PJ The Belt - SO IT BEGINS! — Liberals Face The BREAKUP of Canada

00:00:00.000 a major development happening in canada right now and i think it's indicative of something much

00:00:04.880 deeper much larger taking place behind the scenes and i don't think most people fully understand the

00:00:10.800 magnitude of it all yet i mean for decades when we talked about canada breaking apart we talked

00:00:16.080 about one very specific place in canada which is quebec and that's not the case anymore if you've

00:00:21.600 been following this channel you already know that canada is facing a massive national unity crisis

00:00:26.320 from more than one direction at the same time.

00:00:29.020 Quebec has once again put sovereignty front and center.

00:00:32.040 The party Quebecois just won the provincial election

00:00:34.240 and Paul Saint-Pierre Plamondon,

00:00:35.980 the leader of that party,

00:00:37.040 has already promised another referendum

00:00:39.320 on Quebec sovereignty.

00:00:41.020 He's also said that he won't hold it

00:00:42.600 while Donald Trump is still president,

00:00:44.200 which frankly is quite smart

00:00:45.820 because he doesn't want the entire question

00:00:48.100 of Quebec's future and the referendum

00:00:50.120 to be obfuscated with Trump derangement syndrome.

00:00:54.080 And then there's of course Alberta.

00:00:56.260 Alberta's having a separation conversation that would have been almost unthinkable a generation 0.65

00:01:01.000 ago. Of course, I mean, the grievances have always been there. Western alienation is not new. The

00:01:06.520 fights with Ottawa are not new. Energy and the unfair treatment of the Alberta energy industry

00:01:12.520 are not new. But it has now reached the point where Albertans are actually going to the ballot

00:01:17.220 box on October 19th. And we're being asked whether the province should remain in Canada or begin the

00:01:22.800 legal process to actually separate. And I mean, think about that. We're actually here. And even

00:01:29.320 in Saskatchewan, there are people asking some very serious questions about their own future

00:01:34.100 in confederation. That's why I believe we have reached a complete breaking point in this country.

00:01:39.700 And I'm going to make a bold prediction. Within the next three to five years, Canada may not

00:01:45.220 look like the country you see today anymore. That doesn't mean Alberta lives tomorrow.

00:01:50.420 It doesn't mean Quebec lives tomorrow, but it does mean the political foundation under this

00:01:57.160 country is shifting heavily right now. And here's what makes this so interesting. Alberta and Quebec

00:02:03.920 didn't arrive here for the same reasons. Quebec has its own language, its own culture, its own

00:02:10.760 history, and really a very long history of nationalism and sovereignty politics. Alberta

00:02:16.440 has a completely different set of grievances, though some are similar, including the whole

00:02:21.000 cultural situation, which is being affected by mass immigration from Ottawa. But then there's

00:02:26.160 representation, the relationship with Ottawa, the longstanding feeling among many Albertans that no

00:02:31.880 matter how they vote, the big political decisions are still going to be decided east of the Manitoba

00:02:37.580 border. And that's what Ottawa should be paying attention to. Because when two provinces,

00:02:42.300 potentially three with saskatchewan with completely different histories completely different political

00:02:48.160 choices and cultures completely different grievances are questioning the federation at

00:02:53.840 the same time you have to ask yourself is the problem really quebec alberta and saskatchewan

00:02:58.380 or is it something deeper wrong with confederation itself and this is where my criticism of the

00:03:05.240 liberals comes in not just justin but his father before him now carney i believe the last decade

00:03:11.840 of federal politics has made the divisions in this country a lot worse. Worse than they've ever been.

00:03:17.420 The fights over energy, climate policy, they all deepened Western alienation. I believe the

00:03:23.120 expansion of Ottawa's role has intensified the argument over provincial autonomy. And I don't

00:03:28.280 think Mark Carney can simply walk into a situation, say the right things, try to police Albertans

00:03:33.280 with little crumbs here and there, pretend like he gives to them and then act like everything is

00:03:37.620 fine, right? And here's something else people are missing. Alberta doesn't necessarily need an

00:03:42.580 overwhelming result this time for the movement to continue. I mean, think about it. Let's say

00:03:48.420 somewhere between 30 and 40% of Albertans choose the option to start the process to separate.

