Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 22, 2020


Episode 1066 Scott Adams： I Travel to the Future and Back to Tell You Who Will Win in November


Episode Stats

Length

45 minutes

Words per Minute

148.41362

Word Count

6,764

Sentence Count

495

Misogynist Sentences

12

Hate Speech Sentences

19


Summary

In this episode of Coffee with Scott Adams, host Scott Adams travels to the future and tries to figure out what's going on in the present, but it's not as easy as he thinks it is. Plus, a look at the future of the city of Portland, Oregon.


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams. Best part of your day.
00:00:21.360 Yes, it is. And in a moment I'll be traveling to the future. I haven't tried this before. It's a little bit dangerous, but I'll be moving to 2021 and then I'll quickly come back to the present and tell you what I saw.
00:00:40.240 If I don't make it, well, I guess I'll see you at my funeral in 2021. But, but before that, what happens before that? I think you know. I think you know.
00:00:56.160 It's a simultaneous sip and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a cider, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.
00:01:05.440 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.
00:01:15.960 It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now.
00:01:19.280 Ah, I don't know if you can feel it yet, but there is a temporal shift being formed.
00:01:31.720 If you don't, if you don't mind, I'm going to, I'm going to do it now. I'm going to go to the future.
00:01:36.960 This, this, this won't be easy. So, ah, the technology is not completely tried. And so, um, well, we'll, we'll see what we can do.
00:01:53.840 I'll put on the safety glasses because I don't, I don't know what's going to happen. Honestly, this hasn't been tested.
00:02:00.420 So I, I'm only going to do one year because who knows what happens if I do more than one year, but I'm going to try to do one year.
00:02:10.400 And if I never see you again, uh, I'll miss you. And well, I just don't know what to say. I love all of you.
00:02:20.560 Uh, I'm going to try to go to the future now and get you some intelligence about what's happening, but hold on.
00:02:27.600 I'm hitting the switch.
00:02:30.420 Hold on. Hold on.
00:02:32.400 Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Oh! Whoa! Whoa! Whoa! Whoa!
00:02:50.360 That was intense.
00:02:52.400 Whew! I, you won't believe what I saw. Oh my God. Oh my God. Oh my God.
00:02:58.940 Now, before we get going, I know what some of you are thinking.
00:03:04.020 You're thinking, I don't think he went to the future.
00:03:07.460 Is that what you think?
00:03:09.140 Are some of you thinking, I don't think that was real.
00:03:12.920 I don't think he went to the future.
00:03:14.280 Well, I anticipated that.
00:03:16.240 So obviously I brought something with me from the future.
00:03:21.300 You don't have one of these, do you?
00:03:23.420 Let's see if you can find one of these in your store.
00:03:26.640 No.
00:03:27.700 That's 2021, bitch, right there.
00:03:30.780 Yeah, this came from the future, and that's how you know I was in the future.
00:03:37.160 So here's what we found out.
00:03:42.020 Portland didn't work out.
00:03:45.000 We had high hopes for Portland, but it didn't go exactly in the way you'd hoped.
00:03:52.200 Because I know the optimists were thinking, well, maybe it calms down a little bit.
00:03:58.920 The protests stop.
00:04:00.400 Pretty soon it'll be a gleaming city in the Northwest.
00:04:04.140 It's something we can all be proud of.
00:04:07.980 But it didn't go that way.
00:04:09.720 I'm sorry to tell you.
00:04:11.520 Portland actually was renamed.
00:04:15.020 The value of the property actually declined so much that it was purchased by, and I hate to say this, but have you ever heard of the Port-A-Potty Company?
00:04:27.080 They make Port-A-Potties?
00:04:30.220 They purchased Portland and renamed it.
00:04:33.620 So now it's Port-A-Potty Land.
00:04:35.420 So it's just a giant outdoor bathroom for Antifa.
00:04:41.200 So that's not as good as you'd hoped.
00:04:46.480 I know what you're asking.
00:04:47.980 You're wondering who's the president, right?
00:04:51.120 For those of you just joining, I just did come back from the future, 2021, where I brought this calendar back, so you would know I really was there.
00:05:00.000 And you're probably wondering who's president, right?
00:05:05.820 That's what you're wondering?
00:05:07.460 All right.
00:05:08.240 Well, that didn't go as well as we hoped either.
00:05:12.060 I know a lot of you thought, oh, I hope President Trump gets reelected.
00:05:17.280 Didn't go that way.
00:05:19.360 Sorry.
00:05:20.660 Was it Kanye?
00:05:22.880 No.
00:05:24.100 Was it Joe Biden?
00:05:26.120 Sort of.
00:05:27.400 Sort of.
00:05:28.060 You know, by Election Day, he had continued to decline, so he was no longer allowed to use pencils or anything that had a sharp point on it.
00:05:38.620 But that didn't matter because he had a strong vice president.
00:05:42.340 And to everybody's surprise, a lot of people thought he would pick Kamala Harris.
00:05:47.300 You thought that, too.
00:05:48.380 I had even predicted that.
00:05:50.460 I had predicted he was going to pick Kamala Harris as his vice president choice.
00:05:55.000 It didn't go that way.
00:05:56.100 It turns out he just went with the deep fake Kamala Harris.
00:06:01.280 So there is a real Kamala Harris, but she had some cosmetic surgery.
00:06:06.500 It didn't work out.
00:06:07.480 So in the end, the Democratic Party decided to just go with the deep fake.
00:06:12.140 So the country is being led by essentially a digital reproduction of Kamala Harris, what she used to look like.
00:06:20.980 And I think it's powered by AI, but I'm not sure, because a lot of our regular politicians couldn't pass the Turing test either.
00:06:33.900 So, I don't know.
00:06:36.400 It's comparable.
00:06:37.980 But let's get to the other news.
00:06:39.460 There was, as I remember it, back from 2020.
00:06:43.980 There were some other things going on.
00:06:45.960 There was a big earthquake in Alaska.
00:06:49.380 I don't know if you heard about it in your local time.
00:06:51.840 But there may or may not be a giant tsunami coming toward Alaska, which is maybe the scariest thing I've ever heard in my life, if you've seen the line of cars that are trying to get out of there.
00:07:04.360 So we'll be watching that with great anticipation.
00:07:07.720 But, Ron, that is my advice for the citizens who are on the coast of Alaska.
00:07:17.100 Ron.
00:07:18.460 And one more reason for me not to move to Alaska.
00:07:21.840 I didn't need a lot more reasons, but that sort of solved it for me.
00:07:29.040 Did you see that Kanye continues to be the most interesting person on the planet?
00:07:34.760 You can't take that away from him, can you?
00:07:38.680 Does Kanye even have the ability to be uninteresting?
00:07:42.800 He can't do it.
