Making Sense - Sam Harris - May 29, 2017


#79 — The Road to Tyranny


Episode Stats

Length

31 minutes

Words per Minute

176.4649

Word Count

5,484

Sentence Count

312

Hate Speech Sentences

14


Summary

Timothy Snyder is a professor of history at Yale University and a permanent fellow at the Institute for Human Sciences in Vienna. He s the author of several award-winning books, including The Red Prince, Bloodlands, Europe Between Hitler and Stalin, and Black Earth: The Holocaust as History and Warning. His latest book, On Tyranny: 20 Lessons from the 20th Century, is currently No. 1 on the New York Times Bestseller list for nonfiction in paperback. As you ll hear, this is a timely conversation, but please take my early admonishments about the nonpartisan nature of this conversation for what they are. You ll figure out what I think about that by the end, but it s actually not the core of the conversation. And now I give you Timothy Snyder, who has written a beautiful little book, on tyranny. When did he write this? because this reads as something he wrote the moment Trump became president. So I m going to give you a slightly pompous historian s answer, and maybe defend publishers a little bit too. And I m not sure that my press hasn t solved the problem of how to make money out of a short book, in fact, I don t think that they re making any profit out of making any money at all, and I think that s a problem I m sure that s going to solve it in a way that I m trying to figure out how to get a good at making money. Thanks for coming on The Making Sense Podcast. -Sam Harris Subscribe to the podcast! Learn more about the podcast by becoming a member of the mailing list or becoming a patron of the podcast, and getting access to the latest episodes of Making Sense: the Making Sense podcast wherever you get your ad-free version of the show? If you like the show, you ll get a discount on the podcast and get 20% off the entire thing, plus an extra discount when you sign up for the podcast becomes available on Audible and Audible, too get $5 or $10, you get an ad discount, and a free copy of the making sense podcasting membership starts in two weeks, starting at $19.99, plus a discount of $5 gets you get a maximum of $50 or $25, and they get two months of VIP membership gets you an ad-only course, plus they get an extra $5, and you get two weeks for two weeks of the course gets two months and a discount, they get a personalized course starting only $4, and two weeks will get two of your choice of course, they also get all of that gets $5 and a promo code, they will get all that starts at $4 and $4 gets $4 of your choices, and all they get that gets two of that will get your best bet, they receive all that gets three of your ad starts, and your ad gets a discount?


