Real Coffee with Scott Adams - Episode 1066 Scott Adams： I Travel to the Future and Back to Tell You Who Will Win in November

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams. Best part of your day.

00:00:21.360 Yes, it is. And in a moment I'll be traveling to the future. I haven't tried this before. It's a little bit dangerous, but I'll be moving to 2021 and then I'll quickly come back to the present and tell you what I saw.

00:00:40.240 If I don't make it, well, I guess I'll see you at my funeral in 2021. But, but before that, what happens before that? I think you know. I think you know.

00:00:56.160 It's a simultaneous sip and all you need is a cup or a mug or a glass, a tank or a chalice or a cider, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind.

00:01:05.440 Fill it with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the dopamine hit of the day, the thing that makes everything better.

00:01:15.960 It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now.

00:01:19.280 Ah, I don't know if you can feel it yet, but there is a temporal shift being formed.

00:01:31.720 If you don't, if you don't mind, I'm going to, I'm going to do it now. I'm going to go to the future.

00:01:36.960 This, this, this won't be easy. So, ah, the technology is not completely tried. And so, um, well, we'll, we'll see what we can do.

00:01:53.840 I'll put on the safety glasses because I don't, I don't know what's going to happen. Honestly, this hasn't been tested.

00:02:00.420 So I, I'm only going to do one year because who knows what happens if I do more than one year, but I'm going to try to do one year.

00:02:10.400 And if I never see you again, uh, I'll miss you. And well, I just don't know what to say. I love all of you.

00:02:20.560 Uh, I'm going to try to go to the future now and get you some intelligence about what's happening, but hold on.

00:02:27.600 I'm hitting the switch.

00:02:30.420 Hold on. Hold on.

00:02:32.400 Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Ah! Oh! Whoa! Whoa! Whoa! Whoa!

00:02:50.360 That was intense.

00:02:52.400 Whew! I, you won't believe what I saw. Oh my God. Oh my God. Oh my God.

00:02:58.940 Now, before we get going, I know what some of you are thinking.

00:03:04.020 You're thinking, I don't think he went to the future.

00:03:07.460 Is that what you think?

00:03:09.140 Are some of you thinking, I don't think that was real.

00:03:12.920 I don't think he went to the future.

00:03:14.280 Well, I anticipated that.

00:03:16.240 So obviously I brought something with me from the future.

00:03:21.300 You don't have one of these, do you?

00:03:23.420 Let's see if you can find one of these in your store.

00:03:26.640 No. 1.00

00:03:27.700 That's 2021, bitch, right there. 1.00

00:03:30.780 Yeah, this came from the future, and that's how you know I was in the future. 0.99

00:03:37.160 So here's what we found out.

00:03:42.020 Portland didn't work out.

00:03:45.000 We had high hopes for Portland, but it didn't go exactly in the way you'd hoped.

00:03:52.200 Because I know the optimists were thinking, well, maybe it calms down a little bit.

00:03:58.920 The protests stop.

00:04:00.400 Pretty soon it'll be a gleaming city in the Northwest.

00:04:04.140 It's something we can all be proud of.

00:04:07.980 But it didn't go that way.

00:04:09.720 I'm sorry to tell you.

00:04:11.520 Portland actually was renamed.

00:04:15.020 The value of the property actually declined so much that it was purchased by, and I hate to say this, but have you ever heard of the Port-A-Potty Company?

00:04:27.080 They make Port-A-Potties? 1.00

00:04:30.220 They purchased Portland and renamed it.

00:04:33.620 So now it's Port-A-Potty Land.

00:04:35.420 So it's just a giant outdoor bathroom for Antifa.

00:04:41.200 So that's not as good as you'd hoped.

00:04:46.480 I know what you're asking.

00:04:47.980 You're wondering who's the president, right?

00:04:51.120 For those of you just joining, I just did come back from the future, 2021, where I brought this calendar back, so you would know I really was there.

00:05:00.000 And you're probably wondering who's president, right?

00:05:05.820 That's what you're wondering?

00:05:07.460 All right.

00:05:08.240 Well, that didn't go as well as we hoped either.

00:05:12.060 I know a lot of you thought, oh, I hope President Trump gets reelected.

00:05:17.280 Didn't go that way.

00:05:19.360 Sorry.

00:05:20.660 Was it Kanye?

00:05:22.880 No.

00:05:24.100 Was it Joe Biden?

00:05:26.120 Sort of.

00:05:27.400 Sort of.

00:05:28.060 You know, by Election Day, he had continued to decline, so he was no longer allowed to use pencils or anything that had a sharp point on it.

00:05:38.620 But that didn't matter because he had a strong vice president.

00:05:42.340 And to everybody's surprise, a lot of people thought he would pick Kamala Harris.

00:05:47.300 You thought that, too.

00:05:48.380 I had even predicted that.

00:05:50.460 I had predicted he was going to pick Kamala Harris as his vice president choice. 0.70

00:05:55.000 It didn't go that way.

00:05:56.100 It turns out he just went with the deep fake Kamala Harris.

00:06:01.280 So there is a real Kamala Harris, but she had some cosmetic surgery. 1.00

00:06:06.500 It didn't work out.

00:06:07.480 So in the end, the Democratic Party decided to just go with the deep fake.

00:06:12.140 So the country is being led by essentially a digital reproduction of Kamala Harris, what she used to look like.

00:06:20.980 And I think it's powered by AI, but I'm not sure, because a lot of our regular politicians couldn't pass the Turing test either.

00:06:33.900 So, I don't know.

00:06:36.400 It's comparable.

00:06:37.980 But let's get to the other news.

00:06:39.460 There was, as I remember it, back from 2020.

00:06:43.980 There were some other things going on.

00:06:45.960 There was a big earthquake in Alaska.

00:06:49.380 I don't know if you heard about it in your local time.

00:06:51.840 But there may or may not be a giant tsunami coming toward Alaska, which is maybe the scariest thing I've ever heard in my life, if you've seen the line of cars that are trying to get out of there.

00:07:04.360 So we'll be watching that with great anticipation.

00:07:07.720 But, Ron, that is my advice for the citizens who are on the coast of Alaska.

00:07:17.100 Ron.

00:07:18.460 And one more reason for me not to move to Alaska.

00:07:21.840 I didn't need a lot more reasons, but that sort of solved it for me.

00:07:29.040 Did you see that Kanye continues to be the most interesting person on the planet?

00:07:34.760 You can't take that away from him, can you?

00:07:38.680 Does Kanye even have the ability to be uninteresting?

00:07:42.800 He can't do it.

00:07:44.360 He has that in common with President Trump.

00:07:47.540 And I think on some level they recognize that in each other.

00:07:51.340 A complete inability to be uninteresting.

00:07:55.340 He just can't do it.

00:07:56.300 He doesn't know how to be uninteresting.

00:07:58.940 So I guess he was tweeting about his divorce and implicating his wife for having potentially an affair with Meek Mills.

00:08:07.440 But maybe not.

00:08:08.900 Maybe that's not what he meant.

00:08:10.440 We don't know.

00:08:11.860 But there's something interesting going on there.

00:08:14.080 Even Chappelle went to Wyoming and hung out with Kanye for a while.

00:08:19.420 And I thought, I don't know how any of this could get more interesting.

00:08:24.000 It just couldn't be.

00:08:25.160 You've got everything.

00:08:26.060 If you had to say to yourself, all right, Scott, try to put together the most interesting story that you can.

00:08:35.920 And you can pick from any domains.

00:08:38.120 You can just put them together.

00:08:39.920 Just mash them up.

00:08:41.320 What's the most interesting story?

00:08:43.120 I'd be like, well, I don't know.

00:08:45.260 Presidential election.

00:08:46.760 That's got to be in there.

00:08:48.100 Okay.

