Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 28, 2020


Episode 1001 Scott Adams： Twitter Fact-Checking, Ballot Harvesting Malarkey, The Poorly Educated, The Future of Space


Episode Stats

Length

38 minutes

Words per Minute

149.96205

Word Count

5,730

Sentence Count

413

Hate Speech Sentences

7


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for the evening edition that I like to call
00:00:14.320 No Coffee with Scott Adams because it's much too late.
00:00:18.800 Yeah, and today we have one of the best evenings ever of all time.
00:00:27.880 Things are starting to look great everywhere in the world. Let me tell you about it.
00:00:33.340 All the good news and stuff.
00:00:35.600 Well, we had a sort of launch interrupt us today.
00:00:42.100 Were you all watching with excitement as we were going to watch the Elon Musk rocket takeoff?
00:00:50.020 Of course, NASA is involved, but they're not celebrities, so we'll call it the Elon Musk rocket.
00:00:58.660 I was so excited for that, weren't you?
00:01:01.640 I was worried, I've got to say, not totally feeling safe, but I was really excited about it.
00:01:10.720 Now apparently it's postponed until Saturday.
00:01:14.480 But here's the thing, I don't think I ever realized this before, because now it seems much more real.
00:01:21.920 I mean, the fact that there are actually people in the capsule and they've got a time to send them up there.
00:01:26.660 Now it seems more real.
00:01:27.820 And I don't know if you realize this, but Elon Musk is going to be the richest person in the universe.
00:01:36.440 Because I don't know what SpaceX is worth now.
00:01:39.600 You know, Elon's share of it.
00:01:41.780 But there's a few things that I didn't know about space.
00:01:46.460 And one of them is, it could be really profitable.
00:01:50.560 Like really, really, really profitable.
00:01:53.660 Like nothing on Earth has ever been profitable.
00:01:56.320 Apparently all you have to do is land on one asteroid and start mining the rare materials.
00:02:01.320 And you've got like a trillion dollars per asteroid.
00:02:05.180 So there's a lot of money just floating around up there if you can get to it.
00:02:10.020 Then the other thing I heard today, I don't know the details, but it sounds really exciting.
00:02:15.040 I think it was, might have been Dana Perino's show, but I saw somewhere there was an expert.
00:02:21.420 It might have been another show.
00:02:22.960 Saying that one of the benefits of being able to get into space is that apparently 3D printers work really well in space.
00:02:31.560 So well that you can 3D print human organs as long as you're in space.
00:02:38.180 Did you know that?
00:02:39.780 Like that came out of nowhere.
00:02:41.160 I was like, what?
00:02:43.140 Are you telling me that all you needed was to be away from gravity and you solve the problems of printing human organs?
00:02:52.520 Now, I've got to think there's more to it.
00:02:55.380 But there was at least somebody willing to say that on television.
00:02:58.440 And I thought, wow, there's a lot of money up there in space.
00:03:02.980 So it kind of makes sense that Bezos is trying to do something and Elon Musk is trying to do something.
00:03:08.580 Because whoever gets the space first with an actual business model and, you know, ability to do multiple trips and stuff, we're talking multi-trillions of dollars of net worth.
00:03:24.000 I mean, the kind of money that you would never ever see on Earth.
00:03:27.880 So that's fun.
00:03:31.320 And I have to tell you that I tweeted before I knew it was going to be scrubbed.
00:03:38.600 I tweeted that the stock market will probably follow the direction of the rocket.
00:03:43.460 In other words, if the rocket is successfully launched and everything goes well, I think the stock market is just going to feel the animal spirits, if you will.
00:03:52.160 You know, that's a phrase used for economies.
00:03:56.060 Because economies operate on how you feel about stuff.
00:03:59.700 You know, literally the animal, well, not literally, figuratively the animal spirits.
00:04:05.020 And I don't think there could be anything better for the, you know, the psyche of the American public than to launch some people into space and get it right.
00:04:14.740 That would be really, really exciting.
00:04:18.860 So, if we get this right over the weekend, I would want to own stock on Monday.
00:04:24.700 I don't give financial advice that was not financial advice.
00:04:28.920 More like a prediction.
00:04:31.120 I don't know.
00:04:31.940 Is that good enough to stay out of trouble?
00:04:34.360 Because I think you can predict where the stock market is going as long as you don't advise people to do anything about it.
00:04:40.960 And I don't advise you to do anything about it, because nobody's good at predicting the stock market.
00:04:46.800 And as soon as you think somebody is, that's when you lose all your money.
00:04:51.800 I continue to be impressed at what I see as a creative explosion.
00:04:57.800 You're seeing it too, right?
00:04:58.980 The amount of creativity that people are generating because they had time to rethink everything from scratch is really amazing.
00:05:08.320 Most of you know I started a community on the Locals platform where I'm putting a lot of my stuff that you don't see here.
00:05:17.820 So, everything that I do that's non-Dilbert and maybe some Dilbert stuff will be over there.
00:05:23.920 But I wouldn't have done that.
00:05:26.220 I just, I was thinking about it.
00:05:28.420 I probably just wouldn't have executed if life had just gone on.
00:05:32.160 But once I could rethink everything, and I was faced with the end of my career as well.
00:05:40.480 And I've got to say, it's very motivating in a creative way, even though you would not choose the path.
00:05:46.180 It just opens up all your creative energy.
00:05:49.040 And I've probably had more creative output in the last two months than any time in my life.
00:05:57.100 So, it's been tremendous for me.
00:05:58.520 I think other people are having the same experience.
00:06:01.080 I don't know.
00:06:03.180 So, you can find my other stuff at Locals.
00:06:06.440 Locals.com.
00:06:08.780 And you can find the link to that at the top of my Twitter profile.
00:06:13.340 So, there are a number of businesses that are doing great.
00:06:17.120 I just read that RV sales are doing great.
00:06:20.900 What?
00:06:21.340 So, people are buying RVs.
00:06:24.340 Presumably, people are thinking less about flying, I'm guessing.
00:06:29.940 So, bicycles are doing great.
00:06:31.640 Everybody in the delivery business is doing great.
00:06:34.600 You know, Zoom and the online conferencing is doing great.
00:06:38.260 There's a whole bunch of telehealth businesses that are doing great.
00:06:42.580 A lot of people are doing great.
00:06:44.160 So, I have a really good feeling about the recovery.
00:06:50.300 Let's talk about the Twitter fact-checking.
00:06:53.580 The big story of the day.
00:06:55.520 You're all following that, right?
00:06:57.120 The Twitter fact-checking.
00:06:58.400 So, the president tweeted to the effect that mail-in voting would invite a lot of fraud.
00:07:09.640 Twitter's fact-checkers, in a new program, decided to label that as something that needed to be fact-checked.
00:07:16.760 And then they fact-checked it as not true.
00:07:21.660 Now, there are a few problems with that.
00:07:23.880 You might see them right away.
00:07:25.680 One of them is that it is true.
00:07:29.260 So, if your very first fact-checked on the president, you didn't even get it right.
00:07:35.100 Because it is true.
00:07:36.820 It's obviously true.
00:07:38.280 Now, you could argue the extent of it.
00:07:40.680 You could say it's not enough to make a difference.
00:07:44.040 That would be an argument.
00:07:45.140 You could say it's no worse than the current system which has its own problems.
00:07:50.820 That would be an argument.
00:07:52.220 You could say it's not perfect, but we have ways to fix it, and I think we'll be all right.
00:07:56.520 That would be a good argument.
