Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1044 Scott Adams： Special Guest Carson Griffith and Lots About the Protests and Biden

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in, it's time for Coffee with Scott Adams.

00:00:10.900 The best part of the day, every single time, and this will be no exception.

00:00:16.080 Today we've got a special guest that didn't work yesterday, but I think I have my technical

00:00:20.580 issues worked out, and we'll bring her on in a moment. 0.99

00:00:24.680 But first, you know what happens first, I think you do.

00:00:27.780 So, it's called the Simultaneous Sip, what do you need to do it?

00:00:32.700 Not much, a cup or mug or a glass, a tank or chalice or stain, a canteen jug or flask, a

00:00:37.840 vessel of any kind, fill it with your favorite liquid, I like, coffee.

00:00:43.180 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure, the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that

00:00:46.880 makes everything better, it's called the Simultaneous Sip, and it happens now, go.

00:00:52.840 So, well, with no further ado, let me see if I can bring on my guest, Carson, and watch

00:01:07.940 the technology work perfectly.

00:01:10.940 Carson, are you there?

00:01:12.740 Hi.

00:01:14.000 I can, yay.

00:01:15.580 Yes.

00:01:16.080 All right, so this is Carson.

00:01:18.000 Hopefully, everyone else can hear me, too.

00:01:19.660 I'm pretty sure they can.

00:01:20.720 If I can, they can.

00:01:22.260 Awesome.

00:01:22.440 So, this is Carson Griffith, and you've got a story that I know my audience would like

00:01:28.360 to hear.

00:01:29.600 And let me just set you up with this question, and then give us the lay of the land.

00:01:34.900 And the question is, who are you suing, and why?

00:01:38.840 Go.

00:01:39.640 Okay, well, this can be a long answer or a short answer, so I'll try to keep it short.

00:01:43.220 Give us the overview first, and then we'll dig down a little bit.

00:01:46.800 Okay.

00:01:47.500 So, I'm suing the Daily Beast for defamation, specifically because they accused me of being

00:01:53.840 racist, homophobic, and transphobic. 0.61

00:01:57.300 That's the trifecta. 0.98

00:01:58.940 Okay.

00:01:59.560 And they accused you of that based on what evidence, according to them?

00:02:03.820 So, the writer, his name's Max Baltani, his main source was a former employee of mine

00:02:11.920 who is also his long-time very best friend.

00:02:16.460 Okay.

00:02:17.360 So, there was some personal connection there.

00:02:20.000 And who made the accusation, and was there any evidence that they offered?

00:02:24.400 Yeah, so, the accusation was made by two of my former employees, and I use that word loosely

00:02:32.200 because they worked for me for nine days.

00:02:36.580 That's the worst employees ever.

00:02:38.840 All right.

00:02:39.260 And what evidence did they offer of your awfulness?

00:02:44.960 They gave some slack conversations, and then also just stories that they told him.

00:02:50.440 And were the stories or the conversations real?

00:02:55.700 Take it out of context.

00:02:57.120 How accurate were their allegations?

00:03:00.660 So, that's the thing.

00:03:02.220 The defamation, I'm not just, this isn't a lawsuit.

00:03:05.280 Scott, as you know, I was, I'm not quite sure if I'm saying I was a journalist or I am

00:03:10.380 a journalist at this point.

00:03:11.540 You know how that goes.

00:03:12.980 Right.

00:03:13.520 You know, but that was my career for 11 years.

00:03:15.540 So, I definitely know ethical journalism practices.

00:03:18.160 This isn't just me being like, hey, guys, I'm mad that they wrote a mean article about

00:03:22.840 me, so I'm going to sue them.

00:03:24.720 This is an article that is definitely not just unethical journalism practices.

00:03:30.880 It is actual defamation.

00:03:32.880 And we know that because they could have, they could have wrote a similar article, which

00:03:37.800 has still been quite weird because I'm a private citizen, and included 50% of the information,

00:03:44.140 but it would have been not defamation.

00:03:47.520 So, what would, give us the example of what they said that was based on a fact that is

00:03:55.060 defamation.

00:03:55.660 For instance, one of the, one of the girls in the article said that in the interview I 0.90

00:04:03.900 did with her, she said, I don't have it right in front of me.

00:04:08.360 She said, oh, I, she claimed, her name's Anna Breslau, that I said during her job interview

00:04:14.400 process, oh, I have a snack in my pocket from the office.

00:04:19.460 That's so poor person of me, which she said, that was supposed to be an elitist, classist

00:04:25.380 comment.

00:04:26.060 And I never made that comment.

00:04:29.000 They also tried, I'm sorry, they also tried to get me on classism, which they said was,

00:04:33.960 you know, they tried to paint a full, full rounded picture of me.

00:04:37.160 Um, and not only did I never make that comment, they didn't have a second source for it.

00:04:41.960 It was my word versus hers.

00:04:44.140 And my, my point was, you know, you never called me for comment on this article.

00:04:49.180 And also, why would you take the job if I said that during a job interview?

00:04:53.540 Now, the, you're talking about the, this is the Daily Beast writing about you, correct?

00:04:58.780 Yes, it's the Daily Beast.

00:05:00.080 So, I mean, kind of, kind of to bring it back at.

00:05:02.620 Now, let me, let me, let me just connect a couple of dots, because my audience heard

00:05:06.260 yesterday about, uh, Van Jones talking about the Daily Beast, writing a story about him

00:05:11.620 meeting with the president on the, on the crime bill.

00:05:15.120 And Van Jones said, nope, was never even in the building.

00:05:18.760 Wasn't, it wasn't in the meetings, wasn't physically there.

00:05:22.580 None of it happened.

00:05:23.540 So, the Daily Beast, we do know, literally just makes stuff up.

00:05:27.940 Now, you've got an employee who literally just made up a quote, which they ran with, right?

00:05:34.080 Can you give us a couple more examples?

00:05:35.940 Because the examples are what brings it to life.

00:05:38.660 Yeah, sure.

00:05:40.500 So, there were a bunch of different things.

00:05:44.100 They provided some slack conversations for the article and said, here are some things that

00:05:49.340 she said that we found offensive.

00:05:51.920 Okay.

00:05:52.020 And one of those things was, I asked them if an interviewee was a girl or a boy who they

00:05:59.760 wanted me to meet with.

00:06:00.820 The interviewee's name was Pilot.

00:06:03.840 Okay.

00:06:04.440 And they said, they said, Pilot is non-binary.

00:06:08.540 Pilot used to be a she, but now goes by they, them pronouns. 0.88

00:06:13.760 Okay.

00:06:14.240 And I said, okay, I think you told me that, but I wasn't sure, thanks.

00:06:18.980 And they said, because when I asked the question, I said, LOL, is Pilot a girl or a boy?

00:06:24.660 The LOL applied to something I said previously, but because I put the LOL first, I had never

00:06:30.300 seen this person that I am transphobic.

00:06:32.400 So, the usual, the mind reader approach, which is, even though it's clear the LOL applied to the

00:06:41.640 prior comment, which was not about this, we think that's what she was thinking.

00:06:46.200 So, basically, the quality of the complaints, would you say those two examples are indicative?

00:06:55.160 Either didn't happen, or they just read something out of context, that sort of thing?

00:06:59.180 Yeah.

00:06:59.520 I mean, if you go through the whole thing, but it's, like, one situation after another.

00:07:04.960 But to go back to, I mean, Scott, on top of it, to really frame the situation, they worked

00:07:11.940 for me for nine days, but to build up who they are as people and their anger.

00:07:16.440 I'm not sure if you told your audience this, but for some backstory, I was hired in November

00:07:21.780 2018 to revamp the website Gawker.

00:07:24.700 So, when I say the word Gawker, most people presume this means I worked at, even briefly,

00:07:30.560 the tabloid website related to the Hulk Hogan scandal.

00:07:34.520 But this was totally different.

00:07:35.860 That website ran into the ground, but the man who bought the bones of that site wanted

00:07:39.980 to resurrect it into something still culturally observant and witty, but not downright vicious

00:07:45.160 and petty.

00:07:46.240 So, like, a new Gawker.

00:07:48.400 But, so I left my job at Condé Nast, but unfortunately, a lot of people weren't happy with this.

00:07:54.700 And that I was the editorial director because, not that these are synonyms, but I wasn't

00:08:00.160 public enough, I wasn't performatively woke enough, I wasn't mean enough, so I wasn't

00:08:04.060 like that old Gawker.

00:08:05.300 But when I worked at Gawker, right, you'd think that's what I was.

00:08:09.200 Now, do you identify as being left or right or supporting anybody in particular?

00:08:14.840 You know, I always say that I cherry pick my political views, you know, but the thing

00:08:22.280 is that they got mad about was when all these people heard that I was the person who was

00:08:27.360 supposed to run the new Gawker, they started digging in my digital trash to go find things

00:08:33.620 that I used to say, or like, you know, my old tweets, my old, and a website called Splinter

00:08:38.580 Dug Up, that I registered Republican in 2008, and you would have thought that I had shot

00:08:45.920 someone on the street.

00:08:47.000 They were so upset.

00:08:47.760 There we go.

00:08:48.620 There we go.

00:08:49.480 So this is at the heart of what we, you know.

00:08:52.080 So the real problem is they thought you were a closet Republican, and they were looking

00:08:58.900 for every excuse to get you out of there.

00:09:01.880 So you were basically, you know, excised for being potentially a little bit too open-minded

00:09:10.480 about the right, would you say?

