Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1052 Scott Adams： Single Parent Households, Biden and Beethoven Both Decomposing, Ye Systems, Schools, More

00:00:00.000 Bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum, bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum bum 0.99

00:00:30.000 of the entire week.

00:00:31.840 Yeah, it's going to be that good.

00:00:33.660 And all you need is a cup or a mug

00:00:36.140 or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a stein

00:00:37.620 or a canteen, a jug or a flask, a vessel of any

00:00:39.660 kind.

00:00:41.380 Fill it with your favorite liquid.

00:00:43.700 I like coffee.

00:00:45.360 And join me now for the unparalleled pleasure

00:00:47.700 of the dopamine of the day, the thing that makes

00:00:49.840 everything better, including

00:00:51.880 single-parent households,

00:00:55.040 poverty,

00:00:56.360 pandemics, yeah,

00:00:57.860 all of that. It's all going to be better in a moment.

00:01:00.000 Yep.

00:01:02.880 Yep.

00:01:04.760 I can feel things heading in the right direction.

00:01:07.500 It's almost automatic.

00:01:09.120 And it's because of the sip. It really is.

00:01:12.140 Let's talk about some things.

00:01:15.360 So it seems that Twitter is still

00:01:17.780 either intentionally

00:01:20.100 or accidentally shadow

00:01:21.900 banning people.

00:01:23.560 What I don't know

00:01:24.880 is whether it's limited to

00:01:28.020 one side of the political

00:01:29.900 spectrum.

00:01:30.880 Since the people I tend to hear from the most

00:01:33.640 are the people that follow me,

00:01:34.920 I don't know that.

00:01:36.360 But Michael Malice

00:01:37.900 tweeted, I think last night,

00:01:40.600 that one of his friends

00:01:42.220 reliably said

00:01:43.420 that he follows Michael Malice on Twitter

00:01:45.900 but gets unfollowed automatically.

00:01:48.580 So Michael asked,

00:01:49.820 does anybody else notice this?

00:01:52.460 And he mentioned three names in particular

00:01:55.000 for people to check.

00:01:56.820 So he said, see if you're getting unfollowed

00:01:58.940 from Tim Pool,

00:02:01.100 Michael Tracy,

00:02:02.680 or Scott Adams.

00:02:04.740 Now, what do you think happened?

00:02:07.740 What do you think happened?

00:02:09.200 Yeah, so we got lots of comments

00:02:13.240 of people who checked

00:02:14.820 and found out that they had been

00:02:17.220 unfollowed automatically.

00:02:19.920 Now, some of them hadn't noticed it before,

00:02:22.220 but the number of people who weighed in

00:02:24.040 and said, yes, it happened to me,

00:02:25.600 I don't think there's any chance anymore

00:02:29.420 that it's confirmation bias.

00:02:32.880 I don't think there's any chance

00:02:34.480 it's some kind of a pocket situation

00:02:37.260 where it's somehow automatically doing it

00:02:40.780 because you stuck it in your pocket

00:02:42.020 like a pocket dial.

00:02:43.620 I don't think it's a bug

00:02:45.000 because it would be such a big bug

00:02:47.600 that it would be easy to notice.

00:02:50.620 I don't know what it is.

00:02:52.640 Now, I've seen some other people speculate

00:02:54.620 as I had

00:02:55.620 that it could be third-party apps

00:02:58.360 that you also have on your phone

00:03:00.760 that sometimes they ask you

00:03:03.020 for permission to post on Twitter,

00:03:05.260 which I think gives them permission

00:03:07.340 to do other things as well.

00:03:09.580 And I don't know if it's TikTok

00:03:11.500 or other apps,

00:03:12.800 but there does seem to be

00:03:15.260 a pretty big problem here.

00:03:16.800 I just don't know what it is.

00:03:18.780 And a lot of people reported

00:03:20.140 that they don't see

00:03:21.020 President Trump's tweets,

00:03:22.660 but I don't know

00:03:24.100 if that's an algorithm issue

00:03:25.700 or something else.

00:03:26.940 But if you follow somebody

00:03:28.360 or like something

00:03:29.560 and it gets reversed later,

00:03:32.140 especially if it gets reversed

00:03:33.640 months later,

00:03:35.340 you can't really call that a bug.

00:03:37.920 I mean, it might be,

00:03:40.240 but...

00:03:42.400 And here's the fun part.

00:03:44.080 I actually don't know

00:03:45.540 if Twitter knows what's happening.

00:03:47.000 I don't think they know,

00:03:49.620 which means that it's coming

00:03:51.340 from some source,

00:03:52.360 either within the company

00:03:53.580 or outside.

00:03:54.920 But I don't think

00:03:55.980 it's coming from management.

00:03:58.120 And by the way,

00:03:59.380 it would be insane

00:04:00.920 for management to do this.

00:04:03.540 Let me say this

00:04:04.360 as clearly as possible.

00:04:06.080 Given how obvious it is

00:04:08.060 and how much it has been discussed,

00:04:11.820 if you still think

00:04:13.160 that Twitter management

00:04:14.280 knows about it

00:04:16.220 and is authorizing it,

00:04:19.460 that would be

00:04:20.360 a deep misunderstanding

00:04:21.940 of human beings,

00:04:23.720 I think.

00:04:24.320 And it wouldn't matter

00:04:25.000 if it was Jack

00:04:25.660 or somebody else

00:04:26.400 that you put into

00:04:27.800 this situation.

00:04:30.680 I don't know

00:04:31.540 that anybody

00:04:32.100 would risk

00:04:32.900 a billion dollars

00:04:34.240 to do

00:04:35.840 a kind of a

00:04:37.480 behavior

00:04:38.260 that's so obvious.

00:04:40.020 in other words,

00:04:41.800 if they were doing it

00:04:42.680 intentionally,

00:04:43.520 they would also know

00:04:44.880 that they would be

00:04:45.580 detected easily.

00:04:47.780 Easily detected.

00:04:49.400 In fact,

00:04:50.060 we just detected it.

00:04:51.720 So I think that

00:04:52.600 it's coming from

00:04:53.840 some source

00:04:54.460 other than management.

00:04:56.280 But it's certainly

00:04:57.140 coming from somewhere.

00:05:00.140 All right.

00:05:01.180 Could be domestic

00:05:02.500 or foreign.

00:05:03.480 We don't know.

00:05:06.760 One of my favorite things

00:05:08.280 in the world now,

00:05:09.180 and it's just getting

00:05:10.040 more and more fun,

00:05:11.060 is watching Biden's

00:05:12.340 supporters

00:05:12.840 pretend they don't

00:05:14.980 notice a problem.

00:05:17.420 Now, of course,

00:05:18.340 there's a different

00:05:19.260 breed that say,

00:05:21.140 yeah, we see it too.

00:05:22.360 We know Biden's

00:05:23.180 losing it

00:05:23.760 or has lost it,

00:05:24.940 but it's still

00:05:25.840 better than Trump.

00:05:27.920 And when people

00:05:29.200 say stuff like that,

00:05:30.960 I always wonder,

00:05:33.100 what are they seeing

00:05:34.500 that I'm not seeing?

00:05:36.680 Is it just

00:05:37.740 the fake news difference?

00:05:40.040 Because

00:05:40.600 all the things

00:05:42.260 that people

00:05:42.840 were worried about

00:05:43.940 from when Trump

00:05:45.500 was first elected,

00:05:46.920 there were lots

00:05:47.840 of concerns.

00:05:49.380 But now that we're

00:05:50.120 three and a half years

00:05:51.060 into the term,

00:05:52.280 you don't have to wonder

00:05:53.520 what he might do

00:05:54.600 because you can

00:05:56.420 pretty well see

00:05:57.300 what he does

00:05:58.100 as a president.

00:05:59.200 It would be

00:06:00.100 unusual to expect

00:06:01.880 that he would be

00:06:02.520 different in a second term.

00:06:03.860 So I think

00:06:05.020 the first term

00:06:06.120 gives you

00:06:07.160 a pretty good picture

00:06:08.600 of what to expect

00:06:10.260 and what went wrong.

00:06:12.560 If you ask people

00:06:13.680 what was the big disaster

00:06:15.940 of the Trump administration,

00:06:19.220 they will sometimes

00:06:20.840 give you some fake news

00:06:22.360 such as

00:06:24.180 not quite understanding

00:06:25.780 that there was a surge

00:06:27.080 at the border

00:06:27.740 and that the cages

00:06:29.680 that Obama built

00:06:30.780 had to be used

00:06:32.620 more temporarily.

00:06:34.540 Nobody was happy.

00:06:35.600 In other words,

00:06:36.100 they'll give you a story

00:06:36.880 they don't quite understand

00:06:38.100 or they don't know

00:06:38.820 the context.

00:06:39.980 So that's one thing

00:06:40.840 that Trump did wrong,

00:06:42.140 which is not really

00:06:43.120 Trump doing it wrong.

00:06:44.040 Now,

00:06:45.100 the kids in cages

00:06:45.820 is a tragic situation,

00:06:47.500 but the whole point

00:06:49.300 of it

00:06:49.680 was that

00:06:50.680 reasonable,

00:06:51.520 responsible people

00:06:52.420 said it's still

00:06:53.460 better than

00:06:54.060 the only other

00:06:54.720 alternative,

00:06:55.640 which is to let

00:06:56.620 kids go with

00:06:57.700 traffickers

00:06:58.900 and God knows what.

00:07:01.540 So you have

00:07:03.060 one category

00:07:03.700 of things people say,

00:07:04.620 yeah,

00:07:04.760 look how it all

00:07:05.520 went wrong

00:07:06.100 under Trump,

00:07:07.260 but the things

00:07:07.880 they look at

00:07:08.440 are just sort of

00:07:09.160 fake news

00:07:09.940 and out of context

00:07:10.800 things that they

00:07:11.420 don't quite understand.

00:07:12.920 But then there's

00:07:13.460 another category

00:07:14.160 that I just laugh

00:07:15.040 out loud

00:07:15.540 when I hear it.

00:07:17.000 They talk about

00:07:17.820 how Trump has

00:07:18.620 ruined our

00:07:20.240 country's ability

00:07:21.340 to deal with

00:07:22.140 other countries.

00:07:24.820 What's that based on?

00:07:27.700 Have you noticed

00:07:28.700 any of that?

00:07:30.240 Have you noticed

00:07:31.140 that other countries

00:07:32.300 won't take a call

00:07:33.320 from the United States?

00:07:35.200 Is there ever

00:07:35.680 a situation where

00:07:36.600 the prime minister

00:07:38.580 of pick a country,

00:07:40.100 any country,

00:07:41.060 just pick any country,

00:07:42.540 friend or foe

00:07:43.300 country,

00:07:44.500 and the secretary

00:07:46.140 comes in,

00:07:47.080 whoever is the

00:07:48.440 handling calls,

00:07:51.200 and says to the

00:07:52.000 leader of this

00:07:52.520 other country,

00:07:53.100 the president

00:07:53.560 of the United States

00:07:54.360 is on the line.

00:07:55.920 He wants to talk

00:07:56.640 to you.

00:07:57.920 Which country

00:07:58.720 doesn't take the

00:07:59.460 call?

00:08:00.880 Now,

00:08:01.360 I realize that

00:08:02.080 a call from

00:08:02.860 a head of state

00:08:03.680 would be scheduled,

00:08:05.160 so he wouldn't

00:08:06.060 just call out of

00:08:06.760 the blue.

00:08:07.800 But my point is,

00:08:09.260 does anybody

00:08:09.800 really think

00:08:10.640 that there is

00:08:11.640 a country

00:08:12.100 somewhere who's

00:08:12.760 not taking a call

00:08:13.740 from the United

00:08:14.320 States?

00:08:15.740 I don't think

00:08:16.660 that happened.

00:08:18.660 How about,

00:08:19.700 are there any

00:08:20.220 countries that

00:08:20.820 don't want to

00:08:21.420 do a trade deal

00:08:22.560 or at least

00:08:23.760 negotiate with

00:08:24.560 the United States?

00:08:25.300 I haven't heard

00:08:27.440 of that.

00:08:28.220 Have you?

00:08:29.300 Well,

00:08:29.620 you know,

00:08:30.320 Iran is obviously 0.99

00:08:31.320 a case where

00:08:32.700 we're trying to

00:08:33.480 put pressure on

00:08:34.140 them.

00:08:36.200 Yeah,

00:08:36.820 so the things

00:08:38.260 that people

00:08:38.640 imagine have

00:08:39.500 already gone

00:08:40.400 wrong are

00:08:41.480 literally just

00:08:42.200 imagination.

00:08:43.600 It's just

00:08:44.180 imagination.

00:08:45.300 I'm pretty sure

00:08:45.900 there's nothing

00:08:46.400 you can point

00:08:46.980 to that is a

00:08:48.060 disaster that

00:08:49.920 is not of the

00:08:50.640 making of the

00:08:51.240 news.

00:08:51.980 So here's the

00:08:52.880 other big point

00:08:53.520 people make.

00:08:54.040 They say,

00:08:54.840 look at race

00:08:55.600 relations.

00:08:57.020 To which I say,

00:08:58.500 imagine a world

00:08:59.560 where the news

00:09:01.120 was just reported

00:09:02.100 straight without

00:09:03.760 any opinion.

00:09:05.300 What would that

00:09:06.020 look like?

00:09:06.740 Imagine a Trump

00:09:07.620 administration in

00:09:09.260 which, you know,

00:09:09.940 there was still a

00:09:10.560 CNN, there's still

00:09:11.460 a Fox News, but

00:09:12.580 all they do is

00:09:13.140 they tell you

00:09:13.560 what happened.

00:09:15.000 They don't give

00:09:15.560 you any, any

00:09:16.820 interpretation.