00:07:59.020 But you know what's not a good argument?
00:08:01.360 That mail-in ballots are not subject to fraud?
00:08:05.720 Really?
00:08:07.300 Really?
00:08:07.820 Because I'm no evil, super-genius criminal, but even I can think of a few ways that I can game that system.
00:08:17.000 If you can't think of six ways to game that system, you're not even trying.
00:08:21.520 So, I asked this provocative and perhaps a philosophical question, and it goes like this.
00:08:30.980 If you give your mail-in ballot to someone else, let's say you give it to your friend to mail it for you,
00:08:37.460 and you don't watch them mail it, did you vote?
00:08:40.620 Now, your first impression is, well, yeah, because my friend would obviously mail it, so, yeah, I voted.
00:08:49.180 You know, stop being so clever.
00:08:51.280 Angels dancing on the head of a pen, you're just trying to find something out of nothing.
00:08:56.680 Am I?
00:08:58.340 Am I?
00:08:59.340 Because here's the way I see it.
00:09:01.840 Your friend has both his own ballot and your ballot, and he's walking to the mailbox.
00:09:06.700 Your friend knows who you voted for.
00:09:10.240 It's your friend.
00:09:11.600 Your friend knows who you voted for.
00:09:13.820 Sure, there are some people who don't know who their friend voted for.
00:09:17.300 But mostly, your friend knows who you voted for.
00:09:20.360 Even if it's not who they voted for, they know who you voted for.
00:09:23.460 Certainly for president.
00:09:25.260 So your friend has his own ballot and your ballot in his hand, and nobody's watching,
00:09:31.040 and there's the mailbox to mail them.
00:09:32.880 Listen, your friend gets the vote twice.
00:09:37.980 Once, when your friend puts his own vote into the mail.
00:09:41.120 And the second time, when he decides, yes or no, to put your vote in the mail.
00:09:46.540 Because your friend gets a second vote.
00:09:50.240 You think you voted, but you didn't.
00:09:54.160 Unless your friend decides that your vote is the way your friend wants it to go,
00:09:58.940 for whatever reason.
00:09:59.760 Or maybe they just like fairness, and they don't want to ruin the system.
00:10:03.940 But the point is, in a very real, practical way, you didn't vote.
00:10:10.260 Your friend voted twice.
00:10:13.600 I'm not wrong.
00:10:15.120 It's just one of those things you have to think about for a little while.
00:10:17.340 All right.
00:10:21.860 So, as you might imagine, Twitter's getting quite a bit of pushback.
00:10:27.440 The president is saying that he's going to sign some kind of an executive order
00:10:31.640 about the social media companies.
00:10:33.980 I can't imagine what that would be.
00:10:35.880 Facebook already said that they don't want to be in the business of fact-checking anything.
00:10:39.760 So, I don't know.
00:10:42.040 I don't know what the executive order is.
00:10:44.580 There will be much jabbering about what is legal and what is not.
00:10:49.160 The president will be called a dictator.
00:10:51.720 A dictator because he's ignoring the Constitution.
00:10:55.260 That's what his critics are already saying.
00:10:56.800 And then other people will say,
00:10:58.800 exactly how are you going to monitor or regulate them?
00:11:04.500 Don't you need Congress?
00:11:06.780 Can you just make the FCC do something?
00:11:11.380 Apparently, it's not set up, so that's an easy thing to do.
00:11:14.620 So, we don't know what the CEO will be,
00:11:16.560 unless it's already come out while I'm talking.
00:11:18.200 But here's what I think could be an unintended consequence of the Twitter fact-checking.
00:11:29.360 Are you ready for this?
00:11:31.320 Here's some unintended potential consequences.
00:11:36.080 Number one, I doubt the system will stay the same.
00:11:41.560 So, the first part of this prediction is that Twitter's,
00:11:46.660 you know, the first attempt at a fact,
00:11:49.460 sort of a fact-checking banner.
00:11:52.160 I'm sure it's not going to stay the same.
00:11:55.140 In other words, it's sort of an A-B testing situation.
00:11:58.720 They tried something.
00:11:59.860 They got a lot of pushback.
00:12:01.760 Surely, they will try something else.
00:12:03.820 And probably pretty quickly.
00:12:05.440 Here's what I would assume will be the way it'll shake out.
00:12:09.340 I think they're going to have to, somehow, in the interface,
00:12:13.940 make it possible to see the other side.
00:12:16.660 So, I think they can get away with doing a fact-check
00:12:19.840 that says this fact is not true
00:12:22.440 if they're also prominently,
00:12:24.820 and prominently is the part that's important, right?
00:12:27.260 It's got to be equally prominent
00:12:28.720 to say, and here's the counter-argument.
00:12:31.160 If they show both arguments,
00:12:34.340 are you happier?
00:12:36.940 Or are you less happy?
00:12:38.700 Oh, I know what you're going to say.
00:12:40.080 You're going to say, no, that doesn't work.
00:12:42.240 Because that's a lot like when the fake news will run a story
00:12:45.400 for a week, and it's the biggest headline,
00:12:47.840 a million people see it,
00:12:49.140 and then when they recant it later,
00:12:51.940 and they say, oh, we got it wrong,
00:12:53.520 nobody sees a correction.
00:12:54.740 So, you're saying, oh, it's going to be one of those situations
00:12:57.600 where, yeah, on paper,
00:13:00.520 they showed both sides,
00:13:02.320 but really, it's the fact-checked banner
00:13:04.920 that people are going to notice.
00:13:07.420 I mean, that's the part they'll remember,
00:13:09.920 not some other little thing
00:13:11.880 that says you can look at the other argument.
00:13:13.580 But, here,
00:13:17.320 here's the unintended consequence.
00:13:20.420 Let me ask you this.
00:13:22.740 Conservatives,
00:13:23.420 do they usually see both sides of the argument?
00:13:27.400 Yeah, they do.
00:13:29.120 Conservatives and Republicans
00:13:30.260 usually see what the mainstream media is saying,
00:13:32.960 because they're ubiquitous, you can't miss it.
00:13:34.920 But then they also see what Fox News
00:13:36.860 and Breitbart and anybody
00:13:38.300 that they think is on the right is saying.
00:13:40.640 So, conservatives are not going to be
00:13:42.500 seeing new information.
00:13:44.160 And I'm generalizing here, right?
00:13:45.740 Every person is different.
00:13:47.440 But I'm going to make a generalization
00:13:49.020 that conservatives won't see anything new,
00:13:52.660 because they already saw both sides.
00:13:55.980 But,
00:13:57.000 do you know what might be happening?
00:13:59.540 Somewhat accidentally.
00:14:02.040 Somewhat accidentally,
00:14:03.720 we're going to end up in a place
00:14:05.460 where the left is going to be exposed
00:14:09.380 goes to the entire argument
00:14:10.940 for the first time.
00:14:14.280 Now,
00:14:15.160 that hasn't happened yet.
00:14:17.700 And, in fact,
00:14:18.260 you're seeing the opposite,
00:14:19.340 which is just one side,
00:14:21.020 the fact-checking.
00:14:22.340 But,
00:14:22.980 I don't think that that situation
00:14:24.680 can last.
00:14:26.420 So,
00:14:26.940 I think you're going to have to see something
00:14:28.660 that ultimately
00:14:30.220 gives some appreciation
00:14:32.140 that there's another argument,
00:14:33.840 even if,
00:14:34.480 even if it's not the one
00:14:35.720 that Twitter thinks is correct.
