Mark Slapinski

00:00:00.000 now remember when i told you that mark carney was in trouble i meant it mark carney's in trouble

00:00:05.040 and he's in a lot of trouble and now the trouble is worse than it's ever been before his cabinet

00:00:10.480 is literally collapsing before everyone's eyes recently another one of his mps abruptly resigned

00:00:16.880 let's take a look at that all right we've got breaking news from ottawa right now we're just

00:00:20.160 receiving word that federal minister of the environment stephen gilbaugh who is long time

00:00:24.880 an environmental activist previously with greenpeace has resigned from cabinet there is

00:00:30.960 word that he is going to stay on as an mp but he is stepping down of his role in cabinet he is no

00:00:37.840 longer the minister of the environment he was previously but he does not want to remain in

00:00:42.000 cabinet now that is a strong indication of his reaction to today's announcement of a memorandum

00:00:47.760 of understanding from prime minister mark carney and alberta's premier daniel smith here are some

00:00:54.080 highlights of that memorandum of understanding that there's going to be a construction of one

00:00:58.240 or more pipelines from alberta to bc's northwest coast moving at least a million barrels a day of

00:01:04.480 low emissions alberta bitumen carbon capture process to offset the emissions along with this

00:01:09.440 alberta will also sign on to an industrial carbon pricing agreement while ottawa will suspend and this

00:01:14.160 is a key issue here probably for gibo clean electricity regulations in that province in fact

00:01:19.680 what we're hearing is that many of the environmental regulations that were put in place

00:01:23.920 from the trudeau administration from his era will be clawed back here and potentially

00:01:28.960 the tanker band that's in place in the northwest coast of bc in the hecate strait so that's a body

00:01:33.440 of water between hyde guai the island and the mainland of the northwest bc coast to enable the

00:01:38.320 passage of tankers coming from a tanker rather from a pipeline they would need to lift that tanker

00:01:44.720 ban and there was suggestion here that if a pipeline did in fact come to place that that would be lifted

00:01:50.000 so news breaking out of ottawa just moments ago that the former environment minister and current

00:01:55.840 minister stephen guilbault will be resigning from cabinet his objection clearly noted here to the

00:02:01.440 memorandum of understanding yes you heard that correctly far left radical eco-terrorist stephen gubo 0.90

00:02:07.680 he's out now like i said in my previous video carney is damned if he does but he's also damned if he 0.62

00:02:12.640 doesn't if he moves forward with natural resource projects he's going to alienate his base if he doesn't do that

00:02:20.000 to alienate the other part of his base that wanted him to stand up to donald trump and diversify our

00:02:24.640 trade exports he's in a lose-lose situation i'm going to explain that in greater detail later in

00:02:30.000 the video now by capitulating daniel smith's demands over pipelines mark carney has successfully pushed

00:02:35.440 away some of his voters to the ndp there's a lot of left-wingers that just hate pipelines and all mark

00:02:41.440 carney has done is alienate them and push them away to the other party i want to remind you all i'm

00:02:46.400 being heavily censored on x if you see this part let me know in the comment section give me a like

00:02:51.440 and make sure you're still subscribed now let's get back to the action tension building over the

00:02:56.400 rush of recall petitions in our province but first let's kick off the program with a significant energy

00:03:03.840 agreement with the removal of the emissions cap on alberta as well as the removal of the net zero

00:03:09.520 power rigs i think it's going to unleash an incredible amount of investment and allow us to work together

00:03:14.480 on important nation building projects so it's the first step i think of what will be a few more

00:03:19.280 steps we have to take together but i'm very pleased that the the prime minister has heard our concerns

00:03:23.600 and responded to them it creates an energy transition all aspects of energy but really sets the stage for

00:03:31.120 an industrial transformation at the core of the agreement of course is a priority to have a pipeline

00:03:38.400 uh to asia that's going to make canada stronger or independent more resilient the premier and prime

00:03:46.720 minister in calgary this morning signing a memorandum of understanding that could reshape alberta's energy

00:03:52.560 sector and it provides a framework that paves the way to a new oil pipeline to the northwest bc coast so

00:03:59.600 let's pick up the discussion with tonight's politics panel and joining us this evening chris spearman a

00:04:04.640 former mayor of lethbridge and john santos is a political analyst uh good evening to you both chris

00:04:11.040 what's what's landing with you about the significance of this memorandum of understanding

00:04:17.360 well i think the prime minister is uh really displaying his negotiation skills and uh he's