00:08:48.400 How about something with a famous artist, Kanye?

00:08:55.000 Okay.

00:08:56.720 We'd love to throw the Kardashians in there.

00:08:59.860 Okay.

00:09:00.420 Throw the Kardashians in there.

00:09:03.140 Can we make it salacious?

00:09:05.460 Can it be something with maybe an indication of possibly some sexual something?

00:09:10.560 Okay.

00:09:11.200 Throw that in there. 0.98

00:09:11.920 Can we have a feud?

00:09:14.460 Maybe a rapper feud?

00:09:15.900 Really famous ones.

00:09:17.240 Okay.

00:09:17.760 We've got that.

00:09:18.740 Can we have a new album come out?

00:09:20.600 Can we throw some religion in there?

00:09:23.280 Can we have children and abortion? 1.00

00:09:26.100 Can we bring it all in there?

00:09:28.660 Can we get racism?

00:09:32.120 Let's put it all in there.

00:09:34.360 And Kanye managed to put it all in there at the same time that he's announcing a new album.

00:09:39.580 And I'm just going to go out on a limb and say that that album will sell quite well.

00:09:46.220 I think it'll sell quite well.

00:09:49.180 I do not think that you need to worry about Kanye siphoning off a lot of votes in November.

00:09:55.640 It doesn't look like it's heading in that direction.

00:09:58.560 So, and he even teased that maybe 2024 was a better time for him to run.

00:10:05.600 We'll see.

00:10:06.860 We'll see.

00:10:07.500 I've been telling you for a while that no matter what happens in 2020, it's kind of genius for him to put his name out there.

00:10:14.600 So he's always in the conversation and will be for the next four years, no matter what happens in November.

00:10:22.160 I feel as though I've been watching the news and watching social media.

00:10:26.260 And I feel as though the country needs a new cabinet position.

00:10:31.620 It should be a cabinet position that only has one function.

00:10:36.020 When there's a big news story, political story, that cabinet will decide which side is more like Hitler. 0.68

00:10:43.980 Because if you've noticed, pretty much all of our political conversations end up with, well, you're Hitler. 0.91

00:10:51.800 Well, no, I think you're Hitler.

00:10:53.820 No, you're Hitler. 0.79

00:10:55.280 No, no, you're Hitler. 0.71

00:10:58.140 And sometimes there'll be a clever comeback to that, and it goes like this.

00:11:03.700 No, no, you're Hitler. 0.71

00:11:05.340 And sometimes there'll even be another clever comeback after that that goes like this.

00:11:10.960 No, no, you're Hitler. 0.71

00:11:12.620 So we need some kind of a cabinet-level position just to sort out who's Hitler, because I can't tell. 0.79

00:11:21.840 You know, I'm looking at Portland, for example, and I'm seeing Antifa, and they look like Hitler to me. 0.83

00:11:28.680 But they think that the federal officers who are doing some law enforcement up there, they think they look like Hitler.

00:11:37.320 How am I supposed to know who's Hitler?

00:11:39.300 Hitler, somebody needs to solve this for me. 0.71

00:11:43.500 Tell me who's Hitler so I know who to hate. 0.96

00:11:47.380 Here's some potentially good news.

00:11:50.680 There are two big technical developments in face masks.

00:11:57.480 I don't know if it's good that we're talking about technical developments in face masks.

00:12:02.260 I suppose that's sort of like saying the airliner went down, but somebody's pet survived.

00:12:10.300 So it's sort of, you know, it's too bad we're talking about face masks at all.

00:12:14.400 But a Quebec company called I3 Biomedical, I think, said they have some kind of a coating they can put in a face mask that deactivates 99% of the virus.

00:12:32.640 So that's pretty cool.

00:12:35.080 Who knows how quickly that could be ramped up or if it's as good as they say.

00:12:39.540 But at least people are actively looking into how do you make your face masks really, really good.

00:12:45.960 At the same time, MIT has a prototype of a silicon mask, sort of a permanent mask that you could easily disinfect.

00:12:57.760 And apparently that's going to be a whole level above other face masks, both in how much it covers and how well it filters.

00:13:05.500 So those are two developments just today that, you know, who knows if those specific things will ever reach market.

00:13:13.960 But it does show you that people are doing a lot of stuff in that space, which is good.

00:13:17.880 Did you all get a chance to listen to that Yanni and Laurel situation?

00:13:25.340 You know what I'm talking about?

00:13:26.780 When things sound, you can listen to a tape and one person will hear one word clearly, but another person will listen to the same thing and hear a completely different thing, but clearly.

00:13:37.100 And we've seen this audio illusion a number of times, most famously with Yanni and Laurel.

00:13:43.820 But yesterday there was just a great one where, I think it was yesterday, when Kayleigh McEnany was doing her press conference.

00:13:52.280 And one of the reporters either said, this is what the reporter claimed, you won't engage.

00:13:59.960 Oh, you won't engage. 1.00

00:14:01.240 But if you listen to it on the tape, and you've been primed to hear it this other way, it sounds exactly like you're a lying bitch. 1.00

00:14:12.520 Now, those two don't even sound the same, do they? 0.99

00:14:16.200 You won't engage. 0.98

00:14:18.860 And you're a lying B word. 0.92

00:14:22.800 Those don't even sound similar. 0.92

00:14:24.760 But if you've listened to it, you can hear them both.

00:14:29.160 You can hear them both.

00:14:31.700 Can you believe it?

00:14:33.680 So you have to experience it to know that that's even a thing.

00:14:37.680 And when I heard it, I could hear both.

00:14:41.360 But once I heard the lying B part, I could hear that more often.

00:14:47.560 But I'm sure that the actual sentence was, you won't engage.

00:14:52.040 And I think it was.

00:14:52.960 But having experienced that, having experienced hearing the same words, clearly two different ways.

00:15:03.660 What do you think about Roger Stone and what he is alleged to have said on the phone to somebody when he was talking to the disc jockey who believed he had used the word degro?

00:15:17.940 Now, if I understand the rules, can somebody help me with this?

00:15:24.040 I believe the rules are this.

00:15:25.440 There's no situation in which I could use the N word, you know, the real N word. 0.88

00:15:33.380 There's no situation in which I could use that full word, even if I were talking about someone else using it.

00:15:41.300 I think we all agree with that.

00:15:42.600 There's just no, there's no situation in which I can personally use that word.

00:15:47.360 And I agree with that, because it's such an ugly word, I don't have any problem with that.

00:15:51.500 I do think that's a word that needs to be treated special, right?

00:15:55.920 That, okay, we all agree that one's just way over the line.

00:15:59.800 Let's take it out of our, take it out of our vocabulary.

00:16:02.900 But my understanding is that if I were to use the word negro referring to somebody, that would be, you know, racist and inappropriate.

00:16:12.640 But I can talk about the word if somebody else used it.

00:16:17.900 I think that's still okay, right?

00:16:20.680 Right?

00:16:21.500 It was still okay?

00:16:22.820 Don't get canceled for that?

00:16:24.760 You gotta, you gotta look for all the, all the traps.

00:16:28.160 You gotta know where all the, the trap doors are.

00:16:31.120 So, you know, I listened to Roger Stone say what sounded exactly like the word negro.

00:16:39.300 But after you hear the Kayleigh McEnany situation, where you could hear two completely different sentences based on whichever one you'd been primed to hear.

00:16:51.260 Is it possible that Roger Stone didn't say the thing you can clearly hear?

00:16:58.860 Clearly.

00:16:59.300 I mean, there's no doubt when you listen to it.

00:17:03.340 Okay, I heard that very clearly. 1.00

00:17:06.640 But I also heard lying bitch. 1.00

00:17:10.900 Completely clearly. 1.00

00:17:12.980 And it didn't happen.

00:17:14.680 Didn't happen.

00:17:15.940 It was not part of reality.

