00:01:59.580It's almost like those are completely separate things because when Kaepernick did it, I said to myself, you know, if I'm being objective, I always say good things about President Trump's persuasion talents.
00:02:14.080And I'll say it about the other team as well.
00:03:30.740You know, it's certainly worthy of attention and, you know, the best resolution we can get to have the safest policing situation that we can have for everybody, of course.
00:03:41.080But it was also, it just seemed big because life was sort of going along all right.
00:03:49.440We just had the luxury of complaining about politics.
00:04:00.980But at the moment, when you see everybody kneeling, when you see entire teams do it, it doesn't register a little differently.
00:04:11.140At this point, it's moved from this Kaepernick, you know, A-plus persuasion thing, even if you didn't like it, to more of a performance art sort of situation, wouldn't you say?
00:05:24.380So I'm going on a limb and thinking that most people will have the same impression that I'm describing that I'm having, which is when a few people protest, they are insulting your flag.
00:05:37.140And if you take that personally, well, that's the point.
00:05:58.140It feels when everybody does it, because they're not activists, they're just people trying to, you know, get along and do what they think is right and the best thing they can do and get along with their teammates and not cause trouble.
00:06:10.300You know, it really is more about solidarity with the point that there's something that needs to get fixed.
00:06:18.460So I think when you take it from the few people to everybody doing it, it no longer is about the flag.
00:06:25.180It's no longer really about the country.
00:07:27.140And I don't know how much of that already had fence and how much is replacement fence, you know, because we live in a world in which all data is wrong.
00:07:36.500So I'm not going to apply that just to the other team.
00:08:00.520Whatever it is, it's hundreds, hundreds of miles.
00:08:03.700And if I had to look at the president's performance toward his, really, I'd say his key campaign promise, which was border security, at the end, well, let's say by November, what are you going to think about it?
00:08:23.280The president has done maybe better than any president has ever done at saying, this is what I'm going to do, and then actually doing it.
00:08:34.240You could argue that those things should not be done.
00:08:37.160That's what the Democrats would argue.
00:08:39.520But I think we're actually past the point with this president where people could legitimately say he promised he would do this, but he didn't do it.
00:08:50.580Now, I would say health care is still a big looming hole, and he's even done at least something with that, with the pharmaceutical stuff.
00:09:23.180So even when he maybe didn't get everything that you thought he wanted, such as immigration and health care, it does look like he's taking big swings at it.
00:09:35.540It does look like the energy is there.
00:09:37.340It does look like the intention is there.
00:09:39.720There's nothing about any of these things that would suggest they were false promises.
00:09:45.680It looks like stuff he meant and stuff he's at least trying to do.
00:09:50.180Now, if you're Ann Coulter, you're a bitter critic of his immigration stuff because it hasn't been completed, hasn't been done well enough.
00:10:33.440I tend to look at things as systems and not goals.
00:10:37.780A goal would be stop immigration, stop illegal immigration.
00:10:42.920And you can see why somebody would want to do that.
00:10:46.140I would see it more as a system, meaning that the United States doesn't currently have a system that puts the citizens of the United States and their government in control of their own border.
00:10:58.240So I see it only as a question of who gets to make the decision and then secondarily and separate from that, what should be the right decision?
00:11:08.960So I think I'm 100% adamant that only the citizens of the United States should get to decide who lives in the United States with their government.
00:11:22.620And to do that, you need strong border security.
00:11:26.440But on top of that, I would modify it, our current situation, and I would say something like this.
00:11:34.220I would say instead of us arguing about what's the right level, let's get our economists to tell us how much of what kind of new immigration we need.
00:11:45.840Do we need more high-trained technical people?
00:11:50.480And have the economists, through some kind of process in which they say, you know, the unemployment rate is X, so maybe we should restrict immigration a little bit.
00:12:01.980If you don't have a good border security, you don't have that option.
00:12:05.760So rather than personalize it and say we like immigrants or we don't like immigrants, which is the dumb way to do it, everybody likes immigrants.
00:12:14.100Because to even argue that somebody doesn't like immigrants is crazy, because as is often noted, we're a country of immigrants.
00:12:25.300Everybody likes immigrants, one way or another, you know, however they define it.
00:12:30.860So I would depersonalize the question of who gets in and make that more of an economic health situation,
00:12:38.800because I would argue that all of North America and all of South America can only stay reasonably healthy if the United States is reasonably healthy.
00:12:51.320So keeping the United States stable has an entire global benefit.
00:12:56.320And a big part of that is the United States being able to control its economy.
00:13:00.840And we can't control our economy if we can't control the border.
00:13:04.280So I would separate the questions of who gets in, let the economists decide that, not the politicians.
00:13:12.360Politicians are the wrong ones to decide who gets in and who gets out, because that's just going to look racist.
