PJ The Belt - November 06, 2025


Canada Hits RECESSION After Betraying The USA - China Involved？

Canada ERUPTS After SURGING Alberta Independence Poll WATCH： Danielle Smith Just Wrote INDEPENDENCE into Law!

Episode Stats


Length

10 minutes

Words per minute

152.01

Word count

1,637

Sentence count

154

People

Also mentioned:
Stephen Harper Trump Rosie Christopher Freeland Kamal Karamali Mark Carney Trudeau Marcia Edwins

Harmful content

Toxicity

1

sentences flagged

Hate speech

2

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

The Canadian economy continues to take a beating, with a $78 billion deficit, the largest in the history of the G7 nations, and the worst quarterly GDP decline since the Great Depression. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar continues to slide against the US dollar.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Toxicity classifications generated with s-nlp/roberta_toxicity_classifier .
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 We begin tonight with some troubling economic news for Canada.
00:00:04.080 New numbers show the economy is taking a hit, shrinking under the weight of outside forces.
00:00:09.840 CTV's Kamal Karamali has been crunching the numbers and joins us now with what's behind the blow to Canada's GDP.
00:00:17.260 Kamal.
00:00:18.300 Marcia, the downturn driven by the ongoing trade war, signaling signs of a possible recession.
00:00:24.560 So Mark Carney just dropped his first budget called Canada Strong, a 400-page word salad that is really more of the same.
00:00:34.240 This isn't Canada Strong, it's more like Canada in chains, indebted.
00:00:40.540 Because, let's be honest, this thing is a budget from hell.
00:00:44.520 We're talking record debt, very little economic growth, and record delusion.
00:00:50.540 Over $115 billion on vague infrastructure announcements, then $30 billion on defense, again, without specifying exactly what will come of it, and still a $78 billion deficit.
00:01:06.560 Much bigger than all of Trudeau's terrible budgets.
00:01:09.960 That's not nation building.
00:01:11.900 That's a nation borrowing.
00:01:13.880 And every new dollar that they print is another anchor around the neck of the next generation.
00:01:21.640 It's, and we don't lightly use the word, unsustainable, right?
00:01:27.960 Unsustainable means you don't have the option of saying, maybe I'll wait a couple of years, I'll see how things go.
00:01:36.080 It means, if you don't change, this is done.
00:01:39.840 They brag about balancing spending by 2028, and keeping debt-to-GDP ratio flat, whatever that means.
00:01:49.580 But that's just political code for, we'll keep digging until the hole is deep enough that you can't even see us anymore.
00:01:57.440 More spending means more money supply, and therefore a weaker Canadian dollar.
00:02:02.760 Higher prices.
00:02:04.120 The Canadian dollar is already at 70 cents.
00:02:06.640 They call it investment.
00:02:08.140 But if you're paying $9 for butter, and your mortgage keeps getting higher and higher, that's not investment.
00:02:17.660 That's punishment.
00:02:18.920 That's suffering.
00:02:19.900 That's bankruptcy.
00:02:21.020 While April, May, and June then saw a sharp drop-off in business investment by roughly 10%.
00:02:27.320 The depth of decline that we're seeing in the manufacturing sector is something that we just, we haven't seen in many, many, many years.
00:02:35.060 And so it is a cause for concern.
00:02:38.140 Vehicle exports plummeting nearly 25% industrial machinery exports and travel services also falling drastically.
00:02:46.080 In fact, Canada saw an unprecedented trade deficit in the second quarter, with a big gap between its minimal exports versus its massive amount of imports.
00:02:57.000 You'd think they would throw Canadians a bone with a tax cut, maybe, I don't know, some sort of relief, fiscally speaking, for working families or even small businesses.
00:03:06.560 But nope, not a single meaningful tax break, more consultants, more bureaucracy, while your buying power continues to collapse.
00:03:16.840 They claim they'll trim the public sector by 10% over four years.
00:03:21.240 That is not significant enough.
00:03:24.180 It's laughable.
00:03:25.280 That's not reform.
00:03:26.460 That's rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic.
00:03:29.700 Well, certainly, I would agree, our forecast is for, you know, very modest growth.
00:03:36.640 Second half of this year, you know, averaging only three quarters of a percent.
00:03:42.460 We do expect it to pick up, but as I indicated in my remarks, this is a structural adjustment, and so that's going to take some time.
00:03:48.040 So, yes, I don't have all the G7 forecasts in front of me, but, you know, we're not going to be the fastest growing economy.
00:03:56.480 Meanwhile, the loony, the Canadian dollar, keeps sliding.
00:04:00.400 This isn't Canada strong, it's Canada stretched.
00:04:04.880 Stretched by ideology, arrogance, and spending addiction.
00:04:10.180 A real strong budget would cut waste, lower taxes, and strengthen the dollar.
00:04:15.460 Instead, the liberal government just poured jet fuel on inflation and called it progress.
00:04:23.800 So, the next time they brag about generational investments, remember they're talking about your kids and your grandkids.
00:04:32.780 Because they'll be the ones paying for this budget from hell long after these politicians have retired.
00:04:38.660 Okay, so we're quickly going to take to Twitter and see what people are saying about today's disastrous budget.
00:04:47.240 We got Government X is corrupt saying, Champagne, I think that's the finance minister, says the liberals can't be held accountable for the last decade of failures.
00:04:56.800 Okay, if not them, then who?
00:04:59.280 Because they've been the ones in power for 10 years.