00:14:37.320 And, once those,
00:14:39.300 both arguments
00:14:40.140 are in the same place,
00:14:42.320 it'll be the first time.
00:14:44.740 Now,
00:14:45.080 there is an app that does it.
00:14:46.320 I think it's Ground News.
00:14:48.280 There's an app that shows both sides.
00:14:49.880 And, it even,
00:14:50.800 you know,
00:14:51.240 tells you where,
00:14:52.140 where everybody is on the spectrum
00:14:54.060 so you can tell if it's a left source
00:14:55.840 or a right source
00:14:56.620 or in between.
00:14:57.940 So,
00:14:58.460 it exists,
00:14:59.060 but it doesn't exist
00:14:59.860 on the scale of Twitter.
00:15:02.320 So,
00:15:02.940 if Twitter started showing
00:15:04.540 both sides
00:15:06.400 of arguments,
00:15:08.220 what would that do
00:15:09.300 to the entire half
00:15:11.140 of the country
00:15:11.720 who I call the
00:15:13.220 poorly educated,
00:15:15.760 you know,
00:15:16.280 regardless of whether
00:15:17.340 they went to college
00:15:18.260 or what college
00:15:18.940 they went to
00:15:19.500 or anything else,
00:15:21.200 they're poorly educated
00:15:22.400 because they only see
00:15:23.140 half the news.
00:15:24.380 They don't see
00:15:24.920 the conservative half
00:15:25.920 which explains
00:15:26.800 what they're missing.
00:15:27.940 So,
00:15:30.820 one of the unintended,
00:15:33.100 completely unpredictable
00:15:34.420 outcomes of this
00:15:36.480 Twitter thing
00:15:37.080 is that after the,
00:15:38.840 you know,
00:15:39.180 the tension
00:15:39.640 and the fighting
00:15:40.400 and the back and forth
00:15:41.320 is done,
00:15:43.020 you might have
00:15:44.240 way better information
00:15:45.820 for the people
00:15:46.380 on the left,
00:15:47.500 which would be
00:15:48.740 very good
00:15:50.540 for the people
00:15:51.040 on the right
00:15:51.500 because it's the first time
00:15:52.560 that their arguments
00:15:53.280 would be seen.
00:15:55.360 So,
00:15:56.160 don't assume
00:15:57.280 don't assume
00:15:58.880 this is heading
00:15:59.600 for a bad place.
00:16:00.840 It could.
00:16:02.180 It could easily
00:16:03.000 head for a bad place,
00:16:03.960 right?
00:16:04.280 There are a hundred ways
00:16:05.540 you could think of
00:16:06.380 that it would all
00:16:07.440 go off the trail,
00:16:08.340 you know,
00:16:08.560 go off the tracks
00:16:09.360 and we wouldn't have
00:16:10.220 anything like free speech
00:16:11.680 and, you know,
00:16:12.640 it just gets worse and worse.
00:16:13.620 You could imagine that.
00:16:15.340 But I think
00:16:16.120 far more likely
00:16:17.160 that there will be
00:16:18.540 a natural inclination
00:16:20.300 just to correct.
00:16:22.020 And I think
00:16:22.540 you're going to see
00:16:23.540 something good
00:16:24.080 come out of it.
00:16:24.940 But wait,
00:16:25.360 we'll see.
00:16:27.280 Of course,
00:16:29.640 the country
00:16:30.140 is all worked up
00:16:31.320 as they should be
00:16:32.520 about this horrible
00:16:33.440 video of the police
00:16:36.160 killing
00:16:36.940 the African-American
00:16:38.660 gentleman
00:16:39.140 by putting the knee
00:16:40.620 on his neck
00:16:41.260 and he was complaining.
00:16:42.420 You all know the story.
00:16:44.540 But
00:16:44.760 here's the thing.
00:16:48.440 Can anybody
00:16:49.260 tell me
00:16:49.760 the statistics
00:16:50.760 of how many police
00:16:52.200 killed
00:16:53.640 white people
00:16:55.060 in traffic stops?
00:16:57.920 Because I kind of
00:16:59.020 need to know that
00:16:59.880 to have an opinion
00:17:01.140 that is worth
00:17:02.840 anything.
00:17:04.100 Because if you
00:17:04.940 don't know that fact,
00:17:06.260 do you know anything?
00:17:08.520 Because
00:17:09.080 to me,
00:17:10.140 that is the difference
00:17:11.460 between
00:17:11.840 do you have a
00:17:12.700 police training
00:17:13.800 problem
00:17:14.600 or do you have
00:17:15.960 a racist problem?
00:17:17.440 That's kind of
00:17:18.080 the big dividing line,
00:17:19.040 right?
00:17:19.180 There has to be
00:17:21.080 a statistic
00:17:22.440 that says
00:17:23.980 the police killed
00:17:24.740 X number of
00:17:25.460 white people
00:17:25.980 in this many
00:17:27.160 stops.
00:17:27.900 Because you'd
00:17:28.360 probably want to
00:17:28.860 know the number
00:17:29.480 but also the
00:17:30.980 percentage
00:17:31.500 who got killed
00:17:33.360 when they got
00:17:33.900 stopped for some
00:17:34.820 other reason.
00:17:36.200 Now,
00:17:37.000 if that number
00:17:38.240 is zero,
00:17:40.140 well,
00:17:40.480 I got some real
00:17:41.140 questions about
00:17:41.880 the police.
00:17:43.080 Don't you?
00:17:44.440 I mean,
00:17:44.760 I got a lot
00:17:45.200 of questions.
00:17:46.280 If they don't
00:17:46.880 kill anybody
00:17:47.780 else,
00:17:49.420 don't you have
00:17:50.060 a lot of
00:17:50.480 questions about
00:17:51.140 the police?
00:17:52.180 You ought to.
00:17:53.280 That would be
00:17:53.840 worst case scenario.
00:17:56.140 But suppose,
00:17:57.300 and I don't know
00:17:57.900 what the statistics
00:17:58.680 are,
00:17:59.280 and that's my
00:17:59.720 point.
00:18:02.840 Somebody says
00:18:03.560 a 61-year-old
00:18:04.660 white man
00:18:05.220 shot dead
00:18:05.960 by state
00:18:06.700 troopers
00:18:07.080 four miles
00:18:07.880 from my house
00:18:08.440 yesterday.
00:18:09.200 Yeah,
00:18:09.440 you have to be
00:18:09.940 careful with
00:18:10.460 all the anecdotal
00:18:11.460 stuff because
00:18:12.040 was he armed?
00:18:13.200 Was he coming
00:18:13.780 at the police?
00:18:14.640 You just don't
00:18:15.360 know.
00:18:15.700 But the point
00:18:16.100 is,
00:18:16.920 the point is,
00:18:18.100 if you don't
00:18:18.700 know that,
00:18:20.260 I don't think
00:18:21.180 you should have
00:18:21.660 an opinion.
00:18:23.160 Do you?
00:18:23.880 Do you think
00:18:24.480 you should have,
00:18:25.020 obviously,
00:18:25.860 you can have
00:18:26.400 an opinion
00:18:26.700 on that
00:18:27.120 specific situation.
00:18:29.120 You could
00:18:29.480 certainly have
00:18:30.200 an opinion
00:18:30.500 on that.
00:18:31.680 You know,
00:18:32.040 there's nobody
00:18:32.740 who thinks
00:18:33.680 that that turned
00:18:34.220 down well.