00:09:12.520 I mean, exactly.

00:09:13.580 And, I mean, if they had really dug around, they would have, you know, also seen that I

00:09:17.860 was probably just very open-minded, which I think is a great, great quality, and a journalist

00:09:22.600 in general.

00:09:23.720 I mean, Scott, you know that as well, right?

00:09:26.320 All right.

00:09:26.900 So let's get to the heart of the matter.

00:09:30.840 So the Daily Beast has, what's the word you used?

00:09:36.420 Slander? 0.80

00:09:37.960 A defamation is what we're suing them for particularly.

00:09:42.240 And that's because, yeah, go ahead.

00:09:44.560 I'm suing the Daily Beast, their editor-in-chief, Noah Shackman, the writer, Maxwell Taney, who

00:09:51.640 wrote the article.

00:09:53.460 Noah Shackman is actually the one, when we were speaking about Van Jones, who Van Jones

00:09:57.120 and Noah Shackman went at each other on Twitter the other night.

00:10:01.220 And then I'm also suing my former employee, Maya Kosoff, who was the named source for the

00:10:08.420 story.

00:10:09.380 All right.

00:10:10.060 All right.

00:10:10.980 Well, good luck with that.

00:10:12.400 So that's sort of a cautionary tale.

00:10:15.920 And I'm going to use your story.

00:10:17.660 I'm going to let you go here in a moment.

00:10:20.580 But I'm going to use that to launch into some other stuff I want to talk about that kind

00:10:25.980 of tells that same story.

00:10:27.360 Is there anything we missed that you want to add on to this?

00:10:30.020 No, I think it's just, you know, these people were unhappy with having me as their employer

00:10:36.760 as, you know, and they were trying to find everything they can.

00:10:40.540 And they then they went to the Daily Beast to use that as their advantage, their connection.

00:10:45.540 So I think a lot of what you talk about.

00:10:48.060 So so even being suspected as being a Trump supporter cost you your job.

00:10:52.980 Would that be a fair fair statement?

00:10:54.660 Yeah, presumed Trump supporter cost.

00:10:57.780 Well, eventually it cost me my job.

00:10:59.920 Yeah.

00:11:00.280 Yeah.

00:11:00.800 And presumed there's there's no specific evidence of that.

00:11:04.860 Just.

00:11:05.400 Well, I had a tweet that said I love Trump from 2010.

00:11:08.940 OK.

00:11:09.540 And they didn't care what year it was.

00:11:11.260 Yeah.

00:11:11.920 2010.

00:11:12.880 Before he before he even ran.

00:11:14.900 All right.

00:11:15.340 Well, so that that tells you where we're at.

00:11:17.620 So, Carson, thank you for telling us your story and good luck with your suit.

00:11:23.400 All right.

00:11:24.540 Bye bye.

00:11:26.180 All right.

00:11:26.840 So that sort of tells you where we are.

00:11:28.520 I tweeted this morning provocatively, and I know that's why some of you are here, that 0.79

00:11:33.240 if Joe Biden gets elected, that there's a good chance you'll be dead within a year.

00:11:40.100 Do you recognize that technique?

00:11:43.000 What does that sound like?

00:11:45.060 Who are you reminded of or what persuasion does it remind you of when I say that if Biden

00:11:52.340 is elected, there's a good chance you'll be dead within a year?

00:11:56.940 Does it sound familiar? 0.72

00:11:58.660 It should sound familiar.

00:12:01.660 It's AOC's play about climate change.

00:12:04.680 Yes.

00:12:04.960 Some of you got it in the in the comments.

00:12:07.580 So I just took AOC's play.

00:12:09.180 Now, when you heard AOC say you'll be dead in 12 years or some version of that, what 0.82

00:12:16.720 happened to your brain? 0.87

00:12:18.260 Your brain just caught on fire, didn't it?

00:12:20.300 Like, that can't be true. 1.00

00:12:22.160 You know, you're lying.

00:12:23.460 And then other people, their brains caught on fire because they thought it was true.

00:12:26.900 So the genius of what AOC said was, your brain would catch on fire if you thought it was

00:12:32.960 true or if you thought it wasn't true, just different reasons.

00:12:36.600 So you can't look away when somebody says something like that.

00:12:40.920 Now, what is missing from this presidential election?

00:12:45.460 There's something missing.

00:12:46.600 And you don't realize it until I tell you what it is.

00:12:52.060 Fear.

00:12:53.660 Fear.

00:12:54.820 Because fear is the strongest motivator.

00:12:58.840 When President Trump was running for office, he used a lot of fear persuasion.

00:13:04.700 Now, you could argue that, you know, the morality of it.

00:13:09.300 But I would say that if the fear is a real one, then it's moral to bring it up.

00:13:14.120 It would be quite ethical to say there's a real fear and you've got to worry about this.

00:13:18.980 It would be unethical and immoral to just invent a fear that wasn't real and try to manipulate

00:13:24.980 people with a fake fear.

00:13:27.760 But if it's real, a leader has a responsibility to address that, of course.

00:13:33.440 So the president would talk about immigration and that was a risk and all the crime that 1.00

00:13:38.800 might come with immigration.

00:13:40.660 Of course, he got called a racist for that.

00:13:42.380 But in terms of fear persuasion, it was pretty strong.

00:13:46.580 And I don't see the president using any fear persuasion this time.

00:13:52.260 Do you?

00:13:52.980 Not really.

00:13:54.360 He's really being sort of, he sort of disappeared.

00:13:59.920 I mean, we've got basement Biden and Trump is sort of pulled back a little bit from the

00:14:05.440 limelight.

00:14:06.780 Now, how does Trump get elected if things just sort of go the way they go?

00:14:16.220 You know, who knows how many bumps we're going to have between now and election day?

00:14:20.160 There'll be lots of surprises, I'm sure.

00:14:23.060 But I would at least put these two visions of the world in your head.

00:14:27.860 Number one, let's say Trump wins.

00:14:32.920 If Trump wins, things will look a lot like they look now.

00:14:37.720 You know, you'll have the same divisions, the same enemies.

00:14:42.100 The stock market will improve.

00:14:45.620 China will still be a problem, etc. 0.87

00:14:48.060 So you kind of know what that world looks like, because it looks a lot like today, but maybe

00:14:54.040 we get past coronavirus and the economy gets better.

00:14:57.600 So you've got sort of an image of what that looks like.

00:15:00.480 Does it look great?

00:15:04.340 You know, maybe, maybe not.

00:15:07.740 Now, compare that to another view, and it looks like this.

00:15:11.580 You get a Joe Biden presidency.

00:15:14.900 Let's just play it out.

00:15:16.900 What happens?

00:15:18.080 If you get a Joe Biden presidency, does that mean that the protesters and Antifa and Black

00:15:24.080 Lives Matter will say some version of this?

00:15:27.160 Yay, we got what we want.

00:15:30.120 Now that our people are in charge, we'll get some legislation going.

00:15:34.080 We'll really make some progress.

00:15:36.360 Do you think that's what Antifa and Black Lives Matter, the leadership,

00:15:39.920 not the individual people who support individual stuff, but the leadership?

00:15:46.620 Do you think that they're going to say, yay, Biden presidency, we got it?

00:15:53.380 No, no, they're not on the side of the Democrats.

00:15:58.400 Antifa is not on the side of the Democrats.

00:16:01.080 They're not on anybody's side.

00:16:03.120 Black Lives Matter, at least in terms of the leadership, 0.97

00:16:07.200 it doesn't look like they want solutions.

00:16:09.920 If the protesters wanted solutions, the protests would already be over

00:16:14.860 because Tim Scott offered a bill with 70% of what people wanted

00:16:22.080 with the complete invitation to bring in amendments to add or adjust,

00:16:27.920 supposing you had the support in the Congress,

00:16:30.620 to add or adjust as much as made sense on that bill.

00:16:34.940 In other words, the door was completely open to negotiate a bipartisan bill,

00:16:39.960 and the Democrats said, no thanks, no thanks.

00:16:44.020 So it's obvious that the Democratic leadership doesn't want to solve it.

00:16:48.200 Black Lives Matter doesn't want to solve it. 0.97

00:16:50.400 The leadership, the people do.

00:16:52.400 You know, regular people, of course, want solutions, but not the leadership.

00:16:56.880 The Antifa, they don't want anything.

00:16:59.020 They just want destruction.

00:16:59.940 So they're not looking for solutions whatsoever.

00:17:03.520 So Biden becomes president.

00:17:05.620 Just game this out.

00:17:06.540 What happens?

00:17:08.160 Well, the protests should be going on just the same way they are

00:17:12.340 because it's not based on Trump.

00:17:14.200 It's not based on who's president.

00:17:16.020 They don't care.

00:17:17.220 That just doesn't have anything to do with anything.

00:17:19.520 Biden would still be the president of the system they need to destroy.

00:17:24.080 Black Lives Matter wants to tear it down to build a better system from scratch. 0.93

00:17:31.100 Antifa just wants it all torn down to do whatever. 1.00

00:17:35.180 It's not clear.

00:17:36.840 So if you get Biden, you still get the protests.

00:17:40.460 But what's the difference?

00:17:42.360 The difference, of course, is that the more Democrats are in control,

00:17:46.280 because their base will require it,

00:17:48.460 they will be pulling back from supporting the police.

00:17:50.980 What will the police do when they have less support and more risk?

00:17:55.840 You don't have to gas, because you can see it happening right now.

00:17:59.420 You can see the police retiring.

