Pearl - The Odds of A Horrible Marriage Are Worse Than Russian Roulette

00:00:00.000 Most people are going to be single parents. If most people are getting divorced and not staying

00:00:04.860 together, what do you think your future is probably going to be? I mean, by a picture of

00:00:09.120 myself, Ben Shapiro, Michael Knowles, we aren't old enough to know better and don't know the

00:00:13.560 reality of what we're pushing. Yet a woman who is younger than us and single does know better

00:00:18.580 and does understand this reality. Another post, she goes on to say that marriage is again. Then

00:00:23.900 he starts attacking me. You know, again, it's like these Christian people. I didn't attack him. 0.99

00:00:28.920 I didn't. I said, he doesn't understand the reality of what he's pushing. Men commit suicide

00:00:35.220 to this, Matt. Yeah, go yourself. I've seen men that are on the brink of suicide. And when you 0.99

00:00:41.020 push that, you might not know it, but you're sending men to their death. Screw you. If you 1.00

00:00:47.120 don't think that's important to be accurate about that. Screw you. If you don't think it's good to 0.99

00:00:52.320 talk about or screw you, if you don't think it's relevant to talk about the risks. Screw you for 0.99

00:00:59.900 being dishonest about these numbers. I actually do understand it better than you. You follow like 0.99

00:01:08.520 20 bajillion topics. Uh, you got married to one woman. I've seen how this thing plays out in the

00:01:16.180 long haul. Not everybody is an elitist, right? Not everybody is a high class person living in the

00:01:23.720 silver, in a silver top. Like people with money have different choices, but you have no idea how

00:01:29.760 bad a divorce hits a middle American, like the middle class men, they get it the worst. You know,

00:01:36.180 the upper class men, they recover because they can afford lawyers, but it's the men that can't,

00:01:41.340 and they're funding their wife divorcing them. Is it true that men are suicidal from divorce? Yeah.

00:01:49.120 Big terrible deal for men. And she later explains, quote, would you ever sign a contract that fails

00:01:54.760 75% of the time where your business partner is paid to break the contract? Why would you encourage

00:02:00.300 men to sign that contract until the terms are fixed? If no one ever taught you how to manage your money,

00:02:05.360 or you're secretly ashamed of where you're at financially. All right. Screw you. Free financial

00:02:11.080 literacy course. You may be surprised to learn that marriages fail at a rate of 75%.

00:02:21.220 And now he's going to belittle it. Okay. We want, we want to talk about the numbers, Matt. Let's talk

00:02:26.920 about them. 45% divorce rate. On top of that, most women gain 30, 80% of women gain 30 pounds in the 1.00

00:02:39.820 first five years of marriage. A quarter of marriages are sexless. And most people believe that that

00:02:48.740 number is a lot higher. Most women lead the relationships. Most women are in charge. That's 1.00

00:02:56.220 why we have phrases like happy wife, happy life. And you can gaslight men, but they're not stupid. 0.98

00:03:01.220 They're going to see this. Um, I have it in a folder, but I can, I can actually break down and 0.97

00:03:09.540 I'm going to do a video on this breaking down. If there's a hundred marriages, what your odds are 1.00

00:03:14.080 of each thing happening. Yeah. Even if the divorce odds are one in three, which he'll claim not three

00:03:21.280 and four, it's still more risky than Russian roulette. Look, we all know if you include

00:03:25.840 out of the people that stay together. If you include sexless marriages, if you include wives

00:03:32.000 that got obscenely fat, if you include bitchy wives, we know it's more than 50%. 1.00

00:03:39.580 The figure that people like this normally use is 50%. And the claim that 50% of marriages end

00:03:46.500 in divorce is already spurious. And we'll have more on that in a moment, but yeah, because you didn't

00:03:51.400 think through it because your stupid riders do everything for you. 75%. I was wondering where that 1.00

00:03:58.880 number came from. So I scrolled down and I saw something that she reposted from an alleged lawyer

00:04:02.920 who said this quote, it's not 50, 50 that only accounts for divorces. Another 25% on the negative

00:04:08.960 side for miserable men trapped in cheaper to keep her marriages unwilling to risk financial destruction

00:04:15.060 and loss of their children. 75% chance of a devastatingly bad outcome is just a bad

00:04:21.360 plan. No sane person would enter into a commercial contract on such terms. Now I did ask him where

00:04:28.320 he got this 75% figure from. And the worst part is they have such big egos. Like it's just turned

00:04:36.260 into this Jesus rock star, like bullshit. They just use the religion to get as much attention and cloud 1.00

00:04:42.440 as possible. Guys, I have a whole video breaking down the actual divorce rates. It's called how

00:04:48.980 conservatives are lying to you about marriage. If you want to see it, go there. And he wouldn't say

00:04:54.180 apparently the magic statistic fairy came and whispered it in his. And that's a, that's a liberal

00:05:00.300 tactic, right? He's going into it in bad faith where he's saying, Oh, you're just lying. You're just

00:05:05.600 making this stuff up. Well, if that's what you think, why, why would we even have a discussion?