00:18:35.780 But can you
00:18:36.740 have an opinion
00:18:37.380 about the police
00:18:39.240 being racist
00:18:39.940 or not,
00:18:41.280 whether that's
00:18:42.120 the problem
00:18:42.660 or it's more
00:18:43.280 just a police
00:18:43.940 problem,
00:18:44.840 can you have
00:18:45.480 an opinion
00:18:45.840 on that that
00:18:46.360 means anything
00:18:47.120 without knowing
00:18:48.580 how many of
00:18:49.520 the other
00:18:49.880 ethnicities are
00:18:50.740 having the same
00:18:51.300 problem and
00:18:51.980 is it as bad?
00:18:53.260 Is it the same?
00:18:54.580 Just don't know.
00:18:56.160 Just don't know.
00:18:57.420 I'd like to know
00:18:58.040 that.
00:19:01.580 But I would
00:19:02.400 note that
00:19:03.460 while we're
00:19:04.060 looking for all
00:19:04.680 the bad news,
00:19:05.500 because that's
00:19:05.960 what we do,
00:19:07.280 you know,
00:19:07.580 we're always
00:19:08.080 looking for the
00:19:08.540 bad news.
00:19:09.220 the bad news.
00:19:11.640 And so we're
00:19:12.700 watching this
00:19:13.260 tragedy,
00:19:14.360 and we
00:19:15.980 think that
00:19:18.560 we're divided,
00:19:19.840 and there's
00:19:21.220 this gigantic
00:19:21.860 illusion happening
00:19:23.020 in which there's
00:19:24.260 no division
00:19:24.820 whatsoever.
00:19:26.220 There's no
00:19:27.040 division
00:19:27.560 whatsoever.
00:19:28.960 I don't think
00:19:29.940 the country has
00:19:30.600 ever been more
00:19:31.520 unified on
00:19:33.280 one story
00:19:34.120 than,
00:19:35.600 I'm pretty sure,
00:19:37.120 every white
00:19:37.760 person,
00:19:38.340 brown person,
00:19:39.180 black person
00:19:39.820 who sees that
00:19:40.860 video has
00:19:41.320 exactly the
00:19:42.100 same freaking
00:19:42.620 opinion.
00:19:43.740 I'll bet every
00:19:44.380 police officer
00:19:45.280 who looks at
00:19:45.860 that has a
00:19:47.360 pretty similar
00:19:48.840 opinion,
00:19:49.440 although actually
00:19:50.220 they may shade
00:19:51.280 it a little bit
00:19:51.760 because they
00:19:52.140 know more about
00:19:53.380 processes and
00:19:54.200 stuff.
00:19:54.720 So I'll take
00:19:55.140 that back.
00:19:55.680 Maybe the
00:19:56.020 police would
00:19:56.400 have their
00:19:56.680 own different
00:19:57.060 opinion.
00:19:58.160 But I don't
00:19:58.820 think there's
00:19:59.220 a white or
00:19:59.740 black difference
00:20:00.700 on this.
00:20:01.780 Do you see
00:20:02.240 it?
00:20:03.200 Because let me
00:20:04.920 speak as a
00:20:05.700 representative,
00:20:06.320 very white
00:20:08.060 person,
00:20:09.360 meaning I
00:20:10.620 look about as
00:20:11.400 white as you
00:20:11.820 could possibly
00:20:12.320 look.
00:20:14.460 No white
00:20:15.200 person has
00:20:15.720 come to me
00:20:16.340 privately,
00:20:17.440 publicly,
00:20:18.020 or in any
00:20:18.520 way and
00:20:19.060 said anything
00:20:20.020 other than
00:20:21.960 what I just
00:20:22.480 said,
00:20:22.760 which is,
00:20:23.160 this is
00:20:23.360 horrible,
00:20:24.880 those police
00:20:25.560 need to
00:20:26.500 answer for
00:20:28.060 this.
00:20:28.760 I have not
00:20:29.240 seen anybody
00:20:29.780 on the other
00:20:30.240 side.
00:20:31.140 So why are
00:20:31.800 we not
00:20:32.140 treating this
00:20:32.860 like a
00:20:34.060 unifying
00:20:34.720 event?
00:20:36.240 It's a
00:20:36.880 tragedy.
00:20:38.040 We all
00:20:38.660 get that.
00:20:39.840 But it is
00:20:40.600 a unifying
00:20:41.260 event.
00:20:42.500 It's a
00:20:43.120 unifying
00:20:43.580 event.
00:20:44.300 There's
00:20:44.720 nobody on
00:20:45.580 the other
00:20:45.900 side.
00:20:47.040 How do
00:20:47.400 we not
00:20:47.740 see that?
00:20:48.860 How is
00:20:49.280 that invisible
00:20:49.860 to us
00:20:50.340 all?
00:20:51.020 It's the
00:20:51.520 most unifying
00:20:52.440 thing that's
00:20:52.940 happened in
00:20:53.320 a long time
00:20:53.920 that wasn't
00:20:54.360 called the
00:20:54.700 coronavirus.
00:20:56.600 So we
00:20:57.480 can find
00:20:57.880 bad news
00:20:58.620 everywhere.
00:20:59.760 I mean,
00:20:59.940 obviously the
00:21:00.580 tragedy itself
00:21:01.280 is horrible
00:21:02.340 news, but
00:21:03.620 the way
00:21:04.160 we're
00:21:04.420 responding to
00:21:05.140 it as
00:21:06.120 a society,
00:21:07.120 I think
00:21:08.180 you should
00:21:08.480 be proud
00:21:08.900 of.
00:21:10.120 I think
00:21:10.780 you should
00:21:11.080 be proud
00:21:11.500 of it.
00:21:13.580 It's my
00:21:14.260 opinion.
00:21:15.820 All right.
00:21:17.980 So 100,000
00:21:19.180 people are
00:21:19.960 dead from
00:21:20.340 the coronavirus
00:21:20.940 of the
00:21:21.340 United States
00:21:22.060 alone.
00:21:23.400 1,535
00:21:25.020 of them
00:21:25.600 died today.
00:21:27.440 On average
00:21:28.480 since it
00:21:29.900 started getting
00:21:30.520 bad last
00:21:31.440 few months,
00:21:31.920 900 a
00:21:32.780 day have
00:21:33.880 been dying.
00:21:36.320 Let's
00:21:36.880 round that
00:21:37.420 off to
00:21:38.500 1,000 per
00:21:39.260 day.
00:21:40.600 If we've
00:21:41.340 got 100,000
00:21:42.200 now, what
00:21:44.060 will it
00:21:44.440 look like
00:21:45.040 in 90
00:21:46.380 days, let's
00:21:47.880 say at the
00:21:48.260 end of
00:21:48.580 August, if
00:21:50.500 it stays at
00:21:51.160 1,000 a
00:21:51.800 day?
00:21:52.940 Well, that
00:21:53.460 would be
00:21:53.640 190,000
00:21:54.900 dead, and
00:21:55.880 that's just
00:21:56.260 August.
00:21:57.940 We're not
00:21:58.640 even talking
00:21:59.080 about the
00:21:59.520 potential second
00:22:00.640 wave that
00:22:01.380 may or
00:22:01.740 may not
00:22:02.060 happen.
00:22:03.100 Dr.
00:22:03.440 Fauci says
00:22:04.500 it's not
00:22:06.100 guaranteed, but
00:22:07.600 something to
00:22:08.080 worry about.
00:22:09.100 Aren't we
00:22:09.560 easily going to
00:22:10.120 cross 200,000?
00:22:12.260 Or does it
00:22:13.460 90,000 if
00:22:15.600 it's 90
00:22:16.580 days at 1,000
00:22:17.460 a day?