00:18:01.100 They're calling in sick.

00:18:02.860 They're stepping back from active enforcement and only doing the essentials.

00:18:08.540 And crime is skyrocketing.

00:18:10.720 So under a Biden presidency, some things that you could be sure would happen

00:18:14.480 would be that the protests would get out of control

00:18:18.220 and the police would be taken off the field.

00:18:21.760 Now, if you take the police off the field, what stops the protests?

00:18:25.680 Nothing.

00:18:26.720 Nothing.

00:18:27.080 It just gets worse.

00:18:28.700 But more importantly, I think that the Republicans

00:18:32.240 and the people who had ever supported Trump,

00:18:34.680 and I would be on that list,

00:18:36.140 I believe that we will be hunted.

00:18:38.660 I think that we'll be hunted.

00:18:40.400 Now, if you don't think that,

00:18:42.660 remember the story I just told.

00:18:44.300 So Carson Griffith lost her job, as she tells the story,

00:18:48.720 entirely because somebody imagined that she was a Trump supporter

00:18:53.240 when, in fact, she had one tweet long before he ran for president.

00:18:58.300 That's it.

00:18:59.260 Long before he ran for president

00:19:00.780 and some other social media thing that was sort of ambiguous, I forget.

00:19:05.940 And that was enough for her to lose her job. 0.92

00:19:08.920 She lost her job over the suggestion

00:19:12.140 that she might possibly be a little bit friendly to Trump

00:19:18.780 without any direct evidence of that whatsoever.

00:19:22.720 So do you think that Republicans can keep their jobs

00:19:27.940 in a Democrat-dominated world?

00:19:32.280 Probably not.

00:19:34.100 Probably not.

00:19:34.840 So I think you're going to see something like Antifa running wild.

00:19:41.160 You would see the Republicans arm themselves.

00:19:44.700 You would see lots of bloodshed.

00:19:46.840 And you could see something closer to a revolution

00:19:49.900 because Biden wouldn't be able to control anything.

00:19:53.520 And it's not his side.

00:19:56.380 So I think a Biden presidency opens up the possibility

00:20:01.260 that many of you listening to this will be dead.

00:20:04.840 In a year, if it goes that way.

00:20:08.700 Now, I, of course, say that things are going to go toward the golden age.

00:20:13.900 So I think the likely outcome looks like this.

00:20:17.660 Biden wins the presidency

00:20:19.040 and Kamala Harris becomes the real president.

00:20:23.280 Either because she's really running the show behind the scenes

00:20:26.220 or he actually drops out and she becomes the president.

00:20:30.020 In my opinion, Kamala Harris is the only one who can stop this.

00:20:34.620 You didn't see that coming, did you?

00:20:39.800 Kamala Harris might be the only one who can stop the protests

00:20:44.080 because she's a person of color

00:20:47.680 and she's got a history of being sort of a badass on crime. 1.00

00:20:55.040 She could put the boot down on the protesters. 0.90

00:20:59.480 Biden can't.

00:21:01.740 Trump either can't or is unwilling to so far.

00:21:04.880 So your best case scenario might be a president Kamala Harris

00:21:10.660 because she might be the only one who can prevent the revolution

00:21:16.460 because she could put it down violently

00:21:18.440 because it'll take violence to stop it.

00:21:21.160 Now, I'm not promoting violence.

00:21:23.900 You all know that, right?

00:21:24.960 I never promote violence.

00:21:26.440 But it is true that all government is held together by violence

00:21:31.980 or the threat of violence.

00:21:33.260 You don't have a government unless you have the threat of violence

00:21:36.220 for anybody who challenges the government.

00:21:40.040 So Kamala Harris has the option of using violence 1.00

00:21:43.900 and the other people don't.

00:21:46.100 So if you want to see the...

00:21:47.780 There is nothing that would stop the protests short of violence

00:21:51.420 because they're not asking for anything.

00:21:54.300 You get that, right?

00:21:55.120 If they were asking for something that you could give them,

00:21:58.620 something reasonable,

00:21:59.860 then you could say,

00:22:00.620 all right, I can see how this ends.

00:22:02.140 You negotiate something.

00:22:03.440 But they're not asking for anything.

00:22:05.360 That doesn't end.

00:22:07.220 I mean, they're not asking for anything that's practical

00:22:09.820 that could actually be done in the real world.

00:22:12.400 We're not going to dismantle the system.

00:22:17.160 So this is the same play as AOC's play

00:22:20.440 that you'll be dead in 12 years for climate change.

00:22:23.140 And the reason that it works so well

00:22:25.900 is because you think it might be true.

00:22:30.720 Because it might be true.

00:22:32.460 Now, AOC's thing wasn't true.

00:22:34.680 It was intentional hyperbole.

00:22:36.600 But it got you thinking about it.

00:22:38.240 It certainly made a difference.

00:22:39.560 It moved the needle.

00:22:40.600 It was very persuasive.

00:22:42.580 You can say that.

00:22:43.680 So here are some things that signal

00:22:46.180 what would happen under a Biden presidency.

00:22:49.340 Today, you can't go in public wearing a Trump hat 1.00

00:22:52.940 without getting your ass kicked. 1.00

00:22:54.420 Would you agree? 1.00

00:22:55.460 If you can't even wear a hat

00:22:57.280 or announce that you're a Republican

00:23:01.100 in a lot of places,

00:23:03.620 because it won't be safe,

00:23:05.080 you'll lose your job,

00:23:06.120 you could be the threat of physical violence,

00:23:08.180 there's already no freedom

00:23:12.560 for a part of the people in this country.

00:23:15.440 So I do think there's not a risk.

00:23:18.560 It's almost a guarantee

00:23:19.440 that if Biden gets elected,

00:23:21.200 Republicans will be hunted.

00:23:23.540 Now, when I say hunted,

00:23:24.860 I mean identities will be surfaced

00:23:28.680 so that people will lose their jobs

00:23:30.160 and stuff like that,

00:23:31.600 not necessarily just physically with guns.

00:23:35.180 But I think the odds of a shooting civil war

00:23:39.840 if Biden gets elected are 20%,

00:23:42.760 maybe 20%.

00:23:44.380 The odds of you being hunted

00:23:47.240 one way or another as a Republican,

00:23:49.340 if you are a Republican,

00:23:51.000 I would say are closer to 80%.

00:23:52.980 80% chance that you would be victimized

00:23:57.740 under the new regime.

00:24:01.380 Karl Rove points out

00:24:02.800 that what's missing with Trump's campaign

00:24:06.640 is that he doesn't have a,

00:24:08.780 what does he want to do next?

00:24:10.960 Because you have to have a vision of the future.

00:24:12.920 And Karl Rove is right.

00:24:14.600 Because I don't think I've heard Trump say

00:24:16.680 what he wants to do next

00:24:18.020 because the things he was doing

00:24:20.340 kind of got derailed by coronavirus,

00:24:23.180 including the Chinese negotiations

00:24:25.640 and the economy got stalled

00:24:28.780 and the wall's moving slowly,

00:24:31.700 but that's not much of a campaign.

00:24:33.980 We'll build the wall a little bit faster.

00:24:37.140 So I think that Karl Rove is correct

00:24:39.460 that Trump doesn't have a vision

00:24:41.300 of what's coming,

00:24:42.460 doesn't have a good story on health care

00:24:44.860 as far as I know.

00:24:46.860 And then the other thing Karl Rove says,

00:24:48.700 and you should listen to everything

00:24:49.720 Karl Rove says basically,

00:24:51.560 because in terms of persuasion,

00:24:54.820 in the political realm,

00:24:56.500 he would be one of the best.

00:24:57.440 So he also says he's not drawing

00:25:00.040 a contrast to Biden,

00:25:01.940 enough of a contrast. 0.99

00:25:03.500 Just saying that Biden has mental problems 0.99

00:25:05.960 might be true, 0.92

00:25:07.720 but as Karl Rove says,

00:25:09.140 that would be like third on the list

00:25:10.960 at best of things that are going to move people.

00:25:14.040 They care about the economy.

00:25:15.360 They care where you're going.

00:25:17.120 They care about contrast.

00:25:19.120 So give us a contrast.

00:25:20.420 What's the world look like with Biden?

00:25:22.520 What's the world look like with Trump?

00:25:25.040 So a lot of people have said,

00:25:26.760 is Trump even trying anymore?

00:25:29.800 And I think that's a fair question,

00:25:32.540 based on what we're seeing at the moment.

00:25:34.960 However,

00:25:36.780 however,

00:25:37.600 here are the things that you cannot rule out.

00:25:40.240 You can't rule out

00:25:41.740 that the very best thing Trump could do is nothing.

00:25:45.100 You can't rule it out.

00:25:46.100 Because the more we see the CHOP or CHAS autonomous zone

00:25:51.280 not working,

00:25:52.680 that becomes like the visual model you have

00:25:55.840 of what the whole world looks like.

00:25:58.100 And I don't know why the Trump campaign

00:26:00.020 isn't doing the commercials exactly like this.

00:26:03.180 Here's some video from inside CHOP,

00:26:05.820 and that's what the Democrats are promising

00:26:07.560 for the rest of the country.

00:26:08.700 Because they might be.

00:26:12.480 That is close enough to true,

00:26:15.160 meaning that the Democrats will let things get out of control

00:26:18.020 to the point where everything looks like CHOP.

00:26:20.500 That is close enough to true

00:26:22.300 for campaign purposes,

00:26:25.480 meaning that it tells a story of contrast,

00:26:28.300 even if it's hyperbole.

