Mark Slapinski

00:00:00.000 Now remember how I always say at the end of my videos, have some patience, have some faith.

00:00:04.840 It looks like all that patience and all that faith is finally paying off. Why? Because Pierre

00:00:10.040 Polyev and the Conservative Party, they're once again rising in the polls. This ain't no click 0.57

00:00:15.240 bait. This ain't no sensationalism. This is the real deal and I'll attach all of my sources down

00:00:20.840 below. Let's take a look. So according to a recent poll by Main Street Research, 38% of Canadians

00:00:26.500 would vote for the Conservative Party, whereas only 36% of Canadians would vote Liberal. This is

00:00:31.740 among all voters. Among undecided voters, the numbers are 40% Conservative and 39% Liberal.

00:00:38.180 Now I hate to be that guy, but I called it. Remember that? I said, have a bit of faith,

00:00:43.740 have a bit of patience, and eventually we're going to get the results we're looking for.

00:00:47.820 Look what happened. We got the results we were looking for. Now I don't care what anyone says.

00:00:52.760 The Liberals only won last election for one reason, and one reason only, and that was Donald

00:00:57.960 Trump. They got lucky. Donald Trump had to start this nonsense about annexing Canada.

00:01:03.920 He had to start this trade war, and that's what tipped the scales back in favor of the Liberal Party.

00:01:09.420 Now of course, that might not have bothered you, but it bothered enough Canadians, and it scared

00:01:14.860 them away from the Conservative Party. Now that being said, the good news is that Trump is slowly

00:01:19.860 fading from people's minds, and people are starting not to care about him as much. They're starting to

00:01:24.720 come back to issues around immigration, cost of living, and taxes, and that's where the Conservatives

00:01:30.120 really shine. We're slowly getting back to the way we were last year. Now we're not talking about a

00:01:35.220 20-point lead right now, but it's slowly getting back to that point. Now CDV, they basically admitted

00:01:41.340 the same thing during a recent episode. So I'm going to show you that, and don't forget to stick around

00:01:45.900 to the end for some commentary. I also want to remind you I'm being heavily censored on YouTube,

00:01:50.620 and that's part of the reason you probably haven't seen my videos recently. So if you see this part,

00:01:55.760 let me know in the comment section, give me a quick like, and make sure you're still subscribed.

00:02:00.320 A lot of people, they subscribe to my videos, and then they don't see them, and then they ask me,

00:02:05.640 they say, well, what happened? I say, well, double check. Then they look at it, and they realize

00:02:09.960 they were unsubscribed against their will without their knowledge. So just double check. All right,

00:02:15.420 thank you. Let's get back to the action. Canadians started this year with Justin Trudeau as Prime

00:02:20.640 Minister, but that changed quickly on January 6th, to be exact, when Justin Trudeau stepped down,

00:02:25.360 saying he didn't have the support of his caucus to stay on. At that point, Liberals were on average

00:02:29.920 between 20 and 30 points behind the Conservatives in public opinion polls. But with the advent of Trump

00:02:34.960 and a new leader as of March and Mark Kearney, the tides turned, and the Liberals won a fourth consecutive

00:02:39.720 mandate. At the time, a handful of seats short of a majority. Let's bring back the front bench to talk

00:02:45.020 about that. Christy Clark, Marco Medicino, James Moore, and Tony Clement. Christy, I'll start with you.

00:02:50.500 If we had this conversation a year ago, is this the outcome you think you would have predicted,

00:02:55.600 and what do you attribute to it?

00:02:58.180 Well, I mean, Pierre Polyev had the gimme election of all gimme elections. It was a—it just—I mean,

00:03:06.900 it seemed to me ridiculous, crazy to imagine that Liberals could somehow win the election.