00:09:18.240 Take any

00:09:19.320 story.

00:09:20.400 The president

00:09:21.020 called several

00:09:22.880 countries,

00:09:23.360 shithole

00:09:24.140 countries.

00:09:25.040 We'll just

00:09:25.420 take that

00:09:25.780 story as

00:09:26.280 our example.

00:09:27.320 Suppose they

00:09:27.880 had simply

00:09:28.360 been reported

00:09:29.220 as just a

00:09:29.940 fact.

00:09:31.000 How would

00:09:31.600 anybody feel

00:09:32.300 about it?

00:09:33.900 They wouldn't

00:09:34.460 even think

00:09:34.900 about it.

00:09:36.240 It wouldn't

00:09:36.920 even be on

00:09:37.400 their mind.

00:09:38.660 They probably

00:09:39.080 wouldn't even

00:09:39.420 know what

00:09:39.720 happened, even

00:09:40.420 if it had

00:09:40.740 been reported,

00:09:41.700 because without

00:09:42.420 the opinion

00:09:43.100 stuff, it's

00:09:44.080 not really a

00:09:44.780 story.

00:09:46.340 Suppose, you

00:09:46.980 know, so

00:09:47.280 here's the

00:09:47.920 story reported

00:09:48.700 as fact.

00:09:49.640 The president

00:09:50.240 called several

00:09:51.000 countries,

00:09:51.640 shithole

00:09:51.940 countries, and

00:09:53.600 then nobody

00:09:54.460 on TV adds

00:09:55.480 any commentary.

00:09:57.200 What would

00:09:57.560 you think of

00:09:58.020 that?

00:09:58.980 You'd probably

00:09:59.440 think, oh, he

00:10:00.760 swears in

00:10:01.420 meetings.

00:10:02.860 That's probably

00:10:03.720 all you would

00:10:04.480 think, because

00:10:05.760 you wouldn't

00:10:06.060 even dig in

00:10:06.860 and say, well,

00:10:07.540 how many of

00:10:08.000 the countries

00:10:08.420 were predominantly

00:10:09.760 brown or black?

00:10:11.540 You know, and

00:10:12.280 of course, it's a

00:10:13.620 fake story in the

00:10:14.500 sense that there's

00:10:15.240 only one person

00:10:15.960 who heard it.

00:10:17.480 Apparently, nobody

00:10:18.160 else heard it.

00:10:18.960 You know, I

00:10:20.080 think that's

00:10:20.660 the story.

00:10:22.220 But also, the

00:10:23.140 context was

00:10:24.520 changed when it

00:10:25.320 was reported.

00:10:26.720 So if you're

00:10:27.180 saying that the

00:10:27.800 country has

00:10:28.360 become more

00:10:29.320 racially divided,

00:10:30.580 I would say

00:10:30.960 that's true.

00:10:32.520 But what's the

00:10:33.440 reason?

00:10:34.680 The reason isn't

00:10:35.440 the president.

00:10:36.900 Now, he does

00:10:37.800 play into it.

00:10:38.740 He does things

00:10:39.340 which makes it

00:10:40.380 easy for them

00:10:41.100 to do that.

00:10:47.220 Excuse me.

00:10:48.960 But I think

00:10:55.080 you have to

00:10:55.360 put the blame

00:10:55.880 where it is

00:10:57.360 primarily.

00:10:58.920 All right.

00:11:02.460 So I saw

00:11:03.460 Biden in this

00:11:05.620 latest video.

00:11:06.480 There's yet

00:11:06.820 another video of

00:11:07.700 him speaking

00:11:09.120 somewhat incoherently.

00:11:11.500 And toward the

00:11:12.360 end of that

00:11:12.860 clip, he does

00:11:14.080 what I call the

00:11:14.860 dementia cover.

00:11:17.460 So if you have

00:11:18.260 dementia and

00:11:19.240 you realize that

00:11:20.000 you started a

00:11:20.740 sentence or a

00:11:21.500 thought and you

00:11:22.580 realize you

00:11:23.040 couldn't complete

00:11:23.800 it because your

00:11:24.480 brain wasn't

00:11:25.060 working, what

00:11:26.540 would you do?

00:11:29.000 Well, if you

00:11:29.800 wanted to cover

00:11:30.700 your dementia, you

00:11:31.960 would do what

00:11:32.700 Joe Biden does.

00:11:34.560 Let's say you

00:11:35.360 had asked me a

00:11:36.020 complicated question

00:11:37.040 that I might have

00:11:39.860 been able to

00:11:40.660 answer if I

00:11:42.620 were all with

00:11:43.140 it, but that's

00:11:44.320 not the case

00:11:44.820 anymore.

00:11:45.120 How would I

00:11:45.640 cover it up?

00:11:48.960 The way I'd

00:11:49.620 cover it up is

00:11:50.600 I would say I'd

00:11:51.380 ran out of time.

00:11:53.540 That's what he

00:11:54.180 does.

00:11:55.140 So he'll be

00:11:55.880 talking on, you

00:11:56.800 know, these

00:11:57.140 live streams and

00:11:58.800 you can tell he

00:11:59.940 just gets lost.

00:12:01.100 He doesn't know

00:12:01.600 what he's saying

00:12:02.180 and he'll say

00:12:03.220 something like,

00:12:04.020 well, I don't

00:12:04.420 want to take up

00:12:04.980 all the time.

00:12:05.860 You know, I don't

00:12:06.520 want to get into

00:12:07.000 the details.

00:12:08.000 It's totally just

00:12:08.980 a dementia cover.

00:12:09.880 But we'll all

00:12:12.800 pretend that that's

00:12:13.520 not happening.

00:12:16.320 I quipped on

00:12:17.780 Twitter that if

00:12:18.480 Biden wins, I

00:12:19.620 look forward to

00:12:20.380 his first state

00:12:22.060 of the you, you

00:12:23.480 know the thing

00:12:24.200 address.

00:12:27.120 State of the you

00:12:28.320 know the thing.

00:12:30.620 Okay, it's pretty

00:12:31.160 clever, you have

00:12:31.840 to admit.

00:12:34.900 So I told you I'm

00:12:35.880 running this big

00:12:36.540 experiment to see if

00:12:37.480 I can get canceled.

00:12:38.120 And part of it is

00:12:39.360 I'm expanding my

00:12:40.320 free speech and I'm

00:12:43.820 saying the most

00:12:44.400 provocative things

00:12:45.400 you could possibly

00:12:46.160 say, but I'm

00:12:47.600 saying them with

00:12:48.920 good intentions.

00:12:50.280 I'm saying them

00:12:51.200 politely.

00:12:52.280 I'm not putting any

00:12:53.300 hate in anything I'm

00:12:54.300 doing.

00:12:55.120 And so far I've not

00:12:56.380 been canceled.

00:12:57.380 So maybe if you

00:12:58.520 don't show bad

00:12:59.360 intentions and you

00:13:00.280 don't demonstrate

00:13:01.020 hate, you can get

00:13:02.040 away with more

00:13:03.740 free speech.

00:13:06.180 So that would be

00:13:07.300 useful to know.

00:13:09.160 And one of the

00:13:10.000 things I've been

00:13:10.420 saying, and it's

00:13:12.940 my pinned tweet, is

00:13:14.280 I talked about losing

00:13:15.140 two jobs because my

00:13:17.280 bosses told me that

00:13:18.640 because I was white

00:13:19.580 and male, I couldn't

00:13:21.500 be promoted anymore.

00:13:22.880 So I quit both.

00:13:24.060 In both cases, I

00:13:25.120 quit.

00:13:26.340 In one case, I was

00:13:27.400 kind of encouraged to

00:13:28.280 quit.

00:13:28.940 But it wasn't because

00:13:29.820 of that.

00:13:32.060 You know, I quit

00:13:33.240 because they told me

00:13:34.100 I couldn't be

00:13:34.660 promoted.

00:13:35.040 So that's my

00:13:37.700 pinned tweet, and

00:13:38.780 then I invited

00:13:39.400 people to give me

00:13:40.180 their similar

00:13:40.720 stories.

00:13:41.300 So in the

00:13:41.720 comments, there

00:13:42.340 are literally

00:13:42.760 hundreds of

00:13:43.680 stories of people

00:13:45.660 telling me similar

00:13:46.580 things.

00:13:47.080 Yeah, my boss

00:13:47.740 told me I'm

00:13:48.580 white, I'm male,

00:13:49.260 I can't get

00:13:49.700 promoted, etc.,

00:13:51.320 etc., etc.

00:13:52.680 So a few

00:13:53.620 interesting things

00:13:54.380 happen.

00:13:55.860 There are some

00:13:56.740 people who believe

00:13:57.540 none of it's

00:13:58.320 true.

00:13:59.280 The funniest

00:14:00.060 one happened,

00:14:02.580 I guess, two

00:14:03.620 days ago, I

00:14:04.940 just finished

00:14:06.100 reading the

00:14:06.700 message from

00:14:07.340 somebody who

00:14:07.940 said that their

00:14:09.260 company had just

00:14:10.180 informed them,

00:14:10.880 and this is this

00:14:11.840 week, right?

00:14:13.200 So this is not

00:14:13.820 ancient history,

00:14:14.620 this is this

00:14:15.180 week, and I

00:14:16.540 won't give you

00:14:16.940 details, but

00:14:17.480 somebody who had

00:14:17.980 sent a message

00:14:18.560 saying, yeah, my

00:14:19.900 company just put

00:14:20.760 the word down

00:14:21.500 that our next

00:14:22.660 person we add to

00:14:24.860 the organization

00:14:25.540 can't be white 0.88

00:14:27.620 because they want

00:14:29.820 to improve their

00:14:30.620 diversity.

00:14:31.040 diversity.

00:14:32.540 So I'm just in

00:14:33.660 that conversation,

00:14:35.180 and the very next

00:14:36.400 thing I open up is

00:14:37.540 a Twitter person

00:14:38.540 telling me that they

00:14:39.980 don't think such

00:14:40.760 things happen.

00:14:42.680 It was literally the

00:14:44.560 immediate conversation

00:14:45.820 before I open up

00:14:47.420 somebody who lives

00:14:48.320 in a country who

00:14:49.880 thinks it doesn't

00:14:50.520 happen, that it's

00:14:51.320 not a thing.

00:14:53.000 Well, they've got a

00:14:53.980 lot of surprise

00:14:54.860 coming to them.

00:14:56.260 It turns out one of

00:14:57.460 the biggest surprises

00:14:58.220 is white people don't

00:14:59.340 complain nearly as

00:15:00.360 much as maybe you

00:15:02.140 would expect.

00:15:03.260 So there's this

00:15:04.180 massive number of

00:15:05.980 white males who,

00:15:07.180 when we're together,

00:15:08.640 will all tell the

00:15:09.520 same story.

00:15:10.400 Oh, yeah, I was

00:15:11.020 discriminated against,

00:15:12.740 and it's not my

00:15:13.520 imagination.

00:15:14.920 They told me

00:15:15.800 directly, in direct

00:15:17.920 terms.

00:15:19.280 Can't do anything

00:15:20.320 for you, you're

00:15:20.900 white and male.

00:15:21.600 So, I was wondering

00:15:26.380 how the press would

00:15:27.340 handle it, because I

00:15:28.400 figured if somebody as

00:15:29.860 prominent as me, and

00:15:32.400 you know, that's not

00:15:33.720 egotistical, I'm just

00:15:34.940 saying somebody who has

00:15:35.640 a big Twitter following

00:15:37.360 and is in the public

00:15:38.780 eye, when I say

00:15:40.740 something that is so

00:15:42.120 contrary to the

00:15:43.780 popular view of

00:15:46.200 things, it's going to

00:15:47.540 get picked up.

00:15:48.300 And sure enough, it

00:15:49.880 was, but mostly by

00:15:51.600 small, obscure things

00:15:54.500 and, you know, some

00:15:56.340 local papers.

00:15:57.880 So I looked at one, I've

00:15:59.140 got Google Alerts set, so

00:16:00.600 it tells me if

00:16:01.180 anybody's talking about

00:16:02.460 me.

00:16:04.360 And the only comment

00:16:06.120 from one was somebody

00:16:08.120 wrote a letter to the

00:16:08.960 editor, in which they

00:16:10.140 mentioned my situation,

00:16:12.780 and they said, my only

00:16:14.300 complaint is you should

00:16:15.200 say it's alleged.

00:16:16.080 So there was somebody

00:16:18.140 in the editor who

00:16:19.100 believed that I just

00:16:20.120 made up the stories

00:16:21.100 that I was, you know,

00:16:23.900 I was told that I

00:16:24.600 couldn't be promoted

00:16:25.300 because I'm white and

00:16:26.560 male.

00:16:28.000 So there's actually

00:16:28.880 somebody in the

00:16:29.620 country, a real person

00:16:31.520 who lives among us,

00:16:33.440 who thinks that's not

00:16:34.820 even real.

00:16:36.980 Or at least that I

00:16:38.060 made it up.

00:16:39.000 Why would I make that

00:16:40.020 up?

00:16:40.500 That would be the

00:16:41.140 strangest story in the

00:16:42.220 world to make up,

00:16:43.080 because there's not

00:16:43.500 even one story.

00:16:44.300 It's a series of

00:16:45.700 three of them.

00:16:47.220 The other one was a

00:16:48.360 TV show, which is a

00:16:49.420 little more complicated,

00:16:50.420 but it comes down to

00:16:51.080 the same thing.

00:16:52.840 And the fact that I

00:16:56.840 can put that out

00:16:57.680 there, and it's being

00:16:59.160 ignored the same way

00:17:00.780 that Biden's brain is

00:17:02.020 being ignored.

00:17:03.380 So there seems to be a

00:17:04.760 new category of fake

00:17:06.420 news.

