in moral ecologies in which it's just easier to be good and so let me give you a concrete
00:20:03.020 example so like i don't know 20 years ago i got a job on pbs to be a pundit for jim lair on the news
00:20:11.640 hour and every time i said something crass and sort of self-indulgent on the air i would see lair's
00:20:18.140 mouth downturn and every time i said something he thought was good i would see his eyes crinkle in
00:20:24.200 pleasure so for 10 years he never had to say anything i just tried to chase the mouth the eyes wrinkle
00:20:30.420 and try to avoid the mouth downturn and so in that way he set standards of behavior that i didn't really
00:20:35.980 consciously think about all that much but in which it was easier to be good and so the point is none
00:20:41.800 of us are separable individuals we're all very porous deeply influenced by the world around us and so
00:20:47.980 we need that world around us to have a shared ecology that'll make it easier for us to be good
00:20:53.560 and if we don't have that we're gonna we're gonna defer to our default selfishness so you wrote this
00:20:59.560 this essay that we i referenced at the top here before the election in 2020 and obviously before
00:21:07.600 january 6th what has your sense been i mean the the the economic trends notwithstanding what what is
00:21:14.740 your sense now of the political landscape how durable the the populism of the of the right and
00:21:24.520 left are and you know how much trumpism may exceed the problem of trump himself um where are we
00:21:33.280 politically as a nation trump was obviously the epitome of distrust a distrustful person who was
00:21:39.800 both a symptom of our larger distrust than an accelerant uh making us all distrustful and
00:21:45.400 making us look one another i guess in the years since a couple things have happened the first is
00:21:52.060 i've come to see that the problem is not just politics but our particular kind of politics we
00:21:58.100 practice now in a healthy society people practice the politics of distribution like how much should we
00:22:03.980 raise taxes where should we spend our money and that seems to be a healthy politics we don't
00:22:08.920 practice that kind of politics by and large at least donald trump doesn't we practice the politics
00:22:14.320 of recognition we want our political leaders to humiliate the other side and affirm us ours is a
00:22:20.960 politics looking for identity we're looking to be admired by ourselves and that is asking too much
00:22:27.280 of politics than it is required than is possible of delivering and so you know we if you're naked and
00:22:34.500 alone you feel morally lost and so you seek politics because it seems to offer you a moral landscape
00:22:40.860 there are us good guys over here and those bad guys over there it seems to offer you community we all
00:22:45.840 watch newsmax together and we hate the other side it seems to offer you moral action you don't have to
00:22:51.500 sit with a widow or feed the hungry you just have to feel properly indignant at the outrages of the
00:22:56.620 other side but in all these ways politics is failing to deliver what you're seeking you're not really
00:23:02.240 it's not really a moral landscape in real life complicated life morality is right down the
00:23:07.840 middle of every human heart we're all capable of good and bad in real life community is not just
00:23:13.400 watching newsmax together it's it's you know building a town or doing whatever you want to do
00:23:17.900 together in real life community is you know meeting people befriending people it's not just joining
00:23:24.520 some tribe this or that tribe so in my view we've become over politicized and under moralized we've
00:23:30.080 turned everything into politics whether it's late night comedy shows or church or sporting events
00:23:36.540 and we've become terribly over politicized because people have gone to politics seeking the moral purpose
00:23:44.040 that their moral life is not delivering for them what explains the apparent inversion of more or less
00:23:53.200 of more or less than anything that has occurred in the republican party i mean how how did we get to a
00:23:58.340 republican party that would champion a this new isolationism and celebrate a figure like putin not care that
00:24:09.300 trump as a sitting president wouldn't commit to a peaceful transfer of power really not see any flaws in him
00:24:17.180 as a a moral actor not not care at all about the character of the person they were putting in the oval
00:24:24.200 office i mean it just seems like all the toggle switches got flipped at least with respect to how they
00:24:30.340 how republicans thought of themselves in election cycles you know prior to 2016 what do you think
00:24:37.720 explains that and and do you see any sign that it could reset in in the near term yeah i would guess i would
00:24:45.640 tell a lot of different stories some of which contradict each other but all of which i think are
