New Report On Poilievre Changes EVERYTHING
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196.20844
Summary
conservative party has pulled ahead in national vote intention for the first time in months, while the issue landscape remains anchored in affordability with Donald Trump fading as a top tier concern, a notable shift in a summer that s otherwise seen stability in public attitudes.
Transcript
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liberals thought that polyev's career was over however they're wrong dead wrong new
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polling by abacus data changes everything today we're going to take a look at this exciting new
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report together the title of this report is conservatives edge ahead as cost of living
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dominates and trump fades and it was written by reputable pollster david coletto all right
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all right let's dive into this the conservative party has pulled ahead in national vote intention
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for the first time in months meanwhile the issue landscape remains anchored in affordability
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with donald trump fading as a top tier concern a notable shift in a summer that's otherwise seen
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stability and attitudes that's right patriots we're back just over a third of canadians believe the
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country is headed in the right direction essentially unchanged from early august meanwhile 47 say things
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are on the wrong track so what i'm getting from this report so far is that canadians simply don't
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believe that carney is giving them what he said he was going to give them now i could warn them about
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this however they didn't listen maybe next time however this report gets better so just stick
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around the rising cost of living continues to dominate the political conversation chosen by 60
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of canadians as one of their top three concerns the broader economy follows at 36 percent and housing at
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35 percent healthcare ranks fourth at 33 percent donald trump's influence as a political issue appears to be
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diminishing mentioned by 38 percent this wave and down from 44 earlier in the summer trump now sits
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behind cost of living and is tied with the economy in salience while still significant his shadow is
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receding slightly likely reflecting both canadian fatigue and a slight cooling in u.s news coverage
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the only reason the liberals won the last election is because of trump if it wasn't because of trump they
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wouldn't have a leg to stand on but the good news is that people are starting not to care about trump
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anymore and that's giving polyev a much needed boost just wait though this report gets even better
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carney's approval rating is falling and his disapproval rating is climbing while his numbers
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still look pretty good it's a sign that his honeymoon phase is now over and i'll show you the graphic
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right here as you see the numbers are starting to go in reverse where the red is going up and the
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green is going down all right so there's even more good stuff in here conservatives are seen by the
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majority of canadians as being better to deal with the cost of living the economy and immigration if an
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election were held today 41 of decided voters would cast a ballot for the conservatives and that's up
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one point liberals sit at 39 down four points since early august here's a picture of the graph right
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here that's right patriots we're winning remember who called it i called it and now the back of state is
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backing up what i said with research we're back now listen to what david coletto wrote at the end of
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the report after a spring and summer of stability in public opinion we may be seeing signs of fluidity
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in federal politics the carney government still enjoys a solid approval rating prime minister carney
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personally remains well liked and the liberal brand remains broadly accessible but public concern around
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affordability is persistent and the conservatives are clearly benefiting from that focus what's notable
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about this wave is that donald trump's influence on canadian political attitudes may be receding for
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now allowing domestic issues to reassert dominance that's not good news for the governing party which
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holds strength internationally but continues to face trust gaps on the economy housing and cost of
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living and for those who believe poliev can't become prime minister the data doesn't support that
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view the issue set remains an asset to the conservatives his favorability numbers are not better than
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carnies but not bad either and the conservative coalition remains firm with poliev back in the
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house of commons this fall and with a complex set of issues in front of the government we may start to
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see more shifts in public opinion so just to end off i noticed there's a lot of confusion about polling
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and especially people on the right don't seem to understand how polls work so i'm going to try to
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explain so a lot of people say how does a poll get accurate results if it doesn't ask the whole
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population people often say that i've never been asked to do a poll well the interesting thing is
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that a poll doesn't need to ask every single person to get an accurate result and let me briefly explain
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polls work by selecting a small group of random people within a population now the reason it's
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randomized is so everybody has an equal chance of being selected and i'll give you an example of why
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that's the case let's say i wanted to figure out what the average person does in their spare time in
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toronto i could ask my friends but the problem with asking my friends is that my friends have
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similar interests to me so most of my friends are going to say that they like to play music
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but that doesn't mean that the average person in toronto likes to play music that's just what
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my friends say and this is a mistake a lot of people make they think that just because their
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friends do something and they see it a lot online that means everybody does it but quite often it's
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actually the opposite this is where it gets a bit complicated is that pollsters use a science called
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weighting to make sure the results are accurate and what that means is that some people are more
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likely to take polls than others so they try to figure out who's more likely to take a poll and
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who's not the people that are more likely to take the poll their answers get devalued a little bit
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and the people that are less likely to take a poll their answers get boosted a bit now of course
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that gets a bit complicated but that's what pollsters specialize in i also want to point out that most
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polling companies are private companies and where they make the big bucks is selling research to
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corporations so they have a vested interest in providing good data because if the data is not
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good people won't trust them and they won't spend money on their research they'll go to someone else
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so i just want to throw that out there so i'll attach a link in the description so you can look
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into this a bit more if you want it's interesting stuff but either way conservatives are on the right
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track and i'm really optimistic about the future talk to you next time hey everyone pierre poliev here
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answering questions for six buzz and i am anna poliev here pierce wife here to ask the questions
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what would you do in your first day in office as a prime minister well we are going to axe the federal
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sales tax on new homes and we will also incentivize municipalities to cut their building taxes so we
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can knock a hundred grand of taxes off every new home we're going to cut income tax by 15 percent
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that will be phased in over the first few years in my time in office and that'll let you keep more
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of your paycheck and all those things are going to begin the first day i take office
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my my musical tastes are pretty eclectic when i thumb through my list it's like
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he is anything as random as led zeppelin to louie armstrong you know i do play some faster music when
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i'm working out occasionally and then you have obviously some country music because i grew up in
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calgary yeah so there's always some of that uh on my playlist and he has no choice but to listen
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to latin music obviously you know you make up some some lyrics what lyrics do i make up um well you
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say we go to home depot yo quiero estar contigo we go to home depot yeah yeah that's what i thought
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the song was about some guys who needed to get some building supplies and they needed a two by four and
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it's not it's enrique iglesias and it's really good let's move on before you screw up the song
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okay what are we going to do about all the crime sometimes the answers are simple
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not easy but simple we have to lock up criminals right so if you have you know right now we're in
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the vancouver area get this stat 40 criminals got arrested 6 000 times in vancouver so we're basically
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going to lock them up with tougher laws three strikes you're out by the way three serious
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offenses you go to jail for a minimum of 10 years no chance for parole bail probation or house arrest
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none whatsoever and even after your 10 and your sentence is done you'll have to earn your way out
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of prison through spotless behavior clean drug tests and learning an employable skill are you watching
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anything on tv right now no i don't watch tv we don't really have time guys um sorry we're boring i watch
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a little bit of ufc on my youtube you do you like that so let's tell me why do you want to become
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prime minister it's pretty simple i basically want to give people what i had very simple deal you work
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hard you get a great life and that used to be how the country worked you could get a decent job at a
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school you could get a down payment by the time you were 26 27 that's what i i had that chance when i
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was a kid i started from pretty humble beginnings and got to where i am i just want everybody to help
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else to have that chance so that's why i'm doing sounds like common sense to me how can people who
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want to support you help vote you have to vote and tell all your friends to vote as long as they're
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voting of course for change do it with the conservatives you want your life back you want to afford a home
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you want a great life you want um the freedom to do whatever you want then you got to get out and vote
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because if you don't vote it will not change things will only get worse we they can get better
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we have to have hope for a change go mark your ex thank you guys thank you