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Welcome to the Making Sense Podcast.
00:00:08.820 This is Sam Harris.
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00:00:46.380 My guest today is Timothy Snyder.
00:00:49.260 Timothy Snyder is a professor of history at Yale University and a permanent fellow at the
00:00:54.000 Institute for Human Sciences in Vienna.
00:00:56.020 He received his doctorate from the University of Oxford, where he was a Marshall Scholar.
00:01:02.440 Before joining the faculty at Yale in 2001, he held fellowships in Paris, Vienna, and Warsaw,
00:01:08.500 and an academy scholarship at Harvard.
00:01:11.100 He has spent some 10 years in Europe and speaks five and reads 10 European languages.
00:01:17.280 He's also written for the New York Review of Books, Foreign Affairs, the Times Literary Supplement,
00:01:22.640 The Nation, and the New Republic, as well as for the New York Times, the International
00:01:27.580 Herald Tribune, the Wall Street Journal, and other newspapers.
00:01:31.360 He's a member of the Committee on Conscience of the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum,
00:01:36.400 and he's the author of several award-winning books, including The Red Prince, Bloodlands,
00:01:42.140 Europe Between Hitler and Stalin, and Black Earth, The Holocaust as History and Warning.
00:01:47.740 His latest book, On Tyranny, 20 Lessons from the 20th Century, which is what we focused
00:01:53.920 on, is currently number one on the New York Times bestseller list for nonfiction in paperback.
00:01:59.760 As you'll hear, this is a timely conversation, but please take my early admonishments about
00:02:06.860 the nonpartisan nature of this conversation for what they are.
00:02:11.560 We do talk a lot about Trump, but whether or not Trump is actually an example of Snyder's
00:02:19.400 thesis can definitely be held to one side.
00:02:22.520 You'll figure out what I think about that by the end, but it's actually not the core of
00:02:27.940 the conversation.
00:02:29.300 And now I give you Timothy Snyder.
00:02:37.840 I am here with Timothy Snyder.
00:02:39.740 Timothy, thanks for coming on the podcast.
00:02:42.320 My pleasure.
00:02:43.140 You have written this beautiful little book, On Tyranny.
00:02:47.340 When did you write this?
00:02:48.420 Because this is so, it's a very short book.
00:02:51.020 I'm a huge fan of short books now, both as a reader and as a writer.
00:02:55.600 Most books are far too long.
00:02:57.660 Certainly argument-driven books tend to be far too long because the dirty little secret
00:03:02.460 about publishing is that publishers haven't figured out how to publish short books and still
00:03:08.700 make enough of a profit.
00:03:10.120 A 300-page book could be 60 pages in many cases, but to publish a 60-page book just is
00:03:16.860 not a profitable enterprise.
00:03:18.720 But anyway, you've written a very short book on tyranny, 20 lessons from the 20th century.
00:03:24.660 I just want to move through this book fairly systematically.
00:03:29.020 But when did you write it?
00:03:30.020 Because this reads as something you wrote the moment Trump became president.
00:03:36.980 When did you actually start typing?
00:03:39.580 So I'm going to give you a slightly pompous historian's answer and maybe defend publishers
00:03:44.020 a little bit too.
00:03:45.660 It's true that I wrote it very quickly, but it was a compression of longer spans of time,
00:03:51.900 right?
00:03:52.620 So it's a compression of the history of the 20th century, which in turn I've spent 25
00:03:58.880 years trying to understand.
00:04:01.280 And along the way, many years have been invested very pleasantly in friendships with people who
00:04:07.460 have lived through communism and sometimes fascism.
00:04:10.320 And then fewer years, but still more than I'd like to admit, with students from Eastern
00:04:16.220 Europe who themselves have lived through the failed promise of democracy and who have learned
00:04:21.700 about resistance or relearned about it.
00:04:23.960 And I've tried to learn from them.
00:04:25.700 So yeah, I'll tell you when I wrote the book and how quickly I wrote the book, but it's as
00:04:29.720 though all these layers of time are simultaneously present.
00:04:32.660 I couldn't have just sat down and written the thing without all of that previous time weighing
00:04:37.320 down on me.
00:04:38.260 What I was trying to do was to convert all of that into a format that would be immediately
00:04:43.540 useful.
00:04:44.660 So yeah, I mean, I wrote the 20 lessons in a few hours after the election.
00:04:50.020 And then the book I wrote in December in a few days.
00:04:54.920 But in a way like that itself demonstrates one of the points of the book, which is that
00:05:00.700 we are in a critical moment where we don't have very much time.
00:05:03.860 And so whatever was going to make a difference had to appear immediately at the end of the
00:05:08.240 the very beginning.
