Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1030 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About the Red Pills Coming

00:00:00.240 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum

00:00:10.980 Well hello everybody

00:00:13.620 Come on in, come on in

00:00:15.400 It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams, best part of the day

00:00:19.420 Every single time

00:00:21.560 Is anybody addicted yet?

00:00:24.060 Ha ha ha

00:00:25.940 Well then my plan is working, isn't it

00:00:29.160 And if you haven't tried the simultaneous sip, let's say you've been resisting.

00:00:36.720 You're thinking to yourself, I'm not going to take a sip of my beverage at the same time he does.

00:00:42.100 I'm not going to fall for that persuasion.

00:00:44.860 Well, you're only hurting yourself because it's the best part of the day,

00:00:48.180 and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein,

00:00:52.340 a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:00:56.360 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee.

00:00:59.660 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day.

00:01:04.980 Can you feel it? You can start to feel it build.

00:01:07.300 Feel it. Feel it.

00:01:08.960 And now, the simultaneous sip. Go.

00:01:15.520 Ah, just as advertised.

00:01:20.300 God, I feel sorry for the people who didn't take a sip.

00:01:23.480 But maybe next time.

00:01:26.360 You want to get the dopamine going?

00:01:29.160 That's how you do it.

00:01:30.160 By the way, that is a hypnosis trick.

00:01:33.440 It's a benign one, meaning I'm telling you what the trick is, and it's good for you.

00:01:39.080 Which is that if you can pair an activity with something that feels good,

00:01:44.760 and you keep pairing that activity with something that feels good,

00:01:48.420 eventually you'll be able to just do the activity, and it'll make you feel good.

00:01:55.040 It's a little trick that you can use at home.

00:01:57.460 Well, the enemy of the people continues to surprise, because you think you've seen everything evil.

00:02:08.560 You know, you've lived for a while, and you say to yourself,

00:02:11.080 ah, I've probably seen everything that's evil, you know, some form of it.

00:02:16.240 But now the enemy of the people, some call them CNN,

00:02:20.640 writes an article in which they talk about, was it Brazil, I think,

00:02:26.160 is going to go harder for hydroxychloroquine.

00:02:29.920 I think it was Brazil, but it doesn't matter for this point.

00:02:34.300 And here's how CNN calls prescribing hydroxychloroquine.

00:02:41.980 Now, if you were going to talk about a medical situation,

00:02:45.440 in which actual medical doctors, people who are highly trained in the medical profession,

00:02:51.220 but they're in another country.

00:02:53.340 And they've decided, they've looked at all the data,

00:02:55.780 and they've decided that off-label use of hydroxychloroquine,

00:03:00.780 which is very common, the off-label part, not the specific off-label part,

00:03:05.600 but they'll use a very common thing using their total medical training

00:03:10.880 and their common sense and their risk management.

00:03:16.720 Completely normal medical procedure.

00:03:19.400 I would call that a case of those doctors wanting to prescribe hydroxychloroquine

00:03:28.020 under certain situations.

00:03:29.900 Wouldn't the right word be prescribe?

00:03:34.040 This is CNN's headline, that they're pushing it.

00:03:40.280 Pushing.

00:03:41.420 They literally replaced the obvious word, prescribing,

00:03:46.140 because it's doctors.

00:03:47.180 It's not one crazy quack doctor.

00:03:50.280 It's an entire nation, a first-world nation,

00:03:54.900 of highly trained medical doctors who want to prescribe it.

00:04:02.060 Because they've looked at all the data,

00:04:04.660 they've looked at the debunked data that CNN,

00:04:08.140 in this very article,

00:04:09.800 neglected to mention

00:04:11.160 that the argument on the other side is all debunked.

00:04:17.020 All of it.

00:04:18.220 It's completely debunked.

00:04:21.260 So the fact that CNN is acting like your doctor

00:04:25.880 and calling out other doctors for quackery,

00:04:30.540 you know, if you see them calling out one doctor for quackery,

00:04:34.640 wouldn't you say,

00:04:35.520 yeah, the question of whether the zinc is part of that

00:04:39.960 was a little unclear in the article as well.

00:04:45.620 But, anyway, you get my point.

00:04:51.100 It just seems pure evil when you have a news,

00:04:54.940 sort of a news organization,

00:04:57.240 making medical judgments

00:04:59.840 about an entire country full of medical professionals.

00:05:04.140 It's one thing to call a doctor a quack.

00:05:07.960 You know, when you see that,

00:05:09.220 you think, well, probably.

00:05:10.700 You know, they looked into it.

00:05:11.840 It's probably a doctor

00:05:13.080 who might be a quack.

00:05:14.760 But not the whole country.

00:05:17.860 The whole country full of highly trained doctors.

00:05:21.540 Yeah, they're pushing it.

00:05:23.020 They're a bunch of pushers.

00:05:24.400 They're just drug peddlers in that other country.

00:05:27.760 Feels a little racist is all I'm saying.

00:05:33.560 So, amazingly,

00:05:35.760 and I don't know how you can explain this,

00:05:38.560 I haven't been canceled yet.

00:05:42.040 What's going on?

00:05:44.040 Why have I not been canceled?

00:05:45.620 I mean, I'm genuinely curious.

00:05:48.340 I think I know what's happening.

00:05:50.480 I mean, I could speculate.

00:05:52.660 But I'll remind you what I tweeted yesterday.

00:05:55.460 And I thought, well, this will get it done.

00:05:58.120 So, let me just tell you what I tweeted

00:05:59.660 to see how close I could get to that line of being canceled.

00:06:03.820 Now, for context,

00:06:06.420 the point is not to just get canceled

00:06:08.900 to see if I can do it, right?

00:06:10.820 I'm not trying to get canceled for some.

00:06:13.760 You know, weird brand reason.

00:06:16.560 Because I don't think it would work out well for me.

00:06:19.660 But I'm also not afraid of it.

00:06:22.660 Now, the problem is

00:06:23.860 that unless you walk right up to the line

00:06:26.900 of getting canceled,

00:06:28.400 of going too far,

00:06:29.760 you're also not useful.

00:06:32.440 You can't be useful

00:06:33.960 so far away from the line of cancellation

00:06:36.860 that you're not saying anything useful or,

00:06:39.060 you know, true.

00:06:41.380 You know, the closer you get to canceled

00:06:43.980 is the closer you get to making a difference.

00:06:46.640 And the closer you get to actually getting people

00:06:50.080 to engage and to say,

00:06:51.980 all right, that's what you're saying is pretty rugged

00:06:54.360 and I hate you,

00:06:55.540 but let's deal with that.

00:06:56.900 You know, some difficult opinions

00:06:59.660 and in some cases,

00:07:00.840 some difficult truths

00:07:02.940 to the degree that we can figure out

00:07:05.380 what is true.

00:07:06.440 So here's what I tweeted

00:07:08.600 and has not yet canceled me yet.

00:07:10.780 Number one,

00:07:11.300 no one can point to an example

00:07:12.800 of systemic racism

00:07:14.160 except against whites and Asian Americans,

00:07:16.720 like in education, for example,

00:07:18.860 upper-level college,

00:07:21.600 upper-level education.

00:07:23.280 Number two,

00:07:23.880 resisting arrest is the only thing

00:07:25.300 that can get you killed by cops.

00:07:27.540 I mean, that alone

00:07:28.220 should have gotten me canceled.

00:07:30.240 And then,

00:07:30.720 and this is the funniest one,

00:07:34.300 reparations would be negative

00:07:35.860 if you calculated them correctly.

00:07:39.940 Every one of those

00:07:40.840 should have gotten me canceled.

00:07:42.720 But I think putting three of them together

00:07:44.560 made me less cancelable

00:07:46.120 in a weird way

00:07:48.100 because I think these are three points

00:07:50.740 that nobody really wants

00:07:52.160 to have a conversation about,

00:07:54.000 if you know what I mean.

00:07:56.020 Anybody who's watched me

00:07:57.480 for even a little bit,

00:07:58.500 a little bit of the length of time

00:08:00.960 probably doesn't want to get

00:08:03.800 into a public conversation with me

00:08:05.720 on these three points.

00:08:08.500 Am I wrong?

00:08:10.200 Do you think there's anybody

00:08:11.260 who actually has watched me?

00:08:13.880 You know,

00:08:14.160 I'm not talking about somebody

00:08:15.120 who's never heard of me.

00:08:16.460 But somebody who's actually watched me

00:08:18.080 for a little while,

00:08:19.280 do you think they want to get

00:08:20.180 in a conversation in public

00:08:21.800 about these three points?

00:08:25.180 I don't think so.

00:08:26.720 I think that's the only thing

00:08:28.120 that's keeping me

00:08:28.760 from being canceled

00:08:29.520 because the act of canceling me

00:08:31.640 would raise my profile.

00:08:33.340 I don't think that's a good play

00:08:34.720 right now.

00:08:35.940 So I think I'm being ignored,

00:08:37.920 which is hilarious.

00:08:39.800 So what do you do

00:08:40.620 when you're being ignored?

00:08:43.140 Well, you ramp it up

00:08:44.140 a little bit, don't you?

00:08:45.720 You're just going to ramp it up

00:08:46.840 a little bit.

00:08:48.160 So those three statements

00:08:50.360 got me close to cancellation,

00:08:53.040 but apparently I didn't make it

00:08:54.280 all the way there.

00:08:54.940 Now, I don't know

00:08:56.320 if there's some kind

00:08:57.000 of Zeno's paradox

00:08:58.100 happening here

00:08:59.340 where, you know,

00:09:00.360 I can always be halfway closer,

00:09:03.100 but I can never reach cancellation.

00:09:05.540 We're going to find out

00:09:06.720 because let me read my thread

00:09:09.620 from this morning.

00:09:10.860 I posted my thread

00:09:12.400 at just about the same time

00:09:13.700 I went live.

00:09:15.720 So most of you

00:09:16.600 haven't seen it.

00:09:18.160 But let me read it to you

00:09:19.180 in the order,

00:09:20.200 in the order that I did the thread.

00:09:21.580 Now, it's a long thread,

00:09:22.920 and normally I wouldn't, you know,

00:09:24.360 I wouldn't want to just

00:09:25.060 read stuff to you on video,

00:09:27.480 but I think it's worth it.

00:09:29.280 So I started it out this way.

00:09:30.540 I said,

00:09:30.800 Today is the last day

00:09:31.820 of my seven-day challenge

00:09:33.360 to provide a current example

00:09:35.740 of systemic racism in America.

00:09:38.740 No examples yet,

00:09:40.380 just conceptual takes.

00:09:42.640 Now, when I say conceptual takes,

00:09:44.820 I mean that people are describing

00:09:46.440 a situation in which

00:09:47.800 it could happen

00:09:48.760 or is happening.

00:09:49.520 But describing it

00:09:52.000 is not exactly

00:09:52.960 what I asked for.

00:09:54.460 What I asked for

00:09:55.300 is an example.

00:09:56.860 Meaning,

00:09:57.720 here's Bob.

00:09:59.280 Bob was discriminated against.

00:10:01.980 Here's my evidence.

00:10:03.640 And he was discriminated against

00:10:05.180 because the system

00:10:06.660 is racist.

00:10:09.380 So I'm looking for that

00:10:10.580 clean example.

00:10:11.580 Here's Bob.

00:10:12.920 Here's what happened.

00:10:14.520 Here's how the system

00:10:15.560 screwed Bob,

00:10:16.440 and they would not have

00:10:17.220 screwed him

00:10:17.720 had he been white.

00:10:19.520 But,

00:10:22.000 let me continue.

00:10:25.080 I know you're thinking ahead,

00:10:26.840 and you're thinking to the,

00:10:28.100 you know,

00:10:28.520 you're thinking to things

00:10:29.380 I'm probably going to get to.

00:10:32.060 All right,

00:10:32.720 so I started out by saying

00:10:33.660 that nobody has

00:10:34.460 met the challenge yet.

00:10:36.060 But,

00:10:36.640 here's who came closest,

00:10:38.480 and so I continue

00:10:39.340 in my thread.

00:10:41.060 One view is that

00:10:42.180 racist people

00:10:42.860 in a non-racist system

00:10:44.760 creates systemic racism.

00:10:47.640 For example,

00:10:49.040 the justice system

00:10:50.140 is colorblind

00:10:51.140 by intention,

00:10:53.020 you know,

00:10:53.200 that's the way it's designed,

00:10:54.400 it's supposed to be,

00:10:55.560 but not by outcome.

00:10:57.380 And I think we'd all agree

00:10:58.740 that if you look at the outcome,

00:11:02.240 you know,

00:11:02.780 there's a,

00:11:03.280 there's a big racial disparity

00:11:05.620 in outcome.

00:11:07.200 But studies can't isolate

00:11:08.800 that variable

00:11:09.680 to find out,

00:11:10.620 you know,

00:11:11.140 I said,

00:11:11.900 the reason for different outcomes

00:11:13.100 is assumed to be racism,

00:11:15.060 but studies can't isolate

00:11:16.860 that variable.

00:11:19.000 You can't isolate

00:11:19.980 that variable,

00:11:21.140 because the assumption is

00:11:22.520 it's not active racist

00:11:24.120 being actively racist,

00:11:26.400 it's rather a whole bunch

00:11:27.680 of people who probably

00:11:28.620 don't know they're racist,

00:11:29.880 this is the assumption,

00:11:31.380 but they're acting

00:11:32.320 that way anyway,

00:11:33.620 through unconscious bias.

00:11:35.120 Do you think that

00:11:36.980 that can be isolated

00:11:38.880 and credibly determined

00:11:41.160 by studies,

00:11:42.420 that somebody has

00:11:43.100 an unconscious bias,

00:11:45.060 by looking,

00:11:46.020 now I think maybe

00:11:46.940 you could do it

00:11:47.660 in a controlled

00:11:48.620 clinical setting,

00:11:50.940 but I don't think

00:11:52.160 there's any chance

00:11:53.020 that you can do it

00:11:54.660 in the wild.

00:11:56.320 You can't isolate

00:11:57.540 millions of people's

00:11:59.600 unconscious bias

00:12:00.900 in the wild

00:12:02.180 when you have

00:12:02.780 so many other variables.

00:12:03.820 Let me just mention

00:12:05.520 the most obvious one.

00:12:07.120 Do you think that

00:12:07.920 everybody who goes

00:12:08.900 through there

00:12:09.420 has the same

00:12:10.720 extenuating circumstances,

00:12:13.280 the same demeanor,

00:12:15.180 the same approach

00:12:16.180 to it,

00:12:16.880 the same quality

00:12:17.880 of lawyers?

00:12:21.760 Probably not.