00:17:17.920 But I experienced it just like it was right in front of me.

00:17:21.020 So, could Roger Stone actually be telling the truth this one time?

00:17:29.300 I don't think so.

00:17:30.940 You know, if I had to bet on it.

00:17:32.660 If you said, Scott, you're going to put your own money on this.

00:17:36.180 And you have to bet.

00:17:37.700 Was the word you heard completely clearly on the Roger Stone thing exactly what you heard?

00:17:43.920 Or is it one of these Yanni Laurel situations?

00:17:46.740 Well, I would still bet that he used the actual word.

00:17:49.160 But I'm just introducing the thought that when you see a story like that, like the Roger Stone story,

00:17:57.920 and it's based on you're hearing it with your own ears,

00:18:02.160 how much weight should you put on that if you heard it clearly with your own ears?

00:18:09.360 How much certainty should you have?

00:18:11.960 Well, it's no longer 100%.

00:18:13.940 It used to be.

00:18:15.580 It used to be.

00:18:17.260 You'd be pretty much 100% sure.

00:18:19.920 With the Roger Stone thing, I would say, well, okay, I'm 90% sure.

00:18:24.880 But you can't really ever be 100% sure, can you?

00:18:27.840 We're just not in that world anymore.

00:18:31.260 All right.

00:18:32.520 So, let's use an update on Tucker and the New York Times.

00:18:36.220 So, Tucker had claimed that the New York Times was preparing an article about him

00:18:42.120 in which his new home location would be revealed.

00:18:47.820 Now, there was not an allegation that the New York Times would give his street address,

00:18:56.040 but rather the allegation was that they would describe it with enough clarity

00:19:00.920 that Internet sleuths could figure out where he lived.

00:19:05.060 You know, they could narrow it down, which would end up being about the same thing.

00:19:09.540 So, Tucker complained about this publicly.

00:19:12.080 Much of the public was on his side, saying this is way over the line,

00:19:16.440 if that's what's going to happen.

00:19:18.160 And the New York Times came out and said,

00:19:21.240 no, we told him we were never going to reveal where he lived.

00:19:27.080 But, of course, that was probably a lie, wasn't it?

00:19:30.840 Probably they were going to give enough hints in a lifestyle story. 0.78

00:19:36.080 That's what they said.

00:19:36.940 It's going to be a lifestyle story.

00:19:38.980 Oh, no, it's not even going to be negative.

00:19:40.940 It's more about your lifestyle.

00:19:43.140 And, of course, if we're talking about your lifestyle,

00:19:45.980 well, you've got to describe the situation in which you live.

00:19:49.620 It's perfectly reasonable because, you know,

00:19:52.200 the New York Times likes to do lifestyle stories

00:19:55.480 about their conservative nemeses, nemeses, I guess.

00:20:03.900 So the New York Times has zero credibility on their claim

00:20:08.060 that they weren't planning to do anything of the sort

00:20:10.620 because it looks like they were planning to do exactly that.

00:20:15.540 But maybe Tucker scared them off and we won't see that.

00:20:18.980 So we'll wait for details on that.

00:20:21.060 Now I'm wondering if there will even be an article.

00:20:23.880 Because if they're smart, they'll kill the whole article.

00:20:27.300 You don't want anybody looking at that article and saying,

00:20:30.260 oh, I think I can figure out where he lives from this.

00:20:34.740 Because, as I said before,

00:20:38.300 I'm not going to try to tell you what might happen

00:20:41.360 to the New York Times,

00:20:43.300 but it would not be a free punch,

00:20:46.220 if you know what I mean.

00:20:47.960 The blowback to the New York Times,

00:20:50.780 I think, would be something they've never seen before.

00:20:53.960 And they've had a lot of blowback

00:20:55.440 and a lot of things, I would think, over the years.

00:20:57.700 But if they actually targeted Tucker's family,

00:21:02.080 the level of blowback I don't think would be precedented.

00:21:07.360 I think that would be just such a nuclear option

00:21:10.980 that I don't know if the New York Times

00:21:14.080 would actually survive as a company if they did that.

00:21:17.360 But we will see.

00:21:18.900 So the United States has mysteriously,

00:21:23.040 but maybe not mysteriously,

00:21:24.660 abruptly ordered a Chinese consulate to close in,

00:21:28.860 where was it?

00:21:30.040 Houston?

00:21:33.180 Somewhere in Texas.

00:21:37.320 Anyway, so they closed it,

00:21:39.700 and the vague accusation is that they were spying

00:21:43.900 and collecting information

00:21:45.060 and stealing intellectual property,

00:21:46.820 all the things we know that they do.

00:21:48.900 And China has complained.

00:21:52.420 Now, the importance of this story is direction.

00:21:57.280 The importance of the story is direction.

00:22:00.600 It's not where things are with China,

00:22:02.200 but where they're heading.

00:22:03.640 And it looks to me like decoupling

00:22:06.100 is unstoppable at this point.

00:22:09.480 And we may even stop,

00:22:12.560 I don't know, it's possible that we'll end political,

00:22:15.700 any kind of diplomatic situation with China.

00:22:19.960 It could go that far.

00:22:23.240 So Trump did his press conference

00:22:26.120 that he hasn't done in a while

00:22:27.260 on the coronavirus situation.

00:22:29.180 And it was hilarious to see how his critics

00:22:31.940 treated him doing everything that they wanted him to do.

00:22:36.100 So what they wanted the president to do

00:22:38.900 was to say it's bad

00:22:41.040 and it looks like it might get worse.

00:22:43.560 So he said it.

00:22:44.600 He said it exactly in those terms.

00:22:48.440 And they wanted him to be pro-face mask,

00:22:52.500 and he was.

00:22:53.220 So he unambiguously said,

00:22:55.580 use face masks if you can't socially distance.

00:22:58.680 So, and then he didn't speculate too much

00:23:03.060 on medical stuff,

00:23:04.140 which is where he gets in trouble.

00:23:05.760 So on some level, you'd have to say

00:23:07.820 it was kind of perfect.

00:23:10.640 It was kind of perfect.

00:23:12.020 The public, and mostly his critics,

00:23:14.920 but also I think a lot of Republicans,

00:23:17.520 were saying the same thing.

00:23:19.800 That, hey, you need to fix your messaging on masks.

00:23:23.360 You need to fix your messaging

00:23:24.740 on the seriousness of the situation

00:23:27.920 because you're being accused

00:23:29.240 of not taking it seriously.

00:23:31.020 You have to be more leaderly,

00:23:33.220 so we need to see your face talking about it.

00:23:35.780 So he did everything that he was asked of him.

00:23:39.120 He was leaderly,

00:23:40.260 meaning he showed up in front of the public,

00:23:42.280 said what he was going to do, etc.

00:23:44.060 And how was he treated by his critics?

00:23:47.280 Did they say, thank goodness,

00:23:49.120 this is exactly what we wanted.

00:23:51.160 We're on track now.

00:23:52.340 No, they said it took too long.

00:23:55.820 It should have been done sooner,

00:23:57.300 which is the generic standard complaint

00:24:00.380 about everything.

00:24:01.760 There's nothing you can do that's right.

00:24:04.600 It couldn't have been done sooner.

00:24:06.600 So they always have that to go to.

00:24:09.480 But now the big complaint

00:24:11.860 that's on CNN,

00:24:14.460 because they've run out of their basic complaints,

00:24:17.240 so now they have to get a little more creative

00:24:19.040 about what the complaint is,

00:24:20.540 because it's easy to criticize him

00:24:22.440 for not wearing a mask.

00:24:24.200 Like, it's simple.

00:24:25.700 You've got a photograph.

00:24:27.860 The public thinks about it.

00:24:29.600 They're wearing masks.

00:24:30.680 I mean, that's an easy one.

