00:02:31.000And nothing's really shaken that particular trend line.
00:02:33.360That was pollster Nick Nanos just a couple of seconds ago, laying out what his latest polling shows when it comes to the national ballot.
00:02:42.840Now it comes just as the Supreme Court of Canada has annulled the results of a closely contested riding from the last spring's federal election.
00:03:00.800Well, the Bloc candidate challenged the results, calling on the courts to annul the victory, to annul the results, which they have now done.
00:03:08.780Now, the ruling means that a new by-election will have to be called for that riding.
00:03:13.740It also means the Kearney Liberals are further away from a majority.
00:03:17.360The CTV literally admitted on live television that Kearney is nowhere close to a majority.
00:03:22.960Now, when they say something like that, it actually means that Kearney is in serious trouble.
00:03:27.640Remember, this is CTV we're talking about.
00:04:50.940So I think after an election, even if you have a minority, in this case a strong minority,
00:04:56.240you're going to govern with a little bit more confidence.
00:04:59.100Because I think you're going to take to the bank that the other parties aren't going to send you right back into an election.
00:05:04.860So that's that's the first comment I would make on the dynamics as they've played out over the last sort of almost a year now.
00:05:10.380The second one is I know a lot of people are saying, oh, wow, in December they were so close.
00:05:14.780The Liberals were so close to a majority.
00:05:16.940I never really thought that was going to change a landscape immensely.
00:05:20.280Only because if you have a majority with like by the one seat, there's so many things that can happen.
00:05:27.080There are by elections or people that get sick.
00:05:29.340There are people that cross the floor that that doesn't seem like a big, big monumental kind of accomplishment to have that one majority by one seat with so many MPs with that can obviously have things change quite quickly.
00:05:44.640So to me, it was never that big of a thing.
00:05:46.200Is it is it nice would have made it a bit easier for a little while?
00:05:49.380Yes, would have given would have given them some confidence.
00:05:57.960We have some by elections that have now occurred now that have now opened up and that are going to have to occur.
00:06:03.080And that will obviously change the dynamics.
00:06:05.340So I think at the end of the day, there there nothing really has changed all that much.
00:06:09.600These by elections will be obviously important and will be a bit of a test to see where some of the regions think the country is going in terms of direction.
00:06:19.380It sounds like CTV just did a complete 180 on its stance on conservatives.
00:06:23.260If you remember a couple months ago, CTV was literally saying that Poliev, he's done.
00:06:29.060He's going to be voted out by his own party.
00:06:31.460Conservatism in Canada is dead and Mark Carney is going to win a majority.
00:06:35.460Now they're literally saying the exact opposite.
00:06:38.780Mark Carney and his cabinet, they're on shaky ground and the conservatives are still a major threat.
00:06:44.040And this is what they're saying on live TV.
00:06:46.140Like I said at the beginning of the video, CTV was literally bought off by the liberal government.
00:06:51.560They're just giving you the watered down liberal version of reality.
00:06:55.380So if they're suggesting that Carney's in trouble, that means he's in a lot of trouble and bad things are coming his way.
00:07:01.980So I'm going to let this segment play for a little bit.
00:07:03.860These panelists make some great points.
00:07:05.920Then I'll be back at the end of the video for my usual commentary.
00:07:08.620And perhaps Lisa Bryan may have known that there may have been a couple of former cabinet ministers that already had a foot out the door looking for appointments.
00:07:19.160But Lisa, do you think that the reason that we're seeing this new tone of collaboration is, does it have anything to do with the fact that now they are further away from a majority?
00:07:29.620Do you think that that's why there's this sort of new tone of working together?
00:07:50.440And this is the sense that I got when you're outside of the country.
00:07:54.240That is, we have a very short time in order to be able to build a kind of trade arrangement that's going to make Canada's economy fire on all cylinders.
00:08:03.580The Carney government is really focused on this.
00:08:07.200I'm very surprised how focused they are on it, how many balls they have in the air right now all over Asia, talking to people in Europe.
00:08:15.800I can't imagine that this administration wants to take a break of 30 days, 31 days to go and run an election.
00:08:24.180I don't think that's top of mind for them.
00:08:25.760I think they've got so much going on right now and what they're trying to accomplish that there's no way that they want to see an election.
00:08:54.300And it's interesting, Tom, because Nick Danos was talking about how the liberals are really slipping in Quebec, even saying that they could lose upwards of six seats there.
00:09:04.900Do you think that they have to, in their minds, show that they've done their homework, show that they actually have results before they go back to the polls again?
00:14:04.180People who listen to our radio segments on Vashi's radio show know that we're the old guys on that panel.
00:14:09.620And looking at this panel, we're obviously the older ones out of all of the five, he said, realizing that he has to compliment everybody on the panel.
00:14:20.180And as I do, I just want to say gesundheit to Brian for that sneeze off camera.
00:14:27.380So if you watch closely, CTV panelists, including the host, they're subtly hinting that Carney's days are numbered.
00:14:34.900And if they're subtly hinting that Carney's days are numbered, that means Carney is in a lot of trouble and his days literally are numbered.
00:14:42.740This means that the truth is now impossible to deny.
00:14:45.860And Mark Carney's own paid propagandists are literally running cover for him.
00:14:51.620Now, after seeing CTV's episode, I'm now 100% confident the conservatives will win the next election with a supermajority.
00:14:58.840We just need to hang tight for a little bit, wait for Polyev's numbers to go up just a little bit, and then hope that Carney is stupid enough to call an election in the summer.
00:15:07.480Then we can get that nice warm blue summer we've all been dreaming about.
00:15:10.900I also want to remind people, my stance on Polyev simply has not changed.