PJ The Belt - Alberta STATEHOOD DEAL With Trump？ - The New BREXIT! - Separation From Canada Referendum in 2025？

00:00:00.000 uh meaning alberta will never get to leave because no one will ever agree to let them go 0.50

00:00:04.080 what matters then is not you know some kumbaya agreement that we'll never get with ottawa and

00:00:09.200 the other provinces what matters is international recognition and if we obtain recognition from the

00:00:13.920 united states well that is independence on that day yeah and what do you know the people shocked

00:00:20.320 the establishment everyone was against brexit all the banks all the media all the political parties

00:00:25.520 except for nigel farage's ukip and it happened and i think there's a chance of it happening here

00:00:40.080 well independence is the talk of the town in alberta nowadays it seems many of the conversations being

00:00:46.960 had in people's homes have to do with alberta separating from canada at least when they're

00:00:52.480 not talking about the playoffs and the edmonton oilers that is no matter which side of the fence

00:00:57.920 you're on at this point the reality is as much as the government paid news try to ignore it

00:01:04.320 and even suppress it this story isn't going anywhere so they're forced to cover it and i'm loving it

00:01:12.640 um i mean look if if trump said uh yeah we want alberta as our 51st state i think that would uh

00:01:19.760 uh harm the cause of uh any constitutional change uh significantly uh independence always pulls

00:01:27.200 significantly higher than joining the united states um but there are other options that could

00:01:33.120 be realistically considered one is um you know economic union um you know and and kind of incentives

00:01:41.520 that might come with that much as the legacy media and eastern media claim this is a fringe movement

00:01:47.600 uh it's at the lowest in polls at 33 percent some polls have it in the low 40s uh that's significantly

00:01:54.640 higher than the ndp and liberals get in alberta combined so you know if that's a fringe movement

00:01:58.320 then the being a leftist is a fringe movement in alberta uh it's a large minority movement that i think

00:02:04.560 has the potential to win not it's not standing to win yet but you know if trump were to say well you

00:02:11.600 know if albertans decide they want to be their own country i'm willing to offer economic union with

00:02:19.200 current if you want if you wanted to kind of maybe make that happen offer currency exchange you know um

00:02:26.240 you know when west germany absorbed east germany they did a one for one deutschmark to whatever

00:02:30.640 east german commie mark was called and and that was very expensive because they were absorbing a much

00:02:34.880 larger entity relative themselves that was like uh you know one to four in currency uh canadian dollar as

00:02:40.080 bad as it is it isn't as bad you know you have a lot of torontonians sneaking in saying i'm now

00:02:45.680 burton yeah yeah uh so i think you know if he was being subtle and i one thing trump is not known for

00:02:52.800 is being subtle uh but if you know if he wanted to see something like this he would put some reasonable

00:03:01.120 measures towards economic union uh not political union but economic union in the window uh i mean our

00:03:08.640 our main commodity oil and gas are already sold in american dollars our our economy runs north south

00:03:14.720 not east west so so that kind of thing could make sense if trump wanted to hasten something like that

00:03:20.480 he could make some moderate measures like that uh that could incentivize it yeah i think you're right

00:03:27.760 you know um well i i would say just in terms of uh trump involvement he does present a unique

00:03:35.600 opportunity uh for this to succeed after the fact you know i i think ideally this goes through a clarity

00:03:43.360 act process that is legal constitutional the first two parts of the clarity act are that it has to be

00:03:48.640 a clear question and a clear majority and i'm in agreement on that uh after that it gets murkier uh you

00:03:54.800 have a conflict between the clarity act and then the universal right to self-determination of a

00:04:01.840 geographically concentrated people and you know so we would need to negotiate with ottawa and the

00:04:08.480 other nine provinces and have a virtual unanimity of them and in the meantime they can put a hundred

00:04:13.360 poison pills in it making it impossible to leave as coin was saying in his globe column just this

00:04:18.240 morning uh meaning alberta will never get to leave because no one will ever agree to let them go

00:04:22.960 what matters then is not uh you know some kumbaya agreement that we'll never get with ottawa and

00:04:29.360 the other provinces what matters is international recognition and if we obtain recognition from the

00:04:34.800 united states well that is independence on that day yeah i've said it on this channel many times and

00:04:41.200 i'll say it again the chances of canada negotiating a good faith agreement for alberta independence after