00:04:23.920 going to have to continue to do that going forward uh he's managed to get this mou in place and now he

00:04:30.560 has to sell that to members of his caucus and certainly uh people like the premier of british

00:04:35.680 columbia and how uh the next steps unfold it's uh this is is a bit of a minefield for him uh we'll see

00:04:43.760 how this all develops certainly it's a big win for premier smith in alberta well now john is this all

00:04:50.400 about time place and and and people involved how likely is an agreement of this nature to have happened

00:04:56.960 at any point during the trudeau liberal era very very unlikely that it would have happened before

00:05:03.920 a lot of things have come together i mean not just um danielle smith and mark carney and and their

00:05:09.280 their teams and governments who who i mean worked very hard to make this happen but also i mean think

00:05:14.480 let's think about the structural changes that have happened in the world over the past decade right

00:05:18.800 everything from from the the you know second rise of donald trump the trade war a retreat from free

00:05:25.120 trade globally um you know a growing concern over cost of living and energy security uh the rise of

00:05:31.840 ai and the associated needs of of that um and also just this this growing sense that candidate needs to

00:05:38.080 be more secure economically um and with regard to energy and then the carrot on top of this are the

00:05:44.400 technological changes tied to carbon capture and sequestration all of those things came together

00:05:50.640 including the parties at the table uh to make this happen and and i do have to wonder if you remove

00:05:55.920 any of those elements if we would have gotten the same kind of announcement with sort of the same

00:06:01.920 degree of broad uh change that's being proposed uh that we saw this morning chris on that on that

00:06:08.560 timing front there is a very important meeting happening this weekend where the ucp is concerned that's

00:06:13.680 the agm taking place in edmonton what message do you see the premier taking in into that gathering

00:06:20.240 where the signing and substance of this mou are are concerned you know about the relationship this

00:06:27.040 creates between the two levels of government well i i think it is a big win for the premier and she's

00:06:33.600 going into her own party convention i think that's pretty safe territory uh there are people in alberta

00:06:39.840 who aren't going to be happy with this and certainly people in other provinces who are not going to be

00:06:43.840 happy with this and their indigenous uh uh component you know though the indigenous populations are

00:06:50.800 going to have some uh concerns that they might have been left out of this but uh the ucp annual

00:06:56.640 convention is a pretty safe place to land right after the signing of this agreement john where do you

00:07:02.160 see this leaving danielle smith with elements of her base who support separation it's tough because

00:07:09.600 i mean surveys have shown that up to 50 percent of uc supporters um would support you know

00:07:15.680 separation of of some kind or at least the idea of it and so as chris rightly pointed out is this

00:07:21.120 going to be um enough for them and that's always been the grand bargain um within the the ucp tent is

00:07:30.240 um sort of chumming enough red meat uh you know some of the culturally conservative policies uh that the

00:07:36.160 base really wants and saber rattling enough against ottawa to placate them but also doing enough for

00:07:42.560 you know more economically business-minded uh conservatives who really couldn't care less

00:07:47.920 about um those social issues and just want you know less regulations uh and and less red tape and so

00:07:54.080 it remains to be seen if this will placate the base alternatively or if it will sort of um

00:08:00.320 um uh encourage uh enough of these you know economic uh but not social conservatives uh to

00:08:07.120 stick with danielle smith and i guess we'll see what happens at the ucp agm chris what comes now of

00:08:12.080 pipeline politics especially uh that that opposition you were mentioning a moment ago opposition coming

00:08:18.480 from across the border in bc well um the the prime minister is going to have to wear this uh

00:08:25.920 uh a deal that he's made with uh perhaps not a natural ally and uh basically going back on what

00:08:33.600 the liberal party has stood for in terms of uh access to large tankers to the bc coast uh is that

00:08:41.120 going to change now if it is uh there is going to be some repercussions in bc i'm pretty sure that

00:08:47.440 he will have to deal with and within his current caucus now there you have it even the panelists

00:08:52.800 at ctv are admitting on live television that carney is in a very difficult situation he's

00:08:58.320 going to lose no matter what he does and polyev is going to win like always i'll explain a little

00:09:03.520 bit more at the end of the video from that carney government perspective where do you see the

00:09:07.920 substance of this mou leaving divisions within the federal liberal caucus i mean it does put some

00:09:14.640 of the more left-leaning liberals in a tight spot as chris said but on the other hand where are they