00:12:22.920 I mean,

00:12:23.140 there are lots of things

00:12:24.000 that are going to be

00:12:24.580 different

00:12:25.000 on top of

00:12:27.760 whatever intentional

00:12:29.000 or whatever

00:12:30.040 subconscious bias

00:12:31.940 there is,

00:12:32.340 and of course

00:12:32.680 we know

00:12:33.040 there's subconscious

00:12:33.960 bias in all people.

00:12:36.520 All right,

00:12:36.820 so,

00:12:37.900 and then I continue.

00:12:39.820 So here I'm assuming

00:12:41.160 that the outcomes

00:12:42.420 would look racial,

00:12:45.460 and here we have

00:12:46.300 a new problem.

00:12:47.920 If, quote,

00:12:48.680 look at the data

00:12:49.640 as an argument

00:12:50.460 for anything,

00:12:52.900 why are we having

00:12:54.120 mass protests

00:12:55.020 about police

00:12:55.800 killing black citizens

00:12:57.040 at a higher rate

00:12:58.080 than other groups

00:12:59.080 when the data

00:13:00.260 says otherwise?

00:13:05.120 I continue.

00:13:07.640 If you think

00:13:08.520 the data says

00:13:09.180 police are killing

00:13:09.960 black citizens

00:13:10.860 at a higher rate

00:13:12.040 than other groups,

00:13:13.820 it is because

00:13:14.700 you're not good

00:13:15.500 at analyzing things,

00:13:17.040 which puts you

00:13:18.540 in good company

00:13:19.320 with 95%

00:13:20.660 of the public.

00:13:21.920 Now,

00:13:22.160 I think that's fair.

00:13:24.060 If, you know,

00:13:24.920 in the same way

00:13:25.780 that 95% of us

00:13:28.340 would not be good

00:13:29.480 at analyzing

00:13:30.180 a legal situation

00:13:31.540 because we're not lawyers,

00:13:33.860 right?

00:13:34.200 We're not lawyers.

00:13:35.580 95% of us

00:13:36.740 would not be

00:13:37.260 especially good

00:13:38.080 at diagnosing

00:13:38.960 a complicated

00:13:39.740 medical situation

00:13:40.940 because we're not doctors.

00:13:43.820 We're not doctors.

00:13:45.060 So, of course,

00:13:45.760 95% of us

00:13:46.800 are not good at it.

00:13:48.260 Another thing

00:13:49.100 that 95% of us

00:13:50.360 are not good at

00:13:51.120 is looking at data

00:13:52.280 and figuring out

00:13:54.660 what it really means

00:13:55.520 and not being misled.

00:13:57.180 If you're not trained

00:13:58.560 at doing that,

00:14:00.160 like a doctor is

00:14:01.340 or a lawyer is

00:14:02.080 for their professions,

00:14:03.540 you might think

00:14:04.900 you can do it.

00:14:06.400 But 95% of the public

00:14:08.120 can't,

00:14:09.560 and yet we're making

00:14:10.660 all of our decisions

00:14:11.820 based on data

00:14:12.820 when 95% of the public

00:14:15.420 can't do that.

00:14:17.940 They can't use data.

00:14:20.140 They don't know how.

00:14:21.460 Just like you're not a lawyer,

00:14:22.920 you're not a doctor.

00:14:23.700 They haven't been trained.

00:14:25.520 It's not a reasonable

00:14:26.560 expectation

00:14:27.560 that the public

00:14:28.980 would understand data.

00:14:32.580 Unless it's the simplest,

00:14:34.020 simplest thing,

00:14:34.760 and this isn't.

00:14:35.760 There are actually

00:14:36.560 levels of complexity.

00:14:39.280 So then I said

00:14:39.900 maybe 5% of the public

00:14:41.500 knows the numbers

00:14:42.720 you see in the media

00:14:43.780 are intentionally

00:14:45.660 all in gaps

00:14:46.740 and misleading.

00:14:48.200 For example,

00:14:49.220 if you think

00:14:49.700 it means something

00:14:50.440 that a higher percentage

00:14:52.420 of the black population

00:14:53.560 is killed by police,

00:14:55.460 you are in the 95%

00:14:57.400 who are being duped

00:14:59.120 by data

00:14:59.920 that is misleading.

00:15:03.260 Don't trust me

00:15:04.180 about the data?

00:15:04.940 I continue in my thread.

00:15:06.840 Good call.

00:15:07.900 You shouldn't.

00:15:09.360 Should anybody

00:15:10.080 trust me

00:15:11.220 about my interpretation

00:15:13.480 of any data?

00:15:15.480 Any data?

00:15:16.700 No!

00:15:17.700 No!

00:15:18.640 You shouldn't trust me.

00:15:21.300 Why would you trust me?

00:15:23.020 Now,

00:15:23.360 I am

00:15:23.860 very experienced.

00:15:25.200 I did it for a living.

00:15:26.440 You know,

00:15:26.580 I was a

00:15:26.980 financial analyst.

00:15:29.760 You know,

00:15:30.100 I've got an economics degree,

00:15:31.800 an MBA.

00:15:32.360 I'm better

00:15:33.820 than most people

00:15:35.020 at analyzing data,

00:15:37.460 but I wouldn't

00:15:38.360 call myself

00:15:38.860 an expert.

00:15:39.700 I would say

00:15:40.080 I'm probably

00:15:41.300 in the top 5%,

00:15:42.540 but not an expert.

00:15:44.000 But here's why

00:15:44.720 you shouldn't

00:15:45.340 trust me,

00:15:46.640 because we live

00:15:47.520 in a world

00:15:47.960 where nobody

00:15:48.640 is credible

00:15:49.200 about anything,

00:15:50.620 really.

00:15:51.660 You know,

00:15:52.020 every one of your

00:15:53.000 major institutions

00:15:54.880 in this country,

00:15:56.500 from medical

00:15:57.680 to government

00:15:58.440 to financial,

00:15:59.340 they've all lied

00:15:59.920 to you.

00:16:00.960 They've all lied

00:16:01.740 to you recently.

00:16:02.920 There's no such thing

00:16:04.000 as credibility anymore.

00:16:06.020 You need to

00:16:06.620 kind of find a way

00:16:07.980 to, you know,

00:16:09.820 suss out what is true

00:16:11.080 and what isn't

00:16:11.660 on your own,

00:16:12.480 because you can't

00:16:13.240 trust anybody else.

00:16:14.660 So I wouldn't

00:16:15.980 ask somebody

00:16:16.740 on the left

00:16:17.700 to trust me

00:16:18.900 about any data.

00:16:21.220 So I said this.

00:16:23.040 Don't trust me

00:16:23.680 about the data.

00:16:24.660 Good call.

00:16:25.500 You shouldn't.

00:16:26.680 Trust the left-leaning

00:16:28.240 people who are

00:16:29.260 experts

00:16:30.040 at analyzing data

00:16:31.680 and statistics.

00:16:32.620 That's fair, right?

00:16:33.860 Trust the people

00:16:34.720 on your own team

00:16:35.800 who are experts

00:16:37.600 at this.

00:16:38.960 Don't try to be

00:16:39.740 an expert

00:16:40.140 at something

00:16:40.540 you're not an expert at.

00:16:41.640 Trust your own experts,

00:16:43.180 because they'll

00:16:43.800 sort it out for you.

00:16:48.040 And then I said,

00:16:49.200 they are all hiding,

00:16:50.600 meaning the experts

00:16:51.600 on the left.

00:16:53.120 Hear the dog

00:16:54.000 not barking.

00:16:56.000 Where's that dog?

00:16:57.620 We're having this

00:16:58.460 big national conversation

00:16:59.840 about what the data

00:17:00.900 shows.

00:17:01.960 Do you remember

00:17:02.480 seeing all the

00:17:03.300 data experts

00:17:04.340 on the left

00:17:05.320 explaining all the

00:17:06.760 data on television

00:17:07.680 or in newspaper articles?

00:17:10.600 Well, you might have

00:17:11.720 seen them in the

00:17:12.580 context where they

00:17:13.580 get to speak

00:17:14.440 without being challenged.

00:17:16.300 You might have seen

00:17:17.340 a left-leaning person

00:17:18.660 give a two-minute

00:17:20.300 interview to a

00:17:21.300 left-leaning

00:17:21.960 data expert.

00:17:23.800 But is that useful?

00:17:25.200 No, that's just

00:17:25.960 the left talking

00:17:27.100 to itself.

00:17:30.120 So I said,

00:17:30.900 no professional

00:17:31.500 data or statistics

00:17:32.900 expert on the

00:17:34.000 left are helping

00:17:34.840 us sort out

00:17:35.480 the data.

00:17:36.680 Why?

00:17:38.640 Why?

00:17:39.120 Why is it that

00:17:40.500 the most useful

00:17:41.760 and obvious people

00:17:42.900 to be in the

00:17:43.480 conversation

00:17:44.060 are completely

00:17:45.640 missing?

00:17:47.120 I can find

00:17:48.100 idiots,

00:17:49.300 lots of idiots.

00:17:50.780 I can find

00:17:51.680 people who claim

00:17:52.580 to understand

00:17:53.880 data,

00:17:54.360 but don't.

00:17:55.080 They're not

00:17:55.440 experts.

00:17:56.120 Don't claim

00:17:56.580 to be experts.

00:17:58.040 I can find

00:17:59.020 every kind of

00:17:59.780 person in the

00:18:00.340 world in those

00:18:01.060 protests.

00:18:02.100 I can find

00:18:02.800 every kind of

00:18:03.480 person in the

00:18:04.040 world talking

00:18:05.260 on TV,

00:18:06.080 giving their

00:18:06.480 opinions,

00:18:07.280 blogging,

00:18:07.880 making videos.

00:18:09.300 But you know

00:18:09.840 who I don't

00:18:10.520 see?

00:18:12.360 A data and

00:18:13.460 statistics expert

00:18:14.780 on the left

00:18:15.740 talking about

00:18:17.340 the stuff that

00:18:18.160 the riots and

00:18:18.980 the protests

00:18:19.480 are about.

00:18:21.520 Where are

00:18:22.200 they?

00:18:22.920 And if they

00:18:23.660 only talk to

00:18:24.280 other people

00:18:24.640 on the left,

00:18:25.160 you still

00:18:25.440 wouldn't have

00:18:25.860 something.

00:18:26.300 So,

00:18:27.320 when I said

00:18:28.200 why don't

00:18:28.680 you see

00:18:29.000 them,

00:18:29.560 I follow up

00:18:30.320 in the thread

00:18:30.800 and say,

00:18:31.780 you fucking

00:18:32.440 know why.

00:18:33.560 They would

00:18:34.000 be canceled

00:18:34.680 by their

00:18:35.180 own team

00:18:35.740 if they

00:18:36.080 told the

00:18:36.520 truth.

00:18:37.680 Don't

00:18:38.160 believe me?

00:18:39.780 Again,

00:18:40.680 good call.

00:18:42.660 We live

00:18:43.340 in a world

00:18:43.800 where no one

00:18:44.300 is credible,

00:18:44.960 so let me

00:18:45.340 offer a test

00:18:46.380 of my claim.

00:18:47.560 Don't trust

00:18:48.140 me.

00:18:49.200 Test it

00:18:49.680 for yourself.

00:18:50.240 Here's the

00:18:50.580 test.

00:18:51.740 Find me

00:18:52.240 the most

00:18:52.600 credible and

00:18:53.460 left-leaning

00:18:54.100 data-statistics

00:18:55.680 expert and

00:18:57.120 put that

00:18:57.640 expert in

00:18:58.340 a long-form

00:18:59.300 interview.

00:19:00.040 Long-form

00:19:00.580 is important,

00:19:01.400 so you

00:19:01.580 need to

00:19:01.920 have enough

00:19:02.600 back and

00:19:03.060 forth to

00:19:04.040 exhaust the

00:19:04.720 topic,

00:19:05.420 with a

00:19:06.200 well-informed

00:19:06.900 right-leaning

00:19:08.000 interviewer on

00:19:09.760 the topic of

00:19:10.480 police violence.

00:19:12.700 Let's say

00:19:13.460 Ben Shapiro,

00:19:14.820 just to put a

00:19:15.520 name to it.

00:19:16.700 So let's say

00:19:17.140 Ben Shapiro,

00:19:18.560 in a long-form

00:19:19.500 interview, which

00:19:20.220 he does well,

00:19:20.880 better than

00:19:22.140 just about

00:19:22.840 anybody,

00:19:23.980 and put

00:19:25.600 their best

00:19:26.100 expert on

00:19:26.660 and have

00:19:28.080 him just

00:19:28.560 talk it

00:19:29.480 out, so

00:19:30.640 we can

00:19:30.880 learn something.

00:19:33.040 All right?

00:19:34.740 And then I

00:19:35.580 say this will

00:19:36.180 not happen,

00:19:37.560 and you know

00:19:38.360 it won't.

00:19:39.740 Ask yourself

00:19:40.520 why.

00:19:42.000 Why won't

00:19:42.860 the most

00:19:43.300 obvious thing

00:19:44.940 happen?

00:19:47.140 What's the

00:19:47.800 most obvious

00:19:48.260 thing?

00:19:48.580 somebody on

00:19:50.000 the right

00:19:50.400 who is

00:19:52.020 skeptical of

00:19:52.880 the data,

00:19:53.900 who is

00:19:54.160 well-informed,

00:19:55.020 having a

00:19:55.580 long-form

00:19:56.120 interview with

00:19:56.720 somebody on

00:19:57.180 the left

00:19:57.560 who actually

00:19:58.460 is an

00:19:58.780 expert and

00:20:00.440 would speak

00:20:01.120 to the

00:20:01.420 data.

00:20:02.380 You'll never

00:20:03.000 see it.

00:20:04.320 Why?

00:20:05.300 Why will

00:20:05.720 you never

00:20:06.040 see the

00:20:06.420 one thing

00:20:07.020 that's the

00:20:07.940 only useful

00:20:08.440 thing?

00:20:09.480 You can't

00:20:09.920 even, if

00:20:10.660 you told me,

00:20:11.280 well, Scott,

00:20:11.800 there are

00:20:12.000 other useful

00:20:12.620 things?

00:20:13.100 No, there

00:20:13.520 aren't.

00:20:14.500 No, there

00:20:14.900 aren't.

00:20:15.260 You don't

00:20:16.560 want to see

00:20:17.060 the left

00:20:17.840 talking to

00:20:18.320 the left.

00:20:19.020 What do

00:20:19.400 you learn

00:20:19.660 from that?

00:20:20.520 You don't

00:20:20.960 want to see

00:20:21.320 the right

00:20:21.680 talking to

00:20:22.200 the right.

00:20:23.180 What are

00:20:23.520 you going

00:20:23.700 to learn

00:20:23.900 from that?

