Real Coffee with Scott Adams - May 28, 2020


Episode 1001 Scott Adams： Twitter Fact-Checking, Ballot Harvesting Malarkey, The Poorly Educated, The Future of Space


Episode Stats


Length

38 minutes

Words per minute

149.96205

Word count

5,730

Sentence count

413

Harmful content

Hate speech

7

sentences flagged


Summary

Summaries generated with gmurro/bart-large-finetuned-filtered-spotify-podcast-summ .

SpaceX's rocket carrying humans into space has been scrubbed, and Scott Adams is here to tell you why you should be worried about it. He also talks about the stock market's reaction to the news, and why he thinks Elon Musk is going to become the richest person in the universe.

Transcript

Transcript generated with Whisper (turbo).
Hate speech classifications generated with facebook/roberta-hate-speech-dynabench-r4-target .
00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for the evening edition that I like to call
00:00:14.320 No Coffee with Scott Adams because it's much too late.
00:00:18.800 Yeah, and today we have one of the best evenings ever of all time.
00:00:27.880 Things are starting to look great everywhere in the world. Let me tell you about it.
00:00:33.340 All the good news and stuff.
00:00:35.600 Well, we had a sort of launch interrupt us today.
00:00:42.100 Were you all watching with excitement as we were going to watch the Elon Musk rocket takeoff?
00:00:50.020 Of course, NASA is involved, but they're not celebrities, so we'll call it the Elon Musk rocket.
00:00:58.660 I was so excited for that, weren't you?
00:01:01.640 I was worried, I've got to say, not totally feeling safe, but I was really excited about it.
00:01:10.720 Now apparently it's postponed until Saturday.
00:01:14.480 But here's the thing, I don't think I ever realized this before, because now it seems much more real.
00:01:21.920 I mean, the fact that there are actually people in the capsule and they've got a time to send them up there.
00:01:26.660 Now it seems more real.
00:01:27.820 And I don't know if you realize this, but Elon Musk is going to be the richest person in the universe.
00:01:36.440 Because I don't know what SpaceX is worth now.
00:01:39.600 You know, Elon's share of it.
00:01:41.780 But there's a few things that I didn't know about space.
00:01:46.460 And one of them is, it could be really profitable.
00:01:50.560 Like really, really, really profitable.
00:01:53.660 Like nothing on Earth has ever been profitable.
00:01:56.320 Apparently all you have to do is land on one asteroid and start mining the rare materials.
00:02:01.320 And you've got like a trillion dollars per asteroid.
00:02:05.180 So there's a lot of money just floating around up there if you can get to it.
00:02:10.020 Then the other thing I heard today, I don't know the details, but it sounds really exciting.
00:02:15.040 I think it was, might have been Dana Perino's show, but I saw somewhere there was an expert.
00:02:21.420 It might have been another show.
00:02:22.960 Saying that one of the benefits of being able to get into space is that apparently 3D printers work really well in space.
00:02:31.560 So well that you can 3D print human organs as long as you're in space.
00:02:38.180 Did you know that?
00:02:39.780 Like that came out of nowhere.
00:02:41.160 I was like, what?
00:02:43.140 Are you telling me that all you needed was to be away from gravity and you solve the problems of printing human organs?
00:02:52.520 Now, I've got to think there's more to it.
00:02:55.380 But there was at least somebody willing to say that on television.
00:02:58.440 And I thought, wow, there's a lot of money up there in space.
00:03:02.980 So it kind of makes sense that Bezos is trying to do something and Elon Musk is trying to do something.
00:03:08.580 Because whoever gets the space first with an actual business model and, you know, ability to do multiple trips and stuff, we're talking multi-trillions of dollars of net worth.
00:03:24.000 I mean, the kind of money that you would never ever see on Earth.
00:03:27.880 So that's fun.
00:03:31.320 And I have to tell you that I tweeted before I knew it was going to be scrubbed.
00:03:38.600 I tweeted that the stock market will probably follow the direction of the rocket.
00:03:43.460 In other words, if the rocket is successfully launched and everything goes well, I think the stock market is just going to feel the animal spirits, if you will.
00:03:52.160 You know, that's a phrase used for economies.
00:03:56.060 Because economies operate on how you feel about stuff.
00:03:59.700 You know, literally the animal, well, not literally, figuratively the animal spirits.
00:04:05.020 And I don't think there could be anything better for the, you know, the psyche of the American public than to launch some people into space and get it right.
00:04:14.740 That would be really, really exciting.
00:04:18.860 So, if we get this right over the weekend, I would want to own stock on Monday.
00:04:24.700 I don't give financial advice that was not financial advice.
00:04:28.920 More like a prediction.
00:04:31.120 I don't know.
00:04:31.940 Is that good enough to stay out of trouble?
00:04:34.360 Because I think you can predict where the stock market is going as long as you don't advise people to do anything about it.
00:04:40.960 And I don't advise you to do anything about it, because nobody's good at predicting the stock market.
00:04:46.800 And as soon as you think somebody is, that's when you lose all your money.
00:04:51.800 I continue to be impressed at what I see as a creative explosion.
00:04:57.800 You're seeing it too, right?
00:04:58.980 The amount of creativity that people are generating because they had time to rethink everything from scratch is really amazing.
00:05:08.320 Most of you know I started a community on the Locals platform where I'm putting a lot of my stuff that you don't see here.
00:05:17.820 So, everything that I do that's non-Dilbert and maybe some Dilbert stuff will be over there.
00:05:23.920 But I wouldn't have done that.
00:05:26.220 I just, I was thinking about it.
00:05:28.420 I probably just wouldn't have executed if life had just gone on.
00:05:32.160 But once I could rethink everything, and I was faced with the end of my career as well.
00:05:40.480 And I've got to say, it's very motivating in a creative way, even though you would not choose the path.
00:05:46.180 It just opens up all your creative energy.
00:05:49.040 And I've probably had more creative output in the last two months than any time in my life.