00:05:01.800 Who?
00:05:02.100 They're going to blame it on Stephen Harper again, even though he hasn't been in government since 2015?
00:05:08.260 The tweet says, because the world has changed and we can't compare today to the time before Trump.
00:05:14.560 Oh, they're going to blame Trump, I guess.
00:05:16.640 Amazing.
00:05:17.240 It's always someone else's fault with this effing government, says the tweet.
00:05:23.900 So, have a listen to what they had to say.
00:05:25.420 I would say my impression after going through the budget is, the pitch is, we have to spend this much.
00:05:31.320 I know you're going to say invest, but you're spending money, you're spending taxpayer money, in order to garner a significant growth in the return on investment.
00:05:38.520 And my question to you is, like, how do you know that that return will come?
00:05:42.340 And I put to you with great respect, you were the ministry who oversaw decisions to put a ton of taxpayer money into the EV sector that is now blowing up in all our faces.
00:05:50.480 People don't understand at home, we have some Edwins.
00:05:52.780 The world has changed.
00:05:53.660 We live in a very different world, and the way forward for us, and I know you would want to use the word spending, but folks at home understand.
00:06:01.120 When you go to the grocery store, you spend.
00:06:02.760 When you buy a house, you invest.
00:06:04.160 For government, it's about the same, you know?
00:06:06.120 As you speak, it reminds me so clearly of a message you delivered as a different kind of minister under a different prime minister, but from the same party.
00:06:13.160 Went over and over the refrain from your government at the time was, confident Canadians invest in themselves.
00:06:18.620 And the promise was also for economic growth.
00:06:21.080 Instead, what happened on a per capita basis is that GDP declined by 2.5% below pre-pandemic levels over the last five years.
00:06:30.640 Liberals were not able to deliver on the promise that you're making tonight.
00:06:33.620 Why is this time any different?
00:06:34.880 But in fairness, Bashi, in fairness, the world has changed.
00:06:38.320 I mean, people understand at home.
00:06:39.740 The scope, speed, and scale of the change, I wish you would be at the G7 with me.
00:06:44.300 When we sit together, we say what we're seeing today is unprecedented, probably since 1945.
00:06:50.080 So you can compare a period before the world changed when our largest trading partner decided to change the rules of the game, not only for Canada, but for the world.
00:06:59.900 Blame Trump.
00:07:00.260 You can compare these two periods.
00:07:01.720 But really, because you're saying the exact same things.
00:07:04.180 We need to invest in ourselves in order to get a return on the investment, and you're guaranteeing that will come when it never did before.
00:07:10.660 This is what the liberals have done for the past decade.
00:07:13.900 They've destroyed Canada.
00:07:16.140 They've destroyed the economy and blamed everyone else but themselves.
00:07:20.820 It's Trump.
00:07:22.620 It's Stephen Harper.
00:07:24.440 It's the virus.
00:07:26.020 It's someone else.
00:07:27.620 It's because of China. 0.91
00:07:28.920 China, it's never their fault. 0.85
00:07:31.440 They've been in power for 10 freaking years, and they still can take a little bit of accountability that their way of governing has brought us here.
00:07:41.240 They invested a lot of our taxpayers' money into electric vehicles, and just recently that blew up in their faces.
00:07:49.280 Here we have another tweet by Vesper.
00:07:51.820 Budget 2025 summary.
00:07:53.280 CBC, the deficit is twice as high as we saw from Chrystia Freeland in the fall economic budget, and growth is half.
00:08:04.360 So we're spending twice as much as we spent last year, and growth is half.
00:08:12.520 Oh, Canada.
00:08:14.500 $78.3 billion now.
00:08:16.680 $322 billion over five years.
00:08:20.100 Temporary foreign immigration cut by half.
00:08:22.420 Well, I think that's the only decent thing coming out of today is that if they actually do that, that is a good thing.
00:08:30.540 I mean, long overdue and badly needed for them to cut immigration. 0.93
00:08:35.940 You've got a country where Canadians can't even find work in their own country, and yet you keep bringing in cheap labor from overseas.
00:08:45.520 All right, let's have a listen.
00:08:47.020 Yeah, here it is.
00:08:47.720 It's called Canada Strong Budget 2025.
00:08:49.960 You can see all the tabs I've made.
00:08:51.140 There's a lot in this, Rosie, including a big jump in the deficit.
00:08:54.820 Let's start by walking through the numbers.
00:08:56.920 The big number is the deficit this year.
00:08:59.600 It is $78.3 billion.
00:09:02.640 Now, that's not the $100 billion some people projected, but that's a heck of a lot higher than people are used to seeing in a non-COVID year, and it stays at an elevated rate in all the years after this, going out until 2030.
00:09:17.100 You can see the $78.3 billion this year.
00:09:19.880 It's going to be $65.4 billion next year, $63.5 billion the year after that, just shy of $58 billion and just shy of $57 billion by 2029, 2030.
00:09:31.720 Broadly, Rosie, this year, in the next couple of years, the deficit is twice as high as we would have seen in the fall economic statement that Christopher Freeland tabled in December, and growth is half of what was projected just nine, 10 months ago.
00:09:46.160 Hey, if you've made it this far, thank you so much for watching.
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00:10:02.880 See you all in the next one.
00:10:04.560 Peace.
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00:10:30.280 Family.
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00:10:37.100 Verse.
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