PJ The Belt - September 17, 2025


Alberta SPLITS From Canada - The USA To GRANT RECOGNITION After Independence Vote?


Episode Stats

Length

12 minutes

Words per Minute

154.06177

Word Count

1,942

Sentence Count

134

Misogynist Sentences

3


Summary

In this episode, I sit down with Alberta s premier, Rachel Notley, to talk about her vision for the future of the province and what it means for the rest of Canada. We talk about the economic and political implications of Alberta walking away from Canada, and how it could change the course of history.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Alberta won't survive as an independent nation.
00:00:03.000 Oil is being phased out and will be a defunct petrostate in no time.
00:00:07.100 You're quite dull for a baby genius, Stewie.
00:00:09.380 First of all, oil and gas extraction makes up about 19% of Alberta's GDP.
00:00:14.000 Just nine years ago, it made up 27% of our GDP.
00:00:17.480 Alberta's economy has diversified far more than we're given credit for.
00:00:20.800 If we're not so reliant on oil and gas, then why do you keep raving on about pipelines?
00:00:25.320 Because bitumen pipelines are still the most revenue-generating energy infrastructure projects not just in Alberta, but all of Canada.
00:00:32.700 Contrary to your nascent childish beliefs, projections state that demand for oil will only rise into the 2050s rather than fall.
00:00:39.840 Oil is a limited resource, so it's crucial that we are able to cash in the massive amounts of wealth it will generate
00:00:45.220 before dependency starts to plateau in the distant future.
00:00:48.460 Our government collects royalties on natural resource exports, which are then put away and invested in our heritage fund.
00:00:54.020 This is a way of nationalizing a portion of our oil revenues to be used for all Albertans.
00:00:59.140 Why don't we just grab our shovels and start digging, then?
00:01:02.200 Are people scared of pipelines?
00:01:04.360 It's not the people that are scared of pipelines, Stewie.
00:01:06.560 Rather, it's the Canadian federal government that has pipe-o-phobia.
00:01:09.860 Trudeau's liberals brought in Bill C-69, which has been dubbed as the No More Pipelines Bill.
00:01:14.520 It has created such a hellish regulatory environment for pipelines to be built,
00:01:18.200 that Kinder Morgan, the company originally behind the Trans Mountain Pipeline expansion,
00:01:22.140 had to sell it off to the government because development was constantly being cock-blocked
00:01:26.440 by regulatory hurdles and delays.
00:01:31.100 You know, not that long ago, the idea of Alberta or any of the western provinces breaking away from Canada
00:01:39.440 sounded like something out of a political science fiction novel.
00:01:44.720 Totally impossible, right?
00:01:46.340 Well, fast forward to today, Canada's collapse has been so sharp, so accelerated,
00:01:54.860 that the breakup of the country isn't just possible.
00:01:58.560 It's starting to look likely in our lifetimes.
00:02:02.080 The corruption?
00:02:03.480 Off the charts.
00:02:05.120 The tyranny?
00:02:06.400 Well, we all saw what happened during the trucker convoy
00:02:09.600 when Ottawa showed its true communist colours to the world.
00:02:15.260 And now, Alberta is leading the charge to carve out its independence from this total mess.
00:02:21.940 I feel sorry for Pierre Polyev.
00:02:23.940 Me too.
00:02:24.600 Because the reality is, Canada's done.
00:02:28.300 And the reason I say that, and I am so resolved to it,
00:02:31.940 is it's not just structural, the imbalance in how electoral power functions.
00:02:38.020 It's cultural.
00:02:39.320 It's the ethos of the people.
00:02:41.260 And if he says things to be responsive to conservatives by small-c conservatives,
00:02:49.500 so somebody who is politically conservative as opposed to a political party
00:02:53.960 in Alberta and Saskatchewan or Western Canada,
00:02:57.480 he's going to lose votes in Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, PEI, Nova Scotia.
00:03:05.020 And if he says things to be responsive to their perspectives and needs and ethos of the world around them,
00:03:12.800 he's going to lose votes on the prairies.
00:03:15.080 And it's because we're fundamentally different people.
00:03:17.500 And it's become increasingly clear that we see the world through a different lens,
00:03:23.220 that Albertans and people from Saskatchewan want less government in their lives.
00:03:28.360 They want government to get out of their way.
00:03:30.540 If you support these videos, please like and subscribe.
