Real Coffee with Scott Adams - July 27, 2020


Episode 1072 Scott Adams： Secret Police HOAX, Coronavirus Mysteries and Intrigue, Boris Johnson's Fatness


Episode Stats

Length

41 minutes

Words per Minute

157.5605

Word Count

6,575

Sentence Count

455

Misogynist Sentences

8

Hate Speech Sentences

13


Summary


Transcript

00:00:00.000 Hey everybody, come on in here. It's time for Coffee with Scott Adams. That's me. And this
00:00:21.900 will be, yeah, one of the highlights of your day. Maybe the best part of your day. Probably
00:00:28.740 the best part of your day. All right, it's the best part of your day. Come on, you know
00:00:33.280 it is. And to get it going, we'll do the simultaneous sip. And all it takes is a cup or a mug or a glass
00:00:39.900 of tank or a cellist or a stein, a canteen jug or a flask, a vessel of any kind. Fill it
00:00:45.840 with your favorite liquid. I like coffee. And join me now for the dopamine hit of the day,
00:00:52.460 the thing that makes everything better. It's called the simultaneous sip and it happens now. Go.
00:00:58.740 Hmm. I feel my vitamin D increasing along with my IQ and my sex appeal. You could probably feel
00:01:13.220 the same thing at home. Speaking of being a new person, I've talked about this before, but I just
00:01:20.340 I'm blown away by it. It's sort of a personal thing, but it has a larger meaning. So I'm preparing
00:01:29.620 for some sinus surgery. And part of that is I'm on prednisone for the third or fourth time this year
00:01:35.260 to try to clear up the sinuses. And it works. In fact, my ability to smell just came back like two
00:01:45.060 minutes ago. So every time I go through one of these cycles, I can smell again for the first time
00:01:49.740 in years, but it doesn't last. However, here's the finding. The prednisone gives me probably takes
00:01:59.620 25 years off of my effective age, meaning that with just this little bit of prednisone, which is being
00:02:07.880 used for completely different purposes. My body doesn't get tired. I am full of energy and love
00:02:16.080 of life. I can speak better. I can exercise longer. I'm probably 25% stronger. I mean, it's not even
00:02:24.500 close. I can go to the gym and actually watch muscle development in 48 hours. It's crazy. It's crazy.
00:02:31.960 Now, so far, I haven't had any anger issues from the prednisone. Maybe that'll come later. But
00:02:39.000 now you can't do the prednisone for long periods because it has some negative side effects. But
00:02:46.240 the fact that it can change me by 25 years, and it activates in just a day, it makes me wonder how
00:02:56.120 close we are to something that doesn't have side effects. Is there any way to get there? Or is
00:03:01.940 just, there's an impossibility that if it's going to make you feel good, it's going to kill
00:03:07.660 you somehow? Is that always the case? Because, yeah, it's a steroid, somebody's saying. And
00:03:14.660 it's not healthy to do it in the long run, but I only do it for short bits. And yeah, riding
00:03:23.880 faster on my bike, I can walk for hours, and no soreness, no stiffness. It's just like being
00:03:29.060 a kid again. It's amazing. But anyway, just the fact that that's even possible really makes
00:03:34.780 you wonder what could happen with senior citizens. I mean, you could give an 80-year-old this
00:03:42.820 drug, and they could pretty much live like a 60-year-old, I think, if they had their mental
00:03:49.940 faculties. All right, let's talk about some other things that are not me. A pollster, well,
00:03:54.540 okay, a little bit more about me. A pollster called me last night, and I couldn't remember
00:03:59.100 if I've ever been called by a political pollster. So at least now we know that they call. Now
00:04:05.220 they call on my cell phone. It's the only one I have. And their first question was, you know,
00:04:11.820 they introduced themselves, but their first question was, am I registered to vote? Now,
00:04:17.780 I wasn't thinking clearly, because I should have said, yes, I'm registered to vote, so that then I
00:04:24.580 could lie on the poll itself. But they rejected me for not being a registered voter. Now, was there
00:04:33.180 any chance that if I had been a registered voter, is there any chance I would have told them the truth?
00:04:40.060 None. Not only is there no chance I would have told them the truth, I didn't even consider it.
00:04:47.620 It wasn't even my option set. There was no point at which I said to myself, uh, should I say maybe I
00:04:54.880 like Trump a little bit better as president? Nope. Not even a little bit was I tempted to tell the truth.
00:05:01.860 I wasn't tempted to tell the truth. That's how far away it is. Because normally, you know, I've got a
00:05:10.040 pretty strong, you know, bias toward telling the truth unless I'm going to die or something. You know,
00:05:15.200 unless you're literally protecting somebody's life or income or there's something big on the line.
