Mark Slapinski

00:00:00.320 now this is the moment we've all been waiting for mark carney finally faces a no confidence vote

00:00:05.520 which will happen next month is this the end let's take a look in about five weeks we're going to

00:00:11.360 learn just how much the government is spending that's when prime minister mark carney's government

00:00:15.520 the finance minister and minister champagne will table his first budget recently i said that this

00:00:21.600 prime minister was just as irresponsible with money as justin trudeau and i now realize that

00:00:26.720 that was unfair to justin trudeau how is it even possible for this prime minister to be more

00:00:31.920 fiscally incompetent than the drama teacher this government is conducting a comprehensive spending

00:00:39.840 review this government is building houses this government is building projects in the national

00:00:46.560 interest this government is building canada strong come join us and you can come join us on november

00:00:53.360 fourth when we cover that budget because the prime minister is warning of a substantial deficit

00:00:57.600 and that could be losing mark carney some key potential parliamentary votes wow cbc just admitted

00:01:04.480 that mark carney is going to lose votes over his disastrous budget but just wait that's not the

00:01:10.000 worst part that part's coming up they will face canadians and quebecers with the

00:01:15.440 the unbelievable deficit which looks like madness i don't see how i do not i cannot see how

00:01:27.840 we could support a budget which is first based on some taxes reductions electoral gifts

00:01:37.360 and some fantasies in many regards i cannot support that i don't see how we could support that

00:01:44.320 yes you heard that right the blog is putting a no confidence vote back on the table and i'll

00:01:49.520 explain what that is and what that'll look like later in the video okay so kate a couple of things

00:01:54.160 jump out for me there one justin trudeau still catching strays he's gone very unfair um but second

00:02:01.760 uh the bloc évecois was looking for a permanent increase in the old age security uh payments last

00:02:06.880 year right which is billions of extra dollars excuse me while i pick my jaw up off the floor

00:02:10.800 the bloc évecois talking about the inappropriateness of electoral gifts yes but but that is uh you know

00:02:18.960 we haven't seen the budget we we have no what the pbo says you know what other people we don't know

00:02:22.800 what the deficit actually is but uh that is not a good sign in a minority parliament no for for that

00:02:28.080 position to be taken today uh no um and i think the bloc is in a pretty reactive place we also saw

00:02:34.240 news today that you know the us is lobbying hard but not to anybody's surprise but lobbying very hard for

00:02:39.680 uh a crack at the the dairy market obviously they have key industries that are being hit hard in

00:02:44.320 the province by tariffs um and a lot of change happening in the province as it relates to you

00:02:49.200 know critical minerals and failed battery plants and a number of things that are going on so um they

00:02:53.600 are reacting to a moment i think where they are seeing quebec not achieve much uh and so they are

00:02:58.880 dangling early uh i think what they would what they would like to see or at least letting the

00:03:02.640 government know that um they uh they will need to be convinced in order to uh in order to support

00:03:09.200 this and when you look at the dynamics of the house in terms of how that plays out in numbers

00:03:12.640 puts the nep in a very challenging spot to almost definitely support this i know don davies was not

00:03:17.920 uh particularly effusive one way or the other but um yeah i think that this is the opening of a

00:03:23.920 negotiation i would think for the block as it always is around budget time uh if you want our support

00:03:28.880 show us the money yeah i i i don't know if mark hardy will negotiate with the block uh jordan based

00:03:33.680 on you know his answers when he's asked about a parliamentary arrangement with the ndp back after

00:03:37.280 the election don davies i mean he recklessly said he won't pre-judge a budget he hasn't seen

00:03:42.800 but you know the math does uh math against him right and that the ndp who do not want an election

00:03:48.720 right now might be forced either abstain or support uh or else risk parliament here well look it's early

00:03:54.640 days we still have this is i think you're exactly right this these are the opening rounds in in a

00:03:59.680 bargaining situation that maybe prime minister carney's unaware that he's in but he is in it

00:04:04.880 he's got a lot of negotiations always be horse trading particularly when votes are going to be

00:04:09.520 as close as they are and i think you know it's important to remember that we are talking about

00:04:13.840 a pretty slim number of votes that would be required in terms of people uh getting the you know

00:04:19.680 the parliamentary flu or staying home in some other way it's you only assuming the liberals have

00:04:25.280 all their votes you only need three from any party so it's not a terribly tall order to find that i