00:05:57.100 So, it's been tremendous for me.
00:05:58.520 I think other people are having the same experience.
00:06:01.080 I don't know.
00:06:03.180 So, you can find my other stuff at Locals.
00:06:06.440 Locals.com.
00:06:08.780 And you can find the link to that at the top of my Twitter profile.
00:06:13.340 So, there are a number of businesses that are doing great.
00:06:17.120 I just read that RV sales are doing great.
00:06:20.900 What?
00:06:21.340 So, people are buying RVs.
00:06:24.340 Presumably, people are thinking less about flying, I'm guessing.
00:06:29.940 So, bicycles are doing great.
00:06:31.640 Everybody in the delivery business is doing great.
00:06:34.600 You know, Zoom and the online conferencing is doing great.
00:06:38.260 There's a whole bunch of telehealth businesses that are doing great.
00:06:42.580 A lot of people are doing great.
00:06:44.160 So, I have a really good feeling about the recovery.
00:06:50.300 Let's talk about the Twitter fact-checking.
00:06:53.580 The big story of the day.
00:06:55.520 You're all following that, right?
00:06:57.120 The Twitter fact-checking.
00:06:58.400 So, the president tweeted to the effect that mail-in voting would invite a lot of fraud.
00:07:09.640 Twitter's fact-checkers, in a new program, decided to label that as something that needed to be fact-checked.
00:07:16.760 And then they fact-checked it as not true.
00:07:21.660 Now, there are a few problems with that.
00:07:23.880 You might see them right away.
00:07:25.680 One of them is that it is true.
00:07:29.260 So, if your very first fact-checked on the president, you didn't even get it right.
00:07:35.100 Because it is true.
00:07:36.820 It's obviously true.
00:07:38.280 Now, you could argue the extent of it.
00:07:40.680 You could say it's not enough to make a difference.
00:07:44.040 That would be an argument.
00:07:45.140 You could say it's no worse than the current system which has its own problems.
00:07:50.820 That would be an argument.
00:07:52.220 You could say it's not perfect, but we have ways to fix it, and I think we'll be all right.
00:07:56.520 That would be a good argument.
00:07:59.020 But you know what's not a good argument?
00:08:01.360 That mail-in ballots are not subject to fraud?
00:08:05.720 Really?
00:08:07.300 Really?
00:08:07.820 Because I'm no evil, super-genius criminal, but even I can think of a few ways that I can game that system.
00:08:17.000 If you can't think of six ways to game that system, you're not even trying.
00:08:21.520 So, I asked this provocative and perhaps a philosophical question, and it goes like this.
00:08:30.980 If you give your mail-in ballot to someone else, let's say you give it to your friend to mail it for you,
00:08:37.460 and you don't watch them mail it, did you vote?
00:08:40.620 Now, your first impression is, well, yeah, because my friend would obviously mail it, so, yeah, I voted.
00:08:49.180 You know, stop being so clever.
00:08:51.280 Angels dancing on the head of a pen, you're just trying to find something out of nothing.
00:08:56.680 Am I?
00:08:58.340 Am I?
00:08:59.340 Because here's the way I see it.
00:09:01.840 Your friend has both his own ballot and your ballot, and he's walking to the mailbox.
00:09:06.700 Your friend knows who you voted for.
00:09:10.240 It's your friend.
00:09:11.600 Your friend knows who you voted for.
00:09:13.820 Sure, there are some people who don't know who their friend voted for.
00:09:17.300 But mostly, your friend knows who you voted for.
00:09:20.360 Even if it's not who they voted for, they know who you voted for.
00:09:23.460 Certainly for president.
00:09:25.260 So your friend has his own ballot and your ballot in his hand, and nobody's watching,
00:09:31.040 and there's the mailbox to mail them.
00:09:32.880 Listen, your friend gets the vote twice.
00:09:37.980 Once, when your friend puts his own vote into the mail.
00:09:41.120 And the second time, when he decides, yes or no, to put your vote in the mail.
00:09:46.540 Because your friend gets a second vote.
00:09:50.240 You think you voted, but you didn't.
00:09:54.160 Unless your friend decides that your vote is the way your friend wants it to go,
00:09:58.940 for whatever reason.
00:09:59.760 Or maybe they just like fairness, and they don't want to ruin the system.
00:10:03.940 But the point is, in a very real, practical way, you didn't vote.
00:10:10.260 Your friend voted twice.
00:10:13.600 I'm not wrong.
00:10:15.120 It's just one of those things you have to think about for a little while.
00:10:17.340 All right.
00:10:21.860 So, as you might imagine, Twitter's getting quite a bit of pushback.
00:10:27.440 The president is saying that he's going to sign some kind of an executive order
00:10:31.640 about the social media companies.
00:10:33.980 I can't imagine what that would be.
00:10:35.880 Facebook already said that they don't want to be in the business of fact-checking anything.
00:10:39.760 So, I don't know.
00:10:42.040 I don't know what the executive order is.
00:10:44.580 There will be much jabbering about what is legal and what is not.
00:10:49.160 The president will be called a dictator.
00:10:51.720 A dictator because he's ignoring the Constitution.
00:10:55.260 That's what his critics are already saying.
00:10:56.800 And then other people will say,
00:10:58.800 exactly how are you going to monitor or regulate them?
00:11:04.500 Don't you need Congress?
00:11:06.780 Can you just make the FCC do something?
00:11:11.380 Apparently, it's not set up, so that's an easy thing to do.
00:11:14.620 So, we don't know what the CEO will be,
00:11:16.560 unless it's already come out while I'm talking.
00:11:18.200 But here's what I think could be an unintended consequence of the Twitter fact-checking.
00:11:29.360 Are you ready for this?
00:11:31.320 Here's some unintended potential consequences.
00:11:36.080 Number one, I doubt the system will stay the same.
00:11:41.560 So, the first part of this prediction is that Twitter's,
00:11:46.660 you know, the first attempt at a fact,
00:11:49.460 sort of a fact-checking banner.
00:11:52.160 I'm sure it's not going to stay the same.
00:11:55.140 In other words, it's sort of an A-B testing situation.
00:11:58.720 They tried something.
00:11:59.860 They got a lot of pushback.
00:12:01.760 Surely, they will try something else.
00:12:03.820 And probably pretty quickly.
00:12:05.440 Here's what I would assume will be the way it'll shake out.
00:12:09.340 I think they're going to have to, somehow, in the interface,
00:12:13.940 make it possible to see the other side.