00:05:21.600 I don't like lying at all. I mean, I hate it. It's, it's something I try to avoid as much as
00:05:27.760 possible. It never works out. You know, even if you try to lie, it never works. It just, that's my
00:05:33.480 experience. So I wouldn't lie in almost any situation, but I definitely would have lied to
00:05:40.740 the pollster because that's a security safety kind of a thing. And certainly that would be morally
00:05:47.140 acceptable in my view. Um, there was article, uh, Joel Pollack in Breitbart today talking about Joe
00:05:55.960 Biden who, uh, will not disavow the protesters who are also the violent ones. And, uh, this puts him
00:06:04.760 in the category of saying that the, uh, all the people at the, at the riots are fine people,
00:06:10.160 which is turn, turn about is fair play. Now, what is the difference or is there between the people who
00:06:19.960 said to president Trump, what he said, there were some fine people in Charlottesville at the
00:06:24.480 Confederate statue and, and the neo-Nazi march. And the president said, well, you know, I'm
00:06:33.140 paraphrasing, but they're not all neo-Nazis. Some of them were just there because of the statues and
00:06:38.840 they're fine people. But what's the difference between that, at which point somebody's not somebody,
00:06:44.940 lots of people said, well, you can't be a fine person if you're at the same event with the neo-Nazis.
00:06:51.440 It just can't happen. Well, of course it can happen because we're a big diverse country
00:06:56.160 where any big gathering has lots of different people. So of course they could be there. Of
00:07:01.220 course. It would be weird to not have counter protesters in America. You pretty much always
00:07:06.800 expect that. So, uh, but the point is how can the Democrats, how can Joe Biden say that it's okay
00:07:16.400 to march with the people who are literally rioting, literally Antifa, literally want to burn down the
00:07:22.900 courthouse, literally want to get rid of police, hurt the police, literally want to overthrow the
00:07:29.300 country, are literally bad. So, but those people who are marching with them and obviously giving them a
00:07:37.880 boost, they're, they're not, uh, they're not doing something wrong. Feels like at this point, the
00:07:45.600 people who just wanted to get the message out are kind of done, aren't they? Is it, raise your hand,
00:07:51.820 is anybody not heard Black Lives Matter? Has anybody not heard that? Is there anybody who needs to get
00:07:59.180 their mind changed more on that topic? Probably not. We're probably as persuaded as we're going to
00:08:06.600 be. And there really isn't much of anybody on the other side. There's nobody arguing for Black Lives
00:08:14.020 Not Mattering. Nobody's arguing that. And nobody's even saying we won't look at a proposal. Nobody's
00:08:20.780 even saying we're closed off to how to improve. Nothing. So what is the purpose of the further protests?
00:08:27.500 If the message is completely received, and I'd say it is, it's completely received, why are they protesting?
00:08:36.400 Well, you have to ask yourself if it's more about the bad element being the driving force. And it's starting
00:08:43.420 to look like that. Now, the interesting thing about this, and of course, in our world, everything comes back
00:08:49.680 to Trump one way or another, is that every day these protests go on, I'm pretty sure is good day for Trump.
00:08:57.500 Now, it might not feel like that yet. But it's one of those things that the longer it goes, the
00:09:04.380 different it looks. When a protest or a riot first starts, you say to yourself, well, it's unfortunate
00:09:12.000 about that, the rioting and the looting. But there was certainly a good reason for the protest. So you
00:09:18.200 can kind of excuse it in the early days. But once we've heard all the message, and there's not much
00:09:24.680 pushback about the general idea of, let's not have the police kill people that don't need to be killed,
00:09:29.780 you know, that sort of thing. You know, racism, could it be better? Could we improve the schools?
00:09:35.300 Open to all that. But I think Trump is just going to get stronger every day these go on, because the
00:09:42.900 original message will dim in importance, and all you're going to see is it just looks like trouble.
00:09:47.760 Now, the interesting part is that so far, Trump is only using his federal forces, the Department of
00:09:54.100 Homeland Security, I think in just one place, defending a federal building in Portland. They're
00:10:01.540 on call for Seattle, and other places too, I think, but they're just on call. And their job is to protect
00:10:08.340 federal assets, apparently. This is being turned into by people like the Lincoln Project and Rick Wilson,
00:10:15.460 who's got some real explaining to do. I think Rick Wilson has some explaining to do in his life,
00:10:22.140 but that's his problem. You may know of some of his troubles. But they're trying to turn it into