00:07:44.360 He has that in common with President Trump.
00:07:47.540 And I think on some level they recognize that in each other.
00:07:51.340 A complete inability to be uninteresting.
00:07:55.340 He just can't do it.
00:07:56.300 He doesn't know how to be uninteresting.
00:07:58.940 So I guess he was tweeting about his divorce and implicating his wife for having potentially an affair with Meek Mills.
00:08:07.440 But maybe not.
00:08:08.900 Maybe that's not what he meant.
00:08:10.440 We don't know.
00:08:11.860 But there's something interesting going on there.
00:08:14.080 Even Chappelle went to Wyoming and hung out with Kanye for a while.
00:08:19.420 And I thought, I don't know how any of this could get more interesting.
00:08:24.000 It just couldn't be.
00:08:25.160 You've got everything.
00:08:26.060 If you had to say to yourself, all right, Scott, try to put together the most interesting story that you can.
00:08:35.920 And you can pick from any domains.
00:08:38.120 You can just put them together.
00:08:39.920 Just mash them up.
00:08:41.320 What's the most interesting story?
00:08:43.120 I'd be like, well, I don't know.
00:08:45.260 Presidential election.
00:08:46.760 That's got to be in there.
00:08:48.100 Okay.
00:08:48.400 How about something with a famous artist, Kanye?
00:08:55.000 Okay.
00:08:56.720 We'd love to throw the Kardashians in there.
00:08:59.860 Okay.
00:09:00.420 Throw the Kardashians in there.
00:09:03.140 Can we make it salacious?
00:09:05.460 Can it be something with maybe an indication of possibly some sexual something?
00:09:10.560 Okay.
00:09:11.200 Throw that in there.
00:09:11.920 Can we have a feud?
00:09:14.460 Maybe a rapper feud?
00:09:15.900 Really famous ones.
00:09:17.240 Okay.
00:09:17.760 We've got that.
00:09:18.740 Can we have a new album come out?
00:09:20.600 Can we throw some religion in there?
00:09:23.280 Can we have children and abortion?
00:09:26.100 Can we bring it all in there?
00:09:28.660 Can we get racism?
00:09:32.120 Let's put it all in there.
00:09:34.360 And Kanye managed to put it all in there at the same time that he's announcing a new album.
00:09:39.580 And I'm just going to go out on a limb and say that that album will sell quite well.
00:09:46.220 I think it'll sell quite well.
00:09:49.180 I do not think that you need to worry about Kanye siphoning off a lot of votes in November.
00:09:55.640 It doesn't look like it's heading in that direction.
00:09:58.560 So, and he even teased that maybe 2024 was a better time for him to run.
00:10:05.600 We'll see.
00:10:06.860 We'll see.
00:10:07.500 I've been telling you for a while that no matter what happens in 2020, it's kind of genius for him to put his name out there.
00:10:14.600 So he's always in the conversation and will be for the next four years, no matter what happens in November.
00:10:22.160 I feel as though I've been watching the news and watching social media.
00:10:26.260 And I feel as though the country needs a new cabinet position.
00:10:31.620 It should be a cabinet position that only has one function.
00:10:36.020 When there's a big news story, political story, that cabinet will decide which side is more like Hitler.
00:10:43.980 Because if you've noticed, pretty much all of our political conversations end up with, well, you're Hitler.
00:10:51.800 Well, no, I think you're Hitler.
00:10:53.820 No, you're Hitler.
00:10:55.280 No, no, you're Hitler.
00:10:58.140 And sometimes there'll be a clever comeback to that, and it goes like this.
00:11:03.700 No, no, you're Hitler.
00:11:05.340 And sometimes there'll even be another clever comeback after that that goes like this.
00:11:10.960 No, no, you're Hitler.
00:11:12.620 So we need some kind of a cabinet-level position just to sort out who's Hitler, because I can't tell.
00:11:21.840 You know, I'm looking at Portland, for example, and I'm seeing Antifa, and they look like Hitler to me.
00:11:28.680 But they think that the federal officers who are doing some law enforcement up there, they think they look like Hitler.
00:11:37.320 How am I supposed to know who's Hitler?
00:11:39.300 Hitler, somebody needs to solve this for me.
00:11:43.500 Tell me who's Hitler so I know who to hate.
00:11:47.380 Here's some potentially good news.
00:11:50.680 There are two big technical developments in face masks.
00:11:57.480 I don't know if it's good that we're talking about technical developments in face masks.
00:12:02.260 I suppose that's sort of like saying the airliner went down, but somebody's pet survived.
00:12:10.300 So it's sort of, you know, it's too bad we're talking about face masks at all.
00:12:14.400 But a Quebec company called I3 Biomedical, I think, said they have some kind of a coating they can put in a face mask that deactivates 99% of the virus.
00:12:32.640 So that's pretty cool.
00:12:35.080 Who knows how quickly that could be ramped up or if it's as good as they say.
00:12:39.540 But at least people are actively looking into how do you make your face masks really, really good.
00:12:45.960 At the same time, MIT has a prototype of a silicon mask, sort of a permanent mask that you could easily disinfect.
00:12:57.760 And apparently that's going to be a whole level above other face masks, both in how much it covers and how well it filters.
00:13:05.500 So those are two developments just today that, you know, who knows if those specific things will ever reach market.
00:13:13.960 But it does show you that people are doing a lot of stuff in that space, which is good.
00:13:17.880 Did you all get a chance to listen to that Yanni and Laurel situation?
00:13:25.340 You know what I'm talking about?
00:13:26.780 When things sound, you can listen to a tape and one person will hear one word clearly, but another person will listen to the same thing and hear a completely different thing, but clearly.
00:13:37.100 And we've seen this audio illusion a number of times, most famously with Yanni and Laurel.
00:13:43.820 But yesterday there was just a great one where, I think it was yesterday, when Kayleigh McEnany was doing her press conference.
00:13:52.280 And one of the reporters either said, this is what the reporter claimed, you won't engage.
00:13:59.960 Oh, you won't engage.
00:14:01.240 But if you listen to it on the tape, and you've been primed to hear it this other way, it sounds exactly like you're a lying bitch.
00:14:12.520 Now, those two don't even sound the same, do they?
00:14:16.200 You won't engage.
00:14:18.860 And you're a lying B word.
00:14:22.800 Those don't even sound similar.
00:14:24.760 But if you've listened to it, you can hear them both.
00:14:29.160 You can hear them both.
00:14:31.700 Can you believe it?
00:14:33.680 So you have to experience it to know that that's even a thing.
00:14:37.680 And when I heard it, I could hear both.
00:14:41.360 But once I heard the lying B part, I could hear that more often.
00:14:47.560 But I'm sure that the actual sentence was, you won't engage.
00:14:52.040 And I think it was.