00:22:18.000 somebody says
00:22:23.080 and you
00:22:23.420 believe flu
00:22:24.240 death
00:22:24.500 statistics?
00:22:25.760 No, if
00:22:26.320 you're new, I
00:22:27.620 do not
00:22:28.040 believe flu
00:22:28.940 death
00:22:29.300 statistics,
00:22:30.480 meaning I
00:22:31.000 don't believe
00:22:31.520 the regular
00:22:32.200 flu statistics
00:22:33.160 because I've
00:22:34.420 never met
00:22:34.780 anybody who
00:22:35.220 died of the
00:22:35.640 regular flu.
00:22:36.960 I just
00:22:37.560 don't believe
00:22:38.040 50,000 people
00:22:39.820 a year are
00:22:40.320 dying of
00:22:40.780 the regular
00:22:41.280 flu.
00:22:42.500 And there
00:22:43.200 was a doctor
00:22:44.260 who looked
00:22:44.700 into it.
00:22:45.320 I talked
00:22:45.640 about this
00:22:46.120 on a different
00:22:46.560 periscope, and
00:22:47.720 apparently they
00:22:48.260 don't count
00:22:48.760 those deaths.
00:22:50.280 They're not
00:22:50.940 counted.
00:22:52.480 So we
00:22:53.060 actually don't
00:22:53.600 know how
00:22:53.900 many people
00:22:54.380 have died of
00:22:54.840 the regular
00:22:55.260 flu.
00:22:56.000 They do
00:22:56.560 like a
00:22:57.520 statistical
00:22:57.980 thing and
00:22:58.620 say, oh,
00:22:59.060 it looks like
00:22:59.560 there were
00:22:59.880 extra people
00:23:00.480 dying during
00:23:01.140 the flu
00:23:02.200 season, so
00:23:02.860 those must
00:23:03.340 have been
00:23:03.560 flu deaths.
00:23:05.640 But we
00:23:06.240 don't know.
00:23:08.480 Somebody
00:23:08.960 says, check
00:23:09.540 the curve,
00:23:10.220 Scott, you're
00:23:10.920 misinformed.
00:23:12.240 Check the
00:23:12.960 curve on
00:23:13.460 what?
00:23:15.520 I don't
00:23:16.140 know which
00:23:16.480 topic you're
00:23:17.060 talking about.
00:23:17.840 Are you
00:23:18.160 saying that
00:23:18.660 it won't
00:23:19.260 be a
00:23:20.120 thousand a
00:23:20.620 day?
00:23:22.520 Because my
00:23:23.600 understanding is
00:23:24.480 that we're
00:23:24.960 managing the
00:23:26.080 curve to
00:23:26.780 flatness, because
00:23:28.580 it's unlikely
00:23:29.540 that opening up
00:23:30.460 everything is
00:23:31.320 also going to
00:23:32.100 make the
00:23:32.440 curve go down
00:23:33.160 much, but
00:23:35.040 we're just
00:23:35.360 trying to make
00:23:35.840 it not go
00:23:36.320 up, right?
00:23:37.420 So if we're
00:23:38.400 managing it to
00:23:39.300 stay flat at
00:23:41.180 about a
00:23:41.560 thousand a
00:23:42.100 day, how
00:23:43.580 do we not
00:23:44.000 get to
00:23:44.320 200,000
00:23:45.100 deaths
00:23:45.500 sometime
00:23:46.680 into
00:23:47.040 September?
00:23:53.240 Nursing
00:23:53.760 home
00:23:54.080 crisis,
00:23:55.220 somebody
00:23:55.600 says.
00:23:56.340 Yeah, it
00:23:56.780 could be
00:23:57.200 that the
00:23:58.540 nursing homes
00:23:59.400 are not
00:24:00.440 part of the
00:24:01.200 daily death
00:24:02.200 toll anymore,
00:24:02.760 are they?
00:24:03.640 Because don't
00:24:04.260 we have the
00:24:04.740 nursing homes
00:24:05.400 kind of under
00:24:06.000 control now?
00:24:06.660 somebody says
00:24:15.140 3 million
00:24:15.720 dead in the
00:24:16.260 U.S.
00:24:16.520 by November.
00:24:17.440 I don't
00:24:17.800 think so.
00:24:19.860 All right,
00:24:20.440 I'm just
00:24:20.720 looking, and
00:24:21.220 we still
00:24:21.820 haven't seen
00:24:22.220 the net,
00:24:22.820 have we?
00:24:24.000 Now, this
00:24:25.000 would be a
00:24:25.300 good time for
00:24:26.060 everybody who
00:24:27.260 made predictions
00:24:28.140 about the
00:24:28.780 coronavirus to
00:24:29.880 kind of check
00:24:30.540 their work.
00:24:32.200 So let's
00:24:33.060 do that.
00:24:33.500 the thing I
00:24:35.320 think I got
00:24:35.900 the most
00:24:36.460 wrong on
00:24:37.580 the coronavirus
00:24:38.200 situation is
00:24:39.140 early on when
00:24:40.460 we did the
00:24:40.900 initial shutdown
00:24:42.620 of the
00:24:43.020 economy, and
00:24:44.600 I told you
00:24:45.420 it's going to
00:24:46.000 be no big
00:24:46.540 deal, because
00:24:47.540 you could
00:24:47.840 easily shut
00:24:48.420 down the
00:24:48.760 economy for
00:24:49.340 a month, and
00:24:50.600 we'd get
00:24:50.900 right back
00:24:51.280 to work.
00:24:52.920 And then I
00:24:53.600 thought, well,
00:24:54.140 maybe it's
00:24:54.700 going to be
00:24:54.980 six weeks, but
00:24:55.980 still, get
00:24:57.360 right back to
00:24:57.840 work.
00:24:58.880 But I didn't
00:24:59.700 see how long
00:25:00.300 it would be.
00:25:00.720 So I
00:25:01.420 did not
00:25:02.480 anticipate that
00:25:03.280 they would
00:25:03.560 keep extending
00:25:04.580 it.
00:25:04.880 So I would
00:25:05.240 say that my
00:25:05.740 predictions on
00:25:06.980 a quick
00:25:08.560 recovery from
00:25:09.440 a quick
00:25:10.100 shutdown were
00:25:11.280 completely wrong
00:25:12.180 because they
00:25:12.660 extended the
00:25:13.380 time.
00:25:16.160 So I was
00:25:16.780 wrong about
00:25:17.240 that.
00:25:18.860 My estimate
00:25:20.380 of the death
00:25:21.020 toll was based
00:25:21.900 on the fact
00:25:22.400 that human
00:25:23.960 ingenuity would
00:25:24.880 come up with
00:25:25.480 some solutions
00:25:26.280 fairly quickly,
00:25:28.040 and that the
00:25:29.100 net,
00:25:29.480 the people
00:25:31.160 who didn't
00:25:31.820 die in car
00:25:32.440 accidents and
00:25:33.080 other things,
00:25:34.120 would end up
00:25:34.920 somewhat compensating
00:25:36.360 for the people
00:25:37.060 who died of
00:25:37.760 the coronavirus,
00:25:39.260 and that we
00:25:39.780 wouldn't lose
00:25:40.280 that many people
00:25:40.900 net.
00:25:41.900 And I'd
00:25:42.520 actually said
00:25:43.000 5,000 net.
00:25:44.240 Now, we don't
00:25:44.720 know what the
00:25:45.100 net is, but
00:25:46.220 if it's 100,000
00:25:47.220 coronavirus, it's
00:25:49.140 probably 50,000
00:25:52.880 net, at least.
