00:02:12.160Speech was very well received in the room.
00:02:13.940And I think beyond, you know, on the personal side, talking a little bit about his daughter and which I think, you know, a lot of politicians are reserved to do for good reason because the brutality of social media and all that.
00:02:24.820So he's a little bit of vulnerability there.
00:02:26.620But the human side of Pierre and what his family's been through, I think, makes him, I think, a more attractive candidate to be prime minister because he's walking a path that a lot of people in the country are on.
00:02:36.820And I think he comes out of it with a lot of wind in his sails.
00:02:39.720In a democracy, the majority has rights.
00:02:42.360And a supermajority has real mandate to move forward.
00:02:45.620So I think caucus members should align.
00:02:48.760You'll think you'll see that in the next while.
00:02:50.560And I think the party base has been animated and energized because they see a guy who is up off the floor, who's fighting back, and he seems unthreatened.
00:03:08.860After years and years of lying, spinning things around, saying mean things about Polyev, saying he's like Trump, saying he's a white supremacist, the mainstream media is finally telling the truth.
00:03:20.200Polyev is just doing so great right now that even the mainstream media can't spin it around.
00:03:25.240And if you listen to that clip I just showed you, they even use the term supermajority.
00:04:06.920Whoa, now Scott Reid is saying nice things about Polyev.
00:04:09.920This is a complete 180 from their usual talking point.
00:04:12.660And, you know, that comes even in the face of very discouraging polling numbers, which show that his gap in terms of preferred prime minister remains with Mark Carney.
00:04:23.460Carney appears to be getting a bump after his travel abroad, the deals in China, the speech in Davos, friction with Trump.
00:04:32.540And the party says, listen, notwithstanding all that, we are pushing all of our chips in the middle of the table.
00:05:21.580We just need to get the woman to catch on.
00:05:23.600Yeah, I think the tail end of what Scott just said is accurate.
00:05:26.760And certainly I had the sense that what was really encouraging to people in the room as they listened to Pierre Polyev's speech was a doubling down on the approach that they've taken before.
00:05:37.220They are really resistant to this idea that has emerged that there needs to be a significant pivot from a policy perspective or any other perspective in order to be able to win another election.
00:05:47.980And they were really encouraged, I think, from the conversations that I was able to have, by the fact that that convention and that speech seemed to cement the fact that that would not happen.
00:06:34.900And there's a lot of work that still needs to be done, as Scott just said, to close the gap, the favorability gap, between Carney and Polyev.
00:06:55.620He won the vote resoundingly in Calgary this weekend.
00:06:58.920But he has to convince the caucus to stay with him.
00:07:02.060And it's still not clear whether those MPs that were considering flirting with the Liberals and moving over aren't still going to do that in the coming months.
00:07:12.720They could actually still put a leadership test to Polyev.
00:07:15.840Or it could be a public shaming with more MPs crossing the floor.
00:07:20.880Yeah, there were some Liberals who were observing.
00:07:23.100And certainly, James had, you know, reacted to the speech afterward.
00:07:26.700They seemed pretty enthused by the fact that the Conservatives were doubling down, that the leader of the party was kind of doubling down on their approach.
00:07:34.620And, you know, like it's a rumor factory.
00:07:36.340They're all like, oh, there could be four more this week, etc., etc.
00:07:39.800I also did get the chance, though, to speak to Steve Outhouse about some of that, who's managing the next Conservative campaign.
00:08:28.100With regard to Liberals in the room and, frankly, Liberals across the country, I don't often actually watch, you know, the daily things that are going on in the House of Commons.
00:08:36.700But this past week, I did watch Question Period.
00:08:38.440And I noticed that Liberal cabinet ministers, some of the sort of habitual answers they've gone to, they were kind of snickering, saying to Pierre in Question Period, you know,
00:08:49.740We hope you're still the conservative leader.
00:08:51.560You know, this week on Parliament Hill will be the unveiling of Stephen Harper's portrait on Parliament Hill in the 20-year anniversary of his ascension and election as prime minister of the country.
00:09:02.440And I remember 2004 and 2005, leading into that campaign and Stephen's election in 2006, there were a lot of Liberals who were saying, I hope Stephen Harper, after you lose in 2004, I hope he sticks around.
00:09:13.520I hope you guys stay with that guy who doesn't have experience.
00:09:15.780I hope he's the guy with, you know, that everybody thinks will never win.
00:09:19.180And I hope you stick with, I was having a little bit of flashback to those times when the sort of Liberals who were 20 points ahead in the personal popularity of Paul Martin relative Stephen Harper and all that,
00:09:30.400who are pretty self-righteous about the certainty of things to come.
00:09:48.400And I think Liberals who assume too much today about what's going to happen in the next three to six months, you're walking down a path that we've seen before.
00:09:57.160What I'm getting from this clip is that the CTV executives have a bad feeling that Carney's going to lose soon, and now they're hedging their bets.
00:10:04.780And I think you'll understand that too, or come to the same conclusion, if you really watch this clip closely and read between the lines.
00:10:10.660I'll explain this more later, but first, let's watch the rest of the clip.
00:10:13.480Do you think they are underestimating Polyef, Scott?
00:10:16.520And I would discern a big difference from, you know, the end of Justin Trudeau where there was not an underestimation of Pierre Polyef to now.
00:10:23.680They're like the, you know, I get told in the past two days, one trick pony, they often use the word like, they're like, you know, I don't mean this,
00:10:31.620but they're conveying to me, loser, like, there's a lot of dismissing.
00:12:14.900His speech showed that they're sticking with the same course.
00:12:16.860I mean, you heard his new campaign manager, Steve Otho, say they're going to just double down, bring his authentic self, and as you mentioned, introduce more humor and more family man into it.
00:12:26.740Is that going to be enough for Canadians who may have actually already cemented their opinion of Pierre Polyef?
00:12:32.020And just to go back to the 2004-2006 example, remember, yes, Stephen Harper pivoted, changed his policy approach, but also the liberals were mired in scandal.
00:12:41.700Unless I'm suffering from auditory hallucinations, this far-left commentator, a friend of Jack Layton, she even admitted on live television that the liberals were involved with scandals.
00:12:51.680And the ad scam that happened that actually really pulled them down in the Gombrie report.
00:12:55.720So it was those two things that led to Stephen Harper being so successful.
00:13:00.020Right now, you see Carney, in fact, maybe adopting and strengthening his positions by taking up so much of that center space that it's hard for, frankly, any party, New Democrats or the conservatives to get the oxygen to break through.
00:13:27.180These are the same people that spent years lying about conservatives, twisting the truth, and not being honest with the Canadian people.
00:13:34.100So it's entirely possible this could be the calm before the storm.
00:13:38.020I expect a series of hit pieces in the not-too-distant future.
00:13:41.320And I also expect, if a spring or a summer election is called, that the mainstream media will use every dirty trick in the book to make sure that Polyev doesn't get elected so they can protect their precious, precious bailout packages.
00:13:53.200That being said, there's no doubt in my mind that Polyev is going to win the next election and secure a supermajority.
00:13:59.420Especially after watching his speech this weekend, there's no doubt in my mind at all.
00:14:03.380The more Polyev talks, the more confidence I have in him.
00:14:06.920And there's very few people I can say that about.