00:05:09.740 And I'm not sure that my press, in fact, I'm sure that my press hasn't solved the problem
00:05:13.520 of how to make money out of a short book.
00:05:16.100 I don't think they're making any money.
00:05:18.100 But what they did do was join in this venture very enthusiastically.
00:05:22.400 And for that, I'm really appreciative.
00:05:23.900 Oh, yeah.
00:05:24.960 No, it's fantastic.
00:05:26.220 And so you have 20 lessons here, and maybe we'll just get through the first 10 or so.
00:05:31.120 But I just want to make it clear that, you know, I don't view this conversation as a surrogate
00:05:35.500 for someone buying the book, no matter how comprehensive we seem to be in talking about
00:05:41.080 it.
00:05:41.240 And this is, this can be generically said of the conversations I have with most authors.
00:05:46.740 I try to not put people in competition with the free versions of themselves that exist online.
00:05:54.480 I want people to buy people's books.
00:05:56.920 But in this case, this really is just such a satisfying read.
00:06:03.120 So I just want to make it clear that our listeners should buy this book and read it.
00:06:07.200 You can read it in an hour.
00:06:09.220 You can probably read it more quickly than we will have this conversation.
00:06:13.240 But first of all, your writing is so wonderful and so lapidary and aphoristic that it's a pleasure
00:06:19.500 to read, and I'll read a few pieces from it as we talk here.
00:06:24.140 One criticism of this book, and we'll get into this and people will get a sense of just how
00:06:29.020 worried you can sound about our current moment in history.
00:06:32.800 One criticism is that it exaggerates the danger of Trump.
00:06:39.100 And I'm wondering how you feel the book is aging over the first few months of the Trump presidency.
00:06:46.000 Is there anything that has reassured you or are you are you exactly where you were when
00:06:51.440 you when you hit send to your publisher?
00:06:54.460 So, I mean, let me again take a slightly different angle on that.
00:06:57.960 The whole point of the book is that we have to spread out our political imagination and have
00:07:03.500 a broader sense of what's possible.
00:07:05.720 And that the danger precisely is that we just go day by day and then every day seems normal.
00:07:13.900 Even if, you know, today is much worse than yesterday, we're very good at getting used
00:07:17.580 to today.
00:07:18.200 And then tomorrow, the same thing happens.
00:07:20.140 So I didn't write the book, in fact, directly about Trump, although it is striking.
00:07:25.880 And I'll start to answer your question is striking how many of the things I wrote about
00:07:30.140 actually have happened in the meantime.
00:07:32.400 I wrote the book more for us.
00:07:34.600 It was clear from 2016 that we were dealing with a candidate who didn't respect basic American
00:07:40.780 institutions like the rule of law or democracy.
00:07:43.940 It was clear that we were dealing with a man who was not tolerant, to put it very mildly,
00:07:49.860 and who had a certain vision about how things should be run, which was not consistent with
00:07:53.380 checks and balances or institutional constraints.
00:07:56.400 It was clear that we had a man whose political heroes were foreign dictators who had precisely done
00:08:00.500 away with the rule of law after being elected.
00:08:03.060 So the question is not really so much Trump.
00:08:08.060 The question is us.
00:08:09.880 I mean, what happens in these situations is a person with the kind of character that he
00:08:13.160 has who finds himself in an institutional situation that constrains him will push against
00:08:17.460 those constraints.
00:08:18.520 He can't really do anything else.
00:08:20.380 That's who he is.
00:08:22.160 And so the relevant question is more, can those constraints hold him?
00:08:28.400 And even more to the point, what can we do to make sure those constraints hold him?
00:08:33.500 That's that's what the book is really about.
00:08:35.740 So, I mean, when I first posted the 20 lessons, there were a lot of people who thought that
00:08:39.560 I was going overboard.
00:08:40.280 But I have to say, as time has gone past, that has ceased to be a major reaction.
00:08:45.880 And the more dominant reaction has been, hmm, how did you see this coming?
00:08:49.900 And the simple answer is that history doesn't repeat, but history gives you a much broader
00:08:56.360 palette of what's possible.
00:08:58.000 And the point of the book is not to go point by point and head off particular things that
00:09:01.940 Trump will do so much as to prepare ourselves to do a whole bunch of different things, which
00:09:06.680 make an authoritarian regime change less likely.
00:09:10.900 So, yeah, I mean, some things people have done, I've been reassured by I've been reassured
00:09:14.720 by lawyers filing briefs in advance.
00:09:16.500 I've been reassured by the spontaneous protests at airports.