00:24:32.100 He doesn't like masks,

00:24:33.800 or he won't wear a mask.

00:24:35.500 But if he starts getting that right,

00:24:37.700 and it appears that he's getting a handle on that,

00:24:41.360 they have to go to more exotic criticisms.

00:24:46.340 And here's the one that Stephen Collins is using on CNN.

00:24:52.200 And I always read his article for the laughs.

00:24:55.360 It's freaking hilarious

00:24:56.620 how he can turn something into nothing,

00:24:59.720 or nothing into something, I mean,

00:25:01.760 by just talking about the president with bad words.

00:25:06.120 He's really sort of a genius

00:25:07.900 at turning it into a negative.

00:25:10.720 Anyway, so he's retreated to the following complaint

00:25:15.580 about the president,

00:25:16.820 and I don't even understand it.

00:25:19.560 And it goes like this,

00:25:21.060 that the president is not being leaderly enough

00:25:25.240 in pushing for better testing,

00:25:28.380 and especially contact tracing,

00:25:30.580 because those are the things that other countries did

00:25:33.220 to get past the coronavirus,

00:25:36.020 or get on top of it.

00:25:37.480 And here's my question to you.

00:25:40.280 I don't really understand that.

00:25:42.900 Do you?

00:25:43.920 Because if our tests can't give us a result

00:25:47.660 for six days or whatever,

00:25:49.500 and they're terribly inaccurate,

00:25:51.800 and they're not widely available on demand

00:25:54.020 just because you want one,

00:25:56.200 I don't think we're capable of doing any of this stuff.

00:25:58.740 And would it matter if the president said,

00:26:01.020 try harder?

00:26:02.040 Is there somewhere in the country

00:26:03.700 that somebody should be trying harder

00:26:06.360 to invent a test that works quickly

00:26:09.000 or to do something?

00:26:12.720 I'd like to hear a little bit more

00:26:14.320 from the experts on this question

00:26:16.380 of whether that's even a thing.

00:26:20.920 My personal bias

00:26:22.220 is that you can't test your way out of it

00:26:25.220 in a big country like this.

00:26:27.440 If you were an island,

00:26:29.140 I think maybe you could.

00:26:30.320 So if you were an island

00:26:32.160 and you had a small problem,

00:26:34.120 I think maybe you could.

00:26:35.520 You could test and contact trace

00:26:37.920 your way out of it.

00:26:38.940 And even if the tests weren't perfect,

00:26:40.960 et cetera,

00:26:41.940 maybe that would be a big part

00:26:43.640 of the solution.

00:26:44.720 But if you have the United States

00:26:46.740 with thousands and thousands

00:26:48.640 of new cases,

00:26:50.120 unfortunately, where we are,

00:26:51.920 I just don't know that contact tracing

00:26:54.040 is even a thing

00:26:55.060 because I think it's just too big.

00:26:57.340 Am I wrong about that?

00:26:59.020 So I'm looking for some fact-checking

00:27:01.600 and if anybody has a link

00:27:03.400 to send me later on Twitter

00:27:04.600 to tell me if that's real

00:27:06.540 because I just don't know

00:27:08.160 if that criticism is hitting

00:27:10.060 the right scientific

00:27:11.900 and practical notes.

00:27:14.120 I mean, it would be great

00:27:14.820 if you could do it.

00:27:16.000 If you were magic

00:27:17.060 and you could just do it,

00:27:19.120 that'd be great.

00:27:19.980 I just don't know

00:27:20.720 if we have the capability

00:27:21.820 to make testing

00:27:23.120 and contact tracing actually work.

00:27:25.760 I don't believe...

00:27:26.660 I'm skeptical about that.

00:27:28.000 But I could be convinced.

00:27:32.100 The Associated Press

00:27:35.040 has announced,

00:27:36.580 and I guess they're announcing it again,

00:27:38.860 that they will, going forward,

00:27:40.300 they will capitalize the word black 0.99

00:27:42.260 when talking about black citizens 0.94

00:27:45.180 in this country,

00:27:46.180 I think in particular.

00:27:47.800 But they've decided

00:27:48.840 that the word white

00:27:50.140 will not receive the same treatment.

00:27:52.300 So if you're white,

00:27:53.800 you'll be a lowercase w. 0.88

00:27:55.820 If you're black, 1.00

00:27:57.740 you could be a capital B. 1.00

00:28:00.140 I'd like to be among the first,

00:28:02.640 I know I'm not the first,

00:28:04.600 to say this is blatantly racist

00:28:06.460 because it's blatantly racist.

00:28:09.280 But I'm going to extend that

00:28:10.560 a little bit to this.

00:28:11.780 The phrase white supremacist

00:28:15.420 is just the N-word 0.98

00:28:16.740 for white people. 0.98

00:28:18.360 And anybody who calls

00:28:19.420 a white person

00:28:20.340 a white supremacist, 0.88

00:28:22.820 unless that person

00:28:24.380 is labeling themselves,

00:28:25.860 I suppose if you were in a group

00:28:27.960 that called yourself

00:28:28.800 a white supremacist

00:28:29.840 and somebody said you were one, 0.76

00:28:31.780 that would be fair

00:28:32.480 because you would be

00:28:33.900 self-labeling in that case,

00:28:35.280 although I've never met

00:28:36.060 anybody who did that.

00:28:36.920 But if you're calling

00:28:39.820 just ordinary people

00:28:41.060 on Twitter

00:28:41.760 or ordinary politicians

00:28:43.640 or just ordinary white people 0.91

00:28:45.700 white supremacists, 0.70

00:28:47.000 I would say that is blatantly 0.99

00:28:48.480 and completely racist.

00:28:50.460 It is a way to minimize 0.95

00:28:52.120 white people. 0.94

00:28:53.740 It is a way to 0.92

00:28:54.720 lump them all together

00:28:56.100 in the most grotesquely racist 0.94

00:28:58.380 Hitlerian way 0.95

00:29:00.960 I could ever imagine.

00:29:02.520 So my personal approach

00:29:04.080 going forward

00:29:05.100 is that if anybody uses

00:29:06.460 the word white supremacist

00:29:07.980 in the N-word kind of a sense

00:29:11.300 as just an insult

00:29:12.800 to a white person, 0.97

00:29:13.980 then I will treat them 0.98

00:29:15.080 as a racist.

00:29:17.300 And I also think

00:29:18.740 that anybody who has used

00:29:20.820 the insult white supremacist

00:29:23.160 against a specific person,

00:29:25.800 and I'm going to give you

00:29:26.980 some exceptions in a minute,

00:29:28.480 but anybody who's made a tweet

00:29:30.320 calling somebody

00:29:31.560 a white supremacist,

00:29:32.820 I think they should 0.99

00:29:33.700 lose their job

00:29:34.520 because if you did a tweet

00:29:37.360 using the N-word,

00:29:39.360 you'd lose your job.

00:29:40.980 And you know,

00:29:41.820 I'm okay with that.

00:29:43.900 If somebody does

00:29:44.900 a social media tweet

00:29:46.620 and they use the N-word,

00:29:48.700 if your employer sees that,

00:29:52.360 they should fire you.

00:29:54.360 They should fire you

00:29:55.440 because you don't want

00:29:56.380 to hire anybody

00:29:56.980 who's using that kind of language,

00:29:58.880 even if they're doing it

00:29:59.840 on their own time.

00:30:00.580 I'd be perfectly okay

00:30:02.240 with firing somebody

00:30:03.040 for using the N-word

00:30:04.020 in public.

00:30:04.640 Absolutely.

00:30:05.920 No hesitation.

00:30:08.540 But I think we should

00:30:09.780 apply the same rule

00:30:10.960 to anybody who's used

00:30:12.080 the word white supremacist

00:30:13.780 against a specific person.

00:30:17.020 Now, here's going to be

00:30:18.060 my exception.