00:26:29.520 But I think it's true enough

00:26:31.780 that that's where I would go.

00:26:34.200 I would show all the positive things,

00:26:36.480 you know,

00:26:36.640 the economy working and building things,

00:26:39.000 and, you know,

00:26:39.960 the beauty and grandeur of America,

00:26:43.240 and then I would show CHOP

00:26:44.620 and say,

00:26:46.120 if you don't think this is what they're promising you,

00:26:48.800 you haven't been paying attention.

00:26:51.000 Here's what I'd love to see.

00:26:52.260 Here's the commercial I'd love to see.

00:26:53.680 The contrast of, you know,

00:26:55.300 things working well in America,

00:26:56.760 and then CHOP,

00:26:58.460 lots of video,

00:26:59.520 and then say,

00:27:01.620 this is what the Democrats and CNN would like for you.

00:27:07.180 This is what they plan for you.

00:27:09.080 And then I would also show the gun,

00:27:11.860 I would show the video of the gunfire,

00:27:15.200 because there's actually audio, I should say.

00:27:17.240 There's audio of the gunfire the other night.

00:27:20.320 Now, if you haven't heard the audio of the gunfire,

00:27:23.200 it's way more scary

00:27:24.840 than just hearing that there was a shooting.

00:27:28.340 If you hear the audio,

00:27:30.280 because there's a lot of shooting,

00:27:31.940 it's like,

00:27:32.380 bam, bam, bam, bam, bam, bam, bam, bam, bam, bam.

00:27:36.000 And you say to yourself,

00:27:37.680 somebody just got shot a lot.

00:27:40.360 That was multiple times somebody got shot,

00:27:43.060 which I think is what happened.

00:27:44.080 And so I don't think the Trump campaign is just moving into overdrive for some reason.

00:27:50.880 And it could be that just waiting works.

00:27:54.000 It might be that waiting works.

00:27:55.700 And I don't think the polls are telling you too much right now.

00:27:58.680 Here's another gigantic error on the Trump campaign.

00:28:03.980 Lamar Alexander, a Republican, points this out.

00:28:06.560 He says that Trump should sometimes wear a mask,

00:28:09.540 even if he doesn't wear it all the time.

00:28:11.280 Obviously, if he's giving a speech,

00:28:14.000 maybe he takes it off.

00:28:15.680 But Lamar says that you're not going to get people on your team to wear them

00:28:21.840 if you're adamantly opposed to them personally.

00:28:24.720 It turns into, as Lamar says correctly,

00:28:27.720 that it turns into a political question.

00:28:30.120 Hey, I support Trump,

00:28:31.280 so I'm not going to wear a mask.

00:28:33.320 Well, that's not why you should not wear a mask.

00:28:35.760 If you're making your medical decisions based on your politics,

00:28:41.120 you're doing it wrong.

00:28:43.060 And Lamar, I think, is correct

00:28:44.700 that although nobody's thinking of it in those terms,

00:28:49.060 as long as Trump becomes identified with non-mask wearing,

00:28:54.480 it sort of becomes the Republican brand.

00:28:56.740 And then people just say,

00:28:57.900 yeah, no mask, no mask.

00:29:00.000 So in my opinion,

00:29:01.540 this is a disqualifying mistake.

00:29:05.760 at this point from the president,

00:29:08.100 meaning that I wouldn't elect,

00:29:10.340 I don't know,

00:29:11.080 I don't think you can support a president

00:29:12.660 who is not encouraging people to wear masks during a pandemic.

00:29:17.720 Is that clear enough?

00:29:19.000 Have I said that as clearly as I possibly can?

00:29:21.840 There's no way you should vote for Trump

00:29:24.000 if on election day,

00:29:26.580 he's not recommending masks.

00:29:31.420 That would be such a big and obvious mistake.

00:29:34.320 You'd have to say to yourself,

00:29:35.320 well, I don't think he's even trying at this point.

00:29:38.500 Now, I would be completely happy

00:29:40.560 if the president said this.

00:29:43.260 I'm your president.

00:29:44.460 I'm sort of like a symbol.

00:29:45.960 You know, I'm a visual symbol

00:29:47.280 just like the White House.

00:29:49.280 So I'm not going to wear his mask,

00:29:53.560 but you should.

00:29:54.360 I think I would be perfectly happy with the president saying,

00:29:59.940 look,

00:30:00.300 when you're president,

00:30:02.120 you can make a decision

00:30:03.160 about how you want to present yourself visually.

00:30:05.900 I'm going to be careful,

00:30:07.460 but when I'm speaking to the public,

00:30:09.220 I'm not going to wear a mask.

00:30:10.740 I'll make sure everybody has one around me

00:30:12.900 so they're protecting me.

00:30:14.240 I'm going to get tested every day.

00:30:15.940 I'm a special case.

00:30:18.340 I'm a special case.

00:30:20.260 You all should wear masks,

00:30:22.560 but as your president,

00:30:24.120 and you could make the same decision

00:30:25.720 if you were president,

00:30:27.240 you might want to present

00:30:28.760 a different look for the people,

00:30:30.720 but you should wear masks

00:30:32.280 to keep yourself safe.

00:30:34.860 Now,

00:30:35.340 if he said that,

00:30:36.700 I'd say,

00:30:37.000 all right,

00:30:37.240 that's fair enough.

00:30:38.760 That's fair enough.

00:30:39.720 I can see why he would be the exception,

00:30:41.160 and nobody would argue with that,

00:30:42.420 right?

00:30:43.160 Nobody really argues

00:30:44.780 about the president

00:30:45.600 being a special case

00:30:47.120 because that's just good for everybody

00:30:49.460 when he's treated as a special case.

00:30:53.200 But I would say

00:30:54.120 if the president doesn't come out

00:30:55.820 a little more forcefully

00:30:57.420 about wearing masks,

00:30:58.640 he would be incompatible

00:30:59.740 with the experts

00:31:00.520 and incompatible

00:31:02.440 with a lot of the public,

00:31:04.060 and I think it would be disqualifying.

00:31:06.300 I think it would be disqualifying

00:31:07.800 because it would actually 0.64

00:31:08.620 just kill people. 0.95

00:31:09.340 It's as easy 1.00

00:31:10.840 as a few statements,

00:31:12.760 and if you don't make them,

00:31:13.820 people die.

00:31:15.680 So,

00:31:16.460 that's disqualifying.

00:31:20.860 Let's talk about

00:31:21.760 collective punishment.

00:31:23.180 Have you ever heard that term?

00:31:24.780 Collective punishment

00:31:25.680 would be

00:31:26.480 that the classical thing

00:31:27.920 is that

00:31:28.440 let's say there's a war

00:31:30.080 and the winning army

00:31:32.500 gets control of a city,

00:31:34.600 and then they say,

00:31:35.260 hey,

00:31:35.740 some of the people

00:31:36.920 who look like you

00:31:37.980 were opposing us, 1.00

00:31:40.280 so we're going to kill 1.00

00:31:40.860 all the people 1.00

00:31:41.380 who look like you.

00:31:43.500 So that would be 0.52

00:31:43.980 collective punishment.

00:31:45.040 It would be punishing people

00:31:45.960 who had nothing to do

00:31:46.860 with whatever the offense is,

00:31:49.160 but they're in the category.

00:31:51.240 It's like punishing all men 0.78

00:31:53.380 for doing something

00:31:54.400 that one man did,

00:31:55.520 or punishing all

00:31:56.520 some ethnicity

00:31:57.780 for something

00:31:58.520 that one person did,

00:31:59.880 or a few people did.

00:32:01.300 So that's what

00:32:01.860 collective punishment is.

00:32:02.960 And it's considered

00:32:03.960 so evil

00:32:04.660 that it's a violation

00:32:06.180 of the laws of war

00:32:07.320 in the Geneva Convention.

00:32:10.260 Punishing people

00:32:11.160 for things

00:32:12.020 that people

00:32:12.580 who look like them

00:32:13.640 or are in the same club

00:32:15.480 did

00:32:15.980 just because

00:32:17.740 they're in the club

00:32:18.580 of whatever

00:32:19.720 that club is

00:32:20.620 is a war crime.

00:32:23.060 That's how bad it is.

00:32:24.300 It's against

00:32:24.880 the Geneva Convention,

00:32:26.580 and it's happening

00:32:27.540 to me right now.

00:32:29.340 It's happening to me.

00:32:30.260 So I'm part

00:32:31.520 of collective punishment

00:32:32.740 because I'm white and male.

00:32:35.700 And the Black Lives Matter movement

00:32:38.280 is largely saying

00:32:40.720 that if you're the same color,

00:32:46.160 and coincidentally,

00:32:47.080 in my case, gender,

00:32:48.500 as the slave owners,

00:32:50.620 that you owe some money

00:32:52.480 to other people.

00:32:54.380 Now, I've heard really good

00:32:56.500 legal arguments

00:32:58.180 for reparations.

00:32:59.120 If you hear somebody

00:33:00.620 who's really good at it,

00:33:01.740 I saw a video yesterday

00:33:03.100 of somebody

00:33:04.280 who is just really

00:33:06.240 good at persuasion

00:33:08.240 who is defending

00:33:09.800 the idea of paying reparations.

00:33:12.100 And if you hear the case

00:33:13.180 by somebody

00:33:14.600 who's got good skills

00:33:16.220 at explaining stuff,

00:33:17.180 it's actually

00:33:17.520 a pretty strong case.