00:04:47.600 a referendum vote is slim to none expect the federal government to come up with countless poison pills

00:04:54.800 in the form of smear campaigns fake news propaganda multiple lawsuits manufactured indigenous issues

00:05:02.960 and delayed tactics they'll do anything and everything to continue to milk the cow that is alberta 1.00

00:05:10.400 many question whether canada would even recognize the separation vote but like i said before at the

00:05:16.560 end of the day the ultimate event to legitimize alberta sovereignty is the united states recognizing it

00:05:23.600 once america the most powerful nation on earth says alberta's independent it's over there's very

00:05:30.560 little canada or any other country can do at that point but to recognize it as well think taiwan

00:05:38.080 you're going to have some especially on the rural side there's going to be rural parts of alberta

00:05:42.320 where separatism is 60 percent the alberta ucp is different it is a alberta party smith is trying

00:05:48.640 to walk a fine line allowing both it to be home for conservative federalists and the independence

00:05:54.400 movement which is difficult federally i don't see the same room i think conservative mps who

00:06:02.960 want to speak their mind stay true to themselves on this who and many of them are genuine federalists

00:06:08.480 it's not a problem for that but the alberta mps federally they have to sit outside the conservative

00:06:15.200 party and and that that is unfortunate but you can't leave you can't form a new country without

00:06:21.360 forming new parties but also like i'm just looking out the window of your boardroom here and i see

00:06:27.760 the towers of downtown calgary there are many corporations that are national in scope but what

00:06:34.400 about leaders of national or international companies what about people who have uh like if there was a

00:06:40.560 sports star from the calgary flames or the edmonton oilers who who came out for separatism i think

00:06:46.000 that the league would smash them i think that anyone who has a vulnerability to central canadian

00:06:52.560 group think narrative control would be smashed um well there's gonna be a lot of pressure for that but

00:06:59.360 i mean the independence movement you know sabio said it's like a wave coming into the beach and goes out

00:07:05.200 but it comes a little bit closer every time others compare it more to a well flare uh whatever your

00:07:10.640 metaphor uh this one is different this one is radically different than everyone before uh you

00:07:16.720 know without meaning to you know denigrate previous waves of it of which i've been a part so i have to

00:07:21.760 denigrate myself if that's the case uh this is not just a couple of cranks on the prairies uh ranting about

00:07:30.080 the eastern bastards hey everybody very quickly if you're new to this channel please do me a solid 0.98

00:07:35.840 and hit the like and subscribe buttons it helps me a lot to continue making videos and bringing you

00:07:40.480 the updates you care about if you've been to this channel before welcome back thanks for watching and

00:07:46.320 god bless you you know the one square kilometer around where we're sitting here in downtown calgary

00:07:52.240 you would not believe what the words i've heard come out of the mouths of senior business leaders

00:07:57.200 this is not a crank on the ranch uh movement anymore but they're saying that to you privately

00:08:05.360 when i look around i mean they they there is some fear yet of speaking i'll put it this way some of

00:08:12.000 them a lot of them are are are there now ready to vote yes in the privacy of the ballot box many of

00:08:19.280 them are now at the point where they will openly say and it's not just in private to me they'll openly say

00:08:25.120 where they are on independence but they're not yet prepared to go stand at a podium or write a column

00:08:30.240 about it uh you know in on a public setting but uh they're there and and this is bringing credibility

00:08:38.000 uh i expect it'll probably be bring uh funding the the federalist side will be infinitely funded by

00:08:43.680 by governments and and just and how do you stop that i mean you can have a law you can have elections

00:08:50.000 alberta try to enforce it but try stopping the internet i think you're going to have every 0.91

00:08:55.680 political activist in canada you're going to have international activists you're going to have

00:09:00.000 um anti-oil activists you might have uh foreign countries with some stake in it i don't know

00:09:07.680 you see that's a whole other angle on this there are many interests that will be and are working

00:09:14.240 against alberta separation on top of canada's federal government and all the liberal organizations

00:09:20.400 including the government-funded media you know cbc ctv global news etc you'll almost certainly have

00:09:28.640 foreign actors and multinational corporations who wouldn't want to see an independent alberta

00:09:34.160 because they have their own interests and maybe a sovereign alberta could affect them one thing's for

00:09:39.600 sure things are about to get very interesting in alberta i mean opec would probably want alberta to