00:05:09.380 All the men getting divorced, Matt, really? We're all, the whole red pill is just making this up.

00:05:16.420 Now for her part, Pearl later tweeted a picture of Pierce Brosnan with his wife of 20 years. And

00:05:21.940 she questioned whether the marriage counts as successful since Brosnan wife, Brosnan's wife

00:05:27.460 has put on some weight at the age of 60. So apparently even. Yeah. And now he's going to white 0.99

00:05:33.120 night. Now he's going to white night. Yes, ladies get fat, do it, gain a bunch of weight. 1.00

00:05:39.520 Men love that. If they're happy and have remained married for two decades. How do you know they're

00:05:45.900 happy? They still might fall into that 75% failure rate because they have not both remained in

00:05:52.040 supermodel condition into their sixties. This debate on social media brought out the rest of the marriage

00:05:57.800 skeptical crowd on the right. A bunch of these red pill influencers decided to hop on

00:06:03.040 an emergency Zoom call and spend two hours talking about me and the rest of the Daily Wire crew

00:06:08.520 and our reckless promotion of society's most fundamental institution. Now there's one clip

00:06:14.680 here that you should see. This is apparently a divorce lawyer who says that the failure rate for

00:06:23.020 marriage is not 50% and it's not 75%. It is in fact even higher. Listen.

00:06:29.560 I think marriage can be successful. Of course. It's just not something that's as scalable as we as a

00:06:36.640 society are trying to pretend it is. Marriage is, and I've said this a hundred times and I'll say it a

00:06:41.440 hundred more. Marriage is like the lottery. You are probably not going to win. Okay. You're probably not

00:06:48.680 going to win. Don't make that your 401k. You're probably not going to win. But if you win, what you win.

00:06:56.120 Okay. And that's the ego. And this is, this is what I really cannot stand about traditional

00:07:03.480 conservatives. They're just, they are just not pragmatic at all. Every conservative thinks

00:07:10.480 they are above the numbers. They all think they won't be statistics. If everyone else is getting

00:07:17.260 30 year old women that are giving them one, maybe two children, what do you think your wife is most 1.00

00:07:24.140 likely going to be? Most people are going to be single parents. If most people are getting divorced

00:07:32.980 and not staying together, what do you think your future is probably going to be? And there's this

00:07:38.360 cope, you know, I'll be different. I'll be special. Why do you have such a big ego to think that you're

00:07:43.580 different or special? Seriously. Why, why, why would you not have the same results as everyone else?

00:07:52.380 Yeah. There we go.

00:07:53.580 Is so great that I don't blame you for buying a ticket and trying. I personally don't buy lottery

00:08:00.740 tickets, but when somebody says, yeah, I played a lottery. Hey man, somebody's got to win. And you

00:08:05.340 know what? As long as you're not blowing money that you need for food or to put shoes on your kid's

00:08:09.320 feet, you're not hurting anybody. Go out, give it a try. So I always tell people, listen, marriage,

00:08:14.420 when it works, when you have somebody who's married 20 plus years and they're still crazy about

00:08:18.600 each other, that is the exception, not the rule. But when you do it, it's phenomenal. It's phenomenal.

00:08:25.040 So why not buy the ticket, take the ride, but have a prenup? Wear a seatbelt, guys. You can be a safe

00:08:29.960 driver, but wear a seatbelt. So a happy marriage, he says, is like winning the lottery. And the thing

00:08:36.540 about the lottery is that almost everybody loses. This is a perfect summation of how this entire club

00:08:43.240 views marriage and the message that they're sending to young men in particular. Sure,

00:08:49.600 it can be great, they concede, but only if you're insanely lucky. Everybody else is screwed. 0.99

00:08:55.840 This is a rather bleak view of marriage and thankfully, it's also nonsense. First of all, 0.99

00:09:01.640 the claim that marriage isn't scalable is obviously ridiculous because marriage has served as the bedrock

00:09:08.580 of human society since time immemorial. Yeah, and as soon as people got the option to opt out,

00:09:15.160 they did. You know, again, I don't really care what people say. And again, that's the issue you get

00:09:22.540 with traditional conservatives. A lot of times they go off of what the woman says. I go off of what 0.77

00:09:30.000 people do. Again, if it was that great, why did everybody opt out the first second they got?