00:25:54.240 So my
00:25:56.460 number would
00:25:57.080 be way off
00:25:58.000 by a factor
00:25:59.140 of 10, and
00:26:00.520 I might still
00:26:01.120 be the closest
00:26:01.720 estimate, weirdly
00:26:02.940 enough, even
00:26:05.080 that far off.
00:26:08.480 All right.
00:26:10.420 And I'd also
00:26:11.620 predicted that
00:26:12.400 the suicide
00:26:13.420 rate would
00:26:14.900 actually drop
00:26:15.980 under the
00:26:17.460 assumption that
00:26:18.060 we're locked
00:26:18.480 down for only a
00:26:19.140 month or so.
00:26:20.100 But of course,
00:26:20.820 the longer we
00:26:21.440 go, that
00:26:23.140 would reverse.
00:26:24.500 So my
00:26:25.060 prediction was
00:26:25.620 based on a
00:26:26.220 shorter lockdown.
00:26:30.080 All right.
00:26:33.960 Oh, there's
00:26:34.840 somebody saying
00:26:35.680 that the
00:26:36.040 Central Park
00:26:36.780 dog story is
00:26:37.640 a Covington
00:26:38.300 Kids 2.0.
00:26:39.920 So is there
00:26:40.440 something completely
00:26:41.300 different about
00:26:41.900 that?
00:26:42.160 We don't know.
00:26:42.980 I wouldn't be
00:26:43.380 surprised.
00:26:46.160 Yeah, Minnesota
00:26:47.220 has got fires
00:26:48.180 and looting,
00:26:48.900 so that's not
00:26:49.960 going well.
00:26:53.140 So the
00:26:53.900 5,000 net
00:26:55.240 deaths was
00:26:56.020 based on
00:26:56.740 the assumption
00:26:58.780 that there were
00:27:00.160 a whole bunch
00:27:00.560 of other deaths
00:27:01.120 that we would
00:27:01.580 be avoiding.
00:27:02.560 So that the
00:27:03.340 gross, I said,
00:27:04.220 would be 50,000.
00:27:06.940 So, but even
00:27:08.640 as bad as my
00:27:09.440 estimate was,
00:27:10.880 it's going to
00:27:11.360 be closer than
00:27:12.180 most experts,
00:27:14.340 you know, I
00:27:14.860 think, when it
00:27:16.260 comes out.
00:27:16.700 All right.
00:27:23.140 Your book
00:27:23.800 behind you
00:27:24.400 fell, did
00:27:25.180 it?
00:27:28.000 Did that
00:27:28.520 happen on
00:27:28.960 camera?
00:27:29.960 Did it happen
00:27:30.480 while you
00:27:30.820 were looking?
00:27:36.180 Tell you
00:27:36.660 some Biden
00:27:37.140 jokes, I
00:27:37.680 don't have
00:27:37.900 any good
00:27:38.220 Biden jokes,
00:27:39.260 but I'm
00:27:39.560 going to
00:27:39.680 tell you
00:27:39.900 about the
00:27:40.180 future.
00:27:40.880 Would you
00:27:41.060 like to hear
00:27:41.360 about the
00:27:41.720 future?
00:27:42.980 So, two
00:27:43.840 things.
00:27:44.760 There's a place
00:27:45.620 called the
00:27:46.060 Faroe Islands.
00:27:47.540 I've never
00:27:47.880 heard of
00:27:48.200 them.
00:27:48.560 F-A-R-O-E.
00:27:50.260 I guess it's
00:27:50.700 a tourist
00:27:51.100 destination.
00:27:51.960 I have no
00:27:52.260 idea where.
00:27:53.300 But I just
00:27:54.020 saw a website
00:27:54.660 where they're
00:27:55.360 giving remote
00:27:56.320 tours with
00:27:57.880 a local.
00:27:59.180 So they'll,
00:28:00.300 I don't know
00:28:00.880 exactly how
00:28:01.460 they do it.
00:28:01.920 I think they
00:28:02.500 put a camera
00:28:03.120 on some
00:28:04.520 local person's
00:28:05.380 head and
00:28:06.300 then you can
00:28:06.840 control where
00:28:07.440 he goes.
00:28:08.340 So you can
00:28:08.980 actually send
00:28:09.600 a local out
00:28:10.900 walking on the
00:28:11.640 island and
00:28:12.200 looking around
00:28:12.800 and looking at
00:28:13.380 the sites and
00:28:14.680 you just sort of
00:28:15.360 control where
00:28:15.880 the local
00:28:16.300 goes.
00:28:17.080 It's like a
00:28:17.660 human robot or
00:28:18.560 something.
00:28:19.120 I don't know
00:28:19.560 the details but
00:28:20.280 I thought it
00:28:20.600 was funny and
00:28:21.960 creative.
00:28:23.460 So my
00:28:25.220 prediction has
00:28:26.000 always been that
00:28:26.940 you'll be able to
00:28:27.620 take a vacation
00:28:28.900 by operating a
00:28:30.840 drone in a
00:28:32.120 place you want
00:28:32.680 to see.
00:28:33.620 So in other
00:28:34.120 words, if you
00:28:34.700 say, I'd like to
00:28:35.460 see the Great
00:28:35.960 Wall of China,
00:28:37.320 someday you'll
00:28:38.200 be able to go
00:28:38.640 onto a website
00:28:39.220 and just log
00:28:40.040 onto a drone
00:28:40.800 and you'll just
00:28:41.900 be able to
00:28:42.300 control your
00:28:42.820 own drone.
00:28:43.880 And you just
00:28:44.220 take it up and
00:28:45.020 look around on
00:28:46.320 your screen and
00:28:47.160 take a look at
00:28:48.240 the Great Wall
00:28:48.880 of China.
00:28:49.800 I know, maybe
00:28:50.540 China's the last
00:28:51.720 place that would
00:28:52.260 allow that, but
00:28:53.340 the point is, I
00:28:54.140 think people will
00:28:54.720 be taking remote
00:28:56.940 virtual vacations
00:28:58.540 or really just
00:29:00.040 sightseeing, not a
00:29:00.940 vacation, by a
00:29:03.380 drone that they
00:29:03.940 operate from where
00:29:04.820 they are.
00:29:06.300 I think there's a
00:29:07.180 latency problem, so
00:29:08.180 maybe that doesn't
00:29:08.780 work.
00:29:09.020 here's the other
00:29:11.140 part of the
00:29:11.700 future that I
00:29:14.520 guarantee you is
00:29:15.540 coming.
00:29:17.380 So during the
00:29:19.020 lockdown, I went
00:29:20.080 to buy myself a
00:29:21.120 new bicycle.
00:29:22.980 And I thought,
00:29:24.240 hey, I'm going to
00:29:24.780 look at those new
00:29:25.680 electronic bicycles.
00:29:27.800 They've got a
00:29:28.500 battery that's built
00:29:29.460 in to the bike,
00:29:31.140 and you still have
00:29:31.940 to pedal, but the
00:29:33.040 battery gives you a
00:29:33.900 little boost on
00:29:34.800 hills.
00:29:35.720 And I'd read a
00:29:36.720 little bit about
00:29:37.240 them, and they
00:29:37.620 sounded interesting.
00:29:39.020 And I thought,
00:29:39.900 huh, I will look
00:29:41.160 into this electronic
00:29:42.680 bicycle situation.
00:29:44.800 So I ended up
00:29:45.740 getting one.