00:33:19.000 It's a strong case

00:33:20.160 in a legal sense.

00:33:22.400 Now,

00:33:23.340 does that matter to me?

00:33:25.360 No.

00:33:26.600 Because it's not

00:33:27.560 a legal question.

00:33:29.180 It's not.

00:33:29.960 It's a political question.

00:33:31.520 So reparations,

00:33:32.760 who gets them and why,

00:33:34.420 it's not built into the law.

00:33:36.860 It's something

00:33:37.600 that would need

00:33:38.160 to be a law.

00:33:39.340 All right?

00:33:40.160 So,

00:33:41.160 if people were in favor of it.

00:33:44.120 So here's my point.

00:33:45.520 Even talking about reparations

00:33:47.360 is collective punishment.

00:33:49.380 Because I would be

00:33:50.220 one of the people

00:33:50.920 who would be

00:33:51.500 bearing the burden

00:33:52.180 of the cost,

00:33:53.080 but quite explicitly,

00:33:55.340 I was not part

00:33:56.080 of the problem.

00:33:57.500 People who look like me

00:33:58.980 who are also white,

00:34:01.020 mostly male,

00:34:02.000 because in those days

00:34:02.780 that's,

00:34:03.720 you know,

00:34:04.040 that was the model.

00:34:05.940 So I would be punished

00:34:07.460 because people

00:34:10.060 who look like me

00:34:10.980 who also have my DNA

00:34:12.160 and not many of them,

00:34:14.280 relative to all the

00:34:15.560 white people in the world,

00:34:16.680 there weren't many

00:34:17.180 who owned slaves,

00:34:17.960 just,

00:34:18.500 you know,

00:34:19.020 a handful

00:34:19.620 by statistical terms.

00:34:23.800 So,

00:34:24.660 I would say

00:34:26.240 that that is

00:34:26.760 collective punishment.

00:34:30.720 So there you go.

00:34:31.880 All right.

00:34:36.080 And I think

00:34:36.780 Kamala Harris

00:34:37.360 might be the only one

00:34:38.140 who could crack down

00:34:38.940 on the protesters.

00:34:39.660 So,

00:34:40.340 maybe that's

00:34:41.420 what's going to happen.

00:34:44.460 Trump is largely

00:34:45.640 taken out of the game

00:34:46.700 because Antifa

00:34:47.520 uses Black Lives Matter

00:34:48.980 as a human shield.

00:34:51.080 Have you noticed that?

00:34:52.420 If Antifa by itself

00:34:54.300 caused trouble,

00:34:57.020 we could send

00:34:57.740 in the military

00:34:58.420 pretty easily.

00:34:59.620 Nobody would care,

00:35:00.440 right?

00:35:00.820 Because it's a bunch

00:35:01.780 of privileged white kids. 0.88

00:35:05.020 Nobody's going to care.

00:35:06.060 If the police roll up 0.92

00:35:07.300 on a bunch of white kids 0.84

00:35:08.400 in Antifa,

00:35:10.400 eh,

00:35:11.380 I don't know.

00:35:11.940 Does the country care?

00:35:12.940 No.

00:35:13.700 Not too much.

00:35:15.200 But,

00:35:16.500 and then

00:35:17.340 Black Lives Matter,

00:35:18.240 they don't have

00:35:18.640 the numbers.

00:35:20.320 So,

00:35:20.620 if they team up

00:35:21.480 with Antifa,

00:35:23.120 they become

00:35:23.720 this powerful force.

00:35:25.220 Except,

00:35:25.820 I don't think

00:35:26.200 Black Lives Matter

00:35:27.020 realizes that Antifa

00:35:28.280 is using them

00:35:29.040 as a human shield

00:35:30.020 to destroy the country,

00:35:32.400 whereas Black Lives Matter

00:35:33.560 might have a different,

00:35:34.460 a different opinion

00:35:35.620 of which way

00:35:36.200 things should go.

00:35:37.620 So,

00:35:38.080 at the moment,

00:35:38.760 they're on the same side

00:35:39.880 because they seem

00:35:40.640 to be opposed

00:35:41.440 to the system.

00:35:43.100 But what would happen

00:35:44.180 if the Democrats won?

00:35:46.480 Would they turn

00:35:47.140 on each other?

00:35:49.440 Maybe.

00:35:50.400 We'll see.

00:35:52.080 So,

00:35:52.680 here's some more

00:35:53.300 mind-reading news

00:35:54.420 from CNN.

00:35:58.220 So,

00:35:58.440 in this case,

00:35:58.960 Mark Cuban

00:35:59.460 was on talking

00:36:00.520 to Sean Hannity

00:36:01.300 and they had

00:36:01.940 a lively conversation

00:36:03.640 and here's a quote

00:36:05.300 from Mark Cuban.

00:36:06.380 He goes,

00:36:06.700 so Sean,

00:36:08.240 let me give you

00:36:08.900 some business advice.

00:36:10.680 Cuban continued, 0.97

00:36:12.140 if you're going

00:36:13.080 to negotiate,

00:36:13.960 now he's talking

00:36:14.460 about Trump

00:36:15.080 negotiating with dictators.

00:36:17.900 He says,

00:36:18.700 if you're going

00:36:19.100 to negotiate,

00:36:20.140 you don't fall

00:36:20.900 in love

00:36:21.440 with the dictators

00:36:22.400 that you have

00:36:23.060 to negotiate with.

00:36:25.580 Mind-reading,

00:36:26.480 right?

00:36:27.520 Do you think

00:36:28.060 Trump is in love

00:36:29.800 with the dictators?

00:36:31.780 I don't think so.

00:36:33.620 I don't think so.

00:36:35.060 I thought

00:36:35.520 the other criticism

00:36:36.580 of Trump

00:36:37.080 is that he only

00:36:37.660 loved himself

00:36:38.400 and that everything

00:36:39.500 he does is selfish.

00:36:41.300 I mean,

00:36:41.520 I think you have

00:36:42.180 to make your mind up.

00:36:44.020 Is Trump 0.97

00:36:44.680 a selfish person 0.99

00:36:45.780 who only cares 0.96

00:36:46.400 about himself

00:36:47.020 or did he fall

00:36:48.740 in love with dictators

00:36:49.680 to the point

00:36:50.720 where he cares

00:36:51.340 more about the dictators

00:36:52.460 than he cares

00:36:53.640 about himself

00:36:54.420 and the country?

00:36:55.940 I think you have

00:36:56.740 to choose,

00:36:57.320 don't you?

00:36:58.260 He either only cares

00:36:59.320 about himself

00:37:00.140 or he only cares

00:37:02.900 about what the dictators

00:37:03.900 want.

00:37:05.460 You can't have both.

00:37:07.820 Those are opposites.

00:37:10.020 So that's sort of

00:37:10.940 a mind-reading attack

00:37:12.260 on the president.

00:37:13.040 Here's another one.

00:37:14.140 My favorite humorist

00:37:15.720 on CNN

00:37:16.340 doesn't do it intentionally

00:37:17.540 and I actually laugh

00:37:19.860 every time

00:37:20.280 I read his articles 1.00

00:37:21.140 because this poor bastard, 0.99

00:37:23.680 Stephen or Stephen 0.99

00:37:24.720 Collinson,

00:37:25.980 he's their designated

00:37:27.100 anti-Trump

00:37:28.420 so he writes an article

00:37:29.600 every day or two

00:37:30.540 that is just

00:37:32.400 the most insane stuff

00:37:34.220 that when I read it

00:37:35.460 I just shake my head

00:37:36.340 and laugh the whole time.

00:37:37.480 It's like,

00:37:37.680 oh, I can't believe

00:37:38.620 people are buying into this.

00:37:40.280 So here's his latest

00:37:41.240 from Stephen Collinson.

00:37:44.940 He says,

00:37:45.300 but Trump on Tuesday

00:37:46.220 tweeted cryptically.

00:37:47.900 Now remember cryptically.

00:37:49.740 He tweeted cryptically,

00:37:51.700 meaning you don't know

00:37:52.420 exactly what he means.

00:37:53.320 And what his tweet said

00:37:55.900 was the lone warrior.

00:37:58.440 So obviously

00:37:58.940 Trump was talking

00:37:59.880 about himself,

00:38:00.660 the lone warrior.

00:38:02.280 And then here is

00:38:03.040 Collinson's interpretation.

00:38:05.020 He goes,

00:38:05.740 apparently embracing

00:38:07.180 his isolation

00:38:08.020 from even political allies

00:38:10.620 to which I say,

00:38:12.040 yeah, that sounds

00:38:13.080 like that could be

00:38:15.280 the right interpretation.

00:38:16.420 He's embracing

00:38:17.060 the fact that he's alone

00:38:19.060 even among Republicans.

00:38:20.920 Yeah, could be.

00:38:22.160 I mean,

00:38:22.320 we can't read Trump's mind,

00:38:23.940 but that feels like

00:38:25.080 a fair interpretation.

00:38:27.280 But then he goes on.

00:38:30.000 Isolation from his

00:38:30.980 political allies

00:38:32.100 and,

00:38:32.860 and after the end

00:38:33.660 comes the funny part,

00:38:34.980 and the scientific approaches

00:38:36.500 that have proven elsewhere

00:38:38.240 to at least slow the spread.

00:38:40.640 Yeah,

00:38:41.280 yeah,

00:38:41.440 that's what the president

00:38:42.320 was doing.