00:17:07.480 And it's a category of

00:17:08.720 fake news where they

00:17:09.640 simply act like something

00:17:10.920 didn't happen, like it

00:17:12.440 didn't exist.

00:17:13.060 And it's really

00:17:15.300 effective, because if

00:17:16.860 you simply act like

00:17:17.760 something doesn't

00:17:18.460 exist, the news

00:17:20.180 silos prevent your

00:17:22.640 people from ever

00:17:23.440 seeing it.

00:17:24.140 They'll just never see

00:17:24.940 it.

00:17:26.980 So I made a most

00:17:28.160 provocative claim,

00:17:29.460 which certainly would

00:17:31.740 be important to the

00:17:32.560 whole Black Lives 1.00

00:17:33.260 Matter philosophy theme

00:17:36.300 and protests, and yet

00:17:39.700 it is completely

00:17:40.600 ignored by any

00:17:43.240 significant media.

00:17:45.200 And the reason they do

00:17:45.840 that is because it's a

00:17:46.960 total red pill.

00:17:47.800 It would just break the

00:17:49.100 whole thing.

00:17:50.840 All right.

00:17:53.600 Kanye continues to be

00:17:54.960 interesting.

00:17:55.600 He's mentioned systems

00:17:56.820 and design.

00:17:59.560 So he's used those

00:18:00.520 words, system and

00:18:01.600 design.

00:18:02.700 And if he's really a

00:18:04.140 systems kind of a leader

00:18:06.600 instead of a goal-oriented

00:18:08.260 leader, that would be

00:18:09.440 really strong.

00:18:10.720 And I've often thought,

00:18:11.800 suppose I were to run

00:18:12.960 for president, and it

00:18:15.560 doesn't make sense for me

00:18:16.580 to run for president,

00:18:17.420 because there are so many

00:18:18.100 topics that I don't know

00:18:20.000 much about.

00:18:21.380 You know, I'm just not an

00:18:22.520 expert on, you know,

00:18:24.700 foreign anything, or

00:18:26.040 history anything, or

00:18:27.320 politics anything.

00:18:28.140 So I thought, how would I

00:18:29.880 do that?

00:18:30.520 Let's say, you know, in my

00:18:32.060 magical mind, I got

00:18:33.720 appointed to be president.

00:18:35.140 I wouldn't run, but, yeah,

00:18:37.140 I mean, I wouldn't

00:18:37.700 campaign.

00:18:38.580 But suppose somebody

00:18:39.360 appointed to be president.

00:18:40.880 How would I handle

00:18:41.840 things?

00:18:42.860 Not being an expert on

00:18:44.060 anything.

00:18:44.380 Well, you try to hire the 0.71

00:18:45.300 right people, right?

00:18:46.140 That's part of it.

00:18:47.120 But I also think that

00:18:48.060 having a good system would

00:18:50.200 make sense.

00:18:50.820 For example, I suggested

00:18:52.240 that there should be a

00:18:53.200 system in the country that

00:18:55.040 doesn't exist for helping

00:18:57.000 the citizens sort it

00:18:58.320 through, what data, which

00:19:00.200 studies are valid, and

00:19:01.980 which are not.

00:19:03.620 Now, I don't know if you

00:19:04.340 could do that without

00:19:05.180 having that referee, if

00:19:07.780 you will, also be

00:19:10.340 corrupted by politics and

00:19:11.680 bias.

00:19:12.400 So maybe you can't do it.

00:19:13.740 I don't know.

00:19:14.600 But I would like to have

00:19:15.580 at least take a try at a

00:19:17.200 system that helps the

00:19:18.200 public understand what's

00:19:19.540 true and reliable and

00:19:21.700 what's not.

00:19:23.240 Another system would be 0.76

00:19:24.500 continuous testing.

00:19:25.660 because we keep talking

00:19:27.840 about how to solve these

00:19:29.020 gigantic problems.

00:19:30.720 How do you solve, you

00:19:32.380 know, education?

00:19:34.000 How do you solve, you

00:19:35.260 know, single parents?

00:19:37.080 How do you solve crime?

00:19:39.140 And we always treat them

00:19:40.400 like you have to have one

00:19:41.960 solution for the whole

00:19:43.200 country, you know, fix it

00:19:46.080 all at once.

00:19:47.540 But wouldn't it make more

00:19:48.780 sense to have a whole

00:19:50.140 bunch of small tests and

00:19:52.280 say, we don't know what to

00:19:53.380 do.

00:19:53.820 You know, honestly, we just

00:19:54.780 don't know.

00:19:55.640 But we're going to put some

00:19:57.080 attention into a test in

00:19:58.520 Chicago.

00:19:59.520 We'll do a test here in,

00:20:01.660 you know, Jacksonville.

00:20:02.980 We'll do a couple tests in

00:20:04.200 some different places.

00:20:05.360 And we'll just find out.

00:20:06.760 We'll just find out what

00:20:07.740 works.

00:20:09.000 So that would be good.

00:20:11.960 And then I noticed,

00:20:13.520 unrelated to Kanye, or

00:20:16.840 Ye if you prefer,

00:20:18.620 unrelated to his run for

00:20:19.920 president, you may know

00:20:21.300 there was a story where he

00:20:22.300 built some experimental

00:20:24.300 housing, and some

00:20:27.300 neighbors complained because

00:20:28.540 there was too much

00:20:29.060 construction noise, and he

00:20:30.780 actually just tore them

00:20:32.320 down.

00:20:33.780 Did you hear that story?

00:20:35.160 It was maybe a year ago.

00:20:38.040 So Kanye, I guess, got some

00:20:41.020 designers or architects or

00:20:42.780 whatever, built these sort of

00:20:44.620 dome-like structures.

00:20:45.980 I think there were maybe three

00:20:47.040 of them.

00:20:47.340 And then when the neighbors

00:20:48.900 complained, they just

00:20:50.040 destroyed them.

00:20:51.600 They just took them away.

00:20:53.040 But it looks like he's

00:20:54.460 rebuilding in another place

00:20:56.580 because I saw some pictures

00:20:57.660 that looked newer.

00:20:59.220 And it looks like he's

00:21:00.760 iterating.

00:21:02.100 If what Kanye is doing is

00:21:04.280 he's starting with the

00:21:05.180 assumption that the first

00:21:06.780 one won't be it, and it

00:21:08.360 might not be the second one,

00:21:09.520 it might not be the third

00:21:10.440 one, if he's going full

00:21:12.380 Thomas Edison on this, he's

00:21:15.460 one of the most important

00:21:16.300 people in the world.

00:21:19.000 Let me say that again.

00:21:20.660 If what Kanye is doing is

00:21:23.180 consciously iterating these

00:21:24.880 shelters, like Thomas Edison

00:21:27.240 iterated the light bulb until

00:21:29.240 he found a filament that

00:21:30.380 worked, if that's what he's

00:21:32.140 doing, and so far we've just

00:21:33.520 seen two iterations, I think.

00:21:35.820 I'm kind of low information

00:21:37.200 here, but it looks like that's

00:21:38.220 what's happening.

00:21:39.180 If that's what he's doing, it's

00:21:41.240 the most important thing

00:21:42.440 happening in the country.

00:21:43.420 Because it's iteration, a

00:21:50.100 system, if you will, that can

00:21:52.020 get you to knowing how to

00:21:54.100 build inexpensive shelters.

00:21:56.200 And if that's what Kanye is

00:21:57.880 doing, his argument for being

00:22:01.560 president just gets pretty

00:22:02.840 strong, right?

00:22:04.020 So we'll keep an eye on

00:22:06.840 that.

00:22:13.840 All right, so here's what I'm

00:22:18.360 concerned about with Black Lives 1.00

00:22:19.760 Matter.

00:22:21.320 Among, you know, I guess there's

00:22:22.840 lots of stuff to be concerned

00:22:23.920 about.

00:22:24.840 But it seems to me that they

00:22:26.660 don't have a good sense of

00:22:27.960 priorities.

00:22:28.660 And I put a little whiteboard

00:22:32.900 graph on Twitter in which I

00:22:34.680 showed a large bubble diagram.

00:22:38.000 And most of the bubble, you

00:22:39.380 know, 95% of the bubble was

00:22:41.320 labeled schools are racist.

00:22:44.080 And then little 5% of the

00:22:46.140 bubble, I labeled everything

00:22:48.280 else, you know, every other

00:22:50.160 problem, basically.

00:22:51.500 So here's what I mean by that.

00:22:54.280 While there are lots of things

00:22:56.180 where you would find systemic

00:22:58.180 racism if you looked for it,

00:22:59.780 especially in outcomes, you'd

00:23:01.680 find it in the judicial system,

00:23:03.480 you'd find it in employment,

00:23:04.880 you'd find it all over the

00:23:06.060 place.

00:23:07.280 But the way I would look at

00:23:10.540 this is in terms of where the

00:23:12.220 biggest impact would be if you

00:23:14.420 could fix it.

00:23:16.160 Fixing things after people are

00:23:17.680 35 years old is really hard.

00:23:20.660 Fixing things when they're first

00:23:22.120 born so that they get a good

00:23:24.540 start in life is going to be a

00:23:26.360 much higher impact.

00:23:27.860 So if I were Black Lives

00:23:29.220 Matter and I cared about

00:23:30.720 black lives, I would be

00:23:33.240 ignoring the police shootings,

00:23:35.860 which the studies don't really

00:23:38.540 support is even real.

00:23:40.940 Now let me say that again.

00:23:42.220 The studies do support that

00:23:43.900 black people are killed by 1.00

00:23:45.140 police as in a higher

00:23:46.460 percentage than their

00:23:48.060 population, but not a higher

00:23:50.160 percentage than the number of

00:23:52.240 people were stopped.

00:23:53.820 It makes complete sense because

00:23:55.520 high-crime areas have a certain

00:23:57.520 characteristic.

00:23:59.500 So the biggest thing that Black 1.00

00:24:02.540 Lives Matter is protesting

00:24:03.800 against probably isn't even real.

00:24:07.200 But the part that everybody agrees

00:24:09.140 is real is that school and maybe

00:24:15.620 the family unit, we'll talk about

00:24:17.440 that, are the most important things

00:24:19.640 to get right.

00:24:20.160 But you don't hear Black Lives 1.00

00:24:21.780 Matter talking about school and

00:24:24.140 the family unit too much, do you?

00:24:27.740 Why is that?

00:24:28.860 If 95% of the problem is that

00:24:32.980 early life experience, why is

00:24:36.580 Black Lives Matter acting like 95% 1.00

00:24:40.620 of the problem for their own people

00:24:42.680 don't matter?

00:24:44.280 They're literally treating 95% of

00:24:48.300 the problem like it doesn't

00:24:49.380 matter.

00:24:50.240 They've identified the only thing

00:24:51.800 that doesn't show up in

00:24:53.040 statistics, which is that police

00:24:55.540 are targeting black people for

00:24:58.920 death.

00:24:59.840 It's the only thing you can't find

00:25:01.460 in the statistics.

00:25:03.980 And they've targeted that.

00:25:05.880 I think that tells you that they're

00:25:08.400 not about helping black people.

00:25:10.360 Now, I'm not saying they don't want

00:25:14.220 to help black people, but it's

00:25:15.720 obvious that whatever their motive

00:25:17.360 is, it's not primarily about

00:25:20.640 helping black people.

00:25:21.880 There seems to be a political

00:25:23.240 motive because going after the

00:25:25.320 police gets you to closer to a

00:25:29.260 revolution, if you know what I

00:25:30.620 mean.

00:25:31.500 If your objective was to change the

00:25:34.120 nature of the country, going after

00:25:36.620 the police might be a good way to do 0.99

00:25:38.300 it, if your objective is to make

00:25:40.660 life better for black citizens in

00:25:43.620 this country, you'd go after the

00:25:45.600 school and you would just forget

00:25:47.680 about everything else.

00:25:49.220 Because if you fix the schools, and

00:25:52.100 I'm going to say that the family

00:25:53.260 situation and the school are kind of

00:25:55.040 blended because it's hard to separate

00:25:57.040 those two things.

00:25:58.160 But if you fix that stuff, would you

00:26:00.660 have as much trouble in 20 years,

00:26:03.040 shall we say, with anything?

00:26:06.520 You know, wouldn't it fix everything?

00:26:10.060 Now, you're still going to have

00:26:11.220 racism, as I like to say every 10

00:26:13.940 minutes, can never go away.

00:26:15.880 It's like rain, but you can buy an

00:26:17.940 umbrella, right?

00:26:19.540 So the umbrella in this case, in my

00:26:21.860 analogy, would be an education or

00:26:24.620 training or staying out of jail or not

00:26:27.520 being on drugs, don't join a gang.

00:26:29.780 You know, there are simple things you

00:26:30.960 can do to stay out of the rain, but you

00:26:33.340 can't make rain not happen.

00:26:35.320 That's not an option.

00:26:37.380 You can't make the rain stop.

00:26:39.340 And you can't make human brains no

00:26:42.340 longer biased in a whole variety of

00:26:45.360 ways.

00:26:45.720 Race is just one of the infinite ways 0.95

00:26:48.200 that your brain is biased.

00:26:49.680 You can't remove bias.

00:26:51.800 You can teach yourself to overcome it.

00:26:54.080 You can have laws.

00:26:55.260 You can have, you know, you can do a

00:26:57.000 lot of things to reduce it or to make

00:26:59.560 it less important, but you can't get

00:27:01.680 rid of it.

00:27:02.140 And so even trying to get rid of it

00:27:04.480 shows that maybe there's another

00:27:06.960 motive because it doesn't even make

00:27:08.280 sense.

00:27:11.580 Let's talk about the biggest question,

00:27:14.680 conservatives especially.