00:14:52.960 But having experienced that, having experienced hearing the same words, clearly two different ways.
00:15:03.660 What do you think about Roger Stone and what he is alleged to have said on the phone to somebody when he was talking to the disc jockey who believed he had used the word degro?
00:15:17.940 Now, if I understand the rules, can somebody help me with this?
00:15:24.040 I believe the rules are this.
00:15:25.440 There's no situation in which I could use the N word, you know, the real N word.
00:15:33.380 There's no situation in which I could use that full word, even if I were talking about someone else using it.
00:15:41.300 I think we all agree with that.
00:15:42.600 There's just no, there's no situation in which I can personally use that word.
00:15:47.360 And I agree with that, because it's such an ugly word, I don't have any problem with that.
00:15:51.500 I do think that's a word that needs to be treated special, right?
00:15:55.920 That, okay, we all agree that one's just way over the line.
00:15:59.800 Let's take it out of our, take it out of our vocabulary.
00:16:02.900 But my understanding is that if I were to use the word negro referring to somebody, that would be, you know, racist and inappropriate.
00:16:12.640 But I can talk about the word if somebody else used it.
00:16:17.900 I think that's still okay, right?
00:16:20.680 Right?
00:16:21.500 It was still okay?
00:16:22.820 Don't get canceled for that?
00:16:24.760 You gotta, you gotta look for all the, all the traps.
00:16:28.160 You gotta know where all the, the trap doors are.
00:16:31.120 So, you know, I listened to Roger Stone say what sounded exactly like the word negro.
00:16:39.300 But after you hear the Kayleigh McEnany situation, where you could hear two completely different sentences based on whichever one you'd been primed to hear.
00:16:51.260 Is it possible that Roger Stone didn't say the thing you can clearly hear?
00:16:58.860 Clearly.
00:16:59.300 I mean, there's no doubt when you listen to it.
00:17:03.340 Okay, I heard that very clearly.
00:17:06.640 But I also heard lying bitch.
00:17:10.900 Completely clearly.
00:17:12.980 And it didn't happen.
00:17:14.680 Didn't happen.
00:17:15.940 It was not part of reality.
00:17:17.920 But I experienced it just like it was right in front of me.
00:17:21.020 So, could Roger Stone actually be telling the truth this one time?
00:17:29.300 I don't think so.
00:17:30.940 You know, if I had to bet on it.
00:17:32.660 If you said, Scott, you're going to put your own money on this.
00:17:36.180 And you have to bet.
00:17:37.700 Was the word you heard completely clearly on the Roger Stone thing exactly what you heard?
00:17:43.920 Or is it one of these Yanni Laurel situations?
00:17:46.740 Well, I would still bet that he used the actual word.
00:17:49.160 But I'm just introducing the thought that when you see a story like that, like the Roger Stone story,
00:17:57.920 and it's based on you're hearing it with your own ears,
00:18:02.160 how much weight should you put on that if you heard it clearly with your own ears?
00:18:09.360 How much certainty should you have?
00:18:11.960 Well, it's no longer 100%.
00:18:13.940 It used to be.
00:18:15.580 It used to be.
00:18:17.260 You'd be pretty much 100% sure.
00:18:19.920 With the Roger Stone thing, I would say, well, okay, I'm 90% sure.
00:18:24.880 But you can't really ever be 100% sure, can you?
00:18:27.840 We're just not in that world anymore.
00:18:31.260 All right.
00:18:32.520 So, let's use an update on Tucker and the New York Times.
00:18:36.220 So, Tucker had claimed that the New York Times was preparing an article about him
00:18:42.120 in which his new home location would be revealed.
00:18:47.820 Now, there was not an allegation that the New York Times would give his street address,
00:18:56.040 but rather the allegation was that they would describe it with enough clarity
00:19:00.920 that Internet sleuths could figure out where he lived.
00:19:05.060 You know, they could narrow it down, which would end up being about the same thing.
00:19:09.540 So, Tucker complained about this publicly.
00:19:12.080 Much of the public was on his side, saying this is way over the line,
00:19:16.440 if that's what's going to happen.
00:19:18.160 And the New York Times came out and said,
00:19:21.240 no, we told him we were never going to reveal where he lived.
00:19:27.080 But, of course, that was probably a lie, wasn't it?
00:19:30.840 Probably they were going to give enough hints in a lifestyle story.
00:19:36.080 That's what they said.
00:19:36.940 It's going to be a lifestyle story.
00:19:38.980 Oh, no, it's not even going to be negative.
00:19:40.940 It's more about your lifestyle.
00:19:43.140 And, of course, if we're talking about your lifestyle,
00:19:45.980 well, you've got to describe the situation in which you live.
00:19:49.620 It's perfectly reasonable because, you know,
00:19:52.200 the New York Times likes to do lifestyle stories
00:19:55.480 about their conservative nemeses, nemeses, I guess.
00:20:03.900 So the New York Times has zero credibility on their claim
00:20:08.060 that they weren't planning to do anything of the sort
00:20:10.620 because it looks like they were planning to do exactly that.
00:20:15.540 But maybe Tucker scared them off and we won't see that.
00:20:18.980 So we'll wait for details on that.
00:20:21.060 Now I'm wondering if there will even be an article.
00:20:23.880 Because if they're smart, they'll kill the whole article.
00:20:27.300 You don't want anybody looking at that article and saying,
00:20:30.260 oh, I think I can figure out where he lives from this.
00:20:34.740 Because, as I said before,
00:20:38.300 I'm not going to try to tell you what might happen
00:20:41.360 to the New York Times,
00:20:43.300 but it would not be a free punch,
00:20:46.220 if you know what I mean.
00:20:47.960 The blowback to the New York Times,
00:20:50.780 I think, would be something they've never seen before.
00:20:53.960 And they've had a lot of blowback
00:20:55.440 and a lot of things, I would think, over the years.
00:20:57.700 But if they actually targeted Tucker's family,
00:21:02.080 the level of blowback I don't think would be precedented.
00:21:07.360 I think that would be just such a nuclear option
00:21:10.980 that I don't know if the New York Times
00:21:14.080 would actually survive as a company if they did that.
00:21:17.360 But we will see.
00:21:18.900 So the United States has mysteriously,
00:21:23.040 but maybe not mysteriously,
00:21:24.660 abruptly ordered a Chinese consulate to close in,
00:21:28.860 where was it?
00:21:30.040 Houston?
00:21:33.180 Somewhere in Texas.
00:21:37.320 Anyway, so they closed it,
00:21:39.700 and the vague accusation is that they were spying
00:21:43.900 and collecting information
00:21:45.060 and stealing intellectual property,
00:21:46.820 all the things we know that they do.
00:21:48.900 And China has complained.
00:21:52.420 Now, the importance of this story is direction.