00:10:28.880 that these are secret police with secret badges, and it's a Trump secret police. And I'm trying to
00:10:34.700 figure out where that will rank on the list of Trump hoaxes. You know, the top one would be Russia
00:10:42.280 collusioned, and I'd say the other tent pole would be the fine people hoax. There's the he suggested
00:10:49.120 ingesting actual household disinfectant hoax. The hoax list is pretty long at this point.
00:10:56.200 But I wonder where the secret police hoax will be. I think it'll be in the top four, possibly a top four.
00:11:04.720 And now the media is trying to turn it into that Trump is causing the riots by allowing the Department
00:11:14.820 of Homeland Security to protect a federal building. And that's causing a riot, because they look like
00:11:22.720 secret police. Yeah, they're not, but they look that way.
00:11:26.720 Have you noticed a lot of women getting their asses kicked in these riots and on video? Every day I go to
00:11:35.320 Twitter. It's the first thing I do is I look at all the, you know, the new Andy Noe videos, etc. And it feels
00:11:42.780 like, have women become a lot more aggressive recently? Is anybody noticing this? And I can't tell if
00:11:50.880 what's happening is that women feel they won't be killed. Because that's generally true, right? If a woman gets
00:11:58.400 in a fight, she doesn't usually get killed. But if a man gets in a fight, there's a pretty good chance one of
00:12:05.860 you is going to end up dead. So I feel like women are just getting, well, somebody said the chubby ones in the
00:12:13.980 comments. I wasn't going to say that. But you can't not notice it. It's impossible not to notice
00:12:21.020 that the women who are getting in the fights tend to be larger. And maybe that's part of why they're
00:12:28.100 braver. They just, you know, have more mass to put against it. That's not a universal truth. We just
00:12:33.920 watched a skinny white woman get roughed up by the police on video yesterday. But she was, you know,
00:12:40.500 yelling in their faces and provoking them. So they finally just took her down. But I haven't seen
00:12:45.960 anything like this. This is the angriest, most violent group of women I've ever seen anywhere.
00:12:53.960 I don't think I've even seen another country with so many women getting into violent fights every day,
00:13:01.720 at least on a video. So it may be overstated because the video makes you think it's everywhere,
00:13:06.420 but it isn't. All right. What else we got going on? This is the biggest story that gets no attention.
00:13:16.600 And it's mind-blowing to watch the biggest stories be ignored while the smallest stories become the
00:13:22.480 story. The smallest story is that the police sometimes kill somebody or somebody dies in their,
00:13:29.480 you know, during the arrest phase. But it's so small. I mean, it's in terms of number of people
00:13:35.740 affected, even if you count the families of the people who died, it's still a small number
00:13:41.080 compared to just about every other problem. So we were sort of an upside down world where we're
00:13:47.900 making the biggest story out of the smallest story. But here's the biggest story. Apparently,
00:13:54.300 the United States policy against about China has changed to regime change. What? So Mike Pompeo
00:14:04.080 apparently says it directly that regime change is now the new policy. So we went from trying to work
00:14:14.080 a deal with China to finding out that we can't, that their mindset is such that they only want an
00:14:21.080 abusive deal or apparently no deal at all. So it looks like no deal at all is where it's going to head.
00:14:27.000 But Pompeo is just going at it directly and saying, now, our goal is the regime change in China. Now,
00:14:36.020 can the United States get that done? Now, I don't believe that that means, you know, supporting a
00:14:42.260 revolution or anything. I can't see that working in China. But it probably does mean not dealing with
00:14:48.640 China as a country. It probably does mean moving our facilities out. It probably does mean putting up
00:14:55.020 more obstacles than we ever were. It probably does mean putting more naval assets in the contested
00:15:01.620 areas, etc. So this is a really big story. It's by far the most important thing that's happening,
00:15:10.080 I would say. More important than climate change. More important than everything. More important than
00:15:15.180 coronavirus. More important, you know, the economy, I guess you could say, is the most important thing.
00:15:20.000 But it's way up there. And you won't see much about that today, I'll bet. There'll be an ignored
00:15:26.980 story. Speaking of ignored stories, Jonathan Turley, you know of him, a constitutional lawyer type.
00:15:37.760 And he's writing in The Hill how he's astonished that the media is just ignoring the fact that the
00:15:45.040 Obama administration did make up an excuse to spy on the Trump campaign. And we're trying to figure
00:15:53.340 out why this isn't the biggest story in the country. Is it just because it's about Trump? And