00:27:16.740 And even I think Don Lemon would agree

00:27:19.780 with this, at least the Don Lemon of

00:27:21.400 years ago.

00:27:22.400 You've all seen there's a video of Don

00:27:24.320 Lemon in 2000 whatever, but I think

00:27:30.380 seven years ago, and he was essentially

00:27:34.580 talking like a conservative, but he was

00:27:38.640 doing it on CNN.

00:27:39.680 So it just, you look at it, you're like,

00:27:41.180 what?

00:27:41.960 Who is this guy?

00:27:43.160 So he was criticizing the black community

00:27:45.860 from the perspective of being a black

00:27:47.800 man.

00:27:48.800 And his criticisms were really close to

00:27:53.560 what any conservative would say, which is

00:27:56.300 the shocking point.

00:27:57.880 It's things that I think he couldn't say in

00:27:59.940 2020 without being canceled.

00:28:02.680 But I would like to question this.

00:28:05.640 Let me tell you what we do know.

00:28:08.560 We do know that there's a really strong

00:28:11.320 correlation between kids who grew up in

00:28:14.960 single parent homes and then future

00:28:18.660 propensity for crime.

00:28:20.660 So we know the correlation is really

00:28:22.960 strong.

00:28:23.860 If you only have one parent, your odds of

00:28:25.980 going to jail are really high compared to

00:28:29.160 other people.

00:28:30.640 And we know that it affects economics and

00:28:33.800 grades and drugs and basically everything.

00:28:37.680 So having one parent is correlated with

00:28:40.060 basically everything bad.

00:28:42.300 So what do you do with that knowledge?

00:28:45.120 What do you do with it?

00:28:45.940 So now you've found something that looks

00:28:49.160 like it's important.

00:28:50.600 What do you do?

00:28:51.900 How do you fix that?

00:28:54.540 Does anybody have an idea how to fix

00:28:56.360 that?

00:28:57.140 Well, the way that people want to fix it

00:28:59.360 is simply by talking about it a lot.

00:29:02.660 Maybe if we talk about it a lot, black 1.00

00:29:05.760 people will collectively say, oh, that's

00:29:09.060 the problem.

00:29:10.300 You should have told us before.

00:29:13.000 Why didn't you tell us earlier?

00:29:14.600 Now we know.

00:29:16.140 That's all.

00:29:16.860 Are you kidding me?

00:29:17.860 We can fix most of our problems just

00:29:21.560 by doing that simple thing?

00:29:23.260 Thank you, white people, for finally 0.88

00:29:25.860 giving us the secret information that

00:29:28.800 helps us fix everything.

00:29:31.340 I don't think that's going to happen.

00:29:34.140 Because whatever it is that's causing

00:29:36.480 greater single parenting in some

00:29:39.880 communities obviously isn't something

00:29:43.660 that they simply choose to do or choose

00:29:46.080 not to do because they're thinking about

00:29:47.860 the future of their children, et cetera.

00:29:51.720 There's a whole bunch of stuff going on.

00:29:54.360 And I don't think that we can sort out.

00:29:57.500 Yeah.

00:29:57.980 I don't think we can sort out what it is about

00:30:00.480 having that second parent.

00:30:02.440 And usually the studies focus on the parent

00:30:05.920 that's missing being the father, the dad.

00:30:09.260 And let me ask you this.

00:30:11.460 Why does the presence of a father make a difference?

00:30:16.820 What is your assumption about why having a father

00:30:19.880 is so highly correlated with better success of the kid?

00:30:24.100 Well, the things that are obvious would be discipline.

00:30:26.920 Would the father be a more effective disciplinarian,

00:30:31.660 especially to young boys?

00:30:34.360 Maybe.

00:30:35.000 I mean, that's a reasonable thing to assume.

00:30:37.880 How about role model?

00:30:40.380 Is it that there's a good role model in the father

00:30:45.260 and then the kid picks it up?

00:30:47.600 Here's what I would like to add to the conversation.

00:30:52.520 We've been watching in 2020

00:30:54.360 every study and every expert being wrong about everything.

00:31:00.380 Can you agree with that so far?

00:31:02.020 Would you agree so far every expert,

00:31:05.920 every study is either highly questioned

00:31:08.900 because there are other experts with other studies

00:31:11.660 or there are critics of those studies.

00:31:14.760 It's either dead wrong

00:31:16.200 or at least it's highly questioned by other experts.

00:31:20.080 Do you take the general statement

00:31:21.860 that in 2020 we have all collectively learned

00:31:25.340 that everything we thought was true

00:31:27.620 because the science and the data told us it was

00:31:30.280 doesn't mean anything.

00:31:33.020 So if you're a conservative, you say,

00:31:35.920 Scott, we have it figured out.

00:31:38.520 There are all these studies

00:31:39.760 that show this strong correlation

00:31:41.840 with the father not being there being the big problem.

00:31:45.000 So we've identified the problem.

00:31:48.320 Have you?

00:31:50.200 Have you?

00:31:51.280 Because if you have,

00:31:53.060 and I'm not saying you haven't,

00:31:55.100 I'm just giving you some context.

00:31:56.860 If it's true,

00:31:59.820 it would be the only thing the experts got right this year.

00:32:03.540 Is that your belief?

00:32:05.300 Is it your belief

00:32:06.280 that all the other stuff you watched

00:32:08.760 from probably from climate change

00:32:11.940 to God knows what,

00:32:14.600 that all of that seemed wrong to you

00:32:21.120 and the police shootings numbers,

00:32:23.720 they were looking at the wrong ratios,

00:32:27.000 masks work or they don't,

00:32:29.340 hydroxychloroquine works or it doesn't,

00:32:32.180 the death rate for the virus is either high or low,

00:32:35.000 all of it.

00:32:37.460 You saw just about everything else being wrong,

00:32:41.100 but is it your belief

00:32:42.740 that on this one point,

00:32:45.200 science is pretty solid?

00:32:47.380 Is that what you believe?

00:32:49.060 Now you could be right.

00:32:50.680 I'm not telling you you're wrong.

00:32:52.060 I'm just telling you

00:32:52.940 that you would have to factor that in.

00:32:55.640 Why is it you think

00:32:56.600 this is the only thing they got right?

00:32:58.140 Let me suggest

00:32:59.960 there are some reasons

00:33:01.000 why it might be wrong

00:33:02.180 without claiming it's wrong.

00:33:05.160 So this is not a claim

00:33:06.460 that that causation is wrong.

00:33:10.200 Simply a question.

00:33:12.160 Just putting it out there.

00:33:14.860 Number one,

00:33:16.260 are there other countries

00:33:17.520 with other situations

00:33:20.480 in which the single parent does fine?

00:33:25.160 Do you know that?

00:33:26.380 Is there, say,

00:33:27.720 some other country

00:33:30.420 where everything just works out fine

00:33:32.420 if you're a single parent?

00:33:34.440 Probably not

00:33:35.560 because being a single parent

00:33:38.200 almost guarantees

00:33:40.400 that you have less money.

00:33:43.080 We know that poverty

00:33:44.480 is highly correlated

00:33:45.720 with being a single parent.

00:33:48.980 Poverty alone,

00:33:50.060 would poverty alone

00:33:51.580 cause less discipline in the child?

00:33:56.380 I think so.

00:33:57.880 Because if you put any kid

00:33:59.500 in a poverty community,

00:34:02.760 they're going to start acting

00:34:04.120 like the other kids

00:34:05.220 because the peer pressure

00:34:07.200 overwhelms the parental influence.

00:34:12.300 Let me say more about that.

00:34:14.920 Those of you who have raised children,

00:34:17.600 let me ask you this.

00:34:18.560 you got to witness

00:34:20.820 how much was genetic in the kid

00:34:24.780 because there are things

00:34:26.460 that the kid is doing

00:34:27.300 when they're three years old

00:34:28.780 that tend to be

00:34:30.740 their permanent personality

00:34:32.040 and you can see it early.

00:34:34.400 And so you've got

00:34:35.140 kind of a sense

00:34:36.040 if you've raised kids,

00:34:37.400 oh yeah,

00:34:38.120 this amount of the personality

00:34:39.920 was kind of baked in.

00:34:41.900 Then you've also seen,

00:34:43.160 all right,

00:34:43.440 we taught them these behaviors.

00:34:45.620 And then you get to see

00:34:46.520 if they stick.

00:34:47.200 So for example,

00:34:48.540 the parents may have taught them

00:34:50.160 good habits,

00:34:52.680 brushing their teeth,

00:34:54.620 et cetera.

00:34:55.620 And you can see if those stick.

00:34:57.400 And then you can say,

00:34:58.020 okay,

00:34:58.240 that was my parenting.

00:34:59.640 I gave them that habit.

00:35:01.300 It stuck.

00:35:02.720 You can say,

00:35:03.780 you caused them to be timely.

00:35:06.460 I think my mother

00:35:07.280 was a big cause

00:35:08.280 of me being obsessed

00:35:10.100 about being on time for stuff.

00:35:12.480 So I think that feels to me

00:35:13.780 like something

00:35:14.300 that came directly

00:35:15.200 from a parent

00:35:16.560 and became permanent.

00:35:18.260 Likewise,

00:35:18.960 I would say that

00:35:19.680 my father and my mother's

00:35:21.600 example of hard work

00:35:23.820 and having multiple jobs

00:35:25.020 and stuff

00:35:25.440 probably had an influence on me.

00:35:27.720 I feel it.

00:35:28.920 But that could also be genetic as well.

00:35:32.660 So,

00:35:33.340 but then the kid goes to school.

00:35:36.440 So here's the part

00:35:37.160 I'm getting to.

00:35:38.180 So then your kid

00:35:39.100 goes to school.

00:35:40.080 You know,

00:35:40.980 they're eight years old,

00:35:43.460 nine,

00:35:44.020 10,

00:35:44.400 11.

00:35:44.960 By the time your kid

00:35:46.040 is say 14 years old,

00:35:47.980 for those of you

00:35:48.640 who have had this experience,

00:35:50.160 what percentage

00:35:51.040 of their personality

00:35:52.240 came from the parent

00:35:53.940 and what percentage

00:35:55.520 of the personality

00:35:56.520 came from their peers?

00:35:59.660 I'm just putting that out there

00:36:01.020 because this is an observation,

00:36:02.480 not a scientific study.

00:36:04.280 So,

00:36:05.580 you know,

00:36:05.900 you should,

00:36:06.300 you should adjust

00:36:08.540 in your head

00:36:09.120 how certain you should be

00:36:10.900 about any of this.

00:36:12.340 My observation is

00:36:13.660 that the peers

00:36:14.900 are 90% of the influence

00:36:18.020 after they become

00:36:19.900 a certain age.

00:36:21.220 Once,

00:36:21.500 once they become

00:36:22.400 friend-centric,

00:36:24.820 which happens

00:36:25.680 around,

00:36:26.600 I don't know,

00:36:26.940 10 years old,

00:36:28.240 before that,

00:36:29.380 before age 10,

00:36:30.340 they're kind of

00:36:30.840 parent-centric

00:36:32.060 and they're a little bit more

00:36:33.900 maybe sibling-centric.

00:36:36.100 But when they hit around 14,

00:36:37.560 it's just friends.

00:36:38.940 Friends,

00:36:39.520 friends,

00:36:39.840 friends,

00:36:40.180 friends,

00:36:40.500 and they just become

00:36:41.340 the friends.

00:36:42.040 That's the influence.

00:36:43.780 So,

00:36:44.520 if you say to me,

00:36:46.200 these kids

00:36:47.140 with single parents

00:36:48.260 are being,

00:36:50.860 the problem is

00:36:51.900 because there's no father,

00:36:53.160 I would say,

00:36:53.660 if there's no father,

00:36:54.720 they're in poverty.

00:36:55.820 If they're in poverty,

00:36:56.940 they're living in a poor place,

00:36:58.740 in all likelihood.

00:37:00.040 If they're living

00:37:00.680 in a poor place,

00:37:02.040 all of the other peers

00:37:03.340 are going to be

00:37:04.980 in a situation.

00:37:07.560 And I would think

00:37:08.580 it might be the peers

00:37:09.920 that are a bigger influence

00:37:12.620 than the parents.

00:37:13.900 But,

00:37:14.580 obviously,

00:37:15.540 the parents have

00:37:16.160 an influence as well.

00:37:18.100 Let me ask you this.

00:37:20.740 Does risky behavior

00:37:22.320 get transmitted genetically?

00:37:24.900 What do you think?

00:37:26.440 I'll just limit it to this.

00:37:27.680 Does risk-taking,

00:37:30.020 the desire to take a risk,

00:37:33.240 do you think

00:37:33.880 that that's genetic?

00:37:36.880 Yep.

00:37:37.900 It is.

00:37:39.100 Yeah.

00:37:39.440 Risk-taking

00:37:40.260 has a genetic component.

00:37:43.100 Now,

00:37:43.480 let me ask you this.

00:37:44.900 Is it risky

00:37:46.000 to get divorced?

00:37:48.520 It is.

00:37:49.580 Is it risky

00:37:50.540 to have sex 0.89

00:37:51.360 without protection?

00:37:53.180 It is.

00:37:54.080 Would it be reasonable

00:37:57.580 to assume

00:37:58.240 that people

00:37:59.380 who are risk-averse

00:38:01.000 would use protection

00:38:02.900 if they had sex

00:38:03.880 and would be

00:38:05.500 less likely

00:38:06.320 to get divorced

00:38:07.440 because they don't

00:38:08.840 want the risk?

00:38:10.980 Could it be

00:38:12.060 that people

00:38:13.980 who stay together

00:38:14.920 have in common,

00:38:17.080 among other things,

00:38:18.500 that they don't

00:38:19.980 like risk,

00:38:21.200 that neither of them

00:38:21.980 want to take the risk

00:38:22.880 of being single?