00:38:43.800 Sure,

00:38:44.700 he was tweeting

00:38:45.520 the lone warrior

00:38:46.960 to tell us

00:38:48.860 that he

00:38:50.000 he doesn't believe

00:38:51.680 in science.

00:38:54.240 That's what

00:38:54.980 Stefan Collinson

00:38:55.820 thinks that meant. 0.87

00:38:58.200 He's the worst 0.98

00:38:59.240 mind reader 1.00

00:38:59.920 of the world.

00:39:01.980 All right.

00:39:06.380 We got a lot

00:39:07.240 more fun today.

00:39:08.680 You should stick around

00:39:09.600 for at least

00:39:10.340 the last story.

00:39:11.900 I know that.

00:39:13.700 All right.

00:39:14.280 Why is it

00:39:20.000 you never see

00:39:20.560 Antifa

00:39:21.000 doing interviews?

00:39:22.840 You ever wonder

00:39:23.400 about that?

00:39:24.380 We've seen

00:39:24.980 Black Lives Matter

00:39:26.080 representatives

00:39:27.340 a number of times,

00:39:28.540 but you don't see

00:39:29.380 Antifa.

00:39:30.840 Where's Antifa?

00:39:32.840 It's been a long time

00:39:33.860 since I saw

00:39:34.500 a member of Antifa

00:39:35.920 do an interview.

00:39:37.560 Now,

00:39:37.720 of course,

00:39:38.020 they need to keep

00:39:39.100 their identity

00:39:39.760 hidden.

00:39:41.060 That's part of it,

00:39:41.780 but they don't

00:39:42.240 all wear masks.

00:39:43.680 There must be

00:39:44.140 somebody there

00:39:44.840 who's willing

00:39:45.260 to talk.

00:39:46.380 I think it's

00:39:46.780 because nobody

00:39:47.340 in that group

00:39:49.700 can tell their

00:39:50.440 story because

00:39:51.180 it doesn't

00:39:51.580 hold together.

00:39:53.900 Can you imagine

00:39:54.780 an Antifa

00:39:55.440 doing a national

00:39:57.080 interview and

00:39:58.060 trying to describe

00:39:58.900 what it is they

00:39:59.520 want and how

00:40:00.200 that's going to

00:40:00.680 work?

00:40:02.200 That would be

00:40:02.860 pretty interesting.

00:40:06.420 So I'm noticing

00:40:07.480 that white people 0.52

00:40:08.300 are having a little

00:40:09.160 bit more freedom

00:40:09.980 of speech just

00:40:10.940 in the last

00:40:11.460 few weeks.

00:40:13.100 Slight,

00:40:13.680 it might be

00:40:14.120 temporary,

00:40:15.240 but I can now

00:40:16.300 say the following

00:40:17.080 thing out loud

00:40:18.140 that I wouldn't

00:40:19.300 have said two

00:40:19.940 weeks ago.

00:40:21.600 So here will

00:40:22.180 be a live

00:40:22.760 demonstration of

00:40:24.480 me with more

00:40:25.820 freedom of speech

00:40:26.720 as a white male

00:40:28.420 because we have

00:40:29.460 the least amount

00:40:30.260 of freedom of

00:40:30.780 speech,

00:40:31.580 as everybody

00:40:32.140 knows.

00:40:33.460 But watch this.

00:40:34.620 I'm going to say

00:40:35.100 something now I

00:40:35.720 just couldn't have

00:40:36.220 said two weeks

00:40:36.780 ago and it'll be

00:40:37.400 fine unless I get

00:40:39.300 canceled, but I

00:40:39.960 think it'll be

00:40:40.400 fine.

00:40:41.360 Here it is.

00:40:42.880 All I'm going to

00:40:44.660 do is read a

00:40:45.320 tweet from Ian

00:40:46.560 Miles Cheung

00:40:47.760 who says,

00:40:49.260 imagine thinking

00:40:49.980 we live under

00:40:50.700 white supremacy

00:40:51.520 when you'd be 0.96

00:40:52.720 literally canceled

00:40:53.640 for making fun

00:40:54.480 of anything other

00:40:55.320 than a white

00:40:55.780 person.

00:40:58.180 So I can now

00:40:59.220 just say that in

00:40:59.900 public because my

00:41:01.420 freedom of speech

00:41:02.240 is increasing a

00:41:03.100 little bit,

00:41:03.800 partly because people

00:41:04.760 are challenging

00:41:05.360 the borders and

00:41:07.200 partly because the

00:41:07.980 conversation is so

00:41:09.140 intense now that

00:41:10.100 you can just say

00:41:10.660 more stuff.

00:41:12.040 So yeah,

00:41:14.860 if this were a

00:41:16.900 white supremacy

00:41:17.660 in a real power

00:41:20.100 way, then white

00:41:21.520 people would have

00:41:22.260 freedom of speech

00:41:22.960 like other people.

00:41:24.420 But if you're

00:41:25.060 looking for where

00:41:25.640 the power is,

00:41:27.220 don't look for the

00:41:28.000 people who don't

00:41:28.500 have freedom of

00:41:29.140 speech.

00:41:31.200 I'm not sure that's

00:41:32.220 where it is.

00:41:33.420 So that's something

00:41:34.120 you couldn't say a

00:41:35.380 few weeks ago.

00:41:36.000 Has anybody

00:41:39.600 published tips on

00:41:40.540 how to defend

00:41:41.140 your house from

00:41:42.000 a mob?

00:41:43.760 We also have a

00:41:44.500 video of the

00:41:46.000 McCloskey couple

00:41:48.020 who had their

00:41:48.740 guns and they

00:41:49.300 were defending

00:41:49.720 their house from

00:41:51.180 the mob.

00:41:52.000 We'll talk about

00:41:52.460 that in a minute.

00:41:53.640 But it made me

00:41:54.880 think, okay,

00:41:55.620 suppose a mob

00:41:56.400 came to your

00:41:57.000 house.

00:41:58.300 And let me say

00:41:59.800 up front, I don't

00:42:00.760 glorify violence

00:42:02.020 just so I don't

00:42:03.020 get canceled here.

00:42:03.780 So this is no

00:42:05.120 encouragement to

00:42:06.340 violence.

00:42:06.840 This is not

00:42:07.360 glorifying, I

00:42:08.260 discourage violence.

00:42:09.860 But let's say it's

00:42:11.240 self-defense.

00:42:12.740 You're surrounded by

00:42:13.880 the angry crowd.

00:42:15.360 It looks like they

00:42:16.120 might have weapons.

00:42:17.200 You know they're

00:42:17.600 going to destroy

00:42:18.160 your house.

00:42:19.260 You know they've

00:42:19.880 hurt people in the

00:42:20.840 past.

00:42:21.320 You might be one

00:42:21.920 of them.

00:42:22.660 At what point can

00:42:24.940 you use a firearm

00:42:25.840 in legal self-defense?

00:42:28.420 And again, look how

00:42:29.440 careful I'm being.

00:42:30.840 In legal self-defense,

00:42:32.600 where is the line?

00:42:33.820 At what point can

00:42:35.660 you safely say,

00:42:36.600 okay, now I can

00:42:37.460 fire and I won't

00:42:39.000 go to jail?

00:42:39.940 I don't know where

00:42:40.660 that point is.

00:42:41.880 And it would be

00:42:42.320 really useful for

00:42:44.000 people who have both

00:42:44.900 legal and military

00:42:46.120 training to let us

00:42:47.260 know.

00:42:47.940 Now part of the

00:42:48.480 complication is it

00:42:49.360 depends on your

00:42:49.960 state.

00:42:51.060 So the state laws

00:42:52.120 will determine

00:42:52.740 exactly what it

00:42:54.160 looks like to be a

00:42:56.640 threat.

00:42:58.300 But the other

00:42:59.060 thing I wondered

00:42:59.600 is if you have

00:43:01.120 limited ammunition,

00:43:02.260 what do you do

00:43:04.400 with it?

00:43:05.480 Again, I'm not

00:43:06.540 glorifying violence

00:43:07.740 and I discourage it

00:43:09.600 in every way I

00:43:10.400 can.

00:43:11.100 But in the realm

00:43:12.120 of self-defense,

00:43:13.140 I think it's

00:43:13.480 completely fair to

00:43:15.320 talk about what is

00:43:16.060 good self-defense.

00:43:17.940 And there are two

00:43:18.820 theories on where

00:43:21.360 to shoot first.

00:43:23.280 Maybe more than 0.95

00:43:24.120 that.

00:43:24.360 There are probably

00:43:24.600 several.

00:43:25.200 And I don't know

00:43:25.780 which one is right

00:43:26.520 and I would like

00:43:27.060 to get some

00:43:27.720 professional advice.

00:43:29.740 So here are the

00:43:30.280 theories, just so

00:43:31.600 you can compare

00:43:32.220 them.

00:43:32.740 One would be to

00:43:33.660 get whoever is

00:43:34.420 closest.

00:43:35.300 In other words,

00:43:35.760 the most aggressive

00:43:36.560 person who is

00:43:38.040 closest because

00:43:39.180 everybody would see

00:43:40.060 that person go

00:43:40.760 down.

00:43:41.980 You don't want to

00:43:42.880 shoot somebody in 0.80

00:43:43.680 the back of the 1.00

00:43:44.280 crowd because the

00:43:45.120 front of the crowd

00:43:45.680 doesn't see it.

00:43:47.280 So one piece of

00:43:49.040 advice is make

00:43:49.960 sure it's somebody

00:43:50.480 everybody can see.