00:12:16.660 So, I think they can get away with doing a fact-check
00:12:19.840 that says this fact is not true
00:12:22.440 if they're also prominently,
00:12:24.820 and prominently is the part that's important, right?
00:12:27.260 It's got to be equally prominent
00:12:28.720 to say, and here's the counter-argument.
00:12:31.160 If they show both arguments,
00:12:34.340 are you happier?
00:12:36.940 Or are you less happy?
00:12:38.700 Oh, I know what you're going to say.
00:12:40.080 You're going to say, no, that doesn't work.
00:12:42.240 Because that's a lot like when the fake news will run a story
00:12:45.400 for a week, and it's the biggest headline,
00:12:47.840 a million people see it,
00:12:49.140 and then when they recant it later,
00:12:51.940 and they say, oh, we got it wrong,
00:12:53.520 nobody sees a correction.
00:12:54.740 So, you're saying, oh, it's going to be one of those situations
00:12:57.600 where, yeah, on paper,
00:13:00.520 they showed both sides,
00:13:02.320 but really, it's the fact-checked banner
00:13:04.920 that people are going to notice.
00:13:07.420 I mean, that's the part they'll remember,
00:13:09.920 not some other little thing
00:13:11.880 that says you can look at the other argument.
00:13:13.580 But, here,
00:13:17.320 here's the unintended consequence.
00:13:20.420 Let me ask you this.
00:13:22.740 Conservatives,
00:13:23.420 do they usually see both sides of the argument?
00:13:27.400 Yeah, they do.
00:13:29.120 Conservatives and Republicans
00:13:30.260 usually see what the mainstream media is saying,
00:13:32.960 because they're ubiquitous, you can't miss it.
00:13:34.920 But then they also see what Fox News
00:13:36.860 and Breitbart and anybody
00:13:38.300 that they think is on the right is saying.
00:13:40.640 So, conservatives are not going to be
00:13:42.500 seeing new information.
00:13:44.160 And I'm generalizing here, right?
00:13:45.740 Every person is different.
00:13:47.440 But I'm going to make a generalization
00:13:49.020 that conservatives won't see anything new,
00:13:52.660 because they already saw both sides.
00:13:55.980 But,
00:13:57.000 do you know what might be happening?
00:13:59.540 Somewhat accidentally.
00:14:02.040 Somewhat accidentally,
00:14:03.720 we're going to end up in a place
00:14:05.460 where the left is going to be exposed
00:14:09.380 goes to the entire argument
00:14:10.940 for the first time.
00:14:14.280 Now,
00:14:15.160 that hasn't happened yet.
00:14:17.700 And, in fact,
00:14:18.260 you're seeing the opposite,
00:14:19.340 which is just one side,
00:14:21.020 the fact-checking.
00:14:22.340 But,
00:14:22.980 I don't think that that situation
00:14:24.680 can last.
00:14:26.420 So,
00:14:26.940 I think you're going to have to see something
00:14:28.660 that ultimately
00:14:30.220 gives some appreciation
00:14:32.140 that there's another argument,
00:14:33.840 even if,
00:14:34.480 even if it's not the one
00:14:35.720 that Twitter thinks is correct.
00:14:37.320 And, once those,
00:14:39.300 both arguments
00:14:40.140 are in the same place,
00:14:42.320 it'll be the first time.
00:14:44.740 Now,
00:14:45.080 there is an app that does it.
00:14:46.320 I think it's Ground News.
00:14:48.280 There's an app that shows both sides.
00:14:49.880 And, it even,
00:14:50.800 you know,
00:14:51.240 tells you where,
00:14:52.140 where everybody is on the spectrum
00:14:54.060 so you can tell if it's a left source
00:14:55.840 or a right source
00:14:56.620 or in between.
00:14:57.940 So,
00:14:58.460 it exists,
00:14:59.060 but it doesn't exist
00:14:59.860 on the scale of Twitter.
00:15:02.320 So,
00:15:02.940 if Twitter started showing
00:15:04.540 both sides
00:15:06.400 of arguments,
00:15:08.220 what would that do
00:15:09.300 to the entire half
00:15:11.140 of the country
00:15:11.720 who I call the
00:15:13.220 poorly educated,
00:15:15.760 you know,
00:15:16.280 regardless of whether
00:15:17.340 they went to college
00:15:18.260 or what college
00:15:18.940 they went to
00:15:19.500 or anything else,
00:15:21.200 they're poorly educated
00:15:22.400 because they only see
00:15:23.140 half the news.
00:15:24.380 They don't see
00:15:24.920 the conservative half
00:15:25.920 which explains
00:15:26.800 what they're missing.
00:15:27.940 So,
00:15:30.820 one of the unintended,
00:15:33.100 completely unpredictable
00:15:34.420 outcomes of this
00:15:36.480 Twitter thing
00:15:37.080 is that after the,
00:15:38.840 you know,
00:15:39.180 the tension
00:15:39.640 and the fighting
00:15:40.400 and the back and forth
00:15:41.320 is done,
00:15:43.020 you might have
00:15:44.240 way better information
00:15:45.820 for the people
00:15:46.380 on the left,
00:15:47.500 which would be
00:15:48.740 very good
00:15:50.540 for the people
00:15:51.040 on the right
00:15:51.500 because it's the first time
00:15:52.560 that their arguments
00:15:53.280 would be seen.
00:15:55.360 So,
00:15:56.160 don't assume
00:15:57.280 don't assume
00:15:58.880 this is heading
00:15:59.600 for a bad place.
00:16:00.840 It could.
00:16:02.180 It could easily
00:16:03.000 head for a bad place,
00:16:03.960 right?
00:16:04.280 There are a hundred ways
00:16:05.540 you could think of
00:16:06.380 that it would all
00:16:07.440 go off the trail,
00:16:08.340 you know,
00:16:08.560 go off the tracks
00:16:09.360 and we wouldn't have
00:16:10.220 anything like free speech
00:16:11.680 and, you know,
00:16:12.640 it just gets worse and worse.
00:16:13.620 You could imagine that.
00:16:15.340 But I think
00:16:16.120 far more likely
00:16:17.160 that there will be
00:16:18.540 a natural inclination
00:16:20.300 just to correct.
00:16:22.020 And I think
00:16:22.540 you're going to see
00:16:23.540 something good
00:16:24.080 come out of it.
00:16:24.940 But wait,
00:16:25.360 we'll see.
00:16:27.280 Of course,
00:16:29.640 the country
00:16:30.140 is all worked up
00:16:31.320 as they should be
00:16:32.520 about this horrible
00:16:33.440 video of the police
00:16:36.160 killing
00:16:36.940 the African-American
00:16:38.660 gentleman
00:16:39.140 by putting the knee
00:16:40.620 on his neck
00:16:41.260 and he was complaining.
00:16:42.420 You all know the story.
00:16:44.540 But
00:16:44.760 here's the thing.
00:16:48.440 Can anybody
00:16:49.260 tell me
00:16:49.760 the statistics
00:16:50.760 of how many police
00:16:52.200 killed
00:16:53.640 white people
00:16:55.060 in traffic stops?
00:16:57.920 Because I kind of
00:16:59.020 need to know that
00:16:59.880 to have an opinion
00:17:01.140 that is worth