00:21:57.280 The importance of the story is direction.
00:22:00.600 It's not where things are with China,
00:22:02.200 but where they're heading.
00:22:03.640 And it looks to me like decoupling
00:22:06.100 is unstoppable at this point.
00:22:09.480 And we may even stop,
00:22:12.560 I don't know, it's possible that we'll end political,
00:22:15.700 any kind of diplomatic situation with China.
00:22:19.960 It could go that far.
00:22:23.240 So Trump did his press conference
00:22:26.120 that he hasn't done in a while
00:22:27.260 on the coronavirus situation.
00:22:29.180 And it was hilarious to see how his critics
00:22:31.940 treated him doing everything that they wanted him to do.
00:22:36.100 So what they wanted the president to do
00:22:38.900 was to say it's bad
00:22:41.040 and it looks like it might get worse.
00:22:43.560 So he said it.
00:22:44.600 He said it exactly in those terms.
00:22:48.440 And they wanted him to be pro-face mask,
00:22:52.500 and he was.
00:22:53.220 So he unambiguously said,
00:22:55.580 use face masks if you can't socially distance.
00:22:58.680 So, and then he didn't speculate too much
00:23:03.060 on medical stuff,
00:23:04.140 which is where he gets in trouble.
00:23:05.760 So on some level, you'd have to say
00:23:07.820 it was kind of perfect.
00:23:10.640 It was kind of perfect.
00:23:12.020 The public, and mostly his critics,
00:23:14.920 but also I think a lot of Republicans,
00:23:17.520 were saying the same thing.
00:23:19.800 That, hey, you need to fix your messaging on masks.
00:23:23.360 You need to fix your messaging
00:23:24.740 on the seriousness of the situation
00:23:27.920 because you're being accused
00:23:29.240 of not taking it seriously.
00:23:31.020 You have to be more leaderly,
00:23:33.220 so we need to see your face talking about it.
00:23:35.780 So he did everything that he was asked of him.
00:23:39.120 He was leaderly,
00:23:40.260 meaning he showed up in front of the public,
00:23:42.280 said what he was going to do, etc.
00:23:44.060 And how was he treated by his critics?
00:23:47.280 Did they say, thank goodness,
00:23:49.120 this is exactly what we wanted.
00:23:51.160 We're on track now.
00:23:52.340 No, they said it took too long.
00:23:55.820 It should have been done sooner,
00:23:57.300 which is the generic standard complaint
00:24:00.380 about everything.
00:24:01.760 There's nothing you can do that's right.
00:24:04.600 It couldn't have been done sooner.
00:24:06.600 So they always have that to go to.
00:24:09.480 But now the big complaint
00:24:11.860 that's on CNN,
00:24:14.460 because they've run out of their basic complaints,
00:24:17.240 so now they have to get a little more creative
00:24:19.040 about what the complaint is,
00:24:20.540 because it's easy to criticize him
00:24:22.440 for not wearing a mask.
00:24:24.200 Like, it's simple.
00:24:25.700 You've got a photograph.
00:24:27.860 The public thinks about it.
00:24:29.600 They're wearing masks.
00:24:30.680 I mean, that's an easy one.
00:24:32.100 He doesn't like masks,
00:24:33.800 or he won't wear a mask.
00:24:35.500 But if he starts getting that right,
00:24:37.700 and it appears that he's getting a handle on that,
00:24:41.360 they have to go to more exotic criticisms.
00:24:46.340 And here's the one that Stephen Collins is using on CNN.
00:24:52.200 And I always read his article for the laughs.
00:24:55.360 It's freaking hilarious
00:24:56.620 how he can turn something into nothing,
00:24:59.720 or nothing into something, I mean,
00:25:01.760 by just talking about the president with bad words.
00:25:06.120 He's really sort of a genius
00:25:07.900 at turning it into a negative.
00:25:10.720 Anyway, so he's retreated to the following complaint
00:25:15.580 about the president,
00:25:16.820 and I don't even understand it.
00:25:19.560 And it goes like this,
00:25:21.060 that the president is not being leaderly enough
00:25:25.240 in pushing for better testing,
00:25:28.380 and especially contact tracing,
00:25:30.580 because those are the things that other countries did
00:25:33.220 to get past the coronavirus,
00:25:36.020 or get on top of it.
00:25:37.480 And here's my question to you.
00:25:40.280 I don't really understand that.
00:25:42.900 Do you?
00:25:43.920 Because if our tests can't give us a result
00:25:47.660 for six days or whatever,
00:25:49.500 and they're terribly inaccurate,
00:25:51.800 and they're not widely available on demand
00:25:54.020 just because you want one,
00:25:56.200 I don't think we're capable of doing any of this stuff.
00:25:58.740 And would it matter if the president said,
00:26:01.020 try harder?
00:26:02.040 Is there somewhere in the country
00:26:03.700 that somebody should be trying harder
00:26:06.360 to invent a test that works quickly
00:26:09.000 or to do something?
00:26:12.720 I'd like to hear a little bit more
00:26:14.320 from the experts on this question
00:26:16.380 of whether that's even a thing.
00:26:20.920 My personal bias
00:26:22.220 is that you can't test your way out of it
00:26:25.220 in a big country like this.
00:26:27.440 If you were an island,
00:26:29.140 I think maybe you could.
00:26:30.320 So if you were an island
00:26:32.160 and you had a small problem,
00:26:34.120 I think maybe you could.
00:26:35.520 You could test and contact trace
00:26:37.920 your way out of it.
00:26:38.940 And even if the tests weren't perfect,
00:26:40.960 et cetera,
00:26:41.940 maybe that would be a big part
00:26:43.640 of the solution.
00:26:44.720 But if you have the United States
00:26:46.740 with thousands and thousands
00:26:48.640 of new cases,
00:26:50.120 unfortunately, where we are,
00:26:51.920 I just don't know that contact tracing
00:26:54.040 is even a thing
00:26:55.060 because I think it's just too big.
00:26:57.340 Am I wrong about that?
00:26:59.020 So I'm looking for some fact-checking
00:27:01.600 and if anybody has a link
00:27:03.400 to send me later on Twitter
00:27:04.600 to tell me if that's real
00:27:06.540 because I just don't know
00:27:08.160 if that criticism is hitting
00:27:10.060 the right scientific
00:27:11.900 and practical notes.
00:27:14.120 I mean, it would be great
00:27:14.820 if you could do it.
00:27:16.000 If you were magic
00:27:17.060 and you could just do it,
00:27:19.120 that'd be great.
00:27:19.980 I just don't know
00:27:20.720 if we have the capability
00:27:21.820 to make testing
00:27:23.120 and contact tracing actually work.
00:27:25.760 I don't believe...
00:27:26.660 I'm skeptical about that.
00:27:28.000 But I could be convinced.
00:27:32.100 The Associated Press
00:27:35.040 has announced,
00:27:36.580 and I guess they're announcing it again,
00:27:38.860 that they will, going forward,
00:27:40.300 they will capitalize the word black
00:27:42.260 when talking about black citizens
00:27:45.180 in this country,
00:27:46.180 I think in particular.
00:27:47.800 But they've decided
00:27:48.840 that the word white
00:27:50.140 will not receive the same treatment.
00:27:52.300 So if you're white,