00:03:12.160 I was—we were all thinking, well, how do we save a few seats, rescue a few seats here? But the thing

00:03:17.880 was, is that Justin Trudeau had this theory that if they could get NDP votes, then they would win the

00:03:24.160 election, and he was right about that. His method, though, of getting there was saying, we're going to kill

00:03:28.780 resource development, we're going to kill everything from pipelines to aquaculture, and we're going to talk

00:03:34.680 about social justice a whole lot. We ended up with an economy that was, like, in the ones in terms of

00:03:40.760 growth, and it turns out that New Democrats, as well as a lot of other Canadians, decided, well, you know what?

00:03:47.720 We want jobs. We don't want to be just talked down to. We don't want to be—we don't want someone

00:03:52.680 standing in the way of growth. We want jobs. And so, you know, Carney comes in with a proven record

00:03:58.020 on that. Trump, on the other side, threatening the country. People wanted stability. They wanted to

00:04:03.700 get somebody serious, and they wanted jobs. And so, you know, it was an utterly unexpected outcome,

00:04:11.900 but I think, you know, one where Canadians really decided we got to do a U-turn here, but they didn't

00:04:19.380 want—they wanted somebody serious. And that's how Mark Carney was finally elected at the end of the

00:04:25.100 day. Shocked me as much as everybody else. You know, unlike some other members of this panel,

00:04:29.880 I might be more happy about it, though, than they are.

00:04:34.400 Tony, as you look back over the last eight months, we haven't even hit a year yet since the election,

00:04:39.320 or since the liberal leadership race. What do you think the prime minister is doing well,

00:04:43.480 and what do you think he's not doing well? Yeah. And let me preface my answer, Vashie,

00:04:49.340 by saying that Canadians are reasonable and patient people. So they're going to give 1.00

00:04:53.180 Mark Carney the benefit of the doubt for the first segment of his mandate. And that's what Canadians

00:05:00.120 do. And I respect that. And I think all conservatives respect the election result, despite a little bit

00:05:06.060 of angst about how it all turned out. Having said that, I think that Mark Carney is good at

00:05:12.960 illustrating a changed direction, whether it's on natural resources or on the carbon tax or saying

00:05:21.060 things about fiscal probity in the federal budget. I think the jury—I'm saying this in a very neutral

00:05:29.880 way, but the jury is still out—on whether he can achieve all of those things. But again, Canadians 0.98

00:05:35.740 are patient. They're going to give him the time. Whether he can do all those things that he says he can

00:05:41.320 do is, in my view, an open question. And there certainly is some evidence that some of them are

00:05:47.200 counter to one another. So I think, ultimately, Mark Carney is going to have to make decisions.

00:05:52.040 That's what you do in the prime minister's chair. And then he will be judged accordingly.

00:05:55.600 Hmm. I think one of the things that we've talked about on this panel pretty frequently,

00:06:00.700 Marco, is the size of the ambition described, right? Like, the magnitude of it is certainly

00:06:08.740 not what we're used to in politics. I know James has made this point a couple of times,

00:06:12.440 like just saying, you know, we're going to have the fastest-growing economy in the G7,

00:06:16.980 and it's going to be this, it's going to be that. Like, these are not—usually,

00:06:20.160 you know, we set expectations low in politics so that they can be surpassed.

00:06:23.980 How big of a challenge do you think that's going to be for the prime minister moving forward?

00:06:28.600 I think it will be a challenge. I mean, to use the old adage, you know, we campaign in poetry

00:06:33.640 and we govern in prose. And certainly, I think managing expectations and executing in delivery

00:06:39.040 will be crucial for 2026. But as I've been watching some of the clips that you've been

00:06:44.800 playing throughout the show so far, I mean, it's a bit of a photo album for me, a bit personal.

00:06:48.480 And it, you know, is encapsulated by sort of a never-say-never mentality. A year ago,

00:06:54.840 you know, the Liberal Party was 20 points down. Most people were writing us off into oblivion.