00:30:20.320 White supremacy. 0.96

00:30:22.540 White supremacy 0.99

00:30:23.860 or white supremacist 0.86

00:30:26.340 system

00:30:27.520 is still okay.

00:30:30.320 Still okay.

00:30:31.700 Because that's not racist.

00:30:33.620 If somebody says

00:30:35.380 our system,

00:30:36.260 the way it's organized,

00:30:37.800 is organized in a way

00:30:39.120 that the white people,

00:30:40.700 mostly who are the elites,

00:30:43.020 it keeps them

00:30:44.020 where they are,

00:30:45.520 I would say,

00:30:46.300 okay,

00:30:46.960 I wouldn't use those words

00:30:48.600 to describe it,

00:30:49.640 but if somebody wants

00:30:50.420 to say

00:30:50.880 that the system

00:30:52.220 that keeps

00:30:52.820 mostly white people

00:30:54.060 in power

00:30:54.620 is by definition

00:30:56.420 a system

00:30:57.180 of white supremacy,

00:30:59.080 I would say,

00:30:59.780 I can see that.

00:31:01.320 You know,

00:31:01.520 just as an objective

00:31:02.760 description

00:31:03.460 of the situation.

00:31:05.100 Now, that's different

00:31:05.860 from should,

00:31:07.000 how do you change it?

00:31:07.940 What do you do about it?

00:31:09.100 You know,

00:31:09.400 is it really a problem

00:31:10.440 or is it just the way

00:31:11.400 things turned out?

00:31:12.300 Those are all

00:31:12.720 different conversations.

00:31:14.660 But as a description

00:31:16.100 of the system,

00:31:17.160 I'd say,

00:31:17.680 yeah,

00:31:18.500 that just,

00:31:19.040 that feels objective,

00:31:20.220 true.

00:31:21.460 What do you do about it?

00:31:22.400 It's a different conversation,

00:31:23.400 like I said.

00:31:24.260 But if you're calling

00:31:24.960 a person

00:31:25.900 a white supremacist,

00:31:27.860 then that's just 0.93

00:31:28.800 the end word 0.77

00:31:29.420 for white people

00:31:30.140 and I think

00:31:30.660 you should be treated

00:31:31.260 the same.

00:31:32.700 That is my opinion.

00:31:34.860 Because as

00:31:36.220 Charles Barclay

00:31:38.240 quite wisely said,

00:31:40.400 you can't end

00:31:41.320 racism

00:31:41.880 with racism.

00:31:44.860 Right?

00:31:45.940 You can't end

00:31:46.720 racism

00:31:47.220 with hate

00:31:48.540 and more racism.

00:31:49.540 It doesn't work.

00:31:51.680 We either play

00:31:52.360 by the same rules

00:31:53.380 or we don't.

00:31:55.440 Now,

00:31:56.000 I've got a question

00:31:57.300 about Portland

00:31:58.160 that I don't

00:32:00.340 understand.

00:32:02.780 And I think

00:32:03.480 this has to do

00:32:04.220 with the fact

00:32:04.740 that people

00:32:06.660 are not like me.

00:32:08.620 You know,

00:32:09.140 sometimes you assume

00:32:10.080 that,

00:32:10.600 in fact,

00:32:11.480 I was thinking

00:32:12.280 about writing

00:32:12.760 a book

00:32:13.180 in which the book

00:32:14.820 would be

00:32:15.080 the biggest illusions

00:32:16.220 of life.

00:32:17.760 So I would just

00:32:18.460 put together

00:32:19.320 the things

00:32:19.840 that hold people

00:32:20.620 back the most,

00:32:21.720 you know,

00:32:21.880 the biggest illusions.

00:32:23.900 And,

00:32:24.380 you know,

00:32:24.660 one of the things

00:32:25.380 on the list

00:32:25.860 would be

00:32:26.300 be yourself.

00:32:28.920 That's like

00:32:29.540 the worst advice

00:32:30.420 but I've read

00:32:30.920 about that before.

00:32:33.280 And I just forgot

00:32:34.280 what my point was being.

00:32:35.340 Oh,

00:32:35.540 Portland.

00:32:36.240 So the biggest illusion

00:32:37.160 in life,

00:32:38.440 I think,

00:32:39.240 is that people

00:32:39.860 think the way you do.

00:32:41.820 There's probably

00:32:42.900 no single illusion

00:32:44.840 about your reality

00:32:46.880 that is more universal

00:32:48.840 and more damaging.

00:32:51.300 The imagination

00:32:52.320 that other people

00:32:53.240 think the way you do.

00:32:54.340 They just don't.

00:32:55.660 People are all

00:32:56.400 over the board.

00:32:57.240 And as soon as you say

00:32:57.980 they think the way you do,

00:32:59.540 then you become

00:33:00.300 that mind reader.

00:33:01.860 Then you say,

00:33:02.440 ah,

00:33:02.640 I know what you're thinking.

00:33:04.080 Because if I were

00:33:04.780 in that situation,

00:33:05.480 that's what I'd be thinking.

00:33:06.620 That never works.

00:33:07.980 People are just

00:33:08.920 too different.

00:33:10.160 I wouldn't say

00:33:10.520 it never works.

00:33:11.260 You could get lucky.

00:33:13.960 But,

00:33:14.540 here's why

00:33:15.220 I don't understand

00:33:16.260 Portland.

00:33:18.240 And,

00:33:18.800 it's because

00:33:19.540 if I were,

00:33:20.880 let's say,

00:33:21.640 let's say I were

00:33:23.060 a retail business owner

00:33:24.540 in downtown Portland.

00:33:26.160 Where I lived

00:33:27.100 in Portland

00:33:27.580 and my life

00:33:28.860 had been

00:33:29.340 largely destroyed

00:33:30.520 by Antifa

00:33:32.480 and Black Lives Matter.

00:33:34.300 While the mayor

00:33:35.260 just watched,

00:33:37.220 what would you do

00:33:38.300 if you were

00:33:39.460 not with Antifa

00:33:40.480 and you were,

00:33:41.480 let's say,

00:33:42.500 sympathetic

00:33:42.940 to Black Lives Matter

00:33:44.260 but not to the protests

00:33:46.640 and you watched

00:33:48.100 your mayor

00:33:48.700 allow your entire life

00:33:51.000 to be destroyed

00:33:52.020 and do nothing,

00:33:54.760 what would you do

00:33:55.940 as just a regular citizen?

00:33:57.780 See,

00:33:57.980 this is where I go wrong

00:33:59.120 because I know

00:34:00.300 what I would do.

00:34:01.880 I'm not recommending this,

00:34:03.920 okay?

00:34:04.680 Just let me say this up front.

00:34:06.180 I don't recommend this.

00:34:07.900 This is a very bad idea

00:34:09.380 what I'm going to say next.

00:34:10.800 You should not do this.

00:34:12.320 I'm just telling you

00:34:13.000 what I would do.

00:34:14.420 Every single night

00:34:15.520 I would get my friends together.

00:34:17.140 We would dress

00:34:17.820 all in black.

00:34:19.160 We would pretend

00:34:19.940 to be Antifa

00:34:20.820 and we would put graffiti

00:34:22.600 on the mayor's house

00:34:23.700 every night

00:34:24.660 until there was

00:34:25.920 nothing left

00:34:26.540 of the mayor's house

00:34:27.480 but graffiti.

00:34:30.340 Now,

00:34:30.820 would you get arrested

00:34:31.740 for that?

00:34:32.380 Apparently not.

00:34:33.680 Apparently not.

00:34:34.660 Nobody gets arrested

00:34:35.420 for graffiti, right?

00:34:37.580 In fact,

00:34:38.480 there were some Antifa

00:34:39.980 who marched

00:34:40.840 on the mayor of Oakland

00:34:42.160 I think last night

00:34:43.280 and they graffitied

00:34:45.020 the mayor of Oakland's house.