00:09:37.460 Seriously. Seriously. That's my question. Why?

00:09:41.800 It has already happened at the scale of civilization for thousands of years. Now the divorce lawyers come

00:09:50.080 along and say that, you know, this thing that society has been doing forever, turns out it doesn't

00:09:54.660 work. So the next way conservatives manipulate you, okay, is they use history as a way to paint

00:10:08.680 what's not going to happen in your lifetime. So what they'll do is they'll say, well, this movement's

00:10:15.920 going to happen because at this time in history it worked. Well, you know, it's like, so what they'll

00:10:23.440 do is they'll say, oh, well, a hundred years ago, you know, we propagated women back. And I'm like,

00:10:32.040 well, let's look outside. You know, it's like, imagine if you're going to make a decision as a

00:10:39.440 business, because really in a way you should kind of look at your time, your resources, your energy

00:10:43.600 as a business. You only have so much of it. So if you came to a business owner, right? And you said,

00:10:50.060 all right, make this decision. You know, the business owner would say, okay, well, has anyone

00:10:56.800 else made this decision? How did it go for them? They're like, well, half of them, it didn't work

00:11:02.200 out. And a quarter are sexless and fat, 25% chance of it working. And then if you take the risk, you

00:11:09.580 know, well, it's probably not going to work. But, and business owners take risks all the time where

00:11:15.480 they know they're not going to make their money back, but they know. Right. Um, but imagine if

00:11:21.100 that person went to the business owner and said, well, a hundred years ago, this worked. And the

00:11:25.860 business owner would say, uh, okay, does that work today? And the business owner, uh, and the

00:11:33.400 investor said, well, no, but you know, I swear a hundred years ago, the, the business owner would

00:11:38.840 say, well, I don't care. And it, you know, I'm not saying that history doesn't repeat itself,

00:11:43.980 but we cannot predict how the future is going to go. You never can.

00:11:50.840 So it takes a big ego to believe you can really predict how the next a hundred years are going to

00:11:56.700 go. I don't know. I can't say, uh, based on what I see now, I could tell you how I, what I think may

00:12:03.080 happen, but who knows? Um, but they'll say, well, a hundred years ago, this works well, Matt

00:12:10.720 today. It's not working. So now what? Unless you're the one in a million.

00:12:18.340 It's, it's ridiculous. It's a ridiculous claim. Now, what about the failure rate of marriages in 0.99

00:12:24.260 our culture? We've heard 50%. We've heard 75%. We just heard that they, they fail at a rate similar

00:12:29.880 to the rate that people lose the lottery, which would mean higher than 99%, a lot higher.

00:12:35.840 Um, yet these kinds of astronomical odds are not based in anything, but the doom and gloom

00:12:41.880 speculations of the people inventing them. There is no evidence that having a happy marriage is as

00:12:48.580 unlikely as winning the lottery or that 75% of marriages end in misery. And what about the 50%

00:12:55.600 number? Well, this is at least is a, is a familiar statistic. It's, it's something that you've

00:12:59.440 probably heard before 50% of marriages ended divorce. Oh my God, this tastes so good. You

00:13:05.600 guys hit it out the park. Well, thank you. It's cause it's different. It's fermented.

00:13:09.440 Um, it's familiar, but it is bogus. And one way that you know that it's bogus is that people have

00:13:16.020 been claiming that 50% of marriages ended divorce since I was a kid. I've been hearing that my whole

00:13:23.620 life. And that would mean that divorce rates are static across time. But of course that isn't the

00:13:29.500 case. In fact, we know the divorce rates have gone down in recent years. Okay. Let's see divorce rate

00:13:39.220 from 1950. We all know why it's gone down to present. Okay. So again, this is, it's so dishonest what they

00:13:53.720 do. So the divorce rates gone down from 22 divorces per thousand women. 1.00

00:14:06.800 To 20. So what they'll do is when it's stayed relatively stagnant, they'll just zoom in a lot

00:14:16.400 to make it look like there was a big change.

Pearl - October 23, 2025

The Odds of A Horrible Marriage Are Worse Than Russian Roulette

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