00:15:58.760 that it would be good for Trump because it would vindicate him for when he said that his wires were
00:16:04.240 being tapped? Which, you know, not technically true in terms of tapping, but true enough. I mean,
00:16:12.220 basically, he correctly called out that his campaign was being spied on. And that was just
00:16:18.240 true. Now, I tried to figure out why this story isn't getting the traction it should. It got a lot
00:16:25.620 of traction on, you know, the Fox News and the right, but it just didn't cross over. It just never
00:16:31.400 became a narrative on the other, the mainstream media. And I have a few theories why. The obvious one is
00:16:39.260 that the media can't admit that they sold us a hoax for three years or whatever it was. So the media
00:16:47.200 doesn't want to point out their own wrongness. They don't want to support Trump. So that might be
00:16:53.560 the entire reason. But the other reason is this. It's kind of complicated. And even though even when
00:17:00.480 I think I understand it, even just reading Jonathan Turley's article, I'll find four things I didn't
00:17:06.580 know. Or I used to know and I forgot. So it's just this big complicated thing of why did somebody
00:17:13.840 talk to somebody? What did Carter Page, you know, what did they have to do? Was he a CIA agent?
00:17:21.520 Did he work with them? What did Russia do? Where was the dossier? Just way too many people involved.
00:17:27.400 Way too many people. So I think because it's complicated and because it dripped out,
00:17:32.420 you know, a little fact, little fact, little fact, it just never got traction. So part of it is that
00:17:39.060 it dribbled out. So it lost all of its energy by dribbling. The other is that it's complicated. So we
00:17:44.800 wouldn't understand it if we saw the details. And then, of course, they just don't want to make
00:17:49.480 Trump look good. On PredictIt and other betting platforms, Kamala Harris just got a big upswing.
00:17:57.960 No explanation is given. But she's now at 39% chance of winning, at least according to the people
00:18:06.040 betting. If you go look at predictive markets, doesn't the stock market tell you that Trump is
00:18:13.340 going to win? It feels like it, right? Unless there's going to be some giant plot to tank the
00:18:19.980 stock market right before the election, which is possible. So do not be surprised if the stock market
00:18:25.940 takes a serious dump between now and November, but it might be politically motivated. So it could be
00:18:35.240 real. Maybe, you know, maybe the economic outlook won't look that good and it'll just be a natural
00:18:41.620 decline, which wouldn't be wouldn't be the worst thing in the world and it wouldn't be unexpected,
00:18:47.020 actually. But at the moment, the stock market captures the economy, obviously. It captures our
00:18:55.620 optimism. But I also think that the stock market at the moment is capturing coronavirus. So if you
00:19:04.160 look at the biggest things that the president has to do, it's stuff like, you know, trade deals with
00:19:09.980 China and coronavirus and the economy. And the stock market kind of captures all of that, because
00:19:15.280 they're all interconnected. And it's high, you know, went down a little bit last few days, but it
00:19:20.500 basically is high. So isn't that predicting that Trump will win? Just a question there. So I keep
00:19:33.440 seeing this graph by a user named Gummy Bear. Now, Gummy Bear was recommended to me as being a good,
00:19:42.620 credible source on the coronavirus stuff. Now, Gummy Bear is obviously a pseudonym for someone who
00:19:48.740 apparently has some kind of credentials. I don't know what kind, but they're the good kind, because
00:19:55.200 the Twitter feed has lots of credible looking good analysis, according to people who have been
00:20:01.740 following him. So I started following Gummy Bear. And there's one graph that Gummy Bear has posted a
00:20:10.820 number of times, and it's really persuasive, super persuasive. If you're a nerd like I am about
00:20:18.520 data visualization, it's just really good. It's like thrillingly well-designed just to give you
00:20:27.760 information. But I don't know if it's accurate. So I don't know if the data is right. I just know
00:20:33.800 that the way it's presented was great. And what it was is it just ranked all the countries, their death
00:20:38.920 rate, by how they used hydroxychloroquine. If they had used it early, according to the graph, which has
00:20:47.040 some credibility questions, that's what I'm going to get to, it would show that the people who didn't,
00:20:52.080 the countries that didn't use hydroxychloroquine early have all these problems. The ones that did
00:20:57.340 use it in a modest way have half as many problems, and those who used it aggressively have practically
00:21:03.820 no problems. And so I put it out there, and I had to tweet and say, can somebody tell me if this is