00:20:24.660 And you

00:20:25.000 also don't

00:20:25.420 want to see

00:20:25.860 the right

00:20:26.360 talking to

00:20:26.880 the left

00:20:27.260 in a

00:20:28.020 two-minute

00:20:28.560 TV interview

00:20:30.000 where they

00:20:30.460 just both

00:20:30.960 spew some

00:20:31.580 talking points

00:20:32.220 and time's

00:20:32.920 up.

00:20:33.980 What good

00:20:34.400 is that?

00:20:35.280 There's

00:20:35.620 literally

00:20:36.040 one and

00:20:36.820 only one

00:20:37.400 way to

00:20:38.600 get to

00:20:39.020 any better

00:20:39.800 level of

00:20:40.400 understanding,

00:20:41.240 both left

00:20:41.740 and right.

00:20:42.660 You've got

00:20:43.040 to put your

00:20:43.580 champions on

00:20:45.800 the field

00:20:46.180 at the

00:20:46.480 same time.

00:20:47.980 I choose

00:20:48.860 Ben Shapiro

00:20:49.660 as my,

00:20:51.920 you would

00:20:52.160 be my

00:20:52.620 first recruit

00:20:53.860 as somebody

00:20:55.560 who would

00:20:56.120 have enough

00:20:56.660 broad

00:20:57.280 understanding

00:20:58.140 of the

00:20:58.500 situation

00:20:58.980 and the

00:20:59.500 data

00:20:59.780 to have

00:21:00.640 an

00:21:00.780 intelligent

00:21:01.220 long-form

00:21:01.860 interview.

00:21:03.100 You're never

00:21:03.460 going to see

00:21:03.840 it.

00:21:05.060 All right?

00:21:06.680 And then I

00:21:07.520 continue,

00:21:08.020 you know that

00:21:08.500 executive order

00:21:09.260 Trump just

00:21:09.800 signed that

00:21:10.280 creates a

00:21:10.800 national database

00:21:11.740 of police

00:21:12.520 misconduct.

00:21:15.900 Half the

00:21:16.460 country is

00:21:16.940 in for a

00:21:17.320 big surprise

00:21:18.100 if the

00:21:19.120 data is

00:21:19.640 deemed

00:21:19.940 credible.

00:21:20.680 Of course,

00:21:21.060 that's a

00:21:21.360 big if.

00:21:22.040 People will

00:21:22.480 doubt the

00:21:22.840 data if it

00:21:23.320 disagrees.

00:21:24.580 To be fair,

00:21:25.220 that surprise

00:21:25.800 could go

00:21:26.200 either way.

00:21:27.880 We don't

00:21:28.420 know which

00:21:28.700 way it'll

00:21:28.980 go.

00:21:30.060 If you're

00:21:30.480 being honest,

00:21:32.120 and we

00:21:32.480 should be

00:21:32.940 because we're

00:21:33.360 at that

00:21:33.640 point where

00:21:34.120 maybe we

00:21:35.500 just need

00:21:35.820 to be

00:21:36.060 honest for

00:21:36.500 a change.

00:21:38.240 If we're

00:21:38.720 being honest,

00:21:39.840 maybe when

00:21:40.640 we collect

00:21:41.160 the data

00:21:41.600 and do

00:21:41.900 a better

00:21:42.180 job of

00:21:42.680 it,

00:21:43.320 the people

00:21:43.920 on the

00:21:44.240 right are

00:21:44.640 going to

00:21:44.800 be shocked.

00:21:46.180 As in,

00:21:47.220 holy cow,

00:21:48.020 I didn't

00:21:48.220 realize things

00:21:48.760 were that

00:21:49.100 bad.

00:21:50.020 How can

00:21:50.380 we help?

00:21:51.520 Because if

00:21:52.220 there's one

00:21:52.600 thing that I

00:21:53.100 say over

00:21:53.640 and over

00:21:53.940 again that

00:21:54.420 nobody believes

00:21:55.120 on the

00:21:55.460 left,

00:21:56.400 I don't

00:21:56.840 think if

00:21:58.080 you're black

00:21:58.580 you can

00:21:58.920 believe this.

00:21:59.980 It just

00:22:00.340 seems

00:22:00.800 unbelievable.

00:22:02.320 There's

00:22:02.780 nothing that

00:22:03.320 white people

00:22:03.760 like better

00:22:04.220 than helping.

00:22:06.060 Nothing.

00:22:07.440 We like it

00:22:08.480 better than

00:22:08.900 food.

00:22:09.420 We like

00:22:10.300 it better

00:22:10.560 than guns.

00:22:11.720 We like

00:22:12.100 guns.

00:22:13.800 A lot of

00:22:14.640 people on

00:22:14.960 the right

00:22:15.200 love guns.

00:22:16.620 I associate

00:22:17.460 left to

00:22:18.460 Bernie on

00:22:18.920 all social

00:22:19.560 things,

00:22:20.460 but in

00:22:20.680 terms of

00:22:21.340 talking about

00:22:22.860 it, I

00:22:23.280 like to

00:22:23.700 associate with

00:22:24.460 the right

00:22:24.760 just because

00:22:25.160 I like

00:22:25.520 them better.

00:22:26.780 People on

00:22:27.400 the right

00:22:27.640 are nicer

00:22:28.040 to me.

00:22:29.420 Nobody on

00:22:29.820 the right

00:22:30.100 has ever

00:22:30.420 canceled me

00:22:31.020 or even

00:22:31.940 tried.

00:22:33.280 I just

00:22:34.040 am more

00:22:34.360 comfortable

00:22:34.760 with people

00:22:35.500 who are

00:22:35.800 good people

00:22:36.420 who are

00:22:36.880 willing to

00:22:37.480 accept me

00:22:38.840 for who I

00:22:39.600 am as

00:22:39.920 long as

00:22:40.140 I don't

00:22:40.340 lie to

00:22:40.640 you,

00:22:41.400 which I

00:22:41.820 think is

00:22:42.140 a fair

00:22:42.480 deal.

00:22:44.540 So

00:22:44.980 somebody is

00:22:45.640 going to

00:22:45.780 be really

00:22:46.180 surprised when

00:22:47.640 this database

00:22:48.300 of police

00:22:48.940 misconduct

00:22:49.620 gets up and

00:22:50.600 populated to

00:22:51.440 the point

00:22:51.740 where, if

00:22:53.240 it ever gets

00:22:53.740 to that,

00:22:54.120 where we

00:22:54.400 can trust

00:22:54.780 it.

00:22:55.640 I don't

00:22:56.180 know which

00:22:56.480 way the

00:22:56.780 surprise is

00:22:57.320 going to

00:22:57.580 go, but

00:22:58.940 don't we

00:22:59.340 need to

00:22:59.700 know that?

00:23:01.120 Now, what's

00:23:01.660 funny about

00:23:02.200 this is I

00:23:02.860 think Trump

00:23:03.720 is calling

00:23:04.580 people's bluff.

00:23:05.680 By calling

00:23:06.960 for a

00:23:07.280 national

00:23:07.620 database of

00:23:08.480 police

00:23:08.780 misconduct,

00:23:10.020 how do

00:23:10.600 you read

00:23:11.000 that?

00:23:12.020 The only

00:23:12.560 way to

00:23:12.940 read that

00:23:13.380 is he

00:23:13.820 doesn't

00:23:14.140 think the

00:23:14.700 data that

00:23:15.180 we have

00:23:15.740 is telling

00:23:16.660 the truth.

00:23:18.340 Right?

00:23:18.900 You wouldn't

00:23:19.580 ask for

00:23:20.240 better data

00:23:20.880 if you

00:23:21.760 thought you

00:23:22.140 had good

00:23:22.540 data.

00:23:24.000 That just

00:23:24.800 stands to

00:23:25.380 reason.

00:23:26.400 He is

00:23:26.760 challenging

00:23:27.620 the data,

00:23:29.380 and I

00:23:29.760 think that's

00:23:30.180 fair,

00:23:30.980 because if

00:23:31.980 there's any

00:23:32.380 disagreement on

00:23:33.160 the data,

00:23:33.740 well, that

00:23:34.040 just makes

00:23:34.440 things worse.

00:23:35.040 So that's,

00:23:36.320 of course,

00:23:36.720 the smartest,

00:23:37.600 best thing

00:23:38.020 that could

00:23:38.360 be done,

00:23:39.280 which will

00:23:39.820 be called

00:23:40.480 by his

00:23:40.920 critics,

00:23:41.460 not enough,

00:23:42.420 not enough.

00:23:43.380 I continue

00:23:43.960 in my thread,

00:23:45.140 and I say

00:23:45.480 canceled culture

00:23:46.360 has forced

00:23:47.840 white people

00:23:48.460 to lie to

00:23:49.220 black people

00:23:49.800 for self-preservation.

00:23:52.080 No solutions

00:23:53.020 are possible

00:23:53.640 when debate

00:23:54.300 is effectively

00:23:55.080 outlawed,

00:23:55.960 I mean,

00:23:56.180 not actually

00:23:56.760 in the law,

00:23:57.440 but effectively

00:23:58.060 outlawed,

00:23:58.920 and the data

00:23:59.900 experts are

00:24:00.620 in hiding.

00:24:02.280 How do you

00:24:02.680 solve a problem

00:24:03.420 when you can't

00:24:04.720 talk honestly,

00:24:06.140 because you'll

00:24:06.520 be canceled,

00:24:07.560 and you can't

00:24:08.660 even ask your

00:24:09.220 experts to

00:24:09.900 weigh in?

00:24:11.700 How in the

00:24:12.480 world?

00:24:13.760 How in the

00:24:14.320 world?

00:24:16.520 All right,

00:24:17.780 so I get

00:24:19.300 more provocative

00:24:20.020 as we go here.

00:24:20.960 I say,

00:24:21.200 we are now

00:24:21.660 experiencing mass

00:24:22.620 protests over

00:24:23.560 an issue

00:24:23.940 the data

00:24:24.480 can't find

00:24:25.380 in a context

00:24:27.060 of continuous

00:24:27.900 race relations

00:24:29.180 improvement.

00:24:30.840 Really,

00:24:31.280 every year

00:24:31.780 has been better.

00:24:33.000 And everyone

00:24:33.680 started out

00:24:34.380 on the same

00:24:34.940 side after

00:24:36.160 seeing the

00:24:36.640 George Floyd

00:24:37.240 video.

00:24:38.200 And more

00:24:39.140 white people

00:24:39.720 than black

00:24:40.240 people protested.

00:24:41.960 You can't

00:24:42.900 get much more

00:24:43.520 agreement than

00:24:44.180 that.

00:24:45.800 So how did

00:24:46.680 we get,

00:24:47.260 my tweet

00:24:48.340 continues,

00:24:49.260 how did

00:24:49.840 we get to

00:24:50.240 this absurd

00:24:51.020 point in

00:24:51.600 which the

00:24:52.000 country is

00:24:52.520 being ripped

00:24:53.180 apart by

00:24:54.560 agreement?

00:24:55.940 We're being

00:24:56.740 ripped apart

00:24:57.660 by agreement.

00:25:00.600 I mean,

00:25:01.060 the things we

00:25:01.600 disagree on are

00:25:02.380 trivial,

00:25:03.100 and we're all

00:25:03.480 willing to

00:25:04.000 run those

00:25:06.800 things to

00:25:07.180 ground.

00:25:07.920 But the

00:25:08.440 big picture

00:25:09.000 is that

00:25:10.300 whatever we

00:25:11.260 saw in that

00:25:11.880 George Floyd

00:25:12.800 thing,

00:25:13.580 that shit's

00:25:14.280 got to stop.

00:25:15.020 whatever that

00:25:16.540 was,

00:25:17.200 we'll let

00:25:17.960 the legal

00:25:18.640 system sort

00:25:19.540 it out.

00:25:21.420 I'm of the

00:25:22.300 view that you

00:25:22.800 never really

00:25:23.580 know everything

00:25:24.180 that's going

00:25:24.660 on,

00:25:25.700 especially in

00:25:26.660 the beginning.

00:25:27.860 But whatever

00:25:28.480 that shit

00:25:29.000 was,

00:25:29.660 that's got to

00:25:30.280 stop.

00:25:31.620 Nobody disagrees

00:25:32.580 with that.

00:25:33.460 So we've got

00:25:34.380 massive protests

00:25:35.500 over agreement.

00:25:38.540 How do you

00:25:39.360 get to such

00:25:39.980 an absurd

00:25:40.520 situation?

00:25:42.620 Well,

00:25:43.280 I continue.

00:25:43.800 the biggest

00:25:45.180 red pill

00:25:45.760 in the

00:25:46.100 world is

00:25:47.340 the realization

00:25:48.060 that your

00:25:48.580 opinions on

00:25:49.420 politics are

00:25:51.000 assigned to

00:25:51.960 you by

00:25:53.500 people who

00:25:54.100 know how to

00:25:54.620 make you

00:25:55.020 believe you

00:25:55.700 made up your

00:25:56.380 own mind.

00:25:57.760 There's probably

00:25:58.540 some genetic

00:25:59.180 propensity for

00:26:00.040 conservatism or

00:26:01.280 liberalism, but

00:26:02.660 not the policy

00:26:03.460 details, not

00:26:04.660 the specific

00:26:05.620 what do you do

00:26:06.200 about it

00:26:06.640 details.

00:26:08.300 Most of you

00:26:09.160 know I'm a

00:26:09.580 trained hypnotist

00:26:10.320 and I write

00:26:10.760 about techniques

00:26:11.360 of persuasion.

00:26:13.020 Viewed through

00:26:13.600 my filter, the

00:26:14.840 current upheaval

00:26:15.600 in the country

00:26:16.060 is predicated

00:26:16.900 on something

00:26:17.520 real and

00:26:18.380 important to

00:26:19.160 fix, racism.

00:26:21.140 But the way

00:26:22.000 we are acting

00:26:23.080 on it comes

00:26:25.220 from external

00:26:26.220 persuasion.

00:26:28.180 The way we're

00:26:29.140 acting on it

00:26:30.100 is irrational.

00:26:32.120 Because remember,

00:26:32.820 we're largely

00:26:33.380 in agreement.

00:26:35.140 What do you do

00:26:36.040 when you're in

00:26:36.540 agreement?

00:26:37.640 You sit down,

00:26:38.620 you talk about

00:26:39.140 the solutions,

00:26:39.940 you work it out,

00:26:40.820 you have some

00:26:41.300 votes.

00:26:41.620 We're not

00:26:42.740 doing that or

00:26:43.780 anything like

00:26:44.380 that.

00:26:45.520 So obviously

00:26:47.360 whatever is

00:26:48.320 happening is

00:26:50.260 divorced now from

00:26:51.540 data and

00:26:52.040 reason.

00:26:52.840 What caused

00:26:53.760 it?