00:13:29.980In my opinion, that's not the motivation.
00:13:32.180But, obviously, it's some racist motivation.
00:13:37.540But in general, it's not the motivation.
00:13:39.900And I think we should do a better job of saying, look, let's just turn it over to the economists.
00:13:45.140If our unemployment level is this high, adjust your immigration appropriately.
00:13:52.800And then we could tweak it as we go, because we're not geniuses to know how the future turns out.
00:13:57.760For those of you who subscribe on Locals, the platform in which I've moved some of my other more provocative and or self-help type content,
00:14:12.860I just put up a post on there that's for subscribers only on how to make conversation with a stranger,
00:14:20.380but also I had to end a conversation with a stranger.
00:14:24.000You ever get trapped in a conversation?
00:18:21.560It doesn't feel like they're trying to make news anymore.
00:18:25.800So I tweeted this today, and this will be your persuasion lesson for the day.
00:18:34.800So I'll tell you what I tweeted, and then I'll tell you what the technique is that's in it.
00:18:40.600I tweeted, imagine how historians will judge Democrats for deciding that hashtag hollow Joe, that's my new name for him, was their best candidate.
00:18:51.300As crazy as it seems now, it will continue bloating and absurdity until it is one of the great American WTF, you know, what the F stories of all time.
00:19:03.680So here's the technique, and there's some science behind this.
00:19:07.960And I'll refer to one study that I heard of long ago.
00:19:10.880If you ask people to save for their retirement, they'll, you know, do okay, but they won't do as well as they should.
00:19:20.740But if you take a person's current photograph, and you digitally age it, so it's what you might look like when you're in your, say, 70 years old,
00:19:30.240and then you show it to them and say, okay, this is you at age 70, and then you ask them to start saving for their retirement,
00:19:38.580they will save more, because they saw a picture of themselves in the future.
00:19:44.400So it is a general persuasion technique that if you can move somebody from the present,
00:19:50.120what they're looking at and thinking of right now, to an imaginary future,
00:19:55.180then you can prime them to head toward that future.
00:20:00.760And what I'm using is a trick where I'm taking people out of the present,
00:20:07.020where we're fighting the coronavirus, and we've got our own problems, and we're on lockdown,
00:20:12.000and there's an election coming, and there's a thousand news stories a day,
00:20:15.680and, you know, there's Joe Biden, and he's running against Trump,
00:20:20.500and some people are saying he's got some cognitive abilities,
00:20:23.260but there's so many other things, what about health care, what about...
00:20:26.800So at the moment, because the Joe Biden thing has been a slow decay of his abilities,
00:20:35.360you can kind of get used to anything if it's changing slowly.
00:20:39.740So here we are sitting here in August 2020, and Joe Biden is clearly, he's just gone.
00:20:48.800You know, his brain has left the building in terms of, you know, being anywhere near capable of running the country.
00:20:56.160I mean, it's just absurd at this point.
00:20:59.720Now, if he had started this way, if the way he is in August 2020 was exactly the way he was one year ago,
00:21:31.200Tomorrow, maybe he's 1% worse again, but you hardly notice.
00:21:35.400But now fast forward that to 20 years from now, and the historians are writing about it.
00:21:42.620What the hell are they going to say about this?
00:21:45.000Because if you get some distance from it, and this is another persuasion trick,
00:21:49.540you can actually ask people, for example, to imagine rising above their situation as if they're leaving their body.
00:21:56.940And they're getting higher and higher, and they're looking down at the earth until the earth is just a little shrinking ball as they back up.
00:22:05.980And what it does is it changes your perspective from your small little problems to some kind of a bigger picture.
00:22:12.460If you're looking at Joe Biden, bigger picture, from the future, what the hell is that going to look like?
00:22:20.960Because in 20 years, people are going to say, unbelievably, in 2020, one of the candidates was mentally incompetent,
00:24:09.720I noticed this morning that President Trump retweeted something that I tweeted yesterday.
00:24:15.980And it's always – there's some things that you can't actually get used to, and one of them is that you wake up and the president of the United States just retweeted you.
00:24:28.700It has happened a number of times now, but you never really get used to it.
00:24:34.260It's always just shocking to see how technology has made this big old planet so small that, you know, I can sit here in my room in California just tapping away with my thumbs on this little device.
00:24:50.600And next thing you know, the president of the United States and the White House or Air Force One or wherever the heck he is, is looking at it.
00:25:00.820It's just – it's so wild to see how big the world is and how small it is at the same time, at least, you know, in my experience.
00:25:09.440Anyway, so here's the tweet that he retweeted.
00:25:12.600It was the one made by some outside group, and it was – it seemed to be some kind of pro-Hispanic American group that was pro-Trump, or maybe they just made the commercial.