00:27:53.800 you'll be a lowercase w.
00:27:55.820 If you're black,
00:27:57.740 you could be a capital B.
00:28:00.140 I'd like to be among the first,
00:28:02.640 I know I'm not the first,
00:28:04.600 to say this is blatantly racist
00:28:06.460 because it's blatantly racist.
00:28:09.280 But I'm going to extend that
00:28:10.560 a little bit to this.
00:28:11.780 The phrase white supremacist
00:28:15.420 is just the N-word
00:28:16.740 for white people.
00:28:18.360 And anybody who calls
00:28:19.420 a white person
00:28:20.340 a white supremacist,
00:28:22.820 unless that person
00:28:24.380 is labeling themselves,
00:28:25.860 I suppose if you were in a group
00:28:27.960 that called yourself
00:28:28.800 a white supremacist
00:28:29.840 and somebody said you were one,
00:28:31.780 that would be fair
00:28:32.480 because you would be
00:28:33.900 self-labeling in that case,
00:28:35.280 although I've never met
00:28:36.060 anybody who did that.
00:28:36.920 But if you're calling
00:28:39.820 just ordinary people
00:28:41.060 on Twitter
00:28:41.760 or ordinary politicians
00:28:43.640 or just ordinary white people
00:28:45.700 white supremacists,
00:28:47.000 I would say that is blatantly
00:28:48.480 and completely racist.
00:28:50.460 It is a way to minimize
00:28:52.120 white people.
00:28:53.740 It is a way to
00:28:54.720 lump them all together
00:28:56.100 in the most grotesquely racist
00:28:58.380 Hitlerian way
00:29:00.960 I could ever imagine.
00:29:02.520 So my personal approach
00:29:04.080 going forward
00:29:05.100 is that if anybody uses
00:29:06.460 the word white supremacist
00:29:07.980 in the N-word kind of a sense
00:29:11.300 as just an insult
00:29:12.800 to a white person,
00:29:13.980 then I will treat them
00:29:15.080 as a racist.
00:29:17.300 And I also think
00:29:18.740 that anybody who has used
00:29:20.820 the insult white supremacist
00:29:23.160 against a specific person,
00:29:25.800 and I'm going to give you
00:29:26.980 some exceptions in a minute,
00:29:28.480 but anybody who's made a tweet
00:29:30.320 calling somebody
00:29:31.560 a white supremacist,
00:29:32.820 I think they should
00:29:33.700 lose their job
00:29:34.520 because if you did a tweet
00:29:37.360 using the N-word,
00:29:39.360 you'd lose your job.
00:29:40.980 And you know,
00:29:41.820 I'm okay with that.
00:29:43.900 If somebody does
00:29:44.900 a social media tweet
00:29:46.620 and they use the N-word,
00:29:48.700 if your employer sees that,
00:29:52.360 they should fire you.
00:29:54.360 They should fire you
00:29:55.440 because you don't want
00:29:56.380 to hire anybody
00:29:56.980 who's using that kind of language,
00:29:58.880 even if they're doing it
00:29:59.840 on their own time.
00:30:00.580 I'd be perfectly okay
00:30:02.240 with firing somebody
00:30:03.040 for using the N-word
00:30:04.020 in public.
00:30:04.640 Absolutely.
00:30:05.920 No hesitation.
00:30:08.540 But I think we should
00:30:09.780 apply the same rule
00:30:10.960 to anybody who's used
00:30:12.080 the word white supremacist
00:30:13.780 against a specific person.
00:30:17.020 Now, here's going to be
00:30:18.060 my exception.
00:30:20.320 White supremacy.
00:30:22.540 White supremacy
00:30:23.860 or white supremacist
00:30:26.340 system
00:30:27.520 is still okay.
00:30:30.320 Still okay.
00:30:31.700 Because that's not racist.
00:30:33.620 If somebody says
00:30:35.380 our system,
00:30:36.260 the way it's organized,
00:30:37.800 is organized in a way
00:30:39.120 that the white people,
00:30:40.700 mostly who are the elites,
00:30:43.020 it keeps them
00:30:44.020 where they are,
00:30:45.520 I would say,
00:30:46.300 okay,
00:30:46.960 I wouldn't use those words
00:30:48.600 to describe it,
00:30:49.640 but if somebody wants
00:30:50.420 to say
00:30:50.880 that the system
00:30:52.220 that keeps
00:30:52.820 mostly white people
00:30:54.060 in power
00:30:54.620 is by definition
00:30:56.420 a system
00:30:57.180 of white supremacy,
00:30:59.080 I would say,
00:30:59.780 I can see that.
00:31:01.320 You know,
00:31:01.520 just as an objective
00:31:02.760 description
00:31:03.460 of the situation.
00:31:05.100 Now, that's different
00:31:05.860 from should,
00:31:07.000 how do you change it?
00:31:07.940 What do you do about it?
00:31:09.100 You know,
00:31:09.400 is it really a problem
00:31:10.440 or is it just the way
00:31:11.400 things turned out?
00:31:12.300 Those are all
00:31:12.720 different conversations.
00:31:14.660 But as a description
00:31:16.100 of the system,
00:31:17.160 I'd say,
00:31:17.680 yeah,
00:31:18.500 that just,
00:31:19.040 that feels objective,
00:31:20.220 true.
00:31:21.460 What do you do about it?
00:31:22.400 It's a different conversation,
00:31:23.400 like I said.
00:31:24.260 But if you're calling
00:31:24.960 a person
00:31:25.900 a white supremacist,
00:31:27.860 then that's just
00:31:28.800 the end word
00:31:29.420 for white people
00:31:30.140 and I think
00:31:30.660 you should be treated
00:31:31.260 the same.
00:31:32.700 That is my opinion.
00:31:34.860 Because as
00:31:36.220 Charles Barclay
00:31:38.240 quite wisely said,
00:31:40.400 you can't end
00:31:41.320 racism
00:31:41.880 with racism.
00:31:44.860 Right?
00:31:45.940 You can't end
00:31:46.720 racism
00:31:47.220 with hate
00:31:48.540 and more racism.
00:31:49.540 It doesn't work.
00:31:51.680 We either play
00:31:52.360 by the same rules
00:31:53.380 or we don't.
00:31:55.440 Now,
00:31:56.000 I've got a question
00:31:57.300 about Portland
00:31:58.160 that I don't
00:32:00.340 understand.
00:32:02.780 And I think
00:32:03.480 this has to do
00:32:04.220 with the fact
00:32:04.740 that people
00:32:06.660 are not like me.
00:32:08.620 You know,
00:32:09.140 sometimes you assume
00:32:10.080 that,
00:32:10.600 in fact,
00:32:11.480 I was thinking
00:32:12.280 about writing
00:32:12.760 a book
00:32:13.180 in which the book
00:32:14.820 would be
00:32:15.080 the biggest illusions
00:32:16.220 of life.
00:32:17.760 So I would just
00:32:18.460 put together
00:32:19.320 the things
00:32:19.840 that hold people
00:32:20.620 back the most,
00:32:21.720 you know,
00:32:21.880 the biggest illusions.
00:32:23.900 And,
00:32:24.380 you know,
00:32:24.660 one of the things
00:32:25.380 on the list
00:32:25.860 would be
00:32:26.300 be yourself.
00:32:28.920 That's like
00:32:29.540 the worst advice
00:32:30.420 but I've read
00:32:30.920 about that before.
00:32:33.280 And I just forgot
00:32:34.280 what my point was being.
00:32:35.340 Oh,
00:32:35.540 Portland.
00:32:36.240 So the biggest illusion
00:32:37.160 in life,
00:32:38.440 I think,
00:32:39.240 is that people
00:32:39.860 think the way you do.
00:32:41.820 There's probably
00:32:42.900 no single illusion
00:32:44.840 about your reality
00:32:46.880 that is more universal
00:32:48.840 and more damaging.
00:32:51.300 The imagination
00:32:52.320 that other people
00:32:53.240 think the way you do.
00:32:54.340 They just don't.
00:32:55.660 People are all