00:21:10.740 accurate? Because if it is accurate, we're done. Right? We're done. Somebody says, it's fake.
00:21:20.120 Why are you arguing? So I put it out there to let other people pick it apart. And sure enough,
00:21:27.760 some people said, well, you know, I'm looking at the graph, but I'm looking at this country,
00:21:32.700 and it's in the wrong place, or it doesn't capture it right. Somebody says, I doubt such data is
00:21:39.140 available. I also didn't see a date on it. So it might have been, you know, over a month ago when
00:21:44.520 things look different. So somebody says, why not research it yourself? Let me answer that question.
00:21:50.260 So somebody said, why not research it myself? That's the dumbest question in the world.
00:21:57.040 And I have to be blunt. Everybody who thinks that they are capable of researching this themselves,
00:22:03.820 you're just kidding yourself. Even the experts can't do it. If the experts could research this stuff,
00:22:10.280 they would all agree. Right? If what you could do is use your expertise and dig into it a little bit,
00:22:18.700 the people with expertise would be on the same side. But you don't notice, you don't see anything
00:22:23.660 like that happening. What you see is the experts digging in and coming to completely different
00:22:28.660 conclusions. So if you think you can do what the experts clearly can't do, because they're not coming
00:22:34.720 to the same conclusions. Why do you think I can do it? Why would you suggest that I would be able to
00:22:41.280 do this thing that literally no one in the world can do? It's just undoable. Now you can think you did
00:22:47.740 it. And you can do your research and you can come to a conclusion. But you would be talking yourself
00:22:53.420 into it. You would be talking yourself into stupidity, basically. Because confirmation bias
00:22:58.920 is going to look just like it. I mentioned the Michael Jackson allegations about pedophilia.
00:23:09.500 And now I've seen three different pieces of video content. One made a case that said,
00:23:14.740 oh, definitely he's guilty. No doubt about it. I watched another and you look at it, you go,
00:23:20.140 oh, wow, it's all a con. None of it was true. I watched another one yesterday that added more fuel to
00:23:27.540 the Eden. None of it was true. Fire. So I did my research, right? I looked into the whole Michael
00:23:35.120 Jackson situation. And what happened? Couldn't tell a thing. I mean, if I had to be in a jury based on
00:23:43.360 what I saw, I would say definitely not guilty beyond a reasonable doubt. I mean, it's way beyond
00:23:50.020 reasonable doubt. You know, reasonable doubt is just a thin sliver of, well, maybe, maybe he's not
00:23:56.740 guilty. The Michael Jackson thing is mostly reasonable doubt. It's like 95% reasonable doubt,
00:24:03.080 5% chance maybe something happened and there just didn't happen to be any evidence.
00:24:09.060 So I use that as an example of how doing your own research doesn't do you a bit of good. It really
00:24:14.540 doesn't. It's a complete illusion. And that probably has to do with our belief that we can do
00:24:26.560 more than we can do. Somebody says, interview Dr. Zelenko. Terrible idea. Terrible idea.
00:24:35.080 Whoever is saying in the comments, and I don't mean to pick on you as, but you could not be
00:24:42.200 less helpful than to suggest that I interview one expert. I've said this before, but it sounds like
00:24:49.620 I have to say it again. It is a disservice to the audience for someone who can't ask the right
00:24:55.760 questions to interview an expert. Because all you're going to hear is his side of it. You're
00:25:01.300 going to hear one side of the, you know, the Michael Jackson story. It's always convincing
00:25:07.560 if you hear one side. It's the same reason I won't talk to Dr. Shiva on this topic. Because Dr. Shiva
00:25:14.460 will say technical things, and then I'll say, I don't know. And then you will have been,
00:25:20.800 you will have gotten this unfiltered opinion that you know there's another opinion on the
00:25:25.620 other side, but you didn't hear it. Right? Now somebody says in the comments that Dr.
00:25:31.180 Drew did a periscope with Zelenko. Now that's how you do it. If I, actually I like to look for
00:25:39.140 that. If, if a doctor is interviewing a doctor, and the doctor doing the interviewing has a broad
00:25:45.900 experience enough to ask the right questions, that's exactly what you should read. But don't
00:25:50.120 ask me to bring one expert on, on a medical or scientific thing, unless I have some background.
00:25:56.600 So I don't mind bringing somebody on and say a nuclear energy question, because I've done enough
00:26:01.700 reading where I can at least ask the right questions. Thanks to Mark Schneider and Michael
00:26:07.180 Schellenberger have educated me a little bit, enough to ask the right questions. All right. So,
00:26:13.720 and, and I'm sorry if I make a big deal about that, the bringing the one expert on, but that's the