00:38:24.140 Because a divorce

00:38:25.120 is a really big risk.

00:38:27.540 You know,

00:38:27.740 sometimes you have to

00:38:28.620 because the risk

00:38:29.520 of staying married

00:38:30.180 is worse

00:38:30.740 if there's abuse.

00:38:32.780 But could it be

00:38:34.540 that people

00:38:36.040 who remain single

00:38:37.220 have a higher tolerance

00:38:39.740 for risk?

00:38:41.020 People who stay married

00:38:42.300 have a low tolerance

00:38:43.740 for risk,

00:38:44.560 and that low tolerance

00:38:45.880 for risk

00:38:46.360 is a good indicator

00:38:48.080 of somebody

00:38:48.880 who's going to

00:38:49.380 stay in school

00:38:50.100 and do all the

00:38:50.980 low-risk things.

00:38:52.880 Now,

00:38:54.080 did you hear me

00:38:54.760 say anything racial?

00:38:56.360 Because you should.

00:38:58.160 Because that risk gene

00:38:59.880 is not limited

00:39:00.620 to one ethnicity.

00:39:03.140 So,

00:39:03.560 it is true

00:39:04.240 that poor

00:39:05.420 white kids 0.57

00:39:07.660 born to single parents

00:39:09.560 also have

00:39:10.220 higher crime rates.

00:39:11.460 Same thing.

00:39:12.440 So,

00:39:12.720 what does every ethnicity

00:39:14.660 that has a single parent

00:39:17.020 likely have in common?

00:39:19.420 You know,

00:39:19.700 on average,

00:39:20.220 each situation

00:39:21.060 is different,

00:39:21.600 but on average.

00:39:22.500 On average,

00:39:23.380 it's people

00:39:23.780 who have made

00:39:24.860 choices,

00:39:26.400 conscious choices,

00:39:27.280 which fall into

00:39:28.920 the category

00:39:29.480 of riskier behavior.

00:39:32.040 So,

00:39:32.540 how much of that

00:39:33.540 is learned

00:39:34.180 by being in an environment

00:39:36.120 where everybody's

00:39:36.900 doing the same thing,

00:39:37.800 and how much of that

00:39:39.600 is because

00:39:40.520 you're just a person

00:39:41.520 who can take

00:39:42.020 a little bit more risk.

00:39:45.580 All right.

00:39:46.680 Now,

00:39:47.140 I'm not saying

00:39:47.540 that that explains it all.

00:39:48.800 What I'm saying

00:39:49.340 is that

00:39:49.880 there may be

00:39:51.040 some simplicity

00:39:52.320 to the

00:39:53.120 you need a father

00:39:53.960 situation.

00:39:55.640 And,

00:39:56.140 I would ask you this.

00:39:57.500 If you could find out

00:39:58.480 what it is about the father

00:39:59.860 that are the key variables,

00:40:02.460 could you reproduce

00:40:03.600 those good effects

00:40:04.900 without the father?

00:40:06.300 Let me give you

00:40:06.840 an example.

00:40:08.200 Say you designed

00:40:09.200 a living,

00:40:11.620 I'll simplify this.

00:40:14.040 Let's say

00:40:14.640 an apartment building

00:40:16.260 comes up

00:40:17.480 with this concept.

00:40:18.520 I don't know

00:40:18.820 if it's legal,

00:40:19.540 but let's assume

00:40:20.360 it's legal

00:40:20.940 just to work

00:40:21.780 through the

00:40:22.240 thought process.

00:40:24.020 So,

00:40:24.640 somebody takes

00:40:25.240 an apartment building,

00:40:26.240 and they say,

00:40:26.880 here are the rules.

00:40:27.500 80% of the apartments

00:40:30.740 will be rented

00:40:32.280 to single mothers.

00:40:34.900 Again,

00:40:35.480 so this is the part,

00:40:36.280 I don't know

00:40:36.560 if that's legal,

00:40:37.340 but just think through it.

00:40:38.880 80% will be

00:40:40.180 to single mothers.

00:40:42.180 20% of it

00:40:44.620 will be

00:40:45.280 men who are

00:40:46.540 good role models.

00:40:48.360 So,

00:40:48.660 it might be,

00:40:49.320 you might be

00:40:49.820 a police officer,

00:40:51.060 but you're single,

00:40:52.580 so you get to be

00:40:53.320 in that building.

00:40:54.260 You might be

00:40:55.060 a,

00:40:55.560 you might be

00:40:57.460 a teacher,

00:40:58.740 but you're single.

00:41:01.160 I don't know

00:41:01.560 if you have to be single.

00:41:02.720 You know,

00:41:02.920 maybe that doesn't

00:41:03.640 matter as much.

00:41:04.460 But you need to be

00:41:05.220 available as a role model

00:41:06.800 to the others.

00:41:07.960 In other words,

00:41:08.640 if you created

00:41:09.700 a living situation

00:41:10.860 in which you had

00:41:12.060 role models

00:41:12.760 that actually

00:41:13.760 could even discipline,

00:41:15.540 because let's say

00:41:16.200 that the agreement

00:41:17.260 if you live here

00:41:18.180 is that any of the adults

00:41:20.080 can discipline

00:41:20.980 any of the kids.

00:41:22.820 And that's just

00:41:23.380 the agreement

00:41:23.920 in advance.

00:41:25.560 So,

00:41:26.080 you want to live

00:41:26.580 in this apartment.

00:41:27.940 Every adult

00:41:28.640 in this apartment

00:41:29.240 is your parent.

00:41:30.760 A lot of them

00:41:31.460 are adult males.

00:41:33.600 They're cops.

00:41:34.500 They're educators.

00:41:36.240 They're,

00:41:36.460 you know,

00:41:36.680 might be a lawyer.

00:41:37.560 It might be a doctor.

00:41:38.320 But they're people

00:41:38.880 who are substantial.

00:41:40.620 They're people

00:41:41.020 you would look to

00:41:41.660 as role models.

00:41:44.900 It's people

00:41:45.600 that would be,

00:41:46.980 you know,

00:41:47.540 who you wanted to be.

00:41:49.320 Now,

00:41:49.780 let me give you

00:41:50.340 an example

00:41:50.880 from my life.

00:41:51.880 My father

00:41:52.740 had a lot

00:41:53.480 of good qualities,

00:41:54.280 but he was not

00:41:56.400 what you would

00:41:56.900 call a role model.

00:42:00.780 I think my siblings

00:42:02.000 are both watching this

00:42:03.820 and I know

00:42:04.160 you're both laughing

00:42:04.840 right now.

00:42:05.280 and when I say

00:42:10.140 that,

00:42:10.500 I mean,

00:42:11.000 I didn't want

00:42:11.860 to grow up

00:42:12.480 to be like him.

00:42:14.360 I wanted to grow up

00:42:15.660 to be very much

00:42:16.660 not like him.

00:42:18.380 Now,

00:42:18.840 unfortunately,

00:42:19.260 I got a lot

00:42:20.020 of his qualities

00:42:20.880 but I couldn't

00:42:24.160 help that.

00:42:25.200 But,

00:42:26.320 let's say he was

00:42:27.300 not the most

00:42:28.180 ambitious person

00:42:29.060 in the world

00:42:29.540 and I was born

00:42:30.340 just sort of

00:42:31.280 naturally ambitious.

00:42:32.460 So I wanted

00:42:33.200 a different upbringing.

00:42:34.920 I found that I just

00:42:36.000 looked at other people

00:42:36.840 as my role models.

00:42:38.460 I just decided,

00:42:40.160 well,

00:42:40.600 okay,

00:42:41.040 I'm not going to be

00:42:42.040 exactly like my father.

00:42:43.780 I think I'd like to be

00:42:45.160 the lawyer in town.

00:42:47.640 And I didn't even know him.

00:42:48.840 I just knew he was a lawyer.

00:42:49.820 So I said,

00:42:50.860 all right,

00:42:51.060 I'll be like that guy

00:42:51.880 because that guy is ambitious

00:42:53.500 and knows how to make money

00:42:54.920 and stuff.

00:42:56.000 So,

00:42:56.940 I will simply raise

00:42:58.040 the question

00:42:58.600 and it goes like this.

00:43:00.780 Even if you believe,

00:43:02.380 and I think there's a good chance

00:43:03.560 that this is true,

00:43:04.820 that the lack of an adult male

00:43:07.380 in the upbringing of a child

00:43:09.020 has bad consequences.

00:43:10.840 I'm willing to accept

00:43:11.760 that that's true.

00:43:13.640 But you might be able

00:43:14.660 to find out

00:43:15.140 what it is about that

00:43:16.500 that makes it work

00:43:18.740 and just reproduce it

00:43:19.980 in a non-parental way.

00:43:21.880 I think the worst approach

00:43:23.640 is to say,

00:43:25.080 this is the problem

00:43:25.920 and all you have to do is,

00:43:27.600 hey,

00:43:27.780 you guys,

00:43:28.280 just decide to act like us.

00:43:30.820 Just go act like us.

00:43:33.600 And then everybody,

00:43:34.460 I think,

00:43:34.880 everything will be fine.

00:43:36.600 I don't see that working.

00:43:38.880 I just don't see it working.

00:43:40.420 You could sort of

00:43:41.140 wish it happens,

00:43:42.780 but that's the end of it.

00:43:43.640 There's no process.

00:43:44.880 There's no system.

00:43:45.800 It's just wishing.

00:43:48.120 And wishing,

00:43:49.340 I sure wish

00:43:50.500 people in poor communities

00:43:52.260 would get married

00:43:53.160 and stay together.

00:43:55.000 I sure wish it would happen.

00:43:57.200 That's not anything.

00:43:59.320 That's nothing.

00:44:00.880 You can't wish it to happen.

00:44:03.360 All right.

00:44:03.660 I wrote a piece.

00:44:09.120 I didn't know how

00:44:09.880 controversial it would be.

00:44:11.840 Controversial.

00:44:12.800 A Twitter thread

00:44:13.720 in which I said

00:44:14.480 that President Trump

00:44:15.500 is showing the

00:44:16.660 strongest

00:44:18.120 and maybe best

00:44:19.980 leadership

00:44:20.800 that I've ever seen

00:44:22.160 in my adult life.

00:44:24.020 Now,

00:44:24.280 of course,

00:44:24.600 I make it a big claim

00:44:26.120 so it gets more attention

00:44:27.060 that way.

00:44:28.160 But here's

00:44:28.700 my claim.

00:44:30.940 Leadership

00:44:31.340 is different

00:44:33.220 from following

00:44:34.080 the expert's advice.

00:44:35.840 If the only thing

00:44:36.820 you're doing

00:44:37.180 is following

00:44:37.680 the expert's advice,

00:44:39.560 well,

00:44:39.820 you're not really

00:44:40.240 a leader.

00:44:41.260 You're more like 0.50

00:44:42.080 a manager.

00:44:43.620 You know,

00:44:43.900 a manager

00:44:44.580 listens to the experts

00:44:46.500 and then implements it.

00:44:48.520 And a manager

00:44:49.280 is a different word

00:44:50.060 from a leader.

00:44:51.240 In order to be

00:44:52.300 a leader,

00:44:53.280 in my opinion,

00:44:55.260 you have to do

00:44:56.280 something that

00:44:56.880 the experts

00:44:57.400 are not recommending

00:44:58.600 or you're not leading.

00:44:59.600 If all you're doing

00:45:01.020 is taking expert advice,

00:45:02.940 did we need you?

00:45:04.280 Really?

00:45:04.980 I mean,

00:45:05.240 do you even need

00:45:05.780 a president?

00:45:06.960 Because the experts

00:45:07.960 come to a consensus,

00:45:10.420 other people

00:45:11.100 implement it.

00:45:12.600 So if you've got

00:45:13.300 experts

00:45:13.800 and you've got

00:45:14.380 implementers,

00:45:15.640 and the only thing

00:45:16.360 is there's a president

00:45:17.360 in the middle

00:45:17.800 with a rubber stamp

00:45:18.700 saying,

00:45:19.080 okay,

00:45:19.540 boop, 0.99

00:45:20.280 send your idea

00:45:21.220 over to the implementers.

00:45:22.300 If that's all

00:45:22.820 that's happening,

00:45:23.940 what kind of leadership

00:45:24.720 is that?

00:45:25.780 That's nothing.

00:45:26.300 So you look

00:45:28.580 for cases

00:45:29.200 where the leader

00:45:31.680 has done something

00:45:32.680 that is opposed

00:45:33.600 to the experts.

00:45:35.380 Here are some examples.

00:45:37.480 Trump closed

00:45:38.840 travel from China

00:45:40.180 before the experts

00:45:41.400 said it was a good idea.

00:45:42.540 In fact,

00:45:42.920 they said don't do it.

00:45:44.460 He did it anyway.

00:45:45.920 He has been proved

00:45:46.900 correct.

00:45:48.520 That

00:45:48.880 is

00:45:49.800 clean,

00:45:51.300 clear

00:45:51.780 leadership.

00:45:53.580 Very unusual.

00:45:54.440 It stands out

00:45:55.780 because you can't

00:45:56.500 think of other

00:45:56.960 examples,

00:45:57.540 right?

00:45:58.380 Think of,

00:45:59.560 quickly,

00:46:00.260 think of an example

00:46:01.140 where Obama

00:46:02.040 did something

00:46:03.400 the experts

00:46:04.020 all said don't do,

00:46:05.540 like just universally

00:46:06.900 said don't do it,

00:46:08.300 and it turned out

00:46:08.960 to be right.

00:46:10.940 There might be examples,

00:46:12.020 but I can't think of one.

00:46:13.240 So you can help me out

00:46:14.360 if you can think of one.