00:32:56.400 over the board.
00:32:57.240 And as soon as you say
00:32:57.980 they think the way you do,
00:32:59.540 then you become
00:33:00.300 that mind reader.
00:33:01.860 Then you say,
00:33:02.440 ah,
00:33:02.640 I know what you're thinking.
00:33:04.080 Because if I were
00:33:04.780 in that situation,
00:33:05.480 that's what I'd be thinking.
00:33:06.620 That never works.
00:33:07.980 People are just
00:33:08.920 too different.
00:33:10.160 I wouldn't say
00:33:10.520 it never works.
00:33:11.260 You could get lucky.
00:33:13.960 But,
00:33:14.540 here's why
00:33:15.220 I don't understand
00:33:16.260 Portland.
00:33:18.240 And,
00:33:18.800 it's because
00:33:19.540 if I were,
00:33:20.880 let's say,
00:33:21.640 let's say I were
00:33:23.060 a retail business owner
00:33:24.540 in downtown Portland.
00:33:26.160 Where I lived
00:33:27.100 in Portland
00:33:27.580 and my life
00:33:28.860 had been
00:33:29.340 largely destroyed
00:33:30.520 by Antifa
00:33:32.480 and Black Lives Matter.
00:33:34.300 While the mayor
00:33:35.260 just watched,
00:33:37.220 what would you do
00:33:38.300 if you were
00:33:39.460 not with Antifa
00:33:40.480 and you were,
00:33:41.480 let's say,
00:33:42.500 sympathetic
00:33:42.940 to Black Lives Matter
00:33:44.260 but not to the protests
00:33:46.640 and you watched
00:33:48.100 your mayor
00:33:48.700 allow your entire life
00:33:51.000 to be destroyed
00:33:52.020 and do nothing,
00:33:54.760 what would you do
00:33:55.940 as just a regular citizen?
00:33:57.780 See,
00:33:57.980 this is where I go wrong
00:33:59.120 because I know
00:34:00.300 what I would do.
00:34:01.880 I'm not recommending this,
00:34:03.920 okay?
00:34:04.680 Just let me say this up front.
00:34:06.180 I don't recommend this.
00:34:07.900 This is a very bad idea
00:34:09.380 what I'm going to say next.
00:34:10.800 You should not do this.
00:34:12.320 I'm just telling you
00:34:13.000 what I would do.
00:34:14.420 Every single night
00:34:15.520 I would get my friends together.
00:34:17.140 We would dress
00:34:17.820 all in black.
00:34:19.160 We would pretend
00:34:19.940 to be Antifa
00:34:20.820 and we would put graffiti
00:34:22.600 on the mayor's house
00:34:23.700 every night
00:34:24.660 until there was
00:34:25.920 nothing left
00:34:26.540 of the mayor's house
00:34:27.480 but graffiti.
00:34:30.340 Now,
00:34:30.820 would you get arrested
00:34:31.740 for that?
00:34:32.380 Apparently not.
00:34:33.680 Apparently not.
00:34:34.660 Nobody gets arrested
00:34:35.420 for graffiti, right?
00:34:37.580 In fact,
00:34:38.480 there were some Antifa
00:34:39.980 who marched
00:34:40.840 on the mayor of Oakland
00:34:42.160 I think last night
00:34:43.280 and they graffitied
00:34:45.020 the mayor of Oakland's house.
00:34:47.620 Did any of them
00:34:48.420 get arrested?
00:34:50.080 No.
00:34:51.560 No.
00:34:52.080 Nobody got arrested.
00:34:54.120 And if they did,
00:34:55.380 suppose it was New York
00:34:56.560 for example,
00:34:57.480 if they did get arrested
00:34:58.500 they would just be released.
00:35:00.780 No bail.
00:35:02.160 That's it.
00:35:03.400 So,
00:35:03.860 the thing I don't understand
00:35:05.000 about Portland
00:35:05.660 is the regular citizens,
00:35:08.280 are they in favor
00:35:09.300 of the protesters?
00:35:10.520 Because they act
00:35:11.360 like they are.
00:35:12.560 They act like
00:35:13.480 they're in favor
00:35:14.120 of the protesters.
00:35:16.760 If this were
00:35:17.660 my retail business
00:35:18.780 that got destroyed
00:35:19.640 by the mayor,
00:35:20.840 I would be in
00:35:21.460 the mayor's driveway
00:35:22.400 every night
00:35:23.240 dressed in black
00:35:24.800 with a mask
00:35:26.140 pretending to be Antifa
00:35:28.180 and I would just
00:35:29.400 tag her house
00:35:30.280 every day.
00:35:31.980 I'd be back there
00:35:32.980 every night
00:35:33.440 and she would be
00:35:34.060 very frightened.
00:35:35.900 She would be
00:35:36.400 very frightened.
00:35:37.280 But I wouldn't do
00:35:37.740 anything dangerous
00:35:38.520 because I'm not violent.
00:35:40.820 But I would make sure
00:35:41.560 that her house
00:35:42.440 represented
00:35:43.780 something very much
00:35:45.440 like the business
00:35:46.600 that had just been destroyed.
00:35:47.760 I would make sure
00:35:49.760 that the protesters
00:35:51.540 had an impact
00:35:53.300 on the mayor
00:35:53.980 that was equivalent
00:35:54.800 to what was happening
00:35:55.700 to the businesses
00:35:57.020 downtown.
00:35:58.280 So,
00:35:58.840 that's the part
00:35:59.320 I don't understand
00:36:00.100 is why are the
00:36:01.140 regular citizens
00:36:02.100 of Portland
00:36:02.740 not doing the most
00:36:04.500 obvious things
00:36:05.300 that you would do?
00:36:06.520 That's just the most
00:36:07.260 obvious thing.
00:36:08.580 It doesn't take me
00:36:09.520 to figure that out,
00:36:10.480 right?
00:36:11.340 So,
00:36:12.220 this is giving me
00:36:14.140 pause
00:36:14.740 about whether
00:36:16.000 Trump
00:36:16.820 and the federal
00:36:17.740 the federal agents
00:36:20.140 let's say
00:36:20.540 the Department
00:36:21.240 of Homeland Security
00:36:22.080 whether they should
00:36:23.380 get involved or not
00:36:24.620 because it doesn't
00:36:25.960 seem to be
00:36:26.560 that the regular
00:36:27.480 citizens of Portland
00:36:28.800 care.
00:36:29.780 They don't seem
00:36:30.740 to care
00:36:31.220 because caring
00:36:33.160 looks different.
00:36:34.720 They would be
00:36:35.140 having their own
00:36:35.840 protests.
00:36:37.220 They would be
00:36:38.060 organized.
00:36:39.120 You'd see them
00:36:39.620 on TV.
00:36:41.040 It would look
00:36:41.560 very different,
00:36:42.240 wouldn't it?
00:36:42.960 As far as I can tell
00:36:44.180 the citizens
00:36:44.800 of Portland
00:36:45.600 just don't even
00:36:46.600 care.
00:36:47.760 So,
00:36:48.220 why should I
00:36:48.620 care?
00:36:49.760 Why should I
00:36:50.660 ask a federal
00:36:51.780 agent to go
00:36:52.900 into harm's
00:36:53.640 way to fix
00:36:55.140 something that
00:36:55.760 nobody's asking
00:36:56.460 to be fixed?
00:36:57.460 The mayor is
00:36:58.240 not asking for
00:36:59.040 it.
00:36:59.600 The citizens
00:37:00.280 of Portland
00:37:00.800 apparently are
00:37:01.600 not asking for
00:37:02.340 it.
00:37:03.260 And Antifa
00:37:03.860 is not asking
00:37:04.520 for it.
00:37:06.240 So,
00:37:06.760 I just consider
00:37:07.700 that confusing.
00:37:08.640 I don't know
00:37:08.980 what the deal
00:37:09.420 is there.
00:37:12.060 Here's my
00:37:12.880 prediction.
00:37:14.180 I think this
00:37:15.620 is safe.
00:37:16.980 The polls
00:37:17.620 will narrow
00:37:18.620 before November.
00:37:21.880 Is that a
00:37:22.620 safe prediction?
00:37:23.760 That the
00:37:24.460 difference between
00:37:25.520 Biden and
00:37:26.180 Trump is going
00:37:27.040 to start
00:37:27.360 shrinking and
00:37:28.760 by November
00:37:29.800 it's going to
00:37:30.420 be maybe no