00:17:02.840 anything.
00:17:04.100 Because if you
00:17:04.940 don't know that fact,
00:17:06.260 do you know anything?
00:17:08.520 Because
00:17:09.080 to me,
00:17:10.140 that is the difference
00:17:11.460 between
00:17:11.840 do you have a
00:17:12.700 police training
00:17:13.800 problem
00:17:14.600 or do you have
00:17:15.960 a racist problem?
00:17:17.440 That's kind of
00:17:18.080 the big dividing line,
00:17:19.040 right?
00:17:19.180 There has to be
00:17:21.080 a statistic
00:17:22.440 that says
00:17:23.980 the police killed
00:17:24.740 X number of
00:17:25.460 white people
00:17:25.980 in this many
00:17:27.160 stops.
00:17:27.900 Because you'd
00:17:28.360 probably want to
00:17:28.860 know the number
00:17:29.480 but also the
00:17:30.980 percentage
00:17:31.500 who got killed
00:17:33.360 when they got
00:17:33.900 stopped for some
00:17:34.820 other reason.
00:17:36.200 Now,
00:17:37.000 if that number
00:17:38.240 is zero,
00:17:40.140 well,
00:17:40.480 I got some real
00:17:41.140 questions about
00:17:41.880 the police.
00:17:43.080 Don't you?
00:17:44.440 I mean,
00:17:44.760 I got a lot
00:17:45.200 of questions.
00:17:46.280 If they don't
00:17:46.880 kill anybody
00:17:47.780 else,
00:17:49.420 don't you have
00:17:50.060 a lot of
00:17:50.480 questions about
00:17:51.140 the police?
00:17:52.180 You ought to.
00:17:53.280 That would be
00:17:53.840 worst case scenario.
00:17:56.140 But suppose,
00:17:57.300 and I don't know
00:17:57.900 what the statistics
00:17:58.680 are,
00:17:59.280 and that's my
00:17:59.720 point.
00:18:02.840 Somebody says
00:18:03.560 a 61-year-old
00:18:04.660 white man
00:18:05.220 shot dead
00:18:05.960 by state
00:18:06.700 troopers
00:18:07.080 four miles
00:18:07.880 from my house
00:18:08.440 yesterday.
00:18:09.200 Yeah,
00:18:09.440 you have to be
00:18:09.940 careful with
00:18:10.460 all the anecdotal
00:18:11.460 stuff because
00:18:12.040 was he armed?
00:18:13.200 Was he coming
00:18:13.780 at the police?
00:18:14.640 You just don't
00:18:15.360 know.
00:18:15.700 But the point
00:18:16.100 is,
00:18:16.920 the point is,
00:18:18.100 if you don't
00:18:18.700 know that,
00:18:20.260 I don't think
00:18:21.180 you should have
00:18:21.660 an opinion.
00:18:23.160 Do you?
00:18:23.880 Do you think
00:18:24.480 you should have,
00:18:25.020 obviously,
00:18:25.860 you can have
00:18:26.400 an opinion
00:18:26.700 on that
00:18:27.120 specific situation.
00:18:29.120 You could
00:18:29.480 certainly have
00:18:30.200 an opinion
00:18:30.500 on that.
00:18:31.680 You know,
00:18:32.040 there's nobody
00:18:32.740 who thinks
00:18:33.680 that that turned
00:18:34.220 down well.
00:18:35.780 But can you
00:18:36.740 have an opinion
00:18:37.380 about the police
00:18:39.240 being racist
00:18:39.940 or not,
00:18:41.280 whether that's
00:18:42.120 the problem
00:18:42.660 or it's more
00:18:43.280 just a police
00:18:43.940 problem,
00:18:44.840 can you have
00:18:45.480 an opinion
00:18:45.840 on that that
00:18:46.360 means anything
00:18:47.120 without knowing
00:18:48.580 how many of
00:18:49.520 the other
00:18:49.880 ethnicities are
00:18:50.740 having the same
00:18:51.300 problem and
00:18:51.980 is it as bad?
00:18:53.260 Is it the same?
00:18:54.580 Just don't know.
00:18:56.160 Just don't know.
00:18:57.420 I'd like to know
00:18:58.040 that.
00:19:01.580 But I would
00:19:02.400 note that
00:19:03.460 while we're
00:19:04.060 looking for all
00:19:04.680 the bad news,
00:19:05.500 because that's
00:19:05.960 what we do,
00:19:07.280 you know,
00:19:07.580 we're always
00:19:08.080 looking for the
00:19:08.540 bad news.
00:19:09.220 the bad news.
00:19:11.640 And so we're
00:19:12.700 watching this
00:19:13.260 tragedy,
00:19:14.360 and we
00:19:15.980 think that
00:19:18.560 we're divided,
00:19:19.840 and there's
00:19:21.220 this gigantic
00:19:21.860 illusion happening
00:19:23.020 in which there's
00:19:24.260 no division
00:19:24.820 whatsoever.
00:19:26.220 There's no
00:19:27.040 division
00:19:27.560 whatsoever.
00:19:28.960 I don't think
00:19:29.940 the country has
00:19:30.600 ever been more
00:19:31.520 unified on
00:19:33.280 one story
00:19:34.120 than,
00:19:35.600 I'm pretty sure,
00:19:37.120 every white 0.53
00:19:37.760 person,
00:19:38.340 brown person,
00:19:39.180 black person
00:19:39.820 who sees that
00:19:40.860 video has
00:19:41.320 exactly the
00:19:42.100 same freaking
00:19:42.620 opinion.
00:19:43.740 I'll bet every
00:19:44.380 police officer
00:19:45.280 who looks at
00:19:45.860 that has a
00:19:47.360 pretty similar
00:19:48.840 opinion,
00:19:49.440 although actually
00:19:50.220 they may shade
00:19:51.280 it a little bit
00:19:51.760 because they
00:19:52.140 know more about
00:19:53.380 processes and
00:19:54.200 stuff.
00:19:54.720 So I'll take
00:19:55.140 that back.
00:19:55.680 Maybe the
00:19:56.020 police would
00:19:56.400 have their
00:19:56.680 own different
00:19:57.060 opinion.
00:19:58.160 But I don't
00:19:58.820 think there's
00:19:59.220 a white or
00:19:59.740 black difference
00:20:00.700 on this.
00:20:01.780 Do you see
00:20:02.240 it?
00:20:03.200 Because let me
00:20:04.920 speak as a
00:20:05.700 representative,
00:20:06.320 very white
00:20:08.060 person,
00:20:09.360 meaning I
00:20:10.620 look about as
00:20:11.400 white as you 0.97
00:20:11.820 could possibly
00:20:12.320 look.
00:20:14.460 No white 1.00
00:20:15.200 person has
00:20:15.720 come to me
00:20:16.340 privately,
00:20:17.440 publicly,
00:20:18.020 or in any
00:20:18.520 way and
00:20:19.060 said anything
00:20:20.020 other than
00:20:21.960 what I just
00:20:22.480 said,
00:20:22.760 which is,
00:20:23.160 this is
00:20:23.360 horrible,
00:20:24.880 those police
00:20:25.560 need to
00:20:26.500 answer for
00:20:28.060 this.
00:20:28.760 I have not
00:20:29.240 seen anybody
00:20:29.780 on the other
00:20:30.240 side.
00:20:31.140 So why are
00:20:31.800 we not
00:20:32.140 treating this
00:20:32.860 like a
00:20:34.060 unifying
00:20:34.720 event?
00:20:36.240 It's a
00:20:36.880 tragedy.
00:20:38.040 We all
00:20:38.660 get that.
00:20:39.840 But it is
00:20:40.600 a unifying
00:20:41.260 event.
00:20:42.500 It's a
00:20:43.120 unifying
00:20:43.580 event.
00:20:44.300 There's
00:20:44.720 nobody on
00:20:45.580 the other
00:20:45.900 side.
00:20:47.040 How do
00:20:47.400 we not
00:20:47.740 see that?
00:20:48.860 How is
00:20:49.280 that invisible
00:20:49.860 to us
00:20:50.340 all?
00:20:51.020 It's the
00:20:51.520 most unifying
00:20:52.440 thing that's