00:46:17.340 Trump is now

00:46:18.240 pushing to

00:46:19.420 reopen schools.

00:46:21.900 He also pushed

00:46:22.640 to reopen the economy

00:46:23.720 before the experts

00:46:25.380 were comfortable

00:46:25.960 with it.

00:46:27.220 I think that's

00:46:28.200 going to work out

00:46:28.900 because

00:46:30.060 we don't

00:46:31.320 doubt that there

00:46:32.360 will be

00:46:32.860 deaths and infections.

00:46:35.480 Everybody

00:46:35.740 is clear-eyed

00:46:37.840 about that.

00:46:38.940 The reopening

00:46:39.580 of the economy

00:46:40.380 guarantees

00:46:41.860 more people

00:46:42.860 get infected.

00:46:43.880 We're all aware

00:46:44.860 of it.

00:46:45.880 But the experts

00:46:46.640 are saying

00:46:47.060 don't open

00:46:48.560 the schools,

00:46:49.740 don't open

00:46:50.100 the economy

00:46:50.720 too soon,

00:46:52.340 be more cautious.

00:46:53.720 And Trump

00:46:54.960 is saying

00:46:55.480 very clearly

00:46:56.380 and unambiguously,

00:46:58.800 got to open

00:46:59.300 the economy,

00:47:00.560 got to open

00:47:01.200 the schools.

00:47:02.040 Now the first thing

00:47:02.780 I like about it

00:47:03.520 leadership-wise

00:47:04.460 is that he's

00:47:05.400 totally unambiguous

00:47:06.320 about it.

00:47:07.300 You don't wonder

00:47:08.440 where he stands.

00:47:10.360 Open the schools,

00:47:11.640 open the economy.

00:47:12.960 Now,

00:47:13.760 a president

00:47:14.340 has to see

00:47:14.980 the entire field.

00:47:16.640 So while the experts

00:47:17.700 are the medical experts

00:47:18.920 and they're saying

00:47:19.540 if you open up,

00:47:21.160 we medical experts

00:47:22.100 will see medical

00:47:22.940 problems,

00:47:23.840 that's only part

00:47:24.840 of the question

00:47:25.420 because there will

00:47:26.480 also be social

00:47:27.640 problems which

00:47:28.460 translate into

00:47:29.320 medical problems

00:47:30.140 in ways that

00:47:30.940 nobody can

00:47:32.120 quite understand,

00:47:33.440 but we all know

00:47:33.960 it's a big problem.

00:47:35.100 So the leader

00:47:36.160 has to look at

00:47:37.120 the entire field

00:47:38.060 and he did

00:47:39.200 and he's going

00:47:40.080 against the experts

00:47:41.060 again.

00:47:41.860 Is he right?

00:47:43.460 I don't know.

00:47:45.000 We don't know.

00:47:46.240 My guess is

00:47:46.980 that he's right.

00:47:47.600 If I were

00:47:49.240 in his position,

00:47:50.720 I think I would

00:47:52.120 be doing

00:47:52.640 about the same

00:47:53.400 thing,

00:47:54.240 maybe not as

00:47:55.300 aggressively,

00:47:56.060 which is what

00:47:56.900 makes it more

00:47:57.600 impressive.

00:47:59.640 I think he's

00:48:00.620 going to be right

00:48:01.280 on closing travel.

00:48:02.640 I think he's

00:48:03.060 going to be right

00:48:03.560 about opening

00:48:04.060 schools,

00:48:04.720 about opening

00:48:05.380 the economy.

00:48:06.360 I think history

00:48:07.300 will show him

00:48:07.920 right.

00:48:08.780 Those are

00:48:09.280 amazing,

00:48:10.620 amazing examples

00:48:12.180 of leadership.

00:48:13.460 And here's the

00:48:14.100 thing.

00:48:14.880 Suppose he's

00:48:15.480 wrong.

00:48:16.740 Suppose he's

00:48:17.340 wrong.

00:48:18.420 And it turns

00:48:20.940 out that opening

00:48:21.720 things too early

00:48:22.580 and going back

00:48:23.140 to school killed

00:48:24.780 50,000 people

00:48:26.060 that didn't need

00:48:26.920 to be killed.

00:48:29.220 What would you

00:48:30.020 say about that?

00:48:31.280 I think you

00:48:32.300 would still say

00:48:33.260 it's amazing

00:48:34.060 leadership.

00:48:35.420 Because nobody

00:48:36.540 really knows

00:48:37.280 what's going to

00:48:37.800 happen.

00:48:38.700 If the thing

00:48:40.000 you're saying

00:48:40.540 is how often

00:48:41.440 does he get

00:48:42.020 it right,

00:48:43.100 I don't know

00:48:44.040 if that's the

00:48:44.800 right standard.

00:48:45.920 Because the

00:48:46.480 whole point of

00:48:47.140 the leader

00:48:47.580 is that you

00:48:48.260 don't know

00:48:48.740 what the

00:48:49.080 right answer

00:48:49.520 is.

00:48:50.380 But somebody's

00:48:51.180 got to make

00:48:51.540 the decision.

00:48:52.780 You don't

00:48:53.480 know and you

00:48:54.300 still have to

00:48:54.980 make a decision.

00:48:56.180 So do you

00:48:56.780 ding the leader

00:48:58.180 for getting

00:48:58.580 it wrong?

00:49:00.400 In the real

00:49:01.120 world you do,

00:49:02.020 but you have

00:49:02.560 to ask yourself,

00:49:03.480 well it's not

00:49:03.920 really leadership

00:49:04.600 if you know

00:49:05.540 what the right

00:49:06.080 answer is.

00:49:07.520 It's sort of

00:49:08.220 the not knowing

00:49:08.860 that makes it

00:49:09.360 impressive.

00:49:10.960 Likewise,

00:49:11.640 when Trump was

00:49:12.440 leading on

00:49:13.180 negotiating with

00:49:13.920 China,

00:49:14.460 all the experts

00:49:15.160 said don't start

00:49:15.860 a trade war,

00:49:16.820 there were

00:49:17.080 basically,

00:49:18.300 I don't think

00:49:18.800 I saw one

00:49:19.460 expert who

00:49:20.040 agreed with

00:49:20.520 him.

00:49:21.180 Do you

00:49:21.380 remember that?

00:49:22.440 He was

00:49:22.780 basically all

00:49:23.560 alone except

00:49:24.260 for people he

00:49:24.900 hired who

00:49:25.460 would boost

00:49:26.340 his signal,

00:49:27.360 but basically

00:49:27.920 people were

00:49:28.600 saying no,

00:49:29.060 no, trade

00:49:29.500 wars are bad,

00:49:30.940 blah, blah,

00:49:31.360 blah, China

00:49:31.980 is good.

00:49:32.980 And now months

00:49:33.800 have gone by

00:49:34.440 and what do

00:49:35.820 we know for

00:49:36.320 sure?

00:49:37.180 We know for

00:49:38.000 sure that China

00:49:38.660 will not do

00:49:40.900 its part.

00:49:41.980 It might make

00:49:42.960 agreements but not

00:49:43.820 keep them.

00:49:44.200 We know it's

00:49:45.080 going to

00:49:45.300 continue sending

00:49:46.060 fentanyl.

00:49:46.860 We know it's

00:49:47.220 going to

00:49:47.600 continue stealing

00:49:48.960 IP.

00:49:50.340 We know that

00:49:50.860 their apps like

00:49:52.160 TikTok are 0.84

00:49:54.180 built as spy

00:49:56.140 equipment.

00:49:58.420 Basically,

00:50:00.220 Trump proved

00:50:01.520 by being a

00:50:03.980 leader and by

00:50:04.840 pushing them

00:50:05.560 hard, he

00:50:06.120 proved that

00:50:07.120 you can't

00:50:07.580 deal with

00:50:07.940 them.

00:50:09.240 So there

00:50:09.800 were two

00:50:10.160 possibilities and

00:50:11.400 strong leadership

00:50:12.180 was the only way

00:50:13.000 to get to

00:50:13.460 them.

00:50:14.200 One was

00:50:14.820 maybe China

00:50:16.480 wanted to

00:50:16.940 make a deal

00:50:17.400 and then you

00:50:18.380 get a good

00:50:18.760 trade deal and

00:50:19.400 that would be a

00:50:19.860 good outcome.

00:50:21.220 The other is

00:50:21.920 that you prove

00:50:23.120 that you can't

00:50:23.760 work with them

00:50:24.340 which is what

00:50:25.420 happened.

00:50:26.340 So China 0.92

00:50:26.720 proved that

00:50:27.620 they're not

00:50:28.140 a credible

00:50:30.040 partner for

00:50:31.860 anything.

00:50:33.020 And once you

00:50:33.760 know that,

00:50:34.320 then you can

00:50:34.680 start decoupling

00:50:35.600 which is

00:50:36.200 happening.

00:50:37.020 So we will

00:50:37.760 get to the

00:50:38.220 point where

00:50:38.740 we're bringing

00:50:39.320 our supply

00:50:40.680 chains home

00:50:41.600 which is one

00:50:42.660 of the best

00:50:43.140 things that's

00:50:43.660 ever happened

00:50:44.140 to this

00:50:44.480 country and

00:50:45.500 we only

00:50:46.100 could get

00:50:46.560 to that

00:50:47.020 because Trump

00:50:48.420 defied every

00:50:49.420 expert and

00:50:50.260 pushed through

00:50:50.980 on a very

00:50:52.460 critical issue.

00:50:53.500 Our relationship

00:50:54.320 with China is

00:50:54.960 one of the

00:50:55.280 biggest things

00:50:55.740 in the world.

00:50:57.500 And again,

00:50:58.440 it seems like

00:50:59.160 it worked.

00:51:00.140 Take North

00:51:00.560 Korea.

00:51:01.060 How many

00:51:01.340 experts told

00:51:02.100 him to meet

00:51:02.660 with Kim

00:51:03.120 Jong-un when

00:51:03.840 he didn't

00:51:04.380 have a deal

00:51:05.040 already?

00:51:06.600 None.

00:51:07.620 Maybe none.

00:51:08.260 Maybe there

00:51:09.200 were no

00:51:09.620 experts who

00:51:10.880 said it was

00:51:11.280 a good idea

00:51:11.800 to meet

00:51:12.100 with Kim

00:51:12.540 Jong-un

00:51:12.980 because the

00:51:14.760 experts said

00:51:15.320 he's not

00:51:15.740 going to

00:51:15.920 make a

00:51:16.220 deal.

00:51:17.680 And sure

00:51:18.060 enough,

00:51:19.060 Kim Jong-un

00:51:19.700 did not

00:51:20.160 make a

00:51:20.560 deal.

00:51:22.080 But don't

00:51:23.620 you feel

00:51:23.960 safer?

00:51:25.980 Does Kim

00:51:26.820 Jong-un see

00:51:27.640 the United

00:51:28.180 States as

00:51:29.780 a military

00:51:30.740 threat and

00:51:31.540 therefore he's

00:51:32.280 preparing to

00:51:33.340 strike back?

00:51:36.260 No.

00:51:37.280 Trump took

00:51:38.220 the threat

00:51:38.760 of North

00:51:39.140 Korea basically 0.74

00:51:40.080 right off the

00:51:40.780 table.

00:51:41.600 And he did

00:51:42.240 it by defying

00:51:43.040 all the

00:51:43.540 experts.

00:51:44.440 He just

00:51:44.740 created a

00:51:45.360 personal

00:51:45.880 relationship.

00:51:47.680 And I

00:51:47.900 think that

00:51:50.120 plus other

00:51:51.040 activities have

00:51:52.420 proven to

00:51:53.060 Kim Jong-un and

00:51:53.980 especially getting

00:51:54.620 rid of John

00:51:55.640 Bolton recently,

00:51:57.160 I think Kim

00:51:58.080 Jong-un is

00:51:58.580 looking at the

00:51:59.080 United States

00:51:59.720 and saying,

00:52:00.340 you know,

00:52:01.380 it just sort

00:52:02.220 of doesn't

00:52:02.600 look like that

00:52:03.220 big a threat

00:52:03.800 at the moment.

00:52:05.320 So are

00:52:06.720 you safer?

00:52:08.900 Guaranteed.

00:52:10.440 I would say

00:52:11.300 it's guaranteed

00:52:12.080 that you're

00:52:12.520 safer because

00:52:13.340 he violated

00:52:14.160 what the

00:52:14.860 experts wanted

00:52:15.720 him to do.

00:52:17.200 So my

00:52:19.520 theory,

00:52:20.140 and I've

00:52:20.380 had this for

00:52:20.840 a while,

00:52:21.800 is that

00:52:22.380 historians,

00:52:23.620 once you get

00:52:24.100 a, you know,

00:52:24.540 let's say a

00:52:24.980 generation away,

00:52:26.380 you get 20

00:52:27.100 or 30 years

00:52:27.740 away when the

00:52:28.420 people who

00:52:28.900 lived through

00:52:29.540 the Trump

00:52:29.940 administration

00:52:30.500 are all

00:52:30.840 dead,

00:52:31.900 or at least

00:52:33.040 the older

00:52:33.460 ones.

00:52:34.400 I think

00:52:35.700 history is

00:52:36.400 going to be

00:52:36.700 very kind

00:52:37.560 to Trump

00:52:38.660 because all

00:52:39.840 of the little

00:52:40.360 personality stuff

00:52:41.520 that dominates

00:52:42.520 the news

00:52:42.960 coverage and

00:52:43.540 social media

00:52:44.080 will sort

00:52:45.220 of melt

00:52:45.620 away with

00:52:46.880 history.