00:26:19.260 biggest problem in the world right now. The biggest problem in the world is that people still believe
00:26:24.940 that if they hear one expert, that they learn something. That is so not true. If you had one,
00:26:31.940 if you've only heard one expert, you have probably been misled. Probably. Not every time.
00:26:43.860 Boris Johnson is doing something awesome. You know, one of the problems with being a leader
00:26:50.480 is that the most important things you can do will sometimes be the most boring, and they don't get you
00:26:56.460 any attention and they don't get you reelected. So I'm going to give a big, big, big shout out and
00:27:03.140 props, thumbs up to Boris Johnson for just this. I don't have a comment on Boris Johnson's entire
00:27:11.280 political career, but just this. He's going to make a big, big deal about weight loss, using himself
00:27:18.200 as an example. So, you know, he had his coronavirus scare, and it's worse for people who have weight
00:27:24.380 problems, apparently. And I think that might have been a wake-up call. He'd wanted to lose weight
00:27:29.240 anyway, but now he's getting serious about it, and he's going to go, he goes for a run every day,
00:27:33.460 changing his diet. And I can't think of anything that would be more directly beneficial to the
00:27:40.800 country than having the leader promote good fitness and exercise. It's really important. And I guess in
00:27:48.880 Great Britain, the obesity level is just out of control. And the way Boris Johnson is selling
00:27:54.360 it is exactly right. He's selling it as a way to protect UK's national health system. Boom, there you are.
00:28:03.300 If you said to people you should lose weight for your own benefit, well, people say, I'll figure out what
00:28:09.960 my benefit is. You know, I don't need Boris Johnson telling me what to do with my personal life. You just run
00:28:17.100 the government, Boris. I'll decide if I eat a cheesesteak. But the way, so he's not doing it that
00:28:24.180 way. So he's not saying this will be good for you if you lose weight. He's saying this is how you lower
00:28:29.120 costs, basically. This is how you make national health service possible. I would say that President
00:28:37.640 Trump is missing the biggest opportunity with health care. Because there is a Republican plan.
00:28:46.400 It just hasn't been put together. So I guess you could say it's not a plan. But if you looked at all
00:28:51.800 the individual things that the Trump administration wants to do for health care, you know, such as the
00:28:58.000 executive orders on pharmaceutical costs, lowering meds costs, etc. There's a whole bunch of individual
00:29:04.960 things that will make things more competitive, could bring the prices down, such as making it
00:29:11.440 possible to do telehealth over the internet across state lines. You know, these little changes in the
00:29:17.380 regulatory environment can have a big impact. But one of the things that Trump could do, which I guess
00:29:24.460 it would be hard for him to do because he's got a few pounds himself, is to do what Boris Johnson's doing
00:29:30.520 and just say, if you want more people to have health care than the people who already have
00:29:37.220 health care, maybe they should lose some weight. Because if the people who already had health care,
00:29:42.700 well, plus the people who don't, you could say the whole public, if the whole public of the United
00:29:47.120 States simply became more fit, they just lost weight, got a little more exercise, what would that do
00:29:54.200 to the total cost of health care service? Well, if you've had an opportunity to go to a doctor's
00:30:03.020 waiting room or emergency room, is there something that you notice? Not so much an emergency room,
00:30:08.140 because those would be accidents. But let's say you go to a normal doctor's waiting room,
00:30:12.680 back when you could be in a room with other people. And you sit down and look at the other
00:30:17.400 people in the room. How many of them have a weight problem? A lot. A lot. What would be the total cost
00:30:26.520 reduction in health care if people got healthier? It could be a lot. 10%? A 10% reduction in health
00:30:34.740 care just by getting people healthier? That's enormous, dollar-wise. But I'm not sure Trump is
00:30:42.160 quite the right guy for that message unless he was going to, you know, lead by doing it the way Boris
00:30:48.220 Johnson is. So, I'm sorry, weight loss is the most boring political question, but that's my point.
00:30:53.620 It's the most important, and it's the most directly beneficial to people's lives. A plus Boris Johnson.
00:31:00.460 All right. It seems like we're going to be treated to a constant drip of stories about sports teams and
00:31:09.920 whether or not they all kneeled. Is there anything you're less interested in lately? Do you remember
00:31:16.340 when that was first a story? Oh, these athletes, some of them are kneeling. Kaepernick, he's