00:20:52.940 happened in
00:20:53.320 a long time
00:20:53.920 that wasn't
00:20:54.360 called the
00:20:54.700 coronavirus.
00:20:56.600 So we
00:20:57.480 can find
00:20:57.880 bad news
00:20:58.620 everywhere.
00:20:59.760 I mean,
00:20:59.940 obviously the
00:21:00.580 tragedy itself
00:21:01.280 is horrible
00:21:02.340 news, but
00:21:03.620 the way
00:21:04.160 we're
00:21:04.420 responding to
00:21:05.140 it as
00:21:06.120 a society,
00:21:07.120 I think
00:21:08.180 you should
00:21:08.480 be proud
00:21:08.900 of.
00:21:10.120 I think
00:21:10.780 you should
00:21:11.080 be proud
00:21:11.500 of it.
00:21:13.580 It's my
00:21:14.260 opinion.
00:21:15.820 All right.
00:21:17.980 So 100,000
00:21:19.180 people are
00:21:19.960 dead from
00:21:20.340 the coronavirus
00:21:20.940 of the
00:21:21.340 United States
00:21:22.060 alone.
00:21:23.400 1,535
00:21:25.020 of them
00:21:25.600 died today.
00:21:27.440 On average
00:21:28.480 since it
00:21:29.900 started getting
00:21:30.520 bad last
00:21:31.440 few months,
00:21:31.920 900 a
00:21:32.780 day have
00:21:33.880 been dying.
00:21:36.320 Let's
00:21:36.880 round that
00:21:37.420 off to
00:21:38.500 1,000 per
00:21:39.260 day.
00:21:40.600 If we've
00:21:41.340 got 100,000
00:21:42.200 now, what
00:21:44.060 will it
00:21:44.440 look like
00:21:45.040 in 90
00:21:46.380 days, let's
00:21:47.880 say at the
00:21:48.260 end of
00:21:48.580 August, if
00:21:50.500 it stays at
00:21:51.160 1,000 a
00:21:51.800 day?
00:21:52.940 Well, that
00:21:53.460 would be
00:21:53.640 190,000
00:21:54.900 dead, and
00:21:55.880 that's just
00:21:56.260 August.
00:21:57.940 We're not
00:21:58.640 even talking
00:21:59.080 about the
00:21:59.520 potential second
00:22:00.640 wave that
00:22:01.380 may or
00:22:01.740 may not
00:22:02.060 happen.
00:22:03.100 Dr.
00:22:03.440 Fauci says
00:22:04.500 it's not
00:22:06.100 guaranteed, but
00:22:07.600 something to
00:22:08.080 worry about.
00:22:09.100 Aren't we
00:22:09.560 easily going to
00:22:10.120 cross 200,000?
00:22:12.260 Or does it
00:22:13.460 90,000 if
00:22:15.600 it's 90
00:22:16.580 days at 1,000
00:22:17.460 a day?
00:22:18.000 somebody says
00:22:23.080 and you
00:22:23.420 believe flu
00:22:24.240 death
00:22:24.500 statistics?
00:22:25.760 No, if
00:22:26.320 you're new, I
00:22:27.620 do not
00:22:28.040 believe flu
00:22:28.940 death
00:22:29.300 statistics,
00:22:30.480 meaning I
00:22:31.000 don't believe
00:22:31.520 the regular
00:22:32.200 flu statistics
00:22:33.160 because I've
00:22:34.420 never met
00:22:34.780 anybody who
00:22:35.220 died of the
00:22:35.640 regular flu.
00:22:36.960 I just
00:22:37.560 don't believe
00:22:38.040 50,000 people
00:22:39.820 a year are
00:22:40.320 dying of
00:22:40.780 the regular
00:22:41.280 flu.
00:22:42.500 And there
00:22:43.200 was a doctor
00:22:44.260 who looked
00:22:44.700 into it.
00:22:45.320 I talked
00:22:45.640 about this
00:22:46.120 on a different
00:22:46.560 periscope, and
00:22:47.720 apparently they
00:22:48.260 don't count
00:22:48.760 those deaths.
00:22:50.280 They're not
00:22:50.940 counted.
00:22:52.480 So we
00:22:53.060 actually don't
00:22:53.600 know how
00:22:53.900 many people
00:22:54.380 have died of
00:22:54.840 the regular
00:22:55.260 flu.
00:22:56.000 They do
00:22:56.560 like a
00:22:57.520 statistical
00:22:57.980 thing and
00:22:58.620 say, oh,
00:22:59.060 it looks like
00:22:59.560 there were
00:22:59.880 extra people
00:23:00.480 dying during
00:23:01.140 the flu
00:23:02.200 season, so
00:23:02.860 those must
00:23:03.340 have been
00:23:03.560 flu deaths.
00:23:05.640 But we
00:23:06.240 don't know.
00:23:08.480 Somebody
00:23:08.960 says, check
00:23:09.540 the curve,
00:23:10.220 Scott, you're
00:23:10.920 misinformed.
00:23:12.240 Check the
00:23:12.960 curve on
00:23:13.460 what?
00:23:15.520 I don't
00:23:16.140 know which
00:23:16.480 topic you're
00:23:17.060 talking about.
00:23:17.840 Are you
00:23:18.160 saying that
00:23:18.660 it won't
00:23:19.260 be a
00:23:20.120 thousand a
00:23:20.620 day?
00:23:22.520 Because my
00:23:23.600 understanding is
00:23:24.480 that we're
00:23:24.960 managing the
00:23:26.080 curve to
00:23:26.780 flatness, because
00:23:28.580 it's unlikely
00:23:29.540 that opening up
00:23:30.460 everything is
00:23:31.320 also going to
00:23:32.100 make the
00:23:32.440 curve go down
00:23:33.160 much, but
00:23:35.040 we're just
00:23:35.360 trying to make
00:23:35.840 it not go
00:23:36.320 up, right?
00:23:37.420 So if we're
00:23:38.400 managing it to
00:23:39.300 stay flat at
00:23:41.180 about a
00:23:41.560 thousand a
00:23:42.100 day, how
00:23:43.580 do we not
00:23:44.000 get to
00:23:44.320 200,000
00:23:45.100 deaths
00:23:45.500 sometime
00:23:46.680 into
00:23:47.040 September?
00:23:53.240 Nursing
00:23:53.760 home
00:23:54.080 crisis,
00:23:55.220 somebody
00:23:55.600 says.
00:23:56.340 Yeah, it
00:23:56.780 could be
00:23:57.200 that the
00:23:58.540 nursing homes
00:23:59.400 are not
00:24:00.440 part of the
00:24:01.200 daily death
00:24:02.200 toll anymore,
00:24:02.760 are they?
00:24:03.640 Because don't
00:24:04.260 we have the
00:24:04.740 nursing homes
00:24:05.400 kind of under
00:24:06.000 control now?
00:24:06.660 somebody says
00:24:15.140 3 million
00:24:15.720 dead in the
00:24:16.260 U.S.
00:24:16.520 by November.
00:24:17.440 I don't
00:24:17.800 think so.
00:24:19.860 All right,
00:24:20.440 I'm just
00:24:20.720 looking, and
00:24:21.220 we still
00:24:21.820 haven't seen
00:24:22.220 the net,
00:24:22.820 have we?
00:24:24.000 Now, this
00:24:25.000 would be a
00:24:25.300 good time for
00:24:26.060 everybody who
00:24:27.260 made predictions
00:24:28.140 about the
00:24:28.780 coronavirus to
00:24:29.880 kind of check
00:24:30.540 their work.
00:24:32.200 So let's
00:24:33.060 do that.
00:24:33.500 the thing I
00:24:35.320 think I got
00:24:35.900 the most
00:24:36.460 wrong on
00:24:37.580 the coronavirus
00:24:38.200 situation is
00:24:39.140 early on when
00:24:40.460 we did the
00:24:40.900 initial shutdown
00:24:42.620 of the
00:24:43.020 economy, and
00:24:44.600 I told you
00:24:45.420 it's going to
00:24:46.000 be no big
00:24:46.540 deal, because
00:24:47.540 you could
00:24:47.840 easily shut
00:24:48.420 down the
00:24:48.760 economy for
00:24:49.340 a month, and
00:24:50.600 we'd get
00:24:50.900 right back
00:24:51.280 to work.
00:24:52.920 And then I
00:24:53.600 thought, well,
00:24:54.140 maybe it's
00:24:54.700 going to be
00:24:54.980 six weeks, but
00:24:55.980 still, get