00:04:31.200 don't think it means that the new democrats need to support this budget and in fact i have a really

00:04:35.360 hard time imagining that there's any scenario in which it makes political sense for them to support

00:04:40.560 the budget this has been framed up as an austerity budget that's going to be making serious cuts to

00:04:46.080 public services that's going to be rolling back on climate commitments where we haven't seen robust

00:04:52.240 support for workers and people who are facing unemployment there's not a lot in the window for

00:04:56.160 the ndp right now and it's tough to see what what the prime minister might be willing to give them that

00:05:02.000 could bring them on board so i think it's it's going to be a math game for the government um i hope

00:05:07.360 their whips office is very well rested um but you know at the end of the day i think it's still very

00:05:13.600 likely this budget is going to pass but accidents do happen yes austerity and investment jordan this

00:05:19.040 is yes we'll see i look forward to that i mean look i i understand what they're saying just we

00:05:25.440 need to see the details and look i i am not uh amanda trying to you know gin up any false drama that we're

00:05:31.920 headed to an election and the government's going to fall on this but but it could force you to alter

00:05:36.560 your plans right in terms of what you want to do in the budget versus what you have to do in the budget

00:05:40.560 to get things through i mean what do you make of what mr blanchette had to say and and how you see

00:05:44.720 this dynamic maybe playing out well there's theater and then there's blanchette's theater

00:05:50.800 and we are very familiar with what this looks like we remember all of the you know the many votes

00:05:57.440 of the last sessions and he would find his time to get up to the mic uh prior to those votes and make

00:06:04.400 his grand standing case and this works well for him right because i think otherwise where is the

00:06:09.760 relevance on the federal scene like how does he how does he attract that kind of attention and i

00:06:16.000 think that this is one area that he's quite successful at when you know he makes these uh

00:06:21.120 these big statements uses a lot of rhetoric that he knows will play well in his home province uh of

00:06:26.720 quebec uh at the same time i agree with everything jordan said this is a numbers game there there are three

00:06:32.960 votes away i don't think anyone thinks that this budget won't pass i think that that would be uh crazy

00:06:38.880 because nobody wants to go to an election right now just a quick note i'm pretty sure a lot of

00:06:43.440 conservatives would like to have a new election at least that's what people say in my comment section

00:06:48.320 it looks like cbc is back to its old practice of hiring pro carny characters uh so well i would

00:06:54.400 just chalk it up to a little bit of theater on blanchette's part and potentially yes the beginning

00:06:58.800 of a bit of a negotiation although i know i'm not sure how much negotiation is necessary on the part of

00:07:04.080 the government right now well and tanya there's no big demands out there i know that the pierre

00:07:07.920 polyev basically says pass all of my ideas as sort of his solution to things but there's no big

00:07:12.560 car he's working on it i was going to say wait long enough i think you might get it as well

00:07:16.240 touche but like that's what polyev's blanchette said today you know you have pierre polyev in the

00:07:21.680 prime minister's office you know he's a he's a conservative in a red dress so uh he didn't say dress

00:07:28.480 that was a really dumb comment of course carney stole all of polyev's good ideas however

00:07:34.000 carney will never be half the politician that polyev is i'm not sure where cbc finds all these

00:07:39.040 bimbos let's not start any rumors here on the show but but you know what what is there to negotiate

00:07:44.240 here is what i want i don't know that there's something to negotiate because i think two things

00:07:48.960 i took away from that scrum with mr blanchette and by the way i love blanchette theater in french and

00:07:54.400 english um but he pretty clearly said there's no consultation going on whatsoever with this pmo and

00:08:01.920 any of the opposition parties and i find that interesting uh you know 30 days out from roughly

00:08:07.520 a budget that's billed as and i'm going to say austerity budget because the rest is you know

00:08:12.800 let's see uh there's no talking to the opposition parties in a minority parliament interesting and the

00:08:20.560 other thing i took away from what he said is he criticized pretty much all the you know on the

00:08:25.920 postal strike on the deficit everything you can think of federally that's being done right now the

00:08:30.240 the projects an oil pipeline he slammed the federal government at every turn as a centralizing force

00:08:37.360 that's not well managed and so that's playing into his argument in quebec in a year ahead of what's

00:08:43.680 expected to be an election that will see an independent or a sovereignist party elected and

00:08:48.080 potentially leading down the road to a referendum he has promised to build that case in parliament and

00:08:52.720 outside parliament this year and i think we always have to hear him in that context you know kate i i