00:09:46.160 stay shackled within canada i don't know what china would say i don't know what uh i i and of course

00:09:52.400 we don't know what america's deep state would say they probably wouldn't mind getting their hands on 0.82

00:09:56.000 the oil and maybe they think that independence is a halfway step i i think it would be a free-for-all

00:10:03.120 and and everyone in the world would would pay their attention to it for a month yeah i i'm concerned

00:10:09.040 about foreign actors on both sides and by foreign actors i'm also including ottawa i'm including

00:10:13.920 ottawa as a foreign power in this pacific coast to winnipeg or flin flan it's a debate for everyone

00:10:22.320 within there right uh if you're outside of that you know i i uh north south uh sorry if you're south of

00:10:29.280 it uh uh west of that or east of that i i'd like it to stay out i'm not sure i'm quite sure actually

00:10:36.640 it's not possible to to do that uh there's going to be there are so many agendas involved on both

00:10:43.680 sides and in the age of social media how do you even know it's impossible to regulate i mean you you

00:10:48.160 can do your best to not make it so blatant uh but do we really think that the people's republic of

00:10:55.280 china doesn't have its ways or that the cia doesn't have its ways or ceases i mean if you and i aren't

00:11:00.800 on a list already we're not doing something right let me throw you one last question it's about brexit

00:11:05.920 about a decade ago the united kingdom they had a conservative prime minister who said all right you

00:11:11.600 separatists i'm going to throw you a bone let's let's give you a chance blow off some steam we're going

00:11:18.080 to have a referendum and i'll show you no one supports you look at me i'm so democratic i'm going to

00:11:24.080 and what do you know the people shocked the establishment everyone was against brexit all

00:11:29.840 the banks all the media all the political parties except for nigel farage's ukip and it happened and

00:11:37.520 i think there's a chance of it happening here what and danielle smith is sort of in that

00:11:42.160 interesting place where she's going to host the referendum if not necessarily champion the exit 1.00

00:11:48.240 what what what what hasn't happened yet that you think might happen will will a leader emerge will

00:11:55.680 will will something happen preemptively will mark carney surprise us all and and be more attentive to

00:12:01.520 the west i don't think his cabinet suggested you help me help me see into the future a little bit

00:12:05.680 because i don't know what to look for well it's brexit's not the only great example we have one much

00:12:10.080 closer to home the charlottetown accord the charlottetown accord just like brexit had unanimous support on

00:12:16.000 one side and that was to ratify the constitutional changes of the charlatetown accord the conservatives

00:12:21.840 supported it the liberal supported the ndp supported it labor unions supported it the banks industry

00:12:27.760 everybody ceos would take out ads everybody who was invited to a cocktail party anywhere in this

00:12:32.880 country supported it the only opponents were the bloc québécois and the party québécois and the reform

00:12:40.000 party a complete opposite and they opposed it for radically different reasons but they post it from

00:12:44.400 different sides and it was defeated nearly everywhere outside of ontario yeah of course ontario

00:12:51.200 ontario loyal she remains will do what she's told but um you know so like brexit it you had

00:12:59.200 all the institutions and civil society and business all the different parties lined up on one side

00:13:05.520 the movement's going to take new leadership to step up uh people have been stepping up so far

00:13:11.440 and uh much of it's been positive but we're gonna need uh our nigel farage we're gonna need our preston

00:13:18.000 manning our george washington pick your historical figure uh well no hopefully not a george washington

00:13:24.080 because that means we're shooting so hopefully we don't need washington but um you know uh i'm i'm

00:13:31.600 pretty cautiously optimistic that because this is not purely just the rural heartland of alberta anymore

00:13:40.480 it's got people with some real financial and industrial skin in the game who now want to see

00:13:46.320 this happen i i i'm cautiously optimistic we're gonna see uh new leadership emerge uh to to lead this in a

00:13:55.200 way that it's credible that is not going to scare people living in the the two big cities of alberta

00:14:00.320 uh and i i don't discount saskatchewan being a part of this all right thanks for watching if you enjoyed

00:14:08.000 this video please do me a solid and hit that subscribe button it's free and it helps me continue making

00:14:13.520 videos see you on the next one

PJ The Belt - May 15, 2025

Alberta STATEHOOD DEAL With Trump？ - The New BREXIT! - Separation From Canada Referendum in 2025？

Episode Stats

People

Summary

Transcript