00:24:57.360 right back to
00:24:57.840 work.
00:24:58.880 But I didn't
00:24:59.700 see how long
00:25:00.300 it would be.
00:25:00.720 So I
00:25:01.420 did not
00:25:02.480 anticipate that
00:25:03.280 they would
00:25:03.560 keep extending
00:25:04.580 it.
00:25:04.880 So I would
00:25:05.240 say that my
00:25:05.740 predictions on
00:25:06.980 a quick
00:25:08.560 recovery from
00:25:09.440 a quick
00:25:10.100 shutdown were
00:25:11.280 completely wrong
00:25:12.180 because they
00:25:12.660 extended the
00:25:13.380 time.
00:25:16.160 So I was
00:25:16.780 wrong about
00:25:17.240 that.
00:25:18.860 My estimate
00:25:20.380 of the death
00:25:21.020 toll was based
00:25:21.900 on the fact
00:25:22.400 that human
00:25:23.960 ingenuity would
00:25:24.880 come up with
00:25:25.480 some solutions
00:25:26.280 fairly quickly,
00:25:28.040 and that the
00:25:29.100 net,
00:25:29.480 the people
00:25:31.160 who didn't
00:25:31.820 die in car
00:25:32.440 accidents and
00:25:33.080 other things,
00:25:34.120 would end up
00:25:34.920 somewhat compensating
00:25:36.360 for the people
00:25:37.060 who died of
00:25:37.760 the coronavirus,
00:25:39.260 and that we
00:25:39.780 wouldn't lose
00:25:40.280 that many people
00:25:40.900 net.
00:25:41.900 And I'd
00:25:42.520 actually said
00:25:43.000 5,000 net.
00:25:44.240 Now, we don't
00:25:44.720 know what the
00:25:45.100 net is, but
00:25:46.220 if it's 100,000
00:25:47.220 coronavirus, it's
00:25:49.140 probably 50,000
00:25:52.880 net, at least.
00:25:54.240 So my
00:25:56.460 number would
00:25:57.080 be way off
00:25:58.000 by a factor
00:25:59.140 of 10, and
00:26:00.520 I might still
00:26:01.120 be the closest
00:26:01.720 estimate, weirdly
00:26:02.940 enough, even
00:26:05.080 that far off.
00:26:08.480 All right.
00:26:10.420 And I'd also
00:26:11.620 predicted that
00:26:12.400 the suicide
00:26:13.420 rate would
00:26:14.900 actually drop
00:26:15.980 under the
00:26:17.460 assumption that
00:26:18.060 we're locked
00:26:18.480 down for only a
00:26:19.140 month or so.
00:26:20.100 But of course,
00:26:20.820 the longer we
00:26:21.440 go, that
00:26:23.140 would reverse.
00:26:24.500 So my
00:26:25.060 prediction was
00:26:25.620 based on a
00:26:26.220 shorter lockdown.
00:26:30.080 All right.
00:26:33.960 Oh, there's
00:26:34.840 somebody saying
00:26:35.680 that the
00:26:36.040 Central Park
00:26:36.780 dog story is
00:26:37.640 a Covington
00:26:38.300 Kids 2.0.
00:26:39.920 So is there
00:26:40.440 something completely
00:26:41.300 different about
00:26:41.900 that?
00:26:42.160 We don't know.
00:26:42.980 I wouldn't be
00:26:43.380 surprised.
00:26:46.160 Yeah, Minnesota
00:26:47.220 has got fires
00:26:48.180 and looting,
00:26:48.900 so that's not
00:26:49.960 going well.
00:26:53.140 So the
00:26:53.900 5,000 net
00:26:55.240 deaths was
00:26:56.020 based on
00:26:56.740 the assumption
00:26:58.780 that there were
00:27:00.160 a whole bunch
00:27:00.560 of other deaths
00:27:01.120 that we would
00:27:01.580 be avoiding.
00:27:02.560 So that the
00:27:03.340 gross, I said,
00:27:04.220 would be 50,000.
00:27:06.940 So, but even
00:27:08.640 as bad as my
00:27:09.440 estimate was,
00:27:10.880 it's going to
00:27:11.360 be closer than
00:27:12.180 most experts,
00:27:14.340 you know, I
00:27:14.860 think, when it
00:27:16.260 comes out.
00:27:16.700 All right.
00:27:23.140 Your book
00:27:23.800 behind you
00:27:24.400 fell, did
00:27:25.180 it?
00:27:28.000 Did that
00:27:28.520 happen on
00:27:28.960 camera?
00:27:29.960 Did it happen
00:27:30.480 while you
00:27:30.820 were looking?
00:27:36.180 Tell you
00:27:36.660 some Biden
00:27:37.140 jokes, I
00:27:37.680 don't have
00:27:37.900 any good
00:27:38.220 Biden jokes,
00:27:39.260 but I'm
00:27:39.560 going to
00:27:39.680 tell you
00:27:39.900 about the
00:27:40.180 future.
00:27:40.880 Would you
00:27:41.060 like to hear
00:27:41.360 about the
00:27:41.720 future?
00:27:42.980 So, two
00:27:43.840 things.
00:27:44.760 There's a place
00:27:45.620 called the
00:27:46.060 Faroe Islands.
00:27:47.540 I've never
00:27:47.880 heard of
00:27:48.200 them.
00:27:48.560 F-A-R-O-E. 1.00
00:27:50.260 I guess it's
00:27:50.700 a tourist
00:27:51.100 destination.
00:27:51.960 I have no
00:27:52.260 idea where.
00:27:53.300 But I just
00:27:54.020 saw a website
00:27:54.660 where they're
00:27:55.360 giving remote
00:27:56.320 tours with
00:27:57.880 a local.
00:27:59.180 So they'll,
00:28:00.300 I don't know
00:28:00.880 exactly how
00:28:01.460 they do it.
00:28:01.920 I think they
00:28:02.500 put a camera
00:28:03.120 on some
00:28:04.520 local person's
00:28:05.380 head and
00:28:06.300 then you can
00:28:06.840 control where
00:28:07.440 he goes.
00:28:08.340 So you can
00:28:08.980 actually send
00:28:09.600 a local out
00:28:10.900 walking on the
00:28:11.640 island and
00:28:12.200 looking around
00:28:12.800 and looking at
00:28:13.380 the sites and
00:28:14.680 you just sort of
00:28:15.360 control where
00:28:15.880 the local
00:28:16.300 goes.
00:28:17.080 It's like a
00:28:17.660 human robot or
00:28:18.560 something.
00:28:19.120 I don't know
00:28:19.560 the details but
00:28:20.280 I thought it
00:28:20.600 was funny and
00:28:21.960 creative.
00:28:23.460 So my
00:28:25.220 prediction has
00:28:26.000 always been that
00:28:26.940 you'll be able to
00:28:27.620 take a vacation
00:28:28.900 by operating a
00:28:30.840 drone in a
00:28:32.120 place you want
00:28:32.680 to see.
00:28:33.620 So in other
00:28:34.120 words, if you
00:28:34.700 say, I'd like to
00:28:35.460 see the Great
00:28:35.960 Wall of China,
00:28:37.320 someday you'll
00:28:38.200 be able to go
00:28:38.640 onto a website
00:28:39.220 and just log
00:28:40.040 onto a drone
00:28:40.800 and you'll just
00:28:41.900 be able to
00:28:42.300 control your
00:28:42.820 own drone.
00:28:43.880 And you just
00:28:44.220 take it up and
00:28:45.020 look around on
00:28:46.320 your screen and
00:28:47.160 take a look at
00:28:48.240 the Great Wall
00:28:48.880 of China.
00:28:49.800 I know, maybe
00:28:50.540 China's the last 1.00
00:28:51.720 place that would
00:28:52.260 allow that, but
00:28:53.340 the point is, I
00:28:54.140 think people will
00:28:54.720 be taking remote
00:28:56.940 virtual vacations
00:28:58.540 or really just
00:29:00.040 sightseeing, not a
00:29:00.940 vacation, by a
00:29:03.380 drone that they
00:29:03.940 operate from where
00:29:04.820 they are.
00:29:06.300 I think there's a
00:29:07.180 latency problem, so
00:29:08.180 maybe that doesn't
00:29:08.780 work.