00:34:47.620 Did any of them

00:34:48.420 get arrested?

00:34:50.080 No.

00:34:51.560 No.

00:34:52.080 Nobody got arrested.

00:34:54.120 And if they did,

00:34:55.380 suppose it was New York

00:34:56.560 for example,

00:34:57.480 if they did get arrested

00:34:58.500 they would just be released.

00:35:00.780 No bail.

00:35:02.160 That's it.

00:35:03.400 So,

00:35:03.860 the thing I don't understand

00:35:05.000 about Portland

00:35:05.660 is the regular citizens,

00:35:08.280 are they in favor

00:35:09.300 of the protesters?

00:35:10.520 Because they act

00:35:11.360 like they are.

00:35:12.560 They act like

00:35:13.480 they're in favor

00:35:14.120 of the protesters.

00:35:16.760 If this were

00:35:17.660 my retail business

00:35:18.780 that got destroyed

00:35:19.640 by the mayor,

00:35:20.840 I would be in

00:35:21.460 the mayor's driveway

00:35:22.400 every night

00:35:23.240 dressed in black

00:35:24.800 with a mask

00:35:26.140 pretending to be Antifa

00:35:28.180 and I would just

00:35:29.400 tag her house 0.74

00:35:30.280 every day.

00:35:31.980 I'd be back there

00:35:32.980 every night

00:35:33.440 and she would be

00:35:34.060 very frightened.

00:35:35.900 She would be

00:35:36.400 very frightened.

00:35:37.280 But I wouldn't do

00:35:37.740 anything dangerous

00:35:38.520 because I'm not violent.

00:35:40.820 But I would make sure

00:35:41.560 that her house

00:35:42.440 represented

00:35:43.780 something very much

00:35:45.440 like the business

00:35:46.600 that had just been destroyed.

00:35:47.760 I would make sure

00:35:49.760 that the protesters

00:35:51.540 had an impact

00:35:53.300 on the mayor

00:35:53.980 that was equivalent

00:35:54.800 to what was happening

00:35:55.700 to the businesses

00:35:57.020 downtown.

00:35:58.280 So,

00:35:58.840 that's the part

00:35:59.320 I don't understand

00:36:00.100 is why are the

00:36:01.140 regular citizens

00:36:02.100 of Portland

00:36:02.740 not doing the most

00:36:04.500 obvious things

00:36:05.300 that you would do?

00:36:06.520 That's just the most

00:36:07.260 obvious thing.

00:36:08.580 It doesn't take me

00:36:09.520 to figure that out,

00:36:10.480 right?

00:36:11.340 So,

00:36:12.220 this is giving me

00:36:14.140 pause

00:36:14.740 about whether

00:36:16.000 Trump

00:36:16.820 and the federal

00:36:17.740 the federal agents

00:36:20.140 let's say

00:36:20.540 the Department

00:36:21.240 of Homeland Security

00:36:22.080 whether they should

00:36:23.380 get involved or not

00:36:24.620 because it doesn't

00:36:25.960 seem to be

00:36:26.560 that the regular

00:36:27.480 citizens of Portland

00:36:28.800 care.

00:36:29.780 They don't seem

00:36:30.740 to care

00:36:31.220 because caring

00:36:33.160 looks different.

00:36:34.720 They would be

00:36:35.140 having their own

00:36:35.840 protests.

00:36:37.220 They would be

00:36:38.060 organized.

00:36:39.120 You'd see them

00:36:39.620 on TV.

00:36:41.040 It would look

00:36:41.560 very different,

00:36:42.240 wouldn't it?

00:36:42.960 As far as I can tell

00:36:44.180 the citizens

00:36:44.800 of Portland

00:36:45.600 just don't even

00:36:46.600 care.

00:36:47.760 So,

00:36:48.220 why should I

00:36:48.620 care?

00:36:49.760 Why should I

00:36:50.660 ask a federal

00:36:51.780 agent to go

00:36:52.900 into harm's

00:36:53.640 way to fix

00:36:55.140 something that

00:36:55.760 nobody's asking

00:36:56.460 to be fixed?

00:36:57.460 The mayor is

00:36:58.240 not asking for

00:36:59.040 it.

00:36:59.600 The citizens

00:37:00.280 of Portland

00:37:00.800 apparently are

00:37:01.600 not asking for

00:37:02.340 it.

00:37:03.260 And Antifa

00:37:03.860 is not asking

00:37:04.520 for it.

00:37:06.240 So,

00:37:06.760 I just consider

00:37:07.700 that confusing.

00:37:08.640 I don't know

00:37:08.980 what the deal

00:37:09.420 is there.

00:37:12.060 Here's my

00:37:12.880 prediction.

00:37:14.180 I think this

00:37:15.620 is safe.

00:37:16.980 The polls

00:37:17.620 will narrow

00:37:18.620 before November.

00:37:21.880 Is that a

00:37:22.620 safe prediction?

00:37:23.760 That the

00:37:24.460 difference between

00:37:25.520 Biden and

00:37:26.180 Trump is going

00:37:27.040 to start

00:37:27.360 shrinking and

00:37:28.760 by November

00:37:29.800 it's going to

00:37:30.420 be maybe no

00:37:31.760 difference.

00:37:33.220 It's going to

00:37:33.500 be very close

00:37:34.120 to even by

00:37:34.680 November.

00:37:35.180 I think that's

00:37:35.600 a fair,

00:37:36.500 at least in

00:37:37.160 some polls,

00:37:37.700 it won't be

00:37:38.020 every poll.

00:37:38.440 but I

00:37:40.160 think some

00:37:40.600 polls are

00:37:41.040 going to

00:37:41.200 have them 1.00

00:37:41.520 dead even 0.99

00:37:41.920 by November

00:37:42.540 and other

00:37:44.200 polls will

00:37:44.840 have narrowed.

00:37:45.660 So they

00:37:45.900 all will

00:37:46.260 narrow.

00:37:46.960 Now,

00:37:47.220 why will

00:37:47.540 they

00:37:47.700 narrow?

00:37:48.940 What do

00:37:49.280 you think

00:37:49.480 would be

00:37:49.700 the reason

00:37:50.080 for that?

00:37:51.120 Well,

00:37:51.860 some of the

00:37:52.460 polls I

00:37:52.960 believe are

00:37:53.480 illegitimate,

00:37:54.560 meaning they're

00:37:55.040 not trying to

00:37:55.800 be accurate

00:37:56.360 and they're

00:37:56.860 trying to

00:37:57.420 show Biden

00:37:58.580 ahead.

00:37:58.980 I think

00:37:59.760 they have

00:38:00.300 to,

00:38:00.900 let's say,

00:38:03.920 modify their

00:38:04.740 approach so

00:38:06.260 that when it

00:38:06.780 gets to

00:38:07.140 Election Day

00:38:07.760 they can say,

00:38:08.500 well, by

00:38:09.400 Election Day

00:38:09.900 we were

00:38:10.200 pretty accurate,

00:38:11.000 we just

00:38:11.280 barely missed

00:38:11.900 it.

00:38:13.180 So they

00:38:13.520 have to,

00:38:14.400 in order to

00:38:15.100 cover up

00:38:16.060 their malfeasance,

00:38:17.420 they have to

00:38:18.360 get closer by

00:38:19.200 Election Day.

00:38:19.840 I think that's

00:38:20.340 what happened

00:38:20.740 last year,

00:38:21.340 actually.

00:38:23.380 Or that's

00:38:24.200 what happened

00:38:24.460 in the last

00:38:24.820 election,

00:38:25.260 actually.