00:03:33.700 I appreciate it.
00:03:35.920 Canada's worst nightmare might be about to come true.
00:03:39.960 Alberta walking away for good.
00:03:43.160 The referendum is coming.
00:03:45.040 And the momentum for independence is stronger than ever.
00:03:49.400 And here's the bombshell.
00:03:50.320 If Albertans vote yes, the United States could swoop in with official recognition.
00:03:57.340 That single move turns Alberta from a rogue Canadian province into a brand new nation overnight.
00:04:06.280 Think about what that means.
00:04:08.700 Alberta's oil and gas flowing south with zero Ottawa interference.
00:04:12.920 Pipelines green-lit, trade wide open, and an America-friendly government calling the shots.
00:04:21.340 Meanwhile, Ottawa sits powerless, watching the West slip right through its fingers.
00:04:28.260 This isn't just a vote.
00:04:30.700 It's a political earthquake that could redraw the map of North America.
00:04:36.140 Alberta's exit could set off a chain reaction Canada can't stop.
00:04:40.060 So buckle up, because if Washington makes the call, Alberta's break from Canada won't just happen.
00:04:47.820 It'll explode onto the world stage.
00:04:50.480 So I want to talk about this movement here, this Alberta movement first.
00:04:53.940 And there's a lot of stories I want to get to here, but in the minutes we have, it seems to be growing.
00:04:59.520 And there seems, this isn't just like internet chatter anymore.
00:05:02.800 There seems to be a real momentum behind this.
00:05:05.420 And this idea that Alberta could become the 51st state of the United States of America, low taxes, not have to deal with all of the green energy weird policies that's hurting farmers in Alberta and everything else.
00:05:17.160 So what do you make of the latest moves here on the Alberta freedom movement?
00:05:20.320 So a gentleman asked, what is the difference today?
00:05:24.580 Well, the difference is today is we're bigger.
00:05:27.280 Maybe we couldn't have had this conversation when we had a million and a half population.
00:05:31.780 Maybe we couldn't have even had it when we had a three million population.
00:05:34.800 Maybe we couldn't have had it when we were only generating $20 billion in revenue.
00:05:38.660 Well, maybe we can have it now that we're generating $75 billion in revenue.
00:05:42.640 That's what we're asking about.
00:05:43.960 It may not have been the right time 20 years ago when this conversation started.
00:05:47.640 It may not have even been the right time 10 years ago, but it is the right time now.
00:05:51.300 I think it is.
00:05:52.700 Alberta.
00:05:54.220 Pretty much the last free corner of Canada and the one place in the country that hasn't completely lost its mind.
00:06:01.640 And guess what?
00:06:03.180 Ottawa hates that, of course.
00:06:05.540 The feds are desperate to drag Alberta into the same mess the rest of the country is drowning in.
00:06:11.180 But here's the twist.
00:06:12.200 Alberta is the one province that can actually lead the West out of this disaster.
00:06:18.760 Saskatchewan's itching to follow, but Alberta's got to lead the way.
00:06:23.580 And of course, the critics are already screaming.
00:06:26.660 Funny how the people who oppose freedom always seem to be the ones who never want regular folks to prosper.
00:06:34.200 But this time, it's different.
00:06:36.700 This movement isn't fading out after a few months like before.
00:06:41.780 No, no.
00:06:43.020 Support is climbing.
00:06:44.980 The latest survey now shows that 45% of Albertans want independence.
00:06:50.340 That's nowhere near fringe anymore.
00:06:53.120 That's nearly half of the province saying we're done with Canada and they're pushing for independence.
00:06:59.940 So let's dive in.
00:07:01.360 Very quickly, though, if you enjoy these videos, please do me a solid and subscribe.
00:07:06.500 It's free and you can always unsubscribe later if you change your mind.
00:07:10.020 Thank you and back to the video.
00:07:11.860 So under the under law in Canada, because of the 1998 reference case and the Federal Clarity Act, it says that once there is a successful vote on a clear question by a province to succeed, then the other provinces, First Nations and the federal government are under a positive legal duty to enter into good faith negotiations as to the terms upon which the province will become an independent country.
00:07:40.180 I do not expect good faith negotiations.
00:07:43.760 I expect them to thwart things, force court applications.