00:08:58.320 don't know what consultation is happening with the various parties i do uh earlier today i was going

00:09:04.400 to try to open up this email elizabeth may was asked about the budget uh pre-question period she

00:09:08.880 confirmed she is going to have a meeting with the prime minister very soon so there they will be

00:09:13.040 speaking to the greens i don't know that's one vote no yeah there you go i need two more but i don't

00:09:18.480 know if you then move your way up through the standings is that how you do it you know um i i don't

00:09:23.440 know but uh there's some conversations seemingly happening these people really annoy me they seem

00:09:28.800 to think the politics is a joke they're laughing they're having fun they're clowning around but

00:09:34.400 what's funny what's funny about the fact that immigration and crime are out of control what's

00:09:39.680 funny about the fact that our economy is falling off a cliff these people really need to be defunded

00:09:45.920 i don't think it is um a stretch to suggest that a lot of the consultation is happening at 80

00:09:51.680 wellington street and nowhere else i think about some of the recent announcements that have happened

00:09:56.400 and they seem to take members of the liberal caucus by surprise in terms of of the details contained

00:10:00.960 therein uh so the the central agency and the pmo is behaving very much as a central agency uh you you

00:10:07.200 had the house leader on a couple weeks ago when parliament started talking about you know who he was

00:10:11.120 willing to work with and maybe those that he wasn't so willing to work with um if this is being

00:10:15.680 developed in a vacuum the budget being developed in a vacuum and negotiations around it uh i think that

00:10:20.640 would be very typical of the prime minister's management style today well stephen mckinnon

00:10:24.480 in the morning of that day of that interview jordan said we're gonna have a budget in october

00:10:28.000 and then when he sat down with me at five o'clock he said well we'll have it soon and then we found

00:10:31.680 out it was november so things are changing when the defense policy was announced while the minister

00:10:36.240 was on a plane like there's a real pattern in in that behavior and you know and i think and this is

00:10:42.320 this is something that tanda wrote about this week this is a government that has a problem

00:10:46.960 communicating not just with canadians about what it is that they're up to and how they're

00:10:52.080 delivering results but even within their own caucus so they have a significant challenge

00:10:56.560 ahead of the budget to tell the story about the sacrifice that they're talking about for the

00:11:01.840 potential long-term gain that they're laying out but they need to be communicating more with

00:11:06.240 canadians about what's going on and that hasn't really been happening it's very internally focused so i

00:11:10.800 think that they've got challenges there not just in communicating with the other parties but in

00:11:15.440 in building the overall narrative uh for this budget in a way that actually makes sense to

00:11:20.400 people on the ground now i want to add carney isn't communicating with the public because he

00:11:24.720 hasn't accomplished anything if he accomplished something he'd be telling people the reason he's

00:11:29.440 not saying anything is because he hasn't done anything the way i see it this isn't a communication

00:11:34.560 issue this is a competence issue amanda do you see it that way that there's an issue communicating

00:11:39.360 with canadians here that the public opinion numbers would suggest that the prime minister's

00:11:42.880 personal numbers remain high even if there has been some erosion since the election which is

00:11:48.080 a normal course of things i mean do you think they're in that kind of a situation yet because

00:11:52.080 this is going to be a complex budget by all signs and it's going to need a it's going to

00:11:58.320 need a narrative yeah well i think it's just it's the nature of the complex time though as well

00:12:04.640 it's not just solely focused on the budget and delivering the budget messages we have you know

00:12:09.600 the prime minister in different areas of the globe negotiating with other leaders to find

00:12:15.360 new arrangements in the wake of the trump tariffs and so there's a lot of narratives at play at the

00:12:19.920 same time although they're doing quite a bit of telegraphing they're talking about a substantial

00:12:23.760 deficit they're saying that it's a result of uh the tariff supports of tax cuts for affordability

00:12:30.000 so they're and for defense spending so they are telegraphing some of it um and i would say the other

00:12:35.840 thing on on you know whether or not the prime minister is speaking to blanchette or speaking

00:12:40.080 to anybody else just because he's not speaking to blanchette or the office isn't speaking to

00:12:43.680 blanchette doesn't mean that they're not speaking to others so i i don't know that that's necessarily

00:12:49.440 um an accurate portrayal of what's happening i would imagine with the budget just being a few

00:12:53.840 weeks away that those discussions are underway and i don't think they're just happening in the pmo