00:38:26.000 Now,

00:38:26.300 some of the

00:38:27.120 pollsters,

00:38:27.880 such as

00:38:28.380 Rasmussen,

00:38:29.560 will get

00:38:29.980 there sooner

00:38:30.640 because I

00:38:31.820 think they're

00:38:32.180 actually doing

00:38:32.800 real polling.

00:38:34.820 So they'll

00:38:36.100 probably be

00:38:36.560 there sooner

00:38:37.140 because I

00:38:39.100 think the

00:38:39.440 public is

00:38:40.060 going to

00:38:40.320 have this

00:38:41.120 conversation

00:38:41.960 with themselves.

00:38:43.220 It looks

00:38:43.520 like this.

00:38:44.960 By November,

00:38:46.500 here are the

00:38:47.020 things that

00:38:47.560 you can

00:38:48.000 reasonably

00:38:49.240 safely predict

00:38:50.680 based on

00:38:52.000 current trends.

00:38:53.400 Now,

00:38:53.600 there'll be

00:38:53.940 still way

00:38:54.680 more surprises,

00:38:56.220 right?

00:38:56.660 So probably

00:38:57.700 the election

00:38:58.260 will be

00:38:58.700 determined by

00:38:59.540 whatever

00:39:00.040 surprises

00:39:00.720 happened

00:39:01.140 between now

00:39:01.740 and then.

00:39:02.880 So the

00:39:04.400 straight-line

00:39:04.840 prediction is

00:39:05.400 always dangerous.

00:39:06.380 But if you

00:39:06.980 straight-lined

00:39:07.500 it,

00:39:07.900 if you did,

00:39:09.260 you would

00:39:09.600 see that the

00:39:10.320 economy will

00:39:11.280 probably be

00:39:12.280 surging back.

00:39:13.780 It won't be

00:39:14.400 back to where

00:39:15.040 it was,

00:39:15.560 but probably

00:39:16.600 in November

00:39:17.140 it's going to

00:39:18.020 be stronger

00:39:18.560 than it is

00:39:19.480 today.

00:39:20.280 So that's

00:39:20.900 good for

00:39:21.260 Trump.

00:39:21.540 I think

00:39:23.400 vaccines will

00:39:25.480 be either

00:39:26.300 already

00:39:27.120 rolling out

00:39:28.520 or almost

00:39:29.780 rolling out

00:39:30.540 so that our

00:39:31.520 optimism about

00:39:32.540 this will be

00:39:33.160 higher than it

00:39:33.880 had ever been

00:39:34.540 because science

00:39:35.320 will eventually

00:39:37.080 have some

00:39:38.180 solutions by

00:39:38.940 November.

00:39:39.980 So COVID is

00:39:40.780 going to look

00:39:41.160 less scary

00:39:41.980 because it

00:39:42.980 looks like we'll

00:39:43.520 be on the

00:39:44.040 verge of having

00:39:45.100 some vaccines.

00:39:45.900 even if they

00:39:46.920 don't work,

00:39:47.580 it's going to

00:39:47.960 look like a

00:39:49.700 solution is

00:39:50.260 coming.

00:39:51.620 And then the

00:39:52.120 other trend

00:39:52.680 that I think

00:39:53.260 we can predict

00:39:54.020 is that Biden

00:39:54.760 will continue

00:39:55.580 to decline.

00:39:57.040 He will have

00:39:57.520 more gaffes,

00:39:58.820 he will avoid

00:39:59.820 more press

00:40:00.760 conferences,

00:40:01.680 he will have

00:40:02.900 begged out

00:40:03.400 of any kind

00:40:04.540 of a debate.

00:40:08.020 Now what's

00:40:08.560 interesting is

00:40:09.260 that even

00:40:09.740 the supporters

00:40:11.020 of Biden

00:40:11.720 have finally

00:40:13.120 come to accept

00:40:14.160 that he's not

00:40:15.360 all there.

00:40:16.720 Have you seen

00:40:17.280 that?

00:40:17.860 I feel like

00:40:18.640 there's some

00:40:19.020 kind of

00:40:19.380 capitulation

00:40:20.280 on the left

00:40:21.340 in which they

00:40:22.360 used to be

00:40:23.040 saying,

00:40:23.420 no,

00:40:23.720 Biden's fine.

00:40:25.160 There's nothing

00:40:26.000 wrong with

00:40:26.660 Biden.

00:40:27.500 That was just

00:40:28.120 a few months

00:40:28.660 ago.

00:40:29.720 Now how do

00:40:30.440 they talk?

00:40:31.860 How do

00:40:32.320 Biden supporters

00:40:33.260 talk about

00:40:34.240 their own

00:40:34.740 candidate?

00:40:36.160 Now they say

00:40:36.800 things like,

00:40:37.800 well,

00:40:38.320 you know,

00:40:38.720 the vice

00:40:39.160 presidential

00:40:39.740 choice will

00:40:40.580 be especially

00:40:41.260 important this

00:40:42.140 time.

00:40:43.260 Right?

00:40:43.860 And they say

00:40:44.700 things like,

00:40:45.240 well,

00:40:46.260 maybe he's

00:40:46.940 lost a

00:40:47.620 step.

00:40:49.260 Right?

00:40:50.160 He's not

00:40:50.820 as nimble

00:40:51.540 as he

00:40:51.960 used to

00:40:52.440 be.

00:40:52.920 So even

00:40:53.400 the left

00:40:53.980 has now

00:40:55.180 at least

00:40:55.720 fully

00:40:56.460 embraced

00:40:56.980 there's

00:40:58.600 something

00:40:58.840 happening

00:40:59.260 here with

00:40:59.700 Biden.

00:41:00.000 Biden.

00:41:01.940 But because

00:41:03.140 the election

00:41:03.780 is still

00:41:04.280 relatively far

00:41:05.480 away in

00:41:06.740 our minds,

00:41:08.160 not in our

00:41:08.860 calendars,

00:41:09.580 but in our

00:41:09.920 minds it's

00:41:10.380 still a little

00:41:10.780 bit far

00:41:11.160 away,

00:41:12.020 the Democrats

00:41:12.920 still have

00:41:13.700 the option

00:41:15.080 of thinking

00:41:16.720 Trump or

00:41:17.680 no Trump.

00:41:19.120 So the

00:41:19.760 frame that

00:41:20.780 most of the

00:41:21.680 people have

00:41:22.380 is not

00:41:23.140 Biden versus

00:41:23.860 Trump,

00:41:24.540 although that's

00:41:25.220 growing in

00:41:26.360 importance.

00:41:26.980 it's still

00:41:28.040 sort of

00:41:28.460 Trump or

00:41:28.960 no Trump.

00:41:30.280 And Biden

00:41:30.740 is just the

00:41:31.540 stand-in for

00:41:33.300 no Trump.

00:41:34.380 People are

00:41:35.100 not really

00:41:35.640 saying,

00:41:36.260 give me

00:41:36.480 Biden.

00:41:37.340 It's still

00:41:38.160 Trump or

00:41:39.140 no Trump.

00:41:40.140 In November,

00:41:42.000 it's going to

00:41:42.460 be Biden

00:41:43.000 or Trump.

00:41:43.640 because your

00:41:45.580 mind will

00:41:46.140 just continue

00:41:47.200 to get

00:41:47.600 focused and

00:41:48.340 more focused

00:41:49.000 and more

00:41:49.420 focused.

00:41:50.420 And on

00:41:50.760 Election Day,

00:41:51.960 it will just

00:41:53.340 be Biden

00:41:53.860 versus Trump.

00:41:55.420 And Biden

00:41:55.960 won't even

00:41:58.160 be all

00:41:58.560 there.

00:41:59.780 So I

00:42:00.660 think there

00:42:01.200 will be a

00:42:01.700 number of

00:42:02.120 people who

00:42:02.620 say,

00:42:03.080 you know,

00:42:03.800 if we had

00:42:05.240 any kind

00:42:06.200 of a

00:42:06.600 coherent

00:42:07.040 candidate,

00:42:08.700 I would

00:42:09.560 vote for

00:42:09.980 that Democrat.