00:31:22.220 disrespecting our flag and all that. But now when they're all kneeling, or close to all, and it's
00:31:29.220 all the teams, it just lost all of its everything, didn't it? It doesn't have any shock value. It just
00:31:36.700 looks sort of weak and pathetic, which has nothing to do, by the way, with the cause. So,
00:31:44.540 when I say it looks weak and pathetic, it has nothing to do with the cause. It has only to do
00:31:50.160 with the way they're doing it. There's a news story that doesn't deserve to be a news story that
00:31:56.860 Joe Biden turned down Fox News' Chris Wallace for an interview. Now, as you know, Chris Wallace did
00:32:03.920 interview President Trump and, you know, gave him a pretty tough interview. One would imagine that
00:32:08.980 Chris Wallace would be a tough interview with Joe Biden, and so they turned it down. But is the news
00:32:15.740 that Chris Wallace was turned down for an interview, is that the news? Isn't the news that just Biden
00:32:21.840 doesn't talk to anybody? I don't think it has anything to do with Chris Wallace. Is there anybody
00:32:27.320 on the Fox News network who could get Biden to come on the air and answer questions? There's
00:32:33.100 nobody who could do that. It has nothing to do with Chris Wallace. But it turned into a Chris Wallace
00:32:37.700 story, I don't know, because it makes it look worse for Biden or something. But I don't know how it
00:32:44.320 could look any worse than I'm not going to have a debate and I'm not going to answer questions.
00:32:47.520 I should tell you everything you need to know there. Oh, I keep forgetting to talk about President
00:32:54.600 Trump's latest name for the coronavirus. So he's calling it the China virus now. You recall that
00:33:03.620 when he was calling it the Chinese virus, people were saying a racist, you racist, don't call it
00:33:09.340 Chinese because then Chinese Americans will be mocked for it, even though they have nothing
00:33:17.500 to do with it. And indeed, that looks like that actually was happening, which is tragic. But
00:33:23.360 now he's gone from Chinese virus to China virus. And it's very clever because you think there's
00:33:31.300 something wrong with it still, but there isn't. When he said Chinese, you could say to yourself,
00:33:38.120 wait a minute, Chinese would refer to maybe it came from China, but it also, the word refers
00:33:44.400 to the people. And we're not really talking about the people. We should be talking about the
00:33:48.340 government or the place. And, but when he changes it to China, that is unambiguously about the place.
00:33:57.200 You could, you could argue it's also about the government, but what it definitely isn't is about
00:34:02.640 the people. So that's an upgrade. But what's clever about the upgrade is because China and Chinese are
00:34:10.340 close enough in your mind, it still feels inappropriate, but it isn't because now it's
00:34:17.580 just a description of where it came from, just like other flus that are named after the place
00:34:22.680 that they came from. So I love the fact that he took something that really wasn't the right way to
00:34:28.500 go about it. Chinese, it just wasn't the right word, but he fixed it. He tweaked it. He tweaked it to
00:34:34.540 China. And now people are going to be just as angry about it, but they don't have a reason because
00:34:39.180 China is a different word. All right.
00:34:46.860 The best thing that could happen for Trump's reelection
00:34:50.000 chances are for other countries to have bad infections that pop back up. And it feels guaranteed,
00:35:00.200 doesn't it? Isn't it sort of guaranteed that other countries are going to have flare-ups,
00:35:05.360 even the ones that are doing well? I feel like it's guaranteed. And it should be guaranteed just
00:35:10.460 because the world still has travel. So no matter how good your little country of Estonia does,
00:35:18.120 if you're surrounded by people that have, well, let's say even one of those countries still have it,
00:35:24.480 well, you're going to get it back. And if you get it back, isn't it going to flare again before you can
00:35:29.640 get on top of it? So probably the biggest factor in Trump's reelection will be coronavirus and how
00:35:38.980 people feel he did with it. And that will be almost entirely based on what other countries do.
00:35:45.340 Because if he looks like he's just in the middle of the pack and other countries are having problems
00:35:50.680 then, then you're going to have to say to yourself, it looks like leadership didn't matter.
00:35:55.800 It will actually look like leadership didn't matter. Because you'll see all these different
00:36:01.420 leaders who did different things, and none of them had a great result. And some that did,
00:36:06.860 you don't know why. Here's what's confusing about all this. These are the candidates for why some
00:36:15.220 countries may or may not have had better results. And look at how many factors there are.