00:29:09.020 here's the other
00:29:11.140 part of the
00:29:11.700 future that I
00:29:14.520 guarantee you is
00:29:15.540 coming.
00:29:17.380 So during the
00:29:19.020 lockdown, I went
00:29:20.080 to buy myself a
00:29:21.120 new bicycle.
00:29:22.980 And I thought,
00:29:24.240 hey, I'm going to
00:29:24.780 look at those new
00:29:25.680 electronic bicycles.
00:29:27.800 They've got a
00:29:28.500 battery that's built
00:29:29.460 in to the bike,
00:29:31.140 and you still have
00:29:31.940 to pedal, but the
00:29:33.040 battery gives you a
00:29:33.900 little boost on
00:29:34.800 hills.
00:29:35.720 And I'd read a
00:29:36.720 little bit about
00:29:37.240 them, and they
00:29:37.620 sounded interesting.
00:29:39.020 And I thought,
00:29:39.900 huh, I will look
00:29:41.160 into this electronic
00:29:42.680 bicycle situation.
00:29:44.800 So I ended up
00:29:45.740 getting one.
00:29:47.080 Here's how long it
00:29:48.060 took me to make
00:29:48.800 the decision.
00:29:50.300 The bicycle shop
00:29:51.300 guy, and of course
00:29:52.120 it was all
00:29:52.520 coronavirus rules,
00:29:53.980 and this was a
00:29:54.480 couple weeks ago,
00:29:55.560 it's all coronavirus
00:29:56.400 rules, so I'm the
00:29:57.960 only one in the
00:29:58.580 shop.
00:30:00.660 And I pick out
00:30:01.920 one.
00:30:03.340 And he lets me
00:30:05.120 take it for a
00:30:05.760 test drive in the
00:30:06.460 parking lot.
00:30:07.020 So I take this
00:30:10.120 e-bike into the
00:30:10.960 parking lot, I do
00:30:12.660 a circle, and I
00:30:14.180 come back, and I
00:30:15.900 say, I've got to
00:30:17.240 ask you one
00:30:17.720 question.
00:30:18.840 Has anybody ever
00:30:20.060 taken a test drive
00:30:21.200 on an e-bike and
00:30:22.960 not purchased it?
00:30:24.360 And he laughed.
00:30:26.300 He laughed.
00:30:27.840 And he said,
00:30:28.480 there's something
00:30:29.300 called the e-bike
00:30:30.620 smile, which he
00:30:32.480 said he couldn't
00:30:33.000 see with me because
00:30:33.680 I had my mask on
00:30:34.900 at the time.
00:30:35.760 He goes, the
00:30:36.360 people who do
00:30:37.560 the test drive on
00:30:38.540 the e-bike, when
00:30:39.660 they come back,
00:30:40.680 their smile is
00:30:41.500 wrapped around
00:30:42.020 their head.
00:30:43.320 Now, I've got to
00:30:45.260 tell you, you
00:30:46.740 don't quite
00:30:47.580 understand how
00:30:49.820 fun this is.
00:30:50.880 If you've never
00:30:51.520 ridden one, if
00:30:52.540 you've never ridden
00:30:53.300 one, hold your
00:30:55.360 judgment.
00:30:55.940 Can I ask you
00:30:56.540 that?
00:30:57.080 Can I ask you
00:30:57.800 that if you
00:30:58.240 haven't ridden
00:30:58.940 one, just assume,
00:31:01.200 as I did, that
00:31:02.480 you don't understand
00:31:03.400 it, please assume
00:31:05.060 that, because
00:31:06.000 there's something
00:31:06.460 really cool
00:31:07.320 coming.
00:31:08.180 There's something
00:31:09.040 really cool
00:31:10.040 coming.
00:31:11.020 So here's the
00:31:12.060 deal.
00:31:12.380 So I've been
00:31:12.700 riding this
00:31:13.180 around for,
00:31:14.920 you know, like
00:31:15.300 I said, a couple
00:31:15.820 weeks.
00:31:17.540 And the one
00:31:18.900 thing that happens
00:31:19.700 every single
00:31:20.960 time is that my
00:31:22.440 attitude just
00:31:24.020 completely transforms.
00:31:26.300 My attitude just
00:31:27.700 goes into
00:31:28.320 positivity, and I
00:31:30.240 feel great.
00:31:31.360 I feel free, just
00:31:34.860 everything.
00:31:35.820 It's amazing.
00:31:37.660 The feeling you
00:31:38.300 get is not the
00:31:39.300 feeling of a
00:31:39.860 motorcycle.
00:31:41.020 It's not the
00:31:41.880 feeling of a
00:31:42.480 bicycle.
00:31:43.840 Those are both
00:31:44.600 good, right?
00:31:46.120 People like
00:31:46.900 bicycles.
00:31:48.000 They're great.
00:31:49.400 People like
00:31:49.960 motorcycles.
00:31:51.320 They're terrific.
00:31:52.880 This is better.
00:31:54.820 This is better.
00:31:57.140 I've had a
00:31:57.960 motorcycle.
00:31:58.660 I know what a
00:31:59.200 motorcycle feels
00:31:59.900 like.
00:32:00.220 Here's why it's
00:32:00.680 better.
00:32:01.360 A motorcycle is
00:32:02.720 a little bit
00:32:03.400 boring and scary
00:32:04.780 at the same
00:32:05.400 time.
00:32:06.100 If you're going
00:32:06.680 down the freeway
00:32:07.440 on your
00:32:07.840 motorcycle, you
00:32:09.440 should be, unless
00:32:10.420 you're not
00:32:11.060 normal, pretty
00:32:12.360 afraid of
00:32:13.240 something out of
00:32:14.020 your control
00:32:14.540 killing you at
00:32:15.280 any moment.
00:32:16.440 That never really
00:32:17.180 goes away when
00:32:17.820 you're on a
00:32:18.140 motorcycle, unless
00:32:19.100 maybe it does for
00:32:20.180 some people, but
00:32:20.780 it never did for
00:32:21.320 me.
00:32:21.880 At the same
00:32:22.460 time, it's also
00:32:23.900 fun, but there's
00:32:25.320 not much you can
00:32:26.080 do.
00:32:26.640 You don't have a
00:32:27.160 lot of freedom
00:32:28.000 of what you can
00:32:28.660 do.
00:32:28.960 You've got to
00:32:29.360 obey the laws,
00:32:30.280 et cetera, and
00:32:31.440 you have this
00:32:31.840 big helmet on
00:32:32.760 that's covering
00:32:33.820 your whole head
00:32:34.580 so you're not
00:32:35.040 really even
00:32:35.780 outdoors, basically.
00:32:37.920 And then a
00:32:38.600 bicycle, of course,
00:32:39.560 is wonderful, but
00:32:41.340 if you have a lot
00:32:42.320 of hills, and I
00:32:43.060 live where there
00:32:43.560 are a lot of
00:32:43.880 hills, it limits
00:32:46.740 what you can and
00:32:47.500 cannot do.
00:32:48.000 with the electric
00:32:52.080 bike, I charge it
00:32:55.580 maybe once a
00:32:56.320 week, and you
00:33:00.760 can go up any
00:33:01.620 hill easily.
00:33:03.260 You still have to
00:33:03.880 pedal, so you
00:33:04.640 always have a
00:33:05.140 feeling of control,
00:33:06.000 but here's the
00:33:06.460 fun part.
00:33:07.760 The sensation you
00:33:09.380 have is that you're
00:33:11.080 super strong.
00:33:11.940 And yes, the
00:33:15.040 price was just
00:33:16.880 about what you're
00:33:17.440 guessing in the
00:33:18.160 comments here, so
00:33:19.760 it's pretty
00:33:20.080 expensive.
00:33:21.440 Now, the
00:33:21.900 batteries, here's
00:33:24.080 the part that
00:33:25.460 tells you what the
00:33:26.760 future looks like.
00:33:28.140 You can go
00:33:29.200 forever on
00:33:30.060 these.
00:33:30.640 You actually
00:33:31.220 will just sort
00:33:31.940 of never get