00:24:49.540 true and so you know that it's part of the story i think is that there was a hidden not so hidden
00:24:55.300 racist element on the right uh that uh surfaced though i have to say as somebody who inhabited a
00:25:01.940 certain kind of conservative precinct for much of my life i never heard direct racism even in private
00:25:06.740 but do you think just first i i i find it hard to believe that that would explain the embrace of
00:25:14.020 trump and trumpism by the editorial board at the wall street journal right like how did how did
00:25:20.820 how did you know brett stevens get you know spit out of the wall street journal in your view yeah i guess
00:25:27.040 i would tell another the main story i would tell is a story that is not particularly flattering to people
00:25:31.520 like me which is round about 1950 to 1960 we shifted the definition of merit in this society
00:25:40.600 and so the median sat score of somebody at harvard rose from like from say 550 to 680
00:25:47.600 and we created a new version of the meritocracy basically around cognition and your ability to be
00:25:53.660 pleasing to teachers between the ages of 15 and 18 and this meritocratic class
00:25:58.800 rose up in universities all across the country married each other invested massively in their
00:26:06.120 kids those kids got into the same elite schools that the meritocrats went to they also married each
00:26:12.040 other they invested massively in their kids those kids went to the same schools they went to live in
00:26:18.360 a few places with booming economies like san francisco austin denver washington new york and so
00:26:26.720 basically and this happened in the u.s but it happened across the western world which is why populism is a
00:26:31.720 western thing not an american thing and so 20 of the population garnered an immense amount of wealth
00:26:39.140 but more important immense amount of cultural power so those of us in my class more or less control the
00:26:45.900 media or at least the mainstream media hollywood the universities and so every system has every
00:26:52.640 society has a recognition order who's going to confer recognition and approval on people and my little
00:27:00.260 class controls it in this country and so a lot of people in this society and also in france and in
00:27:06.160 hungary and italy and sweden and a lot of other places said that group of meritocratic elites just has
00:27:13.380 too much power they have too much economic cultural political and social power and we hate them and so we're
00:27:18.940 going to take them down and donald trump is our bastard to take those people down and those people
00:27:24.700 hate donald trump and therefore whatever trump does i'm going to be behind and the one thing that
00:27:30.600 continues to shock me to this day is that christians are supposed to believe in a lot of things but one of
00:27:38.300 them is that the ends do not justify the means and yet the entire white evangelical world and now i hear
00:27:46.560 this every day from white evangelicals that he's our he's a bastard but he's our bastards the ends
00:27:50.820 justify the means and so that is continues to shock me on a daily basis yes you you echo i think you've
00:28:01.300 you've written a book more or less on that topic but i'm also hearing what charles murray was saying in
00:28:06.060 his book coming apart about the the segregation of economic rewards that have gone to a certain class
00:28:13.060 of people that have really defined success in terms of a specific cognitive work and and virtues
00:28:21.740 and then there's the the the attendant economic inequality of all of that where does that leave
00:28:29.000 us currently politically i mean we're both watching the republican primary season begin to unfold or at
00:28:36.820 least the campaigns aimed at primaries uh next year do you see any of this resetting or you're just
00:28:43.620 expecting trump to be the candidate or some trumpist impersonator to be in his place well i guess i recall
00:28:52.140 a time when ronda sanus was only behind by four percentage points to trump and there was a time that
00:28:57.960 a crucial question to me was they asked republicans are you primarily a supporter of donald trump or are you
00:29:04.520 primarily a supporter of the republican party and during the trump presidency most people said donald
00:29:09.040 trump but after the defeats of 2020 the defeats of 2022 the majority of republicans said no i'm a
00:29:15.660 disciple of the republican party and so that gave me great hope that republicans would go for somebody
00:29:22.700 else and i think that hope was dashed on the day the fbi found the documents at mar-a-lago
00:29:28.860 and on that day and then in the ensuing indictments you know donald trump's support has risen and risen
00:29:36.380 and risen because again if you go back to the central narrative that were the americans who