00:09:20.120 I've been reassured by the marches.
00:09:22.100 I've been reassured by the new non-governmental organizations that didn't exist before.
00:09:25.820 I've been reassured by the civic-mindedness and patriotism of some of our civil servants.
00:09:33.040 I've been reassured by the investigative journalism, especially investigative print journalism at
00:09:36.800 The Washington Post.
00:09:37.940 But on the other side, we have plenty of people who don't see that there's a problem at all.
00:09:42.260 We have plenty of people who are doing the normal human thing of just normalizing the
00:09:46.280 situation and basically taking whatever they're given from day to day.
00:09:49.780 So my fundamental reaction about the notion that I'm exaggerating is Americans are super
00:09:55.120 provincial.
00:09:56.120 We don't really have a sense of what's possible because we've been lucky.
00:10:00.540 We overestimate how much we deserve what we get, and we underestimate how we can just
00:10:05.480 simply get unlucky.
00:10:06.740 At the moment, we're unlucky, which means that at the moment, more is demanded of us than would
00:10:11.640 otherwise be the case.
00:10:12.800 Yeah, I don't want people to get the wrong sense of the connection between your book and
00:10:18.640 this current moment because, again, it does read not as narrowly focused on Trump.
00:10:24.220 But you're talking about how democracies can fail and how people can not realize that they
00:10:31.500 are being pulled by the tide of history in a very unlucky direction with great consequence.
00:10:38.700 So we're going to get into this specifically now and talk about your points.
00:10:43.860 Even if you were wrong about Trump, if Trump just has a stroke tomorrow and becomes magically
00:10:52.560 the perfect president, the generic case still holds.
00:10:56.380 If not Trump, then someone.
00:10:58.160 And the election of Trump has proven to many of us, certainly all of us who are alarmed by
00:11:03.820 it, that our system is vulnerable to a demagogue in a way that many of us haven't anticipated.
00:11:11.700 And it's scary for me to imagine someone much more competent than Trump and much more ideological,
00:11:17.960 much more nefarious, but who can find the loophole in our system the way Trump did and come to power.
00:11:25.080 And so I don't want to give people the wrong sense that this is narrowly focused on Trump.
00:11:28.440 And you handle it beautifully because you may mention his name once in here, but you generally
00:11:34.580 just refer to the president, which I thought was very artful.
00:11:39.460 And the book will age well.
00:11:41.200 This is not a book that five years from now is going to read like a magazine article.
00:11:46.920 I want to pick up on the point you just raised about how provincial Americans are.
00:11:51.480 And you say here in the beginning, Americans today are no wiser than the Europeans who saw
00:11:57.000 democracy yield to fascism, Nazism, or communism in the 20th century.
00:12:02.320 And then you say, well, one advantage is that we might learn from their experience.
00:12:06.360 Now is a good time to do so.
00:12:08.940 Why are we so blinkered?
00:12:12.120 Yeah, thank you for putting the question so baldly because it's a really important one.
00:12:16.480 If we're going to get out of this mess, we're going to have to notice some of our weaknesses.
00:12:19.840 We've gotten into the habit of congratulating ourselves on our strengths.
00:12:24.160 And this is a ritual that both Democrats and Republicans engage in, in their different ways.
00:12:31.680 I think it was one of the weaknesses of Obama rhetoric, for example, that we were constantly
00:12:35.660 got into the habit of telling ourselves how good we were at certain things.
00:12:38.860 I think there are three things at play here.
00:12:41.660 The first is the longstanding religious tradition of exceptionalism.
00:12:47.480 The notion that Americans were escaping a world of evil into a pure world, which is, of course,
00:12:54.620 I mean, ridiculous on a whole number of fronts, but it's there as a tradition.
00:12:58.120 The second is the obvious fact that we are in many ways a world unto ourselves.
00:13:02.120 And so people who work on American history rarely venture beyond American history.
00:13:06.360 So it's a lot to expect that the American citizen could do better.
00:13:09.220 And the third thing, and maybe the most relevant, is that in a move which I think is going to be remembered
00:13:14.120 as one of metaphysical laziness, we decided after 1989 that history was over.
00:13:21.760 And therefore, we disarmed ourselves against the very threats which history ought to have been reminding us of.
00:13:27.900 And we prevented ourselves from seeing some of the weaknesses in our own system.
00:13:34.700 So after 1989, I mentioned 1989 because that's the year when communism came to an end, of course.