00:33:32.480 tired.
00:33:33.100 You can just
00:33:33.460 ride it forever,
00:33:34.660 up hills,
00:33:35.380 down hills.
00:33:36.800 So distance just
00:33:38.080 goes away.
00:33:38.600 The other
00:33:40.600 thing is that the
00:33:41.320 quality of the
00:33:42.020 batteries is
00:33:42.620 improving all the
00:33:43.520 time, so the
00:33:44.160 price is going
00:33:44.740 down, the
00:33:45.160 power is going
00:33:45.700 up.
00:33:46.920 I guarantee
00:33:47.920 you that the
00:33:48.680 future is small
00:33:50.300 personal vehicles.
00:33:53.280 Now, I don't
00:33:54.140 know that the
00:33:54.780 Segway is quite
00:33:55.960 the form that
00:33:56.900 people are going
00:33:57.360 to want, because
00:33:58.460 it's sort of bulky
00:33:59.520 and you can't ride
00:34:00.580 it on the
00:34:00.960 sidewalk, you
00:34:02.280 can't ride it on
00:34:02.820 the street too
00:34:03.600 easily, it just
00:34:04.720 doesn't belong
00:34:05.420 anywhere.
00:34:06.640 But bicycles,
00:34:07.420 belong everywhere.
00:34:09.840 I can take my
00:34:10.520 bicycle everywhere.
00:34:11.700 I can take it in
00:34:12.360 my house if I
00:34:13.200 don't want it to
00:34:13.660 be stolen.
00:34:15.880 There's no place
00:34:16.720 I can't go with
00:34:17.340 my bicycle.
00:34:19.080 So, that's my
00:34:21.940 prediction to you
00:34:23.580 is that these
00:34:24.700 electronic assist
00:34:26.620 vehicles, be they
00:34:28.540 bikes or trikes or
00:34:29.980 who knows what
00:34:30.700 they will be,
00:34:31.580 they're really
00:34:32.120 going to be big,
00:34:33.040 because they're
00:34:34.180 great.
00:34:35.300 They're just
00:34:35.740 great.
00:34:37.420 And also, as
00:34:39.840 I was saying
00:34:40.180 before, it makes
00:34:40.680 you question the
00:34:42.220 subjective nature
00:34:43.200 of reality, because
00:34:46.020 if every time I'm
00:34:48.180 on it, I'm happy, it
00:34:50.340 kind of tells me that
00:34:51.220 it's not my life that
00:34:52.320 made me unhappy in
00:34:53.420 the first place.
00:34:55.280 Somebody asked how
00:34:56.100 heavy it is.
00:34:57.380 First of all, the
00:34:58.200 battery is easy to
00:34:59.240 remove, it just
00:35:00.120 comes right off, but
00:35:02.620 one person can lift
00:35:04.100 it and put it in the
00:35:04.820 back of an SUV.
00:35:05.800 It's heavier than
00:35:07.640 a regular bike.
00:35:09.180 You wouldn't want
00:35:10.200 to do a lot of
00:35:11.280 biking without the
00:35:13.320 electronic assist
00:35:14.400 turned on.
00:35:17.660 It's a Trek, T-R-E-K. 0.63
00:35:23.640 Yeah.
00:35:25.460 Does it feel
00:35:26.300 unreal?
00:35:27.000 Yeah, it does.
00:35:27.860 It does.
00:35:28.360 It feels like you're
00:35:29.960 in a dream, and it's
00:35:31.020 a good one, because
00:35:32.420 you're super strong.
00:35:34.560 And not everybody
00:35:36.300 knows that it's an
00:35:37.280 e-bike, because it
00:35:38.460 doesn't, if you look
00:35:40.020 at it, you wouldn't
00:35:40.800 know.
00:35:42.060 It just has a little
00:35:43.040 bit of fatter bar,
00:35:44.460 you know, one of the
00:35:45.060 main support boards
00:35:45.900 is a little fatter
00:35:46.640 because of the battery.
00:35:47.660 That's it.
00:35:48.720 So there are tons of
00:35:50.800 bikes and people
00:35:51.360 walking around where I
00:35:52.260 live.
00:35:52.980 So I like to pedal
00:35:55.020 fast up really steep
00:35:56.400 hills and make people
00:35:57.620 think I'm strong.
00:36:00.660 It never gets old.
00:36:02.780 Good brakes?
00:36:03.480 Yeah, the brakes are
00:36:04.120 fine.
00:36:05.400 It's actually a really
00:36:06.760 well-made piece of
00:36:08.120 machinery.
00:36:09.380 Can you ride it in
00:36:10.060 the rain?
00:36:10.380 Yes.
00:36:10.860 Apparently, you can
00:36:12.240 ride it in the
00:36:12.860 pouring rain without
00:36:13.680 any risk whatsoever,
00:36:15.320 according to the
00:36:16.140 salesperson.
00:36:17.500 And the battery is
00:36:18.740 enclosed and doesn't
00:36:20.100 get wet.
00:36:22.980 Do I go biking with
00:36:24.240 Christina?
00:36:24.940 Not yet.
00:36:25.480 I'll have to try to
00:36:27.280 talk her into it.
00:36:30.580 Biking is one of 0.99
00:36:31.520 those things that
00:36:32.300 it's a little bit
00:36:33.840 better alone,
00:36:35.140 don't you think?
00:36:36.560 Because part of what
00:36:38.080 makes a bicycle so
00:36:39.280 much fun is the
00:36:40.180 freedom of it,
00:36:41.480 that literally when
00:36:43.300 I'm riding around my
00:36:44.420 neighborhood, I just
00:36:45.780 say to myself, I
00:36:46.720 think I'll go this
00:36:47.260 way, and just go
00:36:48.740 left and look at a
00:36:49.660 new neighborhood.
00:36:50.640 If you're riding
00:36:51.420 with somebody, you're
00:36:52.540 sort of trying to
00:36:53.780 communicate with them
00:36:54.740 at least a little
00:36:55.420 bit and ride, and
00:36:56.740 it sort of doesn't
00:36:59.320 mix as well.
00:37:02.100 Yeah, biking
00:37:02.580 improves your mood
00:37:03.320 every time, somebody
00:37:04.140 says.
00:37:09.080 Sky should go
00:37:10.000 Oprah on us
00:37:10.920 tonight.
00:37:12.280 You mean like
00:37:12.980 there's an electric
00:37:13.920 bike under your
00:37:14.720 seat?
00:37:21.300 What model is it?
00:37:22.440 I forget the
00:37:22.920 model number.
00:37:23.360 All right, that's
00:37:24.860 all for now.
00:37:26.640 So here's the good
00:37:27.780 news.
00:37:28.280 Your social media is
00:37:29.660 going to get better.
00:37:30.820 Your economy is
00:37:31.660 getting better.
00:37:32.680 Electronic bikes are
00:37:33.720 going to be everywhere,
00:37:35.180 and you're going to
00:37:35.840 love them.
00:37:37.260 That's the good news.
00:37:38.760 It's all good news
00:37:39.680 from here on out.
00:37:40.600 It's going to be a
00:37:41.200 great summer.
00:37:42.600 A great summer.
00:37:43.500 And yes, we did set a
00:37:46.540 new wedding date, but
00:37:47.780 we're not telling you
00:37:48.440 what it is.
00:37:49.780 But I'll be getting
00:37:51.100 married pretty soon.
00:37:52.480 Pretty soon.
00:37:53.260 Very small.
00:37:54.480 We will not be
00:37:55.200 violating any
00:37:56.960 regulations.
00:38:00.200 And I will talk to you
00:38:01.580 in the morning.
00:38:02.940 classです.
00:38:04.140 Let's go.
00:38:04.400 Let's go.
00:38:05.280 Let's go.
00:38:05.540 Let's go.
00:38:05.780 Let's go.
00:38:06.500 Let's go.
00:38:07.340 Let's go.
00:38:07.560 We'll talk to you
00:38:08.380 next time.
00:38:08.980 Let's go.
00:38:09.460 Come on.
00:38:11.920 Okay.