00:43:52.060 Second part is

00:43:53.340 are they armed?

00:43:54.800 Maybe you have to

00:43:55.920 pick out the person

00:43:56.820 who has a weapon

00:43:57.500 first.

00:43:58.880 If you were accurate

00:44:00.480 enough, you thought 0.65

00:44:02.040 you could, only one

00:44:04.200 weapon, that might be

00:44:05.860 the first target.

00:44:07.720 But then there's a

00:44:08.600 third one that I

00:44:10.180 think is more evil

00:44:11.980 but possibly more

00:44:13.980 effective, which is 0.98

00:44:15.740 you shoot the person 0.99

00:44:16.700 who would cause the 0.99

00:44:17.720 crowd the most

00:44:18.520 concerned.

00:44:21.980 Now, I'm not going

00:44:22.940 to fill in the blank.

00:44:24.800 But if you said to

00:44:26.160 yourself, what's the

00:44:27.240 most shocking thing

00:44:29.640 you could do, just

00:44:31.600 fill in the blanks,

00:44:32.460 right?

00:44:32.840 You would pick the

00:44:33.740 person who would stop

00:44:35.200 the crowd in their

00:44:36.180 tracks.

00:44:37.740 If you had one

00:44:39.280 bullet, what's the

00:44:41.520 one place you would

00:44:42.260 put it for self-defense?

00:44:43.500 Again, not glorifying

00:44:44.420 any violence, not

00:44:45.300 encouraging.

00:44:46.540 Don't shoot anybody

00:44:47.520 if you can.

00:44:49.140 Yeah.

00:44:49.360 I'm not going to fill

00:44:52.200 it in, but you can

00:44:53.440 use your imagination.

00:44:54.820 If you only had one

00:44:55.760 shot, where would you

00:44:58.280 put it?

00:44:59.360 So, use your

00:45:00.220 imagination and I

00:45:02.080 think you probably

00:45:02.540 come to the same

00:45:03.160 conclusion that I did.

00:45:04.880 All right.

00:45:05.460 So, I know who I'm

00:45:06.200 aiming for.

00:45:06.840 That's all I'm saying.

00:45:07.460 So, McCloskey, the

00:45:10.860 lawyer who with his

00:45:12.320 wife defended his

00:45:13.280 home with his AR and

00:45:15.420 she had her handgun,

00:45:17.920 he went on Cuomo's

00:45:19.200 show and here was an

00:45:22.720 interesting exchange.

00:45:24.740 So, Cuomo said to

00:45:25.760 him, Trump retweeted

00:45:27.760 the video of Mark

00:45:28.980 McCloskey because,

00:45:30.260 quote, he liked the

00:45:31.980 image of white

00:45:32.740 resistance to his 0.94

00:45:34.340 black lives, to this 0.99

00:45:36.280 black lives matter

00:45:37.440 moment.

00:45:39.500 So, and then

00:45:41.380 McCloskey looks into

00:45:43.340 the camera and he

00:45:43.880 goes, I'm glad you're

00:45:45.120 a mind reader because

00:45:46.100 no one else thinks

00:45:46.940 you are.

00:45:50.100 So, this lawyer, you've

00:45:51.840 seen the lawyer's

00:45:52.580 home.

00:45:52.960 It's this big palace

00:45:54.460 like, it looks like

00:45:55.320 Versailles or

00:45:56.220 something.

00:45:56.940 So, that lawyer is

00:45:57.960 super rich, which

00:46:00.400 means he's probably

00:46:01.340 really good at his

00:46:02.480 job.

00:46:03.720 Right?

00:46:04.240 He's very good at

00:46:05.260 his job.

00:46:05.860 So, you would

00:46:08.920 think that he

00:46:09.380 would be very

00:46:09.960 persuasive and

00:46:11.840 sure enough, he

00:46:12.620 picked the most

00:46:13.280 persuasive thing that

00:46:14.360 you could have

00:46:14.740 said, which just

00:46:15.520 stopped Cuomo in

00:46:17.120 his tracks.

00:46:18.060 I'm glad you're a

00:46:18.760 mind reader because

00:46:19.480 no one else thinks

00:46:20.140 you are.

00:46:21.300 He basically just

00:46:22.440 called him out for 1.00

00:46:23.180 being a fucking 1.00

00:46:23.800 idiot on TV and 1.00

00:46:26.080 completely got away 1.00

00:46:27.060 with it.

00:46:27.480 completely got away

00:46:29.500 with it.

00:46:30.280 Because, now, first

00:46:31.900 of all, let's talk

00:46:33.160 about the elephant

00:46:35.020 in the room here.

00:46:36.080 Is there anybody

00:46:36.920 you've heard say

00:46:38.120 that before?

00:46:39.680 That CNN is engaged

00:46:41.060 in mind reading?

00:46:42.820 Yes.

00:46:44.160 Me.

00:46:45.180 Do you think, how

00:46:47.320 many of you think

00:46:48.140 that Mr.

00:46:48.860 McCloskey was

00:46:50.400 influenced by me?

00:46:52.760 Because, before

00:46:54.760 this election

00:46:55.560 cycle, let's say

00:46:56.420 the last three or

00:46:57.540 four years, have

00:46:58.760 you ever heard the

00:46:59.520 phrase mind

00:47:00.220 reading being used

00:47:01.940 in this context to

00:47:03.520 accuse somebody of

00:47:04.480 just being a mind

00:47:05.240 reader?

00:47:08.320 Because, you might

00:47:10.440 imagine that that

00:47:11.620 came from me.

00:47:12.700 Now, I've told you

00:47:13.260 before that I track

00:47:14.200 my influence by

00:47:16.120 using unique sets of

00:47:18.120 words or words and

00:47:19.740 then seeing if they

00:47:20.480 appear in the wild.

00:47:21.840 where they had not

00:47:22.820 appeared before.

00:47:24.040 Now, that doesn't

00:47:24.740 conclude that you're

00:47:26.160 the cause because

00:47:27.220 other things can

00:47:28.660 trigger things.

00:47:30.320 But, if you see it

00:47:31.080 enough, you'd say,

00:47:32.680 well, that's five

00:47:33.820 times in a row I've

00:47:34.700 seen this pattern.

00:47:36.280 Even if only two or

00:47:37.360 three are true and

00:47:38.960 the others are

00:47:39.500 confirmation bias,

00:47:40.800 you probably have

00:47:41.300 something.

00:47:42.600 You know, it's far

00:47:43.600 short of a scientific

00:47:44.460 test, but it's fun

00:47:45.960 to do.

00:47:47.140 Now, what are the

00:47:48.340 odds that a lawyer

00:47:49.880 whose job is

00:47:50.840 persuading people

00:47:51.820 would have read

00:47:53.160 the book Win

00:47:54.640 Bigley or even

00:47:56.940 Loser Think because

00:47:57.940 they both teach you

00:47:58.820 how to persuade and

00:48:00.340 think through things.

00:48:02.020 Well, I have to tell

00:48:03.020 you that a lot of

00:48:03.940 lawyers read my

00:48:04.780 materials.

00:48:05.480 If you look at who

00:48:06.340 follows me, you

00:48:07.780 probably see more

00:48:08.960 lawyers and, oddly

00:48:11.320 enough, doctors in my

00:48:13.200 Twitter feed than any

00:48:14.440 other profession.

00:48:15.520 Maybe engineers would 0.80

00:48:16.480 be more.

00:48:16.860 lawyers are way 0.82

00:48:20.220 overrepresented in my

00:48:22.280 followers.

00:48:23.320 And there's a reason

00:48:23.920 because I talk about

00:48:24.840 persuasion.

00:48:25.940 If you're a lawyer,

00:48:27.620 what is more useful to

00:48:29.460 you than persuasion?

00:48:30.640 You're probably

00:48:31.240 interested in it and

00:48:32.280 you'd like to be

00:48:33.820 exposed to more of

00:48:35.400 it.

00:48:35.980 So I can't tell you

00:48:37.080 that McCloskey got that

00:48:38.340 from me, but I would

00:48:40.480 add that to the list of

00:48:42.160 things that sure look

00:48:43.480 like it came from me.

00:48:45.700 Now, some people say

00:48:47.220 it may not have come

00:48:48.000 from me directly, and

00:48:49.400 that is true because

00:48:50.560 it's permeated the

00:48:52.580 atmosphere at this

00:48:53.300 point.

00:48:57.100 So that McCloskey guy

00:48:59.280 is just a lot of fun

00:49:00.260 because he doesn't

00:49:01.160 take any – he's like

00:49:02.860 Bill Barr with an

00:49:03.760 attitude.

00:49:07.200 So here are the

00:49:08.060 stories that CNN

00:49:09.660 makes its living on.

00:49:11.700 So you've got your

00:49:12.480 mind-reading stories

00:49:13.580 where they assume

00:49:14.460 somebody's thinking

00:49:15.200 something and always

00:49:15.960 think it wrong.

00:49:17.300 Then you've got the

00:49:18.120 category of worrying

00:49:19.320 about the future, of

00:49:21.900 things that almost

00:49:22.660 never happen.

00:49:23.860 So they're always

00:49:24.420 worried about something

00:49:25.360 happening, but that

00:49:26.640 thing never happens.

00:49:27.880 So that's the

00:49:28.400 imaginary worry stories.

00:49:30.660 Then you've got the

00:49:31.580 secret messages stories.

00:49:33.780 Well, well, he's

00:49:35.780 sending a secret

00:49:36.640 message.