00:12:58.000 tana on the communications issue i mean there's communications issues that this town and this

00:13:03.120 profession gets seized with and then there's the bro you know there's normal canadians and their

00:13:07.920 uh communication and conversation with you know the the direction of government how do you see it do

00:13:12.720 you think there is a broader challenge uh that this government is facing in terms of reaching the

00:13:16.320 people who just selected them back in october uh i think six months five six months into kearney's

00:13:21.600 government um we have seen a pattern of a a reluctance of reticence to um be more open to

00:13:29.200 canadians more broadly and i'm not talking about answering emails from journalists i'm talking

00:13:34.160 about explaining rationales for policy debates around policy options explaining once the policy

00:13:40.080 is adopted what's really going on behind it for example you know the latest yesterday's uh

00:13:46.160 loan to algoma i mean trying to parse through exactly what the government's conditions are for

00:13:52.480 that and the rationale for it has taken us two days um so i just uh i do see that they have a bit of a

00:13:58.880 problem and a reticence to do some of this work and i think to jordan's point it's not just about

00:14:04.720 political marketing of something it's also social acceptance of something i think that if the

00:14:09.520 government is planning uh you know the cuts at the level that they seem to be telegraphing

00:14:15.920 you get buy-in from people if you treat them like adults and explain some of it and so maybe

00:14:20.560 yeah sure we can all wait till they start spinning it november 5th but um i think that the government

00:14:25.520 itself could do uh everybody a favor by speaking about its tariff strategy its trade talks uh its

00:14:33.280 international discussions with ceos abroad on trade diversification on budget cuts all of that i think

00:14:40.240 they could do a better job of explaining that to canadians and um i no i think it is very much

00:14:46.480 sort of a corporate uh his corporate leanings it's it's it's mark carney as ceo of an asset

00:14:53.040 management firm called the government of canada yes he doesn't want to communicate on process but

00:14:56.640 more decision points and outcomes yeah actions and we'll let you know when we have something to let you

00:15:00.800 know about and that's stephen harper my god how many times we tell us i'll tell you i'll make an

00:15:05.520 announcement when i have something to announce and but stephen harper also did a fair bit of retail

00:15:09.520 politics that's what's missing for prime minister that's the difference so if prime minister

00:15:14.160 carney is unable to articulate uh for canadians in a you know a palatable way the status of trade

00:15:20.400 diversification the negotiations with canada us all of the things that he was elected to do and he's

00:15:26.480 also unable to communicate on crime and immigration and housing and affordability policies what on earth

00:15:32.320 is he communicating on and he was elected to do the former not hearing much there and he's therefore

00:15:37.440 leaving the lane open on the retail political issues okay so what to say here despite cbc's attempts

00:15:42.320 at whitewashing the situation i truly believe carney is on his way out the ndp wants nothing to do

00:15:48.160 with him the bloc wants nothing to do with them the conservatives want nothing to do with them

00:15:52.880 and most canadians want nothing to do with them he simply doesn't have the support to continue so

00:15:57.920 what is a no confidence vote anyway a no confidence vote is a motion that declares that

00:16:02.400 the sitting government has lost majority support if it passes the government is either forced to

00:16:07.760 have a new election or the prime minister has to resign if it passes the government either dissolves

00:16:13.520 and there's a new election or the prime minister is forced to resign now there is a history of

00:16:18.240 successful non-confidence votes even in canada if we go back to 2009 paul martin's liberal government

00:16:24.560 was successfully defeated by a no confidence vote more recently the prime minister of france was

00:16:30.000 booted out due to a no confidence vote now france has a different political system than we do but

00:16:35.840 it's similar now like i've said a hundred times before i truly believe mark carney's days are

00:16:40.400 numbered the cbc is turned on him or mostly ctv is turned on him his budget officer turned on him

00:16:47.280 his liberal mp was caught on tape admitting his gun buyback program is a complete scam

00:16:53.040 now we have the ndp turning on him the bloc turning on him and it seems like everyone is turning on him

00:16:58.640 every day carney goes lower and lower in the polls whereas polyev and the conservative party go higher

00:17:04.400 and higher it's only a matter of time before mark carney gets forced out or he decides to leave have

00:17:09.920 a bit of faith have a bit of patience we'll get what we want very very soon i promise you that have

00:17:16.400 have a great weekend patriots

00:17:21.920 you

THE END： No Confidence Vote Coming Soon ⚠️

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