00:29:41.340 are fighting against the educated elites then this allows trump to play that narrative and i have faith
00:29:48.260 in the justice system i think they're doing the right thing but a lot of people out there do not have
00:29:53.060 any faith in that system and do not think they're doing the right thing so a bunch of lawyers in
00:29:56.940 washington and atlanta and new york going after donald trump is just underlining the key narrative
00:30:02.600 and so trump looks in a very dominant position to me right now i guess just to return to the to my
00:30:10.860 initial question for a second many of these educated elites obviously are supporters of trump or supporters
00:30:18.340 of the populist unrest uh that prompts him up i mean you see have somebody campaigning like vivek
00:30:26.640 ramaswamy right he's he's the quintessence of an educated elite and yet he's mouthing all of the
00:30:34.380 pablum that trumpism would uh require of him do you view that as a purely cynical and opportunistic
00:30:45.100 style of politics or do you do you think that and and i guess this would this opprobrium would extend to
00:30:52.600 like the wall street editorial board in 2016 is it pure cynicism and opportunism or is do you think
00:31:02.040 that many of these so-called elites have managed to squint their eyes in such a way as to actually
00:31:08.960 agree with trump and not see a problem with his style of politics yeah for ramaswamy i think he looked
00:31:18.200 at the world and said hey the uh narcissistic hucksterism is in vogue my ship has come in
00:31:23.260 this is my great skill for somebody like tucker carlson who i knew we worked together for nine
00:31:27.880 years of the work the standard i think there's excitement the desire to be relevant to the desire
00:31:33.340 to being on the thrill uh and a fair degree of cynicism for people like rudy giuliani i do think
00:31:40.120 it is pure desire to remain relevant for other people i think there are a whole variety of
00:31:45.500 rationalizations and i will say i i periodically go on reporting trips where i interview the republican
00:31:51.900 donor class i just want to know what they're thinking because they've been interesting and i
00:31:56.540 would say in 2016 the vast majority of the normal gop rich guy donors were anti-trump and then
00:32:05.500 they ended up voting for him because they couldn't vote them for hillary and then in 2017 they were still
00:32:11.680 sort of against him and then as you interviewed them by 2018 and 2019 suddenly they were all sort
00:32:17.240 of for him and it was reminder the power of team spirit is super strong in american life and that if
00:32:24.780 your enemies are attacking a guy who's sort of on your team and he happens to be cutting your taxes and
00:32:31.200 putting together a reasonably strong economy well then it becomes pretty easy for you to slide over and
00:32:36.740 suddenly you're not anti-trump you're just kind of pro-trump because you want to be part of the team
00:32:43.020 i have to say now when i look at the republican donors they're back to being anti-trump and they're
00:32:48.720 looking for an alternative but they can't find one but i do think there is this mentality on there is
00:32:55.300 just a binary mentality to american politics so i worked at the wall street journal editorial page for
00:33:00.780 nine years and i think they don't want to be seen as totally pro-trump but if every day they can wake
00:33:06.780 up and critique you know rachel maddow well that's something that feels kind of natural
00:33:13.100 what if anything changes when you when you focus this question through the lens of the war in ukraine
00:33:20.580 right you have many many republicans seemingly sincerely espousing the belief that we have absolutely no
00:33:30.100 business selling arms to ukraine we're culpable for putin's invasion because we so recklessly provoked
00:33:39.260 him with talk of uh extending uh nato you know and and so it was just pure a pure history of provocation
00:33:47.060 and failed diplomacy on our part that forced putin's hand he did what any rational actor would do in
00:33:53.860 invading ukraine uh there's no interesting moral asymmetry there you know you know any talk of a
00:34:03.120 a democracy that was a sovereign democracy that was invaded by a belligerent who we should support
00:34:10.980 under a rules-based international order just invites you know a cynical guffaw from these people
00:34:19.600 uh you know with echoes of trump saying do you think our hands are so clean in i think in that
00:34:27.320 context he was talking about uh mbs and the murder of um khashoggi but i mean i gotta think that many if
00:34:36.420 not most of of these republicans who are deeply skeptical of of of any argument that we should be
00:34:44.840 supporting ukraine have come to that but at least imagine they've come to that belief not calculating
00:34:52.560 some weird political self-interest but actually just feeling that they've had some kind of epiphany about