00:07:00.840 I had announced that I wasn't going to be running again. And then a short few weeks into 2026 had

00:07:05.680 been asked to be the prime minister's first chief of staff. And, you know, there was a clip there,

00:07:10.840 which I think also really captures one of the most pivotal moments in the first months of his tenure.

00:07:18.980 And that was in that bilateral, in the Oval Office. You know, and I'm standing over the shoulder

00:07:25.960 of the prime minister as he's having his first interactions with Donald Trump.

00:07:29.900 And there was one never. And that was that Canada would never be for sale. And to me, I think that

00:07:39.440 was a real watershed moment to signal to Canadians and to the American administration that this is

00:07:47.260 a prime minister who understands how to crisis manage. I mean, he has spent the better part of

00:07:52.240 his professional life doing just that. 2008, in the Great Recession, serving alongside of Prime

00:07:59.040 Minister Harper, and then going to the UK and helping, you know, England navigate Brexit.

00:08:06.480 And so he seems to have been engineered for this moment. And all of the repositioning that we have

00:08:13.660 seen of the Liberal Party, a party that is much more focused on the economy, a party that I think is

00:08:19.760 much more relatable in some ways in this current moment, because Canadians are apprehensive, they are

00:08:27.160 anxious about the cost of living and about their future. I think all of that energy is striking a chord

00:08:35.340 with a lot of Canadians. And I want to come back to what James said about the

00:08:40.580 tacitonic plates shifting. I think there is also a profound shifting in the tacitonic plates that form the

00:08:48.600 political coalitions that make up this government. And so I think 2026 is going to be an interesting year.

00:08:56.320 Do you think that's the case, James, that I mean, I think to maybe put like even a finer point on it,

00:09:01.440 Canadians might be asking themselves, like, are we in for a two party system for the foreseeable future?

00:09:06.280 Like, is it is it going to be an option between Liberals and Conservatives who, from a policy perspective,

00:09:12.460 have less of a contrast than they did a year and a half ago? As usual, Bashir, I think you put your

00:09:18.100 finger on it. And I agree with Marco. I think for Prime Minister Carney, we'll talk about Pierre,

00:09:23.420 I think, in a later segment. But I was I think about Prime Minister Carney going into 2026.

00:09:28.680 I think he has a decision to make. Christie mentioned about the coalition that came together

00:09:32.320 to get him elected in April of this year. And it really was he has borrowed voters from

00:09:37.060 progressives who really didn't like Donald Trump and who really, really didn't like Pierre

00:09:41.460 Polyev and the idea of him becoming Prime Minister. And a lot of progressive voters lent their votes

00:09:45.740 to Mark Carney on in a defensive posture. And they're waiting to see some receipts.

00:09:49.740 They're not getting a lot of receipts. You see a Prime Minister who is increasing military spending

00:09:53.600 to $81 billion, who's buying F-35s, we think, or and but growing procurement in any event,

00:09:59.760 you know, is offending the center left progressive environmental movement with his moves on carbon

00:10:05.560 pricing and so on. So I mean, and he's pro pipeline now, etc. So I think for Prime Minister Carney,

00:10:10.880 as he goes into 2026, he thinks about the mandate and where it came from in April of 2025.

00:10:17.040 2026 is about, is he going to do a progressive pivot and try to retain those NDP voters? Or is

00:10:22.800 he going to double down and really be a progressive conservative? If he's going to do a progressive

00:10:27.200 pivot, I think you have to look in the next, I think in the first half of certainly 2026,

00:10:32.100 and see if he's going to tack left on other things that he hasn't talked about yet.

00:10:35.180 Whether it's, you know, culture policy, whether it's standing up to the Americans on the online

00:10:40.280 streaming app, you know, there are things that he can do on social policy, maybe a guaranteed

00:10:44.900 annual income, expanded childcare, I don't know. But is he going to do a progressive pivot and try

00:10:49.500 to hold on to those NDP voters? Or is he going to try and seize the middle ground and become really

00:10:54.200 kind of a blue, liberal, red Tory progressive conservative and try to straddle the broad middle?