00:26:54.540 What caused

00:26:55.240 so many people

00:26:56.220 to leave the

00:26:57.600 field of

00:26:58.360 reason when

00:26:59.820 they largely

00:27:00.860 won what they

00:27:01.580 were trying to

00:27:02.140 win?

00:27:03.460 So then I

00:27:04.440 said this.

00:27:04.960 I said, I

00:27:05.760 don't see a

00:27:06.280 public trying to

00:27:06.960 find solutions.

00:27:07.900 Now people

00:27:08.700 are suggesting

00:27:09.860 solutions, but

00:27:11.360 watch how those

00:27:12.100 solutions are not

00:27:12.980 accepted.

00:27:14.260 So if you say

00:27:15.020 to yourself, people

00:27:15.720 are trying to

00:27:16.280 find solutions,

00:27:17.160 they keep

00:27:17.460 suggesting

00:27:17.960 solutions.

00:27:19.120 Somebody

00:27:19.560 suggested this

00:27:20.380 legislation,

00:27:21.800 Trump did

00:27:22.340 this executive

00:27:23.240 order, Black

00:27:24.020 Lives Matter

00:27:24.560 has a list,

00:27:25.500 lots of

00:27:25.980 suggestions.

00:27:27.020 Of course,

00:27:27.700 Scott, they're

00:27:28.040 trying to fix

00:27:28.720 it.

00:27:29.340 No, they're

00:27:29.740 not.

00:27:30.520 No, they're

00:27:30.860 not.

00:27:31.980 No, you

00:27:32.740 would see us

00:27:33.620 trying to agree

00:27:34.320 on the data if

00:27:35.200 people were trying

00:27:35.800 to fix it.

00:27:36.400 And you

00:27:36.980 would see

00:27:37.300 people say,

00:27:38.100 oh, President

00:27:39.200 Trump, your

00:27:39.780 executive order,

00:27:40.600 that's good

00:27:40.980 stuff.

00:27:41.860 Can we talk

00:27:42.400 about some

00:27:42.800 other stuff?

00:27:43.900 We accept

00:27:44.620 where you want

00:27:45.920 on that.

00:27:46.440 We'd like to

00:27:47.000 see more.

00:27:48.380 You think

00:27:48.760 you'll see

00:27:49.080 that?

00:27:49.400 No, no, no.

00:27:50.420 You're going

00:27:50.660 to see more

00:27:51.060 puppet fights.

00:27:52.280 You're going

00:27:52.720 to see the

00:27:53.060 puppets fighting

00:27:53.740 even when they

00:27:55.280 agree and even

00:27:56.520 when one of the

00:27:57.140 puppets says,

00:27:57.720 hey, how about

00:27:58.080 this?

00:27:58.940 Can we talk

00:27:59.480 about this?

00:28:00.840 Would this

00:28:01.300 work for you?

00:28:02.480 No, puppet

00:28:03.240 fight.

00:28:04.660 That's just

00:28:05.280 what you do

00:28:05.700 when somebody

00:28:06.160 offers you a

00:28:06.820 concession as

00:28:07.500 you have a

00:28:08.440 puppet fight

00:28:08.900 with them

00:28:09.220 because you're

00:28:09.880 so rational.

00:28:13.240 So here's

00:28:14.060 what I said.

00:28:15.420 I don't see a

00:28:16.360 public trying to

00:28:16.940 find solutions.

00:28:17.680 What I see is

00:28:18.380 hypnotized puppets

00:28:19.520 fighting other

00:28:20.780 hypnotized puppets

00:28:21.860 while the puppet

00:28:23.020 masters cash

00:28:24.120 their checks.

00:28:25.740 And no, I don't

00:28:26.740 blame George

00:28:27.600 Soros.

00:28:28.280 this isn't

00:28:29.420 about money

00:28:29.980 influence.

00:28:31.160 It's about

00:28:31.880 something far

00:28:32.580 more powerful.

00:28:34.860 And then I

00:28:35.680 concluded this

00:28:37.140 way.

00:28:37.620 You aren't yet

00:28:38.280 ready for the

00:28:38.900 truth, but you

00:28:40.880 will be.

00:28:42.520 You're not there

00:28:43.420 yet, but you

00:28:46.020 will be.

00:28:48.620 So it's

00:28:49.340 coming.

00:28:51.140 It's coming.

00:28:52.660 Some of the

00:28:53.220 biggest red

00:28:53.860 pills in the

00:28:54.500 world.

00:28:54.780 Now, when I

00:28:56.420 talk about

00:28:56.840 this, some

00:28:57.720 people wondered,

00:28:59.020 are you talking

00:28:59.400 about a

00:28:59.940 discrete event

00:29:01.080 that you know

00:29:01.720 about, that

00:29:03.940 you're telling us

00:29:04.660 is coming?

00:29:05.080 No, it's not a

00:29:05.860 discrete event.

00:29:08.140 What's happening

00:29:09.020 is there are a

00:29:11.000 number of

00:29:11.680 discrete events

00:29:13.080 which look like

00:29:14.300 they're independent

00:29:15.160 events and are,

00:29:17.060 but collectively

00:29:18.220 they're starting

00:29:18.920 to form a

00:29:19.640 tapestry.

00:29:20.920 That tapestry

00:29:22.100 will be your

00:29:22.900 new understanding

00:29:23.860 of reality.

00:29:24.780 reality, you

00:29:26.000 are heading to

00:29:27.180 a higher level

00:29:28.080 of awareness.

00:29:30.700 Not all of you

00:29:31.800 at the same

00:29:32.320 rate, and some

00:29:33.920 of you won't

00:29:34.420 make it at all.

00:29:35.760 It's an

00:29:36.560 individual journey.

00:29:38.320 But on

00:29:38.680 average, on

00:29:40.380 average, by the

00:29:42.200 end of this

00:29:42.860 year, 2020,

00:29:45.040 ironically 2020,

00:29:46.560 the same

00:29:47.560 numbers we

00:29:49.160 used to

00:29:51.420 describe perfect

00:29:52.720 vision,

00:29:53.380 vision, in

00:29:54.920 2020, the

00:29:55.900 year of

00:29:56.300 perfect vision,

00:29:57.600 the entire

00:29:58.840 world just

00:30:00.740 lost all

00:30:02.500 their credibility

00:30:03.900 and experts.

00:30:06.020 That's part of

00:30:07.040 it.

00:30:07.400 It's not all

00:30:08.000 of it.

00:30:08.920 But losing

00:30:09.600 your belief that

00:30:10.800 the experts are

00:30:11.700 on your side and

00:30:12.760 telling you the

00:30:13.400 truth is really

00:30:15.240 important to get

00:30:16.560 to the next

00:30:17.180 level.

00:30:17.540 And that part

00:30:18.860 is complete.

00:30:20.960 You do not

00:30:22.040 believe any

00:30:23.360 experts anymore.

00:30:25.360 You still have to

00:30:26.380 listen to them

00:30:26.900 because there are

00:30:27.880 lots of situations

00:30:29.060 where listening to

00:30:30.260 the expert is

00:30:30.880 better than

00:30:31.300 guessing.

00:30:32.320 But you don't

00:30:33.240 have the same

00:30:34.100 trust that you

00:30:36.200 would have had

00:30:36.740 even if you hear

00:30:37.560 all the experts

00:30:38.860 agree.

00:30:39.760 When you hear

00:30:40.640 all the experts

00:30:41.540 agree, what does

00:30:42.320 that mean in

00:30:42.980 2020?

00:30:43.400 2020?

00:30:45.100 Nothing.

00:30:46.180 It doesn't mean

00:30:46.840 anything.

00:30:47.980 It used to.

00:30:49.260 It used to mean

00:30:49.980 a lot.

00:30:51.160 If you heard that

00:30:51.900 all the experts

00:30:52.600 agreed, weren't

00:30:54.580 you pretty sure

00:30:55.880 that was true?

00:30:57.160 Maybe not every

00:30:57.940 time, but didn't

00:30:58.840 you say to

00:30:59.220 yourself, well,

00:30:59.920 all the experts

00:31:00.720 agree, it's

00:31:01.840 probably 80 or

00:31:02.660 90% likely to

00:31:04.240 be true.

00:31:05.680 Not anymore.

00:31:07.520 I mean, I

00:31:07.860 don't know if it

00:31:08.280 was ever true.

00:31:08.840 I suspect it was

00:31:10.080 never true that

00:31:11.480 the experts were

00:31:12.280 right 80 to

00:31:12.920 90% of the

00:31:13.680 time, but you

00:31:15.320 certainly don't

00:31:15.920 believe it

00:31:16.380 anymore.

00:31:17.820 Now, what do

00:31:18.780 you believe?

00:31:20.340 Well, that's the

00:31:21.040 part that's still

00:31:21.940 coming together.

00:31:23.520 And by the end

00:31:24.100 of this year,

00:31:25.760 almost all of

00:31:26.740 you, not all

00:31:27.760 of you, everybody's

00:31:28.660 individual, almost

00:31:30.520 all of you will

00:31:32.640 have reached a

00:31:33.340 new level of

00:31:34.040 awareness that's

00:31:35.860 actually unprecedented.

00:31:38.020 Now, what that

00:31:39.000 will feel like and

00:31:39.780 what that will

00:31:40.240 look like, still a

00:31:42.360 little bit unknown.

00:31:43.940 I mean, the whole

00:31:44.760 point of a higher

00:31:45.600 level of awareness

00:31:46.520 is if you could

00:31:47.740 see it from where

00:31:48.500 you were at, it

00:31:50.020 wouldn't exist.

00:31:51.660 Right?

00:31:51.860 The whole point

00:31:52.500 of it is to move

00:31:54.560 to a higher level

00:31:55.260 of awareness.

00:31:56.580 And that's the

00:31:57.660 big red pill

00:31:58.300 that's coming.

00:31:59.500 It's a whole

00:32:00.100 bunch of small

00:32:01.020 things that

00:32:01.840 collectively are

00:32:02.680 going to sum up

00:32:03.480 to a new view

00:32:04.940 of your entire

00:32:06.000 understanding of

00:32:08.020 reality and

00:32:09.060 your place

00:32:09.620 within it.

00:32:13.180 So that wasn't

00:32:14.120 what you were

00:32:14.500 expecting today,

00:32:15.180 was it?

00:32:16.860 I saw Steve

00:32:17.800 Bannon say

00:32:18.320 something that

00:32:19.740 just fascinated me.

00:32:21.320 And this gets

00:32:22.120 back to sort

00:32:23.880 of like, you

00:32:24.920 know, the

00:32:25.180 feeling about

00:32:26.040 the, the

00:32:28.400 feeling about

00:32:29.060 the simulation.

00:32:30.900 You know, the

00:32:31.200 idea that we live

00:32:32.160 in a computer

00:32:33.060 simulation and

00:32:33.960 we're not real

00:32:34.820 in an original

00:32:36.140 sense.

00:32:37.540 We're real as

00:32:38.100 software, but in

00:32:39.180 that view of the

00:32:39.780 things, but not

00:32:40.540 real as the

00:32:41.660 creators who

00:32:42.280 made the

00:32:42.600 software.

00:32:43.960 Now, here's

00:32:46.580 one of those

00:32:47.260 situations that

00:32:48.240 just makes me

00:32:49.060 think, you

00:32:51.300 know, I don't

00:32:51.800 think it's true

00:32:52.780 in the way I'm

00:32:54.780 going to say it,

00:32:55.360 but it just

00:32:56.320 feels like we

00:32:57.320 live in a

00:32:57.840 programmed movie

00:32:59.460 because there

00:33:00.880 are so many

00:33:01.360 things that

00:33:01.760 happen that

00:33:02.280 fit a

00:33:03.480 storyline or a

00:33:04.620 narrative.

00:33:05.360 It's just

00:33:05.780 getting harder

00:33:06.440 and harder to

00:33:06.980 ignore.

00:33:07.860 Now, your

00:33:08.160 first assumption

00:33:08.920 should be is

00:33:09.560 nothing but

00:33:10.400 coincidence and

00:33:11.400 confirmation bias.

00:33:12.940 And I wouldn't

00:33:13.600 tell you it's

00:33:14.160 more than that.

00:33:15.500 But when you

00:33:16.240 see it, it's

00:33:16.640 still interesting.

00:33:18.000 So I'm going

00:33:18.400 to call it out.

00:33:19.920 So Steve

00:33:20.400 Bannon made

00:33:21.000 this observation

00:33:22.720 that George

00:33:24.480 Floyd, we

00:33:26.960 know from the

00:33:27.480 coronary

00:33:27.760 report, had

00:33:29.080 coronavirus, and

00:33:30.760 he also had

00:33:31.280 fentanyl in his

00:33:32.500 system.

00:33:32.860 Now, there's

00:33:34.880 a separate

00:33:35.260 conversation about

00:33:36.100 how much those

00:33:36.760 matter to the

00:33:37.460 outcome, but

00:33:38.940 what are the

00:33:39.460 odds that George

00:33:40.380 Floyd would have

00:33:41.620 two things from

00:33:42.940 China in his

00:33:43.740 system, and

00:33:45.280 they're both

00:33:45.680 bad?

00:33:48.800 Is that a

00:33:49.600 coincidence?

00:33:50.500 Doesn't that feel

00:33:51.200 like the simulation

00:33:52.140 is winking at you?

00:33:53.740 It's like the

00:33:54.360 biggest trigger

00:33:55.440 point maybe that

00:33:57.660 we've ever seen

00:33:58.480 in terms of a

00:33:59.620 single event that

00:34:02.500 lasted nine

00:34:03.260 minutes that

00:34:04.840 changed the

00:34:05.420 world.

00:34:07.300 What are the

00:34:08.100 odds that that

00:34:08.740 single moment

00:34:09.660 that changed

00:34:11.060 everything, at

00:34:12.660 the same time

00:34:13.300 that we're

00:34:13.580 experiencing a

00:34:14.460 pandemic caused

00:34:15.700 by China, at

00:34:16.560 the same time

00:34:17.280 we're having an

00:34:18.480 economic

00:34:19.080 dislocation also

00:34:21.420 caused by China,

00:34:23.040 what were the

00:34:23.800 odds that that

00:34:24.400 person who was

00:34:25.220 the flashpoint for

00:34:26.260 everything, had

00:34:27.700 in his body

00:34:28.740 the two most

00:34:31.000 visible variables

00:34:32.420 of China's

00:34:34.940 complete evil.

00:34:38.080 What a weird

00:34:38.960 coincidence.

00:34:40.100 Now, it's not

00:34:40.600 a meaningful, it

00:34:41.820 might not be

00:34:42.340 meaningful in

00:34:43.600 terms of

00:34:44.100 explaining what

00:34:44.880 happened.

00:34:45.820 It's sort of an

00:34:46.380 unknown.