00:13:39.060 After that, many of us got ourselves worked into various versions of a story whereby human nature would lead to a market,
00:13:46.340 which would lead to democracy and enlightenment, which would lead to peace or something like that,
00:13:50.160 which is basically a historical nonsense.
00:13:53.640 I mean, they're more left-wing versions of this as well.
00:13:56.060 But all of these theological stories are basically wrong.
00:13:59.240 History is always going to be full of surprises and structural forces that we don't anticipate and accidents.
00:14:04.980 And the very fact of claiming that history is over is itself a historical choice.
00:14:10.980 It's a historical choice to be ignorant, to forget the concepts which were once useful.
00:14:14.640 And it's a historical choice to be vulnerable when threats start to seep up on you again.
00:14:18.820 That's what's happened to us.
00:14:20.180 You know, that was part of the perfect storm of 2016 is that it happened a full generation after 1989.
00:14:25.460 In a way, it's the payback for deciding that history was over.
00:14:29.600 That's part of what happened.
00:14:31.880 And you describe fascism and communism both as responses to globalization.
00:14:37.400 And this antipathy for globalization obviously played an important role in the 2016 election.
00:14:44.400 Talk about that a little bit.
00:14:45.360 How is a recoil from the world responsible for these anti-democratic tendencies?
00:14:54.360 Thanks for bringing that up because that's an important part of the answer to some of your other really good questions.
00:14:59.340 So if we just take a step back and think about globalization itself, that concept is a good example of how we're trapped in a present and have trouble seeing the past.
00:15:10.800 The whole paradigm of globalization as we've invented it for ourselves in the 21st century assumes that it's something new.
00:15:19.520 And when you assume that something is new, then you don't see that it has arc.
00:15:24.820 You don't see that it has patterns.
00:15:26.600 You don't learn where it might be going.
00:15:28.140 And the basic fact, and this is one of the things that historians bang their foreheads against the table about, the basic fact is that this is the second globalization.
00:15:36.660 There was a very similar movement in the late 19th and early 20th centuries.
00:15:40.100 We had the same expansion of foreign trade.
00:15:43.000 We had the same export-driven growth.
00:15:45.220 And interestingly, maybe most interestingly, in the late 19th century, we had much the same thing as we had in the late 20th century.
00:15:49.980 We had the idea that these expansions of trade would inevitably lead to expansions of consciousness and that universal ideas would inevitably triumph.
00:15:58.940 So we've been down this road before.
00:16:01.500 This is the intellectual history of the late 19th and early 20th centuries.
00:16:04.180 And that globalization ends in, as we all know, the First World War, the Great Depression, and the Second World War.
00:16:10.700 So the whole point of remembering this is to be braced, on the one hand, to be braced in the sense of being sobered up, realizing that globalization can also go in these ways, that we shouldn't be surprised that there are contradictions in it and reactions to it, and that some of them can be quite extreme.
00:16:29.740 But it's also bracing in the sense that it reminds us that there are people who lived through this the first time around, who are perhaps not only more experienced than we are, because they came out the other end of it, they survived, but more articulate and perhaps wiser than we are.
00:16:44.180 And we can save a lot of time by drawing on what they left behind, which is the point of the book.
00:16:50.220 But anyway, that's just all prologue to trying to answer your question.
00:16:53.300 It's natural that globalization is going to bring, even if it brings an average improvement in some kind of abstract notion of well-being, like GDP per capita, that is going to also produce local or fractally local inequalities, and it's going to produce various kinds of resentments, because globalization also is the globalization of comparison.
00:17:14.920 It means that people compare themselves to other people in ways that they hadn't done before, and can often subjectively feel themselves to be the victims, whether or not they are objectively.
00:17:25.380 That's clearly happened in the United States in the 21st century.
00:17:28.700 Something similar happened in the middle of Europe in the early 20th century.
00:17:32.740 And in that environment, it's very easy then for clever politicians to come around and say, look, globalization is not complicated.
00:17:40.680 It's actually simple.
00:17:41.980 It's not a multi-vector challenge.
00:17:44.100 It's actually a conspiracy.
00:17:46.540 I will put a face on globalization for you.