00:34:58.540 the status of america on the world stage and the wisdom of retreat on some level how do you think about
00:35:07.520 ukraine and russia in particular and and and the work they are doing in american politics
00:35:15.040 yeah i have to say first i'm i'm at least proud that at least most republicans uh i think overall
00:35:22.020 and most republicans in congress are pretty very strong in support of zelensky and what the ukrainians
00:35:28.200 are trying to do i know brett stevens talked to you about this a couple weeks ago uh so i think that
00:35:33.000 that's one thing that should be pointed out the second thing that should be pointed out is that
00:35:37.320 it's funny how nothing ever goes away and so the american first ideology that's deep in american
00:35:43.740 history and and it used to be in the democratic party now it's in the republican party and when
00:35:48.540 trump said america first for the first time i thought oh that's terrible for him that'll discredit
00:35:53.480 him with everybody because everybody knows america first didn't work out in the days before world war
00:35:57.980 ii but turns out i was wrong there are a lot of people who are genuinely america first
00:36:01.740 but i think the thing i've learned which i didn't anticipate is how signing on to trump
00:36:07.440 involves an aggressive amoralism and so if if you're a liberal you believe in as you said earlier
00:36:14.960 the rules-based international order and that is based on the idea that human beings have the ability
00:36:20.980 to make cooperative arrangements and establish a set of moral norms that are good for everybody
00:36:26.900 and so thou shalt not invade your small neighbor that's just a moral norm and it's it's not only
00:36:34.500 good for the independence of peoples around the world it happens to be good for building a stable
00:36:39.200 world order but donald trump's worldview is not that that any moral order any set of norms
00:36:45.300 any institutional set of norms is a cover for elites masking their oppressive power on everybody else
00:36:52.180 and therefore the world is dog eat dog live with it or as you know the ancient athenians said
00:36:58.720 the strong do what they can and the weak suffer what they must so suck it up and so i think that
00:37:05.240 is genuinely the mentality i encounter among trump supporters that boot and strong ukraine was weak
00:37:10.360 what do you expect and i think that aggressive amoralism is really a crucial dividing line in not only
00:37:18.340 in american politics but in world politics because there are other leaders like xi xi pin who also
00:37:23.040 believe that power is everything and so where those of us who are liberal are trying to defend
00:37:28.920 this liberal order this set of norms this belief that people can cooperate and that it's not just
00:37:34.420 airy-fairy but cooperation is actually a tenacious noble thing we do and i think evolutionary psychology
00:37:41.200 backs that up but we have to restate moralism and and that's you know i've mentioned morality a lot
00:37:46.800 recently in this conversation and it sounds so pompous and self-righteous i understand but it's
00:37:53.000 a real thing and moral moral force uh the moral force that makes us cooperate one with another
00:37:59.140 the moral force that if you make an error and i'm not going to take advantage of it because i want to be a
00:38:05.160 decent person that's hard for us to talk about these days because we're sort of out of habit but i i do
00:38:11.380 think that's the challenge one of the challenges trump throws up in our faces yeah i mean what one of
00:38:16.760 the most corrosive things he has done and and the movement he has inspired has done is is convey the
00:38:24.560 sense that there is no such thing as moral high ground right there's any pretension that there is
00:38:30.320 or might be and that much less that one might occupy it is just a a cover for a deeper hypocrisy
00:38:38.240 right it is just elite speak and selfishness and hand waving and virtue signaling and there's there's
00:38:45.040 there is just no there there right there's it's impossible to ever sincerely aspire to wisdom and
00:38:52.000 compassion and any other you know higher virtue individually or collectively because it's all just
00:38:58.780 a fig leaf for selfishness and getting what you can yeah it's just it's awful to see
00:39:06.360 how difficult it has become to even use aspirational language in a political context without provoking a
00:39:15.440 reflexive cynical response and see when you when you talk about it to use this narrow case when you talk
00:39:23.560 about the the moral imperative of backing a democracy over the rampages of a of a of an invading
00:39:34.740 despotism you know we're not uh lionizing somebody like putin who murders his political opponents and
00:39:41.320 journalists even in other countries the fact that that just it falls on deaf ears and it not only falls