00:34:47.280 I would say that

00:34:48.060 having fentanyl in

00:34:49.100 your body on

00:34:50.800 top of whatever

00:34:52.800 other drugs, on

00:34:53.960 top of police

00:34:54.860 being on your

00:34:55.820 chest,

00:34:56.260 and on your

00:34:56.660 neck, on top

00:34:57.720 of any

00:34:58.740 excitation from

00:34:59.840 the situation,

00:35:01.140 on top of

00:35:02.140 whatever underlying

00:35:03.860 health conditions,

00:35:05.500 there are a lot

00:35:06.280 of variables

00:35:06.720 involved.

00:35:07.780 But what are

00:35:08.760 the odds that

00:35:09.320 fentanyl would

00:35:10.080 be one of

00:35:10.560 them?

00:35:12.040 I don't know.

00:35:12.660 I think the

00:35:13.160 simulation is

00:35:14.920 winking at you

00:35:15.740 and telling you

00:35:16.540 that, hey,

00:35:18.240 hey everybody,

00:35:19.740 hey everybody,

00:35:20.740 there's another

00:35:22.000 level, there's

00:35:23.840 another level.

00:35:24.580 I can't tell

00:35:25.760 you what it

00:35:26.160 is, because

00:35:26.680 even if I

00:35:27.200 did, it's

00:35:28.320 too soon.

00:35:29.460 You have to

00:35:29.880 be ready.

00:35:31.260 The foundation

00:35:32.640 has to be

00:35:33.320 poured before

00:35:34.520 you can enjoy

00:35:35.400 the next level

00:35:36.220 of awareness.

00:35:37.400 I can't tell

00:35:37.940 you what it

00:35:38.360 is, but

00:35:39.020 wink,

00:35:40.600 wink,

00:35:41.300 wink,

00:35:41.860 wink.

00:35:42.020 all right.

00:35:44.640 So,

00:35:47.120 somebody says,

00:35:51.260 I have not

00:35:51.820 and I will

00:35:52.480 not wear a

00:35:53.480 mask.

00:35:54.620 So,

00:35:56.060 is anybody

00:35:56.600 who has been

00:35:57.400 watching my

00:35:57.980 periscopes for

00:35:58.680 a while

00:35:59.020 alarmed about

00:36:00.920 some of my

00:36:01.540 books being

00:36:02.080 upside down on

00:36:02.960 the shelf

00:36:03.340 behind me?

00:36:03.960 have any

00:36:06.560 of you

00:36:06.780 noticed

00:36:07.280 that

00:36:08.900 some time

00:36:10.400 ago one

00:36:10.980 of the

00:36:11.180 books was

00:36:11.560 upside down

00:36:12.160 and then

00:36:14.340 later it

00:36:14.840 was right

00:36:15.180 side up,

00:36:15.960 but then the

00:36:16.880 middle book

00:36:17.220 was upside

00:36:17.660 down?

00:36:19.420 And yesterday

00:36:20.120 I got a

00:36:20.500 message from

00:36:20.980 somebody who

00:36:21.360 said,

00:36:21.980 you're driving

00:36:22.380 me crazy

00:36:22.900 with that

00:36:23.240 upside down

00:36:23.880 book.

00:36:25.180 My OCD

00:36:25.900 is getting

00:36:27.080 triggered.

00:36:28.100 Can you

00:36:28.600 put the

00:36:30.280 Winn-Bigley

00:36:30.780 book right

00:36:32.120 side up?

00:36:32.620 So I

00:36:33.740 said yes

00:36:34.380 because if

00:36:35.180 somebody asked

00:36:35.660 me for

00:36:36.020 something like

00:36:36.540 that,

00:36:36.760 of course

00:36:37.080 I'm going

00:36:37.420 to.

00:36:38.680 But I

00:36:39.160 had to

00:36:39.420 turn the

00:36:39.700 other book

00:36:40.060 upside down

00:36:40.740 because I

00:36:42.180 wanted to

00:36:42.480 see how

00:36:42.760 many of

00:36:43.040 you noticed.

00:36:45.140 Well,

00:36:45.600 now that I've

00:36:46.060 admitted that

00:36:46.600 I was doing

00:36:47.000 it intentionally,

00:36:48.720 now of

00:36:49.840 course that

00:36:50.320 is an

00:36:52.160 example of

00:36:53.180 persuasion.

00:36:54.420 And I did

00:36:54.900 it so that I

00:36:55.660 could call it

00:36:56.220 out later once

00:36:57.080 I was done.

00:36:58.600 If any of

00:36:59.320 you noticed

00:36:59.840 it and it

00:37:01.160 made you spend

00:37:02.040 some time

00:37:02.600 wondering about

00:37:03.600 it, that's

00:37:04.800 all it was

00:37:05.220 supposed to

00:37:05.620 do.

00:37:06.300 It was

00:37:06.840 supposed to

00:37:07.260 make you

00:37:07.900 pause and

00:37:09.400 wonder.

00:37:10.240 Because the

00:37:10.660 more attention

00:37:11.300 you give

00:37:11.960 me, no

00:37:13.200 matter, you

00:37:13.880 know, as

00:37:14.040 long as it's

00:37:14.420 positive attention,

00:37:15.620 even negative

00:37:16.220 attention sometimes,

00:37:17.880 is sort of a

00:37:19.780 bonding process.

00:37:23.040 So the more

00:37:24.320 you think about

00:37:25.060 somebody, the

00:37:25.860 more important

00:37:26.440 they seem, the

00:37:27.180 more likely you're

00:37:28.020 going to check

00:37:29.060 their content

00:37:29.640 out the next

00:37:30.600 time you see

00:37:31.120 it.

00:37:31.280 Now, yes, so

00:37:36.420 this is a

00:37:37.360 simple technique

00:37:38.180 of using

00:37:38.780 something that's

00:37:39.620 intentionally

00:37:40.220 wrong to

00:37:41.780 draw your

00:37:42.320 attention.

00:37:43.400 Now, I've

00:37:43.840 talked about

00:37:44.320 in the past,

00:37:45.020 most of you

00:37:45.440 have heard

00:37:45.680 it, I

00:37:46.040 wrote about

00:37:46.420 it in

00:37:46.680 Winn-Bigley

00:37:47.140 as well,

00:37:48.200 that the

00:37:49.120 president's

00:37:49.820 tweets often

00:37:51.040 have a

00:37:51.460 misspelling.

00:37:53.420 You know,

00:37:53.600 for example,

00:37:54.220 recently instead

00:37:54.980 of stopped,

00:37:56.660 he typed

00:37:57.560 stooped.

00:37:59.080 It's got to

00:37:59.580 be stooped.

00:38:01.020 Now, I

00:38:03.780 don't think

00:38:04.280 that he

00:38:04.780 makes that

00:38:05.280 kind of

00:38:05.640 mistake

00:38:06.080 intentionally.

00:38:08.620 So unlike

00:38:09.360 my situation

00:38:10.300 where I

00:38:10.740 intentionally

00:38:11.260 turned a

00:38:11.740 book upside

00:38:12.200 down to

00:38:12.740 create a

00:38:13.140 mistake, I

00:38:14.400 don't believe

00:38:14.860 that the

00:38:15.340 mistakes you

00:38:15.980 see in the

00:38:16.380 president's

00:38:16.860 tweets are

00:38:17.400 intentional.

00:38:18.140 They're just

00:38:18.460 typos.

00:38:19.460 They're just

00:38:19.860 typos.

00:38:20.760 Maybe he gets

00:38:21.300 a fact wrong.

00:38:22.200 I mean, it's

00:38:22.540 just normal

00:38:22.980 stuff.

00:38:23.320 But, he

00:38:26.300 doesn't

00:38:26.720 delete them.

00:38:28.500 And the

00:38:29.100 fact that he

00:38:29.560 doesn't delete

00:38:30.320 them and

00:38:30.820 simply just

00:38:31.520 retweet it

00:38:32.280 with the

00:38:32.600 correct words

00:38:33.520 is telling

00:38:35.020 you something.

00:38:36.180 It's a

00:38:36.600 decision.

00:38:38.340 Would

00:38:38.560 Barack Obama

00:38:39.620 leave a

00:38:40.900 typo in

00:38:42.120 a tweet?

00:38:43.680 Would

00:38:44.080 Barack Obama

00:38:45.040 leave a

00:38:46.380 typo in

00:38:47.360 a tweet?

00:38:48.220 If he

00:38:48.540 could just

00:38:48.880 delete it,

00:38:50.060 because somebody

00:38:50.460 always points

00:38:51.860 it out right

00:38:52.320 away, right?

00:38:52.780 In the

00:38:53.040 first five

00:38:53.620 minutes after

00:38:55.000 a presidential

00:38:55.680 tweet, probably

00:38:56.520 60 seconds

00:38:57.380 into the

00:38:58.500 tweet, somebody

00:39:00.080 is going to

00:39:00.420 tell the

00:39:00.760 president,

00:39:01.300 oops, you

00:39:02.820 got a

00:39:03.060 typo.

00:39:05.740 Barack Obama

00:39:06.760 would fix

00:39:08.000 it, because

00:39:08.740 he'd want to

00:39:09.160 look professional.

00:39:10.380 He'd want to

00:39:10.980 present himself

00:39:11.800 as a person

00:39:13.860 who cares

00:39:14.860 about the

00:39:15.260 details.

00:39:15.940 That would

00:39:16.260 be part of

00:39:17.240 his brand.

00:39:19.060 President

00:39:19.520 Trump would

00:39:21.400 see a typo

00:39:22.140 and say,

00:39:22.780 quite

00:39:23.740 reasonably,

00:39:24.940 this typo

00:39:26.220 is going

00:39:26.440 to make

00:39:26.660 people look

00:39:27.200 at this

00:39:27.540 tweet.

00:39:28.620 The

00:39:29.180 typo, even

00:39:30.640 though it's

00:39:30.960 an accident,

00:39:32.320 added something.

00:39:34.020 It's an

00:39:34.540 addition.

00:39:35.920 It's not a

00:39:36.660 subtraction.

00:39:37.660 It's an

00:39:38.300 addition.

00:39:39.060 Because what

00:39:39.600 he wants when

00:39:40.120 he sends a

00:39:40.560 tweet is your

00:39:41.120 attention.

00:39:42.200 Why would

00:39:42.640 he tweet if

00:39:43.160 he doesn't

00:39:43.480 want you to

00:39:43.860 pay attention?

00:39:45.120 Do you

00:39:45.440 remember that

00:39:45.920 fascinating tweet

00:39:46.940 that Barack

00:39:47.580 Obama sent?

00:39:49.320 No, you

00:39:50.600 don't, because

00:39:51.820 Barack Obama

00:39:52.600 never sent a

00:39:53.680 tweet that

00:39:54.680 you would

00:39:55.180 remember.

00:39:56.900 In fact, you

00:39:57.940 probably didn't

00:39:58.380 remember it for

00:39:59.000 five minutes

00:39:59.620 when you

00:39:59.880 ever saw it.

00:40:01.180 How many

00:40:01.600 tweets of

00:40:02.240 President Trump's

00:40:03.020 do you remember?

00:40:03.740 At least, you

00:40:04.320 know, conceptually,

00:40:05.240 not the exact

00:40:05.860 words.

00:40:06.700 Probably a lot.

00:40:08.540 Covfefe, for

00:40:09.480 example.

00:40:10.460 Just to pick

00:40:11.280 one.

00:40:12.040 Probably a lot.

00:40:12.980 So the

00:40:14.000 President is

00:40:15.040 operating at a

00:40:16.120 higher level of

00:40:17.200 awareness.

00:40:18.060 This is what I

00:40:18.680 told you in

00:40:19.380 2015, is what I

00:40:20.780 noticed immediately

00:40:21.900 about him.

00:40:23.400 He's operating on

00:40:24.480 a persuasion

00:40:25.360 level, which

00:40:26.480 means that when

00:40:27.320 he tells a

00:40:27.960 fact that the

00:40:29.560 fact-checkers

00:40:30.300 say, no, that

00:40:31.540 fact is not

00:40:32.500 right, does he

00:40:33.680 know it's not

00:40:34.260 a fact?

00:40:35.540 He knows it

00:40:36.160 doesn't matter.

00:40:37.700 He knows it

00:40:38.540 doesn't matter.

00:40:40.480 That's what you

00:40:41.180 need to understand.

00:40:41.980 He knows it

00:40:43.900 doesn't matter.

00:40:45.460 As long as the

00:40:46.660 facts he's

00:40:47.400 alleging are

00:40:48.560 directionally

00:40:49.600 useful, meaning

00:40:51.040 he's persuading

00:40:51.880 you quite

00:40:52.580 obviously and

00:40:53.600 transparently

00:40:54.240 toward a

00:40:55.700 policy or a

00:40:56.800 situation which

00:40:58.340 he can describe

00:40:59.200 all of its

00:40:59.880 benefits, there's

00:41:00.640 nothing really

00:41:01.140 hidden about

00:41:01.760 that.

00:41:02.900 And so if

00:41:03.580 he uses a

00:41:05.360 fact that

00:41:06.480 doesn't pass

00:41:07.100 the fact-checking

00:41:08.020 and he gets

00:41:09.020 called out on

00:41:09.800 it, all the

00:41:10.920 smart people

00:41:11.580 operating at

00:41:12.480 a lower

00:41:12.820 level of

00:41:13.360 awareness

00:41:13.680 say, what's

00:41:15.020 wrong with

00:41:15.420 you?

00:41:15.740 Are you

00:41:16.080 crazy?

00:41:16.700 Are you

00:41:17.100 stupid?

00:41:17.940 Why are you

00:41:18.520 not correcting

00:41:19.200 these obvious

00:41:20.020 mistakes?

00:41:21.260 And the

00:41:21.820 reason is

00:41:22.480 Trump operates

00:41:24.140 at a higher

00:41:25.080 level of

00:41:25.640 awareness.

00:41:27.280 If you hate

00:41:28.200 him, it's

00:41:28.680 hard to hear.

00:41:29.640 I know.

00:41:30.720 It's really

00:41:31.480 hard to hear

00:41:32.060 if you hate

00:41:33.040 him.

00:41:33.780 But a

00:41:34.560 whole big

00:41:35.980 part of

00:41:36.940 why people

00:41:37.400 don't understand

00:41:38.140 why he does

00:41:38.860 what he does

00:41:39.460 and it

00:41:39.780 scares him

00:41:40.300 to death.

00:41:41.200 Because when

00:41:41.620 you see

00:41:41.960 somebody

00:41:42.360 powerful,

00:41:43.900 and what's

00:41:44.660 more powerful

00:41:45.240 than the

00:41:45.600 presidency,

00:41:46.420 when you

00:41:46.840 see somebody

00:41:47.360 powerful and

00:41:48.820 you don't

00:41:49.140 know why

00:41:49.600 they're doing

00:41:50.040 what they're

00:41:50.400 doing, how

00:41:51.860 is that not

00:41:52.680 scary, really?