00:42:11.500 But we

00:42:12.180 didn't get

00:42:12.600 that.

00:42:13.480 We just

00:42:13.900 didn't.

00:42:14.980 So maybe

00:42:16.000 I'll take a

00:42:16.460 chance on

00:42:16.840 the other

00:42:17.120 guy.

00:42:18.180 So one of

00:42:18.800 the things

00:42:19.040 you're going

00:42:19.280 to see is

00:42:19.580 a lot of

00:42:19.880 anecdotes.

00:42:20.600 You're seeing

00:42:20.960 them already

00:42:21.520 about there

00:42:23.440 was that

00:42:23.940 person who

00:42:24.780 was a

00:42:25.080 never-Trumper

00:42:25.680 who decided

00:42:26.400 to vote for

00:42:26.980 Trump.

00:42:27.840 There was

00:42:28.200 that Democrat

00:42:28.880 who had been

00:42:29.860 voting Democrat

00:42:30.580 for 20

00:42:31.860 elections in

00:42:32.540 a row,

00:42:32.940 but this

00:42:33.660 time my

00:42:34.600 neighbor says

00:42:35.300 he's voting

00:42:36.160 for Trump.

00:42:37.320 But you

00:42:37.680 know the

00:42:38.020 same anecdotes

00:42:38.720 are happening

00:42:39.160 in the other

00:42:39.640 direction,

00:42:40.140 right?

00:42:41.100 The left

00:42:42.040 is telling

00:42:42.460 all their

00:42:42.920 anecdotes.

00:42:43.860 Yes,

00:42:44.200 there are

00:42:44.320 all these

00:42:44.680 people,

00:42:45.200 they voted

00:42:45.780 Trump,

00:42:46.560 but now

00:42:46.900 they realize

00:42:47.520 it was a

00:42:47.940 big mistake

00:42:48.540 and they're

00:42:48.900 voting for

00:42:49.320 Biden this

00:42:49.900 time.

00:42:50.520 So you

00:42:50.960 should ignore

00:42:51.620 all of

00:42:53.100 those.

00:42:54.180 All of

00:42:54.820 those

00:42:55.060 anecdotes

00:42:55.740 have no

00:42:56.740 useful

00:42:57.480 purpose.

00:42:59.480 First of

00:43:00.000 all,

00:43:00.340 most of

00:43:00.700 them will

00:43:00.980 be untrue.

00:43:02.700 And second

00:43:03.060 of all,

00:43:03.800 it's happening

00:43:04.280 in both

00:43:04.660 directions,

00:43:05.380 but nobody

00:43:05.840 can count

00:43:06.440 it.

00:43:06.660 nobody's

00:43:07.740 actually got

00:43:08.620 any kind

00:43:09.040 of an

00:43:09.240 accurate

00:43:09.640 poll to

00:43:10.780 know if

00:43:11.320 there are

00:43:11.500 more people

00:43:12.000 crossing this

00:43:12.720 way or

00:43:13.060 crossing that

00:43:13.680 way.

00:43:14.180 So you

00:43:14.720 should ignore

00:43:15.220 all of

00:43:15.700 those stories.

00:43:16.600 They have

00:43:16.820 no meaning

00:43:17.320 whatsoever.

00:43:21.300 Yeah,

00:43:21.840 both sides

00:43:22.300 do that

00:43:22.680 all the

00:43:22.960 time.

00:43:24.140 All

00:43:24.260 right.

00:43:28.160 Orange

00:43:28.720 man versus

00:43:30.580 hologram.

00:43:33.060 So here's

00:43:33.960 a little

00:43:34.300 extra

00:43:35.200 mystery.

00:43:38.440 So we

00:43:39.180 were talking

00:43:39.600 about Kamala

00:43:40.400 Harris and

00:43:41.240 she appeared

00:43:41.880 talking about,

00:43:43.460 I guess it was

00:43:43.880 about John

00:43:44.320 Lewis's death

00:43:45.040 recently and

00:43:46.220 it looked like,

00:43:46.940 I said,

00:43:47.840 that it looked

00:43:48.200 like she had

00:43:48.940 plastic surgery

00:43:50.460 of some sort.

00:43:51.760 And then I

00:43:52.160 saw, I think

00:43:53.280 I saw her

00:43:54.000 appearing after

00:43:55.460 that, as in

00:43:57.040 yesterday, and

00:43:58.380 she didn't look

00:43:58.940 like the same

00:43:59.500 person.

00:44:00.700 In other

00:44:01.000 words, she

00:44:01.380 didn't look

00:44:01.800 like the

00:44:02.140 person who

00:44:02.680 had the

00:44:03.200 surgery.

00:44:05.200 She just 0.65

00:44:05.960 looked different.

00:44:06.700 And I

00:44:06.860 don't know if

00:44:07.260 I saw an

00:44:08.240 old interview

00:44:08.940 or a new

00:44:09.460 one.

00:44:10.120 Can somebody

00:44:10.800 confirm whether

00:44:11.980 Kamala Harris

00:44:12.980 has been on

00:44:14.500 a televised

00:44:15.320 interview since

00:44:17.120 the one we

00:44:17.760 saw that her

00:44:18.920 face had some

00:44:19.640 changes?

00:44:20.980 Now, if her 0.56

00:44:21.600 face was

00:44:22.400 actually just a

00:44:23.260 cosmetic surgery

00:44:24.140 situation, which

00:44:25.000 it looks like

00:44:25.600 by November

00:44:26.860 it's going to

00:44:27.240 look terrific.

00:44:28.400 In fact, in a

00:44:29.180 few weeks it'll

00:44:29.760 look terrific.

00:44:31.180 So she may

00:44:33.320 just look amazing

00:44:34.120 in a few weeks.

00:44:36.400 Somebody says

00:44:37.060 they didn't do

00:44:37.580 the neck.

00:44:38.140 That's what I

00:44:38.580 was going to

00:44:38.960 say.

00:44:39.820 Because the

00:44:41.100 current video I

00:44:44.740 saw, I thought

00:44:45.400 it was current,

00:44:46.140 but I think

00:44:46.480 maybe I'm wrong

00:44:47.100 about that.

00:44:47.640 didn't look

00:44:50.880 like there was

00:44:51.240 any surgery

00:44:51.740 on the neck.

00:44:54.440 Somebody says

00:44:55.200 a chemical

00:44:55.920 peel.

00:44:57.700 I don't know

00:44:58.580 that that would

00:44:59.180 cause the

00:45:01.080 structure of the

00:45:02.060 face to look

00:45:02.700 different.

00:45:03.920 So I don't

00:45:04.720 think it was a

00:45:05.320 chemical peel.

00:45:08.780 Oh yeah, we're

00:45:09.480 still talking about

00:45:10.260 whether Biden

00:45:10.940 wants to

00:45:12.160 defund the

00:45:12.860 police or

00:45:13.460 simply take

00:45:14.140 their money

00:45:14.580 and move it

00:45:15.400 somewhere else.

00:45:15.980 Totally different.

00:45:17.680 Totally different.

00:45:19.100 Oh no, it's not

00:45:20.100 defunding.

00:45:21.360 It's just taking

00:45:22.160 the money and

00:45:22.900 putting it

00:45:24.200 somewhere else.

00:45:28.720 Alright, that's

00:45:29.660 all I got for

00:45:30.120 you today.

00:45:31.020 And I will

00:45:31.400 talk to you

00:45:32.000 tomorrow if I

00:45:33.380 don't get

00:45:33.700 canceled today.

Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 22, 2020

Episode 1066 Scott Adams： I Travel to the Future and Back to Tell You Who Will Win in November

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