00:39:48.700 on deaf ears it just there's this basic sense that we should never have cared about any of those
00:39:53.840 differences yeah it's it's been a reminder to me i agree with you completely that how recent the
00:40:01.820 liberal enlightenment project how recent it is i mean one of the things that did not exist in the
00:40:07.740 ancient world was the notion of compassion like the idea that you should feel sorry for a slave
00:40:13.360 or somebody was poor who somebody was being whose intestines were being ripped out of their guts
00:40:18.660 that sense that you should be humble before all that humility was like what are you being humble for
00:40:24.360 humility is for losers humility is for the downtrodden humility is not a virtue but slowly over the
00:40:31.180 centuries we have a sense no humility is into my mind the primary virtue humility is an awareness of
00:40:38.240 how little we know and the humility is an awareness of how how morally flawed we are and therefore we
00:40:44.800 need each other to set up norms and that we have to rely on what we may disagree on this but i think
00:40:52.020 there is a universal moral order i think martin luther king got his great strength from a belief that
00:40:56.720 it wasn't just he who believed segregation was wrong but segregation was wrong in all circumstances
00:41:01.500 in all time it's part of the universal moral order that slavery and segregation are wrong
00:41:05.720 and that these beliefs were either revealed or slowly built up over centuries and a lot of people
00:41:14.880 accuse liberalism enlightenment liberalism as being this amoral set of procedures but it's not it's it's
00:41:22.520 actually based on a moral vision of human dignity that democracy it's not we're just it's not just
00:41:28.080 about voting but it's an encountering another person who disagrees with you profoundly and being
00:41:34.440 curious enough to see into the depths of that person about why they do and so that curiosity is a show of
00:41:40.780 respect and that that show of respect is something we built up as a sort of the democratic ideal
00:41:47.640 and it's funny that i have a quote in one of my recent pieces from jonathan height my friend who's
00:41:52.780 a new york nyu social psychologist says moral communities are very hard to build and very easy
00:41:59.200 to destroy and and so that would be the threat the thing to worry about these days i must say i find that
00:42:06.880 i am at a impasse in any political conversation with a trump supporter when i can't get
00:42:16.940 any acknowledgement that having a sitting president not commit to a peaceful transfer of power
00:42:25.280 was a problem right a problem worth taking seriously right the fact that we the fact that trump
00:42:32.100 repeatedly declined to commit to a peaceful transfer of power and we in fact didn't have a peaceful
00:42:38.780 transfer of power if i find myself in a conversation with a trump supporter who won't give any assent
00:42:46.800 progress to that point and it really just will just put a brave face on and and seek to just kind
00:42:53.780 of blow by it it has no implication for anything right i find that i i simply don't have the tools
00:43:00.000 to continue having a conversation we can have a conversation about something else but it's like
00:43:05.980 there's it's just clear that there's no way to converge politically can you is there anything you
00:43:11.720 can give me that can can can get me to navigate that impasse can i can you hope yeah i would say
00:43:17.460 my experience is multi-layered i guess on this one you know i do think there are certain people who
00:43:23.320 i'm including people i'm close with who are trump supporters for whom there's no purchase you you can
00:43:28.500 say x and they'll say no y and they won't weigh whether x is true or not they'll just say y and so
00:43:34.460 they're they have a self-enclosed system of belief that once you accept their assumptions you can't get
00:43:41.460 in and out of but i would say one of the things i've learned is i'm done generalizing about trump
00:43:46.840 supporters i think you know i was at i ran into this is years ago a woman who um was if i remember
00:43:53.520 this correctly was a big trump supporter she was at a trump rally she was a lesbian biker who'd survived
00:43:59.600 a plane crash and converted to sufi islam and so i was like what stereotype do you fit into
00:44:05.820 and so i would say i meet a lot of people who are that guy's a jackass but he's my jackass
00:44:13.180 or i'm a one issue voter i'm an abortion voter i hate that guy but i think abortion is the primary
00:44:19.440 issue of my for me i i i found it's hard now to general i even more complicated today to generalize
00:44:26.060 about trump supporters than it was in 2016 because i do think they've bifurcated there's there's