00:41:54.840 How could

00:41:55.320 you not be

00:41:56.060 scared by

00:41:57.660 watching the

00:41:58.180 most powerful

00:41:58.940 person in

00:42:00.280 your world,

00:42:00.980 if you're in

00:42:01.360 America, doing

00:42:02.720 things that

00:42:03.340 don't make

00:42:03.920 sense to you?

00:42:06.560 Scary, right?

00:42:07.800 So you can

00:42:08.480 completely

00:42:08.900 understand why

00:42:09.680 half of the

00:42:10.180 country, their

00:42:11.720 hair is on

00:42:12.220 fire, they

00:42:13.240 just don't

00:42:13.660 know why he

00:42:14.000 does what he

00:42:14.420 does.

00:42:15.460 And the

00:42:15.800 reason is

00:42:16.240 this, he

00:42:17.320 knows what

00:42:17.840 matters, and

00:42:19.800 he knows

00:42:20.140 what's

00:42:20.440 bullshit.

00:42:21.800 If you

00:42:22.460 said to

00:42:22.780 me, is

00:42:23.400 Trump the

00:42:23.860 very best

00:42:24.500 medical

00:42:25.160 professional in

00:42:25.940 the world?

00:42:26.280 I'd say

00:42:26.620 probably not.

00:42:28.220 It's not

00:42:28.920 something he's

00:42:29.640 studied.

00:42:30.660 If you

00:42:31.060 said, is

00:42:31.620 Trump an

00:42:32.520 expert on

00:42:33.100 any one of

00:42:33.880 a number of

00:42:34.900 detailed

00:42:35.900 technical

00:42:36.820 topics, I

00:42:37.540 would say,

00:42:38.460 no, nor

00:42:39.320 does he

00:42:39.620 claim to

00:42:40.040 be experts

00:42:40.520 on those

00:42:41.120 detailed

00:42:41.540 technical

00:42:42.140 topics.

00:42:43.660 But, there

00:42:45.520 is one

00:42:45.960 thing that

00:42:46.420 Trump is

00:42:47.420 an expert

00:42:47.880 on, and

00:42:49.360 I don't

00:42:49.620 even think

00:42:50.100 his critics

00:42:51.020 would disagree.

00:42:52.680 He knows

00:42:53.480 bullshit.

00:42:54.840 He lives

00:42:55.780 it.

00:42:56.400 He breathes

00:42:56.900 it.

00:42:57.200 He produces

00:42:57.740 it.

00:42:58.660 He manages

00:42:59.640 it.

00:43:00.080 He spots

00:43:00.700 it.

00:43:01.440 He changes

00:43:02.400 it.

00:43:03.160 He creates

00:43:03.900 it.

00:43:04.900 He knows

00:43:05.740 bullshit.

00:43:06.300 bullshit.

00:43:07.180 And he

00:43:07.820 can smell

00:43:08.540 it a

00:43:08.900 mile away.

00:43:10.200 That's

00:43:10.560 that hunch

00:43:11.460 thing.

00:43:12.580 When the

00:43:13.240 president

00:43:13.580 closed the

00:43:14.740 airports,

00:43:15.620 when all

00:43:16.420 of the

00:43:16.720 experts

00:43:17.180 said, no,

00:43:17.940 no, no,

00:43:18.360 too soon,

00:43:18.860 too soon,

00:43:19.320 we don't

00:43:19.580 have data,

00:43:20.420 what was

00:43:21.080 he operating

00:43:21.820 on?

00:43:23.040 A hunch.

00:43:24.320 What's

00:43:24.620 another way

00:43:25.240 to describe

00:43:26.300 that same

00:43:26.920 situation?

00:43:28.380 He smelled

00:43:29.420 bullshit.

00:43:30.120 bullshit.

00:43:31.000 He smelled

00:43:32.120 the bullshit

00:43:32.760 on the

00:43:34.680 entire world.

00:43:35.540 He could

00:43:35.820 smell bullshit

00:43:36.560 from fucking

00:43:37.540 Wuhan,

00:43:38.360 China.

00:43:39.360 That's how

00:43:40.200 good he

00:43:40.620 smelled

00:43:40.940 bullshit.

00:43:42.880 So,

00:43:44.140 consider that

00:43:45.300 when you

00:43:46.380 see that the

00:43:46.860 president's

00:43:47.400 executive order

00:43:48.340 prominently

00:43:49.860 asks for a

00:43:50.520 national database

00:43:51.420 on police

00:43:52.080 misconduct.

00:43:52.820 what that's

00:43:55.200 saying is,

00:43:56.300 he knows

00:43:56.980 the data

00:43:57.620 that people

00:43:58.100 are using

00:43:58.720 to make

00:43:59.160 decisions,

00:44:00.060 they're using

00:44:00.700 the wrong

00:44:01.080 data,

00:44:01.800 and that they

00:44:02.520 are trapped

00:44:03.120 in a

00:44:03.600 delusion.

00:44:05.440 He's trapped

00:44:06.140 in a

00:44:06.520 delusion.

00:44:08.460 Somebody's

00:44:09.100 saying,

00:44:09.400 who is

00:44:09.660 this guy?

00:44:11.160 Well,

00:44:11.500 welcome.

00:44:12.380 Whoever

00:44:12.720 asked who

00:44:13.240 I am,

00:44:15.140 you should

00:44:15.880 read

00:44:16.280 Winn Bigley

00:44:17.020 as your

00:44:18.140 introduction

00:44:18.660 to the

00:44:19.440 answer to

00:44:19.780 that question.

00:44:22.820 So,

00:44:24.280 say what

00:44:24.620 you will

00:44:24.940 about the

00:44:25.320 president.

00:44:26.740 I saw

00:44:27.080 Mike Cernovich

00:44:27.780 say the

00:44:28.200 other day

00:44:28.640 that he

00:44:30.820 thinks that

00:44:31.460 Trump has

00:44:31.920 lost a

00:44:32.560 step with

00:44:33.340 age,

00:44:34.500 but he's

00:44:35.700 not in

00:44:36.140 complete

00:44:36.600 breakdown

00:44:37.900 like Biden

00:44:38.640 is,

00:44:38.940 of course.

00:44:39.400 There's a

00:44:39.660 big difference.

00:44:40.560 I would

00:44:40.800 agree with

00:44:41.160 that.

00:44:41.480 I think,

00:44:42.120 if you're

00:44:42.500 being fair,

00:44:44.080 has Trump

00:44:44.660 lost a

00:44:45.360 step with

00:44:46.080 age?

00:44:46.420 I'd say

00:44:46.740 yes.

00:44:47.780 I would

00:44:48.100 say yes.

00:44:48.880 I would

00:44:49.320 say I've

00:44:49.740 lost a

00:44:50.420 step with

00:44:51.180 age as

00:44:51.840 well.

00:44:52.060 Now,

00:44:53.040 one of

00:44:53.400 the things

00:44:53.680 that people

00:44:54.140 don't realize

00:44:54.840 until they

00:44:55.440 become a

00:44:56.660 certain age

00:44:57.180 is that

00:44:57.960 there's a

00:44:58.420 compensation

00:44:58.960 strategy,

00:45:00.360 meaning that

00:45:01.200 old people

00:45:01.860 lose certain

00:45:02.920 abilities,

00:45:03.720 but they

00:45:04.000 gain other

00:45:04.660 abilities,

00:45:05.520 and they

00:45:05.960 use the

00:45:06.320 abilities they've

00:45:07.120 gained to

00:45:07.800 compensate for

00:45:08.480 the ones they

00:45:08.940 know they're

00:45:09.300 losing.

00:45:11.100 And so,

00:45:12.180 I don't

00:45:13.740 worry

00:45:14.200 automatically

00:45:15.620 about somebody

00:45:17.120 in the early

00:45:18.080 to mid-70s

00:45:19.360 who looks like

00:45:20.820 they've lost a

00:45:21.600 little bit of

00:45:22.120 a step.

00:45:23.660 Because that

00:45:24.340 doesn't tell you

00:45:24.960 the whole story

00:45:25.700 because they've

00:45:26.880 got other

00:45:27.280 things going

00:45:27.820 on,

00:45:28.260 they've got

00:45:28.620 trusted

00:45:29.020 advisors,

00:45:29.900 they've got

00:45:30.180 a lifetime

00:45:30.620 of calling

00:45:31.140 out bullshit,

00:45:32.080 they have

00:45:32.460 some strong

00:45:33.020 capabilities that

00:45:34.020 can compensate

00:45:35.220 for any

00:45:35.800 loss of a

00:45:37.660 step.

00:45:37.920 people.

00:45:39.060 But it's

00:45:40.380 fair to call

00:45:40.880 it out.

00:45:42.240 It is fair

00:45:42.780 to call

00:45:43.200 it out.

00:45:44.060 When I was

00:45:44.920 saying that

00:45:45.480 Hillary Clinton

00:45:46.180 looked unhealthy

00:45:47.140 before she

00:45:49.100 collapsed and

00:45:49.920 was carried

00:45:50.840 away and

00:45:51.480 dragged into

00:45:52.060 a car,

00:45:53.120 I've been

00:45:53.720 saying that

00:45:54.080 for months

00:45:54.600 because it

00:45:56.900 looked it.

00:45:57.860 It just

00:45:58.240 looked that

00:45:58.640 way to me.

00:46:00.420 When I say

00:46:01.340 that Joe

00:46:01.800 Biden appears

00:46:03.320 to have lost

00:46:04.020 his mental

00:46:05.140 abilities,

00:46:05.940 far beyond

00:46:08.140 the point

00:46:08.840 where he

00:46:09.240 should have

00:46:09.640 any job

00:46:10.300 really,

00:46:10.820 except maybe

00:46:12.140 7-Eleven.

00:46:13.880 I'm saying

00:46:14.400 that because

00:46:14.840 that's just

00:46:15.260 an observation

00:46:15.960 and I'm

00:46:17.040 trying to be

00:46:17.600 objective.

00:46:18.480 That is not

00:46:19.300 based on

00:46:19.960 politics.

00:46:20.700 It's just

00:46:21.280 what I see.

00:46:22.680 Likewise,

00:46:23.300 I think I

00:46:23.840 would be a

00:46:24.480 liar or a

00:46:25.180 hypocrite if

00:46:26.320 I were not

00:46:26.780 to call out

00:46:27.300 as Mike

00:46:27.700 Cernovich did,

00:46:28.860 that it

00:46:29.540 looks to

00:46:29.900 me like

00:46:31.380 Trump has

00:46:31.900 lost his

00:46:32.400 step.

00:46:34.020 But,

00:46:34.900 again,

00:46:35.340 you have

00:46:35.560 to look

00:46:35.800 at the

00:46:36.000 big picture.

00:46:37.260 I think

00:46:37.800 he's also

00:46:38.260 gained a

00:46:39.280 lot in

00:46:39.840 terms of

00:46:40.200 the capability

00:46:40.860 of how

00:46:41.220 to be a

00:46:41.540 president by

00:46:42.740 being a

00:46:43.140 president.

00:46:44.600 I would

00:46:45.000 say that

00:46:45.480 his top

00:46:46.640 advisors on

00:46:47.540 the most

00:46:47.960 important

00:46:48.520 things are

00:46:49.780 extraordinary.

00:46:51.200 The most

00:46:51.700 important things

00:46:52.400 being how

00:46:52.980 we deal with

00:46:53.520 other countries

00:46:54.140 and our

00:46:54.800 economy.

00:46:55.860 In my

00:46:56.200 opinion,

00:46:56.760 those are

00:46:57.100 the top

00:46:57.680 priorities.

00:46:58.740 His

00:46:59.020 advisors in

00:46:59.800 those

00:46:59.980 categories,

00:47:01.260 Mike

00:47:01.580 Pompeo,

00:47:02.720 excellent.

00:47:03.120 Steve

00:47:04.160 Mnuchin,

00:47:05.180 excellent.

00:47:06.180 Peter

00:47:06.560 Navarro,

00:47:07.740 excellent.

00:47:09.360 Three top

00:47:10.020 advisors,

00:47:11.180 those are

00:47:11.860 A-plus

00:47:12.200 advisors,

00:47:13.740 at least as

00:47:14.240 far as I

00:47:14.620 can tell.

00:47:15.440 You never

00:47:16.100 really know

00:47:16.700 because you

00:47:17.040 can't tell

00:47:17.560 from the

00:47:17.840 outside.

00:47:18.740 But from

00:47:19.060 what we

00:47:19.420 can see,

00:47:20.800 those are

00:47:21.240 three of

00:47:21.800 the top

00:47:22.380 best,

00:47:23.440 most

00:47:24.300 qualified,

00:47:25.240 and so

00:47:25.580 far have

00:47:26.140 functioned

00:47:27.960 really at

00:47:29.160 the highest

00:47:29.500 level so

00:47:30.180 far,

00:47:30.440 very

00:47:30.660 impressively,

00:47:31.240 I would

00:47:31.740 say.

00:47:32.600 So do

00:47:33.280 you care

00:47:33.620 that Trump

00:47:34.120 is 74

00:47:35.120 and he

00:47:35.820 was a

00:47:36.080 little bit

00:47:36.380 sharper at

00:47:37.100 55?

00:47:39.000 Yeah,

00:47:39.800 you should

00:47:40.160 care about

00:47:40.580 that,

00:47:41.260 but you

00:47:41.700 have to

00:47:41.940 see it

00:47:42.180 in context

00:47:42.740 too.

00:47:44.480 And I

00:47:45.280 will reiterate

00:47:45.880 we should

00:47:46.720 not have

00:47:47.140 presidents

00:47:47.580 who are

00:47:47.900 over 70.

00:47:49.080 It's just

00:47:49.520 a bad

00:47:49.860 idea.

00:47:50.760 It's just

00:47:51.260 adding a

00:47:51.920 risk to

00:47:52.560 something that

00:47:53.120 you didn't

00:47:53.440 need to

00:47:53.740 add a

00:47:54.500 risk to.

00:47:55.560 But here

00:47:56.160 we are.

00:47:56.620 We have

00:47:56.920 two choices

00:47:57.460 of candidates

00:47:58.700 over 70,

00:47:59.360 so we'll

00:48:00.640 have to

00:48:00.860 pick the

00:48:01.180 one you

00:48:01.420 like.

00:48:04.800 Oh yeah,

00:48:05.480 let's talk

00:48:05.820 about Kamala

00:48:06.540 Harris.

00:48:07.060 It feels

00:48:07.500 like every

00:48:08.100 day somebody

00:48:09.680 smart is

00:48:11.100 writing an

00:48:11.600 opinion piece

00:48:12.180 saying,

00:48:12.680 well, it's

00:48:13.060 got to be

00:48:13.380 Kamala

00:48:13.660 Harris.