00:29:47.080 Here's how long it
00:29:48.060 took me to make
00:29:48.800 the decision.
00:29:50.300 The bicycle shop
00:29:51.300 guy, and of course
00:29:52.120 it was all
00:29:52.520 coronavirus rules,
00:29:53.980 and this was a
00:29:54.480 couple weeks ago,
00:29:55.560 it's all coronavirus
00:29:56.400 rules, so I'm the
00:29:57.960 only one in the
00:29:58.580 shop.
00:30:00.660 And I pick out
00:30:01.920 one.
00:30:03.340 And he lets me
00:30:05.120 take it for a
00:30:05.760 test drive in the
00:30:06.460 parking lot.
00:30:07.020 So I take this
00:30:10.120 e-bike into the
00:30:10.960 parking lot, I do
00:30:12.660 a circle, and I
00:30:14.180 come back, and I
00:30:15.900 say, I've got to
00:30:17.240 ask you one
00:30:17.720 question.
00:30:18.840 Has anybody ever
00:30:20.060 taken a test drive
00:30:21.200 on an e-bike and
00:30:22.960 not purchased it?
00:30:24.360 And he laughed.
00:30:26.300 He laughed.
00:30:27.840 And he said,
00:30:28.480 there's something
00:30:29.300 called the e-bike
00:30:30.620 smile, which he
00:30:32.480 said he couldn't
00:30:33.000 see with me because
00:30:33.680 I had my mask on
00:30:34.900 at the time.
00:30:35.760 He goes, the
00:30:36.360 people who do
00:30:37.560 the test drive on
00:30:38.540 the e-bike, when
00:30:39.660 they come back,
00:30:40.680 their smile is
00:30:41.500 wrapped around
00:30:42.020 their head.
00:30:43.320 Now, I've got to
00:30:45.260 tell you, you
00:30:46.740 don't quite
00:30:47.580 understand how
00:30:49.820 fun this is.
00:30:50.880 If you've never
00:30:51.520 ridden one, if
00:30:52.540 you've never ridden
00:30:53.300 one, hold your
00:30:55.360 judgment.
00:30:55.940 Can I ask you
00:30:56.540 that?
00:30:57.080 Can I ask you
00:30:57.800 that if you
00:30:58.240 haven't ridden
00:30:58.940 one, just assume,
00:31:01.200 as I did, that
00:31:02.480 you don't understand
00:31:03.400 it, please assume
00:31:05.060 that, because
00:31:06.000 there's something
00:31:06.460 really cool
00:31:07.320 coming.
00:31:08.180 There's something
00:31:09.040 really cool
00:31:10.040 coming.
00:31:11.020 So here's the
00:31:12.060 deal.
00:31:12.380 So I've been
00:31:12.700 riding this
00:31:13.180 around for,
00:31:14.920 you know, like
00:31:15.300 I said, a couple
00:31:15.820 weeks.
00:31:17.540 And the one
00:31:18.900 thing that happens
00:31:19.700 every single
00:31:20.960 time is that my
00:31:22.440 attitude just
00:31:24.020 completely transforms.
00:31:26.300 My attitude just
00:31:27.700 goes into
00:31:28.320 positivity, and I
00:31:30.240 feel great.
00:31:31.360 I feel free, just
00:31:34.860 everything.
00:31:35.820 It's amazing.
00:31:37.660 The feeling you
00:31:38.300 get is not the
00:31:39.300 feeling of a
00:31:39.860 motorcycle.
00:31:41.020 It's not the
00:31:41.880 feeling of a
00:31:42.480 bicycle.
00:31:43.840 Those are both
00:31:44.600 good, right?
00:31:46.120 People like
00:31:46.900 bicycles.
00:31:48.000 They're great.
00:31:49.400 People like
00:31:49.960 motorcycles.
00:31:51.320 They're terrific.
00:31:52.880 This is better.
00:31:54.820 This is better.
00:31:57.140 I've had a
00:31:57.960 motorcycle.
00:31:58.660 I know what a
00:31:59.200 motorcycle feels
00:31:59.900 like.
00:32:00.220 Here's why it's
00:32:00.680 better.
00:32:01.360 A motorcycle is
00:32:02.720 a little bit
00:32:03.400 boring and scary
00:32:04.780 at the same
00:32:05.400 time.
00:32:06.100 If you're going
00:32:06.680 down the freeway
00:32:07.440 on your
00:32:07.840 motorcycle, you
00:32:09.440 should be, unless
00:32:10.420 you're not
00:32:11.060 normal, pretty
00:32:12.360 afraid of
00:32:13.240 something out of
00:32:14.020 your control
00:32:14.540 killing you at
00:32:15.280 any moment.
00:32:16.440 That never really
00:32:17.180 goes away when
00:32:17.820 you're on a
00:32:18.140 motorcycle, unless
00:32:19.100 maybe it does for
00:32:20.180 some people, but
00:32:20.780 it never did for
00:32:21.320 me.
00:32:21.880 At the same
00:32:22.460 time, it's also
00:32:23.900 fun, but there's
00:32:25.320 not much you can
00:32:26.080 do.
00:32:26.640 You don't have a
00:32:27.160 lot of freedom
00:32:28.000 of what you can
00:32:28.660 do.
00:32:28.960 You've got to
00:32:29.360 obey the laws,
00:32:30.280 et cetera, and
00:32:31.440 you have this
00:32:31.840 big helmet on
00:32:32.760 that's covering
00:32:33.820 your whole head
00:32:34.580 so you're not
00:32:35.040 really even
00:32:35.780 outdoors, basically.
00:32:37.920 And then a
00:32:38.600 bicycle, of course,
00:32:39.560 is wonderful, but
00:32:41.340 if you have a lot
00:32:42.320 of hills, and I
00:32:43.060 live where there
00:32:43.560 are a lot of
00:32:43.880 hills, it limits
00:32:46.740 what you can and
00:32:47.500 cannot do.
00:32:48.000 with the electric
00:32:52.080 bike, I charge it
00:32:55.580 maybe once a
00:32:56.320 week, and you
00:33:00.760 can go up any
00:33:01.620 hill easily.
00:33:03.260 You still have to
00:33:03.880 pedal, so you
00:33:04.640 always have a
00:33:05.140 feeling of control,
00:33:06.000 but here's the
00:33:06.460 fun part.
00:33:07.760 The sensation you
00:33:09.380 have is that you're
00:33:11.080 super strong.
00:33:11.940 And yes, the
00:33:15.040 price was just
00:33:16.880 about what you're
00:33:17.440 guessing in the
00:33:18.160 comments here, so
00:33:19.760 it's pretty
00:33:20.080 expensive.
00:33:21.440 Now, the
00:33:21.900 batteries, here's
00:33:24.080 the part that
00:33:25.460 tells you what the
00:33:26.760 future looks like.
00:33:28.140 You can go
00:33:29.200 forever on
00:33:30.060 these.
00:33:30.640 You actually
00:33:31.220 will just sort
00:33:31.940 of never get
00:33:32.480 tired.
00:33:33.100 You can just
00:33:33.460 ride it forever,
00:33:34.660 up hills,
00:33:35.380 down hills.
00:33:36.800 So distance just
00:33:38.080 goes away.
00:33:38.600 The other
00:33:40.600 thing is that the
00:33:41.320 quality of the
00:33:42.020 batteries is
00:33:42.620 improving all the
00:33:43.520 time, so the
00:33:44.160 price is going
00:33:44.740 down, the
00:33:45.160 power is going
00:33:45.700 up.