00:44:30.880 certainly a hardcore of like 20 or 30 percent who are like cult members but i find a lot of people who
00:44:37.160 are sort of trump friendly trump adjacent trump skeptical would love to see another candidate
00:44:42.500 but they have persuaded themselves that four more years of joe biden would be the end of the republic
00:44:49.380 and so if they're going to stick with the guy so yeah there's if i can cheer you up there's
00:44:55.180 i find a wide variety of of kinds of trump supporter these days how do you think biden has
00:45:02.800 been doing and and what do you think of the democratic prospects going forward i mean i you
00:45:07.720 know i've said repeatedly here that i really wish biden were not running due to the the obvious
00:45:13.880 liability of his age perhaps there are other liabilities that that are worth taking seriously
00:45:18.800 at this point but what's your sense of the biden administration and or the biden presidency and
00:45:24.760 the democratic side of things going into 2024 i'd say age obviously his liability i think his
00:45:31.420 approvals would be like 10 or 15 20 points higher if he was 60 but i'll say a couple things about
00:45:36.740 that one is i do get the chance to be in a room with him from time to time and the extent to which
00:45:43.040 he is physically decayed or mentally decayed is vastly overstated in the media i've been interviewing
00:45:48.400 the guy since he was you know for 20 or 30 years i almost wrote a book about him about 30 years ago
00:45:53.160 and sort of regret not doing it but so i've interviewed him over many decades and um he's
00:45:59.040 like a pitcher who used to throw 92 and now throws 87 so it's a decline but it's nothing nothing
00:46:04.780 tremendous and second in some ways he's better because in those days when i started interviewing him
00:46:10.820 he had to cram every fact in the universe into every answer so they were like 45 50 minute answers
00:46:16.820 now he stays on point and so i think that's positive third i think he's basically picked
00:46:23.260 the right fights he sees this big fight between authoritarianism and democracy and i think he's
00:46:30.020 essentially right about that he's pretty successful as a foreign policy president i think second i think
00:46:34.960 he's identified the core gap in american society which is the gap between as i say the coastal elites
00:46:43.000 who are doing pretty well and a lot of other people who are not and he is actively acting to repair that
00:46:48.280 gap so a treasury department report which may be a little biased or probably not too much says that
00:46:54.200 90 of the money from the inflation reduction act went to some of the poorest counties in this country
00:47:01.740 i mentioned earlier something which i think is really fascinating to me that if you look at where
00:47:07.240 the mega investments are in manufacturing plants battery plants chip plants etc etc it's not in
00:47:14.000 california anymore it's not in new york anymore it's in iowa arizona illinois i mentioned ohio
00:47:21.460 and so that's just to me tremendously good news and a sign that the market is healing
00:47:26.960 that there are all these hard-working people in these places who were de-industrialized and they're
00:47:32.660 they couldn't really we couldn't take advantage of their talents and now capitalism is saying yeah
00:47:38.160 we're going to locate our plant in columbus ohio because there are a lot of hard-working people there
00:47:41.540 and i think joe biden has materially benefited frankly a lot of trump voters the people who have
00:47:48.720 been left behind and so i have a much more positive view of the biden administration than you would
00:47:54.220 think from my political profile but i think he's he's basically doing the right thing and the big
00:48:00.120 thing he screwed up on well a couple things obviously the withdrawal from afghanistan but the
00:48:04.540 second one was there was too much stimulative spending so we got too much inflation but
00:48:09.380 joe manchin saved him there joe manchin cut back the stimulus and so it's we had the inflation but
00:48:14.880 now the inflation is down our unemployment is low wages are rising inequality is falling slightly
00:48:21.140 compared to europe our economy looks good compared to china it looks fantastic
00:48:25.200 and so i think the age thing and the moral trauma of the last six years keep his approvals low and i
00:48:31.480 have no confidence he'll win re-election but i have to say i think he's been a pretty good president
00:48:35.760 what if anything has come spilling out of hunter biden's laptop that you think
00:48:41.040 we should all take seriously i guess i have to say it's more serious than i thought it was
00:48:46.220 i think there he was trying to obviously trying to peddle influence whether he actually successfully
00:48:52.080 peddled influence is an open question to me i have to say i'm not a big scam
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