00:17:49.140 And the way that fascism and national socialism worked was usually to put a Jewish face on globalization and to say, look, all these problems are not the result of an unhindered process, which nobody controls completely, but they're actually a result of a particular conspiracy of a particular group.
00:18:04.560 That's very powerful politically, because then you can get your hands on, figuratively and literally, you can get your hands on members of that group who are inside your country, and you can imagine that you're carrying out some kind of political change.
00:18:17.060 So, similarly, although, you know, in a minor key, if we think about the U.S. in the 21st century, if we think about the campaign now, the presidency of Donald Trump, you see basically the same reaction to globalization.
00:18:28.080 The problem is not that the United States can't control everything.
00:18:31.840 The problem is not that globalization is always going to be full of challenges, which we need to actually face and try to address.
00:18:38.980 The problem is not that we need to have state policy.
00:18:41.480 No, no, no, says Mr. Trump.
00:18:42.940 The problem is that globalization has a face.
00:18:44.860 It has a Chinese face.
00:18:45.940 It has a Mexican face.
00:18:46.960 It has a Jewish face.
00:18:48.680 And that is a familiar form of politics, because what that does is it relieves Mr. Trump and the government in general of any obligation of actually addressing the challenges of globalization.
00:19:00.460 And instead, it replaces that with a form of politics in which we are we are meant to just chase after the supposed the supposed members of these various groups.
00:19:12.380 And while we do that, then we forget about what the government is supposed to be doing for us, namely making us more prosperous.
00:19:17.600 So the attempt at a Muslim ban is terrible for Muslims, but it's not really about Muslims.
00:19:22.740 It's about getting us into the habit of seeing Muslims as a source of our problems.
00:19:26.540 The new denunciation office at Homeland Security, where you're supposed to call up a bureaucrat in Washington if you think you've been a victim of a crime by an undocumented migrant.
00:19:35.280 That's not about the migrants.
00:19:36.340 It's about getting you into the habit of denouncing your neighbors.
00:19:39.540 It's about bringing in a new form of politics.
00:19:41.300 So this is how anti-globalization politics works.
00:19:43.600 It's you give up.
00:19:44.720 You say we can't handle it.
00:19:45.880 We don't have the strength to deal with this.
00:19:47.440 We're going to we're going to personalize it all.
00:19:48.860 And that that is that that changes politics inside the country in ways that we're starting to see.
00:19:53.260 Well, when you say when you put it that way, when you say it's not about undocumented migrants, it's about ushering in a new kind of politics, right, where you have people informing on their neighbors.
00:20:04.900 That seems to attribute some kind of nefarious intention or agency on the part of people who are currently in government.
00:20:13.920 It's not a a system working unconsciously in this direction.
00:20:18.860 This is people.
00:20:20.180 And correct me if I'm wrong.
00:20:21.560 It sounds like you are alleging that people are having consciously undemocratic thoughts, whether we want to call them fascistic or some other flavor of edging toward tyranny.
00:20:35.980 We can table that for a second.
00:20:37.160 Yes, we do have people in the White House, such as Mr. Bannon, who are quite consciously ideological and think in in far right traditions that are anti-democratic.
00:20:51.520 We have a president of the United States who spent 2016 telling us that democracy is basically faked, which is one of the things that people say in the first stages of regime changes.
00:21:02.100 When it comes to denunciation, I think people half understand what they're doing.
00:21:08.540 And then when it happens, they take they take the next step, whether it's the administration or whether it's the citizens doing the denouncing.
00:21:15.400 You you cross a certain moral threshold when you do it.
00:21:18.540 But if you denounce somebody, you get praised for doing it.
00:21:21.060 And then maybe you get the first crack at their property or whatever might follow.
00:21:24.860 And then and then a new cycle begins.
00:21:26.680 So, yes, I would say I would say quite clearly there are people who do have what you're calling anti-democratic thoughts.
00:21:33.820 Absolutely. Part of the whole point of history is to recognize that democracy is not automatic and there are plenty of people who don't like it.
00:21:39.100 And but also there are these processes by which both civil servants and citizens get drawn in and then find themselves in a different moral place afterwards, even if they didn't completely understand what they were doing at the beginning.
00:21:51.840 Yeah. Yeah. OK, well, I want to get directly into your book and into the lessons.
00:21:57.980 I just want some of this language inserted into the conversation.