00:25:28.340But it was the one in which they talk about Biden being essentially a racist for not considering an Hispanic vice president.
00:25:36.500Now, technically, technically, Biden has never said that he would only pick a black vice president.
00:25:45.980He has said he would pick a woman, and I think he's talked about, you know, a preference for a person of color or something like that.
00:25:54.560But he has not – I don't think he's ever specified – I'm going to pick – obviously, he has not specified he would pick a black vice president.
00:26:05.020But don't you think he kind of cornered himself into it?
00:26:10.800Because imagine, if you will, in the midst of Black Lives Matter and Biden being, you know, pretty solidly on that team, imagine if he didn't.
00:27:16.740President Trump would be on shaky ground if he had said, just on his own, hey, Joe Biden, you're being kind of racist for excluding, you know, Hispanics or anybody else from your possible vice president picks.
00:27:32.640Imagine how that would come if it had just been Trump out of his own mind just saying, hey, I've got an idea.
00:27:42.460Why don't I say Joe is a racist because of how he's constrained his VP choices?
00:27:47.280It wouldn't really work because it's coming from the wrong source.
00:27:52.100And people would just throw it back at him and say, well, you're a racist.
00:28:45.000And it's like I said, it's just theater.
00:28:46.500But if somebody tells you there's something about you that you can't change, let's say your ethnicity, and we're going to limit your access because of it, I can tell you from experience that it doesn't make you feel good.
00:29:02.600And it would definitely change your vote.
00:29:05.980Why is it that I was so anti-Hillary Clinton?
00:29:35.420Honestly, I have just concern for him.
00:29:37.280So, yeah, when you insult a group by something they can't change, don't expect them to get over that.
00:29:47.140I'm fascinated by the protest strategies, both as how the protesters themselves are organizing and adjusting, and they're bringing their leaf blowers, and, you know, they've got a whole bunch of umbrella-coordinated things.
00:30:04.300And even though it's all evil and unproductive, I'm still kind of impressed by anybody who's working on a system that works better.
00:30:13.180By analogy, whenever I hear a story about a serial killer who built an elaborate underground bunker and, you know, operated for years before getting caught, I always have two thoughts.
00:30:27.640Number one, oh, my God, that's horrible for the victims.
00:30:30.820And, you know, you think about the victims and their family.
00:30:32.780But then the second thought I have, very quickly, is, wow, that guy's really industrious.
00:30:40.640That guy knows how to do his serial killing.
00:31:52.500Don't you think that a whole lot of Antifa and a lot of the protesters in general, don't you think there are a lot of animal rights people in that group, just as a normal, you know, overlap with their politics?
00:32:05.600And I've got a feeling that the things the protesters would be willing to do to, let's say, federal agents, which might be a lot, what they would be willing to do with, you know, uniformed police officers might be pretty brutal.
00:32:26.040But when they hurt a horse, and when I watched, I watched how easily the horses, you know, because they came as a group, when I watched how easily they moved the protesters back, I had to ask myself, is this one of the most brilliant things I've ever seen in my life?
00:32:44.820Is this so smart that the protesters, if they turned on the horses, you know, if any one of them tried to hurt a horse, what would the other protesters do to that protester?
00:32:58.100I feel like they'd stop them in a way that they wouldn't necessarily stop somebody from trying to hurt a police officer.
00:33:05.500But I think they would try to stop somebody from hurting a horse.
00:33:53.380The cost to build a home and then to live in it, because there are ongoing costs of living in a home.
00:34:00.260Those costs are crazy in a world in which half of the country can't afford it.
00:34:07.000So I'm thinking half of the country, it's probably a bigger number.
00:34:10.260Either it has trouble affording a single family home, or they can't.
00:34:18.100It's one of the biggest problems in the country, which could also be one of the biggest economic opportunities.
00:34:24.680So the economic opportunity would be to figure out how to make homes that are affordable and way better.
00:34:30.540And the way better part is at the top, right?
00:34:35.040The affordable is necessary, but I wouldn't stop with, let's make tiny homes, or let's make the same homes we're making, but use cheaper materials.
00:34:45.940I'm talking about a change that's as fundamental as moving from a landline phone to a smartphone, just skipping the flip phone phase entirely.
00:34:57.620So our entire building industry, you know, the residential building, sort of evolved.
00:35:04.860And I think it was mostly contractors and engineers and craftsmen and that sort of people.
00:35:10.700And it sort of evolved to be versions of what it's always been with just small improvements.
00:35:16.800And, of course, that just gets more complicated, more building codes, more materials, more design, and it's just this crazy expensive stuff.
00:35:29.080But imagine, if you will, some company like Amazon or Google or Apple, whoever is really good at design, spending a lot of time just designing, designing, testing, testing, testing, the way they would test a consumer product.