00:37:31.760 difference.
00:37:33.220 It's going to
00:37:33.500 be very close
00:37:34.120 to even by
00:37:34.680 November.
00:37:35.180 I think that's
00:37:35.600 a fair,
00:37:36.500 at least in
00:37:37.160 some polls,
00:37:37.700 it won't be
00:37:38.020 every poll.
00:37:38.440 but I
00:37:40.160 think some
00:37:40.600 polls are
00:37:41.040 going to
00:37:41.200 have them
00:37:41.520 dead even
00:37:41.920 by November
00:37:42.540 and other
00:37:44.200 polls will
00:37:44.840 have narrowed.
00:37:45.660 So they
00:37:45.900 all will
00:37:46.260 narrow.
00:37:46.960 Now,
00:37:47.220 why will
00:37:47.540 they
00:37:47.700 narrow?
00:37:48.940 What do
00:37:49.280 you think
00:37:49.480 would be
00:37:49.700 the reason
00:37:50.080 for that?
00:37:51.120 Well,
00:37:51.860 some of the
00:37:52.460 polls I
00:37:52.960 believe are
00:37:53.480 illegitimate,
00:37:54.560 meaning they're
00:37:55.040 not trying to
00:37:55.800 be accurate
00:37:56.360 and they're
00:37:56.860 trying to
00:37:57.420 show Biden
00:37:58.580 ahead.
00:37:58.980 I think
00:37:59.760 they have
00:38:00.300 to,
00:38:00.900 let's say,
00:38:03.920 modify their
00:38:04.740 approach so
00:38:06.260 that when it
00:38:06.780 gets to
00:38:07.140 Election Day
00:38:07.760 they can say,
00:38:08.500 well, by
00:38:09.400 Election Day
00:38:09.900 we were
00:38:10.200 pretty accurate,
00:38:11.000 we just
00:38:11.280 barely missed
00:38:11.900 it.
00:38:13.180 So they
00:38:13.520 have to,
00:38:14.400 in order to
00:38:15.100 cover up
00:38:16.060 their malfeasance,
00:38:17.420 they have to
00:38:18.360 get closer by
00:38:19.200 Election Day.
00:38:19.840 I think that's
00:38:20.340 what happened
00:38:20.740 last year,
00:38:21.340 actually.
00:38:23.380 Or that's
00:38:24.200 what happened
00:38:24.460 in the last
00:38:24.820 election,
00:38:25.260 actually.
00:38:26.000 Now,
00:38:26.300 some of the
00:38:27.120 pollsters,
00:38:27.880 such as
00:38:28.380 Rasmussen,
00:38:29.560 will get
00:38:29.980 there sooner
00:38:30.640 because I
00:38:31.820 think they're
00:38:32.180 actually doing
00:38:32.800 real polling.
00:38:34.820 So they'll
00:38:36.100 probably be
00:38:36.560 there sooner
00:38:37.140 because I
00:38:39.100 think the
00:38:39.440 public is
00:38:40.060 going to
00:38:40.320 have this
00:38:41.120 conversation
00:38:41.960 with themselves.
00:38:43.220 It looks
00:38:43.520 like this.
00:38:44.960 By November,
00:38:46.500 here are the
00:38:47.020 things that
00:38:47.560 you can
00:38:48.000 reasonably
00:38:49.240 safely predict
00:38:50.680 based on
00:38:52.000 current trends.
00:38:53.400 Now,
00:38:53.600 there'll be
00:38:53.940 still way
00:38:54.680 more surprises,
00:38:56.220 right?
00:38:56.660 So probably
00:38:57.700 the election
00:38:58.260 will be
00:38:58.700 determined by
00:38:59.540 whatever
00:39:00.040 surprises
00:39:00.720 happened
00:39:01.140 between now
00:39:01.740 and then.
00:39:02.880 So the
00:39:04.400 straight-line
00:39:04.840 prediction is
00:39:05.400 always dangerous.
00:39:06.380 But if you
00:39:06.980 straight-lined
00:39:07.500 it,
00:39:07.900 if you did,
00:39:09.260 you would
00:39:09.600 see that the
00:39:10.320 economy will
00:39:11.280 probably be
00:39:12.280 surging back.
00:39:13.780 It won't be
00:39:14.400 back to where
00:39:15.040 it was,
00:39:15.560 but probably
00:39:16.600 in November
00:39:17.140 it's going to
00:39:18.020 be stronger
00:39:18.560 than it is
00:39:19.480 today.
00:39:20.280 So that's
00:39:20.900 good for
00:39:21.260 Trump.
00:39:21.540 I think
00:39:23.400 vaccines will
00:39:25.480 be either
00:39:26.300 already
00:39:27.120 rolling out
00:39:28.520 or almost
00:39:29.780 rolling out
00:39:30.540 so that our
00:39:31.520 optimism about
00:39:32.540 this will be
00:39:33.160 higher than it
00:39:33.880 had ever been
00:39:34.540 because science
00:39:35.320 will eventually
00:39:37.080 have some
00:39:38.180 solutions by
00:39:38.940 November.
00:39:39.980 So COVID is
00:39:40.780 going to look
00:39:41.160 less scary
00:39:41.980 because it
00:39:42.980 looks like we'll
00:39:43.520 be on the
00:39:44.040 verge of having
00:39:45.100 some vaccines.
00:39:45.900 even if they
00:39:46.920 don't work,
00:39:47.580 it's going to
00:39:47.960 look like a
00:39:49.700 solution is
00:39:50.260 coming.
00:39:51.620 And then the
00:39:52.120 other trend
00:39:52.680 that I think
00:39:53.260 we can predict
00:39:54.020 is that Biden
00:39:54.760 will continue
00:39:55.580 to decline.
00:39:57.040 He will have
00:39:57.520 more gaffes,
00:39:58.820 he will avoid
00:39:59.820 more press
00:40:00.760 conferences,
00:40:01.680 he will have
00:40:02.900 begged out
00:40:03.400 of any kind
00:40:04.540 of a debate.
00:40:08.020 Now what's
00:40:08.560 interesting is
00:40:09.260 that even
00:40:09.740 the supporters
00:40:11.020 of Biden
00:40:11.720 have finally
00:40:13.120 come to accept
00:40:14.160 that he's not
00:40:15.360 all there.
00:40:16.720 Have you seen
00:40:17.280 that?
00:40:17.860 I feel like
00:40:18.640 there's some
00:40:19.020 kind of
00:40:19.380 capitulation
00:40:20.280 on the left
00:40:21.340 in which they
00:40:22.360 used to be
00:40:23.040 saying,
00:40:23.420 no,
00:40:23.720 Biden's fine.
00:40:25.160 There's nothing
00:40:26.000 wrong with
00:40:26.660 Biden.
00:40:27.500 That was just
00:40:28.120 a few months
00:40:28.660 ago.
00:40:29.720 Now how do
00:40:30.440 they talk?
00:40:31.860 How do
00:40:32.320 Biden supporters
00:40:33.260 talk about
00:40:34.240 their own
00:40:34.740 candidate?
00:40:36.160 Now they say
00:40:36.800 things like,
00:40:37.800 well,
00:40:38.320 you know,
00:40:38.720 the vice
00:40:39.160 presidential
00:40:39.740 choice will
00:40:40.580 be especially
00:40:41.260 important this
00:40:42.140 time.
00:40:43.260 Right?
00:40:43.860 And they say
00:40:44.700 things like,
00:40:45.240 well,
00:40:46.260 maybe he's
00:40:46.940 lost a
00:40:47.620 step.
00:40:49.260 Right?
00:40:50.160 He's not
00:40:50.820 as nimble
00:40:51.540 as he
00:40:51.960 used to
00:40:52.440 be.
00:40:52.920 So even
00:40:53.400 the left
00:40:53.980 has now
00:40:55.180 at least
00:40:55.720 fully
00:40:56.460 embraced
00:40:56.980 there's
00:40:58.600 something
00:40:58.840 happening
00:40:59.260 here with
00:40:59.700 Biden.
00:41:00.000 Biden.
00:41:01.940 But because
00:41:03.140 the election
00:41:03.780 is still
00:41:04.280 relatively far
00:41:05.480 away in
00:41:06.740 our minds,
00:41:08.160 not in our
00:41:08.860 calendars,
00:41:09.580 but in our
00:41:09.920 minds it's
00:41:10.380 still a little
00:41:10.780 bit far
00:41:11.160 away,
00:41:12.020 the Democrats
00:41:12.920 still have
00:41:13.700 the option
00:41:15.080 of thinking
00:41:16.720 Trump or
00:41:17.680 no Trump.
00:41:19.120 So the
00:41:19.760 frame that
00:41:20.780 most of the
00:41:21.680 people have
00:41:22.380 is not
00:41:23.140 Biden versus
00:41:23.860 Trump,
00:41:24.540 although that's
00:41:25.220 growing in