00:22:01.600 The first lesson is do not obey in advance.
00:22:05.460 And then you have these summaries before each chapter.
00:22:09.060 Most of the power of authoritarianism is freely given.
00:22:12.360 In times like these, individuals think ahead about what a more repressive government will want and then offer themselves without being asked.
00:22:19.440 A citizen who adapts in this way is teaching power what it can do.
00:22:24.160 And then you give it you talk about how the Nazis moved into Austria and how really the behavior of the Austrians, more or less unbidden, taught the Nazis how far they could go in victimizing the Jews.
00:22:40.980 And just you seem to suggest that this was there was something to learn from how readily people acquiesced to this project.
00:22:52.120 Yeah. So thank you.
00:22:52.960 So number that's lesson number one.
00:22:55.580 Don't obey in advance.
00:22:56.380 And it's it's number one for for a bunch of reasons.
00:23:00.400 One, as you suggest, it is right at the core of what historians think we understand about authoritarian regime changes, Nazi Germany in particular, but also in general, namely that at the very beginning,
00:23:14.100 whether it's the takeover in Germany itself or whether it's the Anschluss in Austria, at the very beginning, authoritarian leaders require consent.
00:23:22.960 This is a really important thought, because when we think of, you know, authoritarians, we then think of villains and then we think of supervillains.
00:23:30.560 Then we think of superpowers.
00:23:32.500 You know, we imagine these guys in uniforms who can just stride across the stage of history and do whatever they want.
00:23:36.660 And maybe towards the end, something like that is true.
00:23:39.080 But at the beginning, it's not at the beginning.
00:23:41.720 Interestingly, people have, in a sense, more power than they do normally because they also have they have the power to resist.
00:23:48.820 The problem is that we don't usually realize that the problem is that we tend as human beings to take new situations as normal and then to align ourselves with them.
00:23:57.160 Our little our little needle compasses look for the new, you know, look for the new true north and align ourselves to it.
00:24:03.420 We just we follow along.
00:24:04.760 We drift.
00:24:05.120 And most of the time, that's appropriate.
00:24:06.980 But sometimes it's an it's an absolute disaster.
00:24:09.980 So, you know, historians generally agree about that, which is notable because historians, particularly historians of Nazi Germany, don't always agree about everything, to put it mildly.
00:24:20.160 The other reason it's at the front of the book is that if you blow it, if you blow number one, then you can forget about the rest.
00:24:28.100 Because if you if you can't do don't obey in advance, which is harder than it sounds, if you can't do that, then the rest of them will become impossible because the rest of them will seem psychologically senseless to you.
00:24:37.900 If you fail not to obey in advance, if instead you normalize and you drift, then the rest of it won't make any sense to you because you'll already be drifting things which had seen which would have seemed abnormal to an earlier version of you will start to seem normal.
00:24:53.340 Now, the point to start doing anything will never seem to come.
00:24:57.200 You'll keep saying tomorrow, tomorrow, tomorrow.
00:24:59.320 In fact, you'll just be internally adjusting, adjusting, adjusting.
00:25:02.360 And psychologically, you become a different person.
00:25:04.760 And then the final reason why that's lesson number one is political.
00:25:07.000 If people if people if people don't take advantage of the moment they have in the first weeks, months and maybe at the outside the first year, if you don't do anything, then then the system changes and the costs of resistance become much, much higher.
00:25:21.480 So right now, like the little things that we do that would make a difference, like looking people in the eye, subscribing to newspapers, making small talk, founding a neighborhood organization, running for local office, protesting, having political conversations like the one you and I are having.
00:25:36.920 At the moment, these things require just a tiny bit of courage, right?
00:25:39.720 Not not very much.
00:25:40.920 But later, when when these things start to become illegal or even dangerous, they require much more courage.
00:25:46.280 So politically, you have to get out front and do these things, even if you're not sure exactly what you're holding off.
00:25:53.100 You have to do these things at the beginning.
00:25:55.200 So, yeah, I mean, I bring up these examples, as you rightly say, 1938 in Austria, because they really powerfully convey this dynamic.
00:26:02.280 Hitler did not know that he could absorb Austria in a few days.
00:26:06.300 He did it because of the messages he got from below.