00:03:54.800 30%. People can try to call that a minority all they want. They can try to call it fringe.

00:03:59.760 They can call it whatever they want. But 30% is nearly a third of Albertans. One out of three.

00:04:07.620 That's not a rounding error.

00:04:09.280 That's not some tiny group of people you can just laugh off and pretend doesn't exist.

00:04:14.200 That's a political constituency.

00:04:16.480 They can organize, they can fundraise, and they've already proven that they can fundraise.

00:04:21.800 That builds institutions right there.

00:04:24.380 That creates a brand new political party.

00:04:27.000 That keeps the conversation going again and again.

00:04:31.840 Meanwhile, Quebec just elected a separatist party with the promise of another referendum on the road.

00:04:38.720 So Ottawa could find itself dealing with pressure from the east in Quebec and the west at the same time.

00:04:46.860 And that's what makes this completely different from the old Quebec story from the 90s.

00:04:51.240 Now, for my American viewers, here's why you should be watching.

00:04:55.220 Here's why you should care.

00:04:56.640 Alberta is in some distant corner of Canada that has nothing to do with the USA.

00:05:01.840 quite the opposite. Alberta's economy is deeply connected to the Americans. Its energy industry

00:05:08.040 is deeply connected to the United States. Southern Alberta's ranching and cowboy culture has deep

00:05:13.320 historical connections with the American West. And politically, culturally, there are lots of

00:05:19.500 Albertans who would tell you they have a lot more in common with somebody in Montana, North Dakota,

00:05:24.780 or Wyoming than they do with someone thousands of kilometers away out in Quebec or Atlantic Canada.

00:05:31.840 and then there's energy alberta is a massive supplier of oil to the united states really the

00:05:36.640 largest outside of america's own production so what happens in alberta doesn't just matter to

00:05:42.480 canada it matters to america that doesn't mean alberta is a part of the united states and it

00:05:47.440 doesn't mean an independent alberta would necessarily become a part of the united states

00:05:51.760 but if alberta ever did become an independent country its relationship with the united states

00:05:57.120 would immediately become one of the biggest questions on this continent energy trade defense

00:06:03.200 borders diplomacy all of it and there's even a historical echo here that i think my american

00:06:09.480 viewers will recognize i'm not saying alberta in 2026 is literally america in 1776 but there is a

00:06:17.420 political grievance that sounds very familiar representation you see we albertans look at

00:06:23.120 what our province contributes to this country and ask a very simple question. If we contribute

00:06:27.940 this much, how much say should we have in the government making the decisions, right?

00:06:33.800 And that very question has broken countries apart before. Now, I can already hear people saying,

00:06:39.180 PJ, come on, we've seen this before. Quebec almost left in 1995, but nothing ever happened.

00:06:44.200 Canada survived. I mean, yeah, I mean, Canada did survive, barely, but there's one massive

00:06:50.680 difference between 1995 and now right now it's not just quebec you have alberta you have another

00:06:56.920 conversation happening in saskatchewan those smaller but you have three different provinces

00:07:01.940 discussing the exact same thing different cultures different reasons but they're all asking questions

00:07:07.460 about the exact same thing and then there's the trump factor the trump card right because the

00:07:14.060 united states of 2026 isn't the united states of 1995 either and that adds an entirely different

00:07:21.700 geopolitical dimension to this conversation that we didn't have in 95 so no i don't think this is

00:07:27.780 95 all over again i think this is something completely different and that's why i'm making

00:07:32.940 the prediction right now three to four years five year tops we may look back at 2026 and realize

00:07:39.900 this was the moment the political map of canada started to change permanently because the question

00:07:46.140 isn't just whether quebec wants out anymore it isn't just whether alberta wants out the bigger

00:07:51.400 question is what happens when completely different parts of the country for completely different

00:07:57.000 reasons start asking themselves the exact same question is this country still worth fighting for

00:08:03.640 Is this federation actually working for its citizens and folks that question is being asked all over Canada right now

PJ The Belt - October 06, 2026

SO IT BEGINS! — Liberals Face The BREAKUP of Canada

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