00:41:26.360 importance.
00:41:26.980 it's still
00:41:28.040 sort of
00:41:28.460 Trump or
00:41:28.960 no Trump.
00:41:30.280 And Biden
00:41:30.740 is just the
00:41:31.540 stand-in for
00:41:33.300 no Trump.
00:41:34.380 People are
00:41:35.100 not really
00:41:35.640 saying,
00:41:36.260 give me
00:41:36.480 Biden.
00:41:37.340 It's still
00:41:38.160 Trump or
00:41:39.140 no Trump.
00:41:40.140 In November,
00:41:42.000 it's going to
00:41:42.460 be Biden
00:41:43.000 or Trump.
00:41:43.640 because your
00:41:45.580 mind will
00:41:46.140 just continue
00:41:47.200 to get
00:41:47.600 focused and
00:41:48.340 more focused
00:41:49.000 and more
00:41:49.420 focused.
00:41:50.420 And on
00:41:50.760 Election Day,
00:41:51.960 it will just
00:41:53.340 be Biden
00:41:53.860 versus Trump.
00:41:55.420 And Biden
00:41:55.960 won't even
00:41:58.160 be all
00:41:58.560 there.
00:41:59.780 So I
00:42:00.660 think there
00:42:01.200 will be a
00:42:01.700 number of
00:42:02.120 people who
00:42:02.620 say,
00:42:03.080 you know,
00:42:03.800 if we had
00:42:05.240 any kind
00:42:06.200 of a
00:42:06.600 coherent
00:42:07.040 candidate,
00:42:08.700 I would
00:42:09.560 vote for
00:42:09.980 that Democrat.
00:42:11.500 But we
00:42:12.180 didn't get
00:42:12.600 that.
00:42:13.480 We just
00:42:13.900 didn't.
00:42:14.980 So maybe
00:42:16.000 I'll take a
00:42:16.460 chance on
00:42:16.840 the other
00:42:17.120 guy.
00:42:18.180 So one of
00:42:18.800 the things
00:42:19.040 you're going
00:42:19.280 to see is
00:42:19.580 a lot of
00:42:19.880 anecdotes.
00:42:20.600 You're seeing
00:42:20.960 them already
00:42:21.520 about there
00:42:23.440 was that
00:42:23.940 person who
00:42:24.780 was a
00:42:25.080 never-Trumper
00:42:25.680 who decided
00:42:26.400 to vote for
00:42:26.980 Trump.
00:42:27.840 There was
00:42:28.200 that Democrat
00:42:28.880 who had been
00:42:29.860 voting Democrat
00:42:30.580 for 20
00:42:31.860 elections in
00:42:32.540 a row,
00:42:32.940 but this
00:42:33.660 time my
00:42:34.600 neighbor says
00:42:35.300 he's voting
00:42:36.160 for Trump.
00:42:37.320 But you
00:42:37.680 know the
00:42:38.020 same anecdotes
00:42:38.720 are happening
00:42:39.160 in the other
00:42:39.640 direction,
00:42:40.140 right?
00:42:41.100 The left
00:42:42.040 is telling
00:42:42.460 all their
00:42:42.920 anecdotes.
00:42:43.860 Yes,
00:42:44.200 there are
00:42:44.320 all these
00:42:44.680 people,
00:42:45.200 they voted
00:42:45.780 Trump,
00:42:46.560 but now
00:42:46.900 they realize
00:42:47.520 it was a
00:42:47.940 big mistake
00:42:48.540 and they're
00:42:48.900 voting for
00:42:49.320 Biden this
00:42:49.900 time.
00:42:50.520 So you
00:42:50.960 should ignore
00:42:51.620 all of
00:42:53.100 those.
00:42:54.180 All of
00:42:54.820 those
00:42:55.060 anecdotes
00:42:55.740 have no
00:42:56.740 useful
00:42:57.480 purpose.
00:42:59.480 First of
00:43:00.000 all,
00:43:00.340 most of
00:43:00.700 them will
00:43:00.980 be untrue.
00:43:02.700 And second
00:43:03.060 of all,
00:43:03.800 it's happening
00:43:04.280 in both
00:43:04.660 directions,
00:43:05.380 but nobody
00:43:05.840 can count
00:43:06.440 it.
00:43:06.660 nobody's
00:43:07.740 actually got
00:43:08.620 any kind
00:43:09.040 of an
00:43:09.240 accurate
00:43:09.640 poll to
00:43:10.780 know if
00:43:11.320 there are
00:43:11.500 more people
00:43:12.000 crossing this
00:43:12.720 way or
00:43:13.060 crossing that
00:43:13.680 way.
00:43:14.180 So you
00:43:14.720 should ignore
00:43:15.220 all of
00:43:15.700 those stories.
00:43:16.600 They have
00:43:16.820 no meaning
00:43:17.320 whatsoever.
00:43:21.300 Yeah,
00:43:21.840 both sides
00:43:22.300 do that
00:43:22.680 all the
00:43:22.960 time.
00:43:24.140 All
00:43:24.260 right.
00:43:28.160 Orange
00:43:28.720 man versus
00:43:30.580 hologram.
00:43:33.060 So here's
00:43:33.960 a little
00:43:34.300 extra
00:43:35.200 mystery.
00:43:38.440 So we
00:43:39.180 were talking
00:43:39.600 about Kamala
00:43:40.400 Harris and
00:43:41.240 she appeared
00:43:41.880 talking about,
00:43:43.460 I guess it was
00:43:43.880 about John
00:43:44.320 Lewis's death
00:43:45.040 recently and
00:43:46.220 it looked like,
00:43:46.940 I said,
00:43:47.840 that it looked
00:43:48.200 like she had
00:43:48.940 plastic surgery
00:43:50.460 of some sort.
00:43:51.760 And then I
00:43:52.160 saw, I think
00:43:53.280 I saw her
00:43:54.000 appearing after
00:43:55.460 that, as in
00:43:57.040 yesterday, and
00:43:58.380 she didn't look
00:43:58.940 like the same
00:43:59.500 person.
00:44:00.700 In other
00:44:01.000 words, she
00:44:01.380 didn't look
00:44:01.800 like the
00:44:02.140 person who
00:44:02.680 had the
00:44:03.200 surgery.
00:44:05.200 She just
00:44:05.960 looked different.
00:44:06.700 And I
00:44:06.860 don't know if
00:44:07.260 I saw an
00:44:08.240 old interview
00:44:08.940 or a new
00:44:09.460 one.
00:44:10.120 Can somebody
00:44:10.800 confirm whether
00:44:11.980 Kamala Harris
00:44:12.980 has been on
00:44:14.500 a televised
00:44:15.320 interview since
00:44:17.120 the one we
00:44:17.760 saw that her
00:44:18.920 face had some
00:44:19.640 changes?
00:44:20.980 Now, if her
00:44:21.600 face was
00:44:22.400 actually just a
00:44:23.260 cosmetic surgery
00:44:24.140 situation, which
00:44:25.000 it looks like
00:44:25.600 by November
00:44:26.860 it's going to
00:44:27.240 look terrific.
00:44:28.400 In fact, in a
00:44:29.180 few weeks it'll
00:44:29.760 look terrific.
00:44:31.180 So she may
00:44:33.320 just look amazing
00:44:34.120 in a few weeks.
00:44:36.400 Somebody says
00:44:37.060 they didn't do
00:44:37.580 the neck.
00:44:38.140 That's what I
00:44:38.580 was going to
00:44:38.960 say.
00:44:39.820 Because the
00:44:41.100 current video I
00:44:44.740 saw, I thought
00:44:45.400 it was current,
00:44:46.140 but I think
00:44:46.480 maybe I'm wrong
00:44:47.100 about that.
00:44:47.640 didn't look
00:44:50.880 like there was
00:44:51.240 any surgery
00:44:51.740 on the neck.
00:44:54.440 Somebody says
00:44:55.200 a chemical
00:44:55.920 peel.
00:44:57.700 I don't know
00:44:58.580 that that would
00:44:59.180 cause the
00:45:01.080 structure of the
00:45:02.060 face to look
00:45:02.700 different.
00:45:03.920 So I don't
00:45:04.720 think it was a
00:45:05.320 chemical peel.
00:45:08.780 Oh yeah, we're
00:45:09.480 still talking about
00:45:10.260 whether Biden
00:45:10.940 wants to
00:45:12.160 defund the
00:45:12.860 police or
00:45:13.460 simply take
00:45:14.140 their money
00:45:14.580 and move it
00:45:15.400 somewhere else.
00:45:15.980 Totally different.
00:45:17.680 Totally different.
00:45:19.100 Oh no, it's not
00:45:20.100 defunding.
00:45:21.360 It's just taking
00:45:22.160 the money and
00:45:22.900 putting it
00:45:24.200 somewhere else.
00:45:28.720 Alright, that's
00:45:29.660 all I got for
00:45:30.120 you today.
00:45:31.020 And I will
00:45:31.400 talk to you
00:45:32.000 tomorrow if I
00:45:33.380 don't get
00:45:33.700 canceled today.