00:36:20.680 There's better mask compliance. Now, experts will argue whether that even makes any difference.
00:36:27.260 I'm on the side of saying it obviously does. Social distancing, that has a little to do with
00:36:33.940 lifestyle. But are some countries better at it? What's your vitamin D levels? How much diabetes do
00:36:41.940 you have in the country, which gets to age and demographics? The hydroxychloroquine use,
00:36:47.660 does it matter? Don't know yet. It's still uncertain. Tuberculosis shots, that's another
00:36:53.700 factor. Apparently, there's some correlation. If you've had tuberculosis shots, you have more
00:36:59.340 immunity, I think. And then there's some news today about there's some genetic variant that
00:37:06.320 some people have that might make them far more susceptible. So look at all these things that are
00:37:12.320 big, big variables. And we don't know how important any of them are. Listen to these again and realize
00:37:20.260 that we don't know anything about any of them. And they're the biggest variables. We don't know if
00:37:27.180 the masks make a big difference, a little difference. People are still arguing. I have my opinion, but
00:37:32.640 people are arguing. Social distancing? I don't know. Can you really tell that another country did it
00:37:38.040 better? How do you compare? It's hard to compare. How much is enough? How much is too much? Vitamin D?
00:37:45.320 I don't know. Diabetes? Looks like 40 or 50 percent of the people. I think 50 percent of the people
00:37:51.200 under a certain age are dying with diabetes as a comorbidity. Comorbidity. When we look at the
00:37:59.980 experience of other countries, are we seeing other countries with the same race of diabetes,
00:38:04.560 the same demographics? No. Same hydroxychloroquine use? No. Tuberculosis shots? No. Genetic variants?
00:38:13.120 I don't know. Are they different in different groups? So we will never know if Trump did a good
00:38:20.580 job or a bad job, in all likelihood. We'll probably never know. So if we never know if he's doing a good
00:38:28.560 job or a bad job, because there are just too many variables to know which ones matter, then you've got
00:38:33.580 the therapeutics and you've got the vaccines maybe or maybe not coming online. I would say that we'll
00:38:41.100 have enough room for everybody to have their own opinion. But the one thing that's the most solid
00:38:48.540 argument for Trump, if it happens, is that other countries got into trouble and we're just somewhere
00:38:55.040 in the middle of the pack. If it turns out that we're just somewhere in the middle, I think you just
00:39:00.820 have to say leadership didn't make a difference. Because we don't know what to lead to. Leadership
00:39:07.060 makes a difference if you know where you're going and it's the right thing and hindsight says, yeah,
00:39:11.340 that was the right thing. But if you don't know what the right thing to do is, leadership almost doesn't
00:39:17.960 matter. You just have to try things and adjust. And that's what everybody's doing. All right.
00:39:23.920 That is about all I have to say for today. Somebody says it's not about the leadership,
00:39:33.240 it's about the systems in place and the ability to prioritize. Maybe so. Certainly the fact that we
00:39:40.540 have, you know, states' rights puts us in a different category from some small country where
00:39:46.180 they can just say, hey, everybody do this. Whereas in the United States, it's 50 different entities
00:39:51.040 saying do this or that. All right. I'm just looking at your comments. All right. Did I speak about
00:40:07.820 China in Houston? Yeah, I talked, not today, but I have talked about the consulate being closed.
00:40:13.280 And there'll be a lot more of that, I think. Remember, no straws after surgery. What?
00:40:24.860 Oh, so just to warn you. So my surgery is on the 29th, a few days. I probably might miss a
00:40:35.840 periscope, but I'll tweet at you and let you know. Oh, yeah. So the Nadler video. So Nadler was
00:40:42.200 found on the park bench by, I don't know, Hogan, Hogan, Rogan Handley. And they asked him about the
00:40:52.340 violence and he thought that there was no violence. It's just protests. Now, do you think he actually
00:40:58.180 believes that? And what are the chances that Jerry Nadler is going to survive coronavirus?
00:41:04.820 If Jerry Nadler got the coronavirus, he's kind of dead, isn't he? I mean, I don't mean to be unkind,
00:41:12.520 but he would be sort of the poster child of people who are not going to make it through
00:41:16.400 coronavirus. So if I were him, I don't know how he, I mean, he's pretty brave to come to work at all.
00:41:21.860 I think he's coming to work and wearing his mask on his forehead. I saw a picture.
00:41:26.320 That's pretty brave because he's definitely in the death zone there, the kill box. So we'll give him that.
00:41:32.580 Thank you for the good wishes and I will talk to you. Hogan Gidley. Thank you. Hogan Gidley is the name
00:41:42.240 that I messed up. Sorry, Hogan.