00:48:14.880 It's kind

00:48:15.580 of come

00:48:15.860 down to

00:48:16.480 it kind

00:48:17.400 of has

00:48:17.640 to be

00:48:17.880 Kamala

00:48:18.240 Harris.

00:48:19.540 Now,

00:48:20.860 I don't

00:48:22.200 know how

00:48:22.480 we can

00:48:22.820 ignore the

00:48:23.360 fact that

00:48:24.000 there's

00:48:24.200 just blatant

00:48:24.760 racism,

00:48:25.300 because if

00:48:26.820 a job

00:48:27.300 requirement,

00:48:27.900 the vice

00:48:29.100 presidency in

00:48:29.860 this case,

00:48:30.600 if the

00:48:31.280 job

00:48:31.540 requirement

00:48:32.040 has a

00:48:33.100 guaranteed

00:48:33.580 racial

00:48:35.180 component

00:48:35.800 and a

00:48:36.760 guaranteed,

00:48:37.460 I think

00:48:37.760 guaranteed

00:48:38.220 gender

00:48:39.360 component,

00:48:40.540 I don't

00:48:41.320 know if

00:48:41.720 you can

00:48:42.000 call that

00:48:42.440 anything

00:48:42.820 but racism.

00:48:44.800 Now,

00:48:45.060 I get

00:48:45.380 why,

00:48:46.200 I understand

00:48:46.960 why Biden

00:48:47.600 is doing

00:48:48.260 it,

00:48:48.820 and I'll

00:48:49.640 even go

00:48:50.000 further.

00:48:50.660 If I

00:48:51.200 were Biden,

00:48:51.720 I'd do

00:48:52.020 it too.

00:48:53.540 I would

00:48:54.140 do it,

00:48:55.020 wouldn't

00:48:55.280 you?

00:48:55.680 If you

00:48:56.160 were Biden

00:48:56.660 and you

00:48:57.620 were trying

00:48:57.920 to get

00:48:58.200 elected,

00:48:59.180 and as

00:48:59.460 long as

00:48:59.780 he's being

00:49:00.160 transparent

00:49:00.760 about it,

00:49:01.220 I mean,

00:49:01.460 it's racism,

00:49:02.220 but I have

00:49:04.260 to give him

00:49:04.660 some credit

00:49:05.240 for being

00:49:05.680 transparent.

00:49:07.200 Biden is

00:49:07.920 telling the

00:49:08.400 country,

00:49:08.920 look,

00:49:09.720 I'm going

00:49:10.180 to be

00:49:10.400 racist

00:49:10.940 in this

00:49:11.820 decision.

00:49:12.540 There's no

00:49:12.880 other word

00:49:13.720 for it.

00:49:14.360 If you're

00:49:14.980 requiring a

00:49:15.740 race for

00:49:17.160 a job,

00:49:18.680 you're a

00:49:19.200 racist.

00:49:20.060 There's no

00:49:20.600 other way

00:49:21.200 to shade

00:49:21.860 that,

00:49:22.200 right?

00:49:22.400 And I

00:49:24.320 would be

00:49:25.040 insulted if

00:49:25.920 anybody

00:49:26.280 disagreed

00:49:26.920 with that.

00:49:28.040 It is

00:49:28.660 explicit

00:49:29.400 racism by

00:49:30.560 the cleanest,

00:49:31.460 most obvious

00:49:32.300 definition.

00:49:33.300 There's nothing

00:49:33.740 more racist

00:49:34.300 than your

00:49:35.500 race will

00:49:36.020 determine

00:49:36.380 whether you're

00:49:36.860 eligible for

00:49:37.520 a job.

00:49:38.620 In the

00:49:39.120 government?

00:49:41.120 Now,

00:49:41.540 I know

00:49:41.760 there's not

00:49:42.200 a legal

00:49:42.780 requirement,

00:49:43.520 but Biden

00:49:43.960 said it

00:49:44.500 explicitly.

00:49:46.580 And let

00:49:47.280 me say,

00:49:48.420 if I or

00:49:49.280 you were in

00:49:49.780 his situation,

00:49:50.600 it's actually

00:49:52.000 a good

00:49:52.340 play.

00:49:53.540 It's not

00:49:54.000 dumb.

00:49:55.240 It's the

00:49:55.720 smartest,

00:49:56.460 most reasonable

00:49:57.200 thing it

00:49:57.580 can do.

00:49:58.060 And it

00:49:58.580 has a

00:49:59.040 good

00:49:59.260 intention.

00:50:00.220 The good

00:50:00.900 intention is

00:50:01.800 to make

00:50:03.160 the country

00:50:03.620 feel comfortable

00:50:04.460 that it's

00:50:05.140 represented.

00:50:06.400 And I

00:50:06.700 don't think

00:50:06.940 there's

00:50:07.120 anything wrong

00:50:07.620 with the

00:50:08.640 intention.

00:50:10.280 Nothing

00:50:10.820 wrong with

00:50:11.260 the intention.

00:50:12.140 So we

00:50:12.580 kind of let

00:50:13.020 it slide

00:50:13.560 and say,

00:50:14.160 well,

00:50:14.880 the intention

00:50:15.780 is obviously

00:50:17.060 good.

00:50:18.380 You know,

00:50:18.640 even if you're

00:50:19.160 Republican,

00:50:19.680 even if

00:50:21.260 you're

00:50:21.440 Republican,

00:50:22.280 and even

00:50:22.720 if you say

00:50:23.220 that's

00:50:23.700 totally

00:50:24.080 racist,

00:50:25.120 requiring a

00:50:25.900 race for

00:50:26.300 a job,

00:50:27.140 what else

00:50:27.560 is it?

00:50:27.860 It's just

00:50:28.120 racist.

00:50:29.140 But even

00:50:29.620 the Republicans,

00:50:31.100 I think if you

00:50:31.800 talk to them

00:50:32.340 privately,

00:50:32.900 would say,

00:50:33.500 but yeah,

00:50:34.480 it's well

00:50:35.020 intentioned.

00:50:36.060 You might not

00:50:36.860 think it's a

00:50:37.340 good idea.

00:50:38.120 You might not

00:50:38.640 like who he

00:50:39.300 picks,

00:50:40.120 but you'd

00:50:40.840 have to

00:50:41.340 admit,

00:50:42.780 can we

00:50:43.200 just admit

00:50:43.880 that it's

00:50:45.580 well intentioned?

00:50:46.500 It's a good

00:50:46.880 strategy to get

00:50:47.740 elected as

00:50:48.260 well.

00:50:48.480 I don't

00:50:49.440 say any

00:50:49.760 bad intention

00:50:50.380 to it

00:50:50.920 whatsoever.

00:50:55.940 So,

00:50:56.720 we do

00:50:57.120 expect the

00:50:57.700 Kamal

00:50:58.060 will be

00:50:58.880 picked.

00:50:59.440 Now,

00:50:59.700 let me

00:50:59.860 ask you

00:51:00.200 this.

00:51:01.800 As your

00:51:02.620 tapestry of

00:51:03.940 the big red

00:51:04.600 pill starts to

00:51:05.480 come together,

00:51:06.880 and you're

00:51:08.700 seeing the

00:51:10.120 patches of

00:51:11.160 the tapestry

00:51:12.140 individually,

00:51:13.400 here's another

00:51:14.100 patch.

00:51:14.840 Just throw

00:51:15.240 this into

00:51:16.980 your thinking

00:51:17.620 when you're

00:51:18.880 starting to

00:51:19.440 see a

00:51:19.980 larger truth

00:51:21.000 revealed over

00:51:21.800 the coming

00:51:22.200 months.

00:51:24.060 Think about

00:51:24.980 when I told

00:51:25.800 you that

00:51:27.240 Kamala Harris

00:51:28.000 would be the

00:51:28.660 VP pick to

00:51:30.640 be the real

00:51:31.180 president,

00:51:32.240 because of

00:51:33.120 Biden's brain.

00:51:34.760 Think about

00:51:35.300 how long

00:51:35.920 ago I told

00:51:36.960 you that.

00:51:38.320 Think about

00:51:39.040 me telling

00:51:40.460 you that

00:51:40.920 Trump would

00:51:41.740 be president

00:51:42.380 in 2015

00:51:43.760 publicly

00:51:45.520 and loudly.

00:51:47.480 Think about

00:51:48.300 how loudly

00:51:49.120 and publicly

00:51:51.300 and repeatedly

00:51:52.300 I told you

00:51:53.880 that the

00:51:54.300 least likely

00:51:55.120 person in

00:51:55.760 the world,

00:51:56.340 according to

00:51:56.800 everybody else,

00:51:58.460 was going to

00:51:58.940 be your next

00:51:59.500 president.

00:52:00.320 I told you

00:52:01.140 that Kamala

00:52:01.660 Harris would

00:52:02.820 be effectively

00:52:03.720 the candidate

00:52:04.420 after she

00:52:05.760 dropped out

00:52:06.480 of the

00:52:06.800 fucking race.

00:52:09.000 Think about

00:52:09.740 that.

00:52:10.040 Now, it

00:52:11.880 still could

00:52:12.200 change.

00:52:12.660 It could be

00:52:12.940 Susan Rice

00:52:13.560 in the end.

00:52:14.240 It could be

00:52:14.500 things we

00:52:14.860 don't know

00:52:15.320 are happening

00:52:15.800 behind the

00:52:16.320 scenes.

00:52:17.220 It could be

00:52:17.600 something they

00:52:18.100 found out

00:52:18.580 about Kamala

00:52:19.220 Harris that

00:52:19.800 we don't

00:52:20.140 know that

00:52:20.880 takes her

00:52:22.040 out of the

00:52:22.320 running.

00:52:23.160 But at

00:52:23.460 the moment,

00:52:25.320 wouldn't you

00:52:25.820 agree that

00:52:26.300 at the moment,

00:52:27.120 if he were

00:52:27.580 to pick

00:52:27.920 today, it

00:52:29.520 looks like it

00:52:30.060 would be

00:52:30.340 Kamala

00:52:30.680 Harris?

00:52:31.760 And at

00:52:32.360 the moment,

00:52:33.840 you would

00:52:34.280 all agree

00:52:34.860 that Kamala

00:52:35.860 Harris would

00:52:36.520 be, if

00:52:37.500 not on

00:52:38.040 day one,

00:52:38.640 very soon

00:52:40.220 the most

00:52:40.860 influential

00:52:41.460 person and

00:52:42.300 effectively the

00:52:43.180 president behind

00:52:43.840 the president.

00:52:45.220 Would you

00:52:45.860 agree?

00:52:47.140 I bet you

00:52:47.620 didn't agree

00:52:48.040 when I first

00:52:48.560 said it,

00:52:48.920 did you?

00:52:50.000 So, I

00:52:50.760 just want you

00:52:51.960 to put that

00:52:52.480 fact that I

00:52:54.140 called this

00:52:54.960 so far in

00:52:56.040 advance that

00:52:57.920 it approaches

00:52:58.500 magic.

00:53:00.360 And I did

00:53:00.820 it twice.

00:53:02.000 Because calling

00:53:02.620 Trump for

00:53:03.160 president, I'm

00:53:04.020 not saying other

00:53:04.560 people didn't

00:53:05.200 also think he

00:53:06.700 would be

00:53:06.980 president.

00:53:07.340 I wasn't

00:53:07.920 the one

00:53:08.360 person in

00:53:08.840 the world.

00:53:09.520 But I

00:53:10.000 want you

00:53:10.260 to keep

00:53:10.580 those two

00:53:11.080 facts in

00:53:11.780 your head.

00:53:13.200 That how

00:53:13.680 far in

00:53:14.540 advance I

00:53:15.260 saw those

00:53:15.820 things developing.

00:53:18.020 What I

00:53:18.740 see developing

00:53:19.400 right now is

00:53:21.240 even cooler.

00:53:22.800 That's the

00:53:23.480 big red pill.

00:53:24.680 It's the big

00:53:25.560 change in your

00:53:26.360 awareness that's

00:53:27.500 happening.

00:53:28.540 So if you

00:53:29.300 believed in

00:53:30.920 the old

00:53:31.420 world, the

00:53:32.500 old reality

00:53:33.220 that you still

00:53:33.920 live in, but

00:53:34.840 it's old, and

00:53:36.000 it's like an

00:53:37.500 old pair of

00:53:38.000 shoes.

00:53:38.400 It's still

00:53:38.700 comfortable, but

00:53:40.300 eventually you're

00:53:40.920 going to get

00:53:41.240 new shoes.

00:53:42.440 And that's

00:53:42.780 coming soon.

00:53:44.160 And you

00:53:44.700 were thinking

00:53:45.080 to yourself,

00:53:45.660 well, I

00:53:46.020 think I live

00:53:46.620 in a rational

00:53:47.340 world where

00:53:48.260 rational things

00:53:50.560 happened.

00:53:52.340 What rational

00:53:53.480 world allowed

00:53:55.140 you to predict

00:53:56.020 Kamala Harris

00:53:56.960 would be the

00:53:59.280 person?

00:54:00.960 Was that

00:54:01.660 rational, or

00:54:02.380 was that

00:54:02.700 understanding how

00:54:03.700 persuasion works?

00:54:04.840 Well, I

00:54:06.200 would argue

00:54:06.640 that I

00:54:08.100 used a

00:54:08.580 persuasion

00:54:09.160 filter to

00:54:10.480 predict it.

00:54:11.320 If you

00:54:12.000 used some

00:54:12.540 other filter

00:54:13.140 and it

00:54:14.140 didn't predict

00:54:14.840 it, I

00:54:16.680 take you

00:54:17.060 back to my

00:54:17.600 most fundamental

00:54:18.440 statement about

00:54:19.360 how you should

00:54:20.000 deal with your

00:54:20.660 reality.

00:54:22.020 If you have

00:54:22.800 a filter on

00:54:23.640 life, in

00:54:24.320 other words,

00:54:24.740 the world

00:54:25.340 view or the

00:54:25.980 way you're

00:54:26.280 seeing things

00:54:26.980 continues to

00:54:28.660 make you

00:54:29.020 happy, and

00:54:30.520 it continues

00:54:31.040 to predict

00:54:32.180 at least

00:54:32.680 happier than

00:54:33.340 you would be

00:54:33.840 otherwise, and

00:54:35.440 continues to

00:54:36.280 predict accurately,

00:54:38.140 well, that's a

00:54:38.680 pretty good

00:54:39.060 world view.