00:26:10.000 Austrian Jews did not know they were in such they were in such a position of threat.
00:26:14.160 They found out because of how people reacted to the arrival of of German force.
00:26:19.760 These actions that the population chooses or doesn't choose to take at the beginning are really crucial to authoritarianism.
00:26:26.720 It means that we have power.
00:26:28.300 It also means that we have responsibility.
00:26:30.380 It means that you don't have the option of doing nothing in America in spring of 2017.
00:26:35.380 If you're doing nothing, you're actually doing something.
00:26:38.060 If you're doing nothing, you're helping a regime change come about.
00:26:40.720 So, I want to flag the reaction that I know is occurring in some percentage of our listeners,
00:26:49.060 which is that everything you just said, when mapped onto the present, sounds like a symptom of paranoia, right?
00:26:57.040 That this is just like we're not, we're fundamentally not in the situation we just described.
00:27:01.820 And we can remain somewhat agnostic about that.
00:27:06.160 I mean, I can't name a person really now who is more critical of Trump than I am.
00:27:13.040 To some percentage of my listeners, I have completely lost my mind on this point.
00:27:18.160 But I want to try to maintain what will be viewed as a less partisan line through this conversation,
00:27:26.760 because everything you're saying here generically applies.
00:27:30.680 Again, if not now, sometime this applies.
00:27:34.300 And certainly, you know, you and I are going to be in large agreement about how much we should be taking seriously these concerns right now,
00:27:43.400 given what has happened in the White House.
00:27:45.660 But, again, this is not, even if you're a fan of Trump, these dynamics are in play potentially everywhere all the time,
00:27:55.620 no matter how stable your democracy seems.
00:27:59.900 It's vulnerable to this kind of thing.
00:28:02.020 So, I want to move to point two, which is defend institutions.
00:28:06.460 And you say that institutions do not protect themselves.
00:28:09.200 They fall one after the other unless each is defended from the beginning.
00:28:12.640 And then you use Nazi Germany as an example.
00:28:17.580 And then you quote from an editorial that I had never read.
00:28:20.960 I've read a lot about the Holocaust.
00:28:22.980 I had never seen an editorial like this.
00:28:25.940 And this was written in a newspaper for German Jews.
00:28:30.920 And this is the editorial from the newspaper.
00:28:32.720 This is the editorial's position.
00:28:34.560 So, imagine, you know, the New York Times writing an editorial like this in 1933
00:28:38.720 on the eve of the decade that would usher in the final solution.
00:28:44.200 This is the perspective of German Jews in 1933.
00:28:46.740 We do not subscribe to the view that Mr. Hitler and his friends,
00:28:51.020 now finally in possession of the power that they have so long desired,
00:28:54.820 will implement the proposals circulating in Nazi newspapers.
00:28:58.600 They will not suddenly deprive German Jews of their constitutional rights,
00:29:02.360 nor enclose them in ghettos,
00:29:04.140 nor subject them to the jealous and murderous impulses of the mob.
00:29:08.000 They cannot do this,
00:29:09.180 because a number of crucial factors hold powers in check,
00:29:12.340 and they clearly do not want to go down that road.
00:29:14.600 When one acts as a European power,
00:29:17.500 the whole atmosphere tends towards ethical reflection upon one's better self
00:29:22.080 and away from revisiting one's earlier oppositional posture.
00:29:26.400 And then you say,
00:29:27.920 such was the view of many reasonable people in 1933,
00:29:30.960 just as it is the view of many reasonable people now.
00:29:33.700 The mistake is to assume that rulers who come to power through institutions
00:29:37.240 cannot change or destroy those very institutions,
00:29:41.180 even when that is exactly what they have announced they will do.
00:29:43.820 So, I mean, this is just the phrase,
00:29:46.300 cautionary tale doesn't really do this moment justice.
00:29:50.520 It's just amazing to put yourself in the position of people
00:29:55.260 before the Holocaust was ever known to be possible, right?
00:29:59.640 Before that kind of implosion of a very cosmopolitan society was thinkable.
00:30:06.240 Before you could even dimly imagine that people would start,
00:30:09.940 you know, marking places of business as Jewish-owned,
00:30:14.020 and that would be the precursor to your neighbors coming
00:30:17.320 and seizing your property out of this kind of ecstasy
00:30:21.380 of reappropriation of wealth based on tribal hatred.
00:30:26.460 Anyway, talk about the defense of institutions,
00:30:29.640 and again, this kind of natural myopia
00:30:31.840 that people don't see that they're swimming in history.
00:30:34.680 So, let me start with history.
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