00:52:47.660 History is

00:52:48.280 going to look

00:52:48.660 at the big

00:52:49.100 things he did

00:52:49.820 and it's

00:52:50.180 going to forget

00:52:50.620 about the

00:52:51.040 personality stuff,

00:52:52.320 it's going to

00:52:52.720 forget about

00:52:53.160 the tweets

00:52:53.700 and the

00:52:54.240 little fights,

00:52:55.120 and it's

00:52:55.640 going to forget

00:52:56.080 about the

00:52:56.460 fact-checking,

00:52:57.180 it's going to

00:52:57.440 forget all that.

00:52:58.460 But it's going to

00:52:58.940 remember about

00:52:59.580 China, it's going 1.00

00:53:00.240 to remember

00:53:00.600 coronavirus,

00:53:01.100 it's going

00:53:01.860 to remember

00:53:02.320 that ISIS 0.91

00:53:03.740 used to hold

00:53:04.640 territory and

00:53:05.400 now it

00:53:05.700 doesn't.

00:53:06.640 So I

00:53:08.580 believe that

00:53:09.300 Trump will be

00:53:10.220 viewed by

00:53:10.800 history as

00:53:12.780 maybe one

00:53:16.620 of the top

00:53:17.000 five, for

00:53:17.700 sure, leaders

00:53:19.440 we've ever

00:53:20.020 had.

00:53:21.740 Because you

00:53:22.380 have to throw

00:53:22.880 Washington and

00:53:24.040 Lincoln and

00:53:25.100 Truman, and

00:53:26.680 there's people who

00:53:27.800 made really big

00:53:28.580 decisions, so they

00:53:29.980 were good leaders

00:53:30.540 as well, but I

00:53:31.300 think you'll be

00:53:31.680 in the top

00:53:32.080 five of

00:53:33.920 presidents, easily.

00:53:36.020 I don't know,

00:53:36.780 does that get you

00:53:37.400 on Mount Rushmore?

00:53:38.640 Top five?

00:53:39.800 Can they make

00:53:40.560 another space?

00:53:42.620 All right.

00:53:43.860 We're still

00:53:44.480 confused about

00:53:45.340 why fatalities

00:53:46.220 are dropping

00:53:46.920 despite infections

00:53:49.460 going up.

00:53:50.100 Now the obvious

00:53:50.700 explanation is

00:53:51.620 that it's young

00:53:52.220 people who are

00:53:52.800 getting infected,

00:53:54.060 but the second

00:53:55.000 explanation is

00:53:55.900 we're getting

00:53:56.240 better at

00:53:56.760 treating it.

00:53:58.380 And maybe a

00:53:59.000 third explanation

00:53:59.700 is that it

00:54:00.420 might be

00:54:01.360 mutating, or

00:54:02.980 has already

00:54:03.560 infected the

00:54:04.860 people most

00:54:05.500 likely to be

00:54:06.180 infected, or

00:54:07.160 there's some

00:54:08.180 kind of herd

00:54:08.860 immunity from

00:54:10.280 other coronaviruses

00:54:12.140 that has an

00:54:13.360 impact.

00:54:14.200 The fact is,

00:54:14.820 we don't know.

00:54:16.240 We just don't

00:54:16.920 know.

00:54:17.760 We just don't

00:54:18.940 know exactly

00:54:21.000 why the death

00:54:23.500 rate is falling

00:54:24.160 while the

00:54:24.540 infection rate is

00:54:26.140 skyrocketing.

00:54:27.060 Probably most of

00:54:27.960 that has to do

00:54:28.420 with young

00:54:28.740 people.

00:54:29.200 That's my

00:54:29.540 guess.

00:54:30.940 Because they

00:54:31.560 get infected, 0.77

00:54:32.180 but they don't

00:54:32.500 die.

00:54:34.720 You may be

00:54:35.580 aware that there

00:54:36.240 are two complete

00:54:37.140 worlds that have

00:54:38.280 formed around

00:54:39.160 face masks.

00:54:40.680 In one world,

00:54:42.340 you can see

00:54:43.060 lots of references

00:54:44.120 to studies that

00:54:45.740 show that face

00:54:46.800 masks don't work,

00:54:48.480 meaning that they

00:54:49.140 don't have any

00:54:49.760 effect.

00:54:51.060 Then you'd be

00:54:51.800 better off without

00:54:52.580 them.

00:54:52.880 And then there's

00:54:54.060 another world

00:54:54.640 where,

00:54:55.180 duh,

00:54:55.560 it's obvious

00:54:56.080 they work and

00:54:56.780 all the science

00:54:57.440 proves it,

00:54:58.320 and here it is,

00:54:59.160 we can show you

00:54:59.740 right here.

00:55:00.680 Those are existing

00:55:02.040 simultaneously,

00:55:03.400 and they're both

00:55:04.420 referring to

00:55:05.880 science.

00:55:07.680 What good is

00:55:08.600 science if

00:55:11.380 reasonable people,

00:55:12.520 and I'm talking

00:55:12.960 about educated

00:55:13.700 people,

00:55:14.180 doctors,

00:55:14.980 people who know

00:55:15.820 their stuff,

00:55:16.760 what good is the

00:55:17.780 science if it's

00:55:20.260 opposite.

00:55:21.520 You can pick

00:55:22.500 your science and

00:55:23.320 find out that it

00:55:23.960 has no impact,

00:55:25.160 and then you can

00:55:25.780 pick your science

00:55:26.460 and find out,

00:55:26.940 oh, it totally,

00:55:27.620 totally has impact.

00:55:29.060 Now, I think the

00:55:29.840 way, the reason

00:55:30.500 that it's allowed

00:55:31.420 to exist, in other

00:55:32.960 words, the reason

00:55:33.520 these two worlds

00:55:34.280 can exist, is

00:55:37.080 because the world

00:55:37.820 that says face

00:55:39.220 masks don't work,

00:55:41.860 they inject a

00:55:42.800 little clause in

00:55:43.760 there that if you

00:55:44.580 don't look closely,

00:55:46.020 you don't find it.

00:55:47.580 And it looks like

00:55:48.220 this.

00:55:48.560 It has not been

00:55:50.080 proven that face

00:55:51.720 masks work, in

00:55:53.680 terms of coronavirus

00:55:54.580 and maybe other

00:55:55.540 things.

00:55:56.760 Now, is that the

00:55:57.780 same as saying

00:55:59.100 face masks don't

00:56:00.480 work?

00:56:01.520 It's not.

00:56:03.020 Because nobody's

00:56:04.080 really done a

00:56:05.260 test of face

00:56:07.360 masks, you know,

00:56:08.160 different ones

00:56:08.820 used for the

00:56:09.580 coronavirus in

00:56:10.440 this specific

00:56:11.120 situation, etc.

00:56:13.400 It hasn't been

00:56:14.100 tested.

00:56:15.200 But, does it

00:56:16.740 make sense that

00:56:18.540 having a barrier

00:56:19.480 that slows down

00:56:20.600 how far the

00:56:21.440 droplets go,

00:56:22.820 assuming that it

00:56:23.640 might be airborne

00:56:24.200 or at the very

00:56:25.100 least it's getting

00:56:25.780 on surfaces,

00:56:27.100 does common

00:56:27.780 sense tell you

00:56:28.580 it's got to

00:56:29.380 work a little

00:56:29.840 bit?

00:56:31.020 Yes.

00:56:32.420 But what good

00:56:33.340 is science if

00:56:34.900 you've got all

00:56:35.520 this science and

00:56:36.580 smart people still

00:56:37.600 take opposite

00:56:38.240 sides?

00:56:39.440 And they're both

00:56:39.960 looking at

00:56:40.360 science.

00:56:41.160 What's that tell

00:56:41.740 you about science?

00:56:43.420 All right.

00:56:44.480 There's a

00:56:45.200 professor at

00:56:46.920 Stony Brook,

00:56:47.600 you've heard of

00:56:48.180 him before,

00:56:48.860 Helmut Norpoff.

00:56:51.120 And apparently

00:56:51.580 he's been the

00:56:52.140 most accurate

00:56:53.280 predictor.

00:56:54.140 He's got a

00:56:54.560 model that

00:56:55.040 predicts who's

00:56:55.500 going to be

00:56:55.820 president.

00:56:57.040 And it's

00:56:57.840 correctly predicted

00:56:58.860 five out of the

00:56:59.760 past six

00:57:00.500 elections.

00:57:02.180 And every

00:57:03.680 single election

00:57:04.560 but two in the

00:57:06.340 last 108 years.

00:57:07.580 And the

00:57:08.840 technique he

00:57:09.460 uses is he

00:57:10.360 ignores the

00:57:12.160 polls and he

00:57:13.520 looks at primary

00:57:14.580 results.

00:57:16.200 And his theory

00:57:17.000 goes roughly

00:57:17.980 like this.

00:57:19.220 Somebody who

00:57:19.960 dominated in the

00:57:20.940 primaries shows

00:57:22.300 that there's a

00:57:22.840 lot of base

00:57:23.500 enthusiasm and

00:57:24.940 that's a good

00:57:25.660 predictor of who

00:57:26.400 wins.

00:57:27.080 If somebody

00:57:27.800 limps through the

00:57:29.200 primaries and

00:57:30.380 manages to get

00:57:31.200 nominated,

00:57:32.580 they're going to

00:57:33.060 lose.

00:57:34.040 So that's

00:57:34.520 basically the

00:57:35.480 idea is that if

00:57:37.020 you limp

00:57:37.560 through the

00:57:38.080 primaries,

00:57:38.820 that's not a

00:57:39.460 strong enough

00:57:40.020 show of

00:57:41.040 grassroots

00:57:41.460 support, so

00:57:42.200 you're almost

00:57:42.600 certainly going

00:57:43.080 to lose.

00:57:43.880 How accurate

00:57:44.500 is this model?

00:57:45.760 Well, as I

00:57:46.240 said, it's

00:57:46.720 been wrong

00:57:47.220 twice, but

00:57:48.740 look at the

00:57:49.140 two times it

00:57:49.720 was wrong.

00:57:50.840 One of them

00:57:51.620 was the

00:57:52.120 Kennedy election.

00:57:54.220 If you know

00:57:55.020 your history,

00:57:55.960 what was

00:57:56.480 unusual about

00:57:57.360 the Kennedy

00:57:57.880 election?

00:57:59.360 The Kennedy

00:57:59.980 election was

00:58:00.800 rigged.

00:58:02.240 The Kennedy

00:58:03.180 senior literally

00:58:04.200 got the

00:58:04.700 mafia to

00:58:05.860 rig elections

00:58:06.640 in some of

00:58:07.420 the places

00:58:08.080 that made

00:58:08.580 the difference.

00:58:09.860 So the

00:58:10.540 Kennedy

00:58:10.840 election, the

00:58:11.540 model didn't 0.97

00:58:12.120 get right, but

00:58:13.260 it would have

00:58:13.800 gotten it right

00:58:14.460 if it had not

00:58:15.820 been a rigged

00:58:16.580 election.

00:58:17.720 Think about

00:58:18.200 that.

00:58:18.900 The other

00:58:19.380 one it got

00:58:19.780 wrong is it

00:58:21.040 said that

00:58:21.700 Gore would

00:58:25.420 beat Bush.

00:58:26.920 And do you

00:58:27.120 remember what

00:58:27.560 happened?

00:58:28.400 The Gore

00:58:28.800 versus Bush?

00:58:29.620 It went to

00:58:30.000 the Supreme

00:58:30.460 Court and it

00:58:31.840 still looked like

00:58:32.560 it was stolen?

00:58:33.060 So the two

00:58:35.320 times his

00:58:35.920 model didn't 0.97

00:58:36.540 work, it

00:58:38.040 kind of did

00:58:38.600 work.

00:58:39.520 It's just

00:58:39.940 that there

00:58:40.840 was something

00:58:41.240 that was a

00:58:41.660 little suspicious

00:58:42.280 about the

00:58:43.180 election process

00:58:44.300 itself.

00:58:45.580 So his

00:58:46.700 model is

00:58:47.440 close to

00:58:47.960 100%

00:58:48.640 effective.

00:58:50.240 And he

00:58:50.820 says you

00:58:51.220 can completely

00:58:52.140 ignore the

00:58:52.800 polls even

00:58:53.540 this close to

00:58:54.280 election.

00:58:55.720 Historically,

00:58:56.840 the polls this

00:58:57.780 close to

00:58:58.200 election are

00:58:58.760 just random.

00:58:59.380 They're

00:59:00.140 actually just

00:59:00.940 random.

00:59:02.680 So that's

00:59:03.580 his prediction.

00:59:05.920 What's

00:59:06.420 interesting is

00:59:07.060 that we have

00:59:07.440 three people

00:59:07.980 running for

00:59:08.420 president if

00:59:09.160 you count

00:59:09.520 Kanye West

00:59:10.260 and all three

00:59:11.220 of them are

00:59:11.640 running as

00:59:12.080 Republicans.

00:59:14.160 What?

00:59:15.480 What, Scott?

00:59:16.440 What are you

00:59:16.760 talking about?

00:59:17.800 Biden's not a

00:59:18.820 Republican.

00:59:20.580 Obviously.

00:59:21.500 Duh.

00:59:22.580 Or is he?

00:59:24.020 As of today,

00:59:25.820 apparently he

00:59:26.680 had a little

00:59:27.020 committee set up

00:59:28.000 to negotiate

00:59:28.800 with the

00:59:29.240 progressives in

00:59:30.200 his party

00:59:30.680 to see if

00:59:32.000 they could

00:59:32.280 come up

00:59:32.620 with something

00:59:33.020 that the

00:59:33.420 less progressive

00:59:34.180 people and

00:59:34.820 the progressives

00:59:35.500 would get

00:59:35.840 behind.

00:59:36.780 So some of

00:59:37.380 that's been

00:59:37.720 done, and

00:59:38.380 here's what's

00:59:38.980 happened.