00:54:40.160 It might be

00:54:40.740 false, it

00:54:42.000 might not

00:54:42.440 actually be an

00:54:43.400 accurate picture

00:54:44.840 of reality, but

00:54:46.200 if it makes you

00:54:46.820 happy, and it

00:54:48.440 accurately predicts

00:54:49.720 what's going to

00:54:50.440 happen next in the

00:54:51.300 environment, that

00:54:53.120 might be as good

00:54:53.880 as you can do.

00:54:55.380 Because we all

00:54:56.060 have different

00:54:56.520 filters, different

00:54:57.380 movies.

00:54:58.180 If yours is

00:54:58.900 working, I'm

00:55:00.200 not going to

00:55:00.560 talk you out of

00:55:01.120 it.

00:55:01.280 In fact, I

00:55:02.420 might try

00:55:02.820 yours, if

00:55:03.820 it's working.

00:55:04.800 Now, I say

00:55:05.340 that about

00:55:05.760 religion.

00:55:06.280 I'm not a

00:55:06.740 believer, personally,

00:55:08.080 but as I

00:55:08.920 observe people

00:55:09.700 with that

00:55:10.180 filter on

00:55:10.820 reality, no

00:55:12.180 matter which

00:55:12.700 religion it

00:55:13.460 is, you

00:55:14.640 notice that

00:55:15.460 the majority

00:55:15.940 of people seem

00:55:16.560 to be quite

00:55:17.040 happy about

00:55:17.620 it.

00:55:18.480 And it

00:55:18.820 gives them a

00:55:19.380 structure and

00:55:20.120 a world

00:55:20.460 view that

00:55:21.000 is, in

00:55:22.180 my opinion,

00:55:23.520 far more

00:55:24.300 good than

00:55:24.860 bad.

00:55:25.580 Yeah, yeah,

00:55:25.980 yeah, they're

00:55:26.340 religious

00:55:26.920 extremists, but

00:55:28.420 that feels like

00:55:29.080 more of an

00:55:29.500 excuse for

00:55:30.280 whatever they

00:55:30.980 wanted to do

00:55:31.540 anyway.

00:55:32.900 So, somebody

00:55:35.580 says identity

00:55:36.320 politics predicted

00:55:37.740 it.

00:55:38.680 Identity politics

00:55:39.720 predicted that

00:55:40.720 they would have

00:55:42.920 started with

00:55:43.580 that.

00:55:45.120 Identity politics

00:55:46.300 predicted that

00:55:47.240 Biden would not

00:55:48.600 have gotten

00:55:48.980 this far.

00:55:50.040 So there had

00:55:50.800 to be something

00:55:51.580 else that

00:55:53.480 predicted it

00:55:54.080 would be

00:55:54.420 Kamala Harris.

00:55:56.740 All right, so

00:55:57.320 it's a little

00:55:57.600 more complicated

00:55:58.240 than that.

00:55:58.560 But yes,

00:55:59.040 identity politics

00:55:59.840 is certainly

00:56:01.380 would have

00:56:02.060 signaled that

00:56:03.300 somebody like

00:56:04.360 Kamala Harris

00:56:05.260 would be in

00:56:07.680 the final mix.

00:56:09.420 So I think

00:56:09.840 identity politics

00:56:10.840 would have

00:56:11.580 accurately

00:56:12.380 predicted what

00:56:14.060 the primaries

00:56:15.460 look like,

00:56:16.380 right?

00:56:17.100 Because you

00:56:17.760 had pretty good

00:56:18.380 representation,

00:56:19.780 women and

00:56:20.200 minorities in

00:56:20.880 the primaries.

00:56:21.600 It would not

00:56:22.360 have predicted

00:56:22.920 Joe Biden.

00:56:25.060 So there's

00:56:25.440 something else

00:56:25.900 going on here.

00:56:26.540 there's

00:56:28.180 something else

00:56:28.700 as a part

00:56:29.180 I claim

00:56:30.220 some vision

00:56:31.660 on.

00:56:32.400 All right.

00:56:37.940 All right.

00:56:39.160 Somebody says

00:56:40.040 she was always

00:56:40.700 the choice.

00:56:41.800 I think that's

00:56:42.520 true.

00:56:44.460 Somebody says

00:56:44.980 Kamala is not

00:56:45.740 popular with

00:56:46.700 the black

00:56:47.000 population,

00:56:47.560 so it's a

00:56:48.800 bad prediction.

00:56:49.680 Let me ask

00:56:50.140 you this.

00:56:50.980 Given the

00:56:51.600 current protests,

00:56:52.580 the current

00:56:52.880 situation,

00:56:53.440 and the

00:56:54.780 enemy of

00:56:55.320 the people

00:56:55.720 consistently

00:56:56.440 telling you

00:56:57.060 that Trump

00:56:57.440 is a racist,

00:56:58.500 it doesn't

00:56:59.100 matter.

00:57:00.100 It doesn't

00:57:00.640 matter if

00:57:01.020 Kamala Harris

00:57:01.600 is popular

00:57:02.160 with black

00:57:02.680 people.

00:57:03.660 It doesn't

00:57:04.000 matter at

00:57:04.320 all.

00:57:06.620 They're going

00:57:07.160 to vote the

00:57:07.560 same way

00:57:07.880 anyway,

00:57:08.420 because they're

00:57:08.880 voting against

00:57:09.640 Trump.

00:57:11.360 Kamala Harris

00:57:12.080 simply has to

00:57:12.740 exist and not

00:57:13.580 be Trump.

00:57:16.220 That's good

00:57:16.820 enough.

00:57:18.660 Nobody's going

00:57:19.220 to care about

00:57:19.640 that.

00:57:19.820 Did you

00:57:22.260 predict Van

00:57:23.280 Jones'

00:57:23.980 comments on

00:57:24.920 Trump's

00:57:25.360 crime initiative?

00:57:26.820 I haven't

00:57:27.580 seen his

00:57:28.080 comments on

00:57:29.060 Trump's

00:57:29.700 crime initiative,

00:57:31.380 so since I

00:57:32.340 haven't seen

00:57:32.840 it, I can

00:57:34.320 predict it,

00:57:35.420 even though

00:57:36.760 it's already

00:57:37.120 happened,

00:57:37.540 right?

00:57:38.220 I'm going

00:57:38.800 to say that

00:57:39.580 Van Jones

00:57:40.560 says that he

00:57:41.720 didn't go

00:57:42.140 far enough.

00:57:44.080 Let me

00:57:44.380 look it up.

00:57:45.660 Tell me in

00:57:46.260 the comments

00:57:46.740 if that's

00:57:47.860 right.

00:57:48.540 My guess is

00:57:49.620 that Van

00:57:50.020 Jones said

00:57:50.820 step in

00:57:51.880 the right

00:57:52.120 direction

00:57:52.600 didn't go

00:57:54.200 far enough.

00:57:55.800 Let's

00:57:55.940 see.

00:57:58.420 Van

00:57:58.900 Jones?

00:58:01.800 What was

00:58:02.480 it?

00:58:02.640 The crime

00:58:02.980 initiative,

00:58:03.700 did you

00:58:04.040 say?

00:58:04.720 Or was

00:58:05.080 it the

00:58:05.360 police thing?

00:58:07.640 I think

00:58:07.900 it was

00:58:08.080 more about

00:58:08.460 the police.

00:58:11.700 I may

00:58:12.340 be on

00:58:12.560 the wrong

00:58:12.840 topic here,

00:58:13.500 so.

00:58:17.300 So this

00:58:18.160 is the

00:58:18.440 first headline.

00:58:19.620 step in

00:58:20.720 the right

00:58:20.980 direction.

00:58:22.860 How did

00:58:23.360 I do?

00:58:25.700 What did

00:58:26.540 I predict?

00:58:27.840 Now, of

00:58:28.240 course, you

00:58:28.540 don't know

00:58:29.160 that I

00:58:29.600 didn't see

00:58:30.000 this before,

00:58:30.680 so if

00:58:31.520 you're

00:58:32.220 skeptical,

00:58:34.720 I'll tell

00:58:35.820 you again

00:58:36.320 something that

00:58:37.960 you can

00:58:38.200 always depend

00:58:38.780 on with

00:58:39.240 me.

00:58:39.660 Now, you

00:58:40.120 might not

00:58:40.480 trust it,

00:58:41.140 but I'm

00:58:41.420 going to

00:58:41.580 say it

00:58:41.840 anyway.

00:58:42.060 if I

00:58:43.320 tell you

00:58:43.680 directly,

00:58:44.920 I am

00:58:45.600 not

00:58:45.880 lying

00:58:46.320 about

00:58:46.800 this,

00:58:48.360 I'm

00:58:48.640 not

00:58:48.820 lying

00:58:49.140 about

00:58:49.400 that.

00:58:50.540 I've

00:58:50.960 never in

00:58:51.300 my life

00:58:52.020 said

00:58:52.940 something

00:58:53.300 that

00:58:53.480 directly

00:58:53.900 that

00:58:54.140 was

00:58:54.280 just

00:58:54.840 a lie.

00:58:56.160 I don't

00:58:56.500 even think

00:58:56.800 I could.

00:58:58.240 Now,

00:58:58.760 if there's

00:58:59.360 some time

00:59:00.180 you see

00:59:00.500 me,

00:59:00.900 you think

00:59:01.200 I've

00:59:01.440 left out

00:59:01.940 part of

00:59:02.380 the story

00:59:02.800 or something,

00:59:03.560 that might

00:59:04.040 be true.

00:59:04.840 I wouldn't

00:59:05.180 do it

00:59:05.440 intentionally,

00:59:06.200 but I

00:59:06.460 could leave

00:59:06.840 out something

00:59:07.320 unintentionally,

00:59:08.320 but I'm

00:59:08.760 not going

00:59:09.060 to look

00:59:09.340 right at

00:59:09.760 you and

00:59:10.000 just lie

00:59:11.320 to you.

00:59:11.820 And I'm

00:59:12.040 telling you,

00:59:12.580 I did not

00:59:13.100 see any

00:59:13.780 news whatsoever

00:59:14.660 about Van

00:59:15.520 Jones.

00:59:16.420 In fact,

00:59:16.860 I didn't

00:59:17.120 even check

00:59:17.540 the news

00:59:17.880 page.

00:59:18.720 Actually,

00:59:19.260 I did

00:59:20.620 open a

00:59:21.900 page,

00:59:22.200 but didn't

00:59:22.460 read it.

00:59:23.920 He missed

00:59:24.600 an opportunity,

00:59:25.680 it was too

00:59:26.160 political,

00:59:27.460 it started

00:59:27.900 off with a

00:59:28.440 lot of

00:59:28.680 unity,

00:59:29.340 then moved

00:59:29.720 into politics,

00:59:31.460 and created

00:59:32.000 stuff that

00:59:32.460 people are

00:59:32.780 going to

00:59:32.960 fight about.

00:59:34.420 it's a

00:59:37.980 powerful

00:59:38.300 step.

00:59:40.060 Van

00:59:40.580 Jones says

00:59:41.240 the speech,

00:59:42.300 I don't

00:59:42.500 give it a

00:59:42.840 high rating,

00:59:43.820 but the

00:59:44.480 executive order

00:59:45.260 is a step

00:59:45.900 in the

00:59:46.140 right direction.

00:59:48.420 So,

00:59:48.880 how'd I

00:59:49.180 do?

00:59:51.900 Not

00:59:52.420 bad.

00:59:54.060 Can you

00:59:54.740 interview

00:59:55.200 Ann

00:59:55.680 Coulter?

00:59:56.940 I don't

00:59:57.580 know if

00:59:57.820 that's the

00:59:58.360 right

00:59:58.820 combination.

01:00:00.580 I mean,

01:00:00.740 I think

01:00:00.980 Ann Coulter

01:00:01.560 is one

01:00:02.080 of the

01:00:02.240 most talented

01:00:03.120 writers in

01:00:04.160 America,

01:00:04.800 maybe the

01:00:05.520 most.

01:00:06.920 She's in

01:00:07.540 the top

01:00:07.860 five.

01:00:09.120 Matt

01:00:09.360 Taibbi,

01:00:10.020 I'd put

01:00:10.400 in that

01:00:10.700 category.

01:00:11.820 But she's

01:00:12.880 just one

01:00:13.180 of the

01:00:13.420 finest

01:00:13.740 writers I've

01:00:14.900 ever seen.

01:00:16.260 I don't

01:00:16.860 agree with

01:00:17.360 all of her

01:00:17.960 opinions,

01:00:18.580 but that's

01:00:18.980 what makes

01:00:19.360 it fun.

01:00:20.460 I just

01:00:20.840 don't think

01:00:21.220 we're right,

01:00:22.640 I don't

01:00:22.980 know.

01:00:24.660 It would

01:00:26.200 be fun,

01:00:26.820 and I would

01:00:27.260 certainly enjoy

01:00:28.840 it, but I

01:00:29.600 don't know if

01:00:30.440 the audience

01:00:31.260 needs us to

01:00:32.220 talk.

01:00:33.940 I'd rather

01:00:34.620 talk to

01:00:35.260 Charlemagne

01:00:36.840 the God.

01:00:39.080 How much

01:00:39.480 would you

01:00:39.760 like to

01:00:40.120 see me

01:00:41.080 in an

01:00:42.140 interview,

01:00:42.620 it doesn't

01:00:42.880 matter which

01:00:43.240 way it

01:00:43.540 goes, him

01:00:44.080 interviewing me,

01:00:45.180 but in a

01:00:45.580 conversation.

01:00:46.880 How much

01:00:47.260 would you

01:00:47.540 like to

01:00:47.900 see me in

01:00:48.400 a conversation

01:00:49.080 with Charlemagne

01:00:50.000 the God

01:00:50.480 to rip a

01:00:54.240 hole in the

01:00:54.700 fabric of

01:00:55.380 reality?

01:00:56.360 I don't

01:00:57.440 think that'll

01:00:57.900 happen, but

01:00:58.960 I think you'd

01:00:59.520 enjoy it.

01:01:00.160 All right,

01:01:00.440 that would be

01:01:00.900 a better

01:01:01.580 combination.

01:01:03.340 So much

01:01:04.080 for today,

01:01:06.020 and I'll

01:01:06.300 talk to you

01:01:07.020 later.

01:01:08.580 it'll

01:01:11.460 have

01:01:13.040 a

01:01:13.620 heart

01:01:22.720 heart

01:01:22.920 heart

01:01:23.860 heart

01:01:24.440 heart

01:01:26.460 heart

01:01:26.880 heart

01:01:26.980 heart

01:01:27.480 heart

01:01:29.040 heart

01:01:30.040 heart

01:01:30.140 heart

01:01:31.520 heart

01:01:32.740 heart

01:01:33.100 heart

01:01:34.260 heart

01:01:35.760 heart

01:01:35.940 heart

01:01:37.160 heart

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - June 17, 2020

Episode 1030 Scott Adams： Let's Talk About the Red Pills Coming

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