00:07:48.780 So, well, why am I optimistic that this could still happen then if I'm of the view that the federal government may not enter into good faith negotiations?
00:07:57.000 But the most important one is the United States.
00:07:59.240 So paragraph 155 of the Supreme Court of Canada decision talks about this scenario and it hints at if the federal government and the other parties don't enter into good faith negotiations, it doesn't preclude international recognition.
00:08:14.080 It does not preclude other countries giving unilateral international recognition to Alberta in this instance, right?
00:08:22.040 Well, the APP sent a delegation down several months ago to meet with a delegation of the U.S. State Department in Washington and they indicated to that APP delegation that they believe that the Trump administration would be prepared following a successful referendum to acknowledge statehood independence of Alberta.
00:08:44.080 Now, let's be real, Canada isn't about to just let its golden goose waltz off the farm.
00:08:51.000 Alberta's the cash cow and the Feds will throw every trick, every shady deal, every regulation they can dream up to keep it chained to Canada's sinking ship.
00:09:02.440 But here's the history lesson, independence is rarely one alone, the American colonies, brave as hell, but without France backing them, the revolution would have been a lot tougher.
00:09:16.740 International recognition makes all the difference.
00:09:20.100 And Alberta?
00:09:21.300 Well, it happens to live right next door to the most powerful country on earth.
00:09:25.740 If Washington gave Alberta the nod, Ottawa's grip would collapse overnight.
00:09:32.520 The whole game would change instantly.
00:09:35.380 This has been largely engineered by the Alberta Prosperity Project, and they have done a fully comprehensive economic costing of what an independent Alberta would mean.
00:09:47.360 And it looks extremely well for this potential independent province, or if it decides to become incorporated into the United States, I think Americans would welcome that because this is an energy rich province that contains most of the economic activity of Canada.
00:10:07.140 These provinces aren't like the rest of the country.
00:10:10.280 While the rest of Canada is busy telling people what they can and cannot do, Alberta's still standing for God, family, and freedom.
00:10:19.740 And let's be honest, exceptions like that don't stay trapped in broken systems.
00:10:25.840 They always break away.
00:10:27.280 So when you look at what are we talking about here today, we're talking about all the things that Quebec is already doing.
00:10:34.840 And that is the question is, do we want to become more like Quebec in managing our own affairs?
00:10:41.840 So a gentleman asked, yeah.
00:10:50.520 So a gentleman asked, what is the difference today?
00:10:54.080 Well, the difference is today is we're bigger.
00:10:56.380 Maybe we couldn't have had this conversation when we had a million and a half population.
00:11:01.300 Maybe we couldn't have even had it when we had a three million population.
00:11:04.320 Maybe we couldn't have had it when we were only generating $20 billion in revenue.
00:11:08.180 Well, maybe we can have it now that we're generating $75 billion in revenue.
00:11:12.500 One of the things I would ask you to just consider, because I think we have a different interpretation on some of the historical developments.
00:11:19.800 When I look at Rupert's Land and then Northwest Territories and then Alberta, when I look at the increasing numbers of areas of jurisdiction Quebec has taken over, that is responsible government.
00:11:31.460 That as you develop the means to take care of your own affairs, then you start taking care of more of your own affairs.
00:11:37.000 Are we at that point now?
00:11:38.840 That's what we're asking about.
00:11:40.480 It may not have been the right time 20 years ago when this conversation started.
00:11:44.240 It may not have even been the right time 10 years ago, but it is the right time now.
00:11:47.800 I think it is.
00:11:48.660 And I'm looking forward to seeing what you have to say about it.
00:11:51.320 So thank you.
00:11:52.080 Hey, if you've made it this far, thank you so much for watching.
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00:12:04.760 A heartfelt thank you to all our channel members.
00:12:07.120 I really appreciate your support.
00:12:08.800 See you all in the next one.
00:12:10.460 Peace.
00:12:22.080 Peace.
00:12:23.000 Peace.
00:12:23.120 Peace.
00:12:35.860 Peace.
00:12:36.180 Peace.
00:12:36.280 Peace.