00:59:40.300 Biden is

00:59:41.080 not in

00:59:42.020 favor of

00:59:42.560 Medicare for

00:59:43.160 all.

00:59:44.200 So Biden

00:59:45.060 is not in

00:59:45.880 favor of

00:59:46.460 probably,

00:59:48.260 in my

00:59:48.560 opinion,

00:59:49.100 the single

00:59:49.620 most important

00:59:50.380 thing that

00:59:51.220 the left

00:59:51.760 wanted,

00:59:52.580 which was

00:59:53.460 health care

00:59:54.120 for everybody.

00:59:55.380 And Biden

00:59:55.800 is not on

00:59:57.200 board.

00:59:58.800 And that's

00:59:59.440 the best

00:59:59.800 they can

01:00:00.140 negotiate

01:00:00.560 with him.

01:00:01.500 So whoever

01:00:02.540 is doing

01:00:04.100 the negotiating,

01:00:05.100 they've decided

01:00:06.000 on something

01:00:06.560 that apparently

01:00:07.180 is better

01:00:07.800 for winning

01:00:08.320 elections.

01:00:09.480 Because if

01:00:10.300 Biden had

01:00:10.820 come out

01:00:11.240 with full

01:00:11.980 health care

01:00:12.860 for everybody,

01:00:14.240 pretty much

01:00:14.980 he would

01:00:15.260 have been

01:00:15.520 done.

01:00:16.360 He had

01:00:16.780 to come

01:00:17.020 up with

01:00:17.280 something a

01:00:17.700 little more

01:00:18.100 closer to

01:00:19.180 a Republican

01:00:19.760 thing,

01:00:20.460 so it

01:00:21.100 doesn't become

01:00:21.940 a negative

01:00:22.340 for him

01:00:22.780 when he's

01:00:23.100 running.

01:00:24.680 Here's the

01:00:25.220 one that's

01:00:25.500 more interesting

01:00:26.060 though.

01:00:27.100 Remember the

01:00:27.880 Green New

01:00:28.320 Deal was

01:00:29.160 going to

01:00:29.440 transform the

01:00:30.220 economy?

01:00:31.540 Well,

01:00:32.040 apparently that's

01:00:32.620 off the

01:00:32.980 table now.

01:00:34.240 So Biden

01:00:35.100 will not

01:00:36.260 be putting

01:00:36.720 in the

01:00:37.340 platform.

01:00:38.420 So the

01:00:39.060 Democratic

01:00:40.080 platform and

01:00:41.740 the presidential

01:00:42.340 candidate at

01:00:43.220 this point

01:00:43.680 become one

01:00:44.740 and the

01:00:45.020 same for

01:00:46.320 the most

01:00:46.600 part.

01:00:47.580 And at

01:00:48.780 this point

01:00:49.180 it doesn't

01:00:49.680 look like

01:00:50.120 the Green

01:00:50.540 New Deal

01:00:51.020 is even

01:00:51.500 going to

01:00:51.740 be in the

01:00:52.080 Democratic

01:00:52.460 platform.

01:00:53.780 Now,

01:00:54.100 when I say

01:00:54.460 the Green

01:00:54.800 New Deal,

01:00:55.320 I mean the

01:00:55.680 one where

01:00:56.160 airplanes are

01:00:57.380 grounded and

01:00:59.060 fossil fuels

01:01:02.820 are phased

01:01:03.380 out really

01:01:04.180 soon and

01:01:05.120 all the

01:01:06.100 stuff that

01:01:06.820 would be

01:01:07.240 the most

01:01:08.080 dangerous.

01:01:08.920 So that

01:01:09.300 stuff's just

01:01:09.720 not in the

01:01:10.280 plan anymore.

01:01:11.460 Now he's

01:01:11.940 going for

01:01:12.420 something that

01:01:13.180 is better

01:01:14.600 described as

01:01:15.400 more aggressive

01:01:16.200 goals to

01:01:17.940 get to

01:01:18.280 net zero

01:01:18.880 carbon

01:01:19.300 emissions.

01:01:20.660 What does

01:01:21.340 that tell

01:01:21.700 you?

01:01:22.180 Huh?

01:01:23.020 Read between

01:01:23.640 the lines.

01:01:24.400 Let's see.

01:01:24.840 So it's not

01:01:25.420 the Green

01:01:25.940 New Deal

01:01:26.520 which is

01:01:28.000 telling you

01:01:29.300 to get rid

01:01:29.680 of fossil

01:01:30.140 fuels and

01:01:30.960 all that

01:01:31.460 stuff.

01:01:32.060 So it's

01:01:32.340 not that.

01:01:33.580 But he

01:01:33.880 wants to

01:01:34.280 go for

01:01:34.640 a more

01:01:35.080 aggressive

01:01:35.580 net zero

01:01:36.700 carbon

01:01:37.320 emissions.

01:01:38.640 Huh?

01:01:39.520 What would

01:01:40.360 be the

01:01:41.160 only way

01:01:42.000 you could

01:01:42.560 do that

01:01:43.580 effectively?

01:01:45.100 Is it

01:01:45.860 by lots

01:01:47.500 of solar

01:01:48.060 panels?

01:01:50.540 Huh?

01:01:51.100 Is it

01:01:51.840 by windmills?

01:01:53.340 Huh?

01:01:54.340 Is it

01:01:57.660 by nuclear

01:01:58.640 energy?

01:02:00.180 I think

01:02:01.120 that it's

01:02:01.600 silent on

01:02:02.240 nuclear

01:02:02.620 energy.

01:02:03.740 But I

01:02:04.820 think Biden

01:02:05.520 just became

01:02:06.180 a Republican.

01:02:07.780 Because it's

01:02:08.920 looking to me

01:02:09.520 like Biden's

01:02:10.240 health care

01:02:10.660 plan is

01:02:11.500 indistinguishable

01:02:13.640 from the

01:02:14.060 Republican

01:02:14.480 plan.

01:02:15.300 Let's keep 0.77

01:02:16.000 things the

01:02:16.400 way they

01:02:16.660 are and

01:02:17.020 try to

01:02:17.280 improve it.

01:02:19.580 Basically a

01:02:20.340 Republican

01:02:20.740 plan.

01:02:21.860 And if

01:02:22.100 he's trying

01:02:22.460 to get to

01:02:22.920 net zero

01:02:23.560 carbon

01:02:24.240 emissions

01:02:24.860 at a

01:02:25.900 more

01:02:26.220 aggressive

01:02:27.980 rate,

01:02:29.020 there's

01:02:29.300 sort of

01:02:29.740 only one

01:02:30.200 way to

01:02:30.520 do it.

01:02:31.580 There's

01:02:31.880 just one

01:02:32.320 way.

01:02:33.560 The

01:02:33.800 Republican

01:02:34.200 way.

01:02:35.500 So I

01:02:35.880 think Biden

01:02:36.340 is just

01:02:36.700 becoming a

01:02:37.180 Republican.

01:02:39.340 Weirdly.

01:02:40.260 So that

01:02:40.500 would mean

01:02:40.840 Kanye's a

01:02:41.640 Republican.

01:02:42.680 He says he

01:02:43.400 would run as

01:02:43.900 a Republican

01:02:44.320 if Trump

01:02:44.980 were not

01:02:45.560 already.

01:02:47.100 Trump's a

01:02:47.660 Republican,

01:02:48.360 sort of.

01:02:50.000 We've got

01:02:50.500 three Republicans

01:02:51.300 running for

01:02:51.820 president.

01:02:52.460 Has that

01:02:52.740 ever happened?

01:02:54.040 I don't

01:02:54.620 think so.

01:02:55.840 All right.

01:02:56.600 That's his

01:02:57.140 best chance

01:02:57.600 for winning

01:02:57.980 though.

01:02:58.420 Biden is

01:02:58.860 to be a

01:02:59.460 little more

01:02:59.840 moderate.

01:03:00.780 All right.

01:03:00.980 That's all

01:03:01.260 I've got

01:03:01.480 for now.

01:03:04.020 Biden

01:03:04.460 wants to

01:03:04.980 defund

01:03:05.360 the police?

01:03:06.000 No,

01:03:06.180 he doesn't.

01:03:07.780 Biden

01:03:08.220 does not

01:03:08.640 want to

01:03:08.940 defund

01:03:09.420 them.

01:03:09.700 He may

01:03:09.940 want to

01:03:10.720 improve

01:03:11.280 them in

01:03:11.840 some way.

01:03:13.320 But even

01:03:15.000 Republicans

01:03:15.980 would be

01:03:16.580 in favor

01:03:17.620 of improving

01:03:18.700 policing.

01:03:20.460 Just show

01:03:21.100 them a

01:03:21.580 proposal

01:03:22.080 that's

01:03:23.400 worth

01:03:23.620 testing.

01:03:24.280 And again,

01:03:25.060 you don't

01:03:25.360 have to

01:03:25.640 be in

01:03:25.920 favor of

01:03:26.360 any of

01:03:26.660 this

01:03:26.920 defund

01:03:27.820 the police

01:03:28.240 stuff.

01:03:28.600 You could

01:03:28.860 be in

01:03:29.140 favor of

01:03:29.580 testing.

01:03:30.460 Just say,

01:03:30.840 let's try

01:03:31.220 it.

01:03:31.700 If you've

01:03:32.280 got an

01:03:32.560 idea for

01:03:33.040 taking some

01:03:33.580 of that

01:03:33.820 budget and

01:03:34.440 moving it

01:03:34.860 to some

01:03:35.200 other kind

01:03:35.640 of thing

01:03:36.060 that you

01:03:36.800 might get

01:03:37.120 a better

01:03:37.380 result,

01:03:38.720 let's try

01:03:39.240 that in

01:03:39.600 Cleveland and

01:03:40.100 see what

01:03:40.320 happens.

01:03:41.080 All right.

01:03:42.080 Somebody

01:03:42.360 says,

01:03:42.680 why is

01:03:43.080 Trump not

01:03:43.820 pushing

01:03:44.200 nuclear?

01:03:45.080 I would

01:03:45.500 say that's

01:03:45.800 just a

01:03:46.100 mistake.

01:03:46.580 you don't

01:03:50.980 need a

01:03:52.420 reason for

01:03:52.900 a mistake.

01:03:54.640 So I

01:03:55.500 would say

01:03:55.860 that Trump

01:03:56.540 not pushing

01:03:57.100 nuclear,

01:03:58.100 probably he's

01:03:59.300 not fully

01:03:59.940 informed on

01:04:00.660 it, is my

01:04:01.520 guess.

01:04:02.540 Probably he

01:04:03.380 doesn't have

01:04:03.800 the best

01:04:04.820 information.

01:04:05.740 But it's

01:04:06.040 also possible

01:04:06.760 that it's

01:04:08.260 one of

01:04:08.580 those single

01:04:09.720 issue topics

01:04:10.680 that can

01:04:11.160 cause you

01:04:11.520 to lose

01:04:11.840 an election.

01:04:12.260 There might

01:04:13.440 be people

01:04:13.860 who don't

01:04:14.160 care about

01:04:14.600 anything,

01:04:16.000 except they

01:04:16.680 don't want

01:04:17.040 nuclear energy.

01:04:18.660 Maybe.

01:04:19.500 I don't know.

01:04:20.060 There can't

01:04:20.340 be that many

01:04:20.820 people who

01:04:21.300 would be

01:04:21.800 single issue

01:04:22.580 voters on

01:04:23.140 that.

01:04:24.840 So there

01:04:25.320 might be a

01:04:25.840 political motive

01:04:26.600 that I don't

01:04:27.200 know of,

01:04:28.160 but it looks

01:04:28.680 like it's a

01:04:29.300 politically

01:04:29.740 losing position

01:04:31.720 and it's

01:04:32.440 scientifically

01:04:33.080 losing and

01:04:34.260 it's planet

01:04:35.380 losing.

01:04:35.980 So if you

01:04:36.340 ask me,

01:04:36.880 why would

01:04:37.840 Trump not

01:04:39.100 be promoting

01:04:39.760 nuclear energy

01:04:40.600 when it seems

01:04:41.800 to be good

01:04:42.380 on every

01:04:42.900 way that

01:04:43.300 anything can

01:04:43.860 be good,

01:04:44.300 literally every

01:04:44.860 way that

01:04:45.420 something can

01:04:45.900 be good,

01:04:47.420 it just

01:04:48.380 looks like a

01:04:48.840 mistake.

01:04:49.860 Now, the

01:04:50.560 energy department

01:04:51.680 under Trump

01:04:52.420 is actually

01:04:52.860 very aggressive.

01:04:54.240 So if you

01:04:54.580 look what the

01:04:55.140 administration is

01:04:55.900 doing, it

01:04:57.680 looks like the

01:04:58.420 right stuff.

01:04:59.600 I mean, it

01:05:00.460 really looks

01:05:02.040 like they are

01:05:03.360 going energetically

01:05:04.480 after figuring

01:05:05.760 out how to

01:05:06.180 test the newer

01:05:06.900 devices and

01:05:07.700 stuff like

01:05:08.520 that.

01:05:10.100 But why he

01:05:11.040 doesn't

01:05:11.320 personally

01:05:11.740 talk about

01:05:12.280 it?

01:05:12.420 I don't

01:05:12.620 know.

01:05:13.400 It looks

01:05:13.720 like just

01:05:14.120 a mistake

01:05:14.560 to me.

01:05:15.340 So maybe

01:05:16.560 he will.

01:05:17.300 That's all

01:05:17.680 for now.

01:05:18.160 I'll talk

01:05:18.700 to you

01:05:18.940 tomorrow.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 09, 2020

Episode 1052 Scott Adams： Single Parent Households, Biden and Beethoven Both Decomposing, Ye Systems, Schools, More

Episode Stats

Summary

Transcript