00:09:18.640 going to go to a moribund uh ndp that uh federally doesn't even have uh official party status um and

00:09:25.680 so that's that's sort of one of the the things that that prime minister carney has at its disposal the

00:09:30.800 other thing is that there are both carrots and sticks to bring bc on board here right there's the

00:09:35.680 the promise of revenue sharing that bc uh cannot reasonably be expected to shoulder uh you know more

00:09:42.160 of the environmental cost in alberta without also having a share of the the revenue and profits that

00:09:46.960 come from this and so i think those carrots and sticks um are both going to be needed uh if prime

00:09:52.560 minister carney is going to bring you know the premier david eby um and a lot of british colombians

00:09:57.840 and the bc members of his caucus on side but i mean the last few years uh have shown us that

00:10:04.000 you know there can be odd political alliances that happen um and you know if we look at some of the

00:10:10.480 ideological flexibility that david eby has displayed in the past you know with regard to uh involuntary

00:10:16.240 treatment of people with addictions uh issues for example like i think um anything is possible in

00:10:22.160 these very uh unstable uh uh political times that we find ourselves in and and chris do you see any

00:10:27.600 kind of shift in the alberta political dynamic as a result of of all of this how much does the

00:10:33.120 landscape change as a result of this mou signing i'm not sure that we're going to see anything immediate

00:10:40.480 uh people who had separatist sympathies and uh those components are going to continue their agenda

00:10:46.960 uh if uh tanya premier daniel smith chooses to do so uh this is something that a flag that she can

00:10:53.520 wave and say canada's working is she inclined to do that we will see uh i'm not sure today she seems 0.85

00:11:00.640 happy going into the convention and how will she feel next week well the the mou will certainly give us

00:11:07.120 lots to talk about welcome back and we are rejoined now by this evening's politics panel gentlemen we uh

00:11:13.360 we heard from a former elections alberta official before the break on uh building discussions around

00:11:18.720 the ever-growing list of recall petitions john being that uh ucp mlas and cabinet ministers are the

00:11:24.800 targets of these citizen-led initiatives how much of a fight do you see the smith government putting up here

00:11:30.080 uh i mean yeah they they they've already shown uh at least the um members themselves being recalled

00:11:37.520 that that they don't like and that they think that this is uh in in bad faith and not uh in accordance

00:11:43.440 with what the the drafters of the framers of the legislation intended but i mean the whole point about

00:11:48.880 giving citizens the ability to do something is that it's not the government's role to adjudicate what

00:11:53.520 their motives are we don't ask what people's motives are when they show up to the polling stations at

00:11:57.520 election time um and the same thing goes for a referendum and plebiscite campaigns right like

00:12:02.560 this is they they built the pandora's box which is now being opened and i think that they're

00:12:07.440 they're ruining the fact that they they built it chris minister nally's assertion that recall is being

00:12:13.440 weaponized to force an election how how much does that change the conversation around how the ucp

00:12:18.560 caucus defends its records how it fights back i i don't think that it's a logical argument that's going

00:12:26.480 to fly with albertans uh you know the they have to allow the process to take place and i think some

00:12:32.480 of the mlas are going to have to stand on their records uh not all of them have uh you know moving

00:12:38.800 forward with initiatives as this government has done which they did not campaign on has created a

00:12:44.160 lot of this backlash and the way that the alberta next campaign uh that panel was conducted has caused

00:12:50.720 the premier to go from favorable territory to unfavorable territory in six months john what's

00:12:56.800 to be made of of the position all these recall petitions on top of of those pushing referendum

00:13:03.040 questions puts elections alberta in it's a very difficult spot and i mean i think that's one of the

00:13:09.920 ways that we might see the the ucp government um fight against uh these recall and petition efforts is

00:13:17.280 by not giving um elections alberta further resources to deal with all of these things and you know

00:13:23.520 that's sort of one way of uh of um uh you know maliciously complying i guess with with this is

00:13:30.800 letting it uh happen but not uh giving uh the elections agency the proper resources to actually uh do these

00:13:37.760 things effectively and so yeah i mean that could be one thing that that we see um and uh the the

00:13:44.560 uh government has certainly indicated skepticism as to whether or not elections alberta actually

00:13:49.840 needed more resources though it's pretty clear that with this unprecedented deluge of of petitions and

00:13:56.480 recalls that no they absolutely do need more resources to make it happen chris we didn't get