00:10:59.240 And is that ground available? Um, there's a political, cause he can't have both. He has

00:11:03.760 to choose. And I think politically we'll see what he does in 26. Do you just very quickly follow up?

00:11:09.160 Do you think that ground is available? We'll see. I mean, you know, it's, I think,

00:11:14.320 I think there are a lot of Canadians. I think Marco touched on it, right? There are a lot of Canadians

00:11:17.360 who are, who have shed their old partisan fight because they realize that Donald Trump really is

00:11:21.960 something different. He's not just another president. And when, when Canadians, as Christy said,

00:11:26.720 they want the prime minister to broaden our global market access and sell our products to more than

00:11:31.960 just 97% of what we sell in for energy goes to the United States. They want to see it to go to

00:11:36.540 more countries, not just because we need to, but because we want to, we don't want to just sell

00:11:41.000 to Americans anymore, not just because it's a better economic opportunity, but because we're

00:11:45.040 offended. We're not a 51st state. We're an independent, proud country with a sturdy past and a bright future.

00:11:50.720 And we don't want to do business with Americans right now. And we're not going to do it for a long 1.00

00:11:54.480 time. And they, and so, so I think a lot of people are prepared to shed the old sort of culture war,

00:11:59.340 partisan, red, blue, orange veneer that we have on politics and fight a fight that's worth fighting,

00:12:04.920 which is putting country first. And I think there's a great appeal to that. And I think the prime

00:12:09.260 minister is, he has some choices to make about how he holds that together. Now, of course, CTV and his

00:12:14.620 panelists, they're obviously biased against conservatives. However, they admitted something

00:12:19.300 really important at the beginning of that episode. They admitted that it was actually because of

00:12:24.220 Donald Trump, like I said, that the conservatives lost and the liberals won. Even some on the left

00:12:30.040 were surprised the liberals won. They were surprised that Mark Carney got into power. Now, other political

00:12:35.620 commentators, they'll make every excuse they can for Donald Trump. Well, you know what? I'm not going

00:12:40.760 to do that. I'm a patriot. I love my country. And I believe that anyone that's a patriot and loves

00:12:46.460 their country, Canada can't support Donald Trump. I will never forgive Donald Trump for starting this

00:12:52.480 trade war with Canada, talking about annexing us and costing us another federal election. And by us,

00:12:59.020 I mean conservatives. And if that's not enough for you, what happened with Epstein? It seems that as

00:13:05.140 more and more information comes out, Trump was pretty close with Epstein. And in my opinion,

00:13:10.800 that's kind of weird. And also what happened to the war in Ukraine? I thought this whole war was

00:13:16.240 supposed to be over. It looks like Donald Trump's not doing a great job in the second term to say

00:13:21.340 the least, but enough about Trump. I'm still optimistic that conservatives are going to win

00:13:26.080 a super majority, hopefully sooner rather than later. I'm still predicting a blue summer. Now,

00:13:31.820 I'm not saying that's going to happen a hundred percent because another sneaky conservative MB could 0.93

00:13:35.960 always cross the aisle, but you know what? I don't care if they do that. You know what? If they're

00:13:40.620 going to do it, they should do it now. And we should figure out who the traders are now before the next

00:13:45.880 election. PolyEv needs MPs he can trust. So like I always say, just hang in there and have a bit of

00:13:51.580 faith. As a bonus, I've added some new items to my store. And as a bonus for watching, you can save

00:13:57.320 10% by entering the code Pierre2026. And if for whatever reason, the website doesn't open,

00:14:03.940 just try it again because I know it shuts down sometimes. Thanks for tuning in. I love you all.

00:14:09.160 My voice is still a bit hoarse, but I think it's slowly coming back. Talk to you tomorrow, Patriots.

🚨 Something Just Happened With Poilievre’s Polls

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