00:33:46.920 I guarantee
00:33:47.920 you that the
00:33:48.680 future is small
00:33:50.300 personal vehicles.
00:33:53.280 Now, I don't
00:33:54.140 know that the
00:33:54.780 Segway is quite
00:33:55.960 the form that
00:33:56.900 people are going
00:33:57.360 to want, because
00:33:58.460 it's sort of bulky
00:33:59.520 and you can't ride
00:34:00.580 it on the
00:34:00.960 sidewalk, you
00:34:02.280 can't ride it on
00:34:02.820 the street too
00:34:03.600 easily, it just
00:34:04.720 doesn't belong
00:34:05.420 anywhere.
00:34:06.640 But bicycles,
00:34:07.420 belong everywhere.
00:34:09.840 I can take my
00:34:10.520 bicycle everywhere.
00:34:11.700 I can take it in
00:34:12.360 my house if I
00:34:13.200 don't want it to
00:34:13.660 be stolen.
00:34:15.880 There's no place
00:34:16.720 I can't go with
00:34:17.340 my bicycle.
00:34:19.080 So, that's my
00:34:21.940 prediction to you
00:34:23.580 is that these
00:34:24.700 electronic assist
00:34:26.620 vehicles, be they
00:34:28.540 bikes or trikes or
00:34:29.980 who knows what
00:34:30.700 they will be,
00:34:31.580 they're really
00:34:32.120 going to be big,
00:34:33.040 because they're
00:34:34.180 great.
00:34:35.300 They're just
00:34:35.740 great.
00:34:37.420 And also, as
00:34:39.840 I was saying
00:34:40.180 before, it makes
00:34:40.680 you question the
00:34:42.220 subjective nature
00:34:43.200 of reality, because
00:34:46.020 if every time I'm
00:34:48.180 on it, I'm happy, it
00:34:50.340 kind of tells me that
00:34:51.220 it's not my life that
00:34:52.320 made me unhappy in
00:34:53.420 the first place.
00:34:55.280 Somebody asked how
00:34:56.100 heavy it is.
00:34:57.380 First of all, the
00:34:58.200 battery is easy to
00:34:59.240 remove, it just
00:35:00.120 comes right off, but
00:35:02.620 one person can lift
00:35:04.100 it and put it in the
00:35:04.820 back of an SUV.
00:35:05.800 It's heavier than
00:35:07.640 a regular bike.
00:35:09.180 You wouldn't want
00:35:10.200 to do a lot of
00:35:11.280 biking without the
00:35:13.320 electronic assist
00:35:14.400 turned on.
00:35:17.660 It's a Trek, T-R-E-K.
00:35:23.640 Yeah.
00:35:25.460 Does it feel
00:35:26.300 unreal?
00:35:27.000 Yeah, it does.
00:35:27.860 It does.
00:35:28.360 It feels like you're
00:35:29.960 in a dream, and it's
00:35:31.020 a good one, because
00:35:32.420 you're super strong.
00:35:34.560 And not everybody
00:35:36.300 knows that it's an
00:35:37.280 e-bike, because it
00:35:38.460 doesn't, if you look
00:35:40.020 at it, you wouldn't
00:35:40.800 know.
00:35:42.060 It just has a little
00:35:43.040 bit of fatter bar,
00:35:44.460 you know, one of the
00:35:45.060 main support boards
00:35:45.900 is a little fatter
00:35:46.640 because of the battery.
00:35:47.660 That's it.
00:35:48.720 So there are tons of
00:35:50.800 bikes and people
00:35:51.360 walking around where I
00:35:52.260 live.
00:35:52.980 So I like to pedal
00:35:55.020 fast up really steep
00:35:56.400 hills and make people
00:35:57.620 think I'm strong.
00:36:00.660 It never gets old.
00:36:02.780 Good brakes?
00:36:03.480 Yeah, the brakes are
00:36:04.120 fine.
00:36:05.400 It's actually a really
00:36:06.760 well-made piece of
00:36:08.120 machinery.
00:36:09.380 Can you ride it in
00:36:10.060 the rain?
00:36:10.380 Yes.
00:36:10.860 Apparently, you can
00:36:12.240 ride it in the
00:36:12.860 pouring rain without
00:36:13.680 any risk whatsoever,
00:36:15.320 according to the
00:36:16.140 salesperson.
00:36:17.500 And the battery is
00:36:18.740 enclosed and doesn't
00:36:20.100 get wet.
00:36:22.980 Do I go biking with
00:36:24.240 Christina?
00:36:24.940 Not yet.
00:36:25.480 I'll have to try to
00:36:27.280 talk her into it.
00:36:30.580 Biking is one of
00:36:31.520 those things that
00:36:32.300 it's a little bit
00:36:33.840 better alone,
00:36:35.140 don't you think?
00:36:36.560 Because part of what
00:36:38.080 makes a bicycle so
00:36:39.280 much fun is the
00:36:40.180 freedom of it,
00:36:41.480 that literally when
00:36:43.300 I'm riding around my
00:36:44.420 neighborhood, I just
00:36:45.780 say to myself, I
00:36:46.720 think I'll go this
00:36:47.260 way, and just go
00:36:48.740 left and look at a
00:36:49.660 new neighborhood.
00:36:50.640 If you're riding
00:36:51.420 with somebody, you're
00:36:52.540 sort of trying to
00:36:53.780 communicate with them
00:36:54.740 at least a little
00:36:55.420 bit and ride, and
00:36:56.740 it sort of doesn't
00:36:59.320 mix as well.
00:37:02.100 Yeah, biking
00:37:02.580 improves your mood
00:37:03.320 every time, somebody
00:37:04.140 says.
00:37:09.080 Sky should go
00:37:10.000 Oprah on us
00:37:10.920 tonight.
00:37:12.280 You mean like
00:37:12.980 there's an electric
00:37:13.920 bike under your
00:37:14.720 seat?
00:37:21.300 What model is it?
00:37:22.440 I forget the
00:37:22.920 model number.
00:37:23.360 All right, that's
00:37:24.860 all for now.
00:37:26.640 So here's the good
00:37:27.780 news.
00:37:28.280 Your social media is
00:37:29.660 going to get better.
00:37:30.820 Your economy is
00:37:31.660 getting better.
00:37:32.680 Electronic bikes are
00:37:33.720 going to be everywhere,
00:37:35.180 and you're going to
00:37:35.840 love them.
00:37:37.260 That's the good news.
00:37:38.760 It's all good news
00:37:39.680 from here on out.
00:37:40.600 It's going to be a
00:37:41.200 great summer.
00:37:42.600 A great summer.
00:37:43.500 And yes, we did set a
00:37:46.540 new wedding date, but
00:37:47.780 we're not telling you
00:37:48.440 what it is.
00:37:49.780 But I'll be getting
00:37:51.100 married pretty soon.
00:37:52.480 Pretty soon.
00:37:53.260 Very small.
00:37:54.480 We will not be
00:37:55.200 violating any
00:37:56.960 regulations.
00:38:00.200 And I will talk to you
00:38:01.580 in the morning.
00:38:02.940 classです.
00:38:04.140 Let's go.
00:38:04.400 Let's go.
00:38:05.280 Let's go.
00:38:05.540 Let's go.
00:38:05.780 Let's go.
00:38:06.500 Let's go.
00:38:07.340 Let's go.
00:38:07.560 We'll talk to you
00:38:08.380 next time.
00:38:08.980 Let's go.
00:38:09.460 Come on.
00:38:11.920 Okay.