00:14:01.520 into dollars and cents with with uh drew westwater but given the number of recall petitions 14 possibly

00:14:07.280 more on the way what position does that leave the legislature committee that oversees fundings of

00:14:12.480 elections alberta and and the degree of support it it has in in dealing with this added workload and

00:14:18.400 the need for more dollars well how that how that committee deals with it will be uh watched by

00:14:24.880 albertans and uh if the if sufficient dollars aren't provided i think that only adds ammunition to those

00:14:31.440 seeking to recall mlas uh if the government tries to control the process i think it could backfire

00:14:37.360 john what what wait do you see the recall petitions carrying and discussions on the floor of this

00:14:43.280 weekend's ucp agm especially given our earlier discussion around today's mou signing with the

00:14:49.280 carny government yeah it's certainly going to stoke uh the anger amongst the the more strident members

00:14:56.720 uh the more uh you know farther right members of uh the ucp uh membership now i don't know the exact

00:15:03.040 rules around submitting resolutions i don't think that further resolutions can be um submitted but

00:15:08.960 you know i don't think this would necessarily um sort of dampen uh ucp members enthusiasm for these

00:15:15.840 you know resolutions i think they certainly envisioned that they would end up using it more against

00:15:21.360 um ndp mlas than than ucp or then have it be used against the their own mlas um but yeah i think

00:15:28.240 certainly around the rhetoric that we're going to see um this is sort of going to stoke the fires among

00:15:32.720 among those elements of danielle smith space chris what what will you be watching for from

00:15:38.720 to emerge from this weekend's ucp agm and and what will it say about the direction the smith

00:15:43.440 government takes forward well i think the premier has an opportunity to speak to her base and uh and

00:15:50.320 offer a new direction if she chooses to do so uh we'll see what that looks like um i'm not sure what

00:15:57.120 she's got planned uh i wouldn't be you know there there must be some surprises and uh the the government

00:16:03.600 has to reinvigorate itself in uh and i think certainly this uh this memorandum of agreement uh

00:16:11.520 mlou is is going to be one of the things that does that what else do they have to offer and john last

00:16:18.080 last last question to you beyond uh any outside chatter around an mou signing recall petitions is

00:16:25.120 is there one particular agenda item a resolution that that you're watching for that will really

00:16:30.560 dictate the the smith government's move forward i'm most interested to see what happens with a lot of

00:16:37.120 the more culturally conservative resolutions right like there's one calling for um withholding

00:16:43.120 government funding uh for um abortions uh later in the course of uh pregnancy um there's one on sort

00:16:50.560 of uh guaranteeing um like uh the right for people to defend themselves if their their property uh uh is

00:16:58.960 is uh you know being uh um if they're being robbed that sort of thing um so it'll be interesting to see

00:17:05.120 uh what what happens with those and the discussion around them because there's certainly a lot of history of

00:17:10.160 uh ucp resolutions being adopted by this particular government as official policy now to sum this all

00:17:15.680 up carney's in a lot of trouble right now carney made it his campaign to stand up to don trump he

00:17:21.760 told the liberal voters that he was going to diversify canada's trade exports make us economically

00:17:27.360 independent however he can't do that without building natural resource projects and if he builds natural

00:17:33.920 resource projects he's going to alienate a big part of his base like i said earlier he's in a

00:17:39.280 lose-lose situation no matter what he does he's going to lose and polyev is going to win carney's

00:17:45.520 cabinet is literally falling apart right in front of her eyes melanie joe lee is going to quit

00:17:51.520 christopher fieland she's already quit steven gilbeau he's just the latest to go and i've read reports

00:17:57.040 that even more even more liberal mps are planning on resigning now i also want to take a second to give

00:18:02.640 a huge shout out to daniel smith she's doing a great job to protect her province's oil and gas

00:18:08.320 industry as well as the economy overall so i want to give her a big thank you from ontario

00:18:13.440 i also want to say i wish ontario had a premier like her maybe we'll get one next election like i 1.00

00:18:19.120 always say have a bit of faith i'm still predicting a poly f super majority possibly as early as this

00:18:25.120 summer so fingers crossed that happens just hold in there and have a little bit of faith

00:18:30.320 also i spent quite a bit of money improving my video audio setup so let me know what you think about

00:18:35.360 that down in the comments section thanks for tuning in i love you all have a great night talk

00:18:40.480 to you tomorrow patriots

BREAKING： Steven Guilbeault Makes Unexpected Announcement

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