00:49:37.680 Can you hear it?

00:49:38.520 It's a dog whistle

00:49:39.380 that you can't hear.

00:49:40.920 Then you've got your

00:49:42.040 anonymous sources

00:49:43.340 stories, which always

00:49:44.340 turn out to be fake

00:49:45.260 news, and those are at

00:49:47.480 least 30% of their

00:49:48.500 news.

00:49:49.740 And here's my favorite

00:49:51.520 one, generic management

00:49:53.740 jargon.

00:49:55.040 They make stories, meaning

00:49:57.040 content, not stories, but

00:49:58.580 they're pundits.

00:50:00.060 They use meaningless

00:50:01.480 management jargon to

00:50:02.860 talk about the news, and

00:50:04.480 then you feel like

00:50:05.140 something happened, but

00:50:06.080 nothing is happening

00:50:06.880 because jargon doesn't

00:50:07.900 actually inform you.

00:50:08.940 It just makes you feel

00:50:10.080 like something's

00:50:10.620 happening.

00:50:12.080 And I'm going to tell

00:50:13.120 you something that

00:50:13.760 you'll never be able to

00:50:14.700 unhear.

00:50:16.060 When I first taught you

00:50:17.620 that this mind-reading

00:50:19.660 idea is persuasive,

00:50:22.340 just dozens of people

00:50:23.440 told me, even just in the

00:50:24.520 last day, that now they

00:50:26.080 see it everywhere.

00:50:27.360 Once you see it, you

00:50:29.240 can't unsee it.

00:50:30.180 It sets your filter.

00:50:31.400 I'm going to set your

00:50:32.120 filter for Joe Biden.

00:50:33.580 Watch this.

00:50:34.520 You'll never be able to

00:50:35.560 see him the same.

00:50:37.980 Joe Biden talks in

00:50:40.260 management jargon, but

00:50:41.440 he doesn't say anything.

00:50:42.820 Here are some Joe

00:50:43.800 Biden complaints about

00:50:45.620 Trump.

00:50:46.920 Watch how they don't

00:50:47.780 say anything.

00:50:48.880 They're just, they're

00:50:49.500 just, it's just your

00:50:51.200 boss talking.

00:50:53.260 He should do his job,

00:50:55.340 set priorities, listen

00:50:56.500 to the experts, need

00:50:57.840 more transparency.

00:50:58.900 He's got to step up.

00:50:59.960 He's got to take

00:51:00.520 responsibility.

00:51:02.320 And if you listen to

00:51:03.100 Joe Biden, it all

00:51:04.940 sounds like that.

00:51:06.980 There's nothing there.

00:51:08.880 There's actually nothing

00:51:09.920 there.

00:51:10.900 Because, let's take

00:51:12.660 one example.

00:51:15.460 Biden decided that he

00:51:17.240 would, he said he

00:51:18.400 would keep Dr.

00:51:19.340 Fauci if he were

00:51:20.500 elected president, and

00:51:21.960 he will listen to the

00:51:22.940 experts.

00:51:24.240 Now, how different is

00:51:25.260 that from what Trump

00:51:27.100 has offered?

00:51:28.800 Has Trump listened to

00:51:31.100 the experts, including

00:51:32.660 and primarily, Dr.

00:51:34.420 Fauci?

00:51:35.940 Yes.

00:51:36.900 With one big

00:51:38.180 exception.

00:51:39.980 Now, I'm not going to

00:51:41.080 count, you know, whether

00:51:42.280 he personally wears a

00:51:43.420 mask, because that's

00:51:44.440 more of a political

00:51:45.580 calculation, right?

00:51:46.700 That's not, that's more

00:51:48.140 about Trump.

00:51:49.260 But, has Trump followed

00:51:51.900 the recommendation of

00:51:52.860 Fauci?

00:51:53.720 Yes.

00:51:54.760 With one exception.

00:51:56.240 What was the one

00:51:56.980 exception?

00:51:57.340 The one exception is

00:51:59.760 the one Trump got

00:52:00.660 right, which was

00:52:02.580 closing travel from

00:52:03.800 China soon, against 0.96

00:52:06.060 the advice of the

00:52:07.280 experts.

00:52:08.720 So, if you get Joe

00:52:09.600 Biden, and this is

00:52:11.800 just mind-boggling when

00:52:13.000 I heard it, Joe Biden

00:52:14.460 is promising you that

00:52:16.680 he'll give you, at

00:52:17.600 least on the

00:52:18.060 coronavirus, he'll give

00:52:19.600 you everything Trump

00:52:20.760 gave you, which is

00:52:21.940 following the advice of

00:52:23.580 the experts, except for

00:52:26.580 the good part, the

00:52:28.260 part where Trump did

00:52:29.520 not follow the advice

00:52:30.660 of the experts, and

00:52:32.000 was proven 100% right

00:52:34.000 as events unfolded.

00:52:36.140 So, from a risk

00:52:37.260 management perspective,

00:52:39.340 Trump nailed it.

00:52:40.960 He nailed it.

00:52:41.660 The only time he broke

00:52:42.780 with the experts was a

00:52:43.820 big one.

00:52:44.540 It was a really big

00:52:45.340 one, and he was

00:52:46.400 right.

00:52:48.220 Biden promises you to

00:52:49.720 do all the things that

00:52:50.820 Trump did, except for

00:52:52.560 the good one.

00:52:53.160 And he's actually

00:52:55.060 presenting that as his

00:52:56.480 proposition.

00:52:57.840 And his audience is so

00:53:01.080 low information that

00:53:03.120 that actually sounds like

00:53:04.200 something.

00:53:05.480 Imagine being such a

00:53:06.880 low-information voter

00:53:08.140 that you didn't know

00:53:09.580 what I just told you,

00:53:10.940 and you heard Biden

00:53:13.200 talk, and you thought

00:53:13.960 to yourself, yeah, yeah,

00:53:16.600 you should listen to the

00:53:17.760 experts.

00:53:19.000 How about that?

00:53:20.040 Huh?

00:53:21.640 Huh?

00:53:24.240 Somebody says

00:53:25.080 hydroxychloroquine.

00:53:26.600 I mean, that's a risk

00:53:28.240 management question.

00:53:29.280 I'm not sure that's an

00:53:30.000 expert question.

00:53:35.100 That's his proposition.

00:53:37.460 So, I think that's

00:53:41.900 mostly what I wanted to

00:53:42.900 talk about today.

00:53:46.840 Yes, I did.

00:53:47.920 That's it. 0.96

00:53:48.500 So, Biden is a basket

00:53:50.640 of bad ideas, somebody

00:53:51.660 says.

00:53:52.500 All right, so here are

00:53:53.200 your futures.

00:53:54.760 Your futures are

00:53:56.060 Biden presidency,

00:53:59.500 police are not

00:54:00.320 supported, crime

00:54:01.740 surges, Republicans

00:54:03.180 are hunted down,

00:54:04.680 either economically or

00:54:05.840 physically, or both.

00:54:08.540 Chances of you being 0.99

00:54:09.700 dead, you being a 0.99

00:54:12.180 Republican, chances of 1.00

00:54:14.280 you being dead in a 0.91

00:54:15.280 year if Biden is 0.86

00:54:16.720 elected, pretty good.

00:54:18.500 Pretty good.

00:54:19.140 Maybe 20%.

00:54:20.140 20% of some

00:54:22.080 Republicans would be 1.00

00:54:23.040 hunted down and killed 1.00

00:54:23.900 under that situation

00:54:25.840 where law and order

00:54:26.720 break down.

00:54:28.840 But that doesn't have

00:54:29.880 to be the case.

00:54:31.660 It doesn't have to be

00:54:32.420 the case.

00:54:33.700 Because there's this

00:54:34.520 thing called the

00:54:35.600 third act.

00:54:37.040 And in the third act,

00:54:38.840 you get surprises,

00:54:40.620 and you get surprise

00:54:41.760 fixes for things.

00:54:42.940 For example, if the

00:54:44.480 president let things

00:54:45.360 get worse and worse

00:54:46.140 and worse and then

00:54:46.820 sent in the military

00:54:47.820 and cleaned it up

00:54:49.360 right before election

00:54:50.840 day, what would that

00:54:51.620 look like?

00:54:53.460 It might look good.

00:54:55.260 It might.

00:54:56.560 You don't know.

00:54:58.020 And it might be that

00:54:58.960 somebody says that

00:55:00.500 CHOP has ended, or

00:55:02.380 CHAS has ended.

00:55:03.520 Is that something that

00:55:04.300 happened today?

00:55:04.840 While I was on here?

00:55:07.080 Because I haven't seen

00:55:07.680 any news on that.

00:55:10.500 I don't think that's

00:55:11.680 the case.

00:55:13.960 CHAS has ended?

00:55:14.960 I doubt that's true.

00:55:18.640 It would be a headline.

00:55:20.960 Sometimes it takes a

00:55:22.000 while for the headlines

00:55:22.740 to reach the written

00:55:24.040 page, but we'll check

00:55:25.560 on that.

00:55:25.860 All right.

00:55:27.640 The other possibility

00:55:29.020 is the golden age.

00:55:30.900 The golden age.

00:55:33.040 And we might be

00:55:33.880 almost there.

00:55:34.840 So let's make sure

00:55:35.760 that one happens.

00:55:37.040 And I'll talk to you

00:55:37.800 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 01, 2020

Episode 1044 Scott Adams： Special Guest Carson Griffith and Lots About the Protests and Biden

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