00:35:43.060You don't really do that with a house.
00:35:44.420Nobody builds a house, puts a family in it, checks in with them every week to see what worked and what didn't work, how happy they are, how they sleep, how productive they are, all the things that make you a happy person.
00:35:59.080But with a consumer item like a phone or, you know, a lot of other items, there's plenty of testing.
00:36:06.100But I don't think in the housing industry, I think it's zero, and it shows.
00:36:10.360So we have this big, poorly made, poorly made in terms of how well it could be done in 2020 compared to how well it is being done.
00:36:21.140So we do an excellent job of building an old technology, the old kind of house.
00:36:28.660What would happen if you said, and this was the nature of the tweet, the tweet,
00:36:33.760suppose the government said, we're going to make it a lot easier to rapidly prototype and rapidly test.
00:36:42.160And so if somebody wants to propose an area that they want to make, and I called it an experimental home zone, let's call it that,
00:36:50.780that in that zone, that all of the building codes and regulations would be temporarily suspended.
00:36:57.360And any company that applied could then build a home, but they would still have to get it signed off by real engineers.
00:37:05.280So you don't want anybody, you know, some entrepreneur building a house on hay bales and the family moves in and it smothers them.
00:37:13.640So you need real engineers to say, yeah, as far as we can tell, this looks pretty safe.
00:37:18.080If you keep it to single family dwellings, and especially if it's one story, there's not really much risk of anybody moving in and getting hurt.
00:37:29.220And if it's entrepreneurs who want to try new building techniques, et cetera, there's a little more risk,
00:37:36.480but that's how anything moves forward with risk.
00:44:51.900I would, somebody's mentioning 3D printed houses.
00:44:54.7803D printed houses are one of many different possibilities.
00:44:58.820I'm personally a little negative on 3D printed houses because I don't know how you change them.
00:45:06.740They're kind of, once they're done, they're done.
00:45:09.360I would be much more interested in some kind of building system that even one person could build their own house with, you know, Lego-like blocks.
00:49:42.160If you've ever tried to install any of those brick rock panels, you know it takes a craftsman.
00:49:50.660I mean, you have to know how to do it.
00:49:52.220You look at the YouTube for that and it's like you've got to prep the wall and you've got to, you know, there's a whole bunch of stuff you've got to do to stick those to the wall.
00:50:00.460But what if the wall just had two holes in it that were made for that and you just walk up to it and go, and just stick the brick on?
00:50:10.500You know, maybe you have to affix it in some way that can be unaffixed.
00:51:23.820I know that the building stuff is not of interest to all of you.
00:51:28.940Some of you like the politics better, but I would argue that the building industry is such a big part or could be even bigger part of our economy that it's sort of all politics and that it would require politics to clear out the codes and the building codes, et cetera, so that something like this could be built.
00:52:28.960So if you know you're going to have pets, why not build a house that's optimized for a pet?
00:52:34.520So I've got an automatic dog door that goes down to a fenced area with artificial turf so my dog can let herself out anytime she wants, do her business.
00:52:45.540It's on artificial turf in a place that I don't have to look at too much.
00:54:07.020Maybe I'll do a special periscope on just a home stuff.
00:54:13.280I'm actually thinking of going around my home with my video camera and just photographing things that worked and things that didn't work to get people thinking about this stuff.
00:55:22.680So, I've developed a rule and it goes like this.
00:55:26.780I don't want to have ever, ever, anybody on my Periscopes who is an expert without the counter expert.
00:55:37.760Unless, and there's only one exception, the exception is I think I know enough that I can ask the right questions.
00:55:44.760What you don't want and what would serve you really, really poorly and would be a great disservice is for me to put Kent Heckin-Lively on just by himself.
00:55:56.520Now, that has nothing to do with what he says, right?
00:55:59.900It has nothing to do with whether he's right.
00:56:02.480It has nothing to do with whether he's wrong.
00:56:04.780It has only to do with the fact that if you wanted to mislead people, that's the way you'd do it.
00:56:10.240You would bring on one expert, let them talk, and that's it.
00:56:16.100There's nothing that could be less healthy for understanding and educating and seeing the big picture than me bringing on one expert whose expertise I can't penetrate enough to ask the right questions.
00:57:01.120That would be very, very bad, because you wouldn't know if there's another argument, you know, a counterpoint.
00:57:08.420Without that, I'm not going to do that, all right?
00:57:12.040And I'm going to try to be really, really strict about that, because it's one of the biggest problems in the world, and I don't want to be perpetuating it.
00:57:21.680Every time you turn on the television, you're seeing that one expert giving you a bunch of BS.
00:57:28.400If it's on CNN, they're spinning it one way.
00:57:31.200If it's on Fox, they're spinning it the other way.